The Morning Dispatch: Manchin in the Middle

Plus: China further loosens its restrictions on childbearing, which are coming back to bite it as its population ages.

(Photo by Michael Swensen/Getty Images.)

Happy Tuesday! Jeff Bezos announced yesterday he is going to space next month, and Mark Zuckerberg posted a video of himself training to throw spears. What do the billionaires know that we don’t?

Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories

  • The Food and Drug Administration approved a new treatment for Alzheimer’s disease on Monday for the first time in more than 15 years. Many scientists sharply criticized the agency’s decision, saying there is not enough evidence that the new drug, Aduhelm—which was rejected by a panel of independent experts convened by the FDA in November—is actually effective at slowing the progression of disease.
  • The Justice Department announced Monday that it had recovered a majority ($2.3 million) of the $4.4 million in cryptocurrency that Colonial Pipeline paid to its ransomware attackers last month. “Today’s announcement demonstrates that the United States will use all available tools to make these attacks more costly and less profitable for criminal enterprises,” Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco said yesterday.
  • There is now more carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere than at any point in human history, according to scientists from Scripps Institution of Oceanography and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Last year’s shutdowns had “no discernible impact” on the rate of increase, according to the report.
  • Vice President Kamala Harris is visiting Guatemala and Mexico this week as part of the Biden administration’s diplomatic efforts to curb migration to the U.S. from Central and South America. “I want to be clear to folks in this region who are thinking about making that dangerous trek to the United States-Mexico border: Do not come,” Harris said. “The United States will continue to enforce our laws and secure our border.”
  • Axios reported yesterday, however, that preliminary Customs and Border Protection data show “the number of migrants illegally crossing the U.S.-Mexico border this fiscal year is already the most since 2006—with four months left to go.”
  • The United States confirmed 15,161 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday per the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard, with 2.6 percent of the 573,310 tests reported coming back positive. An additional 319 deaths were attributed to the virus on Monday, bringing the pandemic’s American death toll to 597,946. According to the Centers for Disease Control, 16,585 Americans are currently hospitalized with COVID-19. Meanwhile, 1,213,339 COVID-19 vaccine doses were administered yesterday, with 171,310,738 Americans having now received at least one dose.

Progressives Learning That No Means No

Democrats can’t say Sen. Joe Manchin didn’t warn them.

On November 9—just days after the 2020 election was called for Joe Biden and it had become clear that control of the Senate would come down to two runoff elections in Georgia—the West Virginia Democrat joined Bret Baier on Fox News. “When they talk about packing the courts or ending the filibuster, I will not vote to do that,” Manchin said. “I want to lay those fears to rest, that that won’t happen, because I won’t be the 50th Democrat voting to end the filibuster or to basically stack the court.”

Democratic leaders didn’t mind the comments much at the time—at least not publicly. The party needed to win a decent chunk of Republicans to flip the Peach State, and in turn the Senate, blue, and Manchin’s promises of moderation might well have made the prospect of a Democratic majority less threatening to Georgia voters.

But Manchin didn’t change his mind once Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock won their races. And he didn’t change his mind once they were sworn in. “If I haven’t said it very plain,” he told Politico on January 25, “I want to basically say it for you. That I will not vote in this Congress, that’s two years, right? I will not vote [to change the filibuster].”

Reporters have asked him—conservatively—eleventy gazillion times in the five months since if and when he plans on changing his mind. The answer has always been no, sometimes emphatically. “JESUS CHRIST!” he shouted back in March. “What don’t you understand about NEVER?!”

China’s New Three-Child Policy

As we mentioned last week, the Chinese Communist Party recently decided to scrap its two-child policy for married couples and replace it with a three-child policy. In a piece for the website, Harvest Prude dives into the context surrounding the switch—and what the CCP hopes to accomplish with it.

When and why did the Chinese government start restricting birth rates in the first place?

The CCP instituted a “one-child” policy in 1980 to dampen population growth and facilitate an economic boom. In part, this was due to concerns that the burgeoning population would overtake the food supply. In the 1950s, Mao Zedong ushered in his “Great Leap Forward,” a centrally executed government plan to rapidly industrialize China’s largely agrarian economy. A devastating famine resulted, killing tens of millions of the country’s citizens between 1959 and 1961. After that, the government began promoting birth control and later marriages. In 1980, the one-child policy, which primarily applied to members of China’s ethnic Han majority, took things further.

For nearly three decades, the bureau tasked with enforcing the government’s family planning policies would carry out its mission in ways that often violated human rights and sparked international criticism. In addition to steep fines and social pressure, officials forced women to get abortions and sterilized those who broke the rules. The policy also resulted in a gender imbalance: A preference for male babies resulted in about 119 boys being born for every 100 girls.

Worth Your Time

  • In a piece for The Atlantic, Katherine J. Wu explores the dangers mutations pose to the precision of coronavirus tests. Wu gives readers a rundown on how tests detect RNA, the rejiggering of coronavirus’ genes, and the dangers of false negatives. “With the virus mutating into new and concerning variants, a few of the tests designed to recognize its original iteration are now getting duped,” Wu writes. “What was once a singular target has split itself off into many, many bull’s-eyes, each a little different from the next, and we’re having trouble taking aim. … It’s hard to ignore the game of whack-a-mole we’ve locked ourselves into. No test can be completely impervious to evolution’s hijinks.”
  • In his work as president of the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education, Greg Lukianoff has had plenty of experience dealing with the dangers of academic cultures that stifle individual thought and squelch dissent. Over at Persuasion, he’s written a sort of manifesto for “what K-12 education could look like in a free and small-‘l’ liberal society, based on insights taken from U.S. jurisprudence, ancient wisdom, and modern psychology.” From “no compelled speech, thought, or belief” to “foster the broadest possible curiosity, critical thinking skills, and discomfort with certainty” to “don’t reduce complex students to limiting labels,” it’s a rallying cry for anyone uncomfortable with the current trend of U.S. primary education.

Presented Without Comment

Twitter avatar for @BenjySarlinBenjy Sarlin @BenjySarlin

You’ll never guess what Trump’s position on the filibuster was the entire time he was president ImageImageImageImage

Quint Forgey @QuintForgey

Trump praises @Sen_JoeManchin for his refusal to do away with the filibuster: “It’s a very important thing. He’s doing the right thing, and it’s a very important thing.” https://t.co/O2iy4KGwb2

Also Presented Without Comment

Toeing the Company Line

  • On Monday’s Advisory Opinions, David and Sarah walk listeners through last week’s ruling from a federal judge striking down California’s assault weapons ban. They then dive into a bit of Supreme Court drama involving Sonia Sotomayor, a decision that includes references to COVID vaccines, and whether civic education can reduce negative partisanship in America.
  • New reporting intern Tripp Grebe has a standalone piece up on the site today, and it’s a good one: What’s the latest on the 2021—née 2020—Tokyo Olympics? The U.S. Olympic Committee is confident the games will go on as scheduled, despite a recent coronavirus surge in Japan. “We are fully intending to take two delegations this summer,” a senior U.S. Olympic official told Tripp. “We have very serious safety protocols in place domestically, and we’re confident in the mitigation policies put in place by the Tokyo Organizing Committee.”

Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Haley Byrd Wilt (@byrdinator), Audrey Fahlberg (@FahlOutBerg), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Ryan Brown (@RyanP_Brown), Harvest Prude (@HarvestPrude), Tripp Grebe (@tripper_grebe), Emma Rogers (@emw_96), Price St. Clair (@PriceStClair1), Jonathan Chew, and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).