Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Monday June 29, 2020
THE DAILY SIGNAL
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THE RESURGENT
THE EPOCH TIMES
“The whole future lies in uncertainty: live immediately.”
SENECA
Trump Posts Wanted Posters Seeking People Allegedly Involved in Destroying Statues
2 Teens Shot to Death After Asking Suspect How Tall He Was While Buying Candy
Barr Says Election Conducted Predominately by Mail-In Ballots Ripe for Fraud
88-Year-Old Nashville Store Owner Shoots Alleged Shoplifter: ‘I’m Fed Up’
The Dragon Boat Festival, one of the most celebrated Chinese traditions, usually brings throngs of people together at this time of year as they engage in boat races and enjoy bamboo-wrapped sticky rice dumplings as a family. Read more
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The Supreme Court refused last week to bend Ohio election rules to accommodate marijuana decriminalization advocates who failed to gather enough in-person petition signatures to get their referendum… Read more
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The U.S. government is lobbying Europe to bar China’s largest maker of X-ray machines and scanners, saying that the company poses a security threat. Read more
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The newly-declassified handwritten notes by former FBI agent Peter Strzok memorialized the crucial Jan. 5, 2017, meeting at the Obama White House, according to Attorney General William Barr. Read more
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China wants its banking industry to share the pain and help to boost a slumping economy—to the tune of 1.5 trillion yuan ($212 billion). To combat the worst economic downturn in 40 years as the country attempts… Read more
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A Chinese professor was found guilty on June 26 of economic espionage and theft of trade secrets, in the latest round in the Trump administration’s clampdown on Chinese state-sanctioned theft of U.S. intellectual… Read more
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A new documentary about how the Chinese Communist Party extensively covered up the outbreak and created the worldwide pandemic will premiere Sunday night on The Epoch Times and NTD News websites… Read more
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Cops, Protesters, and Weeding Out Bad Apples
By Mark Hendrickson
To the extent that police work is done rightly, cops are a blessing to society. They often risk their lives to defend the lives and property of citizens who are total strangers to them. Read more
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Why Western Democracies Are No Longer Interested in Truth
By Pedro Blas González
As a young boy, I often asked my father, a man who had been a political prisoner in communist Cuba from 1965 to 1970, why politicians don’t tell the truth. Read more
Grocery Shopping for the 21st Century: Man Versus Machine
By Annie Wu
(May 6, 2015)
Digital technology is about to take over a new territory: grocery shopping. Or rather, a new global survey shows the extent to which the domination’s already happening. Read more
In the eyes of Dennis Prager, how is the suppression of opinion in America today unprecedented, and what are the parallels between this and McCarthyism of the 1950’s?
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DAYBREAK
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THE SUNBURN
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JUST THE NEWS
THE FLIP SIDE
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AXIOS
🎧 Our new “Axios Today” podcast (10 minutes on the nose) is ready for you here.
💰 At 1:30 p.m. ET tomorrow, Axios will host a live virtual event on the impact of Black Americans’ underrepresentation in venture capital, hosted by chief technology correspondent Ina Fried and business editor Dan Primack. Register here.
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
We’ve suddenly cut back on using cash for fear it may spread the virus, and some worried shopkeepers have stopped accepting it, Axios managing editor Jennifer Kingson reports.
- Why it matters: The virus has changed our buying and payment habits forever. Online shopping is through the roof, and consumers are rushing to get “contactless” credit and debit cards, which are tapped at a merchant terminal rather than inserted or swiped.
The coronavirus has made us scared to touch anything, and there’s a perception that money is dirty and payment terminals carry germs.
- ATM use is down 32%, according to Visa, and 63% of consumers say they’re using less cash.
The next big thing: contactless cards. They’re pervasive in Europe and elsewhere, and are just starting to hit the U.S. in a big way.
- People who use Apple Pay and Samsung Pay on their phones have gotten used to paying with a wave.
- Burger King ran a recent commercial in which it touted its contactless payment option.
Most of the states facing large coronavirus outbreaks today didn’t build up their public health systems enough ahead of time, Axios’ Caitlin Owens writes.
- Why it matters: Arizona, Florida and Texas had months to learn from the mistakes of New York and other early hotspots, yet find themselves now in similar situations.
- Keep reading.
😷 The latest … California Gov. Gavin Newsom rolled back reopenings of bars in seven counties, including Los Angeles. (L.A. Times)
- The world hit two grim global coronavirus milestones — 10 million confirmed cases and 500,000 deaths. Go deeper.
Nearly 70% more properties in the U.S. are at substantial risk of flooding compared to government estimates, a new peer-reviewed analysis shows, Axios “Harder Line” columnist Amy Harder and visual journalist Naema Ahmed report.
What’s happening: The areas with the largest newly revealed risk include large swaths of the Midwest, and inland Western states that face risk from rain or river flooding. (Check out the chart on page 9 of this First Street Foundation report.)
- Still, the risk is larger for coastal states and grows more quickly in those regions through 2050, as you can see in the graphic above.
You can search now for your home on FloodFactor.com, a website run by First Street, a nonprofit research and technology firm.
Rainbow lights illuminate the West Village near The Stonewall Inn, birthplace of the gay rights movement, for the 50th anniversary of the first Pride march.
Russian bounties to Taliban-linked militants for killing coalition forces in Afghanistan “are believed to have resulted in the deaths of several U.S. service members,” the WashPost reports.
- President Trump denies being briefed on the special-forces intelligence about the bounties, which the Post says was the subject of a high-level White House meeting in late March.
- Trump tweeted late last night: “Intel just reported to me that they did not find this info credible, and therefore did not report it to me or @VP. Possibly another fabricated Russia Hoax.”
The Trump administration is set to brief select members of Congress on the matter today, per AP.
- Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), who golfed with Trump yesterday, tweeted a day earlier that it was “imperative Congress get to the bottom” of the reports.
- Rep. Liz Cheney of Wyoming, the No. 3 Republican in the House, called for the White House to share more information with Congress: “Who did know and when?”
N.Y. Times media columnist Ben Smith reports that Bob Woodward, during the furor over Justice Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation in 2018, planned to unmask Kavanaugh as a former source.
- Here’s how Ben, who has shown an A+ nose for buzz since taking over the “Media Equation” column in March, spins the Woodward-worthy tale:
Woodward, the Post legend who protected the identity of his Watergate source, Deep Throat, for 30 years, was going to … disclose that Judge Kavanaugh had been an anonymous source in his 1999 book “Shadow: Five Presidents and the Legacy of Watergate.”
[T]he judge had publicly denied — in a huffy letter in 1999 to The Post — an account about Kenneth Starr’s investigation of President Bill Clinton that he had himself, confidentially, provided to Mr. Woodward for his book. (Mr. Kavanaugh served as a lawyer on Mr. Starr’s team.) …
The article was nearly ready when the executive editor, Martin Baron, stepped in. … Mr. Baron and other editors persuaded Mr. Woodward that it would be bad for The Post and “bad for Bob” to disclose a source … The piece never ran.
Keep reading (subscription).
These satellite images show construction on both the Indian and Chinese sides of a contested border high in the Himalayas, a week after a deadly clash in the area left 20 Indian soldiers dead, AP reports.
- Why it matters: A June 15 clash in the disputed area (the Line of Actual Control), was the deadliest in 45 years between the world’s most populous nations.
The images appear to show that the Indians built a wall on their side, and the Chinese expanded an outpost camp at the end of a long road connected to Chinese military bases farther from the poorly defined border.
Kadir Nelson’s cover for the forthcoming issue of The New Yorker is called “Distant Summer.”
Michelle Obama’s “Becoming” just hit the N.Y. Times Best Sellers list for the 81st week in a row, activating her husband’s competitive streak.
In a N.Y. Times front-pager, “Obama Is Drawn Back to a Political Battlefield He Wanted to Quit,” Glenn Thrush and Elaina Plott report (subscription):
In late 2016, Mr. Obama’s agent, Bob Barnett, began negotiating a package deal for Mr. Obama’s memoir and Michelle Obama’s autobiography. Random House eventually won the bidding war with a record-shattering $65 million offer. …
[One] associate, who ran into the former president at an event last year, remarked at how fit he looked. Mr. Obama replied, “Let’s just say my golf game is going a lot better than my book.”
It was not especially easy for the former president to look on as his wife’s book, “Becoming,” was published in 2018 and quickly became an international blockbuster.
“She had a ghostwriter,” Mr. Obama told a friend who asked about his wife’s speedy work. “I am writing every word myself, and that’s why it’s taking longer.”
The book’s timing remains among the touchiest of topics. Mr. Obama, a deliberate writer prone to procrastination … insisted that there be no set deadline.
The New England Patriots signed free-agent quarterback Cam Newton, bringing in the 2015 NFL Most Valuable Player to help the team move on from three-time MVP Tom Brady, AP’s Jimmy Golen reports.
- The one-year deal is worth up to $7.5 million with incentives.
Newton wrote in all caps on Instagram: “I’m as excited as I don’t what right now!! All praise to God!! Dropping content tomorrow!! I hope you’re ready!! #Let’sgoPats.”
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THE WASHINGTON POST MORNING HEADLINES
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THE WASHINGTON TIMES
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THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER
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Copyright © 2020 MEDIADC, All rights reserved.Washington Examiner | A MediaDC Publication 1152 15th Street NW Suite 200 | Washington, DC 20005 |
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CHICAGO TRIBUNE
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PRO TRUMP NEWS
THE HILL
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ROLL CALL
POLITICO PLAYBOOK
DRIVING THE DAY
IS THERE ONE THING GOING WELL for President DONALD TRUMP right now? He’s getting smoked by JOE BIDEN. The coronavirus is raging. Governors and local leaders are closing states and municipalities again. The president’s campaign is being forced to rethink rallies after an embarrassing fiasco in Oklahoma. Republicans moved their convention to Florida, which has seen a surge in coronavirus cases.
POLICE REFORM fell flat in the Capitol. It turns out that Russia may have been paying the Taliban to kill American soldiers on TRUMP’S watch. Republican control of the Senate is up for grabs. The GOP has but a sliver of a prayer of recapturing the House. The economy is still on life support. The United States’ relationship with China is in the toilet after the spread of Covid-19. Republicans have no earthly idea what they will do if the Supreme Court strikes down Obamacare — despite having pledged to replace the health care law for a decade.
NOW, THE PRESIDENT’S ADVISERS will say that they’ve hardly started campaigning against BIDEN. They also say the world moves quickly, and the political climate could change in a matter of weeks. Maybe so, maybe not.
BUT TO CHANGE HIS CIRCUMSTANCES, the president’s advisers believe TRUMP needs to make a conscious effort to highlight the contrast with BIDEN. They are trying to get TRUMP to hone his meandering message on three targets between now and Election Day: that TRUMP will create more jobs than BIDEN, that he’ll be tougher on CHINA than BIDEN and that he’ll keep communities safer than BIDEN will.
OF COURSE, the president has never been one to stick to any message. So this reporting is meant less to be predictive than it is to lay down a marker for what those around him want him to be talking about 127 DAYS before Election Day.
WAPO’S ASHLEY PARKER, BOB COSTA and JOSH DAWSEY: “Some Trump allies push for campaign shake-up to revive president’s imperiled reelection bid”: “Some Trump advisers and allies are privately pushing for sweeping changes to the campaign, including the idea of a major staff shake-up and trying to convince the president to be more disciplined in his message and behavior.
“But so far, the campaign has settled only on incremental changes — such as hiring and elevating a handful of operatives who worked on Trump’s upset victory in 2016 — and has yet to settle on a clear message for his reelection. Campaign officials and other advisers are also still struggling with how to best focus their attacks on Biden, which so far have been scattershot and have failed to curb his rise among voters.”
NATASHA KORECKI and MARC CAPUTO: “A Sun Belt time bomb threatens Trump’s reelection”: “The explosion of Covid-19 cases in Sun Belt states is becoming another albatross for President Donald Trump’s reelection hopes — and creating a new opening for Joe Biden and Democrats in November.
“Republican governors in Florida, Arizona and Texas followed Trump’s lead by quickly reopening their states while taking a lax approach to social distancing and mask-wearing. Now each of them is seeing skyrocketing coronavirus caseloads and rising hospitalizations, and Republican leaders are in retreat.
“It’s hard to overstate the gravity of the situation for Trump: Lose any one of the three states, and his reelection is all but doomed. Liberal outside groups and the Biden campaign have launched digital and TV ads in Florida, Arizona and Texas hitting Trump for allowing a second wave of coronavirus. The developments have buttressed Biden’s main argument against Trump: that he’s incapable of bringing stability or healing in a time of crisis.” POLITICO
Good Monday morning.
WERE THE RUSSIANS AFTER US IN AFGHANISTAN? … LATE SUNDAY NIGHT, THE PRESIDENT tweeted this about the Russian bounty story: “Intel just reported to me that they did not find this info credible, and therefore did not report it to me or @VP. Possibly another fabricated Russia Hoax, maybe by the Fake News @nytimesbooks, wanting to make Republicans look bad!!!”
— HE SEEMS TO HAVE USED the wrong handle for the N.Y. Times.
WAPO GETS IN ON IT: “Russian bounties to Taliban-linked militants resulted in deaths of U.S. troops, according to intelligence assessments,” by Ellen Nakashima, Karen DeYoung, Missy Ryan and John Hudson: “Russian bounties offered to Taliban-linked militants to kill coalition forces in Afghanistan are believed to have resulted in the deaths of several U.S. service members, according to intelligence gleaned from U.S. military interrogations of captured militants in recent months.
“Several people familiar with the matter said it was unclear exactly how many Americans or coalition troops from other countries may have been killed or targeted under the program. U.S. forces in Afghanistan suffered a total of 10 deaths from hostile gunfire or improvised bombs in 2018, and 16 in 2019. Two have been killed this year. In each of those years, several service members were also killed by what are known as ‘green on blue’ hostile incidents by members of Afghan security forces, which are sometimes believed to have been infiltrated by the Taliban.
“The intelligence was passed up from the U.S. Special Operations forces based in Afghanistan and led to a restricted high-level White House meeting in late March, the people said.”
THE U.S. HAS RECEIPTS! … NYT’S ERIC SCHMITT, ADAM GOLDMAN and NICK FANDOS: “The crucial information that led the spies and commandos to focus on the bounties included the recovery of a large amount of American cash from a raid on a Taliban outpost that prompted suspicions. Interrogations of captured militants and criminals played a central role in making the intelligence community confident in its assessment that the Russians had offered and paid bounties in 2019, another official has said.”
PER AP, “The Trump administration was set to brief select members of Congress on the matter on Monday. …
“The officials the AP spoke to said the intelligence community has been investigating an April 2019 attack on an American convoy that killed three U.S. Marines after a car rigged with explosives detonated near their armored vehicles as they were traveling back to Bagram Airfield, the largest U.S. military installation in Afghanistan. Three other U.S. service members were wounded in the attack, along with an Afghan contractor.
“The Taliban claimed responsibility for the attack on Twitter. The officials the AP spoke to also said they were looking closely at insider attacks — sometimes called ‘green-on-blue’ incidents — from 2019 to determine if they are also linked to Russian bounties.”
NYT, A1 … GLENN THRUSH and ELAINA PLOTT’S long read: “How the Trump Campaign Is Drawing Obama Out of Retirement”: “[M]ore than three years after his exit, the 44th president of the United States is back on a political battlefield he longed to leave, drawn into the fight by an enemy, Mr. Trump, who is hellbent on erasing him, and by a friend, Joseph R. Biden Jr., who is equally intent on embracing him. …
“[I]nterviews with more than 50 people in the former president’s orbit portray a conflicted combatant, trying to balance deep anger at his successor with an instinct to refrain from a brawl that he fears may dent his popularity and challenge his place in history. …
“[Obama] continues to slow-walk some requests, especially to headline more fund-raisers. Some in Mr. Obama’s camp suggest he wants to avoid overshadowing the candidate — which Mr. Biden’s people aren’t buying. ‘By all means, overshadow us,’ one of them joked.”
FRONTS: NYT … N.Y. POST: “CITY OUT OF CONTROL: Bottles hurled at police in Harlem … 11 shot in less than 12 hours … Top cop: Officers ‘confused right now’” … WSJ
NYT MEDIA EQUATION COLUMN, by BEN SMITH … “Marty Baron Made The Post Great Again. Now, the News Is Changing”: “Almost anyone who works in the Washington Post newsroom can look inside its publishing system, Methode, to see what stories are coming. And at the height of the furor over Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court in 2018, some who did saw a shocking article awaiting publication.
“In the article, Bob Woodward, the Post legend who protected the identity of his Watergate source, Deep Throat, for 30 years, was going to unmask one of his own confidential sources. He was, in particular, going to disclose that Judge Kavanaugh had been an anonymous source in his 1999 book ‘Shadow: Five Presidents and the Legacy of Watergate.’
“Mr. Woodward was planning to expose Mr. Kavanaugh because the judge had publicly denied — in a huffy letter in 1999 to The Post — an account about Kenneth Starr’s investigation of President Bill Clinton that he had himself, confidentially, provided to Mr. Woodward for his book. (Mr. Kavanaugh served as a lawyer on Mr. Starr’s team.) …
“The article was nearly ready when the executive editor, Martin Baron, stepped in. Mr. Baron urged Mr. Woodward not to breach his arrangement with Mr. Kavanaugh and to protect his old source’s anonymity, three Post employees said. (The three, as well as other Post journalists who spoke to me, insisted on anonymity because The Post prefers that its employees not talk to the media.)”
CORONAVIRUS RAGING …
— WSJ: “Coronavirus Cases Pass 10 Million Globally,” by Arian Campo-Flores and Russell Gold: “Coronavirus cases world-wide passed 10 million, with more than 500,000 deaths, as parts of the U.S. took steps to reverse their reopenings in response to surging case numbers, especially among young people.
“The U.S. recorded more than 42,000 cases Saturday, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, lower than the record 45,255 recorded Friday, but the second straight daily total over 40,000. Florida, Texas, California and Arizona have accounted for much of the recent rise in cases, prompting authorities to impose new restrictions in those states and retreat on reopening plans.”
— VP IN TEXAS: “As U.S. soars past 2.5 million coronavirus cases, Pence urges Americans to wear masks, social distance,” by WaPo’s Felicia Sonmez, Siobhán O’Grady and Derek Hawkins
ABOUT THIS WEEKEND — “Trump’s July Fourth celebration: No tanks, lots of planes,” by Lara Seligman: “President Donald Trump’s second annual Independence Day celebration will feature one major change from last year: It will have no tanks or other military equipment on static display in the nation’s capital, according to two defense officials.
“Defense Secretary Mark Esper last week approved an Interior Department request for the 2020 ‘Salute to America,’ providing aerial, musical and ceremonial support to the day’s events, said Army Lt. Col. Chris Mitchell, a Pentagon spokesperson.
“This year, the festivities will also include a flyover of Mount Rushmore, as POLITICO first reported, as well as an ‘aerial salute’ to several cities that played roles in the American Revolution: Boston, New York City, Philadelphia and Baltimore, Mitchell said. Roughly 1,700 service members will support the celebrations.” POLITICO
TRUMP’S MONDAY: The president will have lunch at 1 p.m. with VP Mike Pence in the private dining room.
PLAYBOOK READS
HISTORY … AP: “Mississippi surrenders Confederate symbol from state flag,” by Emily Wagster Pettus in Jackson, Miss.: “Mississippi will retire the last state flag in the U.S. with the Confederate battle emblem, more than a century after white supremacist legislators adopted the design a generation after the South lost the Civil War.
“A broad coalition of lawmakers — Black and white, Democrat and Republican — voted Sunday for change as the state faced increasing pressure amid nationwide protests against racial injustice.
“Mississippi has a 38% Black population, and critics have said for generations that it’s wrong to have a flag that prominently features an emblem many condemn as racist.”
— ‘MEDGAR’S WINGS MUST BE CLAPPING’: “Myrlie Evers began to weep when she heard the Mississippi Legislature vote to remove the Confederate battle emblem from the state flag.
“‘I can’t believe it. I am so emotional,’ the widow of slain civil rights leader Medgar Evers said. ‘Medgar’s wings must be clapping.’” Mississippi Center For Investigative Reporting
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NATASHA BERTRAND: “How a veteran’s secret podcast put her in the Trump administration’’s crosshairs”: “By day, Allison Gill was a high-level employee at the Department of Veterans Affairs, working on healthcare for the military and veterans. By night — and on weekends — she was secretly recording a podcast that was attracting thousands of listeners, and on a very sensitive subject for the president for whom she worked: special counsel Robert [Mueller’s] probe of the 2016 election and the Trump campaign’s dealings with Russia.
“Gill took pains to stay anonymous. And she kept a strict firewall between the podcast and her day job, mindful not to violate a decades-old law called the Hatch Act that prohibits federal employees from engaging in some forms of political activity.
“Now, two and a half years later, Gill, herself a veteran, says she was essentially forced out of her job following an internal V.A. investigation of the podcast — called Mueller She Wrote — during which she was questioned about how she could record a podcast and perform live shows while claiming to have post-traumatic stress disorder.
“The episode raises thorny questions about where the government can draw the line on an employee’s free speech, even as it lends ballast to President Donald Trump’s claims that a ‘deep state’ is working to undermine his administration from within.” POLITICO
VALLEY TALK — “Zuckerberg once wanted to sanction Trump. Then Facebook wrote rules that accommodated him,” by WaPo’s Elizabeth Dwoskin, Craig Timberg and Tony Romm
EYES ON THE SKIES — “FAA to Start Boeing 737 MAX Test Flights,” by WSJ’s Andy Pasztor: “U.S. air-safety regulators are set to begin key flight tests of Boeing Co.’s 737 MAX as early as Monday, amid growing expectations by industry and government officials that the planes are likely to return to service around the end of the year.
“The airborne checks, slated to be conducted in conjunction with Boeing and scheduled to last three days, mark a preliminary validation and long-awaited milestone for Boeing’s technical fixes aimed at getting the MAX fleet back in the air. The planes have been grounded for 15 months following two accidents that killed 346 people, roiled the airline industry long before the coronavirus pandemic and dealt the biggest blow to the plane maker’s reputation in its 103-year history.
“In an email the Federal Aviation Administration sent to congressional staffers Sunday, the agency said the effort ‘will include an array of flight maneuvers and emergency procedures to enable the agency to assess’ whether a series of software and hardware changes complies with safety certification standards.” WSJ
ICYMI — “How Michael Flynn’s Defense Team Found Powerful Allies,” by NYT’s Mark Mazzetti, Charlie Savage and Adam Goldman
STAFFING UP — “Trump to put loyalist in charge of government’s HR department,” by Axios’ Jonathan Swan: “President Trump intends to nominate John Gibbs to run the Office of Personnel Management … The agency has become a focus of the White House’s efforts to install and reward Trump loyalists across the government. … Gibbs is a former conservative commentator who currently serves as a senior official at the Department of Housing and Urban Development.”
— CNN’S KFILE, 2018: “Senior adviser at HUD spread conspiracy theory that Clinton campaign chairman was Satanist”
PLAYBOOKERS
Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.
TRANSITIONS — Jordan Davis will be a senior director at Purple Strategies. He most recently was senior adviser for the House Energy and Commerce GOP. … Stefan Smith is now director of digital campaigns at the Reform Alliance, the criminal justice reform organization founded by Van Jones, Meek Mill, Jay-Z and others. He previously was online engagement director for Pete Buttigieg’s campaign.
ENGAGED — Taylor Weeks, senior adviser for NASA legislative affairs, and Clay Armentrout, legislative director and counsel for Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala.), got engaged this weekend on their Annapolis balcony, where he proposed a Champagne toast and got down on one knee. They met through mutual friends in 2018 and plan to marry next year in Houston. Pic … Another pic
WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Aaron Ament, president of Student Defense and an Obama Education Department alum, and Allison Bormel, VP at BerlinRosen and an Obama USAID alum, welcomed Maya Rose Ament on Wednesday. She came in at 6 lbs, 13 oz, and joins big sister Lilah. Pic … Another pic
— Meghan Keivel Cruz, grassroots advocacy manager at the National Retail Federation, and Travis Cruz, captain at Republic Airways, welcomed Andrew Karl Cruz on Tuesday. Pic
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Emily Spain, chief of staff for Sen. Tom Carper (D-Del.). A trend she thinks doesn’t get enough attention: “Over the last several years there’s been an increase in the number of women chiefs of staff in the House and the Senate on both sides of the aisle. At a time when it can be challenging to foster bipartisan relationships, the women chiefs of staff have been able to form friendships and working relationships that are more important than ever as we grapple with a pandemic that has been particularly devastating to women.” Playbook Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Rep. Collin Peterson (D-Minn.) is 76 … Rep. Virginia Foxx (R-N.C.) is 77 … Playbook’s own Garrett Ross … Macon Phillips, founder of the Starling Agency, is 42 … Laura Rozen (h/ts Ben Chang) … Cindy Simms … Andy Duberstein, principal at Sard Verbinnen … Josh Meyer … CNN’s Evan Pérez (h/ts Tim Burger) … Carl Forti is 48 … Ben Jarrett … Jennifer Pett Marsteller, director of public affairs and comms at the Independent Petroleum Association of America … Christina Pearson … former Solicitor General Don Verrilli, a partner with Munger, Tolles and Olson, is 63 … Robin Colwell, special assistant to the president for economic policy … Max Virkus, economic policy adviser to Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.) … Christian Marrone, VP for civil and regulatory affairs at Lockheed Martin, is 45 …
… Jordan Davis … Tamera Luzzatto, managing director at Pew Charitable Trusts (h/t Jon Haber) … Cathy Rought, SVP at BerlinRosen … Eric Washburn … Patty McHugh (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) … WaPo’s Danielle Paquette … Marie Policastro, scheduler for Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R-Ohio) (h/t sister Annie) … The Daily Beast’s Hanna Trudo … H&R Block’s Kaya Singleton is 33 … Rob Duffey … Samantha Tartas … photojournalist Gabriella Demczuk … David Wolf … Hal Brewster is 37 … Brian Gabriel … Amish Shah … Katie Zirkelbach, president of Zirkelbach Strategies … Owen Kilmer … Kia Motors’ Christopher Wenk … Bobby Watson … Ed Black … Bruce Soll is 63 … Tom DeVor … Jason Ostrander … Harry Hartfield … Katie Breen … Turkmen President Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow is 63
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AMERICAN MINUTE
CAFFEINATED THOUGHTS
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CONSERVATIVE DAILY NEWS
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PJ MEDIA
The Morning Briefing: Will the 2020 Rage Mob Survive a Trip to the Suburbs?
The Mob Meets a Little Resistance
I had my first couple of social trips out in public this past weekend since all of the shutdown fun began and, thankfully, didn’t run into any peacefully protesting mobs. Then again, it’s the time of year here when the sun keeps us from congregating much outdoors in any kind of mob, rage-filled or not. I also didn’t run into a lot of people wearing masks, but that’s another story.
A few weeks ago I wrote that the protest mobs wouldn’t go away until they started going near rich liberals’ residences. A friend of mine recently said that you-know-what was “gonna get real when they start going into neighborhoods.” Thus far, they’ve mostly stuck to downtown areas or big retail areas for looting. The libs running the most mob-filled cities have largely been ceding downtown areas. Our commie mayor here kept gleefully organizing clean-up parties in downtown Tucson to pick up after the “peaceful” BLM mobs vandalized and broke things. She kept posting pics on Instagram as if she was on vacation somewhere.
We got a little taste this paste weekend of what happens when private property gets threatened by a BLM mob gone walkabout. Matt has the feel-good story about the married couple that brandished weapons posted at Townhall and it’s hilarious:
Yeah, again, this is called trespassing. It’s illegal. After days of seeing anarchy and chaos engulfing America’s cities after the officer-involved fatality of George Floyd ion May 25, there’s no wonder why law-abiding Americans are lining up to buy guns and ammo. The police are overwhelmed. They can’t help everyone. With mayhem taking over the streets at night, it’s no wonder why gun purchases have gone through the roof—and it’s not just conservatives lining out the doors of gun shops. The spike actually began during the coronavirus outbreak, but Floyd certainly injected steroids into the trend.
There’s video of the encounter in Matt’s post and it is worth noting that the couple’s gun safety etiquette is rather horrible. They’re brandishing the guns like they are in a video game and hopefully they’ll get some lessons on that before the next time they’re out in public with firearms.
There was a lot of brouhaha on social media about the mob being on public sidewalks — as if that makes it any better — but, again, this is a private neighborhood. This is also an isolated incident but it probably won’t be the last of its kind we see. The “defund police” anti-cop sentiment has, as we have mentioned here before, unwittingly ruined one of the Left’s favorite arguments against gun ownership: that people should simply wait for the police to show up if there is trouble.
If these liberal cities succeed in slashing police budgets and reducing manpower, the neighbors might all have guns soon. The further away from city centers the mob wanders, the more likely they are to bump into Mr. and Mrs. Gunslinger. Tucson is a liberal city but this is still Arizona and even my lefty friends here have several firearms. I know I used “suburbs” in the headline but I really meant any residential neighborhood.
I keep referring the the protesters as a mob because even on their quiet days the potential to get ugly is there. They’ve been emboldened by weak leaders and a lying press. Mob mentality is the reason we’ve seen the idiots tear down so many statues that have nothing to do with their anger.
Buy guns. Buy ammo.
And try not to accidentally point the gun at your neighbor’s car if a mob comes to your neighborhood.
Happy Belated
Happy (belated) birthday to comedy genius @MelBrooks whom I had the pleasure of seeing in person a few years back for a Q&A screening of ‘Blazing Saddles’.
2020 Update
Hordes of blood-sucking, disease-carrying horse flies invade the UK https://trib.al/mLI0pae
PJM Linktank
My latest column: Kimmel, Cancel Culture, and the Future of Comedy
Biden VP Hopeful Rep. Karen Bass in Hot Water for Praise of Castro
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The Kruiser Kabana
I’ve given up on resignation.
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PJ Media Senior Columnist and Associate Editor Stephen Kruiser is the author of “Don’t Let the Hippies Shower” and “Straight Outta Feelings: Political Zen in the Age of Outrage,” both of which address serious subjects in a humorous way. Monday through Friday he edits PJ Media’s “Morning Briefing.” His columns appear twice a
THE DISPATCH
The Morning Dispatch: Russian Bounties and Lots of Questions
The White House will have trouble casting this story as a partisan concern.
The Dispatch Staff | 1 hr | 4 |
Happy Monday! Let’s do this.
A reminder: This is the version of TMD available to non-paying readers. We’re happy you’ve made The Dispatch part of your morning routine, and we hope you’re enjoying The Morning Dispatch and the rest of our free editorial offerings. If you do, we hope you’ll consider joining us as a paying member. In addition to the full version of TMD each day, you’ll get extra editions of French Press, the G-File, Vital Interests, and our other paid products. And members can engage with the authors and with one another in the discussion threads at the end of each of our articles and newsletters. If this appeals to you, we hope you’ll please join now.
Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories
- As of Sunday night, 2,548,992 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in the United States (an increase of 38,655 from yesterday) and 125,803 deaths have been attributed to the virus (an increase of 264 from yesterday), according to the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard, leading to a mortality rate among confirmed cases of 4.9 percent (the true mortality rate is likely much lower, between 0.4 percent and 1.4 percent, but it’s impossible to determine precisely due to incomplete testing regimens). Of 30,988,013 coronavirus tests conducted in the United States (586,369 conducted since yesterday), 8.2 percent have come back positive.
- The New York Times reported that Russian military intelligence extended bounties incentivizing Taliban militants to kill American and coalition forces in Afghanistan.
- President Trump retweeted a video on Sunday of a supporter from the Villages—a retirement community in Florida—shouting “white power.” White House deputy press secretary Judd Deere said Trump was unaware the white supremacist slogan had been used in the video and the tweet has since been deleted.
- The House approved a bill on Friday to grant Washington, D.C., statehood by a vote of 232-180. The vote was primarily symbolic; the move is opposed by Senate Republicans and the White House.
- In the wake of nationwide anti-racism protests, Mississippi lawmakers passed a bill yesterday requiring the removal of the Confederate battle emblem from the state’s flag.
- Princeton University’s board of trustees announced on Saturday its plans to rename the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, stating, “racist thinking and policies make him an inappropriate namesake for a school or college whose scholars, students, and alumni must stand firmly against racism in all its forms.”
Russians Paid Off Taliban Insurgents to Kill Coalition Troops in Afghanistan
A Russian military spy unit bribed Taliban militants to kill American troops and other coalition forces in Afghanistan last year, according to a stunning news report Friday in the New York Times, sourced to American intelligence officials. The White House is facing tough questions from Democrats and top Republicans about the reporting, especially after it was confirmed by officials familiar with the matter that several U.S. troops are believed to have been killed by Taliban militants who had been paid off by Russians.
The Times reported that President Trump was briefed on the intelligence and the National Security Council took it up during a meeting in March. NSC spokesman John Ullyot said that “the veracity of the underlying allegations continue to be evaluated.” The administration has denied that Trump was briefed on the intelligence, although several news outlets—including the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post—have matched and expanded on the initial reporting from the Times.
Worth Your Time
- Dan McLaughlin’s latest National Review piece challenges New York Times columnist Jamelle Bouie’s claim that “neither Abraham Lincoln nor the Republican Party freed the slaves.” Bouie’s argument is part of a larger push by some on the left to reframe American history, particularly in the context of race, as a diegesis of unceasing white supremacist oppression. But while this narrative contains “elements of uncontroversial truth,” McLaughlin writes, many of “its most sweeping claims are false—and the true parts are merely tools for advancing the falsehood.”
- FiveThirtyEight’s Clare Malone writes about the Republican Party’s long-standing race problem, tracing the party’s relationship with racial minorities back to the mid-20th century when moderates like Michigan Gov. George Romney were pushed out of the party in favor of anti-civil rights hardliners. In the decades following, the GOP wavered between earnest attempts to expand its coalition and cynical ploys to capitalize on racial divisions, with little success in broadening their appeal to black and brown voter bases. And, Malone argues, the party’s persistent inability to meaningfully expand its political coalition beyond white Americans is what led to the systematic voter suppression efforts that are still on display in some areas of the country today.
- Frank Bruni’s Saturday New York Times op-ed picks up the case that Steve has made on The Dispatch Podcast: Joe Biden should pick Illinois Sen. Tammy Duckworth as his vice presidential running mate. “She’s the anti-Trump,” Bruni writes. “The antidote to the ugliness he revels in and the cynicism he stokes.” Comparing Duckworth—an Iraq war veteran who lost both her legs in combat—to Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris, two other frontrunners for the Democratic vice presidential nomination, Bruni writes that Duckworth “is a choice that makes exquisite emotional and moral sense. Largely, but not entirely, because of that, she makes strategic sense, too.”
Presented Without Comment
The Hollywood Reporter @THR
Hulu has removed an episode of ‘The Golden Girls’ that shows Betty White and Rue McClanahan in blackface. https://t.co/jLMGbhQBzJ
Toeing the Company Line
- New York Times national politics reporter and Twitter celebrity Astead Herndon joined Sarah and Steve for the most recent special episode of The Dispatch Podcast to discuss Astead’s recent trip to cover Trump’s rally in Tulsa, the veepstakes, and all things rank and punditrous.
- Grace and charity are two virtues that can no longer be found in contemporary politics, and yesterday’s French Press explains why. David analyzes the ways in which Americans across the political divide misconstrue one another’s intentions, resulting in a positive feedback loop of hostility and polarization.
- Friday’s installment of the G-File delves into the moral panic caused when we retroactively apply the cultural and moral standards of today to nondescript behavior by public figures in the past, before outlining Trump’s biggest adversary in his reelection efforts: Trump.
- And Jonah’s Saturday Ruminant this week was an old-school, back-to-basics “pox on both your houses”-type episode, with a history lesson on the origins of “social Darwinism” thrown in for good measure.
- In the latest Dispatch Fact Check, Alec debunks viral claims that the Trump campaign used hired actors and Trump staffers to inflate the attendance of last Saturday’s Tulsa rally.
- Jeryl Bier compares a New York Times story that described the riots that grew out of the George Floyd protests as “some isolated incidents of violence” with other coverage the paper did that described thousands of businesses being damaged and hundreds of people being arrested.
- Avi Woolf highlights some of the more egregious examples of “cancel culture” from woke leftists, and suggests that conservatives must respond not by caving or with knee-jerk opposition, but by working to improve our cultural institutions.
Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Sarah Isgur (@whignewtons), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Audrey Fahlberg (@FahlOutBerg), Nate Hochman (@njhochman), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).
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LEGAL INSURRECTION
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THE DAILY WIRE
DESERET NEWS
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BRIGHT
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AMERICAN THINKER
LARRY J. SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL
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The University of Virginia Center for Politics in partnership with UVA’s Miller Center, Weldon Cooper Center/Sorensen Institute, and Frank Batten School of Leadership and Public Policy have selected 56 students for the newly-created 22nd Century Scholars scholarship program that begins today. The Center for Politics has also announced plans for a $3 million endowment, with lead gifts from Eaddo and Peter Kiernan and Teresa Bryce Bazemore and Lenny Bazemore, to create a continuing endowment for this and other internship programs and to serve as a funding source to assist additional students in the future. The talented UVA undergraduate students (rising second, third, and fourth-years) were selected from a pool of 300 student applicants (most from UVA but some from as far as Harvard University) who lost related summer jobs and internships as a result of the pandemic across a wide spectrum of the public sector including: Capitol Hill (with both Democratic and Republican members); within the Executive Branch (the Department of State, Department of Justice, and USAID); the National Institutes of Health; statehouses; local government; as well as domestic and international non-profits and NGOs. The first 56 UVA students to pioneer the 22nd Century Scholars program are:
“The public sector badly needs the energy, talent, and fresh perspective of young people. But because of the pandemic, tomorrow’s leaders have lost some of the opportunities they otherwise would have had to make a difference now. Our new 22nd Century Scholars program is a way for us to help these students learn about and remain engaged in the important work of public life,” said Larry J. Sabato, director of the UVA Center for Politics. Beginning today and running through the end of July, the students will participate in a first-ever joint public sector summer internship program to be administered by the UVA Center for Politics and its partner organizations in this effort: the Miller Center, the Weldon Cooper Center/Sorensen Institute, and the Frank Batten School of Leadership and Public Policy. Other cooperating units include the UVA Democracy Initiative’s Deliberative Media Lab. “When Larry Sabato was my undergraduate advisor, his recommendation helped me secure an internship on Capitol Hill. That experience changed my life, and convinced me that public service was worth pursuing. For students who won’t have that experience this summer, I’m honored that the Miller Center gets to work with our colleagues at UVA to provide those experiences during this disruptive time,” said Bill Antholis, director of the Miller Center. The 22nd Century Scholars scholarship program is made possible through emergency funding provided by the Larry J. Sabato Foundation and the Peter and Eaddo Kiernan Foundation with additional support from Sonja Hoel Perkins, McGuireWoods Consulting, Michael Greenwald, Larry Schack and Katie Shaw, Erik Hirsch, and many other generous donors. Scholars will receive a $2,000 stipend as part of the program. This program will provide students with the ability to work individually and collectively on some of the biggest problems facing the country and the world today in the wake of the global pandemic. Through this innovative program, students will gain hands-on experience working with the Center for Politics and their partner organizations focused on public service at the University of Virginia. They also will have access to additional resources, such as webinars with policymakers, non-profit leaders, and other guests. Additionally, dozens of University alumni will be donating time to serve as career mentors for the students. “We call these awardees 22nd Century Scholars because starting this summer and for many years to come, they will be leaders who position our nation and the world for the next century. To make sure we do this right, every one of these 22nd Century Scholars now and in the future will have a UVA Alum designated as their mentor for life,” said Peter Kiernan, chairman of the Center for Politics’ board. “What is most heartening is how many alums have already stepped forward to volunteer to guide these talented young people. We are seeing the UVA family at its very best.” Those who are excited to support the 22nd Century Scholars program can earmark donations through the Center for Politics’ donor page. |
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States of Play: Pennsylvania | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By Rhodes Cook Senior Columnist, Sabato’s Crystal Ball |
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KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— In 2016, Donald Trump inspired higher Republican turnout in Pennsylvania, while Hillary Clinton couldn’t offset her losses in the non-metro parts of the state. — Voter registration trends in Pennsylvania are mirroring the 2016 picture — all of the counties in Philadelphia’s suburban collar are Democratic by registration while Republicans have flipped some working class counties. — With the third party vote projected to be down from 2020, former Gov. Bill Weld’s (R-MA) relative strength as a Republican protest presidential candidate in this month’s Pennsylvania Republican primary may be a warning sign for Trump. — Joe Biden, who frequently talks up his working class Scranton background, gives Democrats a good chance to move the state back into the blue column, but it’ll hardly be an automatic shift. States of Play: PennsylvaniaThe drive from Hagerstown, Md., north to State College, Pa., is about 110 miles. Two-lane roads connect the two, running through bucolic farmland, over forested mountains, and in and out of a succession of small towns, with names such as Burnt Cabins, Shade Gap, Shirleysburg, and Orbisonia. There are occasional signs of prosperity, but many of these communities are economically strapped. It is “God and guns” country. And in 2016, it was also Donald Trump country. Early that October, this author made the drive, counting yard signs along the way. And upon reaching State College, the tally stood at two signs for Hillary Rodham Clinton and 68 for Trump. To be sure, the drive was basically through a Republican swath of Pennsylvania. Yet the number of Trump signs was unusually high for a presidential election, and were up more than a month before the November balloting. They did not appear to be the work of one person, or even a small team of Trump campaign workers, but of individuals of like mind expressing a similar sentiment. Counting yard signs is not scientific. It is not a poll. But the result of this personal count that day spoke to an intensity of support for Trump’s anti-establishment, outsider candidacy in this slice of rural, small-town America. The numerous signs gave the sense that something big was happening, but what that might be was unclear until Election Day, Nov. 8, 2016. From 1992 through 2012, Democrats had made Pennsylvania a critical part of their Rust Belt “firewall,” winning it in six straight presidential elections. They had done so by executing a simple formula: Build a large lead in Philadelphia (with its sizable minority population), add to the margin in its adjacent suburbs and across the state in Allegheny County (Pittsburgh). Then, fend off a Republican counter-surge in the more conservative remainder of Pennsylvania with its smaller cities, old industrial centers, and rural terrain. As Election Night 2016 began to unfold, it looked as though the Democratic formula would work once again. Clinton rolled out of Philadelphia with a huge lead of 475,000 votes, added another 188,000 votes to her margin in its suburbs, and then an additional 108,000 votes in Allegheny County. Taken together, these large Democratic metro centers had more than done their part, giving Clinton a whopping lead of 771,767 votes. It far surpassed Barack Obama’s 706,314-vote advantage in these same places in 2012, en route to an Obama statewide victory of more than 300,000 votes. However, as Election Night progressed, the unexpected happened. Clinton’s lead dwindled and dwindled and dwindled, until Trump finally pulled ahead and won Pennsylvania by the thin margin of 44,292 votes out of more than 6.1 million cast. The “hinterland” had outperformed the populous “cosmopolitan” centers at the ballot box. But it took a two-way flow of votes to ensure Trump’s victory. The statewide Republican presidential vote was up dramatically from 2012, to a Pennsylvania GOP record of 2.97 million, while the Democratic presidential vote dropped to 2.93 million, the party’s lowest presidential tally in the Keystone State since 2000. And this two-way flow — the Republican vote up, the Democratic vote down — was on steroids in Pennsylvania’s vast interior. Altogether, Trump’s vote tally was nearly 300,000 more than Republican standard-bearer Mitt Romney’s total in 2012, with all of the gains coming in Pennsylvania’s heartland. Meanwhile, in that same territory, Clinton’s total was down by more than 125,000 votes from Obama’s total four years earlier. Taken together, the Republican margin outside the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh areas more than doubled from 2012, exploding to more than 800,000 votes. It was just enough to overturn Clinton’s huge lead in the large metro centers. Trump’s new coalitionWhen Republican presidential candidates were carrying Pennsylvania in the 1980s behind Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush, they tied together the Philadelphia suburbs, smaller urban counties such as Lancaster, Lebanon, and York, along with small towns and rural areas of the state’s interior. In 2016, with the suburbs trending Democratic, Trump had to splice together a different coalition that accented a combination of the historically WASPish Republican towns of central Pennsylvania with heavily ethnic, formerly Democratic industrial strongholds in northeast, northwest, and western Pennsylvania. Of the state’s 67 counties, 61 are in this part of the state, of which Trump carried 56. To be sure, the Republican trend in the industrial areas had been under way for years. But Trump increased the volume of the GOP presidential vote in every one of the 61 counties from 2012. Often, it was by a large amount. In Luzerne County (Wilkes-Barre), in the coal country of northeast Pennsylvania, the number of Republican presidential ballots shot up by 35%, from less than 60,000 in 2012 to nearly 80,000 for Trump. The surge enabled him to be the first GOP presidential candidate to carry Luzerne since 1988. He also flipped Erie County, in Pennsylvania’s northwestern corner, from Democratic in 2012 to Republican in 2016, as well as Northampton (Bethlehem) in the Lehigh Valley north of Philadelphia. Altogether, Trump drove up the number of Republican presidential votes by at least 10 percentage points from four years earlier in all but a half dozen of the 61 “interior” counties, and by at least 25 points in more than a dozen of them. The new Trump coalition, a combination of life-long Republicans, disgruntled Democrats and independents, and non-voters, has been called angry, aggrieved, and overlooked. Trump assiduously courted them with his brash sense of confidence, promising to renegotiate what he saw as “job killing” international trade deals that would ultimately bring old and new industries alike to Pennsylvania. But he also connected with voters in the state’s heartland by expressing his affinity with their culture of church, country, and guns, and he pledged to be their voice in Washington. The Trump campaign’s courtship of these voters in 2016 was hard to miss, from the ubiquitous campaign signs to high-decibel rallies in arenas “off the beaten path.” The effort was so successful that by Election Day that year the large Trump vote was solid and hidden in plain sight. But even this may not have been enough to carry Pennsylvania if Democrats had not conspired in their own defeat. If Clinton had just been able to match the 2012 Obama vote — 2.99 million — she would have been able to beat back Trump in Pennsylvania. Instead, the Democrats were well along in the process of trading the votes of socially conservative blue-collar workers for more socially liberal white-collar voters in the affluent suburbs. Through six straight Democratic victories, it had been a worthwhile trade as the party held enough of the non-metro blue-collar vote each election to make it work. Yet in 2016, Clinton was in poor position to compete with Trump for these voters. Her platform — pro-gun control, supportive of federal action on climate change, and anti-coal — was fashioned for the nation’s large cities and suburbs. And a couple of maladroit remarks in 2016 made her situation even more untenable. In a state with a strong coal mining heritage in its northeastern and western parts, Clinton inexplicably said in March 2016 that “we’re going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business.” That September, she added to the damage by declaring at a New York City fundraiser that half of Trump’s backers belonged in a “basket of deplorables.” The remark was not explicitly aimed at Pennsylvania voters outside the state’s large cities and suburbs, but it might as well have been. All this followed by eight years a provocative comment by Obama at a San Francisco fundraiser about voters in small-town Pennsylvania who “cling to guns or religion or antipathy toward people who aren’t like them… as a way to explain their frustrations.” Given the starkness of the remark, Obama was fortunate to run as well as he did in 2008 and 2012 outside the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh areas. Yet his comment and those of Clinton underscored a sense of growing estrangement between Democrats and their once loyal blue-collar voters that may not be easy to repair in 2020. Looking ahead to NovemberIn Joe Biden, Democrats are probably fielding the best candidate they could this year to reach Pennsylvania’s “Trump country” voters. Throughout his political career, Biden has portrayed himself as an outgoing “average Joe,” comfortable with mingling with blue-collar workers in their ethnic halls and VFWs. For good measure, he was born in Pennsylvania, Scranton to be precise. And while his family moved to Delaware when he was a boy, his home base of Wilmington is just a few miles south of the Pennsylvania border within the Philadelphia media market. Over the years, Biden has come back often to Pennsylvania to campaign for Democratic candidates, and he has established his national campaign headquarters in Philadelphia. He will surely try to run this year as the state’s favorite son. As of June 26, the RealClearPolitics rolling average of polls showed Biden with a lead of 6.3 percentage points over Trump in Pennsylvania. That, however, must be taken with a grain of salt. Four years ago, RealClearPolitics showed Clinton on Election Day with a lead in Pennsylvania that was down to 1.9 points, before Trump carried the state by seven-tenths (0.7) of a point. Apparently, many of the late deciders in Pennsylvania (as elsewhere) broke for the Republican. It is also quite possible that the size of the Trump vote in 2016 was routinely under polled because either a number of voters did not feel comfortable telling pollsters that they were for the brash Manhattan billionaire or were genuinely undecided until the end and broke toward the challenger. That could happen again in 2020. During the Trump presidency, Pennsylvania Republicans have chipped away a bit at the Democrats’ wide voter registration advantage. At points during the Obama years, registered Democrats outnumbered registered Republicans by more than 1 million. The Democratic lead had dropped to around 915,000 when Trump was elected in 2016 and this June was barely 800,000. (In addition, more than 1.2 million Pennsylvanians are registered as independents or as members of third parties.) As a statewide figure, the sizable Democratic registration advantage is rarely matched by a similar degree of Democratic success at the polls. More significant are the registration trends, with each party since Trump’s election picking up additional voters in strongholds that are fairly new to the party — for Republicans, the once Democratic industrial areas; and for Democrats, the once Republican suburbs of Philadelphia. For the first time ever, the four suburban counties all have Democratic registration leads, with Chester the last of the four to flip to the Democrats this May. In Bucks County, the Democratic registration edge has increased from less than 10,000 in November 2016 to more than 15,000 in June 2020. In Delaware County, what was a Democratic edge of less than 20,000 when Trump was elected has swelled to more than 40,000 this month. And in Montgomery County, once the cornerstone of the Pennsylvania Republican Party, a Democratic registration margin approaching 55,000 in November 2016 has now blown past 85,000. On the other hand, Republican registrations are surging in pockets of blue-collar strength outstate. In Beaver County, along the Ohio border, a Democratic registration lead approaching 20,000 at the time of Trump’s election is now barely half that. In Cambria County (Johnstown), a Democratic registration advantage exceeding 12,000 in November 2016 is barely 2,000 this spring. And in Westmoreland County outside Pittsburgh, the registration lead has flipped from Democratic to Republican during Trump’s three-plus years in the Oval Office. Meanwhile, the state’s presidential primary June 2 gave Biden and Trump a chance to test their vote-getting appeal in Pennsylvania. By and large, both passed their test with flying colors in contests that were largely non-competitive. Biden drew 79% of the 1.59-million Democratic primary votes against Sen. Bernie Sanders (18%) and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (3%), both of whom had already quit the Democratic race and endorsed Biden. Trump won 92% of the 1.14-million Republican primary votes against former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld (6%) and perennial candidate Roque “Rocky” De La Fuente (2%). The votes for Weld could be a problem for the president come fall as they were cast by GOP voters for a candidate who was viscerally anti-Trump. Weld’s total of nearly 70,000 votes in the Republican primary in Pennsylvania represented his highest total in the entire 2020 primary season and was 25,000 votes more than Trump’s 2016 margin of victory in the state. It would be surprising if there were more than a small handful of Republicans who voted for Weld in the spring and would then turn around and vote for Trump in the fall. More likely, many of Weld’s voters would end up with Biden, if they vote for president at all. Still, it will be a tall order for the Democrats to defeat the president in Pennsylvania. He has carried the state once already and has cultivated it since then. And he has already signaled that he will not relinquish Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes without a tough fight. Case in point: his appearance at a town hall this March in Biden’s home town of Scranton. There, the 74-year-old Trump launched a sharp volley at the 77-year-old Biden, questioning his mental competence to be president. Meanwhile, since the coronavirus has taken hold in the United States, Biden has made several trips to the Philadelphia area for campaign events that are not far from his Delaware home. Last week, he traveled just west of the Philadelphia suburbs to Lancaster County, the heart of Pennsylvania Dutch country where Republicans have been losing their hegemony as the county’s population grows. There, Biden got in some licks of his own against the president, criticizing Trump’s response to the coronavirus by saying: “He’s like a child who just can’t believe this has happened to him. It’s all whining and self-pity.” In case anyone had not yet noticed, this year’s fight for the battleground state of Pennsylvania is on. What follows are a series of tables exploring the recent voting in Pennsylvania (Tables 1-8) as well as Map 1, which shows how the state’s presidential voting patterns have changed over the last three elections. Table 1: States decided by 2% or less in 2016
Source: America Votes 32 (CQ Press, an imprint of SAGE). Table 2: Winning Pennsylvania since 1960
Sources: America at the Polls 1960-2004: John F. Kennedy to George W. Bush (CQ Press). The 2008, 2012, and 2016 editions of America Votes (CQ Press, an imprint of SAGE) for presidential elections since then. Table 3: PA cities, suburbs, and rest of state since 2000
Note: The percentage of the vote that each of these areas of Pennsylvania cast in presidential elections since 2000 do not always add to 100 due to rounding. An asterisk (*) indicates an incumbent. The four suburban counties outside Philadelphia are: Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery. Sources: America at the Polls 1960-2004: John F. Kennedy to George W. Bush (CQ Press). The 2008, 2012, and 2016 editions of America Votes (CQ Press, an imprint of SAGE) for presidential elections since then. Table 4: PA counties that switched parties in 2012, 2016
Note: The various regions of Pennsylvania are from the Keystone Poll, now the Franklin and Marshall College Poll. Sources: America Votes 28, 30, 32 (CQ Press, an imprint of SAGE). As Map 1 shows, down to the township level, the Obama areas that Trump flipped in 2016 were mostly found in the northeast and southwest, with their history of mining, as well as in Erie County, at the northwestern edge of the state. In the southeast, though, Chester County was the Romney > Clinton capital of the state. Map 1: Pennsylvania partisan loyalty by town, 2008-2016Table 5: PA GOP ballots up in ’12, Democratic vote down
Sources: America Votes 30, 32 (CQ Press, an imprint of SAGE). Table 6: Voter registration trends since 2000
Note: Voter registration totals are sometimes taken with a grain of salt since it is not always clear how much “deadwood” is on the rolls. However, registration trends are often taken more seriously.Source: Party registration totals are from the web site of the Pennsylvania secretary of state, with the latest as of June 15, 2020. Table 7: Voter registration trends since Nov. 2016
Table 8: The Weld factor
Note: William Weld’s Republican primary vote is based on official returns from all states except Indiana, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and West Virginia, where the results are nearly complete but unofficial as of June 19, 2020. There were 34 Republican presidential primaries held through then, and Weld drew votes in 23 of them. Sources: Republican primary vote totals are from the websites of election authorities in states that held Republican presidential primaries in 2020 and William Weld received votes. The statewide victory margins from 2016 are from America Votes 32 (CQ Press, an imprint of SAGE).
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NOQ Report Daily |
- ANOTHER shooting at The CHOP in Seattle, one fatality reported
- 3 lies being told by the left about the St Louis defenders of their private property
- These are dangerous times. The left wants to force you to be silent. That is why you need to speak up.
- Beware of ‘activists’ who block videos with $2000 bicycles
- Caught on camera: Postal worker dumped GOP candidate’s mailers in dumpster
- Sleepy Joe meme video is 2020 in a nutshell
- Planned Parenthood sues Pastor Ken Peters and TCAPP
- A selective retreat from trade with China makes sense for the United States
- ‘Master’ has multiple meanings, but racist social justice warriors only know one
ANOTHER shooting at The CHOP in Seattle, one fatality reported
Posted: 29 Jun 2020 05:50 AM PDT The Seattle Police Department is investigating an alleged shooting involving an SUV in the Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone (CHOP) in Seattle. Comments to their Twitter post included pictures attributed to the event of a white Jeep Grand Cherokee with bullet holes and blood throughout. There are indications CHOP “security” fired into the vehicle and may have killed one of two victims. Other reports say the victims are both in critical condition and have transported to the hospital. This has not been independently confirmed.
Various videos and livestreams on social media captured audio from the shootings. Semi-automatic rifle fire can be distinctly heard, and possibly other firearms were involved. Most stories from the autonomous zone indicate the SUV with two people in it was driving around the area with the passenger firing in “drive-by” style at people before being stopped by a barricade as they tried to leave the area. There are no reports of CHOP occupiers being hit.
This would mark the fourth known shooting event in the CHOP since it was formed earlier this month. The first resulted in one fatality. Police released bodycam footage of their attempt to reach the victims. The third was livestreamed, but CHOP “security” attempted to delete the video. This is a breaking story and will be updated as more information is made available. Expect mainstream media to ignore this CHOP shooting as well. They invested so heavily into providing optics that the “peaceful” protesters were participating in a social experiment akin to a music festival. The actual carnage breaks their narrative. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post ANOTHER shooting at The CHOP in Seattle, one fatality reported appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
3 lies being told by the left about the St Louis defenders of their private property
Posted: 29 Jun 2020 03:09 AM PDT Mainstream media lies. Leftist social media lies. You know this if you’re reading this site or listening to this Non-Compliant America podcast. But it’s a message that needs to be heard by those who are not convinced that mainstream media and their leftist puppetmasters intend to mislead them at every opportunity. Case-in-point: The St. Louis couple who went on their front lawn with firearms prepared to defend their property from protesters passing through their gated community. If you see the story on mainstream media, there are selective cuts of the incident displayed, cuts that deliver poor optics for the couple. But if you watch the whole video or learn the truth that their private property had already been invaded once the protesters breached the gates, the narrative shifts. Sadly, it’s a narrative that is muted on both mainstream and social media. Some have spoken out about it on Twitter.
Lie #1: No need to fear “peaceful protesters”It takes a very short memory or willful manipulation of the narrative in order to pretend there is no danger from “peaceful protesters.” How many times in the last two months have we seen “peaceful protests” turn into riots, looting, vandalism, and violence? In Madison, Wisconsin, just last week we saw “peaceful protests” turn very ugly as “protesters” tore down two statues and beat down a progressive Democratic lawmaker. Waiting for “peaceful protests” to turn violent before preparing for it is idiotic. Lie #2: The homeowners were unprovokedThis lie requires selective editing of the videos. Mainstream and progressive social media won’t show the part of the video where the “peaceful protesters” breach a clearly marked gate to intentionally enter private property. At that moment, the homeowners in this entire area have been provoked. Coming out with firearms to prevent a worse breach of property and for justifiable concerns over safety is fully warranted and completely legal. Lie #3: Escalation was initiated by the homeownersThis false narrative clearly ties in with the second one. If we assume that the mob had the right to be on private property protesting, then it’s easy to believe the homeowners were escalating. But if we were to look at the truth, that this was private property and the homeowners were making their intentions known that they would defend their home, then there is no unnecessary escalation. These were the actions of people prepared to defend life and property and their action to come to their front lawn with weapons was a courtesy to those who may have tried to do them harm. We know cognitive dissonance has taken over much of progressive America’s mindset when defense of personal property is bad but destruction of property is heralded as a justifiable. America’s soul is being challenged. We must prepare. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post 3 lies being told by the left about the St Louis defenders of their private property appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
These are dangerous times. The left wants to force you to be silent. That is why you need to speak up.
Posted: 29 Jun 2020 12:11 AM PDT The liberty-minded majority has to speak up for freedom or it will be silenced forever. That is not hyperbole. Facebook and the authoritarian left have become more blatant about silencing the pro-liberty right to the point of directly influencing the upcoming election. Fear is a control tactic while courage is contagiousKatie makes the critical point that we need to step in and counter the efforts of those who would impose authoritarianism. While we don’t agree with every point she makes, she does emphasize that we need to leave the ad hominem attacks to the leftists. We are on the right side of history. The facts are on our side. If you can’t speak up donate to people or organizations that will. Don’t have money, donate your time, and most importantly vote. You were placed on this earth at this time to join the fight, not sit in a protective bubble. The tyrannical ten percent has to use force because they cannot persuadeWere the tyrannical ten percent a greater portion of the population instead of 8 – 10%, they would have no need to exploit intimidation tactics. They could just gather their collectivists’ cadre and vote. They don’t have the numbers to do this, so they have to even the odds with cancel culture, censorship, and coercion. While the national socialist left loves to lie with labeling, it’s never so egregious when they claim to be fighting ‘fascism’ when they themselves are using the tactics of this evil, collectivist ideology. They attack certain people to make an example of them to try and silence everyone else. Everyone standing up for liberty will show them that they cannot intimidate themselves into power.
There are only two ways of societal interaction: Force or persuasion. The fact is the far-left tyrannical ten percent doesn’t have the numbers or logic to persuade the liberty-minded majority so they have to resort to force. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post These are dangerous times. The left wants to force you to be silent. That is why you need to speak up. appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
Beware of ‘activists’ who block videos with $2000 bicycles
Posted: 28 Jun 2020 06:50 PM PDT Throughout modern history, activists have craved cameras. They’ve loved it when the press is there to document their handiwork and help spread their message to the masses. Even as recently as just before the coronavirus crisis, the radical leftist environmentalist group Extinction Rebellion would do whatever they could to share their exploits on social media and draw mainstream media attention. Things are very different with the Cultural Marxists among the Black Lives Matter and Antifa groups that are dominating the news cycles today. They seem to be camera shy, whether it’s with the failing Capitol Hill Occupied Protest (CHOP) in Seattle where shooting video can get you attacked to the “activists” in Salt Lake City who painted the streets red to represent blood in front of the District Attorney’s office. Part of it is simply not wanting video for law enforcement to use as evidence or tracking of criminals. But arguably the biggest reason they are usually so camera-shy is because the optics are terrible. If more Americans knew not only what is being done but who is doing it, there would be fewer people getting behind these linked movements as well as the powers behind them. That’s why cameras are anathema in most circumstances pertaining to Antifa and Black Lives Matter. They want to show the results of their actions but not the origins or progress of them. Why? Senator Ted Cruz noted something based on a recording of a so-called Black Lives Matter event in Salt Lake City. Though the red paint was supposed to signify the blood of African-Americans who were killed by police, it’s noteworthy that those participating were not the supposedly oppressed. The street painting was done by Caucasian kids, including some who appeared to be from affluent families. It was done rapidly to avoid scrutiny of the actual incident. And no, cameras were not allowed. But as the Senator pointed out from journalist Andy Ngo’s video, the guy blocking the camera seemed to have a really nice bicycle.
In the latest episode of the NOQ Report Podcast, we discussed everything from George Soros to conspiracy theories to the reality of the situation on the ground. The vast majority of activists for other causes love to get press. They love the optics they create and they’re proud of their cause. But with these BLM-Antifa episodes, they hide from media. That should tell you something about their “movement.” Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post Beware of ‘activists’ who block videos with $2000 bicycles appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
Caught on camera: Postal worker dumped GOP candidate’s mailers in dumpster
Posted: 28 Jun 2020 03:43 PM PDT The U.S. Postal Service is not secure. Period. One does not need to watch this video of a postal worker dumping mailers from a GOP congressional candidate into a dumpster to realize the system is corrupt and favors Democrats. But the video itself definitely helps. Sadly, we don’t know how often this happens when it’s not caught on camera. Watch as mailers from Sheriff Troy Nehls, who is running for U.S. Congress in TX-22, gets dumped.
Not that this should have to be said, but let’s not forget the vast majority of postal workers are indifferent to the mail they deliver. That’s part of the training for such a job. Unfortunately, a majority of good ones still means there is a minority of people who will let their personal beliefs cloud their judgment about what mail needs to be delivered and what should end up in the dumpster. This is one of those cases. The left’s incessant push for mail-in balloting is being positioned as a way to give voters more access. But most states already have methods through which those who cannot make it to the polls easily can be accommodated. In the United States, nobody who is legally eligible to vote is prevented from doing so. On the other hand, those who can’t or shouldn’t be allowed to vote are given loopholes regularly. Mail-in ballots would be the ultimate loophole. In the latest episode of Conservative News Briefs, JD and Tammy discussed this issue and why ubiquitous mail-in ballot access means a golden opportunity for Democrats to steal the election. It isn’t just the presidential election, either. The down-ballot carnage for Republicans through widespread voter fraud would do incalculable damage to the republic. If voter fraud is already happening without mail-in ballots being widespread or even mandated, why would anyone believe it won’t be exponentially worse with mail-in ballots in place? Support Troy Nehls. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post Caught on camera: Postal worker dumped GOP candidate’s mailers in dumpster appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
Sleepy Joe meme video is 2020 in a nutshell
Posted: 28 Jun 2020 02:49 PM PDT Meme videos have, frankly, become pretty repetitive. They used to be much more creative, but now the good ones have been usurped by head replacement videos. You know, the one in which a movie scene has the heads of the characters replaced by politicians or entities. It’s lazy. But sometimes we run across ones that put creativity back into the mix. It doesn’t take a ton of video editing skills. Sometimes, the right hat on top of a candidate’s head with the right background sounds is all you need to be exceptional. Case-in-point… this video shared by White House Deputy Chief of Staff Dan Scavino, one we can assume was created by Twitter user Posonaut. The President himself even retweeted it, though it’s unclear of Scavino made that happen. He’s the only staffer who has access to the President’s Twitter account.
This may just be a meme, but it’s conspicuous how fitting the “Sleepy Joe” moniker is for someone who talks like he missed a couple of naps ever time he speaks. America’s demise would truly begin with a Sleepy Joe presidency. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post Sleepy Joe meme video is 2020 in a nutshell appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
Planned Parenthood sues Pastor Ken Peters and TCAPP
Posted: 28 Jun 2020 01:45 PM PDT Pastor Ken Peters is one of the co-founders of the American Conservative Movement, as well as the founder of The Church at Planned Parenthood (TCAPP). The idea behind TCAPP is to protest the murdering of babies in the Planned Parenthood abortion clinic through the worshipping of God, prayer and the preaching of God’s Word. They are literally having a church service in front of Planned Parenthood! While many other pro-life groups will protest outside of abortion clinics by angrily yelling at those coming in and out, Pastor Ken leads a more positive movement. TCAPP has been quite effective in their messaging, as there is a clear distinction between the positive nature of their church services and the counter-protesters that are supporting abortion. The TCAPP crowd is worshipping, praying and are overall a very positive group of Christians. The pro-abortion counter-protestors are mostly angry, yelling vulgar obscenities and even going so far as to sell an effigy of Pastor Ken Peters during one of the fundraisers for Planned Parenthood. The police that show up to provide security during the church services have even commented that there’s a clear difference between the two groups. By taking a more positive approach, Pastor Ken and TCAPP are showing the world the clear distinction between the pro-life and pro-abortion movements… one side is good and one is evil. Over the last many months, Planned Parenthood has tried every possible way to intimidate Pastor Ken and TCAPP into silence. They’ve filed injunctions against them, got the City Council to pass a noise ordinance in an attempt to silence their services and even gone so far as to try to purchase the public land in front of their building where TCAPP meets for their services. There was even a fundraiser for Planned Parenthood where they sold an effigy of Pastor Ken’s face. Now, they are upping their strategy to suing Ken, personally, as well as a few of the other leaders, including Washington State Representative Matt Shea. Matt Shea was a speaker at one of our Saving America Conferences, as well. Planned Parenthood is claiming that “psychological trauma” is being implemented onto abortion-seekers by these Conservative Christians showing up to sing hymns and pray after hours. This lawsuit will be a pivotal one that can set major precedence across America for every freedom-loving patriot. If Planned Parenthood wins, then the courts will be letting Americans know that the murdering of babies supersedes our First Amendment rights, including our Freedom of Speech, Freedom of Religion & the Right to Peaceably Assemble. No matter which side of the abortion debate you find yourself in, all Americans should agree that the TCAPP leaders have the Constitutional Right to voice their opinions, to peaceably protest and to worship God as they see fit. Keep an eye on this case. If it goes the wrong way, it will be yet another example of our leftist, progressive government stripping away our Constitutional Rights. We’ll be supporting The Church at Planned Parenthood as they take on this Constitutional fight over whether we do truly have Freedom of Speech, Freedom of Religion and the Right to Peaceably Assemble. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post Planned Parenthood sues Pastor Ken Peters and TCAPP appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
A selective retreat from trade with China makes sense for the United States
Posted: 28 Jun 2020 01:35 PM PDT Amitrajeet A. Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology Trade tensions and mistrust are escalating between the U.S. and China. Soon after U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced that China recommitted to its January trade deal obligations after a face-to-face meeting with Beijing’s top diplomat on June 17, he upbraided the country for using disinformation to drive a wedge between Europe and the U.S. President Trump, meanwhile, is attempting to use his tough stance with Beijing as a foreign policy selling point. Behind the headlines and politics, a basic question remains: How much benefit is the U.S. getting out of its trade relationship with China? As a scholar in international trade theory and policy, I believe that answer must be looked at through a wider lens than just economics – one that includes national security. A model where both countries benefitEconomists have long agreed that free international trade can benefit countries when it is based on the principle of comparative advantage. Popularized by the English economist David Ricardo, this means that countries should export goods they can make more efficiently and less expensively to other countries, and import goods the other country can make more efficiently. Free trade theory states that such trade, as opposed to trade that uses tariffs and quotas, makes nations better off. That’s because it creates overall benefits for countries. There may still be individual losers in certain industries, but overall, all nations are deemed winners. It is, in theory, possible to take some of the winners’ gains in a nation and give it to that country’s losers, and still have some surplus left over. The “losers” are typically the industries that compete with imports and its workers. The practical problem with this line of reasoning is that the U.S. typically either does not make compensatory payments to the losers from trade or, when it does, the payments are puny. Uncle Sam provides assistance to those who lose out from free trade via the Department of Labor’s Trade Adjustment Assistance program. As long as workers displaced by international trade enroll in a job training program, the adjustment assistance provides relocation assistance, subsidized health insurance and extended unemployment benefits. However, the program has been severely criticized by workers themselves, even earning the nickname “burial insurance,” as in arriving just in time to bury the victims. Credible statistics are hard to come by to show the true monetary gains from trade. However, the economists Arnaud Costinot and Andres Rodriguez-Clare have shed valuable light on this question. Their research shows that the share of spending on imports in the U.S. is smaller than other countries. That is in large part because the U.S. is a large country, and most trade occurs within the nation. Costinot and Rodriguez-Clare point out that about 8 cents out of every dollar spent in the U.S. is spent on imports. We can now ask: How much would it cost U.S. consumers if the country stopped trade with other nations? The answer to this question is known as the welfare cost of zero trade or, equivalently, the welfare gains from trade. Because the U.S. doesn’t trade that much, the welfare gains from international trade in the U.S. are smaller than in many other countries. Costinot and Rodriguez-Clare estimate these gains from all trade for the U.S. range from 2% to 8% of gross domestic product. For a large and diversified nation such as the U.S., this is relatively small. The reason is that the share of all U.S. spending that goes to imports is around 6%-8%. Put differently, the U.S. is a lot less reliant on imports than many other more trade-reliant countries. To compare, Belgium – a much smaller but more trade-reliant nation – spends 30% on imports. If the U.S. were to move to economic self-sufficiency by stopping all trade with other nations, then it would be worse off, but based on the previous research, not dramatically so. While that may not be practical overall, it is worth looking at it through the lens of U.S.-China trade specifically. What COVID-19 shows usTo manage the outbreak of the coronavirus, the Chinese government closed large numbers of factories and ports. Entire cities and even provinces were locked down. These stringent measures have caused significant disruptions to U.S. firms with China-only supply chains. Even more significant is the extent to which the U.S. is dependent on China for vital goods such as medicines. More generally, in 2018, China supplied about 42% of the world’s exports of personal protective equipment. Almost 75% of Italy’s imported blood thinners came from China, and so did 60% of the ingredients for antibiotics imported by Japan. This dependence poses a national security threat. For example, if relations with China were to deteriorate further, then China could hold back shipping on, for instance, vital pharmaceutical ingredients. China has been known to abuse its market power. Most standard economic analyses about the gains and losses from trade typically do not take national security issues into account. However, some research exists on how to intervene in an economy to attain “noneconomic objectives.” The fact that trade can be weaponized was alluded to by the economist Adam Smith, who observed in 1776 that national security can trump free trade concerns. This is because if certain goods are necessary for national security, then free trade in these goods may reduce a nation’s capacity to produce the goods, thereby making them scarce should a national emergency arise. Given the increasing tensions and complexities around trade with China, I believe it may be time to selectively retreat from trading with the Chinese over supplies critical to national security. Such a retreat will have to involve, among other controls, setting procurement rules so that health care providers buy U.S. products, reducing and ideally eliminating the dependence on China-only supply chains, and monitoring cross-border mergers and acquisitions. In other words, we would still have globalization, but with diminished Chinese influence. This will be difficult to implement on a practical level given the close relationships the U.S. markets have with China – and the roughly US$539.5 billion in goods it imports each year. But short-term pain from the transition may well result in long-term gain from protecting national security. [You’re too busy to read everything. We get it. That’s why we’ve got a weekly newsletter. Sign up for good Sunday reading. ] Amitrajeet A. Batabyal, Arthur J. Gosnell Professor of Economics, Rochester Institute of Technology This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post A selective retreat from trade with China makes sense for the United States appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
‘Master’ has multiple meanings, but racist social justice warriors only know one
Posted: 28 Jun 2020 01:15 PM PDT The narrative is slipping away from the racists at Black Lives Matter and Antifa. At least it should be. Unfortunately, both Democrats and mainstream media refuse to acknowledge the blatant racism being spewed by these groups, racism that is thinly veiled in a false facade of opposition to racism. There are many clear examples of racist activities, goals, and rhetoric coming from the Cultural Marxists during their attempted coup in the United States, but today we’re going to focus on the basic attacks on language. As we learned from the USSR, the Chinese Communist Party, and Nineteen Eighty-Four, those who want to impose authoritarian control first go after language. We’re seeing this today as multi-definition words like “master” and “whitening” are being systematically removed by the woke crowd.
Some question me when I post podcasts like this latest episode of the Rucker Report in which I note just how racist Black Lives Matter and Antifa really are. They buy into the false notion that these groups fight racism without participating in them. While there are definitely some anti-racist sentiments expressed by these groups, they generally turn towards reverse racism as the means through which to promote their agenda.
Instead of saying “all lives matter,” they say “Black lives matter.” Instead of saying no man should bow to another man, they say White people must bow to Black people. Instead of accepting that certain use of words associated with past racism do not have anything to do with racism today, such as teeth “whitening” or “master” sommeliers, they assign racist connotations to them. Meanwhile, they haven’t said much about Virginia Governor Ralph Northam or Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau who have both worn blackface multiple times in the past.
The Cultural Marxists know if they can control language, it will be easier for them to control thoughts. If they can control thoughts, they can get more people to do stupid things, including supporting BLM and Antifa. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post ‘Master’ has multiple meanings, but racist social justice warriors only know one appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
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