Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Thursday July 16, 2020
THE DAILY SIGNAL
Jul 16, 2020
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Good morning from Washington, where top health officials are keeping a close eye on the COVID-19 surge. How does it compare with Europe? Fred Lucas reports. On the podcast, “War on History” author Jarrett Stepman ponders the very public resignation of a New York Times columnist. Plus: cash-strapped states give big to Planned Parenthood; AOC talks nonsense on violent crime; “Problematic Women” questions the left’s assault on Goya Foods; and tips on choosing the right college. On this date in 1790, Congress picks mosquito-infested swampland on the Potomac River between Maryland and Virginia for the new nation’s capital, calling it Washington in the District of Columbia. |
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THE RESURGENT
THE EPOCH TIMES
“No change of circumstances can repair a defect of character.”
RALPH WALDO EMERSON
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The National Crisis on the Front Line of Policing
By Mark Hendrickson
Our country’s police forces have been under the proverbial microscope ever since the shocking death of George Floyd in late May. Read more
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The Death of the Liberal American University Occurred This Month
By Bob Zeidman
Many of us are already aware of the decline of American universities. Once they were the bastions of liberal ideology, the pinnacles of academic achievement that produced the greatest breakthroughs in the world… Read more
Change in Attitude Critical for Protecting Intellectual Property
By Rahul Vaidyanath
(August 13, 2015)
Intellectual property is the lifeblood of today’s knowledge-based economy. It underpins economic prosperity as the currency of greatest value in today’s global world. Read more
Just over a week in, what do we know about the National Security Law imposed on Hong Kong by Beijing? Why hasn’t President Trump yet signed the Hong Kong Autonomy Act?
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DAYBREAK
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THE SUNBURN
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FOX NEWS
JUST THE NEWS
THE FLIP SIDE
AXIOS
🇮🇳 Breaking: 400 million people re-enter lockdown in India. (CNN)
🎧 “Axios Today,” our 10-minute podcast, is ready for you.
- This is the first time we swapped out every single story for breaking news!
💻 Ina Fried hosts an Axios virtual event on remote education tomorrow at 12:30 p.m. ET with Rep. Grace Meng of New York, Stand for Children CEO Jonah Edelman, and Mei Kwong, executive director of the Center for Connected Health Policy. Register here.
President Trump demoted campaign manager Brad Parscale and replaced him with his deputy, hours after a brutal new round of polls showed Trump losing five of six swing states — and sinking into a double-digit hole nationally.
- Why it matters: Trump’s announcement — on Facebook, in the midst of a Twitter outage — shows that he knows he’s losing.
- It’s obvious to all around him: All the data shows it. The family knows it. And with 110 days until the election, the president now admits it.
A recent spate of Fox News polls particularly infuriated Trump, Axios’ Alayna Treene hears.
- One official said Trump still brings up a warning by Fox News’ Tucker Carlson last month that Trump “could well lose.”
- Look for more changes to come.
The towering Parscale is a longtime Trump family digital guru who engineered the online side of Trump’s 2016 upset.
- He gets to stay, demoted to senior adviser. Trump really can’t fire Brad: He knows too much, and he built the digital infrastructure the campaign relies on.
- He was replaced by his deputy, Bill Stepien, a Trump loyalist and longtime Republican operative. Stepien worked on Trump’s 2016 campaign, then was White House political director before moving to the campaign.
One top Republican told me Stepien, who once was Chris Christie’s top aide, is an expert at a vital skill in Trumpworld — candidate management.
- Another power center is senior adviser Jason Miller, effectively the campaign’s chief strategist, who has frequent conversations with Trump.
Behind the scenes: Trump lost confidence in Parscale after the Tulsa debacle, Axios’ Jonathan Swan reports.
- The switch is partly cosmetic: Jared Kushner — who gave Parscale the news that he was out — was calling the shots before, and calls them now.
What’s next: A Trump confidant tells me the campaign believes it can make up ground with suburban voters by trying to tie Joe Biden to calls to defund police.
- “I look forward to having a big and very important second win,” Trump said on Facebook. “This one should be a lot easier as our poll numbers are rising fast, the economy is getting better, vaccines and therapeutics will soon be on the way, and Americans want safe streets and communities!”
The best text I got when the news broke: “The real campaign manager reports to the Oval every day, anyways.”
- That, of course, is Donald Trump.
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
The debate over whether and how much to reopen schools in the fall has put teachers in the precarious position of choosing between their own safety and pressures from parents and local officials, Axios’ Kim Hart and Marisa Fernandez write.
- Why it matters: The people we depend on to educate our society’s children may end up bearing the brunt of both the risk and the workload.
Michelle Albright, a second grade teacher from northwest Indiana, said: “We as teachers prepare for active shooters, tornadoes, fires — and I’m fully prepared to take a bullet or shield a child from falling debris during a tornado.”
- “But if I somehow get it and I’m asymptomatic and I get a student sick and something happens to them or one of their family members, that’s a guilt I would carry with me forever.”
Among the worries for teachers:
1. Exposure: Despite a child’s overall low health risk if they contract COVID-19, scientists still do not conclusively know if schools could become hotspots for more vulnerable populations.
- Schools are on a time and money crunch for better ventilation, more disinfectant and masks and proper social distancing techniques. If a cluster of cases do occur, teachers and parents are short on answers about how to isolate students and contact trace.
- Districts were already facing staffing shortages before the pandemic.
2. Difficulty of a hybrid approach: Many teachers will have to prepare virtual and in-person lessons, and ensure the same learning outcomes for students in both settings — a tall order.
- In-person contact with a teacher can make a big difference for students struggling with a concept.
3. Child care: Teachers with children of their own are concerned about how to care for them when they are teaching.
4. Concerns of other school staff: Bus drivers, custodians, classroom aides, administrative staff, cafeteria workers, school nurses and substitute teachers may come in contact with more children throughout the day, because they are less likely than teachers to be confined to a single classroom.
Illustration: Rebecca Zisser/Axios
Twitter’s security failure last evening — with hackers taking over the accounts of Joe Biden, Barack Obama, Elon Musk, Bill Gates and others to push a bitcoin scam — stunned the worlds of politics and tech, Axios chief tech correspondent Ina Fried writes from S.F.
- Why it matters: As bad as the rampage was, the real fallout came as business leaders, politicians and everyday users realized that their chosen network for real-time information is vulnerable to being hijacked.
- Twitter tweeted: “We detected what we believe to be a coordinated social engineering attack by people who successfully targeted some of our employees with access to internal systems and tools.”
The accounts of high-profile individuals and corporations were compromised within a short period of time, allowing the posting of a message luring people to deposit bitcoin in a specific account.
- Aiming to contain the problem, Twitter for a time prevented all verified accounts — the blue check marks of journalists, politicians, celebrities and other public actors — from posting new messages.
Between the lines: Experts pointed out that the plot to steal bitcoin was small potatoes compared with the much worse things a malefactor could do with access to Twitter’s highest profile accounts.
- President Trump essentially governs via the social network, dictating policy and threatening world leaders. In the wrong hands, that account could start a war. (Trump’s account did not appear to be compromised.)
Some of the deeper problems relate to Twitter’s structure.
- The blue check mark next to a name is supposed to indicate that you can trust the identity of the account.
- But those are exactly the accounts that were compromised.
Deprived of their main accounts, many prominent Tweeters turned to old secondary accounts, friends’ accounts or all-new accounts to keep posting.
- Some news outlets, including NBC News, posted to temporary accounts, while others sent out news from less prominent accounts.
- This workaround created new long-term problems for Twitter’s information climate, since impersonators could use that method to spread misinformation.
The coronavirus continues to spread nearly unchecked across almost the entire country: 37 states saw bigger caseloads over the past week, Axios’ Sam Baker and Andrew Witherspoon report.
- New infections rose by at least 10% last week in 37 states, spanning every region. Six states and D.C. experienced spikes greater than 50%.
Why it matters: Our map has shown persistent, widespread deterioration for several weeks.
What’s next: Experts hope this outbreak won’t be as deadly as the virus’ initial attack on the New York area, in part because more young people are getting sick.
- But deaths are a trailing indicator, and these new waves of infection will undoubtedly kill thousands of people.
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
A pandemic would normally be a time when public health expertise and data are in urgent demand — yet President Trump and his administration have been going all out to undermine them, Axios managing editor David Nather writes.
- Why it matters: There’s a new example almost every day of this administration trying to marginalize the experts and data that most administrations lean on and defer to in the middle of a global crisis.
The administration has repeatedly undermined the CDC.
- It has repeatedly undermined Anthony Fauci. Trump distanced himself from a USA Today op-ed attack by White House trade adviser Peter Navarro. But longtime aide Dan Scavino posted a cartoon on Facebook mocking Fauci as “Dr. Faucet.”
- Fauci, in an interview with The Atlantic, said of efforts to discredit him: “Ultimately, it hurts the president. … [I]t doesn’t do anything but reflect poorly on them.”
The bottom line: The history of the pandemic will show that public health experts also had to deal with political fights that made their jobs harder.
The July/August issue of Vanity Fair, featuring a powerful image of Oscar-winning actor Viola Davis, marks the first time the publication has featured the work of a Black photographer on its cover, AP reports.
- The historic image of Davis, shot by photographer Dario Calmese, shows the 54-year-old in profile, her back facing the camera.
Radhika Jones, the magazine’s editor-in-chief, writes in the issue that 17 Black people were on the cover in the 35 years between 1983 and 2017.
- “Calmese describes his cover concept as a re-creation of the Louis Agassiz slave portraits taken in the 1800s — the back, the welts,” she writes.
- “This image reclaims that narrative, transmuting the white gaze on Black suffering into the Black gaze of grace, elegance and beauty.”
📱 Thanks for reading Axios AM. Please invite your friends to sign up here.
THE WASHINGTON POST MORNING HEADLINES
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THE WASHINGTON TIMES
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THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER
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Copyright © 2020 MEDIADC, All rights reserved.Washington Examiner | A MediaDC Publication 1152 15th Street NW Suite 200 | Washington, DC 20005 |
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CHICAGO TRIBUNE
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PRO TRUMP NEWS
THE HILL
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ROLL CALL
Morning Headlines
Kansas Republican Rep. Steve Watkins is not planning to resign from his committee assignments after being charged Tuesday with felony voter fraud. Watkins faces three felony charges and one misdemeanor following an investigation into allegations he illegally voted in a Topeka election in 2019; he has denied wrongdoing. Read More…
An unmarked police vehicle was set ablaze Wednesday afternoon next to the Supreme Court, and a badly burned suspect was taken to the hospital. A man poured an accelerant over the vehicle on Maryland Avenue near First Street Northeast and set fire to it, a high court spokeswoman said. Read More…
Please answer the phone (or text), this is the Democratic Party calling
The Democratic National Committee is using large-scale data on voters, including a collection of millions of cellphone numbers, and applying data science techniques to refine how the party reaches out and digitally knocks on voters’ doors this fall. Read More…
Click here to subscribe to Fintech Beat for the latest market and regulatory developmentsin finance and financial technology.
Trump’s move on key environment law feeds Democrats’ strategy
With an eye on the November elections, top Democrats are ramping up criticism of President Donald Trump’s deregulatory environmental agenda, including his move Wednesday to weaken a bedrock environmental law from the 1970s. Read More…
Negotiators seem open to trade-offs for coronavirus relief deal
As Congress finds itself two weeks away from unemployment benefits expiring and the annual August recess in the balance, lawmakers are signaling openness to concessions on issues that could otherwise stand in the way of a bipartisan coronavirus relief deal. Read More…
Burger King figured out how to work safely during the pandemic. Why can’t Congress?
OPINION — No one said being a member of Congress would be easy. But if Burger King can figure out how to safely hand you a meal while protecting employees and customers, surely the House of Representatives can figure out how to safely conduct the people’s business in person, as intended by the Constitution. Read More…
Butterfield wants Pelosi to require masks on the House floor [Watch]
Rep. G.K. Butterfield has asked Speaker Nancy Pelosi to change the rules of the House floor so that all members and staff on the floor are required to wear a mask. The House returns for legislative sessions next week. Read More…
CQ Roll Call is a part of FiscalNote, the leading technology innovator at the intersection of global business and government. Copyright 2020 CQ Roll Call. All rights reserved Privacy | Safely unsubscribe now.
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POLITICO PLAYBOOK
POLITICO Playbook: What Parscale’s ouster means, and what it doesn’t
DRIVING THE DAY
PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP’S decision to replace BRAD PARSCALE as campaign manager is, at once, probably the most meaningful and meaningless move he can make.
— IT’S MEANINGFUL because PARSCALE was like the back of a shoe that keeps rubbing your ankle the wrong way — it just needs to be changed. He had been part of a single winning race — TRUMP’S 2016 presidential bid. BILL STEPIEN, the new campaign manager, is a seasoned hand who understands politics from more than just one experience.
— WHY IS IT MEANINGLESS? PARSCALE isn’t really the problem. TRUMP doesn’t listen to political advisers. He is still acting like he’s in the lead; the people around him tell him that polls will turn around once they define JOE BIDEN, who has been in public life for five decades; and he refuses to accept the reality that this campaign will not be waged like the last — he’s running against a much less unpopular figure than HILLARY CLINTON, and will have to adapt to the limitations of running in the era of Covid.
IN SHORT — this was the least surprising news of the week, yet its full impact depends on whether the president wants to accept the realities around him. JARED KUSHNER runs this campaign, and above him, there’s TRUMP. So the campaign manager is but a figurehead.
— ALEX ISENSTADT: “Trump began informing advisers of the shakeup Wednesday before making the announcement official. Replacing Parscale had been under consideration for about a month prior to Wednesday’s announcement, people close to the president said.”
— NYT’S MAGGIE HABERMAN: “Mr. Kushner, in a brief interview, described both Mr. Parscale and Mr. Stepien — both of whom he hired — as key pieces of the 2016 campaign as well as the current one. Mr. Parscale was a digital adviser in 2016. Mr. Stepien, who had been a top political adviser to Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, joined as the Trump campaign’s national field director in August 2016. …
“[F]or over a year, Mr. Parscale has been the focus of intense scrutiny and news coverage about his operation and whether he was making an outsize amount of money from the campaign. Those articles have focused attention on his purchases of property and cars in Florida, where he lives, and became a source of irritation for the president, who saw them as a distraction. Mr. Parscale was also visible in ways that campaign managers typically aren’t, appearing in a campaign ad and having his name listed on fund-raising events.”
— WAPO, via JOSH DAWSEY and MICHAEL SCHERER: “Stepien faces a difficult challenge as Parscale’s replacement working for a president who has regularly disregarded campaign advisers’ recommendations and has seen his approval numbers fall because of his handling of the coronavirus outbreak and racial unrest across the country. Stepien is expected to conduct an analysis of the campaign and could make changes in the coming weeks, according to people close to the campaign.”
TO WIT … WSJ’S ANDREW RESTUCCIA: “Less than four months before the November election, 51% of voters said they would vote for Mr. Biden if the election were held today, with 40% backing Mr. Trump. Mr. Biden’s lead over the president rose to 11 percentage points from 7 percentage points last month, as both candidates saw growth in the share of voters who view them very negatively.”
TWO NUGGETS that are illustrative of the political climate:
— WE GOT OUR HANDS ON AN INTERNAL REPUBLICAN POLL of Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, the suburban and exurban Philly seat that Rep. BRIAN FITZPATRICK (R-Pa.) represents. The lines of the district changed in 2018, but had it been a district in 2016, CLINTON would’ve won it by 2 points. But BIDEN is trouncing TRUMP, 51% to 42%, according to this poll, which was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies. That’s a big, big margin and a big slide for TRUMP, which illustrates the difference between CLINTON and BIDEN. Republicans involved with 2020 say that TRUMP IS GENERALLY PERFORMING 7 POINTS worse than his 2016 number.
FITZPATRICK, meanwhile, is up in this poll 53% to 39% over CHRISTINA FINELLO, the Democrat. (Surely a LOT of the congressional race will depend on where TRUMP’S numbers land.) The memo
— HOUSE MAJORITY FORWARD, the nonprofit linked with House Majority PAC, which supports House Democrats, is going up with $4 million in ads in 20 districts — a big bump from their previous high watermark of a $2.2 million ad buy. The ads are aimed at boosting Democrats who voted yes on the Dem infrastructure bill — and blasting Republicans who voted no. An ad criticizing GOP Rep. Mike Garcia … An ad praising Rep. Lauren Underwood (D-Ill.) and Rep. Abby Finkenauer (D-Iowa) and Rep. Max Rose (D-N.Y.) … Full district list
Good Thursday morning.
FROM 30K FEET — “As the coronavirus crisis spins out of control, Trump issues directives — but still no clear plan,” by WaPo’s Phil Rucker, Yasmeen Abutaleb and Ashley Parker: “President Trump has vowed that the nation’s schools must reopen for the fall semester, but neither he nor his administration has detailed a plan for how to do so safely.
“Trump has boasted that the United States leads the world in coronavirus testing, yet he has declined to produce a national testing plan, and in many communities tests can take a week or longer to process, rendering their results all but useless in slowing the spread.
“And with case numbers spiking from coast to coast and fears mounting of additional outbreaks this fall and winter, Trump’s most clearly articulated plan to end the covid-19 pandemic is to predict the virus will ‘just disappear’ and to bank on a vaccine being ready ‘very, very soon.’
“While most developed countries have managed to control the coronavirus crisis, the United States under Trump continues to spiral out of control, according to public health experts, with 3.3 million Americans infected and more than 133,000 dead.”
WSJ ED BOARD: “Trump’s Virus Non-Message: The Navarro-Fauci spat adds to the perception of dysfunction”: “The point is not that Dr. [Anthony] Fauci has been right about everything—the now-reversed early guidance against masks, in particular, hurt public confidence in health experts. Nor should the doctor set virus policy, which is up to elected representatives. The problem is that the White House seems to have given up on projecting any consistent virus message, and the descent into internal sniping amplifies a perception of dysfunction that is politically damaging.
“The media are propagating the view that the U.S. is a coronavirus basket case. In fact, the per-capita death rate remains lower than that of some major countries in Western Europe. A more significant reason voters are souring on Mr. Trump’s virus management is his unwillingness to be candid or consistent about the disease’s likely toll. …
“This is a mess, and if it continues Republicans will be routed in November. Leaning into a culture war against experts won’t win undecided voters. Americans want a realistic assessment, which is that infections are not going to be eliminated in the U.S. in the immediate future but that does not justify the public-health and economic harm of indefinite lockdowns. If the Administration had said that there would likely be virus flare-ups in parts of the country amid reopenings and civil unrest, fewer Americans would have been caught by surprise.”
CLICKER … FAUCI in INSTYLE MAGAZINE, with a photo of him with sunglasses on, sitting poolside … “Dr. Fauci Says, ‘With All Due Modesty, I Think I’m Pretty Effective.’” by CBS’ Norah O’Donnell
FRONTS: NYT … N.Y. POST, with a photo of a bloodied NYPD officer and the headline “BLUE BLOOD”
DRIVING TODAY: Speaker NANCY PELOSI will hold her weekly presser at 10:45 a.m. … House Minority Leader KEVIN MCCARTHY is holding his presser on the phone at noon.
COVID RELIEF STATE OF PLAY STORY … MARIANNE LEVINE, HEATHER CAYGLE and JOHN BRESNAHAN: “Pelosi and McConnell hurtling toward coronavirus relief showdown”
TO REVIEW: If you’re tracking the Covid relief bill, expect a lot of turbulence in the coming weeks. Right now, the two sides are in totally different places. The GOP wants to condition money to schools reopening, Dems say no way. Republicans want to cut away at enhanced unemployment, Dems want to extend it. Democrats want a healthy state and local funding program, Republicans are skeptical. Republicans and Democrats disagree on liability overhaul. So, in short, everything is up in the air.
MEANWHILE, THE VIRUS CONTINUES TO RAGE …
— NYT: “As U.S. Coronavirus Cases Hit 3.5 Million, Officials Scramble to Add Restrictions”: “The United States on Wednesday reported more than 67,300 new infections across the country, according to a New York Times database. It was the nation’s second-highest single-day total and roughly 1,000 cases shy of the record set last week.
“The U.S. outbreak, which has increased in 41 states over the past two weeks, hit 3.5 million total infections on Wednesday, the Times’s database shows. Alabama and Idaho set single-day death records, and officials in Arizona announced 101 deaths, tying that state’s daily record.”
— WAPO: “Mask mandates catch on as states, businesses try to bypass a toxic debate,” by Griff Witte: “They have emerged as an unlikely symbol of partisan divide and a source of bottomless derision for President Trump. But masks on Wednesday moved ever closer to becoming a new national reality in America’s pandemic-scarred life, with businesses, states and health experts preaching their promise as the country’s last line of defense against a fast-growing viral threat.
“Even as the White House continued to resist pushing for a national mask mandate, evidence abounded that face coverings were becoming a de facto requirement — and not only in big cities where they have been in widespread use for months.”
A LOYALTY TEST? — “Hundreds of Trump appointees face a pre-election test,” by Dan Diamond, Daniel Lippman and Nancy Cook: “In the middle of a devastating pandemic and searing economic crisis, the White House has an urgent question for its colleagues across the administration: Are you loyal enough to President Donald Trump?
“The White House’s presidential personnel office is conducting one-on-one interviews with health officials and hundreds of other political appointees across federal agencies, an exercise some of the subjects have called ‘loyalty tests’ to root out threats of leaks and other potentially subversive acts just months before the election, according to interviews with 15 current and former senior administration officials.
“The interviews are being arranged with officials across a wide range of departments including Health and Human Services, Defense, Treasury, Labor and Commerce and include the top tier of Trump aides — Senate-confirmed appointees. Officials are expected to detail their career goals and thoughts on current policies, said more than a dozen people across the administration with knowledge of the meetings.
“White House officials have said that the interviews are a necessary exercise to determine who would be willing to serve in a second term if President Donald Trump is reelected. But officials summoned for the interviews say the exercise is distracting from numerous policy priorities, like working to fight the pandemic, revitalizing the economy or overhauling regulations, and instead reflect the White House’s conviction that a ‘deep state’ is working to undermine the president.” POLITICO
SWIMMINGLY IN SILICON VALLEY — “Massive hack seizes Twitter accounts belonging to Obama, Biden and others,” by Eric Geller and Matthew Choi: “Unknown hackers plunged Twitter into chaos on Wednesday evening, commandeering the accounts of high-profile politicians and other famous figures in a massive breach that forced the social network to severely curtail access and disrupted everything from news coverage to government tornado warnings.
“The fraudulent tweets sent from the accounts of high-profile figures such as former President Barack Obama, presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, former Microsoft CEO Bill Gates and rapper Kanye West asked people to send Bitcoin contributions to a mysterious address, with promises of doubling them. In a number of cases, the hackers pinned the tweets to the top of victims’ accounts, raising their visibility.
“In occasional updates throughout the evening, Twitter said it was investigating the breaches but did not explain what was happening. The company disabled verified Twitter users’ ability to tweet and modify their accounts, severing a key communications mechanism for businesses, journalists, politicians and other prominent people and organizations.” POLITICO
NYT, A15 … ELAINA PLOTT in Mobile, Ala., and JEREMY PETERS: “In Alabama, Can Doug Jones Fend Off Tommy Tuberville and Trump?”: “On Tuesday evening, addressing supporters and the news media after his runaway victory in the Alabama Senate Republican primary, Tommy Tuberville wasted no time in pivoting toward his general-election opponent this fall, Senator Doug Jones. In Mr. Jones’s Alabama, he said, ‘You don’t work for the United States of America — you spend your first three years trying to impeach the best president we’ve ever had. And he voted to impeach him!’
“As for how Mr. Tuberville will try to frame the race against the Democratic incumbent in the months to come, his message is unlikely to get more complicated than that. …
“But Mr. Jones has managed to navigate the in-between realm where he is both a loyal Democrat and someone who has no problems boasting that working with Republicans and the president is often in Alabama’s interest. In an interview on Wednesday, he name-dropped the state’s senior senator, Richard Shelby, as someone whose record of representing Alabama in Washington he has tried to emulate, and pointed to the 17 bills he sponsored that Mr. Trump has signed into law.
“‘I have the luxury of telling people in Alabama, “Look, I’m going to be for President Trump on issues that are good for Alabama, and I’ve done that,”’ Mr. Jones said ‘But on the other hand, I’m going to speak out when he’s doing things that are not good for Alabama.’”
TRUMP’S THURSDAY — The president will receive an intel briefing at 11:45 a.m. in the Oval Office. He will deliver remarks on deregulation at 4 p.m. on the South Lawn.
PLAYBOOK READS
POLITICO GETS RESULTS … DAN DIAMOND and ADAM CANCRYN: “Inspector general: Medicare chief broke rules on her publicity contracts”: “A top Trump administration health official violated federal contracting rules by steering millions of taxpayer dollars in contracts that ultimately benefited GOP-aligned communications consultants, according to an inspector general report set to be released today.
“The contracts, which were directed by Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services chief Seema Verma, were only halted after a POLITICO investigation raised questions about their legality and the agency had paid out more than $5 million to the contractors.
“The 70-page HHS inspector general report — the result of a 15-month audit — calls on HHS and CMS to take nine separate actions to address the ‘significant deficiencies’ that it identified. Those actions include conducting a review of all the department’s contracts, and making a closer examination of whether CMS overpaid several of its contractors.
“The report paints a detailed portrait of Verma’s use of federal contracts to install allies who managed high-priority projects and exercised broad authority within CMS, while circumventing the agency’s career officials and funding projects that ethics experts have said wasted taxpayers’ money.” POLITICO … The original story
THE VACCINE RACE — “China firm uses workers to ‘pre-test’ vaccine in global race,” by AP’s Sam McNeil and Lauran Neergard in Beijing: “In the global race to make a coronavirus vaccine, a state-owned Chinese company is boasting that its employees, including top executives, received experimental shots even before the government approved testing in people.
“‘Giving a helping hand in forging the sword of victory,’ reads an online post from SinoPharm with pictures of workers it says helped ‘pre-test’ its vaccine. Whether it’s viewed as heroic sacrifice or a violation of international ethical norms, the claim underscores the enormous stakes as China competes with U.S. and British companies to be the first with a vaccine to help end the pandemic — a feat that would be both a scientific and political triumph.” AP
BUSINESS BURST — “American Airlines Plans to Furlough Up to 25,000 Workers This Fall,” by WSJ’s Alison Sider: “American Airlines Group Inc. told 25,000 workers that their jobs are at risk after federal aid expires Oct. 1, as air-travel demand falls again amid climbing coronavirus case numbers.
“The pandemic has caused a rout for air travel deeper and more persistent than almost anyone anticipated. Executives expect it could take years for travel demand to return to its 2019 highs. Meanwhile, airlines are grappling with how deeply to make cuts to hold on to enough cash to survive. United Airlines Group Inc. said last week it would send such notices to 36,000 employees—close to half its U.S. staff.
“American said in a letter to employees Wednesday that it expects to have 20,000 more employees than it needs this fall. The Fort Worth, Texas-based carrier sent notices for potential furlough to 25,000 of its employees as stipulated by federal labor laws. The figure includes airport and technical operations workers who could be shifted to other locations, the airline said.” WSJ
MEDIAWATCH — USA Today has appended an editor’s note disavowing the Peter Navarro attack on Fauci it solicited.
— “DOJ greenlights Liberty Media’s proposed increased stake in iHeartMedia,” by Leah Nylen: “The Justice Department has greenlit a bid by Liberty Media to increase its stake in iHeartMedia, owner of the country’s largest network of broadcast stations — a deal that would expand the radio market dominance of a company that already controls Sirius XM and Pandora.
“The deal approved by antitrust prosecutors Wednesday would allow Liberty to increase its shares in iHeartMedia up to 50 percent. Liberty currently has a 5 percent stake in iHeartMedia, which owns more than 850 AM and FM radio stations and the streaming service iHeartRadio, the world’s top commercial publisher of podcasts.” POLITICO
PLAYBOOKERS
Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.
TRANSITIONS — Flavia Colangelo is now director of campaign strategy at GQR. She previously was an associate director of campaigns and advocacy at APCO Worldwide in D.C. … Eric Salama and Karen van Bergen are joining Morning Consult’s board of directors. Salama is a senior fellow at Harvard’s Kennedy School and former CEO of Kantar. Van Bergen is dean of Omnicom University and former CEO of Omnicom Public Relations Group.
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Amanda Henneberg, COO of Cavalry. A trend she thinks doesn’t get enough attention: “Prior to coronavirus, the number of international adoptions has plummeted from the 1990s. It isn’t because of a huge decrease in the number of orphans globally. In an effort to combat child trafficking, the international community has made it nearly impossible for developing countries to afford to meet the standards. Something that might have started with good intentions has had an unfortunate negative impact — leaving children to remain in orphanages instead of being able to join families who are ready, willing and wanting to adopt.” Playbook Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Rep. Barbara Lee (D-Calif.) is 74 … Rep. Tim Ryan (D-Ohio) is 47 … Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Ala.) is 62 … Rep. Jim Banks (R-Ind.) is 41 … Rep. Ross Spano (R-Fla.) is 54 … FERC Chairman Neil Chatterjee is 43 (h/t Lindsee Gentry) … NYT’s Shane Goldmacher … Ben Tracy, CBS News White House correspondent (h/t Fin Gomez) … Maddie Conway … Randy DeCleene, a partner at kglobal … Chad Griffin is 47 … Stami Williams … Julie Tagen, COS for Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) (h/t Mitchell Rivard) … Chad Carlough … Anita McBride … Scott Melville, president and CEO of the Consumer Healthcare Products Association … Sarah Hasse, assistant press secretary for the Trump campaign, is 23 (h/t Jalen Drummond) … former A.G. Dick Thornburgh is 88 … Marisol Samayoa, deputy comms director and Hispanic media adviser for Mark Kelly’s Senate campaign, is 27 (h/t Manuel Bonder) … Karin Johanson (h/t Jon Haber) … former Labor Secretary Alexis Herman is 73 … Jeffrey Slavin … Kamyl Bazbaz (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) …
… Riley Roberts, freelance speechwriter … Kathy Calvin … Betty Hudson … AMA’s Justin DeJong … Rick Limardo … Don Willett, judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit, is 54 … Jeremy Martin … Jennifer Cummings, senior director for comms at Business Roundtable … Amanda Belcher … Andy Bromberg, president of CoinList … Zach Sentementes, senior director at Advanced Advocacy … POLITICO’s Kalon Makle … Chris McNulty is 5-0 … Andrea Fischer Newman … Charles O’Shea … James “Jake” Lemonda is 63 … John Leovy … Sheel Tyle … Amanda Moug … POLITICO Europe’s Guillaume Blandet and Fleur Veldhuijzen Van Zanten … Tim Krause … Matt Zingsheim … Molly Ritner … Amanda Hallberg Greenwell … Phil Roeder … Neil Heinen … Ramsey Ratcliffe Stewart … Joe Ward … Manuel Bonilla … ABC News’ Teri Whitcraft … Michael Cwidak-Kusbach is 35 … Lila Ibrahim Whatley … Caroline Hughes Stevens … Stephen David Simon … Dan Cohen … Claire E. Peters … Doug Feith is 67
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AMERICAN MINUTE
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CAFFEINATED THOUGHTS
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CONSERVATIVE DAILY NEWS
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PJ MEDIA
The Morning Briefing: Shed No Tears As the Final Nail Gets Driven Into American Journalism’s Coffin
RIP American Journalism
No tissues required for this one. I’m going to expand upon something from yesterday’s Briefing. Tyler had written about Bari Weiss leaving The New York Times and revealing just how leftist and toxic things have become at the Gray Lady. I referred to the accelerated purge of centrist and right-leaning voices at the Times as “journalism’s death rattle.”
It’s a day later and I think I’m ready to declare the patient dead.
I’m talking about the mainstream media outlets here: the major newspapers, the broadcast news networks, and the cable networks MSNBC and CNN. The people who still have by far the largest reach and could do the most good by doing real journalism.
It would be wonderful to be optimistic enough to believe that responsible journalism will one day make a comeback in the United States of America. A truly independent and curious press that speaks truth to power is important. Hardcore investigative journalism makes corrupt bureaucrats sweat and stay up at night. Sadly, we haven’t had much of that here for decades.
During our weekly VIP Gold Live chat, Stephen Green, Bryan Preston, and I were discussing the fact that some of the only places that real journalism has been found in recent years have been the big city weekly newspapers. The journalists working for them do some hard-hitting work at the municipal level. Unfortunately, the weeklies are drying up at an even faster rate than the major daily papers.
What we have endured at least since the Kennedy administration (I haven’t checked much beyond that) is a bunch of leftist, state-directed propagandists who insist that they are doing serious journalism. They can call themselves journalists all they want and it doesn’t make it so. I can refer to myself as an NBA power forward all day, every day and I still won’t be able to dunk.
As I have often written, the greatest thing about watching President Trump work since he got into office is the way he treats the the thoroughly corrupt faux journalism types. Until Trump arrived on the scene, most elected Republicans rolled over for the press no matter how badly they were being savaged in the name of “journalism.” The notable exceptions prior to Trump were Newt Gingrich and Ronald Reagan.
So that’s three in 60 years.
Trump’s masterful handling of the CNN hacks and their shamelessly awful colleagues at other outlets in the coastal media bubbles is political entertainment at its finest, but it isn’t going to make these statist cretins change. It would be nice to think that he could shame them into doing some real journalism again, but they’re all so far removed from the real thing that they’ll never find their way back.
Journalism schools aren’t turning out real journalists either, so there is no hope there. As we are all painfully aware, academia is a cesspool of socialist cranks who are just there to produce more of the same. Sure, the kids think they are learning journalism skills, but they’re merely being taught to professionally regurgitate liberal talking points for the DNC and their ilk, while being provided cover by the likes of the Washington Post.
There are many things that hang in the balance that will be decided by this upcoming election but the fate of journalism won’t be one. If Trump wins, they’ll continue being the opposition’s propaganda arm. If Crazy Joe the Wonder Veep does the unthinkable, they’ll relax a bit then find a new Republican to call a racist Nazi. We can at least take comfort in the fact that Trump exposed them in ways that no one else has been able to. They can pretend to be journalists inside their bubbles, but regular Americans have seen what they really are.
I’ll always tell you the truth, of course. But I’m not a journalist. I’m just a biased, bomb-throwing opinion writer.
For as long as you and the Constitution will let me do it.
Full Katie Pavlich Interview With President Trump
My Townhall Media colleague (and fellow University of Arizona Wildcat) Katie Pavlich interviewed President Trump on Tuesday. We had a couple of clips in yesterday’s Briefing. Here is the entire thing, dear readers.
Excellent
Because They Need Extra Money and Stuff
PJM Linktank
Joe Biden, Barack Obama, Kanye, Elon Musk, Hacked in Twitter Bitcoin Scam
Witch Hunt? Columbus Wants to Boot Police With Ties to ‘Hate Groups,’ Relying on the SPLC…
Let Portland burn. Portland Anarchists Form Another Autonomous Zone Downtown. Will This One Hold?
There was in 2016. Is There a ‘Secret Trump Vote’ That Will Carry the President to Victory?
Trump Ends ‘Special Treatment’ of Hong Kong and Announces Other Sanctions
I’m still telling pollsters he’s who I’m voting for. Kanye West Drops Out of 2020 Race
Protesters in Kentucky Charged With Trying to Intimidate the Attorney General
Administration Rescinds Restrictions on Foreign Students Who Only Take Online Courses
Museum Curator Resigns After Saying He Would Still Collect Art From White Men
America’s Worst Mayor Bill de Blasio Needs to Reinstate the Plainclothes Anti-Crime Units Now
VodkaPundit: Insanity Wrap #6: Welcome to the Light Side, Jake Tapper
Hizballah Turns the Capital of Lebanon into a Human Shield
Hagia Sophia: Muslim Fiction vs Documented Fact
Where Are the Clergy of Courage?
VodkaPundit, Part Deux: Democrats Go Nasty on Tuberville in First Minutes of Alabama Senate Race
Why Does Black Anti-Semitism Get a Pass? Kareem Abdul-Jabbar Wants to Know
When the Young Toppled the Old and Reset the Clock to Zero: ‘The Killing Fields’
Green Activists Fuel China’s Dominance in a Sector Critical to the U.S. Economy and Green Energy
VIP
The Generational Crisis Behind Cancel Culture
VIP Gold
Live Chat with VodkaPundit, Kruiser, and Bryan Preston – Replay Available
New Jersey’s Gun Laws Haven’t Prevented A Spike In Shootings
Schlichter: Masks And Other Madness
From the Mothership and Beyond
No. Just no. ‘Fletch’ Modern-Day Reboot In Works With Jon Hamm & Miramax
Man Released Due To COVID-19 Allegedly Responsible For Cookout Shooting
Also, unicorns. Of Course: Left Now Blaming The Spike In Crime On Gun Sales
UK Government Blasted For Racist Weapons Policy
She Vowed To Protect The 2A. Now’s She’s Hired A Veteran Gun Control Activist.
Using “Contact Tracing” For Gun Control
Understand the Cons of Living Abroad Before You Move
Leo Terrell Reveals What Caused Him to Leave the Democratic Party
About freakin’ time. BREAKING: Trump Announces a Shake Up to His Campaign
‘Trump Narrows the Gap’: Latest Rasmussen Poll Shows Trump Traction
OK. Berkeley Bans Police-Conducted Traffic Stops, Will Send in Unarmed Civilians
New Details About Naya Rivera’s Tragic Death
Did a Washington Post Writer Really Go There Regarding News of OK GOV Testing Positive for COVID?
ICYMI: The Whole PC Fiasco over Lady Antebellum’s Name Change Has Become More of a Train Wreck
Attorney General Barr Details How DOJ is Taking Down MS-13 Nationwide
MSNBC Host Will Face Libel Suit After Smearing a Trump Supporter on Twitter
‘A Historic Breakthrough:’ POTUS Touts Infrastructure In Visit To Georgia
NYPD Officers Attacked on Brooklyn Bridge
Defund. Smithsonian Museum Lectures Visitors on ‘Whiteness’ in Stunningly Racist Manifesto
WSJ Torches the Overblown COVID Hysteria About the Dangers of Reopening Schools
Sweet Revenge: Former White House Physician Wins GOP Primary Race
The Effort To Cancel Academic Steven Pinker Isn’t Going Well
John McWhorter: White Fragility Is A ‘Racist Tract’
NASA Doesn’t Want Any Alien Plagues Contaminating Our Planet
Could The George Floyd Body Cam Footage Really Change The Case?
Bill And Ted Hand Out Masks In Huntington Beach, CA
Lock her up. Ilhan Omar Has Now Paid Her Husband’s ‘Firm’ Over $1 Million In Corrupt Scheme
George Conway and His Jealous, Deranged Lincoln Project Buds Are Making Bank Off Their ScamPAC
It’s Time To Accept It: Susan Rice Will Never Admit Obama Admin Spied On Trump Campaign
Twitter reveals that its own employee tools contributed to unprecedented hack
Irreversible Damage: the trans threat to girls
The Internet’s Greatest Archive of Food History Needs a New Curator
Bee Me
My vision of Hell.
The Kruiser Kabana
Wake up time.
Gonna fill a pool with whipped cream and disappear for a while.
___
Kruiser Twitter
Kruiser Facebook
PJ Media Senior Columnist and Associate Editor Stephen Kruiser is the author of “Don’t Let the Hippies Shower” and “Straight Outta Feelings: Political Zen in the Age of Outrage,” both of which address serious subjects in a humorous way. Monday through Friday he edits PJ Media’s “Morning Briefing.” His columns appear twice a week.
WHITE HOUSE DOSSIER
THE DISPATCH
The Morning Dispatch: Hopeful News on the Vaccine Front
Plus, we’re getting a peek at Joe Biden’s potential legislative agenda.
The Dispatch Staff | 1 hr | 1 |
Happy Thursday! The Dispatch’s first-rate fact checker, Alec Dent, not only published two Dispatch Fact Checks yesterday (and had a third featured in White House trade adviser Peter Navarro’s bizarre USA Today op-ed attacking Dr. Anthony Fauci), but he “went viral” for the very first time, racking up more than 30,000 likes on his tweet about the coordinated Twitter hacks yesterday.
A reminder: This is the version of TMD available to non-paying readers. We’re happy you’ve made The Dispatch part of your morning routine, and we hope you’re enjoying The Morning Dispatch and the rest of our free editorial offerings. If you do, we hope you’ll consider joining us as a paying member. In addition to the full version of TMD each day, you’ll get extra editions of French Press, the G-File, Vital Interests, and our other paid products. And members can engage with the authors and with one another in the discussion threads at the end of each of our articles and newsletters. If this appeals to you, we hope you’ll please join now.
Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories
- As of Wednesday night, 3,499,291 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in the United States (an increase of 67,717 from yesterday) and 137,419 deaths have been attributed to the virus (an increase of 953 from yesterday), according to the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard, leading to a mortality rate among confirmed cases of 3.9 percent (the true mortality rate is likely much lower, between 0.4 percent and 1.4 percent, but it’s impossible to determine precisely due to incomplete testing regimens). Of 42,521,027 coronavirus tests conducted in the United States (756,470 conducted since yesterday), 8.2 percent have come back positive.
- Several large national retailers, including Walmart and grocery giant Kroger, are beginning to require customers to wear masks to shop in their stores nationwide.
- A pair of new national presidential polls bring grim news for President Trump: A new Quinnipiac poll shows Joe Biden with a 15-point lead over the incumbent, 52-37 percent, while the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey gives Biden an 11-point edge, 51-40 percent. Biden’s lead now stands at just more than 9 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.
- Perhaps related to the last bullet point, Trump moved Wednesday to shake up his campaign staff, promoting Bill Stepien to replace longtime top staffer Brad Parscale as campaign manager.
- Despite ongoing violence from the Taliban, the U.S. is pressing forward with its plan to withdraw forces from Afghanistan, with the Pentagon announcing Tuesday that U.S. troops have withdrawn from five bases that are now in the hands of Afghan forces.
- Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who was hospitalized for the second time this year with a possible infection, was discharged and sent home Wednesday.
- After not endorsing either presidential candidate in 2016, the National Association of Police Organizations—which represents over 240,000 officers nationwide—announced its backing of Donald Trump’s re-election on Wednesday. The organization had endorsed Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012.
- Dr. Anthony Fauci pushed back against recent attacks on his reliability that have come out of the White House in recent days, telling The Atlantic, “when the staff lets out something like that and the entire scientific and press community push back on it, it ultimately hurts the president.”
Coronavirus Vaccine on Track for Further Development
From a deadly pandemic to a lockdown-induced recession, 2020 has been a seven-months-long whirlwind of black swan events and public health hysteria. But the world finally got a shred of good news this week: A study showed that biotech company Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine “induced anti–SARS-CoV-2 immune responses in all participants, and no trial-limiting safety concerns were identified.” Moderna is scheduled to begin a Phase 3 trial with 30,000 patients on July 27, meaning the vaccine is well on its way to regulatory approval.
Phase 1 of the study—which was conducted by the National Institutes of Health—tested 45 healthy young adults in 15-person dose groups and successfully induced an immune response in all participants. According to the study, the vaccine prompted only mild side effects among volunteers, including “fatigue, chills, headache, myalgia, and pain at the injection site.” The vaccine was administered in two doses, which participants received 28 days apart. Phase 3 will expand testing to at-risk individuals and will mark the world’s largest COVID-19 vaccine trial to date.
Preliminary phases of clinical vaccine trials are intended to test the concentration of neutralizing antibodies—also known as titers—in the bloodstream. While Moderna’s vaccine successfully produced this immune reaction in all participants at levels comparable to those found in people who recovered from COVID-19, it’s still too early to say whether this response is predictive of protection from COVID-19.
What Would a President Joe Biden Actually Do?
As President Trump publicly self-destructs on the national stage—the new Quinnipiac University poll released yesterday showing him trailing Joe Biden by 15 point puts Trump’s job approval rating at a dismal 36 percent—the Biden campaign has made the politically savvy decision to maintain a low profile. The gaffe-prone former vice president has remained largely out of sight, so as to keep the spotlight on Trump’s antics, which are proving increasingly unpopular with the American electorate.
But the Biden campaign has quietly rolled out significant components of its policy agenda in recent weeks, giving shape to a picture of what a Biden administration might look like.
In the past week alone, the Biden campaign has released a major $2 trillion climate change plan, a coronavirus recovery agenda, and a surprisingly populist “America First”-style economic platform.
Worth Your Time
- In recent days, we’ve talked a lot about the Bostock LGBT discrimination ruling and Our Lady of Guadalupe “ministerial exception” ruling handed down by the Supreme Court at the end of their term. Over at National Review, John McCormack has a great new piece sketching out what the intersection between the two cases is likely to mean for religious liberty in the years ahead.
- “You know the five stages of grief—denial, anger, bargaining, depression, acceptance?” Dr. Emily Landon asks the New York Times’s Donald McNeil Jr. “I think the American people are in all five of them—but different parts of the country are in different stages.” The piece doubles as a meditation on how some of us have simply become inured to the reality of the pandemic and a historical dive into just how much better the world is at fighting disease now than it was just a century or two ago. Things are bad, but they sure could be worse.
- Here’s a really wild one: over the last few months, Bloomberg’s Max Abelson has conducted a number of interviews with one of America’s richest men (although which billionaire exactly we’re talking about remains anonymous). Now, he’s given us a sort of ghostwritten journal of what experiencing the pandemic has been like from the perspective of the ultrawealthy. It’s well worth your time to read.
Presented Without Comment
Toeing the Company Line
- With Jonah off gallivanting around the Great White North, Andrew joined Sarah, David, and Steve for yesterday’s edition of The Dispatch Podcast to discuss the White House’s bad blood over Anthony Fauci, Bari Weiss’ resignation at the New York Times, cancel culture, and what the current state of the pandemic means for school reopenings next month. (There’s also some very spirited debate about french fries in there.) Give it a listen here or wherever you get your podcasts.
- Fortunately, Jonah did find time to fire off his midweek G-File (🔒), and it’s an extremely interesting one, digging into how moving all our discourse onto the internet has altered the sorts of actual change we actually strive for: “Just imagine if someone said right after the George Floyd killing, ‘Well, the Redskins are going to have to change their name now!’ Or even, ‘Bari Weiss’s days at the Times are numbered.’ Our political passions are pursuing the path of least resistance—the stuff that’s easy to change.”
- In this week’s Vital Interests (🔒), Tom Joscelyn does what he does best: Gets us up to speed on developments and looming threats that don’t get the day-to-day attention they deserve. This week, he digs into the worrisome growing chumminess between two of our most important global adversaries: China and Russia. “Xi and Putin share a deep-seated animosity for what was once thought of as the American-led world order,” he writes. “They see it as a threat to their countries’ efforts to achieve great power status and, just as importantly, their authoritarian ambitions. And during their call earlier this month, the two autocrats made it clear that they intend to use international institutions to counter American influence.”
- Key provisions of the CARES Act—expanded unemployment benefits, the Paycheck Protection Program, the eviction moratorium—are set to expire in the coming weeks, but unemployment remains at levels unseen since the Great Depression, more than one million Americans have filed jobless claims for 16 straight weeks, and the economy is projected to contract in 2020 by more than at any point since World War II. Declan talked to economists to help explain the moment we’re in, and senators to get a handle on what Congress might actually do about it when they return from recess next week. Spoiler: It won’t come close to in dollars to the $3 trillion package House Democrats passed back in May.
- Nate Hochman makes the case for offering refuge to those who want to leave Hong Kong in the wake of a harsh new “national security” law that upends the freedoms that residents have enjoyed since the handover from Great Britain in 1997. For one, it’s the right thing to do. For another, if we don’t, other countries will reap the economic benefits.
Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Sarah Isgur (@whignewtons), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Audrey Fahlberg (@FahlOutBerg), Nate Hochman (@njhochman), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).
Photograph by David L. Ryan/Boston Globe/Getty Images.
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AMERICAN THINKER
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LARRY J. SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL
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KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— The Constitution divides the Senate into three “classes” that face the voters on six-year cycles. Under today’s political dynamics, the class that faced the voters in 2018 was favorable to the Republicans, while the class that faces the voters in 2020 is favorable to the Democrats. — What about the class that faces the voters in 2022? Our analysis shows that this class is also favorable to the Democrats. — If the Democrats manage to seize the Senate majority in 2020, the relatively pro-Democratic map in 2022 could insulate the party somewhat if Joe Biden is elected president and a midterm backlash benefiting the GOP emerges. — The Democrats will need to run up the score in the Senate in both 2020 and 2022 if they are going to keep the majority past the 2024 elections, when the Republicans benefit from an extremely favorable map for their party. The Senate math, 2020-2024As the nation gears up for a highly competitive cluster of Senate elections in 2020 — with handicappers rating as many as 10 seats competitive between the parties this fall — it may seem a little crazy to start focusing on the Senate races that will be on the ballot in 2022. But doing so can provide some valuable context about the longer-term partisan balance in the Senate. As outlined by the Constitution, the Senate is divided into three roughly equal groups, with one of those groups facing elections each cycle. Class II, as it’s known, faces the voters in 2020. Class III faces voters in 2022. And Class I, having just been elected in 2018, will not face the voters again until 2024. (Special elections to fill vacancies can temporarily add to the elections for a given class.) In recent decades, the partisan leanings of these groups have tended to diverge, putting one party or the other on the defensive each election cycle. Class I has become the Democrats’ most problematic class. For one thing, it currently includes 23 Democratic incumbents (if you count Independent Sens. Angus King of Maine and Bernie Sanders of Vermont), compared to just 10 for the Republicans. And even after losing seats in Florida, Indiana, Missouri, and North Dakota in the 2018 elections, the Democrats will still need to defend seats in 2024 in such solidly red states as Montana and West Virginia, as well as seats in the battleground states of Arizona, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Indeed, were it not for the pro-Democratic election environments of 2006, 2012, and 2018, the Democrats probably would have lost several of these seats to the GOP already, undercutting any hope of securing majority status in the near future. The better news for the Democrats is that Class II, which is facing elections this year, is much more favorable to their party. The Democrats’ only incumbent worries for 2020 are in Alabama, a solidly red state where Doug Jones won a fluky special election in 2017, and possibly Michigan, where the low-profile Gary Peters faces the voters for the first time as an incumbent. By contrast, the GOP must defend the seats held by Cory Gardner in increasingly blue Colorado, plus seats in presidential battlegrounds such as those held by Susan Collins of Maine, Thom Tillis of North Carolina, Joni Ernst of Iowa, and David Perdue of Georgia. Additionally, appointed Sens. Kelly Loeffler of Georgia and Martha McSally of Arizona are defending their seats in special elections (and their seats will be back on the ballot in 2022). So if Class I leans Republican and Class II leans Democratic — at least as far as the politics of today go — then what about Class III, the senators scheduled to face the voters in 2022? In relatively good news for the Democrats, the GOP will once again be playing defense. Below is a table showing the incumbents of each party who are slated to face the voters next cycle. Only one seat so far is currently on track to come open due to a retirement in 2022 — the one held by Richard Burr (R-NC). But other retirements will almost certainly be announced beginning in 2021, and other vacancies could emerge if senators are appointed to a potential Biden cabinet and/or a sitting senator becomes vice president. Along with each party’s incumbent senators, we’ve noted in this table whether they fall into any “vulnerability” categories. The first column after the senator’s name shows whether the incumbent senator’s state voted for the other party for president in 2016. The second column shows whether the senator’s state is considered competitive in the 2020 presidential race. (Competitive is defined as leaning Republican, leaning Democratic, or being a Toss-up by major handicappers, including the Crystal Ball.) The third column notes whether the state’s other senator is from the opposite party. The fourth column shows whether the seat is coming open in 2022, or whether it’s at risk of coming open because the incumbent will be at least 75 years old by the time of the election and might be tempted to retire. And the fifth column shows whether the incumbent won by fewer than five points in their last election, in 2016. None of these factors guarantee that an incumbent will be vulnerable, of course. But collectively, they offer a starting point for assessing whether an incumbent could become a potential target. Here’s what the table looks like: Table 1: U.S. Senate Class III, up in 2022Note:* Sens. Cory Gardner (R-CO) and Doug Jones (D-AL) are underdogs for reelection in 2020, and may not be serving in 2022. Map 1: U.S. Senate Class III, up in 2022Still, the way things stand now, the Republicans will likely have more vulnerable turf to defend. The GOP has eight senators with at least one vulnerability, and 16 total vulnerability points. The biggest targets for the Democrats are Pennsylvania’s Pat Toomey and Wisconsin’s Ron Johnson, with three points each. Similarly, the North Carolina seat that Burr is vacating — he previously suggested he would retire even before he was being investigated for his stock sales during the pandemic — could become an enticing target for the Democrats. Other GOP senators potentially at risk in 2022 represent the battleground states of Florida (Marco Rubio), Ohio (Rob Portman), and Iowa (if Chuck Grassley retires). By contrast, the Democrats will have relatively little turf to defend in 2022. The Democrats will only have 12 seats at stake, compared to 20 for the Republicans (setting aside those two seats linked to 2020 special elections). And few Democratic incumbents should be vulnerable, as things look now. The Democrats have only five senators with any vulnerability points and only seven points total. For comparison, here’s the equivalent chart for the 2020 races. For this table, we’ve paired the open seat category with appointed senators, rather than senators who are 75 or older; if the incumbent is 75 and still running in 2020, they’re not at risk of retiring and creating an open seat. Table 2: U.S. Senate Class II, up in 2020Note: **McSally lost her election in 2018 and then was appointed to this seat, and Jones won his election in 2017. Map 2: U.S. Senate Class II, up in 2020The 2024 election is when the Democrats’ Waterloo could arrive. Here’s how that class looks (though it’s admittedly far out from Election Day): Table 3: U.S. Senate Class I, up in 2024Map 3: U.S. Senate Class I, up in 2024ConclusionAll told, the Democrats have a total of 49 vulnerability points across the three classes — not many more than the 44 vulnerability points for the GOP. But as we’ve seen, the numbers vary dramatically by class. So what does this mean?If the Democrats manage to take the Senate majority in 2020, which is possible given the GOP’s greater vulnerability this year, they’ll have a leg up keeping control in 2022. Having a favorable map for the second straight cycle could help the Democrats keep the Senate even if Biden wins the presidency and the Democrats face the challenge of a first midterm election under a new president, when the out-of-power party tends to make gains. If the Democrats come close to taking the Senate in 2020 but the GOP remains in control, the Democrats would have a second bite at the apple in 2022. However, any modest margin the Democrats could hold in the Senate through the 2022 elections could be at risk in 2024. The only factor in their corner could be that they might be running as the incumbent party in the White House, which sometimes provides a better environment than midterm elections do.
Read the fine printLearn more about the Crystal Ball and find out how to contact us here. Sign up to receive Crystal Ball emails like this one delivered straight to your inbox. Use caution with Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and remember: “He who lives by the Crystal Ball ends up eating ground glass!” |
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THE BLAZE
Listen live to Blaze Radio Tune in to the next generation of talk radio, featuring original content from hosts like Glenn Beck, Pat Gray, Stu Burguiere, Steve Deace and more!
One last thing … A Georgia dad is facing an aggravated assault charge after beating a 20-year-old man he found in his 14-year-old daughter’s bedroom. Police say they likely would not have pursued legal action in the case had it not been for the father allegedly firing his gun as the suspect fled his property. What are the details? Ismael Casillas, 41, discover … Read more
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THE FEDERALIST
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NOQ REPORT
NOQ Report Daily |
- A meaningful endorsement: National Association of Police Organizations endorsed President Trump
- Public schools balk at reopening even though all the science says it’s safe
- With kids spending more waking hours on screens than ever, here’s what parents need to worry about
- Saving America Conference was live
- Joe Biden’s Twitter account hacked [updated]
- Instagram threatens to ban Donald Trump Jr over truthful depictions of CNN
- Retaining GOP control of the Senate is nearly as important as reelecting President Trump
A meaningful endorsement: National Association of Police Organizations endorsed President Trump
Posted: 16 Jul 2020 05:11 AM PDT In 2008 and 2012, the National Association of Police Organizations (NAPO) endorsed the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden. They liked what they heard initially more than what John McCain and Sarah Palin were saying and they continued their support for the Democrats against Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. In 2016, they didn’t care enough about either side to make an endorsement. But under President Trump’s first term, they have learned this is a man who supports the law and order our nation desperately needs, especially at a time when police officers are under attack the moment they walk out of their precinct. That is why this endorsement is so telling. They didn’t support candidate Trump based on promises, but they are now supporting President Trump over his actions.
“Our endorsement recognizes your steadfast and very public support for our men and woman on the front lines, especially during this time of unfair and inaccurate opprobrium being directed at our members by so many,” the letter from NAPO President Michael McHale read. The Trump campaign pounced on this news, as they should have. It’s a significant endorsement, not just because of the flip away from Joe Biden but because at a time like this, those who #BackTheBlue are becoming more fervent in their support to counter the movement to destroy law enforcement coming from the radical left.
“Joe Biden has done nothing to stop his party’s ‘defund the police’ movement and remains silent as police officers across the country are being attacked by violent rioters and protesters,” Trump 2020 Senior Advisor for Law Enforcement and Labor Unions Bob Paduchik said in a statement. “This endorsement for President Trump highlights that as the Law and Order President, he is defending the hardworking people who risk their own lives every day to keep our communities safe.” Most endorsements are meaningless reiterations of what we already know. But this flip from the most powerful police organization that backed Obama-Biden twice is a powerful statement. It means law and order has a champion in President Trump. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Public schools balk at reopening even though all the science says it’s safe
Posted: 16 Jul 2020 03:13 AM PDT Grrrr. This subject really rankles me, and not just because I have my own kids at home who have been shafted big time by the Coronavirus panic and what it’s done to our schools. So what could be better than to go on a rant about how the fear over public schools reopening in a few weeks is nothing more than teacher union politicking with zero scientific basis to support it? It all starts with my own home county of Hillsborough, which is now looking at delaying the first day of school by another two weeks, which–if you read between the lines–is just bureaucratese for, “We’ve already made up our minds that we’re not gonna reopen, but we just need more time to come up with a plausible-sounding excuse.” Sure, tis may be a Florida story, but look for it to repeat in districts all across the country. As usual, though, folks who have the money to leave the public system won’t be it so hard–but if you’re among the less advantaged folks that Democrats pretend to care about, sorry pal. You’re just outta luck. Give us a listen. And then make your own voice be heard. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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With kids spending more waking hours on screens than ever, here’s what parents need to worry about
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 11:11 PM PDT James M. Lang, Assumption College Millions of working parents have spent months largely trapped in their homes with their children. Many are trying to get their jobs done remotely in the constant presence of their kids, and they are desperate for some peace and quiet. Many mothers and fathers have sought any available remedy that would enable them to do their jobs and fight cabin fever – including some who have given their children a free pass on video games, social media and television. One survey of more than 3,000 parents found that screen time for their kids had increased by 500% during the pandemic. Screen time rulesIn case you missed it, when the World Health Organization released daily screen time guidelines for children in April 2019, it suggested tight limits. Infants should get none at all, and kids between the ages of 1 and 5 should spend no more than one hour daily staring at devices. The WHO does not provide specific limits for older children, but some research has suggested that excessive screen time for teenagers could be linked to mental health problems like anxiety and depression. Kids were already spending far more time than recommended with screens before the pandemic, and had been for years. [Deep knowledge, daily. Sign up for The Conversation’s newsletter.] As far back as the late 1990s, children between the ages of 3 and 5 years old were averaging two and a half hours per day with their screens. And, naturally, what screen time rules families had been enforcing have been on hold since at least mid-March 2020, when most U.S. communities entered an era of social distancing. Prone to distractionShould parents worry if their children are spending more time than ever online to learn, play and while away the hours until they can freely study and socialize again? The short answer is no – as long as they don’t allow pandemic screen time habits to morph into permanent screen time habits. Shortly before the coronavirus led to schools across the country suspending in-person instruction for safety reasons, I wrapped up my upcoming book on the power of digital devices to distract students from their learning. In “Distracted: The problem with distraction in school is not the distractions themselves. Children and adults alike can use social media or view screens in perfectly healthy ways. The problem occurs when excessive attention to screens crowds out other learning behaviors. A child watching YouTube on her phone in the classroom or during study time is not developing her writing skills or mastering new vocabulary. Teachers should consider how to cultivate better attention to those behaviors, rather than trying to eliminate all distractions. Likewise, parents should not view screens as the enemy of their children, even if they do need to be wary of the impact of excessive screen time on eye health and how much sleep their kids get. The trouble with excessive screen time is that it eclipses healthy behaviors that all children need. When children gaze passively at screens, they aren’t exercising, playing with their friends or siblings, or snuggling with their parents during story time. What I believe parents need to worry about isn’t how much time kids are spending cradling their devices during our current crisis. It’s whether their children are forming habits that will continue after the pandemic’s over. Those habits could stop today’s youngest Americans from resuming healthier and more creative behaviors like reading or imaginative play. If kids can kick their pandemic screen patterns, and return to the relatively healthier levels of screen time they had before, they will probably be just fine. The human brain is remarkably malleable. It has extraordinary potential to rewire itself in the face of accident or illness and adapt to new circumstances. Making a habit of bingeingThis feature of the human brain, known as neuroplasticity, is one of the reasons that doctors and health organizations recommend limits to the screen time of young children. Experts, educators and families alike don’t want their brains developing as organs primarily designed for television binge-watching and video game marathons. In the current moment, parents should be grateful for brain neuroplasticity, and take heart from the fact that whatever changes that might have occurred over the past few months need not be permanent ones. The brain transforms in response to our circumstances and behaviors – and it changes again as those circumstances and behaviors evolve. A few months of excessive screen time won’t override an otherwise healthy childhood of moderate screen time and active play. The ways in which work and school are adapting to social distancing suggest that screens are not the enemy. Rather, they are enabling people around the world to work and learn and communicate with loved ones during this extraordinary time. The real enemies of healthy development in children are the same enemies adults face: a sedentary lifestyle, social isolation and distractions from work and learning. Using screens too much can contribute to all of these problems – but they can also counter them. Researchers point out, after all, that not all screen time is equal. You might not make the same judgment about a child writing a novel using Google Docs, FaceTiming with Grandma or using a smartphone to geocache with their friends. As restrictions on everyone’s movements and activities evolve in the coming months, parents can support the healthy development of their children by encouraging them to return to such healthy and imaginative behaviors – whether they take place in front of screens or not. James M. Lang, Professor of English and Director of the Center for Teaching Excellence, Assumption College This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Saving America Conference was live
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 02:56 PM PDT Today’s conference by the American Conservative Movement features Dr David Samadi, DeAnna Lorraine, David Dudenhoefer, Michael Johns, and Savanah Hernandez.
Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Joe Biden’s Twitter account hacked [updated]
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 02:37 PM PDT Update: With President Obama’s account falling victim, Twitter has shut down ALL verified “Blue Check” accounts. They can retweet but they cannot post fresh Tweets. Original Story: No, Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is not running a Bitcoin scam, but a scammer has hacked the Vice President’s account an posted a Tweet asking people to send $1000. The Tweet only stayed live and pinned to his profile for less than two minutes, but accumulated a lot of traction. It’s unknown if any money was sent to the scammers in the time it was up, but either way it shows a glaring flaw in both Twitter as well as the Biden campaign. They’ve been plagued with technology issues from the start of the campaign. As for the Twitter account, it is commonly believed the former Vice President does not have access to his own account and the Tweets are coming from staffers.
Several large accounts were also hacked, including Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Mike Bloomberg, Jeff Bezos, and Apple.
This is an embarrassment for the campaign, but it’s indicative of the type of White House we would have if he were elected. His mental acuity is fading. His understanding of technology is minimal. Scammers are crossing their fingers. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Instagram threatens to ban Donald Trump Jr over truthful depictions of CNN
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 12:30 PM PDT Mankind’s search for truth has been taking a beating for the past few decades. We’ve suffered through the post-modern notion that no truths can be absolute. As horrible as that has been, particularly for people of faith, things have gotten much worse in recent years. The radical left’s push of post-truth ideologies takes post-modernism down an even darker path. In a post-truth worldview, there ARE absolute truths, but only as they are applied to the individual and therefore the society. In a post-truth society, a man can be a woman simply by stating that’s how he feels in his heart. This has permeated into the world of politics as both mainstream media and Big Tech have formed a partnership that redefines truth based on their desired agendas. Social media in particular has been a haven for censorship of truth. It’s getting to the point that if you speak the truth from a conservative perspective, you have a greater chance of being censored than if you speak lies from a progressive perspective. Donald Trump Jr. is learning this with Instagram’s latest showing of bollocks.
Two different stories. Same “news” outlet. One author tying them together. The first story is the one CNN wanted to run based on their agenda. The second story is the one they were forced to run based on facts. Propaganda versus reporting. It’s a fair representation from Trump, but Instagram has threatened to delete his account altogether over it. Big Tech has its tentacles spread across the collective mind share of disseminated information on the internet. Google controls search and uses its massive reach to amplify the left while suppressing the right. Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, and Instagram pretend to be platforms while engaging in unambiguous editorial preference, once again giving more exposure to progressive perspectives while systematically quashing conservatives and their “dangerous” thoughts. This isn’t new. We’ve been dealing with it since the 2016 election. But they’ve ramped up their efforts in recent months. This is just another example of a conservative exposing a reality about a progressive organization, and in doing so he has put his account at risk. Nobody ever said things were going to be fair, especially when it comes to the free flow of information. This has been happening in various degrees and iterations since a serpent told a woman she could eat a piece of fruit without repercussions. But in 2020, we’re learning the depths the radical left is willing to go in order to achieve their goals. If we don’t do what it takes to reverse this trend, they may actually win in the end. And if they do, it truly will be the end. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Retaining GOP control of the Senate is nearly as important as reelecting President Trump
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 06:23 AM PDT Presidential election years are good and bad for Capitol Hill elections. They’re good because they bring out more voters. They’re bad because so much attention is paid to the presidential race that many important down-ballot races get little coverage. This year, the importance of Senate races is a very close second to the presidential election for several reasons. Republicans currently have a three-seat majority, but there are currently four seats that are in jeopardy. Senators Martha McSally, Cory Gardner, Thom Tillis, and Susan Collins are all in the fights of their political lives. The GOP should pick up Doug Jones’ seat in Alabama with Tommy Tuberville following yesterday’s runoff victory over Jeff Sessions, but nothing is guaranteed. Republican and right-leaning Independent voters must get busy supporting Senators running this year. Even if President Trump wins reelection, what he can and can’t do from the Oval Office will be determined by who controls the Senate. The judiciary, for example, will no longer offer a clear path for the President to appoint originalists. Another round of tax cuts will not happen. The economic recovery will be hampered if Chuck Schumer is Senate Majority Leader. Impeachment’s second round, which will almost certainly come if Nancy Pelosi is still Speaker of the House next year, could put the president at risk if the Senate isn’t red. In this episode of NOQ Report, EIC JD Rucker talked about the reasons Republicans need to unite behind all GOP Senate candidates. Tuberville’s race against Sessions got ugly in large part because a few factions of conservatives really don’t like the former college football coach. Whatever hard feelings there may have been, it’s imperative that Republicans set them aside and focus on beating Doug Jones. We need this seat. We need as many as we can get. The differences in what President Trump can do with his second term will be like night and day depending on which party controls the Senate. The GOP needs to not only retain control but make gains if possible. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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ARRA NEWS SERVICE
ARRA News Service (in this message: 18 new items) |
- Reopening Schools: A Sore Subject for Parents
- Defund vs Defend: The Great Republican Opportunity
- Reopen The Schools, Putting Politics First, Biden’s Really Bad Idea
- Military Medical Teams Are Deploying Again to Battle COVID-19
- BLM’s Roots Are Tied to Racists
- Too Much Faith in Models
- Mask Mandates Are a Public Health Menace
- The Truth About the US-China Thucydides Trap
- Statues
- Corporate Money Matters . . .
- He Tries Harder
- COVID-19 Concerns Jettisoned For Protesters
- Leftist Slavery Was Worse Than Southern Slavery
- Satan Has Nailed A Door Shut But God Has Blasted A Better One Open
- New York Times Editor Quits Over Newspaper’s Internal ‘Orthodoxy’
- Despicable Behavior of Today’s Academicians
- The Left’s Anti-Reality – To Which We All Must Submit
- The Lies Behind the George Floyd Case
Reopening Schools: A Sore Subject for Parents
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 07:07 PM PDT by Tony Perkins: Republicans may be out campaigning to open schools, but they’ll have their work cut out convincing a growing number of parents. A new poll from Axios shows a landslide of concerns from families — with a whopping 71 percent worried that reopening schools carries “large” or “moderate” risk. And it’s not just Democrats (82 percent) who think so, but a majority of Republicans (53 percent) too. What does that mean for the fall? It’s time to explore your options! Like a lot of homeschooling moms, Candice Dugger has spent the last several months giving pep talks to her friends. Most of them had to turn into teachers overnight, as their kids tried to transition to learning at home. For a lot of them, distance-learning was a nightmare. Like the video of the Israeli mom that went viral, they wanted to scream, “It’s not working … this distance-learning thing. It’s impossible!… If we don’t die of corona, we’ll die of distance learning!” But what is a full-time working mom supposed to do? Are there options when both parents have careers? Candice says yes. On “Washington Watch” with Sarah Perry Tuesday, she wanted people to know: In 2020, homeschooling isn’t what most people think it is. She has two boys herself. And, like a lot of parents, she’s tried public school and private school — and neither really worked. She ended up homeschooling her boys and liked it so much that she founded Reimagine Education Conference with the goal of helping parents — even full-time working ones — make the transition. For some parents, though, like Sarah and her husband, working full-time jobs in addition to homeschooling seems daunting. What do you say them, Sarah asked? The first thing, Candice tells people, is: “It will be okay. You have been equipped with all that you need to do this. And in today’s world, there are so many solutions… My husband and I also own businesses. I travel and speak nationally — and so we’re very busy. But we’re able to make our children’s education a part of our family.” Everyone has to have a plan that works for them, she urged. Maybe that means a hybrid set-up or outsourcing or telecommuting some classes. The most important thing is knowing what’s available. As part of our conference, she says, we try to address: “How are you going to work without sacrificing your business? How do you work and homeschool at the same time? How do you organize during the crisis? What are time management technologies and advancements you can use to make the days easier for you? What are tech tips? And then as people are moving more online, how are you keeping your children with online safety and balancing screen time and protection versus education solution?” Then, if they have a child with special needs: “How are they going to implement their IEP at home? What are tele-therapies they can use? So all of those are brought together in ways that parents can create a plan for their family — one-on-one, simplified, without being forced into an education system they may not agree with being forced into the constraints of time.” The important thing is finding something that keeps your children challenged and engaged, is tailored to their learning style, works with the family’s schedule, and sets them up for success. It will take some getting used to, Candice admits, but there are solutions. “We’ve been used to putting our children in school all day, and now — for kindergarten, first grade, second grade, 60 or 90 minutes a day is all it takes. What are you going to do with the rest of your day? If you have a high schooler, you might need four to five hours. You need to be thinking about really where you need support as a working parent. Are you looking for childcare solutions or education solutions? And bringing those together are really important to creating a plan. But it doesn’t have to be 8am-4pm.” To check out the Reimagine conference at the end of this month, visit the website. There are literally dozens of talks and resources that will help get your family on its way! Tony Perkins (@tperkins) is President of the Family Research Council . Article on Tony Perkins’ Washington Update and written with the aid of FRC senior writers. Tags: Tony Perkins, Family Research Center, FRC, Reopening Schools, Sore Subject for Parents To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Defund vs Defend: The Great Republican Opportunity
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 06:43 PM PDT by Newt Gingrich: A major choice in this year’s election will be between defunding or defending police. Most Americans are worried by the rise in crime and dramatic increase in violence in some of our nation’s cities after Democrat leaders withdrew their police forces in the face of radical, violent leftwing protests. Most Americans believe the vacuum created by defunding the police is going to be filled with predators and dangerous criminals — not with social workers and do-gooders. Yet, on the left, we are constantly hearing chants of “defund, defund, defund.” Some legislators and activists claim that the term “defund” doesn’t really mean defund and really means reform. Others, such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her radical colleagues, say we should zero out the New York Police Department. All the while, the chanting and double-speak drums out the public and any rational debate. The gap between the radical left and the American people was captured in a recent Pew Poll that showed 73 percent of the American people opposed cutting spending on the police, and only 25 percent favored decreasing spending on the police. The detailed numbers are even worse for the radical Joe Biden-Nancy Pelosi-Chuck Schumer proposals. Twenty percent of those asked said we should spend a little more on police, and 11 percent said we should spend a lot more (for a total of 31 percent who favor spending more money on policing). By contrast, 12 percent said to cut a lot and slightly less than 14 percent said to cut a little. The largest bloc of Americans was 42 percent, who said we should keep police funding where it is. That means by 73 percent to 25 percent (almost 3:1), Americans reject the radical left’s mantra of spending cuts for the police. If asked to choose between defend or defund, Americans overwhelmingly prefer to defend rather than defund those who protect them. Sen. Schumer just doubled down on and broadened the effort to defund rather than defend. The Washington Times reported that “the Senate’s top Democrat, threw his support Friday behind a proposal to cut $74 billion from the Pentagon’s budget, embracing a key priority of the left wing. The 10% cut to the Defense Department was authored by Sen. Bernard Sanders.” So, both at home and abroad, the radical Democrats led by the Biden-Pelosi-Schumer triumvirate are developing a pattern of defunding those who defend us. This pattern is not just about speeches, slogans, and platforms. The Democrats in Minneapolis are abolishing the police department and replacing it with some undefined community service program. You can imagine how intimidated robbers, murderers, and rapists will be by the unarmed-but-sincere Minneapolis community service force. In Seattle, the Democrats are cutting the police budget by 50 percent with a similar community service fantasy replacement. Given that four people were killed during what the Democratic mayor called “the summer of love” in the autonomous zone, you might have thought the people of Seattle would get more police protection rather than less. Jack Dunphy, a 35-year veteran of policing in Los Angeles wrote in City Journal on July 10: “In New York City, where the city council has voted to cut $1 billion from the NYPD’s budget, weekly shooting incidents in mid-June increased by 358 percent over the same period in 2019. In Chicago, homicides are up 34 percent so far this year compared to last year, and nine children have been killed since June 20.” His article was aptly titled “Demoralizing the Police.” Every week, from now to the election, we are tragically likely to see more murders, children killed, and incompetence by Democrats mismanaging cities. The reality that Democrats are making America more dangerous for innocent people and their children will begin to sink in. In fact, as crime rates soar, the 14 percent who currently favor cutting the police “a little” may change their minds. They may find the more reasonable option to be keeping police funding the same or, in particularly violent cities, they may favor increasing police funding. The 12 percent who want deep cuts are probably ideologically driven to maintain that position — even if their own neighborhoods are under siege by criminals. The propaganda media of the left (formerly the news media) will do everything it can to avoid connecting the dots. But the grim reality is that the Democratic mayor of New York is cutting a billion dollars out of the law enforcement budget and openly despising the police. This has a powerful effect on the police’s energy and aggressiveness. Many veteran police are opting for retirement in record numbers. The Democratic mayor is blocking the new recruits who would have replaced them. New York City will grow steadily weaker, more violent, and more dangerous as it slips back into the lawlessness which existed before Rudy Giuliani cleaned it up as mayor beginning in the early 90s. Ultimately, there are only two groups who should be happy about the Democratic Party’s commitment to defund rather than defend: criminals and the Chinese Communist dictatorship. Both groups will be cheering for a Biden-Pelosi-Schumer victory. Now, the propaganda media will interpret support for the police as racism – even when three-quarters of Americans oppose defunding police. If Republicans can find the courage to ignore the distortions and dishonesty – and muster the discipline to stick to supporting police alongside a set of big issues despite every media effort to get them off message – the GOP may be successful in November. If Republican pollsters and consultants could be convinced to give up cleverness and personality attacks and stick to developing the clear choice between weak-on-crime, weak-on-China Democrats and the Republicans who want to defend Americans from criminals and the Chinese Communist dictatorship, we might win a crushing victory this fall. The Biden-Pelosi-Schumer team is doing all it can to set Democrats up for a shattering repudiation. The question is whether the Republicans can calmly focus on emphasizing the choice — and winning the election. Tags: Newt Gingrich, commentary, Defund vs Defend, The Great Republican Opportunity To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Reopen The Schools, Putting Politics First, Biden’s Really Bad Idea
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 06:29 PM PDT
by Gary Bauer, Contributing Author: Reopen The Schools You’re also hearing a nonstop mantra that we must “follow the science,” which is a cudgel being used to attack the president and his administration. Well, let’s walk through the science because I assure you that the people demanding our schools remain closed are not following the science. Many are intentionally trying to frighten you because they believe it is to their political advantage to keep America closed as long as possible until they have removed Donald Trump and Mike Pence from office. The Claim: Some say it is impossible for children to be socially distanced in school. Others contend that younger children will not want to wear masks for hours at a time. The Facts: Children do not have to be socially distanced or wear masks because very few children are seriously harmed by the virus. The Wall Street Journal noted this week that “30 children under age 15 have died from Covid-19. In a typical year 190 children die of the [seasonal] flu.” The Claim: Another argument against reopening schools is that children will spread the virus to teachers, parents and grandparents who could be seriously harmed. The Facts: Based on evidence from multiple countries around the world that have had serious Covid outbreaks there is very little evidence indicating that children in schools were the source of outbreaks. The science shows that children are extremely inefficient spreaders of the disease. One European study that examined more than 35,000 people declared, “We have not found a single instance of a child infecting parents.” A German study found that children “act more as a brake on infection.” (Here’s even more data.) This week NBC News interviewed five pediatricians from across the country and asked each one if they would let their children go back to school. Here are their responses: “I will. My kids are looking forward to it.” “Yes, period.” “Absolutely. As much as I can. Without a hesitation, yes.” “I have no concerns about sending my child to school in the fall.” “I would let my kids go back to school.” And the American Academy of Pediatrics recently issued guidelines “strongly advocating” that the primary goal of local school districts should be to fight the coronavirus while also making sure that children are “physically present in school.” Putting Politics First Children from low-income families are often missing out on the meals they get at school. School is the place where child abuse is often discovered by teachers and counselors. Research shows that online learning, which many school districts were unprepared for, was a failure. One study found that students finished the last school year with roughly 70% of expected reading gains and just 50% of expected math gains. And 20% of students simply don’t have access to the technology needed for online learning. Our children are falling behind the children of other countries because they are being banned from the classroom. Many children are filling the hours at home unwatched on social media and the Internet, which presents all kinds of dangers. Sadly, some teachers’ unions are exploiting this crisis for raw partisan purposes. For example, the Los Angeles teachers’ union is demanding $12 billion in new property tax hikes, $15 billion from new wealth taxes, more taxpayer money for illegal immigrants, Medicare for All and defunding the police! How is that putting kids first? I know that some of you may feel differently, understandably motivated by the desire to protect your children from risk. But life is never risk-free. More than 4,000 children die each year in various unintentional accidents such as drownings. And as I just explained, I feel we are exposing our children to more risks by keeping the schools closed. On a positive note, given the degree of indoctrination that takes place in far too many public schools, more parents are now considering homeschooling. For those who can do it, homeschooling or a faith-based private school is certainly a good alternative. But on balance, I think our schools should reopen. If you disagree, I’d love to hear from you. Maybe you have some points I have failed to address or information I don’t have. Please do not hesitate to share your thoughts with me. Liberals vs. Progressives Make no mistake about this: Weiss is a liberal’s liberal. She defines herself as a “left-leaning centrist.” But like so many liberals, they’ve been so busy resisting Trump that they have not noticed the rising totalitarians on the left. In a blistering letter explaining her abrupt resignation from the New York Times, Weiss blasted the paper’s “new McCarthyism,” its anti-Americanism, its “illiberal environment,” and its craven appeasement of the progressive Twitter mob. Weiss said her progressive colleagues called her a “Nazi,” a “racist” and complained when she was “writing about the Jews again.” None of this surprises conservatives. But it is another reminder of just how intolerant the progressive left has become. When there is no room for genuine debate at the “paper of record,” free speech in America is in jeopardy. And that threat, as Goya’s CEO noted, is coming from the left, not the right. One could see hope in Weiss’s courageous stand, but every day we’re watching Joe Biden, the rest of the Democrat establishment, corporate America and professional sports cave to the progressive mob and retreat as fast as their shaking legs will allow them. Biden’s Really Bad Idea But something else also jumped out at me. Biden’s not only going to implement Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s radical Green New Deal, he declared, “We’ll lock in progress that no future president can roll back.” In other words, he’s going to do it in a way that will make it impossible to undo. That should disturb everyone. God forbid that Biden wins and acts on his promise to destroy the American energy industry. But if voters see that it is a disaster and elect new leadership in 2024, Biden wants to make sure they can’t do anything about it! Biden is not only embracing far-left views, he’s embracing the totalitarianism of the radical left. That’s not just liberal, it’s anti-American and a fundamental violation of what it means to be a free people. Tags: Gary Bauer, Campaign for Working Families, Reopen The Schools, Putting Politics First, Biden’s Really Bad Idea To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Military Medical Teams Are Deploying Again to Battle COVID-19
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 06:11 PM PDT
by Richard Sisk: Military medical and support teams have begun deploying to sunbelt states hit hard by the resurgence of COVID-19, in an effort to relieve overburdened local hospital personnel as they did in New York and New Jersey in the early stages of the pandemic. At the request of the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the states, about 740 military personnel from the Army, Navy and Air Force have been sent to Texas and California in recent days to help contain the spread of the virus, U.S. Army North said in a release Monday. “We are committed to assisting those in need as part of the ongoing whole-of-America response” to COVID-19, Lt. Gen. Laura J. Richardson, commander of U.S. Army North, said in a statement. For some on the medical teams, it is their second time on a backup mission to civilian hospitals. “It’s an honor to be in San Antonio, Texas, providing care to patients alongside local hospital staff,” said Army Capt. Sarah Kopaciewicz, a critical care nurse. “I was doing similar work, treating COVID-19-positive patients, at Joint Base Lewis-McChord in Washington state before being employed here” on an embed to the Christus Westover Hills Medical Center in San Antonio, she added, according to the U.S. Army North release. About 580 medical and support personnel from the Army and Navy are deploying to Texas, while another 160 from the Air Force are being sent to California, said U.S. Army North, which is overseeing the operation. The emergency has become more acute in Texas, which reported 5,655 new cases Monday. Texas has recorded a total of 264,000 positive novel coronavirus cases and 3,235 deaths since the pandemic began. In addition, Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner on Monday requested permission from the state to order a two-week, stay-at-home shutdown. California reported 8,460 new cases of COVID-19 on Sunday, bringing its total to more than 320,000, resulting in 7,017 deaths. In a statement, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott said, “Texas is grateful to the U.S. Department of Defense for providing these additional resources to Houston and San Antonio as we work to slow the spread of COVID-19 and care for our fellow Texans”. The first of the 580 military personnel sent to Texas arrived July 6 and included an 85-member enhanced Urban Augmentation Medical Task Force (UAMTF) from the 627th Hospital Center at Fort Carson, Colorado, U.S. Army North said. “Our soldiers train daily to maintain clinical skills so we can save and sustain lives wherever and whenever the nation calls,” said Lt. Col. Jason Hughes, UAMTF-627 commander. Tags: Military Medical Teams, Are Deploying Again, to Battle COVID-19, Richard Sisk, Military.com To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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BLM’s Roots Are Tied to Racists
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 05:59 PM PDT . . . The founders of communism, Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels, were inveterate racists. by Thomas Gallatin: One of the great ironies of the Black Lives Matter movement is the fact that it is rooted in and promotes Marxism. BLM ostensibly claims to exist to fight against the injustice of racism against black Americans. Indeed, BLM justifies its radical calls to “defund the police” with dubious claims of America’s law enforcement being “systemically racist.” However, if BLM’s cause was truly a fight against actual racism, then why has the movement not fully divested itself from one of history’s most prolific racists, Karl Marx? Marx and his contemporary and friend Friedrich Engles are, of course, the fathers of that most murderous of political philosophies, communism. Communist tyrants have murdered well over 100 million people. But both Marx and, more significantly, Engles were also notorious for their racist ideas. Both men viewed blacks specifically as lesser humans and more closely related to “the animal kingdom” than other races. In fact, Marx and Engels believed that race was a primary determiner for one’s economic status and ability. Using this belief, they developed a system by which they “radicalized skin-color groups, ethnicities, nations, and social classes, while endowing them with innate superior and inferior character traits,” as noted by Erik van Ree of the Institute for East European Studies of the University of Amsterdam. “They regarded race as part of humanity’s natural conditions, upon which the production system rested. ‘Races’ endowed with superior qualities would boost economic development and productivity, while the less endowed ones would hold humanity back.” And yet, despite this reality, BLM cofounders Patrisse Cullors and Alicia Garza are unapologetic in their embrace of Marxism. “The first thing, I think, is that we actually do have an ideological frame,” Cullors stated back in 2015. “Myself and Alicia in particular are trained organizers. We are trained Marxists.” The actual reason behind the rioting and destruction and the tearing down of statues has very little to do with race. In reality, BLM Marxists are attacking the ideology of individual Liberty, which our Founding Fathers espoused, fought for, and established. In truth, race has almost nothing to do with the BLM movement; it just serves as a cover to deflect broad criticism for its anti-American revolution. But the irony and rank hypocrisy of blacks “fighting racism” by espousing the ideas of white racists isn’t lost on us. Tags: Thomas Gallatin, The Patriot Post, BLM’s Roots, Tied to Racists To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Too Much Faith in Models
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 05:29 PM PDT
by John Stossel: Between 2 million and 3 million Americans will die! That was the prediction from “experts” at London’s Imperial College when COVID-19 began. They did also say if there was “social distancing of the whole population,” the death toll could be cut in half, but 1.1 million to 1.46 million Americans would still die by this summer. Our actual death toll has been about one-tenth of that. Nevertheless, Imperial College’s model was extremely influential. Politicians issued stay-at-home orders. They said we must trust the “experts.” “Follow the science. Listen to the experts. Do what they tell you,” said Joe Biden, laughing at what he considered an obvious truth. But “there is no such thing as “the science!” replies science reporter Matt Ridley in my new video about “expert” predictions. “Science consists of people disagreeing with each other!” The lockdowns, he adds, were “quite dangerously wrong.” Because Imperial’s model predicted that COVID-19 would overwhelm hospitals, patients were moved to nursing homes. The coronavirus then spread in nursing homes. Ordering almost every worker to stay home led to an economic collapse that may have killed people, too. “The main interventions that helped prevent people dying were stopping large gatherings, people washing their hands and wearing face masks, general social distancing — not forcing people to stay home,” says Ridley. Even New York Governor Andrew Cuomo now admits: “We all failed at that business. All the early national experts: ‘Here’s my projection model.’ They were all wrong.” If he and other politicians had just done just a little research, then they would have known that Imperial College researchers repeatedly predict great disasters that don’t happen. Their model predicted 65,000 deaths from swine flu, 136,000 from mad cow disease and 200 million from bird flu. The real numbers were in the hundreds. After such predictions were repeatedly wrong, why did politicians boss us around based on those same “experts” models? “If you say something really pessimistic about how many people are going to die,” explains Ridley, “the media want to believe you. The politicians daren’t not believe you.” This bias towards pessimism applies to fear of climate change, too. ands of the Maldives “in the next 30 years.” But now, 32 years later, the islands are not only still there, they’re doing better than ever. They’re even building new airports. “Climate change is real,” says Ridley, “but it’s not happening nearly as fast as models predicted.” Models repeatedly overpredict disaster because that’s “a very good way of attracting attention to your science and getting rewarded for it,” says Ridley. One more example: For years, “experts” predicted an oil shortage. President Jimmy Carter warned, “The oil and natural gas we rely on for 75% of our energy are simply running out.” All the “experts” agreed. But as the demand for oil grew, oil prices rose. That inspired entrepreneurs to invent new ways of getting more oil and gas out of the same rocks. They succeeded so well that America now has so much oil and gas that we sell some to other countries. Ridley’s new book, “How Innovation Works,” shows how innovators prove “experts” wrong all the time. He points out that the founder of Digital Equipment Corporation once said: “There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.” Microsoft’s CEO confidently said: “There’s no chance the iPhone is going to get significant market share.” New York Times columnist Paul Krugman wrote that because “most people have nothing to say to each other… the Internet’s impact on the economy (will be) no greater than the fax machine’s.” Of course, not all experts are wrong. Useful experts do exist. I want a trained civil engineer to design any bridge I cross. But Ridley points out: “There is no such thing as expertise on the future. It’s dangerous to rely too much on models (which lead politicians to) lock down society and destroy people’s livelihood. Danger lies both ways.” Tags: John Stossel, Too Much Faith in Models, commentary, Rassmussen Reports To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Mask Mandates Are a Public Health Menace
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 05:19 PM PDT
by Michelle Malkin: Jared Polis, the Democratic governor of Colorado, thinks those of us who oppose scientifically dubious, constitutionally suspect and dangerously overbroad face mask mandates are “selfish bastards.” I think Polis is a pandering pandemic control freak endangering public health, safety, and sanity. There. Now that the name-calling is out of the way, let’s talk facts. Contracting COVID can be fatal or debilitating for the elderly, immune-compromised and physically challenged. But there is no catastrophic public health emergency justifying sweeping government orders and ordinances that would force healthy citizens to wear masks in an increasingly oppressive climate of manufactured fear — completely untethered from pragmatic realities and risk assessments. According to the federal government’s own COVID-19 data, 120,675 deaths in America have been tied to the virus. Tracked weekly by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control, fatalities peaked on April 18, 2020, with 16,897 succumbing to the disease. (Keep in mind that many medical whistleblowers have reported that these statistics are inflated by including “COVID”-related deaths uncorroborated by lab results and also by including patients who died with COVID infections, but necessarily from the virus itself.) In the 12 weeks since April 18, as states have reopened and protests (or riots) of all kinds have brought tens of thousands of people in close contact, deaths have fallen precipitously. For the week of July 11, 2020, guess how many deaths were attributed to the virus? 181. The total number of deaths for school-age children between February-July 2020 are 9 (under 1 year of age); 7 (ages 1-4); 14 (age 5-14); and 149 (ages 15-24). All deaths are tragic, of course. But we haven’t banned cars, bikes, swimming pools, aspirin, plastic bags or matches to prevent the tens of thousands of school-age deaths that occur each year due to unintentional accidents involving these items. We don’t mandate that all kids wear life vests at bath time because nearly 100 children in a tub yearly. We don’t mandate that all pet owners muzzle their dogs at all times because someone, somewhere, might be attacked upon exposure to Fido. In a CNN interview this week, infection disease bureaucrat Dr. Anthony Fauci asserted that “I think you can trust me” and other “experts” as nationwide mask mania escalates. Does he think we all have amnesia? This is the same joker who just four months ago told CBS News, “There’s no reason to be walking around with a mask.” His fellow experts in the federal public health-industrial complex dismissed surgical masks as inadequate protection from small airborne particles and warned that they did not form adequate seals around the face. And remember this? “Seriously people- STOP BUYING MASKS! They are NOT effective in preventing general public from catching #Coronavirus…” That was our surgeon general, Dr. Jerome Adams, in February. Or how about this: “There’s not much we can do, so we’re all walking around feeling rather victimized by this virus. By using a mask, even if it doesn’t do a lot, it moves the locus of control to you, away from the virus.” That was Dr. William Schaffner, professor of medicine in the division of infectious diseases at Vanderbilt University, quoted in Time magazine in March. Or how about this from the same article: “‘Even if experts are saying it’s really not going to make a difference, a little (part of) people’s brains is thinking, well, it’s not going to hurt. Maybe it’ll cut my risk just a little bit, so it’s worth it to wear a mask,’ she says. In that sense, wearing a mask is a ‘superstitious behavior’…” That was Lynn Bufka, a clinical psychologist and senior director for practice, research and policy at the American Psychological Association. Reviewing the scientific literature in her upcoming book, “The Case Against Masks” with Kent Heckenlively, former federal research scientist Dr. Judy Mikovits summarizes: “The more effective a mask is at blocking normal air flow, the greater the problem with decreased oxygen and increased carbon dioxide a person is likely to have. The less effective a mask is at blocking normal airflow, the less of a case can be made for using it. And we haven’t really dealt with what seems to be the main way that the virus spreads, through coughing and sneezing which spreads respiratory droplets.” Watching young, healthy people jogging or hiking on isolated trails in mid-July around Colorado Springs in cloth and surgical masks drives me nuts. They’re not protecting anyone else and are likely making themselves sick. In what sane world is breathing through moist bacteria traps and cutting yourself off from vitally needed oxygen a public health virtue? Vulnerable kids especially are being lied to by panic-mongers and exploited as human shields. Meanwhile, a recent journal article in the New England Journal of Medicine acknowledges: “The chance of catching Covid-19 from a passing interaction in a public space is… minimal. In many cases, the desire for widespread masking is a reflexive reaction to anxiety over the pandemic.” The evidence does not support broad mask mandates. Yet, now we free-thinkers and free-breathers face jail time and witch hunts for dissenting. It’s all about politics, power, and control. “Selfish bastards” who promote superstitious costumery as science threaten us all. Tags: Michelle Malkin, mask mandates, public health menace To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The Truth About the US-China Thucydides Trap
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 05:03 PM PDT
by Dr. George Friedman: We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher. And like all great philosophers, he has many things to teach us, even if his teaching is inappropriately applied. Thousands of years after the war was fought between Sparta and Athens, observers argued that it showed that an authoritarian government would defeat a democracy. This was widely said in the early stages of World War II and repeated throughout the Cold War. In truth, what Thucydides said about democracies and oppressive regimes was far more sophisticated and complex than a simplistic slogan invoked by defeatists. Jacek Bartosiak, who wrote of the Thucydides trap for us last week, is never simplistic, but I think he is wrong in some respects. The error is the idea that China is a rising power. He is certainly correct if by rising he means it has surged since Mao Zedong died. But he is implying more: that China is rising to the point that it can even challenge the United States. The argument that the U.S. may overreact is based on this error. The U.S. is choosing to press China hard, but the risk of doing so is low. The most important thing to understand about China is that its domestic market cannot financially absorb the product of China’s industrial plant. Yes, China has grown, but its growth has made it a hostage to its foreign customers. Nearly 20 percent of China’s gross domestic product is generated from exports, 5 percent of which are bought by its largest customer, the United States. Anything that could reduce China’s economy for the long term by about 20 percent is a desperate vulnerability. COVID-19 has hurt and will continue to hurt many countries. But for China, if international trade collapsed, internal declines in consumption would come on top of the loss of foreign markets. China faces a non-military threat from the United States, which relies on exports to China for about half of 1 percent of its GDP. If the U.S. simply bought fewer Chinese products, Washington would damage China without firing a shot. If China is a rising power, it is rising on a very slippery slope without recourse to warfare. But the United States has even more devastating options. China must have access to global markets, which depends overwhelmingly on the ports of its east coast. The South China Sea is therefore a frontier of particular interest for Beijing. The military problem is simple. To access the ocean, China must control the sea lanes through at least one (and preferably more) outlet. The United States does not need to control these lanes; it just needs to deny them to China. The difference is massive. The Chinese have to force the U.S. into deep retreat to secure access. The United States needs only to remain in position to fire cruise missiles or lay mines. The U.S. Navy controls the Pacific from the Aleutians to Japan, Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Indonesia and Australia, giving Washington an old and sophisticated alliance system that China cannot match. And though allies can drag a nation into conflicts it doesn’t want to be part of, having no allies deprives a nation of strategic options. If only one of China’s littoral nations allied with it, China’s strategic problem might be solved. The failure to recruit allies is an indicator of the regional appreciation of Chinese power and trustworthiness. Adding to China’s strategic problems is that it borders some countries such as Vietnam and India that are hostile to its interests. Hypothetically, China could forge an alliance with Russia, a nearby power with which it shares some common competitors. The problem is that Russia’s focus must be on its west and on the Caucasus. It has no ground force it could lend to China, nor does it have a naval force that would be decisive in its Pacific operations. A simultaneous strike westward by Russia and eastward by China is superficially interesting, but it would not divide U.S. and allied forces enough to take the pressure off of China. It’s true that China is a rising power, but as I said, it’s rising from the Maoist era. It has a significant military, but that military’s hands are tied until China eliminates its existential vulnerability: dependence on exports. Under these circumstances, the idea of initiating a war is far-fetched. More than perhaps any country in the world, China cannot risk a breakdown in the global trading system. Doing so might hurt the U.S. but not existentially. The United States has no interest in a war in the Western Pacific. Its current situation is satisfactory, and nothing is to be gained from initiating a conflict. The United States is not giving up the Pacific – it fought wars in Korea and Vietnam as well as World War II to keep it. The U.S. can’t invade mainland China or conquer it. It cannot expose its forces to massive Chinese ground forces. In this sense China is secure. China’s fear is maritime – isolation from world markets. And that possibility is there. There is of course evidence of advanced Chinese systems being prepared and claims that the U.S. is losing its relative share of power. But this is one of the great defects of military analysis: counting the hardware. In the U.S. military, I have noted people rolling their eyes when they hear about the super-weapons being produced. The closer you are to weapons development, the more you are aware of its shortcomings. Wars are won by experienced staff, brave and motivated forces, and factories that don’t screw up. Engineering is part of war but not its essence. The question for any military is not what equipment it has but how long it takes to jury-rig the breakdown. Technology matters, of course, but it is only decisive in the hands of those with deep experience of the battle to be fought. China lacks that. For all its hardware and technology, it has not fought a naval battle since 1895 (which it lost). China has no tradition of naval warfare to compare to its experience on land. And tradition and lessons passed down from generation to generation of admirals are extremely valuable. The United States has been in combat frequently, launching aircraft against land targets, conducting active anti-submarine searches and coordinating air defense systems for large fleets in combat conditions. It’s on this point that I disagree with Jacek. He submits that China is rising, with a particular focus on a technological prowess with which the U.S. is not keeping pace. Maybe that’s true. But the U.S. is still the superior power. It has an economic superiority, a geographic superiority, a political superiority in alliances, and a superiority of experience not only at sea but in air and space. Technology can only offset those deficiencies so much. So I think the Thucydides concept, while valid, doesn’t apply to this case. China is not pressing the United States in any dimension, and for this reason, American rhetoric is not matched by the frenzied production the U.S. puts in motion when it is concerned. And so Jacek and I will continue to duel. Tags: Dr. George Friedman, Truth About, the US-China, Thucydides Trap To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Statues
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 04:44 PM PDT by Kerby Anderson: The list of statues that have been defaced or torn down increases each week. What started a few years ago as an attempt to remove a few statues after an extended political debate has obviously spun out of control. What do George Washington, Abraham Lincoln, Ulysses S. Grant, Winston Churchill, Gandhi, Cervantes, Voltaire, and guitarist Stevie Ray Vaughn have in common? Not much. But that is just a small representation of statues that have been defaced or pulled down. Then there is the defacing of abolitionist Matthias Baldwin and the recent toppling of the statue of former slave and abolitionist Frederick Douglas. There is no consistency in anything these mobs are doing in the streets today. While irrational people in the streets are tearing down statues and monuments, perhaps it is time for some of us more rational citizens to begin to think through what figures in the public square are appropriate or inappropriate. I think we can all agree that a leader who has consistently engaged in evil acts should not be memorialized. Adolf Hitler was an evil man. So was Joseph Stalin. We don’t want statues of them in this country or any other. But I am still wondering how a statue of Vladimir Lenin ended up in Seattle’s Freemont neighborhood. Every group of heroes will have some flaws. Every leader will have flaws. All have sinned and fall short of the glory of God. Fallen heroes and fallen leaders still deserve to be honored. When men and women have failed, they deserve to be forgiven. Michael Brendan Dougherty reminds us that the beautiful sculpture of Michelangelo’s David stands in Florence not “as a tribute or endorsement of the murder of Uriah the Hittite. Just as George Washington’s name does not grace our capital city or the names of our schools because he owned slaves.” A statue or memorial can honor people without it excusing their flaws. Tags: Kerby Anderson, Statues To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Corporate Money Matters . . .
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 04:37 PM PDT . . . The Marxist organization, Black Lives Matter extorts money from corporate America with large amounts going to The Democrat party.
Tags: AF Branco, editorial cartoon, Corporate money matters To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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He Tries Harder
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 03:40 PM PDT by Paul Jacob, Contributing Author: He’s the Avis Rent A Car of authoritarianism. Russian President Vladimir V. Putin is not the most evil tyrant on the planet. That title clearly belongs to Chinese President Xi Jinping. Instead, Putin is No. 2. So, of course, he tries harder. Two years ago, Xi Jinping got the Chinese Communist Party to jettison his term limits without breaking a sweat. Not the slightest pretense of democracy necessary. Two weeks ago, Putin finally caught up with Xi by winning an unnecessary and highly fraudulent national referendum designed to legitimize the constitutional jiggering that would allow him to stay in office until he would be 83 years old. Beating Joseph Stalin for post-tsar star tsar. So, how did Putin rig the referendum? “Voters are being asked to approve a package of 206 constitutional amendments with a single yes-or-no answer,” explained National Public Radio. Many U.S. states have single-subject requirements for ballot measures to prevent precisely this sort of log-rolling. Sergey Shpilkin, a well-known Russian physicist, produced statistical evidence that “as many as 22 million votes — roughly 1 in 4 — may have been cast fraudulently,” ABC News reported. “The European Union regrets that, in the run up to this vote, campaigning both for and against was not allowed,” read a statement from the 27-nation block. With little debate and scant information, the referendum was just pretense. So, why did Putin go through all the trouble to pretend? Low approval ratings, a New York Times piece argued, his “lowest level since he first took power 20 years ago.” Putin needed all the help that fake democracy can provide. Without any of those uncomfortable checks-on-power that real democracy demands. This is Common Sense. I’m Paul Jacob. Tags: Paul Jacob, Common Sense, He Tries Harder To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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COVID-19 Concerns Jettisoned For Protesters
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 03:27 PM PDT by Bill Donohue: A Catholic League analysis of the way six states have responded to outdoor gatherings, church services, and protesters reveals disparate treatment: there is one set of rules for protesters and another for everyone else. California However, on July 6, a ban was placed on chanting and singing in churches. No restrictions were mandated for protesters. In fact, there was no attempt to ensure that protesters practiced social distancing. Illinois On June 4, the Department of Health asked that protesters get tested but nothing was mandated. Indeed, nothing was done about limiting the size of the protests or maintaining social distancing. Moreover, the chanting and “group recitation” ban imposed on churches did not apply. Massachusetts Gov. Baker did make one exception to his directive. He declared that “outdoor gatherings for the purpose of political expression are not subject to this Order.” Minnesota Protests were not limited in size, as were church gatherings, and no attempt was made to enforce any restrictions on these assemblies. New York Unlike everyone else, contact-tracers are not allowed to ask New Yorkers if they participated in a protest. Last week, de Blasio went further saying he is banning all parades through September. However, he said Black Lives Matter protests were too important to be subjected to the ban on large outside gatherings. Washington On the protests, most especially those that engulfed Seattle, the Secretary of Health could not bring himself to address the threats to public health posed either by the violence itself, or by the mass gatherings of people in close quarters. These assemblies were not seen as “superspreader” events. Summary In doing so, they have belittled their status and increased the likelihood that their future directives and guidelines will not be observed. Tags: Bill Donohue, Catholic League, COVID-19 Concerns, Jettisoned For Protesters To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Leftist Slavery Was Worse Than Southern Slavery
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 03:13 PM PDT by Daniel Greenfield: Under 400,000 slaves were brought to America. Those enslaved African people represented only 3.6% of the transatlantic slave trade. By the Civil War, there were under 4 million black slaves in America. Over 20 million people were imprisoned by Soviet leftists in the gulag system. While the peak slave labor population in the leftist slave camps was less than the peak slave population in the South, the death rate ranged from 5 percent to 25 percent depending on the period. Under 2 million people died as a result of the brutal leftist system of slave labor camps and that was a fraction of the full number of people killed through various means by the Socialist system. Gulag labor was murderous with prisoners sent to work in uranium mines or to labor outdoors chopping trees and digging canals in subzero weather with little food and less protection. At one gulag, prisoners labored in uranium mines, breathing in radioactive dust, and dying within two years of cancer and leukemia. The sick were then used for medical experiments by Socialist medicine before they died. These horrors were not some relic of the Stalin era, but were being carried out as recently as the 1970s. The 1619 Project of the New York Times falsely claimed that America was built on slave labor, but before that revisionist history project, the paper had run a Red Century project defending Communism when Soviet Socialism was, from Moscow University to the White Sea-Baltic Canal, built on slave labor. At its peak, as many as 1 in 5 Soviet construction workers were convict laborers and massive slave labor projects like the White Sea-Baltic Canal, hailed as triumphs of socialism, killed tens of thousands. When Senator Bernie Sanders visited the USSR, he gushed over its socialist achievements, such as the Moscow Metro. The massive system had been built by Stalin to showcase the achievements of socialism and the Putin regime restored the old plaque reading, “Stalin raised us to be loyal to the nation, inspired us to labor and great deeds”. But it wasn’t inspiration that built the Moscow Metro: it was slave labor. “There’s a reason Joseph Stalin had gulags,” Kyle Jurek, a Bernie Sanders field organizer had argued, calling it a model for breaking Americans of their “privilege” by sending them to “go break rocks.” Nobody would propose a return to the plantations, but forced labor is still popular with some socialists. The Soviet Socialist system was built on forced labor, from the collective farms that peasants were not allowed to leave, to mandatory ‘volunteer’ brigades like those that helped build the Moscow Metro or harvested crops, to a massive slave trade in convict labor which built roads, tunnels, and canals, mined and did every form of dirty work, and was traded back and forth to Socialist civilian organizations. The Soviet Socialist achievements that American leftists praised were the product of slavery. While the Left demands that America make a reckoning for 19th century slavery, its leading figures, from Bernie Sanders to Noam Chomsky, were apologists for socialist slavery, and its leading institutions, from the New York Times to the Pulitzer Institute, both promoters of the 1619 Project, were complicit in covering up slavery and mass murder by their socialist allies in the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. Today’s ‘woke’ corporations, like Nike and Coca-Cola, benefit from slave labor in Communist China’s systems of labor camps, state-run and civilian factories, which encompass over 1 million people. The brands telling Americans that they need a reckoning with slavery have their own reckoning. Slavery has been a fundamental feature of the socialist regimes admired by American leftists expressed in murderous abbreviations from the Soviet GULAG to Cuba’s UMAP camps for Christians, to China’s RTL. The Khmer Rogue in Cambodia turned forced labor into genocide and this was not all that unusual. Southern slave owners, especially once shipping in new slaves was banned, wanted to profit from selling slaves and this resulted in a high population growth among enslaved African people, while the Soviet Socialist gulags, like their National Socialist counterparts, extracted maximum labor from their prisoners with no interest in their physical survival. They knew where they could easily get more slaves. The Nazis and the Communists operated unsustainable slave economies that always needed more bodies. National Socialist and Communist slave labor served a dual purpose, obtaining free labor for state industries (and in Germany, politically connected industries), and disposing of unwanted people. The National Socialists used slave labor to clear away unwanted conquered populations, Jews, and others who were not official members of the Herrenvolk, while building up the industries of conquest. The Soviet Socialists also used the gulag system, along with mass starvation and executions, to clear away unwanted ethnic and national minorities, including again Jews, but also to purge their system. The Soviet Socialists used slave labor to eliminate potential dissent and terrorize the population on a much larger scale because while the National Socialists had used mass murder to achieve racial homogeneity, they used it to obtain political homogeneity as the basis for their system. Both the National Socialists and Soviet Socialists envisioned an endless supply of slave labor that could be obtained through conquest. The South had internalized slavery, while the Socialists externalized it. Socialist slavery was not an aberration: it was the essential idea of Marxism and of Socialism. Article 12 of the 1936 Soviet constitution stated that, “in the USSR, work is a duty” and that the “principle applied in the U.S.S.R. is that of socialism: From each according to his ability, to each according to his work.” That was based on an idea from Karl Marx, who had had described the ideal Communist society as a place where, “labor has become not only a means of life but life’s prime want.” The message echoed the one placed over the gates of National Socialist concentration camps, “Arbeit Macht Frei” or “Work makes you free.” The Soviet Union, like other socialist regimes, had defined itself as a worker state. But the nature of work, where and how one worked, was defined by the institutions of the state. Slavery was the founding principle of socialism which defined life around labor, not for the self, but for the collective good. “Socialism is the final concept of duty, the ethical duty of work, not just for oneself but also for one’s fellow man’s sake, and above all the principle: Common good before own good, a struggle against all parasitism,” Adolf Hitler had articulated in a Munich speech titled, Why We Are Anti-Semites. Parasitism was the basis for forced labor in the Soviet Union and other Socialist regimes where the state defined who workers were and what legitimate work was. Citizenship in a workers’ state meant a willingness to labor on those terms. A failure to do so was parasitism which would be punished with redemption through labor. The “Arbeit Macht Frei” message of National Socialist concentration camps, derived from a 19th century novel about the moral redemption of forced labor, and the celebratory Soviet songs and poems of forced labor celebrated work as the true religion of a socialist state. Southern slave owners justified the subjugation of human beings by asserting that forced labor gave meaning to inferior people, uplifting them from a degraded condition, and taking care of them. Socialist slavery was based on the same premise and provided justification for Southern slavery. “The dissociation of labor and disintegration of society, which liberty and free competition occasion, is especially injurious to the poorer class; for besides the labor necessary to support the family, the poor man is burdened with the care of finding a home, and procuring employment,” George Fitzhugh, one of the most vocal advocates for the Southern plantation, had argued. “Slavery relieves our slaves of these cares altogether, and slavery is a form, and the very best form of socialism.” Fitzhugh believed that not only black people, but that most people should be slaves to protect them from the fierce competition of a capitalist society. “With negro slaves, their wages invariably increase with their wants. The master increases the provision for the family as the family increases in number and helplessness. It is a beautiful example of communism, where each one receives not according to his labor, but according to his wants,” he wrote. The doctrines of Socialism helped inspire Southern slave owners to defend the plantation. “Every plantation is an organized community,” Rep. William Grayson had mused. “A phalanstery, as Fourier, would call it, where all work, where each member gets sustenance and a home.” Fitzhugh had also argued that, “a well-conducted farm in the South is a model of associated labor that Fourier might envy.” Charles Fourier, the utopian socialist who coined the term ‘feminism’, had wanted to wipe out the Jews by sending them to labor in his phalansteries, massive utopian communes, as his original vision of utopian socialist communes had given way to labor camps that would break the enemies of socialism. Socialism is less efficient and produces less value, therefore it demands more cheap labor. Or slaves. Socialist slavery begins with idealistic visions, but all the schemes based on willing cooperation fall through. The peasants cling to their land and have to be forced into communes. The workers don’t want to work and have to be compelled. The volunteers don’t show up and volunteering becomes mandatory. The idealism turns into ossified academic jargon disguising the brutal reality of mass slavery. America has spent centuries making a difficult and bloody reckoning with slavery. Its leftist enemies have rarely bothered to even make the effort, blaming crimes on individual leaders, on poor conditions, and on interference by America in hellholes like Cambodia that would otherwise have been utopias. And, no matter how much we learn about the Socialist mass killings, rehabilitation is always waiting. The Left has failed to make a reckoning with slavery. That’s why the media nods sympathetically at old Communists, and clucks over McCarthyism even as it cancels random people over minor missteps. Its preeminent revisionist historian, Howard Zinn, was a Stalinist, its preeminent thinker, Noam Chomsky, defended the Khmer Rouge, and Bernie Sanders, its presidential candidate, praised the products of Soviet slave labor. These are the crimes of apologists for a contemporary Confederacy: a slave empire that spread around the world, killing millions, and enslaving countless millions more in systems of labor camps that dwarf anything that any Southern plantation owner could have imagined. Statues of Columbus and Jefferson are under attack, but a statue of the greatest socialist slave owner of modern times still stands in Seattle. Vladimir Lenin had set up the system of gulags that eventually enslaved and killed millions. Lenin’s plans had begun with “obligatory work duty” for class enemies, then evolved to the “most unpleasant forced labor” for members of the “propertied classes”, and then to camps full of slaves laboring to build socialism who had been sent there for even the most minor of offenses. As Feliks Dzerzhinsky, the architect of the Red Terror and the secret police put it, “Even now the labor of prisoners is far from being utilized on public works, and I propose to retain these concentration camps to use the labor of prisoners, gentlemen who live without occupation, those who cannot work without a certain compulsion, or, if we talk of Soviet institutions, then here one should apply this measure of punishment for unscrupulous attitude to work, for negligence, for lateness.” The purpose of the concentration camp was no longer to punish class enemies, but to find slaves. That Lenin’s statue still stands in Seattle is a testament to the reality that the Left has made no reckoning with its history of slavery. It has not repented of its crimes against millions of people. The greatest slave empires of the modern era were not Southern, they were Socialist. Conservatives have spent enough time defending the Founding Fathers. It is time to stop being on the defensive and attack the leftist proponents of modern slavery who propose to tear down their statues. Tags: Daniel Greenfield, Leftist Slavery, Was Worse Than, Southern Slavery To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Satan Has Nailed A Door Shut But God Has Blasted A Better One Open
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 03:02 PM PDT by Mario Murillo Ministries: The virus and the mass protests have shutdown American culture. The drastic changes have shocked many into stunned disbelief. This was not supposed to happen. We are being told that the America we once knew is gone forever. For a moment there, we were teased into thinking things would return back to normal. Then riots, looting, and anarchy took over our streets. And the spike in the virus gave Democrat Governors the excuse they yearned for, so that they might abuse power. This made the changes even more cruel. Millions of Christians in all walks of life are trying to cope with changes they never even imagined. They, too, feel that something wonderful is gone for good. Satan wants us to give way to despair—he wants us to believe he has nailed shut the door to our dreams, visions and plans. Do you know who understood that feeling perfectly? Paul the Apostle. When he heard the jail cell door slam behind him, the devil told Paul all the same things he is trying to tell American Christians now. The enemy told him his ministry was over. Paul was seeing epic miracles. Vibrant churches were being established, and then the door slammed in his face. This was beyond a shock, and made zero sense to the man who had seen the heavenly vision. That very same feeling of shock is eating away at many believers right now. Now comes my first major lesson for you in this letter: Quit wasting time staring at the door that has closed. God is opening a better one. God is not done with you—or with America. Paul got over the shock. He stopped staring at the closed door. Rather, he looked for the open door, and he found it. I thank God every day that Paul began to write letters. Letters that have blessed and encouraged you and me countless times. Letters that would touch billions of people for thousands of years. How could he have ever imagined the secret advantage of being imprisoned? And you and I can’t imagine the door God is opening to us right now. Here is how Paul described the miracle of his new open door: “I want to report to you, friends, that my imprisonment here has had the opposite of its intended effect. Instead of being squelched, the Message has actually prospered. All the soldiers here, and everyone else, too, found out that I’m in jail because of this Messiah. That piqued their curiosity, and now they’ve learned all about Him. Not only that, but most of the followers of Jesus here have become far more sure of themselves in the faith than ever, speaking out fearlessly about God, and about the Messiah” (Philippians 1:14-15). Look at that phrase: “the opposite of its intended effect.” God is forever taking Satan’s tactics and throwing them back in his face. Call it a backfire or a boomerang, no matter what you call it, the impact is a glorious breakthrough in impossible situations. You need to be seeking and preparing for that new door. It will come out of nowhere. It will irradiate you with hope and creativity. Let me tell you my story in this pandemic and chaos. Like you, I had to deal with the sudden and shocking change brought about by the coronavirus quarantine and the ensuing anarchy. There are many who are going through things far worse than I am. But what I went through was still pretty bad. I felt as if I had lost everything. The coronavirus scare closed down our tent crusades. For me and for our team it was a devastating loss. I am not exaggerating: I truly collapsed before God from sheer sorrow. Then I slowly began to feel the Lord stirring something new in me—the very thing I want this letter to do for you. Many of you who are reading this are faithful partners of our ministry, and have been for years. I was bewildered and almost embarrassed to write you about what Mario Murillo Ministries was doing during this down time. What makes my next statement so amazing, is the fact that what I was told to do next is the very same thing that many others were told to do. The Holy Spirit said, “Write what I tell you to write and record only the videos I tell you to record.” Next, we took the energy and resources reserved for the tent and applied it to God-given tactics on the internet. Anyone can make a video and anyone can write a blog. That is not what happened. What happened was a divine revelation of what to say, how to say it, when to say it, and whom to say it to. For me it was a crash course in social media and internet technology. So, we dismantled much of our structure and walked through the new open door. Then, slowly at first, something began to unfold. A new audience and a new impact arrived for Mario Murillo Ministries. Listen carefully, going on the internet does not explain what we did. Making videos does not explain what is happening here among us. What does explain it is this: in the last 30 days one million people have responded online to the things God told us to do. That is far more than we could have ever reached in our tent crusades. Take our transformed blog for example. By recalibrating it according the changes the Holy Spirit ordered, something astounding happened. We know that at least 2,000 Christian leaders a day read the blog. But the real story is not that they read the blog, but that they download it, study it and then use the ammunition in their preaching. We had nowhere near that impact before the pandemic. Then the Lord gave me video messages in a distinct format. Just 2 of them have over 150,000 views each. Oh, and yes, our tent crusades are coming back. Only this time they will be broadcast from the tent in such a way that millions will not only see undeniable miracles—they will be healed right in their homes. Hallelujah! That is how the devil’s attacks on Mario Murillo Ministries has backfired. Now it is your turn to see a door blast open. Now is not the time to fear, regret or mourn the loss of the old days. It is time for you to stop staring at the door that has closed and instead find the door that God has blasted open. Tags: Mario Murillo, Ministries, Satan Has Nailed A Door Shut, But God Has Blasted, A Better One Open To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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New York Times Editor Quits Over Newspaper’s Internal ‘Orthodoxy’
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 02:33 PM PDT by Jarrett Stepman: The New York Times hired Bari Weiss as an opinion writer and editor to help readers gain a wider perspective after President Donald Trump’s surprise election in 2016. Now, Weiss has resigned. In a lengthy letter Tuesday to the Times’ publisher, posted on her personal website, she says she was bullied and run out of her job because of her personal views. Weiss is a self-described centrist—hardly a conservative or Trump supporter—but she has drawn the ire of the hard left and seemingly a vocal portion of the Times’ readership and staff over her breaks from progressive orthodoxy. In her resignation letter Tuesday to Publisher A.G. Sulzberger, Weiss writes that since hiring her, the Times has become more ruthlessly ideological. “[A] new consensus has emerged in the press, but perhaps especially at this paper: that truth isn’t a process of collective discovery, but an orthodoxy already known to an enlightened few whose job is to inform everyone else,” Weiss writes in the letter dated July 14. Weiss then explains how radicals now drive The New York Times’ editorial decisions. Specifically, radicals on the social media site Twitter: Cotton defended the potential use of the National Guard to quell riots, a position held by just over half of Americans, according to polls. The Times backed down to the mob and attached a ridiculous, 317-word editor’s note atop Cotton’s June 3 op-ed, explaining how the published piece didn’t meet its standards. Two editors were forced to resign over the decision to publish the op-ed by Cotton, a former Army Ranger who served in both Iraq and Afghanistan. It’s clear that the real standard that was violated was the judgment of angry, left-wing opinionators. In her resignation letter, Weiss writes: She says she had become a target of hate from co-workers behind the scenes and that “other New York Times employees publicly smear me as a liar and a bigot on Twitter with no fear that harassing me will be met with appropriate action. They never are.” Weiss then offers a warning, and advice for young people who want a career in journalism: Social justice warriors have taken over newsrooms. The Times, for anyone paying attention, has been biased for generations. It’s a newspaper of record, as Weiss notes, and an incredibly powerful one. It also has been quite liberal and certainly has showed its bias in the past. And it’s published its share of fake news. The dispatches of Walter Duranty, who lied about the Soviet-created Ukrainian famine that killed millions in the 1930s, is perhaps one of the worst “fake news” scandals in modern history. Nevertheless, The New York Times has had its share of high-quality journalism and accurate reporting, and has attempted to inject at least some ideas in its opinion section that aren’t left wing. We are now entering a new era. The mask of objectivity is slipping off. It’s clear that those running America’s premier journalistic institutions are dropping any pretense of searching for the truth in favor of declaring they know the “truth.” Just look at The New York Times’ deeply flawed and highly criticized 1619 Project, which, despite noted and half-heartedly acknowledged inaccuracies, won the Pulitzer Prize and is now being force-fed to students in schools around the country. The slide of the Times mirrors the abandonment of the culture of free speech, debate, and inquiry in Western society. In its place is the elevation of “lived experience,” militant political correctness, and cancel culture—ideas once confined to academia that the left has poured into the mainstream. Genuine debate is becoming difficult in America. Conservatives and centrist or right-leaning Americans are canceled and siloed off from the mainstream; liberals who deviate even moderately from left-wing consensus are subjected to “struggle sessions.” Weiss’ entire letter is well worth a read, if only because it demonstrates where our cultural revolution is going. And how the left increasingly tolerates no dissent whatsoever. Tags: Jarrett Stepman, The Daily Signal, New York Times Editor, Quits Over Newspaper’s Internal ‘Orthodoxy’ To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Despicable Behavior of Today’s Academicians
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 02:05 PM PDT
by Dr. Walter E. Williams: The Michigan State University administration pressured professor Stephen Hsu to resign from his position as vice president of research and innovation because he touted research that found police are not more likely to shoot black Americans. The study found: “The race of a police officer did not predict the race of the citizen shot. In other words, black officers were just as likely to shoot black citizens as white officers were.” For political reasons, the authors of the study sought its retraction. The U.S. Department of Education warned UCLA that it may impose fines for improperly and abusively targeting white professor Lt. Col. W. Ajax Peris for disciplinary action over his use of the n-word while reading to his class Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.’s “Letter from Birmingham Jail” that contained the expressions “when your first name becomes “n——r,” your middle name becomes “boy” (however old you are). Referring to white civil rights activists King wrote, “They have languished in filthy, roach-infested jails, suffering the abuse and brutality of policemen who view them as ‘dirty n——r-lovers.’” Boston University is considering changing the name of its mascot Rhett because of his link to “Gone with the Wind.” Almost 4,000 Rutgers University students signed a petition to rename campus buildings Hardenbergh Hall, Frelinghuysen Hall and Milledoler Hall because these men were slave owners. University of Arkansas students petitioned to remove a statue of J. William Fulbright because he was a segregationist who opposed the Brown v. Board of Education that ruled against school segregation. The suppression of free speech and ideas by the elite is nothing new. It has a long ugly history. Galileo Galilei was a 17th-century Italian astronomer, physicist and engineer, sometimes called “father of modern physics.” The Catholic Church and other scientists of his day believed that the Earth was the center of the universe. Galileo offered evidence that the Earth traveled around the sun — heliocentrism. That made him “vehemently suspect of heresy” and was forced to recant and sentenced to formal imprisonment at the pleasure of the Inquisition and was later commuted to house arrest for the rest of his life. Much of today’s totalitarianism, promotion of hate and not to mention outright stupidity, has its roots on college campuses. Sources that report on some of the more egregious forms of the abandonment of free inquiry, hate and stupidity at our colleges are: College Reform and College Fix. Prof. William S. Penn, who was a Distinguished Faculty Award recipient at Michigan State University in 2003, and a two-time winner of the prestigious Stephen Crane Prize for Fiction, explained to his students, “This country still is full of closet racists.” He said: “Republicans are not a majority in this country anymore. They are a bunch of dead white people. Or dying white people.” The public has recently been treated to the term — white privilege. Colleges have long held courses and seminars on “whiteness.” One college even has a course titled “Abolition of Whiteness.” According to some academic intellectuals, whites enjoy advantages that nonwhites do not. They earn higher income and reside in better housing, and their children go to better schools and achieve more. Based on that idea, Asian Americans have more white privilege than white people. And, on a personal note, my daughter has more white privilege than probably 95% of white Americans. Evidence of how stupid college ideas find their way into the public arena can be seen on our daily news. Don Lemon, a CNN anchorman, said, “We have to stop demonizing people and realize the biggest terror threat in this country is white men, most of them radicalized to the right, and we have to start doing something about them.” Steven Clifford, former King Broadcasting CEO, said, “I will be leading a great movement to prohibit straight white males, who I believe supported Donald Trump by about 85 percent, from exercising the franchise (to vote), and I think that will save our democracy.” As George Orwell said, “Some ideas are so stupid that only intellectuals believe them.” If the stupid ideas of academic intellectuals remained on college campuses and did not infect the rest of society, they might be a source of entertainment — much like a circus. Tags: Walter Williams, commentary, Despicable Behavior, Today’s Academicians To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The Left’s Anti-Reality – To Which We All Must Submit
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 01:46 PM PDT
by Seton Motley, Contributing Author: I’m sure you think it. And feel it. We the People are currently awash in insanity. Nothing makes sense. No one is behaving rationally. It is because the Left is currently running things. They have been rapidly advancing – and almost no one is doing anything to stop them. Thus we are currently living in the Left’s Anti-Reality. This is how they wish the world to be – rather than how the world actually is. The Left’s Anti-Reality – is a nauseating and infuriating place. The Left loathes Reality. Because Reality is antithetical to their perverse worldview. Nothing in which the Left believes – works in Reality. Human beings don’t behave the way the Left thinks they should. And humans make Reality. Which is why the Left also hates humans. And spent the 20th Century murdering 100 million of us – trying to get us to comport to their way of (not) thinking. The Left can’t fit Reality’s square peg into their round hole. So lots and LOTS of hammering is attempted. But squares don’t fit in circles – and never, ever will. So the Left is totalitarian. Because the Left is inherently totalitarian – because the Left has to be totalitarian. Because Reality and we humans won’t voluntarily comply. So all will be made to comply. Sanity isn’t safe. History isn’t safe. No one or nothing normal is safe. “A” – must be made to be “Not A.” The Left continually riots, loots and burns large swaths of our land – and we are incessantly told they are “mostly peaceful.” New York Democrat Governor Andrew Cuomo forces senior facilities – seniors being amongst the most vulnerable to China Virus infection and death – to house thousands of China Virus patients. Deaths skyrocket. And we are incessantly told what a great job Cuomo is doing. The Left moves to defund the police – and murder and mayhem skyrocket. And Left darling Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez – says it’s ALL…just shoplifting by hungry family members. You want a statue of black liberator and hero Frederick Douglass in your town? Too bad – you will be made to comply. You want a statue of Emancipation Proclamation-author Abraham Lincoln in your town? Too bad – you will be made to comply. You’re a superfluity of nuns who doesn’t want to pay for abortions? You will be made to comply. You run a private bakery – and choose not to freely associate with a homosexual wedding? You will be made to comply. And on, and on, and on…. A particularly goofy example of the Left’s titanic denial of Reality? At the very outset of governments forcing us to hide under our beds in the name of a glorified flu – we wrote (on March 16): Coronavirus: Nation’s Internet Providers Have Made #SelfDistancing Telework a Piece of Cake Governments forcing us to stay home – means hundreds of millions of additional people flooding online residentially. All day, every day. For now four months – and counting…. We predicted it would be no problem here in the US. Because our longtime light-touch-regulation of the Internet – led to now nearly $2 trillion of Internet Service Provider (ISP) investment in our networks. Which led us to know our networks – would happily handle the strain. Net-Neutrality-addled, heavy-regulation-inflicted Europe? Not so much. But one week into the stupid shutdowns – one week after we predicted the US would do just fine: YouTube, Netflix Reduce Stream Quality to Ease Strain on Internet in Europe: “The moves comes after European Union Commissioner Thierry Breton, who oversees the EU internal market, implored streaming services to switch all streams to standard definition in a Wednesday tweet…. “‘We estimate that this will reduce Netflix traffic on European networks by 25 percent…’ the company said.” Please remember: Video is far-and-away the largest consumer of Internet bandwidth. Netflix and YouTube Make Up Majority of US Internet Traffic So Europe’s move – was a HUGE network traffic decrease. Made in advance – because they knew they couldn’t handle the strain to come. And just now – four-plus months into the shutdown stupidity – we have learned: U.S. Internet Speeds Increase 15.8% on Mobile and 19.6% on Fixed Broadband: “The Q2 2020 Speedtest® United States Market Report by Ookla® is based on Speedtest Intelligence® data from over 1.6 million unique mobile user devices and 18.9 million fixed broadband devices performing more than 85.1 million consumer-initiated tests on Speedtest apps in the U.S. during the period.” Get that? We dramatically increased online traffic for the entirety of 2020s Second Quarter (Q2). And handled it like champs. And whilst so doing – we increased online speeds by nearly 20%. Meanwhile, Europe had to preemptively reduce traffic by 25%. By ANY measure – that Reality is simply outstanding. But of course – the Left hates Reality. Today’s Steadfastly Impervious to Facts Award – goes to this guy: Did Broadband Deregulation Save the Internet? “Something has been bothering me for several months, and that usually manifests in a blog at some point. During the COVID-19 crisis, the (Donald Trump) FCC and big ISPs have repeatedly said that the only reason our networks weathered the increased traffic during the pandemic was due to the FCC’s repeal of net neutrality and deregulation of the broadband industry. Nothing could be further from the truth…. “As surprising as that might seem to the average person, ISP networks were never in any danger of crashing — they just got busier than normal during the middle of the day, but not so busy as to threaten any Internet crashes. The big ISPs are crowing about weathering the storm when their networks were not in any serious peril.” Are you enjoying this clown’s Anti-Reality? I didn’t think so. The reason we were never threatened with Internet crashes – is because our ISPs have built up our networks. They have been free to build up our networks – because we have had less government in the way. Big-Government-Internet Europe – KNEW they couldn’t handle the increased strain. So they immediately, preemptively, dramatically decreased the strain. A surrender – before the war even began. A tacit admission of the feebleness of their government-limited networks. All of that – is Reality. The Left’s disdain for it notwithstanding. Tags: Seton Motley, Less Government, The Left’s Anti-Reality, To Which We All Must Submit To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The Lies Behind the George Floyd Case
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 01:20 PM PDT
by Cliff Kincaid: The George Floyd riots that resulted in $500 million worth of damage to Minneapolis were based on a lie. With more evidence now available, one possible verdict is that the drugs in his system contributed to his death, as he was out of control and resisted arrest. Transcripts of police body camera recordings of the confrontation demonstrate that George Floyd, the so-called “gentle giant,” was foaming at the mouth and so out of control that the police had no alternative but to pin him down with a knee to the neck, an acceptable police procedure when a suspect goes berserk. A legal memorandum in the case, seeking dismissal of the charges, was filed by an attorney for one of the officers and incorporates the facts from the body cameras: “Floyd had just committed a felony, he was not being cooperative, and appeared to be under the influence of drugs. There was a lengthy struggle to get 6 foot four, 223 pound Floyd into the car.” (Other reports put Floyd’s height at 6 foot six or seven). He was 46 years old. With new evidence showing the police acted properly, the charges could be dismissed. If they are not, we can anticipate not-guilty verdicts in a fair trial that will be exploited to further feed the fires of racial animosity in the hands of the Black Lives Matter agitators. Or else the trial will be rigged and police will be framed for crimes they didn’t commit, in order to tamp down the potential for more riots. These are the stakes as the new evidence has emerged, throwing into doubt the charges of murder and aiding murder filed against the four police officers. A video snippet of the last part of the encounter, the knee on the neck, is what became the excuse for the riots and the current national hysteria over “Black Lives Matter,” whose name conceals a Marxist political agenda that aims to leave Americans defenseless as police departments are defunded. The liberal governor of Minnesota, Tim Walz, has imposed draconian restrictions on the movements of ordinary people but failed to protect Minneapolis when it was burning and a police headquarters was abandoned and ransacked. The federal government has rejected his request for a financial bailout. In a sensitive case like this, at the time of the incident, there was a need for deliberation and calm. But people jumped to erroneous conclusions, in the same way that the Michael Brown “Hands up, don’t shoot” case out of Ferguson, Missouri, turned out to be a case of a young black man high on pot reaching for a police officer’s gun and getting shot and killed in the process. The George Floyd case became the second go-round for the national effort to ignite a race war in America. It is working, thanks to commentators and politicians who jumped on the anti-police bandwagon. This time, “Hands up, don’t shoot,” has been replaced by “I can’t breathe.” But an objective observer could conclude that he couldn’t breathe because of too many drugs in his system and his delirium when facing arrest. (Floyd family attorney Ben Crump says the presence of drugs in his system when he died is a “red herring” designed to draw attention away from the police conduct). Regarding the kneeling on Floyd by one officer, after futile efforts were made to get Floyd into the police car, that particular neck restraint was used and “was something taught to officers.” It says that based on Floyd’s actions up to that point, “the officers had no idea what he would do next – hurt himself, hurt the officers, flee, or anything else, but he was not cooperating.” What’s more, it says the force used by officer Derek Chauvin by kneeling was not substantial, in that “there were no physical findings of asphyxia.” In other words, contrary to what most media have reported, he was not strangled to death by the knee to his neck. The knee was not responsible for his inability to breathe. That was caused by the drugs and his own uncontrollable behavior, as he worked himself into a frenzy. At one point, an officer asks Floyd about foam around his mouth, and he replies, “I was just hooping earlier.” This is a possible reference to taking illegal psychoactive drugs through the rectum. He may have been overdosing, which can cause foaming at the mouth. What people did not see in the video released to the public was that Floyd, after passing the bad bill, was first spotted in a car “digging underneath the seat, as if reaching for something.” It could have been a gun, drugs, counterfeit bills, or something else. The officers attempted to get Floyd into the squad car and told him multiple times to take a seat. He was said to have repeatedly kicked at the officers. “Floyd does not take a seat and starts saying he is going to die,” the memo says. As the strange behavior continues, one officer says, “he’s got to be on something.” Floyd “started to thrash back and forth” and “was hitting his face on the glass in the squad [car] and began to bleed from his mouth.” He got out of the car and officers “ended up bringing Floyd to the ground after the struggle to get him in the car because Floyd was out of control.” One officer finds a pipe, a smoking device for illegal drugs. “He’s got to be on something,” the officer observes. Another sees his eyes shaking, probably a reference to the rapid quivering of the pupils, another sign of drug abuse. The manager of the store where Floyd passed the funny money concluded that Floyd and his friends seemed “high off stuff.” During the melee, the police called for an ambulance. They understood Floyd was in a drug-induced state and needed help. But he died before he could be revived. People could have mourned the tragic death of Floyd, without the anti-police hysteria that resulted in riots and disturbances in major cities. These have now expanded from “police reform” into demands for America’s founding fathers to be demonized and statues of them destroyed. One death, which we now know was caused by extensive drug use, ignited all of this. It sparked a carefully-planned Maoist cultural revolution that includes calls to destroy pictures and statues of “white Jesus.” Conservatives contributed to this madness, as Sean Hannity of Fox News and politicians such as Senator Ted Cruz immediately condemned the police handling of the incident without waiting to get all the facts. Republican Senator Mitt Romney actually marched with Black Lives Matter in Washington, D.C. Radio host Rush Limbaugh went so far as to conduct an “exchange” with the black radio host, “Charlamagne Tha God,” to see if black-white racial harmony could be achieved in light of what the police had done to Floyd. The exchange was a disaster. Dialogue was not what they were looking for. They wanted white apologies over “white privilege” and police charged with murder and aiding murder. Soon after the incident, another video snippet surfaced, appearing to show Floyd scuffling with police in the police car, but few waited for the facts behind that part of the confrontation, either. Now we know he resisted arrest in a drug-induced rage. Then, an autopsy showing Floyd’s heavy drug use and the facts about his criminal record were conveniently overlooked to keep the anti-police narrative going. “What is not being told is the violent criminal history of George Floyd. The media will not air this,” said Minneapolis police union president Bob Kroll at the time. He was dismissed, however, as just an apologist for members of his union and the officers he represents. Some called for him to go because he dared to highlight some damaging truths about Floyd, including his four years in prison for aggravated robbery. In summary, the new evidence shows that George Floyd was being arrested for a legitimate reason, passing counterfeit money, but behaving erratically and was perceived to be high on drugs. His blood tests found evidence of marijuana, fentanyl, and methamphetamine. He was difficult to calm down, apparently because of the drug use, and kept claiming that he couldn’t breathe, a possible sign of hyperventilation caused by the drugs. But now that exculpatory evidence for the officers has emerged, the judge in the case, Peter Cahill, has imposed a gag order on the attorneys for the police. Tags: Cliff Kincaid, Lies Behind, the George Floyd Case To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. 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NBC MORNING RUNDOWN
Thursday, July 16, 2020
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Good morning, NBC News readers.
As the coronavirus pandemic continues to surge across the country, there are now nearly 3.5 million confirmed cases. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump shook up his campaign staff and a Bitcoin scam hit some of Twitter’s most famous accounts.
Here’s what we’re watching this Thursday morning.
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White House power grab of COVID-19 data deeply worries experts
The Trump administration has taken control of COVID-19 data in the United States, leaving public health experts gravely concerned about whether anyone outside the administration will be able to access the vital information moving forward.
Late Tuesday, a spokesman for the Department of Health and Human Services confirmed that the administration had ordered hospitals to submit information on COVID-19 patients directly to HHS, rather than through a longstanding reporting system via the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
The switch-up in the middle of the pandemic has left public health alarmed.
“Whoever controls the data is in the driver’s seat. They have the power,” said Dr. Christopher Ohl, a professor of infectious diseases at Wake Forest Baptist Health in Winston-Salem, North Carolina.
“I’m concerned that we’ll only get what their analyses and conclusions are, and there won’t be any way to corroborate it,” Ohl said.
The move comes as the number of COVID-19 cases in the U.S. continues to surge — there are nearly 3.5 million confirmed cases in the U.S., according to NBC News’ tally.
The number of confirmed cases in California has jumped so dramatically that the state is now restricting testing.
And in Texas, the virus is now also rapidly spreading in the state’s nursing homes, threatening elderly, frail residents who are most at risk of serious illness and death.
- Track U.S. hot spots where COVID-19 infection rates are rising.
- The U.S. death toll from coronavirus is 137,972 according to NBC News’ tally.
Trump shakes up campaign staff, demotes top manager as polls show him trailing Biden by double digits
President Donald Trump announced a new campaign manager for his 2020 re-election on Wednesday, four months before voters head to the polls, in an effort to reset a campaign that has already been through multiple failed reboots.
Trump announced that he is removing his top campaign manager, Brad Parscale, and tapping Bill Stepien, his deputy campaign manager and a veteran Republican operative, to take over.
The move comes on the heels of a new national NBC News/ Wall Street Journal poll showing that presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden holds a double-digit lead nationally over Trump.
The poll shows Biden ahead of Trump by 11 points among registered voters, with 7 in 10 voters saying the country is on the wrong track and majorities disapproving of the president’s handling of the coronavirus and race relations.
Meantime, Trump and his campaign are ramping up efforts to attack Biden’s mental fitness, despite polling and guidance from advisers warning that the strategy could backfire.
And Trump’s chief of staff thought he had declared a cease-fire in the recent White House blitz against the country’s top infectious disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci.
But trade adviser Peter Navarro had other plans.
Brad Parscale, Trump’s former campaign manager, during a campaign rally last year. (Photo: Evan Vucci / AP file)
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Obama, Gates, Musk: Bitcoin scam breaches some of world’s most prominent Twitter accounts
The Twitter accounts of Barack Obama, Jeff Bezos, Joe Biden, Elon Musk and many other high-profile people and companies became pawns Wednesday in one of the most visible cyberscams in the internet’s history.
Suspected bitcoin scammers grabbed control of accounts belonging to the rich and famous, as well as lower-profile accounts, for more than two hours during the afternoon and tricked at least a few hundred people into transferring the cryptocurrency.
A tweet typical of the attack sent from the account of Bill Gates, the software mogul who is the world’s second-wealthiest person, promised to double all payments sent to his Bitcoin address for the next 30 minutes.
“Everyone is asking me to give back, and now is the time,” the tweet said. “You send $1,000, I send you back $2,000.”
It’s not uncommon for individual Twitter accounts to be compromised, but the scale of Wednesday’s scam easily overshadowed previous breaches.
The attack was unusual for how many Twitter accounts were compromised, and for how long. Hundreds of Twitter accounts tweeted out identical language.
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A ‘tsunami of evictions’ is coming, warn housing advocates
Approximately 28 million people across the country are facing homelessness as states lift temporary eviction moratoriums put in place to protect those who fell behind on rent because of the coronavirus.
At the same time, 30 million unemployed workers will lose their $600 a week of pandemic unemployment assistance, a benefit that is set to expire at the end of the month if Congress does not agree to extend it.
Combined, the severe economic hit from the coronavirus has left the country on the cusp of a “tsunami of evictions” that could exacerbate already high homeless rates.
A protester holds a sign against evictions in Brooklyn, New York, earlier this month. (Photo: Erik McGregor / LightRocket via Getty Images)
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In Russia’s far east, rare anti-Putin protests gain momentum
An unlikely protest movement has become the first major challenge to Russian President Vladimir Putin after he secured his political future in a contentious vote this month — and it may spell more trouble in the days ahead.
Residents of Khabarovsk, a large city near Russia’s border with China, have been up in arms for days protesting the arrest of their governor on 15-year-old murder charges.
The governor whom the protests are defending, Sergei Furgal, is himself no hero.
But the sheer size of the public protests and Moscow’s response to them are remarkable.
People take part in a rally in support of Sergei Furgal, governor of the far eastern Khabarovsk region, in Khabarovsk, Russia, last week. (Photo: Aleksandr Kolbin / Reuters)
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Plus
- Unsealed bodycam video reveals new details of George Floyd’s fatal arrest.
- Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg was released from the hospital and is “home and doing well.”
- After Lt. Col. Vindman testified against Trump, the White House attempted to derail his promotion to colonel.
- From lipstick to lattes, perfume to podcasts, all manner of industries have been hit by the end of commuting.
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THINK about it
Actor Nick Cannon’s show got canceled. That’s not “cancel culture,” it’s consequences, Mikki Kendall writes in an opinion piece.
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Live BETTER
“Aging well is really all about connections and being socially active,” says an 86-year-old therapist. She shares 5 tips to help seniors endure pandemic loneliness.
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Shopping
Portable grills heat up fast, are affordable and travel-friendly, making them handy for a BBQ. Here’s what to know before buying one.
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One cautionary tale
A North Carolina man is hoping he doesn’t see the alligator who slammed into his boat again.
Pete Joyce, a firefighter and paramedic, said he was paddling in a swampy section of the Waccamaw River when he saw the alligator about three feet away from him.
He was stunned and didn’t have enough time to react before the alligator lunged at him and tipped his boat over, but a video camera he was wearing on his chest captured the whole interaction so he could process it later.
His take away: “Kayaking’s a great hobby, but you need to know your environment. You’re going into wildlife so you have to do your research.”
Yikes! Watch out. (Photo: Courtesy Peter Joyce)
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NBC FIRST READ
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From NBC’s Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Carrie Dann and Melissa Holzberg
FIRST READ: Trump has a 50 percent problem in the new NBC News/WSJ poll
One figure continually stands out for President Trump in our new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll: 50 percent.
And not in a good way for him.
Photo by JIM WATSON / AFP
Fifty percent of all registered voters in our poll “strongly” disapprove of the president.
Fifty percent say there is NO CHANCE AT ALL they will vote for him.
Fifty-two percent – in a separate question – say they’re “very uncomfortable” about his candidacy.
Fifty-one percent are backing Joe Biden in the horserace, versus 40 percent for Trump.
One of the old maxims of American politics used to be that an incumbent (for any office) needs to be at 50 percent to be safe for re-election – otherwise there’s a majority of voters who exist that don’t support him or her.
But Trump has a different problem at hand: He’s got 50 percent (or more) of the national electorate saying they STRONGLY oppose him.
And that’s something that a new campaign manager alone can’t fix
(By the way, it’s remarkable that Trump has switched his chief of staff and campaign manager in an election year, and they’re just blips as stories.)
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Meet the voters who are up for grabs
As mentioned above, our NBC News/WSJ poll has 50 percent of registered voters saying there is NO CHANCE AT ALL they will vote for Trump.,
And another 37 percent of voters saying the same about Biden.
That leaves 13 percent who are up for grabs, saying there is a fair/small/slight chance they might change their minds about either Trump or Biden.
So who are these 13 percent? They have negative impressions of both Trump and Biden, but Biden’s fav/unfav with them is slightly worse (11 percent positive, 45 percent negative) than Trump’s (22 percent positive, 43 percent negative).
They prefer Republicans in control of Congress by almost a 2-to-1 margin, 42 percent to 25 percent.
But their 2016 vote was split four different ways: 20 percent of them voted for Trump, 21 percent for Hillary Clinton, 21 percent voted third party, and 27 percent didn’t vote.
And it’s that last thing that should give us pause about these up-for-grabs voters: Just 40 percent of them have high interest in the 2020 election, versus 77 percent of all voters in our poll.
Bottom line: Many of them aren’t likely voters.
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Understanding Joe Biden’s declining favorability rating
The other major 2020 storyline from our new NBC News/WSJ poll is Joe Biden’s fav/unfav rating falling in one month.
In June, it was 37 percent positive, 38 percent negative (-1).
Now it’s 34 percent positive, 46 percent negative (-12) – only slightly better than Trump’s 39 percent positive, 54 percent negative rating (-15).
So what happened to Biden over the past month? Well, the poll shows that key parts of the GOP coalition – men, whites, self-identified Republicans – are more down on Biden than they have been in previous NBC News/WSJ surveys.
But it also shows part of the Dem coalition – especially younger voters – are more negative about Biden.
Remember, however: Many of the young voters who have a negative opinion about Biden are still voting for him.
Per our poll, 10 percent of all voters have a negative opinion of BOTH Trump and Biden. And Biden is leading among these voters, 62 percent to 4 percent.
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DATA DOWNLOAD: The numbers that you need to know today
3,520,538: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That’s 67,741 more cases than yesterday morning.)
138,355: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far. (That’s 971 more than yesterday morning.)
42.52 million: The number of coronavirus TESTS that have been administered in the United States so far, according to researchers at The COVID Tracking Project.
37 percent: The share of voters who approve of how Trump is handling the coronavirus, per the new NBC News/WSJ poll.
At least $115,000: The money sent to scammers who seized control of many high-profile Twitter accounts — including those belonging to Barack Obama, Joe Biden and Elon Musk — yesterday to ask for bitcoin investments.
74 percent: The share of voters in the latest NBC/WSJ poll who say they always wear a mask when they go shopping, go to work or are around other people outside their home — up from 63 percent last month.
About $70 billion: How much may be floated by Republicans for elementary and secondary schools in a new COVID relief bill, as White House officials eye tying school aid to reopening.
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2020 VISION: Sky-high interest
There are two other important findings in our new NBC News/WSJ poll – beyond the horserace.
One, interest in the election is sky high: 77 percent of all voters say they have high interest in the election. The last time that number was that high in our poll was in OCTOBER 2012.
By the way, Democrats have slightly more high interest (80 percent of them say this) than Republicans do (74 percent).
Two, voters care a lot MORE about controlling the coronavirus than they do reopening businesses.
Asked which congressional candidate they’d more likely vote for, 57 percent said it would be the candidate who focuses more on controlling the virus, versus 25 percent who said it would be the candidate who focuses more on reopening businesses.
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AD WATCH from Ben Kamisar
Today’s Ad Watch takes a look at a pretty clear instance of meddling in a primary election, in this case, Kansas’ Republican Senate primary.
It’s clear that many establishment Republicans want nothing to do with the controversial Kris Kobach, who lost the 2018 gubernatorial race for the party. So while Kobach and Roger Marshall have been locked in a bitter battle ahead of next month’s primary, it appears that a Democratic group is trying to pick their party’s opponent.
Here’s how the new ad from Sunflower State, a mysterious group with Democratic ties, describes both candidates in its new spot.
Kobach: “Too conservative” and too committed to building the border wall and getting tough with China.
Marshall: A “phony” who backed a “Mitt Romney-like candidate for president,” a politician “soft on Trump and weak on immigration,” and in case it wasn’t clear what they were getting at, “fake, fake, fake.”
One of those descriptions is going to play much better with the GOP primary electorate to which the ad is targeted. The question is, will the likely Democratic meddling (the group has booked about $900,000 through the primary, according to Advertising Analytics) help boost Kobach and give Democrats the candidate they want to face off against their likely candidate, the well-funded former Republican state Sen. Barbara Bollier?
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TWEET OF THE DAY: Hack attack
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In and out
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell previewed what will be in and what will be out of the Republicans’ next proposal on coronavirus relief.
In: More direct checks – McConnell said he’s going to “look at additional direct checks”, and has previously said he might cap those checks to people making less than $40,000/year.
In: Liability protections – “I’m not going to put a bill on the floor of the Senate that doesn’t have liability protections in it,” McConnell said.
Out: Unemployment insurance bonus – “The one mistake I think we made in the unemployment area was providing a bonus I think actually made it more attractive for many people to stay home rather than go back to work. I think that probably should not continue but the basic unemployment insurance needs to continue because we’re going to have a period of high unemployment for some time to come.”
The Senate comes back to Washington next week, and the House bill that passed is likely to be a non-starter in Congress’ upper chamber.
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THE LID: Pollapolooza
Don’t miss the pod from yesterday, when we looked under the hood of our brand new NBC/WSJ poll.
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ICYMI: What ELSE is happening in the world?
Here’s our NBC team’s take on the Trump campaign shakeup.
Trump allies are warning that his attacks on Biden’s mental fitness could backfire.
Ruth Bader Ginsburg is out of the hospital.
Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt has tested positive for COVID-19.
Anthony Fauci called the White House’s attempts to undermine him “bizarre.”
Trump’s political appointees are facing interviews intended to gauge their loyalty, Politico reports.
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