Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Thursday August 15, 2019.
WASHINGTON FREE BEACON
THE DAILY SIGNAL
| Aug 15, 2019 |
| Good morning from Washington, where the Trump administration is strengthening protections for independent hiring by faith-based contractors and sending more medical teams to the southern border to care for migrants. Fred Lucas covers both developments. Two mothers visit the podcast to talk porn in schools, while One America News Network’s Liz Wheeler joins “Problematic Women.” Plus: Romina Boccia on confronting the national debt, and Michelle Malkin on violence against immigration officials. Fifty years ago today, about 400,000 young Americans descend on a dairy farm for “three days of peace and music” at the festival known as Woodstock. |
| Analysis 2 California Moms Sound Alarm About Lewd Sex Ed Coming to Schools “Parents are coming over saying, ‘Hey, did you … see this activity where they ask the kids to imagine they’re a different gender?’” recalls a mom. More Commentary Open Borders Inc.: Who’s Funding the Wicked War on ICE? Federal government workers are under literal fire for enforcing our immigration laws and protecting America. More News Labor Department Rule Broadens Religious Protections in Federal Contracting The Labor Department proposes a new rule to grant the “broadest protection permitted by law” to religious organizations contracting with the federal government. More Commentary Ignoring the Debt Will Come Back to Bite Us A new analysis by the Congressional Budget Office finds that shrinking the debt to its average historical level could boost incomes by $5,500 per person in 30 years. More News US Deploys Surge of Doctors to Tend to Illegal Immigrants The Border Patrol takes an average of 80 people to the hospital per day. More Commentary No, Wages Are Not Rising Because of Minimum Wage Laws One study purports to show that states with minimum wage hikes since 2013 have seen faster wage growth for low-wage workers. But there are some serious issues with the study. More Commentary Problematic Women: Liz Wheeler on How to Win a Debate “The left engages in … what I call the binary choice tactic, where they want to place before you a choice where either you agree with their radical leftist ideology or your only alternative is that you are a bad person,” says One America News Network’s Liz Wheeler. More | ||
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LARRY J. SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL
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IN THIS ISSUE: – The End of the Filibuster May Loom THE END OF THE FILIBUSTER MAY LOOM Neither side has a practical path to 60 Senate votes, which may imperil the practice By Hunter Brown Guest Columnist |
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Dear Readers: We’re pleased to offer a piece this week from Hunter Brown, an outstanding Center for Politics intern, on a topic of great importance: the Senate filibuster. Hunter finds that neither Democrats nor Republicans have much of a practical, short-term path to a 60-vote, filibuster-proof Senate majority. That may incentivize the next party that wins dual control of Congress and the White House to eliminate the filibuster in order to pass major legislation — something that several Democratic presidential contenders are already proposing. — The Editors KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — With the exception of a brief stint in 2009-2010 enabled by a string of improbable Democratic victories, no party has commanded a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate since the 1970s. — Given the current partisan composition of the states, it seems nearly impossible for either party to gain 60 seats for the foreseeable future. — The Republicans, absent any major proposals needing 60 votes, lacked an incentive to end the filibuster in 2017. The Democrats, in contrast, have several such proposals heading into 2020. Is the end of the filibuster near? With hopes of winning full control of Washington in the 2020 election, Democrats have proposed bold ideas from Medicare for All to the Green New Deal. Fearing potential roadblocks, some have sought structural changes to American politics recently, calling for abolishing the Electoral College, packing the Supreme Court, and radically transforming the composition of the Senate. However, perhaps the easiest-to-overcome procedural roadblock to progressive policy objectives is the filibuster in the U.S. Senate, which future Senate majorities could end with a majority vote. Ending the filibuster has been mentioned by Democratic presidential candidates such as Gov. Jay Inslee (D-WA) and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), as well as former Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV). Of course, the Democrats (or Republicans) could overcome the filibuster by winning the requisite 60 Senate seats needed to invoke cloture. But, as will be explored in depth below, there have been very few filibuster-proof majorities in recent decades, and there seems to be no realistic path for either party to get another one any time soon. The filibuster has been a feature of the United States Senate since the nation’s early days. If a senator can talk ad nauseam, a piece of legislation will never come to a vote and thus fail. However, the Senate has slowly been weakening the filibuster’s power over the years. Initially, the Senate allowed unlimited debate, effectively requiring unanimous consent to vote on any bill, as any member could individually hold up a bill by launching a filibuster. However, in 1917, then-President Woodrow Wilson, annoyed at much of his legislation stalling and pressed by an impending entry into World War I, convened a special session of Congress, in which the Senate enacted Rule 22, enabling a two-thirds majority of the body to end debate and proceed to the vote. This threshold was further reduced in 1975 to three-fifths. The Senate has also begun to limit the scope of the filibuster. In 1974, the Senate passed the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, which created a method of bypassing the filibuster entirely for certain legislation called budget reconciliation. In 2013, with many of President Obama’s judicial nominees stalled and amidst the threat of an impending Republican take-over of the Senate, the Senate Democrats ended the filibuster for executive and judicial appointments excluding those of Supreme Court justices. In 2017, Republicans, in control of both the Senate and the presidency, ended the filibuster on Supreme Court nominees in order to approve the nomination of now-Justice Neil Gorsuch. Ironically, while it takes 60 votes to kill a filibuster, it would only take 51 to stop filibusters forever, as it could be changed as a part of the Senate rules, which only requires majority support, every two years. Thus, it may be only a matter of time until the practice ends for good. It has been increasingly rare in recent years for a single party to command a 60-seat filibuster-proof majority in the Senate. In fact, since the end of the 1970s, it has only happened once: For a brief period from July 2009 to February 2010, Democrats held 60 seats. However, it was a very tenuous hold, only solidifying after Sen. Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania switched parties and Al Franken (D-MN) was declared the victor of a razor-thin Minnesota Senate race. Furthermore, the Democrats held many seats they likely would not have much of a chance to win today, including both seats in Arkansas, Montana, North Dakota, and West Virginia as well as a seat apiece in Alaska, Indiana, Louisiana, Missouri, and Nebraska. Looking ahead, does either party have a reasonable path to 60 seats in the Senate? Probably not. I find it useful to divide the states into six groups, shown in Table 1 and Map 1: the Dominant Democratic, the Ruby Red Republican, the Swinging Sun Belt, the Bush-to-Blue, the Moving Midwest, and the Non-aligned New England. Going through these regions will help illustrate the challenges both parties face in trying to win a filibuster-proof Senate majority. Table 1 and Map 1: Six groups of Senate states |
Note: Categorizes independent Sens. Angus King (ME) and Bernie Sanders (VT) as Democrats because they caucus with the Democrats. The Dominant Democratic category includes the 14 states where Democrats can be expected to win consistently with little real opposition. Since 2003, only two Republican senators have won elections in these states, both in 2010. Scott Brown (R-MA) faced a disastrous opponent in state Attorney General Martha Coakley (D-MA) and eked out a close victory in the January special election. Mark Kirk (R-IL) also squeaked by in a Republican wave year. Neither man was reelected, and the Democrats now enjoy control of every seat in this category. The Ruby Red Republican category encompasses the 20 states which are heavily Republican and show no sign of changing any time soon. In 2009, 14 Democratic senators hailed from these states. Now, only three — Sens. Doug Jones (D-AL), Jon Tester (D-MT), and Joe Manchin (D-WV) — remain, with Jones on very shaky ground going into 2020. While both Tester and Manchin were reelected last year, both men faced subpar opponents and won by less than four percentage points in a Democratic wave year. Every cycle, seemingly credible challengers in these states emerge but often fail spectacularly. In 2014, they were Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes and Kansas’ Greg Orman (who ran as an independent). Two years later, former Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN) and then-Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander (D) came up short. And in 2018, former Gov. Phil Bredesen (D-TN) lost a highly publicized race by double digits. Democratic underperformance in this group of states represents the party’s greatest challenge to the elusive 60 seats. States in the Swinging Sun Belt category are growing and usually conservative states that have become more competitive for the Democrats in recent years. All of these states, with the possible exception of Florida, have been consistently moving to the left year after year. However, Republicans currently enjoy a 9-1 advantage in the Senate seats here. Thus, while Democrats certainly have potential in this group, it remains to be seen when and how effectively Democrats will be able to capitalize on it. Senate elections in Florida and North Carolina are frequently competitive, and the 2018 midterm elections saw competitive Senate elections in both Arizona and Texas (Democrats narrowly won Arizona, accounting for their single senator in this group, but narrowly lost Texas). The 2020 election, which features Senate races in four of the five states in this category, will offer a key hint to the partisan future of this group. The Bush-to-Blue states were typically more Republican than the nation but switched from red to blue in 2008 and never looked back. As recently as 2004, Republicans held five of the six Senate seats in this category. Now, the numbers are flipped, with Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO) as the only Republican in this category, and he should have a very hard race in 2020. However, Republicans may have underperformed their potential here. For example, subpar candidates almost certainly cost them winnable races in Nevada and Colorado in 2010, and former Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie (R-VA) found himself underfunded in his nearly successful challenge to Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) and came up just short in 2014. Regardless, Republicans are on the decline in this category but outside chances of success still exist. The Moving Midwest states represent areas with high concentrations of working-class white voters, who have been shifting to the Republican Party since 2010. After Barack Obama twice carried every state in this category, Donald Trump flipped all but Minnesota, and his loss there was very narrow. Senate Democrats currently hold a narrow 7-5 majority of the seats here, a noticeable drop from the 10-2 majority they held in 2009. Democrats swept the region’s Senate races in 2018 amidst a favorable national environment, but still underperformed expectations in Michigan and Ohio. While the short-term future here is murky, the long-term picture seems to favor the GOP, further imperiling Democratic chances at reaching 60 seats. The Non-aligned New England states of Maine and New Hampshire are outliers. Historically Democratic Maine has been drifting to the right recently. New Hampshire has been a swing state and seems unlikely to lose that status in the near future. Both of New Hampshire’s senators are Democrats while Maine’s delegation is split between an independent who caucuses with the Democrats and a moderate Republican, Sen. Susan Collins, who may not be reelected in 2020. In the short term, Democrats seem to have the advantage, as both of New Hampshire’s senators are personally popular, and Maine has not yet drifted into swing state status. The long-term picture here is decidedly less clear. Now we will at last consider the Democratic path to 60 seats. We start by gifting them all the seats in the Dominant Democratic and Bush-to-Blue categories, along with the four seats in Maine and New Hampshire, for a total of 38. To get the remaining 22 seats, Democrats would either need to completely sweep both the Swinging Sun Belt and the Moving Midwest or pick off enough Ruby Red Republican seats to make up for any losses in those categories. While possible, this remains unlikely barring a major political realignment. The Republicans don’t fare much better. The Ruby Red Republican states start them off with 40 seats, necessitating 20 from the remaining categories. The battleground categories of the Swinging Sun Belt and the Moving Midwest collectively command 22 seats, so Republicans would need to nearly sweep these states, possibly supplementing losses with upset victories in Bush-to-Blue states or New Hampshire. While possible, and easier to reach than the Democrats’, this path remains unlikely in an age of large partisan swings between elections where every midterm seems to be a wave one way or the other. Hypothetically, Republicans may have had a shot at 60 seats in 2018 if Hillary Clinton had won the White House — they would have needed to net eight seats, which would have been a possibility on last cycle’s Senate map with the Democrats holding the usual presidential midterm handicap — but even if they would have done it, Clinton still would have held veto power over any Republican grand legislative designs. In 2017, when Republicans had full control of both Congress and the presidency, the party lacked any legislative priorities requiring a filibuster-proof majority. Their two main initiatives, repeal of the Affordable Care Act and a tax cut package, both could be passed with 51 votes through the reconciliation process (the ACA repeal couldn’t win a majority in the Senate but the tax cuts passed). Thus, eliminating the legislative filibuster would not have advantaged them. Democrats, eager to pass, among other things, gun control measures, legislation expanding voting rights, and immigration reform, may practically need the elimination of the filibuster to accomplish these and other major goals. Thus, with an ambitious agenda and little chance at 60 seats, the next time Democrats enjoy full control, they very well may pull the trigger and put an end to the filibuster forever. Hunter Brown is an intern at the Center for Politics who recently graduated from the University of Virginia with a degree in mathematics. He is currently pursuing a master’s degree at UVA’s McIntire School of Commerce. Out Now: The Blue Wave, the UVA Center for Politics’ book on the 2018 election Our new book on the 2018 midterm elections, The Blue Wave: The 2018 Midterms and What They Mean for the 2020 Elections, is now available from Rowman and Littlefield. Edited by University of Virginia Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato and Crystal Ball managing editor Kyle Kondik, The Blue Wave features top journalists, academics, and analysts who explore the 2018 midterm from all angles and look ahead to the monumental presidential election coming in 2020. Use code RLFANDF30 for 30% off at Rowman and Littlefield’s website. The Blue Wave features the following contributors and chapters: — Larry J. Sabato: The Blue Wave: Trump at Midterm — Alan I. Abramowitz: The Trump Effect: The 2018 Midterm Election as a Referendum on a Polarizing President — Rhodes Cook: The Primaries: Democrats Shine in the Shadow of Trump — David Byler: Humpty Dumpty’s Fall: How Trump’s Winning Presidential Coalition Broke Down in 2018 — Kyle Kondik: The House: Where the Blue Wave Hit the Hardest — James Hohmann: The Senate: The Republicans’ Bright Spot — Madelaine Pisani: The Governors: Democratic Wave Falls Short of a Wipeout — Michael Toner and Karen Trainer: The Money Wars: Emerging Campaign Finance Trends and Their Impact on 2018 and Beyond — Emily C. Singer: Women Rule: The Surge of Women in Congress — Theodore R. Johnson: Hindsight in 2020: Black Voting Behavior and the Next Presidential Election — Matt Barreto, Gary Segura, and Albert Morales: The Brown Tide and the Blue Wave in 2018 — Diana Owen: Presidential Media and the Midterm Elections — Joshua T. Putnam: Foresight is 2020: New Features of the Democratic Delegate Selection Rules — Sean Trende: Was 2018 a Wave Election? Read the fine print Learn more about the Crystal Ball and find out how to contact us here. Sign up to receive Crystal Ball e-mails like this one delivered straight to your inbox. Use caution with Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and remember: “He who lives by the Crystal Ball ends up eating ground glass!” |
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THE EPOCH TIMES
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“Do every act of your life as though it were the very last act of your life.” MARCUS AURELIUS With Mississippi Sting, ICE Sends Message to Big Employers of Illegal Workers In Latest Veiled Threat, Chinese Military Says Troops Can Arrive In Hong Kong Within 10 Minutes Report: Portrait That Allegedly Shows Bill Clinton in Blue Dress Found in Epstein Mansion They are the faces of the Hong Kong protests that have dominated headlines for the past few months. Mostly in their teens and 20s, these Hongkongers have spent their summer months on tear-gas-filled streets. The Epoch Times recently spoke with several protesters about why they have kept up demonstrations since June. Read their stories New indictments are expected in the wake of accused sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein’s death by apparent suicide, as the case shifts to focus on unnamed co-conspirators, according to criminal defense lawyers. Read more A former Google engineer has released nearly 1,000 documents that he says prove that the company, at least in some of its products, secretly boosts or demotes content based on what it deems to be true or false, while publicly claiming to be a neutral platform. Read more Bruce Ohr, who was serving as the highest-ranking career official in the DOJ in 2016, played a crucial role in passing on unfounded allegations against Donald Trump from former British MI6 agent Christopher Steele and Fusion GPS co-founder Glenn Simpson to the FBI. Read more The wife of a high-ranking Justice Department official handed her husband a dossier of research on former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort in December 2016, according to newly released FBI documents. Read more Foreign actors obtained access to the private, unauthorized email server that Hillary Clinton used during her time as secretary of state, according to Rep. Mark Meadows. Read more See More Top Stories Attention: If you Currently Own or are Considering Buying Physical Precious Metals for your portfolio, please read carefully. On Sept. 26th, 2016, under the Obama Administration, the American Bankers Association and the Committee on Uniform Security Identification Procedures [CUSIP] announced it started tracking a list of Fungible Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium bars and coins. Simply put: when the failing banking system NEEDS to calculate YOUR ASSETS outside of their financial system, THEY CAN EASILY DO SO! Contact GSI Exchange to acquire the secret documented list of fungible precious metals that are now being tracked by the big banks. Call 833-474-4653 now to speak with a GSI Exchange representative about this new tracking trend. Click here to claim your complimentary copy of our exclusive Bank Failure Survival Guide while supplies last Two Potential Strikes Against the Second Amendment By Elad Hakim The recent tragedies in El Paso, Texas, and Dayton, Ohio, have once again brought the Second Amendment and gun laws into the spotlight. It’s clear that something must be done to try to prevent, to the extent possible, such tragedies from occurring. Republicans and Democrats, as expected, have different opinions about how to best accomplish… Read more Family, Faith, and Nation By Paul Adams Years ago, I saw Michael, a boy then only 5 years old, racing a girl from his school in a park. She was the same age but, at this stage, was bigger and faster, and was pulling ahead. This was an informal race, with no rules, and the boy felt free to do as he wanted. So he pushed the girl over and raced ahead. For an exuberant boy such as Michael to grow into a good man, he must be constrained by others from such behavior… Read more See More Opinions The Trouble With Taxes By Valentin Schmid “There is no more persistent and influential faith in the world today than the faith in government spending,” wrote economist Henry Hazlitt in 1946. If that was the case then, what about today? Nearly every problem in the world calls for the government to solve it. In return for these services, the government needs money—a lot of money. Read more Former CIA Director John Brennan might have perjured himself in testimony he delivered more than two years ago to the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence. Did Brennan Perjure Himself in Denying Use of Steele Dossier? Copyright © 2019 The Epoch Times, All rights reserved. Want to change how you receive these emails? You can unsubscribe from this list or remove my account. |
THE FLIP SIDE
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Thursday, August 15, 2019 ‘Public Charge’ Rule On Wednesday, the Department of Homeland Security published a final rule expanding the types of public assistance that make immigrants “public charges” and thus ineligible for green cards. DHS The rule applies to the following programs: Any federal, state, local, or tribal cash assistance, Supplemental Security Income (SSI), Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF), Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP, or formerly called “Food Stamps”), Section 8 Housing/Rental Assistance, Public Housing, Federally funded Medicaid (with certain exclusions). It does not apply to: Medicaid for the treatment of an emergency medical condition, Medicaid provided under the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act, School-based services or benefits, Medicaid benefits received by an alien under 21 years of age, Medicaid benefits received by a woman during pregnancy. From the Left The left opposes the rule and sees it as an attempt to sharply curtail legal immigration. “Never mind that immigrants are, for one thing, less likely to rely on welfare benefits than native-born Americans… consider for a moment how many Americans— our parents, grandparents, or great-grandparents–wouldn’t be here today if regulations that used the straitened circumstances of new immigrants to measure their future earning potential had been in place.” Jill Filipovic, CNN “Aside from the strong moral arguments against letting poor people go hungry and sick, no rational government would want immigrant communities to, for example, forgo vaccinating their children in order to avoid a punitive reaction from immigration authorities; that has all the makings of a public health catastrophe. No rational government of a country with millions of immigrants would want millions of immigrant children to show up at school hungry each morning because their parents are afraid to apply for food stamps. No rational government would want hundreds of thousands of immigrant families to risk homelessness because of a temporary dip in their financial situation. Simply out of self-interest, a country such as the United States cannot afford to drive millions of legal immigrants entirely outside the social safety net.” Sasha Abramsky, The Nation “The Labor Department reports that seven million jobs are going unfilled even as the economy is slowing… Foreign-born workers include surgeons, computer engineers and financiers, and also those working in restaurant kitchens and driving cabs, doing the less desirable jobs at the lowest wages. But they contribute to the growth of the nation, and if some of them need help at some point with housing or food stamps, it’s a bargain in the long term. The economic return makes immigration a great investment for the nation. Which is why Mr. Trump’s public charge rule is bad for all Americans, not just those who strive to become one.” Bill Saporito, New York Times “[The rule] won’t attract greater numbers of better-heeled, success-bound applicants. But it will radically slash the total number of immigrants gaining legal admission. And it will deprive the U.S. economy of badly needed workers of the sort who have a long track record of upward mobility… The fact remains that less-well-heeled immigrants fill jobs for which there are insufficient native-born applicants; they perform well in those jobs and move up the income bracket. The administration’s new rules, while complex — they exempt pregnant women, asylum seekers, refugees, military service personnel and others — would drastically expand the pool of those who could be denied legal permanent residency based on poor predictors of future success.” Editorial Board, Washington Post “By signaling that the huddled masses are no longer welcome while others in the administration (particularly Jared Kushner) continue to advocate for the types of visas favored in Silicon Valley, Team Trump spins this as advocating not for ‘zero immigration,’ but for the ‘right kind of immigration’… [But] ‘the president has made it more difficult—and expensive—to hire high-skilled tech workers from other countries. The administration has throttled a program that encouraged entrepreneurs to come to the U.S. It’s also ending work permits for spouses of H-1B holders, who are often highly skilled professionals themselves.’ As a result of the administration’s efforts, there was a 10 percent decline in H-1Bs issued last year… It isn’t just about dissuading the tired and poor from coming, it’s about telling everyone to stay away.” Alex Shephard, New Republic “The long-run structure of the American welfare state, which is heavily focused on providing health care and retirement security to the elderly, requires a growing population and economy. Immigrants contribute to both goals… Going forward, demographers forecast that immigration — both the people it provides directly and the children that immigrants bear and raise — is the only reason America’s working-age population isn’t declining. This is doubly true when you consider that immigrants’ work in the household and child care sectors likely serves to increase native-born Americans’ childbearing as well… That hundreds of millions of people around the world would like to move to our shores — and that America has a long tradition of assimilating foreigners and a political mythos and civil culture that is conducive to doing so — is an enormous source of national strength. It’s time we started to see it that way.” Matthew Yglesias, Vox From the Right The right is generally supportive of the rule. “The first comprehensive immigration law at the federal level was the 1882 Immigration Act, which, among other things, excluded anyone who was ‘unable to take care of himself or herself without becoming a public charge.’ That principle — the ‘public-charge doctrine,’ as it’s called — has been included in all subsequent immigration legislation, including the 1996 immigration and welfare-reform laws… “The Clinton administration issued guidance that barred consideration of anything other than cash benefits for purposes of determining self-sufficiency. In other words, an immigrant using food stamps, Medicaid, free school lunch, and public housing — but not cash benefits such as TANF or SSI — was to be considered self-supporting… Immigrants shouldn’t just use welfare less than the native-born — ideally, they shouldn’t use it at all.” Mark Krikorian, National Review “This approach is rooted in the common sense notion that immigrants should support themselves, not burden taxpayers. If they can’t support themselves, they should leave… However, the rule isn’t draconian. It applies to ‘an alien who receives one or more designated public benefits for more than 12 months in the aggregate within any 36-month period.’ Receipt of two benefits in one month counts as two months. Thus, immigrants in dire straits can seek assistance of the types addressed in the new rule. Their status will be in jeopardy only if they remain on it for a year or more, total, during a three-year period. And even if they do, they won’t automatically be denied green cards. Other factors will be considered in assessing the likelihood that an immigrant who has used welfare extensively will be granted status.” Paul Mirengoff, Power Line Blog Some, however, argue “there’s little evidence that immigrants are free-riding, and the DHS rule cedes too much discretion to bureaucrats over immigration decisions… most immigrants don’t qualify for most public benefits until they have lived in the country for at least five years. Thus DHS is directing immigration officers in the 837-page rule to project the likelihood that immigrants might someday become a ‘public charge’ based on arbitrary levels of income, employment, education and English proficiency… “While supposedly trying to flesh out a vague statute, DHS is essentially rewriting immigration law on its own. And wouldn’t you know, the rule bears a striking resemblance to the ‘merit-based’ system that restrictionists in the White House have proposed but can’t get Congress to pass. If this sounds like Barack Obama ’s legislate-by-rule strategy on climate change, that’s because it is.” Editorial Board, Wall Street Journal “Congress passed a law decades ago establishing that potential immigrants likely to become a ‘public charge’ should not be permitted to enter the country. That makes some sense: A new resident should be able to add to, not detract from, the existing community’s economic resources. The problem is that Congress did not do its job and clearly establish when an aspiring immigrant meets or fails that test… “The rule announced on Monday is 837 pages long. It needed to address all the thorny issues Congress avoided and makes a roomful of contentious value judgments along the way… This is a problem inherent in what conservative lawyers call ‘the administrative state.’ Congress passes laws that amount to mere statements of intent, avoiding the difficult choices that invite scrutiny and make enemies. It passes the buck to executive agencies, which then must make the value judgments and trade-offs via processes largely behind closed doors… Judicial oversight is no substitute for congressional abdication. Judges are not equipped to make the moral or technical judgments such laws in all but name require.” Henry Olsen, Washington Post “This isn’t about race… the story of immigration to the United States has always been about people of every race, color and creed who come here to work and take advantage of American freedoms and opportunity — not a desire to take advantage of the welfare state… Even if you don’t share administration hard-liners’ desire to cut back legal immigration, emphasizing merit is a common-sense concern that is supported by most Americans. Our culture is rooted in self-sufficiency and individual initiative. Our immigration system should reflect our national creed.” Jonathan S. Tobin, New York Post A libertarian’s take “If President Obama had made such aggressive use of his executive powers, Republicans would have cried bloody murder… This is a complete abuse of the original understanding of the public charge law, whose purpose was to bar indigent or disabled folks… [The administration] is trying to accomplish through administrative means what [they] couldn’t through legislative ones; namely, dramatically slashing legal immigration and transforming America’s family-based immigration system into an extreme merit-based one.” Shikha Dalmia, Reason On the bright side… ‘Storm Area 51’ turns into Alienstock Festival, may possibly include Limp Bizkit. Fox News Our volunteer team spends hours each night scanning the news, fact-checking, and debating one another, so your 5 minutes each morning can be well spent. If you’ve found value in our work, we welcome you to help sustain our efforts and expand our reach. Any support you can provide is greatly appreciated! 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THE RESURGENT
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The Resurgent’s Morning Briefing for August 15,2019
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Good morning, Here is all the news conservatives need to know to start their day. At 4pm ET, you can catch me on radio to bring you up to speed on developments throughout the day. You can listen live here. Thank You, Mr. President President Trump has shifted his rhetoric on Hong Kong in a positive direction and deserves thanks. I hope he will go further personally, but, for now, he is calling on China to deal “humanely” with the situation in Hong Kong. Concurrent to his statement, the State Department is calling on China to respect Hong Kong’s autonomy. The post Thank You, Mr. President appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » The Trump Labor Department Protects Religious Liberty This is a very big deal from the Trump Administration and progressive activists are spitting mad about it. Under previous Obama era interpretations of law, religious organizations could not help the government if the organizations maintained Biblical world views on sexual ethics for their staff. Put another way, a church run non-profit could not enter […] The post The Trump Labor Department Protects Religious Liberty appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » Reforming Schools in Georgia This past week, Governor Brian Kemp unveiled his thoughts on education reform in the state. Central to his ideas is teacher pay raises. Another ares the Governor wants to focus on is Common Core. When I first started hearing about Common Core, the rumblings were coming from conservative activists of a particular brand of crazy. They wanted me to know it was a Fortune 500 conspiracy to help introduce sharia law into the United States. The second set of concerns were that major corporations and progressive interests were designing curricula around Common Core to indoctrinate children into progressive values. But, of course, that frequently happens without Common Core. Enough conservatives started complaining that I figured I would look into it. Before I did, I began experiencing Common Core with my children. The post Reforming Schools in Georgia appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » Buttigieg’s Appropriation of God is Not Ok In a crowded field of competitors I get what he’s doing. And politically I don’t blame him. South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg is a longshot candidate who lacks the pedigree, chops, and experience for the office he seeks. But that doesn’t always matter in presidential primaries. Often times outsider candidates who find a niche, tap […] The post Buttigieg’s Appropriation of God is Not Ok appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » Donald Trump’s Self-Made China Mess After three years, the effect of Mr. Trump’s foreign policy seems to be coming home to roost. The post Donald Trump’s Self-Made China Mess appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » NEW: FBI Says a Shooting at an ICE Office in San Antonio Was a ‘Targeted Attack’ The post NEW: FBI Says a Shooting at an ICE Office in San Antonio Was a ‘Targeted Attack’ appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » Steve King Asks ‘Would There Be Any Population of the World Left’ if Not for Rape and Incest The post Steve King Asks ‘Would There Be Any Population of the World Left’ if Not for Rape and Incest appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » ICE, Abrams and Incendiary Rhetoric You better watch what you say, unless you’re a liberal Democrat. The post ICE, Abrams and Incendiary Rhetoric appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » Republicans Fret About Trump On Guns There is a risk for Republicans in doing nothing, but there is also a risk in passing laws that would be unpopular with a large and vocal part of the base. The post Republicans Fret About Trump On Guns appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » Stocks Surge As Trump Delays Some Tariffs Trump’s claim that tariffs were delayed due to Christmas undercuts his claims that tariffs are good for America. The post Stocks Surge As Trump Delays Some Tariffs appeared first on The Resurgent. Read in browser » Recent Items: Remember, you can listen to the Erick Erickson Show anytime and anywhere via WSB Radio, iTunes, Stitcher, and Soundcloud. As always, you can find pretty much anything and everything I’m writing about throughout the day via The Resurgent. Thanks for reading and tuning in. Erick Erickson THE RESURGENT Facebook Twitter Instagram Copyright © 2019 The Resurgent Media Group, LLC, All rights reserved. unsubscribe from this list update subscription preferences |
POLITICO PLAYBOOK
POLITICO Playbook: Only 23 Democrats left
By JAKE SHERMAN and ANNA PALMER
08/15/2019 06:17 AM EDT
DRIVING THE DAY
CHINA EAGER FOR A DEAL? … AP/BEIJING: “China threatens retaliation if U.S. tariff hikes go ahead”: “China on Thursday threatened retaliation if Washington steps up their war over trade and technology by going ahead with planned Sept. 1 tariff hikes on additional Chinese imports.
“Beijing will take unspecified ‘necessary countermeasures,’ the Cabinet said. It gave no details. President Donald Trump has said he plans to impose 10% duties on an additional $300 billion of Chinese imports.
“The Chinese announcement made no mention of Trump’s decision Wednesday to postpone penalties on about 60% of those goods until December.” AP
BREAKING NOW … NYT: “U.S. Applies to Seize Iranian Tanker Held in Gibraltar,” by Richard Pérez-Peña and Megan Specia in London: “The United States has applied to seize the Iranian oil tanker being held at Gibraltar, the government of the British territory revealed on Thursday, just as the authorities there were considering whether to release the ship they detained more than a month ago.
“The American action is the latest in a series of back-and-forth jabs that the United States and Iran have traded recently, raising fears of escalation into an all-out conflict in the Persian Gulf. Gibraltar freed the tanker’s Iranian crew from detention on Thursday, the latest sign that officials in the semiautonomous territory and in Britain might be attempting to step back from the confrontation.” NYT
BREAKING OVERNIGHT … AND THEN THERE WERE 23 … NATASKA KORECKI: “John Hickenlooper expected to drop out of presidential race”: “Hickenlooper will make the announcement via video. The video will not speak to whether he is launching a bid for U.S. Senate, the staffer said.
“The news comes after the two-term former governor failed to gain ground amid a sprawling field of Democrats. In July, POLITICO reported that Hickenlooper’s campaign was in shambles and that his own senior team urged him to bow out then. At the time, the ex-governor told advisers he wanted to give it another month on the presidential campaign trail.” POLITICO
— LOCAL NEWS SCOOP: CBS News reporter Shaun Boyd (@CBS4Shaun): The tweet
STANDOFF ENDS IN PHILLY … PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER: “Philadelphia police shooting standoff ends with suspect surrendering, officers wounded”: “A gunman who police say shot six city officers surrendered around midnight Thursday, ending a dramatic standoff in which two officers were trapped for several hours in a rowhouse with a suspect after the shootout erupted at 4:30 p.m.
“Shots were first fired when narcotics officers tried to serve an arrest warrant at the house in the 3700 block of North 15th Street in the Tioga section of North Philadelphia.
“Two Narcotics Strike Force bicycle officers were pinned on the second floor with three other people who were handcuffed, police said. The officers did not say they were hurt, but they were at risk of getting shot because a suspect on the first floor was firing into the ceiling. Before the surrender, Police Commissioner Richard Ross confirmed that the officers and those they had handcuffed safely left the property.
“Of the six officers who were shot, none of their injuries was life-threatening, police said. Within hours, all were released from the hospital. Other officers sustained non-shooting injuries.” Inquirer
DIGGING INTO THE GUN POLITICS … AFTER WE WROTE Wednesday about the secret gun talks between the Hill and the White House, we got a pretty good download from all sides involved about what’s at stake, and what the political dynamics are going into the fall, when an overhaul of gun laws seems to be on the table — even if on the edge of it, teetering — for the first time in a long time. Here’s what we heard a lot of:
— WHAT CAN THEY DO TO MANCHIN-TOOMEY? The last time Sens. JOE MANCHIN (D-W.Va.) and PAT TOOMEY’S (R-Pa.) background check bill went to the Senate floor, it failed. Four Republicans voted for it: John McCain, Mark Kirk, Toomey himself and Susan Collins of Maine. McCain is dead and Kirk is no longer in the Senate. The rest of the GOP voted against it. So what do Republicans plan to add to this bill to turn the entire party around?
WE KEEP HEARING THIS: The equation to getting a gun-law overhaul is not that hard (easy to say now!). Imagine this: something that looks like Manchin-Toomey, which is short of the Dem background bill, coupled with some Second Amendment provisions (such as allowing gun transport across state lines for hunting, strengthening prohibitions against a registry), to sweeten the pot for conservatives. Throw in some red-flag laws and mental health provisions, and you’ve got a deal. There’s no way it’ll be that easy! We’re still skeptical. This is just what we’ve been told by multiple corners of these negotiations in the last 24 hours.
— NO AWB, NO WAY: One of the challenges going forward is that there will be Democrats who consider this a half measure, because if something gets to the floor, it is unlikely to have an assault weapons ban, or a ban on high-capacity magazines.
— WHERE DO 2020 DEMS LAND? In our conversations around the Hill — not so much the White House — one question kept coming up: How does the 7% of the Senate that’s in the presidential field view a proposal like this? Could they vote for something that President DONALD TRUMP will have to sign, and something that will be silent on some of the more aggressive provisions the party has been advocating for? Numbers can become a problem if they all vote no.
— CIRCLE NEEDS TO STAY SMALL. As we mentioned Wednesday, W.H. leg affairs is taking the lead here. If other hangers-on latch themselves onto this process, it could drag it down. Remember, there are all sorts of factions in the White House: people who consider themselves guardians of the right and the left.
NYT: “Trump Weighs Action on Gun Control. But It’s Still a Theoretical Discussion,” by Maggie Haberman, Sheryl Stolberg and Jonathan Martin
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BURGESS EVERETT in Lincoln, Maine, and MARIANNE LEVINE: “Susan Collins and the GOP court Trump on guns”: “Susan Collins has watched countless gun debates stall out over the years. But this time, she says, will be different.
“The Maine moderate has long been a lonely voice on guns in the GOP. She’s one of just two Republicans left in the Senate who previously supported a bipartisan background checks bill and the only Republican serving who backed an assault weapons ban. Every time she’s gotten close to winning even modest new gun regulations, the effort collapses due to conservative opposition.
“But with President Donald Trump talking up new gun regulations, Collins is increasingly optimistic and has assumed a central role in the burgeoning effort to find a consensus among Republicans. She’s spoken to Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.), Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) and White House legislative director Eric Ueland about potential gun safety reforms and plans to talk to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) this week.
“‘The proximity of the shootings, the Gilroy one … and then El Paso and Dayton, that has galvanized people,’ Collins said in an interview as she crossed the state during a sparkling Maine summer day. ‘We’re determined that we take something up. Plus, the White House this time is it at least open to something.’ …
“Collins proposed to Ueland a three-part package: Tweaking the background checks bill sponsored by Toomey and Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) to gain GOP support, passing a ‘red flag’ law that allows temporary removal of guns from people deemed imminent threats, and cracking down on straw gun purchases.” POLITICO
Good Thursday morning. WAPO’S TOM BOSWELL: “The Nationals are riding a wave — whether it breaks in playoffs comes down to a pair of arms”
A HEADLINE POTUS WILL LIKE … L.A. TIMES: “U.S. appeals court appears likely to rule for Trump on ending protections for many immigrants,” by Maura Dolan in S.F.: “A federal appeals court on Wednesday appeared likely to allow the Trump administration to end humanitarian protections for immigrants from Haiti, Sudan, Nicaragua and El Salvador.
“During a hearing, a three-judge panel of the U.S. 9th Circuit Court of Appeals expressed skepticism of an injunction handed down last year by a federal judge in San Francisco preventing the administration from lifting the protections.” LAT
BIBI CAVES TO TRUMP? … WAPO’S RUSH EGLASH in Jerusalem and JOHN HUDSON: “Netanyahu appears poised to block Omar, Tlaib from entering Israel ahead of a planned weekend visit”: “A forthcoming trip to the region by Reps. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) and Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) will most likely be denied in its current proposed format, a senior Israeli government official told The Washington Post on Thursday.
“[T]he official said that if Tlaib, an American of Palestinian heritage, made a special humanitarian request to visit her family in the occupied West Bank, then ‘it would be considered favorably.’
“Omar and Tlaib, who have both been outspoken critics of Israel and support a boycott movement against the country, are slated to arrive Sunday. Their trip is being planned by Miftah, a nonprofit organization headed by Palestinian lawmaker and longtime peace negotiator Hanan Ashrawi.
“Denying entry for Omar and Tlaib would likely deepen the divide between the government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Democrats, who have privately said such moves are not emblematic of a country that prides itself as a democracy tolerant of political expression.” WaPo
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LIZ CHENEY REBUKES STEVE KING … @Liz_Cheney: “Today’s comments by @RepSteveKingIA are appalling and bizarre. As I’ve said before, it’s time for him to go. The people of Iowa’s 4th congressional district deserve better.”
— THE OFFENDING QUOTE (???): “What if we went back through all the family trees and just pulled those people out that were products of rape and incest? Would there be any population of the world left if we did that? … Considering all the wars and all the rapes and pillages taken place and whatever happened to culture after society? I know I can’t certify that I’m not a part of a product of that.” Des Moines Register
— REPUBLICANS DO HAVE TOOLS AT THEIR disposal here. They can expel him from the House Republican Caucus with a two-thirds vote of the membership. Of course, someone can move to expel him from the House, as well.
ALEX ISENSTADT: “‘Corey is a political hack’: Lewandowski Senate bid hits backlash in N.H.”: “President Donald Trump’s Thursday evening rally in Manchester, N.H., is ostensibly about ginning up support for his reelection campaign.
“But the state’s establishment GOP class is worried he’ll use the event to do something else: Talk up Corey Lewandowski’s potential 2020 Senate bid.
“Republican Gov. Chris Sununu has relayed concerns about Trump’s controversial former campaign manager to party leadership. Tom Rath, a former New Hampshire attorney general and a prominent Republican in the state, says he’s ‘not a Corey fan.’ Former GOP Sen. Judd Gregg took to the pages of New Hampshire’s biggest newspaper to deride Lewandowski as a ‘thug.’
“And Dave Carney, a longtime New Hampshire-based strategist who’s worked on an array of statewide Republican campaigns, called the idea of a Lewandowski candidacy a ‘joke.’ ‘He adds nothing to the ticket and doesn’t help the president or the ticket in any way,’ Carney said. ‘Corey is a political hack. Political hacks make bad candidates generally.’” POLITICO
2020 WATCH …
— SEN. MICHAEL BENNET (D-Colo.) has a new book, “Dividing America: How Russia Hacked Social Media and Democracy,” and his website is running a promotion to send Mitch McConnell the book. The site
— DESERET NEWS: “Will the face of the Republican resistance vote for Donald Trump?: In an exclusive interview, Jeff Flake, the former senator, explains why the Republican Party may be ‘doomed’ and why he would never call the president a racist,” by Matthew Brown in Provo, Utah: “I would like to vote for a responsible Democrat. I’ve worked closely with Michael Bennet. He’s a thoughtful, good man. Amy Klobuchar, I worked with her on a number of issues. Cory Booker has downplayed a lot of his bipartisanship. And Joe Biden. It’s been nice to hear him say, ‘I can work with the other side.’ That’s not what primary voters want to hear. But it’s what the country needs to hear because it’s true. I wish we had a Republican candidate who would say the same.’” Deseret News
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THE PRESIDENT’S THURSDAY … THE PRESIDENT will leave Bedminster at 4:30 p.m. for the Morristown airport, where he’ll fly to Manchester, N.H. He’ll arrive at the SNHU Arena at 6:15 p.m., and will speak at a political rally at 7 p.m. He will leave New Hampshire at 8:40 p.m. for New Jersey, and is scheduled to arrive at Bedminster at 10:05 p.m.
PLAYBOOK READS
BEN SCHRECKINGER: “‘Biden bungalow’: Donor with deep Ukraine ties lent $500,000 to Biden’s brother”
KNOWING KEN CUCCINELLI … THE ATLANTIC’S ELAINA PLOTT: “The New Stephen Miller”: “A former senior White House official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity in order to be frank, told me that one of the chief challenges in staffing this administration has been finding people whose fervor for hard-line immigration policies matches that of the president, and whose résumé includes even one line of government experience. Miller has thus found himself on an island at times in his attempt to execute his more extreme visions for the nation’s immigration system. (A screaming match on the topic of, say, the proposed Mexican border wall is not unusual, said the source, who was party to one such exchange.) Enter Cuccinelli.” The Atlantic
EPSTEIN LATEST — WAPO’S CAROL LEONNIG and AARON DAVIS: “Autopsy finds broken bones in Jeffrey Epstein’s neck, deepening questions around his death”: “Among the bones broken in Epstein’s neck was the hyoid bone, which in men is near the Adam’s apple. Such breaks can occur in those who hang themselves, particularly if they are older, according to forensics experts and studies on the subject. But they are more common in victims of homicide by strangulation, the experts said. …
“‘If, hypothetically, the hyoid bone is broken, that would generally raise questions about strangulation, but it is not definitive and does not exclude suicidal hanging,’ [Jonathan L. Arden, president of the National Association of Medical Examiners] said.” WaPo
— CRAZY INTERVIEW — “Jeffrey Epstein’s Bodyguard on His Former Boss’s Lifestyle, Cruelty, Suicide,” by N.Y. Mag’s M.L. Nestel: “When did you find out he died? Saturday or Sunday or whenever. What did you think when you found that out? What did I think? Yeah. Are you sure you want to hear what I am going to think? Yeah. Somebody helped him to do that. You think somebody helped him kill himself? Yeah.” New York
— BLOOMBERG: “The Epstein Tapes: Unearthed Recordings From His Private Island”: “After Epstein’s arrest on July 6, [journalist David] Bank dug out the tapes [of the 2003 interview] and listened to them. The financier was, Bank recalled, friendly and gracious, eager to pontificate about many things but cagey about exactly what he did in his role as financial adviser to Leslie Wexner, the billionaire he met in Palm Beach in the 1980s and who opened doors for him in business and finance and beyond.
“Epstein wouldn’t name any of his other clients, nor say how many there were. ‘Less than 10. More than four.’”
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HEADS UP, HONG KONG … REUTERS/SHENZHEN: “In ‘clear warning,’ Chinese paramilitary forces exercise near Hong Kong”: “Hundreds of members of China’s People’s Armed Police could be seen conducting exercises on Thursday at a sports stadium in Shenzhen …
“On Thursday men in fatigues could be seen in a stadium and shouts and whistles could be heard by a Reuters journalist. The stadium is next to a retail complex and shoppers were milling around the area, although the entrances to the stadium were closed.
“Parking spaces at the stadium were filled with more than 100 dark-painted paramilitary vehicles, including troop trucks, armored personnel carriers, buses and jeeps. At least three were armored wheel-loaders, and two vehicles carried water cannons.” Reuters
FOREIGN AID UPDATE — “U.S. officials shield Ivanka Trump’s and Mike Pence’s projects in review of foreign aid,” by WaPo’s John Hudson: “The Trump administration has decided to shield the signature projects of White House adviser Ivanka Trump and Vice President Pence as it looks to cancel billions of dollars in foreign aid for other projects around the world, U.S. officials said.
“In coming days, the White House is expected to send a proposal to Congress for returning billions of dollars of unspent foreign aid funds to the Treasury in a process known as rescission. Officials say they will safeguard funding for global health programs.” WaPo
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4CHAN STRIKES AGAIN … AP’S NICK PERRY in Wellington: “New Zealand officials admitted Wednesday that they made a mistake by allowing the man accused of killing 51 people at two Christchurch mosques to send a hand-written letter from his prison cell.
“The six-page letter from Brenton Tarrant was posted this week on the website 4chan, which has become notorious as a place for white supremacists to post their views. And it comes at a sensitive time, with other alleged killers from El Paso to Norway citing Tarrant as an inspiration.” AP
MEDIAWATCH … MICHAEL CALDERONE: “Behind Nate Silver’s war with The New York Times”: “The 41-year-old editor of the data-driven news site FiveThirtyEight recently called his former employer arrogant, engaged in an extended Twitter debate with his successor, who is also named Nate, and helped ignite outrage online over the paper’s front-page headline on the president’s response to two mass shootings, a wound that caused such pain it obliged Times publisher A.G. Sulzberger and executive editor Dean Baquet to hold an all-staff meeting this week to clear the air.
“Silver’s persistent criticism of the Times, stretching back to the last presidential election, has long struck some inside the newsroom as less about methodology and more about personal grievances with the paper that was unable to meet his demands to expand FiveThirtyEight and now publishes The Upshot, which features Nate Cohn’s coverage of elections, polling and demographics.”
— DEAN BAQUET DEFENDS THE POST: “I think [Bernie Sanders] did it in a very inappropriate way. I have never seen any evidence in my conversations with friends at The Washington Post that Jeff Bezos has any influence over coverage. I think in the realm of criticism, that one particularly crossed the line.” CNN
— STEPHANIE GRISHAM’S FIRST TV HIT … WITH SINCLAIR’S ERIC BOLLING: “Asked whether the White House would bring back the daily press briefings, Grisham deferred to Trump to make that decision adding, ‘The president is his best spokesperson.’
“‘The president is so accessible,’ she said, citing near-daily press gaggles at Marine One, the Oval Office and recently at his residence in Bedminster, New Jersey. ‘He is the most accessible president in modern history, so I don’t know what any of the press could complain about.’” WJLA
— “Anna Wintour expands title in Condé Nast reshuffling,” by N.Y. Post’s Keith J. Kelly: “In a series of big changes at Condé Nast announced Wednesday, Wintour — the editor in chief of Vogue and artistic director of all the US — was also named ‘global content advisor’ for the company’s international brands. The new role gives her more authority over Vogue’s International Brands and places her in an advisory role to Condé’s other overseas magazines.” N.Y. Post
— Adam Rubenstein is now working at the NYT opinion page. He previously was assistant opinion editor at The Weekly Standard.
— Ryan Teague Beckwith will join Bloomberg to cover the 2020 campaign. He most recently was an editor at Time.
PLAYBOOKERS
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SPOTTED: Wolf Blitzer parking his car Wednesday night in the lot across the street from Cafe Milano. … Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.) at Nancy’s Candy Etc. and the Mercantile in Dennis, Mass.
TRANSITIONS — Benjamin Haas will be advocacy counsel for national security at Human Rights First. He was previously an associate at Covington & Burling. … Marlena Baldacci will be national media relations manager at Dana-Farber Cancer Institute. She previously was a producer/news editor at CNN. … Kristen Honey will be director of innovation at the Institute for Education. She is currently innovator in residence in HHS’ Office of the Chief Technology Officer.
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Hannah Salem, special assistant to the president and director of press advance at the White House. How she got her start in politics: “At 17 years old, I was recruited as ‘letter folder #2’ in a commercial for Louisiana congressional candidate Lee Fletcher. We lost in a razor-thin runoff, but I was hooked and decided to pursue a career in PR and politics.” Playbook Plus Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Justice Stephen Breyer is 81 … Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) is 81 … Rep. Elaine Luria (D-Va.) is 44 … Vernon Jordan is 84 … Melinda Gates is 55 … Karen Finney (hat tip: Tim Burger) … Linda Ellerbee is 75 … Dave Price … Treasury’s Devin O’Malley is 32 … McClatchy’s Kevin Hall is 57 … AARP’s Patrice Woods Wildgoose … Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell is 4-0 … Peggy Binzel … Diane Feldman (h/ts Jon Haber) … Emily Smith … Tom Murphy … Susanne Salkind … Jack O’Meara (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) … Jarrett Lewis … Jon Black … NBC Capitol Hill reporter Leigh Ann Caldwell (h/t Ali Spiesman) … Patrick Gleason, VP of state affairs at Americans for Tax Reform … Kathryn Potter … Annie Minkler … Rachel Haot, executive director of the Transit Innovation Partnership at the Partnership for New York City … Elise Labott (h/t Ben Chang) … Maggie Mulvaney …
… Jesse McKinley, NYT Albany bureau chief, is 49 … Richard Hudock, communications director at NBC News, is 3-0 (h/t boyfriend Ned Price) … Mary Elizabeth Taylor, assistant secretary of State for legislative affairs … Anup Rao … Derek Kan, executive associate director at OMB … Billy Pitts … Sarah Bell … Edelman Intelligence’s Stephanie Lesser … Eric Tanenblatt, global chair of public policy and regulation at Dentons … Bart Reising … Ben Weinberg … Brett Doyle … AECOM’s John Konkus … ABC’s Mariam Khan … Tom Best … former Rep. Robert Pittenger (R-N.C.) is 71 … former Rep. Judy Biggert (R-Ill.) is 82 … Larry Cohen … Meg Joseph … Christopher Loring … Maral Karaccusian … Sam Davidson … Zahava Urecki … Todd Bernstein … KJ Fallon … Will Dizard … Alison Rose Levy … Desiree Wineland … Miranda Barrett is 4-0 … Britain’s Princess Anne is 69
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| Fears of a looming U.S. recession became painfully evident on Wednesday as warning signs of a slowdown flashed around the world. U.S stocks suffered their worst day of losses this year — sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 800 points — after turmoil in the U.S. bond market and weak economic data from Germany and China raised the odds of a worldwide contraction. The market plunge reflects a collective assessment that economic projections for slower growth next year could lurch into contraction, ending more than a decade of U.S. expansion following the 2008 global financial crisis (The Hill). Analysts pointed to worrisome indicators that another recession, long considered inevitable, may be nearer than imagined just a few months ago. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note on Wednesday briefly broke below the 2-year rate, a phenomenon seen as a warning of tumult ahead. Investors rushed for cover in long-term, safe-haven assets (CNBC). Analysts are debating whether a shock that may have snuffed out a lengthy expansion came from President Trump’s trade war with China or a mistake by Federal Reserve policymakers last winter. Trump has pointed to monetary policy set by the Fed as a problem, while the central bank has argued that its toolbox is ill-suited to fix tariff tensions (Reuters). Wednesday’s market drop felt like whiplash a day after a 1.5 percent gain, driven by the White House decision to retreat for the rest of the year from Trump’s threatened next round of tariffs on Chinese imports. The announcement reflected concern that U.S. consumers, the undisputed engine behind U.S. growth, are critical to the holiday shopping season. But there is increasing evidence that the fight between the two largest economies over trade, technology and economic dominance has already done significant damage to the world economy (The New York Times). Germany reported on Wednesday that its economy shrank in the last quarter. If the next quarter is in decline, it means the eurozone’s largest economic engine is in recession. New indicators reported on Wednesday showed that China’s economy is slowing. Neil Irwin of The New York Times explains that the turmoil reflects many factors around the world, including political dysfunction, uncertain policymaking and international conflicts: “The shift in the bond market since late July, and especially on Wednesday, signals something bigger is going on. The trade war is just one piece of it.” A U.S. recession in 2020 would reshape the presidential contest and, if history is a guide, significantly weaken Trump’s chances for reelection. It could also cast a different light on Democratic candidates’ policy prescriptions and voters’ views of their executive experience and economic advisers. The president has unabashedly claimed credit for the stock market when it climbed, and he will find it difficult to dodge blame if investments plummet, growth stalls and employers shed workers. “Our country now has the hottest economy anywhere in the world,” Trump assured plant workers in Pennsylvania this week. “Our economy is roaring.” |
| © Getty Images |
| LEADING THE DAY |
| POLITICS & CAMPAIGNS: The Democratic presidential primary field is likely to shrink today as former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper is expected to end his bid for the party’s nomination, bringing the field to 23 candidates (The Associated Press). Hickenlooper has struggled throughout his campaign and has been unable to gather momentum, including in two forgettable debate performances, creating problems for him to qualify for the next round of Democratic debates in mid-September. According to CNN, it remains unknown whether Hickenlooper will jump to run for the Senate in Colorado against Sen. Cory Gardner (D-Colo.), who is among the most vulnerable Senate Republicans up for reelection next year. Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) has been prodding him for months to launch a bid against the incumbent Republican. Although Hickenlooper has repeatedly said he isn’t cut out to serve in the Senate, he has warmed to the idea of running for the Senate, and he has plenty of time to consider his options. The filing deadline for Hickenlooper to jump in the race is not until March 17, 2020 ahead of a late June primary contest. “He would win,” said Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.) told MSNBC about Hickenlooper’s chances against Gardner if he were to make that decision. Bennet was appearing on “The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnell” late Wednesday when news broke of Hickenlooper’s impending announcement. “He’s right where the state is on a whole range of issues and he left office as popular as he came into office,” Bennet told the host. “We obviously have to win the Senate seat in Colorado. That’s critical.” > Trump in N.H.: The president is making a foray into New Hampshire, a state he lost in 2016, today as he holds out hope to flip the state’s four electoral votes in a bid to increase his chances of winning reelection next year. As Reid Wilson writes, Trump is making a rare appearance in a state in which he fell short in 2016, having lost the Granite State to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016 by only 2,800 votes, the closest margin of any state in the U.S. Since the 2018 midterms, the president has not held a campaign event in any blue state, opting to woo voters in the key states that propelled him to the presidency — Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Florida, to name a few. However, New Hampshire is not like other states that went for Clinton in 2020, most of which Trump has little hope of flipping next year. Under ordinary circumstances, Trump’s campaign should see New Hampshire as a prime target to expand his base. Since he took office, New Hampshire has added about 20,000 jobs and its unemployment rate is down to 2.5 percent, close to its lowest mark ever. However, he finds himself underwater in polling in the state and in need to reach out to a group of Republicans that have largely spurned him, but continue to support New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu: Country club Republicans. “Trump needs to improve in the more moderate, lean-GOP areas like Bedford and Amherst to win [New Hampshire],” said Mike Dennehy, a longtime Republican strategist who steered the late Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) two winning primary campaigns in New Hampshire. “Bedford is actually heavily Republican, but swing voters who are lean GOP are the ones who Trump needs to connect with.” Sununu outperformed Trump in 2016 by over 8,000 votes, largely by winning over country club Republicans and a growing number of voters who reside in the state while commuting to Boston for work. The Associated Press: Trump’s New Hampshire struggle: Voters feeling ‘Trumpgret.’ The Hill: Corey Lewandowski to join Trump at NH rally amid Senate bid speculation. Politico: ‘Corey is a political hack’: Lewandowski Senate bid hits backlash in N.H. |
© Getty Images
> Beto back on trail: Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) is looking to jumpstart his presidential campaign with a speech later today in his hometown of El Paso nearly two weeks after the mass shooting there that rocked the community and as O’Rourke has stayed off the campaign trail.
As Niall Stanage writes, after seeing his campaign fall flat throughout the spring and summer, O’Rourke is hoping to recapture the excitement that surrounded his Senate campaign last year, turning him into an overnight sensation before his loss to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) last fall.
But O’Rourke has catapulted back into the national spotlight in the most tragic circumstances imaginable — the Aug. 3 mass shooting in his hometown that left 22 people dead. Since then, the former Texas congressman has laid the blame at Trump’s feet for the rhetoric aimed at immigrants and has slammed the president at every turn, including in one back-and-forth with a reporter.
“I thought his response came across as very genuine,” said Keir Murray, a Texas-based Democratic strategist. “He was in a unique position to offer the response that he did because it is his city. It is a fine line and I think he largely walked it pretty well, and he did demonstrate some of his strengths.”
Today’s speech is expected to serve as his return to the campaign trail and will reportedly center on three key themes: racism, white supremacy and guns. It will start at 9:15 a.m. EDT.
The New York Times: Many Democrats love Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.). They also worry about her.
The Washington Post: Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) outlines plan to boost efforts against suspected domestic terrorists.
The Hill: Deepfake videos may have unwitting ally in U.S. media.
The Hill: Ex-CIA chief worries campaigns falling short on cybersecurity.
> Biden slowdown?: Allies to former Vice President Joe Biden have been floating the idea about slowing down the former vice president’s schedule in an effort to reduce the gaffes he has made in recent days. The allies, growing increasingly nervous about Biden’s misstatements, have said it’s an idea that’s been suggested to campaign officials in recent days.
“He needs to be a strong force on the campaign trail but he also has to pace himself,” said one ally who has talked to members of the campaign team and others in the broader Biden World about a future strategy. They ally said it was unclear whether the campaign would make any changes to Biden’s schedule. But it appeared that they would not (The Hill).
The Hill: 2020 Democrats fight to claim President Obama’s mantle on health care.
***
CONGRESS: Much to the chagrin of Republicans, Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa) is at it again.
King added to his lengthy list of incendiary remarks on Wednesday when he attempted to defend anti-abortion legislation with no exceptions for rape or incest while speaking to a group in Urbandale, Iowa, asking if there would “there be any population of the world left” if rape and incest had not occurred in history (The Hill).
“What if we went back through all the family trees and just pulled those people out that were products of rape and incest? Would there be any population of the world left if we did that?” he said at the event.
“Considering all the wars and all the rapes and pillages taken place and whatever happened to culture after society? I know I can’t certify that I’m not a part of a product of that,” King continued.
The backlash was swift from both sides of the aisle. Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.), third in line in the House GOP leadership responded shortly after his remarks were reported by the Des Moines Register, saying “it’s time for him to go,” adding that the comments were “appalling and bizarre.”
“Today’s comments by @RepSteveKingIA are appalling and bizarre,” Cheney tweeted. “As I’ve said before, it’s time for him to go. The people of Iowa’s 4th congressional district deserve better.”
Democratic presidential candidates also came out swinging against the longtime Iowa congressman. Sens. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) and Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) called on King to resign from Congress.
|
© Getty Images King is facing one of his toughest reelection cycles of his electoral career. He is facing a high-profile primary challenge from Randy Feenstra, a state senator, who announced his campaign a day before King was quoted in The New York Times saying, “White nationalist, white supremacist, Western civilization — how did that language become offensive?” The remarks resulted in him getting kicked off all of his congressional committees. If he gets past Feenstra in the primary, he is staring down a rematch against Democrat J.D. Scholten, who he defeated by only 3 points in November, the closest race in his congressional career. Jonathan Allen: The GOP would like Steve King to kindly shut up. > Guns latest: The White House is in talks with lawmakers from both parties on gun control proposals, hoping for a plan of action before lawmakers return to Washington in September. As Juliegrace Brufke and Peter Sullivan report, administration officials and senior staffers in both chambers are in early discussions about which bills are likely to see movement, and which ones the White House might support. “I think the wheels are spinning pretty quickly right now on gathering a lot of this information,” a source familiar with the discussions told The Hill. “So I think the goal would be to have something ready by the end of the month or at least by the time Congress comes back — have some sort of a better picture.” The New York Times: Trump weighs action on gun control. But it’s still a theoretical discussion. The Hill: Pelosi vows no U.K. free trade deal if Brexit undermines Good Friday accord. |
| IN FOCUS/SHARP TAKES |
| WHITE HOUSE & ADMINISTRATION: Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats officially departs today after more than two years on the job, and his deputy, Sue Gordon, also resigned as of today, leaving behind an agency buffeted by management upheaval as Trump assembles an intelligence team more to his liking. Joseph Maguire takes over as acting director, drawing on counterterrorism expertise and 36 years of military service. As Morgan Chalfant reports, those who have worked with the retired vice admiral say he’s up to the task and won’t automatically bend to the president’s instincts, as some in the intelligence community fear. Senators from both parties expressed regret that Coats and Gordon resigned. It puts pressure on Maguire, who could soon be succeeded by a Trump nominee for the post (The Hill). > Transportation: The Trump administration has taken a step closer to relaxing federal regulations governing the amount of time truck drivers can spend behind the wheel, a move that was long sought by the trucking industry but opposed by safety advocates who warn it could lead to more highway crashes. The department’s Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration issued proposed changes on Wednesday to the “hours of service” rules that dictate breaks truckers are required to take, and their time on and off duty (The Associated Press). > Department of Agriculture is giving away $1.2 billion in foods and food products purchased by the government from U.S. farmers hurt by the tariff war the administration launched with China. The “trade mitigation” free food destined for school districts includes items such as canned kidney beans, pulled pork, apples and oranges. Other recipients of the taxpayer-funded generosity: child nutrition programs and regional food banks for the needy (The Associated Press). |
| OPINION |
| Criminal justice alternative could shrink the domestic terror threat, by Meryl Chertoff, executive director of the Aspen Institute, opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/31BrQqw Why Republicans should think twice about increasing presidential power, by former Rep. Steve Israel (D-N.Y.), opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/33A7jo0 |
| WHERE AND WHEN |
| Hill.TV’s “Rising” at 9 a.m. EDT features Sara Nelson, international president for the Association of Flight Attendants, to talk about how some labor unions are splitting with Biden over “Medicare for All”; Chris Jacobs, founder & CEO at Juniper Research Group, to discuss problems with a single-payer health care system; and Philip Mudd, former deputy director at the CIA’s counterterrorism center, to speak about his new book, “Black Site.” Find Hill.TV programming at http://thehill.com/hilltv or on YouTube at 10 a.m. The House and Senate continue to meet in pro forma sessions but are not scheduled to return for votes until Sept. 9. The president departs his home in New Jersey to headline a 7 p.m. reelection rally in Manchester, N.H. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo meets with Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri at the State Department at 3 p.m. Economic indicators: The Federal Reserve at 9:15 a.m. releases its report on industrial production in July, and the Census Bureau at 8:30 a.m. reports on retail sales last month. The Working Families Party hosts a live question-and-answer session for voters at 8 p.m. ET with presidential candidate Julián Castro, a former secretary of Housing and Urban Development. Information HERE. “Woodstock: The Director’s Cut,” originally filmed at the 1969 festival, is showing in theaters nationwide just one time tonight at 7 p.m. local (3 hours and 44 minutes!). Directed by Michael Wadleigh, the film enjoys its first nationwide screening since its 1970 release and includes special added footage of Janis Joplin and Jefferson Airplane. Find theaters HERE. |
| ELSEWHERE |
| ➔ Philadelphia: A gunman is in custody after they opened fire on police Wednesday as officers were serving a drug warrant in a Philadelphia neighborhood, wounding six officers and triggering a standoff that extended into the evening, including a hostage situation, authorities said. Two other officers were still trapped inside the house for nearly five hours, but were freed by a SWAT team late Wednesday. All six officers who were hit by gunfire were released from area hospitals, according to Philadelphia police Sgt. Eric Gripp. “It’s nothing short of a miracle that we don’t have multiple officers killed today,” Philadelphia Police Commissioner Richard Ross said (The Associated Press). ➔ Jeffrey Epstein: An autopsy found that Jeffrey Epstein had multiple neck fractures, including a broken hyoid bone, which is near the Adam’s apple. However, while that fracture can happen from hanging, it is more common in homicide victims who are strangled, leaving more unanswered questions about the death of the multimillionaire convicted sex offender (The Washington Post). ➔ United Kingdom: A showdown in parliament is brewing as Britain’s opposition Labour Party vows to call a vote of no-confidence in Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s new government as soon as it believes it can win it. The Labour Party seeks to form a temporary government under leader Jeremy Corbyn to delay Brexit, while Johnson insists Great Britain will exit the European Union on Oct. 31 with or without a transition plan (Reuters). ➔ Medicine: The Food and Drug Administration on Wednesday approved a new antibiotic for highly drug-resistant tuberculosis, the world’s leading infectious cause of death. The disease kills 1.6 million people a year, including 500,000 who succumb from drug-resistant strains. The antibiotic, called pretomanid, was developed by a nonprofit group called TB Alliance at a time when few companies are investing in the expensive and unprofitable push to find effective next-generation antibiotics (The Washington Post). ➔ In the Know: Former President Obama on Wednesday shared his summer reading list on Facebook, offering an appreciative reader’s embrace to novelist Toni Morrison, who died this month at 88. Obama’s recommendations include a range of fiction and non-fiction and subjects that range from mass incarceration to the internet’s impact on society (The Hill). |
| THE CLOSER |
| And finally … It’s Thursday, which means it’s time for this week’s Morning Report Quiz! Inspired by the 50th anniversary of Woodstock this weekend, we’re eager for some smart guesses about music and the American mood during the summer of 1969. Email your responses to asimendinger@thehill.com and/or aweaver@thehill.com, and please add “Quiz” to subject lines. Winners who submit correct answers will enjoy some richly deserved newsletter fame on Friday. What was the original purpose of “Three Days of Peace and Music,” as conceived by organizing partners John Roberts, Joel Rosenman, Artie Kornfield and Michael Lang? Protest the Vietnam WarGenerate material for an art house film Make enough money to build a recording studio in Woodstock, N.Y.Impress their girlfriends The legendary free music festival attracted between 400,000 and 500,000 people to farm fields in Suffolk County, N.Y. But Woodstock was conceived as an ambitious weekend event with hoped-for ticket sales. How many advance tickets had the organizers sold before masses of young people showed up and the event became a free happening? 2002,00050,000186,000 The Woodstock weekend opened and closed with — ? Janis Joplin and Joan BaezRichie Haven and Jimi HendrixThe Jeff Beck Group and Iron ButterflyThe Who and Santana The festival experienced which of these challenges? Miserable rainy weatherInsufficient restrooms and first aid stationsAcoustics that rendered the music hard to hear for a massive crowdAbundant recreational drugs but scarce food and waterAll of the above What public exposure served to really cement impressions and appraisals of the 1969 festival? (Hint: A clue appears elsewhere in our newsletter today.) RadioWoodstock album1970’s Oscar-winning documentary “Woodstock”Rolling Stone magazine |
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President Donald Trump’s Schedule for Thursday, August 15, 2019
By R. Mitchell –
President Donald Trump will hold a Keep America Great Rally in New
Hampshire on Thursday. Keep up with Trump on CDN’s President’s Schedule
Page. President Trump’s schedule for 8/15/19 All Times EDT 4:30 PM
Depart Bedminster, NJ, en route to Morristown, NJ – Marine One 4:45 PM
Arrive at Morristown …
President Donald Trump’s Schedule for Thursday, August 15, 2019 is original content from Conservative
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Read on » Planned Parenthood Attempts to Bully Federal Court Over Title X Funding By Mary Margaret Olohan – Planned Parenthood is threatening to formally withdraw from Title X funding by Aug. 19 unless a federal court intervenes. Planned Parenthood officials petitioned for a stay against the Trump administration’s new Title X rules in a letter to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit, NPR reported. Planned … Planned Parenthood Attempts to Bully Federal Court Over Title X Funding is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » ‘It’s Dangerous’: McCarthy Demands Investigation Into California’s Anti-Semitic, Anti-Israel Curriculum By Shelby Talcott – House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy of California is demanding an investigation into a proposed California Department of Education curriculum that is “blatantly anti-Semitic” and “anti-Israel.” Several people involved in making the high school curriculum have been anti-Israel, and some are Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions (BDS) activists who have tried to start … ‘It’s Dangerous’: McCarthy Demands Investigation Into California’s Anti-Semitic, Anti-Israel Curriculum is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » If the FBI Shut Down the KKK Once, Can’t They Do It Again? By Amanda Alverez – Has anyone else had enough of the insane threats, accusations, intimidation, hate speech, stabbings, drive-bys, and shootings? How much more senseless harm and blood must be shed before the FBI does something? When ‘hate crime’ legislation was passed by Congress, they assured Americans this would end hatred in America, or … If the FBI Shut Down the KKK Once, Can’t They Do It Again? is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » Hypersonics Remain Top Priority for Defense Department By C. Todd Lopez – A hypersonic weapon moving at five times the speed of sound can travel across the Pacific Ocean in just over 100 minutes and U.S. adversaries are developing such weapons now, said Michael D. Griffin, undersecretary of defense for research and engineering. “They are quite capable,” Griffin said. “The advantage offered by … Hypersonics Remain Top Priority for Defense Department is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » SNC Selects ULA for Dream Chaser® Spacecraft Launches By Duncan Idaho – SPARKS, Nev. (August 14, 2019) – Sierra Nevada Corporation (SNC), a global aerospace and national security leader, selected United Launch Alliance (ULA) as the launch vehicle provider for the Dream Chaser® spacecraft’s six NASA missions to the International Space Station. The Dream Chaser will launch aboard ULA’s Vulcan Centaur rockets … SNC Selects ULA for Dream Chaser® Spacecraft Launches is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » Two Illegal Aliens Allegedly Rape 11-Year-Old On Multiple Occasions By Matt M. Miller – Two illegal immigrants have been charged with the second degree rape of an 11-year-old girl in Maryland. Montgomery County Police arrested Mauricio Barrera-Navidad, 29, of Damascus, Maryland, and Carlos Palacios-Amaya, 28, of Gaithersburg, Maryland, for allegedly raping the same under-aged girl on multiple occasions, WJLA reports. NEW: 29yo Mauricio Berrera-Navidad … Two Illegal Aliens Allegedly Rape 11-Year-Old On Multiple Occasions is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » Smash Hit – A.F. Branco Cartoon By A.F. Branco – It may be time for Hillary and Bill to get out the bleach bit and hammers to limit any incriminating evidence in the Epstein investigation. Political cartoon by A.F. Branco ©2019. See more Branco toons HERE Smash Hit – A.F. Branco Cartoon is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » Report: Epstein Guards Were Asleep On The Job By Audrey Conklin – The prison guards who were supposed to check in on alleged child sex-trafficker Jeffrey Epstein in his jail cell every 30 minutes reportedly fell asleep on the morning he killed himself. The Metropolitan Correctional Center staffers who were assigned to check in on Epstein apparently fell asleep on the job … Report: Epstein Guards Were Asleep On The Job is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » Bruce Ohr Gave His Wife’s Fusion GPS Research To The FBI. Here Are The Documents By Chuck Ross – Bruce Ohr provided the FBI with research that his wife, Nellie, did on behalf of opposition research firm Fusion GPS The Justice Department recently provided some of those documents to Judicial Watch, the conservative watchdog group One of the documents is a spreadsheet that identifies 80 individuals with purported links … Bruce Ohr Gave His Wife’s Fusion GPS Research To The FBI. Here Are The Documents is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » ‘The World Is Watching’: US Senators Warn China Against Military Crackdown In Hong Kong By Audrey Conklin – Maryland Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin and Colorado Republican Sen. Cory Gardner issued stern warnings to China on Tuesday and Wednesday against military intervention in Hong Kong. The senators’ notices come amid threats from China to send military personnel into Hong Kong in retaliation for the violent protests there that have … ‘The World Is Watching’: US Senators Warn China Against Military Crackdown In Hong Kong is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » Muslim-American Journalist Says Twitter Shadow-Banned Her After Asking Ilhan Omar For An Interview By Luke Rosiak – Dalia Al-Aqidi, a Muslim, female journalist and refugee, was “shadow-banned” from Twitter after pressing Ilhan Omar for an interview. CAIR, a Muslim activist group, followed her just hours after her remarks, and she was banned soon after. CAIR previously got Laura Loomer kicked off Twitter, but said that was unusual. … Muslim-American Journalist Says Twitter Shadow-Banned Her After Asking Ilhan Omar For An Interview is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » Sixty-Four Percent of Travelers Secretly Extend Business Trips for Pleasure – Without Telling Anyone By Hanna Heller – Summer is peak vacation time for most, but for frequent business travelers, it can be a struggle to squeeze in a much-needed vacation between work trips. With its latest “La Quinta Means Business” national survey, La Quinta® by Wyndham unveils the unique trends and challenges for business travelers during the summer … Sixty-Four Percent of Travelers Secretly Extend Business Trips for Pleasure – Without Telling Anyone is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » North Korean Christians Participate in Pastor Chris Oyakhilome and Pastor Benny Hinn’s Conference in London By Thomas Anderson – Christian leaders from North Korea attend the landmark World Evangelical Conference organized and led by Pastor Chris Oyakhilome in London. Christian leaders from North Korean proudly wave the country’s flag (center) at the closing session of the opening day of the World Evangelism Conference hosted by Pastor Chris Oyakhilome in … North Korean Christians Participate in Pastor Chris Oyakhilome and Pastor Benny Hinn’s Conference in London is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more. Read on » See all breaking news, conservative commentary, political cartoons and more posted to CDN at our Home Page. Follow on Twitter Friend on Facebook Add on Google Plus Copyright © 2019 Conservative Daily News, All rights reserved. Want to change how you receive these emails? You can update your preferences or unsubscribe from this list |
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The Iowa GOP’s Clumsy Statement In Response to King’s Abortion Comments
By Shane Vander Hart on Aug 14, 2019 07:18 pm Shane Vander Hart: The Republican Party of Iowa needed a precise response to Congressman Steve King’s hyperbole related to abortion exceptions for rape and incest. Read in browser » King Is Not Wrong About Rape and Incest Exceptions By Shane Vander Hart on Aug 14, 2019 04:38 pm Shane Vander Hart: I have no problem criticizing Congressman Steve King for remarks that he makes that I believe are wrong. This is not one of those times. Read in browser » Recent Articles: Skillet’s John L. Cooper on Young Christian Influencers Leaving the Faith Reynolds Should Not Have to Explain This Facebook Post Reynolds Appoints Tamra Roberts as District Court Judge Richards is First to Qualify for Ballot in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District Featured Sermon: Called to Pursue Mercy and Justice Launched in 2006, Caffeinated Thoughts reports news and shares commentary about culture, current events, faith and state and national politics from a Christian and conservative point of view. Caffeinated Thoughts P.O. Box 57184 Des Moines, IA 50317 (515) 321-5077 Editor, Shane Vander Hart Connect: Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, and YouTube. Share Tweet Share Forward Copyright © 2019 Caffeinated Thoughts, All rights reserved. Want to change how you receive these emails? You can update your preferences or unsubscribe from this list. |
WASHINGTON TIMES
| MORNING EDITION |
| Thursday, August 15, 2019 |
| ‘Internal matter’: Trump treads lightly on China amid Hong Kong tensions President Trump for once was the cautious outlier as lawmakers of both parties in Congress warned China not to crack … more |
| Top News Read More > |
| Opinion Read More > |
| Doing something to the Second Amendment for the sake of appearance would be disastrous 32 minutes ago China poses public health threat to U.S. The Second Amendment is imperiled like never before |
| Politics Read More > |
| Special Reports for Times Readers Special Report – Free Iran Rally 2019 Special Report – Qatar: What Makes America’s Great Ally Special Special Report – Rolling Thunder XXXII |
| Security Read More > |
| U.S. move halts release of Iranian tanker held in Gibraltar Chinese military preparing crackdown Whistleblower reprisal? Adam Lovinger cleared of leaking data, but officials never told his lawyers |
| Sports Read More > |
| Nationals’ offense erupts for 17 runs to complete sweep of Reds Services set for Houston intern who made her mark in D.C. SNYDER: Apolitical sports coverage doesn’t mix with social justice |
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Thursday, August 15, 2019 |
Going Dowwwww-n The Dow had a bad day, dropping 800 points, its worst percentage drop of the year and fourth-largest point drop of all time. Many are blaming it on the “inverted yield curve,” which is a widely watched indicator for an approaching recession. Yesterday, that curve inverted to its lowest levels since 2007. The inversion came amid rising tensions with China and weak economic data from Germany and China, signaling a global economic slowdown. CBS has more on that inverted yield curve, and why it matters. Curiously, liberal Twitter appeared excited about the market’s downturn, advancing the hashtag #TrumpRecession before knowing whether this is a temporary blip or the onset of an actual recession. Trump took to Twitter to defend his trade war with China, saying “we are winning big time, against China” and that the country “wants to make a deal” with the U.S. He also lashed out at the Federal Reserve and “clueless” Jerome Powell, blaming the central bank for “holding us back” by raising interest rates “too much & too fast” last year, and for failing to reverse those rates fast enough. He also called the inverted yield curve phenomenon “crazy.” The good news is, the U.S. economy is still strong with payroll rising and unemployment rates remaining at a historic low. Hopefully, the market just spooked. If not, Trump will have a much more difficult case to make for re-election in 2020. ICE Under Fire In the most underreported news story of the day, two ICE offices in San Antonio faced gunfire around 3am Tuesday morning. The FBI said there’s “no question” the shooting at an ICE office was a targeted attack against the agency. “All of the shots that we have found are on the floors where ICE had offices,” FBI Special Agent in Charge Chris Combs said Tuesday. “This is no question a very targeted attack. It’s not a secret facility, you can go online, it’s out there. So they did some research, they knew what floors ICE was on, they knew what buildings they were and they hit those.” No one was injured, but federal employees were inside at least one of the buildings. ICE ERO San Antonio Field Office Director Daniel Bible blamed the shooting on politicians, media and activists. According to News 4 San Antonio, he said: “This attack at the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s (ICE) Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) Field Office in San Antonio is completely without justification,” said Bible. “Political rhetoric and misinformation that various politicians, media outlets and activist groups recklessly disseminate to the American people regarding the ICE mission only serve to further encourage these violent acts. ICE officers put their lives on the line each and every day to keep our communities safe. This disturbing public discourse shrouds our critical law enforcement function and unnecessarily puts our officers’ safety at risk.” This isn’t the first targeted attack against ICE. According to The Washington Examiner, Tuesday’s attack is the fourth anti-ICE incident in about a month. And More Gun Violence… At least six Philadelphia police officers were shot and wounded in a standoff near Temple University, authorities said last night. None of the injuries appear life-threatening, although the situation with a male suspect barricaded inside a building as he fired gunshots at officers and attempted to livestream it, sounds horrific. Good News on the Health Front Ebola andthe deadliest strain of tuberculosis, the world’s leading infectious cause of death, may both soon be treatable. Read more on the hopeful treatments for tuberculosis at The New York Times, and Ebola over at the BBC. Problematic Women! If you didn’t notice, Inez Stepman and I switched days this week. (I had some baby appointments to take care of—hello, third trimester!) Since it’s not often I get the chance to promote it, I wanted to share a bit about the podcast I co-host, “Problematic Women.” A weekly podcast that challenges the left’s narrative that all women must be liberal, pink-hat wearing, Planned Parenthood supporters, Problematic Women celebrates and empowers right-minded women through thoughtful, long-form interviews and sharp-witted commentary on issues from pop culture to politics. New episodes release every Thursday morning. This week, Lyndsey Fifield and I discussed a Teen Vogue Snapchat post teaching minors how to get an abortion without their parents’ permission (yikes), Miley Cyrus and Liam Hemsworth’s divorce and what that says about millennials and marriage, and the release of the movie “Unplanned” on Amazon and DVD. We also chat with Liz Wheeler, host of “Tipping Point” on One America News Network and author of the new book “Tipping Points: How to Topple the Left’s House of Cards.” Check it out and subscribe! (Just search “Problematic Women” where ever you get your podcasts 🤸♀️ .) Speaking of Babies… WalletHub is out with 2019’s Best and Worst States to Have a Baby. To assess, they compared the 50 states and the District of Columbia across 30 key measures of cost, health care accessibility, as well as baby- and family-friendliness. The best state? Vermont. The worst? Mississippi. Click here to see where WalletHub says you state falls. (Disclaimer: I can think of some far less “baby-friendly” states than the pro-life state of Mississippi. Say…New York?) Thursday Links Springdale, Arkansas—a sanctuary city I can get behind! (This one is for unborn babies, via LifeSiteNews). Republican Steve King advocates against abortion exceptions for rape and incest in a really, strange way. [Face, meet palm.] My new favorite leggings because they’re oh, so soft. (Note, these are not good for sweaty workouts – more slow flows! They’re expensive, but for the amount of times you’ll wear them, #WorthIt.) And finally: The brilliance of Trump straws. BRIGHT is brought to you by The Federalist. |
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Kelsey Bolar is a senior news reporter/producer at The Daily Signal, the multimedia news organization at The Heritage Foundation, and the 2017-2018 Tony Blankley Fellow at The Steamboat Institute. She is also a Visiting Fellow at Independent Women’s Forum. She is a contributor to The Federalist and previously worked at Fox News in New York City. She now lives in Washington, D.C., where she balances her passion for politics with her affinity for yoga and her Australian Shepherd, Utah. Follow her on Twitter @kelseybolar and on Instagram @kelseybolar. Opinions expressed on this website are her own and not those of any other person or entity. |
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ADVERTISEMENT HIGHLIGHTS ‘When will it stop?’: Kamala Harris advocates gun control policies during live Philly shooting Matt Gaetz cleared by Florida Bar grievance committee for tweet about Michael Cohen’s ‘girlfriends’ Video shows bodyguard of CNN’s April Ryan allegedly roughing up journalist Gardner’s tenuous hold on Colorado Senate seat may hinge on Hickenlooper Sen. Cory Gardner’s already difficult reelection bid could get tougher. Bystanders reportedly taunt Philly cops amid live shooting Bystanders reportedly taunted police officers responding to an active shooter incident in North Philadelphia on Wednesday evening. Republicans concerned over Trump’s strength in Arizona heading into 2020 Some Democrats are eyeing Texas as a longshot pickup in the 2020 presidential race. But Republicans who are keeping an eye on the national electoral landscape say the party should be more concerned that Arizona could go from red to blue this time around. ‘She jumped in the fray like an idiot’: Barstool Sports founder hits back at AOC Barstool Sports founder and chief content officer Dave Portnoy responded to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez amid their feud over his tweet that he would fire any employees attempting to form a union. ADVERTISEMENT China scapegoats US to set stage for Hong Kong crackdown China is accusing the United States of orchestrating the Hong Kong protests to set the stage for a military crackdown, a rhetorical tactic that hardens ideological tensions between the rival powers. DOJ and FBI now investigating Epstein’s apparent attempted suicide in July The warden for the prison where accused child sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein was found dead revealed the Justice Department and FBI are investigating Epstein’s alleged July 23 suicide attempt, in addition to his successful one Saturday. Google search likely stoked fear China hacked Hillary Clinton’s private email server A multipronged government review of whether China successfully hacked former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s private email server failed to turn up evidence of a successful breach. ‘I have a great deal of problems with that’: McCarthy denounces King’s rape and incest comments House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy denounced Iowa Rep. Steve King’s recent comments that questioned how much of the world’s population would remain if rape and incest had never happened. Marine who used classified info to warn of Afghan insider attack should be reinstated, board finds A Marine Corps reserve officer who leaked classified information to warn fellow troops about an insider attack should be allowed to continue serving, a military panel has determined. Army finalizes deal to bring Israel’s Iron Dome to the US to test it against cruise missiles The U.S. Army has finalized a deal to bring Israel’s famed Iron Dome defense system to the United States to help protect against cruise missile threats. Epstein adorned Manhattan mansion with painting of Bill Clinton dressed as woman The late alleged sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein had a provocative oil painting of former President Bill Clinton hanging in his Manhattan mansion. THE ROUNDUP Corey Lewandowski Senate bid hits backlash in N.H. Markets shaken by signs of global economic trouble Autopsy finds broken bones in Epstein’s neck, deepening questions around his death ADVERTISEMENT |
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THE WASHINGTON POST MORNING HEADLINES
| Sign up for this newsletter Read online The morning’s most important stories, curated by Post editors. Matt Rourke/AP Suspect surrenders after shooting six police officers in hours-long Philadelphia standoff Gunfire broke out after police officers served a narcotics warrant “that went awry almost immediately.” By Maura Ewing, Reis Thebault, Michael Brice-Saddler and Timothy Bella ● Read more » Kurds seek to break cycle of extremism with shorter sentences for ISIS fighters In Iraq, Islamic State detainees face degrading conditions, torture, long sentences or the death penalty, according to human rights groups. The Syrian Kurdish allies of the United States are attempting a different approach. By Liz Sly ● Read more » Stock losses deepen as a key recession warning surfaces The U.S. stock market tumbled to its worst day of the year after a reliable predictor of looming recessions flashed for the first time since the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis. By Damian Paletta, Thomas Heath and Taylor Telford ● Read more » Autopsy finds broken bones in Epstein’s neck, deepening questions around his death Experts say a broken hyoid bone happens in suicide by hanging but is more typical in homicide by strangulation. By Carol Leonnig and Aaron Davis ● Read more » Bystander in chief: Trump’s hands-off response to Hong Kong fits a pattern President Trump often deals with world events more as an onlooker than as the leader of the world’s most powerful nation. By Anne Gearan ● Read more » Opinions Evangelicals view Trump as their protector. Will they vote for him in 2020? By Elizabeth Bruenig ● Read more » This moment isn’t about my granddad Robert Kennedy’s legacy. It is about us. By Joe Kennedy III ● Read more » India was a 50-50 democracy. Now it’s 40-60 — and could get worse. By Ramachandra Guha ● Read more » The steep price of Trump’s incoherent nihilism By E.J. Dionne ● Read more » Saudi authorities said she’d go free if she denied her torture. She said no. By Editorial Board ● Read more » Facebook isn’t ready for 2020 By Trevor Davis, Matthew Hindman and Steven Livingston ● Read more » More News Netanyahu appears poised to block Omar, Tlaib from entering Israel ahead of a planned weekend visit The congresswomen would be denied entry into the country because of their support of a boycott movement against Israel. By Ruth Eglash and John Hudson ● Read more » Hickenlooper expected to quit Democratic presidential race as soon as Thursday The former Colorado governor reportedly has made no decision about running for the Senate. By Dan Balz ● Read more » ‘A dormant volcano’: Kashmir’s streets are quiet, but residents seethe with resentment A firsthand look at what is happening during India’s crackdown in the disputed region. By Niha Masih ● Read more » He witnessed Michael Brown’s killing. Now Dorian Johnson is trying to get his life back on track. Wesley Lowery takes us back to the night Michael Brown was killed in Ferguson. Damian Paletta warns of a possible recession. And Rebecca Tan on the community a simple piano can create. Post Reports | Listen Now ● By The Washington Post ● Read more » We think you’ll like this newsletter Check out Carolyn Hax for Post columnist Carolyn Hax’s latest advice column every day. Sign up » |
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THE WASHINGTON POST MORNING MIX
| Stories from All Over |
| Stephen Colbert had Trump on his show once before. The host says he won’t do it again. “It would be hard for me to be properly respectful of the office,” Colbert said in a recent CNN interview. “I think just for safety’s sake it wouldn’t be a good idea.” By Allyson Chiu · Read more An ex-con got out of prison and killed his pen pal and roommate. Police walked right past their bodies. On Wednesday, Thomas Knuff was sentenced to death for the fatal stabbings of Regina Capobianco and John Mann. The first time police went inside their home, they thought the putrid smell was raw meat. By Meagan Flynn · Read more ‘Funny, articulate and intelligent’: Dayton shooter’s parents apologize for ‘insensitive’ obituary While mourning both their children, the Betts family unwittingly stumbled into a dilemma that often confounds the relatives of mass shooters and other notorious killers: How do you grieve the person you’ve lost in a way that isn’t disrespectful to their victims? By Antonia Farzan · Read more Suspect surrenders after shooting six police officers in hours-long Philadelphia standoff Six police officers were shot in a north Philadelphia neighborhood early Wednesday evening, but there were no life-threatening injuries. By Maura Ewing, Reis Thebault, Michael Brice-Saddler and Timothy Bella · Read more A truck drove into ICE protesters outside a private prison. They say a guard was at the wheel. Several protesters went to a hospital for treatment, though none were seriously injured. By Tim Elfrink · Read more ‘Clearly, he did not take part in our curriculum’: Historians bash Ken Cuccinelli’s revised Statue of Liberty poem “Give me your tired and your poor who can stand on their own two feet and who will not become a public charge,” Cuccinelli said Tuesday. By Meagan Flynn · Read more Recommended for you Get The Trailer newsletter News and insight on political campaigns around the country, from David Weigel. 435 districts. 50 states. Tuesday, Thursday and Sunday evenings. Sign Up |
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NBC NEWS
From NBC’s Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Carrie Dann
FIRST READ: The economy has been keeping Trump afloat for 2020. What if it sinks?
We stand by
what we wrote on Wednesday – that an incumbent president’s greatest
advantage is time (because you get four years to focus on the general
election, versus just months for your eventual opponent).
But that advantage disappears if the economy goes south.
And that might be the biggest news over the last 24 hours:
The state of the U.S. economy feels a lot more fragile than the traditional indicators suggest (like the 3.7 percent unemployment rate).
“Shares on
Wall Street were off sharply… The S&P 500 was down 2.9 percent. And
bond markets offered an ominous warning on American growth prospects,
with yields falling to levels not seen in years,”
the New York Times writes.
Additionally,
“The financial jitters, which continued Thursday as markets in Asia
were down in early trading, came after new data showed the German
economy hurtling toward a recession and factory
output in China growing at its slowest pace in 17 years.”
AP Photo/Richard Drew
And this morning’s developments aren’t any brighter.
“Global
stocks fell after China vowed to take ‘necessary counter-measures’ over
U.S. plans for a new tariff on Chinese imports, compounding investors’
concerns about weakness in the global economy,”
the Wall Street Journal says.
Bottom line:
Trump’s political standing is ALREADY in dangerous territory, despite a
historically low unemployment rate and a growing economy.
What happens if that positive economic news goes away?
But there’s also a challenge for Democrats, especially when it comes to tariffs and trade.
Can you promise to get
tough on China and oppose free-trade agreements when it
appears that those strategies have backfired? (And how do you out-Trump
Trump on trade?)
Or do you take a more pro-free trade approach, which is contrary to where the left and organized labor are on the issue?
There isn’t an easy answer here for Democrats.
TWEET OF THE DAY: Freak out!
Trump heads to New Hampshire
The negative economic news is the backdrop to tonight’s
Trump rally in Manchester, N.H. at 7:00 pm ET.
“The state, which he lost by about 2,700 votes in 2016, is doing well economically, at least when using broad measures,”
per the AP.
“But
beneath the top-line data are clear signs that the prosperity is being
unevenly shared, and when the tumult of the Trump presidency is added to
the mix, the state’s flinty voters may not be
receptive to his appeals.”
By the way,
Trump has been blaming
the Federal Reserve for the economic jitters – because it raised interest rates and then didn’t lower them enough.
But we remember when Trump was against low interest rates during Obama’s presidency.
“The Fed’s
reckless policies of low interest and flooding the market with dollars
needs to be stopped or we will face record inflation,”
he tweeted back in 2011.
Beto’s back
Beto O’Rourke this morning will deliver a speech from El Paso,
marking his return to the 2020 presidential campaign after the deadly shooting last week that killed 22 people in his hometown.
“O’Rourke
will recommit to holding President Trump accountable for the state of
the country — and focus on the stakes of removing a president from
office whom he has explicitly linked to the deaths
of fellow El Pasoans, according to a senior campaign official,”
NBC’s Garrett Haake writes.
“He’ll focus heavily on
three key issues: racism, white supremacy and guns — and plans to propose what the campaign calls ‘new, bold solutions.’”
The good news for Beto: His campaign has a new sense of urgency and it’s getting newfound attention after his handling of the El Paso tragedy.
The bad news:
This is, by our count, Beto’s second relaunch/reset (his first being
when he junked his local campaigning strategy for a more national one).
And successful campaigns usually don’t get two relaunches/resets.
2020 VISION: Hickenlooper’s out
We
told you August would be a month when the 2020 Democratic field
would winnow due to the heightened requirements to make next month’s
debate stage.
And it seems we have the first casualty of August.
“Former
Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper is expected to drop out of the
Democratic presidential race on Thursday, a source close to Hickenlooper
told NBC News on Wednesday night,”
Stephanie Ruhle and Alex Johnson report.
It’s
still unclear if Hickenlooper would make a run for Colorado’s Senate race, or if he’s getting out of politics altogether.
REUTERS/Brian Snyder
On the campaign trail today: Pete Buttigieg and John Delaney stump in Iowa… Andrew Yang is in South Carolina… And Amy Klobuchar headlines a dinner in Arkansas.
Dispatches
from NBC’s embeds: Elizabeth Warren brought out a comedic side
to her campaign during a house party in New Hampshire, NBC’s Benjamin
Pu reports: “As for the funny moments – why do I bring up the funny side
of Warren’s campaigning style? I’ve had several
voters tell me that Warren has better energy and charisma over Sen.
Bernie Sanders, her policy contemporary. These two incidents I flagged
above really killed with the crowd, and they were, as far as I can tell,
unscripted. The crowd always leaves energized
and hopeful and cheerful, by their own admission.”
Amid yet another shooting gaining national attention, Pete Buttigieg
spoke about the limits of the 2nd Amendment during a house party in
Iowa. NBC’s Maura Barrett relays Buttigieg’s comments: “When one of your
friends gets that look in their eyes and says,
‘Look, you can’t do anything because that’s unconstitutional ’cause
that would be infringing.’ And the word ‘infringe’ is in there. One
thing you can do is remind them that the word ‘well-regulated’ is in
there too.”
DATA DOWNLOAD: And the number of the day is… five.
Five.
That’s the
number of times — before yesterday — that there has been an inversion
of the yields on the 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes since 1978.
From
our colleagues at CNBC: “There have been five inversions of the
2-year and 10-year yields since 1978 and all were precursors to a
recession, but there is a significant lag, according to data from Credit
Suisse. A recession occurred, on average, 22 months
after the inversion, Credit Suisse shows. And the S&P 500 actually
enjoyed average returns of 15 percent 18 months after an inversion
before it eventually turns.”
THE LID: “While I breathe, I hope”
Don’t miss the pod from yesterday, when we reported on the latest polling out of South Carolina.
ICYMI: News clips you shouldn’t miss
NBC’s Jonathan Allen: “The GOP
would like Steve King to kindly shut up.”
Trump
is talking to lawmakers of both parties about gun control.
The president
isn’t exactly going out on a limb as tensions simmer in Hong Kong.
Another day, another
Biden-family/Ukraine story.
And broken bones in Jeffrey Epstein’s neck are
raising more questions about his death.
Thanks for reading.
If you’re a fan, please forward this to a friend. They can sign up
here.
We love hearing from our readers, so shoot us a line here with your comments and suggestions.
Thanks,
Chuck, Mark and Carrie
IJR
NOQ REPORT
| NOQ Report Daily |
- MSNBC’s Frank Figliuzzi compares Trump supporters to a terrorist organization
- Bill Mitchell and Yippy
- Philadelphia suspect Maurice Hill had guns illegally. Criminals don’t obey laws, folks.
- 10 reasons Tom Cruise should run for president
- Democrats hope recession cries will become a self-fulfilling prophecy
- If John Hickenlooper runs for Senate, Republican Cory Gardner could be in trouble
- Rebooted Beto O’Rourke 3.0 relaunches new campaign with old talking points, but with arms flailing
- Cuomo’s ‘Fredo’ freak-out criticized by black activists
- Did AOC launch the next political satire jockey in David Portnoy?
- A modest proposal: Trade Leftists wanting socialism for Hong Kong protesters wanting Liberty
| MSNBC’s Frank Figliuzzi compares Trump supporters to a terrorist organization Posted: 15 Aug 2019 01:41 AM PDT The craziness of progressive legacy media is getting worse than it was before, if you can believe it. It seems as if in the aftermath of Robert Mueller’s failures both as a Special Counsel and in his testimony before Congress, mainstream media outlets like CNN and MSNBC have left the realm of reality. Fox News […] The post MSNBC’s Frank Figliuzzi compares Trump supporters to a terrorist organization appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
| Bill Mitchell and Yippy Posted: 15 Aug 2019 01:03 AM PDT In the days following the shootings in El Paso and Dayton, Bill Mitchell, a prominent social media figure on the right, came out in support of gun control legislation. This sudden betrayal has invited a host of scrutiny, that his endorsement of gun control following Parkland did not, because it also, coincidentally, occurred ninety days after […] The post Bill Mitchell and Yippy appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
| Philadelphia suspect Maurice Hill had guns illegally. Criminals don’t obey laws, folks. Posted: 15 Aug 2019 12:43 AM PDT Another day, another shooting. This is America in 2019, and as shootings happen more frequently than the recent past, Democrats invariably call for more laws that will harm law abiding citizens without having the desired impact on criminals. Why? Because by their very nature, criminals are wont to possess and use firearms illegally. After all, […] The post Philadelphia suspect Maurice Hill had guns illegally. Criminals don’t obey laws, folks. appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
| 10 reasons Tom Cruise should run for president Posted: 15 Aug 2019 12:12 AM PDT The satirical video above is not only extremely well produced and quite humorous, but it also brings up a notion that maybe the people should consider. Should Tom Cruise run for President as a Democrat? Absolutely. I don’t care whether he’s a Democrat or not; he seems more like a progressive Libertarian than anything else. […] The post 10 reasons Tom Cruise should run for president appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
| Democrats hope recession cries will become a self-fulfilling prophecy Posted: 14 Aug 2019 11:00 PM PDT There’s a little-known secret about the economy that Wall Street knows all too well. Perceptions become reality even when reality runs contrary to perceptions. Fear of a crash prompted by rumors and speculation can cause a crash even if no other outside forces intervene. Valuation fluctuations are as influenced by media reports as they are […] The post Democrats hope recession cries will become a self-fulfilling prophecy appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
| If John Hickenlooper runs for Senate, Republican Cory Gardner could be in trouble Posted: 14 Aug 2019 09:23 PM PDT One of the big storylines going into the 2020 election is whether or not the GOP can retain control of the Senate and therefore control over the confirmation process for the judiciary. It’s arguably the most important exclusive role of the Senate, giving the upper chamber power over who will sit on the various benches, […] The post If John Hickenlooper runs for Senate, Republican Cory Gardner could be in trouble appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
| Rebooted Beto O’Rourke 3.0 relaunches new campaign with old talking points, but with arms flailing Posted: 14 Aug 2019 09:00 PM PDT An unnecessary amount of media attention is being paid to Beto O’Rourke as his campaign attempts its second (third?) reboot since announcing his candidacy for President. In his first campaign stop since spending time in El Paso following the mass shooting, he was cursing, ripping on President Trump, screaming about racism, and generally hating on […] The post Rebooted Beto O’Rourke 3.0 relaunches new campaign with old talking points, but with arms flailing appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
| Cuomo’s ‘Fredo’ freak-out criticized by black activists Posted: 14 Aug 2019 04:52 PM PDT Project 21 members say reference to “Godfather” character not comparable to N-word. Washington, D.C. – As CNN personality Chris Cuomo tries to equate being called “Fredo” – the “weak brother” in “The Godfather” – with of a black person being called the n-word, Project 21 members are criticizing him and CNN for trying to paint […] The post Cuomo’s ‘Fredo’ freak-out criticized by black activists appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
| Did AOC launch the next political satire jockey in David Portnoy? Posted: 14 Aug 2019 04:21 PM PDT At first glance of his Tweets or after hearing snippets of him talk, David Portnoy, founder of Barstool Sports, is a misogynistic, abusive, condescending pig who treats his employees like dirt and may have broken the law by threatening to fire them if they attempt to unionize. Upon further review, it’s clear he’s a funny, often-times […] The post Did AOC launch the next political satire jockey in David Portnoy? appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
| A modest proposal: Trade Leftists wanting socialism for Hong Kong protesters wanting Liberty Posted: 14 Aug 2019 03:34 PM PDT A win for all sides, the protesters can live freely with the right of self-defense, while leftists can live under socialist oppression. There is a very dangerous situation brewing in Hong Kong. Many of the citizens there desperately want Liberty and the basic human right of self-defense. Meanwhile the Authoritarian ‘Socialism with Chinese characteristics’ government wants to bring […] The post A modest proposal: Trade Leftists wanting socialism for Hong Kong protesters wanting Liberty appeared first on Conservative Christian News. |
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REALCLEARPOLITICS
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08/15/2019 Share: Carl Cannon’s Morning Note Biden and Bain; Gen Z and Gun Control; Wiley Post By Carl M. Cannon on Aug 15, 2019 08:56 am Good morning, it’s Thursday, Aug. 15, 2019. Eighty-four years ago today, the great Will Rogers died in a plane crash near Point Barrow, Alaska. I’ve written before about how Congress suspended deliberations upon learning of the death of the great humorist, political pundit, and rodeo rider — notwithstanding the fact that Capitol Hill was the frequent target of his celebrated wit. His gracious sensibility, in short supply these days, is epitomized by his most famous line. “I joked about every prominent man in my lifetime,” he said, “but I never met one I didn’t like.” Another remarkable man died in that aerial accident, however, and he was as accomplished in his chosen field as Will Rogers was in his. I’m talking about Rogers’ close friend Wiley Post, who piloted the plane that fateful morning. There’s an old chestnut in the newspaper business, invariably invoked when reporters would accompany a candidate on a small plane in Iowa or someplace similar, about how the headline in the next day’s paper would read if the plane crashed: “Senator So-and-So and three others perish in cornfield.” It wasn’t like that when Wiley Post and Will Rogers went down. “With the exception of Charles Lindbergh, no American aviator of the time was as celebrated as Post, while Rogers was widely considered as the nation’s most gifted commentator on American society,” notes National Air and Space Museum curator Roger Connor. “Their loss impacted the two brightest spots in American culture during the Depression — aviation and film — and was especially devastating because of it.” I’ll have more on Wiley Post in a moment. First, I’d steer you to RealClearPolitics’ front page, which presents our poll averages, videos, breaking news stories, and aggregated opinion columns spanning the political spectrum. We also offer original material from our own reporters and contributors, including the following: * * * Biden Decried Bain in ’12, But Has Taken Execs’ Donations in ’19. Phil Wegmann has the details. Poll: Gen Z Spurs Shift in Voter Support for Gun Control. Julia Mullins reports on the findings of a new Rasmussen survey. To Reduce Gun Violence, Congress Must Address Mental Health. Former Rep. Jim Renacci, who operated a mental health facility before his time as a lawmaker, weighs in on the topic. Venezuela, China, Russia — Oh, My. In RealClearEnergy, Rick Manning argues that the U.S. must counter this emerging triad. Don’t Lament the Loss of Failed Government “Experts.” RealClearMarkets editor John Tamny responds to one columnist distressed by shrinking of the federal government’s Economic Research Service. Can Humans Breathe Liquid? RealClearScience editor Ross Pomeroy explores a concept that isn’t as far-fetched as it might seem. * * * Wiley Hardeman Post was born in Corinth, Texas, one of five children of itinerant cotton farmers who moved between Texas and Oklahoma. But young Wiley didn’t take to farming and from the day he saw his first airplane — a Curtiss “Pusher,” it was called — at the 1913 county fair in Lawton, Okla., he was hooked. Until then, he’d been a diffident student. But now he had a mission. Post enrolled in the Sweeney Automobile and Aviation School in Kansas City where he aced the science and math classes. Returning to Oklahoma, he worked in construction, and when the United States entered World War I, he signed up for the U.S. Army Air Service pilot training camp at the University of Oklahoma. The war ended before Post completed his training, and little is known about the next few years of his life. He seems to have worked as a roughneck in the oil fields, served a year in prison on a robbery beef, and hooked up with Burrell Tibbs’s Flying Circus, working first as a parachute jumper and then as a stunt pilot. Along the way, he lost an eye, apparently in an industrial accident on an oil rig. But that mishap turned into a blessing: He used the settlement money to buy his first plane, a Canadian-built JN-4 “Canuck.” Hired as company pilot for oilman Florence C. Hall, Post upgraded to a Lockheed Vega, the plane he named Winnie Mae. In aviation’s early days, daring pilots like Wiley Post would make headlines by winning match races or by performing feats such as flying around the world. Post did both. He won a celebrated 1930 race from Chicago to Los Angeles in a second Lockheed Vega, also named Winnie Mae. A year later, he and navigator Harold Gatty circled the globe in just over eight days. But Wiley Post wasn’t a daredevil as much as he was an aerial argonaut. Decades before the term was popularized by Tom Wolfe, he pushed the envelope to do it. From 1932 through 1935, Post pioneered high altitude flying and pressurized cabins, explored the variables of the jet stream, and designed float planes. He flew these hybrids, too, and did so before they were truly aerodynamically stable. He was flying one of them on this date in 1935 when it crashed into Walakpa Lagoon just outside Point Barrow, killing him and Rogers. “Post’s brief but remarkable flying career had a tremendous impact on the early aviation industry,” wrote aviation expert Erik D. Carlson. “His adventurism, his record-setting flights, and his aeronautical experiments transformed aviation and blazed a pathway for modern flight.” Wiley Post was 36 years old when he died, taking his dear friend with him. In a book he wrote about his around-the-world feat, Post had inadvertently foretold the tragedy. “Misfortunes,” he wrote, “never come singly.” Carl M. Cannon Washington Bureau chief, RealClearPolitics @CarlCannon (Twitter) ccannon@realclearpolitics.com Having trouble viewing this email? | [Unsubscribe] | Update Subscription Preferences Copyright © 2019 RealClearHoldings, All rights reserved. You are receiving this email becuase you opted in at our website. Our mailing address is: RealClearHoldings666 Dundee RoadBldg. 600Northbrook, IL 60062 Add us to your address book |
SCOTT RASMUSSEN
| ScottRasmussen.com Launch – Check Out My All New Website No Images? Click here Good morning,My weekly syndicated column looked at how the death of Jeffrey Epstein highlights an important reality underlying 21st century American politics.Just 19% of voters today trust the federal government to do the right thing most of the time. Forty-two percent (42%) rarely or never trust it. The rest are sometimes willing to give the feds the benefit of the doubt.This is not the result of the Obama Administration or the Trump Administration. It has been building for a very long time. In fact, it’s been 47 years since a majority of voters have trusted the government most of the time.That distrust has opened a strong disconnect between what is happening in the political world and what is happening in the rest of the country.In an era of such deep distrust, it might be wise for candidates to focus on how to make the government more trustworthy rather than more powerful. At the very least, they should find a way to convince voters that the failures of the political system won’t eventually drag the nation down.Read the full column.The latest Job Creators Network/ ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse survey shows that 56% of Americans now rate the economy as good or excellent. That’s the highest level of optimism since last October.These new results are based upon a survey conducted August 12-13, prior to yesterday’s steep stock market decline. We will be back in the field again Monday to measure any impact from the market performance and new recession warnings.Finally, today’s Number of the Day notes that the Woodstock Music Festival began 50 years ago today. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 39% of adults believe that, in terms of U.S. history, the Woodstock Festival had both negative and positive elements. Thirty-four percent (34%) view it primarily as a positive event while 8% say negative.Americans who are 65 today would have been 15 at the time of the Woodstock Festival. Those old enough to remember hold views similar to the population at large. However, they are less likely to be following news of the 50th anniversary.Thank you for your interest in our work,Scott Stay Informed Up To The Minute and Share ContentDeeper CurrentsScott Rasmussen offers his personal insight, analysis, and opinion on current political races, issues, and controversy. Read more Scott’s ColumnsPresident Trump has perfected the art of antagonizing his opponents with provocative tweets. He demonstrated this skill recently in declaring that the tax reform act,… Read more SCOTT RASMUSSEN info@scottrasmussen.com https://www.scottrasmussen.com 142 W 57th Street, 11 Floor New York, NY 10023 ScottRasmussen.com Launch – Check Out My All New Website Like Tweet Share Forward Preferences | Unsubscribe |
SEAN HANNITY
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| NADLER DENIED: Judge Strikes Down Key Aspect of Democrats’ Impeachment Probe A federal judge in Washington, DC slapped-down a legal gambit launched by House Democrats to propel their impeachment inquiry against President Trump; calling the effort “superficial.”“A D.C. federal judge on Wednesday shot down an attempt by House Judiciary Committee Democrats to link their subpoena for former White House counsel Don McGahn to a separate request for… |
| REPORT: Baltimore May Deploy Surveillance Planes to Crackdown on Crime, Gun Violence The City of Baltimore is considering the deployment of surveillance aircraft to crackdown on crime and gun violence across the beleaguered city.“The surveillance plane that flew over Baltimore could be making a comeback,” reports CBS Baltimore. “The owner of Persistent Surveillance Systems said Tuesday he is meeting with Baltimore City Police Commissioner… |
| THIS IS REAL: UK Government Introduces ‘Knife Free’ Boxes of Fried Chicken to Reduce Violent Crime The United Kingdom Home Office unveiled their new effort to crackdown on violent crime across England and Wales this week; introducing new ‘Knife Free’ boxes of Fried Chicken throughout the country.“We are rolling out our #KnifeFree chicken boxes in over 210 chicken shops in England and Wales, including Morley’s, Dixy Chicken and… |
| NOBODY CARES: Beto O’Rourke to ‘Deliver First Major Address’ to the American People Rapidly fading presidential hopeful Beto O’Rourke is returning to the campaign trail this week after a deadly mass shooting in El Paso Texas; delivering his “first major address” to the American people.“On Thursday morning, Beto will deliver his first major address to the nation from his hometown of El Paso, Texas. Beto will… |
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AMERICAN THINKER
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Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am After 35 years, I returned to the classroom because a high school in a higher income community was unable to replace a Latin teacher who had resigned. Read More… Pocahontas’ Presidential Run Should be Over Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am Warren’s insidiously evil lie about the Michael Brown shooting tells voters everything they need to know about her. Read More… The Racist History of Red Flag Laws Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am Turns out the FBI already once secretly plotted to use the equivalent of red flag laws to prevent black Americans from having legal access to firearms. Read More… We Need a Red Flag Law for Joe Biden Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am Old Joe is not well. Someone needs to intervene. Read More… A Shining City upon a Hill, Besieged Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am Being a legal immigrant from one of the emergent Eastern European countries, I am often asked how I can be against a liberal immigration policy. Read More… Does Sovereign Debt Matter? Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am Idiotic spending by Congress does a lot more than waste money; it distorts the economy and hurts folks. Read More… Recent Blog Posts China joins MSM and Federal Reserve in trying to tank the stock market Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am President Trump has already stated the obvious: China wants him to lose his re-election bid so that a “stiff” from the Democrats will replace him and be a pushover Read more… Millennial becomes unhinged after boss corrects her spelling of ‘hamster’ Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am Nothing reflects our descent into Idiocracy more than millennials who’ll insist their misspellings of words are correct. Read more… Google blacklists American Thinker Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am And they’re doing it to influence elections… Read more… Whistleblower: American Thinker was on Google’s blacklist of news sites Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am Buried deep in the extensive trove of internal documents documenting Google’s onerous censorship policies Read more… Trump Tower on Obama Avenue: The Democrats’ despicable name-change game Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am One little problem: regulations require that honorees be dead for two years before they can be considered for a street name. Read more… Cuomo is the least of CNN’s problems Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am I don’t think that this is going to help the network get out of the hole. Read more… Philadelphia shootout reminds us why it’s good for good guys to have guns Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am While Philadelphia blew up the news, this “good guy gun-owner shoots bad guy criminal” incident in a town about 30 miles from Chicago received minimal publicity. Read more… Hoping Donald Trump doesn’t make the same mistake George Bush, Sr. did Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am Anti-gun “Red Flag” laws threaten to dismantle Donald Trump’s re-elections chances. Read more… Saudi Arabia’s $200 million a day fails to conquer Yemen Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am The mighty Saudis are brought low. Read more… Is post-Capital One breach criticism of Amazon fair? Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am Are lawmakers demanding the wrong answers from Amazon? Read more… Say no to the All Payer Claims Database Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am The All Payer Claims Database would give the far left one of the things they have been wanting for years. Read more… Nationalism keeps us all in equilibrium. It could be worse. Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am If international politics is a global Mexican standoff, being nervous is better than being dead. Read more… Should conservatives want The Hunt to hit theaters? Aug 15, 2019 01:00 am The hunt is over before it even began. Should conservatives be disappointed? Read more… Trump’s tariff pause shows he’s got his eyes on the prize Aug 14, 2019 01:00 am There is a lot more golng on than a mere tariff dispute, and Trump has his priorities straight. Read more… Ocasio-Cortez positions herself as a ‘useful idiot’ Aug 14, 2019 01:00 am The freshman congresswoman is providing cover for repressive regimes to perpetrate gross human rights violations with impunity. A useful idiot, indeed. Read more… View this email in your browser American Thinker is a daily internet publication devoted to the thoughtful exploration of issues of importance to Americans. |
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LEGAL INSURRECTION
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Shouldn’t College Students be Allowed to Arm Themselves? Over 140 Employees at Eastern Michigan U. Accept Buyouts for Early Retirement Princeton Student Laments Lack of Political Activism on Campus
William Jacobson: “Oberlin College Professor after Gibson’s Bakery verdict: Former
Oberlin College professor Abraham Socher offers fresh insight into the
case, including the headline quote from his former colleague.”
Kemberlee Kaye: “Who is running the pool on when Beto will drop out?”
Mary Chastain: “Go away, Stacey Abrams.”
Leslie Eastman: “I am really looking forward to seeing who gets voted off ‘Debate Island.'”
David Gerstman: “I
am no Sarah Silverman fan, however I feel a little pity for her over
being fired when it emerged that she had appeared in blackface in 2007.
After all, Ralph Northam is still the governor of Virginia. “However,
hypocrisy lands everywhere, including in ‘canceled culture,'” Mary
Chastain observed. ‘If past actions destroy one person’s life, but not another, then what is the point?'”
Stacey Matthews: “There are a lot of disturbing things about Jeffrey Epstein that I sometimes wish I hadn’t read or seen. The painting he reportedly kept of Bill Clinton wearing a blue dress is one of them.”
Miriam Elman: “We’ve
posted before about the complete absence of peace education in the
Palestinian Authority-approved school curriculum and textbooks, covering
in particular the work of the Jerusalem-based organization Impact-Se in
exposing the virulently anti-Israel and even antisemitic messaging in
the books that Palestinian children are learning from, New Palestinian Authority textbooks teach ‘martyrdom as a life goal’. This week, for the first time ever, Palestinian Authority officials are being called out and asked to account for it by
the UN Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination. Impact-Se
was there to give expert testimony. Kudos to this organization and its
executive director, Marcus Sheff, who I had thepleasure of meeting not long ago in Jerusalem.”
Samantha Mandeles: “In his review of Paul Cliteur’s February 2019 book Theoterrorism Versus Freedom of Speech: From Incident to Precedent,
Rumy Hasan explains the effects of post-modernist intersectionality
doctrine on liberal democracies. “Under the guidance of identity
politics, they have been distracted by senseless discussions
of…turning the other cheek, inclusiveness, and avoiding hurting the
religious sensibilities of so-called vulnerable minorities. A lamentable
consequence is that Islamists have been allowed to sap the fibre of
liberal societies.” This resonated with me; I see Islamist organizations
such as American Muslims for Palestine and the Council on
American-Islamic Relations trying to silence scholarly criticism of
Islam or Islamism by crying “Islamophobia.” I worry that their constant
claims of Muslim victimhood (a) undermine real and horrifying instances
of anti-Muslim violence and (b) have successfully taught Americans to
overlook illiberal behavior if it comes from a Muslim community.”
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