The Morning Dispatch: What We Know About the Vaccines and Omicron

Plus: A Q&A with two representatives who are trying to fix Congress.

Happy Friday! Today is the 101st anniversary of Woodrow Wilson being awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. If Jonah seems like he’s in a bad mood, that’s why.

Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories

  • A federal appeals court on Thursday rejected former President Donald Trump’s request for a preliminary injunction that would have blocked the National Archives from releasing an initial tranche of White House records to the January 6 Select Committee. “Former President Trump has given this court no legal reason to cast aside President Biden’s assessment of the Executive Branch interests at stake,” the three-judge panel wrote. Trump has 14 days to appeal the case to the Supreme Court before the records will be released.
  • As part of a deal brokered by Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, the Senate voted 59-35 on Thursday to pass a bill allowing lawmakers—one time only—to raise the debt limit with a simple-majority vote rather than the typical 60-vote threshold. Once President Biden signs the bill into law, congressional Democrats are expected to raise the debt ceiling along party lines and stave off a potential default.
  • President Biden spoke with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for about 90 minutes on Thursday to discuss the buildup of Russian military forces along the two countries’ shared border. “[Biden] reaffirmed the United States’ unwavering commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity,” according to a White House readout of the call. “[He] made clear that the United States and its allies and partners are committed to the principle of ‘no decisions or discussions about Ukraine without Ukraine.’”
  • The Food and Drug Administration on Thursday amended its emergency use authorization for the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine to allow 16- and 17-year-olds to get booster shots six months after their second dose. CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky formally recommended boosters for anyone 16 and older yesterday as well.
  • The number of daily new COVID-19 cases in the U.S. has increased 27 percent over the past two weeks while hospitalizations and deaths attributed to the virus have grown 20 and 12 percent over the same timeframe, respectively. The Upper Midwest and Rust Belt are currently facing the most strain on their hospital systems.
  • Initial jobless claims decreased by 43,000 week-over-week to 184,000 last week, according to the Labor Department, the lowest level in 52 years.
  • New York Attorney General Letitia James announced Thursday she is ending her gubernatorial bid just weeks after entering the race. She will instead run for re-election as attorney general, saying she wants to finish “a number of important investigations and cases that are underway.”
  • New York’s City Council voted 33-14 on Thursday to pass a bill allowing noncitizens to vote in municipal—but not state or federal—elections beginning in January 2023. Mayor Bill de Blasio has expressed skepticism about the legality of the measure—which will very likely be challenged in court—but said he will not veto it.

If You’re Vaccinated, Don’t Freak Out About Omicron

(Photograph by Spencer Platt/Getty Images.)

When Omicron was first discovered by South African researchers in late November, the most pressing question in public health immediately became whether our existing COVID-19 vaccines would hold up when faced with a variant exhibiting more than 30 mutations from the original SARS-CoV-2 virus upon which they were based. Early indications of how easily Omicron spreads—it’s already the dominant strain in South Africa and a Japanese study pegged its transmissibility at more than four times that of Delta—rendered the answer to that question all the more urgent.

Virologists worldwide have been working around the clock the last few weeks in the hopes of providing some peace of mind, and in recent days, we’ve started to see some preliminary results.

On Tuesday, scientists at the Africa Health Research Institute published a laboratory study that found that, although the Omicron variant is more likely to evade the immunity provided by the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine, vaccination and previous infection are still likely to prevent hospitalization and death. Pfizer and BioNTech announced the preliminary results of their own laboratory study the following day, reporting that two vaccine doses plus a booster was just about as effective against Omicron as the original two-dose regimen was against “wild type” SARS-CoV-2.

Compared to some of the doomsday predictions made when the variant first emerged, it’s fantastic news. “My overarching notion would be, so far so good,” Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease specialist at the Vanderbilt University Medical Center. “There’s a lot of caution around that because we don’t have complete information, but it certainly would appear as though our current vaccines—especially if they’re boosted—provide a notable degree of protection against Omicron.”

As we’ve previously discussed, vaccines provide two different types of immunity: Humoral (antibody-driven) immunity that neutralizes pathogens more quickly but generally wanes over the course of a few months, and cell-mediated (T-cell-driven) immunity that doesn’t necessarily prevent infection but sticks around in the body much longer.

“Even if the number of mutations on the [Omicron] spike protein affect neutralizing antibodies, it is likely the T-helper-cell epitopes and cytotoxic T-cell epitopes will still remain intact,” said Dr. Paul Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. “That’s what you would imagine would be true because that always has been true. That immunological memory—with T-cells and B-cells—ultimately is going to protect against serious illness. And I think it’s extremely likely that two doses will protect against serious illness, just as was true for the other three variants.”

The Select Committee Trying to Fix Congress

Do you consider yourself part of the 75 percent of Americans who disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Reps. Derek Kilmer, a Washington Democrat, and William Timmons, a South Carolina Republican are trying to bring that number down. They are chair and vice chair, respectively, of the Select Committee on the Modernization of Congress, formed in 2019 to figure out how to make an increasingly gridlocked institution more effective, collaborative, and transparent.

In today’s Uphill (🔒) , Harvest spoke with the duo about the committee’s latest slate of recommendations, the distrust between parties, rising political violence, and how to break through gridlock.

The Dispatch: When you sit next to someone versus opposite them, you tend to perceive that person as less confrontational and more friendly. During your committee meetings you don’t sit divided by party. How has that affected the dynamic?

Derek Kilmer: I think people’s natural instinct, when they hear something interesting, is to lean over to the person next to them and say, “Hey, that was pretty interesting. What do you think about that?” In our committee, the person you lean over to is someone from a different party. Second of all, we don’t sit on a dais. I’ve never found that I’ve had good conversations speaking to the back of someone’s head. We sit in a roundtable format and that allows people to look each other in the eye and have more collegial and collaborative dialogue on an issue. The other thing that we’ve done is we’ve ditched the five minute speechifying. Our approach has been, let’s use these committee hearings, as I think committees are intended, and that is to learn something. It is much more of a discussion than something that’s just to be used on social media.

The Dispatch: Representative Timmons, your campaign slogan was, “Washington is broken.” If Congress has a hard time agreeing on something like infrastructure, which has had support under multiple Democratic and Republican administrations, do you think that going forward we can only get things done on a party line vote?

Timmons: In any issue that is facing this country, whether it’s ethics reform, whether it’s voting, whether it is infrastructure, spending, you really got to begin by saying, all right, we’re going to lose the 10 percent on either end. You’re never gonna get those people to agree with the middle. So then you say, all right we got 80 percent left. So that’s how the system is supposed to work, and depending on the balance of power, it is 60 percent towards one side or the other. But again, you’re still pursuing 60 percent. And no point in the last year was 60 percent pursued. And again, I mean, back up to 2017, Republicans did the same thing. So that’s why we have never fixed immigration.

Worth Your Time

  • In the Washington Post, Lee Drutman and Yuval Levin make an argument that Jonah is going to love: It’s time to expand the House of Representatives. “In the first Congress, there were just 65 House members, each of whom represented about 30,000 Americans,” they note. “As the nation grew, the House expanded by statute after every decennial census throughout the 19th century. It reached its current size in 1913, when each of its 435 members represented about 210,000 people. But the number of members has not increased since then, even as the country’s population has more than tripled. Each member now represents about 760,000 Americans. And that has changed the very meaning of representation in Congress.”
  • Rich Lowry understands why some on the populist right are drawn to Russian President Vladimir Putin, but he argues in his latest Politico column that that fawning admiration is misplaced. “They admire his strength and audacity in advancing Russia’s interests. They think he has the right enemies, namely the same establishment that also scorned Donald Trump. They see in him an antidote to the cosmopolitanism of the European Union, and a bracing reassertion of national sovereignty,” he writes. “The problem with all of this is that it is abstracted from the reality of Putin’s rule, which makes him one of the world’s most cynical and dangerous men and a hideously unworthy steward of the Russian people’s interests. It’s one thing to be opposed to NATO expansion and to be mindful of Russia’s own security interests; it’s another to excuse Putin’s offenses and puff him up into an exemplar of conservative governance that he’s manifestly not. It’s possible for a political leader to defend national sovereignty, pursue an interest-based foreign policy, defend a common national culture and fight against woke insanity without jailing the political opposition, assassinating critics, invading and dismembering neighboring countries, enriching a kleptocracy and installing a de facto dictator for life. These aren’t incidental foibles; they are at the very heart of Putin’s repressive and corrupt regime.”

Presented Without Comment

Also Presented Without Comment

Twitter avatar for @burgessevBurgess Everett @burgessev

Sen. Ernst says you’ll be paying a “ho ho whole” lot more this Christmas. No, really.

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Also Also Presented Without Comment

Twitter avatar for @ZSchneeweissZoe Schneeweiss @ZSchneeweiss

Crickets, mealworms and grasshoppers are human food, the EU says bloomberg.com/news/articles/…via @megacontango

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Toeing the Company Line

  • Tucker Carlson aired a lengthy segment on Tuesday that could easily have appeared on Russian state television. He defended Vladimir Putin and his buildup of troops on the Ukraine border, blamed the West for the rising tensions, and criticized President Joe Biden. Garry Kasparov, the former chess champion turned political activist, calls out Carlson. “Contrary to Tucker Carlson’s pleas, Putin’s assault on Ukraine has nothing to do with NATO or any threats real or imagined against Russian borders or national security, about which Putin cares nothing anyway,” he writes. “Like every other decision Putin makes from morning to night, it was about keeping his grip on total power in Russia.”
  • While we’re talking about Russia and Ukraine, Paul Miller writes that the situation is serious and a Russian invasion would shape global politics for years to come. But, he cautions, it’s not a Munich moment—yet.
  • On Thursday’s Remnant, Jonah is joined by A.B. Stoddard of RealClearPolitics for some real rank punditry. Is the Democratic Party on the precipice of imploding? Would Nancy Pelosi stepping down as speaker throw Congress into chaos? Will Trump win reelection in 2024? Why have both parties alienated ordinary voters?
  • Yesterday’s episode of Advisory Opinions features a riveting conversation about whether judges should be able to choose their own replacements. Plus: The Biden administration wades into the Harvard admissions policy case, the Supreme Court hears a case about voucher money and religious schools, and the 9th Circuit weighs in on California’s ban on high-capacity magazines.

Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Charlotte Lawson (@lawsonreports), Audrey Fahlberg (@AudreyFahlberg), Ryan Brown (@RyanP_Brown), Harvest Prude (@HarvestPrude), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).

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