The Morning Dispatch: Afghanistan Crumbles

A country the U.S. spent two decades fighting for is being overrun by the Taliban in a matter of days.

Happy Friday! Today’s the day, according to the MyPillow Guy, that Donald Trump is going to be reinstated as president. I guess we’ll see!

Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories

  • The Taliban on Thursday captured the Afghan cities Kandahar and Herat (two of the country’s largest), as well as the strategic provincial capital of Ghazni, which is less than 100 miles from Kabul. In response, the Pentagon announced the deployment of several thousand Marines and soldiers tasked with evacuating all but a “core diplomatic presence” in the American Embassy in Kabul.
  • The Food and Drug Administration on Thursday amended the emergency use authorizations for Pfizer and Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccines, allowing for certain immunocompromised individuals—including organ transplant recipients—to receive an additional dose. “Other individuals who are fully vaccinated are adequately protected and do not need an additional dose of COVID-19 vaccine at this time,” acting FDA Commissioner Janet Woodcock said.
  • The U.S. government released more detailed data from the 2020 Census on Thursday that showed the United States’ population grew 7.4 percent since 2010—the second-slowest decade of growth in U.S. history—with the Sun Belt leading the way. The non-Hispanic white population shrank 2.6 percent in absolute terms over the past decade—its first such decline on record—and now makes up 57.8 percent of the country.
  • Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra announced yesterday that the agency will require more than 25,000 of its health care workforce—patient-facing employees at the National Institutes of Health, Indian Health Service, and U.S. Public Health Service Commissioned Corps—to be vaccinated against COVID-19.
  • San Francisco Mayor London Breed announced Thursday that, beginning August 20, indoor restaurants, bars, gyms, and entertainment venues in the city must require all patrons over the age of 12 to provide proof of full vaccination against COVID-19. A similar mandate for employees will go into effect October 13 “to preserve jobs while giving time for compliance.”
  • The Supreme Court issued an emergency order on Thursday blocking New York’s eviction ban. It’s an ominous sign for the fate of the CDC’s nationwide moratorium, though the two rely on different legal arguments.
  • Justice Amy Coney Barrett on Thursday rejected an effort by eight students to knock down Indiana University’s COVID-19 vaccine requirement. Barrett oversees the federal appeals court in question, and rebuffed the request without comment.
  • U.S. Customs and Border Protection released data for July yesterday showing more than 200,000 migrants were detained along the U.S.-Mexico border last month, a 13 percent increase from June and the largest monthly figure in 21 years. Last week, the Biden administration renewed the Trump administration’s Title 42 order, a pandemic-era policy that allows border agents to quickly expel most single adult migrants.
  • Two of the nation’s largest teachers’ unions—the National Education Association and the American Federation of Teachers—on Thursday articulated their thoughts on vaccine mandates for workers in schools. The NEA announced its support for “requirements that all educators receive a COVID-19 vaccination or submit to regular COVID-19 testing,” but the AFT stopped short, advocating for negotiations with employers over vaccination policies.
  • Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid announced Thursday that Israel and Morocco are fully normalizing relations—a process that began back in December in a deal brokered by the Trump administration—opening embassies in each other’s countries within the next two months.
  • Initial jobless claims decreased by 12,000 week-over-week to 375,000 last week, the Labor Department reported on Thursday.

Afghanistan Crumbling Before the World’s Eyes

Taliban fighters in Herat, Afghanistan’s third-largest city, on Friday. (Photo by AFP via Getty Images)

Speaking at the White House one month ago, President Joe Biden offered a reassuring prediction about the consequences of his decision to withdraw troops from Afghanistan: “The likelihood there’s going to be the Taliban overrunning everything and owning the whole country is highly unlikely.”

Over the last week, thirteen of Afghanistan’s 34 provincial capitals have fallen to the Taliban, solidifying the jihadists’ military dominance amid fruitless peace talks with the Afghan government in Doha, Qatar. Even as the Taliban has taken power with relative ease—district after district, and city after city—top Biden administration officials have stuck to talking points often at odds with the stark reality on the ground. Last week, as reports from Afghanistan featured details of the Taliban’s bloody conquests, State Department spokesman Ned Price claimed that the Taliban remain interested in a “durable” negotiated solution. The Taliban, White House press secretary Jen Psaki repeated Tuesday, will engage Afghan negotiators out of concern for its place in the international community—despite no indication that such a concern exists. And the Afghan government, President Biden insisted Tuesday, is sufficiently equipped to leverage an agreement through its U.S.-trained and supplied military—even as the government surrenders en masse across the country. Despite this stubborn insistence on negotiations, the Taliban’s end-goals—to overrun Kabul, unify the country, and restore the pre-9/11 Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan—all fall outside the purview of diplomacy.

News from the State Department Thursday didn’t inspire much confidence in the U.S. happy talk. In a briefing, Price informed reporters of plans to draw down the Kabul embassy to a “core diplomatic presence” amid the country’s “deteriorating security situation.”

“This is not an abandonment, this is not an evacuation, this is not the wholesale withdrawal,” Price added.

In a press conference minutes later, Pentagon press secretary John F. Kirby announced the movement of approximately 3,000 troops to facilitate the “removal” of American civilians from Kabul. One thousand additional service members will be deployed to Qatar and Afghanistan to process special immigrant visa (SIV) applicants, and roughly 3,500 more will be transferred to Kuwait as “a quick reaction force for security in Kabul if needed.”

Worth Your Time

  • In a piece for Reason, Matt Welch argues that no “self-respecting American” should aspire to Hungarian-style nationalism. Viktor Orbán, the country’s prime minister, “whets the power appetites of American conservatives who no longer have patience for due process, individual autonomy, and limited government,” Welch writes. “By aspiring to Orbán’s strategic and proudly anti-liberal wielding of consolidated state power against perceived internal enemies, the Hungaro-cons are threatening to sink deeper into the conservative rut of anti-factual paranoia, enemy-scapegoating, and egg-breaking, swapping out even the pretense of philosophical governing principle for a transparent will to power. … It’s Flight 93s all the way down, then, only this time hijacked by a Hungarian. Perhaps one day the American right will regain its faith in America.”
  • The Atlantic’s Ed Yong has consistently provided some of the best COVID-19 coverage over the past year and half, and his latest piece—on how the pandemic will end—is no different. “Vaccines are now here, uptake has plateaued, and the first surge of the vaccine era is ongoing. What, now, is the point of masking, distancing, and other precautions?” he asks. “The answer, as before, is to buy time—for protecting hospitals, keeping schools open, reaching unvaccinated people, and more. Most people will meet the virus eventually; we want to ensure that as many people as possible do so with two doses of vaccine in them, and that everyone else does so over as much time as possible. The pandemic isn’t over, but it will be: The goal is still to reach the endgame with as little damage, death, and disability as possible. COVID-19 sent the world into freefall, and although vaccines have slowed our descent, we’d still be wise to steer around the trees standing between us and solid ground.”

Presented Without Comment

Toeing the Company Line

  • For more on the Afghanistan story, tune in to today’s Dispatch Podcast. Steve sits down with Thomas Joscelyn—who writes our Vital Interests newsletter—to discuss how long it will take for the Taliban to seize control of the entire country. Plus, a conversation with GOP Sen. Bill Cassidy on the bipartisan infrastructure deal.
  • On Thursday’s Advisory Opinions, David and Sarah discuss vaccine passports on cruise ships, the eviction moratorium and the Third Amendment, and the failed attempt by leaders of the Stop the Steal movement to dismiss Dominion Voting Systems’ defamation lawsuit against them.
  • National Review’s Charles C.W. Cooke returned to The Remnant yesterday for a discussion of Ron DeSantis’ symbiotic relationship with the mainstream media, the right’s newfound fascination with Hungary, the imperial presidency, and Americans’ conflicting foreign policy views.
  • In a piece for the site today, Paul D. Miller, who served as director for Afghanistan and Pakistan on the national security council staff under Presidents Bush and Obama, argues against what he calls the comfortable myths that are causing many to meet the unfolding disaster in Afghanistan with a shrug—that collapse was inevitable, that the U.S. presence was unsustainable, that nation-building is always and only a fool’s errand. “These myths function as an ex post facto explanation that we—the most powerful nation in the world—were actually powerless all along,” Miller writes. “Critics may complain that ‘we can’t stay forever.’ Perhaps, but we could have stayed long enough for the military presence to evolve, very gradually, into a near-peacetime deployment. Again, the military presence was small, low-risk, and relatively low-cost.”

Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Ryan Brown (@RyanP_Brown), Harvest Prude (@HarvestPrude), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).