The Morning Dispatch: Waiting on Vaccines for Kids

Plus: What is—and isn’t—in the new IPCC report on climate change.

Happy Tuesday! If you’re thinking about spending $200 on a fake COVID-19 vaccine card, we have a proposition for you: How about you get a real COVID-19 vaccine card for free, and then send two of your friends the gift of an annual Dispatch subscription instead?

Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories

  • Senate Democrats on Monday unveiled the full text of their $3.5 trillion budget resolution, creating a framework through which they will attempt to extend the child care tax credit, establish universal pre-K and community college, create a pathway to citizenship for certain illegal immigrants, and much more. Democrats will attempt to use the reconciliation process to pass the package, limiting the types of provisions that can be included but allowing them to advance the legislation with just 50 votes. The resolution does not include language on raising the debt ceiling, setting up a partisan squabble in the coming weeks as the Treasury Department’s ability to borrow runs out.
  • The U.S. military will in the coming weeks add the COVID vaccine to the long list of inoculations required of service members, per a memo from Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. The move will take effect by September 15, and earlier if the vaccines receive full FDA approval before then. In a statement, President Biden said he “strongly supports” the move.
  • The United StatesCanada, and United Kingdom imposed additional sanctions on Belarus on Monday, the one-year anniversary of what the Biden administration deemed the country’s “fraudulent” presidential election that reinstalled Belarusian strongman Aleksandr Lukashenko. The White House cited Lukashenko’s “elimination of political opposition and civil society organizations and the regime’s disruption and endangering of international civil air travel” as reasons for the additional sanctions.
  • In order to make room for an influx of COVID hospitalizations, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott on Monday asked hospitals in the state to “voluntarily postpone medical procedures for which delay will not result in loss of life or a deterioration in the patient’s condition.”

Why Kids Are Waiting for COVID Vaccine Approval

(Photo by Patrick T. Fallon/AFP/Getty Images.)

Whether it’s because of the rise of the Delta variant or increasingly prevalent mandates from employers or businesses, the pace of U.S. COVID-19 vaccination is on the rise once again after months of steady decline.

Three weeks ago, an average of 566,000 shots were being administered every day. Two weeks ago it was 673,000, and last week it was nearly 716,000. More than 80 percent of American senior citizens are now fully vaccinated against the virus, and the same can be said of 61 percent of U.S. adults. But among the American population as a whole, just a smidge over half are two weeks past their final dose. How is this possible? Tens of millions of kids remain ineligible for the shot.

A few weeks ago, we wrote about the Food and Drug Administration’s slow implementation of full COVID vaccine approval; it’s becoming increasingly clear the agency is doing the same thing when it comes to granting the shots emergency use authorization for children ages 5 to 11. As the Delta variant rages and the school year looms, concerned parents have received little guidance on how to keep their children safe—aside from updated CDC guidance recommending universal masking for everyone over the age of 2.

Asked in his CNN town hall last month when children under 12 might be able to be vaccinated, President Biden simply said “soon.” About that same time, an anonymous FDA official told NBC News that an EUA for this age group could be expected “midwinter.”

If anyone would have any insight into the timing, it’d be Dr. Paul Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and a member of the FDA’s vaccine advisory committee. But he didn’t. “I can make this very easy for you,” he told The Dispatch yesterday with a laugh. “I don’t know any more than you do.”

A Global Problem That Demands Global Action

More than 200 U.N.-appointed climatologists released their periodic findings on the progression of climate change Monday, setting off a cascade of headlines—“Code red for humanity,” “Nothing but bad news,” “IPCC report’s verdict on climate crimes of humanity: guilty as hell”—signaling that the end is nigh and industrialized society is to blame.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report predicted that the world would fall short of its goal to prevent human-induced global warming from rising 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit by the year 2100—and by a lot. If global emissions continue to accelerate at their current rate, the authors posit, warming will reach that benchmark within the next two decades.

Fortunately for humanity—if not clickworthy headlines—the report didn’t include much else beyond what climate scientists have already signaled. That is: Climate change is real, much of it is “unequivocally” human-inflicted, but it’s also reversible if the global community takes decisive and collective action.

Reducing the greenhouse gas concentration in the atmosphere—by limiting future emissions and taking steps to remove the carbon dioxide that’s already there—can achieve some of the long-term stabilization goals articulated in the findings.

“The IPCC has said before, and it’s confirmed in this report, that we can’t take different tools off the table. It’s an all hands on deck situation, which means we need to be using nuclear energy, carbon capture, natural climate solutions, a whole host of things,” Quill Robinson, vice president of government affairs at the American Conservation Coalition, told The Dispatch. “What we’re focused on is advocating for a diversity of policies that will help us reduce carbon emissions and sequester carbon from the atmosphere.”

“The issue isn’t new attention for the problem, but the lack of attention around solutions,” Arkansas GOP Rep. Bruce Westerman, ranking member of the Committee on Natural Resources, told The Dispatch. “We are letting our forests burn up year after year, relying on other countries with poor environmental and labor standards for critical minerals, and not effectively harnessing natural climate solutions on our public lands like innovative grazing.”

Worth Your Time

  • This remembrance of Bobby McIlvaine—from Jennifer Senior in The Atlantic—is outstanding. Bobby was 26 and working at Merrill Lynch when he died in the 9/11 attacks alongside thousands of others; Senior—whose younger brother was Bobby’s roommate—tells the story of his family’s mourning. “Early on, the McIlvaines spoke to a therapist who warned them that each member of their family would grieve differently. Imagine that you’re all at the top of a mountain, she told them, but you all have broken bones, so you can’t help each other. You each have to find your own way down,” she writes. “It was a helpful metaphor, one that may have saved the McIlvaines’ marriage. But when I mentioned it to Roxane Cohen Silver, a psychology professor at UC Irvine who’s spent a lifetime studying the effects of sudden, traumatic loss, she immediately spotted a problem with it: ‘That suggests everyone will make it down,’ she told me. ‘Some people never get down the mountain at all.’”
  • We wrote a few weeks back about the redistricting process playing out in states ahead of the 2022 midterms, and how it was being affected by the pandemic-induced delays to the 2020 Census. Nathaniel Rakich and FiveThirtyEight’s graphic design team debuted an incredible new tool this week that will be updated regularly to track the status of each state’s proposed congressional maps and which party is likely to benefit from them. “It’s hard to overstate the impact that redistricting will have over American politics for the next 10 years,” Rakich writes. “It is very important to track how the partisan makeup and competitiveness of districts in the congressional maps that get drawn this fall, winter and spring change—which is exactly what we’re doing at FiveThirtyEight. … You can look up which party controls redistricting in each state, where the process currently stands and when to expect a new map to take effect; for states with proposed or final maps, you can also view the demographic and partisan breakdown of the new districts, see which party gained or lost ground and check if the map exhibits any signs of gerrymandering.”

Presented Without Comment

Also Presented Without Comment

Toeing the Company Line

  • David and Sarah are joined on today’s Advisory Opinions by Jonathan Rauch, author of The Constitution of Knowledge, for a wide-ranging discussion about the state of free speech and how big a threat illiberalism poses.
  • On the website today, Price St. Clair looks into whether our inequality and polarization are pushing the Republican Party into a form of “plutocratic populism.”
  • The conventional wisdom on kids and the internet has parents restricting screen time and confiscating phones. Stefanie Sanford reviews a new book that explores how to integrate technology and social media into their lives in ways that are useful and productive.

Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Ryan Brown (@RyanP_Brown), Harvest Prude (@HarvestPrude), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).