The Morning Dispatch: Getting the Vaccines to the People

Plus: Biden makes some key picks for his national security team.

Happy Tuesday! Today would have been William F. Buckley’s 95th birthday. As good a day as any to read Alvin Felzenberg on the founding editor of National Review’s “crusade against the John Birch Society.”

Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories

  • Emily Murphy, head of the Government Services Administration, sent a letter to President-elect Biden yesterday authorizing him and his team to begin a formal transition process. President Trump accepted the move, saying that—while he still believes he will “prevail”—he is “recommending that Emily and her team do what needs to be done with regard to initial protocols.” Several hours later, however, he added that his legal fights are “moving full speed ahead” and he “will never concede.”
  • A steady stream of Republicans continued to publicly accept the reality of the election results yesterday. Sen. Rob Portman wrote in an op-ed that “there is no evidence as of now of any widespread fraud or irregularities that would change the result in any state.” Fox News’ Laura Ingraham told viewers, “Unless the legal situation changes in a dramatic and frankly unlikely manner, Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20.” Trump’s top backer on Wall Street—Blackstone CEO Steve Schwarzman—told Axios “the outcome is very certain today, and the country should move on.” Sen. Shelley Moore Capito wrote that, “at some point, the 2020 election must end” and “if states certify the results as they currently stand, Vice President Joe Biden will be our next president.” Sen. Lamar Alexander said “it seems apparent that Joe Biden will be the president-elect” and encouraged President Trump to concede: “When you are in public life, people remember the last thing you do.”
  • Michigan’s State Board of Canvassers on Monday certified President-elect Joe Biden’s victory in the state by a vote of 3-0, with one Republican board member abstaining.
  • President-elect Biden has reportedly selected former Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen as his nominee for Treasury Secretary. He also announced on Monday his intent to nominate Alejandro Mayorkas to lead the Department of Homeland Security, Avril Haines as his Director of National Intelligence, Jake Sullivan as National Security Adviser, and John Kerry as his administration’s “international climate envoy,” a new post.
  • In a sign the business community is preparing for a Biden presidency, General Motors (GM) announced it is withdrawing its support from the Trump administration’s efforts to prevent California from setting its own—stricter—fuel economy standards. In a letter to environmental leaders, GM CEO Mary Barra encouraged other automakers to follow her company’s lead.
  • Hong Kong democracy activists Joshua Wong, Agnes Chow, and Ivan Lam pled guilty on Monday to charges of unlawful assembly stemming from their participation in mass street protests in 2019. Wong said he expected to go to jail for potentially five years, although he and the other activists have avoided the life sentence penalty that Hong Kong’s new security law created because their crimes happened before the law was enacted.
  • The Justice Department unsealed an indictment yesterday against 15 individuals connected to the South Philadelphia and Southern New Jersey La Cosa Nostra criminal organization, or mafia. The defendants—including “Tony Meatballs,” “Joey Electric,” and “Louie Sheep”—face charges of racketeering conspiracy, illegal gambling, loansharking, extortion, and drug trafficking. There are no charges expected for bad nicknames.
  • The United States confirmed 186,148 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday per the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard, with 10.3 percent of the 1,801,682 tests reported coming back positive. An additional 905 deaths were attributed to the virus on Monday, bringing the pandemic’s American death toll to 257,651. According to the COVID Tracking Project, 85,836 Americans are currently hospitalized with COVID-19.

Approval, Prioritization, and Distribution, Oh My!

AstraZeneca and the University of Oxford announced yesterday that data from late-stage clinical trials found their COVID-19 vaccine to be between 62 and 90 percent effective depending on the dosage. The vaccine candidate joins two others—one from Pfizer, and one from Moderna—that have reported even higher efficacy figures. Pfizer has already applied for emergency use authorization with the Food and Drug Administration, and Operation Warp Speed scientific adviser Dr. Moncef Slaoui said over the weekend Americans could begin receiving a COVID-19 vaccine as early as December 11 or 12.

With vaccine approval at this point just weeks away—which, we’ll say again, is nothing short of a medical miracle—it’s time to start talking about logistics: How will the vaccine make its way from a lab somewhere into the fleshy part of our upper arms?

Once a vaccine gets the go-ahead from the FDA, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) will hold a public meeting to determine the appropriate nationwide prioritization scheme for vaccine distribution. Shortly after Dr. Robert Redfield—director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC)—signs off on the recommendations, the distribution process will begin.

And it will be a process. Slaoui told CNN over the weekend that—given the vaccine candidates’ efficacy—approximately 70 percent of the population will need to be vaccinated to reach something resembling herd immunity. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on CBS News Sunday that “we need to get as many people as possible vaccinated.”

That’s a tall order in a country of 330 million people. The efficacy of Pfizer, Moderna, and AstraZeneca’s candidates all rely on two doses being administered, days or weeks apart. “If they’re two dose vaccines, that’s 660 million doses of vaccines,” said Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease specialist at the Vanderbilt University Medical Center. “Nobody’s ever even dreamed of doing something like that before.”

Biden’s National Security Team Starts to Come Into Focus

President-elect Joe Biden announced his picks for several key national security positions yesterday, indicating a desire to return to establishment-driven foreign policy with his list of career public servants. But the lineup also had a handful of firsts. If confirmed, Alejandro Mayorkas would be the first Latino and first immigrant to head the Department of Homeland Security; Avril Haines would be the first woman to serve as Director of National Intelligence.

Among the six candidates put forth, all worked in the Obama administration in some capacity. Antony Blinken, the longtime frontrunner to be Biden’s Secretary of State, previously served as deputy secretary of state and deputy national security adviser under Barack Obama. Many observers view his nomination as a restoration of Obama-Biden era multilateralism: Blinken is, for example, expected to return the United States to the Paris Climate Accord, the World Health Organization, and the Iran nuclear deal.

Biden’s pick for National Security Adviser, Jake Sullivan, played a key role in crafting the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action—the Iran deal—and is likely to push for its revival. Sullivan advised Biden during his tenure as vice president and during the Biden-Harris campaign, making him a natural choice for the position.

The announcements satisfied some on both the left and the right. “Solid choice. Leaders around the world will assume that when Blinken speaks, he speaks for Biden,” Bernie Sanders’ 2020 campaign manager Faiz Shakir said of the Secretary of State nominee. Conservative columnist and radio host Hugh Hewitt called Blinken, Sullivan, and Biden’s nominee for Ambassador to the United Nations Linda Thomas-Greenfield “smart, mainstream, competent professionals.”

Worth Your Time

  • Scott Keller—the former solicitor general of Texas (and Sarah’s husband!)—argues in The Wall Street Journal that federal judges should be able to issue nationwide injunctions blocking actions by the executive branch. Courts issued “three times as many nationwide injunctions against the Trump administration in four years as they did throughout all eight years of the Obama administration,” he notes. “Courts should issue nationwide injunctions sparingly,” Keller continues. “When an agency’s action is lawful in some circumstances but not others, courts shouldn’t block the policy categorically across the country. But a court should have the power to enter a nationwide injunction against a federal agency’s action when it is categorically unlawful in all circumstances.”
  • Erstwhile Remnant guest Amy Walter’s latest analysis for The Cook Political Report argues that those decrying the recent failure of pollsters are “missing the bigger picture: Trump’s all-base-all-the-time strategy was a failure.” While the Trump campaign succeeded in its goal of turning out just about every Trump supporter possible, it wasn’t enough to get him over the 50 percent line in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Arizona. In the absence of a significant third party candidate this time around, Biden’s improvements on Hillary Clinton’s performance was enough to carry the former vice president—in those states and in the Electoral College. “Yes, the battleground states were close,” Walter concludes. “But, the bottom line was that Trump’s approach turned off more voters than it attracted. And, even improving margins among Latinos in the border counties of Texas didn’t make much of an improvement in Trump’s overall showing in the state.”
  • In a piece for Slate, Dan Kois grapples with the very dilemma many of you were discussing in the comments yesterday: How families should think about the holiday season this year. We’re all “weighing risks and emotions at the same time and struggling with how they interact,” he writes, “trying to cope with the inability of our institutions to keep us safe while still attempting to live a life that seems non-terrible.” Visiting relatives for Thanksgiving or Christmas is “a hard decision, no matter how many people try to tell you it’s easy, and the conversations we have to initiate in order to make it are hard, too.”

Presented Without Comment

Toeing the Company Line

  • Sens. Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue are heavily favored to win their Senate runoffs in early January, which would cement Republicans’ Senate majority under a Biden administration. Before then, however, the two senators have to walk a difficult messaging line: Selling themselves as a last line of defense against Biden to voters who would rather see them fighting to prevent Biden from taking office in the first place. Andrew spent a few days in Georgia reporting on this bizarre phenomenon, and you can read his piece over at the site today.
  • Sarah and David were originally slated to be off this week for the holiday, but there was just too much legal news! On Monday’s emergency episode of Advisory Opinions, they bring us up to speed on the Trump legal team’s latest election litigation, which can fairly objectively be referred to as a clown show. Plus, Scott Keller joins the show to spar with David about nationwide injunctions.

Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Audrey Fahlberg (@FahlOutBerg), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), James P. Sutton (@jamespsuttonsf), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).

Photograph by Paul Hennessy/NurPhoto/Getty Images.