Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Wednesday November 4, 2020
THE DAILY SIGNAL
November 4 2020
Good morning from Washington, where President Trump vows to fight what he calls Democrats’ bid to “steal” the election for Joe Biden. Fred Lucas has the latest. Some key races are decided, but which party will control the Senate remains up in the air, Rachel del Guidice reports. On the podcast, veteran election watcher Hans von Spakovsky sorts what we know. Plus: Hispanics put Trump over the top in Florida, and voters decide some thorny ballot questions. On this date in 1922, British archaeologist Howard Carter’s team finds a step that will lead them to the 3,000-year-old, treasure-laden tomb of King Tutankhamen in Egypt’s Valley of the Kings.
Heritage Foundation legal scholar Hans von Spakovsky breaks down what we know about the presidential election and the likelihood of results being contested in court.
“We are protecting our state’s taxpayer dollars and reaffirming Louisiana’s pro-life stance,” says the sponsor of the measure, Democratic state Sen. Katrina Jackson.
Roughly 60% of Oregonian voters favored making it no longer a crime to possess a “non-commercial” amount of methamphetamine, heroin and cocaine, among others.
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“Here is your country. Cherish these natural wonders, cherish the natural resources, cherish the history and romance as a sacred heritage, for your children and your children’s children. Do not let selfish men or greedy interests skin your country of its beauty, its riches or its romance.”
THEODORE ROOSEVELT
“Lenin repeatedly stressed that communists must hide their real intentions. In the pursuit of power, no promise or compromise would be ruled out. In other words, to achieve their goals, they must be unscrupulous. Both Russia’s Bolsheviks and the Chinese communist movement made liberal use of violence and deception on their way to gaining power.”
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Joe Biden has said he wants to be president of ALL the states and that he doesn’t see red states and blue states. But his economic policies are a de facto war against… Read more
One way in which today’s presidential election can be summarized is this: It is a contest between those who hate Donald Trump and those who hate the left… Read more
‘Earthen pot’, ‘Hard to pin down’, ‘Embodiments’, ‘JFK’s Secretary of State, Dean’, “‘Alien’ star”, ‘Bridge positions’, and ‘Electrify’ are some of the clues in this crossword puzzle.
As both candidates still see a path to victory with several states still up for grabs. As of early this morning, Trump holds a slight advantage. He is leading in Georgia, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan. As some states stall counting, the threat of a legal battle grows (Fox News). From Larry Elder: Trump has better lawyers (Twitter). Hispanic voters helped Trump in Florida, Georgia and Ohio (Daily Caller). From Erick Erickson: Whether Donald Trump wins or loses, we are witnesses a realignment of parties with the GOP rapidly becoming a party of working-class white voters with young black men and Hispanic voters. Christian Democrats, if you will (Twitter). Early in the evening, CNN’s Jake Tapper indicated we were about to see a Biden landslide (Fox News). Both Trump and Biden spoke at the end of the evening (WSJ).
2.
Republicans Appear to Hold Control of the Senate
Though a few races were yet to be decided, the GOP held some key races for which Democrats had high hopes (Fox News). From Guy Benson: AT THIS HOUR (Senate races Dems thought they could win on a good-to-great night): McConnell +20! KY (97% in) Graham +15 SC (75% in) Cornyn +10 TX (82% in) Marshall +12 KS (85% in) (Twitter).
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3.
Polls Fail Us Once Again
From the Wall Street Journal Editorial Board: ..by making the 2020 race close, and perhaps taking it into overtime, Mr. Trump has pulled off a second huge political surprise. At least a few pollsters might be looking for a new line of work. Later: it’s already clear that the biggest early losers are the pollsters. The mainstream media polls all had Mr. Biden winning in a walk with a popular vote margin in the upper single digits. They were off in particular on Florida. The outlier pollsters like the Trafalgar Group, often derided by their colleagues, seem to have better judged the electorate (WSJ). From Kimberly Strassel: I like to put things on the record. Final Florida (MSM-loved) polls: Quinnipiac: Biden +5 Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +4 CNBC/Change: Biden +3 (Twitter). David Harsanyi looks at how badly they blew Florida (National Review). From Mike Huckabee: One result of 2020 election is that media polling is OVER. Utterly discredited & proven as worthless as a milk bucket under a bull. They were either dishonest or just plain incompetent. Either way, turn off the oven. They are DONE (Twitter). From Sean Davis on the South Carolina Senate race: Quinnipiac, which is garbage, polled that race three times. In all three polls, Quinnipiac claimed the race was a tie (Twitter).
Court Declares California Governor’s Executive Order Unconstitutional
From the story: … a Northern California judge tentatively ruled in favor of state Assemblymembers James Gallagher and Kevin Kiley regarding their lawsuit against Governor Gavin Newsom. The two Republicans are claiming the Democratic governor has abused his power during the COVID-19 pandemic. They have been arguing that the California Emergency Services Act does not provide for one-man rule.
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“Donald Trump wins Florida” via Dara Kam News Service of Florida — In a tumultuous race that could help determine the fate of the White House, Trump led Joe Biden in the battle for Florida’s 29 electoral votes. With about 93% of the votes counted by 10 p.m., the Republican President had more than a three percentage-point advantage over his Democratic rival, prompting Gov. Ron DeSantis and Florida GOP leaders to declare Trump the winner. Trump’s lead over Biden in Florida appeared to top the President’s 1.2 percentage-point victory over Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016. Despite Democrats’ prediction of a “blue wave,” Republican candidates appeared to make gains up and down the ticket, including in two closely watched South Florida congressional races where incumbent Democrats were poised to be ousted by GOP challengers.
“Trump claims victory and that ‘they’ are trying to steal election as tallies continue” via The Associated Press — Trump claimed victory in a news conference early Wednesday morning and said he would go to the Supreme Court in order to stop further counting of ballots. He also claimed in a tweet that “they are trying to STEAL the Election.” He did not clarify who ‘they’ were. Twitter flagged the post as misleading almost immediately. Millions of votes are still uncounted and a winner has not been declared in the election. There is also no evidence of widespread voter fraud, despite Trump’s claims. As of early Wednesday morning, Trump had won Florida, the nation’s most prized battleground state, as well as Texas. Races were too early to call in some of the other fiercely contested and critical states on the map, including North Carolina, Georgia and Pennsylvania.
Donald Trump touts a preemptive ‘win’ Wednesday morning — before all votes are counted.
Situational awareness
—@RonDeSantisFL: President @realDonaldTrump is up in Florida by almost 400,000 votes with more than 90% of precincts reporting. Why haven’t networks called the race? It’s a done deal and the refusal to recognize the obvious speaks volumes about the (lack of) objectivity of these outlets.
—@marcorubio: Dem wipeout in Miami-Dade #Florida. Two Dem House incumbents lost. Multiple state legislative seats go from Blue to Red. Trump cut the Democrat margin of victory by over half from 2016.
—@AshleyMoodyFL: So incredibly proud of @realdonaldtrump’s big win in Florida. This is a team win for all who worked hard throughout the campaign because they believed in his commitment to #MAGA
—@JoeGruters: We crushed the Democrats on the ground, in voter registration and by turning out our voters. Florida delivered for our home state President @RealDonaldTrump. Thank you to Gov @RonDeSantisFl, The Trump Florida Victory Team, the @RNC and all of the @FloridaGOP Local Party leaders.
—@ChrisSprowls: Amazing night for Florida House Republicans. Congratulations to our Republican incumbents, all of whom are coming back, and the amazing Republican candidates from all over the state of Florida.
—@AnnaForFlorida: I’m saying it now. We need a whole new direction for the @FlaDems. We are losing too many incredible down-ballot elected officials and candidates right now and it’s not OK. I know we have the potential to be better and do better. We do it every day here in #HD47.
—@Book4Senate: @AnnaForFlorida COULDN’T AGREE MORE! @FlaDems is in desperate need of new leadership if we hope to gain future ground. Tonight’s losses shouldn’t have happened. @oscarjb2 — you up for the challenge? Your tried & true & battle-tested leadership is needed now more than ever.
—@JimmyPatronis: Push forward policies and ideas that are agreeable with the Florida Voters. I don’t blame you for wanting heads to roll but your ideas aren’t right for Florida Families. #JustSaying #flapol
Tweet, tweet:
—@FredPiccoloJr: Will be very curious to see how Jewish voters split between POTUS and Biden. Moving the embassy, the Golan, peace deals, etc. seems there’s never been a more pro-Israel President.
—@AsteadWesley: just an absolute shellacking in Miami
—@NewsbySmiley: Adjectives being used by Democrats tonight about what’s happening in Miami-Dade: “shellacked” … “f*cked” … “so bad” … “Democratic debacle” … and, once again, “f*cked”
Tweet, tweet:
—@mcimaps: I definitely need to move to the Western states. That is God’s country
—@culvert: On SD37 race: The @MDCElections confirmed 11,000 vbm ballots countywide, a number of which are in SD37, need to be processed and counted. Given the closeness of the race and the Dem advantage we saw in VBM voting, once those results come in, we will offer comments on next steps.
Tweet, tweet:
Tweet, tweet:
—@StephenAtHome: The human body was not made to expend this much energy thinking about Pennsylvania.
Days until
NBA 2020-21 training camp — 6; Apple announces new Macs with Apple chips — 6; FITCon Policy Conference begins — 8; The Masters begins — 8; NBA draft — 14; Pixar’s “Soul” premieres — 16; College basketball season slated to begin — 21; NBA 2020-21 opening night — 28; Florida Automated Vehicles Summit — 28; the Electoral College votes — 40; “Death on the Nile” premieres — 43; “Wonder Woman 1984” rescheduled premiere — 51; Greyhound racing ends in Florida — 56; the 2021 Inauguration — 76; Super Bowl LV in Tampa — 94; “A Quiet Place Part II” rescheduled premiere — 106; “Black Widow” rescheduled premiere — 120; “No Time to Die” premieres (rescheduled) — 149; “Top Gun: Maverick” rescheduled premiere — 240; Disney’s “Shang Chi and The Legend of The Ten Rings” premieres — 247; new start date for 2021 Olympics — 261; “Jungle Cruise” premieres — 269; Disney’s “Eternals” premieres — 366; “Spider-Man Far From Home” sequel premieres — 369; Steven Spielberg’s “West Side Story” premieres — 401; “Thor: Love and Thunder” premieres — 465; “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness” premieres — 518; “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” sequel premieres — 699.
Presidential
“Again defying the odds, Trump beats Joe Biden in Ohio” via Darrel Rowland of The Columbus Dispatch — He did it again. Defying polls, pundits and pugnacious Democratic opposition, Trump has won bellwether Ohio for a second time. Whether that launches him to another national victory is not yet settled — and may not be for some time. Although hundreds of thousands of votes will remain uncounted for a couple of weeks in Ohio, Trump holds what is considered an insurmountable lead over Biden among ballots already tallied. With most of the state’s voting areas tabulated, the Republican incumbent’s margin now stands at about 450,000 votes. That gives him a current 8-point lead — matching the spread of his surprise win in 2016.
Donald Trump pulls off a surprise win in Ohio. Image via AP.
“Final Wisconsin presidential election results unlikely before tomorrow” via Will Cioci of The Daily Cardinal — Election officials do not expect to know which presidential candidate will win Wisconsin before early tomorrow morning. Milwaukee’s vote count, which could significantly shift the results, is not expected before 5 a.m. Wednesday. According to The New York Times, 62% of the estimated vote total has been reported as of 11 p.m. Trump leads Biden 51.6% to 46.8%. However, about 67% of uncounted votes are in counties won by Clinton in 2016. 2.2 million votes have been reported. At 9 p.m., Elections Commission Administrator Meagan Wolfe said election officials are now working tirelessly to count every ballot, but some larger jurisdictions are predicting they will count into the morning in order to do the job right.
Presidential in Florida
“In Little Havana, Trump finds the support he needed.” via The New York Times — Cuban Americans in Miami-Dade County celebrated Trump’s strong showing in Florida along the iconic Southwest Eighth Street near Little Havana. Trump was relying on strong support from Cuban American Republicans in the state.
Joe Biden’s troubles in Miami-Dade began early.
“At a Hialeah polling place, dueling salsa music, taunts of ‘comunista,’ and shy voters” via Yadira Lopez, Linda Robertson, Samantha J. Gross and Ben Conarck of the Miami Herald — Late Tuesday morning, the sounds of “Pa fuera, pa la calle” from speakers on a truck of Biden supporters clashed with the “Yo voy a votar por Trump” tune coming from a rival car outside the polling place at the JFK Library in Hialeah. As the Biden pickup drove through the parking lot, a cluster of Trump supporters with bullhorns quipped “Aqui llegaron los comunistas de Miami,” “Miami’s communists are here.” But voters in line were much coyer. Hialeah is a Republican bastion where more than half the 240,000 residents are Cuban. It is also a place where Democrats have repeatedly fallen short of challenging conservative politicians, up and down the ticket.
2020
“Florida becomes the first state in the South to vote yes on a $15 minimum wage” via Emily Stewart of Vox — Florida voters have said yes to increasing the state’s minimum wage to $15. They did so by approving Amendment 2, which increases the state’s minimum wage from $8.56 to $15 by September 30, 2026. Florida’s yes vote on Amendment 2 makes it the first state in the South and the eighth state in the country to raise its minimum wage to $15. According to Fight for $15, a group that advocates on behalf of a $15 minimum wage, Virginia is the only southern state that has increased its minimum wage recently, but to $12, not $15. The left-leaning Florida Policy Institute estimates that Amendment 2’s passage will result in a wage increase for 2.5 million workers in Florida — in other words, it’s likely to make a big impact on people’s lives.
“Amendment 4, creating a new hurdle for ballot measures, fails with Florida voters” via John Kennedy of the Sarasota Herald-Tribune — Voters turned back Amendment 4, a measure which would require future constitutional amendments to be approved by voters twice — at successive general elections, where they would have needed at least 60% approval. Amendment 4, which also had to clear the 60% threshold, was actually being rejected by a majority of Florida voters. The proposed amendment was backed by a murky organization called Keep Our Constitution Clean, which spent $9 million to hire signature-gathering firms to get on the ballot. Opponents, including the Florida League of Women Voters and ACLU of Florida, warned that if approved by voters, the new requirement could derail any future amendments by making them jump through two election hoops — increasing the cost and odds for failure.
“Initiative to open primary elections in Florida appears headed for failure” via Jeff Schweers of the Tallahassee Democrat — The proposed amendment, also known as All Voters Vote, needed 60% or more of the vote to become part of the state constitution. As of 11 p.m., it had just under 57% with 10.1 million votes tallied. “When the counting is done, more Floridians will have voted for Amendment 3 than Donald Trump or Joe Biden,” said Glenn Burhans Jr., chairman of All Voters Vote. “We are encouraged by the clear message sent by nearly 6 million Floridians; they want electoral reform for the 5.7 million nonparty affiliated voters — including 1.5 million minority voters — who are shut out of the process. We hope that lawmakers will take heed and enact measures to let all voters vote in taxpayer-funded elections.”
“A normal Election Day in South Florida — meaning our political civil war was decidedly civil” via Dave Hyde of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — My fellow South Floridians, I can’t believe what I’m about to type considering all we went through leading up to this election, considering all we wondered about heading into Election Day and considering what we still might go through if there’s ballot-counting ahead. But here goes: Tuesday was, uh, normal, wasn’t it? It was also, uh, civil for a country at uncivil political war. Right? No violence. At least that anyone heard of. No long lines or voter suppression, beyond some wacko robocalls. All across South Florida, where we’re accustomed to sudden outbreaks of weird on Election Day, there was nothing to tempt a late-night monologue.
“Andrew Gillum Forward Florida PAC gives over $100K to political campaigns in October” via Jeffrey Schweers of the Tallahassee Democrat — In the final month leading up to Tuesday’s general election, Forward Florida, the political committee of Gillum, shelled out $120,000 to various committees and one campaign. That leaves Forward Florida with nearly $800,000 of the $3.9 million it collected since it was created in February 2016. About $3 million of that represented unspent donations to Gillum’s gubernatorial campaign; after his 2018 loss to DeSantis, he said he would rededicate those funds to voter registration efforts. Gillum, a former Mayor of Tallahassee, remains chair of the committee, which has been inactive in recent months.
Cong. campaigns
“North Florida favorites Matt Gaetz, Neil Dunn, Al Lawson win new terms” via Bob Sparks of Florida Politics — Those representing Panhandle districts in Congress had little difficulty winning another term on Election Night. Three members from the election class of 2016 return for two more years. In District 1, Gaetz easily cruised to a third term with a big victory over Democrat Phillip Ehr. The district carries a 2-to-1 voter registration advantage for Republicans, making Ehr’s climb strictly uphill. Gaetz is also one of the more well-known members of Congress, not only in the district but nationwide. Dunn returns to Congress after pitching a shutout against write-in candidate Kim O’Connor. Dunn polled nearly 300,000 votes. Lawson has won a third term in Congress after turning aside a challenge from Republican Gary Adler.
Panhandle favorites Matt Gaetz and Neal Dunn are going back to Congress.
“Kat Cammack cruises to victory in CD 3” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics — Cammack won the election for Florida’s 3rd Congressional District on Tuesday night. As of 8:45 p.m., she led her lone challenger, Democrat Adam Christensen by about 50,000 votes, or 55% to 45%. Due to CD 3’s strong Republican lean, Cammack had been favored in the election. Still, her victory on Tuesday makes it official: She will replace her old boss, U.S. Rep. Ted Yoho, in Washington. “As your next Congresswoman, I have been entrusted to represent each and every person who calls Florida’s Third Congressional District home, and for that, I am incredibly honored. In January, I will take an oath to the United States Constitution, not a political party, and I vow to represent all Americans,” Cammack said.
“U.S. House District 4: John Rutherford defeats Donna Deegan to win reelection” via David Bauerlein of The Florida Times-Union — Republican U.S. Rep. Rutherford extended his undefeated winning streak in campaigns Tuesday by defeating Democratic challenger Deegan in the most hotly-contested campaign for Florida’s 4th Congressional District in years. Deegan proved to be an effective fundraiser, but Rutherford was in step with the overwhelmingly Republican district. With 74% of precincts reporting, Rutherford was leading Deegan 61%-39%. The makeup of Florida’s 4th Congressional District favors Republicans, with 49% of voters registered with the GOP compared to 28% as Democrats. The district covers much of Duval County and extends into Nassau and St. Johns counties, including St. Augustine.
“Michael Waltz, Bill Posey, Dan Webster cruise to victory” via Bob Sparks of Florida Politics — Central Florida also had several incumbents winning their races by big margins. Among those was Waltz, who soundly defeated Orlando attorney Clint Curtis in Florida’s 6th Congressional District. Waltz, who has become a regular commentator on Fox News programs, won a second term by winning 60% of the vote. Curtis survived a primary challenge against educator Richard Thripp. Also on the ballot as a write-in candidate was former Democrat U.S. Rep. Alan Grayson, who did not receive a single vote. The district covers St. Johns, Volusia, Flagler and Lake County with a Republican registration edge of 50,000. Waltz’s GOP colleague, U.S. Rep. Posey, won a seventh term in Congress, defeating Kennedy Space Center engineer Jim Kennedy, a resident of Merritt Island. The Rockledge Republican garnered 61% of the vote in Florida’s 8th Congressional District.
“Stephanie Murphy wins third term in CD 7” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — The congresswoman once dubbed “the girl rescued at sea” is now on her way to becoming what her predecessor had been until she ended his career: A veteran member of Congress. Democratic Rep. Murphy brushed off an election challenge from Republican Dr. Leo Valentin Tuesday, winning her third term in the kind of campaign candidates usually run in safe districts. Murphy’s victory, by an unofficial early return of 58% to 41%, also accentuates the evolution of her district from red to purple to blue. Independent candidate William Garlington of Oviedo siphoned off 1%. Her coattails were heavily sought by similar candidates running within her district, Democratic women seeking to win in Senate District 9 and House Districts 28, 29, 30 and 47.
“Darren Soto, Val Demings, win third terms in Congress” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Soto of Kissimmee and Val Demings of Orlando won third terms in Congress. Demings, who spent much of the past year in the national spotlight, easily dispatched a formidable Republican challenger in lawyer and former congressional aide Vennia Francois to win Florida’s 10th Congressional District in western Orange County. Soto, Florida’s only Puerto Rican congressman, defeated Army veteran Bill Olson to win Florida’s 9th Congressional District representing southern Orange County, Osceola County, and eastern Polk County. Unofficial early results showed Demings leading Francois 64% to 36% in CD 10.
Darren Soto, Stephanie Murphy and Val Demings have easily won reelection.
“Charlie Crist sails to easy victory over Anna Paulina Luna, but not as easy as thought” via Kate Bradshaw of Florida Politics — Democratic U.S. Rep. Crist delivered a sound victory to Democrats over GOP challenger Luna. Crist had a solid 53% of the vote to Luna’s 47%, with all precincts reporting. While Crist’s victory is resounding, it was the first major competition he’s faced since first being elected to Congress in 2016 over then-incumbent David Jolly. It’s a margin far less than polls or previous elections suggested. Polling the week before the election showed voters in the district favoring Crist by 17 points.
“Kathy Castor, Gus Bilirakis claim easy reelection in safe congressional districts” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Two Tampa Bay area members of Congress easily reclaimed their seats Tuesday in General Election battles in safe districts. Democratic U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor sailed to easy victory night over Republican challenger Christine Quinn. Castor bested Quinn 62% to 38% in the race for Florida’s 14th Congressional District representing parts of Hillsborough County, based on early votes. It’s the second time Castor has denied Quinn a shot at Capitol Hill after beating her in 2016 62% to 38%. U.S. Rep. Gus Bilirakis, a Republican, beat his challenger, Democrat Kimberly Walker, 59% to 41% in Florida’s 12th Congressional District in north Pinellas County, with early votes and 20% of precincts reporting.
“Scott Franklin holds onto CD 15 for the GOP, bests Alan Cohn” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Republicans held onto a seat in Congress late Tuesday night after Lakeland City Commissioner Franklin edged out investigative journalist Cohn in the race for Florida’s 15th Congressional District. Franklin bested Cohn in all three CD 15 counties — 52.76% to 47.24% in Hillsborough; 59.98% to 40.02% in Polk and 53.63% to 46.37% in Lake. “I’m excited about the task ahead,” Franklin said in a statement. “I do want folks who did not vote for us to know that I’m looking forward to representing everyone in this district. When I joined the Navy, you put the uniform on and you go get the job done. You put your differences aside, and you accomplish the mission. That’s what I plan to do.”
“Congressman Vern Buchanan wins eighth term in CD 16” via Zac Andrson of the Sarasota Herald-Tribune — Buchanan emerged victorious from another bruising election, winning an eighth term in Florida’s 16th Congressional District after defeating Margaret Good by double digits in a contentious and expensive contest between two candidates who trashed each other while preaching comity and bipartisanship. Seen as a rising star among Florida Democrats after she flipped a Sarasota state House seat that President Donald Trump carried, Good gave the GOP congressman from Longboat Key another tough race, raising more than $3.1 million to take him on. But in the end, she fell short by a significant margin, showing Buchanan’s strength as a candidate and the difficulty Democrats have making inroads in a district that has 47,726 more Republicans.
“Greg Stuebe wins big in Southwest Florida congressional race” via Bob Sparks of Florida Politics — Rep. Steube officially won a second term with 65% of the vote. The Sarasota Republican defeated Democrat Allen Ellison in Florida’s 17th Congressional District. The victory was expected in a heartland district peppered with signs promoting Steube and Trump. This was a rematch of sorts, though it marked Ellison’s first appearance on a physical ballot. Ellison served as the replacement nominee in 2018 for April Freeman, who died shortly before the election. He secured the Democratic nomination without opposition this year.
Greg Steube notched a solid win for a second term in Congress.
“Byron Donalds officially heading to Washington after CD 19 victory” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Donalds is officially headed to Washington. The state lawmaker won an open seat in Florida’s 19th Congressional District over Democrat Cindy Banyai. Donalds was the heavy favorite in the deep-red district. Early in the night, he led his opponent with 58.25% of the vote in Lee County and 63.8% of the vote in Collier. “Huge victory tonight!,” Donalds tweeted. “I’m truly humbled and honored. Big thank you to my family, #TeamDonalds and our hardworking volunteers that knocked doors, waved signs and made calls to ensure Southwest Florida had a proven Conservative. I look forward to serving you in Washington!”
“South Florida Dems cruise to reelection in safe Congressional seats” via Bob Sparks of Florida Politics — Democratic Rep. Alcee Hastings of Delray Beach, the delegation’s longest-serving member as well as its co-chair, is returning for a 15th term in CD 20 after a blowout victory over Republican Greg Musselwhite. In CD 22, veteran Rep. Ted Deutch of Boca Raton was rewarded with another term in the House after rolling to an easy win over Republican James Pruden. Democratic Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz of Weston returns to Washington after a big victory over Republican Carla Spalding in CD 23. And CD 24 has reelected Democratic Rep. Frederica Wilson of Miami Gardens for a sixth term.
“Lois Frankel swats off challenge from provocateur Laura Loomer” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Frankel easily defeated her internet provocateur Loomer in a race that drew national attention mostly thanks to the Republican candidate’s history of hateful commentary. Voters followed Twitter, Facebook and Uber in denying Loomer a platform for her rhetoric. With all early and vote-by-mail ballots in and 16 of 411 precincts counted, Frankel won 64% of the vote to Loomer’s 35%, crushing her nearly two-to-one. The outcome of the race should surprise no one. A St. Pete Polls survey of likely voters in CD 21, commissioned by Florida Politics, found Frankel ahead 61% to 33%, with independent Charleston Malkemus pulling in 2%.
“Carlos Giménez defeats Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in Florida’s 26th Congressional District” via Alex Daugherty of the Miami Herald — Republican Miami-Dade Mayor Giménez defeated Democratic Rep. Mucarsel-Powell in Florida’s 26th Congressional District on Tuesday night, a major victory for the GOP in Florida’s most competitive U.S. House race. Gimenez, who was endorsed by Trump, will head to Washington after winning his first partisan race in a political career that dates back to 2004. Gimenez’s victory shows that Republicans still have a strong base of voters in Miami’s western and southern suburbs. “When I first ran for Mayor, they didn’t think I was going to win that, too,” Gimenez said. “I promise you I’ll be a much more effective congressperson and reach across the aisle. I won’t be as partisan as my predecessor.”
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell has lost to former Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Giménez. Image via AP.
“Congressional Leadership Fund statement on Giménez’s victory” via the Congressional Leadership Fund — Congressional Leadership Fund released the following statement on the election results in Florida’s 26th Congressional District. “South Florida is tired of the dysfunction in Washington and tonight they elected the perfect man in Giménez to bring people together and get the job done,” said CLF President Dan Conston. “A Cuban immigrant, former firefighter and successful Mayor of Miami-Dade County, Mayor Gimenez knows just what it takes to clean up Washington, rebuild our economy, and fight for middle-class families.” Congressional Leadership Fund spent more than $4.1 million on TV and digital advertising in support of Gimenez.
Senate campaigns
“Republicans keep edge in Senate” via Jim Turner of The News Service of Florida — Republicans appeared set to retain, maybe even grow, their majority in the state Senate as lawmakers head toward two years of grappling with a coronavirus-damaged budget and redrawing political boundaries. Sen. José Javier Rodriguez was down by a handful of votes as he tried to fend off a challenge from Republican Ileana Garcia in Miami-Dade County’ Senate District 37. But no other seats were on the verge of flipping. “Floridians cast their ballots in record numbers, making their voices heard up and down the ballot across the state,” incoming Senate President Wilton Simpson, said in a statement
“Loranne Ausley fends off Marva Preston in SD 3” via Jason Delgado of Florida Politics — Senate District 3 will remain blue for at least another four years. The historically left-leaning district on Tuesday elected Ausley over GOP newcomer Marva Preston. “My family and I spent the last day of the campaign together touring this beautifully diverse 11-county district,” Ausley said in a statement. “Having spent my life in the Big Bend, it is truly an honor that the citizens of Senate District 3 have put their trust in me to serve as their next Senator.” Preston is a Crawfordville native and retired police officer. As a candidate who’s never held an elected office, her campaign focused on a “history of service,” which included time as a homicide detective, public investigator, and an ordained minister.
Loranne Ausley has defeated GOP newcomer Marva Preston.
“Randolph Bracy, Linda Stewart, Victor Torres win Senate reelection” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Orange County Democratic Sens. Bracy, Stewart, and Torres were easily reelected Tuesday, sending the trio back to Tallahassee for second full terms. Bracy, of Ocoee, defeated Joshua Adams of Winter Park by an unofficial early vote tally of 65% to 35%. Stewart, of Orlando, defeated Josh Anderson of Orlando by an unofficial early vote tally of 61% to 39%. Torres, of Orlando, defeated Lou Minnis of Gotha by an unofficial early vote of tally 56% to 41%, with independent candidate Mike James taking 3%. There was little suspense in any of the contests as all three districts give Democrats significant advantages in voter registration and none of the Republicans put up robust campaigns.
“Brevard County Republicans hold Senate, House seats” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Republican Sen. Debbie Mayfield and Republican Reps. Tyler Sirois, Thad Altman, and Randy Fine coasted to reelections in Brevard County. The Republican sweep again thwarted Democrats’ hopes that they might make inroads in Brevard, once a county that had been shading purple but which has moved back toward deep red. Mayfield, of Indialantic, won a second term representing Senate District 17 covering southern Brevard and northern Indian River County, by defeating Scot Fretwell of Vero Beach. There also was an independent candidate in the contest, Phillip Snyder of Palm Bay. Unofficial early voting results showed Mayfield with 61%, Fretwell with 36%, and Snyder with 3%.
“Danny Burgess bests Kathy Lewis for SD 20” via Kelly Hayes of Florida Politics — Republican Burgess beat Democrat Lewis in the state’s only Special Election this year in Senate District 20. Burgess earned 65% of the Polk County vote and 59% of the Pasco County vote, while Lewis raked in about 51% of Hillsborough County, according to unofficial early results. That amounts to a 55%-45% lead overall. The race between the two came to be after the early resignation of Sen. Tom Lee. The seat was not supposed to be up for election until 2022.
“Southwest Florida returns Republican legislators to Tallahassee” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Southwest Florida voters returned a number of Republican incumbents to Tallahassee and added a few new members to its delegation. A couple of well-known Republicans will arrive with new titles. Rep. Ray Rodrigues bested Democrat Rachel Brown in SD 27. And former Rep. Jim Boyd also won a Senate seat against Democrat Anthony Eldon. He will represent SD 21. Most of the new faces for the region hail from Lee County, where term limits turned over most of the delegation. Republican Adam Botana prevailed in HD 72 Republican Mike Giallombardo will represent HD 77. Fort Myers Republican Jenna Persons will represent HD 78. And Naples Republican Lauren Melo will take over HD 80.
Ray Rodrigues is on his way to the Senate.
“Lori Berman, Shevrin Jones, Tina Polsky clinch Senate wins Tuesday” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — Democratic Rep. Polsky will take over SD 29 outgoing Democratic Sen. Kevin Rader. With 44% of precincts reporting, Polsky led Republican candidate Brian Norton 58%-42%. In SD 31, Democratic Sen. Berman is securing reelection with a win over Republican challenger Tami Donnally. With 34% of precincts reporting, Berman is besting Donnally 65%-35%. And in SD 35, Democratic Rep. Jones is moving on to the Senate after eight years in the House. With 18% of precincts reporting, Jones is securing 97% of the vote against write-in candidate Darien Hill.
“Republican Ana Maria Rodriguez prevails in hotly-contested SD 39 race” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — Republican Rep. Rodriguez is moving onto the Senate after topping Democratic Rep. Javier Fernández in the race for Senate District 39. With 29% of precincts reporting, Rodriguez secured 55% of the vote compared to 43% for Fernández. Nonparty affiliated candidate Celso Alfonso earned just 2%. Fernández conceded Tuesday night. “Even though I am disappointed in tonight’s results, I am buoyed by the knowledge that we ran a campaign we could be proud of that focused on the problems facing the people of South Florida,” Fernández said.
House campaigns — Part 1
“Democrats suffer stinging defeats in FL state House races” via Ana Ceballos, Bianca Padro Ocasio, Samantha J. Gross and David Goodhue of the Miami Herald — Florida Democrats suffered stinging defeats Tuesday night, as Republicans trounced them in contested races that solidified the long-standing GOP majority in the Florida House. Republicans blocked Democrats from making any gains in the chamber despite investing $1.8 million to target voters with no party affiliation over the course of the election cycle and having outside progressive groups flood key races with millions of dollars that put the GOP on defense in areas across the state, including Miami-Dade and Broward counties. In South Florida, Democrats were unable to flip any competitive seats and appeared to be on the verge of losing two seats to Republicans by late Tuesday night. Overall, Democrats had a significantly weaker showing than in the 2018 midterms.
“Republican Wyman Duggan headed to another term in Democratic-plurality HD 15” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — In the most purple district in Northeast Florida, the November election between Duggan and Democratic challenger Tammyette Thomas promised to be a photo finish. But ultimately it looks to be the incumbent’s night, despite a D+3 lean in the district that made Republicans nervous going into Election Day. With 37 of 39 precincts counted, Duggan is up by 8%, drawing more than 53% of the vote, and continuing a strong night for Republicans in the state. A late St. Pete Polls survey of the district showing Duggan up 10 suggested headwinds for Thomas, but she was able to keep it close.
Wyman Duggan is taking another term in Tallahassee.
“Elizabeth Fetterhoff defends HD 26 in rematch with Patrick Henry” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Round Two goes to Fetterhoff. The DeLand Republican defeated Democrat Henry, and this time by a sizable enough margin to avoid a recount. With 32 of 39 precincts and all early and mail ballots counted, she led the former House Representative with 52.6% of the vote. Henry held the seat for two years after winning in 2016 but lost to Fetterhoff in 2018 by 61 votes. He suggested before the election if the seat stays red this year, it could be redrawn so that no Democrat can win in 2022. With redistricting on the agenda in 2021, the next legislative class will decide if HD 26 remains a swing district or gets reshaped to benefit one party or the other.
“David Smith holds on to win HD 28” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Republican Rep. Smith survived a strong challenge and an apparent blue wave in Seminole County Tuesday to win a second term representing House District 28. Smith, a consultant and retired Marine colonel from Winter Springs, defeated Democratic nonprofit executive Pasha Baker of Sanford. Unofficial early results show Smith with 52% of the vote and Baker with 46%. The victory comes despite a surge in Democratic voting in other contests across Seminole County, and a concerted effort by several outside groups to help flip legislative districts throughout the county. Baker provided strong opposition, a businessperson with deep ties in Sanford, particularly in the African American community there, and prior experience running for Sanford Mayor.
“Scott Plakon overcomes Tracey Kagan to win HD 29” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — In one of the more bruising battles in Florida, Republican Rep. Plakon has held off Kagan to win reelection in House District 29 in Seminole County. In unofficial results, Plakon, a Lake Mary publisher, defeated Kagan, a Longwood criminal defense lawyer, by a vote of 51% to 47%. Independent candidate, Juan Rodriguez of Lake Mary, peeled off 3%. Plakon won by more votes than Rodriguez received, so his candidacy could not have changed the outcome of the election. This election was a rematch of their 2018 contest. Plakon improved on the 51% to 49% victory margin he had that year.
“Joy Goff-Marcil wins rematch with Bob Cortes in HD 30” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Democratic Rep. Goff-Marcil proved that her 2018 upset of Republican Rep. Cortes was no fluke. Goff-Marcil did it again, winning reelection in House District 30 by defeating Cortes, 53% to 47% according to unofficial early returns. The victory was a rebuke of Republicans’ efforts in HD 30, as Cortes had looked like a solid reelection candidate the first time, and was determined to make a comeback this time. HD 30 represents a narrow swath of north-central Orange and south-central Seminole counties, including parts of Altamonte Springs, Casselberry, Maitland, Eatonville, and Winter Park. Goff-Marcil won majorities in both counties, taking 56% in Orange and 52% in Seminole.
“Fred Hawkins Jr. wins open seat in HD 42” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Longtime Osceola County Commissioner Hawkins Jr. overcame a midyear arrest and challenges of his record from his Democratic opponent to win House District 42 in a tight, hotly contested election Tuesday. In unofficial results, Hawkins, a St. Cloud business owner, overcame Lake Wales community activist and consultant Barbara Cady by a vote of 47% to 46%, with independent candidate Leroy Sanchez pulling 7%. The win keeps the seat in Republican hands. The district covers much of Osceola County and parts of eastern Polk County.
“Geraldine Thompson squeaks out reelection in HD 44” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Democratic Rep. Thompson, of Orlando, defeated Republican business owner Bruno Portigliatti, 52% to 48%, based on unofficial early returns. The victory gives Thompson a second term in HD 44, after she had previously served in HD 39 and then in the Senate. Tuesday’s election was another setback for Orange County Republicans, who saw in Portigliatti a candidate who appealed to more of the party base than Rep. Bobby Olszewski had. Thompson ousted Olszewski to flip the seat in 2018. Portigliatti had tried to paint Thompson as a career politician, but she made that work somehow. While insisting she’s also a businessperson, Thompson maintained she has the skills to speak to voters from either end of the district’s economic spectrum.
Geraldine Thompson squeaks out a win in HD 44.
“Daisy Morales keeps HD 48 in Democrats’ hands” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Morales has won the open seat for Orange County’s House District 48, while incumbents held onto Orange County-based House seats in adjacent House Districts 47, 49, and 50. Morales, a Supervisor on the Orange County Soil and Water Conservation District, defeated Republican business owner Jesus Martinez by an unofficial early vote tally of 65% to 35% in HD 48, in southeastern Orange County. Meanwhile, Democratic Rep. Anna Eskamani won a second term by defeating Republican challenger Jeremy Sisson in HD 47 in central and eastern Orange County, by an unofficial early vote tally of 59% to 41%.
“Andrew Learned keeps HD 59 blue with win over Michael Owen” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Democrats will hold onto Florida House District 59 after a fierce battle in an open race. Learned earned 51% of the vote to Republican Owen‘s 49% with 45 of 47 precincts in Hillsborough County, which entirely encompasses the district, reporting. Both candidates had crossover appeal in the Hillsborough seat that swung to Democrats just two years ago. The district is currently represented by Democratic Rep. Adam Hattersley, who vacated it to take on Republican U.S. Rep. Ross Spano, who he replaced in HD 59 in 2018. Hattersley subsequently lost the Democratic primary to Alan Cohn.
“Jackie Toledo will keep HD 60 seat, bests Julie Jenkins” via Kelly Hayes of Florida Politics — Republican incumbent Toledo will keep House District 60 after besting Democrat Jenkins. Toledo raked in 54% of the vote, while Jenkins received 46%. This win comes even though polls predicted a victory for Jenkins, according to a survey of HD 60 voters from St. Pete Polls released Monday. Although Toledo had a significant lead in campaign funding — raking in $541,140 since the start of her campaign — Jenkins reported significant individual contributions, giving credence to her grassroots campaign.
“Traci Koster leads in Florida House District 64 race” via Malena Carollo of the Tampa Bay Times — First-time Republican candidate Koster widened her early lead over Democratic opponent Jessica Harrington in the race for the Florida House District 64 seat. Koster had 54% of votes as of 8:15 p.m., while Harrington counted 46%. All Hillsborough County precincts had reported, as did 97% of Pinellas County precincts. Neither candidate returned multiple requests for comment. The seat, which covers much of northwest Hillsborough County and runs from the Veterans Expressway west to McMullen Booth Road in Pinellas County, was previously held by Republican Jamie Grant, who withdrew from the race to take the state’s chief information officer position.
House campaigns — Part 2
“Chris Latvala keeps HD 67 seat” via Kelly Hayes of Florida Politics — Latvala will keep his seat in House District 67 after a difficult campaign season health-wise. Latvala took the race easily, earning 57.06% of the votes from the Pinellas County district. His Democratic opponent, Dawn Douglas, mustered 42.94% of the vote. In a statement on his win posted to the incumbent’s Facebook page, Latvala said: ”To the Constituents of House District 67 — Thank you for electing me as your State Representative once again. I will work hard my final 2 years in the House to make you proud.” The two candidates went head-to-head once before in 2018 when Latvala won with 54% of the vote to Douglas’ 46%, a margin of about 4,900 votes. The district is an even split between parties, with Republicans outnumbering Democrats by just a couple of hundred voters.
Chris Latvala gets to keep his seat.
“Jennifer Webb suffers blistering loss against Republican Linda Chaney” via Kate Bradshaw of Florida Politics — Democratic Rep. Webb will, apparently, not be serving a second term. With 92% of precincts reporting, Webb secured just 48% of the vote to GOP challenger Linda Chaney‘s 52%. Going into Election Night, Webb took nothing for granted — despite dramatic polling and fundraising leads or the seemingly paltry campaign coffers of her opponent, a former St. Pete Beach City Commissioner. That’s because, in Florida politics, there’s always more to the story — especially in swing districts like hers, Florida’s 69th House District, which mainly covers coastal areas of Pinellas County. She was right to not claim early victory, suffering a scorching loss as Republicans throughout Pinellas County overperformed Tuesday night.
“Fiona McFarland defeats Drake Buckman, flips HD 72 red” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Republican McFarland won a close election in House District 72, delivering a battleground win for Republicans. She defeated Democrat Buckman who raised significantly more in the race. The district went for Republicans as recently as 2016, but flipped blue in a Special Election and has stayed that way. With unofficial final results in, McFarland led with 54.67% of the vote to Buckman’s 45.33%. In the final stretch of the race, Buckman had more cash left in the bank, but had spent far less along the way. Financial reports through Oct. 29 showed McFarland with around $22,443 in cash on hand to the Democrat’s $52,224.
“Dana Trabulsy unseats Delores Hogan Johnson in HD 84” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Republicans finally flipped House District 84 as Trabulsy unseated Democratic Rep. Hogan Johnson. That’s a crummy birthday present for the incumbent but good news for the Republican majority in Tallahassee. With all precincts counted, unofficial early results showed Trabulsy winning with 45,522 votes to Hogan Johnson’s 40,398. That means the Republican won with just shy of 53% of the vote. Hogan Johnson first won this seat in 2018 after fending off Republican Mark Gotz, but by just 1,880 votes out of 65,724 cast. This year, Trabulsy emerged from a party primary to take on the incumbent, with the state party determined to flip the seat red.
“Mike Caruso wins again in HD 89 rematch” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — Republican Rep. Caruso is headed for a second term in the House after topping Democratic candidate Jim Bonfiglio in House District 89. With 84% of precincts reporting, Caruso led Bonfiglio 55%-45%. Polling, fundraising and voter registration data all pointed to a close race in HD 89, the district which houses Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort. Residents also expected a nail-biter just by looking at the most recent election in the district, which runs up the coast of Palm Beach County. In 2018, the race was one of several in the state to head to a mandatory recount. After all the ballots were tallied, Caruso escaped over Bonfiglio by just 32 votes out of more than 78,000 votes cast.
“Chip LaMarca retains HD 93 seat with win over Linda Thompson Gonzalez” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — Republican Rep. LaMarca is headed for a second term in the House as he held off Democrat Thompson Gonzalez in House District 93. With 93% of precincts reporting, LaMarca led Thompson Gonzalez 55%-45%. Broward County’s reputation as a deep-blue county is certainly warranted. It’s arguably the most Democratic-leaning of all large counties in the state. Amid that sea of blue though sits HD 93. House District 105, which extends upward from Miami-Dade County into Broward, is also represented by a Republican. But LaMarca’s district is the only House district fully contained inside Broward to be served by a Republican.
“David Borrero holds open HD 105 seat for Republicans” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — After Republican Rep. Ana Maria Rodriguez vacated the House District 105 seat to run for the Senate, Borrero held the seat for the GOP with a win over Maureen Porras. With 96% of precincts reporting, Borrero is ahead of Porras by a 54%-46% margin. Rodriguez secured the House District 105 seat in 2018, topping Democrat Javier Estevez in an open contest by just 417 votes. Borrero and Porras faced primary fights before securing their respective nominations in the race. Borrero is a Sweetwater City Commissioner while Porras works as an immigration lawyer. The district spans Broward and Miami-Dade counties and stretches all the way across the state to the West Coast, encompassing parts of Collier County as well.
David Borrero keeps HD 105 in Republican hands.
“Republicans hold House Speaker’s seat with Alex Rizo win in HD 110” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — Republicans can breathe a sigh of relief Tuesday night as Rizo topped Democratic candidate Annette Collazo in the race for House Speaker José Oliva‘s seat in House District 110. With 100% of precincts reporting, Rizo is ahead of Collazo 60%-40%. Both candidates have a background in public education. Collazo is a teacher who earned an economics degree from Florida International University. Rizo is a former teacher who served as an administrator in the Miami-Dade Public Schools system. Collazo was quick to catch up in the money game thanks to a surge of out-of-state donations.
“Vance Aloupis secures second term in HD 115” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics — Aloupis staved off Democrat Franccesca Cesti-Browne, keeping Miami-Dade’s House District 115 in Republican control. With 58 of 59 precincts reporting, Aloupis is leading with 57% of the vote to Cesti-Browne’s 43%, a margin of about 12,000 votes. HD 115 produced one of the closest results in the House two years ago, with Aloupis taking over the seat from term-limited Republican Michael Bileca with a 1-point victory over Democrat Jeffrey Solomon, which equated to about 600 votes. In 2020, the competition was just as fierce, with Cesti-Browne raising $256,000 as of Oct. 29. That’s still well short of the $470,000 raised by Aloupis, though it is more than double the $110,000 Solomon recorded in 2018.
“Republican Anthony Rodriguez repeats victory in HD 118” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — Republican Rep. Rodriguez defeated Democrat Ricky Junquera, giving him a second term serving House District 118. With 60% of precincts reporting, Rodriguez is topping Junquera 60%-40%. Democrats and Republicans have wrestled over the House District 18 seat since Frank Artiles ditched it for a 2016 Senate run. Artiles, a Republican, left the seat open in 2016, allowing Democratic candidate Robert Asencio to turn the seat blue in a race that went to a recount. That swap was short-lived, however, as it reverted to Republican control in 2018. Rodriguez ousted Asencio by 2 percentage points.
Anthony Rodriguez grabs another victory in HD 118.
“The best of the rest: A rundown of House undercards in Tampa Bay and South Florida” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics — The race between Republican Rep. Sam Killebrew and Democrat Jared West played out as expected, with Killebrew earning his third term in office by a comfortable margin. Republican Rep. Lawrence McClure held on to Hillsborough-based HD 58, earning 56% of the vote in a head-to-head with Democrat CL Townsend with all precincts reporting. Republican Rep. Rick Roth will get a third term representing Palm Beach County’s House District 85. Republican Demi Busatta Cabrera flipped House District 114 after four years of Democratic control. Rep. Juan Fernandez-Barquin has secured a second term representing Miami-Dade’s House District 119.
“Republican Jim Mooney succeeds Holly Raschein in HD 120” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — Mooney has held the House District 120 seat for Republicans after defeating Democrat Clint Barras. With 92% of precincts reporting, Mooney is topping Barras 55%-45%. Mooney was the hand-picked successor of choice for outgoing Rep. Raschein. Raschein endorsed Mooney in May, months before the August Republican primary. Raschein selected Mooney among a field of three GOP candidates. Republican Sen. Anitere Flores, whose Senate District 39 covers much of the same territory as HD 120, also backed Mooney. He eventually secured the Republican nomination in a razor-thin race. Barras is the vice president of business development for Two Oceans Digital. He’s also served as vice-chair of the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary Advisory Council.
Down ballot
“Miami-Dade has elected its first woman as county Mayor: Daniella Levine Cava” via Douglas Hanks and Joey Flechas of the Miami Herald — Levine Cava was elected Miami-Dade Mayor on Tuesday, the first woman to win the office and the victor in a campaign that upended the power of demographics in favor of partisan loyalty in a county where Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans. She’s the first candidate without Hispanic roots to win a county mayoral race since the early 1990s and the first Democrat since 2000. In two weeks, she replaces the current term-limited Mayor, Giménez, who has held the post for nine years. The county commissioner from South Miami-Dade positioned herself as her party’s choice in the officially nonpartisan contest against fellow commissioner Esteban “Steve” Bovo Jr., a Cuban American Republican who embraced Trump.
Daniella Levine Cava makes history as the first woman elected Mayor of Miami-Dade County. Image via Twitter.
“Ric Bradshaw wins fifth term as Palm Beach County sheriff” via Eileen Kelley of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Sheriff Bradshaw won a fifth term in office Tuesday, opening the door for him to become the longest-serving sheriff in Palm Beach County’s history. Through his campaign, Bradshaw touted his decades of law enforcement experience, 15 of those years as sheriff. The 72-year-old Democrat defeated Republican challenger Lauro Diaz. Bradshaw said the win was really a win for the men and women who are served by the Sheriff’s Office. He said he was happy that he will continue to be sheriff for another four years and to surround himself with the men and women who put on the uniform each day.
“Wife of Parkland shooting victim joins school board, plus other Broward election results” via Carli Teproff of the Miami Herald — Broward’s school board will now have a second member who lost a loved one in the 2018 mass shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland. Debra Hixon, whose husband, Chris, was killed, held a solid lead Tuesday night over opponent Jeff Holness. She will now join Lori Alhadeff, who lost her daughter Alyssa in the shooting, on the nine-member board. Also, Democrat Harold Fernandez Pryor, who worked as a prosecutor before leaving for private practice, held a hefty lead in the state attorney seat as of Tuesday night over Republican challenger Gregg Rossman. Gordon Weekes was a shoo-in for the public defender’s seat, only facing a write-in candidate in Tuesday’s election.
“With COVID-19 at issue, Dave Kerner reelected to Palm Beach County Commission” via Wells Dusenbury of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — In a vote of approval for his guidance during the COVID-19 pandemic, Kerner was reelected for a second term on the Palm Beach County Commission. Kerner, a Democrat who also serves as county mayor, retained the District 3 seat by defeating Republican Jonathan Maples and write-in candidate Maria Garcia. District 3 includes parts of Boynton Beach and Lake Worth Beach. In 2016, Kerner won 70% of the vote in the District 3 race. He lagged behind those numbers this year, coming in at 60%.
“Fort Lauderdale keeps Dean Trantalis as Mayor, Steve Glassman as Commissioner” via Susannah Bryan of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Mayor Trantalis easily won reelection despite a spirited challenge from attorney Ken Cooper, who blamed him for everything from traffic gridlock to a series of embarrassing sewage spills. In turn, Trantalis knocked Cooper for not paying his property taxes in a timely fashion. In District 2, incumbent Glassman trounced Kyle Gibson, a pastor at the African Methodist Episcopal Church who ran unsuccessfully for Governor in 2014 and 2018 and for the Florida House in 1996.
“Republican incumbents sweep Pinellas constitutional office races’” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Incumbents, all Republicans, won the day in Pinellas County constitutional office races with the Property Appraiser, Tax Collector and Supervisor of Elections all emerging victorious Tuesday night. Republican Supervisor of Elections Julie Marcus bested her Democratic challenger, Dan Helm, with 57% to 43% of the vote, based on early vote counts and 65% of precincts reporting. DeSantis appointed Marcus, the former chief deputy supervisor, in May to replace Deborah Clark who announced she was retiring earlier this year. The race was the tightest of three constitutional offices on the General Election ballot this year. Marcus raised more than $135,000 while Helm brought in just shy of $98,000.
“Democrats win 5-3 majority on Hillsborough County Commission after Pat Kemp, Harry Cohen victories” via Kate Bradshaw of Florida Politics — The partisan makeup of the Hillsborough County Commission will shift to 5-2 for Democrats after Hillsborough County Commissioner Kemp defeated fellow Commissioner Sandra Murman Tuesday night in the countywide District 6 race. With all precincts reporting, Kemp won with 53% of the vote. That victory, paired with Democrats Cohen and Gwen Myers winning in Districts 1 and 3, respectively by 51% to 49% and 72% to 28% margins, gives Democrats one more seat on the dais. Their majority is currently 4-3, but Murman’s seat will shift to Democratic control. Both listed the ongoing pandemic as their top concern at the moment (and both said science should factor into actions).
“Lynn Gray only incumbent to survive Hillsborough School Board purge” via Kate Bradshaw of Florida Politics — By a 54% to 46% margin, incumbent board member Gray defeated former board member Sally Harris in the race for the District 7 seat on the Hillsborough County School Board. This is a countywide seat for which Gray sought a second term. Harris was a member of the school board from 2014 to 2018. It’s been a tough year for Hillsborough School Board incumbents. None of the three running for reelection in 2020 received the 50% primary threshold vote that would have prevented a runoff, and Gray was the only incumbent to prevail Tuesday, as Tammy Shamburger and Steve Cona were given the boot.
Lynn Gray is the only incumbent to survive a purge of the Hillsborough County School Board.
“Monique Worrell claims State Attorney’s Office in Orlando” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — In 2016 Aramis Ayala came out of nowhere with big outside money to win a stunning upset for the State Attorney’s Office in Orlando, becoming the first Black State Attorney in Florida’s history, the first true progressive in Florida’s 9th Judicial Circuit, and a highly controversial reformer. History is repeating. Worrell, with her progressive, reformer platform, strong rhetoric, assertive demeanor, and widespread street credibility, may make many of Ayala’s critics miss her. Worrell, a former law professor and criminal justice reform crusader, completed her stunning rise from relative obscurity Tuesday by defeating her last remaining opponent, independent candidate Jose Torroella by 66% to 34%, in unofficial early tabulations of the two-county vote.
“Ed Brodsky reelected as 12th Circuit State Attorney” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — State Attorney Brodsky won reelection in Florida’s 12th Judicial Circuit. It brings to a close an eventful political season for the Sarasota Republican where he faced challenges from ex-employees from the right and the left. On Tuesday, he beat Democrat Betsy Young soundly. With all of Sarasota County precincts, most of Manatee and the early and vote-by-mail reported in rural DeSoto, Brodsky led with 279,995 votes to Young’s 199,623. “It’s been my absolute honor to serve as State Attorney and I am steadfast in my commitment to seeking to enhance public safety in our community every day,” Brodsky said.
“Orange County voters put environmental protections into charter” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Orange County overwhelmingly putting two strong and controversial environmental protections into the county charter. Voters approved Question 1 by an unofficial early vote tally of 89% for and 1% against. That creates an Orange County Charter amendment to prohibit pollution of the Wekiva River, the Econlockhatchee River, and all other natural waters of Orange County. Voters also approved Question 2 by an unofficial early vote tally of 86% for and 14% against. That creates an Orange County Charter amendment protecting the Split Oak Forest from being degraded by any actions of the Orange County Commission.
“JEA Referendum: Voters approve split between Mayor, City Council in JEA board picks” via Steve Patterson of The Florida Times-Union — Voters overwhelmingly approved changing Jacksonville’s charter to give the City Council power to appoint four of JEA’s governing board members. The shift weakens the board’s control by the Mayor’s Office, which for generations controlled appointments to the utility, subject to council approval. The change gives council presidents a chance to make lasting impressions on the multibillion-dollar utility, but it won’t be easy for any president to reshape the board in her image. Council picks will be phased in for four-year terms, one per year beginning at the end of February. That’s when veteran JEA member Bobby Stein is scheduled to finish a rump term and Council President Tommy Hazouri will decide whether to reappoint him or choose a successor.
“Duval County Schools Sales Tax: Officials celebrate sweeping win at River City Brewing watch party” via Emily Bloch of The Florida Times-Union — With more than 67% of votes in favor, Duval County’s public schools across the county will receive $1.9 billion in public funding for school maintenance and new technology in the form of a half-cent sales tax. School board members, education stakeholders and Duval Schools Superintendent Diana Greene watched poll numbers stream in at River City Brewing Company in Southbank. “Instructionally, our schools are now an incredible asset to our community, and as we rebuild them structurally, they will be a major economic driver when we need it most,” Superintendent Greene said at the watch party.
“Fort Myers elects Kevin Anderson as Mayor” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Fort Myers City Councilman Anderson bested Dunbar leader Jacquelyn McMiller in the race to succeed Randy Henderson as Mayor. With all precincts tabulated and all votes cast before Election Day in, Anderson led 17,582 to 15,411, or with 53.29% of the vote. The election, prompted by Henderson’s resignation this year to run for Congress, ends a historic political year in the Lee County seat, months after a bust of Robert E. Lee came down in the city’s downtown. But it will not close with the election of the city’s first Black Mayor, as Democrats had hoped.
Kevin Anderson is moving up from Fort Myers Councilman to Mayor. Image via Facebook.
“Incumbent Kurt Browning headed to third term as Pasco superintendent” via Jeffrey S. Solochek of the Tampa Bay Times — Despite discontent that led two employees to challenge him, Pasco County school superintendent Browning appeared well on his way to a third term in office as vote tallies showed him with a strong lead over challenger Cynthia Thompson. The Republican incumbent led no-party candidate Thompson, a Bayonet Point Middle School graduation enhancement teacher, with 65% of the vote Tuesday with all precincts reporting and some mail ballots still uncounted. Historically, the margins have shifted little from the initial reports in Pasco County’s local races. This year could be different though, given the high use of mail-in ballots, which could be submitted until 7 p.m. and must be verified.
“Key Biscayne votes to spend $100 million to protect itself from sea-level rise” via Alex Harris of the Miami Herald — This election season in Key Biscayne, it all came down to a $100 million bond meant to help the vulnerable island community protect sinking property values in the face of rising seas. On election night, voters soundly approved the measure, which some critics called a “blank check.” The island community is particularly vulnerable to the two feet of sea-level rise expected by 2060, as well as storm surge from hurricanes strengthened by climate change. But the main concern in the village is property values. They’ve dropped nearly 5% in three years, and although no one has directly linked it to sea-level rise, multiple studies indicate that climate change risk is affecting property values in Miami-Dade County.
Corona Florida
“COVID-19 worsens in Florida, with 4,637 new cases, 56 deaths and more people hospitalized” via Marc Freeman of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Florida’s key coronavirus indicators worsened Tuesday with signs the virus is spreading more out of control across the state. According to state health department data, as another 4,637 people tested positive for COVID-19, the seven-day average for new cases (4,341) rose to its highest level since Aug. 20. Hospitalizations for a primary diagnosis of COVID-19 have increased 6.1% in the past week statewide. It’s a nearly 20% increase just in Broward County, which had 251 patients midday Tuesday, up from 210 the previous week.
“White House coronavirus task force: Florida now in red zone for rate of new cases” via Naseem S. Miller of the Orlando Sentinel — The rate of new COVID-19 cases in Florida has been increasing steadily week over week since early October, pushing the state into the red zone, according to the White House Coronavirus Task Force report for the fourth week of October. The state currently ranks 31st in the nation for new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 people. It remained in the yellow zone for test positivity, indicating a rate between 5% and 8%, ranking 33rd in the nation. There was a slight increase in test positivity and no decline in week-over-week new hospital admissions, the report said.
“Gulf offers break the customers hit by pandemic” via The News Service of Florida — Gulf Power will give a break to some customers who are behind on their electricity bills because of the coronavirus pandemic. The Northwest Florida utility said residential, and small-business customers might be eligible for bill credits up to $200. To qualify, customers would have to pay outstanding balance amounts minus the bill credits. For example, a customer who owed $600 would have to pay $400, with a $200 bill credit making up the remainder, according to an announcement from Gulf. The plan is similar to an effort announced in September by Gulf’s sister utility, Florida Power & Light.
Corona nation
“As rich countries hoard potential coronavirus vaccine doses, rest of world could go without” via Emily Rauhala of The Washington Post — Rich countries have already snapped up billions of doses of potential coronavirus vaccines, potentially leaving developing countries without enough supply for years to come, a new study shows. An analysis from researchers at Duke University’s Global Health Innovation Center found that high- and middle-income countries have already purchased 3.8 billion doses, with options for 5 billion more. As a result, relatively wealthy nations will likely be able to vaccinate their entire populations, with billions of others relegated to the back of the line. People in low-income countries could be waiting until 2024.
“NFL could add two more playoff teams if the season is cut short because of the coronavirus” via Mark Maske of The Washington Post — The NFL competition committee is considering proposing a contingency to owners by which two additional teams would qualify for the playoffs if regular-season games are lost to the coronavirus pandemic and can’t be made up, according to two people familiar with the league’s inner workings. If it is enacted, the proposal would have 16 teams qualify for the playoffs this season instead of 14. The contingency is not tied to any specified number of games or weeks of the regular season being lost, according to those people, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the NFL made no official announcement. Competition committee members spoke Monday by conference call and discussed the proposed resolution.
The NFL is considering adding two additional teams for the playoffs if regular-season games are lost to the coronavirus. Image via AP.
“Cruise lines opt to not sail until 2021” via Richard Tribou of the Orlando Sentinel — Cruise lines have thrown in the towel for 2020. Member companies of lobbying group Cruise Lines International Association, which includes Disney Cruise Line, Royal Caribbean, Carnival Cruise Line, Norwegian Cruise Line and most others, have agreed to continue their voluntary suspension of sailing from U.S. ports until 2021. While the lines are no longer under the no-sail order from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, many lines now fall under a new “Framework for Conditional Sailing Order” issued by the CDC on Oct. 31.
“How Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade will be different in 2020 due to COVID-19” via Alex Biese of USA Today — The Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade celebration is still happening this year. But, like pretty much every other tradition and institution that has continued in 2020, it will look and feel a little different due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The 94th annual Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade will air from 9 a.m. to noon ET Thursday, Nov. 26, on NBC. While the festivities have historically drawn massive crowds to Manhattan’s streets, this year, all activity will be focused on the Herald Square area of Midtown, and the only way to watch will be on television. “For New Yorkers who typically see it live and in person, this change for them is that they are going to experience it the same way the rest of the country experiences it,” said Susan Tercero, the parade’s executive producer.
Statewide
“Ashley Moody seeks to scuttle red-light camera case” via The News Service of Florida — Attorney General Moody’s office asked the Florida Supreme Court to reject a case about whether a South Florida city’s red-light camera program violates state traffic laws. Motorist Lee Stein went to the Supreme Court in September after the 3rd District Court of Appeal backed the city of Aventura in the dispute — one of the numerous legal fights in recent years about red-light cameras in the state. A panel of the South Florida appeals court in June overturned a Miami-Dade County judge’s ruling against the city. The dispute stems from Stein receiving a citation for failing to stop at a red light in 2014 and focuses on Aventura’s guidelines in deciding whether to cite motorists based on camera images.
“Judge says schools should be blocked from vouchers” via News Service of Florida — An administrative law judge Tuesday recommended that the state bar two Orlando private schools from voucher programs after the schools employed an administrator who could not pass a background screening. Judge Hetal Desai issued a 24-page recommended order that said the Lion of Judah Academy, which operates two campuses, should be prevented from taking part in the programs. Education Commissioner Richard Corcoran issued administrative complaints against the schools this year after the Department of Education found out that an administrator, Lorene Walker, had pleaded no contest to a 1994 felony drug charge that prevented her from passing the background screening.
Richard Corcoran is withholding vouchers for a school that hired a staffer who could not pass a background check.
“Hurricane Eta could threaten Florida” via News Service of Florida — Residents of southern Florida are being advised to keep an eye on Hurricane Eta, which on Tuesday evening was making landfall along the coast of Nicaragua. The National Hurricane Center projected Eta will reemerge in the Caribbean Sea before heading north toward Cuba and potentially affecting Florida over the weekend as a tropical storm. “While it is too soon to determine the exact timing, magnitude, and location of possible impacts from wind and rainfall, interests in Cuba, southern Florida and the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of Eta through the week,” the National Hurricane Center said at 5 p.m. Tuesday. The track of the storm put South Florida in the middle of the forecast cone on Sunday afternoon.
“Tampa Electric bills to increase” via News Service of Florida — Pointing primarily to higher costs of natural gas for power plants, Tampa Electric Co. said Tuesday that customer bills will increase in January. The announcement came after the Florida Public Service Commission approved a series of projected costs for the utility, including the costs of fuel. A residential customer who uses 1,000-kilowatt-hours of electricity a month will pay $105.25 starting in January, an increase of $7.56 a month from current bills, according to the company. Utilities use 1,000-kilowatt-hours a month as a common benchmark, though actual customer electricity usage varies. Commercial and industrial customers, whose bills are calculated differently than residential bills, will see increases of between 7% and 11%.
Local notes
“Regulators back TECO solar project” via The News Service of Florida — State regulators approved a plan by Tampa Electric Co. to add a solar-energy project in Polk County, the fourth phase in an effort by the utility to build solar facilities. The Florida Public Service Commission signed off on what is known as the Durrance solar project, which is slated for 463 acres of agricultural land in Polk County. Tampa Electric in 2017 reached a base-rate agreement that allowed it to return to the Public Service Commission to seek approval to recover costs from customers for four phases of solar-energy projects. The Durrance project is the fourth phase and is expected to cost $68.6 million for 45.7 megawatts of solar-energy capacity, a Public Service Commission staff recommendation said.
Top opinion
“The presidency has come to occupy too much space in the American psyche” via David Von Drehle of The Washington Post — Maybe Election Day is the worst possible day to write this. Maybe it’s the best day. President of the United States is a big job for sure, an important job. But if you take the idea of self-government at all seriously, the job of citizen is big and important, too. By allowing the presidency to consume so much of our mental bandwidth — head of state, chief executive, national mascot, social media star, celebrity in chief, team captain of a political faction, field marshal in the culture wars and executive producer of the national conversation — we haven’t left much room for our own initiative. There is more to the job of citizen than simply to cast a vote every four years.
Opinions
“The election has actually been the most normal thing about 2020” via David Byler of The Washington Post — In these strange times, four time-tested political patterns have held. First, it’s become clear that not even an event as seismic as the COVID-19 pandemic can break our partisan tribalism. Neither Trump’s failures nor his supposed accomplishments have unsettled the stasis that increasingly defines our politics. Second, even taking the rigidity of the United States’ partisan divide into account, Trump’s attempt to win a second term is a referendum — just like so many other campaigns. Third, though the world has changed since 2016, the underlying contours of the American electoral map haven’t shifted much. Finally, remember: Like many recent races, this contest is still relatively close. We live in an era of tight elections.
“Either Trump or Biden will win. But our deepest problems will remain” via Yuval Levin of The New York Times — Even in a time of bitter partisanship, we know we need more than the right person in power. Each party treats the other as a mortal threat to America’s future, and so persuades its voters that electing the wrong president would make things worse. But that doesn’t help us see how to make things much better. If you think our country has bigger problems than just the people you disagree with, then you’re likely to find that they aren’t swept away by an election victory. In fact, these problems now make it difficult for us to have traditional policy arguments.
“Whatever happens today, we’ll still be neighbors — and must act like it” via the Treasure Coast Newspapers editorial board — The day after election results are tallied, America will still be here. It’s A changed nation, perhaps. Politics has come to dominate our lives to an extent perhaps never before seen. Social media widens the divide, becoming less a place for family photos than political manifestos, where people are eager to sever bonds of friendship that have lasted for decades because the other guy backs the “wrong” candidate. This is not how a healthy society behaves. But we certainly hope our readers and Americans, bear in mind whatever happens today, we remain neighbors. We retain a vested, vital interest in the well-being of these communities.
Aloe
“Big turkeys could be rare birds at Thanksgiving dinner this year” via Austin Fuller of the Orlando Sentinel — The traditional fat Thanksgiving turkey could become another casualty of the coronavirus pandemic this year. Retail giant Walmart is stocking more turkey breasts as people plan to get together in smaller groups. Shoppers also are expected to hit the stores earlier in November for their holiday dinners to avoid crowds at the grocery store. “This year has brought rapid and constant change in every facet of our daily lives, and we know Thanksgiving celebrations will be no exception,” Jacqui Lyons, a divisional merchandise manager at Walmart, wrote online. “The sprint to Thanksgiving is likely going to be spread over a greater number of days, and the largest turkey in the freezer is less likely to be the star.”
Big turkeys may be in short supply for the holidays.
“Disney World teases 15 holiday treats for 2020” via Cortney Moore of Fox News — From Nov. 6 to Dec. 30, Magic Kingdom Park will welcome five menu items. The park’s classic Orange Bird Christmas is making its return, which is made from orange-scented white chocolate mousse and orange curd and will be available for purchase at Sunshine Tree Terrace. However, the rest of the lineup appears to be new, including gingerbread-flavored Chip and Dale Christmas Churros topped with apple pie filling and chocolate chips at Westward Ho and a confetti Christmas tree and Mickey Mouse baked good known as Twice Upon a Cupcake at Main Street Bakery. There will also be a blue sugar cookie-based Let it Snow Taco that’s filled with salted caramel and spiced chocolate mousse.
Happy birthday
Celebrating today are lobbyists Robert Beck and Carlos Cruz, Angela Dempsey, former Sen. Steve Geller, Rep. Blaise Ingoglia, Jamie Jacobs, and good ol’ Joe Marino.
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Good morning. Did you know? Nov. 3, 2020, became the first day to last more than 73 hours.
As of this morning, the presidential race has yet to be decided. Full coverage below.
MARKETS
NASDAQ
11,145.72
+ 1.72%
S&P
3,365.59
+ 1.67%
DJIA
27,450.27
+ 1.95%
GOLD
1,908.10
+ 0.82%
10-YR
0.879%
+ 2.20 bps
OIL
37.73
+ 2.50%
*As of market close
Markets: Investors don’t seem too worried that the presidential election hasn’t been called yet. Stocks soared yesterday…then futures gained some more as the results poured in. The Nasdaq, and tech shares more broadly, popped off.
Like your next haircut, house party, or pretty much anything else in 2020, the presidential election is TBD.
Where things stand
As of this newsletter’s send time, President Trump had 213 electoral college votes and Joe Biden had 238, per the Associated Press. A candidate needs 270 to win.
Biden swept northeastern states while Trump notched wins in typically Republican parts of the South and Midwest. Trump won battlegrounds Florida, Ohio, and Iowa.
The Associated Press called Arizona for Biden, the first state to be flipped from its 2016 outcome.
Big picture: This election saw record turnout, including a crush of mail-in ballots that will take time to count in swing states Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan—those states don’t allow election officials to get much or any counting done before Election Day. North Carolina, Georgia, and Maine were also too close to call at the Brew’s send time.
The reaction: President Trump falsely claimed victory and said he would bring the fight to the Supreme Court, though it’s not clear what that means. Biden advised patience in an address to his supporters.
The market reaction
Investors are left scratching their heads over calculations around the balance of power between the president and Congress and the likelihood of another round of economic stimulus.
Although many polls favored Biden, the race isn’t playing out decisively in his favor, forcing investors to price in other outcomes on the fly.
At one point last night, betting markets that had long favored Biden swung to favor Trump.
Looking ahead…we could be waiting on ballot counts for days or even weeks, and legal challenges may prolong the process even further.
All 435 seats in the House and 35 in the Senate put their fates in voters’ hands yesterday. Don’t worry, we won’t talk about them all.
The backstory: Republicans went into Election Day with a 53-seat Senate majority. Will Mitch McConnell, who handily won his reelection, return as majority leader?
Republicans secured 47 seats as of 6am, and six races are still awaiting final calls (all have GOP incumbents). Other highlights:
Seats in Colorado and Alabama were the first flips, switching to Democrat and Republican, respectively.
NASA astronaut Mark Kelly pulled off a high-profile W for Dems in Arizona, flipping the state.
At least one of Georgia’s Senate races is heading to a Jan. 5 runoff, so we may not know the chamber’s final balance of power until then.
The House? Democrats retained their majority and may add a few seats. As of 6am, there are 67 races awaiting final results.
Big picture: The “blue wave” of Democrats some investors were expecting to sweep both chambers hasn’t materialized (at least not yet).
While it was exciting to learn that we could recite the alphabet from the inside out, we’ve recently turned our attention to cultivating some more intriguing and creative skills.
So instead of googling “make us interesting,” we turned to Skillshare—the online learning community featuring thousands of inspiring classes.
Want to become a baby photographer? Skillshare. Looking to become a freelance cartoonist? Skillshare. Want to do something other than stare at a wall and eat chips from 4–6 everyday? Skillshare.
Basically, Skillshare is built to let you explore. Your membership is a veritable gateway into discovering new talents, reconnecting with long-lost ones, or meeting fellow creatives.
So if you’re looking for a more meaningful way to spend your time—Skillshare.
Or, as state election ballots called them yesterday, propositions. Here are the results from this year’s biggest biz-related ballot measures…
Legal weed: New Jersey and Arizona legalized recreational marijuana use, while South Dakota and Mississippi approved medical marijuana. Now, one in three Americans live in a state where adults can legally buy pot. And Oregon decided to decriminalize the use of all drugs (including heroin and cocaine).
Gig economy: Uber, Lyft, and DoorDash’s hugely expensive Prop 22 passed in California. The ballot measure directly challenged a recent state law that required these companies to classify their drivers as employees, not independent contractors. Uber and Lyft had warned earlier this year they could suspend their services in CA over the law.
Real estate: Let’s go back to California for this one. Prop 15, which would lift longtime tax protections for commercial property owners, is trailing as of early this morning. The current system puts a tight cap on property tax increases even if the value of the property rises disproportionately.
Work: Floridians voted to raise the minimum wage to $15 by 2026 and Colorado will establish a progressive family and medical leave program.
Yesterday, the Shanghai Stock Exchange called off Ant Group’s extremely un-antish IPO slated for Thursday.
The public debut was expected to be the largest ever, raising at least $34 billion at a valuation north of $310 billion.
Ant had planned to list in both Shanghai and Hong Kong, but it nixed Hong Kong after Shanghai pulled out.
What’s Ant Group again? An affiliate of sprawling Chinese conglomerate Alibaba, Ant is a fintech company…in the same way that Serena Williams is a ping-pong player.
But Ant has ruffled some dangerous feathers: the Chinese government’s. In a recent speech, Alibaba cofounder Jack Ma made critical comments about the country’s financial regulatory system. Then on Monday, four regulators summoned Ma and Ant Group’s top execs for a chat. We don’t know what was said, but it probably wasn’t “keep criticizing us.”
Ant Group and the government are frenemies; the Chinese Communist Party wants to cultivate the country’s capital markets…but not to the point where it’ll tolerate dissent.
Looking ahead…Ant may still IPO, but it’ll have to pull off some major reorganizing to get right with regulators.
WHAT ELSE IS BREWING
The U.S. will formally leave the Paris Agreement today.
Cruise operators, including Carnival and Norwegian, agreed to suspend U.S. operations until 2021.
Nike plans on cutting 700 jobs from its Oregon headquarters by early January as it continues to restructure around e-commerce.
Wayfair sales rose 67% last quarter, demonstrating customers haven’t tired of home improvement yet.
Saudi Aramco, Saudi Arabia’s state-owned oil giant, said profits fell nearly 45% last quarter.
The FBI is investigating a campaign of an estimated 10 million spam calls that told voters to stay home on Election Day.
BREW’S BETS
Attention holiday shoppers: You won’t find a cash back card better than this one. You can avoid interest charges into 2022 and there’s no annual fee—that means up to $1,148 in value in your pocket. Don’t go on a holiday shopping spree without this card.*
Don’t have beef with us if you miss out. If you want to invest in Flippy, the robot who is revolutionizing the QSR industry, time is not on your side. The campaign to invest in this potential cash cow ends this month. Invest today.*
R&R grab bag: 25 feel-good movies, comforting recipes, coloring book apps, and 7 tips on handling post-election hangovers. (For more recommendations like these, sign up for the Brew’s Essentials newsletter).
Sizing up: This map lets you compare the size of countries by superimposing one on top of another. It has nothing to do with the election.
In this game, we’ll show you a property listed on Zillow, and you have to determine the estimated market value.
Introducing 1600 Pennsylvania Ave in Washington, D.C. This 16-bed, 35-bath neoclassical masterpiece is located in a busy neighborhood in the heart of our nation’s capital, with access to schools, Smithsonian museums, and major subway stations. Other amenities include…
A spacious dining room perfect for hosting high-profile guests, like the Prime Minister of Uganda.
A home theater, bowling alley, putting green, and snipers on the roof.
A resolute desk and secluded wings, making it ideal for parents working from home.
So what’s the house worth, according to Zillow? Find out the answer below.
Get the daily email that makes reading the news actually enjoyable. Stay informed and entertained, for free.
JUDICIAL WATCH
FOX NEWS
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Wednesday, November 4, 2020
Good morning and welcome to Fox News First. Here’s what you need to know as you start your day … Trump, Biden both voice optimism as election results remain unclear
President Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden spun competing narratives as there was still no clear result in the presidential election — despite each candidate notching wins in a handful of key swing states, the Fox News Decision Desk projected.
In a speech early Wednesday, Trump declared victory in multiple key battleground states, even though it remained unclear who had the votes to win. The president hinted the White House would push the Supreme Court to rule over disputed ballots, warning that a “very sad group of people” was trying to “disenfranchise” voters.
Meanwhile, Biden, speaking earlier in Wilmington, Del., said just after midnight that he was “on track to win this election.”
“Be patient,” Biden told supporters. “It ain’t over until every vote is counted — every ballot is counted.”
In other developments:
– National Guard brought in to help with Wisconsin ballot counting issue
– Twitter flags Trump tweet warning Democrats ‘trying to steal’ the election as ‘misleading’
– Pennsylvania county under scrutiny as judge weighs in on claims ballots were canvassed early, changed: report
– Nevada county judge keeps some polls open later after Trump campaign sues
Media misjudged Trump support among non-White voters: Tucker Carlson
Tucker Carlson criticized the mainstream media on Tuesday night for painting President Trump as a racist who would struggle to attract non-White voters, after the president delivered a strong showing in Miami-Dade County in Florida.
“Elections tell you what the parties actually look like, not what you imagine they look like … so the coalitions become really clear. And in Florida, the population center, of course, Miami-Dade County, the biggest county in the state, Hillary Clinton [got] 334,000 votes there. An hour ago, with 84 percent reporting, Donald Trump had already outstripped that by more than 100,000 votes,” Carlson said.
“Miami-Dade is 70 percent Hispanic,” Carlson continued. “That’s not what you would have expected if you’ve been watching for the past six months this attempt to racialize everything to make Trump the greatest racist in the world’s history. Whether you buy that or not, you would expect that to depress the votes for Trump in Miami-Dade County but the opposite happened. He’s doing better there with non-White voters than he did four years ago.”
The “Tucker Carlson Tonight” host said the “obvious lesson” is that the media got it wrong.
“At some point we, the media, need to pause and ask ourselves serious questions about how we’re thinking through what’s going to happen and how we present it,” he said, “because our predictions affect outcomes, to some extent, and they also, of course, determine our credibility. People judge us based on our predictions. Something really went wrong in the way we predicted a number of these races.” CLICK HERE FOR MORE.
In other developments:
– Cuban Americans, senior citizens lean toward Trump in Florida: Fox News Voter Analysis
– Media watchdog compiles ‘dumbest predictions made about the election’ by anti-Trump pundits
– CNN’s Jake Tapper now insists Biden ‘landslide’ was ‘always a pipe dream’ for Dems
– Rush Limbaugh says media’s narrative about enthusiasm for Biden will be proven wrong
– Dan Gainor: Left-wing journalists upset by strong early showing by Trump as ballot counting continues
Protesters gather at Black Lives Matter Plaza in DC to watch election results come in
Waves of demonstrators gathered at Black Lives Matter Plaza in near the White House in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday night — guarded by a strong police presence and reports of at least one minor scuffle.
Local news outlets reported that hundreds of demonstrators against and for President Trump were present as they planned to watch the state-by-state results of the 2020 election.
Demonstrations could carry on past Tuesday as a winner in the presidential race may not be declared for days. Scuffles between opposing groups were seen in social media posts but there were moments of calm, according to media reports. CLICK HERE FOR MORE.
In other developments:
– DC protesters organized via Zoom for months, thousands expected outside White House on Election Day
– Three-quarters of Americans concerned about post-election violence: poll
– ‘No climb’ fence installed around White House, source says
– Activist group plans widespread, ‘disruptive’ election activities to thwart potential Trump ‘coup’
TODAY’S MUST-READS:
– Election betting odds have flipped to favor Trump, expert says
– RNC speaker Kim Klacik falls short in House bid despite viral campaign ad, Trump support
– GOP newcomer Madison Cawthorn wins North Carolina congressional seat vacated by Mark Meadows
– Democrats retain control of House, battle remains for Senate majority
– Loeffler, Warnock headed to runoff in Georgia as Collins concedes
– Ex-ESPN host Jemele Hill says ‘it’s on White people’ if Trump wins reelection: ‘No one else’
– Chris Wallace: Fate of the election is completely ‘up for grabs
THE LATEST FROM FOX BUSINESS:
– Stock futures pare gains as Biden wins Arizona
– More than $1B expected to be wagered on 2020 U.S. presidential election
– Businesses paying up to protect workspaces amid potential unrest
– Trump or Biden? Stimulus in the cards anyway
– Amazon to double company’s Black leadership over next two years, ensure ‘inclusive language in software coding’
#The Flashback: CLICK HERE to find out what happened on “This Day in History.”
SOME PARTING WORDS
Tucker Carlsondiscussed the “shy” Trump voters who came out and voted for him in Tuesday’s election.
“I think some of the polls were wrong, and, I think many of them were wrong for honest reasons, but wrong nonetheless,” Carlson said. “That’s a problem, that’s misleading and we (the media) should cop to it.”
Not signed up yet for Fox News First? Click here to find out what you’re missing.
Fox News’ Go Watch page is now available, providing visitors with Pay TV provider options in their area carrying Fox News Channel & Fox Business Network.
Fox News First was compiled by Fox News’ Jack Durschlag. Thank you for making us your first choice in the morning! We’ll see you in your inbox first thing Thursday.
It’s done. Election day is over, the polls are closed, and the campaigns have stopped bombarding us with ads. Well, sort of. There’s still the matter of the counting. That’s not done yet. But, as we noted yesterday, frantically refreshing election results/Twitter is not going to speed up the process, and we’d rather not give ourselves an ulcer! In that vein, today we’ve got some recommendations to take you away from all the grubbiness of 2020 and into the wondrous world of fantasy and science fiction.
If you can’t tune out entirely, here are some interesting/fun reads about the election process (shoutout to Quartz for its great explainers!):
Set in Korea’s Joseon Dynasty, this horror-thriller follows Crown Prince Lee Chang on his pursuit to understand his father’s strange illness. Amid this journey, he also faces simultaneous threats from competing political ambitions and a surging zombie apocalypse. Through its captivating cinematography and unexpected plot twists, the show enfolds period-piece aesthetics, political intrigue, and high-intensity undead encounters to create a unique set of interacting conflicts. – David Canada Evil(Netflix):
A skeptical forensic psychologist partners with two men from the Catholic Church to investigate whether strange occurrences are due to demonic possession. This is not just a retread of The Exorcist; the demons are far more devious, scheming rather than vomiting and head-spinning, and always leaving open the question of whether they are even demons at all. The series also examines both the individual and institutional sides of the Catholic Church, which I find particularly interesting. – Spenser Dopp
With a screenplay written by Peter Jackson (Lord of the Rings), Mortal Engines takes place in a post-apocalyptic hellscape dominated by mobile “cities” on wheels. The narrative follows the story of Hester, an orphan adopted and raised by an undead, unfeeling cyborg as she works to avenge her mother’s murder and save the world. – Jihan Varisco What We Do In the Shadows (Amazon Prime, Kanopy):
This New Zealand mockumentary covers a group of vampires flatting together in Wellington, depicting everything from their difficulties finding love, to their occasional turf wars with local werewolves, to the blessings and misfortunes of immortality in the 21st century. From the producers of Flight of the Conchords, What We Do In the Shadows is uproariously funny, and inspired a TV show of the same name. – Owen Clarke
What to Read
Gardens of the Moon, by Steven Erikson(Amazon, Bookshop):
The first book in Steven Erikson’s epic series tells the story of the Bridgeburners, an elite infantry unit in the army of the Malazan Empire. The soldiers, mere humans in a world of magic-wielding demigods, struggle to survive against both external foes and betrayal from within. Erikson weaves a compelling tale of heroism in a world loosely based on the latter stages of the Roman Empire, except for the flying wizards and fantastic monsters. – Jihan Varisco
They Both Die at the End, by Adam Silvera (Amazon, Bookshop):
The book takes place in a universe where you are contacted the day you are going to die by a company called Death-Cast. You are not told how or when you will die, only that you will die before the end of the day. Two strangers, Mateo and Rufus, get the call on the same day and form a connection while saying goodbye to family and friends, and trying to live their last day to the fullest. – Ronni Winter
This isn’t your typical alien invasion story. It offers a fascinating perspective on the potential for symbiosis between species, along with an important reminder that appearances can sometimes be deceiving. It’s a great first read for those curious about the sci-fi genre! – Annafi Wahed
This is an online, multiplayer role playing game that has consumed countless hours of productivity over the years. This reboot of a previously defunct version of the game has something for everyone: leveling, campaigning, socializing, etc. You can start out for free to get a feel for the game, but most of the gameplay is locked behind membership. May not be gripping for non-gamers or those who like a faster-paced video game, but if you like to grind and are interested in exploring a rather large game universe, give it a shot! – Brian Bellinger
Now that you’ve carved your pumpkins, you might be looking for some other projects to add a warm and cozy vibe to your home! Here are 65 craft ideas to show off your DIY skills, including lots of ideas to spice up your Thanksgiving table. The pumpkin stress balls will probably come in handy too. – Sophia Augustine Jetpunk(Quiz):
JetPunk is a site full of trivia quizzes on all subjects. It’s a great time killer, testing your knowledge on almost any topic you can think of. My favorite is the attempt to name as many world countries as possible in 15 minutes. Tougher than it sounds! – Ken Schneider
🇺🇸 Good Wednesday morning. Today’s Smart Brevity™ count: 1,367 words … 5 minutes.
💡 1 big thing: A safe, sane way to navigate the vote count
America faces tense, tumultuous, uncertain days ahead: President Trump says he won, even though he hasn’t. Joe Biden says he’s “on track” to win, even though it’ll take days — or longer — to sort through a half-dozen nail-biters.
Why it matters: Now, whatever the resolution, close to half the country is going to feel robbed. Many of them will be angry, and will refuse to accept the winner as the legit president of all the people.
⚡ The latest: The presidential race is too close to call, with six battlegrounds undecided: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina and Nevada.
So many states are so tight that we could be facing multiple recounts and court challenges. And it could be days before we know the winner of Michigan, Pennsylvania or Nevada.
We got a great response to our Sunday piece, “A safe, sane way to navigate election night — and beyond.” Unfortunately, we need a sequel.
So here, from Axios CEO Jim VandeHei and me, are ways we can try to navigate the worrisome days ahead:
1. Buckle up and be patient. Remember that in some battlegrounds, a slight Trump lead this morning could still turn into a slight lead for Biden in the end.
Just before Labor Day, we told you about the “red mirage” — the concept that early results might look more Republican than the ultimate outcome.
The reason: Republicans are more likely to vote in person, and those are often the first votes tabulated.
2. Trust the system. There’s nothing unusual about counting mail-in votes for days. That’s how the system was designed. Trump can claim votes tallied after election night are invalid, but only the courts can reverse the rules.
3. Realize Republicans had a big night. It wasn’t a red wave, but it sure was a better result than virtually any GOP official imagined, especially for the House and Senate.
Republicans are optimistic about holding their Senate majority.
House Republicans may wind up gaining seats.
4. Recognize that we paid way too much attention to polls, which have even more limitations than we realized. It was a terrible night for polling. They were wrong, almost all of them, almost everywhere. Save yourself time and stop watching them so closely in elections.
Because we’re still missing some crucial final results, we don’t know exactly how far off they were. But nearly every battleground race is looking much tighter than the polls prepared us for.
“The political polling profession is done,” leading Republican pollster Frank Luntz told me just after 11 p.m. “It is devastating for my industry.”
5. Have some humility about what you think you know about America. The media and Twitter don’t understand America, writ large. Republicans resonate in ways — and with depth and breadth — neither understand.
Even if Biden winds up winning, the early returns suggest durable, enthusiastic support for Trump from big swaths of the country.
6. Understand that Trump’s appeal was broader than believed. He actually found new voters. Many of them were the working-class, white males who are the base of his base. But there were more of them.
These results contradict the argument that his 2016 victory was a fluke or mainly a repudiation of Hillary Clinton — or that he’d be resoundingly rejected for his handling of the coronavirus.
7. Start obsessing about Hispanics. Something’s happening here, but it’s still not precisely clear. Biden never fully connected with Hispanics — and Republicans did better in several areas than expected. This is the fastest growing demographic, so dig into the details.
Back in August, former 2020 presidential candidate Julián Castro warned Alexi McCammond in an interview for “Axios on HBO” that Democrats could win the presidency in November but lose support with Latino voters, which could “benefit the Republicans in the years to come.”
8. We’re going to re-up the points we made about social media. There’ll be mountains of bad information. Don’t waste time on it, and don’t share it.
Only pay attention to sources of information you trust and can validate with 100% certainty. Measure twice, tweet once (or, better yet, never).
We end with optimism: Be happy so many Americans voted, peacefully, amid a pandemic.
2. Trump vows to go to Supreme Court
Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
Walking into the East Room at 2:21 a.m. to “Hail to the Chief,” President Trump claimed he had already won the election — even though key states are uncalled.
Why it matters: Trump is doing what we told you he was planning to do, based on the outcome we foreshadowed — a “red mirage” of in-person votes that skew more heavily Republican than the mail-in votes added later in some battlegrounds.
Remember this: Trump heads into the wild days ahead stronger than ever. He did way better than most expected and was a rare voice saying Republicans could win the House.
Few Republican officials defied him before. It’s hard to see many, if any, standing up to him now.
Trump claimed that “a very sad group of people is trying to disenfranchise” his voters, “and we won’t stand for it”:
This is a fraud on the American public. This is an embarrassment to our country. We were getting ready to win this election. Frankly, we did win this election. [Cheers and applause.] …
[W]e’ll be going to the U.S. Supreme Court. We want all voting to stop. We don’t want them to find any ballots at 4 o’clock in the morning and add them to the list, OK? … To me, this is a very sad moment. And we will win this. … As far as I’m concerned, we already have won it.
On Fox News, Karl Rove said: “The bigger hand to play is to have confidence in the system.”
“Nobody is gonna be able to create large numbers of fake votes and somehow submit them into the system,” Rove added.
On ABC, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) added: “[A]s a former U.S. attorney, there’s just no basis to make that argument tonight.”
Just before 12:45 a.m., Joe Biden went before supporters at a drive-in rally in Wilmington, Del., and said he was “on track to win this election,” but stressed that “it ain’t over until every vote is counted, every ballot is counted.”
Horns blared gleefully as Biden said he’ll win Pennsylvania:
Look, we could know the results as early as tomorrow morning. But it may take a little longer, as I’ve said all along.
It’s not my place or Donald Trump’s place to declare who’s won this election. That’s the decision of the American people. But I’m optimistic about this outcome.
Why it matters: Biden spoke about 90 minutes before President Trump. The fact that Biden went ahead with his plan to “address the nation” on election night — without waiting for Trump or final results — reflected his strategy, which we told you about yesterday, to strike an assertive post-election stance.
Dems picked up Senate seats in Colorado and Arizona, but Republicans won race after race — South Carolina, Iowa, Texas, Kansas and Montana. (Go deeper.)
5. GOP defeats House chair
After decades of trying, Republicans defeated 15-term House Agriculture Chairman Collin Peterson, from a rural Minnesota district that backed President Trump in 2016 by 31 points, AP reports. Peterson was defeated by Republican Michelle Fischbach, the former lieutenant governor.
Also losing were freshmen Democrats Donna Shalala (HHS secretary under President Clinton) and Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, in adjacent South Florida districts where Trump consolidated support among Cuban voters.
6. Pictures of America
A demonstrator waits for results in Black Lives Matter Plaza, near the White House.
Trump supporters rally in front of a polling place at Coral Gables Branch Public Library in Miami.
7. Two pivotal states
At 3:41 a.m., Karl Rove said on Fox News that in honor of the late Tim Russert’s famous “Florida, Florida, Florida” whiteboard from 2000, the 2020 presidential race will be uncertain “until we can get a handle on”:
8. Mountains of money move with election shock
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
Election night was a melee of massive market moves around the globe and whipsawing prices across asset classes, as just about every market was turned on its head and then upside down again, Dion Rabouin writes in Axios Markets.
Most of the jostling came in the early evening as betting markets flipped from favoring a victory by Joe Biden to President Trump at around 7 p.m. ET.
Trump’s path to victory became less clear at around 10 p.m., and those trades unwound with many assets returning to near Tuesday’s close.
💰 Stock futures rose in volatile trading today as investors faced the prospect of a drawn-out and potentially contested election. (Reuters)
9. 🌎 Exit from Paris agreement is official
President Trump’s 2017 announcement withdrawing America from the accord became official at midnight after a prolonged process required by the UN, Axios’ Amy Harder reports.
10. 1 smile to go: Election-night marathon
At 5:02 a.m., ABC’s George Stephanopoulos said:
“I’m actually going to go home and take a shower now before ‘Good Morning America.’ … I’ll see you in a couple of hours.”
Election results may take days to resolve. President Trump falsely asserted fraud and prematurely declared victory, while Joe Biden said, “We believe we’re on track to win this election.”
Live updates ● By Washington Post staff ● Read more »
President Trump claimed to have as good as won the election even as ballots were still being counted across the country in the early hours of Wednesday morning.
Protesters early Wednesday morning banged on Washington, D.C., residents’ front doors as they marched around the city in demonstration beginning at the White House.
The Washington Examiner compiled some of the most interesting ballot measures in the 2020 election and will update results as they come in. See below for summaries of each.
Georgia Sen. Kelly Loeffler will proceed to the state’s Jan. 5 special election runoff after finishing second in the race with Democratic candidate Raphael Warnock.
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AP MORNING WIRE
Good morning. In today’s AP Morning Wire:
US cliffhanger: Trump talks Supreme Court, Biden says ‘keep the faith.’
GOP holds back Democrats in Senate; Dems head for House control.
Coronavirus hospitalizations surge in both US and Europe.
George Floyd’s brother rallies voters, urges calm on Election Day.
TAMER FAKAHANY DEPUTY DIRECTOR – GLOBAL NEWS COORDINATION, LONDON
The Rundown
AP PHOTO/JOHN MINCILLO
Election cliffhanger: Trump says he will fight election in Supreme Court; Biden tells supporters to ‘keep the faith’
By early today, neither Donald Trump or Joe Biden had the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win in a cliffhanger election that may now take days or even longer to decide, putting a frazzled nation in limbo.
Trump carried Florida, the nation’s most prized battleground state, and then he and Biden focused on the three northern industrial states — Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania — that could once again prove crucial in determining who wins the White House in 2020.
But Biden captured Arizona, another key battleground, which expanded his possible pathways to victory.
At the White House, Trump made premature claims of victories in several key states and said he would take the election to the Supreme Court. It was unclear exactly what legal action he might try to pursue.
Several states allow mailed-in votes to be accepted after Election Day as long as they were postmarked by Tuesday. That includes Pennsylvania, where ballots postmarked by Nov. 3 can be accepted if they arrive up to three days after the election.
Trump, however, suggested those ballots shouldn’t be counted. But Biden, briefly appearing in front of supporters in Delaware, urged patience, saying the election “ain’t over until every vote is counted, every ballot is counted.” “It’s not my place or Donald Trump’s place to declare who’s won this election,” Biden said. “That’s the decision of the American people.”
Explainer: The AP is not calling the presidential race yet because neither candidate has secured the 270 electoral college votes needed to claim victory. Trump said “Frankly, we did win this election” over Democrat Joe Biden and said he would take the election to the Supreme Court. But Trump’s assertion of victory does not match the results and information currently available to the AP. At this stage, according to AP counts, Biden has 238 electoral votes while Trump has 213. Several key states are too early to call, including Pennsylvania, Georgia, Wisconsin and Michigan. Biden told supporters to ”keep faith.”
Voting:Fears of clashes at the polls, chaos caused by the pandemic and confusion over swiftly changing voting rules failed to materialize as voters decided one of the most contentious U.S. presidential elections in memory. About 103 million votes were cast before Election Day. That took some of the pressure off polling places, which generally saw short or no lines and only sporadic problems with voting machines. Although the casting of ballots was relatively tranquil, legal storm clouds hang over the counting of those votes, Christina A. Cassidy and Nicholas Riccardi report.
Explainer Protests: There were skirmishes near the White House and relatively minor demonstrations in California and elsewhere on the West Coast. But widespread unrest that had been feared largely had not occurred after the polls began closing around the country. Why? It’s hard to say. But prolonged uncertainty, particularly in the bitter presidential race, could increase the odds that tensions eventually flare.
AP VoteCast:: U.S. voters faced a public health crisis and a wounded economy but neither candidate emerged as the clear choice to handle both of those issues. That’s according to AP Votecast, an expansive nationwide survey. More voters — both in the country overall and in key battlegrounds — said Biden would be better able to handle the coronavirus pandemic. But Trump edged out Biden on the question of who would be better to rebuild the economy. Despite the months of debate, three-quarters of all voters said they knew all along who they supported, Josh Boak and Hannah Fingerhut report.
Misinformation Pennsylvania: The state emerged as a hot spot for online misinformation on Election Day. Facebook and Twitter scrambled to take down false posts about polling locations in Scranton, Philadelphia and beyond to minimize the spread of misinformation and prevent it from sowing doubt about the election process. Misleading claims about voting in the key battleground state were shared thousands of times on Facebook and Twitter — even reaching the Twitter feed of the president’s son, Donald Trump Jr., Amanda Seitz and Barbara Ortutay report.
Misleading Robocalls: Voters across the U.S. received anonymous robocalls ahead of Election Day urging them to “stay safe and stay home” – an ominous warning that election officials said could be an effort to scare off voters. The calls, which feature a computerized female voice, began over the summer and increased dramatically last month. The FBI is investigating robocalls that seek to interfere with someone’s right to cast a ballot, David Klepper and John Flesher. report.
GOP holds back Democrats, narrowing path to Senate control; Dems head toward House control, but struggle to gain seats
The battle for power in the Senate tightened after Democrats picked up a seat in Colorado, but suffered a setback in Alabama. And Republicans held their own in high-profile races in South Carolina, Iowa, Texas and Kansas, dramatically narrowing the political map.
Republicans sought to retain their Senate majority against a surge of Democrats challenging Trump’s allies. Both parties saw paths to victory, but options are becoming more limited. The outcome might not be known for a few days, Lisa Mascaro and Mary Clare Jalonick report.
In South Carolina, White House ally Sen. Lindsey Graham survived the race of his political career against Jamie Harrison. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell acknowledged the uncertainty ahead even after he secured a seventh term in Kentucky, fending off Democrat Amy McGrath, a former fighter pilot, in a costly campaign.
House: Democrats are driving toward extending their control of the House for two more years, but their expectations of expanding their majority seem to be waning. The parties’ swapped a handful of House seats, underscoring returns that early on suggest a status-quo House election, with Democrats holding onto their majority with modest gains at best, Alan Fram and Matthew Daly report.
AP PHOTO/FRANCISCO SECO
US virus hospitalizations surge as pandemic shadows election; Europe also sees spike of the stricken, tightens restrictions
The number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 is reaching record highs in several U.S. states, as Americans voted under the shadow of a resurging pandemic.
The resurgence loomed over the election, as voters feared both the virus and its economic toll.
Europe’s Resurgence: Infections have hit new daily highs this week in Russia, and Germany and the U.K. have announced plans to expand virus testing as European countries battle rapidly increasing infections and hospitalizations. Nations reintroduced restrictions to get ahead of a virus that has caused more than 270,000 deaths in Europe.
New measures took effect in Austria, Greece and Sweden, and the Dutch government announced the closing of theaters, swimming pools and other venues for two weeks. Russia reported the country’s fifth straight day of more than 18,000 new confirmed cases. Alarming reports have surfaced of overwhelmed hospitals, drug shortages and inundated medical workers. Elena Becatoros reports.
The names George Floyd, Breonna Taylor, Ahmaud Arbery and Rayshard Brooks, all killed by police or vigilantes, re-energized the Black Lives Matter movement this year and put race and justice at the center of the election.
Will Americans choose racial justice over “law and order”?
In New York City, George Floyd’s brother Terrence Floyd, who urged calm amid nationwide violent unrest and protests in June, followed up on his emotional plea to protesters. He urged people to channel their power at the ballot box.
Hurricane Eta is churning across northeast Nicaragua after making landfall with devastating winds and rains that had already destroyed rooftops and caused rivers to overflow. The U.S. National Hurricane Center said hurricane had sustained winds of 105 mph (165 kph), down from an overnight peak of 150 mph (240 kph). Even before it made landfall, Honduras reported the first death after a mudslide trapped a 12-year-old girl in San Pedro Sula. Firefighters in Bonanza, Nicaragua, reported the deaths of two miners in a mudslide.
Russia’s top diplomat says about 2,000 fighters from the Mideast have joined the fighting over Nagorno-Karabakh, the worst outbreak of hostilities in the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in more than a quarter-century. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s statement came as the warring parties traded accusations over new attacks in the region. Nagorno-Karabakh lies within Azerbaijan but has been under the control of ethnic Armenian forces backed by Armenia since a war there ended in 1994.
Ethiopia’s prime minister has ordered the military to confront a regional government after he says it attacked a military base overnight, citing months of provocation and incitement and declaring that “the last red line has been crossed.” The statement by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s office, and the reported attack, immediately raised concerns that one of Africa’s most populous and powerful countries could plunge back into war.
People across Puerto Rico are awaiting final results following elections that saw long lines of voters and produced a tight gubernatorial race. Pedro Pierluisi of Puerto Rico’s pro-statehood New Progressive Party holds a slight lead over Carlos Delgado of the Popular Democratic Party, which supports the current territorial status. Less than 10,000 votes separated the top two candidates after counting more than 90% of the ballots.
Good morning, Chicago. Tuesday was Election Day, but we’re still waiting on a lot the results of the presidential race, as well as a number of local races. For live updates, visit our election results page here.
President Donald Trump carried Florida, the nation’s most prized battleground state, and he and Democrat Joe Biden focused early Wednesday on the three Northern industrial states — Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania — that could prove crucial in determining who wins the White House.
Illinois voters on Tuesday got their say on a far-reaching ballot question about the future of the state income tax following millions of dollars in TV ads bankrolled by battling billionaires Gov. J.B. Pritzker and hedge fund owner Ken Griffin.
Democratic Cook County State’s Attorney Kim Foxx beat Republican challenger Pat O’Brien on Tuesday night, winning four more years to continue enacting her criminal justice reform agenda.
Flanked by her family, Foxx took the stage at a small event at a downtown hotel about 10:45 p.m., after O’Brien conceded at the end of a race that focused on whether the incumbent had made needed changes to a broken system or fueled crime.
Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan was dealt a blow Tuesday as Democratic Illinois Supreme Court Justice Tom Kilbride conceded defeat following a record-smashing, big-dollar fight against a pair of billionaires who wanted to unseat him.
Here’s what readers awoke to see on the front page of the Chicago Tribune following each presidential election from 1920 through 2020, including today’s paper with its inconclusive results.
There are two immediate challenges facing the next president — right now, it’s not clear if it is President Donald Trump or Democratic nominee Joe Biden — and both are related to the COVID-19 pandemic shaping this unprecedented election, columnist Lynn Sweet writes.
The first is to find a way for Congress to pass another stimulus bill to rescue the coronavirus-ravaged economy, with gridlocked lawmakers and the Trump White House not able to strike a pre-election deal.
The second is to convince the public that if vaccines are rushed to the market — sprinting through federal approvals — the drugs are safe to use, given the pressure Trump has been putting on government officials.Read Lynn Sweet’s latest column…
Incomplete returns that trickled in Tuesday night showed Foxx leading Republican Pat O’Brien, a former Cook County judge, 53.3% to 40.1% with 96.1% of precincts reporting.
No matter who wins, the next president needs to pass a COVID-19 relief bill and convince the public that a coronavirus vaccine — when it’s ready — is safe.
The amendment could pass if a majority of all people voting in Tuesday’s election voted “yes.” But it could also pass if 60 percent of the people who specifically voted on the amendment voted “yes.”
Republican Bradley Stephens faced Michelle Darbro in one of the priciest Illinois House races this election cycle — where Speaker Michael J. Madigan loomed large. But with most votes counted, Stephens reported a big lead.
Cook County Judge Michael Toomin and Illinois Supreme Court Justice Thomas Kilbride each faced aggressive efforts to get them bounced from the bench. Late Tuesday it appeared that Toomin will stay and Kilbride will go.
Illinois’ 6th District — which Casten won two years ago by defeating Republican Peter Roskam — covers much of the near west and northwest suburbs in parts of Cook, Kane, McHenry, DuPage and Lake counties.
Durbin said on a video call Tuesday evening that “this is the most unusual victory speech I’ve ever given, sitting in my home in Springfield, staring into an iPad.”
Welcome to The Hill’s Morning Report. It is Wednesday (or just Tuesday continued?). We get you up to speed on the most important developments in politics and policy, plus trends to watch. Alexis Simendinger and Al Weaver are the co-creators, and readers can find us on Twitter @asimendinger and @alweaver22. Please recommend the Morning Report to friends and let us know what you think. CLICK HERE to subscribe!
Total U.S. coronavirus deaths reported each morning this week: Monday, 230,996; Tuesday, 231,562; Wednesday, 232,626.
The close race between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden remains up for grabs this morning in familiar battleground states, even as Biden racks up more than 50 percent of the popular vote as the electoral tally is tabulated.
The Hill: Trump, Biden head toward a photo finish.
Vote counting is still underway in states where Trump leads, including Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and North Carolina, and the final tabulations needed to determine a winner with 270 electoral votes may not be known for days.
In North Carolina and Pennsylvania, ballots postmarked by Nov. 3 can still be received and counted this week.
The uncertain dynamics after polls closed, however, did not stop the president from asserting victory in the wee hours of today among supporters gathered in the East Room. Speaking at 2:29 a.m., Trump falsely stated, “We did win the election,” threatening to head to court to challenge the ongoing ballot-counting process, which could take days.
The Associated Press: Presidency hinges on tight races in battleground states Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan.
“This is a fraud on the American public,” Trump told a crowd gathered indoors at the White House, many not wearing masks. “This is an embarrassment to our country. We were getting ready to win this election. Frankly, we did win the election.”
“We want all voting to stop,” he said, inaccurately suggesting a rigged presidential contest. “We will win this.”
The president said he wanted to stop the counting of votes and put the outcome of the election in the hands of the Supreme Court. “As far as I am concerned, we already have won it.”
Trump also said he wants the counting of votes to continue in Arizona, which handed its 10 electoral votes to Biden, becoming the only state as of press time this morning to shift from a 2016 Republican win to the Democratic column after Tuesday. The president suggested he wants to see ballot counting stop in Pennsylvania and Georgia, two states in which he hailed his momentary leads while precinct tabulations remained incomplete.
Speaking hours beforehand, Biden projected an air of confidence in the results set to arrive in the coming days.
“We feel good about where we are. We really do,” Biden said. “I’m here tonight to tell you we’re on track to win this election. …I’m optimistic about the outcome.”
“It may take a little longer,” Biden told a Wilmington, Del., parking lot full of drive-in supporters who honked their horns. “As I’ve said all along, it’s not my place or Donald Trump’s place to declare who won this election. That’s the decision of the American people.”
Because ballots continue to be tallied in Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Detroit and Atlanta and their suburban areas, the presidential outcomes in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and Georgia have not been determined.
As of this morning, Arizona and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District stand alone in their shifts from Republican territory four years ago to favor Democrats.
BBC: Where things stand in Election 2020 as of this morning.
Reid Wilson, The Hill: On The Trail: Deeply divided nation shows blue islands in a red sea.
The Hill: Trump cleans up in safe Great Plains, Mountain West states.
The Hill: Trump, Biden campaigns brace for protracted battle beyond Election Day.
The total voter turnout in 2020 is expected to be record-setting, including an astonishing 101 million early votes, according to the U.S. Elections Project.
SENATE ELECTIONS: Republicans are in pole position to retain control of the Senate, having scored a number of key wins as a number of GOP candidates remain in the lead in key toss-up contests.
After heading into the evening with a 53-47 seat majority, Republicans pulled off multiple important victories on the Senate map, with Sens. Joni Ernst (R) and Steve Daines (R) winning reelection bids in Iowa and Montana, respectively (The Hill). The GOP also continue to hold leads in North Carolina, Maine, Georgia and Michigan, where final results are still being counted.
In North Carolina, Sen. Thom Tillis (R) is in a strong position to win his reelection effort. He leads Democrat Cal Cunningham, who was besieged during the final month of the campaign after admitting an extramarital affair. Tillis was ahead by 97,000 votes (a 1.8 percent margin) with 94 percent of precincts reporting this morning.
Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) leads Democrat Sara Gideon by 34,000 votes (49.5 percent to 43.6 percent) with 66 percent of the vote outstanding. However, Collins’s potential inability to reach the 50 percent marker could open the door for Democrats as it would invoke ranked choice voting, which allows voters to rank candidates in order of preference on the ballot if they decide to do so.
Meanwhile, Georgia will have at least one Senate runoff in early January, but the possibility of both contests going to a runoff remains as Sen. David Perdue (R) leads Democrat Jon Ossoff, though it is unclear whether he will clear the requisite 50 percent to win outright. Perdue leads with 50,8 percent to Ossoff’s 46.9 percent, with 91 percent of precincts reporting as votes still need to be counted in Atlanta and the surrounding areas, which are Democratic strongholds.
In the other Peach State race, Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) and Raphael Warnock (D) will face off in early January to fill the remainder of former Sen. Johnny Isakson’s term in office. Rep. Doug Collins (R) tweeted that he called Loeffler and conceded the race to her, also pledging his support to her campaign (The Hill).
Three Senate seats flipped party control. Democrat Mark Kelly defeated Sen. Martha McSally (R) in Arizona, completing a wire-to-wire victory, while former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) unseated Sen. Cory Gardner (R) (The Hill). Moving the other direction, Republican Tommy Tuberville trounced Sen. Doug Jones (R-Ala.), giving Republicans their only pick-up of the evening (The Hill).
Tuesday was considered a disappointing night for Democrats, who hoped to capture the Senate after six years in the minority. The party and its candidates raised unprecedented millions of dollars across the map, yet many of those challengers fell quickly on Tuesday night.
Among those who Democrats tossed massive sums of money against was Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), who defeated Democrat Amy McGrath to win a seventh term in the Senate. McGrath, who lost a 2018 House bid, raised $88 million compared to $55 million for the longtime Kentucky Republican. McConnell defeated her by a 21-point margin.
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) also will return to the Senate after defeating Democrat Jaime Harrison and his mammoth war chest, which Democrats shoveled behind his effort to defeat the incumbent. Harrison set a record for money raised in a contest that was not for president, including his $57 million haul in the third fundraising quarter (The Hill).
The Hill: Sen. John Cornyn (R) beats back Democratic challenge in Texas.
The Hill: Rep. Roger Marshall (R) wins Kansas Senate race.
HOUSE RACES: While capturing the Senate majority was always seen as an uphill climb for Democrats, the party for months had been bullish that it would gain seats in the House as part of a blue wave. That did not happen on Tuesday. Instead, House Republicans are expected to make gains in the lower chamber.
Democrats nevertheless held their majority (The Hill). However, Republicans flipped at least six seats on Election Day. Five Democrats defeated were freshmen lawmakers.
Headlining the wins for Republicans were a pair of triumphs in South Florida: Reps. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) and Donna Shalala (D) lost to Republicans Carlos Gimenez and Maria Elvira Salazar. Elsewhere, Republicans also knocked off Reps. Kendra Horn (D-Okla.), Joe Cunningham (D-S.C.) and Xochitl Torres Small (D-N.M.).
Perhaps the most notable loss on the Democratic side was Rep. Collin Peterson (D-Minn.), the chairman of the House Agriculture Committee and a 30-year House veteran. He lost to Republican Michelle Fischbach (The Hill).
Four years ago, Peterson won reelection by 5 percentage points in Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District despite the president defeating Hillary Clinton by a 30-point margin.
A number of contests are still uncalled that could doom a number of other vulnerable Democrats, including Reps. Max Rose (D-N.Y.), Abby Finkenauer (D-Iowa) and T.J. Cox (D-Calif.), among others. The result is a far cry from the Democratic wave that swept the party into power in the lower chamber two years ago, having picked up 41 seats in the 2018 midterms.
Across the aisle, Democrats only flipped two seats, both coming in North Carolina as a result of redistricting. Political prognosticators and Democratic sources expected that the party would gain 10 to 15 seats.
The Hill: Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas) fends off challenge from Wendy Davis to win reelection.
The Hill: GOP Rep. Rodney Davis fends off Democratic challenger in Illinois.
The Hill: QAnon proponent Marjorie Taylor Greene wins Georgia House race.
OPINION
Issues to watch for while the election results unfold this week, by Jonathan Turley of George Washington University, opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/3883v25
Count every vote, by Sophia Lin Lakin of ACLU’s Voting Rights Project, opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/3oXagcS
WHERE AND WHEN
The House is out.
The Senate will return to work on Nov. 9.
The president and Vice President Pence have no public events scheduled.
➔ CORONAVIRUS: The COVID-19 surge, at the heart of voters’ concerns about future governance, is most pronounced in the Midwest and Southwest today. Missouri, Oklahoma, Iowa, Indiana, Nebraska, North Dakota and New Mexico all reported record high hospitalizations this week. Nebraska’s largest hospitals started limiting elective surgeries and looked to bring in nurses from other states to cope with the surge. Hospital officials in Iowa and Missouri warned bed capacity could soon be overwhelmed. Wisconsin health officials reported 5,771 new coronavirus cases Tuesday, a new record. Some cities and communities are experimenting with new mandatory restrictions (The Associated Press).
> Research: Weather by itself does not affect the spread of COVID-19 outdoors, according to the World Health Organization. Cold weather does not kill the coronavirus (The Associated Press).
> International: Europe continued to see a rising number of infections on Tuesday — including new single-day case records in Russia and Germany — with multiple nations imposing new restrictions in an effort to slow the spread of COVID-19. As The Associated Press notes, new restrictions went into effect in Greece, Austria and Sweden on Tuesday, while the Netherlands and Hungary both introduced new measures. … Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte ordered new lockdown provisions, including a ban on public meetings involving more than two people not in the same family, with the possibility of shuttering schools under consideration (Reuters).
… In Canada, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said on Tuesday that the nation’s chance to slow the virus’s spread is “closing” (Reuters). However, Ontario announced plans to allow indoor dining and gyms to reopen in Toronto, the province’s largest city (Reuters).
> Sports: Saturday’s football game between the University of Wisconsin and Purdue University was canceled on Tuesday due to a continued high number of cases in the Wisconsin football program. As of Tuesday, the school has reported 27 active cases, with 15 players and 12 staff members testing positive since Oct. 24 (CBS Sports). … Denver Broncos CEO Joe Ellis and General Manager John Elway both tested positive for COVID-19 on Tuesday (ESPN).
➔ SUPREME COURT: Justices will hear oral arguments at 10 a.m., with participation by newcomer Amy Coney Barrett, in a high-profile LGBTQ rights case. The dispute involves the city of Philadelphia’s refusal to place children for foster care with a Catholic Church-affiliated agency that excludes same-sex couples from serving as foster parents (Reuters).
➔ TRANSPORTATION: Pilot unions are warning that a new Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) proposal for Boeing 737 Max training should be improved for safety purposes. The union that represents Southwest Airlines pilots said Monday that the FAA should reduce the number of steps pilots must remember and perform in the event of an emergency, adding that “error rates increase exponentially” with long checklists. The 737 Max models were grounded following deadly crashes in 2018 and 2019 (The Hill).
THE CLOSER
And finally … Thirty-four-year-old Canadian rapper, songwriter, actor, producer, entrepreneur and occasional “Saturday Night Live” host Drake surpassed music greats Aretha Franklin and Stevie Wonder on Tuesday by achieving 21 No. 1 Billboard hits. Drake’s “Laugh Now Cry Later,” featuring rapper Lil Durk, shot to the top of Billboard’s R&B/Hop-Hop songs chart.
Franklin, who died in 2018, and Wonder each have had 20 songs top the chart (The Associated Press). Drake, pictured last year, also appears on lists of the richest rappers.
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PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP and JOE BIDEN are locked in the tightest presidential contest in decades, with TRUMP threatening to drag the race to the Supreme Court. BIDEN is ahead by a sliver in Wisconsin, TRUMP is up in Michigan and Pennsylvania — but it’s close, with plenty outstanding. Nevada is suddenly tight. Georgia is too close to call. We’ll get to this all in a minute. But let’s start with what we know:
TUESDAY WAS AN ABJECT DISASTER for Democrats in Washington. To imagine the amount of soul searching and explaining the party will have to do after Tuesday is absolutely dizzying. The infighting will be bloody — as it should be. We fielded text after text from Hill Democrats Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning with existential questions about their leadership and the direction of their party.
DEMOCRATS TOLD US in the weeks and months leading up to Election Daythatthey were on track to win the majority in the Senate, and they don’t appear poised to do that. Donors gave $90 million to lose to Senate Majority Leader MITCH MCCONNELL, $108 million to lose to Sen. LINDSEY GRAHAM (R-S.C.) and $24 million to lose to Sen. JOHN CORNYN (R-Texas). GOP Sen. STEVE DAINES won in Montana. GOP Sen. THOM TILLIS is up in North Carolina. GOP Sen. DAVID PERDUE is above 50% in Georgia, at the moment. Sen. SUSAN COLLINS is narrowly ahead in Maine — despite Democrat SARA GIDEON raising $69 million. Iowa Sen. JONI ERNST won her bid for a second term. Andrew Desiderio and James Arkin on the state of play in the Senate
DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS TOLD US that Dems would win a dozen seats in the House, and knock off a whole host of Republican incumbents, and that was completely wrong. Instead, Republicans — powered by the NRCC and CLF — beat a bunch of Democratic incumbents. The GOP added women to their ranks. They beat Minnesota Rep. COLLIN PETERSON after a few decades of trying. Republicans beat two Democratic incumbents in the Miami area — DEBBIE MUCARSEL-POWELL and DONNA SHALALA. NANCY MACE beat Rep. JOE CUNNINGHAM in South Carolina. Democratic Rep. MAX ROSE appears to be done in Staten Island. Democratic Reps. XOCHITL TORRES SMALL of New Mexico and KENDRA HORN of Oklahoma both have lost.
INSTEAD OF SITTING SOMEWHERE in the 180s, Republicans have north of 200 House seats, making themselves an extremely powerful minority no matter who wins the White House.
AND, TO ADD INSULT TO INJURY, the chair of the DCCC, Rep. CHERI BUSTOS, is struggling to hang on in her Illinois district. Speaker NANCY PELOSI and her leadership team will have a lot to think about — and explain — in the next few weeks. Republicans could have a net gain of 10 House seats. Ally Mutnick and Sarah Ferris on where things stand in the House
HOUSE MINORITY LEADER KEVIN MCCARTHY told JOHN BRESNAHAN early this Wednesday morning: “We defied the odds. It’s the night of the Republican women. … The Democrats never solved one problem in their majority. They promised they would govern differently, and they didn’t.”
THE POLLING INDUSTRY is a wreck, and should be blown up.
NOW ONTO THE BIG SHOW: TRUMP threatened to drag the Supreme Court into the presidential race with a number of states still counting. It feels like Bush v. Gore all over again. “We were going to win this election,” TRUMP told supporters in the East Room of the White House around 2:30 a.m. “Frankly we did win. So we’ll be going to the U.S. Supreme Court. We want all voting to stop. As far as I’m concerned, we already did win.”
NO, HE HAS NOT WON.
THE REALITY is TRUMP and BIDEN remain locked in a slow-motion brawl with both sides still awaiting final results from several states. The race is not over.
IN PENNSYLVANIA, as many as 2 million mail-in ballots still have to be counted. Michigan also has outstanding ballots, and there’s no deadline for them to finish.
VP MIKE PENCE took a decidedly softer tone on the process, saying: “While the votes continue to be counted, we’re going to remain vigilant, as the president said. The right to vote has been at the center of our democracy since the founding of this nation, and we’re going to protect the integrity of the vote.”
AT 12:45 A.M., BIDEN said he would win the race when it’s all said and done, not TRUMP. “We knew this was going to go on, but who knew we were going to go into maybe tomorrow morning, maybe even longer?” Biden said at a Wilmington, Del., car rally. “But look, we feel good about where we are. We really do. I’m here to tell you tonight we believe we’re on track to win this election.”
HERE’S A SHORT LIST of what Democrats are going to wonder: Was BIDEN too cautious? Is the party too far to the left? Is it too closely hewed to the center? Is the leadership in Congress too stale? BUT CHIEFLY, what they will be asking themselves is how and why this race was so close against a president who they so badly misjudged.
WHAT’S CLEAR: If BIDEN wins the White House, he will likely face a Republican Senate and an emboldened House minority. If TRUMP wins, he will be backed up by MCCONNELL and MCCARTHY, and the GOP will have a huge say in governing.
IMAGINE IF BIDEN DOES WIN — and that’s a big, big if: Think about how he’ll get a Cabinet approved. Think about Democratic wishes– raising corporate taxes, capital gains, packing the Supreme Court, blowing up the filibuster — and those seem absolutely impossible. Gridlock is likely.
FRONT PAGES: NYT: “TURNOUT SOARS, ALONG WITH SUSPENSE, AS NATION IN TUMULT DELIVERS VERDICT” … N.Y. POST:“NAILBITER” … WAPO: “A nation divided”
NYT’S ALEX BURNS and JONATHAN MARTIN: “As of early Wednesday morning, the race remained shrouded in uncertainty, as Mr. Biden failed to achieve any early breakthroughs, and as Mr. Trump clung to a lead in a number of Southern states that Democrats had hoped to flip into their column.
“Mr. Trump dashed Democrats’ hopes of picking up both Florida and Ohio, two swing states that have tilted to the right in recent years, and that Mr. Trump carried four years ago. He also turned back a challenge from Mr. Biden in Iowa, a smaller state where Mr. Biden made a late effort to pick up its six Electoral College votes.
“Mr. Trump did not have a clear upper hand, but the prolonged suspense was, at least at the start, something of a victory for the president, who was at risk of being eliminated from contention if one of the big, historically Republican states of the Southeast had defected to Mr. Biden. That was still a possibility in North Carolina or Georgia, where the vote tally was closely divided.”
WSJ’S JOHN MCCORMICK and CHAD DAY: “The portrait of America revealed in Tuesday’s presidential election was one of a deeply divided nation split between men and women, white and nonwhite voters, urban and rural residents, college graduates and those who didn’t graduate from college, and differing views on the importance of controlling the coronavirus pandemic versus preventing further damage to the economy.
“A national voter survey conducted for The Wall Street Journal and other news organizations showed President Trump with his strongest support among men, white voters without a college degree, rural residents and those who said the government should put a higher priority on the economy even if it increases the spread of the coronavirus. Democrat Joe Biden was more heavily favored by women, urban and suburban residents, nonwhite voters and college graduates.”
BIG PICTURE — JOHN HARRIS column: “Once Again, a Nation Cuts It Too Close for Comfort”: “Before Election Day, Democrats had an answer for how they intended to deal with President Donald Trump’s hold on his most-devoted partisans, or the possibility of widespread challenges to absentee ballots, or the fear that conservative judges might come to the aid of Republicans with supportive court rulings.
“The answer was that they were going to soar over all these obstacles by mobilizing their own partisans to devastating effect. In 2020, unlike 2016, they weren’t going to cut it close. Well, so much for that plan.
“The country is, once again, cutting it close in a presidential election. As in: Very, very close. Too close to declare a winner on Tuesday evening, and possibly for much longer. Too close to give comfort to either Trump or former Vice President Joe Biden. Too close to avoid Trump’s charge on Twitter after midnight that ‘they are trying to steal the election.’ Too close that American politics has turned a partisan or ideological or demographic corner in any decisive way.” POLITICO
— ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION: “Presidential, U.S. Senate race nailbiters in Georgia”: “Georgia Republicans began to rally around U.S. Sen. Kelly Loeffler after she edged out Congressman Doug Collins for a spot in a Jan. 5 runoff against Democrat Raphael Warnock. Collins conceded the race and pledged full support to his once-bitter rival.
“Georgia’s other marquee races also hung in the balance as dozens of Democratic-leaning precincts surrounding Atlanta had yet to report. That included U.S. Sen. David Perdue’s reelection battle against Democrat Jon Ossoff, as well as a U.S. House contest that was seen as bellwether for Vice President Joe Biden’s strength in the suburbs.”
MEANWHILE … THE CORONAVIRUS IS RAGING — 9.3 MILLION Americans have tested positive for the coronavirus. … 232,627 Americans have died.
— “With Winter Coming and Trump Still in Charge, Virus Experts Fear the Worst,”by NYT’s Michael Shear and Sheryl Gay Stolberg: “ Regardless of the election’s outcome this week, President Trump will be the one steering the country through what is likely to be the darkest and potentially deadliest period of the coronavirus pandemic, and he has largely excluded the nation’s leading health experts from his inner circle.
“Mr. Trump will still have control of the nation’s health apparatus and the bully pulpit that comes with the Oval Office until Jan. 20, as infections approach 100,000 a day and death rates begin to rise as hospitals are strained to their breaking points.
“But the president has largely shuttered the White House Coronavirus Task Force and doubled down on anti-science language, telling voters that the country is ‘rounding the corner’ in the fight against the virus that has claimed nearly a quarter of a million lives.”
BEYOND THE BELTWAY — “How Miami Cubans disrupted Biden’s path to a Florida win,” by Sabrina Rodríguez in Miami: “President Donald Trump’s obsession with Cubans has paid off. After four years of non-stop outreach to Miami’s Cuban exile community, Trump cruised to victory in Florida thanks to their heavy turnout that also helped the GOP flip two congressional seats and win big in state House and Senate races.
“Cuban Americans have long been Republican leaning but began drifting toward the Democratic fold during Barack Obama’s successful presidential campaigns and Hillary Clinton’s run in 2016, when she blew Trump away in Miami-Dade. Republicans responded by focusing more on the community and stepping up their anti-socialist messaging, often depicting Democrats as radical leftists and socialists, labels that former Vice President Joe Biden and his campaign struggled to shake off.
“Republicans attribute the good night to four years of staying on message in Miami-Dade, with the president and administration officials repeatedly coming to Miami to roll out crackdowns on Cuba and Venezuela. And now some question whether Miami-Dade should be considered a liberal bastion at all.” POLITICO
TRADE WARS — “Market ties between China, U.S. set to deepen regardless of who wins White House,”by Reuters’ Samuel Shen and Andrew Galbraith in Shanghai: “As the world awaited definitive results from the U.S. presidential election, Chinese investors betting on the re-election of Donald Trump sent shares of a Shenzhen-listed air traffic control software firm soaring on Wednesday.
“Wisesoft Co Ltd, whose Chinese name sounds like ‘Trump’s big win’, saw its shares jump as much as 9.8% after early returns showed few signs of a conclusive Democratic victory in U.S. polls, making the stock a rare clear winner on the day. Analysts and investors widely expect a win by Trump, who launched a trade war with China that will soon enter its 28th month, to weigh on Chinese shares in the short term.”
VALLEY TALK — “California Voters Exempt Uber, Lyft, DoorDash From Reclassifying Drivers,” by WSJ’s Preetika Rana: “Uber Technologies Inc., Lyft Inc. and DoorDash Inc. won a pivotal vote in California that exempts them from reclassifying their drivers as employees, according to the Associated Press.
“The companies, along with Postmates Inc. and Instacart Inc., collectively contributed around $200 million to support Proposition 22, a measure that allows them to bypass a state law intended to provide employee-like protections for their drivers. The campaign was the most expensive for any ballot measure in state history. With more than 60% of ballots counted, the vote was running 58% in favor of the measure and 42% against, prompting the Associated Press to project it would pass.
“The outcome allows the ride-hailing and delivery companies to avoid complying with a law that could have reshaped their business models and battered their business in the most populous U.S. state. It also sets the tone for gig-worker regulation in the rest of the country.”
WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Liz Rolnik Miller, VP of comms at CBS Studios, and Zak Miller, senior director of programs and partnerships at Landmark Ventures, welcomed Eden Leon Miller on Oct. 6.Pic
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY:Rima Sirota, professor of law and legal practice at the Georgetown University Law Center. How she got started in her career: “I was having a lousy day at my Department of Justice job, and so, on a whim, I sent my résumé to every law school in the area, asking if they needed an adjunct to teach legal ethics. Georgetown Law was the only school that responded. I discovered that I loved teaching, joined Georgetown’s full-time faculty, and haven’t looked back.” Playbook Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Laura Bush is 74 … Rep. Richard Hudson (R-N.C.) is 49 … Rep. John Yarmuth (D-Ky.) is 73 … Rep. Carol Miller (R-W.Va.) is 7-0 … Avi Berkowitz … NYT’s Ben Smith and Kit Seelye … Craig Stevens … Alice Tong … POLITICO’s Gabby Orr, Amanda Eisenberg and Liz Davidson … WaPo’s Mike DeBonis … Eric Wagner … AP’s Alex Sanz … Michael Clauser … Jessica Reis, senior director at Bully Pulpit Interactive, is 37 … API’s Casey Martel (h/t Ben Decatur) … Julie Siegel … Catherine Rampell … Ken Weinstein, nominee for U.S. ambassador to Japan, is 59 … WTOP’s Hillary Howard … Ashley Estes Kavanaugh … Blair Latoff Holmes … Rick Ungar is 7-0 … Morgan Mohr, Nevada deputy state director for Joe Biden’s campaign … Darla Bunting Liggins …
… Carlos Gutierrez, executive chair of EmPath … Jeremy Bernard (h/t Tammy Haddad) … Michael Fontneau is 36 … Kathy Griffin (h/t Hilary Rosen) … Emma Kenyon … Will Shaw … Laylee Ghiasi … McKinsey’s Max Gleischman (h/t wife Rachel Racusen) … Maggie McNerney, senior director at Dezenhall Resources, is 26 … Amanda Thayer … Jean Roseme … Katie Hughes … Tim Saler … Ezra Mechaber … Florencia Iriondo … Lucy Tutwiler Hodas … Kevin McVicker … Trish Turner … Michael Hough is 41 … Aaron White … WSJ’s Elena Chiriboga … Kari Kant … Jeremy Chwat is 46 … Jared Kleinstein … Edward Luttwak … Massachusetts state Rep. Ken Gordon … Hal Malchow … Julie Tippens (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) … Casey Sinnwell … Lynde Uihlein … Susan Knapp … Jacques Haeringer
“America has gone a long way down the wrong road. We must turn around … If ever we needed God’s help, it is now!” Billy Graham – American Minute with Bill Federer
Born NOVEMBER 7, 1918, Billy Graham wanted to be a baseball player, but in 1934, after attending a revival at age 16, his life changed.
Billy Graham became an evangelist in the 1940s.
He proclaimed:
“All are sinners and stand under the judgment of God …
Christ came to make forgiveness and salvation possible.
What did He do? He died on the cross as the complete sacrifice for our sins. He took upon Himself the judgment that we deserve …
But like any gift, it becomes ours only when we take it …
I may say that I believe a bridge will hold my weight. But I really believe it only when I commit myself to it and walk across it.
Saving faith involves an act of commitment and trust, in which I commit my life to Jesus Christ and trust Him alone as my Savior and Lord.”
He added:
“Yes, it costs to follow Christ. But it also costs not to follow Christ.”
Billy Graham personally addressed crowds of over 210 million people in 185 countries, which is more than any other person in history.
Through his radio and television programs, he reached over 2.5 billion with the Gospel.
He repudiated racial segregation and insisted on racial integration at all his crusades.
At his New York City revival in 1957, he invited Rev. Martin Luther King, Jr., to preach.
Graham wrote in his autobiography:
“One night civil rights leader Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr., whom I was pleased to count a friend, gave an eloquent opening prayer at the service; he also came at my invitation to one of our Team retreats during the Crusade to help us understand the racial situation in America more fully.”
Becoming friends, Billy Graham shared a conversation with Rev. King:
“His father, who was called Big Mike, called him Little Mike. He asked me to call him just plain Mike.”
Rev. King credited Billy Graham with reducing racial tension, as Graham even canceled a 1965 tour of Europe to preach crusades in Alabama, allowing the Gospel to bring healing between the races.
Martin Luther King, Jr., wrote:
“Had it not been for the ministry of my good friend Dr. Billy Graham, my work in the Civil Rights Movement would not have been as successful as it has been.”
Billy Graham stated:
“Jesus was not a white man; He was not a black man. He came from that part of the world that touches Africa and Asia and Europe.
Christianity is not a white man’s religion, and don’t let anybody ever tell you that it’s white or black. Christ belongs to all people; He belongs to the whole world.”
Graham wrote:
“My study of the Bible, leading me eventually to the conclusion that not only was racial inequality wrong but Christians especially should demonstrate love toward all peoples.”
President Bill Clinton addressed the National Prayer Breakfast, February 4, 1993:
“The first time I ever saw Billy Graham … he came in the 1950’s, in the heat of all our racial trouble, to Arkansas to have a crusade.
And the white citizens council tried to get him, because of the tensions of the moment, to agree to segregate his crusade … He said, ‘If I have to do that, I’m not coming.’
And I remember I got a Sunday school teacher in my church – and I was about 11 years old – to take me 50 miles to Little Rock so I could hear a man preach who was trying to live by what he said.
And then I remember, for a good while thereafter, trying to send a little bit of my allowance to the Billy Graham crusade because of the impression he made on me.”
On January 20, 1997, Rev. Billy Graham delivered the invocation just prior to the Second Inauguration of President Bill Clinton, stating:
“Oh, Lord, help us to be reconciled first to you and secondly to each other. May Dr. Martin Luther King’s dream finally come true for all of us.
Help us to learn our courtesy to our fellow countrymen, that comes from the one who taught us that ‘whatever you want me to do to you, do also to them.”
Billy Graham had an unprecedented access and influence on every U.S. President from 1950 to his death in 2018:
President Truman;
President Eisenhower;
President Kennedy;
President Johnson;
President Nixon;
President Ford;
President Carter;
President Reagan;
President George H.W. Bush;
President Clinton;
President George W. Bush;
President Obama; and
President Trump.
In 1986, Chaplain of the U.S. Senate Richard Halverson stated:
“When Billy Graham comes to the Capitol, suddenly, the Senate and Congress are unimportant. To me, it’s a miracle. Wherever Billy is, there is the gospel of Christ.”
He was friends with Queen Elizabeth II, Pope John Paul II, and innumerable leaders around the world.
He lauded Pope John Paul II’s 11th papal encyclical, titled “Evangelium Vitae” (Gospel of Life), issued April of 1995, as:
“A forceful and thoughtful defense of the sacredness of human life in the face of the modern world’s reckless march toward violence and needless death.”
At a news conference, March 21, 1956, President Eisenhower stated:
“This is what I see in Billy Graham – A man who clearly understands that any advance in the world has got to be accompanied by a clear realization that man is, after all, a spiritual being.”
John F. Kennedy told the Presidential Prayer Breakfast, March 1, 1962:
“We bear great responsibilities and great burdens not only to ourselves in this country but to so many around the world …
I commend … Reverend Billy Graham, who has served this cause about which I speak so well here and around the world.
He has, I think, transmitted this most important quality of our common commitments to faith in a way which makes all of us particularly proud.”
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Ronald Reagan introduced Billy Graham at a California rally, stating:
“Why is a representative of government here?
To welcome with humble pride a man whose mission in life has been to remind us that in all our seeking … the answer to each problem is to be found in the simple words of Jesus of Nazareth, who urged us to love one another.”
Graham stated:
“In a world that might say one vote doesn’t matter … it does matter because each person is of infinite worth and value to God …
Your vote is a declaration of importance as a person and a citizen.”
In answering a question about voting, Billy Graham stated, July 28, 2016:
“The Bible says we should do everything we possibly can to be good citizens and work for the betterment of our society, and one of the ways we can do this is by voting. God tells us to ‘seek the peace and prosperity of the city to which I have carried you’ (Jeremiah 29:7).
Rightly or wrongly, you say you’re disillusioned by what you see in politics today. But how will it be changed? Let me tell you how it won’t be changed: It won’t be changed if concerned people refuse to vote!
… It also won’t be changed if good people refuse to run for office, or if no one votes for them.
In other words, staying away from the voting booth may only perpetuate the problems you see. Although this election has passed, don’t let another one go by without your intelligent involvement.
… Christians in the first century didn’t have the privilege of voting; Caesar was a dictator, not elected by popular vote.
But those early believers were commanded to do the one thing they could do to make the world a better place:
They were told to pray. The Apostle Paul wrote, ‘I urge, then, first of all, that petitions, prayers, intercession and thanksgiving be made for all people—for kings and all those in authority’ (1 Timothy 2:1-2).
Our world will never be perfect—not until Christ returns. But in the meantime, God wants to use us to overcome sin and establish a more just world for His glory.”
Rev. Graham added:
“Bad politicians are elected by good people who don’t vote.”
Upon receiving the Congressional Gold Medal, May 2, 1996, Billy Graham continued his message, “The Hope for America”:
“After World War II … we had the opportunity to rule the world …
Something has happened since those days and there is much about America that is no longer good … the list is almost endless …
We have confused liberty with license – and we are paying the awful price. We are a society poised on the brink of self-destruction …”
Rev. Graham continued:
“What is the problem? The real problem is within ourselves …
I believe the fundamental crisis of our time is a crisis of the spirit.
We have lost sight of the moral and spiritual principles on which this nation was established – principles drawn largely from the Judeo-Christian tradition as found in the Bible …
What must be done? Let me briefly suggest three things.
First, we must repent. In the depths of the American Civil War, Abraham Lincoln called for special days of public repentance and prayer.
Our need for repentance is no less today …”
He explained further:
“What does repentance mean?
Repentance means to change our thinking and our way of living.
It means to turn from our sins and to commit ourselves to God and His will.
Over 2700 years ago the Old Testament prophet Isaiah declared
‘Seek the Lord while he may be found, call on Him while He is near. Let the wicked forsake his way, and the evil man his thoughts.
Let him turn to the Lord, and He will have mercy on him, and to our God, for He will freely pardon’ (Isaiah 55: 6-7, NIV) …”
Graham continued:
“Second, we must commit our lives to God, and to the moral and spiritual truths that have made this nation great.
Think how different our nation would be if we sought to follow the simple and yet profound injunctions of the Ten Commandments and the Sermon on the Mount.
But we must respond to God, Who is offering us forgiveness, mercy, supernatural help, and the power to change …”
Rev. Graham concluded:
“Third, our commitment must be translated into action – in our homes, in our neighborhoods, and in our society.
Jesus taught there are only two roads in life. One in the broad road that is easy and well-traveled, but which leads to destruction.
… The other, He said, is the narrow road of truth and faith that at times is hard and lonely, but which leads to life and salvation …
What are YOU going to do? …
As I look out across this distinguished group gathered here, I see more than a few men and women who have what it takes, under God, to lead our country forward ‘through the night'”
After the terrorist attacks of 911, Billy Graham prayed with national leaders, stating:
“We are more united than ever before.
I think this was exemplified in a very moving way when the members of our Congress stood shoulder to shoulder the other day and sang God Bless America.”
Rev. Billy Graham gave a sober warning on October 27, 2015:
“In the event of a national catastrophe, much confusion, terror and consternation would reign …
Suppose persecution were to come to the church in America, as it has come in other countries.
The immunity to persecution that Christians in our country have experienced in the past two or three centuries is unusual.
Christ strongly warned Christians that to follow Him would not be popular, and that in most circumstances it would mean cross-bearing and persecution.
… The Bible says that all who ‘desire to live godly in Christ Jesus will suffer persecution’ (2 Timothy 3:12). Jesus said that as the time of His return draws nigh, ‘They will seize you and persecute you’ (Luke 21:12).
We have no scriptural foundation for believing that we can forever escape being persecuted for Christ’s sake. The normal condition for Christians is that we should suffer persecution.
Are you willing to face persecution and death for Christ’s sake?”
He continued:
“Since we have experienced little religious persecution in this country, it is likely that under pressure many would deny Christ.
Those who shout the loudest about their faith may surrender soonest.
Many who boast of being courageous would be cowardly. Many who say, ‘Though all others deny Christ, yet I will never deny Him,’ would be the first to warm their hands at the campfires of the enemy.
Jesus, in speaking of the last times, warned, ‘Then they will hand you over to be persecuted and kill you, and you will be hated by all nations for My name’s sake’ (Matthew 24:9).
… The Scripture says, ‘because iniquity will abound, the love of many will grow cold’ (Matthew 24:12).
The apostle Paul, referring to the coming evil day, said, ‘Therefore take up the whole armor of God that you may be able to resist in the evil day, and having done all, to stand’ (Ephesians 6:13) …”
He explained further:
“Even though most Americans see the storm clouds gathering on the horizon, by and large we are making few preparations to meet God.
This is a time for repentance and faith. It is a time for soul-searching, to see if our anchor holds.
Have you been to the cross where Christ shed His blood for your sins? Have you had the past forgiven? Have you come by faith, confessing that you are a sinner and receiving Christ as your Savior?
I tell you that this cross is the only place of refuge in the midst of the storm of judgment that is fast approaching. Make sure of your relationship with God …”
Billy Graham concluded:
“We must fortify ourselves by meditating upon the person of Christ … Christ must be vitally real to us if we are to prove loyal to Him in the hours of crisis.
Today our nation ranks as the greatest power on the face of the earth. But if we put our trust in armed might instead of Almighty God, the coming conflict could conceivably go against us.
History and the Bible indicate that mechanical and material might are insufficient in times of great crisis.
… We need the inner strength that comes from a personal, vital relationship with God’s Son, Jesus Christ.
The wheels of God’s judgment can be heard by discerning souls across the length and breadth of nations.
Things are happening fast! The need for a return to God has never been more urgent.
The words of Isaiah are appropriate for us today:
‘Seek the Lord while He may be found, call you upon Him while He is near.
Let the wicked forsake his way, and the unrighteous man his thoughts; and let him return to the Lord, and He will have mercy upon him, and to our God, for He will abundantly pardon.'”
Billy Graham’s daughter, Anne Graham Lotz, stated:
“For years we’ve been telling God to get out of our schools, to get out of our government and to get out of our lives. And being the gentleman He is, I believe He has calmly backed out.
How can we expect God to give us His blessing and His protection if we demand He leave us alone?”
On November 7, 2017, Franklin Graham sent via Twitter a photo of his father:
“My father @BillyGraham turns 99 years old today. That means he’s entering his 100th year – it has been an amazing journey.”
President Donald Trump tweeted back:
“Franklin, such a great photo. HAPPY 99th BIRTHDAY to your father @BillyGraham! twitter.com/franklin_graham“
President Trump remarked on the National Day of Prayer, May 3, 2018:
“With us today …is Jon Ponder, from Las Vegas …
Jon was in and out of jail for years until, at age 38, he was arrested for bank robbery …
Jon soon ended up in federal prison, relegated to solitary confinement. That’s where God found him. Jon began to read the Bible and listen to Christian radio …
One morning, at 2 a.m., he woke up to the voice of the great Billy Graham … through the airwaves, ‘Jesus wants to be Lord of your life.’ That night, Jon dedicated his life to Christ.
He spent the rest of his time in prison praying, studying the Bible, and bringing the Lord to his fellow inmates …
Prayer changes hearts and transforms lives. It uplifts the soul, inspires action, and unites us all as one nation, under God.”
Billy Graham died February 21, 2018. President Donald Trump ordered:
“As a mark of respect for the memory of Reverend Billy Graham,
I hereby order … that on the day of his interment, the flag of the United States shall be flown at half‑staff at the White House and upon all public buildings and grounds, at all military posts and naval stations, and on all naval vessels of the Federal Government in the District of Columbia and throughout the United States and its Territories and possessions.”
Speaking of his own death, Graham once said:
“Someday you will read or hear that Billy Graham is dead. Don’t you believe a word of it. I shall be more alive than I am now. I will just have changed my address. I will have gone into the presence of God.”
As he received the Congressional Gold Medal, May 2, 1996, Billy Graham exhorted:
“If ever we needed spiritual renewal, it in now.
And it can begin today in each one of our lives, as we repent before God and yield ourselves to Him and His Word.”
By Shane Vander Hart on Nov 04, 2020 08:15 am
U.S. Senator Joni Ernst, R-Iowa, won re-election to a second term defeating her Democratic challenger, Theresa Greenfield, 51.8 percent to 45.1 percent. Read in browser »
By Shane Vander Hart on Nov 04, 2020 07:09 am
Ashely Hinson unseats Abby Finkenauer, Randy Feenstra defeats J.D. Scholten, Cindy Axne survives David Young, and Mariannette Miller-Meeks leads Rita Hart. Read in browser »
By Shane Vander Hart on Nov 04, 2020 05:04 am
On Election Day 2020, Iowa Senate Republicans maintain their 32 to 18 majority, and Iowa House Republicans gain six seats. Read in browser »
By Shane Vander Hart on Nov 04, 2020 02:17 am
President Donald Trump defeated former Vice President Joe Biden 53.2 percent to 45 percent in Iowa with several battleground states still too close to call. Read in browser »
By Shane Vander Hart on Nov 03, 2020 06:56 pm
Shane Vander Hart and Kelvey Vander Hart will provide live blog coverage of Election Night 2020. Read in browser »
By Shane Vander Hart on Nov 03, 2020 10:42 am
Shane Vander Hart: Regardless of who wins the presidential election, speculation about 2024 will likely immediately begin. Read in browser »
Launched in 2006, Caffeinated Thoughts reports news and shares commentary about culture, current events, faith and state and national politics from a Christian and conservative point of view.
Throughout the night, the CDN editorial team will analyze election return data at the state and county/precinct level to determine how the nation voted in the 2020 Presidential Election. No state will be called before a statistically-significant number of votes have been counted. Depending on which precincts report, a “call” may come sooner or later. …
Exit polls are traditionally the first sign of how Americans have chosen to vote, but experts are warning that people shouldn’t rely on this data tonight. Major networks including ABC, CBS, NBC and CNN, take exit polls on election day, which are usually conducted by pollsters camped outside of polling locations, according to Quartz. This …
The earliest states to close their polls and possibly report results Tuesday night won’t tell the nation very much, but the very next batch of polls to close just might set the tone for the night. Early States May Reveal Who Won When I first started putting this article together, North Carolina was to close …
Left-wing organizations are gearing up for protests and demonstrations surrounding election day in Washington, D.C., though most of their plans are contingent on the outcome of the election. There have not been credible threats of violence for election day, though numerous people have applied for event permits, Metropolitan Police Chief Peter Newsham said, the Washingtonian reported. Democratic …
Democratic Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker has mobilized the National Guard to Chicago in preparation for potential unrest in the days following the 2020 general election. Pritzker said he’s putting the military personnel “in state of readiness,” as he claimed the election results for the state may not be available until “Wednesday, or Thursday, or even …
This Tuesday, the American people will stand up to crush the Radical Left and reelect President Donald Trump. In 2016, the radical, anti-American establishment elites were intent on installing Hillary Clinton as the monarch who would complete the socialist agenda started during the Obama-Biden administration. They were so close. But a funny thing happened on …
Joe Biden is reportedly considering appointing Alejandro Mayorkas to serve as director of the Department of Homeland Security should he win the presidency. During the Obama administration, Mayorkas was found to have exerted improper political influence to help several prominent Democrats obtain visa authorization for their companies under the EB-5 program. An inspector general’s report …
Former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate Kamala Harris have avoided specifying their stances on abortion, and with only one remaining day until the election, they remain silent. The Daily Caller News Foundation repeatedly asked the Biden campaign how far along into a pregnancy abortion should be permitted. The DCNF also pressed the …
Well, it’s Wednesday. I do hope you’re all having a good one so far, dear Kruiser Morning Briefing Friends.
It’s going to be a quick one this morning after yesterday’s festivities. I hope you all enjoyed the blanket election coverage that we here at PJ Media and the Townhall Media Mothership provided. I know we had a lot of fun.
We would have had more fun if there had been some sort of resolution to the election, of course. There isn’t because the Democrats worked overtime to make sure that it didn’t happen. The push for mail-in voting by the Left had one goal: to denigrate the established American presidential process.
Progressives are all about tearing down institutions in the United States, and introducing the potential for fraud into presidential elections is the cornerstone of their plan to render asunder the fabric of the Republic. When every election can be called into question and thrown to the courts, a power-hungry party doesn’t have to develop a sound strategy or run a viable candidate to win.
There was a time when an attempt was made to count all of the votes right away. The mail-in scam gives officials an excuse to punt that responsibility. So election day becomes election week and probably election month.
The longer the process goes on, the easier it is to introduce fraud into it. You will be told otherwise by “experts,” but this is true.
President Trump was correct when he told supporters that he won the election. And it’s comforting that he’s going to fight any ensuing mail-in ballot shenanigans.
Election day ballots are easier to account for than those left up to the vagaries of the performance of the United States Postal Service. In a calmer, saner society that wouldn’t even be up for discussion. Now, we’re supposed to get comfortable with any lack of precision introduced into the system.
If one looks at the Electoral College map right now President Trump has won reelection. We’re being told, however, that his substantial leads in several states could be erased by ballots yet uncounted that are lingering en masse God knows where.
Are you feeling comfortable with the system yet?
As long as the election doesn’t have to end on or even near election day the potential for nefarious manipulation exists. I am not stating unequivocally that’s what’s happening right now, I’m merely saying that it might be. A big “might.”
The interminably long campaign process, along with the mail-in and early voting nonsense have watered down a once cherished right. Voting for the President of the United States is a right that should be treated with the utmost gratitude and respect.
Trump and Biden battle for the presidency with several states undecided . . . President Trump and former Vice President Biden were deadlocked in a tight race early Wednesday morning, with several states not yet called and each candidate having a chance to win the election. As of 7:00 am, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada had yet to be decided, with votes still being counted. Trump leads by about two points in Georgia, one in North Carolina, one in Michigan, and by 11 in Pennsylvania, though in the latter two states there were many votes yet to be counted. Biden barely leads in Wisconsin — the state is basically tied — and is ahead by less than a point in Nevada. It is not clear how this will be resolved. To win, Trump probably needs to prevail in both Georgia and North Carolina. I don’t see how Biden can catch up in Pennsylvania, despite the drama of contested ballots about to ensue, so the president is likely to win there. If he wins those three states, then he still has to win either Michigan, Wisconsin, or Nevada. I think he will get at least one of those. If he loses Georgia or North Carolina, which seems possible, then he must win Michigan and either Wisconsin or Nevada. White House Dossier
Trump declares victory . . . President Trump claimed to have as good as won the election even as ballots were still being counted across the country in the early hours of Wednesday morning. Appearing in the White House East Room, he said he would go all the way to the Supreme Court to stop any more votes being cast. Trump claimed without any evidence that millions of people had been “disenfranchised” by his opponents. “This is a fraud on the American public. This is an embarrassment to the country,” he told an audience of staff and supporters at the White House. “We were getting ready to win this election. Frankly, we did win this election.” Washington Examiner
Biden campaign rips Trump claim as “outrageous” . . . The Biden campaign early Wednesday ripped President Trump’s “outrageous” comments in which he claimed victory in the presidential election even as more than a million votes were still being counted. Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillion issued a blistering rebuke of Trump’s remarks from the White House, where he also pledged to ask the Supreme Court to halt the counting of ballots. “The counting will not stop,” O’Malley Dillon said in a statement, calling Trump’s comments “a naked effort to take away the democratic rights of American citizens.” The Hill
Biden says he is on track to win . . . Democratic nominee Joe Biden said he believed he was on track to win the election in a speech in Wilmington after midnight on Election Day with the 2020 race hanging in the balance. “We feel good about where we are. We really do. I’m here to tell you tonight that we believe we’re on track to win this election,” the former veep told a crowd of supporters with many key swing states still undecided. New York Post
Trump wins Florida with huge Hispanic support . . . President Donald Trump won Florida for a second time Tuesday night, riding a red wave that delivered stinging losses to Democrats down the ballot and put into question the state’s status as the nation’s largest battleground. Instead of the Hispanic community delivering Florida to Biden, it turned to Trump, who had used the Black Lives Matter and defund-the-police movements to paint his opponent as extreme. Trump won by more than three points with about 51% of the vote. Politico
Twitter censors Trump tweet . . . Twitter restricted the ability to view and share President Trump’s tweet claiming that people are trying to “steal” the election. The label, placed on a tweet posted at 12:49 a.m. EST on Wednesday, reads “some or all of the content shared in this Tweet is disputed and might be misleading about an election or other civic process.” Washington Examiner
Polls are wrong again . . . Opinion pollsters have once again proved badly wrong in the US Presidential election, four years after Hillary Clinton was widely predicted to win and lost. Polls held just before election day this time around gave Biden an average lead of ten points which all-but evaporated on the day itself. Among the most inaccurate were an ABC-Washington Post poll that gave Biden a 17-point lead in Wisconsin, a state where he is now tied with Trump with 49.3 per cent of the vote to 49 per cent. A Quinnipac poll gave Biden a five point lead over Trump in Florida and four point lead in Ohio. In the end, Trump won both – by three and eight points, respectively. Daily Mail
Protests, violence, looting feared . . . From Beverly Hills’ Rodeo Drive to the White House, the nation was anxious Tuesday as police and business owners feared Election Day rioting. With heightened political tensions, cities braced for a repeat of the violence and looting that erupted during this summer’s racial justice demonstrations protesting the deaths of Black people during police encounters, even though there were few reports of election-related violence as the polls closed on the East Coast. “Everybody’s taking it very seriously — not just here in California, but all across the country,” said California Gov. Gavin Newsom, a Democrat. “And I can assure you we’re taking it very seriously at all levels.” Washington Times
Republicans poised to keep Senate . . . Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and his fellow Republicans appeared poised to keep control of the upper chamber of Congress early Wednesday morning, as three GOP lawmakers were projected to win re-election races that had been considered toss-ups. Four other competitive contests featuring Republican incumbents were deemed still too early to call, but that didn’t stop one of them — freshman GOP Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina — from declaring victory in his re-election bid, Fox News reported. New York Post
Democrats spend more than a quarter billion to lose long-shot Senate races . . . Democrats spent more than a quarter of a billion dollars in a futile bid to pick up longshot Senate seats in Kentucky, South Carolina, and Texas. The campaigns of Kentucky’s Amy McGrath, South Carolina’s Jaime Harrison, and Texas’s M.J. Hegar burned through nearly $200 million, and outside groups backing them spent an additional $60 million boosting the three candidates. Washington Free Beacon
Lindsey Graham wins again . . . Republican South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham defeated his Democratic opponent Jaime Harrison in an expensive and tight race Tuesday night. The Associated Press called the race around 10 p.m. E.T., and Graham led Harrison by 12.2 points. The race gained national attention as former President Barack Obama released an ad for Harrison, listing reasons he believes people should vote Graham out of the Senate. Daily Caller
McSally loses in Arizona . . . Retired U.S. Navy captain and former astronaut Mark Kelly on Wednesday morning was projected to unseat Republican incumbent Arizona Sen. Martha McSally. McSally was thought to be one of the most vulnerable Republican senators facing reelection this year. Kelly raised a whopping $37 million in the third quarter of 2020, while McSally raised $20 million. The Hill
Democrats fail to make gains in the House . . . Democrats beat back GOP challengers in competitive districts and will remain in control of the House, election night results indicate, but Republicans outperformed polls and won back several seats the party lost in 2018. Democrats were poised to keep their majority in the 435-member chamber, with the help of numerous GOP retirements and some redistricting that left seats vulnerable to Democratic takeover in Texas, North Carolina, and Georgia. Washington Examiner
Republican Madison Cawthorn is youngest person in centuries elected to House . . . Republican newcomer Madison Cawthorn on Tuesday night was called the winner of the U.S. House seat in western North Carolina that was vacated by White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows. Cawthorn, 25, thus became the youngest person elected to Congress since the late 1700s. The candidate — who first catapulted to GOP stardom after speaking at the Republican National Convention in August, getting up from his wheelchair at one point on stage — defeated incumbent U.S. Rep. Moe Davis, D-N.C., to capture the 11th Congressional District seat. Fox News
Former Clinton HHS chief Shalala loses House seat . . . Rep. Donna E. Shalala, a Democrat who served as President Bill Clinton’s health secretary, narrowly lost her Florida seat to the Republican candidate, Maria Elvira Salazar, on Tuesday, becoming one of the more notable Democratic casualties in the House. In a rematch of their 2018 House race, Ms. Salazar, a former television journalist, will represent Florida’s 27th Congressional District, which includes Miami and surrounding communities in Miami-Dade County. New York Times
Republican state legislature candidate who died of Covid wins election . . . Republican candidate David Andahl, who died on Oct. 5 after he had been sick with COVID-19 for several days, won a seat as state representative for District 8 on Tuesday. Andahl, 55, remained on the ballot, in part because early voting had begun weeks before his death. Republicans are set to choose Andahl’s replacement by using a committee to make an appointment, according to previous statements by North Dakota’s attorney general. But voters could call for a special election. USA Today
Sarah McBride becomes first transgender state senator . . . Sarah McBride, national press secretary for the Human Rights Campaign, became the first openly transgender state senator in the nation. McBride made history Tuesday night when she was elected to Delaware’s state senate in a race against Republican candidate Steve Washington. “We did it,” McBride wrote on Twitter Tuesday night, announcing victory and thanking her supporters. “I hope tonight shows an LGBTQ kid that our democracy is big enough for them, too.”
As a state senator, she will also be the country’s highest-ranking openly transgender official. USA Today
Oregon decriminalizes heroin, cocaine, and psychedelic mushrooms . . . Oregon will become the first state to decriminalize possession of small amounts of drugs, including heroin and cocaine. Voters on Tuesday passed Measure 110, which also expands addiction services using the state’s marijuana tax revenue. “I think Oregonians made it clear that they support a more humane, effective approach to drug addiction,” Anthony Johnson, one of the measure’s chief petitioners, said Tuesday night. “We took a huge step for funding more treatment and recovery services, and for ending racist drug war policies.” USA Today
Uber, Lyft, Doordash don’t have to reclassify California drivers as employees . . . The companies, along with Postmates Inc. and Instacart Inc., collectively contributed around $200 million to support Proposition 22, a measure that allows them to bypass a state law intended to provide employee-like protections for their drivers. The outcome allows the ride-hailing and delivery companies to avoid complying with a law that could have reshaped their business models and battered their business in the most populous U.S. state. It also sets the tone for gig-worker regulation in the rest of the country. Wall Street Journal
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THE DISPATCH
The Morning Dispatch: It Ain’t Over Till It’s Over
The Biden cakewalk polls predicted has turned into a nailbiter.
Happy Wednesday! Spoiler alert: We don’t know who the next president will be, and we don’t know who will control the Senate. But we will soon. As A.A. Milne wrote in The House at Pooh Corner, “There is no hurry. We shall get there some day.”
Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories
Last night’s results showed a far tighter race between President Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden than polls had predicted. Trump notched wins in Texas, Ohio, and Florida; Biden secured victories in Arizona and Minnesota. Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania remain too close to call.
Democrats are expected to hold the House of Representatives, but Republicans will narrow the gap after surprise pickups in some formerly heavily Democratic areas like Miami.
Control of the Senate remains up for grabs after Democrats knocked off incumbents in Arizona and Colorado while Republicans struck back in Alabama and held off strong challenges in Iowa, Montana, Kansas, and South Carolina. Republicans Susan Collins in Maine and Thom Tillis in North Carolina are looking strong, but their races are still too close to call.
In the eleven gubernatorial elections that took place last night, three states—including North Carolina and Delaware—elected Democratic governors. Eight states elected Republican governors, including a narrow party flip in Montana.
The Department of Homeland Security has yet to identify significant foreign interference and the American Civil Liberties Union has reported no instances of voter intimidation.
Arizona and New Jersey voted to legalize recreational marijuana use for adults 21 and older, while Mississippi and South Dakota approved a ballot measure to legalize medical marijuana for the treatment of certain illnesses in adults. California voted to allow rideshare companies like Uber and Lyft to continue to classify their drivers as independent contractors.
The United States confirmed 98,356 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday per the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard, with 8.7 percent of the 1,126,224 tests reported coming back positive. An additional 1,120 deaths were attributed to the virus on Tuesday, bringing the pandemic’s American death toll to 232,627. According to the COVID Tracking Project, 50,340 Americans are currently hospitalized with COVID-19.
Presidential Race Too Close to Call
Heading into Election Day, both the Biden and Trump campaigns hinted at a wave in the making. The former vice president and Sen. Kamala Harris spent a portion of the last week campaigning in “reaches” like Texas, Florida, and Iowa—supported by public polling that showed them very competitive in the states. White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany told Fox News Tuesday morning that “under every circumstance, our campaign believes that tonight will be a landslide.” Neither was right.
Democratic dreams of a commanding Election Night victory were washed away early, with Florida remaining in the GOP’s column once again—this time powered by a remarkable surge in support for Trump among voters in Miami-Dade county—and races in Georgia and North Carolina too close to call. After initially exhibiting symptoms of a “blue mirage” as early votes were counted, Ohio and Texas were called for the president as more of the vote was tabulated.
But later in the evening, Joe Biden racked up wins in Colorado, Minnesota, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, and Arizona—the latter two of which went to Trump in 2016. As of 6 a.m. ET, that left Biden with a slight lead in the Electoral College—238 votes to 213—with North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania too close to be called. What we wrote yesterday—“there’s a legitimate chance we won’t have enough votes counted tomorrow night to declare a winner with any degree of certainty”—ended up true.
But we’ll know more today. Let’s break down where things stand in the states that will decide the election; any 32 electoral votes (EVs) from this crop would get Biden to the 270-vote threshold. (This, of course, is just a snapshot of a race that’s still rapidly developing; vote counts are accurate as of roughly 7 a.m. ET.)
Wisconsin (10 EVs): As the race narrowed over the course of the night, it became clear that Wisconsin was vital for both candidates. Trump won it by 22,748 votes in 2016, and he led it again early on in the count last night—before Milwaukee finished tabulating its absentee ballots just after 4:30 a.m. ET. As of 7 a.m., those ballots had Biden in the lead by about 20,000 votes (about 0.7 points), with 97 percent of the expected vote reported.
Without clear victors in the aforementioned states, both candidates kept mum for much of the night. But Biden broke the silence first, addressing supporters in Wilmington, Delaware around 12:30 a.m. ET.
“We feel good about where we are,” the former vice president said, his wife Dr. Jill Biden beside him. He referenced network calls of Arizona and Minnesota, and expressed optimism about Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. “We believe we’re on track to win this election.”
“We knew because of the unprecedented early vote, the mail-in vote, it was going to take a while,” Biden continued. “We’re going to have to be patient until the work of tallying votes is finished. And it ain’t over until every vote is counted, every ballot is counted. … As I’ve said all along, it’s not my place or Donald Trump’s place to declare who’s won this election. That’s the decision of the American people.”
President Trump disagreed with that assessment. “A big WIN!” he tweeted shortly after Biden left the stage. “We are up BIG, but they are trying to STEAL the Election. We will never let them do it. Votes cannot be cast after the Polls are closed!” Twitter flagged the tweet as potentially misleading.
Shortly after sunrise here in Washington, D.C., Trump is still very much in this race—in stronger shape, certainly, than many were giving him credit for this time yesterday. But it’s fair to say that barring any major surprises or changes in trajectory—and that’s a caveat that’s doing a lot of work—Joe Biden seems poised to come out ever so slightly ahead in Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Maine’s second congressional district when the counting is all done. If we leave North Carolina in the Trump column, that’d give Biden an Electoral College victory of 307 to 231. Biden could lose any two of those states and still prevail. We could of course see surprises in one or more of those states and nothing is certain at this point.
Long before voting began yesterday, both parties had put together teams of lawyers prepared to fight for every vote—and to disqualify the votes of their opponents. They will be hard at work in the coming days. For weeks, the president has told his supporters that Democrats will work to steal the election from him—a sentiment he renewed with emphasis last night. So, we could well face a situation where partisans on both sides believe they’ve won—taking our negative polarization to new heights.
One other thing is clear. Whatever the final result, the 2020 election was not the repudiation of Trumpism that the polls suggested it might be and that Democrats (and, secretly, many Republican elected officials) had hoped. In spite of a global pandemic and poor marks in handling it, Trump managed to fight a better-funded Democrat opponent to a virtual tie (at least in the Electoral College). That’s no mean feat.
Don’t Forget the Senate!
With five Senate races still uncalled in Maine, North Carolina, Alaska, Michigan, and Georgia, Mitch McConnell’s Republican majority is still hanging in balance. The GOP lost two incumbent seats in Colorado (Cory Gardner) and Arizona (Martha McSally). But those Republican losses were expected, and the party made up for one of them by securing a victory in Alabama with Tommy Tuberville’s easy defeat of Democratic incumbent Doug Jones. Here’s a breakdown of the Senate’s most competitive races of the night:
North Carolina: With 99 percent of ballots counted, Republican incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis holds a 1.8 percentage point lead over Democratic challenger and military veteran Cal Cunningham, who is currently under investigation by the Army Reserve following a recent infidelity scandal.
Maine: Vulnerable Republican incumbent Susan Collins’ race against Democratic challenger Sara Gideon is still undecided going into Wednesday morning. “It’s clear this race will not be called tonight and we are prepared to see it through to the finish,” a spokesperson for Gideon’s campaign said early Wednesday morning. Nevertheless, with north of 80 percent of the vote counted, Collins maintains a seven-point lead.
Arizona: Former astronaut and Democrat Mark Kelly defeated Republican incumbent Martha McSally early Wednesday morning. Kelly is the husband of Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, who resigned from Congress after sustaining brain damage in a 2012 assassination attempt. McSally was appointed to the seat in December 2018 by Arizona Governor Doug Ducey after the passing of Sen. John McCain.
In a piece for The New York Times, Yuval Levin reminds Americans that win or lose, their chosen presidential candidate is the wrong person to fix some of the deepest problems plaguing our society. From social isolation to suicide and opioid-addiction, the country is reeling from a fundamental lack of communalism. Relying on a president or Congress to fill the gap is both counterproductive and disheartening. “We tend to look at forms of breakdown in our society in terms of what they produce: anger, cynicism, a rejection of tradition,” he writes. “But we would be wise to also consider what they implicitly demand and yearn for: responsibility, integrity and, above all, solidarity.”
For an all-too-familiar walk down memory lane, check out Monday’s Commentary podcast: “Eerie Echoes from 2016.” Hosts John Podhoretz, Abe Greenwald, and Noah Rothman revisit some of their conversations from Election Day eve four years ago, splicing together audio to illuminate some of the similarities between the two presidential races. Among them: the idea of systematic polling error, Pennsylvania in play, and the illusive “shy Trump voter.”
Scott Lincicome pulled out all the stops on his latest Capitolism newsletter to discuss one of the most divisive topics facing our country in 2020: nachos. From proper cheese/chip ratios to definitional accuracy, Scott is here to break down which nachos are supreme and which ones are an abomination to the entire food group (hint, bar nachos!) And as always, he’s got charts to show for it. It’s the perfect break from the intensity of, well, everything else.
Jonah took a break from election punditry Tuesday afternoon to talk about dog genetics with Razib Khan on The Remnant. How did Man’s Best Friend become such a highly variegated species—some big, some small, some smart, others dumb, and on and on with countless other variables? Razib fills us in on the state of research into canine development over the last 10,000 years, why the regional variations between lineages of dog are so distinct, and how the new frontiers of this genetic research seek to address “how these animals became what they are, and how they evolved alongside humans in response to environmental pressures.”
In case you missed it last night, we had a great election-night Dispatch Live with Sarah, Steve, Jonah, and David, discussing Sarah’s favorite counties, Trump’s path to success in Florida, and the surprising private and public polling errors that came to light last night.
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And the Winner Is…?
What a night! I thought I had cultivated a certain kind of detachment and zen about the outcome, but here I am drinking wine and pacing my apartment in the wee hours of the morning. As of 1 am EST, there is no clear winner, and each side has endured a roller coaster of results. We’ve seen formal state calls walked back, and virtually every predictor has egg on his or her face. Both candidates, as of now, are basically declaring victory.
Pennsylvania could take until Friday to decide, God help us.
One of the key factors seems to be yuge swings in favor of Trump among Latino voters and possibly a smaller shift among black voters, which, whoever ends up winning this election is a repudiation of the woke worldview. If Biden wins this election, it’ll be with affluent white voters and over the objections of record numbers of people of color voting GOP. What a rebuke to “white supremacy!” Or, you know, a rebuke of the identity politics worldview that fails to take into account policy or individuality.
Only two things, to my mind, are certain. First, 2016 was not a freak occurrence. It wasn’t a black swan event that a reality TV show carnival barker got elected over a politician with decades of experience in the system. Second, the polls in the era of COVID voting and political party realignment are, well… 💩. It’s not a Biden blowout as predicted, it’s a dogfight.
As for me, not that anyone should care what I think, I wrote a personal essay in The American Mind detailing why I made the choice to vote for Trump this time around after writing in a dead guy last time:
“In 2016, I voted for the deceased William F. Buckley, Jr. for president, on the assumption that if he won, he would demand a recount…
Let’s assume that everything Applebaum and Mounk wrote about him is true. Still, he would represent the lesser of two evils, because every single institution in American life stands not just as a bulwark, but in direct opposition to Donald Trump…
Trump is less Caesar than Gulliver, bound to the seashore with a thousand ropes. Joe Biden is, as he admits himself, a transitionary and likely transitory figure. His administration will turn loose the power of the woke left into the administrative state, and provide it encouragement and cover from the highest office…
Underlying it all, the real reason this prior NeverTrump conservative cast her ballot for Donald Trump yesterday is to lay down a marker of objection. I hope to be wrong, but I see a very dark future for this country, one in which speech is stifled, heavy-hitter institutions like the administrative state and the Supreme Court are utterly corrupted and turned against the American people, and where much of the curtailment of liberties is done in a private-sector end run around the Bill of Rights. In which people, increasingly terrified of the consequences meted out by a Big Tech-turbocharged cancel culture, start to cultivate a Soviet-style contradiction between internal thought and external expression. The mental gulag may be vastly more comfortable than Siberia, but it’s a prison nonetheless.
I do not consent to that future, so I marked the circle for Donald J. Trump.”
Election Links
Absolute must-read from Emily Jashinsky on why 2020 is not the end of the cagey waltz between suburban voters and Democrats, who still have ample opportunities to tread on a few toes. (The Federalist)
How the ruling class and media spent the last four years going in the complete opposite direction than one that might lead them to some understanding. (Radio Hour)
Can confirm: DC locked down like a warzone prior to the evening of Election Day. (The Federalist)
Chinese Yuan crashes as Biden win becomes less likely. (Fox Business)
A New Dawn for Independent Media
Regardless of who wins the election, there’s a new dawn coming for independent media. Ben Domenech and Emily Jashinsky write in an essay that includes dozens of interviews in The Federalist:
“Except Greenwald is not alone. He is now one of an ecosystem of rebellious thinkers who have removed themselves from corporate and non-profit media to strike out on their own, confident that their readers, fans, and even critics will follow them into a new galaxy. There, instead of subscribing to a glossy magazine with Jann Wenner’s terrible five-star reviews of aging Boomer rockstars, you do the equivalent of buying Matt Taibbi a beer every month.
These are the new contrarians — call them the New Contras for short, because the one thing they all have in common is refusing the wokeness that dominates legacy media, and has created a practically religious climate of insufferable identity politics. It is no accident that in the week prior to ejecting himself, Greenwald appeared on the O.G. podcast, “The Joe Rogan Experience,” and with the newest dominant player on the block, Megyn Kelly. Rogan, Kelly, and Carlson represent media players who have moved beyond the traditional limits of cable and truly control their own product output — and in doing so, command more relevance than any of the newsreaders who operate within the world of the past…
The most dangerous thing the New Contras are willing to say is: The Emperor Has No Clothes.
And they say it regardless of the emperor. Most of the members of this cohort are no fans of Donald Trump, and their attitude toward Joe Biden wavers between grudging acceptance and an eyeroll emoji. The message they have to their listeners is longer-term than election cycles, and it represents in its fundamental form a liberalism of thought. They are in general anti-Marxist, anti-critical race theory, and anti-identity politics. And they see within the rise of this Great Awokening a real threat to the country.”
Amen, amen, amen, can’t come soon enough! Aside from being tyrannical and disturbing, the woke atmosphere is just so f***ing dull. Give me debate and fireworks any day of the week over people terrified to speak the most obvious truths.
Non-Election Links (Give Yourself an Election Break)
All-time gun sales records shattered. (The Federalist)
The more things change, the more they stay the same. The same “dollar” black markets are flourishing in Venezuela as used to in the Soviet Bloc. (Yahoo!)
Inez Feltscher Stepman is a senior policy analyst at the Independent Women’s Forum and a senior contributor to The Federalist. She is a San Francisco Bay Area native with a BA in Philosophy from UCSD and a JD from the University of Virginia. She lives in Washington, D.C. with her husband, Jarrett Stepman, her puggle Thor, and her cat Thaddeus Kosciuszko. You can follow her on Twitter at @inezfeltscher and on Instagram (for #ootd, obvi) under the same handle. Opinions expressed on this website are her own and not those of her employers. Or her husband.
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Nov 04, 2020 01:00 am
If the 13,000-word passage in the New Yorker is any indication, readers can expect one long, dissembling slog through the literary equivalent of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone. Read More…
Nov 04, 2020 01:00 am
We the People started this struggle and, while I pray Trump remains President, it will continue whether Trump is at the helm or one of the troops. Read More…
Nov 04, 2020 01:00 am
Younger generations in developed democracies are more dissatisfied with the idea of democracy and the performance of democratic countries than previous generations. Read More…
COVID testing: We’ve been duped
Nov 04, 2020 01:00 am
Lost in this whole pandemic hysteria are some key considerations that when carefully analyzed place the whole COVID-19 narrative in a highly questionable light. Read more…
Dems get an early start on Pennsylvania chicanery
Nov 04, 2020 01:00 am
Pennsylvania could become the crucial margin of victory for the presidential race winner, and Republicans have ample cause for worry over Democrat cheating Read more…
What the missing Tucker docs really tell us
Nov 03, 2020 01:00 am
In a politically charged year, the appearance of deliberately intercepted documents days before the election is just as damning as the contents the documents would reveal. Read more…
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By Kyle Kondik, Larry J. Sabato, and J. Miles Coleman
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Dear Readers: Like everyone else, we are monitoring the election returns closely. Once we record our next Crystal Ball webinar, we will send out the link to subscribers whenever it is posted. We appreciate your viewership for our past episodes. Please continue to send your questions and tips. We’ll address as many as possible in our future episodes.Next Thursday’s Crystal Ball webinar will feature our 22nd annual American Democracy Conference. We’ll be hearing from New York Times columnist Jamelle Bouie; CNN commentator Tara Setmayer; Republican strategist Chris LaCivita; and Democratic strategist John Lapp. That program will be posted at 2 p.m. on Thursday, Nov. 12 on our YouTube channel, UVACFP.
— The Editors
One has to go back to 1884 to find a newly-elected Democratic president, Grover Cleveland, who won without his party also winning both chambers of Congress.
If Joe Biden pulls out the presidential race — which seems likelier than not as we write this Wednesday afternoon, although much is uncertain — it seems likely he will be the next Democratic president to face at least one hostile chamber of Congress.
Amidst the highest turnout in modern history, both Biden and President Donald Trump turned out their bases and battled in an epic duel that remains undecided. In our final pre-election assessment, we warned of the possibility that many polls could be missing a significant share of the Trump electorate, and it seems like that indeed came to pass. While Biden currently leads in Michigan and Wisconsin, his thin margins are much smaller than many projected. While we study a lot of polls, we are not pollsters ourselves and do not conduct polls — and we are thankful for that fact right now. We have regularly cautioned our readers about polling drawbacks in this and previous presidential election cycles. It is obvious to most observers that serious problems remain that must be addressed by the polling industry. Not all were wrong, as we note below, but many (on both sides) showed results even very close to Election Day that ultimately did not materialize in the general election.
Encouragingly, at least for our own track record, we appear to have correctly rated every state in the Electoral College that has been called so far. As a reminder, this was our final rating map of the presidential race:
Map 1: Final Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings
That includes Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, won by Biden. If Trump ends up carrying Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, and Biden wins the rest of the uncalled states, NE-2 would be the decisive vote in a 270-268 victory for Biden.
The Biden campaign is projecting confidence that they ultimately will carry Pennsylvania and maybe even Georgia based on the remaining and extremely Democratic-leaning votes. The Trump camp, meanwhile, holds out hope that they ultimately will win Arizona based on late-counted votes, but the Associated Press and Fox News havecalled the state for Biden. Nevada also remains close, with Biden clinging to a narrow 0.6-point edge. We did think Nevada was the shakiest Hillary Clinton-won state for Biden, and that appears to have been the case: Biden apparently ran well ahead of Clinton in the other most competitive states she carried four years ago: Colorado, Maine, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Virginia.
As many of you have already noted, we’re delighted to have called Florida correctly, as Biden’s horrific performance in Miami-Dade County — it appears that he only won the county by seven percentage points after Clinton won it by nearly 30 — signaled Trump’s victory there. Iowa and Ohio remained strong for Trump: The famous Iowa pollster, J. Ann Selzer, nailed another election, it appears, and in fact her poll showing Trump up seven in Iowa over the weekend was suggestive of enduring Trump strength across the Midwest, although it perhaps will not be enough for him to win this time.
The rhythms of the vote count were and continue to be a challenge: As expected, there were major disparities in how Democrats and Republicans voted, and different states (or even counties within states) counted Democratic-leaning early and mail votes and Republican-leaning Election Day votes in inconsistent ways. This will be a challenge in the coming days and weeks as the results are finalized across the country.
In the Senate, we were correct to ultimately favor Republicans in all of the Democrats’ “reach” targets in red states, as Republicans held Senate seats in Kansas, Montana, South Carolina, and Texas with ease. We are assuming they also will hold Alaska, where Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK) currently holds a big lead but many votes remain to be reported (that race is uncalled). Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA), who we picked to win after seeing her as an underdog a few weeks ago, also won a clear victory. Republicans easily flipped Alabama. The Georgia Senate special election will go to a Jan. 5 runoff between appointed Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) and the Rev. Raphael Warnock (D); the state’s other Senate race, between Sen. David Perdue (R-GA) and Jon Ossoff (D), might as well; Perdue is currently at 50.6% of the vote, running a few tenths of a point ahead of Trump, as the incumbent tries to win outright. Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI) is doing a little worse than Biden in Michigan, but late-counted ballots may be enough to save him.
Ultimately, the Senate came down to the four Republican-held seats we and others highlighted as the most crucial races: Arizona, Colorado, Maine, and North Carolina. It seemed like Democrats needed to win all four to forge a 50-50 tie in the Senate. Democrats easily beat Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO) and apparently also defeated Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ), but Sen. Thom Tillis’ (R-NC) margin is a little better than Trump’s, and he appears on track to win. Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) won, maintaining her signature crossover appeal with Democratic presidential voters. Ultimately, it looks like we’ll have picked all the Senate races correctly except for North Carolina and Maine (we left both Georgia races as Toss-ups). The Republican Senate majority appears likely to endure.
We and other handicappers had a rough night in the House, where it appears that the Republicans will end up netting seats even as the Democrats maintain their majority. We said on Monday that we were giving incumbents of both parties the benefit of the doubt: That was wise when it came to GOP incumbents, none of whom have lost so far (so we should have picked even more to win), but not with Democratic incumbents, as several of the most vulnerable ones have lost. There will be a lot to sort out in the coming weeks, but it appears that strong GOP turnout and a ticket-splitting dynamic that helped Republicans as opposed to Democrats is going to cost the Democrats a number of seats.
If in fact Biden holds on, the GOP likely will be well-positioned to re-take the House majority in 2022 given the usual midterm backlash against the president’s party. We also are heading into a redistricting year, where Republicans will retain advantages in more states than Democrats (although more states have shifted to nonpartisan redistricting systems since the 2010 redistricting round, when Republicans held a dominant hand in redistricting).
But before we look ahead to 2022, we’ll have to continue to examine the 2020 results, which are going to take a while to finalize in many places.
Cleveland, the Democrat elected in 1884 with a Democratic House but a Republican Senate, lost in 1888 but came back to win in 1892 in the midst of a political era, the Gilded Age, that featured extremely close presidential elections, a high degree of party unity, and very high turnout among eligible voters (although the franchise was denied to women and many others back then). Today’s political era has many of those same features. One also wonders if 2024 could feature a defeated president trying for a nonconsecutive second term — but Trump is also not yet defeated in 2020.
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Welcome to TheBlaze’s Election Day Live Blog. Today is likely to be a very long day as President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden race to 270 Electoral College votes. Plus, control of the U.S. Senate is up for grabs, and the House of Representatives results could be close. Whatever happens today, we’ve got you … Read more
Tucker Carlson blasted pollsters Tuesday, the only clear losers on election night after results defied the prophesy of a Democratic blowout as in 2016.
President Donald Trump captured Ohio’s 18 electoral votes Tuesday in the bellwether state that has voted for the winning president in every election since 1960.
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November 4, 2020 – Having trouble viewing this email? Open it in your browser.
Morning Rundown
All eyes on swing states with 2020 presidential race still too close to call: Election Day is turning into Election Week as the counting of votes continues across the country while several battleground states are slated to resume counts this morning. In the early hours of Wednesday morning, former Vice President Joe Biden briefly addressed the nation from Wilmington, Delaware, projecting confidence in the race. “We’re feeling real good about Wisconsin and Michigan,” he said, adding that he has confidence in Pennsylvania, too. “We’re going to have to be patient until the hard work of tallying the votes is finished. And it ain’t over until every vote is counted, every ballot is counted,” Biden added. Hours later, President Donald Trump took the stage at the East Room of the White House and falsely declared victory. “We will win this and, as far as I’m concerned, we already have won it,” Trump said. Trump also claimed Democrats were “trying to disenfranchise” the millions of people who voted for him, calling it “a major fraud in our nation” and saying he “won’t stand for it.” “We’ll be going to the U.S. Supreme Court,” he said. “We want all voting to stop.” The president does not have the power to stop vote counting, and his claims of victory and fraud were baseless. ABC News has not yet projected several key swing states, including Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin. In each of those states, there are significant portions of outstanding votes in Democratic areas and, in many cases, those votes were early or absentee, which state election officials have said would not be fully counted immediately. Biden currently leads the projected Electoral College tally with 225 to Trump’s 213 in the final sprint to 270 electoral votes, but this will be updated as new information comes in. Visit ABC News’ live blog for the latest minute-by-minute updates on the race. The election that changed how Americans vote also changed the speed with which some of their votes are counted, leaving the country hanging for an official outcome. An unprecedented 64% of voters cast their ballots early, including 34% by mail. Exit polls also revealed some insight into voters’ thoughts on some important issues: 56% of voters called global warming a serious problem; 57% expressed a favorable opinion of the Black Lives Matter movement; 52% said the Supreme Court should uphold Obamacare, vs. 43% for overturning it; and 51% said abortion should be legal in all or most cases, a low in exit polls back to 1992.
Democrats maintain majority in the House of Representatives: The Democrats will keep their majority in the House of Representatives, according to early results. The Democrats gained a majority in the House following the 2018 election, when they won 41 seats. Popular freshman Democrats who came into office during that time, including New York’s Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Minnesota’s Ilhan Omar, have been elected for a second term. This was the largest gain for the political party since the 1974 elections, where they gained 49 seats. “I’m very, very proud of the fact that tonight, relatively early, we are able to say that we have held the House,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Tuesday night. “Our purpose in this race was to win so that we could protect the Affordable Care Act and that we could crush the virus.” Meanwhile, Republicans had some notable victories. Marjorie Taylor Greene, who has publicly supported the fringe conspiracy theory QAnon, won Georgia’s conservative 14th Congressional District.
Sarah McBride, Cori Bush break barriers with historic wins: It was a historic night for two women breaking barriers. In Delaware, Sarah McBride made history by becoming the first openly transgender state senator in the United States. The 30-year-old will also be the nation’s highest-ranking openly transgender elected official. “I hope tonight shows an LGBTQ kid that our democracy is big enough for them, too,” McBride tweeted. In Missouri, Cori Bush also made history as the first Black woman to represent the state in Congress. The single mother of two — who was one of at least 115 women of color running for Congress this year — made a name for herself as a progressive activist who started protesting after Michael Brown, a Black 18-year-old, was fatally shot by a white police officer. Bush told “Good Morning America” earlier this year that she wants to bring to Congress a direct link to the people of her district and the issues they face daily, and to also fight for criminal justice reform, education for all and equal rights. “I’m taking my own lived experience to Congress, and what so many people in my community have gone through,” she said.
6-year-old’s homemade voting booth helps kids feel included on Election Day: When Mac Mayer, a 6-year-old from Asheville, North Carolina, saw his mom and dad vote early in the 2020 presidential election, he wanted to make sure he and other kids got the chance to at least symbolically have their voices heard. “Mac has kind of been really paying attention as my husband and I have been obviously talking a lot about the election this year,” said his mom, Chelsea Mayer. “He was asking about why kids can’t vote … and he said, ‘When I grow up, I’m going to invent kid voting.” So, Mac’s parents helped him set up a makeshift polling station complete with a privacy booth, a ballot box and “I Voted” stickers. Mac also made a box for clean and dirty pens, which he had seen at his parents’ polling location. For his friends and family in different parts of the country, his parents helped him send absentee ballots. “He’s always been the type that he doesn’t like that grown-ups get to do things that kids don’t get to do,” Mayer said. “It’s fun to help him create something and get to see it come to fruition.” Once all the votes are counted (even the absentee ones), Mac plans to announce the winners of his kids’ election on Facebook.
GMA Must-Watch
Watch “GMA” this morning for the latest from our powerhouse political analysts as they break down the state of the race and all the battleground states still in play in President Donald Trump and former Vice Present Joe Biden’s sprint to 270.
Buckle up. The winner of the presidential election is unknown with millions of votes in key battleground states still to be counted. We may be in for a protracted vote count that could take days.
Here is what we know this Wednesday morning.
Trump-Biden race remains unsettled as last key states count their votes
Trump won several key battleground states, such as Florida, Texas and Ohio, according to NBC News’ projections. Biden picked up Minnesota and New Hampshire, NBC News projects.
But millions of ballots remain to be counted in the critical battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Maine.
Trump had to win Florida to have any real shot at re-election, most analysts agree, while Biden has multiple paths to victory that do not include the state, such as winning back the Upper Midwest states Trump flipped four years ago.
As of early Wednesday, Biden had won 224 Electoral College votes, while Trump had 213. It takes 270 Electoral College votes to win the White House.
Biden spoke to supportersafter midnight in Wilmington, Delaware, saying he was feeling confident despite failing to deliver the early knock-out blow his campaign had hoped for and urged his supporters to wait for all the votes to be counted.
“We’re going to have to be patient until the hard work of tallying votes is finished,” Biden said.
“This is a fraud on the American public,” he told supporters and members of the media in a White House address. “This is an embarrassment to our country. We were getting ready to win this election, frankly we did win this election.” He then vowed to take legal action to stop “all voting.”
Dems keep House while GOP holds key Senate seats, NBC News projects
Democrats will maintain control of the House of Representatives, NBC News projects, but their path to taking control in the Senate narrowedas numerous Republican incumbents fended off strong opposition.
Democrats, who won fewer House seats than they had hoped, failed to pick up some of the Senate seats they were banking on.
As of early Wednesday, 47 Senate seats were projected to be controlled by Republicans and 46 by Democrats, including two independents who caucus with Democrats.Seven seats were still outstanding.
World hedges its bets as America keeps counting its votes
Millions around the world had their eyes glued to the white knuckle election drama playing out in America on Wednesday, with allies stressing that no matter the winner their relationships with the U.S. remained strong.
The election made headlines in Europe, the Middle East and Asia, with commentators weighing in on what a victory by President Donald Trump or Democratic challenger Joe Biden would mean for the world.
Dr. Fauci is one of 2020’s biggest heroes. Trump’s new threats prove it, Dr. Nahid Bhadelia, an infectious diseases physician and NBC News/MSNBC medical contributor, writes in an opinion piece.
Live BETTER
Now that we got through Election Day, let’s move on to the next battle: How are you going to talk to your family about Thanksgiving and Covid-19?
Against the backdrop of a once-in-a-century pandemic, a national reckoning against systemic racism and a strained economy, voters went to the polls to have their say.
While the race is far from decided, there’s no denying the record-breaking number of ballots that were cast either early, by mail or in-person at polling sites on Tuesday.
From Portland, Oregon, to Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, see photos that captured the excitement and anxiety of an historic Election Day.
A watch party at Axelrad Beer Garden in Houston. (Photo: Annie Mulligan / for NBC News)
Thanks for reading the Morning Rundown.
If you have any comments — likes, dislikes — send me an email at: petra@nbcuni.com
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Thanks, Petra Cahill
NBC FIRST READ
From NBC’s Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Carrie Dann and Melissa Holzberg
FIRST READ: Win or lose, Trump and his politics look like they’re here to stay
Whether or not President Trump ultimately wins or loses – and the remaining vote appears to be strong for Joe Biden – Trumpism looks like it’s here to stay.
Democrats were hoping for a repudiation of Trump; that a GOP loss so big would force Republicans to the negotiating table, to try to compete for votes in Urban/Suburban America, and to dial down the scorched-earth politics over the last few years.
REUTERS/Carlos Barria
Instead, even if Trump doesn’t win, Trump might have helped the GOP keep their Senate majority and pick up House seats when Republicans looked destined to lose them. (More on those downballot races below.)
Bottom line: Even if he’s voted out of office – as we continue to count the votes in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – Trump and his brand of politics aren’t leaving the political scene.
Urban versus rural. Those with college degrees versus those without. Women versus men.
And those divides will affect how this country tries to recover from a pandemic, an economic recession and social/racial tensions across the country.
Waiting for the rest of the votes to come in
It also will likely affect the state of the American democracy. Around 2:00 am ET last night, Trump falsely claimed that he had won the election and that the remaining ballots were fraudulent.
“This is a fraud on the American public. This is an embarrassment,” Trump said. He added, “Frankly, we did win this election.”
For his part, Biden said earlier: “We knew this was going to go long,” he said. “But look, we feel good about where we are. We really do. I’m here to tell you tonight we believe we’re on track to win this election.”
As we said before, there was always going to be a disparity between the mail-in ballots (which were Democratic leaning and were going to take longer to count) and the Election Day ballots (which were GOP leaning and were going to be counted faster).
So as Joe Biden gains ground – and even overtakes Trump – in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – none of it should be surprising.
And none of it is fraud.
The major uncalled presidential states as of publication time
47 percent: Donald Trump’s job approval rating in the national exit poll. (As we’ve written before, this marker has historically been closely linked to an incumbent’s reelection vote percentage.)
12 percent: The share of Black voters who voted for Trump, according to the national exit poll. That’s compared with his 8 percent four years ago.
42 percent: The share of white voters who voted for Biden in the national exit poll, compared with 37 percent for Hillary Clinton four years ago.
32 percent: The share of Latino voters who voted for Trump in the national exit poll, compared with his 28 percent four years ago.
47 percent: The share of Latino voters in FLORIDA who voted for Trump. That’s the highest for a Republican since George W. Bush in 2004.
29 percent: The share of white voters in GEORGIA who voted for Biden. That’s the highest for a Democrat since Bill Clinton got 32 percent in 1992.
532,409: The number of votes Trump has received so far in Miami-Dade county, compared with 333,999 votes four years ago. (Biden has received 617,201 in the county so far, versus Clinton’s 624,146 four years ago.)
Nearly 2 percentage points: Joe Biden’s lead in the popular vote at the time of publication
7-9 days: How long it could take determine the winner of the Maine Senate race if Susan Collins does not surpass 50 percent and ranked-choice voting is triggered.
62 days: The number of days until the January 5 Senate runoff in Georgia between Raphael Warnock and Kelly Loeffler
At least 100,722,619: The number of people who had voted early as of 1pm on Election Day, either by mail or in person, according to NBC and TargetSmart.
9,461,848: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That’s 80,605 more than yesterday morning.)
233,571: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far. (That’s 1,026 more than yesterday morning.)
149.76 million: The number of coronavirus tests that have been administered in the United States so far, according to researchers at The COVID Tracking Project.
50,340: The number of people currently hospitalized for Covid-19 in the U.S., per the Covid Tracking Project.
TWEET OF THE DAY: Turn out for what
2020 VISION: A disappointing night for Senate and House Democrats
Democrats were favored to win control of the Senate and pick up additional seats in the House.
Neither seems likely to happen – at least once all of the ballots are counted. And that’s big disappointment for Democrats, even if they end up winning the presidency.
Dems picked up Colorado’s Senate seat and are ahead in Arizona, but they lost a seat in Alabama (as expected), and they lost the Toss Up races in Iowa and Montana. And they’re trailing – right now – in North Carolina and even Maine.
Now the potential good news for them is that Georgia’s special is headed to a January runoff; Georgia’s other Senate could go to a runoff as well if the remaining vote pushes Sen. David Perdue below 50 percent; and Maine’s ranked-choice balloting could still topple Sen. Susan Collins.
But that’s not how Democrats wanted the night to go.
As for the House, while NBC News has been cautious on calling House races before all the vote is counted, we know that incumbents like Reps. Collin Peterson, D-Minn., and Kendra Horn, D-Okla., have lost, while some other incumbents appear to be in trouble.
NBC News projected that Democrats will retain control of the House, but it sure looks like Republicans are on their way to picking up seats.
And you have to give the GOP credit for that in a pretty tough political environment.
Plus: Presidential results still unclear (but Trump declares victory in a few states anyway), California approves Proposition 22, and more…
Drugs are winning the war on drugs. It’s the morning after the 2020 election, and the result everyone is waiting for—will Donald Trump best Joe Biden, or vice versa?—is still a mystery wrapped in a clusterfuck. But there was one absolutely certain loser last night: the war on drugs. If Americans across the country provided a clear mandate for anything this year, it’s ending the hold that drug prohibition has on our country.
Of nine drug decriminalization or legalization measures on state ballots last night—including two addressing hallucinogens and one covering all illegal drugs—not a single one failed. These were decisive victories, too, not close calls. And unlike some previous waves of pro-marijuana votes, which were concentrated in predictable areas, successful anti–drug war measures in 2020 spanned a diverse array of states.
And Oregonians also approved Measure 110, partially decriminalizing all illegal drugs.
These drug measures didn’t just eke out wins.
In D.C., more than three-quarters of voters approved Initiative 81, declaring “that police shall treat the non-commercial cultivation, distribution, possession, and use of entheogenic plants and fungi”—those that contain ibogaine, dimethyltryptamine, mescaline, or psilocybin—“among the lowest law enforcement priorities.”
In Arizona—which rejected recreational cannabis legalization in 2016—voters were 59.85 percent in favor of legalization this year compared to 40.15 percent against.
In New Jersey, the proportion favoring legalization was even higher: 67 percent of votes were in favor, with 33 percent against.
Meanwhile, in Mississippi, voters said yes to two medical marijuana measures: one allowing it for people with terminal illnesses and one allowing it for people with “debilitating medical conditions.” The more-liberal latter option (Initiative 65) saw 74 percent of voters in favor.
Even Oregon’s measure to decriminalize non-commercial possession of all drugs saw a sizable margin of victory. Nearly 59 percent of voters approved with 80 percent of precincts reporting. And nearly 56 percent of voters approved of Measure 109, the Psilocybin Services Act, which authorizes the Oregon Health Authority to start “a program to permit licensed service providers to administer psilocybin-producing mushroom and fungi products to individuals 21 years of age or older.”
The drug measures weren’t the only encouraging sign from the 2020 election.
Lots of props go to California voters, who struck a blow to California’s disastrous anti-independent contractor law A.B. 5 by approving Proposition 22—apparently seeing through a massive campaign to convince voters that the ballot measure was an evil corporate ploy to mistreat workers. The win is a victory for rideshare and delivery drivers and the many people who use their services, as well as for companies like Uber and Lyft.
Californians also rejected measures to expand rent control and to bring back affirmative action in school admissions. They approved Proposition 17, which grants paroled felons the right to vote.
Meanwhile, an abortion banning measure in Colorado failed.
NEW
Colorado votes NO to Prop 115, a ballot measure that would have banned nearly all abortion after 22 weeks.
If we stay out of national political races, it was a fairly decent night.
As of this morning, the contest between Biden and Trump is still far from being determined (which was to be expected)—though this hasn’t stopped Trump from nonsensically and despotically declaring victory.
“Frankly, we did win this election. As far as I’m concerned, we have already have won,” Trump said in an early morning speech. He added: “We’ll be going to the U.S. Supreme Court—we want all voting to stop.”
Voting has stopped, of course. (“No state will count absentee votes that are postmarked after Election Day,” notes the Associated Press.) It’s the counting that’s still taking place, and could for some time.
To recap: The president wants the rest of the votes counted in Arizona, because he’s losing, but says he’s “won” Pennsylvania and Michigan, where there are hundreds of thousands of votes still outstanding.
The American public must understand that the president is lying to them.
“Four key battleground states — Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan and Georgia—began Wednesday with tens of thousands of absentee ballots uncounted,” reports CNN this morning.”
Here’s the state of the election as of 5 a.m. Wednesday morning 👇
Elizabeth Nolan Brown is a senior editor at Reason, where she writes regularly on the intersections of sex, speech, tech, crime, politics, panic, and civil liberties. She is also co-founder of the libertarian feminist group Feminists for Liberty.
Since starting at Reason in 2014, Brown has won multiple awards for her writing on the U.S. government’s war on sex. Brown’s writing has also appeared in The New York Times, Los Angeles Times, The Daily Beast, Buzzfeed, Playboy, Fox News, Politico, The Week, and numerous other publications. You can follow her on Twitter @ENBrown.
Reason is the magazine of “free minds and free markets,” offering a refreshing alternative to the left-wing and right-wing echo chambers for independent-minded readers who love liberty.
In 2016, people in Harlem said they were neither surprised nor worried about Trump’s victory.
By Jason L. Riley The Wall Street Journal November 4, 2020
Politicians promising a painless switch to renewables are deluding themselves—or more likely you.
By Jonathan A. Lesser City Journal Online November 3, 2020
“Wallace’s life mattered, yes — but so did the lives of the dozens of black children killed in drive-by shootings since the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis in May. The Democratic and media establishments have been virtually silent about those shootings, even amid their skyrocketing numbers.”
By Heather Mac Donald New York Post November 4, 2020
Adapted from City Journal
As budget cuts, restrictive reforms, and anti-police protests sweep the country, will demoralization turn even the most genuine and lion-hearted cops into “hairbags?” How hard would such a cultural shift in departments be to reverse? Join us on Tuesday, November 10, as former Seattle police chief Carmen Best, former Milwaukee police chief Ed Flynn, and law professor Paul Cassell address these questions and share their intimate insights into the culture of policing.
The next administration and Congress will face a large and growing federal debt. Although everyone recognizes the long-term imbalance between federal spending and revenues, there is ample debate about just how big a problem this is, and the extent to which it should be a priority for lawmakers. On Thursday, November 12, Jason Furman and Brian Riedl engage in a collegial debate, moderated by The Wall Street Journal’s Kate Davidson, about debt, deficits, and what to do about them.
On October 29, the Institute hosted our annual Civil Society Awards honoring five nonprofits with $25,000 prizes for their work assisting those in need and strengthening our communities around the country. Watch the event above, which features remarks from Darryl “DMC” McDaniels of Run-DMC, award-winning actor Carol Kane, and several inspiring community leaders who are helping people change the course of their lives.
On October 20, we honored three extraordinary individuals during our first virtual Alexander Hamilton Awards: Leonard Leo and Eugene Meyer of the Federalist Society, and Daniel S. Loeb, investor and philanthropist. The event also featured remarks from our chairman, Paul E. Singer; our president, Reihan Salam; and other distinguished guests.
Casey Mulligan joins Allison Schrager to discuss his time on President Trump’s Council of Economic Advisors and the administration’s record on issues such as health care, the economy, immigration, and more. Mulligan’s new book is You’re Hired!: Untold Successes and Failures of a Populist President.
2020 severely tested the governing abilities of our leaders. On October 16, we hosted a discussion moderated by Andy Smarick on practical wisdom and its role in governing today, with philosophy professor Jennifer Frey, science policy director Tony Mills, and education specialist Jocelyn Pickford.
On October 15, we hosted a panel of black police executives and experts speaking to how history, culture, and looming racial tension shaped their experiences on the force.
Manhattan Institute is a think tank whose mission is to develop and disseminate new ideas that foster greater economic choice and individual responsibility.
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Friends, this is it. Today is the last day of the 2020 election cycle, at least in theory. Donald Trump is barnstorming more battleground states. Joe Biden is rushing to get to Denny’s by 4:00 for the … MORE
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REALCLEARPOLITICS MORNING NOTE
11/04/2020
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Carl Cannon’s Morning Note
Legal Thicket; Defiance on View; Licking Their Wounds
By Carl M. Cannon on Nov 04, 2020 09:35 am
Good morning. It’s Wednesday, Nov. 4 — Day Two of Election Day 2020. Six different candidates were elected president of the United States on today’s date, all of them for the first time. Those six elections — the most recent being Barack Obama’s decisive victory in 2008 — evinced some of the more memorable concessions in American politics. Early this morning at the White House? Not so much.
“This is a fraud on the American public!” said President Trump as his early lead in key battleground states was whittled into too-close-to-call territory. “This is an embarrassment to our country. We were getting ready to win this election. Frankly, we did win this election.”
Joe Biden’s camp reacted immediately — and with predictable outrage. And so the horror show that is 2020 continues apace. In a moment, I’ll return, for the sake of my own sanity, to previous 4ths of November in U.S. presidential election history. First, I’d point you to RealClearPolitics’ front page, which presents our poll averages, videos, breaking news stories, and aggregated opinion pieces spanning the political spectrum. We also offer original material from our own reporters and contributors, including the following:
* * *
As the Counting Continues, the Legal Wrangling Ramps Up. Susan Crabtree reports on the likely thicket of lawsuits coming if the vote tally in a few states remains close.
At the White House, Exhaustion and Defiance. Phil Wegmann describes the scene at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. as the returns rolled in and the outcome remained in doubt.
Four Places to (Still) Watch in Pennsylvania. Charles McElwee assesses regions in the swing state that could prove pivotal as votes are counted.
Joe the Father in a Pittsburgh Parking Lot. Howard Fineman found inspiration witnessing Joe Biden back in his element on the eve of the election.
Energy and Race: The Media’s New Intersectionality. At RealClearEnergy, Rupert Darwall argues that major news outlets are pushing climate policies that, paradoxically, hurt people of color. He also weighs in on COVID, climate change, and government coercion.
How to Save Lebanon and Its Christians. At RealClearReligion, Toufic Baaklini and Alberto M. Fernandez urge the government there to pursue a policy of “active neutrality” that favors neither East nor West.
* * *
After U.S. presidents are elected and sworn into office, we learn more about their families, pets, policies and passions. American schoolchildren dutifully commit their names to memory and, over time, their presence in the White House takes on an inevitably that was rarely present when they actually sought office.
“Yes, we can!” seemed foreordained the night of Nov. 4, 2008, in Chicago’s Grant Park, but it certainly seemed a stretch two years earlier when a freshman senator from Illinois with no legislation under his belt and no executive experience signaled that he was seeking the highest office in the land.
Two generations after the fact, the slogan “I like Ike!” still brings a smile to the faces of Americans who think fondly of Dwight Eisenhower and the 1950s — whether they were alive back then or not. But Eisenhower’s election, which occurred on this date in 1952, was not a foregone conclusion, either.
Certainly, the erudite and experienced Adlai Stevenson didn’t expect to lose handily to the World War general (something he would do again in 1956). But Stevenson handled his decisive defeat with customary grace.
“Someone asked me, as I came in, down on the street, how I felt,” Stevenson said in his concession speech, “and I was reminded of a story that a fellow townsman of ours used to tell –Abraham Lincoln. They asked him how he felt once after an unsuccessful election. He said that he was too old to cry, but it hurt too much to laugh.”
Lincoln did relate this anecdote, but probably not — as 19th century biographer John T. Morse wrote — about his 1858 loss to Stephen A. Douglas. Rather, Lincoln made this quip when asked about an 1862 New York gubernatorial election. In doing so, the 16th president was speaking for his White House brethren, Republicans and Democrats alike, when midterm and off-year elections don’t go their way.
Barack Obama learned this lesson, and then some, in 2010. That year, after the votes were counted, a somber Obama acknowledged publicly that he and his party took “a shellacking.”
“There is an inherent danger in being in the White House and being in the bubble,” Obama said about the red wave that put the House back in GOP hands and nearly cost Democrats their tenuous Senate majority. “The responsibilities of this office are so enormous that sometimes we lose track of the ways that we connected with folks that got us here in the first place.”
That’s the mature, and politically savvy, reaction. A more naked human reaction came from onetime California political operative (and famed prankster) Dick Tuck, who ran for a seat in California’s legislature when Barack Obama was only 5 years old. After losing handily in the Democratic Party primary, Tuck quipped, “The people have spoken — the bastards!”
The American people have spoken in 2020, too, although we’re not yet sure whom “the bastards” favored this year. This morning, both Donald Trump and Joe Biden can relate to the spirit of another Adlai Stevenson one-liner, this one uttered five weeks after the 1952 election: “A funny thing happened to me on the way to the White House.”
As citizens were glued to their televisions awaiting the outcome of the presidential election, revolutionary forces were preparing to protest any outcome.
Around 4 PM Shutdown DC began encouraging protesters to arrive in Washington D.C’s Black Lives Matter Plaza. Online Antifa and anarchist social media from Portland to Boston began tweeting out instructions for last minute equipment checks, from testing respirators to stocking “go-bags.”
President Trump has declared that he won yesterday’s hotly contested election. He has also announced that widespread fraud has been employed to deny him victory.
While both points remain to be validated, we already know that, to paraphrase Winston Churchill, never have so many done so much to defeat one man.
If Donald Trump does in fact prevail, he will have overcome the following: systematic efforts by Democratic partisans to rig the vote; the virtually universal complicity of the so-called “mainstream media”; the active manipulation by the big social media platforms; and the direct involvement of the Chinese Communist Party and its allies, foreign and domestic – all aimed at taking down this President.
These attempts to steal the election will next be compounded by revolutionary upheavals engineered by the Black Lives Matter organization, Antifa, the Muslim Brotherhood and others.
God help us.
This is Frank Gaffney.
SUSAN KATZ, Chief National Security Correspondent for JustTheNews.com, Security and Terrorism correspondent for American Media Institute, Military correspondent for PEOPLE magazine:
Recent military talks between the United States and China
Assessing China’s military capability
The threat China poses to Taiwan
JOHN MAURER, Alfred Thayer Mahan Professor of Sea Power and Grand Strategy at the Naval War College, Senior Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute in the Program on National Security, Serves on the Academic Board of Advisers, The International Churchill Society:
The Chinese ability to conduct a preemptive strike
The need for the United States to modernize its nuclear deterrent
SAM FADDIS, Former CIA Ops Officer, Spent twenty years as an Operations officer in the Middle East, South Asia and Europe, Former Candidate for Congress, Senior Subject Matter Expert at Axon/Lockheed Martin, Author of Beyond Repair: The Decline and Fall of the CIA (2009):
Did Joe Biden give the Chinese the South China Sea?
What is the “color revolution”?
The potential for riots following the election
KEVIN FREEMAN, Senior Fellow at the Center for Security Policy, Host of Economic War Room on TheBlaze TV, Author of “Game Plan” and “Secret Weapon”:
Joe Biden’s relationship with the Chinese Communist Party
Below is a sneak peek of this content! Why would we have expected 2020 to give us a decisive election? That’s the topic of my Off the Cuff audio commentary this week. You can listen to it by clicking on the play (arrow) button below. Editor’s Note: If you… CONTINUE Read More »
Bernard Goldberg, the television news reporter and author of Bias, a New York Times number one bestseller about how the media distort the news, is widely seen as one of the most original writers and thinkers in broadcast journalism. He has covered stories all over the world for CBS News and has won 13 Emmy awards for excellence in journalism. He won six Emmys at CBS, and seven at HBO, where he now reports for the widely acclaimed broadcast Real Sports. [Read More…]
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AMERICAN INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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November 4, 2020
A Sensible and Compassionate Anti-COVID Strategy
By Dr. Jayanta Bhattacharya | “We should respond to the COVID virus rationally: protect the vulnerable, treat the people who get infected compassionately, develop a vaccine. And while doing these things we should bring back the civilization that…
Attacks on Dissenting Voices Set Back Scientific Progress
By Barry Brownstein | “Learning depends on open inquiry. Thoughtful, informed people know that something is terribly wrong with the Covid-19 orthodoxy. Others have ‘nagging suspicions.’ If dissenting voices continue to be attacked by those in…
By Joakim Book | And so it was time again. Tightened restrictions, mandatory limits on public life, curfews, orders to stay-at-home, travel bans with invasive hoops, and all the other anti-corona policies that ostensibly aren’t…
By Ethan Yang | To say the future looks bleak for sound economics and good government would be an understatement. The year 2020 has seen an unprecedented expansion of government intervention that has absolutely devastated the global economy.
By Jeffrey A. Tucker | “We attempted to intimidate a virus with PhDs and political power, hoping that it would shrivel and die, and in so doing dramatically disabled human freedom and social functioning. What do we have to show for it? Massive…
By Dr. Sunetra Gupta | “The simple truth is that Covid-19 will not just go away if we continue to impose enough meaningless restrictions on ourselves. And the longer we fail to recognise this, the worse will be the permanent economic…
Edward C. Harwood fought for sound money when few Americans seemed to care. He was the original gold standard man before that became cool. Now he is honored in this beautiful sewn silk bow tie in the richest possible color and greatest detail. The tie is adjustable to all sizes. Sporting this, others might miss that you are secretly supporting the revolution for freedom and sound money, but you will know, and that is what matters.
A common narrative of the post-World War II economists was that the State is indispensable for guiding investment and fostering innovation. The truth is that the enriched modern economy was not a product of State coercion. The Great Enrichment, that is, came from human ingenuity emancipated from the bottom up, not human ingenuity directed from the top down.
On the menu today: We don’t have a declared winner in the presidential race as of this writing, but last night taught us a lot.
Twelve Big Lessons from Last Night and This Morning
Wow. As of this writing, we don’t have a clear president-elect. You would probably rather be in Joe Biden’s position than President Trump’s position at this hour . . . but Biden doesn’t have it locked up. Here are twelve things we know already:
One: Joe Biden may reach 270 electoral votes, but this election was no comeuppance, rebuke, or vengeance upon Donald Trump. There was no “blue wave.” If Trump loses, it will not be by much, and among the swing states, Trump won Florida, Ohio, Iowa, almost certainly North Carolina, and probably Georgia. At this hour, he still leads the vote count in Pennsylvania. Trump appears to have come very close to winning in Arizona, Nevada, and Wisconsin. The popular vote, as of this hour, is 50.1 for Biden, 48.2 percent for Trump
Two: The polling was largely wrong. Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar is now a superstar and deserves to be. The entire polling industry — to the extent the polling industry survives … READ MORE
“Makes an original and compelling case for nationalism . . . A fascinating, erudite—and much-needed—defense of a hallowed idea unfairly under current attack.” — Victor Davis Hanson
Joe Pompeo: “It was around 2:30 a.m. when all hell broke loose. That’s when President Donald Trump did the unhinged, dangerous, Democracy-destabilizing thing that we all hoped we wouldn’t have to see him do, giving a speech at the White House in which he prematurely declared victory even as millions upon millions of legitimate votes were still being counted. The goal, in all of its authoritarian bluster, was to get out in front of a result that might not land in his favor. But anyone who was still awake and glued to their screens as the propaganda unfolded got a fast and forceful reality check.”
“The networks quickly and aggressively called bullshit on Trump’s remarks, either breaking away from the speech or butting in with fact-checks.”
Twitter flagged two of President Trump’s tweets, including one that alleged a “surprise ballot dump” in key battleground states where he’d previously been leading.
“With Nevada elections results too close to call the morning after Election Day, there will be a one-day pause in the releasing of any new vote totals,” the Las Vegas Review Journal reports.
“Joe Biden is projected to receive more votes for president than any other candidate in U.S. election history,” The Week reports.
“With many precincts still reporting results, he had already gathered 69,165,955 votes on Wednesday morning, compared to former President Barack Obama’s 2008 popular vote total of 69,498,516.”
David Graham: “Surveys badly missed the results, predicting an easy win for former Vice President Joe Biden, a Democratic pick-up in the Senate, and gains for the party in the House. Instead, the presidential election is still too close to call, Republicans seem poised to hold the Senate, and the Democratic edge in the House is likely to shrink.”
“This is a disaster for the polling industry and for media outlets and analysts that package and interpret the polls for public consumption, like FiveThirtyEight, The New York Times’ Upshot, and The Economist’s election unit. They now face serious existential questions. But the greatest problem posed by the polling crisis is not in the presidential election, where the snapshots provided by polling are ultimately measured against an actual tally of votes: As the political cliche goes, the only poll that matters is on Election Day.”
“The real catastrophe is that the failure of the polls leaves Americans with no reliable way to understand what we as a people think outside of elections—which in turn threatens our ability to make choices, or to cohere as a nation.”
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“President Trump said he will go to the U.S. Supreme Court because he wants ‘all voting to stop,’ as he tries to hold on to early leads in key battleground states,” Bloomberg reports.
“He won’t be able to go there immediately and it’s not clear he has a legal argument that could affect the outcome of the election.”
“Cases typically work their way to the nation’s highest court after a ruling by a local judge and then other appeals courts. In 2000, it took more than a month before the Supreme Court issued the landmark Bush v. Gore ruling that ultimately decided that year’s election.”
Dan Balz: “For four years, President Trump has sought to undermine the institutions of a democratic society, but never so blatantly as in the early morning hours of Wednesday. His attempt to falsely claim victory and to subvert the election itself by calling for a halt to vote-counting represents the gravest of threats to the stability of the country.”
“Millions of votes remain to be counted, votes cast legally under the laws of the states. Until they are all counted, the outcome of the election remains in doubt. Either he or former vice president Joe Biden could win an electoral college majority, but neither has yet done so, no matter what he says. Those are the facts, for which the president shows no respect.”
“A president who respected the Constitution would let things play out.”
Jim VandeHei: “Now, whatever the resolution, close to half the country is going to feel robbed. Many of them will be angry, and will refuse to accept the winner as the legit president of all the people.”
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“Democrats’ path to a Senate majority has narrowed dramatically as the party underperformed expectations in a handful of the most expensive races in the country, but control of the Senate remains undecided with a handful of states still too close to call,” Politico reports.
“Though Democrats expanded the battleground map in the fall and ran closer than expected to GOP incumbents, they fell short in their second- and third-tier targeted races like South Carolina, Texas and Kansas — states where the party raised and spent nine-figure sums.”
Nate Cohn: “President Trump leads by nearly 700,000 votes in Pennsylvania as of 5 a.m. on Wednesday, and Mr. Biden’s chances depend on whether he can win a large percentage of the more than 1.4 million absentee ballots that remain to be counted.”
“So far, Mr. Biden has won absentee voters in Pennsylvania, 78% to 21%, according to the Secretary of State’s office. The results comport with the findings of pre-election surveys and an analysis of absentee ballot requests, which all indicated that Mr. Biden held an overwhelming lead among absentee voters.”
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“Turnout in this year’s hotly contested presidential election is on pace to be the highest in more than a century,” the Washington Post reports.
“Edison Research estimates more than 157 million ballots have been cast for president, which represents a 65.7 percent turnout rate among eligible voters.”
“Dawn broke over the United States on Wednesday with the presidential election undecided and the specter of hours or even days of uncertainty ahead, as several states counted millions of ballots in razor-thin contests that could tip the balance to President Trump or Joe Biden,” the New York Times reports.
“After a long election night rife with dramatic twists and victories by both candidates, Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden battled to a near draw in electoral votes, each several dozen votes shy of the 270 needed to capture the presidency.”
“The field of battle had dwindled to a trio of northern states — Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — that vaulted Mr. Trump to victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016, as well as Arizona and Nevada, where Mr. Biden had narrow leads, and Georgia, where he trailed but was gaining ground with every vote counted. Mr. Trump prematurely declared victory and said he would petition the Supreme Court to demand a halt to the counting. Mr. Biden urged his supporters — and by implication, Mr. Trump — to show patience and allow the process to play out.”
Wall Street Journal: Key states still counting votes in tight presidential race.
Playbook: “To imagine the amount of soul searching and explaining the party will have to do after Tuesday is absolutely dizzying. The infighting will be bloody — as it should be. We fielded text after text from Hill Democrats Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning with existential questions about their leadership and the direction of their party.”
Regardless of the winner, few voters expect us all to get along after Election Day. A Trump win is expected to trigger a more violent reaction than a Biden victory.
Latest updates — as of 9:23 PM ET. https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/11/2020-results-update-trump-wins-florida-alabama-arkansas-indiana-kentucky-mississippi-missouri-oklahoma-tennessee-west-virginia/ President Trump wins Wyoming, South Dakota, Nebraska, Louisiana, Tennessee, North Dakota, Mississippi, South Carolina and Alabama…. Read more…
North Carolina extended voting hours at four different precincts after technical problems with voting machines delayed the opening of the polling sites. State policy prohibits… Read more…
Hindu supporters of President Trump in New Delhi held a prayer vigil for President Trump on Tuesday. Nearly two dozen members of a group known… Read more…
Georgia – Fulton County’s absentee ballot processing center was flooded after a pipe burst, slowing down the counting of mail-in ballots. The Atlanta Journal Constitution… Read more…
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Aspects of Fouad Ajami’s method are inimitable, or nearly so, inseparable from the distinctive personality of this one remarkable thinker. His reflections on the politics of the Middle East always depended on his empathetic understanding of the cultures, the complex histories, the literary achievements, and the ever-present currents of faith. Add to this his specifically Lebanese perspective, indisputably rooted in the region but also always with an eye to the sea, to the West, and to a very different political-cultural world.
by Álvaro J. Corral, David L. Leal via The Washington Post
With 32 million eligible voters, Latinos are poised to become the largest minority voting bloc in 2020 — up from 27 million in 2016. Some Democrats are hoping this increase will work in their favor. But a look at which groups of Latinos support Trump, and which groups are growing, suggests that may not come to pass.
California is a deep blue state when measured by party affiliation, and voting 65% Biden at last count. Yet here is how California’s propositions came out, per LA Times and the google search for “California propositions.”
The Hoover Institution and the Center on U.S.-China Relations, Asia Society held a Zoom webinar Covert, Coercive, and Corrupt: Countering Chinese Communist Party Malign Influence in Free Societies: A Conversation with Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs David Stilwell on Friday, October 30, 2020 from 12:00 pm – 1:15 pm PDT | 3:00 pm – 4:15 pm EDT.
Hoover Institution fellow Victor Davis Hanson discusses his new essay, “Vote No on 1984”; President Trump’s executive order establishing a 1776 Commission; what happens when college professors and officials claim they’re racists; plans to turn San Francisco into a homeless camp; and Joe Biden, the godfather of partisanship.
The outcome of the 2020 election was left hanging Wednesday morning as President Donald Trump clung to a number of key battleground states he won in 2016 and former Vice President Joe Biden managed to hold key states won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Asked by the press whether he had any new perspectives on Latin America following his tour of the region in 1982, President Ronald Reagan responded, “You’d be surprised, because, you know, they’re all individual countries.”
The final day of a historic — and historically caustic — presidential campaign. Joe Biden and his running mate, California Sen. Kamala Harris, will be racing through frantic barnstorms in Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan, while President Donald Trump and Mike Pence wrap up a mad dash to a total of 11 rallies in a crowd of swing states over the last 48 hours.
The opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the Hoover Institution or Stanford University.