Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Monday September 21, 2020
THE DAILY SIGNAL
September 21 2020
Good morning from Washington, where President Trump continues to sound the alarm about how unsolicited ballots will taint elections. That concern recently hit home for our Jarrett Stepman—because he doesn’t live where they plan to send his ballot. On the podcast, an authority on terrorism tells what Antifa really hopes to gain by violence. Plus: Trump and immigration reform; real progress in the Middle East; and pastors prescribe a unifying message. On this date in 1942, the B-29 Superfortress makes its debut flight over Seattle as Boeing’s four-engine aircraft becomes the longest-range bomber of World War II.
President Trump says he’ll pick a female nominee, two Republican senators refuse to vote before the election, and Democrat lawmakers discuss packing the high court.
Since I left California in 2011, I have registered to vote in two other places. I’ve changed my address. And my parents notified election workers at their local voting location after I left.
Martin Scott Catino, who has spent over 20 years studying terrorist organizations, explains Antifa’s tactics to gain support and how it spreads its propaganda.
The government estimates that about a million individuals currently present in the U.S. have exhausted every legal appeal and have been issued a valid deportation order.
It takes only a rudimentary knowledge of modern Middle East history to comprehend the immense changes going on in the region—and yet this seems lost on many contemporary journalists.
The bulk of Ginsburg’s work demonstrated a belief in a Supreme Court with seemingly limitless powers over society and a living, evolving Constitution that changes with the times.
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THE RESURGENT
THE EPOCH TIMES
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“China and the Chinese government is the new evil empire,” says Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX). While engaging in crimes against humanity, the regime in Beijing has managed to subvert many aspects of American society, from Hollywood, to academia, to professional sports like the NBA.
Immediately, Democrats demanded no replacement until after the election. The left is quoting Ginsburg as saying “My most fervent wish is that I will not be replaced until a new president is installed.” But they aren’t quoting her, from 2016, saying “There’s nothing in the Constitution that says the president stops being the president in his last year” (Fox News). From Kevin McCullough: The argument will be that McConnell is doing something inconsistent with his past actions. But he actually isn’t. McConnell believed that when the voters had put opposite parties in charge of the Executive branch and the Senate that – in an election year – it should be the voters that decide which party they wished to see settle the question. In doing so he kept historical precedent. The voters have spoken clearly in that while they changed the leadership in the People’s House, they saw to it to leave the Senate and the presidency in the same hands in 2018 (Townhall). From Dan Proft: If Hillary Clinton had been President and Chuck Schumer Senate Majority Leader and Clarence Thomas had passed away less than two months before her hotly contested re-election, what do you think they would’ve had done with respect to the SCOTUS vacancy? (Twitter). From Mark Thiessen: PRECEDENT: *29 Presidents have had election year or lame duck vacancy – all nominated someone. *8 x before election when other party controlled Senate – only 1 succeed *10x before election when Pres and senate controlled by same party – 9 succeeded (Twitter). Then he linked to this related story from August (National Review). Video from Ted Cruz: “29 times there has been a vacancy in a presidential election year. Now, presidents have made nominations all 29 times. That’s what presidents do. If there’s a vacancy, they make a nomination” (Twitter). This video runs through a cluster of high-profile Democrats, including Biden, Pelosi, Schumer, and Elizabeth Warren, from 2016 saying a president must nominate a justice (Twitter). Clip of Biden, circa 2016, saying “I would go forward with a confirmation process as chairman, even a few months before a presidential election, if the nominee were chosen with the advice, and not merely the consent, of the Senate, just as the Constitution requires” (Twitter). And RGB agreed (PJ Media). As did Chuck Schumer (Twitter). And Obama (Twitter). From Kimberly Strassel: Democrats will take to every media outlet to claim it will be politically dangerous for GOP senators to move a nominee. The exact opposite is true. In 2018, 4 D senators lost their seats for opposing Kavanaugh: Heitkamp; Donnelly; McCaskill; Nelson (Twitter).
2.
Democrats Put Impeachment on Table to Stop Judicial Appointment
Impeachment is being floated as a stall tactic (Daily Wire). From Hugh Hewitt: If Democrats deploy outrageous delaying tactics such as conducting a sham impeachment — Speaker Nancy Pelosi replied simply “we have our options” when asked about the possibility by ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on Sunday — the Republican Senate majority should simply dispense with hearings and hold a vote (Washington Post). The clip of Pelosi answering that question, which includes a bizarre moment where she appears to reboot (Twitter).
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3.
Some Threaten Violence if Trump Picks Supreme Court Nominee
Already, leftists in the media are threatening riots if the Senate confirms someone (Twitter). From AOC: “And to Mitch McConnell, we need to tell him he is playing with fire” (Twitter). From Allie Beth Stuckey: Is it the GOP rioting, burning down cities and harassing civilians until they raise their fist and chant according to their liking? Are they the ones threatening to “stop at nothing” if the Senate confirms a SCOTUS nominee? (Twitter).
4.
Democrats Claim They Will Pack Court to Increase Judges if They Get Power
It started soon after Ginsburg’s death (Fox News). And an MSNBC anchor is in agreement (Twitter). Ginsburg chastised Democrats for threatening this before (Twitter). The Wall Street Journal editorial board looks at the one-sided attacks on justices the Democrats deploy and how they have destroyed the process (WSJ). From Erick Erickson: The problem with this threat is that they were threatening to do it before this situation (Twitter).
5.
Trump Says He Will Nominate a Female Judge
And she will be announced this week (CNN). A look at two of the most likely candidates, Amy Barrett and Barbara Lagoa (National Review). And his campaign is already selling shirts emblazoned with “FILL THAT SEAT” (Trump). Biden refuses to give his list of potential nominees (National Review).
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6.
Media Jumps on Faith of Amy Coney Barrett
The Washington Post’s Ron Charles reported “Amy Coney Barrett, the judge at the top of Trump’s list to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg, has said we should always remember that a “legal career is but a means to an end … and that end is building the Kingdom of God” (Twitter). From Tim Carney: She’s right. And if you have a problem with this, well, you’re probably a member of the mainstream media (Twitter). From Dan McLaughlin: Every Christian, every Jew, & every Muslim believes this. That’s a lot of Americans (Twitter). From the New York Times: Judge Amy Coney Barrett is regarded — at least for now — as the leading contender to replace Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. If nominated and confirmed, she would be viewed as a home run by conservative Christians and anti-abortion activists (Twitter). From Patricia Heaton: Friends, be prepared for social media to be filled with an onslaught of arrogant pronouncements based on breathtaking ignorance of religion in general, Christianity specifically and Catholicism in particularly by people who wouldn’t recognize God if He bit them on the bum (Twitter).
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Matt Gaetz’s new book, “Firebrand: Dispatches from the Front Lines of the MAGA Revolution,” drops tomorrow and we have a preview of three Florida-centric chapters. In today’s Chapter 10, entitled Sports Fan, the 37-year-old Congressman argues that, despite our differences, Americans are all on the same team. Here are a few highlights:
— “Sports allow those of us who grew up too fat, too slow, or too uncoordinated to admire talent in others that we do not ourselves possess. Unjealous admiration of our fellow Americans who can do things we can only dream of is heartwarming and unifying. We end up loving them even though we don’t know them (we do the same with politicians, but I digress). … We are part of the team. … Perhaps there is a reason sports and politics so often collide. … Are we surprised, then, that race and sports and politics often end up as featured ingredients in the gumbo of our spiciest national conversations?
In his new book, Matt Gaetz shows he has developed a flair for the dramatic. Image via AP.
— “Newcomers are not always to be shunned, but they will have to prove themselves, like new teammates on a top-tier sports team. … Don’t tell me that it’s hateful. … It is normal to want that team of some 330 million to thrive and perfectly normal to be peeved at those who insult it, tear it down, or don’t really want to be a working part of it at all.
— “I saw the news that José Fernández died on ESPN from a D.C. hotel room. … When ESPN switched from the news of Fernández’s death to the (Colin) Kaepernick kneeling protests, I was triggered … and soon tweeting. ‘To all who will kneel during the anthem today — just remember how Jose Fernandez risked his life for the chance to stand for it.’ Instant outrage! I was only a candidate for Congress but had already made my first Washington headlines. ‘Racist!’ proclaimed the woke Left and Twitter blue-checkmark brigade. The PC police had an apprehension in progress. Screw them. I stand by the tweet.
— “I was fighting for a team called America when I made that first Tucker Carlson appearance. If you saw it and heard a hint of anger, I’m sure you also sensed the love. If you’re a sports fan, you’re familiar with that combination.”
—@realDonaldTrump: @GOP We were put in this position of power and importance to make decisions for the people who so proudly elected us, the most important of which has long been considered to be the selection of United States Supreme Court Justices. We have this obligation, without delay!
—@TomBrady: Rest In Peace to a legend. A role model. A fighter for justice and equal rights. We should all aspire to live our lives as principled as RBG lead hers. We should all aim to bring a little more love to this world.
—@DollyParton: She was small in stature but even the tallest looked up to her. Her voice was soft but her message rang loud and clear and will echo forever. Thank you, RBG. Rest In Peace. Respectfully, Dolly Parton
—@KTumulty: A Republican pollster just told me that this court fight could motivate young women to turn out this year. “They may not vote for [Joe] Biden, but they will vote for Ruth [Bader Ginsburg].”
—@RepValDemings: Republicans are now saying “we can’t have a 4-4 court on Election Day.” But that’s exactly what they did when Merrick Garland was nominated. Any reporter who takes this bad-faith argument seriously should be rightly shamed.
—@RepJoeKennedy: If he holds a vote in 2020, we pack the court in 2021. It’s that simple.
—@TheKarami: Iran’s constitution is so obscure. the head of state who is elected by another body appoints lifetime positions who get to choose whether millions of people have health care or if abortions are legal. no wait that’s the US
—@Redistrict: The best news for Biden in the four live-interview polls taken so far in Sept. (Fox, Marist, NBC/WSJ, Monmouth) may be that his numbers are holding steady among 1) seniors and 2) non-college whites — the two groups where [Donald] Trump badly needs to get closer to his ’16 numbers.
Tweet, tweet:
—@ByTimReynolds: Florida State will be unranked in Miami week for the fourth consecutive year, the longest such streak by the Seminoles since 1973-77.
Days until
First presidential debate in Indiana — 8; Preakness Stakes rescheduled — 12; Ashley Moody’s 2020 Human Trafficking Summit — 15; first vice presidential debate at the University of Utah — 16; NBA season ends (last possible date) — 22; second presidential debate scheduled in Miami — 24; NBA draft — 25; Wes Anderson’s “The French Dispatch” premieres — 25; NBA free agency — 27; Florida Chamber’s Future of Florida Forum — 29; HBO debuts 2000 presidential election doc ‘537 Votes’ — 30; third presidential debate at Belmont — 31; 2020 General Election — 43; “Black Widow” premieres — 46; NBA 2020-21 training camp — 51; The Masters begins — 52; “No Time to Die” premieres — 60; Pixar’s “Soul” premieres — 60; College basketball season slated to begin — 65; NBA 2020-21 opening night — 72; Florida Automated Vehicles Summit — 72; “Wonder Woman 1984” rescheduled premiere — 95; Super Bowl LV in Tampa — 139; “A Quiet Place Part II” rescheduled premiere — 152; “Top Gun: Maverick” rescheduled premiere — 284; new start date for 2021 Olympics — 305; “Jungle Cruise” premieres — 313; “Spider-Man Far From Home” sequel premieres — 413; “Thor: Love and Thunder” premieres — 509; “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness” premieres — 562; “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” sequel premieres — 743.
RBG
“Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, champion of gender equality, dies at 87” via Nina Totenberg of NPR — Ginsburg, the demure firebrand who in her 80s became a legal, cultural and feminist icon, died Friday. The Supreme Court announced her death, saying the cause was complications from metastatic cancer of the pancreas. The court, in a statement, said Ginsburg died at her home in Washington, D.C., surrounded by family. She was 87. “Our nation has lost a justice of historic stature,” Chief Justice John Roberts said. “We at the Supreme Court have lost a cherished colleague. Today we mourn but with confidence that future generations will remember Ruth Bader Ginsburg as we knew her, a tireless and resolute champion of justice.” Architect of the legal fight for women’s rights in the 1970s, Ginsburg subsequently served 27 years on the nation’s highest court, becoming its most prominent member.
RIP to an icon of American jurisprudence … and feminism.
“A ‘precise female’” via Edith Roberts of The Washington Post — The most gratifying words of praise I’ve ever received were also the tersest: “Just right,” penciled in the margin of a draft opinion I had written as a clerk at the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. The author of those words, Ginsburg, died on Friday at the age of 87. She will be remembered as a woman who always knew exactly what she wanted to say and who worked tirelessly to get everything she did just right. In conversation, she often paused for long spaces of time as she considered her next words, making you think she had finished with her train of thought. To fill what you assumed was an awkward silence, you blurted out some ill-considered words, then listened as she proceeded gracefully to her logical conclusion, unfazed by your clumsy interruption. Her editing style was, well, just as focused. This slow talker, ruthless editor and die-hard romantic wanted to make sure that every woman could find her best place.
“The Ginsburg fandom was never frivolous” via Megan Garber of The Atlantic — Ginsburg herself saw her life experience — the discrimination she faced, as a woman and a mother — as essential to her interpretation of the Constitution. She knew in her bones what it is to be seen, by other people and by the law, as less than. (“If you want to understand how an underestimated woman changed the world and is still out there doing the work,” the introduction to the book Notorious RBG reads. “We got you.”) She took for granted that wisdom is not a matter of separation from the facts of everyday life; wisdom comes from a deep acquaintance with those facts. “As we live, we can learn,” she noted. She added: “It’s important to listen.”
“Ginsburg had a vision for America. Her colleagues thwarted it.” via Linda Hirshman of The Washington Post — Ginsburg believed in the Constitution and the Supreme Court that enforced it. Even when she was just Ruth (Kiki) Bader, she learned from her mentor, Cornell’s great civil libertarian Robert Cushman, that American salvation lay in the rule of law and the institutions set up to protect it. Cushman was resisting the terrible depredations of Sen. Joseph McCarthy. She went to law school because she learned from him that the law could help in ways no other power could. This was a very strategic form of idealism. When her feminist law students alerted her to the myriad ways the law discriminated against women, she did not go to the streets; she went to the law library and put together the first course and casebook on women and the law.
“How Jewish history and the Holocaust fueled Ginsburg’s quest for justice” via Gillian Brockell of The Washington Post — The Passover story we retell is replete with miracles. But unlike our ancestors in their Exodus from Egypt, our way is unlikely to be advanced by miraculous occurrences. In striving to drain dry the waters of prejudice and oppression, we must rely on measures of our own creation, upon the wisdom of our laws and the decency of our institutions, upon our reasoning minds and our feeling hearts. And as a constant spark to carry on, upon our vivid memories of the evils we wish to banish from our world. In our long struggle for a more just world, our memories are among our most powerful resources. May the memory of those who perished remain vibrant to all who dwell in this fair land, people of every color and creed.
“What Ginsburg taught me about being a stay-at-home dad” via Ryan Park of The Atlantic — During my year at the Court, I sought to understand how the Boss (as clerks tend to refer to their justices at the Court) managed to successfully balance her family and career. She shared many tactical pointers, offering her views on the virtues of au pairs over other forms of child care, the advantages of having an extended period between children, and the art of recognizing and cultivating a child’s interests and talents. But the most important and enduring advice she gave was the most seemingly banal: “be a good partner” and “take breaks.” What the data show, I think, is that “having it all” — even at different times — may well be impossible for most people.
“Donald Trump says he will move ‘without delay’ to fill Ginsburg’s Supreme Court seat” via Robert Barnes, Seung Min Kim and Josh Dawsey of The Washington Post — Trump said Saturday that he will nominate a woman in the next week to fill Justice Ginsburg’s seat on the Supreme Court, opening a ferocious political battle that could transform the nation’s highest court and alter the presidential election. At a rally Saturday night in Fayetteville, N.C., Trump told supporters that he had not yet chosen a nominee, but “it will be a woman, a very talented, very brilliant woman.” The crowd chanted “Fill that seat!” Even as flags were lowered to half-staff and mourners filled the plaza of the Supreme Court where Ginsburg served for 27 years as a liberal icon, the President and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell contemplated her successor. As he was leaving the White House on Saturday evening, Trump said that an announcement could come within a week and that he prefers a Senate vote before the election.
Donald Trump vows to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg with another female justice. Image via Getty.
“Trump considers Miami-born judge Barbara Lagoa for Ginsburg’s seat” via Martin Vassolo of the Miami Herald — Trump is considering Lagoa, a Miami-born federal appellate court judge, for a spot on the Supreme Court following the death of JusticeGinsburg on Friday, according to multiple news reports. Lagoa, a 52-year-old Cuban American raised in Hialeah, currently serves on the U.S. 11th Circuit Court of Appeals. She is on a list of possible Supreme Court replacements that Trump published earlier this month. Lagoa is one of two women on Trump’s shortlist along with Judge Amy Coney Barrett of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit, according to news reports. As he departed the White House on Saturday for a political rally in North Carolina, Trump said his pick would “most likely” be a woman. While he said he does not personally known Lagoa, Trump said he knew she was “highly respected” in Miami.
“The reason why Trump might delay replacing Ginsburg” via Tim Alberta of POLITICO — If there’s one Republican who could be convinced that filling the sudden Supreme Court vacancy is a bad idea, it’s Trump. There’s no question that the passing of Ginsburg, the trailblazing liberal justice who died Friday at age 87, gives the GOP an opportunity that appears too good to pass up. By replacing Ginsburg with a conservative jurist, Republicans would cement a durable right-wing majority on the high court, one that could deal crippling blows to the left on issues ranging from gun laws to affirmative action to abortion rights. It would seem a no-brainer to any conservative ideologue: With Trump trailing in the polls, and fewer than seven weeks until Election Day, Republicans should act immediately to lock down one branch of the federal government.
“What Republican Senators say in private” via Edward Isaac-Dovere of The Atlantic — Republican Senators have two choices: They can support a President they think is a threat to American democracy while also violating Senate Majority Leader McConnell’s invented 2016 rule about not confirming justices in an election year, or they can oppose Trump, enraging both him and their progressively cultish base. “If they try to shove something through, I think you’re going to see some of these Republicans who hate Trump fall on the horrible sword of ‘This country is dangerously divided right now; the hypocrisy is horrible; if we do something like this, it will tear the country apart,’” says Joe Walsh, the former Republican representative from Illinois.
“Arizona Senate race could play crucial role in confirmation” via Jonathan J. Cooper of The Associated Press — If Arizona Democrat Mark Kelly wins a seat in the U.S. Senate, he could take office as early as Nov. 30, shrinking the GOP’s Senate majority at a crucial moment and complicating the path to confirmation for Trump’s Supreme Court nominee. Kelly has maintained a consistent polling lead over Republican Sen. Martha McSally, who was appointed to the seat held by John McCain, who died in 2018. Because the contest is a special election to finish McCain’s term, the winner could be sworn in as soon as the results are officially certified. Other winners in the November election won’t take office until January. Trump has pledged to nominate a replacement for Ginsburg, a liberal icon who died Friday, and Senate Majority Leader McConnell vowed that Trump’s nominee “will receive a vote on the floor of the United States Senate.”
“Joe Biden’s court vacancy plan: More talk of health care and the pandemic” via Shane Goldmacher, Katie Glueck and Thomas Kaplan of The New York Times — For months Biden has condemned Trump as a failed steward of the nation’s well-being, relentlessly framing the 2020 election as a referendum on the President’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Now, confronted with a moment that many believe will upend the 2020 election, the death of Ginsburg and the prospect of a bitter Supreme Court confirmation battle, Biden’s campaign is sticking to what it believes is a winning strategy. Campaign aides said Saturday they would seek to link the court vacancy to the health emergency gripping the country and the future of health care in America. While confirmation fights have long centered on hot-button cultural divides such as guns and especially abortion, the Biden campaign, at least at the start, plans to chiefly focus on protecting the Affordable Care Act and its popular guarantee of coverage for people with preexisting conditions.
“Republicans are usually more fired up over the Supreme Court. Now, polls say Democrats are.” via Sahil Kapur of NBC News — National and battleground state surveys taken before Ginsburg died showed that voters trust Biden more than Trump to pick a Supreme Court nominee and that Democrats rate the court as more important to their votes than Republicans do. A Fox News poll this month found that likely voters trust Biden over Trump by 52% to 45% in nominating the next Supreme Court justice. A Marquette Law School national poll that was completed three days before Ginsburg died found that 59% of Biden voters rated the Supreme Court as “very important” to their votes; 51% of Trump voters said the same. Among Democrats, 56% said the next appointment was “very important,” higher than the 48% of Republicans who said the same.
Sally
“Hurricane Sally: 600 rescued, 1 believed dead of generator fumes, disaster aid likely “forthcoming’” via Kevin Robinson of the Pensacola News Journal — There’s no official date on when a federal official will declare Hurricane Sally a “major disaster” and release the floodgate of federal funds needed for long-term recovery and restoration efforts in Northwest Florida. Still, after touring the damage in Escambia and Santa Rosa counties on Saturday, a contingent of state, local and federal officials said the declaration will likely be coming soon. “I was just on the phone with the chief of staff at the White House, and there’s no delay in the processing of that (major disaster declaration),” U.S. Rep. Gaetz said at a news conference Saturday. “It just takes a little bit more time, when you don’t have a windstorm event, to assess the damage that individuals and businesses have encountered. But it is absolutely my expectation after talking with the White House moments ago, that will be forthcoming.”
It may take a little time to declare Hurricane Sally a ‘major disaster.’ Image via AP.
“Early Sally damage assessments show $29 million in damage to roads and public buildings” via Jim Little of the Pensacola News Journal — More than 24 hours after Hurricane Sally made landfall, nearly $29 million of damage has been assessed to public infrastructure in Escambia County and Pensacola, but that number is likely to grow. Officials from both Escambia County and the city of Pensacola have been out making initial assessments of damage to roads, bridges and public buildings. In just the first day, Escambia County has found at least $21 million in damage to public infrastructure, according to county spokeswoman Laura Coale.
“Panama City, Bay County better prepared for Sally with lessons from Michael” via Jacqueline Bostick of the Panama City News-Herald — In the first 24 hours of dry weather, local officials made their initial assessments on storm preparation and damage from a sluggish Hurricane Sally that drenched the Panhandle last week. Considering Bay County was outside its direct path, the category 2 hurricane made an unanticipated impact. A floodgate of waters rushed up to 3 feet in some areas, resulting in crumbled roads, fallen trees, sewer sanitation overflows and flooding catastrophic enough that fire departments responded to more than a dozen of home rescues. FEMA officials were on the ground assessing damage on Friday. Bay County Emergency Management Specialist Frankie Lumm expects support for individual and public assistance. “To be honest, we weren’t supposed to get anything at all,” Lumm said regarding storm damage. “So, we have more damage from the initial onset because we weren’t supposed to get as much (rain and wind) as we did.”
“Lineworkers come from 24 states to help Pensacola get the power back on” via Kirsten Fiscus of the Pensacola News Journal — Since Tuesday, before Hurricane Sally made landfall in Gulf Shores, Alabama, Duke and his fellow lineman have been responding to various locations across Escambia and Santa Rosa counties working on downed power lines. He and the nearly 8,000 linemen in the area will easily work 100 hours during storm recovery. It’s a job marked by long hours, dangerous conditions, and the possibility of more troublesome hot and distressed residents. The goal is to have 95% of customers’ power restored by the end of Tuesday, said Gordon Paulus, a spokesman for Gulf Power. By Saturday afternoon. About 80,000 customers were still without power across Escambia and Santa Rosa counties. The process by which crews restore power is fairly regimented. First and foremost power is restored to critical resources, like hospitals, first responder stations and water plants. Crews begin at a substation and follow a feeder power line from the station to assess the damage. Once they understand the extent of the repairs needed, they create a plan and get to work.
“Escambia desperately awaits ‘major disaster’ declaration from FEMA for Sally recovery” via Jim Little of the Pensacola News Journal — Local governments are faced with a huge cleanup bill from Hurricane Sally if the federal government doesn’t declare the storm a “major disaster.” Escambia County Administrator Janice Gilley said at a news conference Friday that the county would likely not be able to pay for the cleanup and recovery cost without aid from the federal government. “We’re talking a lot of money to provide the recovery and response that’s needed, certainly more than the county probably has,” Gilley said. “And so that’s why it’s extremely important.” Escambia County and the city of Pensacola have teams assessing the damage to buildings from Hurricane Sally, and have so far found an initial assessment of nearly $29 million to public infrastructure.
Escambia County is waiting for a ‘major disaster’ declaration that opens the door for federal aid. Image via WBTM.
“Escambia leaders plead with public to stay off roads, be patient at gas pumps” via Jim Little of the Pensacola News Journal — Escambia County leaders are pleading with the public to stay off the roads as crews work to restore power and respond to emergencies. “Please, please, please, do not be on the roads if it’s not an emergency, and you don’t have to,” Escambia County Administrator Janice Gilley said Friday morning during a news conference. “We have had a couple of accidents at intersections due to the fact that obviously there are still outages with our traffic signals, and people sometimes just don’t follow the four-way stop rules.” Escambia County Sheriff David Morgan said people should only leave their homes to get fuel or food or if it is an emergency.
Tweet, tweet:
“Officials expect three weeks needed to repair Bob Sikes Bridge leading to Pensacola Beach” via C.D. Davidson-Hiers of the Pensacola News Journal — Escambia County officials expect to reopen another lane of the Bob Sikes Bridge leading to Pensacola Beach in a week and estimate the entire bridge will reopen in three weeks or less. “We expect engineering to be complete today and the notice to proceed by end of day (Monday),” Escambia County Commissioner Robert Bender said on Sunday of crews beginning work to refortify the bridge after Hurricane Sally. Officials closed the southbound bridge lanes after the hurricane caused heavy storm erosion. Officials also put a checkpoint at the base of the bridge on the northern side, slowing traffic to allow only residents and those with commercial business on the island to pass.
“Walton County Fire Rescue saves 8 pets from flooded Darlington home” via Savannah Evanoff of the NWF Daily News — Floodwaters filled and surrounded a woman’s home Wednesday, leaving no way for her many pets to escape. Luckily, members of Walton County Fire Rescue were nearby and led the rescue of eight pets. Lonnie Thomas, a firefighter and emergency medical technician for Walton County Fire Rescue, carries a caged cat while evacuating eight pets from a woman’s home in Darlington flooded after Hurricane Sally. Jeremy Radney, the Fire Rescue training division chief, was assisting with a wreck off U.S. Highway 331 when lieutenants called him to Darlington to check on three houses that were flooded. Hers was one of them. The other homeowners opted to stay instead of evacuating and didn’t need help, he said. “She drove up on the car and she told us her house was there,” Radney said. “We were told by the neighbors that basically no one lived there. That wasn’t the case. It was her house.”
“Why thousands of starfish washed up on Navarre Beach after Sally” via Annie Blanks of the Pensacola News Journal — Thousands of starfish washed up on Navarre Beach after Hurricane Sally, a grim parting gift from the tropical cyclone that devastated the Florida Panhandle last week. The starfish washed up overnight Friday and were discovered Saturday morning, according to Danny Fureigh, chief of Navarre Beach Fire Rescue. Fureigh said he’s seen such a phenomenon once before, a few years ago, but never anything of this magnitude. “There are thousands and thousands of them,” he said, noting that they were present pretty much from the Turner House (the lifeguard headquarters) all the way to Opal Beach. Fureigh suspects the mass starfish beaching has something to do with water toxicity following the hurricane. The water quality was so bad Friday that Navarre lifeguards flew double red flags.
The models
To get a reasonable idea of how the presidential race is playing out, state polling is the way to go — particularly in battleground states like Florida. There are outlets that offer a poll of polls, gauging how Trump or Biden are doing in select areas, then averaging the polls to get a general idea of who leads nationwide. Sunburn will be updating these forecasts as they come in:
CNN Poll of Polls: As of Sunday, the CNN average gives Biden the lead at 51% compared to 44% for Trump. The CNN Poll of Polls tracks the national average in the race for President. They include the most recent national telephone polls which meet CNN’s standards for reporting and which measure the views of registered or likely voters. The poll of polls does not have a margin of sampling error.
FiveThirtyEight.com: As of Sunday, Biden has moved up to a 77 in 100 chance of winning compared to Trump, who has a 23 in 100 shot. FiveThirtyEight also ranked individual states by the likelihood of delivering a decisive vote for the winning candidate in the Electoral College: Pennsylvania leads with 32.8%, while Florida comes in second with 13.8 %. Other states include Wisconsin (9.8%), Arizona (6.6%), Michigan (5.8%), North Carolina (4.8%), Nevada (3.7%) and Minnesota (3.1%).
In polls of recent polling, Joe Biden is maintaining a lead.
PredictIt: As of Sunday, the PredictIt trading market has Biden in the lead, at $0.58 a share, with Trump moving up slightly to $0.46.
Real Clear Politics: As of Sunday, the RCP average of polling top battleground states gives Biden a lead over Trump 49.2% to 43.9%. Nearly every recent poll used in the RCP model has Biden up from anywhere between 5 and 9 points.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: The Trial-Heat and Convention Bump Forecasting Models have an excellent record for accurate predictions of the presidential elections going back to 1992. Forecasting models depend on applying electoral history to the current election, but 2020 is historically abnormal (at least, in the period since 1948). The greatest challenge for forecasting this year is how the catastrophic second quarter GDP should be treated. Based on Trump’s approval ratings, in general, and on the economy, as well as the projected third-quarter GDP growth rates, the forecasts should depend exclusively on the preference polls, and they point to another extremely close election.
The Economist: As of Sunday, their model thinks Biden is very likely to beat Trump in the Electoral College. The model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict a range of outcomes. The midpoint is the estimate of the electoral-college vote for each party on Election Day. According to The Economist, Biden’s chances of winning the electoral college around 7 in 8 or 87%; Trump’s chances are around 1 in 8 or 13%. They still gives Biden a 97% chance of winning the most votes, with Trump at only 3%.
Presidential
“Ginsburg’s death crystallizes the choice in November as no other issue can” via Dan Balz of The Washington Post — In a year that has included impeachment, a pandemic, economic turmoil and a reckoning on race, the death of Supreme Court Justice Ginsburg crystallizes the choice in November as perhaps none of the other issues can. Nothing quite captures the national disquiet over the future of the country as the passing of one of the most iconic and best-known jurists in history and the vacuum that her death has now created. If there was hope that the November election might result in an outcome that could begin to settle the country, the odds of that lengthened with the first reports on Friday night of her death after a long battle with cancer. For those on the left, the passing of the revered justice is a potentially cataclysmic event, opening up the possibility that her seat on the court could be filled by someone who would cement a conservative majority for years. For those on the right, the vacancy to be filled presents the rarest of opportunities to fulfill a decadeslong drive to change the court for a generation or more.
Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death is mobilizing the electorate on both sides.
“Ginsburg’s death draws big surge of donations to Democrats” via Brian Slodysko of The Associated Press — Democrats raised more than $71 million in the hours after Supreme Court Justice Ginsburg’s death, demonstrating how the liberal icon’s passing and the contentious nomination fight that lies ahead have already galvanized the party’s base. The jaw-dropping sum was raised by 9 p.m. Saturday after news of her death broke late Friday, according to a donation ticker on the website of ActBlue, the party’s online fundraising platform. The 2020 campaign, which will decide control of the White House and the Senate, had already delivered record-shattering fundraising totals for the Democrats, a sign of the motivation within the party to rebuke Trump on Election Day. But Ginsburg’s death brought new impetus to the campaign, particularly after Trump and Senate Majority Leader McConnell both pledged to move forward with finding a new justice.
“Voting begins in Florida as military families, overseas residents cast ballots by fax” via the Miami Herald — Voting is quietly underway in the Florida presidential election. The race between President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden won’t be decided until Nov. 3, and millions of mail ballots won’t be sent to in-state addresses until next week. But by Thursday, dozens of military families living away from home and Florida residents living overseas had already cast their ballots. At least 81 UOCAVA ballots — an acronym referring to the 1986 Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act — have been returned, according to the Florida Division of Elections. Of the votes received, 42 were cast by Democrats, 29 by Republicans.
“After a tumultuous month of news, Biden maintains national lead over Trump” via Mark Murray of NBC News — After a month of political conventions, fresh controversies, more protests and additional deaths from the coronavirus, the 2020 presidential race remains where’s it’s been for months with Biden leading Trump nationally by nearly double digits, and with a majority of voters opposing the President. Those are the results of a new poll, which finds Biden ahead by 8 points among registered voters, 51% to 43%, with more than 50% of voters disapproving of Trump’s job performance and with Trump holding the advantage on the economy and Biden holding the edge on the coronavirus. What’s more, the poll shows that close to 90% of voters have firmly made up their minds, and that seven-in-10 believe the upcoming debates aren’t that important in deciding their vote.
“Biden’s polling lead nears magic number” via Steven Shepard of POLITICO — All summer long, we’ve been warned: Yes, Biden is ahead in the polls, but so was Hillary Clinton. There’s one key difference that’s often overlooked, though. Biden is much closer to the magic 50% mark, both nationally and in key Electoral College battleground states. That puts Trump in a significantly worse situation, needing to not only attract skeptical undecided voters but also peel supporters away from Biden, whose poll numbers have been remarkably durable. According to the latest RealClearPolitics average, Biden is sitting at 49.3% in national surveys and has a 6.2 percentage point lead over Trump. That’s significantly higher than Clinton’s 44.9% mark this time four years ago, which was good for only a 1 point lead.
Joe Biden’s polling is approaching the magic number of 50%. Image via AP.
“Cash-strapped Trump campaign awaits a bailout from big donors” via Alex Isenstadt of POLITICO — Republican Party megadonors are racing to bail out Trump’s cash-strapped reelection campaign, with a newly formed super PAC pouring a further $25 million into battleground states. Preserve America is set to begin running a trio of TV commercials savaging Biden as Republicans express growing alarm over the President’s absence from the airwaves. Trump — who went dark for part of August and has since canceled advertising in key states — is being outspent more than 2-to-1 by Biden this week, according to the media tracking firm Advertising Analytics.
“Trump campaign manager didn’t vote for his boss in 2016 — or at all” via Colby Itkowitz of The Washington Post — Trump’s campaign manager didn’t vote for his boss in the last presidential election. He didn’t vote at all. The last time Bill Stepien voted, according to public records, was in 2015, when he lived in New Jersey and was registered there. Stepien registered to vote in Washington, D.C., where he has been living since 2017, at the end of July, two weeks after he was tapped to take over Trump’s reelection bid. Stepien, a onetime aide to former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, first joined Trump’s team in August 2016. A senior campaign official said Stepien requested an absentee ballot that never arrived, so he did not vote in 2016. He was not registered in either New Jersey or Washington to vote in the 2018 midterm elections.
“From door knockers to flotillas: Trump campaign claims high energy in Florida” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — The Florida campaign brain trust for Trump‘s reelection bid say they’re seeing supporters’ enthusiasm riding high, as reflected in crowds, canvassing efforts, volunteers, turnouts, and even in boat parades. Susie Wiles, Florida senior adviser to the campaign and a longtime go-to for Republicans’ Sunshine State must-win efforts, says she’s perhaps seeing more enthusiasm than in 2016 when tens of thousands of volunteers, all zealous to help, turned out to drive Trump’s surprise victory. “It could be a bigger number than in 2016. That was the most I had ever seen, but it is more than it was then,” Wiles said.
“Will Florida’s referendums help or hurt Trump?” via Skylar Swisher of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — It’s a political chess move used by strategists on both sides of the aisle: Put referendums on the ballot that fire up your voters and get them to the polls. This year is no different in Florida. And with Trump and Biden in a dead heat, every vote matters in the fiercely fought election battleground. On one side, Amendment 1 would change the state constitution to specify that only citizens can vote in elections in Florida. It wouldn’t have much practical effect since noncitizens are already barred from voting under state law, but it’s an issue that will play well with Trump’s supporters. On the other side, Amendment 2 would raise the minimum wage to $15 per hour by 2026, a progressive priority that could energize more liberal voters who aren’t excited by Biden.
“Trump may approve drug imports from Canada in move aimed at Florida” via Phil Galewitz of the Tampa Bay Times — Over the objections of drugmakers, the Trump administration is expected within weeks to finalize its plan that would allow states to import some prescription medicines from Canada. Six states, Colorado, Florida, Maine, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Vermont, have passed laws allowing them to seek federal approval to buy drugs from Canada to give their residents access to lower-cost medicines. But industry observers say the drug importation proposal under review by the administration is squarely aimed at Florida — the most populous swing state in the November election. Trump’s support of the idea initially came at the urging of DeSantis, a close Republican ally.
“2020 has been a big year for Trump in Jupiter. Will it help in November?” via Sam Howard of The Palm Beach Post — A four-piece band rocked out to songs lambasting CNN and Democrat Biden. People, some with flags bearing Trump’s name, swarmed the corner of Alternate A1A and U.S. 1. The crowd buzzed as it awaited a split-second glimpse of Trump in his motorcade. This is Jupiter in 2020. When the President visited town this month, it became the latest installment in a year that has commanded attention toward his supporters in the Jupiter area. A red outlier in reliably blue Palm Beach County, Jupiter has been inextricably linked to the President in 2020. In addition to the presidential visit, which attracted a few hundred people near the busy street corner, there have been large Trump boat parades that kicked off near the Jupiter Inlet. The President owns a golf club in Jupiter. And in January, the President’s supporters packed Jupiter’s Lighthouse Diner for a chance to be featured on Fox News’ signature morning show, a Trump personal favorite.
Donald Trump is a big hit in Jupiter. Will the rest of Florida follow suit? Image via AP.
“Trump-Biden race may hinge on how Pinellas County swings on COVID-19” via Margo Snipe and Phil Galewitz — Betty Jones voted for Trump in 2016, but the lifelong Republican has her doubts she will do it again this year. The federal response to the coronavirus pandemic that has killed about 200,000 Americans and forced older adults to restrict their activities has her contemplating a leadership change. “(It) makes me unsure,” said Jones, 78, of Largo. Before COVID-19, she said, she would have definitely voted for Trump. Polls show many people will have the pandemic and its public health and economic consequences on their minds when they cast their votes.
“Trump visiting Jacksonville Thursday for campaign stop” via Andrew Pantazi of The Florida Times-Union — Trump’s campaign announced he will be visiting Jacksonville next Thursday at 7 p.m. at the Jacksonville International Airport. The doors open for the event at 4 p.m. Registration is available at the President’s campaign website.
“Man arrested after pro-Trump flagpole shoved at Orange Park girl” via Dan Scanlan of The Florida Times-Union — A 67-year-old man was arrested this week after a 12-year-old girl was hit in the face by a flagpole during a Trump rally in Orange Park, the Clay County Sheriff’s Office said. Norbert Eugene Logsdon Jr. of Orange Park was charged Wednesday afternoon with abuse of a child without great bodily harm and released on bail, jail records show. The incident, captured on video by the child’s mother, occurred near a shopping center at Blanding and Loch Rane boulevards, the arrest report said. A group of people were having a sidewalk support event for the Republican President, waving signs and flags just after 5:30 p.m., the report said. The mother was headed with her daughter to get some fast food when they passed the supporters. The mother yelled something as they sat in a turn lane waiting to get into the restaurant. Logsdon “got upset” and shoved his flagpole through the open right-front passenger window, the report said.
“Jill Biden planning vote turnout bus tour in Florida” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics — Former Second Lady Jill Biden is planning a bus tour rolling in Florida starting Tuesday to promote vote turnout efforts to support her husband‘s campaign for President. On Tuesday she will launch the “Turn Up and Turn Out the Vote Virtual Bus Tour” event in South Florida with the Congressional Black Caucus featuring U.S. Rep. Frederica Wilson of Miami Shores. The event will kick off at a location to be announced, at 4:15 p.m. Tuesday. The effort will focus on Joe Biden’s Build Back Better Plan for racial equity and outline the ways Floridians can cast their ballots. Attendees will learn how to engage in volunteer opportunities with the Biden for President Campaign to mobilize their communities in addition to familiarizing themselves with the Voter Protection Program, the campaign stated in a news release.
“A congressional district in Maine and one in Nebraska could decide the presidency” via Paul Kane of The Washington Post — A pair of military veterans representing swing districts in Congress have more than just their own reelection campaigns to think about in the final 45 days before ballots are counted. Reps. Don Bacon and Jared Golden come from states in which presidential electoral votes are awarded partly on the basis of results in each congressional district, making their individual campaigns all the more important, respectively, to Trump and Biden. And, as the map unfolds this fall, it’s not implausible to see the entire presidential campaign coming down to their respective districts. “Yeah, this could be the tiebreaking vote,” Bacon said in an interview outside the Capitol this week.
2020
“Big issues and big money set tone for constitutional amendment campaigns” via John Kennedy of the Sarasota Herald-Tribune — While the race for the White House dominates Florida politics, a half-dozen proposed constitutional amendments set for the same November ballot could have a dramatic effect on state elections and household incomes. These down-ballot items won’t grab voters’ attention like the clash between Trump and Biden. But some of these campaigns are driven by the same degree of dark money intrigue, outsize personalities and culture conflicts as the presidential contest. Consider Amendment 2, which would increase the state’s minimum wage to $15. The pay raise is the brainchild of John Morgan, the Orlando trial lawyer whose firm’s $4.6 million basically financed the ballot campaign, just as he did with medical marijuana measures in 2014 and 2016. “Our polling has been good,” Morgan said. “And I think it will pass because the pandemic has helped, not hurt. Think of it: There’s a new phrase in our vocabulary: essential workers. We have a much greater appreciation of essential workers.”
John Morgan is the big money behind Amendment 2.
Happening today — The Florida Chamber of Commerce will hold a conference call with business leaders. Among the topics are a proposed constitutional amendment to raise the minimum wage and a COVID-19 update, 2 p.m. Registration at flchamber.com.
“Cable networks aid felons voting effort” via The News Service of Florida — An effort to pay court-ordered costs for felons who have served their time behind bars is getting a $250,000 boost from MTV, VH1 and Comedy Central, the cable networks announced on Friday. The money will go to a “Fees and Fines” fund created by the Florida Rights Restoration Coalition in response to a controversial state law requiring felons to pay court-ordered “legal financial obligations” to be eligible to vote. The donation by ViacomCBS came a week after the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals upheld the 2019 state law, which was aimed at carrying out a 2018 constitutional amendment that restored voting rights to felons “upon completion of all terms of sentence including parole and probation.”
Happening today — Rep. Margaret Good, the Democrat challenging U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan in Florida’s 16th Congressional District, will hold an online event joined by U.S. Rep. John Sarbanes of Maryland, 7 p.m. Reporters may contact alex@margaretgood.com for more information.
“Despite controversial comments, survey shows Brian Mast leading Pam Keith in CD 18” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — A new St. Pete Polls survey has Republican Rep. Mast with an 8-point lead over his Democratic opponent, Keith. Mast earned 50% support in the survey, which ran on Friday, Sept. 18. Keith received 42% support. Nonparty affiliated candidate K.W. Miller pulled in just over 2%. Another 5% of respondents were undecided. Mast holds a lead despite earning rebukes over recently-unearthed comments from around a decade ago where he joked about sleeping with 15-year-olds and rape. People on both sides of the political spectrum have called for Mast to resign over those comments. Mast has apologized for the social media posts and resisted calls to step down. Despite the controversy, Mast’s 8-point lead sits outside the survey’s 2.9-percentage-point margin of error. The survey sampled 1,149 likely voters inside Florida’s 18th Congressional District. The poll showed Keith underperforming Democratic presidential candidate Biden inside CD 18. Biden is earning 48.5% support as compared to 48.2% for Trump.
Brian Mast takes a solid lead over Pam Keith.
Leg. campaigns
“Outside poll finds Donald Trump, Ana Maria Rodriguez with comfy leads in SD 39” via Jason Ogles of Florida Politics — A third-party poll shows Republican Rodriguez leading Democrat Javier Fernandez by six percentage points in Senate District 39. More alarming for most Democrats, the same poll shows Trump beating Biden there by the same margin. A poll by The Tyson Group shows Republicans dominating a generic ballot in the predominantly Hispanic district. If true, that means gains among South Florida Hispanics made by Democrats under President Barack Obama have largely wiped away. Results of the survey show Trump winning 48% of the district vote to Biden’s 42%, with 62% of Hispanic voters favoring the Republican incumbent and only 28% picking the Democrat. That’s in a district Democrat Clinton won 53% to Trump’s 43% in 2016.
Republican Ana Maria Rodriguez is holding a comfortable lead in SD 39, a district Hillary Clinton won in 2016.
“Al Griffiths looks to unseat Erin Grall who’s seeking her third term” via Colleen Wilson of Treasure Coast Newspapers — After seeing no Democrat opposition to Grall, Griffiths entered the race. “I just decided to do it,” said Griffiths, 71. “At least (to) give Democrats a choice.” It’s time to end the one-party control in Florida, Griffiths said, noting similar campaigns to vote out incumbent Republicans throughout the state. Griffiths, vice chairman of the Indian River County Democratic Executive Committee, said he never expected to run his own political campaign, but wanted to give voters a choice. For her part, Grall, 43, said many of the issues she prioritizes are nonpartisan. The Legislature’s Republicans and Democrats work together on many of the bills she sponsors, she said.
“Florida reports a higher number of new COVID-19 cases — 3,573 — but fewer deaths at 62” via Howard Cohen of the Miami Herald — Florida’s Department of Health on Saturday confirmed 3,573 additional cases of COVID-19, bringing the state’s known total to 681,233. That figure represents the most new cases since Sept. 11, when the state reported 3,650 cases. There were 62 Florida resident deaths announced, bringing the resident death toll to 13,287. The number of deaths has fallen to less than 100 in a day for the first time since Sept. 14. One new nonresident death was announced, bringing the nonresident toll to 163.
“How Florida’s long-term care facilities are managing the COVID-19 virus” via Amy Keller of Florida Trend — In mid-March, as Florida began to see an uptick in COVID-19 cases, DeSantis issued a temporary ban on visitors to nursing homes and assisted living facilities, where roughly 155,000 Floridians live. At the time, the state had 77 COVID cases, but it was already becoming clear that the virus hit the elderly and infirm harder than younger, healthier people. Weeks earlier, the virus had ravaged a Seattle-area nursing home, killing dozens of residents. Florida officials worried the same would happen here if they didn’t take steps to protect its most vulnerable citizens. During a news conference announcing the changes, Mary Mayhew, secretary of the state’s Agency for Health Care Administration (AHCA), noted the facilities weren’t equipped to deal with virulent respiratory pathogens in the same way that hospitals were, nor were they expected to.
“COVID-only nursing homes cited for infection control problems” via John Pacenti and Holly Baltz of the Palm Beach Post — DeSantis’ touted the state’s own solution back in May to relieve hospitals: Seniors who still tested positive for the novel coronavirus but were well on the road to recovery. Florida ended up designating 23 isolation centers before DeSantis’ administration abruptly — and surprisingly — reversed course, announcing it was shutting down the project by stopping admissions at all the facilities by Oct. 1. The isolation centers were quite lucrative for the industry at taxpayers’ expense. Yet, one-third of the isolation centers picked had spotty records on infection control or financial issues that could affect the care of the patients most vulnerable to the disease, a Palm Beach Post investigation found.
Ron DeSantis abruptly canceled a program to place coronavirus infected seniors in COVID-only facilities.
“Florida’s smallest counties getting second round of CARES Act funding” via Renzo Downey of Florida Politics — Counties with fewer than half a million residents will receive a second round of CARES Act funding from the state, the latest in a series of distributions started in June to total $1.3 billion in federal assistance. DeSantis announced the second batch of cash Friday, which will send $255 million to 55 of the state’s 67 counties. That’s on top of $318.8 million sent in June to the selection of counties. Counties above the 500,000 population threshold already received $2.5 billion from the United States Treasury. To win funding from the second disbursement, counties must show how they spent the initial set of aid. The counties must also outline a spending plan for the additional funds. Additional disbursements beyond this second round will be considered on a reimbursement basis, according to the Governor’s Office. That’s because the state is responsible for repaying the federal government for ineligible expenditures.
“Special needs students struggle to adapt to on-screen, hands-off learning amid pandemic” via Linda Robertson and Colleen Wright of the Miami Herald — For about 14% of the Miami-Dade student population, those enrolled in Exceptional Student Education or ESE programs with a wide range of disorders and disabilities, adjustments are tough. They and their teachers are obligated to follow blueprints called Individualized Education Plans mandated by the federal Individuals with Disabilities Education Act. They need routine, repetition, predictability and hands-on personal instruction to thrive. Many receive physical, occupational and speech therapy daily at school. Social skills can degrade rapidly if autistic or anxious kids slip into their isolation comfort mode. Nor can teachers teaching from afar read students’ physical cues and nuances to help them behave appropriately in social situations.
Corona local
“New plan has some Broward students returning Oct. 5, others a week later on Oct. 12” via Brooke Baitinger of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Not every student in Broward County will return to campus on Oct. 5, according to the latest version of Broward schools’ reopening plan. The Broward school district now proposes a two-stage approach: some students would return Oct. 5, and others one week later on Oct. 12. Staff will use the additional week to figure out how to space students with physical distance to minimize the spread of COVID-19. The school board will discuss the plan on Tuesday. Students at elementary and K-8 schools would return Oct. 5, if the plan is finalized as it reads now. A typical classroom can seat about 14 students while maintaining social distancing, so school staff will need to figure out how much extra space is needed for when middle and high school students return on Oct. 12, according to the document.
“Palm Beach County Commissioner rips critics for attack on COVID-19-positive daughter” via Hannah Morse of The Palm Beach Post — After Palm Beach County Commissioner Melissa McKinlay announced Tuesday that her youngest daughter was in the emergency room with COVID-19, an anti-mask advocate posted screenshots claiming to show the hypocrisy of McKinlay pushing coronavirus safety precautions on the public while letting her own daughter defy them. In response, McKinlay shot back with a fiery missive of her own. “To All the Assholes out there who think my daughter’s old video lip-syncing a silly song with one of her best friends that she recorded with her roommate in her living room a few weeks ago who assume WRONGLY that she was out in Orlando while having COVID, you are SICK,” McKinlay posted on her County Commission Facebook page.
Palm Beach County Commissioner Melissa McKinley rips critics for an attack on her COVID-positive daughter.
“Eviction moratorium keeps Miami illegal Airbnb in business despite court order” via Taylor Dolven of the Miami Herald — The four-bedroom, four-bathroom house at 130 SW 24th Road had new people coming in and out nearly every day. It is a full-time vacation house rented to tourists on Airbnb, in violation of the city’s code. In July, a judge granted Miami-Dade police the power to physically remove the tenant from the property. But the tenant, in this case, is Vacayo Inc., a California-based short-term rental management company that helps landlords benefit from “the booming cottage industry” of Airbnb. The state’s eviction moratorium and the county’s emergency order are meant to prevent making tenants homeless during the pandemic. But for tenants who are actually short-term rental companies, the measures are providing a loophole to keep business booming.
More local
“FSU threatens suspensions for students flouting its COVID-19 guidelines” via Byron Dobson of the Tallahassee Democrat — Florida State University President John Thrasher has an ultimatum for students flouting the university’s COVID-19 precautions: Do it again and you’re suspended. “I want to reiterate that violations to our health and safety protocols, both on and off-campus, are subject to serious disciplinary action,” Thrasher said Friday in a campus message. “Students who endanger the community with actions such as hosting or attending a large party or gathering will be subject to suspension.” He also announced new policies regarding football game days would be forthcoming. That comes after scores of what appeared to be student fans were caught on camera maskless during last Saturday’s Georgia Tech game. Thrasher’s warning also comes as hundreds of FSU students are testing positive for coronavirus, with a 12.9% positivity rate for test results through Sept. 11, according to the university.
“Florida State football coach Mike Norvell announces he’s tested positive for COVID-19” via Curt Weiler of the Tallahassee Democrat — Norvell has tested positive for COVID-19. The first-year head coach announced Saturday via a statement shared by FSU that he tested positive in Friday’s round of testing after testing negative in each of the previous two tests earlier this week. Norvell’s required quarantine is expected to extend past next weekend, meaning he won’t be on the sidelines for the Seminoles’ game at Miami Sept. 26. FSU Athletic Director David Coburn, in another statement, said he has no reason to believe the Miami game is in jeopardy at this point. The CDC recommends anyone with a positive coronavirus test isolate for 10 days. Norvell also announced deputy head coach Chris Thomsen will be in charge of the team as it prepares to face the Hurricanes.
Corona nation
“CDC drops controversial testing advice that caused backlash” via Mike Stobbe of The Associated Press — U.S. health officials on Friday dropped a controversial piece of coronavirus guidance and said anyone who has been in close contact with an infected person should get tested. The CDC essentially returned to its previous testing guidance, getting rid of language posted last month that said people didn’t need to get tested if they didn’t feel sick. That change had set off a rash of criticism from health experts who couldn’t fathom why the nation’s top public health agency would say such a thing amid the pandemic. It was “not consistent with the basic principles of controlling an epidemic,” said Dr. Silvia Chiang, a pediatric infectious diseases expert at Brown University who applauded the change announced Friday. The C.D.C. now says anyone who has been within 6 feet of an infected person for at least 15 minutes should get a test. In a statement, the agency called the changes a “clarification” that was needed “due to the significance of asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission.”
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Dr. Robert Redfield dropped a controversial piece of coronavirus guidance and now suggests anyone in close contact with an infected person should get tested. Image via AP.
“Trump acknowledges that distribution of an authorized vaccine for ‘every American’ may not be until next year.” via The New York Times — Trump sought on Friday to recalibrate his assurances on vaccine availability, acknowledging that authorized doses might not be widely available in the United States until next spring even if distribution starts earlier. Speaking at the White House, Trump said that once a vaccine is authorized, “distribution will begin within 24 hours after notice.” He added: “We will have manufactured at least 100 million vaccine doses before the end of the year. And likely much more than that. Hundreds of millions of doses will be available every month, and we expect to have enough vaccines for every American by April.” The President had said earlier that a vaccine would be available to “the general public immediately” once it is authorized, and although he held firm on that pledge, he acknowledged that it would take perhaps months from that point to distribute vaccines to hundreds of millions of Americans.
Corona economics
“State jobless rate drops to 7.4%” via Jim Turner of The News Service of Florida — That represented a major decrease from an adjusted 11.4% mark in July amid an accelerated push to reopen businesses. The new rate, an estimate from mid-August, projected 753,000 Floridians were jobless from a labor force of 10.138 million people. The state lost nearly 1.18 million nonagricultural jobs from February to April as the pandemic hit, but it has gained back 631,600, according to the Department of Economic Opportunity. The new figures provide a snapshot of the state before DeSantis recently allowed Palm Beach, Miami-Dade and Broward counties to join the second phase of an economic reopening effort that began in early June.
Florida’s jobless rate has dipped considerably in August. Image via AP.
“Six months of pandemic have profoundly changed Florida’s restaurants” via Helen Freund of the Tampa Bay Times — Across the country, about 100,000 restaurants have either closed permanently or long-term. Close to 3 million employees in the restaurant sector remain out of work. In Florida, roughly 598,000 restaurant workers were furloughed or laid off during the shutdown. When the state shut down, Tampa Bay restaurants had been operating at limited capacity for a few weeks. David Benstock, the owner of downtown St. Petersburg Italian restaurant Il Ritorno, recalls having this thought: Tear everything up and hope it doesn’t last too long. “The only thing that you really can do is control your costs,” Benstock said. So Benstock laid off 31 employees at Il Ritorno, and a few more at his neighboring salad spot, Greenstock.
More corona
“COVID-19 grows less deadly as doctors gain practice, drugs improve” via Olivia Raimonde of Bloomberg — COVID-19 continues to kill close to 1,000 Americans a day. But for those who develop dangerous cases of the infection, advances in medical care and the growing experience of doctors are improving the chances of survival. Since the first case arrived in the U.S. at the start of the year, medical professionals have gone from fumbling in the dark to better understanding which drugs work — such as steroids and blood thinners, and the antiviral medicine remdesivir. The allocation of intensive medical resources has improved. And doctors have learned to hold off on the use of ventilators for some patients, unlike with many other severe respiratory illnesses. Doctors and experts say that improved medical tactics and earlier treatment are helping improve the outcomes for very sick patients, said Andrew Badley, head of Mayo Clinic’s COVID-19 Research Task Force.
“Nearly 11,000 people have been exposed to the coronavirus on flights, the CDC says” via Ian Duncan of The Washington Post — The CDC investigated 1,600 cases of people who flew while at risk of spreading the coronavirus, identifying nearly 11,000 people who potentially were exposed to the virus on flights. But though the agency says some of those travelers subsequently fell ill, in the face of incomplete contact tracing information and a virus that incubates over several days, it has not been able to confirm a case of transmission on a plane. That does not mean it hasn’t happened, and recent scientific studies have documented likely cases of transmission on flights abroad. “An absence of cases identified or reported is not evidence that there were no cases,” said Caitlin Shockey, a spokeswoman for the CDC’s Division of Global Migration and Quarantine.
“Millions of children may miss pandemic food aid as states scramble to meet new Trump administration mandate” via Helena Bottemiller Evich of POLITICO — It was a program that had been running remarkably smoothly after being set up quickly during a pandemic. The little-known program, called Pandemic-EBT, or P-EBT, was created by Congress earlier this year to help make up for free and subsidized meals that children were missing while schools were either shut down or run virtually due to coronavirus. Now, it appears most states will not have the option to give more aid this month. The problem is that the Agriculture Department has made it too cumbersome to distribute another round of benefits before funding runs out on Sept. 30. Congressional leaders and the White House have failed to get anywhere close to a deal on another round of stimulus aid, and Congress has yet to pass a spending bill to keep the government funded past the end of the fiscal year.
“Where are all the kindergartners? Pandemic creates rare gap year” via Mackenzie Mays of POLITICO — Given the choice, parents have sought alternatives, especially essential workers who need child care to stay employed. School administrators are imploring families to enroll their kindergartners, fearing a loss of attendance-based dollars. And while affluent families can still find ways to give their 5-year-olds enrichment activities, low-income children may be losing out on a full year of instruction. “Some parents are leaving their kids in their current pre-K or child care programs but a lot of parents don’t have that option, so where are these kids?” said Patricia Lozano, executive director of Early Edge California. “Kindergarten is not mandatory, so some parents think it’s not a big deal. It is. A year for a 5-year-old is a long time.”
Uncertainty around the safety of schools is leaving many parents to forgo kindergarten for their children, causing a learning gap.
“Sweden spared surge of virus cases but many questions remain” via David Keyton of The Associated Press — Whether on trains or trams, in supermarkets or shopping malls, places where face masks are commonly worn in much of the world, Swedes go about their lives without them. When most of Europe locked down their populations early in the pandemic by closing schools, restaurants, gyms and even borders, Swedes kept enjoying many freedoms. The relatively low-key strategy captured the world’s attention, but at the same time, it coincided with a per capita death rate that was much higher than in other Nordic countries. Now, as infection numbers surge again in much of Europe, the country of 10 million people has some of the lowest numbers of new coronavirus cases and only 14 virus patients in intensive care. Whether Sweden’s strategy is succeeding, however, is still very uncertain. Its health authorities, and in particular chief epidemiologist Dr. Anders Tegnell, keep repeating a familiar warning: It’s too early to tell, and all countries are in a different phase of the pandemic.
Statewide
Siren — “Incoming House speaker warns of ‘deep budget cuts’ coming to Florida government programs” via Mary Ellen Klas of the Miami Herald — Florida’s incoming House speaker warned members of the South Florida Business Council this week that in order to weather the “massive financial hit” the state sustained from the pandemic, there will need to be “significant cuts to the budget.” Rep. Chris Sprowls, a Palm Harbor Republican who is in line to become the speaker of the Florida House of Representatives for two years in November, hinted that the budget austerity needed to recover from the coronavirus-induced recession would take “three to four years to get back to where we are,” but he was optimistic Florida would be in better shape than other states. “We’ve had an obviously massive financial hit to the state, not unlike the businesses we’ve seen interrupted or closed during this period of time in COVID, which is going to create a significant challenge for us,’’ Sprowls told the virtual webinar of about 250 members of the council, which includes members of the chambers of commerce in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties.
Chris Sprowls is putting out a warning: Major budget cuts could be on the way.
What Kevin Cate & Jamie Grant are reading — “DeSantis signs bill welcoming dozens of new specialty license plates” via Jason Delgado of Florida Politics — DeSantis signed a bill on Friday which, among other things, will introduce dozens of new specialty license plates onto the road. The bill, sponsored by former Rep. Grant, paves the way for 32 new specialty license plates, establishes a cap of 150 specialty license plates and formalizes a discontinuation process for low performing specialty license plates. HB 1135 also authorizes the Department of Highway Safety and Motor Vehicles to issue specialty license plates for fleet and motor vehicle dealer vehicles. Among the new plates to soon hit Florida roads: a redesigned Special Olympics tag; a “Live the Dream” license plate, an “In God We Trust” tag and a “Don’t Tread on Me” Gadsden flag plate. Notably, the bill will also create specialty plates for out-of-state universities for the first time in state history.
What Steve Vancore is reading — “DeSantis signs measure banning import and export of shark fins” via Ryan Nicol of Florida Politics — DeSantis has signed a measure into law banning the import and export of shark fins in Florida. Sen. Travis Hutson sponsored the bill, but the measure is named after the late Kristin Jacobs. She sponsored the House version of the bill. Jacobs passed away in April, almost exactly one month after the Legislature approved the legislation, after a yearslong battle with cancer. “This bill’s really important to the state,” Jacobs said as the Legislature approved a final version of the bill. Jacobs prioritized banning the shark fin trade. Toward the end of the legislative process, Rep. Toby Overdorf offered an amendment renaming the bill the “Kristin Jacobs Ocean Conservation Act.” That amendment was approved.
“DeSantis announces another $50M for spring restoration” via Renzo Downey of Florida Politics — Florida’s springs are receiving an additional $50 million for restoration and recovery projects across the state. That funding, announced Friday by DeSantis, comes on top of $100 million allocated for springs last year. Together, the Governor touted the combined spending as the largest two-year investment for springs in the Sunshine State’s history. More than 20 projects statewide will benefit from the latest disbursement, including those for land acquisition, septic and sewer conversion, and enhanced water monitoring. “Florida’s springs are integral to both our economy and environment,” DeSantis said in a statement. “Our state is home to more large springs than any other state in the nation and they serve as a fun source of recreation for our residents and visitors to enjoy. The projects announced today continue our mission to restore and protect our water quality throughout Florida.”
Happening today — Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried hosts a virtual “Florida Cupboard Meeting” to discuss issues ahead of a Cabinet meeting Tuesday, 10 a.m. The event will be shown on The Florida Channel.
“‘Everything below the lake is full’: Corps mulls Lake O releases ahead of storms” via Adriana Brasileiro of the Miami Herald — The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers said that it may need to move water out of Lake Okeechobee to the St. Lucie estuary to make room for possible rainfall from storms in the Atlantic. “We are looking at the need to make releases relatively soon,” said Col. Andrew Kelly, Jacksonville District Commander, during a briefing on the status of water management activities in South Florida. “Everything below the lake is full. There isn’t a whole lot of room to move water south of the lake.” Tropical Storm Wilfred formed in the Atlantic Friday morning, while Hurricane Teddy, a powerful Category 4 storm, is continuing to move toward Bermuda. Also on hurricane forecasters’ radar: Post-tropical Cyclone Paulette is moving in the faraway Atlantic, a small low-pressure system is nearing Portugal and a new tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by early Saturday.
Happening today — Public Service Commission will consider a proposed settlement involving utility costs stemming from Hurricane Michael. Florida Public Utilities Company sustained heavy damage in the 2018 hurricane and is seeking a settlement with the Office of Public Counsel, 11 a.m.,floridapsc.com/Conferences/AudioVideoEventCoverage.
Assignment editors — Citizens Property Insurance Corp. Finance and Investment Committee will meet in advance of a Board of Governors meeting Wednesday, 1 p.m., citizensfla.com. Call-in number: 1-786-635-1003. Code: 94898904895.
“This Florida prison is now partners with ICE in enforcing immigration crackdown” via Ana Ceballos of the Miami Herald — A select group of correctional officers at a Northwest Florida prison is set to take part in a federal immigration program that will allow officers to interrogate any detainee who they believe is in the country illegally and process them for potential immigration violations. Florida Corrections Secretary Mark Inch signed the agreement with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement in mid-August, though corrections officials only made the formal partnership public on Friday. The push to participate in the program began a year and a half ago, at the request of Gov. DeSantis, who has long embraced Trump’s hard-line immigration policies.
Last month, Florida Corrections Secretary Mark Inch signed an agreement with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to help crack down on immigration. Image via Colin Hackley.
“R. Jai Gillum considered whether to remain engaged to Andrew Gillum after learning of his bisexuality” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — When Andrew came out as bisexual on the “Tamron Hall Show,” wife R. Jai defended their “marriage covenant.” She remained the picture of a steadfast spouse as her husband discussed a marriage-threatening scandal on national television. She specifically addressed her husband’s sexuality, expressing concern that the world would scrutinize it through a lens of ignorance. People “can wrap their heads around gay,” but don’t understand bisexuality. But host Tamron Hall also revealed in an online after-show that R. Jai also confided it was a journey to reach that understanding herself. In fact, R. Jai revealed she had to come to grips with the realities of marrying a bisexual man before she could follow through with her engagement. Hall did not play clips from that portion of a lengthy prerecorded interview with both Gillums. But she shared details dating back to when the Tallahassee couple were still just dating that R. Jai Gillum revealed to her on the record.
D.C. matters
“Ginsburg’s death leaves Obamacare in greater danger than ever” via Susannah Luthi of POLITICO — The new vacancy increases the likelihood the court could undercut protections for preexisting conditions, especially if Trump can quickly install a new justice, or drag out the legal fight. The Trump-supported challenge to the Affordable Care Act was largely shrugged off when Texas and a band of conservative-leaning states claimed the law was rendered unconstitutional after Congress eliminated the tax penalty for skipping health insurance. Obamacare will have one less ally on the conservative-dominated bench when the Supreme Court considers the law’s fate this fall. Here’s how the case could play out: Two conservative justices save the law; a tie, followed by legal limbo; the insurance protections are axed, the rest stays; a legislative rescue.
Local notes
“‘Our kids aren’t growing up’: Epidemic of gun violence scars, kills Tallahassee’s Black children” via Nada Hassanein of the Tallahassee Democrat — In Tallahassee’s low-income neighborhoods, gun violence is cutting short the lives of Black children and creating lasting trauma in survivors. It’s perhaps one of the most alarming health disparities among kids in Tallahassee: at least 50 children have been injured or killed by a firearm in Leon County over the past decade, according to law enforcement records. Roughly a fifth of the incidents were fatal. Tallahassee Police Department records show all the children were Black, except three. Leon County Sheriff’s Office has not yet returned an inquiry into details on four cases as of Friday afternoon. About a third of those shootings occurred in the impoverished 32304 ZIP code, and about a quarter of the victims, including Noonie, lived there, the highest count of any ZIP code in the county. Most of the remaining shootings were tied to other ZIP codes in high-poverty Frenchtown, Southside and Bond neighborhoods.
Happening today — Fried and Tallahassee Mayor John Dailey will hold a joint news conference on National Clean Energy Week, 12:30 p.m., Tallahassee City Hall, 300 South Adams.
Smoldering
“Dwindling ranks and declining public trust plague police agencies amid summer of protests” via Mark Berman and Jessica Wolfrom of The Washington Post — Police forces are suffering from diminishing ranks, slumping morale, and declining public support as the nation nears the end of a long, fraught summer defined by protests against policing tactics and racial injustice. Agency leaders and experts say the months of demonstrations have left officers strained and departments struggling to both recruit officers and keep the ones they have. The Portland Police Bureau in Oregon lost 49 officers to retirement in August, more than during all of 2019. The Atlanta Police Department, which became the focus of protests after a police shooting this summer, said about 140 officers have resigned so far this year, up from 80 during the same period last year. “Our workforce, in general, is pretty emotionally and physically fatigued,” said William H. “Skip” Holbrook, the police chief in Columbia, South Carolina.
“New racial justice target: Defund the police foundations” via Zachary Warmbrodt of POLITICO — Wall Street banks and other big corporations are under pressure to cut ties with nonprofit police foundations, which racial justice activists say are increasingly funding law enforcement practices that fuel violence against Black people. Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Chevron are among the businesses that watchdogs are targeting for making donations to the privately run foundations associated with local police departments. Color of Change, an online racial justice group with 7 million members, is calling on the companies to sever their relationships with the foundations, which for some police departments have become a resource for surveillance technology, SWAT team guns, armor, drones and K-9 dogs. Critics say the gifts by the nonprofits to police departments escape public accountability. “Our end goal is to have an intervention on the funneling of private money into police forces and into policing,” said Scott Roberts, senior director of criminal justice campaigns at Color of Change.
Racial justice protesters now focusing on defunding police associations. Image via AP.
“Here’s what newly released records show about how prosecutors handled Jacksonville protests” via Andrew Pantazi of The Florida Times-Union — In the wake of federal prosecutors’ decision to drop one of the final prosecutions against a Jacksonville protester, a high-profile arrest involving a supposed Molotov cocktail, new video and emails continue to shed light on the failings of police when they arrested dozens of protesters on May 30 and 31. The Jacksonville State Attorney’s Office has since dropped the prosecutions of 63 out of 66 arrests of those prosecuting police violence. The office also vacated convictions for those who pleaded guilty and reduced the charges of one other. Meanwhile, the U.S. Attorney’s Office dismissed its prosecution of Ivan Zecher, who was accused of carrying a Molotov cocktail. The State Attorney’s Office said in a court document only that it dropped the cases “based upon the law, the facts, and the circumstances involved.” The U.S. Attorney’s Office’s motion only said they wanted Zecher’s case dismissed.
Top opinion
“Don’t be a hypocrite, Marco Rubio, reject push to replace Ginsburg before election” via the Miami Herald editorial board — U.S. Sen. McConnell would only wear the description “hypocrite” like a badge of honor. Anyway, it’s more civil to not call names. However, Senate Majority Leader McConnell’s resolute vow to hold a vote, even before the Nov. 3 election, on any nominee Trump chooses to replace the almost irreplaceable Ginsburg on the U.S. Supreme Court, is a complete 180 from his obstinate pledge in 2016 to not hold hearings on Obama’s nominee Merrick Garland. That was a presidential election year, too. Associate Justice Antonin Scalia died about nine months out from the election. Obama put forth the supremely qualified Garland, who never got a Senate hearing because, as McConnell said at the time, “The Senate will appropriately revisit the matter when it considers the qualifications of the nominee the next President nominates, whoever that might be.”
Opinions
“If Mitch McConnell pushes through a nominee, President Biden should pack the court” via Jill Filipovic of The Washington Post — For liberals, Ginsburg’s death brings shock, that an icon is gone, that she didn’t make it until the next presidency — and terror: Senate Majority Leader McConnell, who in 2016 blocked Obama from filling a Supreme Court seat vacated about nine months before the presidential election, says he will permit Trump to fill one left empty less than two months before this year’s election. McConnell announced hours after Ginsburg’s death that he would attempt to push a new justice onto the bench. “President Trump’s nominee will receive a vote on the floor of the United States Senate,” he said. Democrats have only one play here: If Trump and McConnell jam an appointee through, it is not enough for Democrats to raise hell about the hypocrisy, the duplicity and the Republican refusal to play by McConnell’s own rules. It is not enough to target every Republican senator who goes along.
“When will DeSantis listen to his own voters on ex-felons’ voting rights?” via Duncan Hosie of the Orlando Sentinel — On Sept. 11, DeSantis and state Republican leaders won their legal battle to disenfranchise hundreds of thousands of people with prior felony convictions. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit embraced Republican politicians’ specious arguments that ex-felons should be required to pay all fines and fees before voting. This decision dealt a blow to Floridians who care about racial justice and basic principles of democracy. The ruling also spited an unlikely and less discussed constituency: Republican voters. This story starts in 2018 when DeSantis and Republican politicians campaigned against Amendment 4. The ballot measure abolished the permanent disenfranchisement of people convicted of most felonies. Vowing to be a “tough on crime” Governor, DeSantis opposed the initiative. Republican voters disagreed with him. Before Election Day, poll after poll showed a clear majority of Florida Republicans supported Amendment 4. Support among Florida Republicans climbed to 62%.
“Perry Thurston: JNC needs reform after the botched Florida Supreme Court appointment” via Florida Politics — Leave it to an uber-partisan and ideological Governor to politicize what should have been an apolitical process: selecting a qualified Black jurist for a seat on the state’s highest court. So, for the first time in 41 years, the Florida Supreme Court has no Black justice. There’s a reason no Black jurist now sits on the High Court: Gov. DeSantis. He had several chances to make it happen and simply blew it. He had options as the Judicial Nominating Commission (JNC) that vets Supreme Court nominees had several Black jurists under consideration. None of those better-qualified candidates made the cut. Unfortunately, the way Florida selects judges is a big part of the problem.
Today’s Sunrise
Students at Florida State University who made a mockery of social distancing when they return for the fall semester, are now finding out their football coach has COVID-19. Party on, Seminoles …
Also, on today’s Sunrise:
— The state health department reports 2,500 new cases of coronavirus … that’s a total of almost 684,000 infections in Florida since the start of the pandemic. The state also reported nine more fatalities from COVID — … raising the death toll to 13,459.
The Governor rarely mentions COVID casualties; he’d rather talk about nonhuman metrics like positivity rates or emergency department admissions. And DeSantis says there’s been no surge or spike in cases since the reopening of schools
— It’s been a week since bars were allowed to reopen; DeSantis says there’s no sign of trouble there.
— COVID-19 crippled the state economy, creating the largest job loss in Florida history. But the market is rebounding. The jobless rate in August was 7.4 rate … four points lower than July.
— Residents of Northwest Florida continue the cleanup from Hurricane Sally. Damage estimates are starting to roll in … including losses in the agriculture industry.
— The Governor travels to Weeki Wachee to talk about restoring Florida’s springs. And since he brought the kids, he had to schedule a side trip.
— Finally, checking-in with two Florida men: One is promising to kick people out of his bar if they wear a face mask. The other is accused of assaulting a 13-year-old girl with a flagpole holding a Trump banner.
“HBO to debut 2000 presidential election doc ‘537 Votes’ on Oct. 21” via Trey Williams of The Wrap — HBO Documentary Films on Friday said it will debut “537 Votes,” a new feature documentary chronicling the political machinations that lead to the unprecedented, contested outcome of the 2000 presidential election, on October 21. The 2000 presidential election led to a chaotic voter recount in Florida that ended with George W. Bush winning by a razor-thin margin. The documentary, from director Billy Corben and his producing partner Alfred Spellman with Adam McKay and Todd Schulman at Hyperobject Industries executive producing, will be debut on HBO and HBO Max. “Usually, important movies that people need to see can feel like medicine, but Billy and Alfred are simply incapable of being anything but entertaining and funny,” McKay said in a statement.
HBO is creating a new documentary on the 2000 election, and the role Florida played.
“Is your county safe for trick-or-treating during COVID-19? New Harvard map can tell you” via Howard Cohen of the Miami Herald — As the first Halloween of the COVID-19 pandemic era, county leaders have to weigh in on what they will allow. Even though the number of new cases and deaths has trended down in recent weeks compared to surges in late June and after the July Fourth holiday it’s highly unlikely that South Florida will celebrate Halloween like it’s 2019. Will we welcome the kind of Halloween bacchanalia of years past on Miami Beach’s Lincoln Road Mall or even the traditional trick-or-treating around neighborhoods? According to Patricia Abril, a spokeswoman for the Miami-Dade County Mayor’s Office and Mayor Carlos Gimenez, Halloween plans in the county have yet to be decided. “We should know by Oct. 15 where we are heading as far as infection rates and hospitalizations and also flu season before making any decisions about Halloween,” she said. And Miami Beach spokeswoman Melissa Berthier said “the city will not be issuing any special permits for activations or Halloween parties this year.”
We’re sending belated happy birthday wishes to Rep. Jason Shoaf, former Reps. Jamie Grant and Frank White, Beau Beaubien, Kevin Debry, Florida Politics contributor Drew Dixon, top consultant Steve Marin, and Governors Club general manager Barry Shields, Celebrating today are Rep. Mike Grieco, former Sen. Denise Grimsley, our pal Chris Dudley, and Carlo Fassi of The Southern Group.
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Good morning and welcome to Fox News First. Here’s what you need to know as you start your day …
Barrasso calls for speedy SCOTUS confirmation, says Dems will ‘blow up Senate’ anyway
Senate GOP Conference Chairman John Barrasso called on President Trump and his Senate colleagues Sunday to move forward on a nominee to replace the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, warning whatever they do, Sen. Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., and his Democratic caucus will “blow up the Senate” if they take power in 2021.
Barrasso, R-Wyo., noted on “Fox News @ Night” when Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., balked at scheduling a hearing for President Obama’s 2016 SCOTUS nominee, D.C. Circuit Judge Merrick B. Garland, it was on account of “the Biden Rule.”
In 1992, the current Democratic presidential nominee was a U.S. senator from Delaware, who took to the floor and made a speech calling on the legislative body not to hold any potential hearings for nominees offered by then-President George H.W. Bush. CLICK HERE FOR MORE ON OUR TOP STORY.
In other developments:
– Trump takes swipe at Murkowski after she opposes Senate taking up SCOTUS confirmation
– Mark Levin rips Democrats in Supreme Court clash: ‘They hate the Constitution’
– Alexander: McConnell doing what Dems ‘would do if the shoe were on the other foot’ with SCOTUS nomination
– Graham: Dems telling me how to handle SCOTUS picks is like ‘arsonists advising the Fire Department’
Trump calls California deputies injured in ambush shooting, wishes them ‘speedy recovery’
The two deputies injured during an ambush shooting in California Sept. 12, received a call from President Trump last week as they were recovering in the hospital, according to authorities.
The deputies, a 31-year-old mother, and a 24-year-old man, were in their marked patrol vehicle outside a Metro train station in Compton on Sept. 12, when police said a suspect approached the passenger-side window, shot them multiple times, and ran from the scene around 7 p.m.
Photos captured the moment that the female deputy — who is a mother of a six-year-old boy, received a call from the president. She was in critical but stable condition after being shot in the jaw and arms, reports said.
Due to her injuries, she could only write down her response, which was relayed to Trump by an LASD sergeant, who sat next to the deputy and her husband in the ICU.
Both of the deputies and their families were very appreciative of the call!” the LASD wrote. CLICK HERE FOR MORE.
In other developments:
– Reward in LA County deputies’ ‘ambush’ shooting hits $675G as manhunt continues: report
– LA police searching for potential witness caught on video near scene of deputy ambush
– Los Angeles-area man falsely accused in deputies shooting speaks out
– Deputy shot in Compton attack released from hospital
‘Schitt’s Creek’ makes history at Emmys, first series to sweep all major comedy awards
“Schitt’s Creek,” a comedy about a successful businessman and his family who go bankrupt and move to a small town to start over, starring father and son team Eugene and Daniel Levy, took home prizes for best comedy, writing, directing, and acting, earning the show a total of seven awards Sunday.
After snagging the awards, the cast of the show opened up about the historic wins.
“It is absolutely incredible,” said Daniel Levy, star and creator of the show, of the major successes. “My dad [and co-star Eugene Levy] said it best earlier tonight, that it feels like a dream that you don’t want to wake up from to be perfectly honest.”
The show aired for six seasons and found massive success on Netflix within the last few years. CLICK HERE FOR MORE.
In other developments:
– Anthony Anderson highlights Black Lives Matter in 2020 Emmys speech
– Mark Ruffalo urges Americans to vote for ‘compassion and kindness’ in Emmys speech about nation’s diversity
– Emmys 2020: ‘Schitt’s Creek’ sweeps; ‘Succession’ takes top honor as coronavirus looms over a political show
– David Letterman re-wears tuxedo — and recycles jokes — from 1986 Emmys hosting gig for 2020 show
TODAY’S MUST-READS:
– Pelosi confuses some during interview on SCOTUS fight
– Kim Klacik releases new campaign video after viral hit
– Chicago postal workers threaten to stop delivering mail after multiple employees shot on the job
– Woman suspected of sending ricin to White House arrested near Canada border
– Nebraska bar owner charged with shooting and killing protester takes his own life
– Russell Wilson, Seahawks hang on to defeat Patriots in nail-biter
THE LATEST FROM FOX BUSINESS:
– US judge blocks Commerce Department order to remove WeChat from app stores
– Oil prices fall as Libya to begin output; Gulf rigs halt production due to storms
– United Airlines, unions call for 6-month extension of federal aid, restart of stimulus negotiations
#TheFlashback: CLICK HERE to find out what happened on “This Day in History.”
SOME PARTING WORDS
Steve Hiltonlashed out at people unwilling to talk to each other because of differing political views on Sunday’s ‘The Next Revolution.’
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“Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, a towering women’s rights champion who became the court’s second female justice, died Friday at her home in Washington. She was 87.” AP News
Both sides paid tribute to Ginsburg’s trailblazing life and legacy:
“We live in a time in America when we take for granted the strides our nation and society have made. We convince ourselves we are irredeemable, that our advancements don’t really amount to much stacked up against the oft-ugly history of our nation. Ruth Bader Ginsburg puts the lie to those solipsistic notions. The America in which she graduated law school had a deep flaw of holding back women, but this American, this woman who would not be stopped changed that….
“No one of us, no group of us can ever truly define America. America is in fact the process of coming to that definition. Ruth Bader Ginsburg had definite ideas about that, most of which conservatives balk at. But the way she went about it, the respect and even love she had for those with whom her disagreements could not be more fundamental, needs to be a beacon for us now. Now that we hate each other and end friendships and feel the dark cloud of disdain for our neighbors, we need to look to Ginsburg and remember it does not have to be this way.” David Marcus, The Federalist
“Ginsburg is the rare supreme court justice whose most significant work was done before she joined the court. She changed the course of American law not as a supreme court justice, but as a lawyer, the founder and general counsel of the ACLU’s Women’s Rights Project. Ginsburg began the project in 1972, the same year she joined the faculty of Columbia Law as a professor; by 1974, the project had participated in nearly 300 gender discrimination cases nationwide. Ginsburg personally argued six gender discrimination cases before the then all-male supreme court, winning five. She built on her victories one by one, establishing precedents that made future victories easier to win…
“Ginsburg has frequently been compared to Thurgood Marshall, the great supreme court justice and African American civil rights jurist. It is a comparison that she reportedly disliked – with typical modesty, she felt it gave her too much credit, and was quick to emphasize that, unlike the Black jurist, she had never felt that her safety was under serious threat. But there is something to the comparison between their careers, particularly the extent to which they focused on using the law to open opportunities for the marginalized… Ginsburg and Marshall saw vast swaths of the American people who had been excluded from the American promise, and they spent their careers forcing the law to recognize those people’s humanity and dignity.” Moira Donegan, The Guardian
“On what remains perhaps the most sensitive constitutional question of our time, whether the Constitution protects against government’s interference in a woman’s decision to medically terminate a pregnancy, Ginsburg was critical of the court’s decision in Roe v. Wade, which lodged abortion rights—rather precariously, it turns out—as a matter of privacy under the Due Process Clause of the 14th Amendment. For her, it was more about gender equality under the Equal Protection Clause…
“Ginsburg also feared that Roe went too fast for the public which, ironically, had been steadily moving toward legalizing abortion through state legislatures, not the courts. The court ‘ventured too far in the change it ordered in Roe,’ she wrote in a 1985 law review article… The Senate should heed Justice Ginsburg’s exquisitely blended strains of legal conservativism and liberalism as they contemplate who has the intellectual rigor, honesty and temperament to replace her.” Kimberly Wehle, Politico
“Ginsburg dedicated herself wholeheartedly to the job. Until 2019, she never missed an oral argument—a remarkable testament to her commitment to the job given that she previously battled cancer in 1999 and 2009, lost her beloved husband in 2010, and underwent a heart procedure in 2014. Even when she was hospitalized for a gallbladder infection during the COVID-19 pandemic, she still participated in oral arguments, asking questions from her hospital bed…
“When Time magazine honored Ginsburg in 2015 by naming her one of the 100 most influential people in the world, [Justice Antonin] Scalia wrote that it was ‘apparent for all to see’ that Ginsburg’s opinions were ‘always thoroughly considered, always carefully crafted and almost always correct (which is to say we sometimes disagree).’ But, he added, ‘[w]hat only her colleagues know is that her suggestions improve the opinions the rest of us write, and that she is a source of collegiality and good judgment in all our work.’” John G. Malcolm and Elizabeth Slattery, Fox News
Scalia’s son Eugene writes, “What we can learn from [Justices Ginsburg and Scalia] — beyond how to be a friend — is how to welcome debate and differences. The two justices had central roles in addressing some of the most divisive issues of the day, including cases on abortion, same-sex marriage and who would be president. Not for a moment did one think the other should be condemned or ostracized. More than that, they believed that what they were doing — arriving at their own opinions thoughtfully and advancing them vigorously — was essential to the national good. With less debate, their friendship would have been diminished, and so, they believed, would our democracy.” Eugene Scalia, Washington Post
Other opinions below.
From the Right
“In Bush v. Gore (2000), Ginsburg invoked states’ rights to lambast the majority’s decision to overturn the Florida Supreme Court’s order requiring a manual recount of the presidential ballots in that state. The majority had ignored the basic principle that ‘federal courts defer to state high courts’ interpretations of their state’s own law,’ wrote Ginsburg. ‘This principle reflects the core of federalism, on which all agree.’…
“Concern for federalism was less evident in Ginsburg’s dissent in Shelby County v. Holder (2013). In Shelby, the majority struck down a section of the Voting Rights Act under which certain states that had engaged in discriminatory voting practices in the 1960s and 1970s were still required to seek approval from the federal government before making any changes to their voting procedures…
Ginsburg “understood that the causes of gender equality and racial equality have been intertwined throughout our history. Women’s suffrage, secured 100 years ago, still left Black women and men disenfranchised as a result of poll taxes, literacy tests and other obstacles. At her confirmation hearing, she credited Justice Thurgood Marshall with reminding us that, despite the ‘blind spots’ in the original Constitution, ‘through a combination of judicial interpretation, constitutional amendment, laws passed by Congress, ‘We the People’ has grown ever larger’ to include women and those ‘once held in bondage.’” Goodwin Liu, Washington Post“The law itself is much more personal than the staid traditions of the Court might imply. SCOTUS makes decisions on behalf of people’s bodies. It arbitrates on behalf of people’s minds. Civic participation, privacy, personhood, parenthood, family, love—these are not arguments; they are the warm facts of people’s lives. The RBG fandom, in its way, recognized that intimacy… It challenges the notion that legal wisdom can somehow be separated from justices’ humanity.” Megan Garber, The Atlantic
Perspectives from Ginsburg’s former law clerks:
“Most of what I know about writing I learned from her. The rules are actually pretty simple: Every word matters. Don’t make the simple complicated, make the complicated as simple as it can be (but not simpler!). You’re not finished when you can’t think of anything more to add to your document; you’re finished when you can’t think of anything more that you can remove from it. She enforced these principles with a combination of a ferocious—almost a terrifying—editorial pen, and enough judicious praise sprinkled about to let you know that she was appreciating your efforts, if not always your end-product. And one more rule: While you’re at it, make it sing…“She had the kind of fierce integrity that I think we all would want to see in a judge; she was always determined to get it right, to do right by the litigants and to do right by the law. She had her biases and her blind spots; we all do. But I have often said that if my life were on the line, I’d be happy if she were on the bench, because she would be as fair-minded when weighing the evidence as one could ever ask for.” David Post, Volokh Conspiracy“Today we take for granted her vision of gender equality. But we should never forget that it was not until 1971 that the U.S. Supreme Court ruled for the first time that the Constitution prohibits discrimination based on sex. That was Justice Ginsburg’s case — Reed v. Reed, which challenged the rule that men were the preferred administrators of estates of deceased persons, and that gave a grieving mother the right to administer the estate of the son she lost…“The magnitude of her legal legacy cannot be overstated. But her impact was even greater because she modeled for us and for women and girls around the world how to live a life that reflected her legal vision. She demanded a lot from her law clerks, but demanded even more from herself. She was the hardest working, most deliberate person either one of us has ever worked for. She taught us to be strong and to stand behind our work. She gave countless women and men opportunities and support in the life of the law. She got to know all of our children. Her famous faxes came across the channels at all hours of the night… Even at the very end, she reminded us how much more work there is left to do.” Abbe R. Gluck and Gillian E. Metzger, New York Times
Good Monday morning.Today’s Smart Brevity™ count: 1,474 words … 5½ minutes.
🍩 Please join Erica Pandey tomorrow at 12:30 p.m. ET for an Axios virtual event on the digital economy of cities, featuring Dunkin’ Brands CFO Kate Jaspon and FCC Commissioner Jessica Rosenworcel. Register here.
🇺🇳 The 193-member United Nations today celebrates 75 years since its founding to prevent another World War II — delayed by the pandemic from the actual anniversary of the UN Charter’s signing in San Francisco on June 26, 1945. Go deeper.
1 big thing … Wall Street: Recession is over
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
U.S. economic activity fell more sharply in the second quarter of this year than during any other quarter in history. It’s also going to grow more sharply in the third quarter of this year than during any other quarter in history, Axios chief financial correspondent Felix Salmon writes.
Wall Street thinks the recession is over: New forecasts show sustained economic growth through 2021 and beyond.
Why it matters: The coronavirus is still raging in the U.S., with well over 5,000 Americans still dying every week. We’re on the brink of twin milestones: 200,000 confirmed deaths in the U.S., and at least 1 million worldwide.
But the continued prevalence of the pandemic doesn’t seem to have crimped economic growth.
The big picture: America is in bad economic shape, and we’ve had very little economic stimulus since the federal government’s $600 weekly unemployment checks stopped arriving in July.
30 million Americans are on the unemployment rolls, entire industries are at a standstill, and economic output remains hundreds of billions of dollars below its pre-pandemic levels.
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released an optimistic forecast for how the economy is going to fare this year.
In June, when coronavirus cases were declining quite quickly, the Fed expected that we would end the year with unemployment at 9.3%, and saw the economy shrinking by 6.5%.
Today, with coronavirus deaths still at their June levels, the Fed sees 2020 ending with unemployment at 7.6%, and an economy that has shrunk by just 3.7%. That’s still terrible, of course, for workers who are out of a job and businesses that are fighting for survival.
The difference is huge — almost 3 million extra jobs, and more than $600 billion in economic activity, over and above what the Fed expected just three months ago.
Wall Street has seen a similar turnaround in growth expectations:
Quarterly GDP growth is measured on an annualized basis. On that basis, economic forecasters in April expected the third quarter to see a bounceback on the order of 13%.
By June, the forecast had improved to 18%. Now, they expect third-quarter GDP to grow by an astonishing 25.2%.
By tradition, the bench and seat of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg are draped in black cloth. Photo: Fred Schilling/Supreme Court via Getty Images
We hear that President Trump’s choices to succeed Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg are down to two women, both federal appeals court judges:
Amy Coney Barrett of Chicago, the early favorite, and Barbara Lagoa, who is viewed as easier to confirm. The Senate confirmed Lagoa 80-15 last year, so many Democrats have already voted for her.
Lagoa is a Cuban American from Florida, and Trump is being told the choice could help him win the state. He said Saturday he’s never met Lagoa.
Even people in the West Wing remind us: With Trump, ya never know till it’s actually done.
Look for Senate Republicans to barrel ahead with the confirmation process as if they were going to vote before Election Day.
The vote could wind up being held after the election, in the lame-duck session in November. Sens. Susan Collins of Maine and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska say they want to wait. Two more objections, and there wouldn’t be enough Republican votes to go ahead in the next 43 days.
The lame duck is the fallback. Top GOP officials at both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue see huge risk in waiting.
Say Trump loses … or Republicans lose control of the Senate … or both.
There’d be enormous pressure on Republicans to defer to the incoming winners. Some unexpected GOP senator could suddenly defect.
Collins said in a statement this weekend: “[T]he decision on a lifetime appointment to the Supreme Court should be made by the president who is elected on November 3rd.”
That’s why antsy Republicans — being called “fill the seat” hawks — want a pre-election vote.
Joe Biden yesterday urged Republican senators to resist jamming a nomination: “Please follow your conscience.”
Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer appeared in Brooklyn last night with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, vowing to fight a GOP rush.
3. ACA in greater jeopardy
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
The Supreme Court is slated to hear oral arguments on an Affordable Care Act challenge the week after the election, so the vacancy puts the law in much greater jeopardy than just a few days ago, Axios health care editor Sam Baker writes.
Conventional wisdom had held that Chief Justice John Roberts would likely join with the court’s liberals to save the ACA once again.
But if President Trump is able to fill the seat, Roberts’ vote alone wouldn’t be enough. The law — or big sections of it — is more likely to be struck down.
So a lawsuit that once seemed like a long shot now has a much more reasonable chance at success, with 20 million people’s coverage in the balance.
Tom Brady of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (still looks like a typo) was among the NFL players with this racial-justice message on their helmets yesterday.
Pick du jour: The Green Bay Packers’ Chandon Sullivan does a Lambeau Leap into the end zone stands after a pick-six — but without fans.
5. What we’re reading: The pandemic’s long-tail risk
Cover: HarperCollins
A new book,“The Wake-Up Call” — by Bloomberg News editor-in-chief John Micklethwait and The Economist political editor Adrian Wooldridge — warns the West about what can happen to great powers that mishandle a pandemic.
I talked to Micklethwait on Friday night, on his ride from Bloomberg’s tower in London to the English countryside:
It’s really important whether we find a vaccine. It’s really important what happens to the economy. But in 20 years’ time, if a historian looks back at this year and they say, “Wow, 2020 was the year when Asia clearly began to get ahead of the West,” that will be a much bigger deal.
The aim of our book is to say to the West: “Wake up.” Most of the things Asia are doing are things we can copy — not anything to do with autocracy, just simple things like improving schools and so on.
Micklethwait told me the West’s decline isn’t inevitable:
If you look at bits of the West, they are still massively superior. You look at all the brains and talent in Silicon Valley, that’s not really comparative in places like China. The challenge for the next American president is to try and reunite a wider version of the West, which brings in all the democracies of the world. …
America has to wake up when it comes to the public sector side. What COVID showed is merely having a very dynamic private sector is not enough. Unless people start to think about how to reform American government, America will fall behind. …
I do very strongly believe in the power of American regeneration.
The deal to rescue TikTok from a threatened U.S. ban — full of provisions aimed at creating the temporary appearance of a presidential win — looks like a Potemkin village, Axios managing editor Scott Rosenberg writes from the Bay Area.
Many elements of this plan look hastily erected, and easily abandoned once the spotlight moves on.
The big picture: TikTok’s drama has unfolded as trade and security tensions between China and the U.S. deepen.
The deal, according to reporting by Axios’ Ina Fried and Dan Primack, involves ByteDance handing TikTok to a newly constituted U.S. company, TikTok Global.
Oracle and Walmart will take 20% ownership. The rest will be owned by ByteDance’s existing shareholders, who include both Chinese and U.S. investors.
ByteDance’s Chinese owners will likely own roughly a third of the new firm, and its founder Zhang Yiming likely will sit on its board.
Our thought bubble: The murk surrounding this process is a sign of just how far outside the norms of business everything about it has been from the start.
College students are learning less, partying less and a majority say the decision to return to campus was a bad decision, Neal Rothschild writes from a new College Reaction/Axios poll.
Now that the fall semester has started, 51% of students say it was not the right choice for their schools to allow students on campus.
60% say they’re learning less. Just 6% say they’re learning more.
In a graphics-rich, 57-slide “What to Expect” deck, maestro Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas reminds us how much can happen in a presidential race’s final week.
Elizabeth Debicki and John David Washington in “Tenet.” Photo: Melinda Sue Gordon/Warner Bros. Entertainment via AP
About three quarters of the country’s movie theaters are open, but Americans aren’t going back in significant numbers, even with new films coming into the marketplace weekly, AP’s Lindsey Bahr writes.
The biggest movies continue to limp along. According to studio estimates yesterday, Warner Bros.’ “Tenet” earned $4.7 million in its third weekend from nearly 2,930 locations, and Disney’s “The New Mutants” added $1.6 million in its fourth weekend.
Newcomers aren’t faring any better. The faith-based “Infidel,” which stars Jim Caviezel, did the best with $1.5 million from just over 1,700 theaters.
“The first ever virtual Emmys were the perfect awards for our times,” declares the L.A. Times’ Meredith Blake.
“[T]he three-hour socially distanced telecast replaced the usual glamorous awards show trappings with a sense of intimacy, uncertainty and, above all, surreality.”
“Winners — watching from home, in hotel suites or at small, distanced gatherings in unnamed locations — were handed trophies by ushers in hazmat suits styled like tuxedos.”
The night’s big winners: Canada’s “Schitt’s Creek” swept the comedy awards, and HBO’s “Succession” and “Watchmen” took home the awards for top drama and limited series.
GOP leaders said they were pressing ahead to seize a monumental chance to solidify the court’s rightward ideological shift by replacing Ginsburg with a conservative jurist. Democratic leaders accused the Republicans of political opportunism and hypocrisy.
By Philip Rucker, Josh Dawsey and Seung Min Kim ● Read more »
Watergate journalist Bob Woodward released a series of clips showing President Trump express thoughts on the Supreme Court and his high court nominee Neil Gorsuch.
The grim milestone of 200,000 reported COVID-19 deaths is a reminder of how quickly the coronavirus can spread and a warning of what could happen as the nation enters autumn.
President Trump is insistent on pushing payroll tax cuts through executive action, according to a top adviser, even though employers have expressed little interest in the arrangement and it has allowed Joe Biden to attack him as undermining Social Security.
Google is in the process of launching a health insurance subsidiary, Coefficient, in partnership with a Swiss insurance company. To those who’ve been waiting for Big Tech to come to the rescue of our healthcare system, it may sound promising. But you and I likely won’t benefit from it anytime soon. Coefficient will serve employers, not employees — because the former are spending the latter’s healthcare dollars.
A federal judge put a temporary stop to an order from the Trump administration that would have removed the Chinese-owned messaging app WeChat from application stores.
Filmmaker and liberal activist Michael Moore said Democrats should pursue a government shutdown to deter GOP lawmakers from trying to vote on a Supreme Court nominee following Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death.
Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton added his name to the list of senators pushing for a vote on the person President Trump will nominate to replace the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the Supreme Court.
The Senate Intelligence Committee’s Republican leader said every intelligence agency warned the FBI not to rely on the “ridiculous things” in British ex-spy Christopher Steele’s discredited dossier.
Republican Texas Sen. Ted Cruz argued that history supports President Trump’s choice to nominate someone to the Supreme Court to fill the vacancy left by Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
New York Rep. Jerry Nadler called on Senate Democrats to pack the Supreme Court with more justices if President Trump prevails in choosing the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s replacement.
Former President Bill Clinton said Republicans are being hypocritical in their move to replace the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg before the upcoming November election.
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AP MORNING WIRE
Good morning. In today’s AP Morning Wire:
Pressure mounts on US GOP senators over filling Ginsburg seat.
Analysis: US to hit 200,000 virus dead; Trump sees no need for regret.
As Europe spikes, Sweden spared virus surge but questions remain.
Ginsburg’s final summer was filled with family, work and opera.
TAMER FAKAHANY DEPUTY DIRECTOR – GLOBAL NEWS COORDINATION, LONDON
The Rundown
AP PHOTO/SCOTT APPLEWHITE
Pressure ratchets up on GOP senators over Supreme Court seat; Biden and Trump at odds
“Uphold your constitutional duty, your conscience,” said Biden, speaking in Philadelphia. “Let the people speak. Cool the flames that have engulfed our country.” Jamming the nomination through, Biden said, would amount to an “abuse of power.”
As the Senate returns to Washington today, all eyes will be on the GOP’s Mitt Romney and Chuck Grassley for clues to whether Trump and Majority Leader Mitch McConnell will be able to confirm Ginsburg’s replacement anytime soon, report Laurie Kellman, Lisa Mascaro and Alexandra Jaffe.
Biden has urged unnamed Republicans to join Sens. Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins in opposing a confirmation vote before the Nov. 3 election.
Republicans hold a 53-47 edge in the Senate. If there were a 50-50 tie, it could be broken by Vice President Mike Pence. Four GOP defections would swing the pendulum to the Democrats.
The Rage: With a court seat open and a toxically divided election weeks away, yet another fiery fight begins between partisans clashing over matters of racism, policing, masks, lockdowns, how to vote and for whom to vote, as one crisis after another pummels the country, bringing no unity and no common heroes. How many more of them can America take? Calvin Woodward asks. Inevitably, and against her dying wishes, Ginsburg became a political football mere minutes after her death was disclosed Friday night. And new winds of rage picked up.
Ricin-White House: A woman suspected of sending an envelope containing the poison ricin, which was addressed to the White House, has been arrested at the New York-Canada border. That’s according to three law enforcement officials who spoke the AP. The officials say the woman, as yet unnamed, was taken into custody by U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers and is expected to face federal charges. The Royal Canadian Mounted Police have said the letter appeared to have originated in Canada.
Supreme Court Abortion: The vacancy at the high court is heightening a sense of alarm among supporters of abortion rights. And it’s fueling a surge of optimism among abortion opponents. If Trump is able to install his nominee in that seat, both sides agree there’s a better chance than ever that the court could overturn or undermine Roe v. Wade, the 1973 decision establishing a nationwide right to abortion, David Crary reports.
Conservative Contender: A front-runner to fill the seat is a federal appellate judge who has established herself as a reliable conservative on hot-button legal issues from abortion to gun control. Amy Coney Barrett is hailed by religious conservatives and others on the right as an ideological heir to the late Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia. Liberals say Barrett’s legal views are too influenced by her Catholic beliefs and fear she could seek to scale back abortion rights, Michael Tarm and Michael Biesecker report.
Election 2020-Industrial-North: Ohio may not be the presidential bellwether it has been. But it could be a useful barometer. Republican strategists say Trump has lost support in suburbs across the state he carried in 2016, prompting debate among Republicans about whether his rural outreach can offset the continued decline in metro areas. And while it would take a deep suburban dive for Trump to lose the state he carried by 8 percentage points four years ago, the effect of similar declines in states he won by much smaller margins could be more devastating to Trump’s reelection, Thomas Beaumont and Julie Carr Smyth report.
AP PHOTO/MARCIO JOSE SANCHEZ
Analysis: US to hit 200K dead, Trump sees no regret; Europe spikes but Sweden spared virus surge
The United States is likely to hit 200,000 official deaths from the coronavirus today or tomorrow, and the virus continues to spread. There’s currently no approved vaccine, and some public health experts fear infections could spike this fall and winter, perhaps even doubling the death count by the end of the year.
But Trump’s opponents say the president could have kept the number of deaths far lower if he’d taken more aggressive action, AP Washington Bureau Chief Julie Pace reports.
The AP will have comprehensive coverage marking the milestone of 200,000 U.S. fatalities which you can read here.
NYC Schools: For most schoolchildren in New York City today will mean back to school, but not back to the classroom. Only pre-kindergarteners and some special education students are scheduled to end a six-month absence from school buildings.
Sweden’s Approach: The country’s relatively low-key approach to virus lockdowns captured the world’s attention when the pandemic first hit Europe. But it also had a per-capita death rate much higher than other Nordic countries. Now, as infection numbers surge in much of Europe, Sweden has some of the lowest numbers of new cases and there are only 14 people being treated for the virus in intensive care in the country of 10 million. Most people in Sweden don’t wear masks but the population does shoulder much more personal responsibility in fighting the pandemic, David Keyton reports from Stockholm.
Those who had been in touch with Ginsburg or her staff recently said she seemed to be coping with treatment for cancer and also making plans for events months away, reports Jessica Gresko.
So the announcement of her death came as something of a surprise, even to some close friends. Her biographer saw her in mid-August and said despite a cancer recurrence Ginsburg was “plowing ahead.”
Ginsburg and Women: Recent pop culture popularity aside, the impact that she had on women was profound, and spanned age groups and backgrounds. As a litigator who fought tenaciously for the courts to recognize equal rights for women, one case at a time, and later as the second woman to sit on the hallowed bench of the Supreme Court, Ginsburg left a legacy of achievement in gender equality, Jocelyn Noveck writes. “For the first time I felt the Constitution was written for me,” said feminist leader Gloria Steinem.
The Stories She Told: In recent years, Ginsburg was surprised to find herself so popular that she once observed that “everyone wants to take a picture with me.” She had become a feminist icon, with books, movies, clothing and even coloring books devoted to her. People wanted to give her awards. They wanted to hear her talk. Ginsburg was invited to speak so often that inevitably she was asked the same questions and delivered the same punch lines, always, it seemed, to a delighted new audience. Here are some stories she told that include a rapper, an elevator and an elephant.
Seeking to justify a confirmation vote before the Nov. 3 election, Trump asserted that many high court nominations were made in an election year and “in all cases, they went forward.” That’s not true. In 2016, President Barack Obama’s pick to replace Justice Antonin Scalia languished for months because Senate Republicans insisted it wait until after the election.
Trump also falsely claimed that a conversation with the Japanese prime minister led to five car companies opening in Michigan the next day.
The United Nations was born out of the devastation of World War II to save succeeding generations from war. The 193-member global body officially commemorates its 75th anniversary today at an inflection point in history. The world is increasingly polarized and faces a pandemic; conflicts in the Middle East and Africa go on; the global economy is shrinking; and there is growing inequality. Criticized for spewing out billions of words and achieving little in ensuring global peace, the U.N. remains the one place that nations can meet to talk.
The destruction wrought by a wind-driven wildfire in the mountains northeast of Los Angeles is approaching 156 square miles, burning structures, homes and a nature center in a famed Southern California wildlife sanctuary in foothill desert communities. The blaze, known as the Bobcat Fire, is expected to grow due to gusty winds and low humidity.
Tens of thousands of Belarusians calling for the authoritarian president, Alexander Lukashenko, to resign marched through the capital as the country’s wave of protests entered its seventh week. Hundreds of soldiers blocked off the center of Minsk, deploying water cannons and armored personnel carriers and erecting barbed wire barriers. Protests also took place in several other cities, including Brest and Grodno. The crowd in Minsk was about 100,000 people. Dozens of demonstrators were arrested elsewhere.
“Schitt’s Creek” capped a huge night at the Emmy Awards — completing a historic sweep of the show’s comedy categories. The show won best comedy series and acting trophies for stars Catherine O’Hara, Eugene Levy, Daniel Levy and Annie Murphy. It’s a feat that couldn’t quite be matched by drama series winner “Succession,” which won four trophies. Zendaya made history as the youngest drama series actress winner. The prime-time show included ambitious live video feeds from 130 socially distanced nominees.
Good morning, Chicago. Illinois public health officials Sunday announced 1,402 newly diagnosed cases of COVID-19 and 14 more deaths. In Chicago, the positivity rate is sitting at 5%.
Just before the weekend, Gov. J.B. Pritzker announced that bars and indoor dining can reopen in Will and Kankakee counties after weeks under stricter rules.
With schools closed, restaurants shut down and an economic collapse looming in the early weeks of the pandemic, Mayor Lori Lightfoot announced plans to stop ticketing, booting and impounding cars throughout the city to ease financial pressures on Chicagoans.
The Discount Mall in Little Village, home to more than 150 family-owned shops, is like no other shopping center in Chicago. It’s been the heart of the community for more than three decades. But soon everything could change if the new owner of Little Village Plaza decides to do away with the concept that has been in place since 1991.
The possible changes, which the new owner hasn’t confirmed, echo other changes in the neighborhood such as the rehabbing of properties to lure young professionals to the neighborhood.
A group of vendors who say they aren’t opposed to progress but are fearful of losing their businesses began mobilizing. They want clarity on the developer’s plans and demand to be included in the conversations regarding the future of the mall.
During the March primary, Cook County Jail for the first time in its long history operated as an election precinct for in-person voting, according to county officials. Officials are now preparing to have voting at the jail during the general election — but COVID-19 has complicated those efforts.
Before Illinois voters consider any candidate on the Nov. 3 ballot — the presidential contenders, a member of Congress, a state lawmaker or a local judge — they will be asked to cast a simple yes or no vote on what could become the biggest change in state taxation in decades.
Lawry’s the Prime Rib, which has been a fixture on Ontario Street (just west of Michigan Avenue) for 46 years, is calling it quits at the end of the year. The coronavirus, recent civil unrest and an expiring lease all contributed to the decision, said Ryan Wilson, CEO of Lawry’s Inc., who also hinted at a possible return, saying “I think there’s a future for Lawry’s in the Chicago area.”
Students of color in Chicago have launched Instagram pages to highlight racism and the realities of what it’s like to be Black, Brown or Indigenousat some of the city’s most prestigious high schools, including Walter Payton College Prep, Jones College Prep and Whitney Young Magnet High School.
The posts range from allegations of overt racism — including claims other students openly used slurs or stereotypes — to microaggressions andbiased treatment from school staff. Sam Kelly has the story…
Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s son, Jim, founded Cedille Records, the nationally known classical music label based in Andersonville and famous for promoting composers and musicians from Chicago.
Students of color have launched Instagram pages to document concerns at selective enrollment high schools — including incidents in the first weeks of school.
“I want this more than anything and I hope that I get this,” said Britteney Kapri, who wants to open marijuana dispensaries under the brand name Baked. “But I don’t want it at the expense of who I am as a person, and who I say I’m fighting for.”
Welcome to The Hill’s Morning Report. It is Monday! We get you up to speed on the most important developments in politics and policy, plus trends to watch. Alexis Simendinger and Al Weaver are the co-creators, and readers can find us on Twitter @asimendinger and @alweaver22. Please recommend the Morning Report to friends and let us know what you think. CLICK HERE to subscribe!
Total U.S. coronavirus deaths today are expected to exceed 200,000, a statistic initially considered shocking when projected early this year. Total fatalities this morning: 199,512. (The Associated Press).
President Trump, moving with speed as Americans in some states begin voting ahead of Nov. 3, vowed to nominate a woman this week to succeed Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, the liberal icon who served for 27 years on the Supreme Court before her death on Friday at age 87. Bolstering Trump’s decision to act without “delay,” Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said the president’s nominee will come to the floor in the GOP-controlled Senate, although he has not said when.
Two Senate Republicans, Sens. Susan Collins (Maine) and Lisa Murkowski (Alaska), say they oppose acting on a nomination before Election Day, and Democratic lawmakers and former Vice President Joe Biden strongly object to the president’s haste to install a Republican to succeed Ginsburg, affectionately nicknamed “The Notorious RBG” and known as a progressive champion of rights for women, minorities, the LBGTQ community and the survival of the embattled Affordable Care Act.
McConnell faces an election-year situation without precedent and without rules beyond the Constitution. The wily tactician who has made a conservative overhaul of the judiciary a personal mission, has a major juggling act on his hands.
The Hill: McConnell locks down key GOP votes in Supreme Court fight.
With announcements by Collins and Murkowski, the GOP leader can lose only one more member of the GOP conference. Eyes turned to a trio of key lawmakers: Republican Sens. Mitt Romney (Utah), Cory Gardner (Colo.) and Chuck Grassley (Iowa).
Romney, a thorn in the side of the president, has yet to comment on a future nominee despite Democratic hopes that he would quickly join the sentiment of Collins and Murkowski. A Romney spokeswoman told The New York Times that he will not take any stand until the GOP conference meets. That is expected on Tuesday.
Gardner, one of the most endangered senators up for reelection this fall, sidestepped a potential timeline during a local television interview on Saturday. Grassley has yet to weigh in beyond his stated praise for the late justice. However, when asked in July what advice he would give Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), his successor as chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, the longtime Iowa Republican said he would not support moving forward with a nomination close to an election.
“I would have to tell him that I wouldn’t have a hearing,” said Grassley, 87, who has not announced reelection plans for 2022.
The GOP leader also began to rally colleagues to his side on Sunday. Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.), a key McConnell ally who is retiring at year’s end, announced in a statement that “no one should be surprised that a Republican Senate majority would vote on a Republican President’s Supreme Court nomination, even during a presidential election year” (The Hill).
McConnell, who on Friday asked GOP senators to keep their “powder dry,” has timing on his mind. He has not indicated whether he is considering a confirmation vote before or after Election Day, a decision that will depend on where his conference stands — and on Trump’s choice for the bench.
Adding to the complications, McConnell could be down one vote midway through a lame duck session. In Arizona, if Democrat Mark Kelly defeats Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.), he would be seated on Nov. 30 because the contest is a special election to fill the final two years of the late Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) term. McSally said on Friday that she agrees that the Senate should move ahead on a nominee.
The Hill: Momentum growing among Republicans for Supreme Court vote before Election Day.
The Washington Post: Who Trump might pick for the Supreme Court, including Amy Coney Barrett and Barbara Lagoa.
The Associated Press: A complete list of Trump’s possible Supreme Court nominees.
Across the aisle, Senate Democrats, limited in their ability to mechanically alter any nomination or process in the upper chamber, have launched an all out messaging war in an attempt to attract two more Senate Republicans to the position favoring a delay until after the election.
On Sunday night, Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) accused McConnell of “blatant, nasty hypocrisy” with his decision to move forward despite holding up a vote on the nomination of Merrick Garland four years ago following the death of Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia. He reiterated that all options are “on the table,” including ending the legislative filibuster to add seats to the Supreme Court — known as court-packing — if Democrats retake the upper chamber in November.
Senate Democrats are looking to the House for some help in slowing down the process. Appearing on ABC’s “This Week,” Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) threw gas on the fire, leaving open the possibility when asked whether House Democrats might try to move to impeach the president again or impeach Attorney General William Barr as a way to stall the Supreme Court nomination proceedings in the Senate.
“We have our options. We have arrows in our quiver that I’m not about to discuss right now,” Pelosi replied (The Hill).
CNN: Pelosi says she will not leverage a government shutdown to avoid a Senate vote on a court seat.
NBC News: Democrats face limited options to stop Trump from replacing Ginsburg.
The Washington Post analysis: Why is it that McConnell intends to confirm a new Supreme Court justice now, when he would not in 2016? He says the Senate and the presidency are held by the same party now, which wasn’t the case when there was a vacancy in the last year of Obama’s presidency.
The Associated Press: What is the upcoming process in the Senate, and who are the senators to watch?
The New York Times: The shadow of Garland hangs over the next Supreme Court fight.
Facebook is building the largest voting information effort in US history, starting with the new Voting Information Center, where you can find the latest resources about voting in the 2020 election. Our goal is to help register 4 million voters.
2020 ELECTION AND SUPREME COURT: For months, political analysts have wondered aloud if there would be an October surprise that could drastically alter the 2020 election. While Ginsburg’s death took place in September, the development certainly qualifies as autumn upheaval. The fight to fill the vacancy sharpens the divisions in this year’s presidential contest as well as down-ballot races across the country.
Biden made his first in-person speech since Ginsburg’s death on Sunday and delivered an appeal to the “handful” of Republicans who will decide on any nomination to follow their conscience and allow the election winner to fill the seat.
“Don’t vote to confirm anyone nominated under the circumstances President Trump and Sen. McConnell have created,” Biden said. “Don’t go there. Hold your constitutional duty, your conscience. Let the people speak. Cool the flames that have been engulfing our country.”
Biden also pointed to the GOP’s handling of the court following the death of Scalia four years ago, saying Republicans cannot “unring a bell.”
The former vice president, however, added that he will not release a list of potential nominees to replace the late icon of the court despite GOP calls for him to do so, which have only escalated since her death.
“It’s a game to them, a play to gin up emotions and anger,” Biden said. Among the others reasons for not releasing a list, Biden pointed to “unrelenting personal attacks” anyone up for consideration would face and said their presence on any list would influence their work on the bench (The Hill).
According to a poll released on Sunday, a majority of voters share the view of Biden and Democrats on the issue. In a new Reuters-Ipsos survey, 62 percent of Americans said they believe Ginsburg’s seat should be filled by the winner in November — including 8 out of 10 Democrats, and 5 in 10 Republicans. Twenty-three percent disagreed, with the rest saying they were not sure.
NBC News: Ginsburg’s death throws chaotic presidential year into greater turmoil.
The Associated Press: How Ginsburg’s death could reshape the presidential campaign.
The Associated Press: Ginsburg’s death puts Roe v. Wade on the ballot in November.
Politico: From elation to apprehension: The right wrangles over a court litmus test.
Since Friday, an issue Biden, a former Senate Judiciary Committee chairman, ducked is court packing, a concept of expansion that some Democrats have floated if Trump and McConnell move to fill the Ginsburg vacancy and Democrats next year gain control of the Senate.
During the Democratic primary Biden said he opposed the idea of adding justices to the nine on the Supreme Court, saying Democrats would “live to rue that day” and the high court would “lose all credibility” (Politico).
The Associated Press: Biden today will campaign in Manitowoc, Wis., a city about 80 miles north of Milwaukee. It’s his second visit to Wisconsin in two weeks.
The Washington Post: Biden entered September with $466 million, the campaign said — outpacing Trump.
MORE SUPREME COURT: With eight sitting justices divided along ideological lines until a new justice is sworn in, any Supreme Court rulings that split 4-4 revert to the rulings of lower courts. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) argued over the weekend that the court’s vacancy should be filled before Nov. 3 as a safeguard should there be a disputed election result between Trump and Biden that winds up before the high court, as was the case in 2000.
The president has publicly asserted without evidence that mail-in voting could “rig” the election against him, and he says his campaign has legal teams ready to challenge the process and perhaps the results, which may not be known on election night if millions of mailed ballots are still being counted.
Analysts believe emergency election-related legal petitions are likely to come to the Supreme Court before the election as well as after Nov. 3 (USA Today).
The court announced last week that justices will hear cases by telephone with live audio beginning with the new term on Oct. 5 as a continued COVID-19 precaution against in-person oral arguments (CNN). On the docket days after the election is a challenge to the 2010 Affordable Care Act brought by GOP-led states and backed by the Trump administration seeking to eliminate ObamaCare (SCOTUSblog).
The Washington Post: At the Supreme Court, Ginsburg’s courtroom chair on Sunday was draped in black wool crepe, a tradition dating to at least 1873.
The New York Times: Funeral and memorial arrangements for Ginsburg have not been officially announced by the Supreme Court, although the late justice will be buried at Arlington National Cemetery with Martin Ginsburg, her husband who died in 2010.
The Associated Press: Ginsburg’s impact on women spanned age groups, backgrounds.
The Senate will meet at 3 p.m. to resume consideration of the nomination of Edward Meyers to be a judge with the U.S. Court of Federal Claims.
The president will travel to Ohio to campaign during an event in Dayton and a rally in Swanton.
👉INVITATION: The Hill Virtually Live hosts two events this week:
TODAY “Ecommerce and the American Small Business” at 1 p.m. with lawmakers and small-business owners discussing “online everything” and steps that can be taken to improve digital infrastructure, and by extension, the digital economy. Two members of the House Small Business Committee, Reps. Adriano Espaillat (D-N.Y.) and Kevin Hern (R-Okla.), join Rep. Yvette Clarke (D-N.Y.), co-chair of the House Smart Cities Caucus, plus other speakers. RSVPHERE.
Wednesday turns to “Work Redefined,” with sessions at 11 a.m., 1:30 p.m. and 3:30 p.m., where employers, economists, innovators, policymakers and futurists discuss what lies ahead for America’s workforce and economy. Guests include Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-Del.), co-chair of the House Future of Work Caucus; Rep. Susan Brooks (R-Ind.), a member of the House Energy and Commerce Committee; and Austin, Texas, Mayor Steve Adler (D). RSVPHERE.
➔ Iran: Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and the State Department on Saturday said “snapback” U.S. sanctions against Iran had been reimposed, a move announced ahead of the United Nations General Assembly this month and 30 days after the administration notified the international community of its policy to return to a stance with Tehran that fully rejects the nuclear deal negotiated in 2015 by the Obama administration (The Associated Press). … Ahead of the U.S. elections, Trump has vowed to enforce the sanctions, although a majority of the Security Council rejects U.S. authority to act unilaterally. As The Hill’s Rebecca Kheel reports, the Trump administration risks an escalation of tensions with Iran and increasing isolation on the world stage.
➔ Coronavirus: The United States is grappling today with grief as it passes an astonishing milestone of more than 200,000 people killed by COVID-19, with no end in sight (Reuters). … France, Spain and Israel are among nations experiencing sharp increases in COVID-19 infections and deaths (The Hill and The Washington Post). … In Iowa, Des Moines schools could see the school year stretch into next summer over a protracted dispute between the school district and Gov. Kim Reynolds (R). A battle involves Reynolds’s order for public schools statewide to convene half of all classes in person instead of online due to the novel coronavirus. Des Moines school officials voted last week to violate the governor’s order (The Associated Press). … Rep. Jahana Hayes (D-Conn.) announced Sunday that she tested positive for COVID-19 and will quarantine for 14 days. She was tested after one of her staff members tested positive for the virus on Saturday (The Associated Press).
➔ Tech: Trump gave his blessing “in concept” on Saturday for the sale of video app TikTok to Oracle. Chinese parent company ByteDance would continue to be majority owner of TikTok under the agreement Trump said he approved, according to a source interviewed by CNN. That contradicts the president’s assertion that TikTok would be “totally controlled” by Walmart and Oracle, which will have up to a 20 percent share in TikTok, CNN reported. Trump, who has objected to Chinese tech ownership because of national security concerns, said “the security will be 100 percent. They’ll be using separate clouds and very, very powerful security” (CNN).
➔ Cities: Kansas City, Mo., is one of the largest metropolitan areas in the United States without a street named after Martin Luther King Jr. A proposal expected to be voted on by local lawmakers in the coming weeks could change that (The Hill).
➔ Emmys: Actress Regina King, who won a fourth career Emmy on Sunday for her role on HBO’s “Watchmen,” paid tribute to Breonna Taylor with a T-shirt message, “Say her name,” under a pink jacket during the virtually produced show. (Taylor was shot and killed in her home by Louisville, Ky., police officers in March.) Also wearing a Taylor shirt as she accepted an Emmy was best supporting actress winner Uzo Aduba, who won for her performance in “Mrs. America” (The Hill). … And the awards went to… Canada’s “Schitt’s Creek” and HBO’s “Succession,” two television standouts that topped Sunday’s Emmy Awards (The Associated Press). … AP reviewed the “Pandemmys” program HERE.
THE CLOSER
And finally … In Washington last week, a new memorial to former President Eisenhower was dedicated during a rainy evening ceremony that some readers may have missed. The Eisenhower Memorial, honoring the 34th president and his achievements as World War II commander of the Allied invasion of Western Europe, opened to the public on Friday in a four-acre park across from the Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum (The Washington Post). The memorial, described as “stunning, especially at night,” was designed by architect Frank Gehry with years of input from the Eisenhower family (The Washington Post).
Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) delivered an address, and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice offered a prerecorded tribute.
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For a Supreme Court that seeks to defend the legitimacy of its rulings as rooted in the law and not political ideology, what unfolds over the next few months is poised to be a historic test of its reputation. Read More…
ANALYSIS — The upcoming Supreme Court fight could have a limited impact on the 2020 election, CQ Roll Call elections analyst Nathan L. Gonzales writes. The Trump-Biden race has been remarkably stable, and tens of millions of Americans will have already voted before any Senate confirmation vote takes place. Read More…
Senate Republicans plan to move ahead with filling a Supreme Court vacancy in the wake of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death, but Democrats appear content to respond with a messaging exercise instead of trying to grind the chamber’s limited agenda to a halt. Read More…
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Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s trailblazing legal career started with fights for women’s rights and ended with her as a liberal cultural phenomenon for her outspoken and consistent judicial approach. CQ Roll Call takes a visual look at her long career and the scene at the Supreme Court in the wake of her death. Read More…
President Donald Trump touted vaccine distribution plans in a Friday news conference and pledged 100 million vaccine doses by the year’s end, a promise that contradicts the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s most optimistic projections. Read More…
The Dwight D. Eisenhower Memorial opened to the public on Friday, just off the National Mall in Washington, closing out two decades of drama, feuds and funding fights over the tribute to the 34th president. Read More…
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POLITICO PLAYBOOK
POLITICO Playbook: Inside the court fight
Presented by Amazon
DRIVING THE DAY
HAPPY MONDAY … 43 DAYS until Election Day.
THE WHITE HOUSE is considering nominating the following women for the Supreme Court, according to a source with knowledge of the process:
— ALLISON RUSHING, a federal judge from North Carolina who formerly worked at Williams and Connolly.
EXPECT A NOMINATION announcement this week — PETER BAKER and MAGGIE HABERMAN wrote on A1 of the NYT that it could come as soon as Tuesday. Driving this process: White House chief of staff MARK MEADOWS and White House counsel PAT CIPOLLONE.ALSO THIS WEEK: government funding on the floor of the House, and maybe — just maybe! — new Covid relief talks?!
FOR THOSE COUNTING AT HOME … ANDREW DESIDERIO and NOLAN MCCASKILL: “On Sunday, [Senate Majority Leader Mitch] McConnell (R-Ky.) won the support of Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.), who is retiring and was viewed as a potential swing vote as McConnell seeks to confirm Ginsburg‘s replacement as soon as possible.
“‘No one should be surprised that a Republican Senate majority would vote on a Republican president’s Supreme Court nomination, even during a presidential election year,’ Alexander said in a statement. ‘The Constitution gives senators the power to do it. The voters who elected them expect it.’
“Sen. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.), a member of McConnell’s leadership team, also backed the majority leader over the weekend, as did Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio), a moderate.” POLITICO
WATCH THE SWARM: The person every reporter will be looking to talk to today is Sen. MITT ROMNEY (R-Utah). He has not yet weighed in on whether Trump’s nominee should get a vote this year.
HERE’S A QUESTION WORTH PONDERING: Does the Supreme Court fight make Covid relief more or less likely? We can argue it either way.More likely:Everyone’s eyes are somewhere else, so MEADOWS/Treasury Secretary STEVEN MNUCHIN can quietly approach the Democrats. Less likely:A Supreme Court vacancy is all-consuming. It sucks up all the oxygen, especially so close to the election.
REMEMBER: 9 DAYS until the government shuts down.
Good Monday morning.
BATTLE FOR THE SENATE … SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL is moving Sen. SUSAN COLLINS’ (R-Maine) race to lean Democrat and Sen. LINDSEY GRAHAM’S (R-S.C.) from likely Republican to lean Republican.
WSJ: “Biden Leads Trump Among Latino Voters, Poll Shows,”by Tarini Parti and Madeline Ngo: “Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden holds a significant lead over President Trump among registered Latino voters, garnering 62% of support, compared with Mr. Trump’s 26%, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC/Telemundo poll.
“The survey finds Mr. Trump’s support among Latinos to be roughly in line with his standing in 2016. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton won 66% of the Latino vote, exit polls found that year, while Mr. Trump received 28%. About 12% of Latino voters remain undecided this year, the new survey finds.”
— DETROIT FREE PRESS: “Kamala Harris to visit Michigan on Tuesday,” by Nisa Khan: “U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice presidential nominee, will be visiting Detroit and Flint on Tuesday.”
WORRYING TRENDLINE FOR TRUMP … DAVID SIDERS: “‘It’s a big, big swing’: Trump loses ground with white voters”: “Donald Trump is making modest inroads with Latinos. Polls suggest he’s pulling slightly more Black support than in 2016. But Trump is tilting at the margins with those groups. His bigger problem is the demographic that sent him to the White House — white voters, whose embrace of Trump appears to be slipping in critical, predominantly white swing states.
“In Minnesota, where the contest between Trump and Joe Biden had seemed to tighten in recent weeks — and where both candidates stumped on Friday — a CBS News/YouGov survey last week had Trump running 2 percentage points behind Biden with white voters, after carrying them by 7 points in 2016. Even among white voters without college degrees — Trump’s base — the president was far short of the margin he put up against Hillary Clinton there.
“It’s the same story in Wisconsin, where Trump won non-college educated white women by 16 percentage points four years ago but is now losing them by 9 percentage points, according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll. In Pennsylvania, Biden has now pulled even with Trump among white voters, according to an NBC News/Marist Poll. In 2016, white voters cast over 80 percent of the vote in each of the three states, according to exit polls.” POLITICO
SMART STORY … BIDEN OUT OF STEP? — “Liberals want blood. Joe Biden is sticking with bipartisanship,” by Christopher Cadelago: “Liberals are furious. And they want Joe Biden to channel their angst and calm their nerves by advocating for every tactical maneuver available to stall Donald Trump’s coming Supreme Court nomination in the Senate.
“Joe Biden did something else on Sunday, using his first extended remarks about the future of the high court since the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg to strike notes that have formed the basis of his campaign: Respect for precedent, appeals to reason, bipartisanship, devotion to checks and balances.
“In imploring a handful of Republican senators who control the fate of Trump’s third nomination in four years to defy the president, Biden again landed squarely on the themes even many Democrats ridiculed as archaic, possibly naive — right until his party rewarded him with the nomination.
“So, it’s not surprising that Biden skipped over progressive wish-list items like court packing, something he said more than a year ago would cause Democrats to “rue that day.” While some Democrats want him to embrace and advocate court reforms more broadly, privately, one official said he saw the speech as designed to address the moment, rather than moments that still might come.” POLITICO
CULTURE WARS ARE BACK — “Abortion Was Back-Burnered in the Presidential Race. Not Anymore,” by NYT’s Lisa Lerer and Elizabeth Dias: “For months, abortion has been relegated to a back burner in the presidential campaign, eclipsed by a worldwide pandemic, an economic crisis and protests over racial justice. But the death of Justice Ginsburg and the looming confirmation battle to replace her could force the candidates to discuss a volatile issue six weeks before Election Day that carries significant political risks for both sides, even as it energizes portions of their bases.
“Mainstream views on abortion are more moderate than those of the activists on either wing, with most Americans saying that abortions should be legal with some restrictions. An all-out fight over abortion could further alienate the more moderate suburban voters both sides are competing for. Democrats especially must navigate their own divisions over how far to push an issue that Mr. Biden has long found personally uncomfortable.” NYT
A HEADLINE NO ONE PREDICTED — “Biden takes huge cash lead over Trump while outspending him 2-to-1,” by Elena Schneider: “For the first time this election, Joe Biden is sitting on the biggest pile of cash — and he’s vastly outspending President Donald Trump, too. Biden is entering the final stretch of the general election with $141 million more in the bank than Trump, a stunning reversal of fortunes from last spring, when Trump held a hefty financial edge as the nearly broke Biden emerged from the Democratic nominating contest.
“Biden and the Democratic National Committee, along with their affiliated joint-fundraising groups, have $466 million in the bank, according to a Biden campaign official, after raising a record-shattering $365 million last month. Trump and the Republican National Committee, meanwhile, are sitting on $325 million in the bank, Trump campaign spokesman Tim Murtaugh said.” POLITICO
TRUMP’S MONDAY — The president will leave the White House at 3 p.m. en route to Dayton, Ohio. He will arrive at the Dayton International Airport at 4:40 p.m. and give a speech at 5 p.m. Trump will depart at 6:05 p.m. en route to Swanton, Ohio. He will arrive at the Toledo Express Airport at 6:50 p.m. and give a speech at 7 p.m. Trump will depart at 8:25 p.m. and travel back to Washington. The president will arrive at the White House at 10 p.m.
ON THE TRAIL … BIDEN will travel to Manitowoc, Wis., to deliver remarks.
PLAYBOOK READS
BEN SMITH’S MEDIA EQUATION COLUMN: “Jeff Zucker Helped Create Donald Trump. That Show May Be Ending.”: “[T]he story of Mr. Trump and Mr. Zucker is a kind of Frankenstein tale for the late television age, about a brilliant TV executive who lost control of his creation. And it illustrates the extent to which this American moment is still shaped not by the hard logic of politics or the fragmented reality of new media, but by the ineluctable power of TV.”
FOR YOUR RADAR — “AP sources: Woman accused of sending ricin letter arrested,”by Michael Balsamo, Eric Tucker and Colleen Long: “A woman suspected of sending an envelope containing the poison ricin, which was addressed to White House, has been arrested at the New York-Canada border, three law enforcement officials told The Associated Press.
“The letter had been intercepted earlier this week before it reached the White House. The woman was taken into custody by U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers at the Peace Bridge border crossing near Buffalo and is expected to face federal charges, the officials said Sunday. Her name was not immediately released.
“The letter addressed to the White House appeared to have originated in Canada, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police have said. It was intercepted at a government facility that screens mail addressed to the White House and President Donald Trump and a preliminary investigation indicated it tested positive for ricin, according to the officials.”
BUSINESS BURST — “TikTok Deal Faces Questions Over Security, Ownership,” by WSJ’s John McKinnon, Alex Leary and Kate Davidson: “An emerging deal to make China’s popular TikTok app a U.S.-based company stands to reshape the social-media landscape, even as questions persisted Sunday over security concerns and ownership of the new company.
“The deal — approved in concept by President Trump this weekend, but pending final approval by the companies involved—would create an online power that could challenge Facebook Inc.’s dominance in social media and become a template for partnerships with other Chinese-owned apps.
“The plan calls for Oracle Corp. and Walmart Inc. to form partnerships with TikTok’s owner, ByteDance Ltd. of Beijing, to become a new U.S.-based company called TikTok Global. The Commerce Department said it would delay for one week a ban on U.S. downloads and updates for the TikTok app that was set to take effect at 11:59 p.m. Sunday while the new deal for TikTok is finalized by the companies and investors involved.” WSJ
— “TikTok Deal Exposes a Security Gap, and a Missing China Strategy,”by NYT’s David Sanger: “But it is far from clear from the details released so far that Mr. Trump’s deal resolves the deeper TikTok security problem — which has less to do with who owns the company and more with who writes the code and the algorithms. The code and algorithms are the magic sauce that Beijing now says, citing its own national security concerns, may not be exported to a foreign adversary.
“And the deal certainly doesn’t resolve the broader problem in the expanding technology wars between Washington and Beijing: how the United States government should deal with the foreign apps that are now, for the first time, becoming deeply embedded on the screens of Americans’ smartphones, and thus in the daily fabric of American digital life.”
IN MEMORIAM — “Former PepsiCo CEO Donald Kendall has died,” by CNN’s Rob McLean: “Former PepsiCo CEO Donald Kendall has died. He was 99. PepsiCo confirmed his death on a memorial page, which indicates he served as the CEO of both Pepsi-Cola and PepsiCo for 23 years. The company said he retired in 1986, but was ‘a trusted advisor and advocate for PepsiCo leaders, serving the company a total of 39 years during his extraordinary life.’”
TRANSITION — Charlie Sykes is joining the Lincoln Project.
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Mike Walsh, COS at the Department of Commerce. A fun fact about him: “Since joining the Department of Commerce, I’ve run hundreds of miles in 20 countries across five continents and only once did I help a colleague assist a kangaroo that was drowning in a lake.” Playbook Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) is 55 … Rep. David Trone (D-Md.) is 65 … NYT Executive Editor Dean Baquet is 64 … White House photographer Shealah Craighead … Brianna Keilar, anchor of “CNN Right Now,” is 4-0 (h/t Catherine Valentine) … Maggie Dougherty … Samantha Power (h/ts Ben Chang) … Cass Sunstein … Dan Turrentine … POLITICO’s Karey Van Hall … Jessica Andrews … Reuters’ Alexandra Alper … Anna Greenberg, managing partner at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (h/t Jon Haber) … Bill Lipton … Paul Wells (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) … Franklin Zyriek … Georgette Kerr, EVP and co-founder of Plurus Strategies, is 32 (h/t David Leiter) … John McKechnie … Erin Graefe Dorton, managing director at Prime Policy Group … Toula Vlahou …
… Brian Roehrkasse, VP of comms at Facebook … Beacon Media’s Ian Russell … Lydia Stuckey … Rodney Whitlock, VP at McDermott+Consulting, is 55 … Melanie Steele … former CIA Director James Woolsey is 79 … Jonathan Robinson … Ashley Tate-Gilmore is 37 … John Celock … former Kentucky Gov. Steve Beshear is 76 … Kiki Burger, account director at Sunshine Sachs (h/t husband Tim) … Andrew Mahaleris is 26 … NBC News PR’s Dom Cuce … Joel Epstein … Kelly Lindner … Charles Garrison … Justin Reilly … Zeke Turner … Tess Mahoney … Patricia Summers Edwards … Elizabeth Wiebe … Laurel Ruza … Monica Carmean … Mark Watson … Matt Thorn … Sarah Sibley … Mike Veselik … Soren Dorius … former Australian PM Kevin Rudd is 63
President Donald Trump will travel to Ohio Monday to speak to American workers then go to Swanton, Ohio, to hold to hold a campaign rally. Keep up with Trump on Our President’s Schedule Page. President Trump’s Itinerary for 9/21/20 – note: this page will be updated during the day if …
President Donald Trump will travel to Swanton, Ohio, Monday to hold a Great American Comeback rally. The event will be held at Grande Aire located on the Toledo Express Airport. Doors open at 4:00 p.m. EDT and the president is scheduled to speak at 7:00 p.m. Tickets are available HERE …
It is no coincidence that what finally broke the Soviet Union was a Catholic trade union — a group of shipyard workers, led by an electrician and motivated by a faith that their oppressors deemed an opiate. Christianity and its sweeping social vision enlivened the workers in Gdansk and their …
President Donald Trump said Saturday that he approved a transaction between Oracle and TikTok that allows the Chinese application to stay in the United States. Part of the arrangement requires the newly U.S.-based TikTok company to direct $5 billion toward teaching American children “the real history of our country,” Trump …
Sen. Marco Rubio, the acting chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said on Sunday that he anticipates additional indictments in a federal probe into the origins of the Trump-Russia investigation. Rubio also said in an interview on Fox News’ “Sunday Morning Futures” that he believes the FBI engaged in activities …
I address this to those who consider themselves both “Libertarian” and “libertarian” and to those who are “Constitutionalists/constitutionalists.” As for myself, I was a small “l” libertarian for many years and a party member for a few (I ended up rejecting the party due to all its nonsense which anyone …
In the aftermath of the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, tensions on both sides of the aisle are high. With a hotly contested General Election just weeks away, some in the pundit/activist spheres, conditioned by the acceptance of civil unrest in our urban areas, are calling for …
President Donald Trump has no public events on his schedule for Sunday. Keep up with Trump on Our President’s Schedule Page. President Trump’s Itinerary for 9/20/20 – note: this page will be updated during the day if events warrant Keep up with Trump on Our President’s Schedule Page. All Times …
Happy Apocalypse Monday, my Kruiser Morning Briefing friends. I hope you’re all keeping safe.
Well, here we are. Every time we peek around another corner in 2020 something uglier is lurking down a dark alley. The death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Friday probably means that the United States of America has an even slimmer chance now of finding a “one big happy family” vibe before the holidays.
Republicans are going to do their jobs, much to the chagrin of the Democrats. The people who have been redefining contentious politics in America for decades are feigning horror that their opponents would be pressing an advantage. The Democrats spent eight years messiah-worshiping a president whose public justification for ramrodding his health care plan through was “I won.”
Well, we won too.
The Democrats are an unstable and emotional lot on their best days. Their politics, after all, are logic-free and purely emotion-based. They’ve been spinning out since January 20, 2017 and it’s going to get even more bat you-know-what crazy as the Republicans move to replace Ginsburg before the election. Perma-hack George Stephanopoulos gave Nancy Pelosi his wish list about what he’d like her to do to the Republicans, which Matt wrote about here. Stephanopoulos suggested another round of impeachment, which Granny Boxwine didn’t say no to.
They’re not going to take this well.
They’re rallying around Ginsburg’s purported “last wish,” which I don’t for a moment believe happened. It sounds like those convenient “My 8-year-old said…” stories they love to make up over on the Left. Democrats are such ghouls and so afflicted with Trump Derangement Syndrome I can see any one of them lying about a loved one’s dying words to score some political points, especially because ORANGE MAN BAD.
Whatever grief the Democrats get in the next month or two was brought about by their treatment of Brett Kavanaugh two years ago. Their behavior toward Kavanaugh was abominable and unforgivable.
And unforgettable.
They have no doubt moved on. They’ve manufactured thousands of crises out of thin air to be outraged about since then, after all.
It’s fitting that the symbol for the GOP is an elephant. Elephants are renowned for their memories. The Republicans haven’t forgotten the Democrats’ vindictive psychosis from the summer of 2018.
Remember this?
“Radicalized” is the perfect word there. “Galvanized” works too.
I have no idea if Trump and McConnell will be able to pull this off. They have the time to do it. If McConnell can keep the Republicans in line he should have the votes. Murkowski is forever useless. Other than the Kavanaugh vote, so is Collins. Their defections are to be expected.
It will be worth it just to watch the Democrats’ heads explode if Trump nominates Amy Coney Barrett. It’ll be popcorn time, even if it’s brief.
Schitt’s Creek swept the comedy Emmy awards last night, so I’ll begin this week with a two-fer from one of the greatest television comedies in history. First, I’ll re-up this montage of Annie Murphy (Best Supporting Actress) as Alexis.
And here is the exquisite Catherine O’Hara, who is absolutely magical in this show (LANGUAGE WARNING. One word at the end of the clip.)
Trump to nominate a woman to the Supreme Court this week . . . The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg six weeks before Election Day stirred political jockeying by both parties, with Republicans pushing to move quickly on a successor and Democrats assessing options they have to keep the seat open. President Trump said that this coming week he would nominate a woman as a successor to Justice Ginsburg, who died Friday of metastatic pancreatic cancer at age 87. Replacing the liberal icon with a conservative jurist could further entrench the court’s rightward shift. The president’s list has been narrowed to two leading candidates, according to people familiar with the matter: federal appellate judges Amy Coney Barrett of the Seventh Circuit, in Chicago, and Barbara Lagoa of the 11th Circuit, in Atlanta. Wall Street Journal
Amy Coney Barrett is the leading choice . . . If Judge Barrett were nominated and confirmed, she would be the sitting justice with the least courtroom experience, but one viewed as a home run by conservative Christians and anti-abortion activists. “She is the perfect combination of brilliant jurist and a woman who brings the argument to the court that is potentially the contrary to the views of the sitting women justices,” said Marjorie Dannenfelser, the president of the Susan B. Anthony List, an anti-abortion political group, who has praised Mr. Trump’s entire shortlist. The nomination of a judge whom Mr. Trump was quoted last year as “saving” to be Justice Ginsburg’s replacement would almost surely plunge the nation into a bitter and divisive debate over the future of abortion rights, made even more pointed because Judge Barrett would replace a justice who was an unequivocal supporter of those rights. Some White House officials worry that Judge Barrett’s positions might galvanize not just Democrats but also suburban women and independent voters who would favor a more mainstream pick, and her nomination is hardly certain. New York Times
McConnell locks down key Republican votes . . . Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is locking down key votes from Republican senators in his bid to fill the Supreme Court vacancy created by Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death. On Sunday, McConnell (R-Ky.) won the support of Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.), who is retiring and was viewed as a potential swing vote as McConnell seeks to confirm Ginsburg‘s replacement as soon as possible. Sen. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.), a member of McConnell’s leadership team, also backed the majority leader over the weekend, as did Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio), a moderate. Politico
Sens. Murkowksi and Collins are against. Republicans can lost no more than three votes.
Most Americans say wait until after election . . . The national opinion poll was conducted Sept. 19-20, after Ginsburg’s death. The poll found that 62% of American adults agreed the vacancy should be filled by the winner of the Nov. 3 matchup between Trump and Democratic former Vice President Joe Biden, while 23% disagreed and the rest said they were not sure. Eight out of 10 Democrats – and five in 10 Republicans – agreed that the appointment should wait until after the election. Reuters
Democrats vow scorched earth battle . . . The fight over the 2017 Kavanaugh nomination already looked tame by comparison Sunday as Democrats geared up to block whomever President Trump picks to fill the seat left by the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Calls of “burn it down” and “this is war” raged on social media as activists held weekend protests outside Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s homes in Louisville, Kentucky, and Washington, D.C., and a rally outside the Supreme Court featuring Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren. “Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s body isn’t even cold and Mitch McConnell is dancing on her grave. This is war. Dems have powerful weapons. Now is the time to use them,” tweeted progressive Hollywood director and actor Rob Reiner. Washington Times
Pelosi won’t rule out impeachment to stop SCOTUS pick . . . House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on Sunday refused to rule out using impeachment to block Senate Republicans from voting on President Trump’s nominee to fill the Supreme Court vacancy caused by Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death. ABC News anchor George Stephanopoulos raised the possibility with Pelosi that the Democrat-controlled House would move to impeach Trump or Attorney General William Barr to stop the Senate from voting during a lame-duck session. “Well, we have our options,” she said. New York Post
Democrats threaten to pack court if GOP votes on new Justice this year . . . Prominent Democrats are threatening to expand the size of the Supreme Court to cancel out President Donald Trump’s court picks if Republicans vote on late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s replacement this year. “If Sen. McConnell and @SenateGOP were to force through a nominee during the lame duck session—before a new Senate and President can take office—then the incoming Senate should immediately move to expand the Supreme Court,” House Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler wrote on Twitter Saturday. Daily Caller
Coronavirus
US to surpass 200,000 Covid-19 deaths . . . The death toll from the spread of coronavirus in the United States was approaching over 200,000 lives on Monday, more than double the number of fatalities in India, the country reporting the second-highest number of cases in the world. The United States, on a weekly average, is now losing about 800 lives each day to the virus, according to a Reuters tally. That is down from a peak of 2,806 daily deaths recorded on April 15. During the early months of the pandemic, 200,000 deaths was regarded by many as the maximum number of lives likely to be lost in the United States to the virus. Reuters
Politics
Biden takes huge cash lead over Trump while outspending him 2-1 . . . For the first time this election, Joe Biden is sitting on the biggest pile of cash — and he’s vastly outspending President Donald Trump, too. Biden is entering the final stretch of the general election with $141 million more in the bank than Trump, a stunning reversal of fortunes from last spring, when Trump held a hefty financial edge as the nearly broke Biden emerged from the Democratic nominating contest. Biden and the Democratic National Committee, along with their affiliated joint-fundraising groups, have $466 million in the bank, according to a Biden campaign official. Trump and the Republican National Committee, meanwhile, are sitting on $325 million in the bank. Politico
Democrats: Investigate the investigators . . . Looks like U.S. Attorney John Durham must be close to some pretty dramatic findings and the investigation of the Trump campaign’s alleged ties to Russia. Because the Democrats are getting very nervous. According to the Washington Examiner: Top House Democrats called for Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz to investigate Attorney General William Barr and U.S. Attorney John Durham for their investigation of the Trump-Russia investigators one day after Senate Democrats made the same request. White House Dossier
Massive “Fuck Cuomo and de Blasio mural painted on Brooklyn street . . . Fed-up New Yorkers painted a massive stretch of Brooklyn blacktop with the yellow message “F–k Cuomo and de Blasio” over the weekend in the vein of Hizzoner’s “Black Lives Matter” art, only for the city to quickly scrub the statement. The not-so-subtle shout-out to Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Mayor Bill de Blasio went up around 1 a.m. Saturday on North 15th Street between Wythe Avenue and Banker Street in Williamsburg, during the waning hours of an annual block party which this year doubled as a “small business owner protest.” New York Post
I think that barely captures how New Yorkers feel at this point. But they’ll keep voting Democratic.
Senior Biden campaign aide was in racist hacking group . . . I imagine much of the press will dismiss this as an aberration.
According to the Washington Examiner: A senior cybersecurity adviser to Joe Biden’s campaign spent years affiliating with a hacking organization and boasted on a personal blog about breaking into her neighbor’s computers. Jackie Singh, who joined the Biden campaign in July as a senior cyber incident responder and threat analyst, was an affiliate of the hacking organization the Gay N—– Association of America, once headed by white nationalist Andrew Auernheimer. White House Dossier
Pelosi offers bizarre “good morning” response to question . . . Host George Stephanopoulos had asked the House Speaker about possibility of a second attempt at impeaching Trump in the coming months. Stephanopoulos asked: ‘To be clear, you’re not taking any arrows out of your quiver, you’re not ruling anything out.’ And Pelosi replied: ‘Good morning, Sunday morning. We have a responsibility. we take an oath to protect and defend the Constitution of the United States. We have a responsibility to meet the needs of the American People.’ Daily Mail
Chinese air force video seems to show simulated attack on Guam . . . China’s air force has released a video showing nuclear-capable H-6 bombers carrying out a simulated attack on what appears to be Andersen Air Force Base on the U.S. Pacific island of Guam, as regional tensions rise. The video came as China carried out a second day of drills near Chinese-claimed Taiwan, to express anger at the visit of a senior U.S. State Department official to Taipei. Guam is home to major U.S. military facilities, including the air base, which would be key to responding to any conflict in the Asia-Pacific region. Reuters
Pelosi is stonewalling bill to crack down on Chinese influence in US . . . House Democrats are blocking a bill that will curtail the influence of the Chinese-government-funded Confucius Institute, stymying bipartisan legislation that unanimously passed in the Senate. Despite bipartisan support in the upper chamber, House Democrats—including a cosponsor for the bill—voted against placing the CONFUCIUS Act on the agenda in late July, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has yet to announce plans to place the bill on the floor. Washington Free Beacon
Woman who sent ricin letter to White House arrested . . . A woman suspected of sending an envelope containing the poison ricin, which was addressed to White House, has been arrested at the New York-Canada border, three law enforcement officials told The Associated Press. The letter had been intercepted earlier this week before it reached the White House. The woman was taken into custody by U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers at the Peace Bridge border crossing near Buffalo and is expected to face federal charges, the officials said Sunday. Her name was not immediately released. Associated Press
International
US in showdown with rest of world over Iran sanctions . . . Allies and foes alike rejected the Trump administration’s effort over the weekend to reimpose global economic sanctions on Iran, setting up a high-stakes showdown at the United Nations that could again leave Washington abandoned on the world stage. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Saturday night that the U.S. has officially triggered a “snapback” provision within the 2015 international nuclear deal with Iran. That move, he said, will reimpose a set of harsh U.N. sanctions on Tehran that had been lifted as part of the Obama-era agreement. But other parties to the deal, including staunch American allies in Europe, say the U.S. has no standing because President Trump withdrew from the pact in 2018. They say the sanctions relief granted to Iran should remain in place. Washington Times
Money
Judge halts Trump order to remove Chinese-owned WeChat from app stores . . . A judge has blocked the Trump administration from requiring Apple and Google to remove Chinese-owned messaging app WeChat for downloads. In a ruling dated Saturday, Magistrate Judge Laurel Beeler in California said the government’s actions would affect users’ First Amendment rights as an effective ban on the app removes their platform for communication. WeChat is a messaging-focused app popular with many Chinese-speaking Americans that serves as a lifeline to friends, family, customers and business contacts in China. It’s owned by Chinese tech giant Tencent and has an average of 19 million daily active users in the US. Daily Mail
You should also know
The plastics recycling fraud . . . You separate your trash, leave it to be collected and then it gets sorted in a waste facility, after which it’s turned into new things — that’s how recycling works, right? Turns out it’s not that easy, especially when it comes to plastic. Some materials, such as aluminum cans, glass and paper, are relatively easy to repurpose. But plastic poses a particular problem. Of the 29 million tons of plastic waste collected in the EU in 2018, less than a third was recycled. About a quarter went into landfills, and about 43 percent was burned in incineration plants. “Plastic recycling is largely a fraud,” said Jim Puckett, the executive director of the Basel Action Network, an NGO in the U.S. that works to end illegal waste trade. Politico
Nebraska bar owner who killed protester commits suicide . . . The Nebraska bar owner who fatally shot a George Floyd protester in May was found dead of an apparent suicide on Sunday — less than a week after he was indicted on manslaughter charges, police said. The body of Jake Gardner, 38, of Omaha, was discovered around 12:20 p.m. outside a medical clinic in Hillsboro, Oregon, some 20 miles west of Portland, cops said. Gardner, a Marine veteran, claimed he shot Scurlock in self defense — and a local prosecutor initially said the evidence supported that scenario and declined to prosecute. But Special Prosecutor Frederick Franklin said Tuesday that the grand jury had reviewed additional information, including from Gardner’s phone and his Facebook Messenger account, along with video, that “was consistent with there being an intentional killing.” New York Post
Schitt’s Creek takes seven Emmy awards . . . “Schitt’s Creek” made history on Sunday night at the Emmy Awards by becoming the first series to sweep all of the major comedy awards in a single evening. The show took home prizes for best comedy, writing, directing, and acting, earning the show seven awards tonight. Fox News
Tropical storm Beta heads toward Texas and Louisiana . . . Tropical Storm Beta steamrolled through the Gulf of Mexico with forecasts of flooding, heavy rainfall and storm surges expected to inundate Southern states, leaving more than 10 million American under storm warnings. The National Hurricane Service on Sunday revealed that Tropical Storm Beta will likely make landfall Monday in the storm-battered states of Louisiana and Texas. Daily Mail
Five-minute blast from laser boosts women’s libido . . . A pain-free laser used for just five minutes could boost a woman’s libido, scientists have discovered. In a study, reported in the Journal of Lasers in Medical Sciences, scientists examined the effect of the fractional CO2 laser on a woman’s sex drive. Researchers found that the device, which creates small wounds inside the vagina, not only helped improved sexual function in menopausal women but also helped increase the number of orgasms they experienced. The results of the study come just months after scientists found more than a third of women in the UK were not interested in having sex. Daily Mail
Guilty Pleasures
Man sentenced after loaded gun found in his anus . . . Justin Savoie, 24, pleaded guilty Friday to weapons charges after police in the town of Golden Meadow — who were arresting him late last year on a separate matter — discovered he had stashed a loaded .25 caliber Titan pistol in his buttocks. Police had taken Savoie into custody on Dec. 28, 2019, after they responded to “suspicious activity” in a home he was occupying with a female acquaintance, the report said. Cops said they discovered Savoie possessed a handgun, marijuana and drug paraphernalia during an initial search. Multiple other firearms were discovered in his truck at the scene, the report said. But as Savoie was being strip searched after his arrest, police reportedly found the additional surprise weapon “concealed in his rear end.” The pistol is more than four inches long with a 2.5-inch barrel. New York Post
Okay, sure, put a gun up your ass, everybody does it. But a loaded gun? Come on.
US wild pig population soaring . . . The U.S. wild pig population is soaring and rapidly multiplying, which experts describe as a ticking ‘feral swine bomb,’ according to a report on Saturday. There are roughly nine million feral swine running rampant across the U.S. The invasive species already costs the U.S. an estimated $2.5 billion each year in damages and control costs, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. As their numbers continue to rise, the damage will only get worse. In fact, the wild pig population has expanded from 17 states to at least 39 over the last three decades. Fox News
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THE DISPATCH
The Morning Dispatch: Will the Senate Vote on a Supreme Court Nominee?
Amid charges of hypocrisy from 2016, Mitch McConnell promises to forge ahead.
Happy Monday! If you were thinking last week that our country wasn’t polarized enough, do we have news for you!
Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories
The United States confirmed 34,264 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday per the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard, with 3.8 percent of the 897,096 tests reported coming back positive. An additional 216 deaths were attributed to the virus on Sunday, bringing the pandemic’s American death toll to 199,474.
Supreme Court justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died Friday at age 87 after a years-long battle with cancer. Her death sets up a contentious fight in the coming weeks over when she should be replaced on the court, and by whom.
The White House announced Friday the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) will be awarding $13 billion in grants to Puerto Rico to help rebuild the island’s electrical grid and infrastructure following Hurricane Maria in 2017. Asked why the aid was being released now—46 days before an election in which Hispanic voters will play a large part—and not back in 2017, President Trump said, “We’ve been working on it for a long time.”
A deal between the White House and the pharmaceutical industry to lower drug prices was scuttled after top White House officials insisted on the issuance of cash cards to be sent to older Americans across the country just weeks before the election. “Mark Meadows, Mr. Trump’s chief of staff, insisted the drug makers pay for $100 cash cards that would be mailed to seniors before November — ‘Trump Cards,’ some in the industry called them.”
President Trump approved “in concept” a deal for TikTok between ByteDance, Oracle, and Walmart, allowing the popular social media app to continue operations in the United States past the Trump administration’s September 20 deadline—which has now been extended a week while the Chinese Communist Party mulls over the arrangement. Trump said he wants $5 billion from the deal to go toward his “patriotic education” efforts to teach people “the real history of our country … not the fake history.”
The two participants in AstraZeneca’s COVID-19 vaccine trials that became sick were diagnosed with an inflammation of the spinal cord known as transverse myelitis, according to the New York Times. The condition is diagnosed in about one in 236,000 Americans per year; two of the 8,000 British volunteers have reportedly developed it.
A package addressed to President Trump and containing the poison ricin was intercepted by law enforcement officials last week. The FBI has reportedly arrested a suspect who was attempting to enter New York from Canada.
The Emmys held a virtual award ceremony last night, with CBC’s Schitt’s Creek and HBO’s Succession, Watchmen, and Last Week Tonight cleaning up in various categories.
Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 1933-2020
Ruth Bader Ginsburg, the second woman to serve on the Supreme Court and lifelong advocate for gender equality under law, died on Friday in her Washington, D.C., home after several battles with cancer. She was 87.
Nominated by President Bill Clinton in 1993, Ginsburg quickly developed a reputation for her fiercely articulated majority opinions and dissents, becoming a reliably progressive presence on the bench. Yet she is remembered by friends for her congenial approach to colleagues of differing judicial philosophies; her camaraderie with conservative lion Antonin Scalia is the stuff of Washington legend.
Ginsburg earned her bachelor’s degree at Cornell University before attending Harvard Law School, where she was one of only nine women in her class of about 500. She later transferred to Columbia Law School and finished first in her class, even as she raised her first child with her husband, Martin Ginsburg. Called “Marty” by friends and family, he advocated for his wife’s legal career until his death from cancer in 2010.
Despite early setbacks in her career resulting from personal encounters with sexism in the legal profession, Ginsburg was hired in 1963 as a professor at Rutgers Law School in New Jersey. She later returned to Columbia University—her alma mater—to teach law, becoming the first female professor to receive tenure. In 1972, Ginsburg co-founded the ACLU’s Women’s Rights Project and went on to argue more than 300 gender and sex-related cases in the American court system. Ginsburg argued six of those cases before the U.S. Supreme Court.
In the 13 years leading up to her appointment to the Supreme Court, Ginsburg served as a judge for the U.S. Court of Appeals District of Columbia Circuit. But even after more than a decade on the country’s most prestigious appellate court, her path to the Supreme Court remained far from guaranteed. After considering a shortlist of almost entirely male candidates to replace Justice Byron White (his first choice was actually Mario Cuomo), President Clinton ultimately put forth Ginsburg, and she was confirmed 96-3.
During her nearly three decades on the bench, Justice Ginsburg became an icon on the left—the “Notorious R.B.G.” moniker was bestowed upon her by a law student—for her crusading progressive jurisprudence on issues including abortion, women’s health, affirmative action, and voting rights. Three years into her appointment, Ginsburg delivered the majority decision for United States v. Virginia, which held that the Virginia Military Institute’s male-only admissions policy violated the 14th Amendment’s equal protection clause.
“‘Inherent differences’ between men and women, we have come to appreciate, remain cause for celebration, but not for denigration of the members of either sex or for artificial constraints on an individual’s opportunity,” she wrote. “Such classifications may not be used, as they once were … to create or perpetuate the legal, social, and economic inferiority of women.”
Ginsburg’s legacy was almost immediately overshadowed by the political arguments about her successor. Within an hour of the news breaking on Friday night, Ginsburg’s granddaughter told reporters her grandmother’s “most fervent” dying wish was that she “will not be replaced until a new president is installed.” A short while after that, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell released a statement mourning Ginsburg, but making clear that “President Trump’s nominee will receive a vote on the floor of the United States Senate.” And we were off to the races.
Dispatch readers ages 4 and up might remember McConnell at one point having a different view of presidential Supreme Court nominees receiving a vote on the floor of the United States Senate in an election year. “The American people should have a voice in the selection of their next Supreme Court Justice,” the majority leader wrote on February 13, 2016, the night of Justice Antonin Scalia’s death. “Therefore, this vacancy should not be filled until we have a new President.”
The vacancy was not filled. President Obama nominated Judge Merrick Garland of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit; Garland did not receive a hearing in the Republican-controlled Senate, and President Trump replaced Scalia with Neil Gorsuch the following year. The roles are now reversed, save one key constant: The Republican Senate majority.
President Trump made clear Saturday morning he would nominate Ginsburg’s replacement to the Supreme Court “without delay.” The administration is reportedly considering three women—Judges Amy Coney Barrett, Barbara Lagoa, and Allison Jones Rushing—for the position, and Trump is expected to announce his decision in the next few days, before the first presidential debate on September 29.
Based on McConnell’s commitments, the Senate will then be faced with one of two options: Vote on Trump’s nominee before the election on November 3, or vote on Trump’s nominee during the lame duck session after the election but before the new Congress is sworn in. Republicans currently hold a slim 53-47 majority in the Senate, meaning they can afford to lose three members of their conference before Trump’s nominee would be tanked, given the tie-breaking vote of Vice President Mike Pence. Two—Sens. Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski—made clear over the weekend they opposed voting on a nominee in advance of the election. Sens. Mitt Romney and Cory Gardner are among the last remaining swing votes, neither had announced his intention as of early Monday morning.
Reading the tea leaves, a lame duck session vote may be the more likely outcome—out of both necessity and political expediency. According to a 2018 Congressional Research Service report, the average number of days between a Supreme Court nomination and the final Senate vote is 69.6; we’re 43 days out from the election. “This should take as long as it needs to take, but no longer. There is plenty of time to get this done,” Sen. Roy Blunt, a close McConnell ally, told CBS News. “But to get it done before Election Day, everything has to work, I think, pretty precisely.”
Ross Douthat has a mildly accelerationist take on how Republicans should approach the now-vacant seat on the Supreme Court. “A brave stand in favor of bipartisanship by a few Republican senators might set the stage for a return of wise-man politics,” in which mollified Democrats collaborate with Republicans, reforming the Court to make it less central to our politics, he writes. But the realities of the Republican coalition—and the threat of Biden replacing both Ginsburg and a conservative justice—make a vote to confirm both more likely and perhaps even desirable. Fully acknowledging the threat of court-packing, a partisan fight over a politicized court “could push some power back toward the legislative branch,” Douthat writes, “where under our constitutional schema it still formally belongs.”
Danielle Pletka—senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, Dispatch contributor, and 2016 NeverTrumper—made waves last week with a Washington Post op-ed arguing she may be “forced to vote for” Trump in 2020 because, despite her distaste for Trump, she “fear[s] the leftward lurch of the Democratic Party even more.” Read the piece, and then be sure to read the interview she did with The New Yorker’s Isaac Chotiner expounding upon and defending her argument. Pletka said last October “the only thing that could get me close to voting for Donald Trump is Elizabeth Warren.” Now that the Democrats nominated Joe Biden instead, she tells Chotiner that Democratic primary voters’ “choice was irrelevant, because [she doesn’t] think that those voters are the people who are steering the direction of the Party.”
Presented Without Comment: Third-In-Line-to-the-Presidency Edition
“When the president of arguably the best university in the country says that his school is shot through with racism—some of it intentional—why shouldn’t we take it seriously?” asks Jonah in his most recent G-File, discussing Princeton’s dust-up with the Department of Education stemming from a massive own goal by its president, Christopher Eisgruber, who said racism was “deeply embedded” in the university. The DOE took him at his word and launched an investigation—as Jonah says, “I love this so much I want to rent a limo I can’t afford, take it to the prom, and maybe get a tattoo celebrating my love.” But more seriously, he writes, the investigation is a welcome correction to a national debate over racism that is rhetorically “turned up to 11.”
Sarah spoke with Echelon Insights founder and Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson for the Late-Week Sweep. They dove into what methodological issues pollsters are focusing on heading into November, how to correct for some of the polling mistakes of 2016, the “shy Trump voter” (or SMAGA), and Kristen’s advice for aspiring pollsters.
David wrote a particularly sobering French Press—entitled ‘Yes, America Could Split Apart’—in preparation for the launch of his new book (Tuesday!). “I have never in my adult life seen such a deep shudder and sense of dread pass through the American political class” than after the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, he notes. America’s polarized political climate, it’s partisan geographic sorting, and accompanying one-party rule, could lead to permanent separation: “History teaches us, from 1776 (for good) and 1861 (for evil), that when geographically-concentrated, like-minded Americans believe their culture is under threat, they can and will determine that the existing union shall not last,” he writes. The only hope is a recommitment to pluralism as a spiritual vocation, and a nation “that protects the autonomy of different cultural and political communities, but creates porous cultural walls between those communities.”
“People ask me this all the time, ‘Why the hell did you stay?’” explains Miles Taylor—the former Department of Homeland Security chief of staff in the Trump administration—on the latest episode of The Dispatch Podcast. “And my response is: If you saw what was happening, why the hell wouldn’t you stay if you cared about your country?” On Friday’s episode, Taylor gives Sarah and Steve an inside scoop as to what it’s like working for a president who constantly gives you orders to break the law and who believes he has “magical powers” to do whatever he wants.
Kemberlee Kaye: “‘I purposely avoided the internet all weekend (except to view sewing tutorials) and given the passing of Justice Ginsburg, that’s a decision I do not regret.”
Fuzzy Slippers: “As we await President’s Trump SCOTUS nomination, I went back through LI’s coverage of the Kavanaugh hearings. The LI team was on every twist and turn of the despicable treatment he received from Senate Democrats, the media, and random leftist activists and agitators. Whomever Trump picks will likely get the same treatment, or even worse given the stakes, and their increased boldness, this time.”
Leslie Eastman: “Many conservative friends are worried about the stunts the Senate Democrats will pull if President Donald Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell go forward with plans to nominate and vote on a Supreme Court Justice candidate. I remind them that the stunts that were pulled in Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation process cost four Senators (Heitkamp; Donnelly; McCaskill; Nelson) their re-election. Trump and McConnell only lose if they don’t try to #FillThatSeat.”
Vijeta Uniyal: “Despite opposition from China, Russia, and the European members of the United Nations Security Council, the United States is set to trigger snapback sanctions on Iran. All U.N. sanctions on the regime will begin September 20, U.S. special envoy for Iran, Elliott Abrams, confirmed Wednesday. The “snapback” will restore all sanctions on Tehran lifted under the 2015 nuclear deal. The move is expected to discourage China and Russia from selling arms to the regime, and European countries from investing in its oil and gas sectors.”
Legal Insurrection Foundation is a Rhode Island tax-exempt corporation established exclusively for charitable purposes within the meaning of Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code to educate and inform the public on legal, historical, economic, academic, and cultural issues related to the Constitution, liberty, and world events.
For more information about the Foundation, CLICK HERE.
“On Aug. 23, 29-year-old Jacob Blake, a black man, was shot seven times in the back by a white police officer. The original video, which only included the last moments of the incident, gave…”
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More Threats of Violence as SCOTUS Fight Starts With the exception of Democratic candidate Joe Biden saying 200 million people will die from COVID by the end of his speech, the pandemic is likely yesterday’s news from now until the election. Following the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, President Trump said he will submit a nomination for a replacement justice this week. At a Saturday campaign rally, he said it would be a woman, receiving thunderous applause. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said that the nominee would get a vote on the Senate floor. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said Democrats will resist confirming a nominee. Of course, a vacancy could happen the day after a Trump landslide and everyone’s talking points would be the same. Speaker Nancy Pelosi hasn’t ruled out more impeachment proceedings in order to block Trump’s SCOTUS pick. Because that worked so well the first time?
Many left-wing activists are also threatening violence if President Trump does his constitutional duty and appoints a nominee. The Federalist’s Tristan Justice notes that the Left and their cohorts in the media have been threatening violence all election season.
The Left is attempting to conflate the current political climate to President Obama’s nomination of Merrick Garland in 2016. Republicans argued Americans electing Trump was a reason to wait. Senate Republicans had the numbers to make that happen. In this election year, however, the election hasn’t happened yet… and Republicans still (technically) have control of the Senate. Also, President Obama still submitted his nominee, as he should have. At The Federalist, Jordan Davidson highlights some facts, as dictated by Senator Ted Cruz:
“While Democrats have demanded that President Trump and the Senate postpone confirming a new Supreme Court justice to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg after her passing, even calling for violence, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) says the action is historically justified.“’Twenty-nine times there has been a vacancy in a presidential election year. Presidents have made nominations all 29 times,’” Cruz told ABC News’s George Stephanopoulos in an interview on Sunday. “’That’s what presidents do. If there’s a vacancy, they make a nomination.’”
Of those 29 nominations, Cruz explained that 19 were made at a time the Senate and the White House were of the same political party, and 17 of these 19 were confirmed.”
I’d say get ready for election 2020 to get ugly, but was it ever pretty? Ben Domenech tweeted, “President @realDonaldTrump’s choice for the Supreme Court is effectively a second running mate. She will face a barrage of criticism and smears from a corrupt media bent on her personal destruction. Be prepared. Don’t be gaslit.”
Who Will the Nominee Be?
Since President Trump said he will nominate a woman, it really narrows down the list the White House released last week with 40 or so names. From The Hill:
“Judges Amy Coney Barrett and Barbara Lagoa are said to be among the nominees the president is seriously considering, sources told The Hill. Others under consideration are Judges Amul Thapar and Allison Jones Rushing, though Trump’s commitment to choose a woman would seem to take Thapar out of the running. All four individuals were nominated by Trump to their current positions on the federal appellate bench. Asked about Barrett on Saturday, Trump called her ‘very highly respected.’ Trump also described Lagoa as ‘an extraordinary person’ about whom he has heard ‘incredible things’ when asked about her but said he does not know her. He also noted that she is Hispanic.”
ICYMI: Non-SCOTUS Edition
Woman suspected of sending poisoned letter to Trump arrested (CNN)
H&M cuts ties with Chinese supplier over Xinjiang forced labour accusations (South China Morning Post)
Minneapolis PD To Business Owners: Reinforcements Aren’t On The Way (Hot Air)
Trump’s The Choice For Voters Who’ve Experienced Violent Protests (Rasmussen Reports)
What I’m Reading This Week
This week I’m reading the new book by Dr. Edith Eva Eger, The Gift: 12 Lessons to Save Your Life. She survived being in Auschwitz during WWII, emigrated to America with her husband and daughter, earned her PhD, and became a clinical psychologist. From the description:
“Eger explains that the worst prison she experienced is not the prison that Nazis put her in but the one she created for herself, the prison within her own mind. She describes the twelve most pervasive imprisoning beliefs she has known—including fear, grief, anger, secrets, stress, guilt, shame, and avoidance—and the tools she has discovered to deal with these universal challenges. Accompanied by stories from Eger’s own life and the lives of her patients each chapter includes thought-provoking questions and takeaways, such as:
-Would you like to be married to you?
-Are you evolving or revolving?
-You can’t heal what you can’t feel.
Filled with empathy, insight, and humor, The Gift captures the vulnerability and common challenges we all face and provides encouragement and advice for breaking out of our personal prisons to find healing and enjoy life.”
A Case of the Mondays
Beach-loving dog who is too sick to walk is driven to the seaside by kind cab driver offering lifts (Metro)
Husky Shiba Inu goes viral for continuously ruining group photos — But I say making better! (Facebook)
Genius Trump Nominates Joe Biden To Supreme Court Forcing Dems To Accuse Him Of Sexual Assault (The Babylon Bee)
First Lady Melania Trump honored Justice Ginsburg on Twitter over the weekend:
After the media went ga-ga over Democratic Vice President nominee Kamala Harris for wearing Timberland boots, Fox News reported:“Women For Trump co-founder Amy Kremer pointed out that the media was rather hostile towards the first lady on multiple occasions when she wore Timberlands.Kremer shared two headlines side-by-side from Yahoo News, one from Wednesday reading ‘Kamala Harris may have made Timberland boots cool again’ and the other from December 2018 reading ‘Melania Trump gets mocked for wearing Timberland boots while visiting the troops.'”
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By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Dear Readers: On Thursday at 2 p.m. eastern, we’ll be devoting our new episode of our Sabato’s Crystal Ball: America Votes webinar series to previewing the debates, which start next week. If you’ve got questions about the debates — both on the matchup this year, and also those from the past — just email us at goodpolitics@virginia.edu.You can watch live at our YouTube channel (UVACFP). You can find previous episodes of the show there, as well as other recent UVA Center for Politics panels and programming. We’ll include the direct link in the next issue of the Crystal Ball.
Additionally, an audio-only podcast version of the webinar is now available at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast providers. Just search “Sabato’s Crystal Ball” to find it.
— The Editors
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— The passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg introduces an explosive new issue into the 2020 contests, although it may not fundamentally alter the race.
— Based on trends in public polling, and with a potential assist from Maine’s ranked-choice voting system, we’re moving that state’s critical Senate race from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.
— The single electoral vote from the sprawling ME-2 is now a Toss-up.
— Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) is in greater danger of an upset, and his race moves from Likely Republican to Leans Republican. The court fight could save him, though.
Table 1: Crystal Ball Senate rating changes
Senator
Old Rating
New Rating
Susan Collins (R-ME)
Toss-up
Leans Democratic
Lindsey Graham (R-SC)
Likely Republican
Leans Republican
Table 2: Crystal Ball Electoral College rating change
State
Old Rating
New Rating
ME-2
Leans Republican
Toss-up
Map 1: Crystal Ball Senate ratings
Map 2: Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings
An uncertain impact from Ginsburg’s passing
The passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Friday elevates the Supreme Court to a major electoral issue for the third election in a row, following Senate Republicans’ refusal to consider Barack Obama’s nomination of Merrick Garland in 2016 and the bitter confirmation battle over Brett Kavanaugh in 2018. The implications for the future of American government are extraordinary. The implications for the election may be as well — or not.
In the aftermath of Ginsburg’s passing, many have speculated as to whether one side might be extra motivated by the vacancy over the other. But was this a sleepy election in need of a jolt? Hardly. It is possible that, despite the pandemic, 2020 could set a modern record for turnout. The battle over the court’s future turns up the heat of American politics, but the temperature was white hot already.
The procedural arguments from the Garland blockade have flipped, with Democrats arguing for the voters to decide through the presidential election, and Republicans arguing for Donald Trump to make the pick. Those making these arguments have shifted, but the source of power in the Senate remains the same now as it was four years ago: Republicans and their majority leader, Mitch McConnell (R-KY), still rule the roost. The argument that prevails in the Senate is whatever McConnell can get 51 votes behind. The Republicans have 53 Senate seats, so it would take four Republican defections both before and after the election, in the lame duck period, to keep the seat open.
Of the eight Republican-held Senate races the Crystal Ball now rates in the Toss-up or Leans categories, just two of them — Colorado and Maine — are very likely to vote more Democratic than the nation as a whole in the presidential election. That makes the Ginsburg vacancy an added burden for Sens. Cory Gardner (R-CO) and Susan Collins (R-ME).
But the other six states — Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Montana, North Carolina, and South Carolina — seem very likely to, at the very least, vote more Republican than the nation, and Donald Trump might carry all of them even if he is narrowly losing the election, and almost certainly if he is winning. The Republican senators in all of these states, except perhaps for Sen. David Perdue (R-GA), all have had to worry about possibly running behind Donald Trump in their respective states. If the Court battle further polarizes the electorate and reduces ticket-splitting, that could help Republicans in the Senate. But it’s also premature to make any hard and fast projections about what might happen, and it’s not out of the question that Joe Biden could carry half or more of those six states — and bring enough Democratic Senate candidates along with him to get the Democrats over 50 Senate seats.
(A partisanizing vote might also be helpful to Michigan Democratic Sen. Gary Peters, who in recent surveys has led Republican rival John James but often by less than Biden is leading statewide.)
One senator who has said she wants the next president to make the pick is Collins, who once enjoyed immense bipartisan support in Maine but has been partisanized in large part because of her vote to confirm Kavanaugh in 2018. Could Collins cobble together a Republican Gang of Four to keep the seat open? That may be what it would take for her to maintain the level of crossover support she would need to win, but this development also hyper-nationalizes her race at a time when she wants to be localizing it.
Full disclosure: On Friday morning, the Crystal Ball team decided to make three rating changes — the ones described above, moving Collins’ race to Leans Democratic, shifting the ME-2 electoral vote to Toss-up, and downgrading Graham to Leans Republican. The Ginsburg news obviously gave us pause in going through with these changes, but after following developments over the weekend, we have decided to go ahead with these three changes. Here’s why:
Susan Collins’ two big problems
Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) appears to retain some of her trademark crossover appeal, but between a consistent stream of public polls showing her trailing and the unique electoral structure of her race, she appears to be in an increasingly perilous position in her bid for a fifth term.
As we’ve noted in this space before, the two parties appear to have considerable disagreements on where this race stands. Democrats believe that Collins’ opponent, state House Speaker Sara Gideon (D), is in the lead, whereas Republicans believe that Collins is holding up well.
In this kind of situation, public polls can act as a tiebreaker, and the public polling points to Gideon. This is Collins’ first problem.
Of 16 publicly-released polls of the race that have come out this year (as compiled by FiveThirtyEight’s database) from nonpartisan, Democratic, and Republican sources, Collins has only led in a single one, a Republican internal poll conducted in mid-June. Collins led 45%-38% in that survey. A few others have shown Gideon up only a point. But notice that even in this GOP internal, the longtime incumbent Collins was at just 45% of the vote. Across the 16 polls this year, her average support on the ballot has been just 42%. That is not a strong number for an incumbent who surpassed 60% in her last two reelection bids.
This brings us to Collins’ second problem: The state’s ranked-choice voting system.
When we compiled the average showing Collins at 42% during 2020, we used (when available) polls that included the race’s two other candidates: independents Lisa Savage (a progressive) and Max Linn (a conservative). Savage and Linn appear to be getting enough support that ranked-choice voting — a relatively new voting system that only Maine currently uses at the statewide level — may determine the victor in this race by preventing both Gideon and Collins from getting to 50% outright. That’s what happened in the ME-2 congressional race in 2018, when now-Rep. Jared Golden (D) finished slightly behind then-Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R) in the first round of voting, but moved ahead after the second-choice votes from those who backed third party candidates were taken into account. Collins, as the long-time incumbent, may have a harder time benefiting from this ranked-choice system than the challenger Gideon: Savage is actively encouraging her supporters to back Gideon with their second-place ranking, while some Republicans worry that Linn’s backers may not list Collins second (conservatives are much less supportive of ranked-choice voting in Maine than liberals are, perhaps understandably given the ME-2 result in 2018).
In a poll released Friday, the New York Times/Siena College simulated the ranked-choice vote. Gideon led 44%-40% on the initial ballot, with Savage and Linn at 2% apiece. When the votes for the independents were allocated, Gideon went up 49%-44%. So both candidates gained, but Gideon’s lead went up slightly.
The details of a state’s election procedures matter: In Georgia’s Senate elections this year, we think the state’s general election runoff rule may give the Republicans a little bit of an advantage compared to if there were no runoff. In Maine, the Democrats may get a little bit of a benefit from ranked-choice voting compared to if the state did not have the system.
If we end up being wrong about this rating change, and Collins ends up winning, there might be a fairly obvious explanation: Collins still is going to win a chunk of Joe Biden presidential votes. William Cohen, the former Republican senator from Maine and Bill Clinton-era secretary of defense, is one of those voters, a point he made in an endorsement of Collins late last week.
The three most recent Maine polls (NYT/Siena, Quinnipiac, and AARP) showed Biden leading Trump statewide by 17, 21, and 14 points, respectively, with Gideon up 5, 12, and 1 in the Senate race. If Biden’s lead in Maine ends up being considerably smaller than these polls indicate — and those Biden statewide leads do seem high, although they are three different polls from pollsters we respect, so they are collectively harder to dismiss as outliers than they would be on their own — Collins is demonstrating enough crossover support to hang on.
But we also have to consider the trajectory of this race. Last summer, the AARP poll, then conducted by the GOP firm Fabrizio Ward, found Collins up 17 points on Gideon. That poll, this time conducted jointly by Fabrizio Ward plus the Democratic firm Hart Research Associates, now has her down one.
In last summer’s AARP poll, Collins’ margin was 23 points better than Donald Trump’s in the state (he was down six to Biden in that poll). In this more recent survey, Collins’ margin is 13 points better than Trump’s. That’s still an impressive crossover vote these days, but it’s considerably smaller than what she enjoyed last year.
As the campaign grinds on to conclusion, we’ll have to see if Collins’ ticket-splitting edge widens or narrows. The latter may be more likely, unless Maine swing voters become so convinced of a Biden presidential win that they stick with Collins to serve as a check on a Biden presidency. However, in both the Quinnipiac and NYT/Siena polls, voters said they preferred a Democratic-controlled Senate to a Republican one by a margin of about a dozen points. Generally speaking, the public also seems less confident of a Biden victory than Biden’s polling lead would suggest, a dynamic we explored a couple of weeks ago. And even if Collins spearheads an effort that effectively blocks Trump from making an appointment, that could cost her Republican voters, which could flow to the conservative independent, and perhaps those voters will not rank her second on their ballots. In other words, while the court vacancy introduces a significant wild card into this race, we think it’s likelier to hurt Collins than help her.
Just like in our other Leans Democratic-rated Senate races in states held by Republicans — Arizona and Colorado — there are paths to a Republican comeback. But for now we think Collins is in a difficult enough position that we’re moving the race to Leans Democratic.
Crucial ME-2 electoral vote now a Toss-up
We are making one other change in Maine: We’re moving the single electoral vote in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District from Leans Republican to Toss-up. We already moved the district’s congressional race, in which Golden is seeking a second term, from Toss-up to Leans Democratic a few weeks ago. The NYT/Siena poll found Golden up by 19 points, which bolsters that change. But the presidential race appears to be close in the district. NYT/Siena, Quinnipiac, and AARP found Biden up by two, nine, and four points, respectively, in the heavily white, working-class district. This after Trump carried the district by 10 points in 2016, a massive shift from Barack Obama’s nine-point win there in 2012.
The potential for a Biden victory in ME-2 underscores one of the trends in polling this year: Biden is polling better than Hillary Clinton performed mostly because he is running better with white voters, both with a four-year college degree (a group with which he is doing extremely well for a Democrat) and without a four-year degree (a group he’s losing, but by less than Clinton). Given these shifts, it stands to reason that Biden could be doing markedly better in lily-white Maine than Clinton, who only carried the state by three points overall.
The single ME-2 vote looms large. Our current Electoral College ratings have 269 electoral votes at least leaning to Biden, so ME-2 could hypothetically be vote no. 270 for Biden, although one probably would expect states that were closer in 2016 to flip before it does (namely, the crucial trio of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin).
Graham-Harrison gets closer
During the last Supreme Court confirmation fight, in 2018, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) emerged as one of the most visible faces on Capitol Hill. This year, he’s set to have an even larger role in any potential hearings, as Chairman of the Judiciary Committee. At home, Graham has been locked in a tightening contest with a well-financed Democratic opponent, Jaime Harrison.In late April, when the Crystal Ball put South Carolina’s Senate race on the board, moving it from Safe Republican to Likely Republican, we noted that the 2020 race was shaping up to be its most competitive Senate contest since the Bush era. By almost all indicators, the race has gotten closer since then. In polls, Harrison continues to find himself within the margin of error of Graham.
During the summer, the Harrison campaign released some internal polling showing the race within a few points. Public polling since then has confirmed that: in early August, Quinnipiac polling found Graham and Harrison tied at 44% — with a slightly more Republican-leaning sample, and after a likely voter screen, the race remained tied, at 48%, when Quinnipiac surveyed it last week.
While fundraising isn’t everything — over the past few cycles, some Senate candidates have lost to lesser-funded opponents — Harrison’s dominance on that front is hard to ignore. During the month of August he raised over $10 million, a figure more than many senatorial candidates across the country can raise in an entire quarter. Just last week, the Harrison campaign claimed to rake in $2 million over 48 hours, and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee recently announced an investment in the race. In just a little over a day after Ginsburg’s death, the Democratic fundraising site ActBlue reported more than $90 million in donations — some of that has undoubtedly gone to buoy Harrison.
Though he’ll naturally act as one of the White House’s most important allies in any looming court hearings — he’s already signaled his intentions to move forward with the process — Graham has broken somewhat with the president in certain ways. In July he praised Dr. Anthony Fauci. Though he’s become a household name during the pandemic as the nation’s leading infectious disease expert, Fauci has, at times, drawn the ire of Trump. More recently on the campaign trail, Graham has aimed to frame himself as the more transparent candidate, in part by releasing 11 years of tax returns. While calling on Harrison to do the same (Harrison eventually did), he encouraged Trump to release his own — a charge that the president’s Democratic critics often make, though in more pointed terms. Graham has also declined to criticize Joe Biden, his former Senate colleague.
One actually wonders if Graham, who morphed from a Trump critic in the 2016 GOP primary cycle to a major Trump ally, would be better off trying to solidify his standing with Trump voters instead of trying to generate crossover support. Given the notable protest vote against him in June’s primary vote, and Trump’s stronger position in the state — Trump is generally around 50% in state polling and leads Biden — Graham still has work to do solidifying the Trump vote, and we’ll be watching if his standing with GOP partisans strengthens as the Supreme Court confirmation process unfolds. Just as the ranked-choice votes of non-major party candidates could hurt Collins in Maine, the makeup of the South Carolina ballot could present a problem for Graham, and it arguably should incentivize Graham to prioritize outreach to the right. The Constitution Party is slated to be the only third party that will be represented on the ballot — the party’s candidate, Bill Bledsoe, will almost certainly attract conservatives. So minimizing Bledsoe’s share will be key for Graham, while maximizing it is an important part of Harrison’s path to victory.
This is where the court fight could ultimately save Graham, who as the Judiciary Committee chairman is one of the key players in the looming court fight. Still, Graham is among those who are going to look the most hypocritical when comparing his statements when blocking Garland four years ago versus pushing through Trump’s pick now. It’s a certain bet that his Democratic colleagues — and Harrison — will bring up Graham’s past statements, and that could hurt Graham with moderate voters, even if it boosts his credibility on the right (as noted above, the latter ultimately may be more important in a state like South Carolina).
This race could end up like the 2018 Texas Senate contest, where Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) received a strong challenge from then-Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D, TX-16). Though O’Rourke came closer than any Democrat in 30 years to winning a Lone Star State Senate seat, the state’s partisanship helped carry Cruz. Another O’Rourke-Harrison commonality is cash: having a prominent opponent seems to open up wallets.
On the surface, South Carolina hasn’t seen the types of massive shifts that the Texas electorate has seen, but there are some common components. O’Rourke came close to winning because of his historic showing in the suburbs. Recently, the Crystal Ball upgraded the prospects of first-term Rep. Joe Cunningham (D, SC-1), in the Charleston metro, and downgraded Rep. Joe Wilson’s (R, SC-2) chances — Wilson’s seat encompasses the Columbia suburbs, which have seen some blue movement. It seems reasonable that Harrison could end up carrying Cunningham’s district, perhaps comfortably, and coming close in Wilson’s — this may be enough to give him a path to victory. With that in mind, we’re moving the race from Likely Republican to Leans Republican, although remember that a Leans Republican rating still means we see Graham as a favorite.
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A military veteran was robbed in Virginia while he was dying from a heart attack. The sickening video shows the suspect appearing to help the Air Force veteran, but he was actually stealing money out of his wallet. Ray Bass took a city bus in Richmond to his doctor’s appointment at the McGuire VA Medical Center shortly before 11 a.m. … Read more
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It seems as if every Democrat is determined to condemn and otherwise undermine the President and the Republican-controlled Senate from nominating and confirming a replacement for Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the Supreme Court. They are turning it into an election issue and doing everything they can to make valid arguments for the seat to remain vacant until after the election.
The problem they face is that in 2016, they were saying the exact opposite. The death of Antonin Scalia prompted President Obama to nominate Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court, but Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell refused to allow a vote on the Senate floor or even hold confirmation hearings with the Senate Judiciary Committee. It was his prerogative and was not unprecedented. In fact, there have been no opposition party Senates that have confirmed a Supreme Court Justice but several who have confirmed the Justices of their own party during an election year.
The video of several prominent Democrats, including presidential candidate Joe Biden and Vice Presidential candidate Kamala Harris, demanding the Senate confirm President Obama’s pick should come back to bite them this year as it completely contradicts their arguments today. The only question is whether mainstream media is willing to call them out. They won’t. That means it’s up to all of us to get the word out and spread this video far and wide.
Whichever RNC staffer did this deserves a promotion
Democrats contradicting themselves has become a recurring theme for years. Their contradictory stances in 2016 demonstrate they are not working on behalf of the American people when they call for a SCOTUS nomination delay. They simply want more power.
COVID-19 may take down an independent news outlet
Nobody said running a media site would be easy. We could use some help keeping this site afloat.
Colleagues have called me the worst fundraiser ever. My skills are squarely rooted on the journalistic side of running a news outlet. Paying the bills has never been my forte, but we’ve survived. We have ads on the site that help, but since the site’s inception this has been a labor of love that otherwise doesn’t bring in the level of revenue necessary to justify it.
When I left a nice, corporate career in 2017, I did so knowing I wouldn’t make nearly as much money. But what we do at NOQ Report to deliver the truth and fight the progressive mainstream media narrative that has plagued this nation is too important for me to sacrifice it for the sake of wealth. We know we’ll never make a ton of money this way, and we’re okay with that.
Things have become harder with the coronavirus lockdowns. Both ad money and donations that have kept us afloat for a while have dropped dramatically. We thought we could weather the storm, but the so-called “surge” or “2nd-wave” that mainstream media and Democrats are pushing has put our prospects in jeopardy. In short, we are now in desperate need of financial assistance.
The best way NOQ Report readers can help is to donate. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. Alternatively, you can donate through PayPal as well. We need approximately $11,500 to stay afloat for the rest of 2020, but more would be wonderful and any amount that brings us closer to our goal is greatly appreciated.
The second way to help is to become a partner. We’ve strongly considered seeking angel investors in the past but because we were paying the bills, it didn’t seem necessary. Now, we’re struggling to pay the bills. This shouldn’t be the case as our traffic the last year has been going up dramatically. June, 2018, we had 11,678 visitors. A year later in June, 2019, we were up to 116,194. In June, 2020, we had 614,192. We’re heading in the right direction and we believe we’re ready talk to patriotic investors who want to not only “get in on the action” but more importantly who want to help America hear the truth. Interested investors should contact me directly with the contact button above.
Election year or not, coronavirus lockdowns or not, anarchic riots or not, the need for truthful journalism endures. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report going.
Join fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
Joe Biden’s mental acuity is slipping away faster than water is a sieve. He has been relegated to delivering teleprompter-only speeches. He almost never takes questions from the press except during CNN events in which he has been given the questions ahead of time. He’s worse than the gaffe-machine of old. Today’s Joe Biden is a cognitive nightmare.
His latest misreading of a teleprompter came when he claimed 61% of the United States population would be dead by the time his speech ended. His campaign has instructed him to play on the fears of the American people to try to convince them COVID-19 is an existential threat to all humanity. In his case, he seems to have taken it a bit too far.
“It’s estimated that 200 million people will die, probably by the time I finish this talk,” he said.
Joe Biden struggles to read a teleprompter, won’t take questions from the press, and his rare off-the-cuff moments are cringeworthy. But if his numbers are correct, that’s 200 million mail-in ballot voters for Democrats.
COVID-19 may take down an independent news outlet
Nobody said running a media site would be easy. We could use some help keeping this site afloat.
Colleagues have called me the worst fundraiser ever. My skills are squarely rooted on the journalistic side of running a news outlet. Paying the bills has never been my forte, but we’ve survived. We have ads on the site that help, but since the site’s inception this has been a labor of love that otherwise doesn’t bring in the level of revenue necessary to justify it.
When I left a nice, corporate career in 2017, I did so knowing I wouldn’t make nearly as much money. But what we do at NOQ Report to deliver the truth and fight the progressive mainstream media narrative that has plagued this nation is too important for me to sacrifice it for the sake of wealth. We know we’ll never make a ton of money this way, and we’re okay with that.
Things have become harder with the coronavirus lockdowns. Both ad money and donations that have kept us afloat for a while have dropped dramatically. We thought we could weather the storm, but the so-called “surge” or “2nd-wave” that mainstream media and Democrats are pushing has put our prospects in jeopardy. In short, we are now in desperate need of financial assistance.
The best way NOQ Report readers can help is to donate. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. Alternatively, you can donate through PayPal as well. We need approximately $11,500 to stay afloat for the rest of 2020, but more would be wonderful and any amount that brings us closer to our goal is greatly appreciated.
The second way to help is to become a partner. We’ve strongly considered seeking angel investors in the past but because we were paying the bills, it didn’t seem necessary. Now, we’re struggling to pay the bills. This shouldn’t be the case as our traffic the last year has been going up dramatically. June, 2018, we had 11,678 visitors. A year later in June, 2019, we were up to 116,194. In June, 2020, we had 614,192. We’re heading in the right direction and we believe we’re ready talk to patriotic investors who want to not only “get in on the action” but more importantly who want to help America hear the truth. Interested investors should contact me directly with the contact button above.
Election year or not, coronavirus lockdowns or not, anarchic riots or not, the need for truthful journalism endures. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report going.
Join fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
An unpleasant part of my job as a cultural commentator is to watch films and read books that I have no interest in or that might be morally questionable. This first hit home when I was working for The Federalist and the publisher wanted his writers to comment on the popular book Fifty Shades of Grey. I’m no shrinking violet and I have wide berth for Christian liberty, but I just didn’t feel like trudging through bad writing that glorified sadistic sex. I complied, however, and wrote several articles, because it was a pop culture phenomenon that needed wise criticism, and I didn’t want to write commentary for something I hadn’t read. I also wanted to do our readers the service of reading it so they didn’t have to.
I’m once again faced with this same chore regarding the new film on Netflix called “Cuties.” Because the cultural impact of the sexual revolution is a great interest of mine and one Christians must grapple with, I wanted to be able to comment on the film with a thorough understanding of what was being presented. So I buckled down and watched it. I wouldn’t, however, say that everyone who comments on the film has to watch it, especially those who take seriously guarding their thoughts. It’s enough to know that it sexually exploits 11-year-old actresses to come to the conclusion that it’s unworthy of art and our disproportionate attention.
The film itself is nothing original. It’s basically a coming-of-age story about an 11-year-old girl raised in a strict Muslim family who becomes enthralled with the libertinism of the world and wants to experience it despite religious opposition generated by her conservative family. Sound familiar? To put it bluntly, this film is basically a version of Footloose except it’s set in Paris instead of Oklahoma, the religious scolds are Muslim instead of Christian, the kids are a group of 11-year-old girls instead of high schoolers, and the dancing is highly sexualized twerking and grinding instead of the fun dance moves of Kevin Bacon. Let me, however, repeat the most significant difference: 11-YEAR-OLD GIRLS are engaged in highly sexualized dancing that is nothing short of exploitation.
I’m not exaggerating on this point. Though the dancing is a small part of the movie, the sequences are long with a lot of close-ups; the girls are humping the ground, grinding into each other, sticking their fingers in their mouths, and looking seductively at the camera. You saw similar dancing by young girls at the NFL halftime show headlining Jennifer Lopez and Shakira—an event that also created a lot of controversy for obvious reasons.
The movie opens with the unoriginal storyline that religion is bad for women and inhibits their sexual liberty—except in this instance the filmmaker comes closer to the truth by using extremist Islamism and its actual oppression of women. To start the film rolling, a young girl named Amy is led into a room of religious women, where one of the leaders says, “Women must be pious because in hell there will be many more women than men. … Where does evil dwell? In the bodies of uncovered women. Therefore we must strive to preserve our decency, obey our husbands, and fear God when we educate our children.”
Because I know how Hollywood thinks, this setup isn’t just a commentary on misogyny in Islam. It’s setting up the old conflict between religion in general (including Christianity) and women’s liberty that we’ve been hearing about since the sexual revolution. One of the most widely accepted doctrines of the women’s liberation movement is that women need to be free sexual creatures to be truly respected as women, and religion stands in the way of that freedom. If they’re not free to use their bodies as they wish, have sex with whomever they want, be publicly naked when they want, even engage in porn as a testimony of their “control” over their own bodies, then they are being oppressed by religious scolds. This film focuses on the Muslim religion, but it just as easily could have used a perverted view of Christianity to make its point that religion is oppressive to female sexuality. I know this. You need to know it, too.
Amy, who walks around like she’s in a cloud, witnesses this religious oppression, sees her mother’s distress at having to endure her husband marrying another woman, and suffers her aged aunt’s continual judgment about piety and modesty, only to be stimulated when she discovers a girl her age dancing in the laundry room of her apartment building. The bulk of the movie is Amy becoming increasingly captivated with a group of girls who dance like strippers at a club and longing to become “free” like they are.
Everything degenerates from this point on. Amy starts dressing scantily, watches dance porn on a stolen phone during prayer time, becomes fascinated with seeing a boy’s penis, slathers on makeup, posts a nude pic on the Internet, tries to seduce a family friend, and fully embraces the gyrating dancing of her adopted group of skanky friends—all while her mother, in quiet reluctance, prepares to attend her husband’s wedding to his second wife. Amy will also have to attend—something she dreads, and it pushes her into even more disturbing and decadent behavior.
I’m going to give you a spoiler, so if you really want to watch the movie, stop now and skip this and the next three paragraphs. The climax of the film is when Amy’s family finds out about her debauchery (of course they do). They react as you imagine they would—her mother even threatens to kill her. The aunt—always focused on religion—exercises purification rites on her, only to find Amy in full meltdown mode, gyrating like she’s dancing, with more close-ups of her bottom, and leaving her aunt to think she is possessed by an evil spirit.
Amy is unrepentant (of course) and proceeds to participate in a dance competition with her friends. The final dance scene is grotesque, with more close-ups of the girls’ bodies, crotches, and bottoms while they writhe, pucker their lips, and gaze sexually into the camera. The dance isn’t received well by the audience or the judges. Their reactions could be cut and pasted from the beauty pageant dance scene in “Little Miss Sunshine.” At some point in the dance, Amy’s conscience hits her. So she stops, begins to cry, and runs off the stage.
The film closes with Amy returning home where the wedding guests are arriving. She’s in her slutty dance clothes, so her aunt erupts when she sees her, but her mother steps in and defends Amy. Her mom, who just a day or so ago was threatening to kill her for going full slut, becomes her greatest defender. The writers didn’t do a great job setting up why, but enough is there to conclude that mom is so angry about her husband getting married, and she feels trapped by the situation, that she has a moment of sympathy for her daughter who is clearly acting out and longing to be free as well. She even goes so far as to tell Amy that she doesn’t have to attend the wedding if she doesn’t want to.
The story ends with Amy changing out of her dance suit and into simple clothes that aren’t slutty but they aren’t the dour clothes of her religion. She walks outside and joins a group of wholesome girls skipping rope. She steps in and starts jumping, her frown turning to a bright smile. She finally finds liberty. It’s not in the depraved dance group, but it’s not in conforming to her parents’ oppressive religion either. She’s now a fully liberated girl, thanks to her debased experiences where she explored her sexuality and to her mother setting her free.
If this story were of a young woman, I’d merely have been bored with the unoriginality, immorality, and predictability of the tale. But, I want to emphasize once again: this is a story about an 11 year old. A young girl is put into the landscape of feministic themes about sexual expression and religious oppression, and she and other girls are used as canvas to tell a story that women have been repeating for decades. The only difference is now the storytellers are focusing on vulnerable girls, which is the trajectory of our society regarding sexuality in general: younger and younger and younger. Feminism itself is increasingly targeting girls with its message of liberty. “Girl Power” is everywhere. Evidently, freeing bored housewives of their bored lives isn’t enough. Modern feminists have to get girls on board at young ages to groom them to be sexually free as they have defined freedom.
Because of our history of “sexual liberation,” we have a society that is saturated in sex, not just among adults but now among children. This sexualization has been on the increase for years, and it has created a whole host of social problems. Just read this report by the American Psychological Association (not the most conservative source) about how damaging sexualizing girls is. The drug use, pregnancy, abortion, low performance in schools, depression, suicide—the list goes on and on. Yet, here we are, continuing to sexualize girls—and not only sexualize them, but exploit them for the mere purpose of telling a story.
This is the point I want to close with. All the others about avoiding sexual immorality and holding these adults accountable for the sexual exploitation of child actors are obvious. My point here is more nuanced. I want to ask you to think about what we justify in the name of storytelling in filmmaking. I say filmmaking because putting stories on stage and in film is very different than using words in a book. In the medium of the novel, actors aren’t involved, and the visual is not engaged. I’m not saying immoral books are justified, but it’s an entirely different world when you put stories into film.
The fact is not all stories need to be shown. Using little actresses (real people!) as sexual objects to tell a story is wrong, even if your goal is to show that women should not be sexual objects. And this is the great irony of this film. It focuses on women’s liberation and women not being used as sexual objects, but they violate their own goals by doing to these girls the very thing they say they oppose. The filmmakers used young girls as tools to tell a story about freeing women from religious oppression. They justified subjecting viewers to the sexualization of girls and exploiting the girls themselves in the name of storytelling.
This is nothing short of blind idolatry. Worship of film in which the gods are writers who can do and say and use anyone as they wish because they have justified their actions in the name of the Holy Story is one of the great evils here. Sadly, society rewards them by paying to watch and demanding more like it.
We as a “civilized” people need to rethink our devotion to film at all costs. Not every story needs to be shown; not every tale needs to be visually portrayed. There are real people involved, people who are exploited to tell that story, and viewers who are debased by watching it. It’s time we started putting people before tales, moral truths before exciting plots, thoughtfulness before imagination, and human dignity before the mighty dollar.
Nobody said running a media site would be easy. We could use some help keeping this site afloat.
Colleagues have called me the worst fundraiser ever. My skills are squarely rooted on the journalistic side of running a news outlet. Paying the bills has never been my forte, but we’ve survived. We have ads on the site that help, but since the site’s inception this has been a labor of love that otherwise doesn’t bring in the level of revenue necessary to justify it.
When I left a nice, corporate career in 2017, I did so knowing I wouldn’t make nearly as much money. But what we do at NOQ Report to deliver the truth and fight the progressive mainstream media narrative that has plagued this nation is too important for me to sacrifice it for the sake of wealth. We know we’ll never make a ton of money this way, and we’re okay with that.
Things have become harder with the coronavirus lockdowns. Both ad money and donations that have kept us afloat for a while have dropped dramatically. We thought we could weather the storm, but the so-called “surge” or “2nd-wave” that mainstream media and Democrats are pushing has put our prospects in jeopardy. In short, we are now in desperate need of financial assistance.
The best way NOQ Report readers can help is to donate. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. Alternatively, you can donate through PayPal as well. We need approximately $11,500 to stay afloat for the rest of 2020, but more would be wonderful and any amount that brings us closer to our goal is greatly appreciated.
The second way to help is to become a partner. We’ve strongly considered seeking angel investors in the past but because we were paying the bills, it didn’t seem necessary. Now, we’re struggling to pay the bills. This shouldn’t be the case as our traffic the last year has been going up dramatically. June, 2018, we had 11,678 visitors. A year later in June, 2019, we were up to 116,194. In June, 2020, we had 614,192. We’re heading in the right direction and we believe we’re ready talk to patriotic investors who want to not only “get in on the action” but more importantly who want to help America hear the truth. Interested investors should contact me directly with the contact button above.
Election year or not, coronavirus lockdowns or not, anarchic riots or not, the need for truthful journalism endures. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report going.
Join fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
Portland is burning. It seems like we’ve used that lead-in at least half-a-dozen times regarding the Oregon city, but the flames just won’t be extinguished. Between literal fires burning around them and Antifa-BLM riots causing anarchy in downtown, the city is a shell of what it was and may be beyond recovery thanks in large part to the feckless policies of Mayor Ted Wheeler.
Talk show host Todd Herman noted the disconnect between Wheeler and the reality of his city in a Twitter response to Wheeler’s calls for fighting “light pollution.”
As bad as Ted Wheeler is, his mayoral election opponent is a full-blown Antifa supporter. The city must choose between a feckless radical and a dangerous extremist. To those who haven’t left Portland yet, the time is now.
COVID-19 may take down an independent news outlet
Nobody said running a media site would be easy. We could use some help keeping this site afloat.
Colleagues have called me the worst fundraiser ever. My skills are squarely rooted on the journalistic side of running a news outlet. Paying the bills has never been my forte, but we’ve survived. We have ads on the site that help, but since the site’s inception this has been a labor of love that otherwise doesn’t bring in the level of revenue necessary to justify it.
When I left a nice, corporate career in 2017, I did so knowing I wouldn’t make nearly as much money. But what we do at NOQ Report to deliver the truth and fight the progressive mainstream media narrative that has plagued this nation is too important for me to sacrifice it for the sake of wealth. We know we’ll never make a ton of money this way, and we’re okay with that.
Things have become harder with the coronavirus lockdowns. Both ad money and donations that have kept us afloat for a while have dropped dramatically. We thought we could weather the storm, but the so-called “surge” or “2nd-wave” that mainstream media and Democrats are pushing has put our prospects in jeopardy. In short, we are now in desperate need of financial assistance.
The best way NOQ Report readers can help is to donate. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. Alternatively, you can donate through PayPal as well. We need approximately $11,500 to stay afloat for the rest of 2020, but more would be wonderful and any amount that brings us closer to our goal is greatly appreciated.
The second way to help is to become a partner. We’ve strongly considered seeking angel investors in the past but because we were paying the bills, it didn’t seem necessary. Now, we’re struggling to pay the bills. This shouldn’t be the case as our traffic the last year has been going up dramatically. June, 2018, we had 11,678 visitors. A year later in June, 2019, we were up to 116,194. In June, 2020, we had 614,192. We’re heading in the right direction and we believe we’re ready talk to patriotic investors who want to not only “get in on the action” but more importantly who want to help America hear the truth. Interested investors should contact me directly with the contact button above.
Election year or not, coronavirus lockdowns or not, anarchic riots or not, the need for truthful journalism endures. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report going.
Join fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
Democrats are using big talk to prepare for their fight against a Supreme Court Justice confirmation with President Trump claiming he will nominate a replacement for Ruth Bader Ginsburg this week. But they do not have very many options available to them. One interesting gambit would be a quorum call which would essentially shut down the Senate for as long as they could stay hidden. This option would be in play if they could only get three Republicans to openly oppose a Supreme Court nominee and one more who is sympathetic but unwilling to vote against.
To have a quorum, 51 Senators are required. That means if all 47 Democratic Senators are missing, they would need three Republicans to be out as well. Susan Collins has expressed her unwillingness to vote. Mitt Romney and Lisa Murkowski have hinted that they will not vote for a Trump-nominated Justice before the election. In the past, Chuck Grassley and Lindsey Graham have said they want the next Justice to be voted on after the election, though Graham has said he will now vote for one. Lamar Alexander and Pat Roberts are both retiring and could be swayed to oppose a vote. Cory Gardner is vulnerable in his election and has not made a clear statement on which way he leans.
That means three Republican Senators are very likely against the President picking a Ginsburg replacement before the election with five potential flips. Democrats need a total of four. Quorum requires 51 Senators in the chamber, but one needs to be there to have a quorum call or roll call vote. Otherwise, the presence of 50 or fewer Senators will not be recorded and quorum will be assumed. Vice President Mike Pence counts as the tie-breaker vote, but he does not count during a quorum call.
If all Democrats plus three Republicans hide until after the election, at least one person in the chamber would need to call for quorum. In essence, Democrats need four Republicans to be in on the gambit for it to be successful. If it happens and all votes are blocked, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell would have to ask the Sergeant at Arms to compel a Senator to come to the chambers.
To review, Democrats need three Republicans to stay out of the Senate chambers plus one more Republican to make a quorum call from within the chambers. All 50 opposition Senators would then have to go into hiding, avoiding the Sergeant at Arms and any law enforcement officers tasked with locating them. If they are successful, the Senate would be shut down until at least one who is in hiding is found and brought to the chamber.
This may seem like a lot of hassle to block a vote, but it may be easier to get one of the on-the-fence Republicans to call for quorum than to vote against the nomination. Assuming Romney, Collins, and Murkowski are the only Republicans willing to actively vote against the nominee, having a sympathetic Senator calling for quorum may be easier than getting them to vote against a constitutional conservative nominee. It would be procedural versus outright opposition, which may be enough to push Grassley, Alexander, or Roberts to participate in the gambit.
Having a 4-4 split in the Supreme Court going into what is almost certainly going to be a very contentious and legally challenged election is, as Ted Cruz noted, a potential constitutional crisis.
“We cannot let Election Day come and go and with a 4-4 court,” he said. “We risk a constitutional crisis if we do not have a nine-justice Supreme Court, particularly when there is such a risk of a contested election.”
Democrats have threatened every possible way to fight the nomination and confirmation of Ginsburg’s replacement. There’s an ultimate solution for Republicans, of course. Now more than ever, they need to win big in November.
COVID-19 may take down an independent news outlet
Nobody said running a media site would be easy. We could use some help keeping this site afloat.
Colleagues have called me the worst fundraiser ever. My skills are squarely rooted on the journalistic side of running a news outlet. Paying the bills has never been my forte, but we’ve survived. We have ads on the site that help, but since the site’s inception this has been a labor of love that otherwise doesn’t bring in the level of revenue necessary to justify it.
When I left a nice, corporate career in 2017, I did so knowing I wouldn’t make nearly as much money. But what we do at NOQ Report to deliver the truth and fight the progressive mainstream media narrative that has plagued this nation is too important for me to sacrifice it for the sake of wealth. We know we’ll never make a ton of money this way, and we’re okay with that.
Things have become harder with the coronavirus lockdowns. Both ad money and donations that have kept us afloat for a while have dropped dramatically. We thought we could weather the storm, but the so-called “surge” or “2nd-wave” that mainstream media and Democrats are pushing has put our prospects in jeopardy. In short, we are now in desperate need of financial assistance.
The best way NOQ Report readers can help is to donate. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. Alternatively, you can donate through PayPal as well. We need approximately $11,500 to stay afloat for the rest of 2020, but more would be wonderful and any amount that brings us closer to our goal is greatly appreciated.
The second way to help is to become a partner. We’ve strongly considered seeking angel investors in the past but because we were paying the bills, it didn’t seem necessary. Now, we’re struggling to pay the bills. This shouldn’t be the case as our traffic the last year has been going up dramatically. June, 2018, we had 11,678 visitors. A year later in June, 2019, we were up to 116,194. In June, 2020, we had 614,192. We’re heading in the right direction and we believe we’re ready talk to patriotic investors who want to not only “get in on the action” but more importantly who want to help America hear the truth. Interested investors should contact me directly with the contact button above.
Election year or not, coronavirus lockdowns or not, anarchic riots or not, the need for truthful journalism endures. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report going.
Join fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Predicting the outcome of any election or political fight is dicey this year. Pre-coronavirus pandemic President Donald Trump and the Republican Senate were looking good. The summer was rough for both. The fall still looked difficult for them.
Now Ruth Bader Ginsburg, a devoted liberal and progressive icon if not idol, likely will help turn those races around for the GOP. Doug Bandow
Three elections ago — all the way back in 2008 — Joe Biden talked a lot about “kitchen table issues,” the questions that faced American families that were so important that they talked about them around the kitchen table. They are the questions, Biden told us, that decide presidential elections.
The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg just 45 days before a presidential election has roiled official Washington. President Trump has stated he intends to nominate a successor within days, as he has every right to do under our law and traditions. The real question is what the Senate should do. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has pledged to bring President Trump’s nominee up for a vote on the floor of the Senate, but wisely did not say when he will do so.
In a Catholic Church that seems to be led by cowardly sheep instead of shepherds, San Francisco’s courageous Archbishop Salvatore Cordileone is an exception. Unlike the majority of bishops throughout the country who have been silent in the face of discriminatory policies limiting or even preventing public Masses, Archbishop Cordileone has been willing to stand up to the inequitable treatment the City’s Catholics have received from a City administration intent on preventing parishioners from entering their own Churches for Mass.
Last Monday — unbeknownst to one another — participants in two online events tackled the relatively unexplored subject of President Donald Trump’s sense of humor.
First, Scott Adams — “Dilbert” cartoonist, pundit, and author — argued in his morning podcast that Trump not only had a sense of humor, but that he might be the “greatest stand-up comic in history.” In the second event, commentators at a Biden-Harris fundraiser confidently asserted that the president had no sense of humor at all.
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ABC
September 21, 2020 – Having trouble viewing this email? Open it in your browser.
Morning Rundown
Tributes pour in for RBG: Crowds gathered on the steps of the Supreme Court over the weekend to pay tribute to Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who died at age 87 on Friday night after a long battle with metastatic pancreatic cancer. Serving for more than a quarter century as the second woman in history on the nation’s highest court, Ginsburg became a giant of American law and American life. While on the court, Ginsburg was a liberal voice on issues such as voting rights and abortion. She’s perhaps best known for her decision in the 1996 case, United States v. Virginia, which struck down the male-only admission policy at the Virginia Military Institute, opening the door for women to study there. As the court shifted right, Ginsburg became known for her forceful, carefully crafted opinions and fierce dissents. She became a pop culture icon, inspiring young fans and feminists to emulate her outspokenness, fitness routines and fashion sense. New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo announced that Ginsburg will be honored with a statue in Brooklyn, where she was born in 1933.
GOP, Democrats battle over RBG Supreme Court vacancy: In the wake of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death, President Donald Trump is expected to put forth a nominee to fill Ginsburg’s seat in the coming days, setting the stage for a heated battle between Democrats and Republicans over the future of the Supreme Court. Multiple sources describe Trump’s list of potential nominees as very short and including at least one woman. U.S. Circuit Judge Amy Coney Barrett is seen as a leading contender. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., has committed to holding a vote for Trump’s nominee in the Senate, four years after he denied then-President Barack Obama a vote on Merrick Garland, his nominee to replace the late Justice Antonin Scalia. Joe Biden and other Democrats are calling for the Senate to keep Ginsburg’s seat vacant for the next president to fill. In a speech Sunday, Biden implored members of the Republican-controlled Senate not to fill the vacant seat: “Uphold your constitutional duty, your conscience, let the people speak.” To confirm Trump’s nominee, Republicans can only afford to lose three votes. So far, two sitting Republican senators, Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, and Sen. Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, have indicated that the winner of the 2020 election should decide who should replace Ginsburg on the nation’s highest court. A close eye is also on Sen. Mitt Romney, R-Utah, and those up for reelection, such as Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner, who could tip the balance of a vote. With less than 50 days until the Election Day, progressive activists have already started mobilizing voters around the possibility that a court with a 6-3 conservative majority could rule against pro-choice protections, the Affordable Care Act, voting rights and other key priorities.
Trump approves TikTok deal with Walmart, Oracle before ban: After the Department of Commerce announced that downloads of TikTok would be banned in the U.S., President Donald Trump said a deal has been made on TikTok, with Walmart and Oracle, which will keep the popular video app operating in the U.S. “We’re dealing with Oracle … and we’re dealing with, as a combination, Walmart,” Trump said Saturday, calling it a “great deal for America.” “The security will be 100%. They’ll be using separate clouds and a lot of very, very powerful security.” The administration has claimed the Chinese Communist Party was using data collected through the app to “threaten the national security, foreign policy and the economy of the U.S.” (TikTok’s parent company, ByteDance, is based in China.) In a statement, TikTok said it is “pleased” its proposal with Walmart and Oracle “will resolve the security concerns of the U.S. Administration.”
‘Schitt’s Creek’ sweeps all comedy categories at the Emmys: Some of the biggest names in TV were honored last night at the 72nd Primetime Emmy Awards and at the outset, “Schitt’s Creek” made history by sweeping all major comedy categories. The show won the first seven awards of the telecast, including best comedy series. “Schitt’s Creek” co-creator Daniel Levy, who won Emmys for writing, directing and acting, said in one of his acceptance speeches that the show is “about the transformational effects of love and acceptance.” “That is something that we need more of now than we’ve ever needed before,” he added. Later in the show, “Euphoria” star Zendaya made history as the youngest person ever to win the best lead actress in a drama series category, and “Watchmen” earned 11 awards including best limited series and best lead actress in a limited series for Regina King. Jimmy Kimmel hosted the virtual awards show, and reminded everyone that despite all that’s happened this year, “through the good times and the ‘Breaking Bads’ … television is there for you.” See the full list of winners here.
GMA Must-Watch
This morning on “GMA,” Will Reeve has a roundup of some of the best moments from the virtual Emmys and all of the “Schitt’s Creek” wins! Plus, we’ll take a look at the life and legacy of Ruth Bader Ginsburg and how she not only paved the way for women’s rights but also became a pop culture icon. And Millie Bobby Brown joins us live to talk about her new film “Enola Holmes,” where she plays Sherlock Holmes’ little sister. All this and more only on “GMA.”
The death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburghas set the stage for a Supreme Court showdown just 43 days before the presidential election.
Here’s what we’re watching this Monday morning.
Stage set for Supreme Court showdown
Within hours of Ginsburg’s death on Friday, a fierce political battlebetween Republicans and Democrats over how and when to fill her seat on the nine-person Supreme Court was already shaping up.
President Donald Trump announced his intention Saturday to fill her seat“without delay!”
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden on Friday called for her replacement to come after the election.
On Sunday, the former vice president went further, accusing Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., of trying to engage in“constitutional abuse”after Ginsburg’s death.
“To jam this nomination through the Senate is just an exercise in raw political power,” Biden said in a speech Sunday aimed at Senate Republicans. “I don’t believe the people of this nation will stand for it.”
In that case,Justice Antonin Scalia had died in February, months ahead of that year’s presidential election, but McConnell refused to hold any hearings for Obama’s nominee, Merrick Garland, saying voters should have a say in the selection.
So far, two Republican senators, Lisa Murkowskiof Alaska and Susan Collins of Maine, have come out against voting on a nominee before the election.
“I did not support taking up a nomination eight months before the 2016 election to fill the vacancy created by the passing of Justice Scalia,” Murkowski said in a statement. “We are now even closer to the 2020 election — less than two months out — and I believe the same standard must apply.”
But the fact of the matter is, there’s not much Democrats can do to stop a nomination. With Republicans holding a 53-47 advantage in the Senate, at least two more Republicans would need to come out against voting in favor of a nominee ahead of the election to ensure no confirmation before it.
One way or the other, the issue is sure to motivate voters. Republicans think it will turn out the base, while Democrats say it will further motivate their supporters.
Interestingly, GOP voters are usually more fired up about the Supreme Court than Democrats. But that may be changing. Polls taken before Ginsburg died show that Democrats are now even more energized by issues surrounding the court than GOP voters.
‘Notorious RBG’: Ginsburg transcended the court to become a pop culture icon
Ginsburg rose from a feminist advocate to the Supreme Court bench, but it was her transcendence to cultural icon that reverberated over the weekend as thousands expressed outpourings of grief over her passing.
In a country where women still crave female political leaders, Ginsburg was not only an idol for liberal women, but filled a void, NBC News’ Alicia Victoria Lozano writes.
“Justice Ginsburg inspired the generations who followed her, from the tiniest trick-or-treaters to law students burning the midnight oil to the most powerful leaders in the land,” former President Barack Obama said. “We’re profoundly thankful for the legacy she left.”
Once unthinkable, the U.S. surpasses 200,000 coronavirus deaths
A prediction made in March — unfathomable at the time — has come to pass: More than 200,000 people in the U.S. have now died from Covid-19.
As we mourn all those who lost their fight with coronavirus, the country still faces many challenges in overcoming the pandemic, including agreeing on even the most basic facts.
Much remains unknown about how the virus could progress in the fall and winter. But experts stressed that maintaining vigilance will be one of the most effective ways to contain it and prevent runaway outbreaks.
“A storm will do what it’s supposed to do. You can’t do anything about it,” Alessandro Vespignani, director of Northeastern’s Network Science Institute. “With an epidemic, we can change the trajectory.”
Many of the ways to do that aren’t new, including wearing masks, practicing good hygiene by washing hands frequently and getting a flu shot, he said.
Secret documents show how North Korea launders money through U.S. banks
North Korea carried out an elaborate money laundering scheme for years using a string of shell companies and help from Chinese firms, moving money through prominent banks in New York, according to confidential bank documents reviewed by NBC News.
The trove of confidential bank documents offers a rare glimpse into how North Korea — and other rogue actors — move illicit cash across borders despite international sanctions designed to block Pyongyang’s access to the global financial system.
The suspected laundering by North Korea-linked organizations amounted to more than $174.8 million over a period of several years, with transactions cleared through U.S. banks, including JP Morgan and the Bank of New York Mellon, according to the documents.
The documents convey a relentless effort by North Korea to penetrate the global financial system to skirt sanctions. (Image: Chelsea Stahl / NBC News; Getty Images)
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The warmhearted comedy “Schitt’s Creek” and the acerbic corporate satire “Succession” nabbed top honors Sunday night at the 72nd Primetime Emmy Awards.
The ceremony was unusual this year, to say the least: Host Jimmy Kimmel took the stage at the Staples Center in Los Angeles in front of rows of empty seats; winners accepted awards via video feeds from their homes and other remote locations around the world.
Check out the best momentsfrom the (mostly) virtual “pandemmys.”
If you have any comments — likes, dislikes — send me an email at: petra@nbcuni.com
If you’re a fan, please forward it to your family and friends. They can sign-up here.
Thanks, Petra Cahill
NBC FIRST READ
From NBC’s Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Carrie Dann and Melissa Holzberg
FIRST READ: Three questions loom for Senate Republicans as court fight begins
Nothing over the last several months – a pandemic, protests, bombshell books and magazine articles – has changed what has been an incredibly stable presidential race.
So it’s doubtful that a Supreme Court fight will alter this contest.
But it sure could affect Senate races across the country, especially with control of the chamber at stake in November.
Senate Republicans – from Cory Gardner, R-Colo., and Martha McSally, R-Ariz., to John Cornyn, R-Texas and Lindsey Graham, R-S.C. – will have to answer these questions over the next 43 days.
Photo by Alex Edelman / AFP
1. Why prioritize a SCOTUS vacancy and not the coronavirus?
More than 200,000 Americans have died from the coronavirus. Millions have lost their jobs. Congress hasn’t passed any new major relief bill since May (when the death toll was half of where it is today).
And the Republican-led Senate is about to go full speed ahead … on a Supreme Court fight?
2. Do you support the Supreme Court striking down the Affordable Care Act and its protections for pre-existing conditions?
That’s likely at stake with the court set to hear the latest challenge to Obamacare the week after the election.
3. Why was it a problem for Obama to fill the Scalia seat in an election year, but entirely OK for Trump to fill the Ruth Bader Ginsburg seat now?
The hypocritical quotes are all over the place. In fact, here’s what Graham said just two years ago: “If an opening comes in the last year of President Trump’s term and the primary process has started, we’ll wait till the next election.”
The early conventional wisdom is that any SCOTUS fight helps Republicans.
But given those questions above, we’re not so sure.
TWEET OF THE DAY: Whiplash
Meet the voters who are still up for grabs in the 2020 presidential race
That leaves just 11 percent our pollsters identify as truly up for grabs between the candidates – in a race Biden is leading by 8 points nationwide, 51 percent to 43 percent.
So who are these 11 percent of voters?
They have mostly negative views of BOTH Trump (26 percent favorable/45 percent unfavorable) and Biden (29 percent fav/41 percent unfav).
Their 2020 preference is divided among Trump (27 percent), Biden (20 percent), neither (27 percent) and not sure (24 percent).
And 28 percent of them voted for Trump 2016, 27 percent voted for Hillary Clinton, 15 percent voted third party and 19 percent didn’t vote at all.
Bottom line: While Trump can expect to win over SOME of these voters in a race he’s trailing, he’s not going to win all of them.
“This does not look like a group that Trump can run the table with, which he needs to do in order to change the race,” said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt, who co-conducted the NBC News/WSJ poll with GOP pollster Bill McInturff.
DATA DOWNLOAD: The numbers you need to know today
6,835,692: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That’s 127,804 more than Friday morning.)
200,686: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far. (That’s 1,800 more than Friday morning.)
95.11 million: The number of coronavirus tests that have been administered in the United States so far, according to researchers at The COVID Tracking Project.
73: The number of countries worldwide that are seeing surges in new cases.
52 percent to 45 percent: The share of likely voters who trust Biden vs. those who trust Trump more when it comes to nominating a Supreme Court justice, according to a Fox News poll out earlier this month.
62 percent to 26 percent: Biden’s lead over Trump with Latinos, according to a new NBC/WSJ/Telemundo oversample of Latino voters.
About a quarter: The share of top elections officials in Pennsylvania who have left since a new law accommodating no-excuse mail voting was implemented.
2020 VISION: Biden’s splash on hand
The Biden campaign confirms that their end of August cash on hand (campaign + party money) was a whopping $466 million – more than Team Trump’s $121 million, NBC’s Marianna Sotomayor reports.
Biden raised $364.5 million in August to Trump’s $210 million. But the cash-on-hand difference – $466 million to Trump’s $121 million – is striking, Sotomayor adds.
On the campaign trail today: President Trump is in Ohio… Joe Biden stumps in Wisconsin.
Then vs. now
The last time Joe Biden and President Trump spoke about a vacancy on the Supreme Court in an election year, it was 2016.
Here’s what they both said then:
“I think the next president should make the pick, and I think they shouldn’t go forward,” Trump said in March 2016 during an interview on CNN. For what it’s worth, this was BEFORE Trump won the Republican nomination.
During the general election debates, Trump said he would look for justices with the following qualifications: “The justices that I am going to appoint will be pro-life. They will have a conservative bent. They will be protecting the Second Amendment.”
Biden on the other hand said this: “It’s a plain abdication of the Senate’s solemn constitutional duty,” Biden said in March 2016. ““It’s an abdication, quite frankly, that has never occurred in our history.”
Ad Watch from Ben Kamisar
The Trump administration has helped secure deals in recent weeks with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain to normalize ties with Israel, a big deal in the region. But the news has been drowned out by the barrage of dire headlines.
So Team Trump is taking to the airwaves with a new spot touting the accomplishment: “They said it couldn’t be done, but Trump did it: The first Middle East peace agreement in decades,” the spot’s narrator says, with a brief clip of praise from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. It’s a push that comes as Republicans hope to pull more Jewish voters onto their side, as well as appeal to evangelical voters that president recently remarked are motivated by his pro-Israel policies.
The new ad is airing on national TV, as well as in key markets in Pennsylvania and Florida, according to Advertising Analytics. And it looks like the Trump campaign tried to take advantage of the captive football audience this weekend, running the spots during Saturday college football and Sunday NFL games.
THE LID: The uncertainty principle
Don’t miss the pod from Friday, when we looked at the uncertainty in the Trump-vs.-Biden race over which ballots get counted (and which ones don’t).
ICYMI: What ELSE is happening in the world?
Republicans have found a new campaign message for 2016: “Fill the seat!”
Nancy Pelosi isn’t ruling out a new impeachment vote to try to delay the Supreme Court proceedings.
A suspect has been taken into custody for allegedly sending a ricin-laced letter to the White House.
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Eye Opener
The battle over filling Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s Supreme Court seat has begun. Also, more than 10 million people are under storm warnings as Tropical Storm Beta is expected to make landfall in Texas Monday night. All that and all that matters in today’s Eye Opener. Your world in 90 seconds.
“Whatever one’s views of the courts and jurisprudence, it is impossible to deny the profound influence Ruth Bader Ginsburg had on American law and society.”
By James R. Copland Manhattan Institute
September 18, 2020
For 20 years, the Alexander Hamilton Award Dinner has been the Manhattan Institute’s signature event. We look forward each year to gathering with our generous donors and friends to celebrate MI’s core values and the individuals who work to advance them. While we are disappointed that we will not be together in-person this year, we hope that you will join us at 5 p.m. EDT on October 20, 2020 for our virtual Hamilton Award Dinner.
As before, the dinner will feature remarks from our chairman, Paul E. Singer; our president, Reihan Salam; and our three distinguished honorees: Leonard Leo and Eugene Meyer of the Federalist Society, and Daniel S. Loeb, investor and philanthropist.
“[As cities] struggle to fund schools, parks, public safety, and other essential services, there’s one simple and painless way for governments to save money: Rethink recycling.”
By Howard Husock, John Tierney Quillette
September 21, 2020
“Is business travel dead? … [A]fter six months of being grounded, I miss boring trips: one- or two-night hops to mid-sized American cities and small towns for work.”
By Nicole Gelinas New York Post
September 21, 2020
On Tuesday, September 22, join the Manhattan Institute as senior fellow Mark P. Mills interviews energy expert and IHS Markit vice chairman Dan Yergin about his new book, The New Map: Energy, Climate, and the Clash of Nations.
On Thursday, September 24, Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker joins the Manhattan Institute to discuss the lessons he has learned from leading the commonwealth during these daunting times and, more broadly, from his efforts to transform government services and improve the ability to live, work, and learn in Massachusetts.
On Thursday, September 24, join the Manhattan Institute for a virtual discussion on the legacy of DJ Jaffe and the future of mental illness policy reform.
The Covid-19 pandemic and subsequent economic crisis have sent New York City—not to mention the country at large—into a recession, put millions out of work, and crippled public services, inviting questions about the city’s future. But Gotham will bounce back—and the Manhattan Institute, which this month launches its New York City: Reborn initiative, will be there to help spark its renaissance.
America is increasingly polarized around elections, but as James R. Copland explains, the unelected control much of the government apparatus that affects our lives. In this timely new book, The Unelected, Copland discusses how unelected actors have assumed control of the American republic―and where we need to go to chart a corrective course.
Heather Mac Donald joins Brian Anderson to discuss how academic institutions responded to the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis and how academia’s monolithic belief in systemic racism has fueled recent riots across the United States. She also answers questions from a livestream audience.
Harvard professor and Manhattan Institute senior fellow Edward Glaeser delivers the annual James Q. Wilson Lecture. In this year’s lecture, he addresses the implications of the Covid-19 pandemic on city life in America, the connection between urban density and contagious disease, how to prepare for the threat of future outbreaks, and the economic-policy response of leaders in Washington.
On September 17, Manhattan Institute president Reihan Salam interviewed City Journal contributing editor Christopher Rufo on the disorder afflicting America’s cities and the negative consequences of sometimes well-intentioned progressive policies designed to address homelessness, opioid addiction, incarceration, and other urban problems.
On September 15, James R. Copland and National Review senior writer Dan McLaughlin discussed Copland’s new book—The Unelected—and the work that lies ahead to repair the rule of law and restore the constitutional design.
On September 14, the Manhattan Institute held a virtual discussion on the state of our storefronts, how key players are adapting to changes, and what innovative solutions are arising out of this challenging time.
Civil society efforts continue to be critical—even life-saving—forces in communities all over the country. This is why the Manhattan Institute’s Tocqueville Project is committed to hosting our annual Civil Society Awards as a virtual event this fall. While we are unable to celebrate our truly inspirational 2020 awardees in person, we hope that you will be able to join us online at 5 p.m. EDT on Thursday, October 29, 2020, to recognize them.
Manhattan Institute is a think tank whose mission is to develop and disseminate new ideas that foster greater economic choice and individual responsibility.
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By Carl M. Cannon on Sep 21, 2020 09:44 am
Good morning. It’s Monday, Sept. 21, 2020, the last day of a very difficult summer in American history. In case you were camping over the weekend and didn’t take your mobile phone, the already contentious 2020 presidential race was thrown into further turmoil by the death of widely admired feminist legal pioneer and Supreme Court superstar Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Her dying wish was that her seat not become a pawn in the current election, a wish that has not been granted.
Over the weekend, the United States also passed a grim milestone (by some tallies): COVID-19 has now claimed more than 200,000 American lives. And during a rally in Minnesota, President Trump mocked a journalist who is frequently critical of him, not for the quality of his commentary but for getting shot in the knee with a rubber bullet while covering a May demonstration.
Needless to say (but I’ll say it anyway), things were not always this way — even in an election year — as an event on this date in 1984 illustrates. The event in question was an informal dinner party for a president and first lady at a private home in Washington, D.C.
We’ll revisit that meal in a moment. First, I’ll point you to RealClearPolitics’ front page, which presents our poll averages, videos, breaking news stories, and aggregated opinion pieces spanning the political spectrum. We also offer original material from our own reporters and contributors, including the following:
* * *
Ginsburg’s Death and the Dangerous Politics Ahead. Charles Lipson lays out the stakes should the president nominate a conservative, as he has promised, to fill the seat of the iconic liberal justice.
Let’s Not Fight to the Bitter End for the Supreme Court. Bill Scher questions whether either party will prioritize protecting the integrity of our institutions over claiming partisan spoils.
Congress, Beware the Tyranny of Temporary Majorities. J. Peder Zane reminds lawmakers that standards and norms are the lifeblood of a healthy democracy, and threats to end the Senate filibuster and make other radical changes are dangerous to governing fairly.
Trump Is the Best Bet for National Security Voters. Frank Miele explains why in his weekly column.
The Cost of Failed Presidential Leadership. Les Francis writes that the president’s admission of downplaying the COVID threat shows he does not grasp a fundamental truth about Americans’ willingness to meet challenges together.
Pandemic’s Toll on Public Pension Plans. States’ retirement funds have taken a back seat to food, shelter and health-care spending in this emergency, as they should, Lou Cannon points out.
Google Pushes Conservative News Sites Far Down Search Lists. Maxim Lott spotlights data showing a de-listing trend that has impacted Breitbart, the Daily Caller, and the Federalist.
The Spirit of Religion and the Spirit of Liberty. Daniel J. Mahoney considers two intertwining threads that remain fundamental to American democracy.
“Death to America” Shouldn’t Be a Lesson Plan. Eitan Fischberger laments that Harvard’s hiring of a Palestinian promoter of terrorism raised no protest among students.
Senate “Collusion” Report: No Smoking Gun, Only Fog. In RealClearInvestigations, Aaron Maté finds that a Senate report seized upon by Democrats as “what Russian collusion looks like” is largely full of innuendo, omissions and obfuscation. Part 1 is here; part 2 is here.
Cultural Imperialism on Campus. RealClearBooks has this excerpt from John M. Ellis’ “The Breakdown of Higher Education.”
* * *
On March 12, 1984, Ronald Reagan introduced himself to a first-grader at Congress Heights Elementary School in Southeast Washington, D.C. The president was visiting the school, which three months later would be renamed after Martin Luther King Jr., as part of his Partnership in Education initiative. Launched in 1983, the idea was for senior members of the White House staff and officials in Reagan’s Cabinet to volunteer at a local school as a way of encouraging private sector involvement in public education. Reagan himself took the lead.
Ronald Reagan had enjoyed the benefits of pen pals in his life and decided to try and exchange letters with a pupil at the elementary school. The kid chosen was 6-year-old Rudolph Lee-Hines. Rudy, as he was known, although he sometimes signed his name “Ruddy,” was chosen by school officials because he’d shown a proficiency in reading and the school’s principal thought he’d be able to write letters with only minimal help from his teachers and parents.
That is not to say that Rudy Hines lacked for caring adults in his life. Brenda Williams, the boy’s teacher at the time Reagan visited the school, was a diligent and respected educator. His mother, Stephanie Lee, was a registered nurse who encouraged her son’s reading. The same was true of his father, a freelance photographer named Chett Hines. Stephanie and Chett didn’t live together, but each was an attentive parent.
In any event, the pen pal business came as a surprise to Rudy when Reagan announced it during his visit. Reagan wrote the first letter, including a picture of himself and Nancy Reagan and the first couple’s dog. The boy responded with an April 3 letter of his own, thanking the president for the photo and sending one of himself. “My hobbies are painting and watching golf,” he wrote. “I like to read and write too. At recreational reading time, the children pull out the rugs and read the newspaper.”
What then ensued was a five-year friendship that lasted until the Reagans left Washington. The president visited the school a couple more times as well, always seeking Rudy out. That summer, the president wrote the boy as he prepared to go on presidential trips to China and Ireland and reminisced about summer camps he’d attended as a kid. In one reply, Rudy invited the Reagans to dinner. White House aides followed up with Rudy’s parents, who were delighted by the idea.
And so, on this date in 1984, the president — accompanied by a first lady known (not always fondly) for her elegance — went to dinner at a modest home in Southeast D.C., where they ate on a living room couch using TV trays. The menu was fried chicken and wild rice. Rudy, then a 7-year-old second-grader, didn’t know his invitation had been accepted until the motorcade arrived in one of the city’s poorest neighborhoods, sirens blaring, and the president of the United States and first lady stepped out of the famous black limousine. In California, dinner party guests usually show up with a bottle of wine. This 73-year-old Californian arrived with a gift-wrapped jar of jelly beans.
The dinner “went extremely well,” Rudy’s father told local reporters. “The president is a very personable person,” said his mother, adding that Reagan “was really very amusing, very funny.” Nancy Reagan, she added, “was really nice.”
The letters between Rudy Hines and Ronald Reagan would continue until 1989. Reagan was lost soon after that to the mists of Alzheimer’s disease, but one young man was left with a trove of letters. Included in them was this bit of advice, which is sage counsel for all of us.
“You also mentioned reading and that is good,” Reagan wrote. “Rudolph, if you get in the habit of reading stories for pleasure you’ll never be lonely.
“Sometimes, I worry that TV is going to rob people of the great pleasure there is in a good book,” the old movie star and television personality continued, without a trace of irony. “To this day when I have to take a trip, I make sure to have a book along.”
It takes no imagination today to recognize the Chinese Communist Party as a present and growing danger. It’s now blindingly obvious that the CCP has long used “unrestricted warfare” techniques to subvert, undermine, displace – and, if necessary, destroy – the USA.
The Wall Street Journal contends that both President Trump and Vice President Biden would be tough on China. That seems unlikely, but our times certainly require a robust and truly bipartisan opposition to the PRC – and a mandate to our next Commander-in-Chief to deliver one.
Testifying before Congress, FBI Director Christopher Wray faced questions from lawmakers on the FBI’s flawed understanding of Antifa.
“Antifa is a real thing. It is a not a fiction,” Wray said, “but it is not an organization or a structure, we understand it to be more of a kind of a movement, or maybe you could call it an ideology.”
Truly obscene amounts of money are sloshing around as Election Day approaches. The “Harris-Biden” campaign and its friends are particularly awash with cash – especially with Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg’s passing and the looming fight over her successor. Then, there’s the vast sums the Black Lives Matter organization gives the Democratic ATM known as Act Blue.
There’s another force pulling out all the stops to influence the outcome of the presidential race this year: the Chinese Communist Party. And it turns out that the CCP is doing a lot of fundraising of its own with help from what should henceforth be known as “Beijing’s Bankers.”
That’s right. Big Wall Street firms like Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock and Bank of America are working to raise tens of billions of dollars for China with the savings of people like you. That must stop.
This is Frank Gaffney.
CURTIS ELLIS, Senior Policy Advisory with America First Policies, Senior Policy Advisor with the Donald Trump Campaign:
The various types of warfare being conducted by the Chinese Communist Party
The upcoming IPO of Ant Group Technology
The financial power of Chinese companies
COL (RET) JOHN MILLS, Former Director, Cybersecurity Policy, Strategy, and International Affairs, Office of the Secretary of Defense:
How the media are suppressing damage done by Antifa
Below is a sneak peek of this content! I was listening to Rush Limbaugh’s radio show not long ago when he said that every presidential election for the past 20 years or so has been called “The most important election we’ve ever faced” – but that this one, the one… CONTINUE Read More »
Bernard Goldberg, the television news reporter and author of Bias, a New York Times number one bestseller about how the media distort the news, is widely seen as one of the most original writers and thinkers in broadcast journalism. He has covered stories all over the world for CBS News and has won 13 Emmy awards for excellence in journalism. He won six Emmys at CBS, and seven at HBO, where he now reports for the widely acclaimed broadcast Real Sports. [Read More…]
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AMERICAN INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC RESEARCH
View as Webpage
September 21, 2020
Covid Fail by Elites and Stooges
By Daniel B. Klein | A powerful video viewed more than 1 million times has drawn intense Twitter activity but not among Twitter users with blue-check validation. Maybe the video is too powerful, too truthful. The video, by Ivor Cummins, of Ireland…
By Jon Murphy | “When the feedback mechanism of personal interaction is overruled by a grand scheme, even if it is noble and (seemingly) virtuous, there can be strong negative results that cause the central planner to double, triple, or quadruple…
By Jeffrey A. Tucker | ” Scott Atlas has a strong case that his old colleagues played fast and loose with his professional reputation for purely political reasons. If the courts get involved and decide against the signers of this document, I won’t…
By AIER Staff | The following letter has made an impact on public health authorities not only in Belgium but around the world. The text could pertain to any case in which states locked down their citizens rather than allow people freedom and…
By Barry Brownstein | Many days my Facebook feed includes another indignant post from someone who when asked to wear a mask responded by righteously refusing to patronize the business. If it’s about a restaurant, the poster typically includes a…
By Taleed Brown | “By decree of an anonymous university “supercomputer,” Victoria’s Dan Andrews has opted to extend stage 4 lockdowns. This is once again stalling the economic recovery of the region and plundering the wealth and liberty of…
It’s the small things that we use daily in life that reveal our loyalties. This is precisely why we made an AIER coffee mug. It suggests stability, dignity, and determination. It has personalized a matte-finish exterior with a shiny lip and interior. It has a 17-oz capacity. It says everything it needs to say!
The focus should have been on the aged with underlying conditions living in nursing homes.
The models nowhere included what ended up being our reality, even though that reality was upon us as early as February when people in nursing homes began to die in Washington State. We should have seen it long before the lockdowns began.
Now the modelers in the epidemiological profession need to learn what the economists figured out long ago: Human life is too complex to be accurately modeled, much less predicted.
On the menu today: how little the Constitution says about replacing a Supreme Court justice, and why cries of a “stolen” Supreme Court seat are nonsense; President Trump has a shockingly human reaction to the passing of Ruth Bader Ginsburg; and the unsavory subtext to the pop-culture celebration that surrounded the “Notorious RBG.”
In the Weeks and Months Ahead, Remember to Check the Constitution
He shall have Power, by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, to make Treaties, provided two thirds of the Senators present concur; and he shall nominate, and by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, shall appoint Ambassadors, other public Ministers and Consuls, Judges of the supreme Court, and all other Officers of the United States, whose Appointments are not herein otherwise provided for, and which shall be established by Law: but the Congress may by Law vest … READ MORE
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“Makes an original and compelling case for nationalism . . . A fascinating, erudite—and much-needed—defense of a hallowed idea unfairly under current attack.” — Victor Davis Hanson
A famous commodities investor has found what could be the pot stock of a lifetime. Thanks to the brutal cannabis sector crash, it trades for under $1. Yet, it is processing 10 tons of cannabis a year and forecasts a 1,968% jump in revenues. Here’s Why Owning 10,000 Shares is Appealing…
Authored by Niall Ferguson, op-ed via Bloomberg.com, Fires, blackouts, high taxes, poverty, scarce housing, urban squalor, lousy schools – it’s a wonder anybody stays. “California, folks, is America fast forward.” Thus Governor Gavin…
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) didn’t bat an eye when ABC “This Week” host and former Clinton aide George Stephanopoulos floats the idea of impeaching President Trump over filling the vacancy on the Supreme Court following the Friday…
Authored by Caitlin Johnstone via Medium.com, Stephen F Cohen, the renowned American scholar on Russia and leading authority on US-Russian relations, has died of lung cancer at the age of 81. As one of the precious few western voices…
By Ye Xie, Bloomberg macro commentator Three things we learned last week: 1. Major central banks prefer the status quo, for now. The Fed and BOJ joined other major central banks, including the ECB, to stay put as the global economy recovers.
For billionaire Ronald O. Perelman, the time to cash in his chips is now. And, of course, by “cash in his chips”, we mean liquidate everything in a panic after Covid sends your highly leveraged empire into ruins. In what will likely wind…
Just when we thought we had seen peak boredom from America’s misinformed Marxists disguised as some kind of anti-fascist freedom fighters, three new videos out of Philadelphia have surfaced showing that now, more than ever, there’s too…
Investing in stocks has always been great way to grow your wealth in the long run. However, if you really want to earn more bang for your buck, it pays to invest in stocks that also pay out fat, consistent dividends. In fact, here are five of the top dividend stocks you may want to consider this year. Click Here to Download the FREE Report…
John Robertson, was an FBI Agent who investigated crimes against children. This is how he stumbled upon Hillary Clinton’s emails. We first reported on Robertson… Read more…
What the hell happened to Nancy Pelosi during her interview with George Stephanopoulos? The look on Stephanopoulos’s face says it all. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s… Read more…
A Nebraska bar owner that killed a rioter who was attacking him and his business has committed suicide, a friend of Jake Gardner has confirmed… Read more…
The world’s rich and famous traveled to and from Jeffrey Epstein’s island in the Atlantic for years. Today the AG for the US Virgin Islands… Read more…
A female suspect was arrested by Customs and Border Patrol Agents trying to enter the United States from Canada. The New York Times reported on… Read more…
Trashy far-left extremist Senator Megan Hunt is practically dancing on the grave of a Trump volunteer and Marine who killed himself over the weekend, after… Read more…
77-year-old Joe Biden emerged from his basement on Sunday and traveled to Philadelphia to give a speech at the Constitution Center. This is after Biden… Read more…
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