The Morning Dispatch: How Russia and China Are Trying to Meddle in the 2020 Election

Plus, President Trump takes executive action on COVID relief.

Happy Monday! We typically like to keep TMD short to kick off the week, to let you (and us) ease back into the rhythm of things. Unfortunately, there was Too Much News this weekend—and that’s after we sifted through all the dumb stuff that doesn’t matter on your behalf!

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Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories

  • The United States confirmed 49,573 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday, with 7 percent of the 711,984 tests reported coming back positive. An additional 522 deaths were attributed to the virus on Sunday, bringing the pandemic’s American death toll to 162,938.

  • The U.S. economy regained 1.8 million jobs in July, per numbers released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday. The unemployment rate fell 0.9 points to 10.2 percent, with the number of unemployed workers dropping 1.4 million to 16.3 million.
  • William Evanina, a senior U.S. intelligence official and director of the National Counterintelligence and Security Center, released a statement Friday regarding information about hostile foreign powers trying to interfere in the 2020 election. Russia, Evanina’s statement said, is attempting to sway the election for Trump, while China is attempting to sway it for Biden.
  • The Trump administration imposed sanctions on 11 senior authorities in Hong Kong and China involved in the continued crackdown in Hong Kong, including Carrie Lam, the region’s chief executive.
  • According to unnamed U.S. officials, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo sternly warned Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov against Moscow paying bounties for the killing of American soldiers in Afghanistan, directly contradicting President Trump’s claim that recent revelations about the issue were a “hoax.”
  • Postmaster General Louis DeJoy, a major Trump donor before assuming his position in the administration in May, announced a significant reorganization of the Postal Service on Friday purported to increase efficiency in anticipation of an election where millions are expected to vote via mail-in ballots. The move set off cries of foul play from Democratic lawmakers, who argued that the changes are a veiled threat to the integrity of the mail-in voting system. “We are not slowing down election mail or any other mail,” DeJoy said.
  • New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo announced the state’s schools can open for in-person classes in the fall, provided they are in a region where the average rate of positive coronavirus tests remains below 5 percent for a minimum of two weeks. The decision now lies with local officials.
  • In a 7-2 decision, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit held that courts can enforce congressional subpoenas against the executive branch and that the House “was entitled to [former White House Counsel Don] McGahn’s testimony pursuant to its duly issued subpoena.” The case will now go back to a three-judge panel to determine whether McGahn can block the subpoena on other grounds.
  • Brent Scowcroft, foreign policy counselor to seven presidential administrations and national security adviser to Presidents Gerald Ford and George H.W. Bush, died over the weekend at 95.
  • new study from Duke University researchers tested the efficacy of a variety of different facemasks on reducing the transmission of respiratory droplets. While most masks were proven to be highly effective—several cotton and polypropylene masks approached surgical- and N95-levels of performance—bandanas and neck fleeces/gaiters were shown to barely limit transmission.
  • Collin Morikawa, 23, won the PGA Championship—the first golf major since the pandemic shut down the sport in March.

If It Hadn’t Been for Those Meddling Geopolitical Foes

With fewer than 90 days until the final ballots of the 2020 campaign are cast, the bulk of the concern surrounding the integrity of the election has revolved around mail-in voting—and rightly so. But on Friday afternoon, the general public became privy to intelligence reportedly known to lawmakers and both presidential campaigns for days, if not longer: Adversaries are continuing to interfere in our electoral process.

“Ahead of the 2020 U.S. elections, foreign states will continue to use covert and overt influence measures in their attempts to sway U.S. voters’ preferences and perspectives, shift U.S. policies, increase discord in the United States, and undermine the American people’s confidence in our democratic process,” William Evanina, director of the National Counterintelligence and Security Center, said in a statement. He cited three countries’ efforts in particular.

Russia, Evanina said, prefers President Trump win re-election and is “using a range of measures to primarily denigrate former Vice President Biden and what it sees as an anti-Russia ‘establishment.’” He cited Andriy Derkach—a pro-Russia Ukrainian parliamentarian—as a sample vessel for information designed to “undermine” Biden’s candidacy and the Democrat Party. Derkach was the source for various anti-Biden segments on One America News Network, a Trump-friendly conspiracy outlet, during the impeachment investigation last fall.

President Trump’s Frankenstein CARES Act

We told you Friday that President Trump, frustrated with the slow progress of congressional COVID relief talks, was mulling a plan to perform the roles of both the executive and legislative branches of the federal government. On Saturday afternoon, he unveiled a series of executive orders targeting a number of the White House’s policy priorities from the negotiations, including a payroll tax freeze, an expanded unemployment extension, a moratorium on evictions, and a deferral of federal student loan payments.

We say targeting those priorities, because Trump is hobbled by the fact that actually tackling them head-on would require making use of Congress’ power of the purse. Instead, the White House has cobbled together a set of actions that gesture in the direction of those policies from existing laws—resulting in a hodgepodge of zigzag strategies that vary wildly in both their likely constitutionality and likely effectiveness.

Over at the site today, Andrew breaks down the basics of what the orders do, what they can’t do despite the president’s assurances otherwise, and what they may end up doing whether we like it or not.

Two are relatively easy to address: The president can waive penalties for late federal student-loan payments, but cannot unilaterally freeze evictions nationwide. (Trump’s eviction memorandum itself quietly acknowledges this fact.)

The other two are a little more complicated. By monkeying around with federal disaster budgets, President Trump can seemingly create a new sort of Frankenstein version of the CARES Act’s expanded unemployment program, one of the most pressing concerns from the latest negotiations. But experts say the program would have to be rebuilt from scratch and could take months to put in place, and would require bleeding FEMA funds that might soon be needed elsewhere, particularly during hurricane season.

July’s Economic Report Card

The U.S. economy added 1.8 million jobs in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Friday, marking the third straight month of job growth since states began easing coronavirus-induced lockdown measures in late-spring. July’s employment gains were well below the 4.8 million new jobs added in June and the 2.5 million added in May—a sign the economic recovery is beginning to decelerate.

“I expect us to look like we’re on the ‘V’ trajectory, but that ‘V’ will only get us halfway,” Obama administration economist Jason Furman told Declan back in May. “It’ll look like this incredibly rapid decline in the unemployment rate—from say 20 percent to 12 percent—but then the next 8 percentage points will take much longer than the first eight percentage points.”

Worth Your Time

  • David Brooks’ latest column made waves over the weekend—he wrote about potential paths forward for a post-Trump Republican Party. “The basic Trump worldview,” he argues, “will shape the G.O.P. for decades, the way the basic Reagan worldview did for decades. A thousand smarter conservatives will be building a new party after 2020, but one that builds from the framework Trump established.” It’s clear, Brooks writes, that Reaganism’s chokehold over the GOP is finished. But what the party’s post-Trump platform and character will look like depends on who takes the reins in the months and years to come.
  • Nellie Bowles traveled to Seattle to report on the aftermath of the Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone (CHAZ) for the New York Times. The idea of police abolition is currently supported by only the most activist fringe, but for many small business owners and residents of the Capitol Hill neighborhood in Seattle, it was a reality for weeks on end. The picture Bowles paints of a world without police is a disturbing one. “One window broken, then another, then another, then another. Garbage to clean off the sidewalk in front of the store every morning. Urine to wash out of our doorway alcove. Graffiti to remove,” the owner of a printing shop detailed. “Costs to board up and later we’ll have costs to repair.”
  • The Washington Post is running a series of oral histories from Americans living through—and touched by—the coronavirus pandemic. Its latest installment hit us like a ton of bricks. Francene Bailey believes she gave COVID-19 to her 70-year-old mother, and 10 days later she was gone. “I heard her start to cough downstairs in her room,” Bailey remembered. “It was nighttime, and I leaned against the floorboards to listen. I said, ‘Oh God, no. No. Please, Jesus, don’t let her be sick.’ But I already knew. She sounded exactly like me.”

Presented Without Comment

Toeing the Company Line

  • Today we launch what will become an occasional series, “The Biden Agenda.” Based on Biden’s long career, the views he’s articulated in his low-key campaign for president, the people he’s likely to rely on for advice, and the current political moment, what should we expect from a prospective Biden presidency on the most pressing issues of our time? The first piece is on what health care policy might look like, and it comes from Jim Capretta, one of the country’s leading experts on health care, entitlements, budgets and fiscal policy.
  • Jerry Falwell, who has been through several scandals regarding his personal behavior, has finally been put on leave as head of Liberty University. David’s Sunday French Press unpacks the latest Falwell revelations and what they mean for the broader Evangelical movement.
  • In his latest G-File (and Ruminant), Jonah examines the internal debate on the left as to whether class or race is the “central explanation for American perfidy.” He writes: “One camp claimed race as the Rosetta Stone for deciphering America’s sins. The other, older camp clung to class-based explanations. It’s not necessarily the case that the socialists didn’t think racism was a problem, and it’s certainly not the case that the racialists (for want of a better term) didn’t think class and capitalism, etc., weren’t constructs of oppression. The debate was simply over which paradigm should take precedence and explain or illuminate the other side’s concerns or the central challenges to be overcome.”

Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Audrey Fahlberg (@FahlOutBerg), Nate Hochman (@njhochman), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).

Photographs by Jim Watson and Emmanuel Dunand/AFP/Getty Images.