Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Wednesday August 5, 2020
THE DAILY SIGNAL
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THE RESURGENT
THE SUNBURN
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DAYBREAK
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THE EPOCH TIMES
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“There are no big problems, there are just a lot of little problems.”
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Violence and calls for “revolution” have engulfed Portland, Oregon and other major U.S. cities. Rioters have attacked police officers with rocks, bottles, bricks, and fireworks.
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AXIOS
Good Wednesday morning. Today’s Smart Brevity™ count: 1,158 words … 4½ minutes.
Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios
Confidants of Joe Biden believe his choices for vice president have narrowed to Sen. Kamala Harris and Susan Rice — and would be surprised if he picks anyone else, Axios’ Hans Nichols and Alexi McCammond report.
The state of play: This is a snapshot of the nearly unanimous read that we get from more than a dozen people close to him.
- Of course, it comes with a giant asterisk: Only Biden knows for sure, and the more insiders know, the less they say to reporters.
- He’s not expected to announce his choice for another week or so — the Democratic convention begins Aug. 17 — so that reality could certainly change.
What’s happening: The campaign is now in methodical mode as it finalizes vetting, looks at internal polling results on potential picks and talks to finalists one-on-one.
- In third place is Rep. Karen Bass (D-Calif.), who had a faltering performing on the Sunday shows after revelations about her past views on Cuba and Scientology.
The case for Harris: Biden’s brain trust — Steve Ricchetti, Mike Donilon and Ted Kaufman — skew older and have deep and trusting relationships with many of the Obama and Clinton veterans who are advocating for Harris.
- It rests in part on her prosecutorial skills, which could help her attack the Trump administration with discipline.
The case for Rice: Rice is getting a big bounce from Obama people who claim her presence on the ticket would guarantee the enthusiastic presence of both Barack and Michelle Obama on the campaign trail.
Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios
The coronavirus will make this presidential election unlike any other — voting that begins earlier, results that take longer, mail carriers as virtual poll workers and October surprises that pop in September.
- Perhaps 80 million Americans will vote early, by mail or in person — twice as many as in 2016, Tom Bonier, CEO of TargetSmart, a Democratic political data firm, tells Axios.
- 24 states and D.C. saw half or more ballots cast absentee in elections during the pandemic.
Why it matters: That’s going to set up more of an Election Season than an Election Day — and increase the odds of national turmoil over the vote count, Axios’ Stef Kight, Alexi McCammond and David Nather report.
- The election begins in just six weeks, with early voting in Virginia, Minnesota and South Dakota, according to RepresentUs and Vote.org.
What we’re watching:
- The old-school notion of an “October surprise” will morph or see its power diminish.
- Worry about mail ballots: The WashPost reports on today’s front page that voters in primaries in five states yesterday “voiced concerns about the delivery and security of mail ballots.”
- Longer lines will result from consolidation of polling places and shortages of poll workers, who tend to be elderly and therefore at risk of the coronavirus.
Rep. Roger Marshall, joined by his wife, Laina, speaks to supporters near Pawnee Rock, Kan., last night. Photo: Travis Heying/The Wichita Eagle via AP
Kansas Republicans nominated Rep. Roger Marshall for the Senate over polarizing conservative Kris Kobach, heeding the party establishment’s advice as it tries to keep a normally safe seat out of play, AP reports.
- Why it matters: This is another win by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and the establishment over the party’s fringe.
In Missouri, Black Lives Matter activist Cori Bush shocked longtime Rep. Lacy Clay, “ending his 20-year hold on Missouri’s 1st congressional district and putting her on a path to become the first Black woman to represent Missouri in the nation’s capital,” per the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
🗽 After six weeks, winners in two N.Y. congressional primaries … Rep. Carolyn Maloney, 74, narrowly beat a challenge from Suraj Patel, 36. In the South Bronx, Ritchie Torres, 32, won a 12-way primary for an open seat, per the N.Y. Times.
- President Trump said in the briefing room: “When you look at the Carolyn Maloney election, … I think they have to do that election over. Nobody can know what the election result is.”
Residents of Beirut woke to a scene of utter devastation, after a massive explosion at its port sent shock waves across the Lebanese capital, killing at least 100 people and wounding more than 4,000, AP reports.
- Smoke is still rising. Downtown streets are littered with debris.
President Michel Aoun said 2,750 tons of ammonium nitrate, used in fertilizers and bombs, had been stored for six years at the port without safety measures, per Reuters.
- An official source blamed the incident on negligence.
At the White House, President Trump called it an attack: “I’ve met with some of our great generals … [T]hey seem to think it was … a bomb of some kind.”
- But AP reported from the scene that there’s no evidence it was an attack.
What’s next … The Times of London’s Richard Spencer reported in a first-person account from Beirut (subscription):
[A] city that earlier this year ran out of money now has to somehow rebuild itself.
Volunteers load free groceries at a community food bank in the Crenshaw neighborhood of L.A. in July. Photo: Robyn Beck/AFP via Getty Images
Grocery costs are rising at the highest rate in decades as the pandemic continues to upend food supply chains, writes the WashPost’s Rachel Siegel.
- “Compared with this time last year, prices for beef and veal are up 25.1 percent. Eggs are up 12.1 percent, and pork is up 11.8 percent.”
Why it matters: “[T]he overall effects are being felt most acutely by the nearly 30 million Americans who saw their $600 enhanced unemployment benefit expire last Friday — exacerbating concerns that the recession’s long tail could worsen food insecurity for years to come.”
Joe Biden’s campaign is launching a $280 million TV and digital ad campaign targeting 15 states with a message — directly from Biden — about the pandemic and the economy, Axios’ Alexi McCammond and Hans Nichols report.
- Why it matters: The size of the buy ($220 million TV, $60 million digital) signals the campaign isn’t worried about burning through cash.
🥊 Trump returned to the airwaves Monday in four battleground states: North Carolina, Georgia, Florida and Arizona, the N.Y. Times Nick Corasaniti reports.
- “Why those four? Early voting.”
House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy holds his weekly press conference last week. Photo: Michael Brochstein/Sipa USA via Getty Images
House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy has given GOP colleagues, worried about troubles at the top of the ticket, an optimistic new frame for fall stump speeches: “If we win the majority, this is what we’d pass.”
- Axios’ Alayna Treene reports that McCarthy delivered a PowerPoint presentation about the message to the GOP conference last Thursday at the Capitol Visitor Center.
The plan’s three Rs:
- “Renew the American Dream” (individuals): School choice, workforce training, 5G, expanding broadband in rural communities.
- “Restore Our Way of Life” (communities): Defeating the virus, reopening safely and responsibly.
- “Rebuild the Greatest Economy Ever” (nationwide): Deregulation, fixing roads and bridges, China-critical messaging.
A twist: Several GOP lawmakers told Axios that they hope the Trump campaign will also embrace this messaging.
Photo: Spencer Platt/Getty Images
Ford’s new CEO, Jim Farley, takes the reins from James Hackett at a critical time, Axios’ Joann Muller reports from Detroit.
- Why it matters: The global auto industry is shifting quickly toward electrification, automation and transportation services, but Ford has been unable to keep pace.
Hackett’s $11 billion global transformation, launched in 2017, frustrated investors as Ford’s stock dropped almost 40% during his tenure.
The 11th annual Congressional Football Game — a charity game that brings together members of Congress, former NFL players and Capitol Police — was scheduled for Sept. 23, but now will be a fantasy game. Details.
Yifei Liu in the title role of “Mulan.” Photo: Disney Enterprises, Inc. via AP
Disney announced yesterday that it will premiere its blockbuster live-action remake of “Mulan” next month on Disney+, skipping a U.S. theatrical release entirely, Variety reports.
- Why it matters: It’s bad news for the struggling movie theater industry — and highlights Disney’s reliance on its streaming service to drive revenue at a time when other sectors of its business have been hit hard by the pandemic.
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THE WASHINGTON POST MORNING HEADLINES
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THE WASHINGTON TIMES
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THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER
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Copyright © 2020 MEDIADC, All rights reserved.Washington Examiner | A MediaDC Publication 1152 15th Street NW Suite 200 | Washington, DC 20005 |
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CHICAGO TRIBUNE
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CHICAGO SUNTIMES
‘We’re heading for another surge’
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PRO TRUMP NEWS
THE HILL
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ROLL CALL
Morning Headlines
ANALYSIS — There are good reasons for Democrats to be upbeat about their chances of netting at least three Senate seats in the fall, which, combined with a Biden presidential victory, would flip the chamber. But they haven’t quite locked down the job, CQ Roll Call political analyst Stuart Rothenberg writes. Read More…
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s unwelcome run-in with Rep. Ted Yoho on the Capitol steps last month left some shaking their heads, whether in disbelief or recognition. And for many female lawmakers, including the Women’s Caucus co-chairs Brenda Lawrence and Debbie Lesko, this was no isolated incident. Read More…
Naval Academy’s ‘Plebe Summer’ looks a bit different this year
As the national debate rages over safely reopening schools amid the pandemic, one institution has forged ahead before most others: the U.S. Naval Academy. Each year, it takes in roughly 1,200 students for a training regimen known as Plebe Summer. And this year, the process looks a little different. Read More…
Click here to subscribe to Fintech Beat for the latest market and regulatory developmentsin finance and financial technology.
Missouri Rep. William Lacy Clay ousted by Black Lives Matter activist Cori Bush
Missouri Rep. William Lacy Clay lost the Democratic primary Tuesday to nurse and Black Lives Matter activist Cori Bush, a stunning defeat for the scion of a political dynasty that has represented the St. Louis-based 1st District for more than half a century. Read More…
Rep. Steve Watkins ousted in Kansas Republican primary
Embattled Kansas Rep. Steve Watkins on Tuesday became the fourth House Republican to be denied his party’s nomination for another term this cycle, losing the 2nd District primary to state Treasurer Jake LaTurner three weeks after being hit with felony vote fraud charges. Read More…
Rep. Roger Marshall wins GOP Senate nomination in Kansas
Rep. Roger Marshall has defeated conservative firebrand Kris Kobach to win the Republican nomination for the open Senate seat in Kansas. The win comes as a giant relief to national Republicans, who had lobbied for months against Kobach out of fears he could put the seat in play this fall. Read More…
Photos: Plebe Summer in the COVID-19 era
The U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis, Maryland, welcomed its Class of 2024 on June 29 in the middle of the pandemic. Following a two-week mandatory quarantine, training for the “plebes” kicked off on July 20. CQ Roll Call spent a day documenting how the pandemic is affecting the Navy’s future leaders. Read More…
CQ Roll Call is a part of FiscalNote, the leading technology innovator at the intersection of global business and government. Copyright 2020 CQ Roll Call. All rights reserved Privacy | Safely unsubscribe now.
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NEWSMAX
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POLITICO PLAYBOOK
‘You admit you don’t know what you’re talking about’
Presented by Facebook
DRIVING THE DAY
TREASURY SECRETARY STEVEN MNUCHIN — who initially predicted a Covid deal would pass two weeks ago — told reporters Tuesday evening that if there were a deal to be had on Covid relief, it would have to be reached by Friday.
WE ARE NOT GOING TO TRY TO PASS JUDGMENT whether that’s possible, but we’re going to lay out here where the two sides have made concessions, what’s left to be figured out in the next 72 hours and what both sides said in a closed-door meeting in Speaker NANCY PELOSI’S office Tuesday. Along with JOHN BRESNAHAN, we worked sources Tuesday night to figure out exactly went on in that room with MNUCHIN, PELOSI, Senate Minority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER and White House COS MARK MEADOWS as they try to cobble together a $1 trillion-plus Covid relief package.
THE REPUBLICAN CONCESSIONS, made by the GOP negotiating team, MNUCHIN and MEADOWS: Enhanced unemployment insurance: An additional $400 per week until Dec. 15 (their initial offer was an extra $600 per week for a week) … Eviction moratorium: extended through Dec. 15 … State and local: $200 billion (up from “flexibility.” Dems say the GOP only offered $150 billion).
THE DEM CONCESSIONS: Their USPS ask went from $25 billion to $10 billion — subject to a meeting today with the postmaster general that MNUCHIN, MEADOWS, PELOSI and SCHUMER will have. REPUBLICANS are not happy with the concessions Dems made, saying their gives were far more generous.
BUT THERE ARE A TON OF OUTSTANDING ISSUES where the two parties are pretty far apart. Here’s what the two sides discussed, with details from PELOSI’S suite:
— ENHANCED UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS: The Republicans hold that this offer — $400 per week until Dec. 15 — is a big move on their behalf. Democrats are holding at $600 per week — and are trying to capitalize on Senate Majority Leader MITCH MCCONNELL suggesting that Republicans might agree to a $600-per-week UI plan. Republicans also want to include the return-to-work credit. They tabled this conversation, noting they were too far apart.
PELOSI said in the meeting: “I’m not going to tell single moms: ‘Good news! The pandemic continues and we cut your benefit.’”
— ELECTIONS: There is significant disagreement here. Republicans believe that Democrats are trying to fund a massive mail-in ballot program, but, as SCHUMER reminded the room, it is up to each state to decide how the money is spent.
ONE FUNNY MOMENT: MNUCHIN noted that he wasn’t an electoral ballot expert, and PELOSI said: “Well, it’s good you admit you don’t know what you’re talking about.”
— PENSIONS: There’s a big pension issue that needs to be solved, and both sides agree it could happen in Phase Four. MNUCHIN and MEADOWS told PELOSI and SCHUMER they would speak to the president about this issue, and get back to them about how it may be resolved.
PELOSI called pensions “a different breed of cat,” and suggested that the difference couldn’t be split between the two parties.
— EDUCATION: There is still a ways to go on this topic. They have disagreement on the top line, and how it’s allocated. Semantics, but important: Republicans say that education should be counted as a state and local funding issue, and Democrats say this is nonsense. This was the cause of a disagreement between PELOSI and MEADOWS in the meeting.
— CHILDCARE: Dems are at $50 billion and Republicans are at $15 billion, so the two sides have a ways to go. The negotiators decided to move on from discussing this.
— POSTAL: They mostly tabled this pending their conversation with the postmaster general today. SCHUMER passed MNUCHIN printed copies of 10 articles from around the country showing postal delays in order to press his case — including a Philadelphia Inquirer story that showed how people have gone three weeks without deliveries, leaving them without medicine and other essential goods, and a WaPo story about how Michiganders hadn’t received their absentee or mail ballot before the Tuesday primary.
DEMOCRATS DID GO DOWN TO $10 BILLION from $25 billion here, and MNUCHIN and MEADOWS said they’d look at their proposal.
— BROADBAND: Democrats are analyzing a proposal that Republicans brought. It seems as if there will be an agreement here.
— FOOD ASSISTANCE/SNAP: There is a BIG gap to make up here, and the two sides fought bitterly.
— RENTER/HOMEOWNER ASSISTANCE: Republicans proposed their eviction moratorium, and Democrats didn’t like it — and fought over it. They think there’s more to do here.
— TESTING: Still a ways to go here, but they seem to want to come to a conclusion. Democrats are selling their plan as being “conservative” — decentralizing power to the states to test. Democrats suggested the GOP was too bureaucratic. PELOSI said the administration had failed in testing, and the Democrats’ plan should be put in place. “We have a huge testing problem — we’ve failed,” she said.
AT THE END, MEADOWS said, “We are making little progress. There is still the $3.4 trillion donkey or elephant in the room. There will be no number anywhere close.” PELOSI said: “It’s a beautiful swan.”
NYT ED BOARD: “No Relief Bill, No Vacation”
FRONTS: NYT, with an ERIN SCHAFF portrait of KAREN BASS in the lower right hand corner … WSJ … N.Y. POST, with this headline: “HIDIN’ BIDEN”
Good Wednesday morning.
DRIVING TODAY: THE NEGOTIATORS are meeting with the postmaster general at 3:30 p.m., and when he leaves, they’ll continue to negotiate. … Secretary of State MIKE POMPEO will speak to the press at 10 a.m.
NEW: MUCH OF THE PRESSURE TO STRIKE a Covid relief deal is coming from the vulnerable GOP rank and file. GOP Sens. MITT ROMNEY (Utah), SUSAN COLLINS (Maine) and MARTHA MCSALLY (Ariz.) have a new enhanced unemployment proposal they plan to drop today that would keep the benefits flowing until the end of the year.
— IN AUGUST states could choose $500 per week, or $400 per week if the states don’t want to change the amount in September. In September: $400 per week. October through December: 80% of wages, or a waiver for $300 per week if the state is unable to pay 80% of prior earnings.
— MARIANNE LEVINE, ANDREW DESIDERIO and JOHN BRESNAHAN: “Endangered Republicans to McConnell: Don’t leave town”
— AP’S ANDY TAYLOR: “Endangered GOP senators are driving force for virus deal”
LAUNCHING TODAY: THE FIFTY is a new series from POLITICO that examines the roles mayors and governors are playing amid the pandemic, the economic crisis and a national reckoning on race. The Fifty collects our best reporting on the governors and mayors shaping policy and driving politics, and looks at the people and power players outside of Washington. UP NOW: “The best job in America — or a living nightmare?” by Anna Gronewold and Shia Kapos … Q&A with Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer.
THE LATEST IN BEIRUT … AP/BEIRUT: “Lebanese confront devastation after massive Beirut explosion,” by Bassem Mroue and Zeina Karam: “Residents of Beirut awoke to a scene of utter devastation on Wednesday, a day after a massive explosion at the port sent shock waves across the Lebanese capital, killing at least 100 people and wounding thousands.
“Smoke was still rising from the port, where huge mounds of grain gushed from hollowed-out silos. Major downtown streets were littered with debris and damaged vehicles, and building facades were blown out.
“An official with the Lebanese Red Cross said at least 100 people were killed and more than 4,000 were wounded. The official, George Kettaneh, said the toll could rise further.” AP
NYT/TAIPEI, by Amy Qin: “U.S. Health Secretary to Visit Taiwan, in a Move Likely to Anger Beijing”: “The trip by Mr. Azar, the secretary of health and human services, will be the first by a U.S. health secretary and the first in six years by a U.S. cabinet member, the department said in a statement on Tuesday.
“No date was given for the visit to Taiwan, a self-ruled territory that is claimed by Beijing, but the health department billed it as an opportunity to strengthen economic and public health cooperation between the United States and Taiwan and to highlight Taiwan’s success in battling the coronavirus pandemic.”
CONVENTION WATCH … WAPO’S MICHAEL SCHERER and JOSH DAWSEY: “Republicans consider South Lawn of the White House for Donald Trump’s convention speech”: “Republican National Convention planners are considering the White House South Lawn as the site of President Trump’s nationally televised nomination acceptance speech later this month, according to a Republican familiar with the discussions.
“The decision to stage the most high-profile political event of Trump’s reelection campaign at the national seat of presidential power would be just the latest break by Trump in presidential norms, which have historically drawn clear lines between official business of the president and campaign events.
ON THE TRAIL … ALEX THOMPSON: “Trump’s campaign knocks on a million doors a week. Biden’s knocks on 0”: “Donald Trump’s campaign says it knocked on over 1 million doors in the past week alone. Joe Biden’s campaign says it knocked on zero.
“The Republican and Democratic parties — from the presidential candidates on down — are taking polar opposite approaches to door-to-door canvassing this fall. The competing bets on the value of face-to-face campaigning during a pandemic has no modern precedent, making it a potential wild card in November, especially in close races.
“Biden and the Democratic National Committee aren’t sending volunteers or staffers to talk with voters at home, and don’t anticipate doing anything more than dropping off literature unless the crisis abates. The campaign and the Democratic National Committee think they can compensate for the lack of in-person canvassing with phone calls, texts, new forms of digital organizing, and virtual meet-ups with voters.
“‘At first I was nervous, but our response rates on phone calls and texts are much higher and people are not necessarily wanting someone to go up to their door right now,’ said Jenn Ridder, Biden’s national states director. ‘You get to throw a lot of the rule book out the window and try out new things.’”
VEEPSTAKES … NO SURPRISE HERE: “‘She is absolutely our No. 1 draft pick’: GOP pines for Rice as Biden VP,” by Anita Kumar: “Joe Biden still may be undecided about who to pick for a running mate, but Donald Trump’s team knows exactly who they want: Susan Rice.
“Trump’s aides and allies accuse Rice — without delving too deeply into the evidence — of helping cover up crimes for two of the president’s favorite foils, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, making her just the kind of deep-state villain who could fire up his MAGA base.
“‘She is absolutely our No. 1 draft pick,’ a Trump campaign official said. Rice, the former ambassador to the United Nations and national security adviser for Obama, is accused of revealing the identities of top Trump associates in 2016 after they were picked up as part of U.S. surveillance of foreign officials. Four years earlier, she faced allegations that she misled Americans when she announced on national TV that the fatal attacks in Benghazi, Libya, occurred after spontaneous protests in response to an anti-Muslim video. That was determined to be inaccurate.”
BIG SWING … KNOWING KAREN BASS … NYT, A1 … ADAM NAGOURNEY and JENNY MEDINA in Los Angeles: “From Outsider to Insider: Karen Bass’s Unexpected Journey to Power”
NYT’S DANNY HAKIM and MAGGIE HABERMAN: “Republicans Aid Kanye West’s Bid to Get on the 2020 Ballot” … VICE’S CAMERON JOSEPH: “A Well-Connected GOP Strategist Is Helping Kanye West Get on the Ballot in Wisconsin”
LAST NIGHT’S PRIMARY — “Republicans dodge Kansas nightmare as Marshall defeats Kobach,” by James Arkin and Ally Mutnick: “Rep. Roger Marshall won the GOP primary for an open Senate seat in Kansas on Tuesday, turning aside the controversial Kris Kobach — to the relief of Republicans concerned that Kobach could put not just the state but the party’s Senate majority at risk this fall.
“With nearly all the votes tallied, Marshall had 40 percent of the vote, to only 26 percent for Kobach. The result was a more decisive victory for Marshall than expected by many Republicans, who had predicted with deep concern that the race was a tossup going into Tuesday.
“GOP leaders had been outspoken in their opposition to Kobach since he entered the race last summer, but failed in their efforts to steer the race away from him, leaving it up in the air on primary night. Party officials couldn’t convince Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to run, and some eventually consolidated behind Rep. Roger Marshall in the closing weeks of the race.
“But President Donald Trump did not endorse or oppose anyone, frustrating some Republicans who thought he could have ended the concern by weighing in.” POLITICO … 5 takeaways via Steve Shepard
— “Progressive challenger Cori Bush beats Rep. Lacy Clay in primary,” by Ally Mutnick: “Liberal challenger Cori Bush defeated Rep. Lacy Clay (D-Mo.) in a primary for his St. Louis-based House seat on Tuesday — a huge win for the left and a seismic loss for the Congressional Black Caucus, which has tried to snuff out challenges from younger candidates.
“Bush’s victory came two years after her first challenge to Clay, which the incumbent won by 20 percentage points. But this cycle, Bush’s campaign was better funded and had more outside help from a wide array of surrogates including Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and the Justice Democrats, the group that helped elect Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.).”
NYT’S ELAINA PLOTT: “Tennessee Republicans, Once Moderate and Genteel, Turn Toxic in the Trump Era”: “[Bill Hagerty] also began distancing himself from old friends. The day after Mr. Hagerty announced his candidacy in September, according to filings with the Federal Election Commission, Mr. Romney’s Believe in America PAC contributed the maximum allowed amount to Mr. Hagerty’s campaign — $5,600. Bank records indicate that Mr. Hagerty’s campaign deposited the check. But in October, Mr. Hagerty surprised Mr. Romney by quietly returning the donation in full.
“(Neither the PAC’s contribution nor Mr. Hagerty’s disbursement of the refund appears in the Hagerty campaign’s filings, a potential violation of campaign finance law. A spokesman for the Hagerty campaign said, ‘Once we realized it was deposited, we alerted the bank and we reversed the transaction, because we do not share Senator Romney’s liberal, anti-Trump political positions.’)”
SIGN OF THE TIMES — CLAUDIA TENNEY, who is seeking her old seat in Congress in upstate New York, is running an ad with the NRCC with this tagline: “You can’t spell Brindisi without B.S.” The 30-second spot
TRUMP’S WEDNESDAY — The president will meet with Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey at 3 p.m. in the Oval Office.
PLAYBOOK READS
CORONAVIRUS RAGING … More than 4.7 MILLION PEOPLE have been infected by the coronavirus in the United States. 156,830 AMERICANS have died.
— WAPO: “There’s no national testing strategy for coronavirus. These states banded together to make one.” by Erin Cox: “The governors, three Republicans and four Democrats, say that other states and cities may join them and that talks have already begun with one of the two companies approved by the Food and Drug Administration to sell point-of-care antigen tests that can detect the virus in less than 30 minutes.
“Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R) negotiated the deal during the final days of his tenure as chair of the National Governors Association. His office said the Rockefeller Foundation is willing to act as the financing entity if needed. Each state — Virginia, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, North Carolina and Ohio, in addition to Maryland — would request 500,000 rapid tests, for a total of 3.5 million that could be deployed to address outbreaks.”
— LAT: “California’s coronavirus test result data may be flawed, top health official says,” by Colleen Shalby: “A steep decline in California’s coronavirus infection rate announced this week by Gov. Gavin Newson may not be accurate, according to the state’s top public health official who said Tuesday that the state’s data system used to process COVID-19 test results is marred with technical issues.
“The problems have caused delays in analyzing test results and cast doubt on Newsom’s announcement Monday of a 21.2% decline in the seven-day average rate for positive infections compared with the average from the week before.
“California Health and Human Services Secretary Dr. Mark Ghaly said that ‘the seven-day positivity rate is absolutely affected’ by the issue. It’s unclear to what extent and for how long cases have been undercounted, and how this situation differs from the more routine delays when test reporting lags over weekends.”
FOR YOUR RADAR — “Saudi Arabia, With China’s Help, Expands Its Nuclear Program,” by WSJ’s Warren Strobel, Michael Gordon and Felicia Schwartz: “Saudi Arabia has constructed with Chinese help a facility for extracting uranium yellowcake from uranium ore, an advance in the oil-rich kingdom’s drive to master nuclear technology, according to Western officials with knowledge of the site.
“The facility, which hasn’t been publicly disclosed, is in a sparsely populated area in Saudi Arabia’s northwest and has raised concern among U.S. and allied officials that the kingdom’s nascent nuclear program is moving ahead and that Riyadh is keeping open the option of developing nuclear weapons.” WSJ
PLAYBOOKERS
Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.
THE INSTITUTE OF POLITICS AND PUBLIC SERVICE at Georgetown’s McCourt School of Public Policy is announcing its fall 2020 fellows class: Errin Haines, founding member and editor at large at The 19th; Mary Katharine Ham, author and CNN commentator; Kevin Hassett, former senior adviser to Trump and chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers; former Rep. Mia Love (R-Utah); Faiz Shakir, former campaign manager for Bernie Sanders’ campaign; and Lis Smith, former senior adviser for comms for Pete Buttigieg’s campaign. Meet the fellows
TRANSITIONS — Manuel Bonder is now comms adviser at the South Carolina Democratic Party’s coordinated campaign. He previously worked on campaigns for Carolyn Long and Pete Buttigieg. … Casey Elliott is now director of comms and media affairs at Prism Group. She previously led comms at the Addiction Policy Forum.
WEEKEND WEDDING — Julia Godshaw, a senior analyst with WWC Global Consulting for the Department of the Navy, and Kevin Wiatrak, a lawyer and senior analyst for IST Research for the State Department, got married in a socially distant ceremony in Denver this weekend. Pic
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Alexis McGill Johnson, president and CEO of Planned Parenthood Federation of America and the Planned Parenthood Action Fund. What she’s reading: “I mostly read nonfiction, but am falling in love with fiction all over again during this lockdown. Recently, I’ve been revisiting the great Octavia Butler (fitting for this dystopian moment!), who’s helped me think about connecting my double consciousness in ways I hadn’t thought about.” Playbook Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: A.G. Sulzberger is 4-0 … Rep. Mike Doyle (D-Pa.) is 67 … Resident Commissioner Jenniffer González-Colón (R-Puerto Rico) is 44 … Rufus Gifford is 46 … Ryan Wrasse, comms director for Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) … Jim Puzzanghera, Boston Globe D.C. bureau chief … Jeremy Flantzer … Heidi Nel, principal and head of Impact Entertainment at the Raben Group … Matt Mandel … Bloomberg’s Jim Rowley … Kristofer Eisenla … former Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval is 57 … Pete Snyder is 48 … Cary Gibson, VP at Farragut Square Group … Cicely Simpson … Molly Donlin of Deep Root Analytics … Jeff Kupfer … Laura Chace, COO of ITS America (h/t Cathy St. Denis) … Howard Leib is 62 … Rock Ventures’ Aaron Walker … Kassandra Meholick … Lisa Geller is 27 … Taylor Griffin … Caroline Ehlich …
… Sharon Weber, deputy national finance director for Joe Biden’s campaign … Alicia Amling, COS for Temerity Capital Partners … Katie Thomson … Matt Anderson of Blackstone … ABC’s Luis Martinez … Lila Cohn … Melissa Canu … Ashley Pitts … Mary Beth Bakke … Kathy Rust … Michael Chandler, managing editor at MemoryWell … Cambodian PM Hun Sen is 68 … Katie Vlietstra Wonnenberg, principal at Public Private Strategies … Colleen Fisher Simons … Donte Donald … James Franklin Blue III … Christine Forester … Facebook’s Monique Dorsainvil … Monica Thompson … Dana Ferreira … Nicholas Rodman … Scott Vance … Kristy Huxhold … Marla Ratner … Corey Johnson … Abby Milberg … Julie Hughes … Jason Pollock … Ron Bouchard … Topf Wells (h/t Teresa Vilmain) … Dennis Lonergan … Barbara Dixon
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CAFFEINATED THOUGHTS
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CONSERVATIVE DAILY NEWS
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PJ MEDIA
The Morning Briefing: Which Biden VP Option Would Be Less of a Train Wreck?
Biden His Time
OK, that was cheesy.
Anyway, a happy Hump Day, my Kruiser Morning Briefing friends.
Before we get to today’s stuff, I just wanted to say that I thought yesterday’s featured image with the dude holding a leaf blower was a nice touch, but the trolls were their perennially constipated and humorless selves about it. They just don’t seem to appreciate my efforts to bring a little joy into their lives.
Onto der Bidengaffer.
We haven’t discussed his potential running mate for a while here at the Briefing and now that Biden is keeping it in the news by not picking anyone it’s time to revisit the subject.
Much has been written in recent days about what Team Biden’s delay in announcing a running mate means. VodkaPundit wrote a VIP column the other day with a headline saying that it “underscores a campaign and a candidate in chaos,” which is quite succinctly put. Yesterday on our sister site Townhall, Matt Vespa wrote a post describing Biden’s VP picking process as a “train wreck,” which inspired my headline today.
Let’s be honest, it’s been heading toward “train wreck” ever since Biden committed to picking a female running mate. He’s now all but obligated himself to pick a woman of color, which probably has all of the ulcers on his campaign staff bleeding double.
So, which of the options out there seem to be the least bad for Crazy Joe the Wonder Veep?
The odds-on favorite has been Sen. Kamala Harris. There has been a constantly shifting cast of characters rotating through the next two or three places on Biden’s shortlist behind Harris for months, most of whom — like Gretchen Whitmer or Keisha Lance Bottoms — quickly did something to take themselves out of the running.
Harris, however, is becoming increasingly problematic for the people surrounding Biden. She’s one of those people and candidates who don’t really grow on people the more they get to know her. Like Hillary Clinton.
California Rep. Karen Bass started to get a lot of attention a couple of weeks ago. She was a relative unknown and the Biden camp probably wishes she’d stayed that way. Bass has some, shall we say, unfortunate comments from her past coming back to bite her, including praise for Fidel Castro and Scientology. If she stays on the shortlist any longer, we may unearth some gems about Mussolini in there too.
Former Obama National Security Adviser Susan Rice has been hanging around the rumor mill for weeks, and she may be the least awful option for Biden. If Rice can stay clear of any Obamagate stink that may or may not still come down the pike, that is. Rice on the ticket would give Biden something that he hasn’t been able to generate on his own: some enthusiasm from Barack and Michelle Obama.
Rice eventually ascending to the presidency when Biden is inevitably pushed aside would be a bigger validation of the Lightbringer’s legacy than whatever an addled Biden tenure would look like. The Obamas would probably campaign for Biden more vigorously if Rice were his running mate. If she isn’t, they just won’t care. They’ve got their Emmy nominations and would rather be Hollywood celebrities than Democratic power players.
Yes, it does look awful that Biden has to yoke himself to someone who was subordinate to him in the Obama administration to get some attention from his former boss, but a little love is better than no love at all.
If there is a dark horse out there right now, I’m not sure who it is.
Who knows, though. As weird as this year has been and as goofy as Biden is he may surprise even his own staff with whichever name comes out of his mouth when he finally does make an announcement.
In Search of the Invisible Biden Voter
My New Idol
PJM Linktank
My latest column: The Public Education Indoctrination Monster Is Getting Roughed Up By COVID-19
And another. Andy Ngo’s Testimony Implicates ‘Peaceful Protesters’ in Antifa Violence
Why Georgia Could Be Blowing the Lockdown Meme Out of the Water
Ted Cruz: Antifa Rioters ‘Are Profoundly Racist’
Ted Cruz Video Eviscerates Democrats’ False Narrative About ‘Peaceful Protesters’
Here’s How Trump Needs to Explain the United States’ Coronavirus Response
Now What? Census Bureau Will End Count a Month Earlier Than Expected
Seattle Police Violated Civil Rights by Defending Themselves, Protesters Claim in Orwellian Lawsuit
Mysterious Massive Explosions Rock Beirut — UPDATED
Former MSNBC Producer Explains Reason for Leaving Network, and It’s Everything You’d Expect
UN Report: North Korea Has Miniaturized Nukes to Fit on Missiles
White House Mulls Executive Orders as Pandemic Aid Bill Remains Stuck in Congress
Hoori or Whore? Islam’s ‘72 Virgins’ Yearn for More ‘Martyred’ Muslims
Top 5 Freest States Amid Coronavirus Panic That Could Be New Home For Lockdown Refugees
Dr. Scott Barbour from America’s Frontline Doctors Has a Plan for Hydroxychloroquine
Trump’s Socialist-Style Attack on Americans’ Health and Medical Innovations Must Be Stopped
VodkaPundit: Insanity Wrap #20: Washington Post Goes Full Commie
Americans Reject Joe Biden’s Radical Suburbs-Crushing Housing Rule in a New Poll
Yeah she is. Biden VP Hopeful Karen Bass: ‘I Am Not a Communist’
Film Star Tyler Perry — ‘We Need the Police’
From From Butch to Beautiful: Ex-Feminists Show Off Their Transformations
World Facing a ‘Generational Catastrophe’ as 1 Billion Kids Missing School
This Conservative College Held a Graduation Ceremony and Didn’t Have an Outbreak
Facebook Bans Rabbi for ‘Misinformation’ in Coronavirus-Themed Torah Message
VIP
VIP Gold
Schlichter: The State of the Race Right Now. And Also Burgers.
From the Mothership and Beyond
Investigative Issues: The Troubling Fact Is That Media Fact-Checkers Tend to Lean ← Left
Cornonavirus: Crisis-hit Virgin Atlantic files for bankruptcy
How very Soviet. Guns Siezed In VA’s First “Red Flag” Case
MI Man Protesting Violence By His Lonesome
Conway Dismisses Duckworth’s Anti-Gun Rhetoric
So are David Hogg’s 15 minutes finally over? Younger Voters No Longer Focused On Guns
Herman Cain’s Life Is a Model For Us All
Karen Bass Praised the Church of Scientology and Leah Remini Stepped in to School Her
Did the FBI Really Just Say That After Reviewing FISA Spy Warrant Process?
Veepstakes Derailed: Joe Biden’s VP Rollout Has Devolved Into a Total Train Wreck
Heh. NBA Player’s Jersey Sales Surge After He Stands for National Anthem
‘Absolutely Unprecedented’: Leftist PAC Infiltrates Local Republican Primaries to Flip Them Blue
Roger Marshall Defeats Kris Kobach in Controversial GOP Senate Primary in Kansas
Republican Leaders Notice One Word Keeps Popping Up in Dems’ Coronavirus Bill
On New Voter Registration in Key States, Trump Is Blowing Biden Out of the Water
Taking Down Richmond’s Robert E. Lee Statue Just Got A Bit Harder
Some Worried Democrats Are Unhappy With Joe Biden Hiding In His Basement
No bias here…CNN Political Analyst “Can’t Wait” To See Armed Forces Eject Trump From White House
Oh My: NYC Health Commissioner Resigns — And Takes Aim At De Blasio
Minneapolis Mayor: Walz Dithered On His Requests To Deploy National Guard Until It Was Too Late
Joe Biden Can’t Stop Lying About Getting Arrested, Tucker Carlson Roasts Him
Mike Pence Check Mates Andrew Cuomo On His Horrible Handling of COVID-19 In New York
Seattle City Councilwoman Mic Drops ‘Goofy White’ BLM Agitators for ‘Terrorizing’ Her Neighborhood
Twitter scientist who died of COVID-19 turned out to be a hoax. It only gets weirder from there.
Murad, Amal Clooney accuse leaders and UN of failing Yazidis
Big news. I’m moving. For Sale: A Cold War Bunker and Missile Silo in North Dakota
Bee Me
The Kruiser Kabana
2020 could use the 1984 Cyndi Lauper.
I’m going to start writing Irish death poetry at the end of each one of these just to mix things up.
___
Kruiser Twitter
Kruiser Facebook
PJ Media Senior Columnist and Associate Editor Stephen Kruiser is the author of “Don’t Let the Hippies Shower” and “Straight Outta Feelings: Political Zen in the Age of Outrage,” both of which address serious subjects in a humorous way. Monday through Friday he edits PJ Media’s “Morning Briefing.” His columns appear twice a week.
WHITE HOUSE DOSSIER
THE DISPATCH
The Morning Dispatch: Families Turn to Private Schools Amid Uncertainty
Plus, the homicide rate is ticking back up.
The Dispatch Staff | 1 hr | 2 |
Happy Wednesday! We didn’t realize how much you all loved the Presented Without Comment section—we promise to never leave you hanging again! (We had to cut it for space yesterday—our apologies.)
A reminder: This is the version of TMD available to non-paying readers. We’re happy you’ve made The Dispatch part of your morning routine, and we hope you’re enjoying The Morning Dispatch and the rest of our free editorial offerings. If you do, we hope you’ll consider joining us as a paying member. In addition to the full version of TMD each day, you’ll get extra editions of French Press, the G-File, Vital Interests, our new campaign newsletter called The Sweep, and our other paid products. And members can engage with the authors and with one another in the discussion threads at the end of each of our articles and newsletters. If this appeals to you, we hope you’ll please join now.
Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories
- The United States confirmed 56,105 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday, with 8.1 percent of the 695,586 tests reported coming back positive. An additional 1,383 deaths were attributed to the virus on Tuesday, bringing the pandemic’s American death toll to 156,771.
- A massive explosion in Beirut, the capital of Lebanon, killed at least 70 people yesterday, injuring thousands more.
- Results from an early trial showed that a COVID-19 vaccine from biotech company Novavax sparked the development of neutralizing antibodies, which may help prevent coronavirus infection, in each of the 130 volunteers in the study. About 80 percent participants experienced some sort of mild side effects—tenderness at injection site, headaches, fatigue—and Novavax plans to begin Phase 3 trials later this fall.
- President Trump signed the bipartisan Great American Outdoors Act into law yesterday. The legislation—introduced by the late-Rep. John Lewis last year—will provide funding for national park restoration efforts and allocate $900 million per year to the Land and Water Conservation Fund.
- Rep. Roger Marshall defeated Kris Kobach in the Republican primary in Kansas to succeed the retiring Sen. Pat Roberts. Although Trump did not endorse in the primary, Kobach many of his supporters backed Kobach, an immigration restrictionist and America Firster. Marshall’s win is a huge boon to the Republican establishment, who feared a Kobach nomination would throw a senate seat in reliably red Kansas to the Democrats.
- A new Gallup poll found just 13 percent of American adults are “satisfied” with the way things are going in the United States right now, the lowest figure on the long-running survey since late 2011. American satisfaction had reached its 15-year high—45 percent—in February of this year.
- A top Republican lawyer in Wisconsin filed papers to get Kanye West on the ballot yesterday. Lane Ruhland, who is working for the Trump campaign, didn’t comment as local news cameras captured her dropping off signatures required to qualify West as a presidential candidate, according to Vice News.
Private Schools and the Pandemic
As the nation barrels toward the start of the school year—just days away now, in many places—with many plans for what instruction will look like still in flux, some longstanding educational tensions are starting to rear their heads. Just look at what’s happened in Montgomery County, Maryland, where policy grappling between public and private schools this week required the intercession of Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan.
Public schools in many places around the country are strongly resisting calls from President Trump and Republicans to reopen for in-classroom instruction, citing the possible danger to teachers and staff, in addition to concerns about the health of students. Teachers’ unions have led the charge, with the American Federation of Teachers—the nation’s second-largest such union—authorizing its chapters to organize strikes over reopenings in cases where they deemed reopening safety standards insufficient.
In many places, this has led to a scenario where public schools are kicking the school year off with substantially more restrictive classroom plans than their local private schools. There are a few reasons for this: Private schools tend to be smaller than their neighborhood public schools, theoretically making pandemic-era instruction more achievable, and they are less frequently unionized.
The Homicide Rate Is Ticking Back Up After Decades of Decline
A new report from the Council on Criminal Justice—which tracked changes in 11 different criminal offenses across 27 American cities—found the homicide rate increased 37 percent from the end of May through June and the aggravated assault rate rose 35 percent over the same period. Chicago, Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Louisville, Nashville, and Detroit accounted for some of the biggest spikes. “In general,” the report concluded, “property and drug crime rates decreased, while violent crime rates increased during [the spring and early summer].”
A Wall Street Journal analysis of crime statistics casts a broader net, gathering data from the nation’s 50 largest cities. Its findings? Homicides have risen by 24 percent so far this year. The murder rate has increased by double digits in 36 of the 50 cities included in the study. Robberies, conversely, have decreased by around 11 percent year-over-year.
What We Know (And Don’t) About the Explosion in Beirut
Shortly after 6 p.m. local time yesterday, a series of harrowing videos depicting a massive explosion in downtown Beirut began to circulate across the internet.
A day later, much remains unknown about the blast: its death toll, its cause, its geopolitical significance. Here is the picture as of this morning, based on publicly available information.
Lebanon Health Minister Hassan Hamad said that the government’s preliminary count found at least 70 people died in the explosion near Beirut’s port, and more than 3,000 were injured. Mohammed Fahmi, Lebanon’s Interior Minister, told reporters a stockpile of 2,700 tons of ammonium nitrate—confiscated from a cargo ship six years ago—caused the explosion, but it’s unclear as of now what led to that stockpile detonating.
“I’d like to extend my deepest condolences to all those affected by the massive explosion at the port of Beirut today,” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said in a statement. “We understand that the Government of Lebanon continues to investigate its cause and look forward to the outcome of those efforts.”
Worth Your Time
- New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo has received heaps of media praise for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic in New York—but is it deserved? The density and population of New York City presents a unique challenge in containing the virus, yes, but as Noah Rothman points out in this piece for The Bulwark, Cuomo erred in some pretty serious ways that likely cost New Yorker lives. “New York and its governor were no doubt victims of unforeseen circumstances,” Rothman writes. “But it does no one any favors to paper over the actions Governor Cuomo took that proved counterproductive and, at times, deadly.”
- Yesterday in The Atlantic, a New York-based intensive-care nurse named Kristen McConnell—whose husband is a teacher—implored American educators to come back to work in the fall. McConnell makes clear that she supports “teacher-led campaigns to make sure that safety measures are in place,” but that she’s against preemptive “safety strikes” like the one being threatened by the American Federation of Teachers. “I can understand that teachers are nervous about returning to school,” she writes. “But they should take a cue from their fellow essential workers and do their job. Even people who think there’s a fundamental difference between a nurse and a teacher in a pandemic must realize that there isn’t one between a grocery-store worker and a teacher.”
Something Fun
Houston-area readers: Hit Curbside Larry up.
Presented Without Comment
Presented Without Comment, Part 2
Toeing the Company Line
- David’s latest French Press (🔒) takes a look at a new study on the increasing prevalence of self-censorship in our daily lives. Celebrities falling victim to “cancel culture” get all the media attention, but the bigger problem is far more local and personal. “We’re self-censoring online, in our families, and in our workplaces for many of the same reasons why we self-censored in the middle-school cafeteria,” David writes. “Peer pressure from the people we interact with in our daily lives.”
- Jonah is traveling this week, but he wouldn’t abandon all you loyal Remnant listeners. Be sure to check out the first installment of his two-part podcast with Washington Post columnist Megan McArdle.
Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Sarah Isgur (@whignewtons), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Audrey Fahlberg (@FahlOutBerg), Nate Hochman (@njhochman), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).
Photograph by David L. Ryan/Boston Globe/Getty Images.
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AMERICAN THINKER
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LARRY J. SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL
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KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— National Republicans breathed a sigh of relief on Tuesday night, as Rep. Roger Marshall (R, KS-1) beat 2018 gubernatorial nominee Kris Kobach (R) in the Kansas Senate primary. Practically speaking, the Kansas Senate race went from being a potentially major Democratic offensive target to one where the Republicans have a very clear edge. — Kansas remains Likely Republican in our ratings. — We rank the top dozen Senate seats in order of their likelihood of flipping. Of the 12, 10 are held by Republicans, underscoring the amount of defense that the GOP will need to play in order to hold their majority. — We have two Senate rating changes, one in favor of each party. Table 1: Crystal Ball Senate rating changes
Map 1: Crystal Ball Senate ratingsGOP leadership overjoyed by Kansas primary resultIn a cycle where the Republicans’ list of defensive responsibilities in the Senate has seemed to get longer and longer, GOP leaders must be extremely happy to be able to effectively cross one off the list. Rep. Roger Marshall (R, KS-1) defeated 2018 gubernatorial nominee and conservative hardliner Kris Kobach (R) Tuesday evening, making it much easier for Republicans to defend the open seat and frustrating national Democrats, who spent real money in Kansas to try to help Kobach win the primary. Kobach kicked away the Kansas governorship last cycle, losing a very winnable race to now-Gov. Laura Kelly (D). Establishment Republicans were so petrified of Kobach losing a Senate general election that they first implored Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (R) to come home and run for the seat and then tried to get President Trump to back Marshall against Kobach, who Trump endorsed in his very narrow 2018 gubernatorial primary victory. As it was, Trump stayed out, but Marshall won anyway. Democrats have a respectable nominee, party-switching state Sen. Barbara Bollier (D), but Marshall fits the traditional Kansas GOP mold much better than Kobach. This is the second time Marshall has beaten a further-right Republican in a contentious primary; he also knocked off then-Rep. Tim Huelskamp (R, KS-1) in 2016. Despite signs of Democratic growth in the Kansas City suburbs and a few other places in the state, Kansas remains a Republican state: The president carried it by about 20 points in 2016. Even if Trump significantly underperforms in the state, he is still very likely to carry it, meaning that Bollier will need to attract at least some crossover support from Trump voters to win. That would have been an easier task against Kobach than Marshall. Kansas also has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, despite electing many Democratic governors in that same timeframe: A state’s baseline partisanship is often easier to overcome in state races as opposed to federal ones. We’re keeping the Kansas Senate race as Likely Republican, matching our presidential rating there, but Marshall should be fine. This is a good development for Senate Republicans, although they still have a lot of defense to play in other states. Speaking of… The big pictureAs we examine the race for the Senate majority, we thought it’d be worthwhile to rank the dozen seats we see as the most competitive from most to least likely to change hands. As we see it right now, 10 of the 12 most vulnerable seats are held by Republicans, even as Democrats are defending the seat likeliest to flip, Alabama. 1. Alabama (D) 2. Colorado (R) 3. Arizona (R) 4. Maine (R) 5. North Carolina (R) 6. Iowa (R) 7. Montana (R) 8. Georgia (Regular) (R) 9. Michigan (D) 10. Texas (R) 11. Georgia (Special) (R) 12. Alaska (R) Before we explain the rankings (and a couple of rating changes), we wanted to explain how presidential partisanship plays into them. While presidential and Senate results will differ, presidential and Senate outcomes have come further into alignment in recent years. Table 2 shows the same ranking of Senate seats in terms of likelihood of flipping, but we also added three additional columns. Table 2: Presidential scenarios in top 12 Senate racesWe adjusted the state-level presidential margins to match the hypothetical national change from 2016; this would represent what political scientists might call a “uniform swing,” in which these states’ presidential margins change the same way the national margin does. Reality won’t be so neat and tidy, but this does give us a presidential baseline as we go through our Senate list. We are not going to say that the situation of Sen. Doug Jones (D-AL) is hopeless, but he has trailed even in Democratic internal polls — when a candidate is behind in even his own party’s polls, he is behind, and likely by more than the party polls show (as nonpartisan surveys have shown). The presidential scenarios show that, even in the event of a Biden national blowout, Jones will need an immense amount of crossover voting to win. Sens. Cory Gardner (R-CO) and Martha McSally (R-AZ) have generally been behind in their races; there is a little more uncertainty with Gardner given that former Gov. John Hickenlooper (D-CO) suffered through a very bad string of news coverage in advance of his primary a little over a month ago, but we haven’t seen much indication that Gardner has changed the race in a meaningful way. McSally has been behind, and generally not just by a few points, in Arizona, a more frequently polled state. The difference between the two races is the presidential: It’s not hard to imagine Trump winning Arizona, a purple-trending red state, but it is hard to imagine Trump winning Colorado, a blue-trending purple state. So Gardner will need to attract more crossover support than McSally — he likely will win some, but we’d be surprised if he gets enough. Meanwhile, polls show McSally running behind Trump when she may need to run ahead of him. The presidential factor is also the reason why we see Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) as slightly more vulnerable than Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC): Joe Biden seems very likely to carry Maine, and by a bigger margin than 2016, while North Carolina (like Arizona) remains a presidential Toss-up. Again, Collins (like Gardner) probably will get crossover support, but perhaps not enough. Tillis, just like McSally, polls behind Trump. Beyond Maine and North Carolina, Iowa is now in the Toss-up column. Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA), like McSally and Tillis, appears to be doing a little worse than Trump in her state. She has a little more wiggle room than the other two — note that Trump still carries Iowa even in this hypothetical scenario where Biden is winning nationally by 10 — but both parties are acting (and spending) like Iowa is a Toss-up. We continue to rate Montana and Georgia’s regular Senate election as Leans Republican even though good cases can be made that both should be Toss-ups. We have different reasoning for keeping both where they’ve been in our ratings. In the case of Montana, presidential partisanship is key: Trump seems very likely to carry the state again, albeit by a reduced margin, and it’s historically difficult to dislodge a sitting senator whose party is winning the state concurrently in the presidential race. Additionally, the trajectory of the race may actually be going the way of incumbent Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT); a couple of months ago, we thought Gov. Steve Bullock (D-MT) was leading Daines. Now, based on what we’ve heard and seen, we are not so sure, and Daines may be ahead, slightly. In Georgia, Sen. David Perdue (R) is locked in a close race with former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff (D), although he generally polls a little bit better than Trump, and he may be able to attract a little bit of crucial crossover support from Trump-skeptical Metro Atlanta suburbanites who aren’t quite ready to abandon the GOP down the ballot. Perdue also has a backstop in his race: a general election runoff if no one gets over 50%. As we explained in a deep dive on Georgia, the runoff scenario could help Republicans in terms of turnout. So Ossoff may need to get over 50% in the November general election to practically be able to win the seat. The Republicans’ other offensive target on this list, Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI), is honestly closer to being rated Likely Democratic than Toss-up. Both Peters and Biden have consistently posted leads in the state, and Republican pessimism about Michigan at the presidential level seems to be growing, which has to bleed down to the Senate level. John James (R), who is taking a second run at the Senate after losing to Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) in 2018, has been outraising Peters, but only by relatively small margins. Texas is kind of like the regular Senate race in Georgia, except that former congressional candidate MJ Hegar (D) doesn’t have the resources that Ossoff does and Texas may vote overall to the right of Georgia for president (as it did in 2016 and has in every presidential election since 1988). Speaking of Georgia, we are moving the special Georgia Senate race from Leans Republican to Likely Republican for several reasons. First of all, we already mentioned the possibility of a runoff in the other Georgia seat, and that Democrats face certain hardships in Georgia runoffs. A runoff is virtually guaranteed in the special race because it is an all-party primary and there are many candidates on both sides. Additionally, it is not even clear that the Democrats will advance a candidate to the runoff: appointed Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) and her top GOP challenger, Rep. Doug Collins (R, GA-9), often finish atop polls, while the Rev. Raphael Warnock (D), the choice of national Democrats, sometimes lags behind Matt Lieberman (D), the son of former Sen. Joe Lieberman (D-CT), with former U.S. Attorney Ed Tarver (D) also garnering some support. So Democrats have work to do to just get into the runoff, and if they get there, they have to deal with the same turnout problems that have beguiled them in past runoffs. So the Republicans have a few important backstops in this race. Finally, there are a few Likely Republican seats that one could put in the final slot. We decided to go with Alaska, where Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK) is running for a second term against doctor Al Gross, an independent/Democrat. Others might put Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) in this spot, but despite some close polls, it is just really hard for a Democrat to get a high enough share of the vote to win in such a racially polarized state (Jones has a similar problem in another racially divided Deep South state, Alabama). Alaska’s electorate, though also Republican-leaning, is more fluid, and we see it as a more plausible — though still unlikely — Democratic upset target. ConclusionOverall, the battle for the Senate is close, although we would probably rather be the Democrats than the Republicans at the moment. The reason is basically that, of the three decisive Toss-ups in our ratings, we would probably pick the Democrats in at least two of them right now: both Maine and North Carolina are closer to Leans Democratic than Leans Republican. If Democrats win those, as well as Arizona and Colorado (while losing Alabama), they would forge a 50-50 tie, with what they hope is a Democratic vice president breaking ties. Beyond these top races, the Democrats also have better second-tier targets than the Republicans: namely, the regular race in Georgia as well as Montana. We were prepared to add Kansas to that list, too, but Roger Marshall seems to have spared the GOP that additional headache. Read the fine printLearn more about the Crystal Ball and find out how to contact us here. Sign up to receive Crystal Ball e-mails like this one delivered straight to your inbox. Use caution with Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and remember: “He who lives by the Crystal Ball ends up eating ground glass!” |
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NOQ REPORT
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- LA ballot proposal to defund police is affirmative action for criminals
- WaPo’s CCP propaganda puff piece points to normalized communism in American youth
- Alek Skarlatos is taking a stand for Oregon
- Bodycam footage of George Floyd resisting arrest should have been released months ago
LA ballot proposal to defund police is affirmative action for criminals
Posted: 05 Aug 2020 02:04 AM PDT Voters in Los Angeles will have a chance to get in on the “defund police” craze that’s spreading around Democratic-led cities across the country as a new ballot proposal is in play for November. According to Breitbart: The Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors approved a proposal on Tuesday to amend the city’s charter — which will be presented to voters on November 3 via ballot — to remove $880 million from law enforcement and “reinvest” the money in “direct community investment” and “alternatives to incarceration.” Titled, “Reimagining L.A. County: Shifting Budget Priorities to Revitalize Under-resourced and Low-income Communities,” the proposal includes language frequently used by Democrat politicians and the broader left. It alleges the existence of “systemic discrimination, exclusion, and inequity” targeting blacks and yielding “racial injustice” and “racial inequity.” This is affirmative action for criminals. It will essentially make it more difficult in two ways for police to enforce the law. The most obvious challenge is the dramatic reduction in budgets and resources the proposal would establish if passed. The second is in the wording of the proposal. This “reimagining” would include limits on how much policing is done in areas that are predominantly occupied by minorities.
Their solution to higher crime rates in minority areas is to police them less. If there are fewer cops around, there will be fewer minorities arrested for their crimes. If that sounds backwards, then you’re not an idiot. We’ll see if LA voters ARE idiots. COVID-19 may take down an indepentent news outletNobody said running a media site would be easy. We could use some help keeping this site afloat.Colleagues have called me the worst fundraiser ever. My skills are squarely rooted on the journalistic side of running a news outlet. Paying the bills has never been my forte, but we’ve survived. We have ads on the site that help, but since the site’s inception this has been a labor of love that otherwise doesn’t bring in the level of revenue necessary to justify it. When I left a nice, corporate career in 2017, I did so knowing I wouldn’t make nearly as much money. But what we do at NOQ Report to deliver the truth and fight the progressive mainstream media narrative that has plagued this nation is too important for me to sacrifice it for the sake of wealth. We know we’ll never make a ton of money this way, and we’re okay with that. Things have become harder with the coronavirus lockdowns. Both ad money and donations that have kept us afloat for a while have dropped dramatically. We thought we could weather the storm, but the so-called “surge” or “2nd-wave” that mainstream media and Democrats are pushing has put our prospects in jeopardy. In short, we are now in desperate need of financial assistance. The best way NOQ Report readers can help is to donate. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. We need approximately $11,500 to stay afloat for the rest of 2020, but more would be wonderful and any amount that brings us closer to our goal is greatly appreciated. The second way to help is to become a partner. We’ve strongly considered seeking angel investors in the past but because we were paying the bills, it didn’t seem necessary. Now, we’re struggling to pay the bills. This shouldn’t be the case as our traffic the last year has been going up dramatically. June, 2018, we had 11,678 visitors. A year later in June, 2019, we were up to 116,194. In June, 2020, we had 614,192. We’re heading in the right direction and we believe we’re ready talk to patriotic investors who want to not only “get in on the action” but more importantly who want to help America hear the truth. Interested investors should contact me directly with the contact button above. Election year or not, coronavirus lockdowns or not, anarchic riots or not, the need for truthful journalism endures. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report going. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post LA ballot proposal to defund police is affirmative action for criminals appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
WaPo’s CCP propaganda puff piece points to normalized communism in American youth
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 10:53 PM PDT It’s becoming increasingly easy to tell when an American “journalist” is somehow owned by the Chinese Communist Party. Now subterfuge regarding loyalties is no longer necessary, these radical progressive journalists can openly tout the benefits of communism and invariably use the oppressive regime of the CCP as examples of governmental excellence. An article in the Washington Post by Anna Fifield, Beijing bureau chief, could have just as easily been written by a member of the Chinese Communist Party as it was by the New Zealander with Marxist sympathies. It was a puff piece that used several strategies employed by the CCP’s vast media division, strategies that included anecdotal evidence being depicted as common and the logical fallacy of “begging the question.” Here’s an example of both tactics employed in a single sentence from the article: Chinese who were complaining in February about the party’s coronavirus coverup reflect more positively on their experience now that they can see, through the American example, how much worse it could have been. Are there Chinese people who complained in February and are now happy about the way Beijing handled the coronavirus crisis? Sure. With 1.4 billion people, there are certain to be those who changed their minds, but by no means is it appropriate to imply that the change of heart is common. As for begging the question, referring to “the American example” as being worse than what China has experienced is utterly ludicrous. According to official numbers from Beijing, all of China has had under 85,000 cases and fewer than 5,000 total deaths. Considering that a single funeral home in a medium-sized town in China had reported over 3,000 deaths in one week in April, it’s obvious the CCP is blatantly lying. That report was quickly taken down and scrubbed by the CCP. The owner of the funeral home is missing. Then, there was the report in May that a partial examination of the number of reports revealed 640,000 LINES of cases in a database. Each line is a report from a hospital or other medical agency and tallies the TOTAL COVID-19 CASES for that facility. In other words, there were 640,000 reports that had at least one case. That’s not 85,000. But what makes it even more alarming is that every line in the database could have hundreds or even thousands of cases reported from that single facility. One medical expert in Hubei Province who asked for anonymity to avoid repercussions told NOQ Report the actual number of cases in China is well over 50,000,000, or about 3.5% of the population. Still, the official numbers from the Chinese Communist Party says they have had fewer total cases in their entire population than the United States reports in any two-day period. If Fifield believes “the American example” of not telling balf-faced lies about the coronavirus to the people is “much worse” than what the Chinese Communist Party is doing, then she really should just work for them directly. Perhaps she already is. This level of propaganda is more disturbing than just a puff piece for a tyrannical regime. It’s an unambiguous attempt to fuel the rise of communist sympathies in the west, particularly in the United States. The focus of the article is on the optimistic youth in China who are taking selfies in front of monuments of Chairman Mao in an effort to drive the pro-Marxist sentiment among youth in America. And it’s working. The rise of Black Lives Matter and Antifa, two unapologetic Marxist organizations, is a sign that the CCP’s vast propaganda machine abroad is scoring victories. Combine that with the radical indoctrination in American universities and it’s no wonder articles like this are mainstream in the United States today. They’re using a broader tactic to boost the profile of the CCP in the eyes of young people in China and the United States. Rather that focus on the openness of the party, they’re painting it as an honor bestowed on the few. This is one of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s most effective strategies. Rather than grow CCP members through mass recruiting, they’re painting it as an achievement in which membership is only bestowed to the elite. The WaPo article does the same. Throughout we’re told and even sold on the notion that, to steal a phrase from American Express, “membership has its privileges.” Party membership means better education prospects and better jobs, more politically advantageous marriages and nicer apartments. For many, it is a ticket to a brighter future… …The party’s membership stood at almost 92 million at the end of last year, according to the Central Committee’s Organization Department. That could mean some 270 million people — one-fifth of China’s population — would face a U.S. entry ban. While the total number of party members has continued to grow, the rate of increase has slowed under Xi, from about 3.2 million in 2012 to only 1.3 million last year. “The party has always been a mass organization masquerading as an elite,” said Richard McGregor, author of “The Party: The Secret World of China’s Communist Rulers.” “But one of the most striking things about the CCP under Xi is that it is, in fact, becoming more of an elite. In other words, it is getting harder to be admitted as a member.” Indeed, Xi is trying to ensure that the membership is more ideologically pure. “They are weeding out those simply interested in using membership to advance their careers or business but not actually believing in the party’s guiding ideology or participating meaningfully in party bodies,” said David Gitter, president of the Center for Advanced China Research, a Washington-based think tank. Leftist mainstream media is no longer just a bunch of cheerleaders for Democrats and the Chinese Communist Party. They’ve become the wholly owned mouthpieces for both. Their vision is of a Marxist America. They must be stopped. COVID-19 may take down an indepentent news outletNobody said running a media site would be easy. We could use some help keeping this site afloat.Colleagues have called me the worst fundraiser ever. My skills are squarely rooted on the journalistic side of running a news outlet. Paying the bills has never been my forte, but we’ve survived. We have ads on the site that help, but since the site’s inception this has been a labor of love that otherwise doesn’t bring in the level of revenue necessary to justify it. When I left a nice, corporate career in 2017, I did so knowing I wouldn’t make nearly as much money. But what we do at NOQ Report to deliver the truth and fight the progressive mainstream media narrative that has plagued this nation is too important for me to sacrifice it for the sake of wealth. We know we’ll never make a ton of money this way, and we’re okay with that. Things have become harder with the coronavirus lockdowns. Both ad money and donations that have kept us afloat for a while have dropped dramatically. We thought we could weather the storm, but the so-called “surge” or “2nd-wave” that mainstream media and Democrats are pushing has put our prospects in jeopardy. In short, we are now in desperate need of financial assistance. The best way NOQ Report readers can help is to donate. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. We need approximately $11,500 to stay afloat for the rest of 2020, but more would be wonderful and any amount that brings us closer to our goal is greatly appreciated. The second way to help is to become a partner. We’ve strongly considered seeking angel investors in the past but because we were paying the bills, it didn’t seem necessary. Now, we’re struggling to pay the bills. This shouldn’t be the case as our traffic the last year has been going up dramatically. June, 2018, we had 11,678 visitors. A year later in June, 2019, we were up to 116,194. In June, 2020, we had 614,192. We’re heading in the right direction and we believe we’re ready talk to patriotic investors who want to not only “get in on the action” but more importantly who want to help America hear the truth. Interested investors should contact me directly with the contact button above. Election year or not, coronavirus lockdowns or not, anarchic riots or not, the need for truthful journalism endures. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report going. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post WaPo’s CCP propaganda puff piece points to normalized communism in American youth appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
Alek Skarlatos is taking a stand for Oregon
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 06:30 PM PDT Many of you know Alek Skarlatos as the Oregon National Guardsman who was one of the men who stopped a terrorist attack on a train heading towards Paris, France. He and his friends who thwarted that attack played themselves in the Clint Eastwood movie The 15:17 to Paris, depicting what happened on screen. From there he competed on the show Dancing with the Stars on ABC. Now, at 27 years old, he is setting his sights on Washington DC, as he’s now running for Congress to represent his home state of Oregon in the House of Representatives. During this episode of Freedom One-On-One with Jeff Dornik, Alek and Jeff discuss his campaign and many hot-button issues. It’s important that you hear candidates positions on a lot of current events, as they’ll be the ones making the decisions when they are elected into a leadership position to lead our country. Discussing the COVID-19 “pandemic”, the ensuing shutdowns and the Black Lives Matter/Antifa riots, he understands the big picture and what needs to be done in each of these situations. Alek also spoke to some of the issues that his constituents are concerned about, including the timber industry, coastal fishing and a few other areas of concern. It was refreshing to hear a candidate speak specifically about what needs to be resolved on the local level and what would be benefit his district. We need to remember that our Representatives are elected to do just that… represent us! I hope that we see more fresh faces jump into running for political office. We often times complain about term limits and lifetime politicians. One solution to both of those problems is to get new conservative voices in the political world, challenging the status quo. It sure seems like Alek Skarlatos is ready to do just that! With endorsements from people like Dan Crenshaw, Ted Cruz, Steve Scalise and Kevin McCarthy, it sure looks like he has the perfect opportunity to flip a seat that has been held by the same Democrat politician for the last 33 years. COVID-19 may take down an indepentent news outletNobody said running a media site would be easy. We could use some help keeping this site afloat.Colleagues have called me the worst fundraiser ever. My skills are squarely rooted on the journalistic side of running a news outlet. Paying the bills has never been my forte, but we’ve survived. We have ads on the site that help, but since the site’s inception this has been a labor of love that otherwise doesn’t bring in the level of revenue necessary to justify it. When I left a nice, corporate career in 2017, I did so knowing I wouldn’t make nearly as much money. But what we do at NOQ Report to deliver the truth and fight the progressive mainstream media narrative that has plagued this nation is too important for me to sacrifice it for the sake of wealth. We know we’ll never make a ton of money this way, and we’re okay with that. Things have become harder with the coronavirus lockdowns. Both ad money and donations that have kept us afloat for a while have dropped dramatically. We thought we could weather the storm, but the so-called “surge” or “2nd-wave” that mainstream media and Democrats are pushing has put our prospects in jeopardy. In short, we are now in desperate need of financial assistance. The best way NOQ Report readers can help is to donate. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. We need approximately $11,500 to stay afloat for the rest of 2020, but more would be wonderful and any amount that brings us closer to our goal is greatly appreciated. The second way to help is to become a partner. We’ve strongly considered seeking angel investors in the past but because we were paying the bills, it didn’t seem necessary. Now, we’re struggling to pay the bills. This shouldn’t be the case as our traffic the last year has been going up dramatically. June, 2018, we had 11,678 visitors. A year later in June, 2019, we were up to 116,194. In June, 2020, we had 614,192. We’re heading in the right direction and we believe we’re ready talk to patriotic investors who want to not only “get in on the action” but more importantly who want to help America hear the truth. Interested investors should contact me directly with the contact button above. Election year or not, coronavirus lockdowns or not, anarchic riots or not, the need for truthful journalism endures. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report going. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post Alek Skarlatos is taking a stand for Oregon appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
Bodycam footage of George Floyd resisting arrest should have been released months ago
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 07:55 AM PDT If the bodycam video of George Floyd’s attempted arrest and subsequent killing beneath the knee of former police officer Derek Chauvin had been released shortly after his death or during the riots, damage could have been mitigated. Then again, perhaps it wouldn’t have been. There’s no way to know for sure. But it likely couldn’t have been much worse and this video puts into context the events that transpired prior to the infamous and terrible imagery that went viral at the beginning. That imagery was pretty much all most people saw. An angry Caucasian police officer had his knee on the neck of a terrified Black man for over eight minutes, and that Black man died as a result. It made tens of millions of Americans angry and drove many to embrace the resurgent Black Lives Matter movement in some form or fashion. But the context that included extremely odd behavior by Floyd, continuous attempts to resist arrest, and most importantly police officers who were not acting out of racist intent but who were simply trying to make a peaceful arrest—that context should have been known long before August. In the latest episode of NOQ Report, JD establishes many important points, but he biggest question he asked is why the video was never released before. Was it held back out of some misguided adherence to procedure while a nation burned? Was it intentionally omitted from public record at the time to perpetuate the false narrative and intensify the anarchy? Is this part of the plan from the principalities and powers described in Ephesians 6:12? The narrative that drove the anarchy, riots, looting, buildings burned, statues torn down, and massive levels of violence was false. The bodycam video leaked yesterday proves that. It should have been released from the start. COVID-19 may take down an indepentent news outletNobody said running a media site would be easy. We could use some help keeping this site afloat.Colleagues have called me the worst fundraiser ever. My skills are squarely rooted on the journalistic side of running a news outlet. Paying the bills has never been my forte, but we’ve survived. We have ads on the site that help, but since the site’s inception this has been a labor of love that otherwise doesn’t bring in the level of revenue necessary to justify it. When I left a nice, corporate career in 2017, I did so knowing I wouldn’t make nearly as much money. But what we do at NOQ Report to deliver the truth and fight the progressive mainstream media narrative that has plagued this nation is too important for me to sacrifice it for the sake of wealth. We know we’ll never make a ton of money this way, and we’re okay with that. Things have become harder with the coronavirus lockdowns. Both ad money and donations that have kept us afloat for a while have dropped dramatically. We thought we could weather the storm, but the so-called “surge” or “2nd-wave” that mainstream media and Democrats are pushing has put our prospects in jeopardy. In short, we are now in desperate need of financial assistance. The best way NOQ Report readers can help is to donate. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. We need approximately $11,500 to stay afloat for the rest of 2020, but more would be wonderful and any amount that brings us closer to our goal is greatly appreciated. The second way to help is to become a partner. We’ve strongly considered seeking angel investors in the past but because we were paying the bills, it didn’t seem necessary. Now, we’re struggling to pay the bills. This shouldn’t be the case as our traffic the last year has been going up dramatically. June, 2018, we had 11,678 visitors. A year later in June, 2019, we were up to 116,194. In June, 2020, we had 614,192. We’re heading in the right direction and we believe we’re ready talk to patriotic investors who want to not only “get in on the action” but more importantly who want to help America hear the truth. Interested investors should contact me directly with the contact button above. Election year or not, coronavirus lockdowns or not, anarchic riots or not, the need for truthful journalism endures. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report going. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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ARRA NEWS SERVICE
ARRA News Service (in this message: 17 new items) |
- From a COVID-19 Recession to COVID-19 Depression?
- The Left vs. America, Left-wing Extortion, Biden’s New Endorsement
- Insights to Consider Before November
- Trial Lawyers Looking For a $100 Billion Coronavirus Jackpot
- As the Filibuster Goes, So Goes the GOP
- Media Fail To Report Bible Burning
- Hearing or Smearing?
- Moms on the Frontline
- All Together Now
- Government By The People
- They Cursed Trump While They Burned The Bibles
- Democrats’ Scorched-Earth Tactics Should Stop at the Virus’ Edge. (But Won’t)
- The Troubling Goals of the Black Lives Matter Movement
- The New Old Obama
- New Disclosures Confirm: Trump Himself Was the Target of Obama Administration’s Russia Probe
- The Universal Mail-In Voting Sham
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Keeps Finding New Ways To Be Stupid
From a COVID-19 Recession to COVID-19 Depression?
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 11:17 PM PDT
by George Friedman: It’s been roughly five months since COVID-19 lockdown measures were first put in place. That means that come September, we will have gone two quarters like this with no end in sight. Masks and social distancing contained the spread of the virus somewhat but could never eliminate it. Yet that is the only containment strategy we had. The only real solution is a vaccine. Many have already claimed that a vaccine is coming soon, but even if comes to market in September, producing, distributing and administering it to billions of people will be a time-consuming and logistically fraught process. Obviously, the number of people vulnerable will decline over time, but it is not clear that social distancing or quarantining will be suspended simply because a vaccine will be available. They will likely continue. I have argued that unless a solution is found by September, the probability that the recession could turn into a depression would mount. A recession is a normal part of the economy, a primarily financial event that imposes disciplines on an overheated economy. A depression, from a geopolitical standpoint, involves the physical destruction of the economy, something that lays waste to businesses, dislocates labor and vaporizes capital. A recession is the economy cycling. A depression is an economy breaking. I chose September because two quarters of intense economic contraction is instructive. Economists’ definition of a recession is two successive quarters of negative growth (also known in English as decline). This is generally enough time to understand how resilient an economy is. Uncoincidentally, it is also the point at which economies begin to recover in normal cycles. Under normal circumstances, basic economic structures remain intact during recessions so financial stimulus measures can restart the system. There’s no evidence that the economies of the United States and Europe – the center of gravity of the global economy – are recovering. Last week, the EU reported that its economy contracted by 8.3 percent, the largest contraction since it started keeping records. In the U.S., some 20 million jobs were lost in April, and there has been no dramatic reversal in unemployment. Brick and mortar retail stores across the nation are shuttering. Many argue that COVID-19 merely speeded up the inevitable. But even if that is true – and it may be – simultaneous collapses of an economic sector should not be regarded lightly. It’s unclear just how many businesses have gone under because of delays in reporting, backlogs in the legal system, and so on. But it seems to me that retail collapse was merely the most visible sign of a tidal wave of bankruptcies not yet measured by the system, locking the unemployed into a difficult position. So far, a depression has been delayed by massive government intervention. The United States spent trillions of dollars to stabilize the economy and avoid economic destruction. It did not reverse the collapse of March and April, but it blunted the damage by infusing capital into businesses, provided that they retain their employees. The problem was that demand fell not just for a lack of money but because of a lack of will to go purchase goods. There was a contraction of effective demand, not only from lack of money but also because trips to the store became heroic undertakings. The stimulus could not continue. Lack of demand led to business failures, which led to unemployment. This is what the beginning of a depression looks like. The European stimulus, which came later, was more complex but the basic economic principle is the same: At a certain point, the value of the currency declines as supply surges, making cash injections unsustainable. Weimar Germany is a good example – think about that iconic, if possibly staged, picture in the 1920s of a man with a wheelbarrow full of deutsche marks going to buy a loaf of bread. The danger of the collapse of a currency vastly compounds economic failure. It cuts off investment at a time when it alone could stabilize the system. The past two quarters have been a time of coming to terms with the medical reality and, more important, with life lived under the only medical mitigation there was: masks and isolation. There was a sense developing since June that this was simply what we would live with, and for many, it was a tolerable solution. What I think was less understood was that the economy had not reached a stable if unpleasant plateau, but was being held in place by inertia and government stimulus, and that the economy was fragmenting under the surface, past the point where government stimulus and patience would keep it together. In other words, the relative safety of the plateau afforded by the medical solution was being undermined and eaten away by unemployment and bankruptcies. As we move into September, business failures will begin to mount, unemployment will soar, and underemployment may be even worse. It will be a time of instability and unpredictability. In past depressions, there was vast social unrest reflected in political fragmentation between those who suffered the most and those who didn’t. Sometimes the system can balance it, but usually it cannot, giving birth to a powerful political movement championing the dispossessed. In Europe, it was usually right-wing parties crushing the left. We are far from that point, but the coming U.S. election will be a harbinger of what might come. Depression scares me. It creates not only vast human suffering but also political monstrosities. It is clear at this point that the current medical solution will remain in place until there is a vaccine. It is also clear that even with the best of luck a vaccine will not be fully produced, distributed and injected to a degree necessary or in time for the current solution to be improved. By that time, the economy will be in a very dangerous condition, if it is still salvageable. But the sooner a vaccine is found the less the danger will be. It should be remembered that after the European and American depressions of the 1920s and 1930s, there was not only political extremism but also war. History does not repeat itself, which is a great comfort – save that, as Mark Twain pointed out, it does rhyme. Tags: Dr. George Friedman, COVID-19 Recession, COVID-19 Depression To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The Left vs. America, Left-wing Extortion, Biden’s New Endorsement
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 11:03 PM PDT
by Gary Bauer, Contributing Author: The Left vs. America Sadly, Chicago is America’s murder capital with at least 440 homicides already this year. Police Superintendent David Brown released statistics showing that July was the deadliest month in Chicago’s history. This surge in violence seems largely attributable to two things: the pandemic and the left’s assault on the police. The Journal writes: “Homicides . . . are up because violent criminals have been emboldened by the sidelining of police, courts, schools, churches and an array of other social institutions by the reckoning with police and the pandemic.” In addition, a number of progressive cities are to relieve crowding during the pandemic. They are also eliminating bail requirements, so criminals are back on the streets within hours of being arrested. It’s no coincidence that all of this is happening as the left is closing churches and schools, maligning law enforcement and championing efforts to “defund the police.” This is what it looks like when you sideline the fundamental institutions of society. Not surprisingly, more and more Americans are choosing to exercise their Second Amendment rights as the left tries to “handcuff” law enforcement. The FBI reports that background checks for gun purchases are up 44% over last year. Thankfully, the Trump Administration is moving aggressively to combat this surge of violent crime. The Justice Department recently announced that it was expanding Operation Legend and deploying nearly 100 federal agents to Cleveland, Detroit and Milwaukee. Left-wing Extortion Here are some of their demands:
As today’s lead editorial in the Wall Street Journal notes, this is “political extortion” with the left-wing unions issuing “ultimatums” and holding our children’s education hostage to their demands. First they close our houses of worship. Then they take away our right of assembly. Now they’re holding our children hostage. It’s getting hard to distinguish the progressive left from a hostile foreign invader! Religious Schools Under Siege But with no hearing and no input, Montgomery’s progressive leaders declared that no private or religious schools would be allowed to open either. This announcement came as a shock to many parents who were getting ready to send their kids back to school. This is also happening in other progressive states and localities. Governor Larry Hogan quickly overruled the order, but I have no confidence that liberal judges in Maryland will do the right thing. Nor do I have any confidence that the U.S. Supreme Court can be relied upon to side with religious schools given the increasing liberal bias of Chief Justice John Roberts. Unfortunately, so many Christian churches have been passive in the face of orders preventing more than a few dozen people from attending church services. If it is okay to let the government regulate your church, how can we expect to win a legal battle over reopening Christian schools? I think more pastors should have issued statements essentially saying: “To be clear, we do not believe the government has the constitutional authority to close our church or limit our attendance. We reject the notion that any bureaucrat has the authority to do this given the extra protections afforded to churches by the Constitution.” Unfortunately, almost none did that. And far too many churches conceded far too much ground. If men and women of faith don’t push back, this power will be abused again for some other emergency, real or imagined. Good News Meanwhile, the Trump Administration continues to do everything possible to speed up the delivery of vital supplies and development of treatments and vaccines.
Biden’s New Endorsement “Biden is not ‘better’ than Trump, in any meaningful way — except that he is not Trump . . . The struggle against this fascist regime needs to include voting against Trump by voting for Biden.” Did it come from: A) Bernie Sanders Well, it sounds a lot like other endorsements Biden has received from reluctant Democrats, but it’s actually from Bob Avakian, chairman of the Revolutionary Communist Party USA. So the radical communists hate Donald Trump and are all in for Joe Biden. I don’t think that comes as a big surprise to anyone. Socialist Bernie Sanders wrote much of Biden’s platform, and Joe is promising to be “the most progressive president in history.” We must defeat the radical left! Stand with me as we stand with President Trump! The Stream Gary Bauer (@GaryLBauer) is a conservative family values advocate and serves as president of American Values and chairman of the Campaign for Working Families Tags: Gary Bauer, Campaign for Working Families, The Left vs. America, Left-wing Extortion, Biden’s New Endorsement To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Insights to Consider Before November
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 10:25 PM PDT . . . Read this like your future depends upon it! by Anonymous Author: Here are some interesting points to think about prior to the November election, especially for my friends on the fence, like moderate Democrats, Libertarians and Independents, Never-Trump Republicans, and those thinking of “walking away” from the Democrat party. Women are upset at Trump’s naughty words. They also bought 80 million copies of 50 Shades of Gray. Not one feminist has defended Sarah Sanders. It seems women’s rights only matter if those women are liberal. No border wall. No voter ID laws. Did you figure it out yet? But wait… there’s more. Chelsea Clinton got out of college and got a job at NBC that paid $900,000 per year. Her mom flies around the country speaking out about white privilege. And just like that, they went from being against foreign interference in our elections to allowing non-citizens to vote in our elections. President Trump’s wall costs less than the Obamacare website. Let that sink in, America. We are one election away from open borders, socialism, gun confiscation, and full-term abortion nationally. We are fighting evil. They sent more troops and armament to arrest Roger Stone than they sent to defend Benghazi. Sixty years ago, Venezuela was 4th on the world economic freedom index. Today, they are 179th and their citizens are dying of starvation. In only 10 years, Venezuela was destroyed by “democratic socialism”. Russia donated $0.00 to the Trump campaign. Russia donated $145,600,000 to the Clinton Foundation. But Trump was the one investigated. Nancy Pelosi invited illegal aliens to the State of the Union. President Trump invited victims of illegal aliens to the State of the Union. Let that sink in. A socialist is basically a communist who doesn’t have the power to take everything from their citizens at gunpoint… yet. How do you walk 3000 miles across Mexico without food or support and show up at our border 100 pounds overweight and with a cellphone? Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wants to ban cars, ban planes, give out universal income and she thinks socialism works. She calls Donald Trump crazy. Bill Clinton paid $850,000 to Paula Jones to get her to go away. I don’t remember the FBI raiding his lawyer’s office. I wake up every day and I am grateful that Hillary Clinton is not the president of the United States of America. The same media that told me Hillary Clinton had a 95% chance of winning now tells me Trump’s approval ratings are low. “The problem with socialism is that sooner or later you run out of other people’s money”— Margaret Thatcher Maxine Waters opposes voter ID laws; she thinks that they are racist. You need to have a photo ID to attend her town hall meetings. President Trump said, “They’re not after me. They’re after you. I’m just in their way.” Now, go back and read this again like your future depends upon it. Because it does. Tags: Insights to Consider, Before November To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Trial Lawyers Looking For a $100 Billion Coronavirus Jackpot
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 09:58 PM PDT
by Stephen Moore: Not everyone is suffering job loss, income declines and financial devastation from the coronavirus pandemic. Some people are looking to get rich off the tragedy. Trial lawyers see COVID-19 casualties and images of asbestos and tobacco lawsuits dancing in their heads. They are drooling over the prospects of a $100 billion COVID-19 jackpot. The Democrats in Congress who the trial bar has spent years buying and paying can’t wait to help in the grand heist. They aren’t wasting any time. The Wall Street Journal reports, “Employers across the country are being sued by the families of workers who contend their loved ones contracted lethal cases of Covid-19 on the job, a new legal front that shows the risks of reopening workplaces.” Who’s in the bull’s-eye? So far, the deep pockets include Walmart Inc., Safeway Inc., Tyson Foods Inc., nursing homes and hospitals. They are seeking millions for gross negligence or wrongful death, and the cases are mounting. So far, the number of suits is approaching 5,000. The Journal reports, “Employees’ loved ones contend the companies failed to protect workers from the deadly virus and should compensate their family.” In past class action suits, such as asbestos, trial lawyers have won judgments of more than $40 million per case with about 40% of the awards going to the legal counsel. This is why in many towns across America the richest residents are the lawyers. No one disputes that when a worker or customer is harmed because of negligent behavior by the business, the victims deserve compensation. That’s necessary and proper to contain reckless behavior by businesses. But now employers are getting sued for random illnesses by workers or customers. The problem is that workers bear a big cost of this roulette-wheel justice. Many small-business owners are now saying they are reluctant to bring on new workers when any illness can result in a million-dollar lawsuit. If we want to get jobs back in a hurry as we enter the economic recovery stage, these nuisance lawsuits need to go away. A new study that I did with Donald Kochan, a law professor at the Antonin Scalia Law School at George Mason University, calculates that ambulance-chasing trial lawyers could file 100,000 lawsuits in the next two years, and this would wipe out up to 1 million jobs. Wages could fall by $50 billion. But there are other costs of sham lawsuits. The big corporations like Walmart have insurance funds for these cases and will settle most of these lawsuits rather than going to court. Thousands of nursing homes, hospitals, restaurants, bars and movie theaters could go bankrupt as a result of these suits. Where will seniors go for the assisted care they need? How is closing down rural hospitals in the public interest? In the phase-four “stimulus” negotiations, Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky has included a provision that moves the legal standard for such suits to negligence. Sick employees or customers will have to show that the business was directly responsible for the illness or death. This makes sense and is clearly in the public interest. But House Speaker Nancy Pelosi will have none of it because it may cause the steady flow of trial bar contributions to slow down. Bloomberg reports that in the 2018 midterm elections, “Nearly 80 percent of a record $160 million in estimated lawyer and law firm-connected donations to campaigns and parties ahead of congressional midterms went to Democrats.” It was evidently a good investment, even if their haul in the next 12 months is only a fraction of the $100 billion that is projected. The trial lawyers are the bottom feeders in the swamp that President Donald Trump has promised to drain. The trial bar portrays the McConnell bill as a gift to corporate America. In reality, the victims of baseless lawsuits are workers, consumers and the elderly. Trial lawyers are a tax on the American economy. Remember this the next time you see a red Maserati convertible pull up to the curb. It’s probably a trial lawyer who got rich by donating to Democratic politicians. It’s time for this racket to end now. Tags: Stephen Moore, Trial Lawyers, looking for, $100 Billion Coronavirus jackpot, Rasmussen Reports To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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As the Filibuster Goes, So Goes the GOP
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 09:49 PM PDT by Patrick Buchanan: After abolishing the filibuster, says Obama, Democrats should ram through statehood for Puerto Rico and D.C., thereby expanding the Senate to 104 members, and adding four new Democratic senators. That new Senate, says Obama, should enact every law possible to enlarge and expand the electorate, including extending the ballot to ex-convicts. “When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.” This was the nightmare of Ben Franklin. Yet, with passage this spring of a $4 trillion bailout of an economy facing historic losses because of the COVID-19 pandemic, and Nancy Pelosi’s House having voted out another $3 trillion, we may have reached Franklin’s peril point. Indeed, if Democrats capture the Senate and win the White House, as many polls now project, it is not easy to see who or what prevents an uncontrolled explosion of fresh spending and a concomitant expansion of federal power. Consider. In his eulogy to John Lewis at Ebenezer Baptist Church, Barack Obama called on Democrats, if victorious in November, to kill the Senate filibuster, all but calling the filibuster an instrument of systemic racism. Yet, the filibuster has been and remains one of the distinguishing features of the United States Senate. It allows for extended deliberation by requiring, not 51 but 60 votes, a supermajority, to shut off debate and pass major bills. If Democrats capture the Senate and abolish the filibuster, the Republican minority in 2021 would be stripped of virtually the only effective weapon in its arsenal to halt, slow, or shape U.S. law. That is exactly what Obama was urging in his eulogy to Lewis. “If politicians want to honor John,” said a surprisingly militant Obama, “Let’s honor him by revitalizing the law he was willing to die for … (And) once we pass the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, we should keep marching.” “Keep marching”? To where? Said Obama: “By making sure every American is automatically registered to vote, including former inmates… By adding polling places, and expanding early voting, and making Election Day a national holiday… By guaranteeing that every American citizen has equal representation … including the American citizens who live in Washington, D.C., and in Puerto Rico. “If all this takes eliminating the filibuster, another Jim Crow relic … then that’s what we should do.” By calling the filibuster “another Jim Crow relic” the ex-president was putting progressives on notice that failure to get rid of it would be to collaborate with racists. After abolishing the filibuster, says Obama, Democrats should ram through statehood for Puerto Rico and D.C., thereby expanding the Senate to 104 members, and adding four new Democratic senators. That new Senate, says Obama, should enact every law possible to enlarge and expand the electorate, including extending the ballot to ex-convicts. His eyes open to the potential of a Senate where 51 Democrats can enact a socialist agenda, Sen. Bernie Sanders hastily endorsed Obama’s call: “President Obama is absolutely right. … Getting rid of the filibuster would enable Democrats to pass a comprehensive agenda to guarantee the rights and dignity of everyone in this country.” This is but the beginning. If Democrats deprive a Republican minority of the filibuster, there would be no one stopping Congress from passing or the president from signing new anti-gun legislation. The door would be open to legislation putting DACA “dreamers” on a fast track to citizenship, and to granting amnesty to illegal migrants, and to putting the 11 million to 22 million who are already here on the road to citizenship and the ballot box. With amnesties, open borders bills, a renewal of chain migration, an end to deportations and new restrictions on ICE and the Border Patrol, a Democratic Congress, by opening the gates to millions, could turn traditionally red states such as Arizona, Georgia and Texas as blue as New York, Illinois and California. As The Wall Street Journal also notes, one of the agenda items of the Biden-Bernie-AOC Democratic Party is the raising of payroll taxes, personal income taxes, corporate taxes, capital gains taxes and estate taxes. All of these newer and higher tax rates are included in a $3 trillion package to which Joe Biden has signed on. If Democrats gain control of Congress and the filibuster is killed, reparations for slavery, the Green New Deal, “Medicare for All” and harsh climate change laws are on the table for Democrats to decide alone, without hearing from the GOP. In a 2017 public letter, Democrats endorsed the retention of the filibuster, both on principle and because of the unique character of the Senate: “We are steadfastly committed to ensuring that this great American institution continues to serve as the world’s greatest deliberative body.” If the filibuster is thrown out, writes the Journal, “The door to radicalism is getting busted wide open, and Americans of both parties may not like what comes out the other side.” Another Ben Franklin quote comes to mind. “A republic if you can keep it,” Franklin told the lady in Philadelphia who had asked what kind of government they had created. If the filibuster goes, and the Democratic left runs wild in the next two years, will that republic survive the disfiguring surgery? Tags: Patrick Buchanan, conservative, commentary, As the Filibuster Goes, So Goes the GOP To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Media Fail To Report Bible Burning
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 09:39 PM PDT by Bill Donohue: On August 1, sometime after midnight, anarchists in Portland once again burned the American flag. But this time they did something different: they engaged in book burning. The book they chose was the Bible. They burned boxes full of them. We’ve waited a few days to see how many media outlets would report on what happened. One did. There was not a single mention of it on any of the broadcast or cable TV news shows. And aside from the New York Post, no newspaper in the nation covered it. The only mention of it was on the internet; a few TV commentators noted it as well. Had it been the Quran that was burned, it is a sure bet the media would have been all over it. Burning Islamic holy books would be considered intolerant. But burning the Bible is not, and in some quarters may even be seen as meritorious. Besides the media blackout, the larger issue for Americans is what the Bible burnings represent. What happened last weekend in Portland was a mini-Hitlerian event, plain and simple. On May 10, 1933, 40,000 people gathered in Berlin to hear Nazi propaganda chief Joseph Goebbels instruct university students to burn books deemed offensive to the regime. They proceeded to burn 25,000 volumes, including those written by Brecht, Einstein, Freud, and Hemingway. During Mao’s Zedong’s Cultural Revolution, 1966-76, the Communists went on a tear burning books that undermined their efforts at thought control. That was then. Now book burning is back with a vengeance: books were burned last December and as recently as last month. Reports have surfaced saying the Communists are “burning books and burying Confucian scholars.” Why are the young people, most of whom are white, burning the Bible in Portland? For the same reason fascists and communists burn books—to cleanse society of any thought that is contrary to theirs. Rebecca Knuth is the author of two books on this subject. Books are burned, she says, because they “are an embodiment of ideas and if you hold extreme beliefs you cannot tolerate anything that contradicts those beliefs or is in competition with them.” She says that by burning books, “you are destroying your enemy and your enemy’s beliefs.” The enemy of the Portland Hitlerians is American society, which is why they burn the flag. They also hate the Judeo-Christian ethos upon which it is based, which is why they burn the Bible. What do they offer as an alternative? Nothing. They are intellectually spent, morally bankrupt and culturally deracinated. That is why they resort to nihilism. The only thing they have going for them are their allies in the media. Tags: Bill Donohue, Media Fail To Report, Bible Burning To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Hearing or Smearing?
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 09:26 PM PDT . . . How should AG Bill Barr prepare for a hearing run by the radical left only interested in assaulting not hearing?
Editorial Cartoon by AF “Tony” Branco Tags: AF Branco, editorial cartoon, AG Barr, hearing, by radical left To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Moms on the Frontline
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 09:17 PM PDT . . . Frustrated mothers in Minnesota and across the country want schools opened and are looking for leadership.
Editorial Cartoon by AF “Tony” Branco Tags: Editorial Cartoon, AF Branco, Moms on the Frontline To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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All Together Now
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 09:09 PM PDT by Paul Jacob: Chinese Communist Party-controlled Hong Kong — under the National Security Law — has issued arrest warrants for six democracy activists. I was not honored with inclusion. “But Paul,” you sputter, “you do not live in China!” Well, neither do those activists — all six now live outside the territory. Passed in secret in Beijing and imposed on Hong Kong, the new law basically criminalizes opposition to the CCP. ALL opposition. Anywhere. Anytime. Ex post facto. “The law criminalizes secession, subversion, terrorism and foreign interference,” CNN explains, “and it applies to offenses committed ‘outside the region’ by foreigners who are not residents of Hong Kong or China.” One fugitive from injustice is Nathan Law, a former Hong Kong lawmaker and a leader of 2014’s Umbrella Movement. “I was prepared when I left Hong Kong to be in exile,” Mr. Law said on social media, explaining his departure when the draconian new law took effect, “but . . . who can enjoy freedom from fear in the face of China’s powerful political machine?” Hong Kong officials maintain that there is “no retrospective effect” to the law, but that seems obviously untrue in Law’s case, and others’.* Samuel Chu with the Washington-based Hong Kong Democracy Council, a U.S. citizen for two decades, also graces the list. “I might be the 1st non-Chinese citizen to be targeted, but I will not be the last,” tweeted Chu. “If I am targeted, any American/any citizen of any nation who speaks out for HK can-and will be-too.” Last year, when the protests first began, I wrote “I Am Hong Kong.” A year later? Even the CCP ominously agrees with Mr. Chu’s conclusion: “We are all Hong Kongers now.” This is Common Sense. I’m Paul Jacob. * “Other activists targeted include Simon Cheng, a former employee of the British consulate in Hong Kong who was granted asylum in the United Kingdom after alleging that he was tortured in China and interrogated by secret police about the city’s pro-democracy protests,” according to CNN, “and Hong Kong pro-independence activists Ray Wong, Honcques Laus and Wayne Chan.” Note: Before these indictments, Hong Kong authorities tossed a dozen pro-democracy candidates off the ballot for September’s election. And then suspended the election for a year citing the pandemic — obviously wanting to avoid another massive election defeat for the CCP-puppet government. Tags: Paul Jacob, Common Sense, All Together Now To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Government By The People
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 08:47 PM PDT by John Porter, Contributing Author: First, please let me be very clear, what I have written here for your consideration is not about the Republican Party, Democrat Party, Independent Party, Libertarian Party, Tea Party or any other Party. It is about an idea conceived over two centuries ago, a country, a people, a document. Two hundred and thirty three years ago (1787) a group of men whom we now refer to as the “founding fathers,” following a long and bloody battle for their independence from a dictatorial Monarchy, assembled themselves together in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and did their best to establish a country governed in a God-fearing way by representatives who were selected by the people who were to be governed. No where in the history of all mankind were there any examples or even political theory in existence that offered them any hope that a republican form of government based on the new concept of consent of the governed, could succeed on a wilderness continent which was much larger than any European state. These men met there on the world stage to carry out the first of three acts in this epic political drama, the drafting of the United States Constitution. The final document was the culmination of a fierce political struggle that had been waged for four sweltering summer months in secret behind guarded closed doors. The document sought to reconcile individual personal liberty with the perceived need for a central government with powers to forge a political and economic common market among thirteen separate and sovereign states. The next two acts to be performed on this world stage were the ratification of the document and the translation from words on parchment paper to institutional form and structure. In 1789 the first congress approved and sent to the states for ratification, a bill of rights of individual liberty, and additional rights reserved to the states. Those ten amendments, ratified on December 15, 1791, became an extremely vital part of the Constitution and crucial to greatly limiting the power of the Federal Government over both that of the people and separate states. The Republic of the United States of America, an experiment in people governing themselves was now a reality for the first time in the history of man. Newcomers from other countries, willing to be governed by it’s Constitution and Bill of Rights, and themselves, came in droves through the established legal immigration process, to this new land of government by the governed. I here bring to your attention that the United States of America was formed as a Republic and not a Democracy. All our lives you and I have been conditioned to believe we are a Democracy in America. How long has it been since you have heard of America referred to as a Republic? You see, there was purpose behind the words in the Pledge of Allegiance to our flag referring to our country as, “the Republic for which it stands.” Ladies and gentlemen rest assured there is a very good reason the term “democracy” does not exist either in our Constitution or the Declaration of our Independence. A true Democracy is mob rule. Any government set up as a Democracy is the same government we would have if we were set up as a Socialist, Communist, or Marxist government. In these forms the government is a mob ruling over the people with absolutely no rights for individuals or minorities. It has been written, “The Founders were extremely knowledgeable about the issue of democracy and feared democracy as much as a monarchy. They understood that the only entity that can take away the people’s freedom is their own government, either by being too weak to protect them from external threats or by becoming too powerful and taking over every aspect of life.” Democracy and/or Socialism is mob rule by government. The founders of America were all too familiar with democracies/socialism, and deliberately did everything in their power to prevent a Democracy. It has been written, “In a Republic, the sovereignty resides with the people themselves. In a Republic, one may act on his own or through his representatives when he chooses to solve a problem.” The people have no obligation to the government; the government is a servant of the people, and obliged to them, for they are its owner. Not only have many politicians, Republican and Democrat, lost sight of this fact, but a great many of the American people. A Constitutional Republic has a Constitution that limits the powers of the government. The goal of our founding fathers in forming a Constitutional Republic was to avoid the disastrous extremes of either tyranny (absolute ruler) or “mobocracy.” (government mob). I borrowed the following from Darrell Huckaby: “I am tired of hearing about our democracy and the popular vote. We are not a democracy, and a whole lot of people should be really glad about that, too, because in a democracy, mob rule applies. The majority is the boss of everybody, and if we had been a democracy in 1865 slavery would have never been abolished. If we had been a democracy in 1920, the women would have never gotten the vote. If we had been a democracy in 1964 and 1965, those historic pieces of civil rights legislation would never have been approved. In fact, if we had been a democracy in 1776, the Declaration of Independence would never have been adopted because the majority of the colonists were afraid to pursue independence, just like a majority of Americans opposed women’s suffrage and abolition and sweeping civil rights reform. For the record, Abraham Lincoln did not get a majority of the popular vote in 1860, and Bill Clinton did not get a majority of the popular vote in 1992 or 1996. “Oh, yes he did!” screamed one of my Facebook friends this week. “I know Lincoln got the most votes and so did Clinton.” Most means plurality, y’all. A majority is 50 percent plus one. And while we are on the subject, we are not a democratic republic, either, no matter what the revisionist history books might claim. That’s just a term Andrew Jackson coined for political purposes in the 1820s and it stuck with some people. We are a republic, period. We have a federalist form of government where the power is to be divided between the states and the central government and neither is subservient to the other. Both are to receive their powers directly from the people.” Article IV Section 4 of the Constitution states: “The United States shall guarantee to every State in this Union a Republican form of Government”…If we the American people don’t stop this and start a reversal of the present trend, the free Republic of America will be lost for generations to come to a Socialist, tyrannical government mob. It begs the question, “Do we really care enough?” There seems to be a great awakening of all freedom loving Americans to the fact, that a people can become slaves to the government, as well as a plantation owner. Do you really care enough? I believe we said yes to that question on November 8th, 2016 by electing Donald Trump to start a reversal of the present trend toward government rule, and returning this country to people rule. Do we still care enough to keep him there for four more years. November 3, 2020 will have the opportunity to do that or we can trade him for Joe Biden and a people run by government instead of a government run by a people. It is up to us!! I urge you to forward this to your entire email list. WE CAN NOT SIT THIS OUT!!! November 3rd is our chance to keep our Constitutional Republic, or lose it to Mob Rule. Tags: John Porter, Government By The People To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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They Cursed Trump While They Burned The Bibles
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 08:20 PM PDT by Mario Murillo Ministries: How do you think the Black Lives Matter protesters who were burning Bibles knew that their desecration of the Word of God should be accompanied by ‘f-bombs’ and curses against Donald Trump? What connection is there between the President and the Bible? If the demons that are driving the mindless rioters know the connection, the real question is, ‘Why haven’t millions of Christians figured it out? The Marxists who control BLM know Donald Trump is a firewall against their scheme to destroy the American Dream and every freedom. Why doesn’t the church believe that? Their hatred and venom are constantly being spewed demonically toward Trump and the church because both entities serve a divine purpose. How embarrassing is it if mindless communists have more discernment and revelation than millions of American Christians? The screamers around that fire can’t help themselves. Demons typically manifest around hateful campfires. They are screaming, ‘We hate your Bible, we hate your God and we hate the man that God sent to stop us.’ The masked marauders of Portland know that Biden will be a third term of Obama. That searing point was driven home at John Lewis’ funeral where one more time Barack Obama shamed himself. The speech at House Representative John Lewis’ funeral began as a fitting tribute to a true American hero. He recounted not only Lewis’s bravery in fighting racism in his youth, but his political skill in helping to bring about changes to secure the rights of all Americans. Towards the end, however, Obama sank into a rambling diatribe of radical demands. He just can’t help himself. A Biden presidency makes both rioters and devils squeal with delight. But once again, the church doesn’t see it—or worse won’t see it. The rioters know exactly why they must elect Biden, yet the church still doesn’t know why they must stop him. ‘Christian Never Trumpers’ (a term that makes as much sense as a glass nail) never tell you about the need to stop Biden. They soothe their guilty consciences with the false claim that “they will vote their conscience.” That conscience—if it even exists—could never co-exist with the puppet-president Biden in the White House. Common sense wouldn’t let them do it. Reason would stop them dead in their tracks. So, they must, at all costs, deflect and deny the obvious: Voting for anyone but Trump is a vote for Biden. And not voting is voting. Let us hope that the 30 million evangelical Christians who did not bother to vote in 2016 will wake up before it is too late, and support President Trump as he stands against the barbarians at the gates. Psalm 94:16 says, Who will rise up for me against the wicked? Who will stand for me against those who practice iniquity? How shameful would it be to lose America, because devil-driven Marxists understood better than the church what God was trying to do to save them? Tags: Mario Murillo, Ministries, They Cursed Trump, While They Burned, The Bibles To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Democrats’ Scorched-Earth Tactics Should Stop at the Virus’ Edge. (But Won’t)
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 07:54 PM PDT
by Bob Maistros: “Politics,” insisted the late, great Republican Sen. Arthur Vandenberg, “stops at the water’s edge.” Scorched-earth tactics, counters today’s less-than-loyal opposition, never end – even, or rather especially, in the face of a global pandemic. Back in 1948, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee was well positioned to give “Give ‘em Hell” Harry Truman some hell of his own. Truman’s political popularity that election year made The Donald look like Adele-meets-Dale Carnegie. Down double digits in the polls to deadly dull Thomas Dewey. His Democrats splintering. Party leaders conspiring to dump him (a wounded, humiliated Truman even offered to demote himself to being Dwight Eisenhower’s running mate). So yo – why not deliver a national-security coup de grâce to the commander in chief? One on whose watch the “Iron Curtain” had clanked into place over Eastern Europe – and one caught in a pincer between Progressive Party Soviet surrenderists and a contingent of continuing isolationists opposing the Marshall Plan? Why not? Because Vandenberg was the bigger man – eyeing a bigger threat to his country. “I am more than ever convinced,” averred he, “that communism is on the march on a worldwide scale which only America can stop.” The Michigander led quiet GOP leadership discussions with Truman’s team on an internationalist security framework. And his Vandenberg Resolution – overwhelmingly passed in an election year while the senator was actually still a presidential candidate in his own right – opened the way for the formation of NATO. Contrast today’s Democratic political Lilliputians. In January – before the Centers for Disease Control even confirmed the coronavirus’ human-to-human transmissibility – high-profile presidential candidates were already at it hammer-and-tongs. Sleepy Joe Biden inspired public confidence and national unity by calling Donald Trump “the worst possible person to lead our country through a global health challenge.” Ms. Lizzie Warren tweeted that the administration’s response was a “mess.” Within three days of CDC’s declaration, Trump had created a task force, declared a public-health emergency, and banned China travel. Nevertheless, the very day of the ban, Biden zinged The Donald’s “record of hysteria and xenophobia.” By Feb. 4, Trump ordered the CDC to step up testing – an effort, it’s universally acknowledged, the agency fumbled. Yet some three weeks later – on the date the CDC announced the first U.S. coronavirus death, and when the agency was still calling the risk “low” – Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer slammed Trump’s “towering and dangerous incompetence.” And soon after, charged the administration with a “glaring omission” on testing. Meanwhile, his House counterpart, the ever-opportunistic Nancy Pelosi, termed the president’s efforts “completely inadequate to the scale of this emergency” and said her majority faction would come up with its own funding package. We all know what that “funding package” was about – blowing out spending while forging novel mandates, entitlements and voting scams. Since then, Ms. Pelosi has explored vast new budgetary galaxies with her $3 trillion HEROES fantasy and now, is battling alongside Schumer to sustain unemployment payments wildly higher than actual earnings. Moreover, the nation’s third-ranking leader has advanced ever-more outrageous rhetoric: “As the president fiddles, people are dying …” “delay, denial, death …” “the president gets an F …” and most offensive of all: “The Trump Virus.” Incredibly, politicization was even more intense at the state and local level. Parents opening playgrounds? Entrepreneurs their businesses? Enemies of the state. Non-socially distanced protesters and rioters running rampant? Photo op! Early mutual admiration between Trump and governors? Gone. Now, Gov. Death, Andrew Cuomo, is the progressive hero who “did it right.” All wonderfully helpful to the effort to combat COVID-19 while preserving the economy, right? Duh. Politicization has waved the red cape in the bull’s face – provoking the president’s and his supporters’ own worst strike-back instincts. Masks, distancing, returns to normalcy, distribution of resources, even pharmacology – all are sources of bitter division at a time when a sense of common purpose and fealty to science are more vital than ever. What might a statesperson-like, Vandenbergesque response – one that stopped politics at the virus’ edge and cooled partisan rancor – have looked like? How about the leading presidential candidates together saying, “Perhaps this virus is too deadly to let politics get in the way of a unified national response. Let’s pledge to contribute to the discussion – but not ‘go negative.’” Or, perchance, Madame Speaker and “Crying Chuck,” behind the scenes, reach out to the White House … and offer to bury the hatchet. Request representation on the administration’s task force for the smartest members from both sides of the aisle. And pledge to fast-track agreed-on resources, free of partisan rancor or advantage-seeking. The good news: It’s not too late. Not with the coronavirus still stubbornly raging in hot spots here and globally. Serious questions remaining about long-term effects. Reasonable debates about the proper pace of re-opening – and about wisdom and balance when it comes to schoolchildren’s needs. Is it too much to ask for a modern-day Vandenberg to suggest the equivalent of an Emergency Unity Government to win the COVID War, even in an election year? Or even some level of truce? Too much to ask, no. Too much to expect from this generation of Democratic scorched-earthers? 100%. Tags: Bob Maistros, Issues and Insights, Democrats’ Scorched-Earth Tactics, Should Stop, at the Virus’ Edge, But Won’t To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The Troubling Goals of the Black Lives Matter Movement
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 07:31 PM PDT by Cal Thomas: Politicians and various social justice groups have long used labels that have nothing to do with the real intent of legislation, or an organization, to dupe the public. But, to paraphrase Shakespeare, a rose by any other name is still a rose. Numerous “civil rights” bills have been passed by Congress over the years that have nothing to do with civil rights, but how many members are brave enough to point that out and vote against them? Which brings me to the Black Lives Matter movement. How many mainstream reporters have bothered to delve into the background and founding principles of the rapidly spreading organization to which even white CEOs are contributing gobs of money in what appears to be an attempt to protect themselves and their businesses from any potential charge of racism? The Acton Institute for the Study of Religion and Liberty, which self-describes as “an ecumenical, nonprofit research organization that promotes the benefits of free enterprise to religious communities, business people, students and educators,” has exposed the ideology of Black Lives Matter. According to Acton, the founding principles of BLM include a guaranteed minimum income for all black people, free health care, free schooling, free food, free real estate, gender reassignment surgery, and free abortion (already disproportionately high among African American women, “27.1 per 1,000 women compared with 10 per 1,000 for white women,” but apparently unborn black lives don’t matter to BLM). Washington, D.C.’s local BLM chapter has even called for “no new jails” (which would likely guarantee an increase in crime, much of it perpetrated in black communities—see the District’s crime stats, see Chicago, see Los Angeles). BLM also demands reparations and wants to create a “global liberation movement” that will “overturn U.S. imperialism [and] capitalism.” According to The New York Post, “Black Lives Matter co-founder Patrisse Cullors said in a newly surfaced video from 2015 that she and her fellow organizers are ‘trained Marxists.’” Breitbart News, a conservative syndicated news website, reported that “Cullors, 36, was the protege of Eric Mann, former agitator of the Weather Underground domestic terror organization, and spent years absorbing the Marxist-Leninist ideology that shaped her worldview.” Driving through what appeared to be a mostly white neighborhood in Washington, D.C., last weekend I was surprised, though I probably shouldn’t have been, to see quite a few “Black Lives Matter” signs on front lawns and on cars. A few friends have posted the BLM sign on their social media pages. I wonder if any of these people know the background and goals of the movement, or the radical ideology behind it. There are a growing number, especially among the young, who have been “educated” in our once-great universities by some professors who support the BLM movement and promote similar or identical ideologies. Part of what they are taught is that America began as a white, slave-owning patriarchy and that slaves actually built America. They quickly absorb this, then come home to tell their parents they are part of the problem. This is a major reason school choice is important if the nation is to be preserved. It should also be obvious that parents must be more selective in where they allow—and in many cases pay for—their children to attend colleges and universities and choose one where their values are strengthened and the nation not undermined. Black lives matter because like all lives, everyone is endowed with unalienable rights. But the BLM movement might be more harmful than helpful to African Americans. BLM’s foundational principles and goals seem closer to those of China and the former Soviet Union. If more people understood that, they might wake up and realize that the United States, as Ronald Reagan used to say, is only one generation from losing it all. Tags: Cal Thomas, Cal Thomas, The daily signal, The Troubling Goals, Black Lives Matter MovementS To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The New Old Obama
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 07:13 PM PDT . . . Why is Barack Obama reemerging with greater frequency now? There are a few reasonable
suppositions. In these outings, he seeks to advise lesser folk on how we can still find redemption (make Puerto Rico a state?), given that his own eight years as president apparently proved that the United States remains hopelessly captive to the spirit of Bull Connor and that a president such as himself—starting out with complete control of the Congress—had no power to change much. His latest weaponization of the funeral of John Lewis revealed all the Obama signature characteristics. Fantasy He knows that such protesters in our major cities loot, burn, blind, maim, and occasionally kill people and are hardly “peaceful.” He knows that asking for an ID at the polls, in the fashion of cashing a check, buying a beer, or getting a prescription filled is not racist (unless he believes that minorities are currently deprived of prescriptions, alcohol sales, or cashing checks), and are not “restrictive,” much less do they attack “our voting rights with surgical precision, even undermining the Postal Service in the run-up to an election that’s gonna be dependent on mail-in ballots so people don’t get sick.” He knows that if there are voting irregularities in November, they will come mostly from the Left and through the very mail-in balloting and vote harvesting they advocate. We in California’s 21st Congressional District can attest to that, after having witnessed winner and incumbent Republican David Valadao in 2018 see his sizable lead mysteriously erode over the next several weeks as batches of harvested and mail-in ballots steadily appeared until his challenger won by a few hundred votes. Obama knows that making Washington, D.C. and Puerto Rico states is simply a way of gaining four automatic left-wing senators to take back the Senate. He knows that what he calls “partisan gerrymandering” is an ancient bipartisan enterprise, without which there would now not be a very sizable black caucus in the House. He knows that what he suddenly now calls the “Jim Crow relic” Senate filibuster is a traditional and bipartisan lever. And so he knows that if Trump should be reelected, and should he retain a thin margin in the Republican Senate, and perhaps win back the House, and chose to end the now apparently racist filibuster to greenlight the Trump agenda, Obama would be the first to pivot and scream to high heaven about “partisanship” and “racism.” Obama knows all this. Thus his politicizing riff is cynical and in some ways a cruel hijacking of a funeral. Exemption And funerals are usually not appropriate venues for politics. Politicizing a death, at least since Mark Antony’s weaponization of the funeral of Julius Caesar, has been frowned upon—except in the case of the late Paul Wellstone, John McCain, or John Lewis. The eulogist can be exempt from the rules of decorum to go after a president, such as George W. Bush or Donald Trump. Obama reached a new low in cramming into a funeral eulogy the accusation that we are back to the spirit of Bull Connor, while jamming an entire political laundry list of policy preferences, from D.C. and Puerto Rico statehood and ending the filibuster, to mail-in voting and ending voting ID requirements, into praise of the dead. Irony When the truth is finally known, the nation will learn that the Obama Administration was one of the most corrupt in its history by politicizing the IRS and FBI, surveilling the media, unmasking and leaking the names of U.S. citizens swept up in likely illegal surveillance, destroying the sanctity of the FISA court, and spying on a political campaign with the intent of destroying it before a U.S. election. He laments our “Bull Connor America.” But as president, with a veto-proof Democratic Congress in 2009, he expended no effort to extend statehood to Puerto Rico or Washington, D.C., or to demand an end to the filibuster, or to enact anything he now insists we must do. Partly the reason is that Obama is a politician, first, who wished to get reelected, and considered any of the nostrums that he now pushes on others an anathema to his own 2012 ambitions. Obama is also mostly a creature of rhetoric, and he knows that talking about pushing an agenda is easy to do now, but in the past it was hard to do the political work to see it enacted. He is also ignorant of history and so refutes his own premises. The advocacy of John Lewis and others like him convinced the timid Kennedy Administration to break with their kindred Democratic Southern brethren and in 1963 nationalize state troops to ensure calm in the streets and the civil rights of the oppressed. How odd that Obama both praises such past federal activism and yet currently defends states-rights mayors and governors who nullify local, state, and federal law to the point of forcing the federal government to save its own property and personnel from mayhem. Hypocrisy If Obama is truly concerned about the deaths of young African Americans he could return to Chicago in its hour of need, as people of color are currently being gunned down in the streets—even at funerals far less secure and guarded than those at which Obama speaks. He could revisit his Chicago home, use his moral bona fides to restart his community activist career, and seek to quell the violence and save the lives of the innocent and unprotected—all concerns far more vital to the nation than ending the filibuster. He would receive bipartisan and overwhelming public support for such hard work. He has already reached the point at which he once advised us that one has made enough money. He is perhaps becoming isolated in living in non-diverse suburbs and estates of the sort that his erstwhile housing czars in his administration once deplored, and tried to integrate by executive orders. Instead, he now and then pops up into a politically explosive scenario at a volatile time, adopts the cadence and patois of Reverend Jeremiah Wright, his “spiritual mentor,” and begins his ministerial pontificating, as he seeks to wow the crowd with the old magic—soon only to disappear back to Martha’s Vineyard. Why is Obama reemerging with greater frequency now? There are a few reasonable suppositions. He has already made tens of millions of dollars in the last four years and now believes that he has the “security” of being a multimillionaire several times over, and so can once again dabble in politics. His party has moved hard Left. And he rues now that he did not then lead the cultural revolution during his own tenure, given his community organizing Bill Ayers-youth, which as a badge of honor we should expect will now no longer be airbrushed away. His early revolutionary cred will likely resurface as the audacity of hope becomes the audacity of woke. He resents those like “the squad” who usurped his hard-Left brand, which was tarnished during his past few years in his period of “not the time to profit” corporate profiteering. He thinks Biden suddenly can now win. Yet better than any he knows that Biden is challenged and is a useful vessel. Thus, he envisions his sudden behind-the-scenes role as substantial. He can piggyback on the cultural revolution this summer and then claim that he helped “deliver” the progressive and identity politics vote—and thus becomes an active wise-man advisor to a challenged Biden. Then again, there is always the chance that Biden’s unbreakable oath to appoint a woman as vice presidential nominee and his inference that she will be an African-American opens up all sort of wild card possibilities to Obama—given that he knows best the VP slot could well be a quasi-presidential nomination, given Biden’s cognitive issues, given that Biden is now ahead in the polls, and given that there is some chance that all the candidates whom Biden considers may have high negatives in his internal polling. And thus Michelle Obama, the most popular woman in today’s polls, could “rescue” the Democrats, unite the party, and finish out an Obama 16-year term, with the last eight-year regnum revealing the inner and true Obama that was stymied the first go around. These “are such stuff as dreams are made of.” Tags: Victor Davis hanson, American Greatness, The New Old Obama To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. 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New Disclosures Confirm: Trump Himself Was the Target of Obama Administration’s Russia Probe
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 07:12 PM PDT . . . Assertions that the focus was ‘the Trump campaign’ are now known to be ludicrous.
by Andrew C. McCarthy: Long-sought documents finally pried from U.S. intelligence agencies prove that the Obama administration used the occasion of providing a standard intelligence briefing for major-party candidates as an opportunity to investigate Donald Trump on suspicion of being a Russian asset. I say investigate Donald Trump advisedly. As I contended in Ball of Collusion, my book on the Trump-Russia investigation, the target of the probe spearheaded by the FBI — but greenlighted by the Obama White House, and abetted by the Justice Department and U.S. intelligence agencies — was Donald Trump. Not the Trump campaign, not the Trump administration. Those were of interest only insofar as they were vehicles for Trump himself. The campaign, which the Bureau and its apologists risibly claim was the focus of the investigation, would have been of no interest to them were it not for Trump. Or do you suppose they moved heaven and earth, surreptitiously plotted in the Oval Office, wrote CYA memos to cover their tracks, and laboriously sculpted FBI reports because they were hoping to nail . . . George Papadopoulos? My book was published a year ago. It covered what was then known about the Obama-administration operation. In collusion with the Clinton campaign, and with the complicity of national-security officials who transitioned into the Trump administration, the Obama White House deployed the FBI to undermine the new president, dually using official investigative tactics (e.g. FISA surveillance, confidential informants, covert interrogations) and lawless classified leaks — the latter publicized by dependable journalists who were (and remain) politically invested in unseating Trump. Now the paper trail is finally catching up with what some of us analysts long ago surmised based on the limited information previously available. You don’t like Donald Trump? Fine. The investigation here was indeed about Donald Trump. But the scandal is about how abusive officials can exploit their awesome powers against any political opponent. And the people who authorized this political spying will be right back in business if, come November, Obama’s vice-president is elected president — notwithstanding that he’s yet to be asked serious questions about it. How to Conceal a Politicized Investigation The Obama officials, including holdovers who transitioned into the Trump administration, pulled that off by intimidation: not-so-subtle suggestions that they could disclose damaging allegations at any time (e.g., the notorious “pee tape”), and that White House efforts to inquire into the scope of the investigation would be portrayed as criminal obstruction. Prior to the 2016 election, the FBI intentionally concealed the existence of the Trump-Russia probe from the congressional “Gang of Eight” (the bipartisan leadership of both houses and their intelligence committees). Senior Republicans were thus kept in the dark regarding purported suspicions that the Republican presidential campaign was a Russian front, unable to pose tough questions about the probe’s gossamer predication. Crucially, the Trump-Russia fabulists managed to sideline two Trump loyalists who would have been positioned to thwart the effort: national-security adviser Michael Flynn and Attorney General Jeff Sessions. That left in place Obama holdovers and Trump-appointed placeholders. They were indifferent to Trump himself and cowed by the prospect of being framed as complicit in a Trump–Russia conspiracy, or a cover-up. The paper record is profoundly embarrassing, so it is only natural that the FBI and Justice Department resisted its disclosure. But documents about the investigation were demanded by congressional investigators starting years ago — particularly by the investigation led in the House by then–Intelligence Committee chairman Devin Nunes (R., Calif.). Congress’s investigation was stonewalled. The more revelation we get, the more obvious it is that there was no bona fide national-security rationale for concealment. Documents were withheld to hide official and unofficial executive activity that was abusive, embarrassing, and, at least in some instances, illegal (e.g., tampering with a document that was critical to the FBI’s presentation of “facts” to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court). Democrats wanted this information suppressed all along. So of course, once Democrats took control of the House in 2019, there was no possibility of pressing the question of why the Justice Department and FBI failed to comply with House information demands back in 2017–18, when Republicans led the relevant committees. One wonders, though, why the GOP-controlled Senate had so little interest in finding out why this paper trail stayed hidden despite repeated inquiries. Ditto the House Republican leadership in the first two years of Trump’s term. It is hard to draw any conclusion other than that the GOP establishment bought the “Russian interference in our democracy” hysteria. Moscow always meddles in U.S. elections. The 2016 interference was par for the course and, as always, utterly ineffective. This time, though, Democrats were perceived as the victims, rather than the beneficiaries. For once, they and their media megaphone demanded that the political class treat Russia as a serious threat. On cue, Washington Republicans genuflected, lest they be portrayed as covering up for Trump, or as soft on Putin. Meanwhile Democrats, the party of appeasement (very much including appeasement of Moscow through the Obama years), were transmogrified into Russia hawks. And Russia hawks they’ll remain . . . right up until the moment Joe Biden takes the oath of office. Exploiting Politics to Surveil the Opposition In reality, Pientka and the FBI regarded the occasion not as a briefing for the Republican presidential nominee but as an opportunity to interact with Donald Trump for investigative purposes. Clearly, the Bureau did that because Trump was the main subject of the investigation. The hope was that he’d blurt things out that would help the FBI prove he was an agent of Russia. The Obama administration and the FBI knew that it was they who were meddling in a presidential campaign — using executive intelligence powers to monitor the president’s political opposition. This, they also knew, would rightly be regarded as a scandalous abuse of power if it ever became public. There was no rational or good-faith evidentiary basis to believe that Trump was in a criminal conspiracy with the Kremlin or that he’d had any role in Russian intelligence’s suspected hacking of Democratic Party email accounts. You didn’t have to believe Trump was a savory man to know that. His top advisers were Flynn, a decorated combat veteran; Christie, a former U.S. attorney who vigorously investigated national-security cases; Rudy Giuliani, a legendary former U.S. attorney and New York City mayor who’d rallied the country against anti-American terrorism; and Jeff Sessions, a longtime U.S. senator with a strong national-defense track record. To believe Trump was unfit for the presidency on temperamental or policy grounds was a perfectly reasonable position for Obama officials to take — though an irrelevant one, since it’s up to the voters to decide who is suitable. But to claim to suspect that Trump was in a cyberespionage conspiracy with the Kremlin was inane . . . except as a subterfuge to conduct political spying, which Obama officials well knew was an abuse of power. So they concealed it. They structured the investigation on the fiction that there was a principled distinction between Trump himself and the Trump campaign. In truth, the animating assumption of the probe was that Trump himself was acting on Russia’s behalf, either willfully or under the duress of blackmail. By purporting to focus on the campaign, investigators had the fig leaf of deniability they needed to monitor the candidate. Just two weeks before Pientka’s August 17 “briefing” of Trump, the FBI formally opened “Crossfire Hurricane,” the codename for the Trump-Russia investigation. The Bureau also opened four Trump-Russia subfiles, related to Trump campaign officials Paul Manafort, Carter Page, George Papadopoulos and Flynn. There was no case file called “Donald Trump” because Trump was “Crossfire Hurricane.” The theory of Crossfire Hurricane was that Russia had blackmail information on Trump, which it could use to extort Trump into doing Putin’s bidding if Trump were elected. It was further alleged that Russia had been cultivating Trump for years and was helping Trump’s election bid in exchange for future considerations. Investigators surmised that Trump had recruited Paul Manafort (who had connections to Russian oligarchs and pro-Russia Ukrainian oligarchs) as his campaign manager, enabling Manafort to use such emissaries as Page to carry out furtive communications between Trump and the Kremlin. If elected, the theory went, Trump would steer American policy in Russia’s favor, just as the Bureau speculated that Trump was already corruptly steering the Republican party into a more pro-Moscow posture. Get Them Talking This is exactly what Pientka did in connection with the August 17 “briefing,” under the supervision of Kevin Clinesmith, the rabidly anti-Trump FBI lawyer later found by the Justice Department’s inspector general to have tampered with a key email, and Peter Strzok, the rabidly anti-Trump counterintelligence agent who was later fired. Pientka’s significantly redacted seven-page memo is worth reading. The point of it is not the national-security information provided to the candidate; that is just context for the Bureau’s documenting of statements made by Trump in response. For example, when the topic is differences in methodology between Russian and Chinese espionage, Pientka carefully notes that Trump asked, “Joe, are the Russians bad? Because they have more numbers [of FBI cases] are they worse than the Chinese?” After all, maybe we’ll find out he was reporting back to the Kremlin. When the topic turned to signals intelligence, Pientka notes that Trump interjected, “Yes I understand it’s a dark time. Nothing is safe on computers anymore,” and elaborated that his then-ten-year-old son had broken the code for access to a computer — you know, just the kind of badinage you’d expect from a co-conspirator in a Russian hacking scheme. Pientka then recounts that when other intelligence-agency briefers took over to continue the briefing on other topics, Pientka did not leave; he stayed in the room “actively listen[ing] for topics or questions regarding the Russian Federation.” Here, in a classified report they figure no one will ever see, there is no pretense: FBI agents are monitoring Trump. Pientka notes that when one briefer said the U.S. was the world’s leader in counterterrorism, Trump interjected, “Russia too?” And when the discussion turned to cheating by Russia and China on the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, “Trump asked, ‘Who’s worse?’” When the briefer replied, “They are both bad, but Russia is worse,” Pientka took pains to relate, “Trump and Christie turned toward each other and Christie commented, ‘Im shocked’” [sic]. You’re thinking, “So what?” Yeah, well, that’s the point. They had nothing, but the agents were exploiting the U.S. political process to try to turn nothing into a federal case. And would any public official voluntarily attend a security briefing, ostensibly meant to help him perform his public-safety mission, if he thought the FBI might be spying on him and writing reports with an eye toward portraying him as a hostile power’s mole? Just as we’ve seen in the Flynn investigation, Pientka’s official FBI report is marked in bold capital letters: “DRAFT DOCUMENT/DELIBERATIVE MATERIAL.” Why deliberate over a draft when the purpose is to document a suspect’s statements? After all, he said whatever he said; there shouldn’t be a need to edit it. Drafts and deliberations are necessary only if a report is being massaged to fit the perceived needs of the investigation. Observe that, although the briefing was August 17, the memo is dated August 30. Nearly two weeks later, and it’s still in the form of a deliberative draft, meaning they’re not done yet. This is not materially different from the Obama administration’s plan on January 6, 2017. That is when the FBI’s then-director, James Comey, “briefed” Trump in New York City. This briefing came just a day after Comey met with his Obama-administration superiors — the president, Vice President Biden, national-security adviser Susan Rice, and Deputy Attorney General Sally Yates. They discussed withholding information about the Russia investigation from President-elect Trump and his incoming team. Consistent with this White House strategy session, Comey did not actually brief Trump about the Russia investigation; he buzzed Trump with an allegation that the Putin regime might be in possession of blackmail material — the pee tape — that it could hold over Trump’s head in order to get him to do the Kremlin’s bidding. The point was not to give information. It was to get information: to provoke Trump into making incriminating or false statements, or statements evincing consciousness of guilt. Outside Trump Tower was an FBI car equipped with a laptop so Comey could immediately write an investigative report. The director and his team treated this as an investigative event, not a briefing. Comey memorialized Trump’s statements, as well as his physical and emotional reaction to the suggestion that Moscow might have video of the soon-to-be president cavorting with prostitutes. If a case had ever been made on Trump, Comey could then have been a witness, with his investigative report available to refresh his recollection about Trump’s comments and comportment. That is one of the main reasons such reports are done. There is still plenty of paper trail to uncover. I haven’t even referred here to the Steele dossier, which investigators knew was bogus but relied on to seek — and obtain — court-authorized eavesdropping. I haven’t mentioned the unmasking of Trump officials indirectly targeted in foreign-intelligence collection. We haven’t considered the collaboration of American and foreign intelligence agencies in the scrutiny of Trump, or the collaboration of Obama officials and congressional Democrats, as well as the media, to promote the narrative that Trump was a Russian operative. There is much still to learn and to weigh. But this much we know: Tags: Andrew C. McCarthy, author, senior fellow, National Review Institute To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The Universal Mail-In Voting Sham
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 06:37 PM PDT . . . The major domestic threat to the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election. by Joseph Klein: Last Thursday, President Trump raised the idea of possibly delaying the November 3rd general election date due to concerns about the implications of universal mail-in voting for the integrity of the presidential election. The president tweeted, “With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. It will be a great embarrassment to the USA. Delay the Election until people can properly, securely and safely vote????” The mainstream media and the political establishment were aghast at the thought of President Trump using the coronavirus as a pretext to delay the presidential election. They need to take a deep breath. President Trump told reporters later in the day that he did not want any change in the election date, although he did warn of the possibility of significant delays in the tabulation and announcement of the final result. In any case, only Congress has the power under the Constitution to change the date of a presidential election. There’s no chance of Congress doing so this year. The Democrats’ opposition is a given, of course. But the Republicans in Congress are also adamantly against the idea. “Never in the history of the country, through wars and depressions and the Civil War, have we ever not had a federally scheduled election on time, and we’ll find a way to do that again this November 3,” said Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. So why did President Trump bring up the possibility of election delay in his tweet (with four question marks) in the first place? The reason was to call attention to the dangers of universal mail-in voting that threaten the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election. There is a real potential for fraud, to be sure. But even in the absence of widespread fraud, universal mail-in voting faces significant challenges in ensuring a fair election result, starting with its reliance on the all too unreliable U.S. Postal Service (USPS). Moreover, states’ broad authority in the administration of elections in which their citizens vote, including federal elections, does not mean they can throw caution to the wind and dilute the voting power of clearly qualified voters. This will most certainly happen when states introducing universal mail-in voting for the first time in a presidential general election do so without robust safeguards to ensure the integrity of the mail-in process. There is too little time to devise and implement anything close to the safeguards that presently exist for in-person voting and the more limited use of absentee ballots as the exception rather than the rule. There are a few smaller states that have used all or majority mail-in voting for years with safeguards that have proven workable. However, such safeguards cannot simply be transplanted into the systems of larger states overnight. The U.S. Postal Service has proven its inability to handle properly the huge anticipated volume of mail-in ballots in a timely and uniform fashion across the United States. As a Democratic commissioner and co-chair of the New York State Board of Elections said: “One of the big problems of going to a vote by mail system is that the Boards of Elections are now in partnership with the U.S. Postal Service for conducting the election.” We are still awaiting the final results in a few contests from this past June’s Democratic primary in New York where there was significant reliance on mail-in voting. A major election law snafu involving New York’s Democratic primary illustrates the U.S. Postal Service’s problems. A class action lawsuit alleges that an executive order issued by Governor Andrew Cuomo in the middle of the coronavirus pandemic broadening the use of mail-in ballots statewide led to confusion at the USPS. The USPS was supposed to ensure election mail was postmarked, even though it was postage paid. The USPS was provided e-mail instructions as to how the postmark should look. New York State Board of Education officials received assurances from the USPS that any ballot envelopes run through their automated machines would receive the necessary marking. But the confused U.S. Postal Service failed to place the required postmarks in thousands of cases. Thus, even though voters filled out their ballots correctly and mailed them in as instructed, the ballots were allegedly invalidated because they were missing the necessary postmarks from the post office. The result, according to the class action complaint, was the disenfranchisement of “a massive number of voters, without any warning or anything resembling Constitutionally adequate protections.” New York was not an isolated case. On July 7, 2020, for example, the Office of the Inspector General of the U.S. Postal Service issued a Management Alert entitled “Timeliness of Ballot Mail in the Milwaukee Processing & Distribution Center Service Area.” The alert found that for ballots processed in the Milwaukee area in connection with the April primary election, there were “issues related to the timeliness of ballots being mailed to voters, correcting misdelivery of ballots, an inability to track ballots, and inconsistent postmarking of ballots.” Looking nationally, the Inspector General management alert identified potential issues in integrating state election offices’ vote-by-mail processes with the Postal Service processes, which could impact future elections. For instance, the alert noted potential concerns with “ballots postmarks, ballots mailed without mail tracking technology, and the ratio of Political and Election Mail coordinators to election offices in certain locations.” In Ohio, there was evidently an “unintentional missort” of more than 300 ballots, according to the U.S. Postal Service’s chief operating officer, which caused them to be delivered too late to be counted by a county Board of Elections. “An unintentional missort of a tray of Butler County return ballots ultimately contributed to a gap in the mail flow, resulting in the delay,” he said, which he identified as “an opportunity for improvement.” No kidding! For those Trump-haters who blame post office delays on certain changes instituted by the president’s Postmaster General appointee Louis DeJoy, think again. The examples of post office related problems with mail-in voting described above, as well as breakdowns in other states, occurred before the July 10, 2020 implementation date for the new Postmaster General’s changes. We are talking about a record of sheer incompetence that, when replicated on a far larger scale in connection with this year’s general election, could well affect the final results in swing states such as Ohio and Wisconsin. The U.S. Post Office recognizes its own shortcomings. But not Barack Obama. In his divisive remarks at the funeral of Rep. John Lewis, Obama demagogued the issue. He took time out to criticize those he said were “undermining the Postal Service in the run-up to an election that is going to be dependent on mailed-in ballots so people don’t get sick.” The post office’s processing and delivery problems are reason enough to be concerned about the integrity of an election driven significantly by universal mail-in voting. But the problems run deeper than the post office itself. There are no consistent national standards for election officials to follow in administering extensive mail-in voting. Despite problems of its own with in-person voting, at least the person showing up to vote personally signs in and enters the voting booth to cast his or her vote. Put aside the issue of requiring credible voter ID, which affects both in-person and mail-in voting. A state unprepared to deal with huge volumes of mail-in ballots will have no way of even knowing whether the person whose name appears on the mail-in ballot is currently a resident of that state or is the same person who actually cast and mailed in the vote. In the most liberal states like California, mail-in ballots themselves are sent automatically to all voters in the state. Anything goes. There are no time-tested procedures to reduce the potential for mail-in voter fraud or widespread mistakes, such as mailing ballots to the wrong address or to large residential buildings where they could get intercepted and filled out by someone other than the intended recipient. Without measures to effectively verify the accuracy of a state’s registration rolls and the current addresses and corresponding identities of the intended recipients of the ballots before sending out the mail-in ballots, contaminated election results are inevitable. The election results will also be questionable in the larger number of states where mail-in ballot applications will be sent automatically for the first time to all purported voters who don’t need any reason for requesting the mail-in ballots. Some states allow a practice known as “ballot harvesting,” which allows any third parties to collect mail-in ballots from groups of voters such as residents in a housing complex or a nursing home and deliver the ballots for them. There is no clear uniform system for tracking who these third parties are and the chain of custody of the ballots between the time they were collected by the third parties and the time they were delivered to the appropriate destinations (assuming they were delivered at all). At the other end of the spectrum are states that scrupulously limit who can return a voter’s ballot, limit the reasons for allowing someone to cast a mail-in ballot, or require precautions such as witness signatures, notarizations, or copies of voter identification. The ballots of voters in those states – whether cast in person or by mail – may well be cancelled out by invalid mail-in ballots for president accepted by states with sloppy mail-in ballot procedures. States like Oregon and Colorado that have used mail-in voting extensively during several past election cycles at least have a track record managing large influxes of mailed ballots with trained personnel, technology and logistics infrastructure in place. We can’t say the same about a state like California that intends to plunge ahead into uncharted waters. For years, California was not even in full compliance with the National Voter Registration Act, which requires states to maintain accurate and current voter registration rolls. There are no consistent national procedural standards for validating the integrity of universal mail-in balloting to ensure that every individual’s legitimate vote is given meaningful effect. In states with grossly inadequate safeguards for handling huge volumes of mail-in ballots, some voters will have their ballots invalidated for faults not attributable to the voters themselves. Other mail-in ballots will be counted even though they were not completed properly by qualified voters or postmarked and delivered by the legal deadline. Voters across the country in states that have more careful procedures for mail-in voting are likely to find their votes cancelled out by illegitimate mail-in ballots in states with a standardless mail-in process. The net result of a headlong rush this year to embrace universal mail-in voting across the country will be challenges to the legitimacy of the presidential election that will end up in prolonged litigation. Tags: Joseph Klein, FrontPage Mag, Universal Mai-in Scam To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Keeps Finding New Ways To Be Stupid
Posted: 04 Aug 2020 06:02 PM PDT by Stephen Kruiser: AOC Is Dumber Than Dumb!! She’s baaaaaaaaack. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) has been taking a break from being the Progressive Princess of Stupidity lately but we all knew that she would be back at some point. It is almost impressive how awfully ignorant AOC can be at times, as if she is constantly trying to embarrass herself. Her most recent foray into brain-dead finds her criticizing Roman Catholic St. Damien of Molokai for being a “colonizer.” Rick Moran has the full story here: What an awful guy. It’s not just that AOC is wrong about so many things, it’s that she’s always spectacularly wrong. Her hot-takes sound more like the ravings of a toddler than what one would expect from a member of Congress. In this particular case, it seems that she knew nothing more about St. Damien than that he was white. AOC is the one millennial who has never heard of Google or Wikipedia. What makes AOC’s ongoing dumb-takes so disturbing is that she has become a revered guiding light for the Democrats. The radical-fringe AOC wing of the Democratic Party has become the main wing. Joe Biden has completely abandoned any pretense of being a moderate and is now devoted to sucking up to AOC and her squad. Every utterance of hers is treated as brilliance by the mainstream media, no matter how simple it is to disprove. AOC is the Left’s Golden Child right now and she’s a blithering idiot. To her credit, AOC never backs away from any of her paste-eating stupid statements. Nobody loves AOC as much as AOC does, and she is just thrilled with everything she says. She will often double-down on her monumental wrongness just because she knows the media will back her up. If AOC weren’t so young she would be a shoo-in for Crazy Joe the Wonder Veep’s running mate. Thanks to the Constitution, the United States still has five years to come to its senses and realize just how dumb this woman is. Or Biden can win and the Constitution will be memory-holed. Tags: Stephen Kruiser, PJ Media, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Keeps Finding, New Ways, To Be Stupid To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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NBC MORNING RUNDOWN
Wednesday, August 5, 2020
Good morning, NBC News readers.
At least 100 people were killed and 4,000 injured in the “colossal” explosion that swept through Beirut yesterday. Meanwhile, schools seeking alternatives to remote learning plan to move classes outside, and polarizing conservative Kris Kobach lost the GOP primary for a U.S. Senate seat in Kansas.
Here’s what we’re watching this morning.
Beirut in state of emergency after blast as death toll rises A huge rescue effort was underway in Beirut on Wednesday after much of the city was buried by rubble from a massive explosion Tuesday afternoon.
At least 100 people were killed and 4,000 injured, the secretary-general of the Lebanese Red Cross said. Those figures look set to rise with hospitals overwhelmed and victims still trapped underneath debris.
It wasn’t yet clear what ignited an estimated 2,750 tons of ammonium nitrate that had been stored in a warehouse at the port for six years without “preventive measures” to protect it. The chemical compound, which is commercially available, is used widely in fertilizers and explosives.
Many in the capital saw their homes destroyed and family members injured, with daylight revealing scenes of destruction not witnessed in the country since its devastating civil war, which ended in 1990.
Condolences and offers of aid poured in from nations around the world, with the pope offering prayers and France sending emergency equipment.
Coronavirus concerns push schools to move classes outside With not long to go before the start of the new academic year, schools around the country have an unusual list of materials to get: carriage bolts, berry bushes, cedar wood, tree stumps, tents, and all-weather snowsuits.
They are laying the groundwork to move at least some instruction to outdoor classrooms and making a bet that the lower risk of disease transmission in the open air can make it safer for students, even as the COVID-19 pandemic continues to spread.
“Schools need to figure out a new solution because the inside of the building doesn’t work as the only solution and online learning doesn’t work as the only solution,” said Sharon Danks, the CEO of Green Schoolyards America.
Meanwhile, negotiations between congressional leaders and the White House on a further coronavirus aid package crawl forward. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell conceded that he will rely on Democrats to pass a deal.
“It’s not going to produce a kumbaya moment,” McConnell, R-Ky., told reporters in the Capitol on Tuesday. “But the American people in the end need help.”
Democrats are eager to restore the jobless payments, but Republicans have remained divided over how large they should be, as well as the level of deficit spending the federal government should undertake to finance them.
Here are some other coronavirus developments:
U.S.-China relations are under ‘unprecedented’ strain, says Chinese ambassador to the U.S. Beijing does not want to see a Cold War break out between China and the U.S. and both countries need to work to repair relations that are under “unprecedented” strain, Beijing’s envoy to Washington said Tuesday.
At the Aspen Security Conference, China’s Ambassador to the U.S. Cui Tiankai accused the Trump administration of stoking tensions, and said he doesn’t think ” a new Cold War would serve anybody’s interest.”
He also dismissed U.S. criticism of China’s trade practices and accusations that Chinese technology companies such as TikTok pose a threat to consumer privacy in America and elsewhere.
Until two years ago, TikTok was a below-the-radar hit with young people. It’s now become the international poster child for a rivalry between China and the U.S. that is increasingly playing out through technology.
In China, editorials in state media reflect the belief of many that Washington’s policies are dictated by a desire to undermine the country’s growing clout.
Kris Kobach loses Kansas Senate primary, easing Republican fears of an upset in November Former secretary of state and polarizing conservative Kris Kobach lost the GOP primary for a U.S. Senate seat in Kansas as Rep. Roger Marshall, backed by establishment Republicans, defeated him and several others.
Marshall and Kobach were among the 11 candidates in the GOP primary running for the Senate seat being vacated by Sen. Pat Roberts.
Kobach, who lost his bid for governor in 2018, was running without the blessing of GOP party leaders.
In neighboring Missouri, Democratic Rep. Lacy Clay has apparently lost his primary to progressive Cori Bush, a onetime homeless woman. Clay, who was elected to his seat in 2000, defeated Bush in the 2018 Democratic primary.
Bush is an ordained pastor and community activist who was involved in the 2014 Ferguson protests following the fatal shooting of Michael Brown by a police officer.
The contest was seen as one of the biggest progressive vs. establishment Democrat clashes left on the primary calendar. Rep. Roger Marshall speaks with supporters at his election night party near Pawnee Rock, Kan., on Tuesday. (Credit: Travis Heying / The Wichita Eagle via AP)
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Plus
THINK about it The way that public opinion has has fractured along partisan divides on scientific questions reveals something rotten at the core of the national conversation. Here’s how to separate science from partisanship, write professors Jevin West and Carl Bergstrom in an opinion piece.
Shopping Bookended by back-to-school and Labor Day sales, August is full of deals from retailers such as Nordstrom, Walmart and Macy’s. We consulted a consumer analyst on what to shop this month — and what can wait.
One fun thing With schools out for summer, parents are always on the look out for something that will keep kids busy and teach them at the same time.
A group of high school freshmen from California turned their school economics homework into a reality by publishing the Covid Coloring Book, complete with coloring and activity pages, and a story teaching kids how to stay safe during the pandemic.
The book took off and the girls have donated the proceeds to organizations across the country.
Kids can watch their story and also get a glimpse of some of the interesting animals at the San Diego Zoo in Nightly News with Lester Holt Kids Edition.
Thanks for reading the Morning Rundown.
I’m filling in for Petra Cahill while she’s taking a break. If you have any comments — likes, dislikes — send me an email at: rachel.elbaum@nbcuni.com If you’re a fan, please forward it to your family and friends. They can sign-up here.
Thanks, Rachel |
NBC FIRST READ
From NBC’s Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Carrie Dann and Melissa Holzberg FIRST READ: Here’s where the 2020 Senate map stands right now For Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, yesterday produced good news and bad news for him.
We’ll start with the good news: Establishment-backed Roger Marshall last night defeated Kris Kobach in Kansas’ Senate GOP primary – after Democrats spent more than $4 million to prop up Kobach’s candidacy.
And Marshall’s win gives Republicans a much better chance of holding on to Kansas’ Senate seat. (After all, we saw how Kobach on the ticket fared for the GOP back in 2018.)
AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin So the Senate table is mostly set for 2020, and here is where the map stands on our inaugural Senate Takeover List for 2020, based on the likelihood of the Senate seat switching parties, according to polling and our conversations with Democratic and Republican strategists.
(The party listed in parenthesis is the incumbent party.)
1. Alabama (D) 2. Colorado (R) 3. Arizona (R) 4. North Carolina (R) 5. Maine (R) 6. Montana (R) 7. Iowa (R) 8. Georgia (R – Perdue seat) 9. Texas (R) 10. Georgia (R – Loeffler seat) 11. Michigan (D) 12. Kansas (R) 13. South Carolina (R) 14. Alaska (R) 15. Kentucky (R) 16. New Mexico (D)
The first five races on our list – from Alabama to Maine – are LEAN or LIKELY FLIPS. And if they all flip, Democrats will net the three Senate seats they need to win back the chamber if they also win the White House.
So despite Marshall’s win last night, McConnell is still staring a Senate map that LEANS Dem takeover.
Races No. 6 to No. 8 – Montana, Iowa and Sen. David Perdue’s Senate seat – are pure TOSSUPS. And if Democrats win them, they would add to any Senate majority.
Races No. 9 and No. 10 – Texas and Georgia’s other Senate seat – LEAN in the direction of the incumbent party holding on to the seat.
And races No. 11 to No. 16 are LIKELY or EXTREMELY LIKELY that the incumbent party holds on to the seat.
By the way, if there’s a race not listed above, it means we don’t view it as competitive — at least not yet.
McConnell admits Senate GOP has lost the leverage in relief negotiations But here was the bad news for McConnell yesterday: He admitted that Senate Republicans don’t have leverage in the negotiations over the coronavirus relief bill.
“Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell conceded Tuesday that he will lack Republican support to pass further coronavirus aid and instead will rely on Democrats to fashion a deal with the White House,” NBC’s Ginger Gibson writes.
“If you’re looking for total consensus among Republican senators, you’re not going to find it,” McConnell said. “We do have division about what to do.”
DATA DOWNLOAD: The numbers that you need to know today 4,729,248: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That’s 53,172 more cases than yesterday morning.)
158,061: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far. (That’s 1,307 more than yesterday morning.)
58.24 million: The number of coronavirus TESTS that have been administered in the United States so far, according to researchers at The COVID Tracking Project.
10: The number of terms served by Rep. Lacy Clay, who lost his Missouri House primary to 44 year-old progressive activist Cori Bush last night.
6.6 percentage points: The margin of victory last night for a Missouri amendment to expand Medicaid eligibility under the ACA.
At least 100: The death toll in Beirut after a massive explosion at a warehouse housing ammonium nitrate.
$280 million: Joe Biden’s latest reservation of TV and online ad time, including time in expansion states like Texas and Georgia.
70 percent: The share of U.S. Latinos who say that the worst of the coronavirus is still ahead of us, per a new Pew survey.
2020 VISION: Two more incumbents go down to defeat Here’s our breakdown of last night’s primaries, which includes Roger Marshall’s Senate GOP primary win over Kris Kobach in Kansas, as well as the defeat of two incumbent members of Congress.
KS-SEN: In a positive development for Senate Republicans’ chances of holding on to this seat, Rep. Roger Marshall, R-Kan., defeated 2018 gubernatorial nominee Kris Kobach, 40 percent to 26 percent, with Bob Hamilton getting 19 percent. Marshall will face Democratic nominee Barbara Bollier in a race the Cook Political Report is keeping as Lean Republican for now.
KS-2: The first of the incumbents who lost last night: Rep. Steve Watkins, R-Kan., went down to defeat against state Treasurer Jake LaTurner.
MO-1: The second of the incumbents who lost: Rep. William Lacy Clay, D-Mo., whose family has held this St. Louis-area congressional seat for half a century, was toppled by progressive Cori Bush, 49 percent to 46 percent. Bernie Sanders endorsed Bush in this contest.
Also in Missouri last night, voters narrowly approved of Medicaid expansion in this red state.
MI-13: Rep. Rashida Tlaib, D-Mich., is currently ahead of Democratic primary Brenda Jones by a 2-to-1 margin, but there’s a substantial amount of the vote that still hasn’t been counted.
TWEET OF THE DAY: Seven House incumbents have now lost their primaries in 2020
AD WATCH from Ben Kamisar Today’s Ad Watch is a reminder — voters are voting on Thursday in Tennessee for the GOP primary, a race that’s gotten quite chippy in recent weeks.
The two leading candidates in the race are former Japanese Ambassador Bill Hagerty, who has the backing of President Trump, and Manny Sethi, a doctor and medical professor.
It’s been a knock-down, drag-out fight on the airwaves, with both sides trying to frame the other as Republicans in Name Only.
Hagerty has spent the most by far on TV and radio, $4.3 million, according to Advertising Analytics, while other groups are also helping — Standing with Conservatives has spent $1.2 million and America One PAC has spent $244,000 to boost Hagerty on the airwaves.
Meanwhile, Sethi’s campaign has spent $2.5 million on TV and radio, with Protect Freedom PAC dropping another $1.1 million and the Conservative Outsider PAC spending $672,000 to help him.
Getting closer to a deal After another day of talks, it seems the White House and Democrats are inching closer to a coronavirus relief package.
NBC’s Hill team reports that both sides agree on a timeline: Finish an agreement by the end of the week and have the vote next week.
While neither side provided details on where they landed with unemployment insurance, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin told reporters, “I’d say we’ve had extensive discussions on the unemployment.”
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer’s take on the meeting was perhaps the definition of a compromise being made: not everyone is happy with everything.
“They made some concessions which we appreciated. We made some concessions which they appreciated. We’re still far away on a lot of the important issues but we’re continuing to go at it.”
THE LID: America, not exactly first Don’t miss the pod from yesterday, when we looked at how Americans are assessing the U.S. response to coronavirus in contrast to other countries around the world.
ICYMI: What ELSE is happening in the world? The president flip-flopped on his stance on mail voting, now saying that it’s reliable in Florida but not necessarily in other states.
The Trump campaign is suing Nevada over its plan to mail ballots to all registered voters.
The Trump administration is considering using the White House as the site of the president’s convention address, the latest in a sharp break with the presidential tradition of keeping campaign activity off the White House grounds.
Team Biden has a new website.
Republicans say they have a favorite Biden VP pick to go on offense against — Susan Rice.
Politico reports that Karen Bass gave a eulogy to a Communist Party USA leader. (Who is dropping the oppo on Bass?)
What exactly is going on with Kanye West? At least two people linked to his campaign are active in GOP politics.
Here’s the latest on allegations that the Secret Service detained and handcuffed two young black mothers on the National Mall without explanation.
Elizabeth Warren wants an SEC investigation into insider trading at Kodak after the photo company got a big deal to make drug ingredients.
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer gave an interview to Politico about her handling of the pandemic.
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