Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Wednesday July 15, 2020
THE DAILY SIGNAL
Jul 15, 2020
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Good morning from Washington, where the talk of the town is what a New York Times editor has to say in resigning after being bullied for her personal views. Jarrett Stepman calls it a new low in the slide of the Old Gray Lady. What’s going on with COVID-19 in Florida? Doug Badger takes a closer look. On the podcast, Heritage Foundation scholar Lee Edwards compares today’s left to what he witnessed in the ’60s. Plus: the hounding of Goya Foods’ CEO; Star Parker defends a Lincoln statue from the mob; and the miserable state of academia. On this date in 1971, President Richard Nixon announces he will visit communist China, a turning point in U.S.-China relations. |
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THE RESURGENT
THE EPOCH TIMES
Protect Your Retirement from COVID-19 with a Home Delivery Gold IRA. Delivered right to your doorstep. You don’t have to worry anymore.
“He who dares not offend cannot be honest.”
THOMAS PAINE
Good morning,
The pandemic and subsequent stay-at-home orders have worsened the drug crisis, experts say.
They estimate that overdoses have jumped by as much as 18 percent nationwide since March.
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Law Enforcement Suicide Red Flags Are Up
By Thomas Cline
The most traumatic experience a human can have is another person intentionally trying to hurt them. That’s the closest thing to evil people experience, and one does not survive unscathed. Read more
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The World Is Drowning in Debt
By Daniel Lacalle
According to the International Monetary Fund, global fiscal support in response to the crisis will be more than $9 trillion, approximately 12 percent of the world’s GDP. Read more
The Corrupt History of Mt. Gox, Once the Largest Bitcoin Exchange in the World
By Jonathan Zhou
(August 3, 2015)
In February of 2014, Mt. Gox, then the largest Bitcoin exchange in the world, was shut down and $500 million worth of Bitcoin and fiat deposits was reported missing. Read more
Just how has crony capitalism in America misled Americans about how capitalism works for the benefit of the average American?
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DAYBREAK
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THE SUNBURN
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FOX NEWS
JUST THE NEWS
THE FLIP SIDE
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AXIOS
Good morning. It’s Tax Day, extended.
⚡ Situational awareness: Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg was admitted to Johns Hopkins Hospital yesterday to treat a possible infection, and is expected to remain there for a few days. Details.
- To the delight of President Trump, former Attorney General Jeff Sessions lost the Republican nomination for his old Senate seat in Alabama to former Auburn college football coach Tommy Tuberville, 61% to 39%.
- In Texas, Trump’s former White House physician, Ronny Jackson, won the GOP nomination for a rural congressional seat.
💻 Today at 12:30 p.m. ET., Sara Fischer and Kim Hart talk with Austin Mayor Steve Adler for “The Pandemic Pivot,” an Axios virtual event on small business. Register here.
Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios
The pandemic has changed the game for U.S. businesses, pushing forward years-long shifts in workplaces, technology and buying habits — and forcing small businesses to fight just to survive, Axios Markets editor Dion Rabouin writes.
- Why it matters: These changes are providing an almost insurmountable advantage to big companies, which are positioned to come out of the recession stronger and with greater market share than ever.
What we’re hearing: “There is no doubt that the longer this pandemic pulverizes this economy, the main victims will be small and mid-sized companies,” Bernard Baumohl, chief economist at The Economic Outlook Group, tells Axios.
- “We’re seeing the whole business landscape dramatically undergo massive changes, and one part is how large companies with resources will take advantage of the troubles, travails and financial problems small companies have.”
What to watch: Big companies, which have benefited far more from congressional and Federal Reserve relief efforts, are expected to buy out or simply wait out smaller competitors.
The backstory: The Fed has provided nearly $3 trillion in liquidity since March to reopen credit and financial markets.
- Corporate titans — Apple, ExxonMobil and United Airlines — have borrowed a record amount of money, at rock bottom rates.
- The lone lifeline for small businesses has been the Payroll Protection Program, which economists have found to be inefficient and insufficient, largely excluding the businesses most in need of assistance.
- In particular, businesses with Black, women, and immigrant owners have disproportionately been shuttered because of the virus.
A recent survey of U.S. chief financial officers found the difference in outlooks between small and large firms over the next 12 months “is extreme.”
- Expectations at small businesses “have essentially collapsed,” says Keith Parker, global equity strategist at UBS Research.
- Conversely, more than 60% of large firms with sales over $2 billion expect sales growth to accelerate — 49% expect a “significant pickup.”
Florida is the new domestic epicenter of the coronavirus pandemic, and it’s on track to keep getting worse, Axios’ Caitlin Owens writes.
- Of the 20 U.S. metro areas with the highest daily case growth, nine are in Florida, according to Nephron Research.
Zoom in: “Miami is now the epicenter of the pandemic. What we were seeing in Wuhan five or six months ago, now we are there,” Lilian Abbo, an infectious disease specialist at the University of Miami, told NPR.
- Orlando, Fort Lauderdale, Fort Myers-Cape Coral, Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, Sarasota-Bradenton, Jacksonville and Pensacola are also in the top 20 metro areas, as of July 12.
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
College students overwhelmingly plan to return to campus this fall if their schools are open — and they claim they’ll sit out the fun even if it’s available, Axios’ Neal Rothschild writes from a new College Reaction/Axios poll.
- 76% of the 800 college students polled (margin of error: +/- 3.5 percentage points) say they will return to campus if they have the option.
- 66% say they would attend in-person classes.
- A striking majority say they’re planning to forgo the fun on campus: 79% say they wouldn’t attend parties, and 71% say they wouldn’t be sports spectators.
Between the lines: College students have few options and going to school may be the best choice available.
- Traditional gap year options, including travel, are out of the picture.
- Others who can’t live with parents depend on student loans and work study.
In Oxford, Miss, a marble Confederate statue at Ole Miss is lowered en route to a Civil War cemetery in a secluded area on campus. Details.
The dramatic resignation of writer and editor Bari Weiss from the N.Y. Times Opinion department is the latest aftershock from an earthquake that has rocked U.S. newsrooms amid the rise of cancel culture, Axios’ Sara Fischer reports.
- In a 1,500-world letter to publisher A.G. Sulzberger, Weiss says she was the victim of persistent bullying within the organization and warns the Times that “Twitter has become its ultimate editor.”
Weiss describes herself as a “centrist” who became a victim of “a ‘new McCarthyism’ that has taken root at the paper of record”:
- “A new consensus has emerged in the press, but perhaps especially at this paper: that truth isn’t a process of collective discovery, but an orthodoxy already known to an enlightened few whose job is to inform everyone else.”
Catch up quick: Critics charged that Weiss’ coverage of Israel, the intellectual right online and other issues contained factual errors and prized controversy.
- The Times fired Weiss’ former boss — Times Opinion editor James Bennett — last month in the wake of a controversy over publication of an op-ed by Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.).
The big picture: The reckoning around systemic racism in America has forced the media to address decades of inequality within their own newsrooms.
- But that industry-wide conversation has become more hostile against the backdrop of an increasingly hyper-partisan political environment.
- News organizations that pride themselves on presenting “both sides” in their opinion columns face challenges from activist employees who argue that some perspectives promote hate or violence.
Between the lines: These conflicts are emerging as the media industry faces a massive business transformation, moving from a reliance on corporate advertising to support from consumer subscriptions.
🥊 Also yesterday, longtime columnist and blogger Andrew Sullivan, a maverick conservative who once edited The New Republic, said he’s leaving New York magazine. In a series of tweets, Sullivan alluded to concerns similar to Weiss’.
Photo illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios. Photo: Eric Baradat/AFP via Getty Images
Joe Biden is offering hints about how he’d try and thread the political needle to move big climate and energy plans through Congress, Ben Geman writes in our daily energy newsletter, Axios Generate.
Biden yesterday unveiled plans to spend $2 trillion over four years on clean energy and climate-friendly infrastructure projects like mass transit.
- The plan also calls for policies including a requirement that power companies provide 100% zero-emissions electricity by 2035.
Biden is casting the plan as a pillar of economic recovery.
- That means that if Biden wins, big clean energy investments will likely be part of a recovery package — which means political pressure to speed up the Senate’s slow legislative gears.
In an interview with CBS News’ Catherine Herridge, President Trump bristled when asked: “Why are African Americans still dying at the hands of law enforcement in this country?”
- “And so are white people,” Trump replied. “So are white people. What a terrible question to ask. So are white people. More white people, by the way. More white people.” Video.
- Reality check: Based on population, Black people are three times as likely as white people to be killed during a police encounter, according to a study by Harvard’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health and a WashPost analysis.
🎓 Facing eight federal lawsuits and opposition from hundreds of universities, the Trump administration rescinded a rule requiring international students to transfer or leave the country if their schools held classes entirely online, per AP.
- Why it matters: The announcement brings relief to thousands of foreign students who had been at risk of being deported.
Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios
Many tech companies are realizing that their reopening plans from as recently as a few weeks ago are now too optimistic, Axios’ Ina Fried writes from S.F.
- Why it matters: Their decision to pause their return plans is the latest sign that normalcy is likely to remain elusive in the U.S.
Snapchat, which had said employees could work remotely through Sept. 1, said yesterday that period is being extended through at least Jan. 4.
ABC’s “World News Tonight” with David Muir and NBC’s “Nightly News” with Lester Holt both averaged more viewers than any single program in prime time last week, AP’s David Bauder writes.
- “World News Tonight” averaged 9 million viewers, according to Nielsen.
- “Nightly News” had 7.6 million.
The week’s top prime-time program was “60 Minutes” on CBS, with 7.05 million.
- The “CBS Evening News” with Norah O’Donnell had 5.3 million.
Arianna Huffington (“Mother. Sister. @HuffPost Founder. Founder & CEO of @Thrive Global”) turns 7-0 today, and tells readers:
[A]s I read back through half a century of notes, I’m struck by four things. First, by how early I knew what really mattered in life. Second, how bad I was at acting on that knowledge. Third, how draining and depleting all my worries and fears were. And fourth, how little those worries and fears turned out to matter.
Now, with 70 almost here during lockdown, I see how much easier it is at 70 than it was at 30 to live the life I always wanted to live.
📱 Thanks for reading Axios AM. Please invite your friends to sign up here.
THE WASHINGTON POST MORNING HEADLINES
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THE WASHINGTON TIMES
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THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER
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Copyright © 2020 MEDIADC, All rights reserved.Washington Examiner | A MediaDC Publication 1152 15th Street NW Suite 200 | Washington, DC 20005 |
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CHICAGO TRIBUNE
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PRO TRUMP NEWS
THE HILL
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ROLL CALL
Morning Headlines
The former White House physician under President Donald Trump as well as three other Republicans are likely heading to Congress next year after winning primary runoffs in ruby-red districts Tuesday. Read More…
Former Attorney General Jeff Sessions’ hopes for a political comeback were dashed Tuesday by former Auburn University football coach Tommy Tuberville and President Donald Trump. Tuberville had Trump’s backing in the Republican primary runoff to take on Alabama Democratic Sen. Doug Jones. Read More…
DSCC-backed Sara Gideon wins primary to face Sen. Susan Collins in Maine
National Democrats got their preferred Senate candidate in Maine on Tuesday night, with state House Speaker Sara Gideon set to take on Sen. Susan Collins and reap a windfall raised to defeat her. Read More…
Click here to subscribe to Fintech Beat for the latest market and regulatory developmentsin finance and financial technology.
Kansas GOP Rep. Steve Watkins charged with voter fraud
Three weeks before a competitive primary, Kansas GOP Rep. Steve Watkins was charged Tuesday with voter fraud, according to multiple local media reports. Watkins was under investigation for illegally voting in a Topeka election in 2019. Read More…
Watch: As Arizona COVID-19 cases surge, this mom calls for empathy toward kids with disabilities
Amid the ongoing debate over whether and how to reopen schools in the fall, one Arizona mother is calling for greater empathy toward high-risk children like her son Sebastian, who has a rare brain disorder that puts him at a greater risk for complications from COVID-19. Read More…
Mondaire Jones poised to become first gay Black man in Congress
Attorney Mondaire Jones is poised to become the first openly gay Black man in Congress after winning a crowded Democratic primary in New York’s 17th District. But he may share that distinction with another New York Democrat whose primary has yet to be called. Read More…
Rep. Griffith tests positive for coronavirus days after speaking with unmasked members
Rep. Morgan Griffith is self-quarantining and has notified colleagues with whom he has been in contact recently after experiencing symptoms and testing positive for the coronavirus. Read More…
CQ Roll Call is a part of FiscalNote, the leading technology innovator at the intersection of global business and government. Copyright 2020 CQ Roll Call. All rights reserved Privacy | Safely unsubscribe now.
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POLITICO PLAYBOOK
What’s going on at the White House?
DRIVING THE DAY
FOUR YEARS AGO TODAY: DONALD TRUMP announced MIKE PENCE as his running mate.
WE USUALLY USE THIS SPACE to try to pose smart questions about strategy, highlight deep reporting from inside the halls of Congress or the White House or say something provocative to start a conversation.
BUT THIS MORNING, our question is simple: What is going on in the White House? It seems as if the president and his aides are in the midst of a fever dream, bereft of strategy, confused, listless, restless, uncomfortable and desperate.
NOW, IF YOU ASK some people in the White House, they may scoff and say that the media is always wrong, so pipe down and do your job. But let’s just review the last day:
— AT 10:05 TUESDAY NIGHT, IVANKA TRUMP posted a bizarre photo to Twitter of her holding a Goya bean can, with this caption: “If it’s Goya, it has to be good. Si es Goya, tiene que ser bueno.” Yes, we understand that the chief executive of Goya appears to be a TRUMP fan, and that’s angered some liberals. But … this is … just weird.
IT ALSO MAY BE ILLEGAL, IVANKA: “Executive branch employees may not use their Government positions to suggest that the agency or any part of the executive branch endorses an organization (including a nonprofit organization), product, service, or person.” The regulation … The applicable U.S. code
— TRUMP used a CBS interview with CATHERINE HERRIDGE to push back against bans on the Confederate flag. He said many people like the battle flag and don’t link it to slavery. “All I say is freedom of speech — it’s very simple.” He likened it to the phrase “Black lives matter” — but he called that a symbol of hate.
WHEN ASKED why Black people were dying at the hands of police, he said it was a terrible question. “So are white people. So are white people. What a terrible question to ask. So are white people. More white people by the way. More white people.” Fact check
— IN AN INTERVIEW WITH TOWNHALL — the conservative site — TRUMP defended the white St. Louis couple that was standing outside their home with guns to greet a Black Lives Matter march by saying the protesters were likely to beat them up and burn down or ransack their home. There’s no evidence any of that was about to happen.
— TRUMP gave an at-times incoherent — and to some aides, alarming — Rose Garden news conference Tuesday evening. NYT’S PETER BAKER, a top chronicler of four presidents, said: “Even for a president who rarely sticks to the script and wanders from thought to thought, it was one of the most rambling performances of his presidency.”
BAKER, on A17: “He weighed in on China and the coronavirus and the Paris climate change accord and crumbling highways. And then China again and military spending and then China again and then the coronavirus again. And the economy and energy taxes and trade with Europe and illegal immigration and his friendship with Mexico’s president. And the coronavirus again and then immigration again and crime in Chicago and the death penalty and back to climate change and education and historical statues. And more. …
“At times, it was hard to understand what he meant. He seemed to suggest that his presumptive Democratic challenger, former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., would get rid of windows if elected and later said that Mr. Biden would ‘abolish the suburbs.’ He complained that Mr. Biden had ‘gone so far right.’ (He meant left.) …
“For instance, in discussing cooperation agreements with Central American countries to stop illegal immigration, he had this to say: ‘We have great agreements where when Biden and Obama used to bring killers out, they would say don’t bring them back to our country, we don’t want them. Well, we have to, we don’t want them. They wouldn’t take them. Now with us, they take them. Someday, I’ll tell you why. Someday, I’ll tell you why.
“‘But they take them and they take them very gladly. They used to bring them out and they wouldn’t even let the airplanes land if they brought them back by airplanes. They wouldn’t let the buses into their country. They said we don’t want them. Said no, but they entered our country illegally and they’re murderers, they’re killers in some cases.’”
— THE WHITE HOUSE SPENT DAYS suggesting that they hadn’t sanctioned a hit campaign on ANTHONY FAUCI. Yet this morning, the nation’s largest newspaper — USA Today — is carrying an op-ed from the president’s top trade adviser, PETER NAVARRO, with this headline: “Anthony Fauci has been wrong about everything I have interacted with him on.”
MAYBE AT SOME POINT, the president’s aides will convince him that there is a message to stick by — or maybe they believe what we just reviewed is the message that will work. Either way, two things seem consistent at this point: the president’s zigzagging, and the polls that have JOE BIDEN up by healthy margins across the country.
THIS WEEK’S POLITICO/MORNING CONSULT POLL has 28% of respondents saying the country is headed in the right direction, and 72% saying it’s gone off on the wrong track.
— TRUMP’S APPROVAL is 41% and disapproval is 56%.
Good Wednesday morning.
AP: “Justice Ginsburg treated in hospital for possible infection,” by Mark Sherman: “The court said that the 87-year-old Ginsburg went to a hospital in Washington on Monday evening after experiencing fever and chills. She then underwent a procedure at Johns Hopkins Hospital in Baltimore on Tuesday afternoon to clean out a bile duct stent that was placed last August when she was treated for a cancerous tumor on her pancreas. The statement said the justice ‘is resting comfortably and will stay in the hospital for a few days to receive intravenous antibiotic treatment.’”
FRONTS: NYT, with Elaina Plott in Mobile, Ala., and Jonathan Martin: “Sessions Loses Race for Senate, Paying Price for Trump’s Wrath.” … N.Y. POST, with BARI WEISS on the cover … WSJ
DRIVING TODAY: Secretary of State MIKE POMPEO will speak in the State Department briefing room at 10 a.m. … TRUMP in Georgia … Speaker NANCY PELOSI will speak at 2:30 p.m. about coronavirus funding .
BELIEVE IT OR NOT, we are 78 DAYS ahead of the government running out of money. And THE SQUAD has a new red line for the government funding battle. Reps. ALEXANDRIA OCASIO-CORTEZ (D-N.Y.), ILHAN OMAR (D-Minn.), RASHIDA TLAIB (D-Mich.) and AYANNA PRESSLEY (D-Mass.) sent us this statement:
“AS WE CONTINUE THROUGH appropriations season, it is important to remember the lessons of last year. In 2019, as thousands of migrant families were held in cages and detained in horrific conditions along the southern border, the President requested and Congress handed over an additional $112 million in funding to CBP, which was intended to be used for food and medical care. In June, a report unveiled by the GAO, an independent government watchdog, found that these taxpayer funds were instead used on dirt bikes, ATVs and other unnecessary items.
“LAST YEAR the four of us voted against this CBP funding, clear eyed that CBP and ICE are rogue agencies that act to inflict harm on our communities and have a pattern of behavior of abuse and mismanagement of funds. This year, the House must hold CBP accountable for their egregious violation of the law by withholding any further funding and imposing additional accountability measures with real consequences.”
— TRANSLATION: The Squad wants to make CBP/ICE funding a big issue in the next round of government spending. They want no additional funding — and plan to fight for that.
FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — THE COMMITTEE TO DEFEND THE PRESIDENT, a pro-Trump super PAC, is going up today with a new ad hammering BIDEN hard on race. THE SCRIPT: “Black lives do matter. But one presidential candidate disagrees. He’s partnered with segregationists. Praised KKK members. Wrote a bill that targeted and incarcerated Black Americans. Was caught on the record repeating the n-word, twice. And even claimed that integrating education would turn our schools into ‘a racial jungle.’ That presidential candidate is: Joe Biden.” The 30-second spot
— THE SUPER PAC is spending more than $500,000 to run the ad for at least a week on Fox News nationwide, North Carolina cable stations, Raleigh broadcast stations and social media, where it’s targeting independents and “soft” Republicans and expects to reach 1 million people.
— ONE OF THE AD’S CLAIMS is selectively edited: Biden said the n-word at a 1985 Voting Rights Act hearing, where he was quoting an allegation about what a Louisiana legislator had said. The full clip from Mediaite
CUTTING OUT THE CDC — “Trump Administration Strips C.D.C. of Control of Coronavirus Data,” by NYT’s Sheryl Gay Stolberg: “The Trump administration has ordered hospitals to bypass the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and send all Covid-19 patient information to a central database in Washington beginning on Wednesday. The move has alarmed health experts who fear the data will be politicized or withheld from the public.
“The new instructions were posted recently in a little-noticed document on the Department of Health and Human Services website. From now on, the department — not the C.D.C. — will collect daily reports about the patients that each hospital is treating, the number of available beds and ventilators, and other information vital to tracking the pandemic.
“Officials say the change will streamline data gathering and assist the White House coronavirus task force in allocating scarce supplies like personal protective gear and remdesivir, the first drug shown to be effective against the virus. But the Health and Human Services database that will receive new information is not open to the public, which could affect the work of scores of researchers, modelers and health officials who rely on C.D.C. data to make projections and crucial decisions.” The HHS document
— “Trump administration recommends the National Guard as an option to help hospitals report coronavirus data,” by WaPo’s Lena Sun and Amy Goldstein
AND THIS — “Trump administration drops plan to deport international students in online-only classes,” by Juan Perez, Jr.: “Two of the country’s top universities won a major victory over the Trump administration on Tuesday, after the government agreed to halt its plan to deport international college students who only use online courses to study this fall.
“The decision marks a stunning retreat for the Trump administration, which left schools and students reeling following a July 6 announcement that spurred lawsuits and condemnation from a growing list of states, schools, politicians, labor unions and tech sector giants …
“Harvard and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology sued both DHS and Immigration and Customs Enforcement last week, days after the government warned schools it would begin to reinstate tight restrictions on the number of online classes foreign students are allowed to take while they study inside the U.S. That overall case is pending, and it’s not clear what the administration’s next move will be.”
PRIMARY RESULTS … STEVEN SHEPARD and JAMES ARKIN: “Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Trump humiliates Sessions, Senate battleground hardens”: “Trump won the races he cared about … National Democrats extended their perfect Senate primary record … Maine’s supercharged Senate race gets another kick … The Trump wing is winning the battle for the GOP … Battleground Texas takes shape”
— “MJ Hegar claims victory over Royce West in Democratic runoff for U.S. Senate,” by Texas Tribune’s Patrick Svitek
MARY TRUMP will be on RACHEL MADDOW’S show Thursday at 9 p.m. on MSNBC. The interview will likely be for the full hour. It’s Trump’s first cable interview. Earlier, Trump gave an interview to ABC that has begun to air.
PPP PROBLEMS — “Faulty data collection raises questions about Trump’s claims on PPP program,” by WaPo’s Jonathan O’Connell, Emma Brown, Steven Rich and Aaron Gregg: “A trove of data on $517 billion in emergency small-business loans contains numerous errors that cast doubt on the Trump administration’s jobs claims and obscure the real economic impact of the program, according to a Washington Post analysis and interviews with bankers and borrowers.”
— WSJ: “‘This Is Not a Normal Recession’: Banks Ready for Wave of Coronavirus Defaults,” by Ben Eisen and David Benoit: “JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. said Tuesday they took large hits to their second-quarter profits to collectively stockpile $28 billion to cover losses as consumers and businesses start to default on their loans.
“The provisions amount to a sharp increase above what they put away in the first three months of the year, reflecting a shift in their assumptions about the length and severity of the pandemic’s economic toll. JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank by assets, said it put aside extra to prepare for an unemployment rate that remains at double digits well into next year and a slower recovery in gross domestic product than the bank’s economists assumed three months ago.”
CORONAVIRUS RAGING …
— CNN’S MANU RAJU and ALI ZASLAV: “Mitch McConnell warns Kentucky about coronavirus surge as Trump downplays pandemic”
— “Newsom, Garcetti face political distress as California locks down again,” by Carla Marinucci, Jeremy White and David Siders: “It’s taken four months and 7,000 deaths for Gov. Gavin Newsom and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti — high-profile California Democrats with even higher political aspirations — to go from vanguards to nearly vanquished in the fight against Covid-19.
“Newsom’s early success in the Covid-19 crisis turned into a sobering reversal Monday after the state flared into a deadly hot spot, prompting the governor to impose the nation’s most sweeping reclosure to contain the alarming outbreak.
“Garcetti, likewise vaunted for swift action in March, warned that the nation’s second largest city is now on the brink of emergency ‘red’ status and could face another complete shutdown. The two leaders have been buffeted throughout the crisis by countervailing demands: businesses and local politicians clamoring to reopen and health officials warning that overly hasty moves would reverse months of painfully earned progress. But now, with numbers exploding, a chorus of critics are second-guessing how the California governor and LA mayor reopened businesses.”
— “Arlington Public Schools switches to remote learning for fall, reversing course,” by WaPo’s Hannah Natanson: “In a surprise move, Arlington Public Schools is scrapping a plan to offer in-person and virtual learning this fall and will instead require its 28,000 students to start the school year 100 percent online.
“The district’s superintendent, Francisco Durán, announced the switch in an email to families Tuesday afternoon, citing a recent increase in coronavirus cases nationwide. He also wrote that he is proposing that the school system push back the start of the school year by about a week to give teachers and administrators more time to prepare.”
GABBY ORR: “Trump confronts a campaign without rallies”: “In the days after President Donald Trump’s poorly attended rally in Tulsa, Okla., senior campaign aides repeatedly assured their optics-obsessed boss it was a one-off debacle. They demoted a longtime staffer who had managed logistics for the failed campaign comeback. They went to work locating the perfect site for a do-over MAGA rally large enough to quell suggestions of declining enthusiasm among Trump’s base. And they quickly settled on New Hampshire, the state that jump-started Trump’s political movement four years ago and managed to dodge the brunt of Covid-19 during its rapid spread across the Northeast this spring.
“Then it all fell apart with a Friday afternoon phone call from campaign manager Brad Parscale. The abrupt cancellation of the airport-hangar event — which the Trump team blamed on an incoming tropical storm that never materialized, but three officials privately attributed to concerns about attendance — underscored the recurring challenge Trump aides face: Recreate the president’s marquee campaign rallies amid a once-in-a-century health crisis without upsetting a boss who views crowd size as a leading metric for evaluating his campaign’s success.
“It also raised questions about the fate of down-ballot Republicans if the coattail effect — an incumbent president’s ability to attract votes for other candidates in his party — is no longer guaranteed.”
JOHN BRESNAHAN and ALLY MUTNICK: “Kansas Republican Rep. Steve Watkins charged with voter fraud”: “Kansas GOP Rep. Steve Watkins was charged with three felony counts of voter fraud related to the 2019 municipal elections, according to court records. Watkins, a freshman lawmaker, was charged by Shawnee County District Attorney Michael Kagay with ‘Interference with a law enforcement officer, falsely report a felony intending to obstruct; voting without being qualified; and knowingly mark/transmit more than one advance ballot,’ according to Shawnee County court records.
“Watkins also faces a misdemeanor charge of failing to tell the Department of Motor Vehicles of his address change. Kagay’s office could not be reached for comment.” POLITICO
TRUMP’S WEDNESDAY — The president will receive a law enforcement briefing on the “takedown of key MS-13 criminal leaders” at 11 a.m. in the Oval Office. He will leave the White House at 1 p.m. en route to Atlanta. He will deliver a speech focused on infrastructure at 3:10 p.m. at the UPS Hapeville Airport Hub. At 4:10 p.m., he will depart and head back to Washington. He will arrive at the White House at 6:15 p.m.
PLAYBOOK READS
KATY O’DONNELL: “HUD defies calls to withdraw controversial fair housing proposal”: “The Trump administration is resisting calls — even from political allies — to withdraw a proposal to make it more difficult to bring discrimination claims under the Fair Housing Act, even as the nation reckons with racial unrest, according to a letter obtained by POLITICO.
“Deputy Housing and Urban Development Secretary Brian Montgomery reaffirmed HUD’s plans to issue a final rule later this year in a letter Tuesday to Bank of America Vice Chairman Anne Finucane, who had urged HUD to drop the effort in a letter last month, citing ‘recent protests and events.’ Montgomery responded that HUD has ‘never ceased working to achieve more equitable results and to correct for past errors, regardless of who is setting policy.’”
FLORIDA, MAN — “Florida Democrats took coronavirus aid. Now they face a reckoning,” by Matt Dixon in Tallahassee: “Florida Democratic Party officials are weighing whether to oust Chair Terrie Rizzo after the party accepted federal aid intended to help small businesses hammered by the coronavirus pandemic, according to two people with knowledge of the discussions.
“During a July 8 virtual meeting not previously reported, members of the Budget and Finance Committee demanded to know why the party had accepted the loan money and why they weren’t informed about the decision. They made it clear that the move could cost party officials their jobs when the party reorganizes after the November election.
“‘It was a very tense and blunt meeting and, yes, it was implied that they could all be removed when our party reorganizes later this year,’ said a party official who attended the meeting, which was held by videoconference.” POLITICO
— MARC CAPUTO in Miami: “Florida GOP doctors Trump tweet to solve mail-in voting problem”: “President Donald Trump’s harsh rhetoric against mail-in voting is causing a big problem for Florida Republicans, who once dominated the practice here. So the state GOP came up with a solution: They doctored one of Trump’s tweets on the issue to remove the stigma.
“In a mass-solicitation designed to boost flagging interest in registering to vote by mail, the Republican Party of Florida featured a Trump tweet from June 28 that praised absentee ballots but that had his opposition to mail-in voting strategically edited out.”
MEDIAWATCH — “Longtime columnist and blogger Andrew Sullivan resigns from New York magazine,” by CNN Business’ Kerry Flynn: “‘This will be my last week at New York Magazine,’ Sullivan tweeted. ‘I’m sad because the editors I worked with there are among the finest in the country, and I am immensely grateful to them for vastly improving my work. I’m also proud of the essays and columns I wrote at NYM – some of which will be published in a collection of my writing scheduled for next year.’
“Sullivan did not directly state his reason for leaving but said on Twitter that it was ‘pretty self-evident’ and the ‘broader questions involved’ would be discussed in his last column on Friday.” CNN … NYT’s Ben Smith posts a note from New York editor David Haskell
BOOK CLUB — “W H Allen scoops ex-FT editor Barber’s diaries,” by The Bookseller’s Mark Chandler: “W H Allen has scooped the diaries of former Financial Times editor Lionel Barber, offering portraits of global figures such as Donald Trump, Barack Obama and Vladimir Putin. ‘The Powerful and the Damned: Private Diaries in Turbulent Times’ will be released on 5th November 2020.”
PLAYBOOKERS
Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.
SPOTTED: Sen. David Perdue (R-Ga.) on a Delta flight Tuesday from Atlanta to DCA, wearing a mask.
TRANSITION/WEDDING! — Brad Elkins is now campaign manager for Mike Cooney, the Democratic nominee for Montana governor. He’s an adviser to New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham and a veteran Democratic campaign staffer. He also got married July 8 to Adrianne Lytle, principal at Coyote Willow Family School in Albuquerque. They met on Tinder, and planned to have a June wedding before the pandemic hit. Instead they decided to elope before he left town, and got married on top of Sandia Peak. Pic … Another pic
FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — John Brandt is now VP of public affairs at ROKK Solutions. He previously was manager of policy comms and corporate responsibility at the Public Affairs Council, and is a Fox News alum.
TRANSITIONS — Grace Diana is now deputy executive director of the National Science and Technology Council. She previously was policy adviser in the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. … Mustafa Riffat is joining Edelman as an EVP in New York. He most recently has been a director at Brunswick Group. …
… Former Rep. Jane Harman (D-Calif.) announced she will step down as president and CEO of the Wilson Center when her contract expires in February. … LaTosha Brown has been named the 2020-2021 American Democracy Fellow at Harvard’s Warren Center for Studies in American History. She is the co-founder of Black Voters Matter Fund.
WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Benny Johnson, chief creative officer at Turning Point USA, and Katelyn Johnson, associate director of medical services at Paralyzed Veterans of America, welcomed Ellouise Ellyn Johnson on Monday. Pic … Another pic
— Mark Copeland, senior policy adviser for Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.), and Anne Knapke, a senior program officer at the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, welcomed George Henry Francis Copeland on June 18.
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: CFTC Chairman Heath Tarbert. How he thinks the Trump presidency is going: “The president couldn’t have put together a better team of financial regulators. I think we’ve been an effective team, particularly when you think about the historic market stresses caused by the pandemic. The markets bent but they didn’t break, and that’s a testament to a sound regulatory approach from the top down. In the case of the derivatives markets, which the CFTC regulates, they actually acted as shock absorbers, internalizing the impact of market swings.” Playbook Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Rep. Mac Thornberry (R-Texas) is 62 … Rep. David Cicilline (D-R.I.) is 59 … Rep. Dan Lipinski (D-Ill.) is 54 … Rep. Chris Stewart (R-Utah) is 6-0 … Paul Kane, senior congressional correspondent at WaPo, is 5-0 (h/t Douglas Heye) … Chris LaCivita is 54 … Arianna Huffington is 7-0 … JPMorgan Chase’s Heather Higginbottom (h/t husband Daniel Sepulveda) … Penn Staples … Cecile Richards, co-founder of Supermajority (h/ts Jon Haber) … Jeremy Bird, VP of public engagement at Lyft (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) … Chris Krepich, comms director for Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R-Ohio) (h/t Jess Andrews) … Jim Merrill of New Hampshire … Bloomberg’s Liana B. Baker and Jodi Schneider … Svetlana Legetic … Tia Bogeljic, a legislative assistant for Rep. Ed Perlmutter (D-Colo.), is 27 (h/t Justin Folsom) … Amanda Fernandez … Alex Lasry (h/t Melanie Fonder Kaye) … David Miliband is 55 … Daily Beast media reporter Max Tani …
… former Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.) is 68 … Jared Pavan … Catherine Moeder-Brady … POLITICO’s Rebecca Moore and Sheerica Ware Wilkins … Hayley Arader … Iowa state Sen. Zach Wahls … Dan Hewitt, chief comms officer at Gearbox Software … Ken Simpler … Chad Stovall … Ariel Zirulnick … Alaska state Rep. Andy Josephson is 56 … Dr. David Lippman is 75 … Elliot Gerson, EVP at the Aspen Institute, is 68 … Susan McCue (h/t Tim Burger) … Lindsey Becker, VP at Nasdaq … Elizabeth Reyes … Wallis Annenberg is 81 … Ericka Perryman … Katie Patru … Andrew Usyk … Mark Palmer, partner at Brunswick Group … Hassanal Bolkiah, sultan of Brunei, is 74 … Séverine de Lartigue … Dan Auger … Michael Francisco … Taylor Lindman … Alison Kenworthy … Jackie Spinner … Hilary Leighty … Jamil Poonja … Helen Hare … Bekah Geffert … Campbell Roth … Marisa McAuliffe (h/t Chris Ortman) … Deb Rosen … Erica Fein … Babak Talebi is 41
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AMERICAN MINUTE
CAFFEINATED THOUGHTS
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CONSERVATIVE DAILY NEWS
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PJ MEDIA
The Morning Briefing: Give Up Hope, All Ye Who Entered 2020—The Year Is Dead
The Little Year That Couldn’t
Happy Hump Day, dear Morning Briefing readers. This isn’t about any specific news item today. It’s more about creeping ennui I’ve been feeling about the rest of the year during the second round of shutdowns. Sure, it’s summertime and it has been blazing hot here in Arizona for what seems like months, but this listlessness I’m feeling is from the realization that I’m not going to be looking forward to anything for a while. The year is toast. We might be shut down until 2025 now.
Don’t blame me, I really to want to be more optimistic about the year. In fact, I even crowdsourced this on Twitter before I began writing. For the record, the Twitter faithful were in favor of me being either optimistic or agnostic. No one voted for pessimism.
Still, this year has been enough to suck the fun out of even me at times. And I am super pro-fun, even during plague years.
It’s not that there weren’t plenty of upsetting news stories to pick from yesterday. If I had to choose one, it would be the story about Bari Weiss leaving The New York Times. While it’s true that I always expect the worst from the Times, what’s been going on there in the past month is truly journalism’s death rattle in the U.S. There are a lot of things that are being canceled this year, and the Times has been purging any voice that isn’t far, far left.
This to me is more disturbing than the protesting brats in the streets. Their end game, of course, is the breakdown of our institutions, but most of those kids are impotent. What’s happening at the Times is a venerable institution breaking down before our eyes. But hey, 2020, right?
What’s got me going this time was yet another mask edict, this time in Oregon. This came a day after Gavin Newsom shut down things in California again. That came two weeks after we shut down a lot of things here in Arizona.
My gut feeling now tells me one of two things: if we do open back up we will be shut down again or we’re all done for the rest of the year.
When I discuss this with conservative friends they’re convinced that we won’t be shut down for the rest of the year, but just until after the election. Even if that is the case, most of the year is shot anyway.
One big reason that I think we’re done for the year is that the officials making decisions are still mostly winging it. We know more than we did about coronavirus now than we did in March, but it’s still largely a mystery. At this point it’s easier for elected officials to just keep things closed for the year than risk the bad publicity of opening up again and having to shut down a third time.
I watched my first baseball game of the year yesterday so you’d think I’d be more upbeat. Sure, it was just an intrasquad Dodgers game, but it was baseball. What I think will probably happen is that they’ll start playing, a few guys will test positive, and then MLB pulls the plug on the season. Same with the other sports.
So I’m done looking forward to things this year. I suppose I could look forward to next year, but there is no guarantee that this madness will be constrained by a calendar.
Let’s all meet back here next year at this time and pretend none of this ever happened, shall we?
Granny Maojackets Crawled Out of Her Box of Franzia and Said Stupid Stuff
True. She transcends pathetic.
He’ll Be the Next Democratic Nominee for President
PJM Linktank
WaPo Factchecker Glenn Kessler Gets Schooled on Trump Immigration Plans
Justice Ginsberg Hospitalized With Possible Infection
Have We Hit Peak Mask-Shaming?
BOOM. Fox News Continues Ratings Dominance as Hannity Trounces Maddow Again
Los Angeles Teachers Union Demands Money and Political Action to Reopen Schools
Biden Unveils Green Energy Plan That Promises ‘Zero Emissions’ by 2050
It’s Trump vs. Sessions in Alabama GOP Senate Primary
School Districts Decisions to Reopen Based on Politics, Not Science
Georgia Democrat Defends Trump, Eviscerates Black Lives Matter Narrative
Clueless: Portland Mayor Blames Trump for ‘Escalating’ Antifa and BLM Riots
More Proof a Mail-In Ballot Election Will Be a Disaster
Study Finds Coronavirus Immunity May Be Fleeting
SHOCKED FACE. Wow! GOP ‘Never Trumpers’ Are Paid by a ‘Radical’ Leftist Billionaire
VodkaPundit: Insanity Wrap #5: The World Turned Right Side Up
Battle in ‘Bama: Sessions Faces Tuberville (And Trump) In the Republican Senate Primary Runoff
Voters Saw Joe Biden Moving Left Even Before the Horrific Unity Platform
Beyond City Council Chambers and Newsrooms, Americans Still Back the Blue
Christian Theologian Says Christians Should Be ‘Delighted’ at Hagia Sophia Becoming a Mosque
VIP
Kruiser’s Worst Week Ever: De Blasio’s Priorities Have a Frightening Body Count
What’s Behind the Left’s Insane Push to Blame Trump for the Riots?
The Atlanta Wendy’s Where Rayshard Brooks Got Shot Has Been Demolished
The Kruiser Kabana Episode 52: Don’t Let the Liberal B*****ds Get You Down
VIP Gold
The Riots In Portland Never End
From the Mothership and Beyond
Fertility rate: ‘Jaw-dropping’ global crash in children being born
Reward the criminals again. New Charges For Albuquerque Man In Statue Protest Shooting
Florida Cities Want Power To Impose Local Gun Laws
VA Judge Grants Partial Injunction Against New Background Check Law
WEIRD HUH. Shootings Soar After Portland Ends Police Gun Violence Reduction Team
Protester Charged With Assault In St. Louis. Are The McCloskeys Next?
Katie interviews POTUS 1: EXCLUSIVE: President Trump Defends Armed McCloskey Family Against the Mob
Dana Loesch Shreds AOC Advocating to Defund the NYPD: ‘Your Response Overlooks the Main Point’
The First Wuhan Coronavirus Vaccine Has Promising Results
The Time for School Choice Is Now
Well, I Would Hope So: Jeffrey Epstein’s Sex Trafficking Pal Denied Bail
MSNBC Host’s Face After Pediatricians Say It’s Time to Send Kids Back to School Is Priceless
President Trump Signs Legislation Sanctioning Chinese Officials Over Hong Kong National Security Law
Why not? Colorado Squirrel Tests Positive for the Bubonic Plague
There’s a Huge Issue With Florida’s COVID Positivity Rates
Coronavirus: ‘Lego helped me get out of bed’
The Left’s Anti-Reality – To Which We All Must Submit
The History Behind Washington Redskins’ Logo Makes It All the More Disappointing They’re Dropping It
US Navy Destroyer Performs Freedom-Of-Navigation Operation In South China Sea
Baltimore’s Incoming Mayor Already Getting Off To A Bad Start On Corruption Reform
Today’s Great Mystery: Why Did California Trash Over 100,000 Mail-In Ballots In March?
Brooklyn Borough President: NYPD Should Bring Back Anti-Crime Units And Stop The Violence
Medical Professionals Criticize Report That Attempts To Clean Up Cuomo’s Nursing Home Disaster
Biden launches new ad in NC, but Trump heavily outspending him on the airwaves
SHAQUILLE O’NEALGOOD SAMARITAN ACT CAUGHT ON VIDEO… Helped Stranded Driver
Bee Me
The Kruiser Kabana
I don’t remember if I’ve used this before (going to have to start cataloging these things) but I love it. The video is shaky but it’s worth it. The interview with Carson after is good too.
How’s everyone else’s COVID time loop going?
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Kruiser Twitter
Kruiser Facebook
PJ Media Senior Columnist and Associate Editor Stephen Kruiser is the author of “Don’t Let the Hippies Shower” and “Straight Outta Feelings: Political Zen in the Age of Outrage,” both of which address serious subjects in a humorous way. Monday through Friday he edits PJ Media’s “Morning Briefing.” His columns appear twice a week.
WHITE HOUSE DOSSIER
THE DISPATCH
The Morning Dispatch: Is TikTok Running Out of Time?
Plus, an analysis of the Supreme Court term.
The Dispatch Staff | 2 hr | 2 |
Happy Wednesday! Your Morning Dispatchers have never related to anything more than Kanye West making a big pronouncement (that he was running for president), finding out actual work was involved (gathering enough signatures to qualify for state ballots), and immediately giving up (announcing, via a spokesman, that “he’s out” of the race).
A reminder: This is the version of TMD available to non-paying readers. We’re happy you’ve made The Dispatch part of your morning routine, and we hope you’re enjoying The Morning Dispatch and the rest of our free editorial offerings. If you do, we hope you’ll consider joining us as a paying member. In addition to the full version of TMD each day, you’ll get extra editions of French Press, the G-File, Vital Interests, and our other paid products. And members can engage with the authors and with one another in the discussion threads at the end of each of our articles and newsletters. If this appeals to you, we hope you’ll please join now.
Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories
- As of Tuesday night, 3,431,574 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in the United States (an increase of 68,518 from yesterday) and 136,466 deaths have been attributed to the virus (an increase of 861 from yesterday), according to the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard, leading to a mortality rate among confirmed cases of 4 percent (the true mortality rate is likely much lower, between 0.4 percent and 1.4 percent, but it’s impossible to determine precisely due to incomplete testing regimens). Of 41,764,557 coronavirus tests conducted in the United States (761,681 conducted since yesterday), 8.2 percent have come back positive.
- A study run by the National Institutes of Health found that Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine “induced anti–SARS-CoV-2 immune responses in all participants, and no trial-limiting safety concerns were identified.” Moderna plans to begin a Phase 3 trial with 30,000 patients on July 27.
- Following a lawsuit brought by Harvard and MIT, the Trump administration reversed itself on a recently announced rule that would have required international students on visas to leave the country if their schools offered only online courses in the fall.
- Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 87, was admitted to Johns Hopkins Hospital yesterday morning “for treatment of a possible infection.” A Supreme Court spokeswoman said Ginsburg is “resting comfortably and will stay in the hospital for a few days to receive intravenous antibiotic treatment.”
- The British government announced on Tuesday that the U.K. will reverse course and ban Huawei equipment from the country’s 5G wireless network.
- Jeff Sessions—longtime Republican senator from Alabama, early Donald Trump endorser, and erstwhile attorney general—was defeated in his quest to regain his senate seat by former college football coach Tommy Tuberville. Tuberville, who Trump backed in the primary, will face Democratic incumbent Doug Jones in November.
- Joe Biden signaled openness to the elimination of the Senate filibuster if he is elected in November, which would allow legislation to pass through the chamber with a simple majority vote. “I think it’s gonna depend on how obstreperous [senate Republicans] become,” he said. The decision, ultimately, would have to be made by a simple majority of senators.
- Biden also unveiled a $2 trillion plan to expand clean energy and revitalize the country’s infrastructure on Tuesday. The plan will “mobilize millions of jobs by building sustainable infrastructure and an equitable clean energy future,” Biden claimed.
- Rep. Steve Watkins, a Republican freshman from Kansas, was charged on Tuesday with three felonies: Voting without being qualified, knowingly marking/transmitting more than one advance ballot, and interfering with law enforcement.
- Death row inmate Daniel Lee Lewis was administered a lethal injection of pentobarbital yesterday morning, marking the first federal execution since 2003.
- Two weeks after the Chinese government’s new national security law targeting dissent in Hong Kong went into effect, President Trump signed into law the Hong Kong Sanctions Act, which will impose sanctions on Chinese officials and companies complicit in the crackdown on dissent within the formerly autonomous region.
TikTok: Chinese Tech May Be Running Out of Time in the U.S.
Tensions between China and the U.S. have grown following military movement in the South China Sea, several rounds of a trade war, and, most recently, mounting evidence that the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP’s) malpractice and dishonesty in dealing with the COVID-19 virus—which likely originated in Wuhan—contributed significantly to its global spread.
One of the Trump administration’s justifications for its trade war with China has been forced technology transfer: The process by which “a domestic government forces foreign businesses to share their tech in exchange for market access.” The two countries struck a preliminary deal back in January that would theoretically limit this practice, but to quote Jeff Goldblum’s character in Jurassic Park, “Life, uh, finds a way.” China’s mercantilist economy means that most major Chinese companies answer—in one way or another—to the CCP. And U.S. officials have long raised a number of alarms regarding Chinese information technology and social media companies, citing concerns they might spread propaganda or steal Americans intellectual property.
Takeaways From the SCOTUS Term
The first full Supreme Court term featuring both Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh is in the books. For some conservatives who entered the year with a lengthy judicial wish list, it was a more frustrating term than expected, with the court seeming to favor the “progressive” cause in several high-profile cases. Sen. Josh Hawley is a bombastic orator, but plenty of social conservatives nodded along when he decried the court’s decision in Bostock to extend Title VII protections to gay and transgender Americans as “the end of the conservative legal movement.”
For Hawley and others, the story of the term was frustrated expectations. The replacement of Anthony Kennedy with Brett Kavanaugh did not bring about the conservative stranglehold on the court that was supposed to be a primary payoff of the Trump presidency. Instead, Chief Justice John Roberts slid into Kennedy’s old role as the court’s powerful swing vote, creating a new court alignment whose philosophical contours were a little trickier to grasp.
Over at the site today, Sarah’s written a piece looking back over the term in order to sketch out those contours. If legal conservatism prizes process over outcome, she contends that the term wasn’t as disappointing for conservatives as the headlines made it seem. The biggest winner was religious liberty, which the court took steps to protect in several key opinions while signaling that more of the same may be coming down the road. Even Bostock showed that textualism will remain a force to be reckoned with at the court for years to come:
The majority opinion written by Justice Gorsuch claimed the mantle of textualism, the dissent by Justice Alito argued that originalism ought to win the day, and the other dissent by Kavanaugh argued that a better form of textualism existed. Regardless of outcome, a court that is only arguing over which method of conservative interpretation to apply would surely be a victory in process.
That isn’t to say there weren’t reasons for liberals to smile this term too. Beyond Bostock, the court surprisingly opted not to take up a number of pending gun rights cases that might have expanded the reach of Heller, a key second amendment decision from 2008. And it leaned into the doctrine of “severability”—the notion that the court can simply carve unconstitutional chunks out of statutes rather than throwing them out whole—in a case involving the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau, which bodes well for the Affordable Care Act to survive yet another legal challenge in the fall.
On the process side, it’s becoming clear that textualism isn’t just a conservative tool anymore: “Time and again, Justice Kagan in particular has shown a knack for using conservative interpretative methods like textualism while reaching progressive outcomes.”
Worth Your Time
- In a piece for The New Republic, Ari Schulman looks at the claim that Trumpian Republicans reject scientific authority. The right has slowly adopted a class of alternative experts to legitimize their positioning on the outside of the current scientific establishment, Schulman argues, and dishonest and misleading statements from mainstream public health officials at the start of the coronavirus outbreak made it easier for them to do so. “Where trust declines, debunkers abound,” he writes. And the mobilization of science toward political ends while claiming neutrality also results in a justified sense of skepticism from conservatives: “The perverse result of passing a political judgment off as a neutral interpretation of expertise is that it actually undermines the legitimacy of the judgment and damages the credibility of the experts.”
- Margaret Sullivan’s latest piece in The Atlantic grieves the recent decline of local news across the country. “The framers of the Constitution understood just how important local news would be to the success of their ambitious American experiment,” she writes, citing Alexander Hamilton’s Federalist No. 84. She cites a study that found citizens in areas without a strong local news presence are “less likely to vote, less politically informed, and less likely to run for office.”
- A little more than a month after James Bennett resigned his post as New York Times opinion editor over the Tom Cotton op-ed saga, opinion columnist Bari Weiss is stepping down from the paper because of what she deems its “illiberal environment.” Weiss published her resignation letter, and took aim at her former employer. “Stories are chosen and told in a way to satisfy the narrowest of audiences, rather than to allow a curious public to read about the world and then draw their own conclusions,” she writes. “I was always taught that journalists were charged with writing the first rough draft of history. Now, history itself is one more ephemeral thing molded to fit the needs of a predetermined narrative.”
Presented Without Comment
Toeing the Company Line
- When David French was president of the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education in 2005, he wrote a letter defending former Columbia student Bari Weiss, who came under fire for challenging the anti-Semitic remarks of some her professors. Fast forward 15 years. Weiss announced her resignation from the New York Times on Twitter yesterday, citing the paper’s acquiescence to bullying, toxic culture, and abandonment of editorial diversity. David wrote his French Press(🔒)about her resignation, reminding us that cancel culture “will continue so long as good men and women continue to praise courage in private and maintain silence in public.”
- With Jonah traipsing about in the Alaskan wilderness, David took over hosting duties to welcome David Bahnsen back to the Remnant. David and David talk COVID, policy, and faith. After a jab at Jonah—will he really write a book on Bigfoot erotica?—the Davids discuss team good vs. team lesser evil, noting that while Scripture anticipated the Assyrians, it didn’t predict Hillary Clinton.
- What are the real statistics surrounding black vs. white violence and police shootings? Viral memes offer one answer, but the Dispatch Fact Checkreminds us that FBI data say otherwise.
Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Sarah Isgur (@whignewtons), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Audrey Fahlberg (@FahlOutBerg), Nate Hochman (@njhochman), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).
Photograph by Greg Baker/AFP/Getty Images.
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LARRY J. SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL
THE BLAZE
Listen live to Blaze Radio Tune in to the next generation of talk radio, featuring original content from hosts like Glenn Beck, Pat Gray, Stu Burguiere, Steve Deace and more!
One last thing … Police in West Vancouver, British Columbia, last week called a tire mark found on a rainbow pride crosswalk a “gesture of hate” — but after interviewing the driver who left the mark and reviewing the evidence, police are changing their tune. … Read more
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THE FEDERALIST
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NOQ REPORT
NOQ Report Daily |
- Chinook Land Autonomous Territory: The ‘CLAT’ forms in Portland
- BLM ‘activist’ Henry E. Washington arrested for killing a cop. Mainstream media yawns.
- Biggs, Gaetz introduce amendment to repeal the 2001 Authorization For Use Of Military Force
- WA gubernatorial candidate Tim Eyman has a plan to dethrone tyrant Jay Inslee
- James Woods Tweets video of NYPD being attacked, calls it ‘de Blasio’s porn stash’
- Gavin Newsom’s church lockdown cuts many essential services to communities
Chinook Land Autonomous Territory: The ‘CLAT’ forms in Portland
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 04:56 AM PDT Awful memories of murders and lawlessness are still on the minds of many in Seattle following the debacle of the Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone (CHAZ) which eventually came to be known as the Capitol Hill Occupied Protest (CHOP). Now that The CHOP has been dismantled, a new autonomous zone has popped up in Portland, Oregon. This one is called the Chinook Land Autonomous Territory (CLAT). Yes, I’m serious. There are no indications coming from media or government sources as to whether it will be allowed to stay up, but overnight chatter was strong on Twitter. Barricades have been erected. At least on its first night of existence, law enforcement pushback was limited or non-existent. As far as those talking about it on Twitter are concerned, it’s here to stay.
An autonomous zone was launched in Portland briefly following the launch of the CHAZ, but it was quickly removed. This time may be different. Mayor Ted Wheeler and Governor Kate Brown are even less supportive of law and order than their counterparts in Seattle. Moreover, this sixth week of protests, riots, and anarchy surrounding the Justice Center in Portland has Democratic leadership hampering law enforcement even more than usual. Earlier this week, federal law enforcement agents injured a rioter with a rubber bullet to the face. Since then, Wheeler and Brown have called on the DoJ to back off. Meanwhile, local Portland law enforcement has been forced to use kids’ gloves against the rioters in an effort to deescalate. There has been no deescalation for over six weeks, but Democrats ill do what Democrats do. In this episode of Conservative News Briefs, JD breaks down the situation while trying to keep a straight face. It sounds like parody, but unfortunately it isn’t. If The CLAT endures as long or longer than The CHOP, it could end up being even more devastating. The occupied area is a high-traffic zone just west of the Willamette River. Several federal buildings are nearby. Antifa black bloc and Black Lives Matter rioters have targeted federal properties in an attempt to antagonize national law enforcement. In other words, this could get very ugly if it’s allowed to persist. Will Portland allow this new autonomous zone, The CLAT, grow to what The CHOP was in Seattle? That seems likely considering weak leadership at the state and city levels. Democrats want this to be the status quo across the country. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post Chinook Land Autonomous Territory: The ‘CLAT’ forms in Portland appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
BLM ‘activist’ Henry E. Washington arrested for killing a cop. Mainstream media yawns.
Posted: 15 Jul 2020 12:56 AM PDT One police officer was murdered and his partner was shot and injured Monday night following a pursuit of a vehicle that ended in a pedestrian being stuck. But the driver of the vehicle didn’t surrender, choosing instead to fire a weapon at the police SUV pursuing him. Black Lives Matter activist Henry Eugene Washington, 37, was arrested early the next morning after getting stuck between two buildings as he tried to climb down from his hiding place not far from the scene of the crime.
Bothell police officer Jonathan Shoop, 32, was pronounced dead at the scene. His partner was transferred to the hospital and is in satisfactory condition. According to The Daily Herald: Shoop tried to stop a westbound Pontiac G6 on Highway 522 around 9:40 p.m. Monday. After a short car chase, the black sedan hit a pedestrian on a scooter in a crosswalk, crashed through the center median and stopped in the 10300 block of Woodinville Drive. The suspect is in custody in King County Jail in Washington. Despite the age of the story, mainstream media has refused to even acknowledge it. 48-hours after the killing of a white police officer, none of the major networks or news outlets have reported it. The likely reason is the suspect’s affiliation with Black Lives Matter, which can be clearly seen on his public Facebook page.
Washington’s Facebook page has several images depicting him with cash, firearms, and drugs. It also includes several images and posts discussing his status as a Black Lives Matter activist. The page will likely be taken down soon if it hasn’t already, but here are images captured from his profile: 48 hours after a Black BLM activist allegedly murdered a White cop, mainstream media is still ignoring it. If the incident involved a White cop shooting and killing a Black BLM activist, they’d be on the story within 48 minutes. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Biggs, Gaetz introduce amendment to repeal the 2001 Authorization For Use Of Military Force
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 09:01 PM PDT GILBERT, ARIZONA – This week, Congressman Andy Biggs, along with Congressman Matt Gaetz, introduced Senator Rand Paul’s S.J. Res. 12, the AFGHAN Services Act, as an amendment to H.R. 6395, the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021. The amendment would repeal the Authorization for Use of Military Force enacted in response to the September 11, 2001, attacks; direct the Department of Defense to report to Congress a plan for (1) the orderly withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan, and (2) political reconciliation and elections in Afghanistan independent of U.S. involvement; and give members of the U.S. Armed Forces who deployed in support of the Global War on Terror a $2,500 bonus. Representatives Biggs and Gaetz issued the following statements: ‘President Trump is ready to end America’s endless wars. That’s why Congressman Gaetz and I are determined to lead this fight in the House by introducing Senator Rand Paul’s AFGHAN Services Act as an amendment to the House NDAA. American taxpayers cannot afford to continue funding a war that is no longer in our national security interest. However, the bipartisan, pro-intervention, pro-war caucus in Congress is comfortable with the failed status quo and will fight our good-faith effort at every turn. I urge House leadership to make this amendment in order and let our constituents see whether their Representative is an advocate for perpetual war or peace through strength.’- Congressman Andy Biggs (AZ-05) ‘This amendment affirms what President Trump knows and believes: unfocused, unending wars in the Middle East make America weaker, not stronger. Instead of sending our soldiers to blood-stained sands of the Middle East, let’s care for veterans here at home and instead of ill-fated adventurism, let’s put America first.’- Congressman Matt Gaetz (FL-01) Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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WA gubernatorial candidate Tim Eyman has a plan to dethrone tyrant Jay Inslee
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 07:04 PM PDT In Washington, there are nearly three dozen candidates for governor. This isn’t just a testament to the plethora of Washingtonians who believe they can be good leaders. It’s also an indication of zero confidence in the current governor and former presidential candidate, Democrat Jay Inslee. Even before the coronavirus, he was showing signs of losing support from both Washingtonians and Democrats across the country, never breaking into pack and essentially polling at zero before finally dropping out to go back to the job he apparently scorns. Once he showed his true authoritarian colors during the coronavirus panic, his support plummeted. One candidate stands out as having the gumption—and a plan—to give Inslee his wish of no longer being Governor of Washington. Political activist Tim Eyman has been a controversial figure in Washington for over two decades, promoting tax initiatives to reduce government’s footprint over the people. He has been successful at filing several lawsuits against the government and has forced their hands to move in favor of the people multiple times. Now, he wants to be Governor. In this very first episode of our new podcast, Freedom Discourse, host JD Rucker interviewed Eyman, giving him the opportunity to make his case to the people of Washington. The candidate’s answers were straightforward, a breath of fresh air in an arena that is loaded with lifetime politicians who often sidestep questions. He was blunt with his criticism of Inslee and open about sharing his plan to succeed in next month’s primary. If he does, he’ll be able to take a shot at Inslee in November. Eyman is no stranger to controversy and often speaks his mind when most politicians would simply keep quiet. He recently called out Seattle Councilwoman Kshama Sawant for her socialist behavior. He even went down to the Capitol Hill Occupied Protest (CHOP) and listened to the people there despite being berated incessantly. It’s this type of courage and honesty the people of Washington crave. In a sea of candidates in Washington’s gubernatorial race, Tim Eyman stands out as having the sincerity and conservative common sense to lead the government back to the realm of sanity. After decades of being a blue state, it’s time to try something better. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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James Woods Tweets video of NYPD being attacked, calls it ‘de Blasio’s porn stash’
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 05:04 PM PDT Actor James Woods has a knack for framing leftists in their proper context. He isn’t a fan of New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio whose anti-police rhetoric—which existed long before Black Lives Matter activists called to defund the police—combined with his actions have put law enforcement officers at risk. Murders are on the rise following a reduction of $1 billion in the city’s law enforcement budget. Meanwhile, the Mayor says nothing when his own police officers are getting attacked. Woods pointed this out in a Tweet that showed video of two NYPD officers struggling to stay safe while apprehending a suspect. They were even attacked at one point. Thankfully, they weren’t rushed by the entire mob, which could have turned into a deadly situation quickly.
New York City has quickly changed from being one of the safest big cities in the world to now having crime rates skyrocketing, shootings rampant, and murders on a sharp rise. But as the NY Post noted, he’s doubling down on his bad policies. The mayor kicked off his daily press briefing by addressing the spate of shootings, including one in Brooklyn Sunday night that claimed the life of a 1-year-old boy. “This is something that very, very sadly we’ve seen in the past and we’ve had to fight back before and we will fight back again,” de Blasio told reporters. “We do that by bringing police and community together in a common cause,” he added, while urging the community to “occupy the corners” of their neighborhoods. Later, de Blasio talked about the “horrible spate of shootings” in NYCHA public housing that he dealt with at the beginning of his tenure. “We threw everything we had at it. We have to do it again,” he said. He shot down questions about firing Police Commissioner Dermot Shea — who disbanded the anti-crime unit last month — and lauded him as “one of the people who made this the safest big city in America.” As long as Bill de Blasio is Mayor of NYC, residents cannot feel safe and police officers cannot feel appreciated for their sacrifices. James Woods exposes this regularly. Perhaps he should launch a campaign to remove de Blasio for maladministration. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Gavin Newsom’s church lockdown cuts many essential services to communities
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 09:16 AM PDT Imagine if Democrats used the coronavirus as an excuse to close down counselors or psychologists. Would there be outrage about people not receiving the counseling they need to deal with depression, family problems, or suicidal thoughts? What about food banks? What if someone like California Governor Gavin Newsom said food banks that feed the needy must be shut down until nobody was dying from COVID-19? Lastly, what if a mayor decreed that services assisting the elderly and needy needed to close down indefinitely, at least until a vaccine was found for the pandemic? Certainly the outcry from the people would be loud and clear. We might assume these things, but that’s simply not the case. There is limited, muted outrage coming out in whimpers over Newsom’s most recent renewal of the shutdown orders in California. Churches in two dozen counties have been ordered closed. But just as Newsom and other Democrats fail to understand the necessity of fellowship and Biblical learning, so too do they dismiss the essential services offered by churches in the form of counseling, food distribution to the poor, and services for the elderly and infirm. In the latest episode of the Rucker Report, I ask why this is the case. How can we, both as conservatives and simply as Americans, sit by as these draconian mandates cut past the First Amendment and straight to the essential services provided by churches and other religious institutions? Sure, there is a vocal minority crying foul, but it isn’t nearly the outrage one would expect considering how much churches are deeply embedded in the coping abilities of some communities. Churches do offer these services and at times are the only ones capable of handling the demand. But to most Democrats, anything that isn’t provided by the government should be considered inferior and non-essential. The outrage should be unambiguous. It should be thunderous. From counseling to aiding the elderly, food banks to fellowship, churches are indisputably essential to many communities. Democrats refuse to acknowledge this. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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ARRA NEWS SERVICE
ARRA News Service (in this message: 16 new items) |
- Banned from China: The Best Compliment a Senator Can Get
- Biden’s Enthusiasm Gap Versus Trump May Prove The Democrats’ Undoing In 2020
- Confronting Communist China, Exposing Biden, More Chinese Sanctions
- Peak Jacobinism?
- Will the Left Kill America’s Energy Dominance?
- Can Trump Pull a Truman?
- Obamagate: Clemency for All Involved?
- Deadly Isolation
- Public Safety Reimagined . . .
- Indecent Exposure
- 5 Arguments Against ‘America Is a Racist Country’
- Manhattan DA Targets Trump After Giving Epstein and Weinstein a Pass
- What Does ‘Back to School’ Mean in the Time of COVID-19?
- Why You Should Be Optimistic About Trump Winning
- An Open Letter to the Legion of Lamentation
- 4 Military Name Suggestions for Washington’s NFL Team
Banned from China: The Best Compliment a Senator Can Get
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 09:19 PM PDT by Arielle Del Turco: A handful of U.S. congressmen woke up to an angry slap on the wrist from the Chinese government on Monday. Senators Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Rep. Chris Smith (R-N.J.), and Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom Sam Brownback are now banned from entering China, though the full scope of the new sanctions against them have yet to be revealed. What prompted the giant authoritarian regime to target these lawmakers? Apparently, their work to address China’s many human rights violations against Uyghur Muslims in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying told reporters, “Xinjiang affairs are China’s internal affairs and the U.S. has no right to interfere in them.” These congressmen deserve kudos for their work. The fact that China is singling them out to be targeted means their actions to address China’s human rights issues have had an impact. China noticed their efforts and reacted. That is significant, and they should be commended. Cruz, Rubio, and Smith have all advocated for and co-sponsored legislation to address China’s religious freedom and human rights violations. Rubio and Smith introduced the Uyghur Human Rights Policy Act, which was recently signed into law. It is meant to hold perpetrators of abuses against the Uyghur people, including the systematic use of indoctrination camps, accountable for their actions. Cruz also joined Rubio to introduce the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act, which would prevent goods produced by forced labor (suspected to be sourced by China’s brutal system of “re-education” camps) in Xinjiang from entering the United States. This will be an effective measure, and Congress should seek to pass this as soon as possible. Meanwhile, Ambassador Brownback is a consistently fearless advocate for religious freedom for all people in China. He has long denounced China’s “war on faith,” reminding them “it is a war they will not win.” The sanctions against these individuals are likely in retaliation for sanctions the U.S. placed on selected Chinese officials last week for their human rights violations against Uyghur Muslims. But there’s an obvious difference between the sanctions the U.S. and China placed on each other’s officials. While China merely targets U.S. officials for interference in China’s human rights violations, the U.S. sanctioned Chinese officials based on actual human rights violations. The sanctioned Chinese officials are directly responsible for developing and enacting the dystopian campaign of repression in Xinjiang. The most high-profile individual targeted is Chen Quanguo. As the Communist Party Secretary of Xinjiang, Chen is responsible for building the network of “re-education” camps in which 1-3 million innocent Uyghurs and those other ethnic minorities remain arbitrarily detained. Outside of the camps, facial recognition technology, forced abortions, birth control and sterilizations, and an intense culture fear is used to control the daily lives of Uyghurs. Chen and the other Chinese officials who were sanctioned under the Global Magnitsky Act, a tool designed to address global human rights violators, deserve to be singled out for their actions. But the Chinese government is not happy about this, so they are lashing out against U.S. politicians. The reaction of the Chinese government should encourage U.S. leaders to press on as they seek to improve human rights conditions in China. Recent U.S. efforts have struck a nerve, and lawmakers and diplomats should continue to build on that momentum. Arielle Del Turco writes for the Family Research Center. Tags: Arielle Del Turco, banned from China, Best Compliment, a Senator can get, Senators, Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Rep. Chris Smith (R-N.J.), Ambassador-at-Large, for International Religious Freedom, Sam Brownback To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Biden’s Enthusiasm Gap Versus Trump May Prove The Democrats’ Undoing In 2020
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 08:49 PM PDT by Robert Romano: President Donald Trump has two major advantages politically in 2020 presidential election over former Vice President Joe Biden: incumbency and enthusiasm. The first is easy enough to understand. As the incumbent, President Trump has all the trappings of the head of state. He can do press conferences in the Rose Garden or the White House briefing room, meet with foreign leaders and dignitaries and address the nation in front of Congress or from the Oval Office. And after more than three years in office, the American people have a certain level of comfort with him. Historically, incumbency has proven to be a major advantage in terms of electoral outcomes. The question for first term presidents like Trump is whether or not voters think it is time for a change. If you go back to the early history of the U.S., sitting presidents who have stood for re-election have won about 70 percent of the time, although until the 1800s, state legislatures generally chose electors. Since 1948, incumbent first-term presidents have a 73 percent reelection rate in their first terms. Harry Truman won in 1948, Dwight Eisenhower was re-elected in 1956, Lyndon Johnson won John Kennedy’s second term in 1964, Richard Nixon was re-elected in 1972, Gerald Ford was ousted in 1976, Jimmy Carter was ousted in 1980, Ronald Reagan was re-elected in 1984, George H.W. Bush was ousted in 1992, Bill Clinton was re-elected in 1996, George W. Bush was re-elected in 2004 and Barack Obama was re-elected in 2012. However, that number rises to 88 percent if one considers only cases of incumbent parties in their first term in the White House for reelection. This eliminates the Harry Truman first term which was really Franklin Roosevelt’s fourth term, George H.W. Bush term which was really the third Reagan term as well as Gerald Ford term which was Nixon’s second term. The idea here is that the incumbency advantage is linked the party in power for than the individual, and that the longer a party remains in power after one term, enthusiasm wanes and the more vulnerable the party is to being ousted. Which brings us to Trump’s second advantage in 2020: enthusiasm. In a June poll by Economist/YouGov, 68 percent of Trump supporters say they are enthusiastic about voting for him versus only 31 percent of Biden supporters who say they are enthusiastic. 49 percent of Biden voters say they merely satisfied but not enthusiastic, 15 percent say dissatisfied but not upset and 3 percent say they are upset. Whereas, with Trump, just 26 say they are satisfied but not enthusiastic, 5 percent say dissatisfied but not upset and 2 percent say they are upset. In the same poll, among Biden supporters, only 35 percent say they are voting for Biden, whereas 62 percent say they are voting against Trump. For Trump supporters, 81 percent say they are voting for Trump, and just 18 percent say they are voting against Biden. In April, a similar poll by HuffPost/YouGov found that Republicans and Republican-leaners were more enthusiastic about voting: 71 percent versus 57 percent for Democrats and Democrat leaners. 82 percent to 72 percent on very motivated to vote. And 90 percent to 82 percent very likely to vote. In the same poll, Republican and Republican-leaners were slightly more inclined to follow election news more closely 48 percent to 46 percent. It could be considered akin to a playoff phenomenon, where when major sports leagues get to the playoffs, television ratings plummet when your favorite team gets eliminated. Similarly, in politics when your preferred candidate wins an election, you are more likely to stay tuned into what’s going, watch the State of the Union Address and so forth. The same can be said of primaries. Tying these two themes of incumbency and enthusiasm together is primarymodel.com by Stony Brook University Professor Helmut Norpoth — disclosure: Norpoth was once my professor when I attended Stony Brook and graduated with a B.A. in Political Science — whose electoral model correctly predicted Trump would win in 2016 when all the polls said he wouldn’t. As for 2020, Norpoth is once again forecasting Trump will win: “The Primary Model gives President Trump a 91% chance of winning a possible match-up with Democrat Joe Biden in November, based on primary performance in New Hampshire and South Carolina, plus the first-term electoral benefit. Trump would get 362 electoral votes, Biden 176.” The major factor is how a candidate performs in political primaries plus which type of election cycle (first-term, second-term, third-term and so forth) the incumbent party is in, predicting the outcome. According to Norpoth, “It is a statistical model that relies on presidential primaries and an election cycle as predictors of the vote in the general election. This year the model has been calibrated to predict the Electoral College vote. Winning the early primaries is a major key for electoral victory in November.” Which may be why Biden is in trouble this year, since early primaries gauge enthusiasm among party voters, and Biden’s was lacking: “On the Democratic side, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders split the primaries in New Hampshire and South Carolina while Trump handily won the Republican Primary in New Hampshire (the GOP primary in South Carolina was cancelled this year).” The cycle favors Trump, too, per Norpoth, “What favors Trump in 2020 as well is the cycle of presidential elections operating for nearly 200 years, as illustrated by the snapshot since 1960. After one term in the White House the incumbent party is favored to win re-election unlike the situation when it has held office for two or more terms.” Going back, the primary model correctly predicts the winner in 25 out of 27 presidential races going back to 1912 when political primaries were introduced. The primary model says if the President’s political base stays on board and remains enthusiastic, then the incumbent will be able to win over those on the other side who are unsatisfied with the challenger, or simply encourage them to stay home in November. So headed to the convention season, some key things to watch in polls are not necessarily the head-to-head matchups — although it is telling that in many polls Biden does not get above 50 percent (he averages 49.6 percent on Realclearpolitics.com) and in 2016 polls understated Trump’s support by several percentage points — but how Trump is doing specifically among Republicans and Republican-leaners. With solid support from his base, on that count, so far, this election is Trump’s to lose. Tags: Robert Romano, Americans for Limited Government, Biden’s Enthusiasm Gap, Versus Trump, May Prove, The Democrats’ Undoing, In 2020 To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Confronting Communist China, Exposing Biden, More Chinese Sanctions
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 08:22 PM PDT
by Gary Bauer, Contributing Author: Confronting Communist China China is not just another trading partner or a place to do business. Last week, FBI Director Christopher Wray gave a shocking presentation describing the threat from Beijing. Wray warned that nearly half of all the FBI’s current counterintelligence cases (some 2,500 cases) are focused just on China. Director Wray described China’s frequent cyberattacks, predatory trade practices and economic espionage as “one of the largest transfers of wealth in human history.” The Chinese government has infiltrated scores of American colleges, universities and government research facilities. It was recently reported that more than 50 scientists were fired by the National Institutes of Health for failing to disclose financial ties to China. And the chairman of the Harvard Chemistry Department was indicted earlier this year for his ties to the communist regime. But beyond China’s predatory trade practices, Beijing is also mounting an aggressive military buildup and projecting “hard power” around the world, especially in the South China Sea. And yesterday, the Trump Administration forcefully pushed back against China’s claims. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo warned Beijing to back down, saying: Exposing Biden
To let Joe Biden get away with claiming that he will be tough on China and that he is for the working man would be political malpractice. More Chinese Sanctions Cruz tweeted, “Bummer. I was going to take my family to Beijing for summer vacation, right after visiting Tehran.” And Rubio tweeted: “The Communist Party of China has banned me from entering the country. I guess they don’t like me?” But I neglected to mention yesterday that China also imposed sanctions on the U.S. Congressional-Executive Commission on China, which monitors human rights conditions in the country. I am both proud and jealous by that development. I am proud because until very recently our daughter, Elyse, was the chief of staff of that commission until she left to be home with her growing family. I am jealous because China did not sanction the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom (USCIRF). I am one of nine USCIRF commissioners, and one of three appointed by President Trump. The commission has been exposing China’s religious persecution for a decade, and has really accelerated our efforts recently when it comes to confronting Communist China. I said a year ago that China has declared war on all religious faiths. What does a guy have to do to get Beijing’s attention?! In all seriousness, we do get blowback all the time, including threats against some commissioners’ family members. Bowing To Beijing Unfortunately, it seems that the NBA is still kowtowing to Beijing’s party bosses by banning anything remotely critical of communist China. The NBA is Exhibit A in the conservative argument that trade with China would not change China but would instead change us — and not for the better! Tags: Gary Bauer, Campaign for Working Families, Confronting Communist China, Exposing Biden, More Chinese Sanctions To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Peak Jacobinism?
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 08:01 PM PDT . . . Even the woke eventually fear the guillotine.
by Dr. Victor Davis Hanson: The Jacobin Left is just now beginning to get edgy. A few of its appeasers and abettors are becoming embarrassed by some of the outright racists and nihilists of BLM and the Maoists of Antifa — and their wannabe hangers-on who troll the Internet hoping to scalp some minor celebrity. The woke rich too are worried over talk about substantial wealth, capital-gains, and income taxes, even though they have the resources to navigate around the legislation from their wink-and-nod brethren. Soon, even Hunter Biden and the Clintons could be checking in with their legal teams to see how much it will cost them to get around the Squad’s new tax plan. The lines are thinning a bit for the guillotine. And the guillotiners are starting to panic as they glimpse faces of a restless mob always starved for something to top last night’s torching. Finally, even looters and arsonists get tired of doing the same old, same old each night. They get bored with the puerile bullhorn chants, the on-spec spray-paint defacement, and the petite fascists among them who hog the megaphones. For the lazy and bored, statue toppling — all of those ropes, those icky pry bars, those heavy sledgehammers, and so much pulling — becomes hard work, especially as the police, camera crews, and fisticuffs thin out on the ground. And the easy bronze and stone prey are now mostly rubble. Now it’s either the big, tough stuff like Mount Rushmore or the crazy targets like Lincoln and Frederick Douglass. There are only so many ways for adult-adolescents to chant monotonously “Eat the Rich! Kill the Pigs! Black Lives Matter!” blah, blah, blah. And there are only so many Road Warrior Antifa ensembles of black hoodies, black masks, black pants, and black padding — before it all it ends up like just another shrill teachers’-union meeting in the school cafeteria or a prolonged adolescent Halloween prankster show. Some 150 leftist writers and artists recently signed a letter attesting that they are suddenly wary of cancel culture. They want it stopped and prefer free speech. Of course, they first throat-cleared about the evil Trump, as if the president had surveilled Associated Press reporters, or sicced the FBI on a political campaign, or used CIA informants and foreign dossier-mongers to undermine a political opponent. And some petition signers soon retracted, with “I didn’t know what I was doing” apologies. Nonetheless, it was a small sign that not all of the liberal intelligentsia were going to sit still and wait for the mob to swallow them. They learned well from #MeToo that, in the end, being emancipated, feminist, and woke did not mean that anyone accused of anything was protected by the Bill of Rights, statutes of limitations, the right to cross-examination, sincere apologies, and all that reactionary jazz, whether the accused was Al Franken or Garrison Keillor. Everyone else can also learn from #MeToo: As the revolution moved on from Brett Kavanaugh to Joe Biden himself, it went the way of the fading Jacobins. Tara Reid, after all, was tsked-tsked away in the old-boy “she’s lying” fashion. If not, then she might have empowered the evil Trump in his reelection bid. The Lincoln County, Ore., authorities just backed off from their earlier homage to Jim Crow — they had issued an edict that all residents would be equal and wear masks in public except African Americans, who would be more equal than others and not be required to wear them. Even Oregon has standards? The CEO of Goya, Robert Unanue, recently ignored calls to ruin his company — for his sin of praising the U.S. president. So far, he seems utterly unfazed by the pajama-boy mob. The inveterate racist and anti-Semite Al Sharpton can’t decide whether he wants to dynamite Mount Rushmore or chisel Obama’s visage on it. How strange that the radical Left is divorcing the Democratic Party from all its iconic American referents and leaving them with nothing to replace them except painted slogans of Black Lives Matter on city streets, Kente-cloth shawls, and a Woodie Guthrie song or two. Bill de Blasio believes it is legal for a mayor to ban all public demonstrations — except those predicated on skin color, as he exempts Black Lives Matter outings. That Confederate idea may be too much even for the city’s liberals in hiding. Seattle’s CHAZ/CHOP is gone. Warlord Raz Simone is back to his capitalist land-lording without even a citation for trespassing. Maybe former CHOP residents will get a discount at his Airbnb rentals. The streets of our big cities are no longer a “summer of love” hate-fest targeting Donald Trump, but downright scary, given that murdering someone on sight is a COVID-get-out-of-jail-free crime. Blue-state officials green-lighted the multibillion-dollar wreckage and are now coming cup in hand, begging the Trump administration to pay for it. Their logic is: “Don’t dare send your damn troops to interrupt our beautiful looting and arson, but now please send your racist money for us to clean up the mess.” In California, the jails and prisons are emptying, ostensibly because of the virus, in reality to enact a long-desired agenda of emptying and defunding prisons. As a result, you cannot find an automatic handgun in most California gun shops: The more left-wing a community, the harder to find a gun on the shelf. For what reason do liberals think liberals are buying guns? COVID-19 is back for a while. The more the Left insists that millions in the streets for a month were not violating quarantines and had no effect on the second wave, the more protestors got infected and graciously went home to spread it to their more vulnerable relatives. Even leftists who were not infected know that this narrative is untrue and that their own demonstrations essentially ended the legitimacy of mass quarantining. The hated police are slowing down in anticipation of early retirements, layoffs, and budget shortages. The logic is that going into the inner city is a trifecta losing proposition for them: Either get shot, or get accused, or get hated for doing your proper duty. De facto “community policing” seems to be operating in Atlanta, Chicago, and New York as murder spikes and shooters rediscover how it once worked out in Deadwood, Dodge City, and Tombstone. One can learn a lot about “community policing” by watching a 1950s Western in which “community leaders” plead for the outgunned sheriff to remove the accused from his jail cell and hand him over to the posse, which, with one minor lynching, would make it all go away. How did woke Beverley Hills left-wing zillionaires respond to the Black Lives marcher shouting into their enclave “Eat the Rich”? Try now politically correct tear gas. When an Atherton or Georgetown liberal calls 911, will he now first say: “One, I am not an angry white person calling to rat out a suspect of color. Two, I am not calling to save my ‘brick and mortar’ property at the expense of the life of a marginalized victim. Three, I support defunding the police. And so, four, look — an individual of unknown appearance may kind of, sort of be shattering our bedroom window and could be pondering a felonious infraction. So could you send out a community facilitator to inquire?” The Marxist-birthed Black Lives Matter now resembles Robespierre’s ridiculous Cult of the Supreme Being. So likewise it has become our new state-sponsored religion for America’s nonbelievers. All that is left is to set up a BLM statue on a man-made mountain in D.C. where all can take the knee. Suddenly retired generals are growing quiet. It’s as if the much-reported “small number” of violent protesters somehow got really, really big. And they do not necessarily worship the military. Or maybe promises of renaming Fort Bragg and tearing down the Lee statue at West Point strangely did not quite satisfy the architects of Black Lives Matter. It is, after all, a blink of an eye from “Defund the Police!” to “Defund the Military!” (How strange that retired four-star generals in their sixties and seventies suddenly discovered in late spring 2020 that their once hallowed bases a century ago were named after racist Confederate mediocrities. Who would have thought?) If the chairman of the Joint Chiefs won’t even appear on camera with the commander in chief who restored a decrepit Pentagon budget, and the pantheon of retired military luminaries believes that proof of a Mussolini, Nazi, or fascist in the White House is to be found in the act of securing the southern U.S. border, or not staying another 20 years in Afghanistan, or not inserting American youth into the middle of Kurdish-Turkish bloodletting while inside Russian- and Iranian-occupied fascist Syria, then many might decide that the U.S. military should deal on its own with the defunding Left. The NFL pulled a Joe Biden VP trick and prematurely promised to play the “black national anthem” at a few games so that all can stand in homage in racial solidarity and then all kneel in disrespect for the subsequent ecumenical national anthem. Players can wear political insignia to remind incorrect viewers at home about how they are to think correctly. Will extra points be given for great passes and catches by the most woke? NFL owners can’t yet fathom how they have conjured up a brilliant new way of destroying a 100-year heritage and an inherited huge audience. Is the message of the most non-diverse players to their most diverse fans now to be: “We don’t like your racist country and won’t stand for your toxic anthem, but you owe us to stay tuned for the commercial ads and to come out to the stadium to pay oppressed multimillionaires like us”? Anyone who watches such an NFL game this fall might as just as well get it over with and enroll in a more honest North Korean–style reeducation camp. If that doesn’t work out, one can always tune in to the NBA preseason and hear more lectures from philosopher-king coach Steven Kerr, contextualizing the many reasons the NBA honors the power of Chinese Communist Party money. As the cities turn into wastelands, children are gunned down, and careers are destroyed, fewer and fewer bore us by intoning that Trump is Mussolini, or that he resembles the operators of Auschwitz. Fewer still care about the spiraling tragic carnage of the inner cities — not Black Lives Matter, not the Squad, not Nancy Pelosi. When will we see the BLM/Antifa/Democratic agenda spelled out in full? A new inheritance tax for the midlevel retiring Google executives? A yearly wealth tax on Beyoncé, Cher, and LeBron James? No more carbon foot-printing in a private jet for Barack and Michelle, or Bill and Hillary? Reparations for Maxine Waters? No police force for Pacific Heights? Terrified inner-city dwellers can’t count on their progressive governors or mayors, or sympathetic billionaires, who will soon be able to hire politically incorrect ex-policemen at a bargain to beef up their private security patrols. So the revolution is tiring, devouring its own, terrifying its enablers, embarrassing its abettors, and becoming worried that somewhere some courageous nobody might dare say, “You have done enough. Have you no sense of decency?” The unhinged revolution is trying to make the U.S. into one big CHOP. Millions of Americans seem to be scrambling to avoid it, preferring instead to let the effort cannibalize itself at a safe distance — at least for now. Tags: Victor Davis Hanson, National Review, Peak Jacobinism? To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Will the Left Kill America’s Energy Dominance?
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 07:40 PM PDT
by Stephen Moore: If the “liberal” green movement had the political power during earlier periods of our nation’s history that it has now, we would not have built the railroads. Also, there would be no interstate highway system, and the electric grid system that powers our country would be disconnected and shattered. What else can one conclude when a significant and vital energy pipeline, the 600-mile Atlantic Coast Pipeline from West Virginia into the southern states, has been canceled because of environmental activist opposition? Another pipeline, the Dakota Access Pipeline, has been suspended by a federal judge’s order in recent days. Even the urgently needed Keystone XL Pipeline, which will transport natural gas and oil from energy-rich areas in Canada and the Dakotas down to Houston for export and delivery across the country, faces a court-ordered injunction. These actions are all said to be in the name of wetlands preservation, Endangered Species Act issues and other environmental protections. It isn’t safeguarding the safety of our nation. It is sabotaging it. Pipelines are the most environmentally safe way to transport America’s oil and gas resources across the country. They are vital infrastructures that enable America to be the world’s energy superpower and make us no longer reliant on Saudi Arabia, Russia and other hostile OPEC countries. The alternative to pipelines is trucks and rail cars, which crash, derail and explode. The crusade to stop pipelines has nothing to do with clean air or clean water. Natural gas is a wonder fuel. It is cheap, abundant, made in America and clean-burning. The fracking revolution that gave us low-cost natural gas has done more to reduce carbon emissions in the United States than all environmental groups since the beginning of time. It is an environmental blessing. Let’s be honest about what is going on here: The left hates fossil fuels and uses any tactic it can to stop energy development. They want to force America to use “renewable” wind and solar power, both of which are unreliable as stand-alone energy sources. They are also multiple times more expensive ways to generate power. More expensive energy makes everything else America produces more costly and less competitive in global markets. Liberals say they care about working-class people, but between 5 million and 10 million jobs would be lost without U.S. access to abundant oil, gas and coal resources, according to the American Petroleum Institute. These are mostly union jobs and would be put at risk. At least 1.5 million would be put at risk in states such as Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and other Midwestern states if the Marcellus Shale “shale revolution” were to end. But when the greens are pitted against the blues (blue-collar workers), the Democrats choose their precious environmental friends. This year, Joe Biden admitted that he is willing to lose thousands of oil and gas jobs to “go green.” So much for “Lunch Bucket Joe.” The absurdity of the pipeline bans is that we don’t have a cheap way to transport oil and gas from Ohio and middle Pennsylvania to significant urban Northeastern areas such as New York, Boston and the rest of New England. Without a pipeline, these cities may have to continue to import natural gas from Vladimir Putin in Russia. How is that in America’s interest? Free market advocates want to continue to drill here in the U.S., where we have at least 200 years of extractable energy resources, provide low-cost energy to families and businesses, and save millions of high-paying, middle-class jobs. The greens want to shut it all down. Stopping pipelines is the first step toward choking off production and surrendering economic and energy power to our enemies. Tags: Stephen Moore, Steve Moore, Rasmussen Reports, Will the Left Kill, America’s Energy Dominance? To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Can Trump Pull a Truman?
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 07:32 PM PDT by Patrick Buchanan: A medical crisis, an economic crisis, and a cultural and social crisis, have hit us all at once, raising some fundamental questions. On July 22, 1988, after the Democratic National Convention in Atlanta, the party nominee, Gov. Michael Dukakis, enjoyed a 17-point lead over Vice President George W. Bush. Five weeks later, on Labor Day, Dukakis was down eight points, the same margin by which he would lose the election. He had lost 25 points in one month. What had happened? During August, Republican attack groups elevated and relentlessly pounded what might be called Dukakis’ Bay State radical liberalism. He had proudly called himself a card-carrying member of the ACLU. He had vetoed a bill requiring the Pledge of Allegiance in Massachusetts’ schools. He was against imposing the death penalty. He had issued weekend passes to convicted killers such as the infamous Willie Horton, who had used his get-out-of-jail-free card to go to Maryland and rape and murder. Vice President Bush ended up winning 40 states. Is this possible today? Because a turnaround of that magnitude appears to be needed by Donald J. Trump. Over the weekend, the bad news on the virus front turned awful, for the country and Trump. The U.S. dead from the coronavirus hit 135,000. COVID-19 deaths, whose weekly average had been falling since April, began to rise again. New cases of the infection began appearing in previously unseen numbers across the Sun Belt. Florida set a U.S. record with more than 15,000 new cases in one day. This surge in infections is occurring as the nation debates whether to send its young back to schools. Children, teachers and students could arrive in classrooms in the millions in late summer only to be sent home in a new shutdown as a second wave of COVID-19 hits this fall. Were that not enough to concentrate the mind, an economy that was as strong as any in modern history last winter now looks to be in a depression. The good news of the May-June revival could be canceled out by shutdowns mandated by the new infections. Beyond this, America’s racial divide has reopened. The attacks on cops and their demonization in the wake of the killing of George Floyd, has led to demoralization, resignations and retirements, and, from there, to an explosion of shootings and killings in major cities. And we have witnessed the outbreak of a cultural revolution, which holds that as America has, from birth, been a slave-owning society whose policies toward the native-born amounted to cultural and ethnic genocide, the statues of those generations of men who produced such a history should all be pulled down and smashed. A medical crisis, an economic crisis, and a cultural and social crisis, have hit us all at once, raising some fundamental questions. Does America retain the unity, strength and sense of purpose to lead the world? Is American democracy still the model for mankind? Trump is not responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic. And the shutdowns that induced today’s depression were as much the decisions of governors and mayors as of the president. Yet, he is the one whose fate is tied to the state of the economy in November 2020. And, politically, Trump is the one paying the price. Several national polls have Joe Biden up by 10 points or more, and polls in swing states, as well as must-carry states for Trump such as Florida, have Biden leading. In the money primary, Biden and the Democrats turned May and June into winning months. Their Senate candidates are awash in cash in states where they had been seen as sacrificial lambs. The pundits, following the polls, are giddily predicting a Biden win, a recapture of the Senate and the retention of Democratic control of the House. What can Trump do? What should Trump do? In 1948, Harry Truman looked like a certain loser to Gov. Tom Dewey. So he sent a raft of liberal legislation to the Hill and challenged the Republican Congress to enact it. When Congress airily dismissed his proposals, Truman barnstormed the country, calling on America to help him rid the nation of this “no-good, do-nothing 80th Congress.” Which the country proceeded to do, as it elected Truman and threw out the first Republican Congress to sit since before the Depression. What the Trump folks must do now is to zero in on Biden’s vulnerabilities, personal and political. First among these is Biden’s transparently diminished verbal and mental capacity. He is no longer the man who bested Paul Ryan in the vice presidential debate of 2012. Even during controlled appearances where he reads from a teleprompter, Biden emits a sense of unease that he will lose control of his ghostwritten script. Second, the Biden campaign has embraced an agenda that is, in part, Bernie Sanders-AOC-Black Lives Matter. The Trump folks need to force Biden to come out of his basement and either embrace or renounce the radical elements of his agenda. They need to do for Biden what Lee Atwater & Co. did for Dukakis. Tags: Patrick Buchanan, conservative, commentary, Can Trump Pull a Truman? To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Obamagate: Clemency for All Involved?
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 07:24 PM PDT . . . Newly released documents regarding Michael Flynn also shed light on Roger Stone. by Harold Hutchison: This past Friday saw the release of more documents to attorneys representing former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn. Among those documents were notes from a readout of Flynn’s fateful interview with FBI agents at the White House just days after the Trump administration took office. The readout shows that the FBI determined Flynn was not a Russian agent, that his allegedly misleading responses were not borne from any criminal intent, and that the agents themselves believed he was being truthful. In short, a rogue operation framed an innocent man. Those notes make it clear that the only crimes that took place during the interview were those concocted by the FBI personnel who devised the infamous anti-Trump “insurance policy” mentioned in text messages between agent Peter Strzok and FBI lawyer Lisa Page. Yes, there was corruption involved in the Flynn case, but not where Trump critics think it was. The FBI’s behavior here calls into question the entire Robert Mueller probe, and it suggests there may have been misconduct in other cases, like that of 67-year-old Roger Stone, whose sentence President Donald Trump recently commuted. Indeed, a fair reading of those Flynn notes makes it hard to fathom the outrage over Trump’s decision on Stone. Like Flynn, Stone was charged with process crimes — that is, crimes unrelated to the overarching “Russia collusion” charge. The FBI’s arrest of Stone following a heavily armed predawn raid of his home generated plenty of controversy, not least of which because a CNN crew just happened to be there with cameras rolling. Stone’s case is not as clear-cut as Flynn’s, but the well-documented pattern of abuse in these cases is reason enough for deep suspicion. Contrary to the assertions of the Never-Trump cadres, the president’s commutation of Stone’s sentence seems perfectly reasonable given the increasing taint of the Mueller probe. Were the subject of this investigation anyone other than Donald Trump, many more Americans would be troubled by what took place. As we’ve said before, our resilient nation can withstand its share of discord and controversy, but it cannot survive a two-tiered system of justice. When those charged with enforcing our laws are found to be at fault, it’s perfectly reasonable for the president to set matters right. Given the known abuses we’ve seen during the Mueller probe, both Michael Flynn and Roger Stone (and perhaps others) are deserving of such consideration. Their greatest “crime,” it seems, is their association with President Donald Trump. Tags: The Patriot Post, Harold Hutchison, Obamagate, Clemency for All Involved? To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Deadly Isolation
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 07:03 PM PDT by Kerby Anderson: The lockdowns during the pandemic may have been helpful for our physical health, but they have not been so helpful for our mental health. One example can be seen in the dramatic increase in drug overdose deaths. The database constructed by the Washington Post found a troubling correlation between the lockdowns and drug overdose deaths. Of course, a correlation doesn’t mean causation, but I think we can reasonably infer the connection between the two. Even if you assume that drug use during the lockdowns has remained constant, the writers at the newspaper can still come up with two reasons why drug overdose deaths have increased. First, the pandemic and the lockdowns have disrupted the drug supply chains. This might have led to more and more drug users to taking more deadly synthetic drugs. The second reason is even darker and more disturbing. In a world of isolation and social distancing, many of these sequestered people are taking drugs alone. That means it is less likely that there might be someone else around who could call 911. Drug use in the midst of social isolation has become deadly. Of course, there is every reason to believe that drug use did increase during the lockdowns. People were home alone, with little to do. Their jobs used to provide structure and purpose. It also provided them with earned income and self-esteem. Many of the people at home lost their jobs. It’s easy to see why more isolated people might turn to drugs. Increased drug use and increased drug overdose deaths are an important factor to keep in mind when politicians call for another lockdown. There are a number of mental and medical costs associated with lockdowns that often are often ignored in the political debates and discussions. There is a deadly cost to social isolation. Tags: Kerby Anderson, Viewpoints, Point of View, Deadly Isolation To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Public Safety Reimagined . . .
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 06:48 PM PDT . . . Under Mayor de Blasio’s leadership crime is way up after his COVID criminal release program and cutting the police budget.
Tags: editorial cartoon, AF Branco, Public Safety Reimagined, Under Mayor de Blasio’s leadership, crime is way up, after his COVID criminal release program, and cutting the police budget To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Indecent Exposure
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 06:35 PM PDT by Paul Jacob, Contributing Author: Next week, when Joy Reid begins hosting her new primetime MSNBC program, “The ReidOut,” I will not be watching. But not because of her progressivism. You see, those progressive bona fides “were called into question in 2017,” a New York Times feature on Reid’s promotion to cable TV’s evening lineup notes, “when homophobic posts and comments from ‘The Reid Report,’ a blog she wrote in the mid- to late 2000s, resurfaced on social media.” When those writings were discovered, Reid publicly claimed her blog’s archive must have been hacked. “We have received confirmation the FBI has opened an investigation into potential criminal activities surrounding several online . . . blog accounts, belonging to Joy-Ann Reid,” her attorney told CNN in 2018. But the offending posts were captured by the Wayback Machine, an internet archive, and were obviously not the result of a hack. No one bought her dodge. “Later,” as The Times puts it, “she acknowledged that there was little evidence that the posts had been faked.” “Little” . . . meaning zero. The Times also refers to Reid’s “lengthy apology” to viewers. “The person I am now is not the person I was then,” she offered. But she never owned up to writing the “hateful” posts. “I genuinely do not believe I wrote those hateful things,” she argued, “because they are completely alien to me.” But she did write them. And lied to the FBI, apparently, to hide the truth. In a time of unbridled shaming and social-media-mob recriminations for any lack of keeping up with the dominant wokeness, how is Reid able to insult gays and (to top it off) everyone’s intelligence with such bald-faced lies? And to be rewarded with a primetime cable TV gig. Lying works! That’s indecent. This is Common Sense. I’m Paul Jacob. Tags: Paul Jacob, Common Sense, Indecent Exposure To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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5 Arguments Against ‘America Is a Racist Country’
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 03:52 PM PDT by Dennis Prager: The left-wing charge that America is a racist country is the greatest national libel since the Blood Libel against the Jews. America is, in fact, the least racist, multiracial, multiethnic country in world history. Neither the claim that America is a racist society nor the claim that it is the least racist country can be empirically proven. Both are assessments. But honest people do need to provide arguments for their position. I have found every argument that America is racist, let alone “systemically” racist, wanting. For example, the police almost never kill unarmed blacks, and on the rare occasions they do (about 15 times a year), there is almost always a valid reason (as in the infamous 2014 case in Ferguson, Missouri); police kill more unarmed whites than blacks; the reason there are proportionately so many more blacks in prison is that blacks disproportionately commit violent crimes; and so on. There are very powerful arguments against the charge that America is a racist society. I offered one in my column last week: No. 1: If there is so much racism in America, why are there so many false claims of racism and outright race hoaxes? I offered 15 recent examples. Moreover, there were probably no racist hoaxes when America really was racist, just as there were no anti-Semitic hoaxes in 1930s Germany, when there was rampant anti-Semitism. You need hoaxes when the real thing is hard to find. No. 2: The constant references to slavery. If there were a great deal of racism in America today, there would be no reason to constantly invoke slavery and the Confederacy. The very fact that The New York Times, the leader in racist dishonesty, felt it necessary to issue its “1619 Project,” which seeks to replace 1776 as the founding of America with 1619, when the first African slaves arrived in America, is a perfect illustration of the point. The fact that “The 1619 Project” was labeled false by the leading American historians of that era (all of whom are liberals and at least one of whom led a campaign to impeach President Donald Trump) adds fuel to the argument. Even regarding the past, the promoters of the “America is racist” libel need to lie to paint America as bad as possible. No. 3: The reliance on lies. “The 1619 Project,” which will now be taught in thousands of American schools, is based on lies. All Americans who care about America and/or truth should inquire if their children’s school will teach this and, if so, place their child in a school that does not. Two of the biggest lies are that preserving slavery was the real cause of the American Revolution and that slavery is what made America rich. Even the charge of endemic racist police brutality is a lie. There are undoubtedly racist police, but racism does not characterize police interactions with blacks. No. 4: The large African immigration to the United States. Nearly 2 million black Africans and more than 1 million blacks from the Caribbean have emigrated to the United States in just the last 20 years. Why would so many blacks voluntarily move to a country that is “systemically racist,” a country, according to the promoters of the “America is racist” libel, in which every single white is a racist? Are all these blacks dumb? Are they ignorant? And what about the millions more who would move here if they were allowed to? How does one explain the fact that Nigerians, for example, are among the most successful immigrant communities? No. 5: The preoccupation with “microaggressions.” According to the University of California’s list of racist “microaggressions,” saying, “There is only one race, the human race,” is a “racist microaggression.” This is, of course, Orwellian doublespeak. Anyone who believes there is only one race is not, by definition, a racist. If everyone in the past had believed there was one race, the human race, there would never have been racism, let alone a slave trade based on racism. The very fact that the left came up with the intellectual farce known as “microaggressions,” like the race hoaxes, proves how little racism there is in America — because the entire thesis is based on the fact that there are so few real, or “macro,” aggressions. The race riots, the ruining of people’s careers and lives over something said or done at any time in their lives, the ruining of professional sports (especially basketball and football), the tearing down of America and its history, the smearing of moral giants like Abraham Lincoln — all of this is being done because of a lie. As I wrote in a column three years ago: “The Jews survived the Blood Libel. But America may not survive the American Libel. While the first Libel led to the death of many Jews, the present Libel may lead to the death of a civilization. Indeed, the least oppressive ever created.” Tags: Dennis Prager, 5 Arguments, Against, ‘America Is a Racist Country’ To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Manhattan DA Targets Trump After Giving Epstein and Weinstein a Pass
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 03:39 PM PDT . . . New Yorkers are dying, but DA Vance is going after Trump.
by Daniel Greenfield: NYPD Twitter accounts, like most official government social media, are usually boring. So it was highly unusual when the police account for South Manhattan blasted the borough’s DA. “Manhattan DA Cy Vance where are you? No show at any shooting scene!!! Our community is being attacked, there have been 24 people shot in the city in the past 24 hours….Where Are You!!!,” the official police account blared after a bloody July 4th weekend. “Complete No Show in Manhattan North!! Shame!!” the account for Manhattan North chimed in. The Manhattan district attorney’s poor relationship with the police had cratered when he announced that he was giving Black Lives Matter rioters a pass. That included the BLM racist who had scrawled obscene and hateful graffiti on the walls of St. Patrick’s Cathedral. In response, the NYPD pulled away officers assigned to Vance’s office to handle crowd control. But Cyrus Vance Jr., the son of Jimmy Carter’s secretary of state, who had resigned to protest Carter’s approval of a military operation to rescue the Iran hostages, has other priorities. Even as Vance failed to stop the BLM orgy of rioting and looting, he charged Amy Cooper, a woman walking her dog who became the star of an out of context viral video after calling 911 during an argument in Central Park, to burnish his credentials with the racist hate group. And he pursued a Supreme Court case to get hold of President Trump’s tax returns. While New York City was enduring a horrifying wave of violence, with 10 dead in 30 shootings in just one Sunday, Vance was busy fighting a national battle against President Trump. Even as the NYPD was shaming Vance for refusing to come to the scenes of the shootings bloodying the city, Manhattan’s aristocratic DA was busy burnishing his image with leftist virtue signaling. Shootings are up 130% and burglaries are up 118%, but Vance was busy hailing his “tremendous victory” in the Supreme Court, not for New Yorkers, but for the Democrat Party. Vance has never been especially interested in conventional crime anyway. The blue-blooded official, who despises the men and women in blue, had blown through almost $250,000 on dining and travel expenses in 5 years by doing things like staying at a five-star hotel in Paris and a London hotel with a rooftop pool overlooking St. Paul’s. The money came out of the $800 million asset forfeiture fund under Vance’s control which has also been used to send cash to pro-crime groups and legal aid societies. The Manhattan DA’s office is effectively funding its own opposition in court while Vance lives the high life. And that money is helping protect criminals and put them back on the street. While Vance has been demanding to see President Trump’s taxes, and even went to the Supreme Court for his fishing expedition, it’s his own finances that ought to be under scrutiny. After a model complained about being assaulted by Harvey Weinstein, Vance’s office chose not to prosecute. One of Weinstein’s lawyers was Vance’s former law partner who had donated $24,000 to the DA and then another $10,000 after the case was dropped. That money was part of the over $2 million that Vance had gotten from lawyers and law firms. Like any good public servant, Vance promptly ordered an “independent review” of his donations by a non-profit partly funded by the corporate intelligence company that had gone after Harvey Weinstein’s accusers. And whose corporate chairman had, obviously, donated to Vance. Vance’s office had pursued the “investigation” of the assault by Harvey Weinstein by pressuring the victim’s roommates into portraying her as a stripper or a prostitute. The NYPD’s Manhattan Twitter accounts may have tried to shame Vance, but he has no shame. In 2011, Vance’s office had asked a judge to reduce Jeffrey Epstein’s sex offender status to the lowest possible level which would have kept the pedophile off a public registry of sex offenders. The Board of Examiners of Sex Offenders had rated Epstein at a high risk of reoffending. “I have to tell you, I’m a little overwhelmed because I have never seen a prosecutor’s office do anything like this,” Justice Ruth Pickholz replied. But Vance and his office often do things you never seen a prosecutor do before. Even while New Yorkers are being shot at rates that are taking the city back to the worst days of the 70s and 80s, Vance is obsessively going after associates of President Trump. Vance is not only chasing Trump’s taxes all the way to the Supreme Court, while ignoring the NYPD’s outcry over the death toll in Manhattan, he’s also chasing Paul Manafort. Vance’s pursuit of Manafort was already shut down on double jeopardy grounds, but the Trump-chasing DA isn’t about to give up on trying the already imprisoned campaign figure on charges of conspiracy and mortgage fraud because Manafort claimed that his daughter was living in his SoHo condo on his mortgage application, when he was actually renting it on AirBnB. If everyone in New York who did that sort of thing were put on trial, the prisons would be full. Meanwhile, when asked about the huge jump in shootings, the Manhattan DA, flailed, claiming, “You can’t put your finger on what the precise thing is. We’re in the middle of a pandemic where 25,000 New Yorkers have died. So, I think there is fear. There is anger.” The vast majority of New York City’s pandemic deaths affected senior citizens. That has nothing to do with why gang members are shooting each other on street corners and Vance knows it. But Vance also knows that he’s facing multiple radical challengers, including a Muslim opponent backed by Linda Sarsour, and that the best way to triumph is by giving the finger to the cops, freeing criminals, denying that the crime wave has anything to do with the jailbreaks, and obsessively pursuing President Trump and his associates on the flimsiest of pretexts. And that will help Vance win reelection so he can keep on staying at Parisian five-star hotels. The real bread and butter of the Manhattan DA’s office isn’t putting away the muggers, murderers, rapists, and burglars who are terrorizing the borough like never before. It’s the $800 million slush fund that financed Vance’s lifestyle. And it’s the donations from lawyers and law firms that have stopped coming in once the conflicts of interest grew too serious. And, without the legal cash, Vance’s best fundraising pitch is going to be targeting Trump. That’s why Vance is throwing everything he has at President Trump and his associates while the bodies pile up in the hospitals and the morgues. Even as New Yorkers are shot and killed by the criminals that he ought to be putting away, he knows that his fate will be determined by how incompetently he fights crime and how vigorously he pursues the political enemies of the Left. That’s why Amy Cooper was charged and the BLM vandal of St. Patrick’s Cathedral wasn’t. It’s why Vance is threatening cops and freeing BLM rioters. The worse Vance is at fighting crime and the better he is at fighting Trump, the more likely he is to win over Democrat voters. And that’s why the bodies and the Trump lawsuits are piling up in New York City. Tags: Daniel Greenfield, FrontPage Mag, Manhattan DA, Targets Trump, After Giving, Epstein and Weinstein, a Pass To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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What Does ‘Back to School’ Mean in the Time of COVID-19?
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 03:06 PM PDT by Rachel del Guidice: What could “back to school” look like during the first fall of the COVID-19 pandemic, and what should it look like? What about an “exclusively virtual” education experience? What are wise precautions to take and what is unrealistic? Lindsey Burke, who directs The Heritage Foundation’s Center for Education Policy and is the think tank’s Will Skillman fellow in education, joins the podcast to discuss. We also cover these stories:
Rachel del Guidice: I’m joined on The Daily Signal Podcast today by Lindsey Burke. She’s the director of the Center for Education Policy and a Will Skillman fellow in education [at The Heritage Foundation]. Lindsey, it’s great to have you on The Daily Signal Podcast. Lindsey Burke: Thanks for having me. Del Guidice: So with the recent rising numbers we’ve seen out of places like Florida and Arizona and Texas and California, what do you think back to school is going to look like for students in the coming weeks as we get closer and closer to August? Burke: Well, what it should look like is schools, to the best that they can, should reopen. That of course should take into account the local context, local conditions on the grounds, but if they can, they should certainly strive for reopening in the fall. Unfortunately, I don’t think that’s what we’re going to see in a lot of instances. I was more confident this morning, actually, but just before coming on this podcast, the Los Angeles Unified School District, which is the second-largest school district in the entire country, announced that they will not be reopening in-person this fall. So that’s a big deal. There are between 600,000 and 700,000 students who are in LA Unified, and I think it could really portend things to come in the fall for a lot of districts. Hopefully it doesn’t, hopefully we will see more districts moving toward reopening quicker, but that is the news on the ground today is LA Unified will not be reopening. Del Guidice: You mentioned … LA, they’re going to stay closed. What about other states across the country? How are they addressing this? Are they going to be reopening? Or are they going to be doing some in-person, some online? What does it look like for other states so far? Burke: Well, for the most part local school districts, we’re still sort of in that waiting period to see what they do, but we’re getting really close, I think, over the next week or two, to seeing just a massive amount of announcements one way or the other. If you look at Fairfax County in Virginia and other large school districts, they were one of the first out of the gate to release what their plan would be for the fall. They’re giving parents an option of either online or some mix of in-person and online in their school districts. So I think in short order, we’re going to see a lot of states and districts start to make that announcement. But right now we’re still at the point where we haven’t seen a ton release those plans yet. Del Guidice: CNN has reported over the weekend that internal documents in the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warn that fully opening K-12 schools and universities would be the highest risk for the spread of the coronavirus, and they’re citing a New York Times report in CNN’s reporting. Would you say reopening schools is a right risk to take? Burke: I think that, again, we really need to think about the local conditions on the ground. It might be the right call in one area, but another area they have an outbreak might need to hold off a little bit. I think what is instructive, though, at the moment is to look at what schools around the world have started to do, what countries around the world are doing when it comes to their school reopening. Science Magazine, of course, well-respected publication, they looked at over 20 countries that had reopened since June, and a lot of those countries throughout Europe, but they really decided that their reopening would happen because children in particular, we know it is rare for children to develop really severe symptoms, and if they contract the virus, it seems rather rare for them to spread it if they do get it. So that was the assessment in Europe for a lot of the schools that reopened in countries across the Continent there. So that could be instructive, but at the end of the day, it really is going to come down to local leadership. It should be a conversation between parents and between their local school. Right now, what we’re seeing, I think, unfortunately, is a conversation that is looking increasingly to Washington to provide the answers. And that of course is moving it further and further away from the people, the children that these decisions are going to impact. So right now we see special-interest groups, the teachers unions are calling for hundreds of billions of dollars in new money to be spent at the federal level in order for schools to reopen. The administration, President [Donald] Trump has said the opposite, that schools should not get federal funding if they don’t reopen. Then the education secretary, Secretary [Betsy] DeVos, has said, well, maybe not cut off funding, but allow those dollars to follow students to schools of choice that are open. I think that really should be our posture with regard to federal policy and federal spending, that if schools aren’t going to reopen, let’s fund the student and allow those dollars to follow that student to schools of choice that are open. Burke: Well, a lot of schools, a lot of countries throughout Europe have opened schools, at least partially, throughout the spring. So Denmark, for instance, was the very first country in Europe to reopen schools. They reopened their schools all the way back, it seems like a million years ago, but all the way back in April, April 15, and their approach is to do as much in terms of class time as they can outside. They also divide children into small groups. This is apparently the new education buzzword now. They divide them into pods. So kids are in pods of about 12 students. Finland reopened schools in May. They retained their existing class size, so they didn’t reduce class sizes. That’s something that we’ve heard calls for here, but they’ve kept classes separated from each other. They’ve done a staggered reopening by age. If you look at France, France schools reopened mid-May there, but they reopened on a voluntary basis. So it depends. It’s very country-specific. Germany opened schools on a part-time basis. If you go outside of Europe, if you look at places like Japan right now, in Japan, again, they’re reopening process in June. So just last month they started reopening schools and they have some pretty clear-cut guidelines for what they expect of the families once schools reopened. So parents have to take their child’s temperature every morning and they report their temperature to the school before they show up that morning. Children attend school on alternative days. So they alternate days back and forth. Teachers and kids wear masks. So it just really depends. Then you have the other side of the spectrum, which are the countries that never closed schools at all, right? Sweden never closed down its schools from Day One of the pandemic. So that’s the other end of the spectrum there. Del Guidice: Going back to the U.S., one of the political debates right now is whether schools should follow the CDC guidelines. What do you think? And … what are some of those guidelines? Burke: I think it is really locally-driven and should be locally-driven and context-specific. This is something that the National Coronavirus Recovery Commission, [which] The Heritage Foundation launched, [recommended], was that that decision does stay local. The CDC has recommended things like sanitizing the playgrounds in between each use. Of course, social distancing of students there. To some extent alternating days, or at least classes that go back to school. I think the answer there really has to be whatever works in a local context. That’s something that school leaders are thinking hard about across the country. That’s something we have a lot of evidence to from the nonpublic sector, from the private school sector, and in some instances from some of our friends in the online space and the charter school space, that it really is school dependent, that school leaders are thinking deeply about what those reopening plans look like. They are really starting to think through, “What does an emergency management plan look like for my school, if it has to close again?” This is something else that has come out of Europe too. Instead of just shuttering schools across the board, that once schools did reopen, if there was a teacher or a student who contracted the virus, to not necessarily close down the entire school, but to have that student go home, to not reenter school for a period of two weeks or whatever it might be. But only if you get a certain number of cases growing to shut down that school. So, again, it’s really going to need that local context, a state to state and even district to district. But as I said a minute ago, right now, so much of the focus has started to shift toward Washington, right? We saw the education secretary this weekend was on TV, a couple of different media hits over the weekend, talking about school reopening. But I think she really hit the nail on the head with that when she said that those dollars that we currently spend should follow kids to schools of choice that are open. So that’s I think what we have to keep front and center. If a family is not satisfied with how a school proposes to reopen in the fall, what that school’s plan might look like, they should be able to take their dollars to an education environment that reflects what they want for their child, the day-to-day experience that they want their child to have in this post-pandemic era that we’re approaching. Del Guidice: Lindsey, as you’ve looked through guidelines and seen what some districts are looking at versus others, what are some good precautions that you’ve seen that you would like to just share with others and then others that you’ve seen that just seem unrealistic or could be approached in a better way? Burke: … When you talk to school leaders across the country, I think everybody sort of gets it intuitively. But the thing that you hear school leaders say is that it could be difficult among very young children, right? Think about kids who are in kindergarten, to have them potentially wear masks all day, or to really enforce some of that social distancing. That’s not to say one way or the other that that’s the right policy or the wrong policy, just when you listen to school leaders across the country, that is one concern that they have is with that, the really, really young kids have some of the enforcement pieces there. Then you hear some of the same concerns when it comes to things like sanitizing the playground in between each use, that that’s something that might be difficult for schools to do. Again, not a comment on whether or not that’s good or bad policy, but something that we’re hearing. In our world, the thing that I think has really been striking more so than how schools are really thinking about sort of the health perspective of reopening has been the extent to which they have or have not provided access to instructional material. I mean, it has been just all over the place in terms of what district schools in particular have been doing since March, since schools closed. About a third of districts across the country of those districts that have been studied have really provided virtually no online instruction to speak of. That has been and I think will prove to be a real loss for a lot of students across the country. Then we see about a third that are doing a pretty decent job providing online instruction, but they’re not taking attendance of students. They’re not grading student work. So how much will that really, I think, benefit the student long term is an open question as well. If they’re providing that online and instruction, but not monitoring student progress, what does that mean long term? Then we’ve got about a third of districts who’ve done a pretty good job overall at providing online options, but it has been spotty across the country. I will say too that this is why it’s so important to make a distinction when it comes to online learning between districts, public school districts that have had to, in some cases, haphazardly put together an online platform for their instruction and give it to students virtually versus students who chose to learn online before the pandemic hit. There’s a big difference there. Families who selected into an online learning option pre-pandemic versus what we’re seeing [right now, … which is this sort of accidental homeschooling. We’re all homeschoolers now [in this] moment that we’re in. So just a little caveat there. Del Guidice: On that note, my next question fits in perfectly. Just to talk about this more virtual experience, that probably a lot of people in LA will end up having to become part of, … what would an exclusively virtual experience look like as some school systems are proposing just that? Burke: Yeah, so, it’s going to vary, I think, widely by district, if history is any indication and recent history … since the pandemic started because it really has been all over the map, the extent to which districts are providing high quality of virtual instruction to students. But I can tell you what it tends to look like. In some cases it will be at the beginning of the week, the district will provide some number of hours, three hours perhaps, of instructional material for a student to work through. Some districts are doing a good job with that synchronous online option, where you have a teacher in front of the students, they’re in a virtual classroom, they’re learning together about as close as you can model to that sort of typical, traditional in-person classroom experience. So it tends to be something along those lines where you have the districts, where you have a local school providing some amount of content on the front end for students to work through. The real variable in that equation is the extent of time that they are spending sort of face to face online with a teacher, and that has been really all over the place. Del Guidice: Lastly, Lindsey, how would you say this long-term quarantine and lack of programming for young people and students, whether it’s school camps over the summer, how has that had an effect on students and what especially about those students who are low income in particular? Burke: Yeah. You know, this is the big, big question. It’s the big important question: To what extent are we really going to see a negative impact on student learning as a result of schools being closed? If you look at a district like LA Unified, which, again, has just announced that they’re not reopening this fall, they have reading proficiency rates among their eighth-grade students of 18%. So 18% of eighth-graders in LA Unified, the second-largest school district in the country, can read proficiently. I mean, that should keep us all up at night. I say that because there are, and so many people are well aware of this through firsthand experience, so many instances where children are already not getting access to quality content, that their traditional district school for whatever reason is not meeting their needs. We know across the country nationally only about one-third of students can read proficiently. So LA is even more of a exclamation point behind that low level of reading proficiency. So the question really is, what does it look like [over the] next year or two years later or once we really start to get the data in on the impact that this has had on student learning? I think for low-income students in particular, we’re probably going to see a negative impact on their student learning outcomes. But the district system has had a long way to go before this pandemic hit anyways. So it will, I think, be interesting just to know those baseline numbers, right? To know that only a third of kids were proficient in reading before the pandemic hit. Then to really be able to put into context what the numbers look like a year or two from now. … The absolute best thing that we could do right now would be to give families control over the money that is being spent on schools they cannot physically enter. We are funding schools like LA Unified, the doors are shut. Parents cannot get into them. Those parents should be able to take their dollars to schools that they want to attend, that will meet their child’s needs, that are actually open, where the doors are open, or they should be able to use them for virtual tutors or online learning, whatever it is that meets their child’s unique learning needs. So we have said that states immediately should move toward providing emergency education savings accounts for families. It’s a really smart targeted response to this pandemic that I would argue is also a very good long-term policy. Del Guidice: Lindsey, thank you so much for breaking the sound for us today on The Daily Signal Podcast. We appreciate having you with us. Burke: Thanks for having me. Tags: Rachel del Guidice, Lindsey Burke, What Does ‘Back to School’ Mean, in the Time of COVID-19? To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Why You Should Be Optimistic About Trump Winning
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 02:35 PM PDT by Kurt Schlichter: When there is something that I really want to be true and things are leading me to believe that it is true, the lawyer and soldier in me both compel me to look for why I might be wrong. After all, confirmation bias exists – you want to believe that what you want is what actually is. Just look at Twitter. It’s a veritable orgy of liberal confirmation bias, though a gross, icky orgy like you might have seen at an after-party on a Bulwark cruise. I really want President Donald Trump to be reelected. There are a lot of reasons, including my liking the Constitution, enjoying economic prosperity, and not wanting to be ruled by the sinister leftist Geppettos who are holding the strings that make their gropey, weird old Pinocchio dance. And I think Trump will win. This is what makes me redouble my efforts to see if I am deluding myself, to see if I am skipping over unhelpful realities and emphasizing non-indicating indicators in order to wring out the result I want – another flood of tears issuing from the eyes of hordes of Democrat saps seeing their dream of a Nuevo Venezuela here in America pushed back a minimum of four more years. I can’t convince myself I am wrong. I’ve tried. And I keep coming back to the same place. If I were a betting man, I’d put my money down on The Donald again. Let’s review the evidence for a Grandpa Badfinger victory, because it does exist and we damn well best take it seriously if we don’t want to become serfs toiling away for the intersectional nimrods who make up the pierced and tatted-up thorax of the socialist insect that yearns to feed on the life of the People. First, a basic fact: Either candidate of either party can always possibly win in any American election. Trump’s upset reaffirmed that truism good n’ hard. We have a two-party system – sorry members of the Libertarian Party, Green Party, and Brony Validation Party, but none of you matter and also, you’re all strange-os. A two-party system means each party is generally incentivized to maximize its appeal to obtain 50 percent + 1 vote. Almost all our elections are rather close, at least in the popular vote. The Electoral College – the only kind of college Democrats do not want to give your money to – skews the numbers, but generally, America is a nearly 50/50 split by design. Either nominee can win, so the question is who is always more likely to win. Biden’s got a lot of money and the entire mainstream media flacking for him. Trump seems to have some organization problems in key states getting his ground game squared away, and those damn texts are ticking off the base (My sources in the know tell me the president is aware of this and is personally kicking tail to fix it – he better be if he wants to win). Of course, in Democrat areas, they are ramping up their ability to commit election fraud. But the factor that gets the attention is the polls. According to the polls, Hoover Biden’s Daddy is walking away with this election. He’s beating Trump by five points, ten points, fifteen points, all of the points! That’s dispiriting, and I kind of think it’s meant to be. Am I saying that I think the mainstream media is intentionally skewing poll numbers so it can report that Trump is getting crushed and thereby demoralize us? Yeah. This once would have been crazy talk, but if you look at all the lies both Trump and we have been subjected to since he dared defy the garbage establishment. This is the subject of my new book, The 21 Biggest Lies About Donald Trump (and You!), which you need to order immediately. You have to wonder where the speed bump is that will slow down the media’s drag race toward becoming total proggy propaganda. After a coordinated bogus Mt. Rushmore narrative – Dark! Divisive! Confederaaaaaaates! – that we could easily fact check simply by clicking a mouse and listening to what the president actually said for ourselves, why should we trust their reporting of something as opaque and easy to manipulate as a poll? I don’t answer polls. I have a job – heck, jobs. So do you. And with everyone from PG&E linemen making the “OK” sign to Latin vegetable tycoons being canceled, is it so crazy to think some people might not reply to a total stranger, “Why yes, I do intend to vote for the guy a bunch of very prominent people insist is literally Hitler”? That’s Lie #5 in my new book, by the way. And maybe I’m denying science again (That’s Lie #13), but if polls were so reliable the UK would be run by Jeremy Corbyn and we’d be playing “Hail to the Chief” to Felonia Milhous von Pantsuit, at least until some aggrieved sophomore with a degree in Collectivist Pottery from Goucher College declared the ditty “racist” and the Democrat administration scrambled to replace it with a mash-up of songs by The Chicks and Lady A. Not the black soul singer Lady A, but the singers of pallor currently squatting on the name because the word “Antebellum” sets stupid people to literally shaking. Now, why am I optimistic? Well, several reasons. Some are based on generalities, and some are kind of anecdotal. Incumbents usually win. They just do. The economy, despite the Dems’ best efforts to turn the pangolin pandemic panic into The Great Depression 2: Back on the Bread Line, seems to be getting better. Biden is promising to raise taxes and cancel hundreds of thousands of fracking jobs in key states like Pennsylvania in order to please his urban climate cultist base. There’s also the fact that he has not gotten us into any new wars, much to the chagrin of the establishment. And he is getting us out of the pre-existing wars the establishment has spent decades losing. Finally, the whole chaos thing works better for him in terms of the kind of people who remember to vote. Defunding the police plays a lot better in a faculty lounge than a suburban cul-de-sac. Oh, and there’s the fact that the basement-dwelling crustacean the Democrats are all set to nominate is manifestly senile. Notice how Trump is kind of holding fire on that little revelation until Biden accepts the nom and they can’t switch him out? All those factors are in Trump’s favor. Now, here’s the squishy thing I see that makes me optimistic in spite of myself. I know a significant number of folks who did not support Trump in 2016 but who are doing so now, especially since there is no Democrat alternative that doesn’t involve turning the White House into a commie freak show. But I know zero people who have told me, “Yeah, I voted for Trump in 2016, but his mean tweeting makes me want to flush America down the Ted Lieu.” In fact, I ran a Twitter poll and got over 3,100 responses in an hour with 92 percent sharing my experience. And, as my pal Owen Brennan of ace political shop Madison-McQueen (Full Disclosure: I’ve done legal work for them) told me when I guest hosted for Hugh Hewitt recently, while the polls about personal preference support Biden, the polls of who people think will win supports Trump in a big way. That’s a screening test for the “Shy Trumpers.” And there is the wisdom of crowds factor – Republicans are largely convinced Trump will win in a walk. Is it scientific? Nope. Is it objective? Nope. But is it correct? Will Trump win? I think so, and I can’t help it. Regardless, we need to play like we’re behind, redouble our efforts, and bring in this win. This is serious stuff. This is our country, and should Biden win, the people controlling that moldy muppet will hate our guts and want us disenfranchised, silenced, and enslaved, if not imprisoned or worse. Let’s win this thing. It’s ours to lose. Tags: Kurt Schlichter, optimistic about, Trump winning To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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An Open Letter to the Legion of Lamentation
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 02:03 PM PDT by E.P. Unum: It is a fact of life in our country today that there are people who live to be offended. They’re called Progressives. They are offended by Confederate statues and the Confederate Flag, by monuments that they say celebrate white supremacy and colonialism, by Trump supporters, by Trump himself, and by those who refuse to get on their knees and grovel before Black Lives Matter. Well, I am not one of them, and I’ve got a big revelation for them. Here are ten things for which I will never apologize, and I don’t give sour owl shit if you’re offended by any of them: 1. I’m white – I was born white and I don’t feel guilty about slavery, segregation, the Trail of Tears or the treatment of Chinese railroad workers – because (now get this) I didn’t have anything to do with any of these. I’m no more responsible for these injustices than the Indian of today is responsible for the Black Hole of Calcutta. The idea of racial guilt is absurd. White privilege and white supremacy is a myth. Where is the White Miss America Contest, White History Month and White Entertainment Television? Where are the white-only colleges and universities, white-only dating sites or white-only bars and restaurants? Where are the quotas and set-asides for Caucasians? Do we need to address these things? To some degree, yes, but not by rioting, tearing down statues, looting and destroying businesses, changing names of sports teams and products. We can and should address these things with civility and dialogue by all concerned. 2. I love America – I believe in American exceptionalism. America pioneered representative government guided by a written constitution. We fought a war with 620,000 dead to end slavery. We defeated Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan and liberated the death camps. We saved Europe from tyranny,twice, in the 20th century and then, with American investment, innovation, resourcefulness and generosity, rebuilt the economies of 17 nations of Europe and the nation of Japan. Our arms kept communism from conquering the world. Our factories and workshops produced a flood of inventions and products that benefited humanity. We built the greatest most respected medical system in the world and earned more Nobel Prizes in Medicine than any other nation on earth by a factor of ten! What country has done as much – especially in 244 years, a relative hiccup in time? 3. I’m a Christian – I love God and his son Jesus Christ. I am proud of my faith, but I do not wear it on my sleeve. The next time your physician gives you a shot of penicillin, look up who discovered this miracle drug. 4. My heroes include George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Andrew Jackson, Abraham Lincoln, Teddy Roosevelt – Washington and Lincoln were indispensable men. Washington defeated the greatest army on earth and led our country for the first quarter-century of its existence. Lincoln saved the Union, abolished slavery and inspired generations with his rhetoric. The Declaration of Independence flames with the eloquence of Thomas Jefferson, arguably the most intelligent man to ever serve as President of the United States. Andrew Jackson, the hero of the Battle of New Orleans, represented the pioneer spirit. Teddy Roosevelt led the charge into the 20th century, the American Century. Together, they gave us a country so free that malcontents like Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Ilhan Omar and Rashida Talib can dump on it without fear of reprisal. Indeed, if you listen to all the complaints voiced from all the liberal/progressive democrats and communists like NYC Mayor Bill De Blasio, you are hard pressed to understand why there are so few people leaving our country! It is harder still to understand why, with all of our so called “problems”, millions of people from around the world want to come here! 5. I support our Police, and I believe police officers are generally decent/honorable men and women who are doing a difficult, dangerous, often thankless job – You couldn’t pay me enough today to do it. Besides risking their lives every time they go to work, they bear the added burden of listening to insults shouted at them by spoiled, ungrateful people many of whom are wet behind their ears and probably still wearing diapers. Police today have become the punching bag for the nation and, sadly, they receive little or no respect or support from their superiors and the gaggle of incompetent democratic mayors around the country. And, like our military, they are all that stands between us and the abyss. When the Twin Towers were attacked in New York City on 9/11, we were reminded by liberals to not judge all Muslims by the actions of a few. Yet today, mobs are willing to judge all police by the actions of a few police. Explain that one to me. Defunding the police because of a few “bad apples” is just plain STUPID because the end result will be more crime. If you find that difficult to comprehend, just check the crime statistics for these liberal democratic controlled cities: New York, Chicago, Detroit, Minneapolis, Los Angeles, San Francisco, St. Louis, Newark, Trenton and check out the number of shootings and stabbings on any given weekend! You would think these cities are in a war zone. 6. I support the Second Amendment, and I own weapons – It’s one of the reasons why Japan thought long and hard about attacking us. It’s a major reason why we’ll never have a Holocaust here. Europe has had the divine right of kings, religious persecution, Communism and Nazism. We have the Second Amendment. The anarchy in our streets, coupled with calls to defund the police, only serve to underscore the need for civilian gun ownership. 7. Reparations are racial plunder. The idea of racial guilt is an obscenity from the dark recesses of 19th century European history – There’s no group in the world that hasn’t been oppressed at some point in time. Will Denmark pay reparations to the English for the Danelaw? Will Mongols and Manchus compensate the Chinese? Will Japan compensate the Chinese for the Rape of Nanjing? How about the English and the Irish, the Mongols and the Russians, the Cossacks and Jews? Will bi-racial Barack Obama take money out of one pocket and put it in another? 8. There are only two genders. Deal with it – Gender is determined at birth by your DNA. Just as you can’t change your DNA, you can’t change your sex. You should not be able to force others to participate in your fantasy. Reality isn’t hateful. 9. I support President Trump and will vote for him in November, 2020 – The president loves this country. He really does have Israel’s back. Who else is strong enough to stand up to China and Iran? Unlike almost everyone else in Washington, as a businessman, he understands finance and the market economy. He’s giving us judges who deliberate instead of legislate. And he has the guts not to be liked. Prior to COVID-19, President Trump built the greatest most prosperous economy in the world and he gave power back to the people. He understands that we are a people who happen to have a government, not the other way around, and this American experiment in which government derives its just power from the consent of the governed is still the most unique, treasured and progressive form of government in the history of mankind. 10. You have a right to disagree with me, but you do not have a right to try to silence me – Being offended doesn’t trump the First Amendment. Attacking statues and assaulting those with different values is the kind of thing we saw in Nazi Germany and Stalin’s Russia. Generations of Americans died for freedom of speech, not freedom to suppress speech. To say you’re offended is merely an attempt to prioritize your feelings above everyone and everything else. It’s not an argument, but a call to end discussion – an admission of intellectual impotence. Being offended isn’t a mark of virtue; it’s a sign that you’re a big, blubbering baby who will throw a tantrum if you can’t get your way. Wagging fingers and shouting obscenities at me is just plain disrespectful, and might get you a punch in the nose. Sadly, that is what we see today with liberals and progressives. We have the right to disagree… but what I see taking place in our country today is simply not right from any reasonable perspective. Many in politics have lost their sanity for political reasons. I heard AOC state this morning that the Riots and looting are taking place because of the pandemic.. people don’t have food, so they have to riot. Does anyone believe this dribble? For what food were they looking at Dick’s Sporting Goods, Macys, Gucci, Louis Vuitton , etc? I may be wrong, but I would bet that the Reverend Martin Luther King is looking down from Heaven at all the rioting looting, black on black killing, BLM and saying to himself, “I can’t believe I died for this.” Tags: E.P. Unum, An Open Letter, Legion of Lamentation To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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4 Military Name Suggestions for Washington’s NFL Team
Posted: 14 Jul 2020 01:40 PM PDT by Military.com: The Washington NFL team has shocked the world with an announcement that they’re dropping the Redskins team name and logo and plan to announce a new identity as soon as possible — and coach Ron Rivera said he wants the new name to be a tribute to the military. Owner Dan Snyder had been resisting a name change for years. Seven years ago, in an interview with USA Today, he was adamant. “NEVER,” Snyder said at the time. “You can use caps.” But recent changes in public opinion led to pressure from the league office and team sponsors like FedEx and Nike and, after decades of controversy, the team has decided to change with the times and come up with a new name. Rivera has been made the face of the franchise this year and he’s the one tasked with talking to the media about the team’s decision. Rivera’s father was an Army officer and grew up on military bases. He told the Washington Post about his wish to use the new name to honor the military in a recent interview. Apparently, they’ve got a name in mind, but the lawyers want to work out any possible copyright issues before Snyder and Rivera make the announcement. This would seem to be a good plan in light of the public relations disaster created by country music group Lady A’s attempt to use a name belonging to a previously established blues singer. In our view, that means the window is still open for name suggestions. Maybe they won’t resolve their copyright issues or maybe we’ve just got better ideas. Here are our top four suggestions for a new military-connected team name in Washington, D.C. 1. Washington Warthogs Bonus: Washington fans concerned about their traditions will note that the name could inspire a revival of the Hogettes, that weird team fan group that featured male fans dressed up in women’s clothing and pig snouts in support of the team. 2. Washington Devil Dogs 3. Washington Generals And yet, there’s an audience of one who’s sure to love the name: President Donald J. Trump, former owner of the USFL’s New Jersey Generals. There’s sure to be blowback over the name change from a portion of the team’s fan base, so the full-throated support of President Trump (and his Twitter followers) would be a huge help as the team makes the transition. 4. Washington Red Tails ————————— Shared by Military.com Editors. Tags: Military.com, Under the Radar, Entertainment News NFL, 4 Military Name Suggestions, Washington’s NFL Team To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The L.A. Times Proclaims the Anthem Is Racist, Their Suggested Replacement Will Have you Laughing Out Loud
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NBC MORNING RUNDOWN
Wednesday, July 15, 2020
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Good morning, NBC News readers.
Months into the coronavirus pandemic, COVID-19 is spreading faster than ever in the U.S., Jeff Sessions loses his bid to win back his old job and President Donald Trump struggles to land a punch on Joe Biden.
Here’s what we’re watching this Wednesday morning.
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As coronavirus cases soar, doctors and patients wonder: Is it possible to get reinfected?
The coronavirus is spreading across the United States faster than at any other point in the pandemic, and the rise of new cases has accelerated in July.
Before July 1, the country had never seen a day in which 50,000 new coronavirus cases had been confirmed. Since then, the record has been surpassed 11 times, according to an NBC News tally of cases.
And three U.S. states — Florida, Texas and California —account for about one-fifth of the world’s new cases.
As the number of new COVID-19 infections continue to soar, doctors and patients are wondering: Is it possible to get reinfected?
Unfortunately, the short answer seems to be, yes.
Emerging research suggests that levels of protective antibodies may fade after just a few months.
The body’s immune system is designed to fight infections by producing antibodies to viruses. But a growing pool of data suggests COVID-19 antibodies wane about 60 to 90 days after infection.
“The nightmare of this is based on how much we don’t know,” said Dr. Michael Saag, associate dean for global health at the University of Alabama, Birmingham. “COVID is brand new. We’re discovering as we go.”
Here are some other developments:
- Hospitals have been ordered to bypass the CDC and send all COVID-19 patient information to a central database in Washington beginning Wednesday, raising concerns from health experts that the data will be politicized or withheld from the public.
- “You can trust me”: Dr. Fauci responded to White House efforts to discredit him by saying the public can trust “respected medical authorities” — like himself.
- The federal stockpile is thin as the Trump administration pushes for reopening amid virus surge.
- In the hunt for a vaccine, Moderna, a Cambridge, Massachusetts-based biotech company, says it has had promising results for its coronavirus vaccine as they aim to start its final phase of testing.
- Track U.S. hot spots where COVID-19 infection rates are rising.
- The U.S. death toll from coronavirus has surpassed 137,000 according to NBC News’ tally.
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Jeff Sessions lost GOP primary bid to reclaim his old Alabama Senate seat
Former Trump Attorney General Jeff Sessions lost his primary bid for his old Senate seat Tuesday, the Associated Press reported.
Sessions held the Senate seat for 20 years but left it to serve as attorney general under President Donald Trump.
The Alabama Republican helped Trump’s insurgent presidential bid tremendously as the first senator to back him.
But the relationship between Trump and Sessions soured when the attorney general wouldn’t intervene in the investigation into Trump’s campaign dealings with Russia.
Now former Auburn University football coach Tommy Tuberville will go on to face Democratic Sen. Doug Jones in November.
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Inside the Trump campaign’s struggle to land a punch on Biden
President Trump’s political advisers have bluntly told him he can’t win the November election if the campaign is about him, and for weeks they unsuccessfully urged him to pivot to a new strategy focused on his general election opponent, Joe Biden.
Trump finally appeared to heed the advice Tuesday, although the setting and the tone of the political broadside may not have been what his advisers had envisioned, NBC News’ White House reporters write.
Trump’s remarks, which mentioned Biden 31 times, were monotone, and the backdrop — the White House Rose Garden — was a break from longtime presidential efforts to separate official and re-election business.
Trump has been throwing everything he’s got at Biden, but nothing is sticking.
“It’s difficult to attack vanilla,” quipped one Republican observer.
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A new Cold War between the U.S. and China may have already begun. Here’s what it might look like.
For decades, conventional wisdom in U.S. foreign policy held that if the West traded and engaged with China, it would gradually open up its political system and curb its rogue behavior, from extravagant maritime claims to trade protectionism to widespread intellectual property theft.
But in recent years, as Chinese President Xi Jinping has doubled down on those policies in a hard-line approach, the consensus has shifted.
Now as the U.S. and China spar on the world stage, NBC News’ intelligence and national security correspondent Ken Dilanian writes that Cold War 2.0 may have already begun.
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Divided by COVID-19: The couples stuck thousands of miles apart by travel bans
Leah Howd is worried that her 5-month-old son, Johan, won’t remember his father when they are finally reunited.
“He is too small to understand the person on the computer monitor is his dad,” she said.
Howd, 39, of Peoria, Illinois, hasn’t seen her partner, Bas Bruurs, 41, of the Netherlands for three months — they are among thousands of couples now kept apart in different corners of the world by COVID-19 travel restrictions.
The U.S. has banned most foreign travelers from Europe since March, while the European Union barred Americans from visiting its 27 member states July 1.
NBC News’ Social Newsgathering team spoke to Americans desperate to be reunited with their partners who are using social media hashtags such as #LoveIsEssential and #LoveIsNotTourism to spotlight their stories.
Bas Bruurs and Leah Howd with their newborn son, Johan, before being separated. (Photo: Courtesy Leah Howd)
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Plus
- The Trump administration has backed down from its restrictions for international students.
- Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg was hospitalized Tuesday for treatment of a possible infection.
- A Kansas congressman was slapped with voting fraud charges shortly before taking the stage in the state’s GOP primary debate.
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THINK about it
John Bolton hinted Trump may cut a deal with North Korea by November. We should listen, North Korea expert and MSNBC contributor Victor Cha writes in an opinion piece.
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Live BETTER
We all go through “lifequakes”: Here’s how to navigate life’s biggest transitions.
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Shopping
Need a breathable face mask for exercising? Here are the best ones for the job, according to experts.
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‘Good luck and happiness’
Seventy-five years after being freed from a Nazi death camp, Lily Ebert, 90, was able to thank the family of the American soldier who gave her hope when she needed it most.
Their trans-Atlantic meeting over a Zoom call was all thanks to a viral tweet by her great-grandson.
He tweeted a photo of an old German banknote that an American soldier had given Ebert with words of encouragement a few weeks after being liberated from Auschwitz.
“The start to a new life. Good luck and happiness,” he wrote.
While it was a simple gesture, it was life-changing for young Ebert.
“This soldier was the first human being who was kind to us,” she said.
With those words she was on her way and able to reunite with the soldier’s family a lifetime later.
This banknote with messages of hope and kindness written around the edges was given to Lily Ebert by American soldier Hyman Schulman at the end of World War II. (Photo: Dov Forman)
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NBC FIRST READ
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From NBC’s Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Carrie Dann and Melissa Holzberg
FIRST READ: 2020 really is an Election Year like no other
We’ve had intense, consequential presidential elections before (1968, 2000, 2008 and 2016).
We’ve had recessions (most recently in 2008-2009).
We’ve had mass protests (1968 comes to mind).
And we’ve had pandemics (1919, 1968).
AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh
But as political/policy consultant Bruce Mehlman points out in his latest presentation, we’ve never had ALL FOUR taking place at the same time, creating an election year unlike any other in modern American history.
In fact, 1968 might be the closest parallel to our 2020 election, but ’68 featured a healthy U.S. economy, with the unemployment rate never dropping below 4 percent that entire year.
We cover the daily coronavirus fatalities in the U.S. (now approaching 140,000 since February); we’ve talked a lot about the current unemployment rate at 11.1 percent; and we’ve seen how the protests for racial justice have shaped American politics.
But we’ve never had all of them – a pandemic, a recession and mass protests – taking place in a consequential election year and testing our democracy.
By the way, Mehlman makes another important point in his presentation: Past Americans crises have ALWAYS grown the government – like after the Great Depression, 9/11 and the Great Recession.
And that brings us to Joe Biden’s climate/infrastructure speech yesterday, see right below…
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Talking policy with Benjy: Biden climate edition
Joe Biden’s climate speech on Tuesday was a BFD, to put it in Biden-speak, NBC’s Benjy Sarlin observes.
Biden’s new plan, a $2 trillion investment in clean energy infrastructure, research, and production, is relatively similar to what he campaigned on in the primaries. But the whole Democratic field had big climate plans. Perhaps the biggest question in the race was how much they would prioritize passing them relative to agenda items like health care, immigration, guns, or student debt.
On Tuesday, Biden didn’t just recommit to passing climate, he made it a centerpiece of his economic response to the pandemic.
That dramatically raises its odds of becoming reality, because the next administration could have far more running room to pass major spending bills in early 2021 than anyone imagined just a few months ago.
It also could make it easier to sidestep some debates about how to finance it, since the current crisis provides a simple justification for short-term deficits, especially if the spending is part of a jobs program.
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DATA DOWNLOAD: The numbers that you need to know today
3,452,797: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That’s 135,808 more cases than yesterday morning.)
137,384: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far. (That’s 982 more than yesterday morning.)
41.76 million: The number of coronavirus TESTS that have been administered in the United States so far, according to researchers at The COVID Tracking Project.
7 votes: The separation between Trump-backed Tony Gonzales and Cruz-backed Raul Reyes in unofficial results in the TX-23 primary.
Three: The number of felonies Kansas GOP Rep. Steve Watkins has been charged with in an investigation of potential voter fraud
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TWEET OF THE DAY: Rally in the Rose Garden
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2020 VISION: About last night’s runoffs
In Alabama’s GOP Senate runoff, former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville easily defeated former Sen. and Attorney General Jeff Sessions, 61 percent to 39 percent – an outcome President Trump celebrated on Twitter.
Tuberville will face Sen. Doug Jones, D-Ala., in what will be the GOP’s best Senate pickup opportunity this November.
In Texas’s Democratic Senate runoff, MJ Hegar beat Royce West, 52 percent to 48 percent, in a contest that was much closer than expected (and closer than the ad spending had suggested).
Hegar takes on Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, in the fall.
Also in Texas, Trump-backed Ronny Jackson won the Republican runoff to be the party’s nominee in the ruby-red TX-13 district.
In the GOP’s TX-22 runoff, Fort Bend County sheriff Troy Nehls easily beat GOP donor Kathaleen Wall, and Nehls will face Democratic foreign-service officer and 2018 candidate Sri Preston Kulkarni in what will be a competitive general election this November.
In TX-23, Tony Gonzales (backed by Trump, Kevin McCarthy and retiring Congressman Will Hurd) holds a 7-vote lead (!!!!) over Raul Reyes (who’s supported by Ted Cruz). The eventual winner will compete against Dem nominee Gina Ortiz Jones, who narrowly lost to Hurd in 2018 in this district that Hillary Clinton won in ’16.
And in TX-24, progressive Candace Valenzuela easily won the Democratic runoff, and she’ll face former Irving Mayor Beth Van Duyne in November.
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AD WATCH from Ben Kamisar
Today’s Ad Watch takes a look at a new spot from pro-Trump Super PAC America First Policies that dropped this morning, one that features a lot of Vice President Pence and not so much of President Trump.
Pence praises Trump’s “leadership” that’s helping to get America back to work, and the spot briefly shows the president signing the USMCA. But that’s it.
The entire spot is a voice-over from Pence over the typical campaign ad trappings of things like Pence on the trail, workers on the factory floor and a majestic shot of a church.
“It’s because of what you’ve done, because of the leadership the president provided — we’re going back to work, we’re going back to worship. And I promise you that in the days ahead, we’re going to continue to create a solid foundation for whatever challenges may lie ahead,” Pence says.
It’s a good reminder that in 2016, Republicans leaned on Pence during rough patches to convince the Trump skeptics to stay on board. And if Trump continues to flounder, Pence may be called upon to do that once again.
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McConnell considers more money for schools
As school districts across the country decide how and if schools will reopen in the fall, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell hinted that additional funding for schools to reopen safely could be considered in the Senate. Here’s what McConnell said during an event in Kentucky:
“To have school safely, it’s going to require some changes. Masks for the kids, social distancing, they probably can’t have that many people in class rooms, so they may have to go to shifts, all of that will have transportation issues associated with it. And so, I know they’re going to need help in order to keep the kids safely in school. Because we’re not going to be able to operate like they would normally.”
President Trump has pushed hard for schools to reopen in-person instruction regardless of the coronavirus, and he said this about teachers and students who feel unsafe returning to the classroom:
“I would tell parents and teachers that you should find yourself a new person whoever’s in charge of that decision cause it’s a terrible decision. Because children and parents are dying from that trauma too, they’re dying because they can’t do what they’re doing. Mothers can’t go to work because all of a sudden they have to stay home and watch their child, and fathers, what’s happening you know there’s a tremendous strain on that whole side of the equation.”
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THE LID: Race to the bottom
Don’t miss the pod from yesterday, when we highlighted the stark racial differences in how coronavirus — and its economic effects — are impacting Americans
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ICYMI: What ELSE is happening in the world?
Ruth Bader Ginsburg is in the hospital with an infection.
The White House says it wants to cut the CDC out of the data collection process for coronavirus infections, citing concerns about the reliability of the data.
The Trump administration is backing off its plan to disallow foreign students from staying in the U.S. legally if their schools do not have in-person classes this fall.
A new Cold War between the U.S. and China may have already begun, writes NBC’s Ken Dilanian.
The governor of Missouri says President Trump will be “getting involved” with the case of the St. Louis couple who pointed weapons at Black Lives Matter protestors.
Joe Biden is making a play in Texas.
Mary Trump has one word for the president: ‘Resign.’
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