Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Thursday July 2, 2020
THE DAILY SIGNAL
Jul 02, 2020
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Good morning from Washington, where the left seems intent on obliterating the America we know by crying “racist.” Americans shouldn’t stand for it, Heritage Foundation President Kay C. James writes. Why is Texas seeing a big coronavirus comeback? Fred Lucas reports. On the podcast, Newt Gingrich still has the moon, among other priorities, on his mind. Plus: Sen. Jim Inhofe on keeping the nation strong; the Trump administration watches China on trade; and Sen. Martha McSally tells “Problematic Women” about the power of persistence. On this date in 1964, President Lyndon Johnson signs the historic Civil Rights Act prohibiting racial discrimination in employment and education as well as segregation in public places. |
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LEO TOLSTOY
Good morning,
Hong Kong police have made the first arrests under the new “national security” law, just hours after the Beijing-imposed law went into effect.
Protesters were arrested for chanting “Hong Kong Independence, the Only Way Out” and holding banners that read “Hong Kong Independence,” which under the draconian law is illegal.
The New York Police Department says there were 250 victims of shootings across the city between June 1 and June 28—an increase of nearly 160 percent from the same period last year, and the largest number… Read more
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The new trade agreement between the United States, Mexico, and Canada took effect on July 1, opening a fresh era in North American free trade. Read more
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Montana’s decision to exclude religious schools from a state scholarship program funded by tax credits violates the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, a divided Supreme Court ruled June 30… Read more
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A federal judge blocked the Trump administration’s rule that requires asylum seekers to first seek protection in countries they had passed through on their way to the U.S.-Mexico border. Read more
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Gun retailers across the nation executed a record number of background checks in June on people seeking to purchase or possess a firearm, according to statistics from the FBI. Read more
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House Democrats approved on July 1 a massive $1.5 trillion, 2,300-page “Moving Forward Act” that Republicans blasted as little more than a Green New Deal boondoggle disguised as a roads and highways measure. Read more
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With Abortion Decision, Roberts Betrays Constitutionalists and the Constitution
By Michael Walsh
Once again, Chief Justice John Roberts has angered and frustrated conservatives by throwing his lot in with the Supreme Court’s four ultra-liberal justices in a case of paramount moral and political importance. Read more
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A Movement of Vindictive Hatred Is Tearing Down America’s Statues
By Conrad Black
The movement to tear down and deface monuments to famous people and events in American history is a metaphor for the even more sinister ambitions of the more militant perpetrators. Read more
Elon Musk Only Wanted a Greenhouse on Mars but Ended Up Building Rockets Instead
By Jonathan Zhou
(May 20, 2015)
In 2001, before Elon Musk had founded Tesla and SpaceX, he was one of the largest stakeholders in PayPal. The company hadn’t gone public yet, but Musk was already a hundred-millionaire on paper, and he acted like one. Read more
The welfare systems of Scandinavian countries are often touted as examples of socialism implemented successfully. But how is the “democratic socialism” being advanced in America today fundamentally different?
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DAYBREAK
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THE SUNBURN
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FOX NEWS
JUST THE NEWS
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AXIOS
🧨 Good Thursday morning. With a federal holiday tomorrow, this would usually be getaway day. But you’re probably already where you’re going!
🎧 “Axios Today” — our new 10-minute podcast, hosted by Niala Boodhoo — is ready for your ears.
🇷🇺 Situational awareness: 78% of Russian voters backed constitutional reforms that could keep President Vladimir Putin in power until 2036. —BBC
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
Nursing homes have been the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak, prompting more urgent discussions about alternative housing situations for elderly Americans, Axios’ Kim Hart writes.
- Why it matters: 43% of U.S. coronavirus deaths are linked to nursing homes, according to the N.Y. Times. But there are few other viable housing options for seniors.
- COVID-19 illness severity and mortality rates have been highest among older adults — a fast-growing segment of the U.S. population as Baby Boomers age.
Alternatives are growing in popularity:
- “Granny flats“ — small units built in backyards, above garages or in basements — are seeing the biggest surge in interest, because they are often easiest to tack onto existing structures.
- Multigenerational living has increased over the past decade, with 9.3 million people over 65 living with grown children or grandchildren in 2017.
- Co-living — or living with roommates and sharing common areas a la “The Golden Girls” — is still relatively uncommon among the 65-and-older set. But services that match older roommates, like Nesterly and SilverNest, are rising.
- With “homesharing,” older adults with extra room can take on a tenant to help pay bills and decrease loneliness, allowing them to stay in their house.
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
If Joe Biden wins 124 days from now, his coronavirus response would feature a no-expenses-spared federal approach to mitigating the virus, and a beefed-up safety net for those suffering its economic consequences, Axios’ Caitlin Owens reports.
- Why it matters: It’s nearly inevitable that the U.S. will still be facing the pandemic come January. So voters will choose between two very different options for dealing with it.
The big picture: The Trump administration chose a largely state-led response to the virus, with some guidance and assistance provided by the federal government. Science and the public-health advice has, at times, taken a back seat.
- Biden’s response would be drastically different: a massive, federally-driven effort in which no cost would be too high.
America would literally look different, as Biden would “insist” that people wear masks in public. (Think of how that will go over in the red states.)
- Biden’s campaign argues that with a greater commitment to meeting state and local needs, there wouldn’t be as much division.
- “I don’t think you’d see the politicization of the response that you see today,” said Ariana Berengaut, a Biden policy adviser.
But the role of the federal government would be enhanced far beyond that (many of these changes would have to go through Congress):
- A federal Pandemic Testing Board would oversee efforts to produce more testing supplies and coordinate test distribution.
- Biden would name a “Supply Commander” to work with governors to determine states’ needs.
The plan is sure to be massively expensive, but the Biden campaign didn’t provide an estimate.
Coronavirus cases increased in the vast majority of states over the past week, and decreased in only New Jersey, Rhode Island and D.C., Axios’ Andrew Witherspoon and Caitlin Owens report.
- Why it matters: If states fail to contain their outbreaks, they could soon face exponential spread and overwhelmed health systems.
- Flashback: A month and a half ago, shortly after states began reopening, cases were decreasing or holding steady in most states.
Between the lines: Some states saw large increases in testing over the last week, which could account for the growth in cases. But in 36 states, case growth exceeded testing growth, meaning that the spike isn’t due to increased testing.
- In Florida, testing increased by only 69%. In California, testing increased by 20% and cases increased by 35%.
- In a handful of states — including Oregon, Arkansas and Louisiana — testing actually decreased.
What we’re watching: Hospitalizations are rising nationally, but the death rate continues to decline.
- That’s at least partially because younger people are getting infected at high rates. But they can easily spread the virus to more vulnerable family members or coworkers.
🚨 The U.S. reported 52,788 new cases yesterday — the largest daily total since the pandemic began, and the first time the tally topped 50,000.
“Cast in bronze astride a horse, the statue of Confederate Gen. Thomas ‘Stonewall’ Jackson had towered over Monument Avenue for a century,” the Richmond Times-Dispatch writes.
- Work crews wielding a giant crane, harnesses and power tools wrested the imposing statue from its concrete pedestal yesterday, AP reports.
Ahead of an intelligence briefing today for congressional leaders, the N.Y. Times puts a price on secret Russian bounties for the Taliban:
- “Afghan officials said prizes of as much as $100,000 per killed soldier were offered for American and coalition targets.”
The WashPost reports: “The White House is not planning an immediate response to intelligence reports of Russian bounties … because President Trump does not believe the reports are true or ‘actionable.'”
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
House Judiciary Chairman Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) is lining up back-to-back blockbuster hearings right before the August exodus:
The CEOs of Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Google will testify as part of the committee’s antitrust investigation, N.Y. Times columnist Kara Swisher first reported (“Here Come the 4 Horsemen of the Techopolypse”).
- I’m told that with negotiations continuing over document production, the date being discussed is July 27. The CEOs are expected to appear remotely.
The next day, July 28, Attorney General Bill Barr will appear for an oversight hearing that will include grilling on Lafayette Park, Mueller and more.
Photo: Patrick McDermott/Getty Images
The national dialogue about racism has renewed calls for the Washington Redskins to change their name — and now protestors are targeting sponsors, Axios Sports editor Kendall Baker writes.
- Nike, FedEx and PepsiCo each received letters signed by 87 investors and shareholders worth a combined $620 billion asking the brands to cut ties with the Redskins unless they change their name, AdWeek reports.
🏈 Sign up for Kendall Baker’s weekday newsletter, Axios Sports.
A new PAC, called 43 Alumni for Biden, says it has hundreds of alums of George W. Bush’s administration and campaigns ready to endorse Joe Biden.
- It “seeks to unite and mobilize a community of historically Republican voters who are dismayed and disappointed by the damage done to our nation by Donald Trump’s presidency.”
Bush’s office knows about the group but isn’t involved and hasn’t backed it, one of the organizers told Reuters.
- A Bush spokesperson told the wire service that the former president is retired “and won’t be wading into this election.”
Screenshot: CNN
An extraordinary stretch of news has propelled CNN to its biggest audience for any quarter in the network’s 40-year history, AP’s David Bauder reports.
- Fox News and MSNBC also had record-setting quarters ending in June, according to Nielsen. But CNN’s audience increased at a higher pace.
- CNN has assigned more of its top people, notably Wolf Blitzer, to weekend work. In the U.S. wee hours, it simulcasts CNN International.
CNN’s weekday prime-time audience of 1.95 million was up 120% over the same period last year.
- Fox News, which has led in the ratings for nearly two decades, had an average of 4.07 million viewers, a 43% increase, while MSNBC’s count of 2.47 million was up 13% from 2019.
For the total day, CNN’s viewership was up 119% over 2019, Fox jumped by 48% and MSNBC by 34%.
The skies above the National Mall will have some semblance of Fourth of July normalcy on Saturday, Interior Secretary David Bernhardt announced.
- 10,000+ fireworks are being launched from a mile-long stretch.
- The show will last 35 minutes, and will be visible for three miles throughout the District and Northern Virginia.
📱 Thanks for reading Axios AM. Please invite your friends to sign up here.
THE WASHINGTON POST MORNING HEADLINES
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THE WASHINGTON TIMES
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THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER
CHICAGO TRIBUNE
PRO TRUMP NEWS
THE HILL
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ROLL CALL
Morning Headlines
Whether you live in public housing, commute from a tony suburban neighborhood or walk the halls of power as a U.S. congressman, you remember “the talk.” When I asked Black lawmakers what they heard growing up, they told me it still echoes in their heads. Read More…
When Lauren Boebert launched her GOP primary campaign against Colorado Rep. Scott Tipton back in December, she was asked who she considered her actual opponent: Tipton or New York Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. “I’m absolutely running against her,” Boebert said, according to a clip of the interview with 9News. Read More…
There is more than one way to be Black — and to be an American
OPINION — African Americans still struggle to be seen as individuals instead of as stereotypes. Black citizens are no longer judged as three-fifths of a person, but that doesn’t mean we are treated as unique human beings who may not hear a shouted command, who may tense up when we are confronted for going about the business of living. Read More…
Click here to subscribe to Fintech Beat for the latest market and regulatory developmentsin finance and financial technology.
Kavanaugh-fueled bounty awaits challenger to Sen. Susan Collins
During the 2018 Senate fight over Brett M. Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court, activists launched a crowdfunding campaign for Sen. Susan Collins’ would-be challenger if the Maine Republican voted for confirmation. The campaign of Sara Gideon, the front-runner in a three-candidate primary, is the expected recipient of the windfall. Read More…
Sen. Bill Cassidy’s campaign has spent $5,500 on membership dues at private club in New York
Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy has spent more than $5,500 from his campaign fund since 2014 on membership dues to the Penn Club of New York City, an elite private club more than 1,000 miles from the Republican’s hometown of Baton Rouge, disclosures with the Federal Election Commission show. Read More…
Passing infrastructure bill, Democrats go all-in on climate
The $1.5 trillion infrastructure bill the House passed 233-188 on Wednesday has little chance of advancing in the Republican-controlled Senate. But it fired a political warning shot: Democrats view climate change as a top issue for an already turbulent election year. Read More…
Republicans push back on Democrats’ DC statehood bill
Republican senators came out swinging Wednesday against a bill passed in the House last week that would make the District of Columbia the 51st state. “From a South Carolina point of view, this is a very bad deal,” Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., told reporters. Read More…
CQ Roll Call is a part of FiscalNote, the leading technology innovator at the intersection of global business and government. Copyright 2020 CQ Roll Call. All rights reserved Privacy | Safely unsubscribe now.
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POLITICO PLAYBOOK
DRIVING THE DAY
NOTHING IS DONE until it’s done. The election is 124 DAYS and something like 300,000 TRUMP news cycles away. But there is now a compelling pile of evidence that JOE BIDEN is in an absolutely commanding position against the incumbent President DONALD TRUMP.
— HE LEADS in nearly every national poll and almost all competitive state surveys. TRUMP’S approval rating is in the toilet, and most people believe the country is on the wrong track. RCP overview of public polls
— BIDEN outraised TRUMP for the second month in a row. NATASHA KORECKI: “The Biden campaign and the Democratic National Committee late Wednesday reported that they together raised $141 million in June, for a total cash haul of $282.1 million for the quarter.
“Both figures best Donald Trump and the Republican National Committee, which reported $131 million in June and $266 million during the second fundraising quarter of the year. The Trump campaign, however, reports it still has plenty sitting in the bank, with $295 million cash on hand. Democrats did not disclose that figure on Wednesday.” POLITICO
— SENATE REPUBLICANS are starting to sweat a bit. JOHN BRESNAHAN and MARIANNE LEVINE: “Senate Republicans can’t catch a break”: “‘The optimist in me would say the odds of us getting a break in the future are greater because we’ve had such a run of bad luck,’ joked Sen. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.), who served in the House GOP leadership when Republicans there lost the majority in 2006. ‘I think it may very well work out that way.’ …
“‘You gotta play the hand you’re dealt. But yeah, we’ve been getting some bad cards lately,’ said Senate Majority Whip John Thune (R-S.D.) ‘You’ve gotta keep playing and hopefully your luck changes at some point.’ ‘I’m still very confident we can win a lot of these races this fall,’ Thune added. ‘But timing and circumstances and the political environment have a lot to do with that. We’ll see what it looks like then.’”
AND, ALL THIS ASIDE, it does not appear as if TRUMP has any interest in changing his circumstance.
SPOTTED: Maskless Reps. Brett Guthrie (R-Ky.) and Tim Walberg (R-Mich.) at DCA Wednesday evening near the Southwest gates. Pic
GOOD THING WE’RE NOT IN THE MIDDLE OF A PANDEMIC! — “Trump set to headline high-dollar fundraising dinner at a private Florida home next week,” by WaPo’s Josh Dawsey and Michelle Ye He Lee: “President Trump is set to hold a high-dollar dinner at a private residence in Hillsboro Beach, Fla., next week to raise money for his campaign and the Republican National Committee, according to an invitation sent to top GOP donors, his first in-person fundraiser since mid-June.
“The invitation does not name the owner of the home hosting the $580,600-per-couple event. Campaign manager Brad Parscale, RNC chairwoman Ronna McDaniel and other senior RNC fundraisers are listed as hosts of the event.” Also worth the read from Dawsey and Carol Leonnig: “In wake of Trump’s Tulsa rally, his campaign is still contending with the fallout”
ELENA SCHNEIDER: “Record cash floods Democrats, Black groups amid protests and pandemic”: “Online donors poured a record $392 million into campaigns and causes via ActBlue in June, a sign of surging activism and political enthusiasm on the left that smashed the previous monthly high, from just before the 2018 election, by a whopping 50 percent.
“The eye-popping numbers on ActBlue, the favored digital fundraising platform for the Democratic Party as well as a growing host of left-leaning nonprofits, make for a startling split-screen next to Great Depression-level unemployment and spiking coronavirus cases across the country.”
Good Thursday morning. PROGRAMMING NOTE: Playbook PM is going to take a break Friday afternoon and Monday afternoon. We’ll be in your inbox every morning, though.
JOHN HARRIS column: “The anti-Trump movement will outlast Trump”: “The Trump years have scrambled old ideological lines. So perhaps it is not so surprising that in recent days George F. Will, the elegant dean of conservative columnists, and Matt Taibbi, a raucous liberal iconoclast, found themselves gnawing on different parts of the same bone.
“Here’s what made their agreement noteworthy: It had nothing to do with Donald Trump. In this case, both writers were agitated by what they see as the left’s effort to stifle free thinking and bully those who dissent from its rigid ideological and racial orthodoxy.
“The most important near-term question in American politics, obviously, is whether the anti-Trump coalition is powerful enough to evict him from office in November. Among the most important long-term questions in American politics, a bit less obviously, is the extent to which the anti-Trump coalition, which includes many conservatives joining people they once vigorously opposed, might continue redrawing ideological lines even after Trump is gone.
“What will happen to these strange bedfellows? Perhaps they will wake up in the morning, mumble some awkward goodbyes, and quickly push the evening out of memory. Or maybe they will shyly offer that they enjoyed this time together, exchange numbers, and suggest maybe, you know, if not too busy, it would be fun to see each other again.”
NATASHA BERTRAND and KYLE CHENEY: “Russia bounty flap highlights intel breakdown under Trump”
— REP. ELISSA SLOTKIN (D-Mich.), a CIA veteran and White House national security aide for GEORGE W. BUSH and BARACK OBAMA: “If I had been at the National Security Council under either Bush or Obama, and [the Russian bounty intelligence] had come in, I would have slapped a cover note on top of it, sent it up the chain to the national security adviser and said, ‘Sir, I want to flag this … There’s some conflicting views. But it’s important — I think we should flag it for the president ahead of his calls.’” As quoted in Emily Cochrane’s NYT story
DRIVING TODAY: Top officials, including CIA Director GINA HASPEL, will brief the Gang of Eight this morning on intelligence suggesting Russia paid Taliban soldiers to kill Americans. The latest on that … The briefing will be at 11:30 a.m. … TRUMP is speaking at 11:30. … House Minority Leader KEVIN MCCARTHY will brief at 9:30 a.m. … Speaker NANCY PELOSI will be at 10:30 a.m.
FRONTS: NYT, with a David Sanger and Eric Schmitt news analysis in the lead spot: “PUTIN ON OFFENSE AS TRUMP STANDS ON THE SIDELINES” … WSJ … N.Y. Post
YEDIDOT AHRONOT — Israel’s largest newspaper — is carrying a front-page op-ed by British PM BORIS JOHNSON, urging BENJAMIN NETANYAHU to not annex the West Bank. Headline, translated: “I’m an avid defender of Israel. That’s why I’m against annexation.” Front-page image
JOBS PREVIEW … MEGAN CASSELLA and REBECCA RAINEY: “Thursday’s jobs report will likely look great on paper: Millions of jobs added in June as states reopened. But those numbers are a deceiving bump — with the resurgence of the virus and a fresh wave of shutdowns, the reality of the job market is likely far bleaker.
“With more than 40 percent of the country now reversing or pausing its plans to reopen, the already struggling U.S. economy has begun to show signs of another shock. Real-time measurements ranging from job postings to restaurant reservations and small-business operations are suggesting a renewed decline in economic activity. And the number of households expecting to lose income over the next month increased in the most recent week, according to a U.S. Census Bureau survey released on Wednesday — the first rise recorded since the agency began conducting weekly household surveys two months ago.
“But because of a lag in the federal data, the employment numbers the Department of Labor will release Thursday morning — the results of a survey conducted through the middle of June — will fail to capture the latest round of devastation, economists say. The numbers therefore should be taken ‘with a whole stockpile of salt,’ said Diane Swonk, the chief economist at Grant Thornton.” POLITICO
CORONAVIRUS RAGING …
— WSJ: “U.S. Daily Coronavirus-Case Count Crosses 50,000,” by David Hall: “New coronavirus cases in the U.S. rose above 50,000, a single-day record, as some states and businesses reversed course on reopenings and hospitals were hit by a surge of patients.
“The U.S. accounts for about a quarter of more than 10.6 million coronavirus cases world-wide, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. The nation’s death toll climbed above 128,000. Cases and hospitalizations are rising sharply in a number of areas.”
— WAPO: “Coronavirus cases rose by nearly 50 percent last month, led by states that reopened first,” by Anne Gearan, Derek Hawkins and Siobhán O’Grady: “Coronavirus infections in the United States surged nearly 50 percent in June as states relaxed quarantine rules and tried to reopen their economies, data compiled Wednesday showed, and several states moved to reimpose restrictions on bars and recreation.
“More than 800,000 new cases were reported across the country last month, led by Florida, Arizona, Texas and California — bringing the nation’s officially reported total to just over 2.6 million, according to data compiled by The Washington Post.
“States that took an aggressive approach to reopening led the country in infection spikes — along with California, the nation’s most populous state, where leaders have been more cautious. California on Wednesday reported 110 new deaths, more than any other state.”
— AP: “Cases spike in Sunbelt, other states back off on reopening,” by Jake Coyle and Jonathan J. Cooper with a Phoenix dateline: “California closed bars, theaters and indoor restaurant dining all over again across most of the state Wednesday, and Arizona’s outbreak grew more severe by nearly every measure as the surging coronavirus crisis across the South and West sent a shudder through the country.
“The run-up in confirmed cases has been blamed in part on what’s been called ‘knucklehead behavior’ by Americans not wearing masks or obeying social-distancing rules as economies reopened from coast to coast over the past two months.
“‘The bottom line is the spread of this virus continues at a rate that is particularly concerning,’ California Gov. Gavin Newsom said in dramatically expanding the round of closings he announced over the weekend.
“The shutdown announcement, which came just ahead of what is expected to be a busy Fourth of July weekend that could fuel the spread of the virus, applies to 19 counties encompassing nearly three-quarters of California’s 40 million people, including Los Angeles County.”
JOANNE KENEN with the big picture: “America’s told-you-so moment: How we botched the reopening”
HMM … DAN DIAMOND: “Health secretary focuses trips on swing states needed by Trump”: “In the midst of a coronavirus pandemic, the nation’s top health official is focused on showing his face in states that President Donald Trump needs to win for reelection.
“Since late April, HHS Secretary Alex Azar has made 11 trips to states — including nine to key battlegrounds in the 2020 campaign: Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Maine and North Carolina, as well as two trips apiece to Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. One of the other two trips was a visit to Buffalo, N.Y., the hometown of a top aide who recently joined the department at Trump’s request and personally arranged Azar’s visit to the city. The other was to Boston, the media market for yet another battleground state, New Hampshire.
“The health secretary’s agenda at these stops included visiting hospitals, announcing awards and pushing on a message that the president was steadily managing the crisis. Some of the trips were part of Azar’s ‘health vs. health’ messaging campaign, where he argued that an overriding focus to contain the coronavirus was creating other risks to mental health and well-being.” POLITICO
AD WARS — “Democratic ad makers think they’ve discovered Trump’s soft spot,” by David Siders: “Donald Trump wasn’t halfway through his speech in Tulsa, Okla., and Democratic ad makers in Washington and New York were already cutting footage for an air raid on the slumping president.
“They didn’t focus on the president’s curious monologue about his difficulties descending a ramp or drinking water at West Point, the small crowd size of the Tulsa event or even his use of the racist term ‘kung flu.’ Instead, the ads zeroed in on Trump’s admission that he urged officials to ‘slow the [coronavirus] testing down.’
“It’s a reflection of a growing consensus among Democrats about what kind of hits on Trump are most likely to persuade swing voters — and which ones won’t. As in 2016, ad makers are focusing on Trump’s character. But unlike four years ago, they are no longer focusing on his character in isolation — rather they are pouring tens of millions of dollars into ads yoking his behavior to substantive policy issues surrounding the coronavirus, the economy and the civil unrest since the death of George Floyd.” POLITICO
TRUMP’S THURSDAY — The president will deliver remarks at 11:30 a.m. in the Grand Foyer for the “Spirit of America Showcase.”
PLAYBOOK READS
FOGGY BOTTOM READING — “Late Action on Virus Prompts Fears Over Safety of U.S. Diplomats in Saudi Arabia,” by NYT’s Mark Mazzetti and Edward Wong: “A bleak analysis from within the embassy that circulated in closed channels in Riyadh and Washington late last month likened the coronavirus situation in Saudi Arabia to that of New York City in March, when an outbreak was set to explode. The assessment said the response from the Saudi government — a close partner of the Trump White House — was insufficient, even as hospitals were getting overwhelmed and health care workers were falling ill.
“Some in the embassy even took the extraordinary step of conveying information to Congress outside official channels, saying that they did not believe the State Department’s leadership or the American ambassador to the kingdom, John P. Abizaid, were taking the situation seriously enough, and that most American Embassy employees and their families should be evacuated. The State Department took those steps months ago at missions elsewhere in the Middle East, Asia and Russia.
“The episode, based on accounts from nine current and one former official, highlights the perils facing American diplomacy with a global pandemic still raging, and the frictions between front-line diplomats, intelligence officers and defense officials on one side and senior Trump administration officials on the other who are eager to preserve relations with nations like Saudi Arabia that have special ties with the Trump White House. The Saudi royal family has exercised enormous influence on Middle East and energy policies, as well as on controversial arms sales that President Trump has personally championed.”
DEEP DIVE — “Inside Moderna: The Covid Vaccine Front-Runner With No Track Record and an Unsparing CEO,” by WSJ’s Peter Loftus and Gregory Zuckerman: “At the year’s start, few outside the world of biotech had heard of a Boston-area company with a New Age name and unproven approach to drugmaking. Most in the industry who did know Moderna Inc. doubted its prospects. Investors barely had interest in the company, which had yet to produce a medicine.
“Moderna and its staffers were dealing with other pressures. For nine years, chief executive officer Stéphane Bancel nurtured a high-stress environment at the Cambridge, Mass., company, characterized by high expectations, sharp critiques of workers and heavy employee turnover, according to current and former staffers. Mr. Bancel’s admonitions of some underlings in group meetings motivated some to do better, and others to leave.
“Today, Moderna represents one of the world’s best shots at stemming a historic pandemic. It’s a front-runner in the hunt for a coronavirus vaccine, vying against industry heavyweights with proven track records. The question is whether Moderna’s vanguard science and tough management style is the right recipe for a vaccine breakthrough.” WSJ
JOSH GERSTEIN: “Court narrows restraining order against Mary Trump book”: “An appeals judge has partially lifted a temporary restraining order that barred publication of a book in which President Donald Trump’s niece offers a scathing portrait of the Trump family. In a ruling Wednesday, Supreme Court Justice Alan Scheinkman said another judge erred Tuesday by issuing a broad restraining order that prohibited publisher Simon & Schuster from printing or distributing copies of the book.
“‘S&S is not a party to the settlement agreement [and] this Court perceives no basis for S&S to be specifically enjoined,’ Scheinkman wrote in a six-page order in the suit, filed by President Trump’s brother Robert. ‘Unlike Ms. Trump, S&S has not agreed to surrender or relinquish any of its First Amendment rights.’
“The appeals judge left the order in place against Mary Trump and ‘any agent’ of hers, leaving some uncertainty about whether Simon & Schuster is still covered by the order or would be risking contempt of court by moving forward with plans to release the book, which is due to come out July 28 under the title: ‘Too Much and Never Enough: How My Family Created the World’s Most Dangerous Man.’” POLITICO
ONE COUNTRY, ONE SYSTEM — “Hong Kong Police Quickly Enforce China’s Security Law as Thousands Protest,” by WSJ’s Dan Strumpf, Mike Bird and Joyu Wang: “Thousands of protesters, unbowed by a sweeping new national-security law imposed by China, staged the largest show of defiance in Hong Kong this year, with some risking heavy prison terms to chant slogans of liberation and demand independence.
“Hundreds of Hong Kong police officers moved in swiftly to quash dissent and implement the law, which gives Beijing much greater powers to police the city and punish those accused of subversion and supporting separatism. Police fired tear gas, pepper spray and water cannons to disperse protesters and raised a banner to warn them that they could be violating the new law.” WSJ
STAFFING UP — CBS’ FIN GOMEZ (@finnygo): “NEW: @alexahenning is heading to the @realDonaldTrump campaign from the White House as the new Director of Media Affairs. Alexa was WH Asst Communications Director & Director of Broadcast Media. 1 of the few ‘originals’ left at WH that had been w/ @POTUS since the 2016 campaign.”
PLAYBOOKERS
Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.
TRANSITIONS — Miryam Lipper will be comms director for Jon Ossoff’s Senate campaign in Georgia. She is a Kamala Harris, Tim Kaine, Hillary Clinton and DNC alum. … Akash Chougule will be VP of the Economic Opportunity Initiative at the Stand Together Chamber of Commerce. He currently is a professional staff member for the House Education and Labor GOP, and is an Americans for Prosperity alum.
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) is 36. How she got her start in politics: “I ran for secretary of middle school student council at Albany Academy for Girls on a platform of bringing a snack machine to school, and transparency by posting the weekly meeting notes on the school bulletin boards. A surprise to no one, it turns out that a snack machine is a very popular issue to middle schoolers and I won in a landslide. This was my first time learning about GOTV and whipping votes. Most importantly, I delivered the result by negotiating with the custodial staff and lunchroom staff to allow the installation of the snack machine.” Playbook Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Rep. Doug LaMalfa (R-Calif.) is 6-0 … Rep. Randy Weber (R-Texas) is 67 … Deputy Interior Secretary Kate MacGregor … Eric Fanning, president and CEO of the Aerospace Industries Association, is 52 … Jonathan Capehart (h/t husband Nick Schmit) … Brad Todd, founding partner of On Message … Katherine Lehr … POLITICO’s Brooke Minters, Cristina Rivero, Graph Massara and Julian Garcia-Kasimirowski … Sammi McClain … former New Hampshire Gov. John H. Sununu is 81 … Keith Morrison, correspondent for NBC’s “Dateline,” is 73 … Scott McGee of Kelley Drye … Derek Gianino, national engagement director at U.S. Global Leadership Coalition … Matthew Dybwad of Adobe … Collin Davenport … Jenny Beth Martin, honorary chair of Tea Party Patriots Action (h/t Keith Appell) … Courtney Geduldig, chief public and government affairs officer at S&P Global … Ray Sullivan … Luci Baines Johnson is 73 …
… Matthew L. Schwartz, partner at Boies Schiller Flexner … Gina Woodworth, director of U.S. public policy at Snap … former Rep. Mike Castle (R-Del.) is 81 … former Mexican President Vicente Fox is 78 … FT’s Sebastian Payne is 31 … Devon Gallagher … Victoria Adeniji … Army Capt. Chuck Nadd (h/t Brandt Anderson) … Fenton CEO Ben Wyskida is 43 … Kara Rowland … Alysha Love … Sophie Zeigler … Jeremy Garlington is 51 (h/t Bill Huey) … Caroline Keyes … Jessie Nguyen … Eddie Fishman … Joel Bernick is 82 … Arkadi Gerney … Ethan Oberman is 44 … Trevor Neilson is 48 … Jean Cecil Frick … Marie Formica … Reuters’ Michele Gershberg … Sam Nitz … Time’s Jonathan Woods … Brooke Oberwetter Coon is 41 … Emily Stanitz … Lyndsey Fifield … Hannah Rosenthal … Michael Matthews (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) … Ashley Zohn … Mike Chapman … Reed Howard is 25 … Marc Rylander … POLITICO Europe’s Natasha Bernard
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AMERICAN MINUTE
CAFFEINATED THOUGHTS
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CONSERVATIVE DAILY NEWS
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PJ MEDIA
The Morning Briefing: Joe Biden’s VP Pick Is Going to Be a Trainwreck, and President If He Wins
The Real Biden Presidency
I think we are all aware that if Joe Biden becomes the greatest beneficiary of a plague ever and wins the presidential election, he probably won’t actually be president much past his inauguration.
If he makes it that far.
By now you are all aware that I think the various B.S. coronavirus reactions may very well gift-wrap and hand this election to the drooling idiot in the basement on Election Day and keep him hidden during the transition. Once he’s inaugurated he will suddenly have a health episode that will require him to leave office. He’s obviously in such a state of mental decline that even the Democrats won’t want him to stick around if he wins.
So this election — especially for people who are realistic and think Biden just might win — is really about who he chooses to be his vice president. Or, more precisely, who his handlers choose to be vice president.
The Democrats’ penchant for prioritizing diversity over all else may just be what wins re-election for President Trump. We still need to ponder worst-case scenarios, however.
Biden painted himself into a corner during the truncated Democratic primaries when he vowed to choose a woman as his running mate. He didn’t demand that the hypothetical running mate be qualified or anything, just that she check off the “female” box on the woke scorecard. As the “largely peaceful” riots have gone on, the pressure has mounted for Biden to choose an African American woman as his running mate.
If there is one skill Joe Biden has it’s diversity pandering, so it’s likely that he will choose an African American woman. That narrows down the list of potential picks quite a bit.
The names that have been floated thus far have been less than inspiring when one ponders that she will soon be the president of the United States should Biden win.
The mainstream media seems to crown a new African American female winner in the Biden veepstakes every week. Most recently, the MSM has been in love with the mayor of Atlanta, Keisha Lance Bottoms. My colleague Stacey Lennox brought up a very valid point when she asked: “If Keisha Lance Bottoms Can’t Run Atlanta, Why Does Joe Biden Think She Can Run the Country?”
The idea of being able to run the United States of America with no experience is kind of ridiculous. What on anyone’s résumé prepares them to be the leader of the free world? Given that, wouldn’t it be wise to keep the potential candidate pool wide open?
Not in Biden World.
Some of the other names being tossed about are truly disturbing when you consider that they will probably be president by the end of July 2020.
There are a lot of people on my side of the aisle who think that Biden will pick Sen. Kamala Harris of California. I salivate at the thought that he might.
Harris is a thoroughly off-putting politician. She rose to the upper echelon of California politics the same way all Democrats do in the Golden State: by knowing a few people with money. She was the first of the top-tier Democratic candidates who dropped out of the primary race. Like Hillary Clinton, Harris doesn’t do well with any kind of scrutiny.
Harris gets mentioned most often despite the fact that Biden doesn’t need her to win California. In modern presidential politics, the V.P. pick is usually chosen to deliver a state the POTUS candidate really needs delivered. Kamala Harris can only deliver him negative vibe grief. For Republicans, Harris is the dream pick. She is so unlikable that widespread disdain for her would almost certainly lead to a Biden defeat.
That doesn’t leave her out of the running though.
Another oft-mentioned potential Biden running mate is the fake governor of Georgia, Stacey Abrams. Team Biden just might buy into the Democratic party’s relentless effort to legitimize Abrams, despite the fact that she won’t help him win Georgia. She is, however, a media darling, and the Democratic hierarchy places a high value on that.
Should Team Biden decide to go with a white female, the options are even worse. Amy Klobuchar has taken herself out of the running but Elizabeth Warren has been popping up all over media this past week. Warren is so obnoxious that she makes Kamala Harris look like Mary Poppins.
It’s not that I think the “replace Biden” scenario would be better if he were looking at men too. All Democrats are awful.
Surprise!
Here Ya Go, Nervous Flyers
SANITY!
PJM Linktank
[VIDEO] Richmond Mayor Says Stonewall Jackson Statue Coming Down Due to … COVID
So there’s that…Hey Suburban Voters, Joe Biden’s Housing Policies Will Ruin Your Communities
New GOP Ad Issues Powerful Warning About Democrats Threatening American Culture
D.C. Socialite Throws Party, Spreads Coronavirus
Antifa Rioters Threaten a ‘Rude Awakening’ for the ‘Pigs’ Who Finally Broke Up CHOP Antifastan
With the blessing of the UN. China Looking to Redefine Human Rights in Its Own Image
Senate Republicans on Board for Another Stimulus Bill in Late July
FLASHBACK: Obama Repeatedly Ignored Intelligence Briefings on the Rise of ISIS
Trump Threatens to Veto Defense Bill Over Renaming of Bases
Harvard Eliminates Penalty For Belonging to Single-Sex Organizations
Bitter Hillary Rouses Herself to Snap at Trump: ‘I Would Have Read the Damn Briefs’
Arrests Made After 60-Year-Old Man Shot During ‘Mostly Peaceful’ Protest in Utah
Fauci Warns of 100,000 COVID-19 Cases a Day, While Sen. Paul Warns Against Creating Fear
No Mask, No Toilet: 10-Year-Old Denied Bathroom Access for Not Having a Mask
The Real Reason Behind Allowing the Protests During COVID-19
VodkaPundit: Two Americas: Risk-Tolerant vs. Zero-Risk—Will One Ruin the Other?
You Will Be Assimilated: China’s Plan to Sino-Form the World
Hey Suburban Voters, Joe Biden’s Housing Policies Will Ruin Your Communities
Lawsuit: ‘I Won’t Let the State Force Me to Express Messages That Contradict My Beliefs’
VIP Gold
The Tyrannical Loophole That is Emergency Powers
The Kira Davis Show Ep.9: Where Are All the Grownups?
From the Mothership and Beyond
Yep, Loeffler’s Comments About Armed Protest Were Wrong
New Gun Control Laws Take Effect In VA As Sales Soar Nationwide
WINNING! July NICS Checks At Record Highs As Americans Embrace Their 2A Rights
MI Commission Says It CAN Ban Guns In Capitol, Doesn’t
Facebook Deletes Hundreds Of Groups Over “Boogaloo” Meme
The Mob Comes For The McCloskeys
Robert O’Brien: There’s a Reason President Trump Wasn’t Briefed on the Russia-Taliban Story
Three Years Later and Alyssa Milano’s ‘Cultural Appropriation’ Isn’t Sitting Well with People
Trump Team Sets Record Fundraising Haul in Second Quarter
Australian PM Unveils Defense Escalation Plan to Prepare for Post-pandemic Global Order
Nuts: Virginia Democrats Mull Reducing Criminal Penalties for Assaulting Police Officers
Mhe cEnany on Why Trump Supports the Sentiment ‘Black Lives Matter,’ But Not the Organization
De Blasio: AOC Is ‘Just Wrong’ About My Plans for the NYPD
Arizona Gym Owner Receives Cheers for Suing the Government Over New Shutdown Order
World’s Worst ‘Fact-Check’ Claims Democrats Didn’t Start the Civil War or KKK
Watch: Group of Black Protesters Shout “All Lives Matter” at Black Lives Matter Protesters
Desperate Joe Biden Attempting To Silence Trump On Facebook
Trump-Appointed Judge Strikes Down Administration’s Border Asylum Restriction
Study By Italian Doctors: The Virus Has Become Less Lethal At Our Hospital Over Time
The New UFO/UAP Legislation Can Be Tough To Parse In Today’s Media
Midnight Mitch To Dems: Don’t Mess With The Filibuster Any Further
Bee Me
The Kruiser Kabana
Dude.
A little chocolate silk pie never hurt anyone.
___
Kruiser Twitter
Kruiser Facebook
PJ Media Senior Columnist and Associate Editor Stephen Kruiser is the author of “Don’t Let the Hippies Shower” and “Straight Outta Feelings: Political Zen in the Age of Outrage,” both of which address serious subjects in a humorous way. Monday through Friday he edits PJ Media’s “Morning Briefing.” His columns appear twice a week.
THE DISPATCH
The Morning Dispatch: What Trump’s Polling Numbers Mean for the Senate
Plus, the new head of the U.S. Agency for Global Media faces bipartisan rebuke.
The Dispatch Staff | 2 hr | 1 |
Happy Thursday! And a reminder: This is the version of TMD available to non-paying readers. We’re happy you’ve made The Dispatch part of your morning routine, and we hope you’re enjoying The Morning Dispatch and the rest of our free editorial offerings. If you do, we hope you’ll consider joining us as a paying member. In addition to the full version of TMD each day, you’ll get extra editions of French Press, the G-File, Vital Interests, and our other paid products. And members can engage with the authors and with one another in the discussion threads at the end of each of our articles and newsletters. If this appeals to you, we hope you’ll please join now.
Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories
- As of Wednesday night, 2,685,806 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in the United States (an increase of 51,374 from yesterday) and 128,061 deaths have been attributed to the virus (an increase of 651 from yesterday), according to the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard, leading to a mortality rate among confirmed cases of 4.8 percent (the true mortality rate is likely much lower, between 0.4 percent and 1.4 percent, but it’s impossible to determine precisely due to incomplete testing regimens). Of 32,827,359 coronavirus tests conducted in the United States (621,114 conducted since yesterday), 8.2 percent have come back positive.
- The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) officially went into effect yesterday, replacing NAFTA as North America’s new trade deal.
- Thousands of Hong Kong protesters demonstrated against Beijing’s new national security law Wednesday. Protesters were met with pepper spray and tear gas, and Hong Kong police officers made about 370 arrests.
- The Biden campaign and DNC outraised the Trump campaign and RNC for a second straight month in June, $141 million to $131 million. Trump likely still holds the cash-on-hand advantage, however, with $295 million in the bank. Team Biden has not yet released that figure.
- Gun sales soared to 2.3 million in June, a 145.3 percent increase over June 2019. With 8.3 million firearms sold in the United States since March, retailers are having a hard time meeting demand.
- American and Afghan intelligence officials identified Rahmatullah Azizi—a drug smuggler and contractor—as the middleman between Russia and the Taliban. Azizi “ for years handed out money from a Russian military intelligence unit to reward Taliban-linked fighters for targeting American troops in Afghanistan,” the New York Times reports.
- Republicans in Congress are planning to introduce legislation that would block President Trump’s efforts to withdraw 9,500 U.S. troops from Germany by September 30.
Is Trump Going to Cost Republicans the Senate?
As recently as May 31, President Trump was still favored in betting odds to win November’s election. Now he’s nearly a 23-point underdog.
Political betting markets are far from scientific—they tend to say more about public perception of a candidate’s campaign than actual voter preferences—but polling is, and that doesn’t look too good for the president right now, either. As it stands, Trump’s polling numbers—both nationally and in key battleground states—are among the worst for an incumbent in recent presidential history. Down-ballot Republicans are starting to take notice.
The president’s base has remained largely loyal to him over the past three years, but the reluctant Trump voters and Republican-leaning moderates who were responsible for putting him over the edge in 2016 are less of a sure bet. A New York Times/Siena College poll yesterday found that while 86 percent of 2016 Trump voters in battleground states say they will vote for the president again, 6 percent say there’s “not really any chance” they will cast their vote for him in November.
New Voice of America Head Faces Rebuke—From Both Parties
We wrote to you a couple weeks back about Michael Pack—President Trump’s appointee to head the U.S. Agency for Global Media—and his purging of top officials at the government-funded but editorially independent collection of news networks meant to project a pro-America voice around the globe. Walter Shaub, the Obama administration’s director of the U.S. Office of Government Ethics, called the development the “Breitbartization of U.S. government media,” referencing Pack’s close ties to former Breitbart head Steve Bannon.
Bipartisanship is rare these days. But those changes moved a bipartisan collection of senators—Marco Rubio, Lindsey Graham, Susan Collins, Jerry Moran, Dick Durbin, Chris Van Hollen, and Patrick Leahy—to send a striking letter yesterday expressing concern about these moves and Pack’s potential politicization of the agency.
Worth Your Time
- Should we tear down monuments of deeply flawed historical figures when their actions on a whole tended toward the arc of justice? Boyd Matheson from Deseret News certainly doesn’t think so. “To arrogantly, by choice or cowardly by vandalism, tear down, disfigure or destroy monuments to those critical, complex and courageous figures in our nation’s history is indeed a monumental mistake,” he writes. Boyd argues that removing statues of less-than-perfect people loses sight of the American path toward progress by depriving future generations of some of history’s most important lessons. This pairs well with Politico’s piece on the descendants of Confederate generals who are happy to see their ancestors’ legacies erased from the public square. “I support removal of all statues commemorating and celebrating the Southern Confederates in public locations,” the great-great-grandson of Major General George E. Pickett said. “They should be permanently removed and either destroyed or sunk in the ocean for a fishing/diving reef: the Graveyard of the Confederacy.”
- Jonathan Irons—a 40-year-old black man who was sentenced at the age of 18 to 50 years in prison for burglary and assault with a weapon in 1998—was released from Missouri’s Jefferson City Correctional Center on Wednesday. Irons has insisted he was misidentified all those years ago, and a judge vacated his conviction in March, saying the case against him was “very weak and circumstantial at best.” Irons’ pursuit of freedom was championed by former WNBA first overall draft pick, rookie of the year, MVP, and five-time all star Maya Moore. Moore, 31, put her career on hold—taking the 2019 season off—to focus on securing Irons’ freedom. Katie Barnes tells the story of her quest for justice in a wonderful piece for ESPN.
- The world is still haunted by the nuclear meltdown at Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi power plant less than a decade ago. But meltdowns may become a relic of the past thanks to triso (tristructural isotropic) fueled “power balls.” Check out Daniel Oberhaus’ recent article in Wired for a deep dive into the technology that’s shaping the future of safe and cheap nuclear energy.
Presented Without Comment
Toeing the Company Line
- We here at The Dispatch are generally skeptical of “cancel culture” run amok, but there may be certain instances of it that everyone can get behind. Take, for example, the so-called progressive president who screened Birth of a Nation in the White House and re-segregated the federal government. Check out the Wednesday G-File (🔒) to get up to speed on Jonah’s renewed case for canceling Woodrow Wilson [insert “dun dun dun” sound effect].
- As every loyal TMD reader knows, Supreme Court nerdery abounds within the Dispatch universe. Catch the latest Advisory Opinions podcast to get David and Sarah’s thoughts on Espinoza’s protection of religious liberty in school choice as well as the legal and political ramifications of the June Medical Services ruling.
- We know that the Russian bounties were paid to Taliban insurgents. But we still don’t know whether that hush money is directly responsible for the death of American troops. In yesterday’s Vital Interests newsletter(🔒), Thomas Joscelyn provides a recap on the Taliban as well as some much-needed analysis on the chain of events linked to this intelligence leak.
- In yesterday’s Dispatch Podcast, Sarah and the guys discussed Russia’s bounties on American and coalition forces in Afghanistan, the battle for control of the Senate, and cancel culture’s effect on our national conversation about race in America.
Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Sarah Isgur (@whignewtons), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Audrey Fahlberg (@FahlOutBerg), Nate Hochman (@njhochman), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).
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LEGAL INSURRECTION
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THE DAILY WIRE
DESERET NEWS
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BRIGHT
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AMERICAN THINKER
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LARRY J. SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL
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KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Joe Biden’s currently strong lead in the presidential race is being felt in the suburbs, which if it lasts could imperil Republicans in some of their formerly dark red turf. — Texas merits special attention, where as many as 10 Republican-held House seats could become vulnerable if Trump were to lose the state. — We have 11 House rating changes, 10 of which benefit Democrats. — Democrats remain favored to retain their House majority. Table 1: Crystal Ball House rating changes
Table 2: Crystal Ball House ratingsA second Blue Wave in the suburbs?Well-educated suburban districts, particularly ones that also were diverse, were a major part of the Democrats’ victory in the House in 2018. Democrats captured many formerly Republican districts where Donald Trump performed significantly worse in 2016 than Mitt Romney had in 2012. Democratic victories in and around places like Northern Virginia, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Detroit, the Twin Cities, Atlanta, Orange County, CA, parts of New Jersey, and elsewhere came in seats that meet this broad definition. And then there’s Texas. Democrats picked up two districts there, one in the Dallas/Ft. Worth Metroplex (TX-32) and another in suburban Houston (TX-7). But Democrats put scares into several other Republican incumbents, and the closeness of presidential polling in Texas could lead to unexpected opportunities for Democrats there this November. Trump has generally led polls of Texas, but many have been close and Biden has on occasion led, like in a Fox News poll released last week that gave him a nominal lead of a single point. Tellingly, of 18 Texas polls in the RealClearPolitics database matching Biden against Trump dating back to early last year, Trump has never led by more than seven points — in a state he won by nine in 2016. It seems reasonable to assume that Trump is going to do worse in Texas than four years ago, particularly if his currently gloomy numbers in national surveys and state-level polls elsewhere do not improve. In an average of the most recent polls, Trump leads by two points in Texas. In 2018, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) won reelection over then-Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D, TX-16) by 2.6 points. If Trump were to win Texas by a similar margin this November, the congressional district-level results probably would look a lot like the Cruz-O’Rourke race. Those results are shown in Map 1, courtesy of my colleague J. Miles Coleman. Map 1: 2018 Texas Senate results by congressional districtTX-23 is competitive primarily because it’s two-thirds Hispanic, and it already leans to the Democrats in our ratings. TX-10 and TX-24 better fit the suburban mold: Both have significantly higher levels of four-year college attainment than the national average (particularly TX-24), and Republican incumbents in both seats nearly lost to unheralded Democratic challengers in 2018. Cruz won the remaining districts, but several of them were close: TX-2, TX-3, TX-6, TX-21, TX-22, TX-25, and TX-31 all voted for Cruz by margins ranging from 0.1 points (TX-21) to 5.1 (TX-25). These districts all have at least average and often significantly higher-than-average levels of four-year college attainment, and they all are racially diverse. In other words, these districts share some characteristics of those that have moved toward the Democrats recently, even though they remain right of center. This is all a long preamble to an alarming possibility for Republicans: If Biden were to actually carry Texas, he might carry many or even all of these districts in the process. In a time when ticket-splitting is less common than in previous eras of American politics (though hardly extinct), that could exert some real pressure on Republicans in these districts. We already have several of these districts included in our House ratings (Table 2, included for reference at the top of the article). But we are moving four additional ones from Safe Republican to Likely Republican: Reps. Dan Crenshaw (R, TX-2), Van Taylor (R, TX-3), Ron Wright (R, TX-6), and Roger Williams (R, TX-25). They join Rep. John Carter (R, TX-31) in the Likely Republican category. To be clear, we don’t really see any of them in immediate danger, and they certainly can and probably will run ahead of Trump in their districts — just like they all ran ahead of Cruz in 2018 (they also likely will have the kind of resource edges that can help make this happen). The same can be said of Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) at the statewide level, who appears to be doing better than Trump in polls (although that may not last in the end). Trump’s Texas sag in 2016 didn’t immediately imperil any Texas Republican U.S. House members, except for retiring Rep. Will Hurd (R) in the perpetually swingy TX-23; it took the 2018 midterm, when Trump’s unpopularity led to big House losses for Republicans, to make many of these districts much more competitive. So it’s possible that Biden could do really well, but not have strong-enough coattails in these and other similar kinds of districts. We also still like Trump’s chances in Texas, despite the close polls. However, if that changes — and if Biden wins the state without much ticket-splitting — there could be some unpleasant surprises down the ballot for Republicans in Texas. That could also include control of the Texas state House of Representatives, which might be in play if things get bad enough for Republicans this November. Redistricting looms for 2021 — at the very least, Republicans who currently control state government in Texas may have to dramatically re-draw the map to shore up incumbents whose safe seats have eroded over the course of the decade while also accommodating a few new House seats because of Texas’ explosive growth. For Republicans, their gerrymander after the last census (albeit blunted a little by judicial intervention) made practical political sense, but demographic changes and coalition shifts pushed 20 of the 36 districts to vote more Democratic than the state in the 2018 Senate race. And if Democrats somehow win the state House, they will have a formal seat at the table in the redistricting process next year. Other rating changesDemocrats and their allies have been releasing internal House polls at a way higher rate than Republicans in recent months — this is something we touched on briefly in our Electoral College update last week. It’s fair to say, in our own experience, that Democrats sometimes have a habit of releasing internal polls more often than Republicans do. It is also fair to say that internal, partisan polls often have a bias, predictably, toward the side that releases them: FiveThirtyEight, in its polling analysis, has found a 4-5 point average bias toward the side of the candidate/group that conducts the poll in the closing weeks of a campaign. Still, we do follow these polls, and if one side is releasing a whole lot more polls than the other side, it may be a sign that they feel better about their numbers. According to FiveThirtyEight, which keeps track of all polls (including internals), Democrats or their allies have released 18 House internal polls since the start of May (with most of them coming within the last couple of weeks), while Republicans have released only four — and two of them released in June were very old, one with field dates in March and another from December of last year (before, you know, some stuff happened). Not all of the Democratic polls showed Democrats leading — a few were in districts we rate as Safe Republican where the Democratic candidate was down mid-to-high single digits. But others were more interesting. One of them had Wright, the TX-6 Republican mentioned above, leading his Democratic opponent, Stephen Daniel, just 45%-41%. Biden and Trump were tied in the district after Trump carried it by 12 points in 2016 (Romney had won it by 17). Two Democratic internal polls of PA-1, a suburban district based in Bucks County in the Philadelphia suburbs, had Christina Finello (D), an unheralded and underfunded challenger to battle-tested Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R, PA-1), effectively tied with Fitzpatrick while Biden was leading Trump by double digits districtwide. (Hillary Clinton won the district as currently drawn by two points — it became a bit more Democratic as part of the Democratic state Supreme Court’s unwinding of a GOP gerrymander in advance of the 2018 election.) Whatever the truth is, we probably erred in moving PA-1 to Likely Republican back in April. Fitzpatrick is a strong incumbent with a less conservative voting record than much of the rest of his caucus, but this is a battleground seat that he very well could lose, particularly if Biden carries Pennsylvania. Fitzpatrick was held to an underwhelming 63% in last month’s primary by a Trumpier candidate, suggesting he has some work to do on his right flank, but he was still reelected in 2018 after taking a similarly low 67% in the primary. We’re moving PA-1 back to Leans Republican. Another one of the shocking Democratic polls, released earlier this week, was in the open seat IN-5, held by retiring Rep. Susan Brooks (R). This is another high-education suburban seat that contains suburbs and small-town areas north of Indianapolis. It has some similarities to Rep. Troy Balderson’s (R) OH-12, a district that hosted a very competitive special election two summers ago. Trump carried the district 52%-41% in 2016, down from Romney’s 58%-41% victory in 2012. Two years later, Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) very narrowly carried the district even as he was losing to now-Sen. Mike Braun (R-IN) statewide. Christina Hale (D), a former state legislator who was the Democrats’ 2016 lieutenant gubernatorial nominee, will face state Sen. Victoria Spartz (R), who won a fairly nasty primary a few weeks ago. The Democrats had Biden up an eye-popping 10 points in the district, and had Hale leading 51%-45%. Even if those are overly rosy numbers for Democrats — and they probably are — we do think it’s hard to give the GOP a clear edge in an open-seat race in a district like this anymore. IN-5 moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up. A few other rating changes: — One of the Republicans’ biggest missed opportunities is in NY-19, where they failed to recruit a major challenger to Rep. Antonio Delgado (D). The primary between fashion designer Ola Hawatmeh (R) and veteran Kyle Van De Water (R) remains uncalled as New York continues to tabulate votes, but Delgado has a huge warchest and should be OK against either, even if Trump carries this district again (he did by six in 2016). NY-19 moves from Leans Democratic to Likely Democratic. — Rep. David Schweikert (R, AZ-6) moves from Likely Republican to Leans Republican — his Scottsdale-based district is very similar to many of the aforementioned Texas districts, and he continues to face a House Ethics Committee investigation that has cost him a considerable amount in legal fees. Democrats are still deciding on his opponent, although the frontrunner appears to be well-funded Hiral Tipirneni (D), who ran a respectable race against now-Rep. Debbie Lesko (R, AZ-8) in special and general elections in 2018. — On Tuesday night, it wasn’t just political observers who were shocked by Rep. Scott Tipton’s (R, CO-3) primary loss to Lauren Boebert (R), a gun rights activist and restaurant owner: Tipton himself almost assuredly was caught off-guard too, given that he didn’t bother spending any of his considerable campaign warchest on TV or radio ads. This sets up a situation similar to what we’ve seen in VA-5, the Crystal Ball’s home district: A right-wing challenger defeats a sitting Republican House member for renomination in a district that Donald Trump carried by about a dozen points and that Republican statewide candidates carried even in losing efforts in 2018. Just like in VA-5, we’re moving the race from Likely Republican to Leans Republican. Though it could develop into a closer race, we still see a Republican edge for now. Boebert has some stances that Democrats could try to use against her: Servers at her restaurant openly carry firearms, and she apparently sympathizes with the bizarre QAnon conspiracy theory. The Democratic nominee is former state legislator Diane Mitsch Bush (D), who lost to Tipton by eight points in 2018. — It’s become fairly obvious that Rep. Katie Porter (D, CA-45), a rising Democratic star, is not a focus of GOP efforts to regain lost ground in Southern California. She moves from Likely Democratic to Safe Democratic. — Taking Porter’s place in the Likely Democratic column is Rep. Peter DeFazio (D, OR-4), a 17-term congressman who represents southwest Oregon. As our friends at Elections Daily recently pointed out, DeFazio’s district contains both of Oregon’s big college towns, Eugene (University of Oregon) and Corvallis (Oregon State University). If usually Democratic college turnout is down this year because of changes to academic calendars and in-person instruction, that could be felt particularly in a district like this. DeFazio has won voteshares in the mid-to-high 50s in recent years, but Trump came within a few hundred votes of winning the district in 2016. After running against a perennial opponent from 2010 to 2018, DeFazio also has drawn an interesting new challenger: Alek Skarlatos (R), a former Army National Guard soldier who helped subdue a gunman on a Paris-bound train in 2015 (Skarlatos played himself in Clint Eastwood’s movie about the incident). Though DeFazio’s profile as a progressive populist seems to play well in the district, he hasn’t been immune to federal trends. Coos County, a working-class coastal county that was usually friendly to him, flipped in 2016 and stayed Republican in 2018 There’s enough going on in this district to put it on the competitive board, although DeFazio is still well-positioned. OR-4, as well as Rep. Kurt Schrader’s (D) OR-5, are competitive districts on paper, but Republicans have not been able to mount particularly strong challenges to either in recent years. Oregon is poised to get a sixth district following the 2020 census, and Democrats may be hard-pressed to limit Republicans to just the single seat they hold now. Trump actually won the state outside of overwhelmingly Democratic Multnomah County (Portland), which casts only about a fifth of the statewide vote. One last thingRepublicans are resting their House hopes largely on their potential to perform well against the 30 Democrats who hold districts that Trump carried in 2016. However, if Trump loses, it wouldn’t shock us if Biden flipped half or even more of those districts; in fact, even if Trump wins, Biden still seems likely to carry several of them. Republican challengers will be hard-pressed to beat Democratic incumbents without some help from the top of the ticket. This also applies to formerly Republican districts that Clinton narrowly carried in 2016 and Democrats won in 2018, like seats held by Reps. Lizzie Fletcher (D, TX-7) and Tom Malinowski (D, NJ-7). Republicans have strong, well-funded challengers against each — veteran Wesley Hunt (R) in the former seat, and state Senate Minority Leader Tom Kean Jr. (R) in the latter — but those challengers may have a hard time if Trump is losing those districts by wider margins in 2020, which at this point seems likely. Overall, our ratings now show 227 House seats at least leaning to the Democrats, 194 at least leaning to the Republicans, and 14 Toss-ups. Splitting the Toss-ups down the middle would mean a 234-201 House, a one-seat GOP improvement on 2018. That said, as we scan the Leans Republican and Leans Democratic columns, there may be more GOP seats than Democratic ones that are closer to drifting into the Toss-up column. Second-quarter fundraising reports, which will be trickling out over the next couple of weeks, may provide some additional clues as to the state of these competitive races. All in all, the Democrats’ grip on the House majority remains strong. |
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The Rise of Ranked-Choice Voting | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By Louis Jacobson Senior Columnist, Sabato’s Crystal Ball |
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KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— 2020 has been a banner year for ranked-choice voting. — Several Democratic primary and caucus contests used the system, which asks voters to rank their choice and forces winners to achieve majority support, albeit through votes from those who did not pick them first on their ballot. — Democrats seem more open to ranked-choice voting than Republicans. The proliferation of ranked-choice votingWith everything else that’s going on, you may not have noticed, but 2020 has been something of a landmark year for ranked-choice voting — the system that allows voters to rank their favored candidates in descending order, with their vote re-allocated to their next choice if their top choice is eliminated. The system was used for the first time, seemingly without a hitch, in four Democratic presidential nominating contests: Alaska, Hawaii, Kansas, and Wyoming. It was also used for early voting in the Nevada caucuses. RCV, as it is known, is now used widely in Maine. Currently, ranked-choice voting is used in U.S. House and Senate races and in gubernatorial primaries, but not in races for the state legislature or the general election for governor. It’s slated to be used for the state’s upcoming voting in the 2020 presidential election, though in June, the state GOP submitted more signatures than required to set a referendum in November that would keep ranked choice voting from being used in this year’s presidential contest. Both the Utah Democratic and Republican Parties used ranked-choice voting for their conventions this year, while five states — Arkansas, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina — use it for military and overseas voters. Meanwhile, since 2018, such cities as Las Cruces, NM, have joined others that had earlier implemented ranked-choice voting, including Minneapolis and St. Paul, MN, and San Francisco and Oakland, CA. Starting in 2021, it will be used in New York City, and earlier this year, Virginia enacted a law that enables cities to use it. With ranked-choice voting gaining momentum, we thought it would be a good time to take a closer look at how it works and what its spread might mean for the political landscape. How does ranked-choice voting work?Generally speaking, if no candidate wins 50% of the first-round votes in a ranked-choice election, the candidate with the smallest number of votes is eliminated and their backers’ votes are reallocated to the next-highest choice. This process continues until one candidate’s votes exceed 50% of those cast. The benefits of ranked-choice voting are clear. In a three-way race, there’s a chance that a candidate can win with as little as 34% support, leaving a solid majority of voters dissatisfied. Ranked-choice voting, by contrast, ensures that a more broadly popular candidate wins. RCV also allows voters to vote for third- or fourth-party candidates without endangering the prospects of the major-party candidate they favor as a backup. This potentially helps both third-party candidates (by imposing less of a penalty on voters who would prefer to vote for them) and major-party candidates (who don’t have to worry as much about losing due to a “spoiler” candidacy). That doesn’t mean that RCV lacks downsides. One is that voters need to be educated about the process. Another is that voting machines need to be reconfigured, one of several factors that could potentially add to the cost of holding elections. Heavily vote-by-mail states, such as California, pose specific challenges, said Marcia Godwin, a professor of public administration at the University of La Verne. “There are more problems with using RCV on vote-by-mail ballots compared to electronic voting systems,” Godwin said. “If you vote on a touch screen system, you can be prompted if you don’t rank a ballot correctly. Then, only a correct ballot gets submitted and printed out. At home, you are more likely to make a mistake and have your ballot voided.” Ranked-choice voting can get especially complicated when the system attracts large numbers of candidates. In a 2013 mayoral race, for instance, Minneapolis saw some 30 candidates run in an RCV election. Ranked-choice voting is also vulnerable to party meddling, although regular voting systems are too. Jim Fossel, a critic of Maine’s ranked-choice voting law, wrote in 2018 that “in the past, the two major parties either ignored minor candidates or did their best to squash them like a bug. Now they might assist them in the hope that they’ll be able to drag their candidates across the finish line by bringing out people to the polls who haven’t been inspired by their nominee. Ranked-choice voting could end up encouraging a proliferation of narrowly focused or single-issue candidates who run to draw attention to their particular cause, rather than really being in it to win it.” How well have voters adapted to the system where it’s been tried?When we asked political observers in areas with ranked-choice voting how well the system has been operating, they said it’s generally been welcomed by voters. When the system was initially used in the Twin Cities, “there was some confusion,” said Hamline University political science and law professor David Schultz, who has studied the system’s implementation. “But since then, the city and the voters have adapted to RCV and largely seem to like it as an option. The initial confusion was related to the need for better voter education and ballot counting issues that have largely been resolved.” In New Mexico, where RCV was used in Santa Fe in 2018 and Las Cruces in 2019, “the indicators are positive,” said Fred Nathan Jr., the founder and executive director of Think New Mexico, a think tank based in Santa Fe. “In both communities, government and philanthropy partnered to provide extensive voter education about the new voting system, including door-to-door canvassing, ad campaigns, mailers and many public meetings,” Nathan said. The initial public acceptance of RCV was more widespread in Santa Fe, Nathan said, probably because the community had passed it by ballot measure and needed to mount a years-long court battle to implement it, making the concept more familiar to voters. Exit polling conducted on Election Day showed that 94% of respondents were satisfied with their voting experience, Nathan said. Las Cruces, the state’s second-largest city, had a bumpier roll-out, Nathan said. Its city council voted in 2018 to deploy RCV for the 2019 municipal election, meaning that the time to educate voters was shorter. In addition, 10 candidates were running for mayor. “Initially, voters and candidates were skeptical,” Nathan said. “A lot of public education was required, including editorials, community presentations, and a televised town hall to answer voters’ questions.” Ultimately, 85 percent of exit poll respondents said they understood RCV, although only a small majority of respondents — 53% — said they would support the future use of RCV. Meanwhile, in 2019, the city council in New Mexico’s largest city, Albuquerque, voted down a shift to RCV. Maine has also faced some turbulence implementing RCV, though voters seem to be warming to the process. After RCV was approved by Maine voters in a 2016 ballot measure, it faced constitutional challenges. Multiple inconsistencies within the language necessitated involvement by both chambers of the legislature, the secretary of state, the supreme judicial court, and the voters. A 2018 Bangor Daily News exit poll found that 53% of respondents wanted RCV expanded, another 7.5% wanted it kept in place for the races it’s currently used for, and only 39% wanted to end the practice. “I think Maine voters have adapted fairly well,” said University of Maine political scientist Mark Brewer. “One of my concerns was that there would be a fair amount of confusion, but that has not happened. Maine has a pretty high level of civic engagement, so that likely helped.” The partisan division was stark, however: About 81% of Democrats wanted to expand RCV, while 72% of Republicans wanted to stop it entirely. That likely stems from Republicans seeing RCV as a reaction to the 2010 victory by Republican Paul LePage, in which he got just 38% of the vote in a race with three major candidates. LePage won reelection in 2014, but with only 48% of the vote. Intensifying Republican frustration was the 2018 loss by GOP Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R) after Poliquin had finished atop the field in first-place votes with 46.3 percent, to 45.6 percent for Democrat Jared Golden. As for states that hosted RCV presidential primaries in 2020, political observers said the systems worked well there, despite the states’ lack of experience using RCV in prior elections. In Alaska, which switched the Democratic nominating contest from a caucus to a primary this year, participation roughly doubled, without significant confusion about the ranked-choice voting system, observers said. Ranked-choice voting “appealed strongly to the younger party members, who are increasingly filling leadership positions,” said University of Alaska political scientist Gerald McBeath. “They are more likely to use Facebook and other social media. For them, RCV is a good way to choose a candidate who will have broad appeal.” In Kansas, which shifted its primary to all-mail due to the coronavirus pandemic, the election went “pretty flawlessly,” said Bob Beatty, a Washburn University political scientist. “There seemed to be no confusion at all regarding RCV, and the people I observed marking their ballots enjoyed it.” Meanwhile, in Nevada, organizers of the Democratic caucuses for the first time harnessed RCV for early voting. Doing so enabled early voters to participate in much the same way as those taking part in the same-day, in-person caucuses. Under the caucus system, supporters of candidates who fail to meet viability thresholds are allowed to realign to stronger candidates, much as ranked votes under RCV are reallocated. Nevada saw improved turnout for its caucuses compared to 2016, and observers credited that to the addition of early voting. In its post-mortem of the caucuses, Vox.com called ranked-choice voting one of the “winners” of the caucuses. What have the results shown?The outcome of the Golden-Poliquin race, with a switch between the first-round winner and the ultimate victor, is unusual among recent contests. In Alaska’s Democratic primary, the voting went eight rounds. In the first round, Joe Biden secured 49.9%, with Bernie Sanders at 39.3%. After all votes were reallocated, Biden defeated Sanders, 55.3%-44.7%. In Hawaii’s primary, where the voting went 10 rounds, Biden led Sanders 56% to 31% after the first round and ultimately defeated Sanders, 63% to 37%. In Kansas’ primary, the voting went only four rounds. Biden took the first round over Sanders, 70% to 18%, with Biden winning the fourth and final round, 77% to 23%. And in Wyoming’s caucus, where the voting went eight rounds, Biden was leading Sanders 66% to 24% and ultimately defeated him, 72% to 28%. It’s hard to tell whether the existence of RCV has changed the strategy and tactics of campaigning, experts say. In the Twin Cities, Schultz said, “it has changed strategy in terms of making it less likely that candidates will attack one another, for fear that negative attacks will alienate voters whom the candidate may want to list them as a second choice. There is evidence, although not conclusive, of increased candidate civility.” Nathan of Think New Mexico said that “anecdotally, voters and election observers report that candidates are more policy-focused and less adversarial in an RCV election than a traditional one.” What are the prospects for RCV spreading elsewhere?Ranked-choice voting will likely see additional gains, but it probably isn’t going to be adopted everywhere, experts say. “I think the system fits well in Maine because of the highly participatory political culture we have and would not be as popular elsewhere,” said University of Maine political scientist Kenneth Palmer. “Maine has long been willing to experiment with governmental processes that differ from those of many or most other states.” Republican doubts about the results of the Maine congressional race are likely to be amplified by the generalized questioning of election reforms by President Donald Trump. In Minnesota, for instance, “there seems to be a partisan divide, with the GOP opposed to ranked-choice voting,” said Carleton College political scientist Steven Schier. “That makes statewide adoption unlikely as long as Republicans control the state Senate.” RCV has tended to sprout in bluer, more urban enclaves. In California, for instance, “RCV has been a slowly diffusing, mostly Bay Area phenomenon, so far,” Godwin said. Ranked-choice voting, Schultz added, “has mostly been implemented in the more liberal enclaves where there is a high degree of political consensus on values and issues. What is left to be seen is how well it works in more politically diverse or contested races.”
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THE BLAZE
More from TheBlaze
One last thing … Lauren Boebert, the Colorado restauranteur who went viral last year for confronting Beto O’Rourke over gun rights, could be headed for Congress.In a stunning upset Tuesday night, Boebert defeated Rep. Scott Tipton — whom President Donald Trump had endorsed — in the Republican primary election for Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District.When DecisionD … Read more
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THE FEDERALIST
NOQ REPORT
NOQ Report Daily |
- Mainstream media buries story of Sgt. Craig Johnson’s death
- ‘JB Neiman’ and the ongoing coronavirus narrative manipulation
- Monarch Ducey? Republicans call on Arizona Governor to reduce his coronavirus powers
- Whistling (Dixie) past the graveyard
- The CHOP has fallen
Mainstream media buries story of Sgt. Craig Johnson’s death
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 11:01 PM PDT Sgt. Craig Johnson was a 15-year veteran for the Tulsa Police Department. An average traffic stop turned deadly as he and his partner were hit multiple times by a flurry of bullets. Yesterday, Johnson died, and mainstream media is pretending it didn’t happen. Johnson was Caucasian. He was a proud member of law enforcement. His tragic death in the line of duty should have made it to the front page immediately and stayed there for at least a news cycle. But instead, sites like CNN, MSNBC, and Yahoo chose to keep the story buried somewhere in the footnotes of their “news” outlets’ reporting, as Andrew Pollack noted on Twitter yesterday and we confirmed today.
Our law enforcement officers in America are under attack from multiple fronts. We haven’t seen this much vitriol from the streets towards police officers in our lifetimes, perhaps ever. And most mainstream media outlets are complicit and allowing false narratives like “systemic racism” or “defund police” rise to the top while suppressing stories that demonstrate the dangers of protecting and serving. Blue lives matter because all lives matter. It’s anti-American and completely Marxist to promote a narrative otherwise, but that’s exactly what mainstream media does. They amplify stories of police brutality and suppress stories of police sacrifice. This must not be allowed to continue in the United States. Hatred for police is at an all-time high. Meanwhile, mainstream media is profiting off pageviews depicting every negative event in law enforcement while intentionally downplaying stories of good cops getting killed. It’s disgusting. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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‘JB Neiman’ and the ongoing coronavirus narrative manipulation
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 09:55 PM PDT When this story came across my desk a couple of days ago, I was intrigued. It’s a bombshell. The challenge came in corroboration. Single source stories often turn out to be fake news. With so much of that in circulation already, I was hesitant to run the story until I could get something, anything that demonstrated this on-the-record statement by a Managing Partner at 13 Texas emergency clinics was legitimate. After two day, I gave up on looking. Then, I decided to go with the story anyway. There are two reasons for this. The first is the journalist who first published the statement on his Twitter account. Alex Berenson is generally considered to be above journalistic reproach. The award-winning former New York Times reporter isn’t known to run with stories without checking out his sources first, so I assumed “JB Neiman” is a real person who is what he or she claims to be. Berenson is the go-to reporter for those exposing healthcare industry misrepresentations of the coronavirus. Second, the storyline detailed in the statement matches perfectly with other anecdotal accounts that have been quietly circulating among healthcare professionals. They’re seeing it, and most aren’t saying anything about it for fear of retribution. After all, coronavirus is big business.
In June, we tested over 2,231 patients (data through last Thursday). Positive rate is now close to 20% (was 4-6% in May). Vast majority of the cases are mild to very mild symptoms. Average age of the people getting tested in mid-30s. Very different patient (in terms of age) than we’ve seen before June. Most of these patients would not have met criteria that we previously had (and all the health facilities had) for Covid testing. Now with more testing kits we are able to test a broader group of patients. Clinically, we’ve had very few hospital transfers because of Covid. Vast majority of the patients are better within 2-3 days of the visit and most would be described as having a cold (a mild one at that) or the symptoms related to allergies. We’ve often provided a steroid shot and some antibiotics. By the time we have follow-up calls, most of the patients are no longer experiencing any symptoms. They often say the shot really made a difference. In terms of what is driving them to the ER — Roughly 1/2 have been told by their employers to get a test. They have a sneeze or a cough and their employer tells them to go get tested. The other 1/2 just want to know. They have mild symptoms (and some don’t have any symptoms but game the system and check a box that they have a symptom so they can get a test — they cannot get a test unless they present with symptoms. If they have no symptoms we send them away — which does happen.) The average length of stay of Covid patients is 3-5 days. Much lower than the patients being seen in April and early May. Their symptoms are also milder. Most of the patients are not ending up in the ICU. The hospital ICUs are filled with really sick people with non-Covid issues. They [didn’t] come in earlier because they were scared and now they are super sick. From multiple sources at different hospitals — they have plenty of capacity and no shortage of acute care beds. No real data on breakdown of patients who have Covid but are not in the hospital because of Covid. Recognition that because all patients are tested for Covid you have some percentage of patients listed as Covid patients who are non Covid symptomatic and that the hospitalization rate is somewhat driven by hospitals taking their normal patients with other medical issues. Finally, heard several stories of how discharge planners are being pressured to put Covid as primary diagnosis — as that pays significantly better. Hospitals want to avoid the discussion but if they don’t they risk another shutdown. This may be an explanation for why there is a gap in hospital executives saying they have plenty of capacity and the increasing number of Covid hospitalizations. You open up your hospitals for normal medical care and you test everyone of those patients — the result is higher percentage of patients who have Covid — now. Overall, based on what we are seeing at our facilities, the above information is really a positive story. You have more people testing positive with really minimal symptoms. This means that the fatality rate is less than commonly reported. In the latest episode of the NOQ Report Podcast, we break down this statement. Some of the important takeaways for those who don’t want to listen to it are these:
We will continue to pursue information on Neiman and others willing to speak out and tell the truth. We chose to respect journalistic privacy and not reach out to Berenson for details about his source. Besides, considering the risk his source is taking, it’s highly unlikely Berenson would have shared information other than what has been posted publicly. Coronavirus is big business for many in the healthcare and political industries. This bombshell report makes perfect sense from that perspective, explaining why such accounts are suppressed by mainstream media. There’s so much they’re not telling us. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Monarch Ducey? Republicans call on Arizona Governor to reduce his coronavirus powers
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 04:45 PM PDT In most states, there are limits to executive authority that allow the legislature to participate in emergency orders and mandates. It’s common for governors to be able to declare emergencies and issue executive orders without approval, but prolonging them for longer than a month usually requires extensions approved by the state legislature. Arizona is a state that has no such restrictions and many Republicans both local and national are calling on Governor Doug Ducey to call a special session to address the issue. Congressmen Andy Biggs and Paul Gosar voiced support for a letter sent yesterday by Arizona State Representative Kelly Townsend. In the press release, she calls on the Governor to allow the legislature to restrict the powers of his office so they, the direct representatives of the people, have input about the draconian lockdown orders spreading again across their state. “While I appreciate the Governor’s attempt to address the COVID-19 crisis on a day to day basis, addressing the needs of the state while trying to preserve livelihoods and personal freedoms, his state of emergency declaration has removed all other sources of input, outside of his consultation with his own attorneys. This has disrupted our critical balance of power and has authorized him to govern this state as a monarch, rather than an executive of a three-branch government,” stated Townsend. “As the crisis worsens, I believe that calling a special session of the Legislature where 90 other individuals who are the voice of the people of this State can offer input and guidance, is now beyond prudent. I realize that past Legislators gave him this authority to act alone in a crisis, however that language was passed shortly after 9/11 when fears of biological warfare were cresting,” explained Townsend. “I believe the entire state now realizes that this is not a good idea, and that the people in each district want their voice to be heard and desire the representative government that they were promised.”
Ducey, a fellow Republican, has been taking heat from both sides over his handling of the coronavirus. It would behoove him to heed the advice of Townsend as it would alleviate some of the pressure he’s currently facing. The powers vested in Arizona’s Governor’s office are vast and most Republicans who have chimed in believe even in the hands of their fellow partisan, those powers need to be reined in. Governor Ducey did not create the situation that gives his office so much power, but he has an opportunity to help correct the issue now. Kelly Townsend’s request is both practical and timely. The Arizona monarchy must end. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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Whistling (Dixie) past the graveyard
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 04:14 PM PDT Welcome to the latest episode of Zone Authority with Marc Giller, where we give you every penny’s worth in first-class content—which is quite something as listening is free! Today we delve into a variety of subjects, starting with the latest in COVID-19 panic porn: The Girl Who Lost Her Taste Buds! Give CNN points for that one—although, now that I think about it, the story kind of sounds like a failed pitch for Tales of the Crypt that got recycled for a slow news day. We then move on to ask why big business is so in love with the social justice movement, so long as they’re beating down upstart competitors and not risking any of that filthy but sweet Chi-Com/Middle Eastern lucre. Oh, and while we’re on the subject of big business, did you hear that Facebook is getting the heat for not being woke enough? Last time I saw a plot line that fantastical, it involved Bizarro Superman. Speaking of superheroes, a Time magazine critic is taking them to the woodshed for being cops in capes, which naturally demands a social justice makeover–although if it’s like the one the And if you think that’s stupid, wait’ll you hear about how the teaching the next generation of scientists has become all but impossible, because the Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
The post Whistling (Dixie) past the graveyard appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes. |
The CHOP has fallen
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 07:21 AM PDT Seattle’s Capitol Hill Occupied Protest (CHOP), formerly known as the Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone, will likely soon be called what it was before it was taken over by anarcho-communists. When police officers in the East Precinct were told to abandon their post a month ago, the six-block area was invaded. At least four shootings, thousands of reported crimes, and a couple of lawsuits later, it appears to be in the process of being taken back by the police.
Mayor Jenny Durkan announced last week that plans were in the works to remove the barriers and peacefully remove the CHOP occupants, but no moves have been made by city officials since. But following a shooting on Monday that resulted in the second known death at the CHOP—first a 19-year-old black man and then a 16-year-old black boy—Police Chief Carmen Best said “enough is enough.”
“Officers enforcing today’s order are wearing a higher-level of protective gear,” Seattle PD Tweeted. “Police are utilizing this equipment because individuals associated w/the CHOP are known to be armed and dangerous/may be associated with shootings, homicides, robberies, assaults & other violent crimes.” The police department came with full force and preparedness, knowing many occupying the area are armed with semi-automatic rifles and other weapons. They were acting on an executive order from the Mayor: Today, Mayor Jenny Durkan issued a 48-hour public safety emergency order to vacate the East Precinct/Cal Anderson area. Seattle police will be in the area this morning enforcing the Mayor’s order. This order, and our police response, comes after weeks of violence in and around the Capitol Hill Occupied Protest zone, including four shootings, resulting in multiple injuries and the deaths of two teenagers. As I have said, and I will say again, I support peaceful demonstrations. Black Lives Matter, and I too want to help propel this movement toward meaningful change in our community. But enough is enough. The CHOP has become lawless and brutal. Four shootings–-two fatal—robberies, assaults, violence and countless property crimes have occurred in this several block area. My job, and the job of our officers, is to protect and serve our community. This is not an end to our department’s engagement with demonstrators. We must continue our efforts to build trust and redefine our roles as guardians in our city. I will continue to work with the Community Police Commission, the Office of Police Accountability, the Inspector General, the Mayor, the Seattle City Council and ALL of our community and social justice partners in the coming weeks to encourage peace and to begin meaningful dialog about reenvisioning public safety in our community. Yesterday, the Mayor called for City Council member Kshama Sawant to be investigated and possibly removed for her involvement in leading occupiers from The CHOP to the Mayor’s residence. Whether that was the last straw or if this morning’s purge was planned is unknown. It will likely take months for the damage done to the area to be repaired and years before property values return to their previous levels. The CHOP experiment failed on multiple levels, just like Mayor Durkan’s leadership. Check out the NEW NOQ Report Podcast. American Conservative MovementJoin fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. The coronavirus crisis has prompted many, even some conservatives, to promote authoritarianism. It’s understandable to some extent now, but it must not be allowed to embed itself in American life. We currently have 8000+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
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ARRA NEWS SERVICE
ARRA News Service (in this message: 16 new items) |
- China Takes Aim at Hong Kong
- The Sheepherder . . .
- Defending Our History, Getting Serious In Seattle, Confronting Communist China
- The Propaganda Media’s Polling Offensive
- What’s the Matter with Kansas State University?
- A Reason to Protest
- ‘I Can’t Believe I’m Losing to This Guy’
- Liberal Blacklist
- By Destroying History, Liberals Make an Example of Themselves
- Monuments Are Only the Start of Radical Left’s War on Western Values
- Applications for Pistol Permits Are Up 500% Outside Chicago!
- When the Bidexit?
- The Upcoming National Election, Our Nation’s Economy & The Domino Effect
- Why Hasn’t The Federal Govt Blocked Chinese Military-Controlled Companies From U.S. Capital Markets?
- What Do We Want? Prosperity! When Do We Want It? Now!
- Supreme Court Affirms School Choice
China Takes Aim at Hong Kong
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 07:08 PM PDT by Tony Perkins: According to a recent investigation, the situation for Uyghur Muslims in China has worsened. The latest abuse to be inflicted on this beleaguered religious minority is forced sterilization, abortion, and contraception. The goal is clear: Chinese officials want to reduce the Uyghur population in China by whatever means necessary. The sad reality is that while the rest of the world has been focused on containing the coronavirus, Chinese communists appear to have ramped up the persecution of anyone the government perceives is a threat. Yesterday, Commissioner Nury Turkel of the Uyghur Human Rights Project appeared on Washington Watch to explain this unfolding story. For those unfamiliar with the Uyghurs and their approach to family life, Turkel likened them to the millions of Americans who believe that families should receive children as a gift from God and who simply want the government to leave them alone. However, these values, grounded in their religious belief, are precisely the reason Chinese Communist Party wants to reduce, if not eliminate the Uyghurs population. It is stunning to consider, but it is a fact that “forced abortion sterilization was part of the Uyghur life from the beginning,” Turkel told me. While it was known that some Uyghur women in the past have been forced to take contraceptives, the extent of the oppressive persecution of this ethnic group is just now becoming more widely known. This is due in large part to the focus placed on religious freedom in general and the Uyghur population specifically by the Trump administration. The persecution includes the use of “concentration camps” for women who have had too many children, as decided by the Chinese government. Turkel was distraught by the psychological as well as physical harm these women are subject to by the mandates of the communist government. Additionally, it is true that if these women have more children than they are allowed, their children are taken from them. The goal of the Chinese Communist Party, as Turkel explained, is to “eradicate an entire ethnic group and the world is watching.” The situation of the Uyghurs in China is not a new matter, Turkel pointed out sadly, but it is a worsening one. “I grew up watching how brutal the communist regime has been to my people or the others in the last two years,” Turkel explained, who was born in captivity with his mother, and spent time at a re-education camp during the Cultural Revolution. Turkel outlined his grievance that the “Chinese government has been using its diplomatic and economic influence around the world to buy out silence from countries, particularly in Europe.” Upset with the silence of countries in Europe, Turkel applauded the degree to which the “Trump administration has been forceful” regarding the plight of the Uyghur people. Turkel urgently called upon America’s other allies to “get on the right side of history,” and not to subscribe to or even stay silent about Communist China which is “committing genocide in daylight.” When asked about what else Christians in America need to be aware of, Turkel pointed out that the Chinese Communist Party has another community on its radar: Chinese Christians. The Chinese Communist Party “perceives that Christians and Muslims in China have a loyal group of people that threatens the Communist Party’s existence,” Turkel explained. As a result of the perceived threat posed by religion, Chinese officials have grown more hostile to religious denominations and groups that challenge their claims of complete and total authority. Thus, the persecution of Christians and total lack of disregard for religious liberty by the Chinese government is rampant in China and steadily growing worse. Though the situation for the Uyghurs and Christians in China is hostile, we should not give up. The way forward is to continue spotlighting these flagrant abuses of religious freedom and international human rights laws and demand the rest of the world hold China accountable. By doing this, we stand in solidarity with freedom loving people in China as well as our brothers and sisters in Christ. Tony Perkins (@tperkins) is President of the Family Research Council . Article on Tony Perkins’ Washington Update and written with the aid of FRC senior writers. Tags: Tony Perkins, Family Research Center, FRC, Family Research Council, China Takes Aim, Hong Kong To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The Sheepherder . . .
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 06:20 PM PDT . . . Doctor Fauci has been wrong a lot lately, on masks, travel bans, etc. Is he wrong about the COVID surge?
Editorial Cartoon by AF “Tony’ Branco Tags: The Sheepherder, Doctor Fauci, has been wrong, a lot lately, on masks, travel bans, etc. Is he wrong about the COVID surge? To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Defending Our History, Getting Serious In Seattle, Confronting Communist China
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 06:10 PM PDT
by Gary Bauer, Contributing Author: Defending Our History Our intelligence agencies, law enforcement and first responders always have to ramp up at the same time the rest of us are getting ready to celebrate, sing patriotic songs and set off fireworks. And once again this Fourth of July, those who protect us will be on high alert for those foreign enemies. But we will also be on high alert for the barbarians already inside the gates who would love nothing more than to spit in the eyes of patriotic Americans by tearing down the symbols of our freedom. That’s where the American left has dragged the country over the few last decades. The Department of Homeland Security announced that Rapid Deployment Teams are being prepositioned at various locations across the country during the July 4th weekend in order to protect our national monuments and memorials. In a statement, DHS Secretary Chad Wolf declared: “DHS is answering the President’s call to use our law enforcement personnel across the country to protect our historic landmarks. We won’t stand idly by while violent anarchists and rioters seek not only to vandalize and destroy the symbols of our nation, but to disrupt law and order and sow chaos in our communities.” Meanwhile, President Trump and Attorney General Barr are continuing to methodically track down and prosecute the thugs who are destroying our history. The president knows there are serious complications with sending thousands of National Guardsmen into so many progressive-run cities. The black clad Antifa activists would scramble and slink back into the shadows. So as much as I would like to see a stronger response to the violence on the streets, the most effective thing we can do, though it doesn’t provide a satisfying short-term solution, is to identify these violent anarchists, put them on trial and put them in prison. Getting Serious In Seattle What changed her mind? Well, it appears the mayor got really miffed when radical protesters showed up at her house! Who cares about the poor folks trapped in “Antifastan.” Moreover, Mayor Durkan is going to war against Kshama Sawant, a Marxist member of the Seattle City Council. Durkan is demanding that Sawant be expelled from the council! For once, I sympathize with the mayor. Sawant had the audacity to blame the latest CHAZ shooting on capitalism and “conservative media.” Confronting Communist China We have reported in the past that the Trump Administration is cracking down on communist China’s extensive espionage at our college campuses. Recently, news broke that 54 scientists and researchers have been fired by the National Institutes of Health for failing to disclose their financial ties to the communist regime. Last week, federal authorities in Louisville, Kentucky, announced that they had intercepted a shipment headed to Melbourne, Florida. It contained parts for more than 10,000 assault weapons. The shipment originated in communist China. I’m sure there’s a benign explanation. In addition, U.S. authorities in New York recently seized another shipment from China — $800,000 worth of wigs made from human hair taken from ethnic Muslim Uighurs trapped in concentration camps in the Xinjiang region of the country. A spokesman for the National Security Council said, “If this highly suspicious, 13-ton shipment of human hair indeed turns out to be linked to the Uighur concentration camps, then this is a new low — even for the Chinese Communist Party.” But it gets worse. New reports indicate that births in the Xinjiang region have fallen dramatically, strongly indicating that the communist Chinese are using forced abortions and sterilizations to ethnically cleanse the region of its Uighur population. Yesterday, the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom, on which I serve as a Trump-appointee, called on the administration and the United Nations to confront the communist Chinese over this clear evidence of genocide. President Trump recently signed legislation authorizing new sanctions against Chinese Communist Party officials responsible for human rights abuses against the Uighur population. Good News
I don’t doubt that there will be bumps in the road to recovery in the days ahead, but all of the recovery will be in serious jeopardy if Joe Biden wins this November and crushes the economic comeback with $4 trillion in tax hikes. Yes, you read that right — $4 trillion in new taxes! Tags: Gary Bauer, Campaign for Working Families, Defending Our History, Getting Serious In Seattle, Confronting Communist China To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The Propaganda Media’s Polling Offensive
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 05:48 PM PDT by Newt Gingrich: If you have noticed all the recent polls showing Vice President Joe Biden winning the 2020 election, you should know two things. First, the election is not this month. Second, this is a standard propaganda media polling offensive. I have had long experience of the left’s efforts to depress, disorient, and defeat Republican campaigns. Part of its goal is to simply lower the energy level, diminish campaign contributions, and get the campaigns fighting internally over what is going wrong (even when there is nothing to be concerned about). One of my earliest experiences of this propaganda media approach was the 1978 Minnesota US Senate race between incumbent Democratic-Farmer-Labor Sen. Wendell Anderson and Republican challenger Rudy Boschwitz. On the day before the election, the Minneapolis Star and Tribune, a notoriously leftwing propaganda system, reported on page one that Anderson was going to win with a poll that showed him beating Boschwitz by a small margin. The Boschwitz campaign had internal polling for several weeks showing them ahead by double digits. The following day Boschwitz beat Anderson 57-40. The leftwing propaganda had failed. In mid-1980, Gov. Ronald Reagan was apparently going to lose to a resurgent President Jimmy Carter who had just decisively defeated Sen. Teddy Kennedy for the Democratic nomination. A few months later, Reagan shocked the media by winning in a landslide. In 1988, Vice President George H. W. Bush was behind by 19 points in May. Just five months later, he beat Gov. Michael Dukakis by eight points. In those five months, as Americans learned how truly liberal Dukakis was, one-in-four of his supporters switched to Vice President Bush. In 1990, on the Saturday before the election, Detroit’s liberal newspaper had John Engler losing to incumbent. Gov. James Blanchard by 19 points. Three days later, Engler won by more than 17,000 votes. In 1994, virtually no one gave us a chance of winning control of the United States House of Representatives. My personal favorite example of absolute media bias was a headline in mid-October in USA Today. I was walking into a radio station to do a morning show, and on the way in I saw a page one banner headline which read something to the effect of “Democrats Gaining on Republicans.” I knew that nothing in our polls indicated that we were losing ground. I was more than a little anxious to see if USA Today knew something I didn’t. Still, I had to spend the next hour explaining the provisions of the Contract with America and advocating for our candidates in Idaho. Then, I came out of the studio and had a chance to read the article. USA Today had just run a poll in which the Democrats had gained ground among people who were not likely to vote. Yet, among those who were planning to vote, the Republican lead had increased. The editor had a choice of two headlines and chose the less accurate one because it fit his or her ideological preference. That experience was a real lesson in how the propaganda media can totally distort the facts through careful editing — selecting what to emphasize and what to hide. We are now living through a desperate effort by activists, who work in what were once news outlets, to shape the facts so people will think according to the activists’ ideological preferences. Here are two current examples of total media bias. First, it is true that most Americans support peaceful demonstrations. However, it is also true that an even larger majority of Americans oppose violent demonstrations. The anti-Trump activists in the propaganda media have worked over-time to convince us that destroying statues, looting stores, and attacking police are not violent actions. After all, if these acts were accepted as violent, people who oppose them would be for Trump. He vocally opposes violent protests while Biden hides and is afraid to take issue with his leftwing allies, who favor looting and statue destroying. You may think “favor looting and statue destroying” is too strong. Consider that 13 of Biden’s campaign staff gave money to bail out looters and violent demonstrators. Meanwhile, Gov. Andrew Cuomo called the destruction of statues, “a healthy expression.” So, if you think tearing down statues is a “healthy” way to exercise your First Amendment rights and bailing out violent looters is a contribution to dialogue, you have a candidate in Joe Biden. Of course, the news media knows that praising violence, helping the looters, and cheering on statue destroyers is such a minority position that they will do everything they can to keep Biden hiding in the basement protected from tough questions and critical coverage. No one has asked Biden if he approved of his staff bailing out looters. No one has asked if he agrees with Cuomo. Second, HR 6800 is the $3 trillion bill Nancy Pelosi got 207 Democrats to support. The bill is filled with terrible and highly unpopular ideas. It is even more extreme than radical Democratic legislation I described in my new book Trump and the American Future. How many local or national reporters are going to ask those 207 Democrats about any of the enormously unpopular provisions in this bill? Very few – if any. For example, the bill gives $1,200 in so-called stimulus money to people in the country illegally. The bill also allows them to legally work when 40 million Americans are unemployed. The bill’s provisions for releasing prisoners are so broad that six serial killers would be back on the street. The bill uses taxpayer money to pay for abortions even in the ninth month of pregnancy. Every one of these items – and a lot more included in Pelosi’s bill – are deeply unpopular with the American people. Virtually no reporter wants to ask the 207 Democrats how and why they voted on a whole series of these unpopular ideas. Just remember: When you see the propaganda media trying to make Republicans feel bad by emphasizing carefully selected facts, they are just being who they are. If you are still not convinced, just consider this. If the Democrats had won the recent special elections in California, Wisconsin, and New York, the elite media would have plastered the results on page ones everywhere and trumpeted a sign that Republicans would lose in 2020. But the Democrats lost (in California, it was the first time in over a decade that a district had switched from Democrat to Republican). There could have been a headline that three straight losses indicate Trump supporters are much more energized than the Biden supporters. But, of course, that would undermine the propaganda media’s narrative – and the effort to demoralize Republicans and beat President Trump. When we win, election night it is going to be an amazing moment as the country repudiates the powers that be. The stories the next day will be fascinating. Tags: Newt Gingrich, commentary, The Propaganda Media, Polling Offensive To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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What’s the Matter with Kansas State University?
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 05:39 PM PDT
by Michelle Malkin: Kansas hasn’t voted for a Democrat in presidential elections since 1964. From 1995 to 2002 and from 2011 to 2017, Republicans in Topeka held the iron trifecta of the governor’s mansion, the state House and the state Senate. In 2016, Donald Trump walloped Hillary Clinton in this quintessential red state by a 57-36 margin. So why is it that, in 2020, a mainstream conservative Christian college student under fire by a violence-inciting campus mob can’t find a single prominent Republican in the Sunflower State to uphold and defend his free speech rights? Jaden McNeil is a 21-year-old Kansas State University undergrad, former Turning Point USA chapter leader, and founder of America First Students. Since quitting TPUSA last year over its shocking embrace of drag queens, open borders and a “culture of censorship,” McNeil has been attacked by left-wing journalists and tarred through guilt by association. Local reporters such as Judy Thomas at the Kansas City Star have regurgitated baseless lies that McNeil (who I’ve known since last year and consider a friend and rising conservative star) is connected to “white nationalism” for advocating traditional social conservatism and an end to mass migration. McNeil also refuses to bend his knee to Black Lives Matter, unlike so many swamp conservatives folding like cheap origami these days. On June 25, the young KSU student tweeted an edgy joke about BLM hero George Floyd: “Congratulations to George Floyd on being drug free for an entire month!” The snarky line is a variation on a common internet commemoration of the deaths of drug-addicted celebrities. You may think it’s bad humor or brilliant humor but newsflash: It’s humor. No matter. In end-stage America, where we are now governed by the wokest of the insane and indignant, there is no bigger human rights violation than a George Floyd joke. A manufactured outrage backlash by KSU College Democrats, athletes and bloodthirsty Black Lives Matter extremists ensued. K-State freshman quarterback Jaren Lewis fulminated: “We are demanding that Kansas State University put a policy in place that allows a student to be dismissed for displaying openly racist, threatening or disrespectful action toward a student or groups of students. We have resolved that we cannot play, practice, or meet until these demands are heard and actions taken.” K-State Democrats will hold a march this weekend calling for McNeil’s head. In response, KSU president Richard Myers proclaimed that “Black Lives Matter” and immediately pledged “to fast-track action plans to combat racism and bigotry and other forms of social injustice.” KSU vice president for student life Thomas Lane attacked McNeil for lacking “basic decency.” The school has launched an “immediate review” of its “options.” The adults in charge poured virtue-signaling fuel on a riotous fire, resulting in an avalanche of violent death threats and doxxing of McNeil’s family: “KICK JADEN MCNEIL OUT OR WE WILL HANDLE HIM OURSELVES. This is not a threat, it’s a promise!!” a Twitter user exclaimed. “I swear to God you better never show your face in public in the state of Kansas. F–kin dead man.” Another user named Billy threatened: “I don’t know who you are but I hope your (gets) face stomped in. If no one has, I’ll do it.” An Instagram user messaged McNeil: “White cracker n—a ur gonna die.” A “parody” Twitter account masquerading as McNeil’s mother posted a family photo and his father’s employer has been harassed. “People are more upset about this tweet than they are about George Floyd robbing a pregnant woman at gunpoint,” McNeil bluntly noted. Twitter, the supposedly neutral platform, forced McNeil to delete both his original joke and his observation about the selective outrage because the company claimed, the tweets were “glorifying violence.” In the meantime, not a single Kansas Republican has risen to condemn the threats against McNeil, nor defended his rights to free speech and free association. The academic liberty champions of FIRE, however, sent off a letter to KSU President Myers on Monday firmly reminding the school that “the First Amendment bars KSU from punishing or investigating McNeil for his tweets.” Robert Shibley, FIRE’s executive director, told me: “Kansas State may say that it is reviewing its ‘options’ in response to a demand that a student be kicked out for an unpopular tweet, but it knows those options don’t include meeting that demand — at least not legally. The free speech guarantees that some students demand be denied to others are the only thing that protects them from being the next casualty of shifting political winds.” Shibley added: “The many attempts to silence dissenting voices in the past few weeks point to a profound failure among universities nationwide to maintain the climate of free inquiry that gives them purpose. Censorship does nothing to persuade its targets that their views are ‘wrong’ — only that they must lie about them, or stay silent. While this may result in a temporary political benefit, driving views underground is a ticking time bomb for a democratic society.” Unapologetic nationalist conservative students like Jaden McNeil are under siege at publicly funded universities — not just at blue state Ivy League schools or crazy California Marxist echo chambers but smack dab in the middle of red state America. Conservatism Inc.’s multimillion-dollar decades-old culture war is an abysmal failure. The kids deserve better. Tags: Michelle Malkin, Rassmussen Reports, To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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A Reason to Protest
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 05:31 PM PDT
by John Stossel: Protesters say America’s criminal justice system is unfair. It is. Courts are so jammed that innocent people plead guilty to avoid waiting years for a trial. Lawyers help rich people get special treatment. A jail stay is just as likely to teach you crime as it is to help you get a new start. Overcrowded prisons cost a fortune and increase suffering for both prisoners and guards. There’s one simple solution to most of these problems: End the war on drugs. Our government has spent trillions of dollars trying to stop drug use. It hasn’t worked. More people now use more drugs than before the “war” began. What drug prohibition did do is exactly what alcohol prohibition did a hundred years ago: increase conflict between police and citizens. “It pitted police against the communities that they serve,” says neuroscientist Dr. Carl Hart in my new video. Hart, former chair of Columbia University’s Psychology department, grew up in a tough Miami neighborhood where he watched crack cocaine wreck lives. When he started researching drugs, he assumed that research would confirm the damage drugs did. But “one problem kept cropping up,” he says in his soon-to-be-released book, “Drug Use For Grown-Ups: Chasing Liberty in the Land of Fear,” “the evidence did not support the hypothesis. No one else’s evidence did either.” After 20 years of research, he concluded, “I was wrong.” Now, he says, our drug laws do more harm than drugs. Because drug sales are illegal, profits from selling drugs are huge. Since sellers can’t rely on law enforcement to protect their property, they buy guns and form gangs. Cigarettes harm people, too, but there are no violent cigarette gangs — no cigarette shootings — even though nicotine is more addictive than heroin, says our government. That’s because tobacco is legal. Likewise, there are no longer violent liquor gangs. They vanished when prohibition ended. But what about the opioid epidemic? Lots of Americans die from overdoses! Hart blames the drug war for that, too. Yes, opioids are legal, but their sale is tightly restricted. “If drugs were over the counter, there would be fewer deaths?” I asked. “Of course,” he responds. “People die from opioids because they get tainted opioids. … That would go away if we didn’t have this war on drugs. Imagine if the only subject of any conversation about driving automobiles was fatal car crashes. … So it is with the opioid epidemic.” Drugs do harm many people, but in real life, replies Hart, “I know tons of people who do drugs; they are public officials, captains of industry, and they’re doing well. Drugs, including nicotine and heroin, make people feel better. That’s why they are used.” President Eisenhower warned about the military-industrial complex. America’s drug war funds a prison-industrial complex. Hart says his years inside the well-funded research side of that complex showed him that any research not in support of the “tough-on-drugs” ideology is routinely dismissed to “keep outrage stoked” and funds coming in. America locks up more than 2 million Americans. That’s a higher percentage of our citizens, disproportionately black citizens, than any other country in the world. “In every country with a more permissive drug regime, all outcomes are better,” says Hart. Countries like Switzerland and Portugal, where drugs are decriminalized, “don’t have these problems that we have with drug overdoses.” In 2001, Portugal decriminalized all drug use. Instead of punishing drug users, they offer medical help. Deaths from overdoses dropped sharply. In 2017, Portugal had only 4 deaths per million people. The United States had 217 per million. “In a society, you will have people who misbehave, says Hart. “But that doesn’t mean you should punish all of us because someone can’t handle this activity.” He’s right. It’s time to end the drug war. Tags: John Stossel, A Reason to Protest, commentary, Rasmussen Reports To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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‘I Can’t Believe I’m Losing to This Guy’
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 05:24 PM PDT . . . Trump must be having similar sentiments when matched up against a mentally declining Biden. by Douglas Andrews : Our nation’s enemies must be licking their chops at the latest polling, which shows Joe Biden with a comfortable lead over Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential race. It’s still early, though, and those of us with a stake in the future can thank our lucky stars for it. “I’ve been tested, and I’m constantly tested,” said Biden yesterday at an under-the-radar public appearance at a high school in Delaware. He was responding to a question about his cognitive health, and his answer wasn’t exactly reassuring to anyone who understands the stakes here. This is a man, after all, who right now has at least an even-money shot to be our next president. The Democrats’ plan is no secret: They’re going to keep their guy locked in his basement while they stir up racial strife, talk down the economy, and blame Trump for a Chinese pandemic. Doing so, they hope, will convince enough voters to opt for change — any change — and allow them to drag Biden’s cognitive corpse across the finish line on November 3. As Victor Davis Hanson put it, “Inserting memorized answers into rehearsed questions, as if the entire con was spontaneous, only reveals how his once episodic dementia has become chronic as he loses his prompt and place. It was understandable that his handlers saw opportunity in secluding Biden during Trump’s tweeting, alongside the contagion, the lockdown, the recession, and the rioting that in voters’ minds had equated fear of chaos with the culpability of the current commander in chief.” Hanson added this insightful point: “Seclusion, quiet, and the absence of intellectual stimuli often only enhance dementia, while travel, conversation, and new imagery and experiences tend to unclog for a bit the congested neuron pathways. The more Biden ‘rests up,’ the more he seems to be non compos mentis in his rare staged interviews. His brain is like a flabby muscle, and restful disuse does not make it firmer.” If you’re thinking that most folks haven’t yet tuned in to the presidential race, you’re probably right. But think about this: On Monday, a Rasmussen poll found that 38% of likely voters — including 20% of Democrats — believe Biden has dementia (another poll put the number at 55%). Perhaps even more remarkably, only 48% of voters don’t believe Biden has dementia. Thus, the 77-year-old whom Democrat voters believe should safeguard our nation from the likes of Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, and the Iranian mullahs can’t even scare up a majority of voters who think he’s of sound mind. Yeeeesh. And yet Joe Biden — God love him! — is nonetheless leading President Trump by nearly 10 points according to the latest RealClearPolitics polling average. The American voter might yet bail us out, though. That same Rasmussen poll told us that 61% of all voters believe it’s important for Biden to address the dementia issue publicly, with 41% saying it’s “very important.” This is the same Joe Biden who yesterday couldn’t distinguish between the Lincoln and Jefferson Memorials. And who, at a pre-COVID campaign stop in Texas, told a wincing crowd, “We hold these truths to be self-ul evident. All men and women created … by the … g’oh, you know the, you know the thing.” The thing. The Declaration of Independence. You know, the thing. “I can hardly wait to compare my cognitive capability to the cognitive capability of the man I’m running against,” said Joe Biden yesterday. To this we might caution his brave-faced handlers: Be careful what you wish for. As for President Trump, he must be feeling like comedian Jon Lovitz in that long-ago “Saturday Night Live” skit, when he played former presidential candidate Michael Dukakis opposite Dana Carvey’s George H.W. Bush. “Governor Dukakis, rebuttal?” “I can’t believe I’m losing to this guy.” Tags: Douglas Andrews, Patriot Post, Joe Biden, Can’t Believe, I’m Losing to This Guy To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Liberal Blacklist
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 05:01 PM PDT by Kerby Anderson: It’s easy to make it onto a liberal blacklist. I discovered that years ago. Disagree with even one plank of the latest politically correct platform, and you make the liberal blacklist. But even liberal people with progressive ideas are finding that you can make the blacklist even if your disagreement should be considered minor. Just ask JK Rowling, famous author of the Harry Potter book series. She ended up on the blacklist for taking issue with an article talking about, “Creating a more equal post-COVID-19 world for people who menstruate.” So she tweeted: “People who menstruate.” I’m sure there used to be a word for those people. Someone help me out. Wumben? Wimpund? Woomud?” She was criticized for not acknowledging that “trans men who haven’t transitioned still menstruate.” Another tweet also put her on the liberal blacklist: “If sex isn’t real, there’s no same-sex attraction. If sex isn’t real, the lived reality of women globally is erased. I know and love trans people, but erasing the concept of sex removes the ability of many to meaningfully discuss their lives. It isn’t hate to speak the truth.” The institutions ready to blacklist her range from her publisher to Hollywood. Several of the editors at Hachette staged a small rebellion in a heated meeting saying they would no longer work on her book. Her latest film franchise, Fantastic Beasts, may be shelved. As I write this, Rowling is standing firm and even wrote a lengthy essay defending her stance on transgenders. Perhaps an apology will be forthcoming. If not, she may be hounded by her words for years to come. And anyone who works with her will be hounded by the owners of the liberal blacklist. This is how the liberal blacklist works today. Stray just an inch from what is politically designated, and you face a backlash. Tags: Kerby Anderson, Viewpoints, Point of View, Liberal Blacklist To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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By Destroying History, Liberals Make an Example of Themselves
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 03:44 PM PDT by Rosamina Lowi: The current mania for pulling down statues of so-called morally corrupt historical figures is a classic case of presentism: “reading modern notions of morality” onto the past. It seems that those driven to do so may be honestly trying to rectify the “sins” of the past — whether it be colonial conquest, slavery, genocide, or whatever else. How corrupt were these historical figures? Were they indeed much more reprehensible than anyone in the present day? What did these people actually think in the awful before times when our Western European ancestors discovered the “New World” and practiced conquest and slavery? We are not able to read their minds — only to speculate upon their intent by examining historical documents: the writings, recollections, and stories of those who experienced those days. Indeed, how many of these activists so intent on destroying these representations of the past are fully knowledgeable of these documents that underpin the respect once given to these historical figures resulting in their statuary honors? David Wootton, in his book The Invention of Science, explores the development of modern thinking through the investigation of historical artifacts such as writings, literature, and recollections. He notes that in the 1600s, even the notion of history itself did not exist as we understand it today. Wootton describes the intellectual culture of a typical well educated European in the 1600s. Such a person believed that witches could turn people into pigs, for instance, and that magic could be used to retrieve stolen goods. Alchemists could turn base metal into gold, and murdered bodies would bleed in the presence of the murderer. Slavery was understood to be just one way of the world. Europeans at that time were familiar with the writings of the Romans and the Greeks and how they lived. They had no notion of progress as such — to be able to reflect on their own technologies and compare them to the capabilities of others — so the classical civilizations of Rome and Greece were seen as contemporaries rather than as ancients. We today can marvel at their ignorance, even as we take for granted the modern world that exists as a result of their imagination and curiosity. How these Europeans of the 15th and 16th centuries, few of whom managed to cross the oceans to discover the North American continent and return to tell the tale, viewed the non-literate stone-age peoples they encountered there may not be acceptable to our modern notions of cultural respect and “cultural equivalency.” We may say the European explorers and settlers exhibited hubris, “an overestimation of one’s own competence, accomplishments or capabilities,” in their dealings with the indigenous populations when humility would have served them better. And although any rationale for why they responded the way they did toward these peoples does not excuse the violence they perpetrated, their accomplishments, and those of their contemporaries, drove the growth of science, technology, philosophy, and the evolution of the modern world that we enjoy today. Throughout history, there is much can be learned from both the accomplishments and the mistakes made by those that came before us. Erasing history serves only to throw the baby out with the bath water. We are supposedly morally evolved for the better now — against slavery, racism and bigotry, conquest and war — yet one open-eyed observation across our planet today would reveal that human beings are practicing these “awful” behaviors almost everywhere in some form or another. The statue-destroying activists are unwittingly displaying themselves as arrogant in the highest degree, for instead of acknowledging history and the lessons that could be learned therefrom to build a more compassionate and understanding present and future, they practice the same destructive behaviors that they are purportedly erasing from the past. Actually, it is the worst best case of hubris, for the activists claim to stand on the highest moral ground to support their judgments and display no self-reflective understanding of the past, themselves, or their current behavior. Most of the recent cases of destruction, if not all, demonstrate a woeful ignorance of history by the perpetrators. So although presentism may have launched this destruction, the lack of historical understanding and self-reflection renders the movement hollow, corrupt, and devoid of any humility and compassion. Instead of being able to say “we’ve come a long way, chaps,” it appears that human behavior has not evolved one bit for the better in the centuries that have passed. How dare we disparage our historical forebears? It raises the question — is the current violence and outrage simply a case of hubris and ignorance, or is there another purpose driving this need to erase the past? Should our historical figures be seen not as good examples at all, but as horrible warnings? Even if so, we are still charged to learn from the past to both appreciate the benefits that have sprung from their effort and forge a better future by avoiding their mistakes. In any case, the destructive so-called activists — i.e., vandals — definitely fall into the category of being not good examples, but horrible warnings to a civil society. Woe to a human experience with no history, no memory of either joy or pain. Without memory, we have no understanding. It is better to add to the history we think we know — to unveil the hidden, to recognize and honor the forgotten, in order to make the record more honest and complete. Doing so can inform our work to build a better future’s past. History demands our humble understanding, not our hubristic outrage. Tags: McIntosh Enterprises, Rosamina Lowi, by destroying history, liberals, makes sn example. of themselves To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Monuments Are Only the Start of Radical Left’s War on Western Values
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 02:07 PM PDT by Nile Gardiner & Joseph Loconte: The radical left has hijacked debate over America’s monuments to wage a cultural war. Their goal: to deny the moral legitimacy of our democratic republic. Violent attacks on statues and memorials aren’t mere vandalism. They are an assault on the United States itself and the values upon which this great nation stands. We should all stand united as Americans in the defense of our heritage, culture, and the rule of law. In America, as in Great Britain, we have built statues to memorialize individuals and events representing some of the noblest moments in our civilization. Such artwork helps us to remember and defend our highest political, moral, and religious ideals. The mob violence directed against it is an assault on civilization itself. The rioters are targeting national heroes of all kinds. In the U.S., they’ve gone after statues of George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Abraham Lincoln, Ulysses S. Grant—individuals who invested their lives to establish and preserve American democracy. Yet even these giants have not been spared from the culture of rage. Attempts to destroy them are an assault on one of democracy’s great achievements: respect for the rule of law. We must not give in to mob rule. Those responsible for criminal acts must be held to account and face the full weight of the law. All Americans should condemn any attempts to tear down and vandalize statues and monuments across the country. If the rioters are allowed to continue toppling statues, it won’t stop there. The destroyers will declare more and more things to be offensive, and their destruction will spread to more and more streets, more and more towns. Left unchecked, they will target every cherished statue and symbol in the land, secular and religious. On both sides of the Atlantic, Western civilization is under siege. In London, rioters have attacked Winston Churchill’s statue in Parliament Square, as well as the Cenotaph in Whitehall, the sacred memorial to Britain’s war dead. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and French President Emmanuel Macron have taken a strong stand against the far left’s attempts to bring down statues representing their nations’ cultural heritage. Johnson condemned the attacks on Churchill and other monuments, declaring that “the statue of Winston Churchill in Parliament Square is a permanent reminder of his achievement in saving this country—and the whole of Europe—from a fascist and racist tyranny. It is absurd and shameful that this national monument should today be at risk of attack by violent protesters.” He also warned that “we cannot now try to edit or censor our past. We cannot pretend to have a different history.” Across the Channel, Macron sent a similar emphatic message in a televised speech to the French nation: “I will be very clear tonight, compatriots: the Republic won’t erase any name from its history. It will forget none of its artworks, it won’t take down statues.” In the U.K., British authorities are actively identifying and prosecuting individuals who have attacked historical monuments. The British government has refused to appease those who seek to rewrite history and trample upon the foundations and achievements of those who played a major role in the country’s past. The same must be done in the United States. Law enforcement, mayors, governors, and federal authorities must make every effort to ensure that further destruction is prevented. President Donald Trump was right to sign a new executive order last week protecting American monuments, memorials, and statues. It sends a clear message that lawlessness will not be tolerated. The United States is the leader of the free world. No nation in history has done more to defend the principles of liberty and freedom. America’s very foundations today are under attack from left-wing anarchists who seek to sow fear, disorder, violence, and hatred. We cannot allow the forces of anarchy to replace the rule of law. They must not be allowed to win. Tags: ile Gardiner, Joseph Loconte, Heritage Foundation, The Daily Signal, Monuments, Are Only the Start,Radical Left’s War, on Western Values To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Applications for Pistol Permits Are Up 500% Outside Chicago!
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 01:36 PM PDT by Frank Miniter: In difficult times, we fall back on basic principles. The basics begin with safety for ourselves and our loved ones. This is why gun sales are surging. Gun dealers, in fact, are seeing particularly high demand near the very major American cities that push the harshest gun-control policies on their residents. To point out a cogent example, the Chicago Tribune ran an article on June 25 titled “‘Guns are flying off the shelf.’ Permit applications up more than 500%….” Like New York City, officials in Chicago have long done all they can to outlaw the Second Amendment rights of their citizens. This legislative attack on the normal (legal) gun culture has created a disarmed class of people (average, law-abiding residents) and a lawless class (criminals, many in gangs). The result of this social experiment is tabulated with body counts. As city officials in places like Chicago and New York City continue to blame freedom for the acts of criminals, people outside their reach are embracing their freedom in record numbers. “[M]ore than 40,000 Illinoisans applied for a gun permit in a little more than two weeks this month, more than 500% over this time last year, according to Illinois State Police,” reported the Chicago Tribune. The Tribune found that gun sales are surging, for example, at Mark Glavin’s gun shop in Elgin, which is located about 35 miles northwest of Chicago, “from an average of 10 [guns sold] a day last year to as many as 200 a day this year.” From June 1 to June 17, the Illinois State Police received more than 42,000 applications for “Firearms Owner Identification” (FOID) cards. This is just over a 500% increase from the same time last year. Even the Tribune noted that many of these new gun owners are not who the mainstream media thinks typically buys guns. Alexandra Filindra, an associate professor of political science at the University of Illinois at Chicago, told the Tribune that “there’s plenty of research and anecdotal evidence to suggest many of those white, first-time gun buyers may consider themselves politically progressive.” One new gun owner interviewed by the Tribune, who didn’t want his name in print, categorized himself as “a very liberal Democrat” who for decades has been “for most forms of gun control politically.” However, like many, this person is now waiting for the state to approve his first gun permit. “My views have recently changed, and I have accepted that the Second Amendment provides for the personal ownership and use of a firearm,” this person told the Tribune. This article, which is worth quoting at length because it is not the kind of thing most big, urban newspapers would have published just a few months ago, even quoted David Lombardo, owner of Safer USA and a concealed-carry instructor, as saying, “I have seen the emergence of a new class of students seeking training: anti-Second Amendment liberals.” Clearly, threats to their lives are teaching people of all political persuasions that trusting the state to be on the scene to stop a rapist, robber and/or murderer—however diligent and brave the police might be—is only a workable view for those who get police escorts. Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee for president, has clearly positioned himself against this fundamental American freedom, and has therefore placed himself in opposition to the peoples’ personal right to safety. As we get closer to the election on November 3, this needs to be made so starkly clear that when these new gun owners go into the privacy of a voting booth, they’ll know, in fact, they’ll feel as they would on a dark night when they are awoken by glass breaking, that Joe Biden doesn’t think they should be trusted with the freedom to protect themselves and their loved ones. Tags: Frank Miniter, Applications, Pistol Permits, Are Up 500%, Outside Chicago To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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When the Bidexit?
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 01:24 PM PDT
by Dr. Victor Davis Hanson: We have reached a strange impasse in the campaign in which weakness is seen as strength. The fact that Biden is cognitively impaired and hiding in his basement in virtual incommunicado is now seen as a valuable strategy, given that Trump is dealing with the virus, lockdowns, the economy, and a pandemic of lawlessness and chaos — and down in the polls. So Biden shows no sign of moving out, and we should expect that as long as he thinks — correctly for now — that it’s a winning strategy, he will offer no detailed agenda other than as the virtual non-Trump. His surrogates will begin a campaign to end the idea of debates. Mail-in balloting will become a test of whether or not one is a racist. A virtual Zoom candidacy is not an impossibility. Biden seems to concede that to venture out is synonymous with illustrations of his own cognitive impairment. What might prompt his return to the aether? One, if Trump’s aggregate polls inched back up from 42 or so to where they are usually after recovering from serial melodramas (Mueller, Ukraine, impeachment, COVID, lockdown, etc.) at around 45-47 approval, then, at that point, Biden would move. But to recover as he has in the past, Trump will have to end the current cultural revolution, by its traditional antidotes despite blue-state opposition and with no support from the Pentagon if the violence escalates: The best way to convey all this is a sort of national-security task force analogous to the COVID-19 briefings, in which the president, Attorney General Barr, Homeland Security head Wolf, and National-Security Adviser O’Brien daily and briefly review federal indictments, efforts, and challenges; entertain brief questions; and inform the public of strategies and policies to come. Trump also could issue a comprehensive second-term agenda that forces Biden to offer a counter-proposal: 300 more constructionist justices, 500 more miles of a border-security wall to enhance the 400-plus miles scheduled for completion at year’s end. A comprehensive plan to incentivize the return of critical U.S. medical supplies and drug manufacturing from China. In conjunction with a second-phase of re-industrialization, a comprehensive plan to address higher education (the font of the cultural revolution), whether having colleges assume the moral hazard of guaranteeing their own student loans, taxing endowments of, say, over $1 billion, and having a national exit test to certify basic competency upon graduation. Meanwhile, as the viral death toll and fatality rate of the infected wane, the lockdown leaks, the recovery continues, a Durham reckoning follows, and the cultural revolution is extinguished, Biden most certainly will venture out — and that Bidexit will be one of the most interesting developments in recent election history. Tags: Victor Davis Hanson, National Review, When the Bidexit? To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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The Upcoming National Election, Our Nation’s Economy & The Domino Effect
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 01:11 PM PDT by E.P. Unum: While everyone is anxiously awaiting who will be chosen as Joe Biden’s running mate, it seems to me there are far more critical things to think about. We got a glimpse of what Joe Biden and the Democratic Party is considering for the U.S. Economy just listening to a few comments about his plans to increase taxes and repeal all of President Trump’s tax reforms. These plans are cataclysmic. Consider the following: Biden has stated that he might consider appointing Elizabeth Warren as Secretary of the Treasury. If he makes that choice, what then will be the fiscal policy of the United States? Warren has been steadfast that higher taxes are a necessity to fund the sweeping Green New Deal financial commitments that will surely be the cornerstone of a Biden Presidency. Warren has also said she intends to focus her attention on “taxing the rich” by increasing the marginal tax rates to pre-Trump levels. That would mean a significant tax increase to taxpayers, many of whom are not wealthy. Warren also is on record saying that she would increase the capital gains tax from 20% to 35%. Perhaps the most devastating increase in taxes and a potential killer for the U.S. Economy is her pledge to implement a “transaction tax” on the stock market. She says this would be “pennies on the dollar, a nominal transaction tax, probably no more than 1%” If one considers the number of transactions on any given day on the New York Stock Exchanges and the dollar value associated with those transactions, such a tax is by no means trivial, all flowing into the Treasury’s coffers to be spent by Democrats on their inexhaustible wish-lists of socialist programs. Finally, there is Warren’s “wealth tax,” yet another bite at the American taxpayer. Let’s examine briefly what this all means because it affects each and every one of us. Increasing taxes on the rich: Wrong! What do you think wealthy taxpayers will do if they are targeted to have more of their income taxed? They will do the same thing wealthy individuals in France and Spanish did when their governments increased their taxes overnight. They left their countries. It’s called Capital Flight. They take their marbles and find tax havens to avoid their wealth being taxed. What then would happen? Someone would have to make up the difference. That means the burden will fall on people like you and me. Think also about the domino effect of this. Capital flight means money going elsewhere, which means fewer dollars available for charities, research, education, and infrastructure. It also means fewer dollars available to democratic cities, counties and states around the country whose gross fiscal mismanagement over the decades has led to the deterioration of their economies. Then, too, you can expect higher unemployment which means lesser payroll taxes collected and an even further drain on unemployment payments and fewer dollars paid into Social Security, which has been used as the piggy bank for democratic spending since the launch of the Great Society under Lyndon Johnson in 1964. For those who are unaware, the Social Security Fund, created to be sacrosanct and intended for the retirement of seniors, has been used by politicians to fund social programs to the tune of $5.0 Trillion over the past fifty years without one cent being paid back into the fund. Capital gains tax. Social programs, ladies and gentlemen, cost money, and a vote for the democrats is a vote to entrust to them your hard-earned dollars to produce ever more socialist programs. Socialism hasn’t worked in any civilization in history. It will fare no better under Joe Biden and his crew of miscreants. “Pennies on the Dollar Transaction Tax” How do you think the stock market will react to a transaction tax levied on every single transaction undertaken in the market daily – millions of transactions worth billions of dollars everyday? Such a tax represents capital leaving the market. What happens when money goes out of the market? Value declines. When value declines, there is continued pressure to sell, and that further diminishes value. If you are an individual with a 401-K Plan, an individual with an investment in an annuity, or the manager of a teachers pension or any other major fund, the probable result of this “Warren Tax,”is a significant reduction in the value of your investment. When Donald Trump took office, he began implementing fiscal and investment programs that fueled significant growth in the U.S. Economy. We saw gross domestic production growth rates approaching 4%, virtual full employment, the lowest unemployment rates for women, Blacks and Hispanics in history and manufacturing growth. President Trump initiated tax reforms that lowered taxes on individuals and corporations, incentivized foreign investment in the U.S.. Investment in oil and gas exploration was stimulated, which made America energy independent for the first time in its history. America today stands entirely self-sufficient in terms of power and we are now a net oil-exporting nation. We enjoyed, in the first three and one half years of President Trump’s administration, the most exceptional economy in the history of our nation. All of this growth was achieved despite not receiving any help from Democrats who spent their time on fruitless, wasteful efforts trying to impugn and impeach our President. They are still hard at work on that today even though every attempt has failed miserably and at significant cost to the nation, you, and me. Then came the Coronavirus debacle resulting in conscious decisions to shut down the most productive economy in the world as well as virtually every other economy on the planet. We are still struggling with this virus and its attendant economic and health impacts. COVID-19 has adversely impacted our way of life here in the U.S. and, indeed, all over the world. The virus originated in China who misled the world and, in doing so, caused untold horror to families around the globe. The democrats would have you believe this is President Trump’s fault, but that is another false narrative in this Election Year. Think long and hard about your vote in November. If you believe that the Democrats have a better plan for the economic growth of our nation, then, by all means, you should vote for Joe Biden and his platform, whatever that is. But, as I think about the plans expressed by Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer and Elizabeth Warren, the challenges facing us with COVID-19, China’s thirst for power and influence, and as someone trained in finance, I know a Biden presidency will be a blueprint for economic and social disaster. Moreover, the burden will ultimately fall on the middle class. We will have mounting debt and rapidly become a weaker nation, as we were under Obama-Biden in 2008-2016. Wisdom suggests we stay with the man who rebuilt our nation and made us the envy of the world. Tags: E.P. Unum, The Upcoming National Election, Our Nation’s Economy, The Domino Effect To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Why Hasn’t The Federal Govt Blocked Chinese Military-Controlled Companies From U.S. Capital Markets?
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 12:47 PM PDT by Robert Romano issued the following statement urging the Trump administration to block access by Chinese military-controlled companies to U.S. capital markets: “The Pentagon’s announcement that there are twenty well-known Chinese companies who have imbedded their businesses in the U.S. financial system while selling products to U.S. consumers who are controlled by the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army is not a shock. What is a shock is that our government hasn’t taken immediate action to sever the access of these foreign spy operations to the U.S. capital markets at the very least. “Many have heard the names of Huawei, China Telecommunications Group and China Railway Construction Corporation, but even a company with a benign name like Panda Electronics which sells earbuds and other consumer electronics over Amazon has a sinister side through their electronic surveillance business. Not only are they tied to assisting the North Korean government repress its people, but as a PLA agent, it is reasonable to assume that their creations are being used to repress and put down the freedom movement in Hong Kong. And while Panda is traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and to date there are no restrictions on U.S. financial asset managers from investing American pension dollars into companies which are full-fledged enemies of freedom. “As we watch the Chinese government’s ending of Hong Kong’s agreed upon quasi-independence on July 1, the very least the federal government can do is cut these cancerous 20 companies out of the U.S. financial systems, meaning ending the capitalization of repression by companies like BlackRock and other massive investment houses. One thing that could be done immediately would be for the U.S. Department of Labor to issue an emergency guidance to private pension fund managers that these companies are not suitable for inclusion into any pension portfolio mandating divestment. Why are they not suitable? If the fact that these companies are dedicated to the destruction of the United States is not enough, it is obvious that a company controlled by the Chinese Communist Party is not going to provide the transparency to allow a prudent investor to determine if it is secure enough to meet the standards for pension investing established by law. The Labor Department could end all private U.S. pension investment in these twenty Chinese agents under a corporate cover with a simple one-page guidance update to pension managers. “President Trump took meaningful action when he ended the push for U.S. federal employee and military pensions to be invested in Chinese companies seeking to build the weapons that are aimed at America, now the rest of the federal government needs to follow suit by ending private sector investments in these risky and dangerous entities. China is not playing a game, and it is time for America to wake up to the threat. On a personal level, the next time you go to Amazon to buy electronics or other goods, dig deeper to find out where they are made. The best way to stop the Chinese regime which uses child and slave labor to make many of the products we buy, is to just say no when you see it is made in China. Perhaps if Americans lead the way, our financial leaders will follow as their blood-soaked investments in China have a hard time finding buyers.” Interview Availability: Please contact Americans for Limited Government at 703-383-0880 ext. 1 or at media@limitgov.org. Tags: Robert Romano, Americans for Limited Government, Why Hasn’t, The Federal Govt Blocked, Chinese Military-Controlled Companies, From U.S. Capital Markets To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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What Do We Want? Prosperity! When Do We Want It? Now!
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 12:33 PM PDT by Ralph Benko: What do we want? Prosperity! When do we want it? Now! There are 10 tried and true policies that would rekindle American prosperity. These will work even in the face of the doom and gloom strewn by the pandemic. These sort of policies ignited an “economic miracle” after WWII. After the world war Germany was an economic basket case, far worse off than pandemic America. Then, Ludwig Erhard used free market policies to turn the zombie economy around, fast. West Germany became the prosperous colossus of Western Europe. Each of the “Capitalist Ten Commandments” has power. They’re not a left vs. right thing. There are varied carols of free market capitalism. One end of the capitalist spectrum (Hello Democrats!) is ordoliberalism, “socially conscious free markets.” It also provides lots of government-supplied social insurance. (Hayek approved!) The Nordic states thrive by this. The other end (Hello Republicans!) is laissez faire, “classical liberalism,” leaving it to the private sector to provide universal opulence. Hong Kong and Singapore prosper. Both are authentic capitalism. Then, there are some prosperity-strangling, dignity crushing, illegitimate alternatives. On the left, socialism and its bratty little sister, progressivism. On the right, fascism and its bratty little brother, nationalism. Both pave a road to Hell. Democrats are toying with inane socialist nostrums like the Green New Deal and progressive nonsense like minimum wage legislation. Republicans are descending to insane crypto-fascist government spending orgies and nationalist schemes like tariffs. What to do? America is a republic. Its citizens — yeah, I’m talking to you, Bub! — have the power and duty to direct our officials in the right direction and to retire officials who are incapable of delivering equitable prosperity. Every two years we conduct well-publicized national elections for the House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate. Every four years, like 2020, we are treated to the flamboyant sound and fury of a presidential election. That’s the easy part. As the continuing poor performance of our economy shows, elections, while necessary, are not sufficient. We “folks back home” need to provide adult supervision between elections. But … how? Observing the Capitalist Ten Commandments would get the economy growing again. President Clinton, like President Reagan, honored most of them. It’s not a partisan thing. We got the “rising tide that lifts all boats” that JFK prophesied. The side effect under Clinton was such a large federal budget surplus that then-Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan went about sounding the alarm that we might actually pay off the national debt! Here they are: 3. All assets will be indexed to inflation for the purpose of calculating capital gains. 4. No gift, estate or inheritance tax shall have a top rate of more than 10% and no such tax shall be imposed on any such transfers of $10 million or less, annually adjusted for inflation. 5. The federal government shall generously fund research and development which are the foundation of the nation’s prosperity, skilled jobs and material quality of life. 6. The dollar shall be defined as a fixed weight of gold legally convertible thereunto by any person or entity, foreign and domestic. 7. The Treasury and any other instrumentality of the United States shall not incur any additional bonded liabilities except upon approval by two-thirds of the legislatures of the states. 8. Civil asset forfeiture to the federal, state, or any municipal government is prohibited and criminal and civil fines shall be proportional to both the ability of the adjudicated party to pay these and to the severity of the infraction. 9. No regulation affecting more than $100 million in economic activity shall be adopted until enacted by the Congress of the United States and signed by the president. 10. No government shall exercise control over wages or prices, including the pricing of telecommunication services, rent or imposition of a minimum wage.Are there other policies worth adopting? Sure! That said, conservatives are competitive, even fractious. They like to jostle each other to advance their pet ideas (and win the attendant glory). The Ten Commandments of Capitalism picks the best of the best of these ideas. They unite the right. Because … united we stand, divided we fall. Bonus! The Ten Commandments invite the left to compete via socially conscious free markets. Because … country over party! Now all that’s needed is for enough citizens to teach our national elected officials, especially our representatives (whose job it is to Represent us!) and even our senators, the Ten Commandments of Capitalism. Equitable prosperity will follow. It’s up to us. What do we want? Prosperity! When do we want it? Now! Tags: Ralph Benko, The Capitalist League, What Do We Want, Prosperity, When Do We Want It, Now To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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Supreme Court Affirms School Choice
Posted: 01 Jul 2020 12:16 PM PDT by Bill Donohue: The U.S. Supreme Court, in a 5-4 decision written by Chief Justice John Roberts, ruled that a Montana school choice initiative that allows a tax-credit scholarship program to benefit religious schools is constitutional. The state program is voluntary and is funded through private donations. It allows a dollar-for-dollar tax credit to those who participate. Chief Justice Roberts concluded that although no state is required to subsidize private schools, once it does “it cannot disqualify some private schools solely because they are religious.” The Montana law was challenged because it violated its Blaine Amendment; it denies state funding of religious schools. The original Blaine Amendment, named after Rep. James Blaine of Maine, was proposed in 1876, but was never passed at the federal level. It did, however, prevail in the states. Montana is one of 37 states that has this amendment in its constitution. The Blaine Amendment was rooted in anti-Catholic bigotry. It was designed to force Catholic students to attend public schools, which at the time required students to embrace Protestant teachings and practices. This decision does not resolve all school choice issues, but it finally breaks the lock that the public school monopoly has had on education. It will be denounced by the public school establishment and its unions: they reject all competition, including charter public schools. The Democratic Party, and its new allies, Black Lives Matter, are strongly opposed to giving minority children from poor families the same options for school choice afforded rich white folks. So is the Ku Klux Klan. In 1922, the Klan succeeded in pushing for an Oregon law that forced every child to attend a public school. Three years later, in Pierce v. Society of Sisters, it lost, in a unanimous decision, in the Supreme Court. This may be a bad day for the Democrats, Black Lives Matter, and the Ku Klux Klan, but it is a good day for Catholics, and indeed people of every faith. It is a particularly good day for the Catholic League. Fr. Virgil Blum made school choice his number one issue when he founded the organization in 1973. Tags: Bill Donohue, Catholic League, Supreme Court, Affirms School Choice To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service and “Like” Facebook Page – Thanks! |
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NY Times Rips Off the Mask on How Anti-American They Are on Mount Rushmore, and They Get Crushed
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NBC FIRST READ
NBC MORNING RUNDOWN
Thursday, July 2, 2020
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Good morning, NBC News readers.
New coronavirus cases hit another grim record, Stonewall Jackson’s statue no longer has a place in the city that was once the Confederate capital and Russia’s Vladimir Putin secured his position of power for another 16 years.
Here’s what we’re watching this Thursday morning.
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New coronavirus cases continue to climb — setting more grim records
As new coronavirus cases rose above 50,000 on Wednesday — a single day record since the start of the pandemic — testing labs across the country are scrambling to meet the demand.
It is “absolutely correct that some labs across the country are reaching or are near capacity,” Adm. Brett Giroir, who is overseeing the nation’s COVID-19 testing, said Wednesday during a briefing with reporters.
In hard-hit states such as Arizona, California and Texas, demand for COVID-19 testing has grown rapidly. People are reporting waiting in line to get tested for two, three or more hours — often in the hot summer sun.
And the rate of positive coronavirus tests are increasing. Check out a state-by-state breakdown here.
President Donald Trump has attributed the jump in cases to an increase in testing, but health experts say decreased social distancing is the culprit.
With the wave of new COVID-19 cases, some states are beginning to peel back their reopening plans.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom ordered much of California to shutter indoor operations at restaurants, museums, bars and other venues on Wednesday as the state’s coronavirus caseload continues to surge.
Meantime, Trump said Wednesday that he believes the coronavirus will “just disappear” even as cases explode across the U.S. and top health officials warn that the country needs to do more to stop the spread.
“I think we’re going to be very good with the coronavirus. I think that at some point that’s going to sort of just disappear, I hope,” Trump said in an interview with Fox Business Network.
- Track U.S. hot spots where COVID-19 infection rates are rising.
- The U.S. death toll from coronavirus has surpassed 129,000, according to NBC News tally.
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Gen. Stonewall Jackson statue down after Richmond mayor orders removal
A statue of Gen. Stonewall Jackson on Richmond’s Monument Avenue came down Wednesday after the mayor ordered the “immediate removal” of all Confederate monuments on city property.
“As the capital city of Virginia, we have needed to turn this page for decades. And today, we will,” Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney said in a video address.
Calls for the removal of Confederate tributes and other statues have grown louder amid widespread protests against police brutality and racial discrimination that followed the death of George Floyd in police custody.
Stoney said he issued the order using emergency powers Wednesday to protect public safety.
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Analysis: With veto threat, Trump dares GOP to back Confederate military leaders or risk his wrath
President Trump threatened on Wednesday to veto a national defense bill the Senate is currently considering if an amendment from Sen. Elizabeth Warren to rename military bases honoring the Confederacy is not removed.
With the threat, he gave the Republicans in Congress a tough choice: vote to honor leaders of the Confederacy, or vote against him.
The threat is implicit: Republicans in Congress who buck him risk his wrath, NBC News’ Jonathan Allen writes in a news analysis.
But there’s a complicated political calculus for GOP lawmakers, some of whom are in tough re-election contests in states and districts where a vote for Confederate commanders could be toxic.
- See a map of where monuments and statues are coming down across the country.
- Listen to the latest episode of our Into America podcast. Host Trymaine Lee digs into the idea “My Body is a Monument.”
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16 more years of Putin?
That’s right.
Russian President Vladimir Putin secured his political future on Wednesday after a wide majority of voters supported a controversial national referendum that paved the way for the former KGB agent to stay in power until 2036.
After 98 percent of ballots had been counted, the official results showed that the former KGB officer who has ruled Russia for more than two decades as president or prime minister had easily won the right to run for two more six-year terms.
Meantime, controversy continues to swirl in the U.S. over allegations that Russia paid Taliban militants to kill Americans in Afghanistan.
Many are questioning the White House explanation that Trump simply wasn’t told about the alleged Russian bounties on U.S. soldiers.
The idea that Trump’s intelligence briefer, a career government bureaucrat, decided to keep him out of the loop isn’t credible, say current and former officials.
The referendum’s result gives Putin the opportunity to be Russia’s longest-serving ruler since Peter the Great. (Photo: Pavel Golovkin / AFP – Getty Images)
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Can sports return responsibly during the COVID-19 pandemic?
U.S. sports leagues working to resume play have devised elaborate plans in an effort to hold off the coronavirus: players living in isolated “bubble” communities, regular testing and even connected devices to monitor player health.
But there’s little hope of keeping the coronavirus out entirely. It’s a given that players will test positive, according to people from both the medical and the sports industries.
“The whole strategy is to minimize the chance of being shut down again, but they’re fully prepared to have some players become infected,” one sports industry insider said.
The NBA’s plan, which may be the most extensive and viable, has received praise from several experts like Dr. Anthony Fauci. But there are no guarantees it will work. (Photo: Al Bello / Getty Images – file)
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Plus
- Harsh new book about the Trump family by the president’s niece, Mary Trump, can be published, a New York appellate judge ruled.
- Fox News anchor Ed Henry was fired over a sexual misconduct allegation.
- Trump’s July Fourth fireworks and flyover plans disturb D.C. Mayor Bowser.
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THINK about it
Standing up for Black lives does not mean tearing down our history, Dr. Ben Carson, secretary of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, writes in an opinion piece.
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Live BETTER
What are the pool rules? Is it safe to invite friends over to swim this summer? Experts weigh in.
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Shopping
Looking to up your backyard campfire ambience? Here are the best fire pits out there.
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One kind thing
Nothing beats an actual letter in the mail.
Boston sisters Saffron and Shreya Patel saw how much joy their letters brought their grandmother in England.
So they came up with the idea for Letters Against Isolation, an effort to spread some happiness to seniors through cards and letters during the coronavirus.
The sisters, along with their 2,100 volunteers, have sent over 18,000 letters to seniors across the United States over the past few months.
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