Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Monday March 2, 2020.
THE DAILY SIGNAL
Mar 02, 2020
Good morning from Washington, where President Trump may have more of a spring in his step after a warmly received appearance Saturday at the Conservative Political Action Conference. Fred Lucas has highlights. Heard good things from Bernie Sanders about health care in Canada? An expert there begs to differ. On the podcast, our guest has a vision for civics education. Plus: border security as barrier to coronavirus, the promise of the Afghan peace agreement, a bad nuclear energy proposal, and the shadow of voter fraud. On this date in 1807, Congress abolishes the importing of slaves from Africa or any other place.
“The president was criticized for taking bold action [against coronavirus],” Chad Wolf says. “Those same individuals are now criticizing this administration for not doing enough.”
“Hundreds of thousands of teachers every day get up and think, ‘How do we give students a notion of freedom and opportunity?'” civics educator David Bobb tells The Daily Signal.
The proposal would make the nuclear industry politically dependent, and consequently politically vulnerable. What’s worse, we’ve tried this all before and the track record isn’t good.
The Electoral College system ensures that the biggest cities and population centers aren’t the only places that have a say in picking presidents, Trent England says of the importance of opposing the popular vote movement.
Shen Yun Performing Arts is the world’s premier classical Chinese dance and music company. Get your tickets for the 2020 season today.
“You never really understand a person until you consider things from his point of view … Until you climb inside of his skin and walk around in it.”HARPER LEE
Good morning,
An impending March 15 deadline to extend the authorization of the FISA program is dividing Senate Republicans.
While Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell favors a “clean” FISA reauthorization—an option also favored by Attorney General William Barr—at least two Republican lawmakers want reforms to the program first.
Top White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said Feb. 28 that socialism poses a greater risk to the U.S. economy than the coronavirus, amid ongoing concerns surrounding the outbreak. Read more
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has signaled the central bank’s readiness to slash interest rates to cushion the economy against the effects of a widening global slowdown and potential health emergency due to the spreading coronavirus. Read more
Elected officials in California are challenging a controversial state law that deprives them of their ability to speak critically about labor unions by prohibiting statements deemed to “deter or discourage” public employees from seeking union membership. Read more
Former Vice President Joe Biden scored a resounding victory in the South Carolina Democratic presidential primary election on Feb. 29. Read more
New York-based Shen Yun Performing Arts has found itself the target of coronavirus-related misinformation, in an apparent attempt to dissuade American audience members from attending the classical Chinese dance performance. Read more
The manufacturing supply chain shift away from China, which commenced during the U.S.-China trade war, is gaining critical mass amid the coronavirus crisis. Later this year, U.S. consumers will begin to see… Read more
Shen Yun takes you on an extraordinary journey through China’s 5,000 years of divinely inspired civilization. Exquisite beauty from the heavens, profound wisdom from dynasties past, timeless legends and ethnic traditions all spring to life through classical Chinese dance, enchanting live orchestral music, authentic costumes, and patented interactive backdrops. It is an immersive experience that will uplift your spirit and transport you to a magical world. It’s 5,000 years of civilization reborn!
The Intelligence Community and Threat Assessment
By Brad JohnsonThe National Intelligence Council has published an unclassified strategic assessment every four years since 1997. The document is meant to help senior U.S. leaders think and plan for the next 5 to 20 years. Read more
The New FTC Investigation May Curb Big Tech’s IP Theft
By Kristen OsengaOn Feb. 11, 2020, the Federal Trade Commission announced that it would look more closely at America’s five Big Tech companies—Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft, and Alphabet (including Google). Read more
How to Increase Returns for Your Retirement Savings
By Valentin Schmid
(September 14, 2014)To earn income in this very low-interest-rate environment, the best plan is to spread out, use a variety of instruments. One advantage is that by diversifying the type of instruments you also wind up diversifying exposure to different sectors of the economy. Read more
In this episode of Declassified we bring you shocking footage that The Epoch Times has collected off social media. It will give you a first-hand look at what is happening inside China as coronavirus continues to grip the nation.
Biden Gets Impressive Win in South Carolina Over the Weekend
As you can see in this map, he won every county in the state, far exceeding the polls (NY Times). From the Wall Street Journal: Mr. Sanders remains the frontrunner, with his loyal progressive base that lets him win delegates nearly everywhere as long as he gets 15% of the vote. But Democrats will have a stronger case to defeat him at the Milwaukee convention if he can be held to a smaller plurality. Mr. Biden’s South Carolina victory means Democrats have a chance to reconsider nominating a socialist who calls American business “corrupt” and wants a revolution that would put government in control of the economy (WSJ). It appears the win was huge for Biden’s fundraising (Twitter). Still, Obama won’t yet endorse Biden (CNN).
2.
Odds of No Democrats Winning More than Half of Delegates Increasing
Now at 64 percent. Sanders has a 1 in 4 chance. Biden, 1 in 8 (FiveThirtyEight). According to Nate Silver, “Buttigieg dropping out may actually increase the likelihood of a contested convention. He was polling at <15% almost everywhere on Super Tuesday, meaning he was tracking to get very few delegates, but his votes will help other candidates to get over 15% and get delegates” (Twitter). As of now, it appears Sanders is leading in all of the Super Tuesday states with the exception of North Carolina (National Review). A detailed breakdown of each candidate’s support (Economist). Regarding the strategy of Elizabeth Warren, Politico explains “Their path to victory is likely at a contested convention and not by outright winning a majority of pledged delegates, which they believe no other candidate will achieve, either” (Politico).
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3.
Steyer and Buttigieg are Out
From Jim Geraghty: Last week, Morning Consult asked Buttigieg supporters who their second choice was and found them splitting pretty evenly: Sanders 21 percent, Joe Biden 19 percent, Warren 19 percent, and Mike Bloomberg 17 percent. If Buttigieg supporters do split that way, each of those four candidates would get another 2 to 3 percent, which could put some of them above the 15 percent threshold in certain states (National Review). That leaves Biden, age 77, Bloomberg, age 78 and Sanders, 79 in September as the only candidates polling above 15 percent for the Dems (Daily Caller).
4.
Coronavirus Deaths Pass 3000, Two in U.S. Die
Few of those outside of China have perished (Bloomberg). Of the two who died in the United States, both at the same facility in Washington, one was in his 70’s and the other had “underlying health conditions” (Politico). New York state has their first confirmed case (Reuters). As you can see from this map, there are still under 100 confirmed cases in the United States, of the nearly 90,000 worldwide. And most of the worldwide victims have already recovered (Johns Hopkins).
5.
Portland Police Paralyzed by Left-Wing Violence
From the story: The protest by antifa in Portland on Feb. 8, organized to counter alleged Ku Klux Klan members who never showed up, received little media attention. And why should it? In a city where riots have become a banality, citizens and the local media have understandably become numb. But outsiders, particularly conservatives, responded in disbelief and anger online that a police department in a major American city seemingly permits left-wing political violence to become routine.
New York Magazine Contributor Mocks Mike Pence for Praying
With an accompanying picture, Thomas Williams wrote “Mike Pence and his coronavirus emergency team praying for a solution. We are so screwed” (Twitter). From Alexandria DeSanctis: Mocking people for praying is not a great look, especially when it clearly isn’t mutually exclusive with taking other steps to address the virus (Twitter). From Seth Mandel: If your visceral reaction to an image of someone praying is to vomit on twitter you need to log off (Twitter). From Robert P. George: I don’t know anything about Mr. Williams, but this photograph and his comment perfectly illustrate the profound division in our culture. It’s “obvious” to some of us that one of the things you do in a crisis is pray. It’s “obvious” to others that praying is (worse than) foolish (Twitter). From Rod Dreher: What offends these people is that government leaders like Pence are making any time at all to ask for God’s help. These people genuinely want an American laïcité. I am confident that if a Democrat were in power now, and had a White House team photographed in prayer while sorting out how to respond, nobody on the Left would bat an eye. We are not France; we’re America. Our leaders appeal to God, and make a point of being seen appealing to God (American Conservative).
7.
Child Rapist Roman Polanski Wins Best Director in Paris Awards Show
Prompting three to walk out, including actress Adele Haenel who said she was sexually abused as a child by another director (Fox News). The award apparently led to riots in France (Twitter).
8.
AOC: Religious Freedom is Bigotry
From her bizarre, ignorant speech before the House: “The only time religious freedom is invoked is in the name of bigotry and discrimination. I’m tired of it.” And then she says all people need to be treated as holy. She was arguing for government funded and controlled healthcare.
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First in #FlaPol: “Florida to declare a public health emergency in Florida after two individuals test ‘presumptively positive’ for COVID-19” via Sarah Mueller of Florida Politics — Gov. Ron DeSantis issued an executive order Sunday directing Surgeon General Scott Rivkees to declare a public health emergency in the wake of the new cases. During the public health emergency, Rivkees will lead the response and the DOH will monitor all people suspected of having the illness for a period of 14 days or until they test negative for the disease, now known as COVID-19. One of the patients is an adult Manatee resident without travel history to countries with high numbers of novel coronavirus cases. That person sought medical care and is in isolation.
Assignment editors — DeSantis, Lt. Gov. Jeanette Núñez, Surgeon General Rivkees, Deputy Secretary for Health Dr. Shamarial Roberson and Department of Education Commissioner Richard Corcoran will hold a news conference, Florida Department of Health Tampa Branch Laboratory, 3602 Spectrum Boulevard, Tampa. Later, they will be holding a second news conference, 2 p.m., Florida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County, 1350 NW 14th Street, Miami.
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At the global news level, there is increasing coronavirus pandemic.
At the national news level, there is the Democratic presidential primary.
And at the state level, there are the last two weeks of the 2020 Legislative Session.
But … do you mind if we begin today’s Sunburn with some a few pieces of uplifting news?
How about some ‘welcome to the world’ notes?
Welcome to the world:
Rocco Kolbe Joseph, son of Katie and Michael Williams, who is with the Florida Chamber Foundation. He was born on the 24th, coming in at 9 lbs. 2 oz. Dad says he is doing well, and his sisters were excited to meet him.
Nice to meet you, Rocco.
Another wonderful addition to the world is Eleanor Joyce Bowen, daughter of Amanda and Gordon Bowen. Amanda is the president of the Nancy Stephens & Associates and lobbies for the Manufacturers Association of Florida.
“I am beyond in love with this little girl,” says Mom.
As for our little girl, Ella Joyce competed in her first dance competition of the 2020 season and scored high gold in her solo performance. She also won an “emerging star” distinction, which the other dance parents tell me is a big deal. And her costume — inspired by Rapunzel — and put together by her mother won first place overall.
“I’ll add a few new paintings to my gallery …”
See, wasn’t that a better way to start the day? Now, on to Super Tuesday Corona Session …
Today’s Sunrise
There is light at the end of the tunnel, as we’ve entered the penultimate week of the 2020 Legislative Session. It also means it’s time to start making deals to move all those bills that are on hold.
Also, on today’s Sunrise:
— The Florida primary isn’t until March 17, but early voting begins today in some counties, and by Saturday, they’ll all be open for early voting.
— In the aftermath of the South Carolina primary, Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz is endorsing Joe Biden in the Florida primary. Steve Schale — who runs a pro-Biden PAC — talks about what’s next for the Democrats as they try to figure out who is the best to be Donald Trump.
— Officials at the state health department say there are now three labs in the state that can test for the coronavirus; that means faster test results.
— Magdalen Bader, a 90-year-old survivor of the Nazi death camps at Auschwitz and Bergen-Belsen, shares her story with state lawmakers as they took up a bill on Holocaust education in Florida schools.
— A couple of gems from Florida Men: One of them is looking for a new place to open a swinger’s club, police accusing another of sucking a man’s toes in the hospital.
—@SamSanders: I don’t know who needs to hear this, but you don’t have to wait for a global pandemic to wash your hands
—@Conarck: Me shopping for soaps and cleaning products last month: “Ah, this one uses less harmful chemicals.” Me now: “I’d like the soap that foams up and burns off the top layer of skin.”
—@realDonaldTrump: Pete Buttigieg is OUT. All of his SuperTuesday votes will go to Sleepy Joe Biden. Great timing. This is the REAL beginning of the Dems taking Bernie [Sanders] out of play — NO NOMINATION, AGAIN!
Tweet, tweet:
Tweet, tweet:
—@Fred_Guttenburg: Last night, I decided that the time has come for me to make a decision in the Presidential primary as my vote in Florida is only two weeks away. I have decided to endorse @JoeBiden for President. He again showed this country that he is a fighter for us.
Tweet, tweet:
—@SamStein: Joe Biden can now run as the youngest male candidate left in the field.
Tweet, tweet:
Days until
Super Tuesday — 1; Super Tuesday II — 8; Last day of 2020 Session (maybe) — 11; 11th Democratic Debate in Phoenix — 13; Florida’s presidential primary — 15; Super Tuesday III — 15; “No Time to Die” premiers — 35; Florida TaxWatch Spring Board Meeting begins — 44; TaxWatch Principal Leadership Awards — 45; Florida Chamber Summit on Prosperity and Economic Opportunity — 74; “Top Gun: Maverick” premiers — 116; Democratic National Convention in Milwaukee begins — 133; Christopher Nolan’s “Tenet” premiers — 137; 2020 Summer Olympics in Tokyo start (maybe) — 144; Florida primaries for 2020 state legislative/congressional races — 169; Republican National Convention begins in Charlotte — 175; First presidential debate in Indiana — 211; First vice presidential debate at the University of Utah — 219; Second Presidential Debate scheduled at the University of Michigan — 227; Third presidential debate at Belmont — 234; 2020 General Election — 246.
Top story
“3 Florida health department labs now testing for new virus” via Curt Anderson of The Associated Press — State health officials said in an email that labs in Tampa, Jacksonville and Miami can conduct the tests, which previously had to be sent to federal labs. The upshot is the results should be available 24 to 48 hours instead of three to five days, officials said. “The most important thing is it will bring down the average testing time,” said Deputy Health Secretary Shamarial Roberson in an interview. “It helps address this in a more efficient time.” Florida officials had been awaiting approval for one component of the test from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Roberson said. That approval came Friday.
Dateline: Tally
“Ron DeSantis wanted ‘bold,’ but lawmakers may give him less” via John Kennedy of USA TODAY — As the Legislature enters its final two weeks, the bold spirit DeSantis demanded may not translate into muscular policy. “The Governor’s things are in play … I feel confident things will start moving,” said House Speaker José Oliva. “Do they end up exactly like he would want them to be? I don’t know anyone in the Legislature who gets that.” Oliva, though, insisted that the Legislature’s crafting of DeSantis’s wish list, including a teacher pay package, occupational licensing overhaul and an E-Verify requirement to check the legal status of Florida workers, will actually meet the governor’s “bold” mandate. “I would say it’s advantage Governor,” Oliva said.
“Longtime Jimmy Patronis ally seeks top job at Florida Healthy Kids” via Christine Sexton of the News Service of Florida — Ryan West is one of three candidates being considered for the CEO position at the Florida Healthy Kids program, administered by the Florida Healthy Kids Corp., which is chaired by Stephanie Haridopolos. The corporation’s three-member executive committee interviewed the candidates in Tallahassee and subsequently ranked them in order of appeal. It appears that West’s background isn’t in health care. He has been a Florida House policy chief dealing with tourism and economic development, as well as a policy director and lead lobbyist for the Florida Chamber. He served as a top adviser to Patronis when Patronis was a member of the Florida Public Service Commission. He was chief of staff for Patronis from mid-2017 to the end of last year.
Ryan West, a former adviser for Jimmy Patronis, is looking for a top gig at Healthy Kids.
“Deadline looms: Florida lawmakers focus on budget, E-Verify” via Bobby Caina Calvan of The Associated Press — With time nearly out, the Senate Rules Committee is considering a buzzer-beating proposal that would not only force cities and counties across the state to use a federal database known as E-Verify, but it would also require private companies with at least 50 workers to use the service to check the legal status of an employee to work in the United States. The House is also rushing to finalize its own E-Verify bill. But unlike the version under consideration in the Senate, the House bill would exempt private employers. With just two weeks to go before the scheduled end of the 2020 legislative session on March 13, the prospects for any E-Verify bill remains uncertain.
Latest on the budget
Yet again, one of the Legislature’s two budget chairs is pessimistic that Sine Die will fall Friday the 13th this year as scheduled.
House Appropriations Chair Travis Cummings noted that “we are very early in allocation discussions with our Senate partners.”
Travis Cummings is concerned that Session will not end as expected — on Friday the 13th.
Last year, he envisioned an extension … it ended up being just a day. But time is running short, and major issues remain unresolved.
That would include bones of contention like VISIT FLORIDA, which the House wants to cut entirely. And significant differences on the budget to acquire environmentally sensitive land (the House proposes $20 million, less than a six of the Senate’s $125 million). And affordable housing money also, where the Senate proposes $387 million and the House just $144 million.
“No agreements have occurred in those areas,” Cummings said.
“Without allocations,” he added, “we cannot begin budget conference. There is still time, but every day is crucial at this point.”
The takeaway?
“If we don’t have allocations done in the next few days, we would have to extend Session.”
Legislation
“Gun bills fail to catch fire as time grows short in Florida 2020 Legislative Session” via James Call of the Tallahassee Democrat — Nearly three dozen proposals related to gun rights are stuck in review panels that will not meet again this year. Just three others remain viable and could make it out of committee — but because of the number of bills still waiting to be heard, they may not get introduced to the House and Senate floors. A proposal to close the so-called gun show loophole for background checks died this week, according to a leading gun-control group. Moms Demand Action conceded defeat after Senate President Bill Galvano told reporters the bill (SB 7028) would not make it to the Senate floor and was done for the year.
Bill Galvano put an end to gun-control legislation for 2020.
“Senate moves to cap THC potency for medical marijuana” via Samantha Gross of the Miami Herald — After weeks of rumors that the Florida House was pushing an amendment that would put a cap on the amount of THC in all medical marijuana at 10% potency, the proposal was finally filed in the Senate. Sen. Gayle Harrell filed the amendment to a larger health care package. The Senate Rules Committee, the bill’s last stop, will take up the amendment. Current law places a limit on the amount of THC in edible products only, which may only contain 10 mg of THC per serving and 200 mg in total. The amendment caps THC at 10% potency for patients under 21 years old, with some exceptions.
“Legislation limiting restraint and forbidding seclusion in schools heads to final committee stop” via Sarah Mueller of Florida Politics — The Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Education approved the bill (SB 1644), sponsored by Sen. Lauren Book. It’s now in the Appropriations Committee. The Senate has historically been reluctant to remove this tool from teachers, some who say it helps keep them safe when children lash out and become violent. The House companion (HB 1231) is set for a House vote. The House advanced a similar bill last year that died in the Senate. But Book argued that in some cases, children could be physically restrained in painful or demeaning ways.
Today in Capitol
The House State Affairs Committee is scheduled to meet, 9 a.m., Morris Hall, House Office Building.
The Senate Ethics and Elections Committee meets the hold confirmation hearings for several appointees, including State Board of Education member Ryan Petty and South Florida Water Management District Executive Director Drew Bartlett, 11 a.m., Room 412, Knott Building.
The Senate Rules Committee meets to consider several issues, including SB 1128 from Sen. Manny Diaz Jr., to preempt local governments from regulating vacation rental properties. Also on the agenda is SB 664 from Sen. Tom Lee, to require employers to use the E-Verify system to check the immigration status of new hires, noon, Room 110, Senate Office Building.
The House Health & Human Services Committee meets to consider HB 1143 from Rep. Tommy Gregory, which seeks to allow the state to participate in an interstate medical licensure “compact,” where physicians can qualify to practice across state lines, Morris Hall, House Office Building.
The House Select Committee on the Integrity of Research Institutions meets to hear presentations as it continues to scrutinize potential foreign interference in research in Florida. Speaker Oliva called for a select committee after the resignation of officials at Moffitt Cancer Center who were involving work in China, 4 p.m., Room 404, House Office Building.
The House Rules Committee meets to set the special-order calendar, 5:30 p.m., room 404 House Office Building.
The Senate Special Order Calendar Group meets to set up the special-order calendar, 15 minutes after the Rules Committee meeting, Room 401, Senate Office Building.
Happeningtoday — Opponents of legislative proposals that preempt local governments to regulate vacation rental properties will hold a rally, 10:30 a.m., steps of the Old Capitol.
News by the numbers
Takeaways from S.C.
South Carolina provided Joe Biden with a lifeline he desperately needed, propelled by the power of the black vote, but his victory does not necessarily provide clarity to the race.
Both Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Amy Klobuchar finished well behind Biden, but they are still planning to compete in Super Tuesday states. They could draw just enough of the vote to deny Biden the numbers he needs to make a case for a one-on-one competition with Sen. Bernie Sanders.
Joe Biden gets a much-needed lifeline in South Carolina.
And if they don’t, the larger question for Biden is how he fares against Mike Bloomberg, who has spent more than $500 million and will be on the ballot for the first time Tuesday.
Other takeaways from the South Carolina primary:
— Biden must broaden his appeal —
The win in South Carolina was the first primary victory for Biden in his three presidential campaigns. Super Tuesday will prove whether it signals a resurgence, where party leaders try to coalesce around him, or a mirage. Former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe endorsed Biden after Saturday’s results. Biden demonstrated his oft-stated appeal to black voters, who historically play a decisive role in determining the Democratic nominee. Now he will have to show that he can broaden that appeal to college-educated suburban women who have been the fulcrum for Democrats in recent elections.
— Sanders hopes second is a blip —
For one brief moment after his commanding Nevada win, Sanders thought he could win South Carolina. Instead, he showed the limits of his progressive appeal in the South. But you can win the Democratic nomination without winning the South, and Sanders wants to show how on Super Tuesday. He has a commanding lead in polls for the biggest prize on the map, California, and is competitive in every state. Sanders’ schedule shows his confidence — he has campaigned in Massachusetts and will travel to Minnesota on Sunday and Monday, trying to win the home states of rivals Warren and Klobuchar.
— Check, please —
At some point in the nominating process, they stop handing out participation trophies. Klobuchar and Sen. Elizabeth Warren have yet to prove they can win with diverse coalitions of the Democratic Party. Now they will be under varying degrees of pressure to consider dropping out. Among the three, Warren has the most money and organization, but not necessarily the better rationale for staying in the race given the strength of Sanders, the leading progressive. None has shown any notable appeal to African American voters, and they do not have the time or the resources to focus their campaigns more narrowly with an eye on just winning some delegates to maintain leverage.
— Will Bloomberg’s money equal results? —
Bloomberg hasn’t been a factor yet in the early states — he sat them out in favor of an audacious strategy that he could fill the moderate lane if Biden faltered, by spending hundreds of millions on ads in Super Tuesday states. It’s a theory of the case that’s never happened at this level of presidential politics. And it is about to be tested. If Bloomberg doesn’t prevail and merely fragments the moderate vote, that will be to Sanders’ benefit.
— With one voice, for once —
For once, self-described moderate and conservative Democrats spoke with something resembling a unified voice. This group has consistently been the majority of voters in previous contests, only to dilute their vote by splitting it among candidates. But in South Carolina, preliminary results from AP VoteCast found a substantial share of moderate and conservative voters — more than half — went for Biden. No more than 1 in 10 backed Buttigieg or Klobuchar. Still, the survey also hints at the possibility of Sanders, who has dominated among liberals, having some crossover appeal. Among moderates and conservatives, 14% voted for the self-described socialist.
Sunshine State primary
Voters are voting — According to the Florida Division of Elections, as of Sunday afternoon, Supervisors of Elections have 1,004,320 Republican vote-by-mail ballots; 499,269 have returned, 499,315 are outstanding, and 5,736 are unsent. As for Democrats, supervisors have a total of 1,107,608 vote-by-mail ballots; 314,310 have returned, 784,545 are outstanding, and 8,753 are unsent. With those categorized “Other,” 244,891 vote-by-mail ballots, 11,357 have returned, 36,303 are outstanding, and 197,231 are unsent.
“What Cuba controversy? How Sanders’ Florida campaign is ignoring the ‘noise’” via David Smiley of the Miami Herald — The controversy won’t disrupt a strategy that has been building since his failed 2016 presidential campaign. “Don’t listen to the polls. Don’t feed the trolls,” Sanders’ Florida field director, Sanjay Patel, tells the standing-room-only crowd. After helping Sanders in the first three primaries of the Democratic presidential race, the Florida volunteers have turned their focus on their home state, starting with the courtship of some 800,000 voters still sitting on their mail ballots. They are Sanders’ not-so-secret weapon, unleashed upon one of the biggest prizes in the presidential primary calendar with a buoyancy that defies their aggressive online “Bernie Bros” alter egos. And they are more abundant in number than in 2016 and better organized.
“Why Joe Biden is my choice for President’” via U.S. Debbie Wasserman Schultz for the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — This choice was easy for me because I saw that knowledge and passion up close as a Member of Congress, through Vice President Biden’s devotion to making sure that the Obama Administration’s legacy would be achieving big things that made a difference in Americans’ quality-of-life. Joe not only has the fire inside to defeat a bully like Trump, he can best unite that diverse coalition of working families that we need at the polls to hold the U.S. House, and take a real shot at the Senate. Where Trump has alienated our global allies and weakened America on the international stage, Biden will restore this nation’s shredded reputation and reestablish our respect, dignity and trust.
Assignment editors — Wasserman Schultz will hold a Biden campaign organizing event, 10 a.m., Broward Teachers Union, 6000 N. University Drive Tamarac.
“Bloomberg St. Pete office defaced with signs calling him a ‘racist’ and ‘sexual predator’” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — The campaign snapped photos of the office Sunday morning showing two signs placed on the exterior windows of the office calling Bloomberg a racist and a sexual predator. “This is the latest in a string of attacks against Bloomberg 2020 offices around the country that need to end. While the goal may be to intimidate our volunteers and employees from supporting Mike and getting out the vote, it’s not working,” said Bloomberg campaign Florida State Director Scott Kosanovich. “Acts like this run opposite to our campaign. Mike Bloomberg is running for president to unite our country and party so that we can defeat Donald Trump. We will continue to carry Mike’s message and progressive vision for a better America to all of Florida.”
Mike Bloomberg’s St. Pete campaign office is defaced.
“Orlando lawmakers split on which Democrat is best to take on Donald Trump” via Ryan Gillespie and Steven Lemongello of the Orlando Sentinel — So far, I-4 corridor politicians have been lining up behind mostly moderate candidates like former Biden and Bloomberg. However, strong grassroots enthusiasm is still present for Sanders. Still, two of the biggest fish are still up for grabs and have yet to endorse a candidate: U.S. Rep Val Demings, whose nationwide profile skyrocketed after serving as an impeachment manager, and Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer, who have both said they plan to endorse before the March 17 primary. Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings isn’t planning on endorsing yet.
“Getting the jump on super Tuesday: Floridians begin voting in-person Monday” via David Smiley of the Miami Herald — Duval, Hillsborough, Orange, Monroe and Miami-Dade counties are among the jurisdictions choosing to open early voting centers Monday, the earliest date the state allows on-location voting ahead of its March 17 primary. Broward and Palm Beach counties open their early voting centers on March 7. The last day of early voting across the state is March 15. Florida’s primary election is closed, meaning only Republicans and Democrats can vote for President.
More 2020
“Pete Buttigieg ending his presidential campaign” via Thomas Beaumont, Meg Kinnard and Steve Peoples of The Associated Press — The decision came just a day after one of Buttigieg’s leading rivals, former Vice President Biden, scored a resounding victory in South Carolina that sparked new pressure on the party’s moderate wing to coalesce behind Biden. Buttigieg had been critical of Biden, charging that the 77-year-old lifelong politician was out of step with today’s politics. But his criticism had shifted in recent days more toward front-runner Sanders, a polarizing progressive who was benefiting from the sheer number of candidates dividing up the moderate vote. Buttigieg, the first openly gay candidate to seriously contend for the presidency, tried to make the case that his party thrived when it embraced candidates who offered generational change.
Pete Buttigieg bids farewell to the campaign trail.
“Empty stadiums and no more selfie lines? Coronavirus becomes 2020 X-factor.” via David Siders of POLITICO — Fears of coronavirus are prompting soccer teams to play in empty stadiums in Italy. If the virus spreads, it’s not hard to imagine the presidential campaign looking much the same. Think sickly field organizers, restrictions on staff travel (candidates can charter their own planes), and rallies no one wants to attend. Not to mention the tens of thousands of people set to descend on Milwaukee, Wis. and Charlotte, N.C. this summer for the party conventions. “There’s been nothing like this,” said Hank Sheinkopf, a longtime Democratic strategist based in New York.
“Eighteen days that resuscitated Joe Biden’s nearly five-decade career” via Matt Viser and Cleve Wootson of The Washington Post — Over the course of the Nevada caucuses and the South Carolina primary, Biden would streamline his campaign. He brought in reinforcements, and his campaign aides worked to calm skittish donors. But perhaps most important, those 18 days saw Biden find firmer footing as a candidate. He reveled in a state he had always considered like home. He received blunt advice from his friends and took it. He adopted a stiffer edge on two debate stages. Even rival campaigns noticed that he was more focused. A grace note came Wednesday when a nationally televised CNN town hall showcased to the state the empathy-on-his-sleeve candidate who forges emotional connections with voters better than any other in the race.
“Biden bundlers see surge of pledges from new big-money donors after he wins South Carolina” via Brian Schwartz of CNBC — Fundraisers looking to help Biden secure resources for Tuesday, when 14 states hold primaries, got what they were looking for in the buildup to South Carolina and throughout Saturday. Biden’s bundlers lured donors who had been backing Sen. Klobuchar and former South Bend Mayor Buttigieg. They also grabbed support from donors who had been uncommitted, these people added. “Money has been pouring in. And now it will really pour. Voters now understand that a vote for anyone other than Biden is a vote for Bernie Sanders,” Florida-based businessman John Morgan, a Biden bundler, told CNBC after his candidate’s big win. “I have been inundated with emails today.”
“Ad spending barrels past $1 billion mark as Bloomberg overwhelms airwaves” via Fredrecka Schouten of CNN — Bloomberg accounts for more than half of all the spending, as he has plowed more than $501 million into television, radio and digital advertising since entering the race four months ago, according to data from Kantar Media’s Campaign Media Analysis Group. That eclipses the $306.6 million President Barack Obama spent on advertising during the full two-year cycle leading up to the 2012 election. “It’s just an astonishing number of ads,” said Erika Franklin Fowler, who codirects the Wesleyan Media Project, which tracks political advertising. “We’ve never seen anything like this before — not just the scale but in such a short window.”
“Making pitch to voters, Bloomberg peddles his experience in a crisis” via Jeremy Peters and Maggie Haberman of The New York Times — With a sharpened speech on the campaign trail and a new three-minute television commercial set to air nationwide on Sunday night, Mr. Bloomberg is emphasizing what he sees as his biggest selling point — managing the unexpected, unwieldy problems that require a large-scale mobilization of resources and leadership that has been tested in moments of crisis. He attempts to assure Americans he has the gravitas and skill to lead while also taking a swipe at Trump.
“Sanders raises $46 million in February” via Sean Sullivan of The Washington Post — The cash infusion came from 2.2 million individual donations, including more than 350,000 people who gave to the Sanders campaign for the first time, officials said. The campaign said it raised $4.5 million on Saturday alone. When Obama was running for office in 2008, he raised $55 million over the same period. For Sanders, who has built the most imposing online fundraising operation in the Democratic field this cycle, the sum marks a significant increase from the $25 million it collected in January. Since the start of his second run for president last February, his campaign has raised more than $167 million, his campaign said.
“Miranda’s rebellion” via Stephanie McCrummen of The Washington Post — Miranda Murphey is 39, a high school English teacher with a Ph.D. and part of a voting demographic whose rebellion could upend the political map of the country: white suburban women in the South, whose loyalty Trump will need to remain in power. It is the kind of loyalty that has always been expected of white Southern women. In all the decades that followed, it has been the votes of white Southern women that have defined and shored up the modern Republican Party. Then came Trump, who Miranda found so morally repugnant that for the first time in her voting life, she wrote in the name of the Libertarian Party candidate.
Trump’s coronavirus crisis
Moments before Trump took the podium to calm a worried nation about the mounting coronavirus crisis, he received a critical piece of news, according to The Washington Post: “The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had identified in California the first U.S. case of the illness not tied to foreign travel, a sign that the virus’s spread in the United States was likely to explode.”
But during the news conference — intended to bring transparency to the situation — Trump made no mention of the California case, saying instead that the virus might “soon be eradicated.”
Donald Trump did not name a coronavirus czar because he has trouble trusting outsiders.
“And again, when you have 15 people — and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero,” he said. “That’s a pretty good job we’ve done.”
The news conference illustrated the administration’s “often misleading” effort to control both the virus and political fallout of the potential pandemic, which caused financial market sellouts, disruption of global supply chains, and about 3,000 deaths — including one in California announced Saturday.
Several administration officials, former White House aides, lawmakers, and public health experts, told The Post that the White House was “scrambling to gain control of a rudderless response defined by bureaucratic infighting, confusion and misinformation.”
By the time Trump returned from an India trip, he was furious over what he considered the “alarmist response” from his administration and his unfair treatment by the media. The President was looking to control the narrative and quickly scheduled the White House news conference for Wednesday evening.
“I’m going to be announcing — exactly right now — that I’m going to be putting our Vice President, Mike Pence, in charge,” Trump said at the news event. “And Mike will be working with the professionals, doctors, and everybody else that’s working. The team is brilliant.”
What Trump didn’t do — unlike his predecessors — was to name a single point person, a “czar,” to deal with the health emergency. Trump was reluctant to bring in somebody from the outside, as some would think the administration itself failed to adequately address the crisis. He also wondered if such a person would be loyal to him.
More on COVID-19
“Deepening rout in commodities stokes fears about world economy” via Amrith Ramkumar of The Wall Street Journal — Raw materials sensitive to shifts in global growth have been among the hardest hit investments since the coronavirus began spreading around the globe and hurting travel and corporate activity. Oil prices have fallen 32% in less than two months, and last week recorded their worst week since the financial crisis. Industrial metals from copper to aluminum are also taking a beating. The broad sell-off is a major concern for some analysts because commodity prices can provide a real-time indicator of activity in the world economy. The current slide reflects slumping demand and bloated inventories, a recipe for excess supply.
“For American military, coronavirus is an enemy to be fought” via Dave Philipps of The New York Times — The coronavirus threat may still seem distant to much of civilian America, but it has been a clear and present danger for the military. The United States has more than 75,000 troops stationed in countries that are experiencing outbreaks, including South Korea, Japan, Italy and Bahrain. Several American bases sit next to cities where the virus is spreading, and they are intertwined with local communities, employing numerous civilian workers and housing many troops off base. A civilian worker at another Army post in South Korea tested positive. The nation’s first resort is often to call on the military’s capabilities and resources, as it did when infected Americans evacuated from a cruise ship in Japan were quarantined on two air bases.
“Lab for coronavirus test kits may have been contaminated” via Jonathan Swan and Caitlin Owens of Axios — A top federal scientist sounded the alarm about what he feared was contamination in an Atlanta lab where the government made test kits for the coronavirus, according to sources. The Trump administration has ordered an independent investigation of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention lab, and the manufacturing of the virus test kits have moved. At the time the administration is under scrutiny for its early preparations for the virus, the potential problems at the lab became a top internal priority for some officials. But the Trump administration did not talk publicly about the Food and Drug Administration’s specific concerns about the Atlanta lab. Senior officials are still not saying exactly what the FDA regulator found at the Atlanta lab.
Some coronavirus test kits shipped around the U.S. are flawed, CDC claims. Image via AP.
“Quarantines won’t save us from coronavirus” via Maggie Koerth of FiveThirtyEight.com — “There are reasons to be skeptical of the efficacy of quarantine, for respiratory diseases [like coronavirus] in particular,” said Wendy Parmet, director of the Center for Health Policy and Law at Northeastern University Law School. Quarantine is one of the oldest defenses societies have had against disease, but it’s not a surefire way to stop a disease from spreading and shouldn’t be any government’s knee-jerk response. In fact, in some circumstances, a quarantine could actually make things worse. When it comes to quarantines, there isn’t much to show that they’re a good idea. But we can look at history and see that quarantines have not been universally effective, Parmet said. “It’s very hard to make a quarantine that isn’t leaky,” she told me.
“Kept at the hospital on coronavirus fears, now facing large medical bills” via Sarah Kliff of The New York Times — Frank Wucinski and his 3-year-old daughter, Annabel, are among the dozens of Americans the government has flown back to the country from Wuhan, China, and put under quarantine to check for signs of coronavirus. Now they are hit with surprise medical bills related to government-mandated actions. The first stop for Wucinski and Annabel was a two-week quarantine at Marine Corps Station Miramar near San Diego. They had two mandatory stays in an isolation unit at a nearby children’s hospital, after an official heard Annabel coughing. “I assumed it was all being paid for,” Wucinski said. “We didn’t have a choice. When the bills showed up, it was just a pit in my stomach, like, ‘How do I pay for this?’”
“Bracing for coronavirus, cash-strapped rural hospitals buy masks from hardware stores” via Christopher Rowland of The Washington Post — Rural hospitals could bear the early brunt. They sit furthest from international airports and urban hubs where outbreaks are more likely, but they are at the tail end of supply chains for vital medical goods such as protective masks and gowns. In addition to preparing for victims and the demands of protecting health care workers from infection, fragile hospital networks also are readying for disruptions to the bottom line. If the spreading coronavirus puts a heavy demand on health systems, billable work that keeps revenue flowing weekly to hospitals small and large will be curtailed, executives said. Rural facilities, far from medical warehouses, are feeling the effects first as the health systems have begun rationing certain supplies.
“Clorox bleach beats 99% of germs — and stocks?” via Tara Lachapelle of Bloomberg — The chlorine-based liquid cleaner is getting a rare opportunity to shine. Unfortunately, it’s due to the coronavirus scare. Shares of Clorox Co., which is best known for its bleach and disinfectant products, climbed 2.5% to an all-time high this week — and that’s as most of the S&P 500 index fell. In fact, Clorox’s gains have topped all but two other members of the U.S. market benchmark: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. and Gilead Sciences Inc. The two drugmakers are working to develop treatments to combat the illness. Until they do, bleach, it seems, may be one of our best hopes.
“Hollywood studios assembling coronavirus strategy teams” via Brent Lang of Variety — Studios have already canceled plans for China premieres for films such as Disney’s “Mulan” and the James Bond adventure “No Time to Die” — moves that could cost those movies tens of millions in box office revenue. Sony’s “Bloodsport” was also expected to screen in China, but that release date remains up in the air. Most of these films hadn’t gotten the official word from Chinese authorities that they would be allowed to screen in the country, but there’s little chance that will come any time soon, as movie theaters in China remain closed.
“Coronavirus case confirmed in Dominican Republic, putting vulnerable Caribbean at risk” via Jim Wyss and Jacqueline Charles of the Miami Herald — Authorities in the Dominican Republic confirmed that an Italian national was checked into a Santo Domingo hospital over the weekend. A French tourist is also under observation. The arrival of the coronavirus in the Dominican Republic — a Caribbean nation of 11 million that shares a border with Haiti and has frequent sea and air connections to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Eastern Seaboard — opens up a new front in the fight to contain the virus. Haiti, trapped in a political vacuum and staggering under a broken health care system, is particularly susceptible to the spread of communicable diseases.
Coronavirus-FL
“Education official issues a memo on coronavirus” via the News Service of Florida — Florida Division of Public Schools Chancellor Jacob Oliva told school district superintendents, administrators, and teachers to turn to the state Department of Health for information about the state’s efforts to contain the coronavirus. Oliva stressed in a two-page memorandum that “there are no confirmed cases” in Florida of the virus, which began in China and is known as COVID-19. “However, planning and preparing is always important, and the Florida Department of Education (FDOE) understands that concerns about health and safety are paramount for all education communities,” Oliva wrote.
“Florida Hospital Association takes steps to reduce the spread of coronavirus” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — “Florida’s hospital’s plan, prepare and drill for epidemiologic situations as part of their mission to safeguard the health of the public. Infectious disease response is part of an all-hazards plan hospitals are required to maintain to address disease outbreaks like H1N1, Ebola, Zika and now, coronavirus,” the association wrote in a statement. Under its plans, Florida Hospital Association members will instruct patients when scheduling appointments to call ahead if they or persons accompanying them have symptoms of respiratory infection including a cough, runny nose, or fever and to take appropriate preventive actions to mitigate potential spread. Hospitals will also take proper steps to maintain respiratory hygiene by encouraging cough etiquette and hygiene and triage throughout a potentially infected patient’s visit.
”Local colleges suspend travel amid coronavirus worries” via Gary White of the Lakeland Ledger — Southeastern University in Lakeland canceled a study-abroad trip to China soon after news emerged about the infectious disease. About eight students had signed up for that trip, school spokeswoman Dana Davis said. Also, Southeastern called off a planned mission trip to Taiwan for eight students in the College of Education, Davis said. Southeastern students make dozens of trips a year to do humanitarian work in various countries, she said, and the university will find another mission trip for the students to join. Coronavirus, officially called COVID-19, first emerged in Wuhan City, China, in late December. It has since been reported in dozens of other countries, including the United States.
“Should you cancel that cruise you bought? Don’t panic. You don’t have many choices anyway.” via Ron Hurtibise of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Don’t be too hard on yourself. When you decided a year ago to spend hundreds, if not thousands, of dollars on a cruise, you had no way of knowing that coronavirus would become such a major health concern. And you certainly couldn’t have foreseen the horror story that unfolded aboard Princess Cruises’ Diamond Princess ship. But you’ve got these tickets now, and you’re wondering whether you should go as planned. Most cruisers booked on voyages to Asian countries hit hard by the virus already have their answer — in February, their cruise lines canceled those trips and refunded their money. So far, the cruise lines aren’t canceling voyages to other destinations, including the Caribbean, Alaska and Europe.
D.C. matters
“Trump officials discuss tax cuts, other emergency measures in hopes of tackling coronavirus fallout” via Jeff Stein and Ashley Parker of The Washington Post — Trump administration officials are holding preliminary conversations about economic responses to the coronavirus, as the stock market fell sharply again on Friday amid international fears about the outbreak. Among the options being considered are pursuing a targeted tax cut package. They have also discussed whether the White House should lean even harder on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, though the central bank on Friday afternoon said it would step in if necessary. Pence’s office is involved in the discussion of possible responses.
“Mick Mulvaney alleges U.S. media is focusing on coronavirus to hurt Trump, advises turning off TV” via Reuters — “The reason you’re seeing so much attention to it today is that they think this is going to be what brings down the President. That’s what this is all about,” Mulvaney said at a meeting of the Conservative Political Action Conference, where Republican Party superstars and right-wing media personalities gather each year. “I got a note today from a reporter saying: ‘What are you going to do today to calm the markets?’ I’m like, really, what I might do today to calm the markets is tell people to turn off their televisions for 24 hours,” he added.
Mick Mulvaney tells Americans to turn off the TV. Image via AP.
“Donna Shalala joins Republicans in walking out of coronavirus meeting amid Trump criticism” via Mark Bergin of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Rosa DeLauro of Connecticut started the briefing with her claims that the administration was disorganized and lacked urgency in combating the coronavirus, lawmakers said. Shalala told POLITICO the briefing was not the right setting for DeLauro’s criticism. “No one wanted to hear that, either the Democrats or Republicans,” Shalala said. “We just wanted to hear the substance.” Shalala told the Blaze that DeLauro’s comments “missed the purpose of the meeting.”
“Presidential aspirations? Matt Gaetz seems content as Northwest Florida’s Congressman” via Tom McLaughlin of the NWF Daily News — Gaetz isn’t planning a run for the presidency and doesn’t seem interested in replacing Pence as Vice President. “I am a huge fan of the Vice President and would never consider replacing him,” he responded when the question was posed. “Nobody is considering replacing him.” Truth be told, Matthew Louis Gaetz seems to like where he’s at, what he’s doing and the folks he represents in Florida’s First Congressional District. “I have the best bosses in the world,” he told a group in DeFuniak Springs on a recent Saturday at an “Open Gaetz” event. “I represent the 700,000 people in Northwest Florida. I wouldn’t trade all of you for anything.”
“Greg Steube says impeachment was bad for the country, but it may have been good for him” via Zac Anderson the Sarasota Herald-Tribune — On the day the U.S. House voted to impeach Trump, U.S. Rep. Greg Steube took to the floor to denounce the “impeachment charade.” Moments later, he went on Fox News to blast impeachment and then did the same on Fox Business. The media appearances were among roughly 69 national TV interviews that Steube has done over the last year, many of them touching on impeachment. Steube argues that impeachment has been terrible for the nation, but it may have been good for his political career. The freshman lawmaker and ardent Trump supporter is emerging from the impeachment drama as a polished public defender of the President.
Statewide
“Climate change no longer dirty words for Florida’s GOP, but how green will Trump go?” Via Kimberly Miller of the Palm Beach Post — In Washington, congressional members of the Sunshine State GOP have acknowledged climate change in efforts to address impacts of a warming world, including harmful algae blooms and sea-level rise. But the embrace of a planet-friendly climate doctrine puts them at odds with Trump, who needs Florida’s 29 electoral votes come November. While Trump is lauded for his $250 million earmarks for Everglades restoration this year, he has not conceded the role burning fossil fuels play in turning up the heat on Earth. Critics of Florida’s Republican turnaround on climate change complain the strides are superficial, lacking the guts to tackle real issues of finding sustainable ways to reach carbon neutrality. Environmental optimists said they are thankful for baby steps.
Florida Republicans are finally embracing the idea of climate change. Image via AP.
Assignment editors — The Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission will meet to get public feedback on a draft rule that would prohibit the importation or possession of deer carcasses or certain parts of deer from outside the state, 6 p.m., Embassy Suites, 4350 PGA Blvd., Palm Beach Gardens.
“Florida’s voucher programs: Evidence of academic success is limited” via Leslie Postal and Annie Martin of the Orlando Sentinel — The more than 167,000 Florida students now using state scholarships to pay private school tuition — at an annual total cost of more than $1 billion — do not take the same standardized tests as their public school counterparts. And the results of the tests they do take are not public, nor are their private schools’ graduation rates. That means there is little information available on scholarship students’ outcomes and few academic studies to mine for information on their progress. Still, many parents seem to be pleased with Florida’s school voucher programs, which provide scholarships to students from low-income families and those with disabilities.
“Florida’s Turnpike moving forward with $1 billion plan to widen to four lanes each way” via Joshua Solomon of TCPalm — The Florida Department of Transportation is looking for public input on its plans across about 36 miles, which can still vary, particularly around alterations to current interchanges and proposed interchanges at Crosstown Parkway, Midway Road and an Interstate 95 exchange near Bridge Road. The comment period runs through March 16. The Martin County Commission plans to hear a presentation at 10 a.m. Tuesday. A formal public meeting is scheduled 5:30 p.m. Thursday at the Port St. Lucie Civic Center. “I feel confident we’re giving the public a lot of opportunity to give us feedback,” said Victoria Williams, FDOT liaison for the turnpike in South Florida.
“State takes hit on attorney fees in gambling case” via Dara Kam of the News Service of Florida — An appeals court sided with pari-mutuel cardroom operators in a challenge over attorney fees, in a decision that could leave the state on the hook for more money in future consolidated legal cases. The 2nd District Court of Appeal’s ruling overturned a decision in a dispute stemming from a proposed state rule dealing with controversial “designated player” card games. Administrative Law Judge E. Gary Early in 2017 sided with pari-mutuels in various parts of the state in finding that Florida officials were wrong to do away with a rule governing designated player games without replacing the regulations.
Earnings
“Metz Husband & Daughton posts $4.6M in 2019 earnings” via Florida Politics — Metz Husband & Daughton handed a total of 144 lobbying contracts last year. Of those, 73 sought legislative lobbying work from MHD. Those clients accounted for an estimated $3.25 million in revenue for the firm. The balance retained MHD for executive lobbying. Those clients made up $1.4 million of the firm’s overall haul. Lobbying firms report their pay in ranges covering $10,000 increments. Florida Politics uses the middle number of each range to estimate total revenue. Amscot Financial was Metz Husband & Daughton’s top client on the lobbying side of the ledger. The Tampa-based consumer financial services company paid Metz an estimated median of $204,000 for legislative lobbying services in 2019.
“Meenan chalks up $725K in 2019 pay” via Florida Politics — The firm had a total of 69 clients last year. Out of those, 29 retained the firm for legislative lobbying services. Another 40 clients hired Meenan to lobby the Governor and Cabinet. Lobbying firms report their pay in ranges covering $10,000 increments. Florida Politics uses the middle number of each range to estimate total revenue. On the legislative side of the ledger, Meenan pulled in $340,000 for the year. Tower Hill Insurance Group topped Meenan’s client list by paying the firm $45,000 last year. Tower Hill is based in Gainesville and is one of Florida’s largest residential property insurance companies.
The trail
“DeSantis committee continues piling up cash” via the News Service of Florida — DeSantis’ political committee has received at least $674,000 in contributions in February. The Friends of Ron DeSantis committee posted updated finance information on its website this week and is required to submit an official report to the state Division of Elections by a March 10 deadline. The February haul has come after the committee raised a total of nearly $3.5 million in October, November, December and January. Among the contributions in February have been $200,000 from Orlando businessman Craig Mateer; $50,000 from a PAC linked to Associated Industries of Florida; and $50,000 from the Tampa-based company iGas USA, Inc., according to the website.
Ron DeSantis’ committee is raking in more reelection cash.
“Jeff Hinkle makes HD 4 ballot by petition” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics — The Okaloosa Republican Party Chair announced he’d collected enough petition signatures to be certified for the ballot by petition. Hinkle said his connections as county GOP chair helped his campaign build the grassroots support needed for a successful petition drive. The 1,186 verified signatures will spare the Hinkle campaign from cutting a check to make the ballot. “We are raising money and have the most on hand. Now we are hitting enough doors each week to hit every voter twice before Election Day. Qualifying for the ballot by meeting voters, not sending out slick mailers, is what will lay the groundwork to win this Election,” Hinkle said.
Local
“Sheriff pays lobbyists $395 an hour to avoid paying millions to man shot by deputy” via Skyler Swisher of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — The Palm Beach County Sheriff’s Office is paying a team of Tallahassee lobbyists $395 an hour to try to minimize the payout to Dontrell Stephens, an unarmed man who was shot and paralyzed by a deputy in 2013. One of their strategies: Dredge up Stephens’ criminal past and social media posts before lawmakers as a reason why he doesn’t deserve $22.4 million awarded to him by a federal jury. The Sheriff’s Office has spent more than $150,000 in lobbyist fees in addition to $500,000 in legal fees and costs on the case, according to records provided by PBSO and Stephens’ lawyer.
Palm Beach County Sheriff’s Office hired top-notch lobbyists to fight the compensation for Dontrell Stephens.
“Three contract awards failed to follow JEA code, review finds” via David Bauerlein of the Florida Times-Union — A JEA executive and an Office of General Counsel attorney approved no-bid contracts worth millions of dollars to outside consulting firms without going through the agency’s public procurement process. The approvals enabled the Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman law firm, which was providing legal services to JEA, to hire the consulting firms under the umbrella of Pillsbury’s legal contract. A half-year later, a review by the city Office of General Counsel has determined that three of the firms hired through the Pillsbury contract should have gone through the competitive procurement process required by JEA’s code.
“Another football championship coming to Miami. County paying millions for college game” via Martin Vassolo and Douglas Hanks of the Miami Herald — And like the Super Bowl, it’s drawing interest from city governments willing to swap taxpayer money and waive rental fees for the promise of increased hotel room rates and media exposure. Miami-Dade County plans to contribute $4 million cash over the next two years for the 2021 College Football Playoff National Championship game — the same payout it made for the Super Bowl this year, according to the county budget office. The Miami Beach City Commission is poised to approve a $1.6 million sponsorship deal to host events related to the game between top NCAA teams, which will be played at Hard Rock Stadium on Jan. 11. The Hard Rock last hosted a national championship college game in 2013.
“The cutthroat world of lawn care on Palm Beach” via Jane Musgrave of the Palm Beach Post — For more than 20 years, Luis Rojo was one of the top workers for a lawn service that has carved out a profitable niche in Palm Beach. Then, roughly six years ago, Rojo and company owner Scott Lewis had a falling out. What is indisputable is that Rojo has been punished severely in the legal battle that was spawned by the breakup. “We inherited Scott Lewis, but I kept him because of Luis,” said Eric Anken, facilities manager for Sean Healey’s Affiliated Managers Group. As a businessman, Anken said he understands the need for noncompete agreements that are common in the cutthroat world of lawn care in Palm Beach. “But anything beyond a year is ridiculous,” Anken said.
Top opinion
“Guy Harvey: A ‘yes’ vote on shark fin ban is a vote for Florida jobs” via Florida Politics — Florida’s shark-based tourism means over $220,000,000 per year to our state. What does that $220 million mean? It means thousands of good jobs. Finning a shark is the unethical and illegal practice of catching sharks en masse, taking only their fins, and often sending the remaining carcasses to the bottom of the ocean. Shark finning is already illegal, yet Florida leads the nation in the transport of shark fins due to a glaring loophole. A bill (SB 680 and HB 401) will close that shark-finning loophole. A “yes” vote for banning the sale of fins is not just good science and the correct moral thing to do, it is also a fantastic thing for Florida’s workforce.
Opinions
“Trump isn’t easing coronavirus forebodings” via Peggy Noonan for The Wall Street Journal — Early signs are not encouraging. The messaging early this week was childish — everything’s under control, everything’s fine. The President’s news conference was not reassuring. Stock market down? “I think the financial markets are very upset when they look at the Democratic candidates standing on that stage making fools out of themselves.” “The risk to the American people remains very low.” “Whatever happens, we’re totally prepared.” “There’s no reason to panic because we have done so good.” It was inadequate to the task. I wonder if the president understands what jeopardy he’s in, how delicate even strong economies are, and how provisional good fortune is.
“Jack Payne: Preventing the next coronavirus in Florida” via Florida Politics — The search is on in Florida for the next zoonotic disease like coronavirus. There may be no place quite like Florida for the potential for disease to jump from animal to human. Public health risks must be addressed through publicly funded research. With so much at stake, we need public scientists as the early detection corps whose prevention work can stave off future quarantines, panic, public health threats, and economic losses. The University of Florida’s Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, where Jeong and Wisely work, is particularly well suited to collaborate on this as an agriculture and natural resources organization with a wildlife department. We could be saving lives. At the very least, we’re saving livelihoods.
“Christian Ulvert: Joe Biden has fought for change and delivered” via Florida Politics — It’s easy to call for change. Where the real change comes though, is when people like Biden are willing to step out and act. Biden did that in 2012 in what is now seen as a defining moment in the gay rights movement. He called for swift recognition of marriage equality with all the federal rights that come with it. It was an unforgettable moment because I knew then that with Biden stepping out boldly he would take the first wrecking ball to the walls of inequality and injustice. That was the beginning of a new journey for LGBT families for one simple reason — change was on the horizon.
“If Florida domestic-violence agency’s greed brings criminal charges, great!” via the Miami Herald editorial board — Far from being an alliance for combined action in the public interest, Florida Coalition Against Domestic Violence (FCADV) has always been a dictatorship ruled with an iron fist by Tiffany Carr. As far back as 2005, DCF and its Domestic Violence Program office director, Trula Motta, were under Carr’s thumb. Honest public servants employed as DCF contract managers sounded the alarm, complaining about Carr’s cozy relationship with Motta. The DCF whistleblowers felt like they “work for Tiffany Carr and Ms. Motta serves at the pleasure of Ms. Carr.” The IG and law enforcement should follow this case where it leads and make every effort to hold accountable anyone who violated the public trust, including — and especially — Carr.
Instagram of the day
Happy birthday
Celebrating today are Sen. Manny Diaz, Nick Alvarez, Karen Diebel, and James Miller of the Florida League of Cities. Happy birthday belatedly to David Christian of AdventHealth, former U.S. Rep. Carlos Curbelo, Ralph Lair, Adrianna Sekula, Sally West, and Stephanie Grutman Zauder of Ballard Partners.
🇮🇱 Good Monday morning. The polls are open in Israel, where Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu enters his third election in 10 months with momentum — and with his corruption trial looming just two weeks after the vote. Go deeper.
Today’s Smart Brevity™ count:1,289 words … 5 minutes.
1 big thing: Inside the Bernie economy
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
The economy according to Bernie Sanders looks unlike anything any politician this close to the presidency has ever put forth before, Axios Markets editor Dion Rabouin writes.
It’s a rethinking of the entire American economic model.
What it means: To understand the Bernie economy — his plans for free health care, college tuition and a government-guaranteed job for every American — it helps to view it through the lens of modern monetary theory, or MMT.
While Sanders has not labeled himself an acolyte of MMT, the theory helps explain the unorthodox framework of his economic policy.
MMT argues that the way we have viewed government policy — that it’s like a household with a fixed capacity for earning and spending — is wrong.
The question is not, “How much will a new program or policy add to the deficit?” but “Can a policy be implemented without significantly raising inflation?”
If the answer is yes, then whether it adds $50 billion or $50 trillion to the deficit is largely irrelevant because the U.S. government can pay off its debt at any time by printing more dollars and handing those out to its creditors.
A Sanders adviser is Stephanie Kelton, an economics professor at Stony Brook University and MMT’s best-known advocate. She told Axios:
“We need to make budgets centered around our real resource capacity and not some arbitrary, imaginary revenue constraint.”
The intrigue: Critics point out that Sanders’ ideas for increasing government revenue — including heavy taxes on the wealthy, raising the corporate tax rate to 35%, and eliminating most corporate tax breaks and loopholes — will fall well short of paying for the new programs he proposes.
But the tax changes are not intended to offset the spending so much as they are designed to rewire the economy and “spread the wealth,” a central tenet of Sanders’ democratic socialist philosophy.
The bottom line: Bernie Sanders’ economic agenda is not merely to “give people free stuff.”
Backed by the fundamentals of an untested economic model (MMT) and socialist redistribution, a Sanders presidency would question and seek to overhaul much of what has underpinned U.S. government policy for generations.
Bill Gates, who has devoted much of his life and fortune to global health, warns in The New England Journal of Medicine that the coronavirus “has started behaving a lot like the once-in-a-century pathogen we’ve been worried about”:
I hope it’s not that bad, but we should assume it will be until we know otherwise.
There are two reasons that Covid-19 is such a threat. First, it can kill healthy adults in addition to elderly people with existing health problems. …
Second, Covid-19 is transmitted quite efficiently. The average infected person spreads the disease to two or three others — an exponential rate of increase. There is also strong evidence that it can be transmitted by people who are just mildly ill … Covid-19 has already caused 10 times as many cases as SARS in a quarter of the time.
The big picture: Gates, always an optimist, writes that in addition to responding to this crisis, “we also need to make larger systemic changes so we can respond more efficiently and effectively when the next epidemic arrives.”
⚡ The latest: In Paris, the Louvre is closed for a second day.
Workers worried about their own safety blocked the museum from opening yesterday, leaving confused tourists standing for hours in hopes of getting in. (AP)
3. Big climate changes unlikely, no matter who wins 2020
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
Don’t hold your breath for big climate policy changes — even if a Democrat wins the White House, Axios’ Amy Harder writes in her weekly “Harder Line” energy column.
Why it matters: Congress is likely to remain gridlocked, leading to either more of the same with President Trump’s re-election, or a regulatory swing back to the left no matter which Democrat wins — but far short of a legislative overhaul.
Between the lines: This pendulum dynamic is classic Washington. It’s inefficient and ingrains uncertainty for everyone involved, including corporate executives (who hate uncertainty), the environment itself and all of us affected by that environment
After Pete Buttigieg ended his campaign in South Bend, N.Y. Times columnist Frank Bruni — who put the mayor on the national map in 2016 (“The First Gay President?“) — writes that “this young gay pioneer … did the grown-up thing”:
“He’s not delusional, and he can see beyond himself.”
“He looked at what happened in South Carolina on Saturday. He looked at what was likely to happen in the many states that will vote on Tuesday. And Buttigieg recognized that he had no path to the Democratic presidential nomination and that staying in the race would probably help Bernie Sanders.”
“So on Sunday he got out. Just like that. No praying for a miracle. No waiting too long. No protracted melodrama or slow-building drum roll of hints.”
🔮 What’s next: Buttigieg and Joe Biden have exchanged voicemails, amid speculation about a possible endorsement, Alexi McCammond reports.
5. How tech’s bigness could protect it
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
As regulators review a decade of tech industry acquisitions for signs of monopolistic behavior, the very size of the platforms could actually protect them, Axios tech editor Kyle Daly writes.
Tech companies, including Google and Facebook, grew giant in part by rolling up startups that are now fully integrated into their businesses.
“It’s very hard to unscramble the eggs,” Bill Baer, DOJ antitrust chief under the Obama administration, told Axios.
But regulators could use the courts or a settlement to get companies to put up assets or money to seed a new competitor.
6. “Trump’s Facebook Juggernaut”
With the headline “#WINNING,” The New Yorker’s Andrew Marantz writes in a deeply reported piece that Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale is poised to beat Democrats at the online game for the second presidential election in a row:
“Even if Trump were banned from every social network, his campaign would be able to reach supporters by text. According to Parscale, the campaign is on track to send ‘almost a billion texts, the most in history’ — and texts are far more likely to be opened than e-mails, social-media posts, or news articles.”
“We’ve been working on this around the clock for three years,” a senior official who works on the 2020 digital campaign told Marantz.
“It’s hard to feel like a total underdog when you have the White House … [But] we’re not slowing down. We’re ramping up.”
7. George Packer: The “adults” missed Trump’s superpowers
“The president is winning his war on American institutions,” George Packer writes in the 21-page April cover story of The Atlantic:
When Donald Trump came into office, there was a sense that he would be outmatched by the vast government he had just inherited. …
James Baker, the former general counsel of the FBI, and a target of Trump’s rage against the state, acknowledges that many government officials, not excluding himself, went into the administration convinced “that they are either smarter than the president, or that they can hold their own against the president, or that they can protect the institution against the president because they understand the rules and regulations and how it’s supposed to work, and that they will be able to defend the institution that they love or served in … They’re fooling themselves. He’s light-years ahead of them.”
The adults were too sophisticated to see Trump’s special political talents — his instinct for every adversary’s weakness, his fanatical devotion to himself, his knack for imposing his will, his sheer staying power.
“Judge Judy,” one of television’s top-rated syndicated shows, will end after its 25th season next year, per The Hollywood Reporter.
Host Judy Sheindlin, earning $47 million per year, is currently the highest-paid personality on TV.
It’s not the end of Sheindlin’s media empire, as she plans to launch “Judy Justice” — its format and home are still unclear — after her current show takes its bow.
The left views Biden’s win as an indication of divisions within the Democratic coalition but still sees Sanders as the favorite to win the nomination.
“Historically speaking, South Carolina is an important bellwether state in presidential primaries, because it is typically a strong predictor of how other southern states with large African American populations like Alabama and Louisiana will vote… But it’s important to remember Democratic primaries are not winner-take-all; should Biden win all of those states, he will have to split those delegates with any and all other candidates who receive more than 15 percent of the vote… Biden’s strategy of winning the South may not advance his candidacy in and of itself. To remain a viable candidate, he will also need to do well enough in states Sanders currently leads to receive delegates.” Zeeshan Aleem, Vox“Almost half of South Carolina voters said that the endorsement of the longtime African American congressman [Jim Clyburn] was either a critical or one of several key factors in their decision. That is a VERY big deal — and a sign that there are still some endorsements that actually matter. Clyburn also made clear on Saturday — before the vote was final — that even though he had endorsed Biden, he didn’t think things were hunky dory in the campaign. ‘I think we will have to sit down and get serious about how we retool this campaign, how we retool the fundraising, how we do the GOTV, and at that point in time many of us around the country will be able to join with him and help him get it right,’ Clyburn said of Biden.” Chris Cillizza, CNNSome posit that “Biden also got no small amount of assistance from the national press, which spent the last several weeks having a screaming conniption fit over Bernie Sanders — particularly MSNBC, which is watched religiously by many older liberals. The anti-Sanders bias over the last week was almost cartoonishly blatant; practically every show save Chris Hayes’ All In has resembled a strategy bull session for stomping the Sanders movement. Hardball host Chris Matthews had to apologize for comparing Sanders’ victory in Nevada to the Nazi conquest of France in 1940…“Meanwhile, the fact that Biden repeatedly lied over the past couple weeks about having been arrested in South Africa 30 years ago trying to visit Nelson Mandela — part of a pattern of exaggeration and fabrication, which his campaign quietly admitted did not happen — got almost no attention.” Ryan Cooper, The WeekOthers argue that “If Sanders were to win the nomination, his proud connection to socialism and his 50-year record of extremism would be enough to doom his chances. Add to that his unpopular campaign proposals to double the size of the government, sharply raise middle-class taxes, and take private health insurance from 180 million Americans, and you hand the GOP a deadly arsenal of material to use against both Sanders and other Democrats on the ballot… while Super Tuesday is a major marker, about two-thirds of the delegates needed for the nomination will still be up for grabs after that vote… Biden’s South Carolina win gives me hope that Democrats will reject Sanders and beat Trump.” Matt Bennett, USA Today
“We are at an impasse. Can the big tent of the Democratic party continue when progressives are demanding actual, material change while moderates are simultaneously shouting at the top of their lungs, ‘let’s keep things the same.’ The moderates I spoke to in South Carolina had as much a visceral reaction to the name Bernie Sanders as progressives have towards the name Michael Bloomberg. If this division holds, neither progressives nor moderates will be able to build the coalition necessary to defeat Donald Trump in the general election because neither side can win without the other.” Benjamin Dixon, The Guardian
“Back in the year 2000, incumbent President Bill Clinton and other party heavyweights intervened heavily to push Al Gore’s candidacy and block Bill Bradley. But today the highest-profile Democrats — Bill and Hillary Clinton, Barack and Michelle Obama, and congressional leaders Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi — are staying out of the race. This is not how a party apparatus that is serious about blocking Sanders’s nomination would operate…
“If swing-district House members and party elites really want to stop Sanders, their next steps are obvious. The Clintons, Pelosi, and Schumer, and all the Bloomberg backers among the frontline House Democrats, should formally endorse Biden as the best hope for defeating Sanders… They should have done this weeks ago, if their intention was really to stop Sanders, but at the very least they should do so before post-Super Tuesday high-delegate races in Florida, Illinois, Ohio, New York, and Pennsylvania. And if party leaders don’t want to do this, that should tell you something about how serious they are about defeating Sanders.” Dylan Matthews, Vox
From the Right
The right views Biden’s victory as a repudiation of Sanders’s radical policies but still sees Sanders as the favorite to win the nomination.
“If you are a consumer of online political news and commentary, you might have noticed the conspicuous lack of virtually any vocal Biden supporters on social media. Online political journalism is dominated by graduates of elite American colleges and universities between the ages of 25 and 45, who constitute the diametric opposite demographic of Biden’s core support base. I would hazard a guess that the vast majority of people running political magazines, newspapers and websites in the United States have roughly zero Biden supporters in their immediate peer group…
“In Bernie’s case, his distance from the Democratic party label is central to his appeal, among voters who share his disdain of the institutional Democratic party. But there are broad swathes of other Democratic voters — people we might call ‘Normie Democrats’, enormously underrepresented in the online media sphere — who simply do not care all that much about the internecine squabbles between Democratic candidates. They’re not interested in blowout warfare among Democrats fighting over the intricacies of their policy proposals. They simply want, desperately, to beat Trump. And in South Carolina, they predictably settled on ol’ Joe.” Michael Tracey, Spectator USA
“Until recently, it seemed that the future would be set by an educated elite that was committed to ‘woke’ social issues or socialist politics. In fact, one of the great undercurrents in this year’s Democratic primary was a debate about which of those tendencies should have the upper hand in the future…
“In South Carolina, African-American voters had an opportunity to weigh in on this debate, and instead they went their own way entirely: with experience, with a figure they trust. More than that, they went with a candidate who started his campaign by bragging that he had worked with segregationists in the Senate, and who was attacked over his historic opposition to bussing, and over his support of the Crime Bill. African Americans are supposed to be the ‘revolutionary subject’ of woke politics, but black voters in South Carolina chose the most moderate, ‘least woke’ Democrat.” Michael Brendan Dougherty, National Review
“While 70% of [South Carolina] primary voters said that the next president should either return to Obama’s policies or move in a more conservative direction, just 26% said the next president should pursue policies that are more liberal than Obama. Asked whether all private health insurance should be replaced with a single government plan for everybody, just 48% said it should, compared with 46% who said it should not — meaning Sanders’s signature proposal couldn’t even generate majority support among this Democratic primary electorate…
“Even though there’s still a good chance that Sanders ends up at the top of the Democratic ticket, at least on Saturday, South Carolina Democrats sent a clear message that they want to slow down the socialism train.” Editorial Board, Washington Examiner
Yet “Biden’s win was more a feature of demographics than a serious comeback… Biden’s landslide win was entirely due to the fact that blacks were 57 percent of all South Carolina voters. The problem is, virtually no state that has yet to vote offers him such favorable terrain. Alabama, Louisiana and Mississippi might equal that, and blacks will dominate Democratic electorates in Georgia and the District of Columbia. But that’s it. Blacks will be no more than a third of all voters in other southern Democratic primary states and rarely more than a quarter in northern ones…
“[Sanders] remains the candidate of choice for the young white voters in South Carolina. He is especially strong among Democrats who never attend religious services, beating Biden among this group with 36 percent. These groups will be much larger shares of the electorate in states yet to vote, and there’s no sign Biden will significantly diminish Sanders’s support in these demographics.” Henry Olson, Washington Post
“It’s not that South Carolina Democrats have a moderate or conservative ideology or policy preferences… When opposing ‘Medicare for all’ or student-debt forgiveness, the black Democrats I spoke with didn’t cite the fiscal cost… Instead, the conservatism behind black Democrat worries was a dispositional conservatism: They distrust rapid change to a complex and precarious situation, a situation they feel has dramatically improved over the course of their lives… These men and women still want progress, but they do not want the last few decades uprooted. They do not want Obamacare or President Barack Obama’s other accomplishments overturned, and they do not want to gamble what they have gained chasing after a radical agenda.” Timothy P. Carney, Washington Examiner
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POLITICO Playbook: What Buttigieg’s exit means for Bernie and Biden
Presented by
DRIVING THE DAY
PETE BUTTIGIEG’S DECISION to abandon his presidential run has opened up a new phase in the contest, in which the remaining candidates that are not named JOE BIDEN and BERNIE SANDERS are going to be under tremendous pressure to end their campaigns.
THE CALLS TO DROP OUT ARE NOT FAIR, you’re gonna hear people say — and perhaps they’re not. But it’s clear at this point that BIDEN and SANDERS are the only two candidates left with mass appeal.
TWO POSSIBLE OUTCOMES THIS WEEK would highlight the splintered nature of the Democratic Party. Situation one: SANDERS sweeps through Super Tuesday, keeping BIDEN at bay in California and inching closer to the nomination. Establishment Democrats resume their panic. Situation two: BIDEN makes headway, cleaning up in the South and overperforming in California and Texas, which could keep him within 150 delegates from SANDERS. In that case, BIDEN’S campaign believes it next enters into friendlier territory: Florida, Georgia and other states where BIDEN is polling well. The prospect of a contested convention will drive BERNIE supporters nuts, because they believe party rules are stacked against them there.
STEVE KORNACKI of NBC says the best-case scenario for BIDEN is that he emerges from this week 61 delegates behind BERNIE: 590 to 529, a situation Kornacki calculated by assuming BIDEN gets 19% of the vote in California, wins big across the South, does well in Colorado, Massachusetts and Minnesota and keeps it close in Texas. Kornacki looks at a range of other scenarios, including if BIDEN misses the threshold for delegates in California, which would have BERNIE up by roughly 300 delegates. A margin of 300 is huge and likely uncatchable, but anywhere from 60 to 150 gives BIDEN a path to the nomination.
ONE NOTE OF CAUTION: There’s a chance we won’t know the full delegate picture of this week for a number of days, because counting votes in sprawling California is often slow going.
IMMEDIATELY AFTER SUPER TUESDAY, many people will start to examine MIKEBLOOMBERG’S station in the race. He set out to offer himself as an alternative to BERNIE since, in his supporters’ estimation, BIDEN was imploding. Now BIDEN and BERNIE are running close. So what now?
THE TRUMP CAMPAIGN IS SO AWASH IN MONEY it is now spending that cash on blimps. Imagine if BLOOMBERG dropped out and decided to start spending for BIDEN.
NEW … WE NOTED IN PLAYBOOK ON SUNDAY that the BIDEN campaign was trying to get members of Congress to endorse post-South Carolina to project strength in upcoming states.
— BIDEN rolled out the following endorsements Sunday: Virginia Reps. Bobby Scott, Jennifer Wexton and Don Beyer, Florida Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Arizona Rep. Greg Stanton. Notable pols: former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe, former California Sen. Barbara Boxer, former Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln, Illinois Secretary of State Jesse White, California state Controller Betty Yee, Chicago Alderman Walter Burnett and Texas state Sen. Carol Alvarado.
PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP is now the youngest male candidate left in the election.
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS: MIKE GORDON and JON FISHMAN of Phish will be playing Bernie’s Super Tuesday nighttime rally in Burlington.
— NYT, A1: SHANE GOLDMACHER in New York and REID EPSTEIN in Plains, Ga., and Selma, Ala.:“Ratcheting up the pressure on Democrats to unite behind a single stop-Sanders candidate, an influential donor for Mr. Biden circulated an email to his political network calling for some rivals to the former vice president to drop out. At the same time, Bloomberg campaign officials presented internal polling projections to skittish Democratic Party leaders, arguing that Mr. Bloomberg’s presence in the race was actually containing Mr. Sanders’s potential to run up the score on Super Tuesday. …
“‘The Democratic Party needs to come together behind Joe and make this a two person race,’ Jon Henes, who was Senator Kamala Harris’s finance chair and now supports Mr. Biden, wrote to friends and other donors before Mr. Buttigieg quit the race, according to a person who reviewed the email. He went on to add, ‘Suspending a campaign is incredibly difficult for any candidate but right now we need our candidates to be realistic.’” NYT
— CNN’S JEFF ZELENY: “Obama tells Biden he won’t endorse anybody yet”: “A person close to Obama told CNN that the former president’s view has not changed: He has no immediate plans to offer an endorsement of Biden — or anyone — as the nominating contest heads into Super Tuesday.
“‘We are skeptical that an endorsement coming from us could truly change the political winds right now,’ the person close to Obama told CNN. If Obama were to endorse Biden, the person said, there is ‘a very real chance it backfires.’
“But more importantly, Obama still thinks his most valuable role is to try and unify the party. ‘He feels that he’s singularly positioned to help unify the party at the end of this,’ the Obama confidant said. ‘And if he were try to put his thumb on the scale now, it would take away his ability to do so when it’s most needed — the general election.’
“The person added: ‘So he’s prepared to play a vigorous role in coalescing the party around the nominee and working to defeat Trump, but weighing in now likely only divides things worse and weakens his standing for when the Party will need it most.’”
— DAVID SIDERS and CHRIS CADELAGO in L.A.: “Sanders thunders into California”: “For one 24-hour period, Joe Biden had everything going right for him — from his win in South Carolina to Pete Buttigieg dropping out, clearing one moderate opponent from the presidential primary field.
“But the progressive movement’s answer to Biden’s run of good fortune was quickly materializing in California — where the deafening crowds that met Bernie Sanders on Sunday screamed a reminder of how quickly he still could pull away from Biden.” POLITICO
— WAPO’S SCOTT WILSON in San Jose: “One key rival for Sanders is Warren, who is hovering around the 15 percent vote threshold, according to some recent polls. Her campaign has about half as many staff members on the ground as Sanders. ‘California’s a progressive state, and Elizabeth Warren is a progressive candidate,’ said Kevin Liao, the campaign’s state spokesman. ‘She’s a good fit for the values of the state.’”
— ICYMI: BERNIE reminded a rally in San Jose on Sunday night that BIDEN voted for the Iraq War.
— WSJ’S @elizacollins1: “It’s clear Biden’s win yesterday has gotten to Sanders, who is going on longer than usual about how Biden’s record would cause him to lose to Trump. It has increased in length over the last week, but seems even longer now.”
THE LATEST ON THE CORONAVIRUS: Two dead in Washington. A case in Manhattan. Two in Florida. Another in Rhode Island. CNN is counting 89 cases nationwide. And that’s just what’s been detected so far. Ever since TRUMP put himself — instead of the experts — forward to talk about the coronavirus, he has made himself the face of this crisis.
THIS ISN’T THE RUSSIA PROBE, but rather a public health crisis for which answers are elusive and often politically unsatisfying. Republicans close to the White House have been arguing behind the scenes that they need outside validators in the business community and among international health experts to help calm the markets. Some have even argued that it’s time for the administration to try and find one or two Democrats who could be involved in the response.
— TODAY … VP MIKE PENCE and DEBORAH BIRX, who is serving as the coronavirus response coordinator, will conduct a briefing at 5 p.m.
DOW FUTURES are pointing up this morning.
THE GLOBAL PICTURE — “Patients fill hospitals in more places as new virus expands,” by AP’s Hyung-Jin Kim and Kim Tong-Hyung in Seoul, South Korea: “Virus cases in South Korea surged and millions of children in Japan stayed home from school Monday as officials struggled to contain the epidemic in more than 60 countries, including the United States, where two people have died and signs of a bigger outbreak loomed.
“As new battle fronts against the coronavirus opened with surprising speed around the globe, recovered patients left China’s hastily built hospitals and isolation wards, freeing up patient beds in the city where the COVID-19 illness has hit hardest.
“China, where the epidemic began in December, reported only 202 new cases over the previous 24 hours with another 42 deaths. That brings the country’s total number of reported cases to 80,026 with 2,912 deaths in all. The city of Wuhan accounted for most of the new cases, but also saw 2,570 patients released.” AP
NEW … MARIE YOVANOVITCH is joining the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace as a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia program. YOVANOVITCH will primarily be working on her book while there.
HILLARY TO SXSW … SNEAK PEEK: SXSW and THE TEXAS TRIBUNE have quite the lineup for SXSW March 13-15 in Austin: 3/14: Joy Reid will interview Hillary Clinton … Kasie Hunt will interview Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.). 3/15: Dylan Byers will interview Olivia Nuzzi, Jackie Kucinich, Manu Raju and Jake … Anna will interview Anita Hill. Full lineup out at 10 a.m.
WHAT THEY’RE SAYING ABOUT AFGHANISTAN … A SENIOR ADMINISTRATION official sent this along about the U.S. peace deal with the Taliban: “This agreement likely represents the most significant diplomatic breakthrough in the 18-year war. There are many uncertainties, and any decision to significantly scale down forces will be based on conditions on the ground — assuring we contain terrorists threats to the homeland — but this could be the first step to ending America’s longest war.”
ALEX ISENSTADT: “Republicans plot blue-state invasion in November”: “National Republicans are launching a multi-million-dollar field effort in four blue states, a move that comes as Democrats express mounting concern that a Bernie Sanders nomination could doom them in critical down-ballot contests.
“The Republican National Committee is deploying dozens of field staffers to California, New Jersey, New York and Illinois. While none of the four states is remotely in play at the presidential level, each has numerous competitive House races and played a critical role in helping Democrats capture the chamber in 2018. The committee is also dispatching staff to Nebraska. While the state is certain to go for President Donald Trump in November, it is home to the district where endangered Republican Rep. Don Bacon is seeking reelection.
“The RNC plans to spend at least $4 million on field deployment across the five states by Election Day, according to an aide briefed on the decision. It’s an unusual investment, since the committee typically focuses its field resources exclusively on swing states in presidential election years.” POLITICO
DOJ WATCH — “Bad news for Silicon Valley: William Barr is taking control of antitrust probes,” by Leah Nylen: “Attorney General William Barr has spent months taking greater control of the Justice Department’s antitrust probes into the big tech companies, a development that could increase the peril for major players like Google and Facebook.
“Barr has centralized oversight of antitrust matters under a handful of appointees in his office and that of his deputy attorney general, Jeffrey Rosen. Those moves have sidelined the Antitrust Division’s current leadership, headed by Assistant Attorney General Makan Delrahim, who for the past year has been the public face of DOJ’s investigations into Silicon Valley’s treatment of its users and customers.” POLITICO
JAY KHOSLA, who recently left Senate Majority Leader MITCH MCCONNELL’S office, where he led domestic policy, is joining Humana as SVP of government affairs.
TRUMP’S MONDAY — The president will meet with Colombian President Iván Duque Márquez at 10:30 am. in the Oval Office. He will have lunch with Pence at 12:45 p.m. in the private dining room.
TRUMP, PENCE and members of the coronavirus task force will meet with pharmaceutical execs in the Cabinet Room at 3 p.m. Trump will leave the White House at 4:10 p.m. en route to North Carolina for a 7 p.m. political rally at Bojangles’ Coliseum in Charlotte. Afterward, he will return to Washington and arrive at the White House at 10:30 p.m.
WE KNEW THIS WAS COMING … WSJ’S GREG IP: “Businesses Fret Over Potential Bernie Sanders Presidency”: “The rapid ascent of Sen. Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primaries—despite a weak showing in Saturday’s South Carolina vote—confronts American business with the once unthinkable: The most powerful policy maker in the world could soon be a strident, lifelong critic of capitalism and big business.
“Current and former business leaders and analysts have greeted the prospect with a mix of concern, skepticism and disbelief. Most doubt the Vermont independent, who calls himself a democratic socialist and caucuses with Democrats, could win against President Trump in November, and if he does, could not or would not implement his boldest ideas.
“If they are wrong, some see an existential threat. For most businesses, contingency planning boils down to one word: Congress. Health companies assume a Republican-controlled Senate would block Medicare for All, which would ban private insurance.” WSJ
— “House Democrats begin plotting how to run with Bernie,” by Sarah Ferris and Heather Caygle: “Congressional Democrats are starting to figure out how to share the ticket with Bernie Sanders in November — if they have to. With party leaders preaching unity and Sanders a frontrunner for the presidential nomination, Democrats are working to craft a version of his platform that has a bit less socialism but is still something they could present to their own voters, even in swing districts.
“But even as some Democrats privately test-drive rhetoric for sharing a Sanders ticket — like how to talk up expanded health care, rural broadband or new workforce programs — there are others who say they could have to strongly distance themselves from the Vermont independent if he wins the party’s nod.” POLITICO
HEADS UP … JAMES ARKIN and MARIANNE LEVINE on ALABAMA SENATE: “Jeff Sessions’ bid to return to the Senate has hit a roadblock. Most polling has shown the former attorney general narrowly ahead of his two rivals in Tuesday’s GOP primary in Alabama — but he’s well short of the 50 percent needed to win the nomination without a runoff. And a poor performance on Tuesday could foreshadow defeat in a one-on-one runoff, a potentially ignominious end to Sessions’ political comeback after President Donald Trump bounced him from his cabinet.” POLITICO
— “Kennedy holds narrow lead over Markey in Senate race, new Suffolk/Globe poll finds,” by The Boston Globe’s Victoria McGrane: “Five months into his audacious primary challenge against a seasoned incumbent, Representative Joseph P. Kennedy III is leading Senator Edward J. Markey in the Democratic contest for Senate, according to a new Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV poll of likely voters in the Sept. 1 primary.
“The survey found Kennedy ahead of Markey 42 percent to 36 percent, a difference that is within the poll’s margin of error. The race has tightened since Kennedy first decided to mount his bid: A Suffolk/Globe poll conducted just before Kennedy officially entered the race in September found the younger Democrat leading 42 to 28 percent over Markey in a head-to-head matchup.”
CENSORSHIP IN EUROPE … LILI BAYER: “Hungarian state media bosses told staff they need permission to report on Greta Thunberg and EU politics, and banned coverage of reports from leading human rights organizations, according to internal emails obtained by POLITICO.”
“Editors working in state media are provided with lists of sensitive topics, and any coverage related to the issues mentioned requires staff to send draft content for approval from higher up, the internal correspondence shows. In the case of Thunberg, the Swedish climate activist, journalists were told they need permission before they even start writing, according to one email.
“Journalists do not know who ultimately green-lights the articles whose subject matter is on the list, said one state media employee, who spoke on condition of anonymity due to fear of reprisal. When something gets rejected by the unknown decision-makers, senior editors sometimes euphemistically refer to it as reporting that ‘fell in battle,’ the employee said.” POLITICO Europe
SPOTTED: Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) sitting in coach on a flight from LaGuardia to DCA on Sunday. … Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump at the Kennedy Center for Tchaikovsky’s Violin Concerto seated in the President’s Box on Saturday night.
ENGAGED — Jonathan Oates, partner at Krum, Gergely & Oates, and Ashley Pratte, VP at the Herald Group, got engaged at the top of Peak 7 in Breckenridge, Colo., on Saturday. They met in April 2017.Pic… Another pic
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Kevin Madden, EVP at Arnold Ventures. What he’s been reading: “My colleague Robert Doar from the American Enterprise Institute just sent me a copy of Yual Levin’s ‘A Time to Build.’ So far it’s an interesting look at America’s institutions, ranging from government to academia to the family, and how each of them are dealing with various crises of confidence and what’s needed to rebuild and repair the sense of trust they once enjoyed with the public.” Playbook Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-Conn.) is 77 … Rep. Ami Bera (D-Calif.) is 55 … Joe Brettell, partner at Prosody Consulting … former Sen. Russ Feingold (D-Wis.) is 67 … former Interior Secretary Ken Salazar is 65 … Liz Oberg, manager of public affairs at Business Roundtable … Jason Boxt … Brookings’ Robin Lewis … Emily Miller … Rachel Geffner … Ashley Chang, director of program influence for global power and U.S. economic opportunity at the Rockefeller Foundation and the pride of Atlanta (h/t husband Ben) … Ellie Warner … Edelman’s Joe Scannell … Dylan Colligan of Javelin … former Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev is 89 … Levi Russell …
… Yuri Beckelman, deputy COS for Rep. Mark Takano (D-Calif.) … Ven Neralla,COS for Rep. Andy Levin (D-Mich.) (h/t Chris McCannell) … Syd Terry, legislative director for Rep. Jan Schakowsky (D-Ill.) … Michael Hutton (h/ts Lyndon Boozer) … Ernesto Vargas … Carter Baum … Kaylee Berger … Erik Hotmire … Katherine Harris Neal … Caitlin McFall is 3-0 … NYT’s Dave Itzkoff … Eric Phillips (h/t Teresa Vilmain) … Sally Rosen, production executive for nonfiction at Endeavor Content … Kevin Benore … Adrian Uribarri … Jonathan Pelto … Gary O’Connor is 47 … B-J Certain … Eric Dolan … Grant Winter … Joe Garofoli of the S.F. Chronicle … BBC’s James Purnell
The disease has possibly infected scores of people, according to a genetic analysis of virus samples that has sobering implications for the entire country.
By Joel Achenbach, Katie Mettler, Lena Sun and Ben Guarino ● Read more »
For a 47-year-old restaurant owner, the quarantine and uncertainties tested both his body and mind. His account is just one story among tens of thousands as the coronavirus spreads around the world.
A dramatic triumph Saturday brought endorsements and newfound confidence for the former vice president, and the Democratic competition narrowed with Pete Buttigieg’s departure.
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) heads toward Super Tuesday leading the delegate race. But given growing resistance to his candidacy among establishment Democrats, other candidates jockey to emerge as the principal alternative.
ELECTION 2020: Analysis ● By Dan Balz ● Read more »
The final days of the campaign between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Benny Gantz have been marked by a string of leaked insider recordings and ugly personal attacks.
“People across this country — Republicans, independents, and Democrats — agree that our top priority has to be fighting corruption in Washington,” Massachusets Sen. Elizabeth Warren said in an ad broadcast thousands of times in Iowa ahead of the Feb. 3 caucuses. “I’m not doing big-dollar fundraisers. ‘I’m not selling ambassadorships to donors. I’m not cozying up to super PACs.”
Roger Stone is still “proud” of his efforts to get President Trump elected even though he was recently sentenced to 40 months in prison for crimes uncovered through special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into the Trump campaign and Russia.
SELMA, Alabama — Elizabeth Warren dismissed mounting pressure to drop out of the presidential race after she failed to place first or second in any of the four contests ahead of Super Tuesday.
SELMA, Alabama — Joe Biden nabbed an endorsement from Selma Mayor Darrio Melton as 2020 candidates gathered in the city to mark a civil rights anniversary and vie for black votes ahead of Super Tuesday.
In the day following President Trump’s announcement of a travel advisory to parts of northern Italy, the number of confirmed cases of the coronavirus in the country grew by 50%.
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A month before the U.S. entered a full-grade panic over the coronavirus, a truck driver on a freight industry message board anonymously posted his fears. “I am more concerned as to what comes in to the USA via freight transportation than anything else,” the driver wrote. That driver now seems prescient. Read More…
House and Senate negotiators working through the weekend on a COVID-19 aid package are now trying to agree on a figure between $7 billion and $8 billion, people familiar with the talks said, in advance of likely floor action the week of March 1. Read More…
State governments are digging deep into their own pockets to prevent an outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease and prepare to address any health crisis that does occur — and they expect to be reimbursed by Uncle Sam. Read More…
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Are you an old millennial who’s totally clueless about vapes? Well, in the wake of some recent and upcoming federal moves, former Rep. Duncan Hunter and Gen Z alike may have to forgo fruity flavored e-cigarettes forever. Read More…
Rep. John Ratcliffe is once again President Donald Trump’s choice to be director of national intelligence. The president announced in a tweet Friday that he was nominating the Texas Republican, calling him “an outstanding man of great talent!” Read More…
A federal appeals court on Friday reinstated an injunction against the Trump administration’s “Remain in Mexico” program — but then hours later put the decision on hold to give the U.S. government time to appeal. Read More…
Massachusetts Democratic Rep. Lori Trahan is enlisting the help of a special fund for lawmakers to address legal expenses arising from a House Ethics inquiry into whether her campaign accepted impermissible contributions that exceeded federal parameters and misreported information with the Federal Election Commission. Read More…
While much of Congress was “freaking out” about the coronavirus this week, Reps. Josh Harder and Garret Graves had a much more pressing pandemic facing their districts: the scourge of swamp rats. Read More…
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Welcome to The Hill’s Morning Report. Happy Monday! We get you up to speed on the most important developments in politics and policy, plus trends to watch. Al Weaver is the newsletter master today while Alexis Simendinger enjoys an extended weekend. Find us @asimendinger and @alweaver22 on Twitter and recommend the Morning Report to your friends. CLICK HERE to subscribe!
*** Good morning! One more day until Super Tuesday … 246 days until Election Day! ***
Former Vice President Joe Biden is alive and well after his resounding victory in the South Carolina primary on Saturday and is looking to carry that momentum into Super Tuesday, when 14 states weigh in and more than one-third of the delegates will be doled out in what could be the most consequential night of the race for the Democratic nomination.
Saturday’s result shakes up the race in myriad ways heading into Tuesday, especially for the former vice president. After three underwhelming performances and the rising threat Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) posed to him and the rest of the field, Biden finally possesses the momentum that every moderate in the race has pined for but hasn’t been able to keep hold of heading into Tuesday. Some of that is visibly evident, including an uptick in fundraising and the continued rollout of key endorsements.
More than anything, it could put a damper on Sanders, who had been riding high after his blowout win two Saturdays ago in Nevada and within striking distance of putting the nail in the coffin of Biden’s presidential aspirations. According to multiple polls released on Sunday, Biden is nipping at the Vermont Independent’s heels in a cadre of key states on the Super Tuesday map. However, Sanders has zeroed in on Tuesday, which will prove critical to his ability to hit the needed 1,991-delegate mark to nab the nomination before the convention.
For example, while Biden, former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) spent Sunday in Selma, Ala., to commemorate the 55th anniversary of “Bloody Sunday,” Sanders held a pair of massive rallies in California as he pushes to win the lion’s share of the state’s 415 delegates — the biggest prize on the Democratic primary calendar. Additionally, Biden has sparingly campaigned in Super Tuesday states, creating potential issues on that front (The New York Times).
Niall Stanage: The Memo: Biden’s big victory means it’s game on for Super Tuesday.
The post-South Carolina fallout continued on Sunday night when Buttigieg surprisingly announced the suspension of his campaign following a pair of lackluster performances in South Carolina and Nevada, and no clear avenue to win the party’s nomination.
Buttigieg, who became the first openly gay candidate to win delegates with his victory in Iowa, made the abrupt announcement during a speech to supporters in South Bend (The Hill).
“Today is a moment of truth. The truth is that the path has narrowed to a close, for our candidacy if not for our cause,” Buttigieg said. “We have a responsibility to consider the effect of remaining in this race any further.”
“I will do everything in my power to make sure we have a new Democratic president come January,” he added. However, Buttigieg gave no indication that he will endorse any candidate prior to Tuesday’s contests or down the road.
Buttigieg’s exit, along with Tom Steyer’s departure on Saturday night, means the field has narrowed to five serious candidates, with the potential for more to drop out following Tuesday’s results. While some have remained in the race, it has become evident that some do not have a concrete path to the nomination outside of the party’s convention. Warren’s campaign admitted as much in a memo on Sunday that any path runs through the summer confab in Milwaukee.
The New York Times: As Buttigieg exits race, Biden seeks edge against Sanders on Super Tuesday.
The Hill: Biden steps up attacks on Sanders as Super Tuesday approaches.
Politico: Biden’s surprise ray of hope in California.
Outside of Steyer, Bloomberg may have had the worst night of any Democratic candidate, even though he wasn’t competing in the Palmetto State. After deciding against making a play in the final early vote state, Bloomberg’s lane to victory shrank considerably over the weekend as it banked largely on Biden’s campaign becoming obsolete by Super Tuesday.
“The whole rationale of his candidacy was that he wanted to represent that center-left wing of the party, and he felt Biden was going to falter. That plan has gone awry now. Biden hasn’t faltered,” said David Axelrod, previously a top adviser to former President Obama, on Saturday night. “As long as Biden is competitive in this race, as he apparently will be now, where’s the path for Bloomberg here?”
Making matters worse was the reception Bloomberg received in Selma, on Sunday as nearly a dozen congregants turned their backs while he addressed attendees at Brown AME Church service. By contrast, Biden was lauded, with the Rev. Al Sharpton allowing him to sit on the dais during the service. Bloomberg sat in the front row.
The Hill: The 14 other key races to watch on Super Tuesday.
However, he still remains a major threat on Tuesday — the first time he will appear on the ballot. He sits in the top three in multiple contests, having bombarded Super Tuesday states with ads in recent months.
On the financial front, multiple candidates reported strong fundraising months, headlined by the $46.5 million raised by Sanders in February. Warren followed up with $29.3 million despite her lack of success in the first four contests, having finished no higher than third in any state. As for Biden, his cash intake was buoyed by Saturday’s win. He raised nearly $18 million in February, with $5 million of that coming on Saturday alone.
The Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee announced early this morning that it raised $86 million in February, bringing the total brought in to more than $600 million.
CORONAVIRUS: The Trump administration spent the weekend attempting to quell concerns about the rise of the coronavirus as cases continue to crop up in parts of the U.S. and the death toll rises internationally.
Fears were heightened on Sunday, as five new cases of the virus were confirmed in New York, Washington, California, Illinois and Rhode Island, sparking a response from federal officials to increase testing and awareness. Vice President Pence said during one of his Sunday talk show appearances that more testing kits are being produced in order to detect and attempt to contain the outbreak.
President Trump and administration officials are expected to meet with pharmaceutical executives today and head on Friday to Atlanta to visit the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in a push to shine the light on the administration’s response (The Atlanta Journal-Constitution).
In the U.S., 86 cases of the virus have been confirmed, while the first two deaths were reported over the weekend. Both were men from Washington (The Hill).
Fears are also rising across Western Europe and Asia, as more than 60 countries have now reported cases, and the death total eclipsed 3,000 on Sunday. According to the latest data, there are 89,197 total confirmed cases of the coronavirus worldwide.
On Sunday, the Louvre Museum (see below) closed its doors in Paris as mass-gatherings have been minimized. In Japan, the Tokyo Marathon took place on Sunday, but with only 200 competitive runners taking part instead of the usual 30,000 who usual run in an effort to contain the virus (Fox News).
According to Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar, the administration is working to prevent shortages of drugs, but hoping those shortages would not last for an extended period of time. Pence and Azar continued to argue that the risk of being infected is low, though more will likely contract the virus, and fatalities are expected (The Wall Street Journal).
“We will see more transmission of cases in the United States,” Azar told CBS’s “Face the Nation.” “It’s simply just a matter of math.”
In Italy, infections increased by 50 percent in only 24 hours on Sunday, forcing the U.S. to advise Americans against traveling to two regions in the northern part of the country that have been affected. The total number of people infected in the country rose to 1,694, while five more died, bringing the death total in Italy to 34. Eighty-three individuals have recovered from the virus (The Associated Press).
The Hill: 5 parts of the economy most at risk from coronavirus.
The Hill: House eyes vote on emergency coronavirus funding.
The Associated Press: Study: Coronavirus may have been around Seattle for weeks.
INTERNATIONAL: Afghan President Ashraf Ghani said Sunday that he will not move forward and free thousands of Taliban prisoners as negotiations are set to kick off between the Afghanistan government and the Taliban in the coming days
Ghani’s comments throw fresh uncertainty into the implementation of a deal between the U.S. and the Taliban to end the war in Afghanistan that has stretched for more than 18 years, which Trump has been eager to end (The Associated Press).
“The government of Afghanistan has made no commitment to free 5,000 Taliban prisoners,” Ghani told reporters in Kabul a day after the deal was signed in Qatar. “The request has been made by the United States for the release of prisoners, and it can be part of the negotiations, but it cannot be a precondition.”
The deal between the U.S. and the Taliban indicated hopes that the 5,000 Taliban prisoners would be released prior to March 10 — the first day of talks between the two Afghan sides in Oslo, Norway. The Taliban would release nearly 1,000 prisoners.
Ghani told a news conference in the Afghan capital of Kabul on Sunday that this wasn’t a promise the United States could make. He said the release of any prisoners was a decision for his government to make and that he wasn’t ready to release prisoners before the start of negotiations.
Despite the speed bump, the U.S. remains hopeful that the Oslo talks will take place in the near future, noting that prisoner releases have taken place in the past (Reuters).
“It’s going to be rocky and bumpy,” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told “Face the Nation.” “No one is under any false illusion that this won’t be a difficult conversation.”
North Korea: North Korea launched two short-range ballistic missiles into its eastern sea from along the east coast on Monday, according to the South Korean defense ministry, marking the nation’s first weapons launch since late November (The New York Times).
According to The Associated Press, South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff said the projectiles were fired near the coastal town of Wonsan and flew about 149 miles northeast. The South Korean and U.S. militaries are analyzing the launches together.
Israel: The American Israel Public Affairs Committee’s (AIPAC) annual conference kicked off on Sunday with shots across the bow at Sanders over his call for conditions on U.S. support for Israel.
According to The Hill’s Laura Kelly, AIPAC CEO Howard Kohr opened the organization’s three-day conference in Washington, D.C., by warning they will push back against “political leaders and their supporters” who call for conditions on Israeli support. Sanders is the lone Democratic candidate to make any such calls.
“We face a collection of political leaders and their supporters who want to turn our political system away from Israel,” Kohr told the 18,000 attendees. “The pro-Israel community will work to defeat those who try to harm our friends and those who try to harm the U.S.-Israel relationship.”
Biden addressed the conference via a video message on Sunday, calling for an end to the humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip (The Hill). Klobuchar is also expected to address attendees in a video message, while Bloomberg is scheduled to speak live in Washington to the conference on Monday — the only Democratic candidate to do so.
The Hill: Sanders responds to attack from Israeli ambassador: Israel policy must “deal with the suffering of the Palestinian people as well.”
OPINION
Is this any way to pick a president? By Mark J. Rozell, opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/2TwmWbN
Coronavirus and the Tragedy of Iran, by Robert D. Kaplan, contributor, The Wall Street Journal. https://on.wsj.com/32KPPoX
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WHERE AND WHEN
The House meets at noon.
The Senate reconvenes at 3 p.m and will resume consideration of the Advanced Geothermal Innovation Leadership Act.
The president will meet with the president of Colombia at 10:30 a.m. and receive his intelligence briefing at 11:45 a.m. He will have lunch with Pence at 12:45 p.m. meet with executives from leading pharmaceutical companies to discuss vaccine development to combat COVID-19 at 3 p.m. The meeting was originally scheduled to discuss bipartisan efforts to lower prescription drug prices. The president tonight will headline a reelection rally in Charlotte, N.C., at 7 p.m.
Pence will address the AIPAC conference at 10:25 a.m. He will also participate in a video teleconference call with governors on the coronavirus at noon and a White House coronavirus task force meeting at 4 p.m.
Pompeo will also speak at AIPAC at 5 p.m.
The National Association of Counties is holding its annual legislative conference in Washington this week. Today’s speakers include Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-Va.), Interior Secretary David Bernhardt, and Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson. Information is HERE.
In Israel, voters today head to the polls once again to try to form a government (The Associated Press).
Catch The Hill’s Campaign Report newsletter, with the latest from The Hill’s politics team. Sign up to receive evening updates, polling data and insights about the 2020 elections.
➔ Supreme Court: In what will be the first abortion case before the Supreme Court since Trump’s two nominees took the bench, the court will hear a conservative challenge on Wednesday to a 2014 Louisiana law that would mandate abortion providers be able to admit patients to a hospital within a 30-mile radius of the clinic (The Hill).
➔ Immigration: A federal judge ruled on Sunday that the president’s appointment of Ken Cuccinelli to serve as acting director of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services violated a statute governing how federal government job vacancies are filled. The ruling by U.S. District Judge Randolph Moss voids a directive put in place under the former Virginia attorney general that limits how long asylum seekers can consult with counsel before it is determined whether they have a credible fear of persecution or torture supporting their request (Bloomberg News).
➔ Hockey: The NHL hit a public relations boon when David Ayres stepped in as the emergency goalie for the Carolina Hurricanes against the Toronto Maple Leafs on Feb. 22. However, the love for the emergency role may be short-lived, as the league’s general managers will convene today to discuss overhauling the position. In the five years since the emergency goalie rule was implemented, it has only been used twice (The Associated Press).
THE CLOSER
And finally … a Monday musical note! The Library of Congress will host an event at 7 p.m. in Washington tonight featuring a public conversation with country music celebrities Garth Brooks and Trisha Yearwood.
Brooks, a famed country artist and legendary live performer, will become the youngest recipient of the Gershwin Prize for Popular Song on Wednesday. Information for the event can be found HERE.
The Morning Report is created by journalists Alexis Simendinger and Al Weaver. We want to hear from you! Email: asimendinger@thehill.com and aweaver@thehill.com. We invite you to share The Hill’s reporting and newsletters, and encourage others to SUBSCRIBE!
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Just as quickly as Buttigieg rocketed from political obscurity to a Democratic presidential front-runner, the former South Bend mayor promptly folded his campaign after finishing a disappointing fourth Saturday night in the South Carolina primary, where he failed to gain any foothold with an important constituency of his party — African Americans.
Amid the growing concerns over the coronavirus outbreak, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign students studying abroad in Italy have been asked to leave as soon as possible. This followed the news that a third case of coronavirus was confirmed in Illinois Saturday, according to the Illinois Department of Public Health.
Video of the struggle at the Grand Avenue Red Line station quickly went viral after it appeared to show the officers struggle to handcuff a man while one of them repeatedly yelled “stop resisting” and then “shoot him.” Mayor Lori Lightfoot called the video that captured two Chicago officers trying to subdue the man “extremely disturbing.”
There are no living witnesses to exactly what happened in a long, dim stairwell on Feb. 13, 2018, when Chicago police Cmdr. Paul Bauer was fatally shot allegedly by a suspect he was chasing. Two years later, that man, Shomari Legghette, will stand trial beginning on Tuesday. He is expected to take the stand on his own behalf and claim self-defense.
Legghette’s argument will hinge on his claim of self-defense, which, after two years of citywide public mourning and accolades for Bauer’s professionalism, might be a controversial proposition for a jury. His attorneys are likely to argue that he did not know when he fired the fatal shots that Bauer was a police officer.
Wendy’s is launching a new morning menu on Monday in hopes of unseating McDoanld’s as the longtime victor in the fast-food world’s epic breakfast wars.
But Wendy’s, with its new Breakfast Baconator, Frosty-ccino and croissant and biscuit sandwiches faces an uphill battled against Chicago-based McDonald’s, which is fighting back by declaring Monday National Egg McMuffin DAy, offering diners a free sandwich in the morning if they order through the mobile app.
By Shane Vander Hart on Mar 02, 2020 01:29 am
U.S. Senator Joni Ernst and Americans for Tax Reform President Grover Norquist explained the benefit of lower taxes and fewer regulations at the ITR/NFIB Tax Day Lunch. Read in browser »
By Shane Vander Hart on Mar 01, 2020 11:50 pm
Former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg suspended his presidential campaign in a speech given in South Bend, Ind. following the South Carolina Primary. Read in browser »
Launched in 2006, Caffeinated Thoughts reports news and shares commentary about culture, current events, faith and state and national politics from a Christian and conservative point of view.
President Donald Trump has no public events on his schedule for Sunday. The president and first lady are staying in-residence at the White House this weekend. Keep up with Trump on Our President’s Schedule Page. President Trump’s Itinerary for 3/1/20 – note: this page will be updated during the day …
Vote Joe! Sleepy Joe Biden is running for senator, er, governor, er, president and he just won the South Carolina primary. Creepy Joe is now going into ‘Super Tuesday’ with some momentum. In fact, pundits are already saying the race is now between Biden and Bernie. I hope it’s Crazy …
Wash Your Hands (And Other Common Sense Advice)
On Saturday, President Trump and health officials held a press conference regarding the case of a Washington state woman dying after contracting coronavirus. The previous day, President Trump said at a rally that the media was trying to politicize the coronavirus news in order to damage his presidency. He called the coverage a “hoax.” During the Saturday press conference, the unserious media proved his point by asking more questions about the “hoax” comment than the conditions surrounding the death of the Washington woman. He said at the press conference, “They tried the impeachment hoax. … This is their new hoax.” Read more from the AP here.
At the press conference, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, spoke about concerns that he was “muzzled” by the Trump Administration. He said, “I’ve never been muzzled and I’ve been doing this since Reagan. That was a real misrepresentation of what happened.”
I couldn’t help but notice that the advice for what to do if you’re infected with coronavirus (or the flu) is basic common sense advice. Wash your hands. Cough and sneeze into your arm/elbow and not your hand. Don’t leave the house except for medical attention. The Surgeon General tweeted, “The best way to protect yourself and your community is with everyday preventive actions, like staying home when you are sick and washing hands with soap and water, to help slow the spread of respiratory illness.” I (only somewhat) jokingly tweeted that these are things I do when I’m well
Mayor Pete Quits
Following a decisive win in South Carolina by former Vice President Joe Biden, the NY Times reported on Sunday that Pete Buttigieg is quitting the Democratic primary race. Buttigieg won the Iowa caucuses but finished fourth in South Carolina. It’s probably a good idea considering multiple videos that show him channeling Barack Obama’s speech patterns and phrases.
One fun fact — this now makes 77-year-old Joe Biden the youngest male Democratic candidate.
For more on South Carolina and its warning to national Democratic leaders, read this New York Post piece from Ben Domenech.
What I’m Reading This Week
I have to admit that when I heard Reese Witherspoon had a book club, I was skeptical. However it has introduced me to some great authors, most notably Taylor Jenkins Reid, author of Daisy Jones and The Six. Her pick this month is The Jetsetters by Amanda Eyre Ward. From the description:
“When seventy-year-old Charlotte Perkins submits a sexy essay to the Become a Jetsetter contest, she dreams of reuniting her estranged children: Lee, an almost-famous actress; Cord, a handsome Manhattan venture capitalist who can’t seem to find a partner; and Regan, a harried mother who took it all wrong when Charlotte bought her a Weight Watchers gift certificate for her birthday. Charlotte yearns for the years when her children were young, when she was a single mother who meant everything to them.
When she wins the contest, the family packs their baggage—both literal and figurative—and spends ten days traveling from sun-drenched Athens through glorious Rome to tapas-laden Barcelona on an over-the-top cruise ship, the Splendido Marveloso. As lovers new and old join the adventure, long-buried secrets are revealed and old wounds are reopened, forcing the Perkins family to confront the forces that drove them apart and the defining choices of their lives.
Can four lost adults find the peace they’ve been seeking by reconciling their childhood aches and coming back together?”
A Case of the Mondays
Woman born in 1936 has first “legal drink” on her birthday, February 29 (ABC)
TFW she has hot dogs and you know you’ve been a good boy (Twitter)
18 sounds a beagle makes in under 4 minutes (YouTube)
Last week the First Lady sported several colorful looks while in India. One of my favorites was this shirt dress in a playful print.
“For her second day in India, Melania Trump chose a floral print cotton shirt dress by Carolina Herrera which she cinched with a snakeskin red leather belt for added color. The dress retails for about $1,690.
Mrs. Trump paired the Carolina Herrera number with white leather Manolo Blahnik pumps which she wore the day before with her custom white jumpsuit by Atelier Caito For Hervé Pierre.”
For a similar look, check out the novelty print dresses at Modcloth.
Mondays with Melania is a weekly feature that highlights what the First Lady is doing and wearing.
Note: By using some of the links above, Bright may be compensated through the Amazon Affiliate program and Magic Links. However, none of this content is sponsored and all opinions are our own.
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A ‘vulture’ circles over Twitter
Mar 01, 2020 01:00 am
Barbarians at the gate for San Francisco social media now. Couldn’t happen to a nicer bunch of censorship-obsessed leftists. Read more…
Has Chris Matthews been purged from MSNBC?
Mar 01, 2020 01:00 am
After 3 strikes in recent days, last night, MSNBC’s Chris Matthews was nowhere to be seen on that network’s South Carolina primary coverage Read more…
Happy Monday! We hope you enjoyed your quadrennial Leap Day. Official stand-up comedian of The Morning Dispatch John Mulaney (he doesn’t pay us to say that, we just think he’s great) became the first person to host Saturday Night Live on a Leap Year Saturday over the weekend, and his opening monologue was faaaaantastic.
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Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories
Joe Biden won a decisive victory in South Carolina on Saturday, defeating second-place finisher Bernie Sanders by nearly 30 percentage points. The Palmetto State contest drove both Pete Buttigieg and Tom Steyer out of the race, with both ending their candidacies just days before Super Tuesday.
President Trump announced his intention to nominate Rep. John Ratcliffe as director of national intelligence, replacing acting DNI Richard Grenell. Trump floated Ratcliffe for the position last year, but withdrew his intention to nominate him following bipartisan pushback.
The Trump administration instituted additional travel restrictions and advisories on Iran, Italy, and South Korea as it looks to contain the spread of COVID-19. American officials have confirmed 74 cases of the coronavirus (including firsts in New York, Chicago, and Rhode Island) and two deaths (both in Washington state) stemming from the pathogen.
North Korea fired two unidentified projectiles into the sea, South Korea says.
House Democrats lost their appeal to force former White House counsel Don McGahn to testify to President Trump’s efforts to obstruct the Mueller investigation. The U.S. Court of Appeals’ decision said the court “lack[s] authority to resolve disputes between the Legislative and Executive Branches.”
For the first time in recent memory, there are more registered independents in the United States than registered Republicans.
The United States signed an agreement with the Taliban for a plan to withdraw U.S. forces over the next nine months, effectively ending our presence in the country nearly two decades after the 9/11 attacks. On the site today, Steve has a piece that looks at the terms of the deal and finds it to be more than a little one-sided.
The concessions are significant. U.S troops begin a gradual withdrawal almost immediately, with the goal of a conditions-based “complete withdrawal of foreign forces” shortly after the U.S. election. The U.S. will lift its sanctions on Taliban leaders and promises to work on behalf of the Taliban at the United Nations to have international sanctions lifted, too. The language of the deal assumes that the current elected government of Afghanistan will be removed in order to make the new government more “representative,” meaning more Taliban-inclusive. And some 5,000 detained Taliban jihadists—ranging from low-level fighters all the way up to senior operatives—are set to be released as the work of putting together a post-withdrawal Afghan government begins in earnest.
Afghan President Ashraf Ghani, the elected leader of Afghanistan, objected to that last provision after the deal was released, given that these same Taliban fighters have spent years attempting to assassinate top Afghan government officials. “We have not made a commitment to release them. It’s a sovereign Afghan decision.” Ghani’s views were not represented in the talks, after the U.S. acceded to Taliban demands to exclude the current government from negotiations. The Taliban has long insisted the elected Afghan government is illegitimate.
The deal has required top Trump administration officials to back away from key claims made in the five months since President Trump canceled the meeting he’d planned with senior Taliban leaders at Camp David the week of the 18th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks. Just two weeks ago, Secretary of Defense Mark Esper declared: “Nobody right now is calling for the complete removal of US and coalition forces, U.S. forces will remain there as long as necessary to support our Afghan partners.” The agreement, however, declares: “The United States, its allies, and the Coalition will complete withdrawal of all remaining forces in Afghanistan within the remaining nine and a half (9.5) months.” The Taliban need not complete its obligations to bring about such a withdrawal; the agreement merely calls for the Taliban to provide “commitment and action on the obligations” of the deal.
South Carolina … Where Do We Go From Here?
Over the weekend, Joe Biden handily won the South Carolina primary, beating Bernie Sanders by nearly 30 points. Pete Buttigieg and Tom Steyer dropped out of the race. And Bernie Sanders announced that he raised $46.5 million in February—the highest fundraising haul of any 2020 candidate in any single month.
You may have never heard of Freeman Dyson, but he was one of the most brilliant scientific minds in the world, an expert in the field of quantum electrodynamics. He died on Friday at the age of 96. Dyson spent much of his later life in San Diego, so here’s an obituary from the Union-Tribune, drawing from a 2016 interview he did with the paper. “‘He took everybody under his wing,’ UCSD physicist Brian Keating said Friday. ‘He was always charitable and gracious and really incisive in what he had to say. He was never negative or down. It was eternally cheerful. It was great to have this giant of physics here.’”
Louisiana Solicitor General Liz Murrill joined Sarah and David on Friday’s Advisory Opinions podcast to talk about June Medical Services v. Russo, her high-profile abortion case before the Supreme Court.
There was a Friday last week, so we got another G-File from Jonah. This one focused on quicksand (inexplicably) and White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney’s comments trying to tie concern over coronavirus to media bias (explicable on Jonah’s part, inexplicable on Mulvaney’s). Do join us here at The Morning Dispatch in wishing Jonah’s spaniel, Pippa, a full and speedy recovery.
You might have heard about a survey that found 38 percent of Americans said they would stop drinking Corona beer because of the coronavirus. Declan did some reporting for this week’s Dispatch Fact Check and it turns out … that’s not true at all! Check out how misrepresented data from a PR firm made its way into the media here.
David’s Sunday French Press took a moment to reflect on that viral clip of Joe Biden talking about his faith, and how it represented a departure from the religious speak we usually see in politics. “This wasn’t Joe Biden the politician. It was Joe Biden the husband and father. He was describing finding grace and purpose in the midst of terrible grief. Putting politics aside, it was a deeply meaningful exchange, and it reminded me how discussion of religion in the public square—especially in the context of politics—is typically so impoverished. It’s stripped of meaning and context and personal connection.”
By Lila Rose
Big Tech routinely steps into the abortion debate, censors the pro-life side, favors the pro-abortion side, and then laughably claims to be enforcing neutral policies. Full article
By Chad Felix Greene
Claiming Mike Pence puts America at risk for coronavirus because of an Indiana HIV outbreak intentionally creates fear and fuels the fires of hatred. Full article
By Margot Cleveland
The leak of Stephen Somma’s identity to the pair of favored New York Times journalists looks like an attempt to preempt, and thereby soften, damaging information soon to come. Full article
By Katy French Talento
The U.S. government is taking wise measures to reduce the spread of the coronavirus. But, as the saying goes, we should pray like it all depends on God and prepare like it all depends on us. Full article
By Tristan Tate
It’s your job to teach your kids not to be slut shamers or bigots. If you think it’s immoral to let your kids see porn stars reading books, you’re slut shaming and should be punished. Full article
By Sumantra Maitra
No new wars or interventions in Iran or Venezuela, a partial drawdown from Iraq and Syria, and an Afghanistan withdrawal deal is a foreign policy record to be proud of. Full article
By Anna Mussmann
March 2 is Dr. Seuss’s birthday and Read Across America Day. Children will hear a lot of encouragement to read, but few will be given guidance on how to find worthwhile books. Full article
By Jake Curtis
While his opponent hopes to bring her focus on social justice to the state Supreme Court, Justice Dan Kelly wishes to ‘assiduously patrol the borders between the branches.’ Full article
By Dave Carter
The show ‘Bluff City Law’ demonstrates what happens when stories with great potential derail, thanks to the injection of so-called gutsy leftist messaging. Full article
By Emily Jashinsky
News of Pete Buttigieg’s surprising departure broke Sunday night, less than two days before voters head to the polls on Super Tuesday. Full article
By David Marcus
The great thing about America is that Americans often tell The New York Times exactly where they can stick it. Elizabeth Warren just learned that lesson. Full article
By Kylee Zempel
Following his notable underperformances in the early primary and caucus states, Joe Biden swept the South Carolina Democratic primary Saturday, a much-needed win leading up to Super Tuesday. Full article
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Samantha Mandeles: “A great big H/T to the Elder of Ziyon blog for this discovery: in what is now one of my favorite examples of ‘anti-Zionist-but-not-anti-Jewish’ (hah!) mental gymnastics, another polemicist-masquerading-as-an academic (Sandra Sufian of the University of Illinois at Chicago) wrote a book in which she claims that Zionist efforts to eradicate malaria from Mandatory Palestine and post-independence Israel were just a manifestation of anti-Palestinian colonialism. Says EoZ: “Evil Zionists eradicating malaria were really oppressing the Arabs whose lives they were saving. That is a hell of a take.”
Vijeta Uniyal: “Police in Greece fought back on Saturday to repel thousands of illegal immigrants along the Turkish border. The push back comes as tens of thousands of migrants are beginning to amass along the Turkish-Greek border. Angry migrants pelted stones at Greek guards and attempted to cut through border fences.”
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Jorge and Betty Rivas, owners of Sammy’s Mexican Grill near Tucson, Arizona, have faced a barrage of harassment for attending a President Donald Trump rally in Ph … Read more
From NBC’s Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Carrie Dann
FIRST READ: The Democratic presidential contest increasingly looks like a two-person race
A lot sure has changed in the last eight days — Bernie Sanders’ lopsided victory in Nevada, Jim Clyburn’s endorsement of Biden, Biden’s own dominating win in South Carolina and Pete Buttigieg’s exit from the race.
And a lot might end up changing this week.
Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images
With the events of the last eight days, the Democratic presidential contest increasingly looks like a two-person race, especially ahead of tomorrow’s Super Tuesday primaries.
On Sunday, the Sanders campaign announced raising a whopping $46.5 million in the month of February, per NBC’s Gary Grumbach.
Biden’s camp, meanwhile, said they hauled in more than $5 million on Saturday night, and NBC’s Marianna Sotomayor reports that they raised another $5 million on Sunday.
The Super Tuesday polling – including our NBC News/Marist surveys of North Carolina and Texas – has Sanders and Biden running one and two.
And one simple exercise to measure Biden’s potential ceiling in these states after South Carolina is to add up the Biden and Bloomberg percentages, even with all of the early voting.
“What’s really happening here (that polls/media have been underestimating): there’s a big pool of Dem primary voters who have been waiting for something to clarify who the main alternative to Sanders is. SC was likely that event,” said Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report.
Not to short-change Michael Bloomberg, he’s sitting precisely on 15 percent in our North Carolina and Texas polls – the threshold to qualify for delegates.
The question we have after his two poor debate performances is: Is that 15 percent the floor for him with all of his advertising? Or can his support go lower?
Still, after a year of campaigning, numerous debates and more candidate announcements and departures than we can remember, the 2020 Dem race appears to have returned to where it started – with Sanders and Biden on top, as we wrote earlier this year.
It just wasn’t easy for either of them.
For Pete’s sake
As for Pete Buttigieg’s departure from the 2020 race, you have to give credit to the 38-year-old – he came virtually out of nowhere, won Iowa, and ALMOST beat Sanders in New Hampshire.
His problem is that he had no room to grow once the electorate became more diverse.
Buttigieg’s exit puts tremendous pressure on Klobuchar: The candidate who WON Iowa and finished SECOND in New Hampshire departs the race, but the THIRD-place finisher from the Granite State continues?
The same holds true for Elizabeth Warren.
But also keep an eye on Warren. It’s possible that Buttigieg’s exit helps the Massachusetts senator as much as it does Biden.
Indeed, polling has shown that Buttigieg’s second choice goes to Klobuchar, Warren and then Biden.
TWEET OF THE DAY: Can we still be friends?
The coronavirus appears to have been in the U.S. longer than most realized
The Trump administration has touted its ability to keep the coronavirus out of the United States for as long as possible.
“If President Trump had not made the decision to suspend all travel from China into the United States and establish a quarantine effort for people returning to the United States, we’d be in a very different place,” Vice President Mike Pence said on “Meet the Press.”
The problem here: It appears the coronavirus has been in the country a lot longer than anyone realized.
“The coronavirus has been circulating undetected and has possibly infected scores of people over the past six weeks in Washington state, according to a genetic analysis of virus samples that has sobering implications for the entire country amid heightening anxiety about the likely spread of the disease,” the Washington Post writes.
2020 VISION: Breaking down Biden’s big win in South Carolina
On Saturday, Joe Biden won South Carolina’s Democratic primary, getting 48 percent of the vote – versus 20 percent for Bernie Sanders, 11 percent for Tom Steyer, 8 percent for Pete Buttigieg and 7 percent for Elizabeth Warren.
He carried men (getting 48 percent), women (49 percent), African Americans (61 percent), whites (33 percent), those 45 and older (56 percent), those who are “very” liberal (42 percent) and those who are moderate (56 percent).
Biden also easily carried the 53 percent of South Carolina Democrats who want the next president to continue Barack Obama’s policies (62 percent).
The only groups Biden didn’t carry: Dem primary voters under 45 (Sanders got 34 percent), white non-college graduates (Sanders got 30 percent), those who never attend church services (Sanders got 36 percent), and the 27 percent who want the next president to have more liberal policies than Obama (Sanders got 37 percent).
On the campaign trail today: Joe Biden stumps in Houston at 2:00 pm ET and Dallas at 8:30 pm ET… Bernie Sanders holds rallies in Salt Lake City and St. Paul, M.N… Michael Bloomberg speaks at AIPAC’s meeting in DC, does a Fox News town hall at 6:30 pm ET… Elizabeth Warren is in California… Amy Klobuchar campaigns in Utah and Oklahoma… And President Trump holds a rally in Charlotte, N.C.
Dispatches from NBC’s campaign embeds: Joe Biden was feeling like a front-runner last night in Norfolk, Va., NBC’s Marianna Sotomayor reports: “One month ago, former Vice President Joe Biden was attempting to fill up small event spaces with long rambles and enthusiastic supporters under the age of 60. The pulse in the room—and quite possibly his third presidential run—was flat lining. Biden received a hero’s welcome at his first rally in Virginia last night though, with the help of Reps. Elaine Luria, Donald McEachin, Bobby Scott and Sen. Tim Kaine and former Gov. Terry McAuliffe, Biden was received by an ear-piercing cheer from over 1,500 Virginians – Biden’s largest rally to date.”
Meanwhile, Mike Bloomberg received a hearty warm welcome in Texas, two days before the state goes to the polls, per NBC’s Maura Barrett: “He told the crowd – in a moment that seemed odd, but the crowd laughed along – about how he’s spent a dozen years attempting to learn Spanish. He said, ‘when I talk to the Dominicans I can’t understand a word they say, but the Mexican Spanish is relatively easy for me and I’m getting this slowly.’ His goal before he dies is to ‘speak Spanish like a native and hit a golf ball like a professional.’” Barrett also noted that this was one of the first times she’s seen Bloomberg genuinely smile – he started his event an hour early because of the crowd’s excitement.
DATA DOWNLOAD: And the number of the day is … $158.4 million
$158.4 million
That’s how much Tom Steyer had spent on TV and radio ads during his mostly self-funded presidential run as of Saturday — when he dropped out of the race without accruing a single delegate.
While that pales in comparison to Mike Bloomberg’s ad spending, it’s dramatically more than any other major candidate in the race. The candidate with the next highest ad spending after the two billionaires is Bernie Sanders, whose campaign had spent about $32 million on ads as of Saturday’s South Carolina contest.
THE LID: The Obama factor
Don’t miss the pod from Friday, when one of us looked at how voters’ views of Barack Obama has become a chief dividing line in the Democratic race for president.
ICYMI: News clips you shouldn’t miss
Alex Seitz-Wald previews the next phase of the campaign.
After Biden’s win on Saturday, even more observers are talking about the idea of a contested convention.
Amy Klobuchar had to cancel a rally last night in her home state of Minnesota due to a protest.
Elizabeth Warren boxed herself in when it comes to Bernie Sanders. So what happens next?
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By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— Joe Biden’s victory in South Carolina re-established him as the main challenger to Bernie Sanders.
— There is some indication their battle could break on regional lines, with Sanders fighting for inroads in the South and Biden for access to the North. Biden’s task on Tuesday is protecting the six Southern states from incursions by Sanders (and perhaps others, including the unproven Michael Bloomberg).
— Sanders will lead in delegates after Super Tuesday. The question is by how much.
— Texas, both Southern and Western, is the most interesting state to watch on Tuesday.
The Sanders vs. Biden regional divide
From the Civil War through the Great Depression, the state-level American political lines largely mirrored those of the devastating war, with the South voting solidly Democratic and the North voting largely Republican. Due to the region’s smaller population, the South/the Democrats could only win when they made inroads into the North. For instance, Grover Cleveland was the only Democrat who won presidential victories between 1860 and 1912; in his two, stand-alone victories, he carried Indiana (a northern state with southern lineage) and New York (New York City had a Democratic machine and was a very reluctant participant in the Civil War).
When Republicans won Southern states, like in 1920 and 1928, it was generally as part of huge GOP blowouts.
Democrats failed to capture the presidency in years like 1896 and 1900, when agrarian populist William Jennings Bryan expanded the Democrats’ Southern enclave to cover some of the Great Plains and Interior West but nonetheless did not come particularly close to the White House. A Republican split in 1912 allowed Woodrow Wilson to win the presidency in an Electoral College landslide; four years later when facing a unified Republican Party, Wilson narrowly hung on by sweeping the South and almost the entire West, while also winning the big Midwestern prizes of Missouri and Ohio. But the Democrats only truly became a national party with Franklin D. Roosevelt and the New Deal, which allowed the Democrats to finally secure more strong bases of consistent support in the North.
So why the peek into the history hutch? Because through four contests in the Democratic primary, one can begin to see a North versus South split emerging between the two candidates who at this point appear to have a shot to win the nomination before the Democratic National Convention: Bernie Sanders, the candidate of the North, and Joe Biden, the candidate of the South.
It may be that, just like in the post-Civil War era, one would rather be the candidate of the North in this race than the South, particularly if one grafts the West onto the Northern coalition, as Sanders is threatening to do.
Biden’s test, then, is not only to sweep the Southern states that vote on Tuesday, but then to make inroads as the contest shifts to the Midwest and the Northeast.
Biden’s smashing victory in South Carolina resuscitated his flagging campaign and re-ignited major regional questions about Sanders, who lost the nomination in 2016 in good measure due to the destruction of his campaign in the South. Hillary Clinton’s lead in pledged delegates at the end of the 2016 nominating season was built in the 11 states of the traditionally-defined South: Sanders battled her to approximate parity in the rest of the country.
In order to prove his greater strength in a much larger field this year, Sanders at least must have wanted to compete in South Carolina. Based on a nearly 30-point loss, it’s hard to argue that he did.
However, there may be something encouraging to Sanders about his big loss. Hypothetically, Sanders’ momentum from his strong start to February, particularly Nevada, could have helped him do better in South Carolina. That this did not happen is perhaps an indicator that we should now be cautious about Biden enjoying a big surge from South Carolina.
The regional split in the Democratic Party between North and South has a lot to do with African-American voters, the base of the party. While there are significant blocs of black voters in many Northern states, the states with the most significant black voting shares are generally all Southern (particularly if one includes Southern-adjacent Maryland and the District of Columbia). While Sanders wins some support with black voters, Biden dominated with blacks in South Carolina, where the electorate was close to 60% black, and he won about 60% of these voters.
Let’s take a closer look at the South Carolina results and then consider what might happen on Super Tuesday. The most interesting place, and the state where Biden’s Southern defenses are the shakiest, is the place where the South meets the West: Texas.
South Carolina
Overall, considering Biden’s nearly 30 percentage point win, the state map was rather monochromatic — the former vice president carried all 46 of the state’s counties, as well as upwards of 90% of the precincts. Biden fell just shy of a majority of the statewide vote in a large field, so he enjoyed significant margins throughout the state. Map 1 shows Biden’s share, 48.4%, compared to the combined rest of the field, which took the remaining 51.6%:
Map 1: Biden vs non-Biden candidates in South Carolina
Not surprisingly, Biden’s strength was most noticeable in the 6th Congressional District; a majority-black district, its congressman, Rep. Jim Clyburn, provided a critical assist to the Biden campaign. Likewise, Biden took a majority of the vote in SC-5 and SC-7, which are both close to 30% black (and much more so in a Democratic primary environment). In the 2016 primary, Sanders showed some strength in the Appalachian-flavored Upstate region, and was largely able to build on that this time. In 2016, Sanders fared best in SC-4, which includes the duo of Greenville and Spartanburg — this year, SC-4 gave Biden his poorest showing of the state’s seven districts.
Broadly speaking, most of the counties Biden took majorities in also support Democratic candidates in general elections, while the red counties in Map 1 largely vote Republican (though there are some exceptions, like blue-trending Charleston County). In other southern Super Tuesday contests — such as North Carolina and Alabama — South Carolina may offer something of a preview, in that regard.
Perhaps some encouraging news for Sanders is that despite his 19.9% share of the statewide vote in South Carolina, he was consistently the voter’s second choice (Map 2).
Map 2: Second-place finishers in South Carolina
Tom Steyer, who invested especially heavily in the state, saw some success in rural counties, and Pete Buttigieg had pockets of strength in some suburban neighborhoods of Charleston, but Sanders was the runner-up in every congressional district. (Steyer and Buttigieg left the race after South Carolina.) Similarly, Sanders was the only non-Biden candidate to reach viability in every district — in the instance of SC-6, his 15.7% share was just a few notches above the 15% threshold. In other words, despite a relatively poor showing for Sanders, he could have come out of South Carolina with even fewer pledged delegates than he ultimately received.
The road ahead
Table 1 shows the states that vote on Super Tuesday, along with their delegate counts. A little over a third of all the pledged delegates available during the nominating season will be awarded as part of Super Tuesday, although the precise calculations in some states won’t be known for weeks in at least California (where mail votes trickle in after Election Day and the counting typically takes a considerable amount of time).
Table 1: Super Tuesday Democratic contests
Realistically, the question for Super Tuesday is not whether Sanders will come out of Super Tuesday leading — he will — but rather by how much. MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki suggested some ranges on Sunday: A great scenario for Biden, Kornacki estimated, would have him coming out of Super Tuesday just about 60 delegates behind Sanders; a great one for Sanders would have him up by 400 delegates over Biden.
Decision Desk HQ, with whom we are calculating delegate counts throughout the primary season, is also producing a Democratic forecasting model along with the polling and research firm 0ptimus and news website OZY. Their projections for the Super Tuesday states, and what the delegate math might look like based on those projections, are shown in Tables 2 and 3.
Table 2: DDHQ/0ptimus/OZY Super Tuesday forecast
Notes: Forecast is as of 8 p.m. on Sunday evening; for more details on how the forecast is created, see here.
Table 3: DDHQ/0ptimus/OZY Super Tuesday Delegate forecast
These projections show something of a middle ground between the best- and worst-case scenarios for Sanders and Biden, with Sanders coming out of Super Tuesday with an overall delegate lead of a little over 150 — this forecast, based on the average vote share of 10,000 model simulations, was re-run Sunday night after Buttigieg’s announcement that he was leaving the race.
The forecast gives the greatest chance, 42%, to no candidate winning a majority of delegates during the nominating season, with Sanders at a 38% chance to win a majority and Biden at just 16%.
Clearly, there are a lot of x-factors here.
One of the biggest comes in the most valuable state voting, California. Sanders’ great advantage is that he has consistently led polls there, with some even showing Sanders polling in the mid-30s with no other candidate reaching the crucial 15% threshold required to win a portion of the state’s 144 statewide delegates.
While Sanders still seems set to win the Golden State, Biden’s late momentum should be enough to carry him over the 15% threshold, particularly because despite lots of early voting in California, it seems like a relatively high number of voters have held back their ballots and can take South Carolina into account before voting.
On Sunday, Politicoreported that some strategists in California believe that a higher-than-normal number of reliable Democratic voters haven’t voted yet, but history suggests they will. Overall, the firm Political Data Inc. reported as of Sunday that about 1.4 million Democrats have returned their ballots so far. Turnout in both 2008 and 2016 was a shade over 5 million total votes, so even when one considers that many of the 650,000 non-Democrats/non-Republicans who have voted may be participating in the Democratic primary, it stands to reason that the majority of the vote, perhaps a strong majority depending on turnout, is still out. Both Biden and Elizabeth Warren are polling ahead of the 15% threshold in California, so she seems likely to be a factor there too.
Staying out west, Sanders also seems likely to win Colorado and Utah, with the main question being how much other candidates eat into his delegate share from those states. Buttigieg’s exit from the race might allow others to more easily hit 15% delegate thresholds, although it’s not immediately clear what the fallout from his exit might be: Biden could end up benefiting the most, but polling data on Buttigieg voters’ second choices does not paint a consistently clear picture (scanning Twitter Sunday night, one could basically choose his or her own adventure based on the numbers floating around). Biden did get a little bit closer to Sanders in the forecast cited above after Buttigieg was removed.
Polling has indicated that Warren is likelier than not to lose her home state of Massachusetts to Sanders. If she does not win Massachusetts, she seems unlikely to win any state.
It is possible that only Sanders and Biden will win states on Super Tuesday, although Amy Klobuchar looks likelier than not to hold her home state of Minnesota against Sanders. If Biden hits 15% statewide in either Massachusetts or Minnesota, it will be a victory for him and might be a sign that he is gaining some national momentum from South Carolina.
In the longer term, Biden needs to demonstrate viability in the Midwest — something his performance in Iowa distinctly did not show. Some of the major prizes coming in the next couple of weeks are in the Midwest, specifically Illinois, Michigan, and Ohio. If Biden wants to take the lead over Sanders, he needs to pick one or more of those states off, although Biden also seems very likely to be bolstered by Florida and Georgia later in March as well (but after those states vote, the South will largely be done voting).
Here’s where the North vs. South dynamic again comes into play: We likely won’t see Biden win anywhere outside the old Confederacy on Tuesday, but some signs of life outside that region would perhaps be encouraging going forward. The South is important, but it isn’t enough without strength elsewhere — whether we’re talking general elections from the distant past or primary ones now.
Michael Bloomberg remains a wild card. Biden’s big victory in South Carolina came at a bad time for the free-spending former New York City mayor because it re-established Biden as the main alternative to Sanders — a role Bloomberg has been trying to take for himself.
We don’t expect Bloomberg to win any states on Tuesday, although he may surprise in a state or two where there isn’t much polling data and where black voters aren’t quite as numerous as some other Southern states, like Arkansas or Southern-adjacent Oklahoma. Given that Bloomberg’s support is built on the ephemeral effects of carpet-bombing the airwaves, his backers seem susceptible to last-minute persuasion from other candidates, particularly Biden as he basks in the glow of his Palmetto State win. Yes, we know that Biden does not have much money or ground operation, but we wonder how much that really matters in this highly fluid race.
Despite some polling that argues to the contrary, we’d be surprised if Biden lost North Carolina or Virginia. Remember: Biden South, Sanders North: Any Sanders victory in the Old Confederacy represents for him what would be, to borrow a sports cliché, a road win (like what Duke tried and failed to do in a men’s basketball game in Charlottesville this weekend — sorry, we couldn’t help mentioning that).
Despite the South Carolina blowout, the exit poll did indicate that Sanders narrowly carried white voters without a four-year college degree over Biden, although the vote was split among several other candidates. If Sanders is able to win Tennessee — which the forecast suggests is extremely close — or another non-Texas Southern state, support among those kinds of voters might explain why. Watch the Appalachian areas of western Virginia, eastern Tennessee, western North Carolina, and northern Alabama, as well as the ancestrally Democratic “Little Dixie” region of eastern Oklahoma, for clues on where these white voters may be going. Buttigieg’s exit probably puts the voting patterns of these kinds of places even more in flux.
One of the surest bets on the board is Biden winning Alabama, a state that is similar to South Carolina in that it will also have a majority-black electorate. (Biden also should win a landslide in Mississippi on March 10).
This brings is to the last state: Texas. It’s not only the second-largest source of delegates in the nation, but it’s also probably the hardest individual state to call. Polls, in aggregate, point to Sanders: He leads by six points in the RealClearPolitics average. But the Decision Desk HQ/0ptimus/OZY forecast actually favors Biden there narrowly, as does the FiveThirtyEight forecast following Buttigieg’s departure from the race. We think the forecasters’ models as opposed to the poll aggregates are closer to reality based on South Carolina.
Texas, like California, likely already has a significant amount of the vote in, but perhaps not as much as one might think. On the Democratic side, about 1 million votes have been cast early. That’s more than two-thirds of the total 2016 turnout. However, raw vote totals in the two primaries held so far, New Hampshire and South Carolina, were much more similar to higher-turnout 2008 than lower-turnout 2016. The Democratic turnout in Texas in 2008 was close to 2.9 million votes. Texas also is a fast-growing state in transition — still Republican, but becoming more competitive, meaning that there likely are many lapsed Republicans who want to participate in the Democratic primary, and there’s also no competitive GOP presidential primary to attract GOP attention (although there are down-ballot primaries). So a majority or more of the vote may very well still be out, even if overall turnout doesn’t reach the 2008 heights.
Election Day votes will be another good test for Biden’s momentum, to the extent it exists. But if Sanders is once again strong with Hispanic voters in Texas — like he was in Nevada — that could really help him and perhaps even carry him to victory (Hispanic voters are a major factor in Texas, but not in other Southern Super Tuesday states).
Here’s where Biden finds himself disadvantaged by the South vs. North dichotomy, because the West plays a role here too, and that may be Sanders’ strongest region. Texas, a dividing line between South and West, will test both of their appeal.
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Two coronavirus patients die in Washington state, and New York City reports its first case. Also, the race for the Democratic nomination shifts with Pete Buttigieg dropping out after Joe Biden’s dominant win in South Carolina. All that and all that matters in today’s Eye Opener. Your world in 90 seconds.
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The differences between President Trump and any of the Democratic candidates couldn’t be more numerous or consequential. Even the “moderate” Democrats are diametrically opposed across the board to President Trump’s policies. It’s literally every issue; there hasn’t been much in the way of bipartisan agreement about major issues since the Iraq War.
The Israeli elections are often framed as having similar dispositions between the right-wing bloc of Likud with their conservative allies and the Blue and White center-left group. But that’s simply not the case. There are clear differences between the two groups when it comes to several domestic policies, but Benjamin Netanyahu and Benny Gantz are extremely similar in how they view the United States, Israel’s role in the Middle East, and the enemies that surround the Jewish state.
That’s not to say there are no consequences for America if Netanyahu loses. We’ll cover those shortly. But the way the two men will interact with the United States are very similar. We saw this last month when Vice President Mike Pence invited Netanyahu to the White House for the unveiling of the Trump administration’s Middle East Peace plan. Appropriately, Netanyahu asked Pence to invite Gantz as well. It was necessary; the last thing Netanyahu needed was for the peace plan to be viewed as a political show back home. He wasn’t just being polite by asking for his opponent to join him. He was thinking in Israel’s best interests. As a result, both leaders expressed support for the peace plan, to President Trump’s delight.
Both candidates are military leaders with a severe distrust of Iran, Lebanon, and Hezbollah. Both want to annex parts of the West Bank, though Netanyahu will likely be a bit more bold about it. Both view a peace-through-strength stance as the only way to properly defend Israel. In a vacuum, it would seem like either leader would be good for U.S.-Israeli relations and keeping Israel safe.
But there’s a caveat. Unless today’s elections go wildly to the left, the most likely path through which Gantz could form a coalition government is by bringing the Arab List onto his team. That would be disastrous for relations as it would give an exaggerated degree of power to pro-Palestinian MKs. They would negotiate cabinet positions, some of which could work to turn the the United States against Israel. It wouldn’t be catastrophic; Gantz would still sit in the PM’s chair. But it wouldn’t be ideal. If the wrong moves are made in forming a left-leaning coalition, the enemies of Israel and the United States would be bolstered as a result.
This is the third election in less than a year. It seems unfathomable that this one won’t result in the formation of a new government. That’s good news if Likud gets the upper hand. It could be horrible news if a desperate Blue and White embraces the Arab List out of necessity.
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Democrats in Virginia are hearing mixed messages from current and former leaders in the Democratic Party ahead of Super Tuesday. On one hand, they hear from former Governor Terry McAuliffe that following Biden’s big win in South Carolina on Saturday, the powerful Democrat is endorsing the former Vice President for the Democratic nomination.
Biden rewarded McAuliffe by saying he’s not only a former governor, but also the future governor. The state constitution prohibits governors from running for consecutive terms, but does not bar them from running with at least a one-term gap from the last time they were governor. McAuliffe has indicated when current Governor Ralph Northam completes his term in 2022, the former governor will try for his old seat.
Joe Biden just referred to Terry McAuliffe as “the once and future governor of Virginia.”
Not every Democrat is happy about this news, especially someone who hopes to run himself for the spot. That man is Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax who believes McAuliffe and his cronies helped orchestrate lawsuits charging sexual assault. Fairfax immediately pulled out the race card to attack McAuliffe and Biden.
.@JoeBiden, I’ve considered voting for you, but @TerryMcAuliffe & his self-acclaimed political “son” @LevarStoney orchestrated racist false allegations against the second Black LG of VA to try to stop my rise to Governor. Black people are tired of this routine. #Next400Yearshttps://t.co/Eu3r1VjsU9
Biden polls highest nationally among Black voters, but in Virginia where the black vote is especially important for determining the Democratic nominee, losing the most powerful African-American currently in office is damaging. Fairfax was accused last year of raping two women, though no criminal charges were filed. Fairfax then sued CBS for their coverage of the rape allegations. A judge dismissed his lawsuit last month.
News that Mayor Pete Buttigieg is dropping out of the race ahead of Super Tuesday bodes well for Biden who will receive a good chunk of support that would have gone to the man who won the Iowa caucus. But Buttigieg’s base was not comprised of many Black voters, so Biden will have to hope news of Fairfax’s jab doesn’t go viral. Biden has been hovering around 2nd or 3rd place in Virginia polls, swapping places with Mike Bloomberg. Bernie Sanders still has a small lead and Buttigieg was 4th with just over 10%.
Losing the endorsement of a prominent Democrat in Virginia could hurt Biden in the state. While it likely won’t negate the McAuliffe endorsement entirely, Fairfax is popular in the Black community. Could it cost him a come-from-behind win in Virginia?
American Conservative Movement
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Somebody made a deal. Was it the DNC? Mike Bloomberg? Perhaps even Joe Biden? Pete Buttigieg, the young Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, who won the Iowa Caucus and performed better than expected in the New Hampshire primary and Nevada caucus (and arguably the South Carolina primary where he came in fourth), has inexplicably dropped out of the race two days before Super Tuesday.
Like I said, somebody made a deal.
Timing of the Buttigieg drop out is more than a little unusual.
Maybe he secured some sort of deal … a “quid pro quo,” we might say.
While his chances of winning the nomination were low at this stage, leaving ahead of Super Tuesday, especially following a strong debate performance and over-performing in all four contests to date, it appears to be nothing short of some sort of exchange that pushed him to the decision. Perhaps the DNC told him they would back his run in 2024 if the Democrats lose or 2028 if they win. Maybe Bloomberg and/or Biden offered him a nice cabinet position; it’s almost certain the VP tap is going to a woman regardless of who gets the nomination. Whatever happened, it’s highly unlikely Buttigieg would have dropped out willingly with no assurances. He had absolutely nothing to lose and everything to gain by waiting until after Super Tuesday.
Unlike Cory Booker, Julian Castro, and others who dropped out relatively early, Buttigieg had plenty of cash on hand. While it’s true he will now be able to apply that money to future campaigns, it still seems like a waste considering his age. As the youngest candidate with arguably the brightest future going, there will be plenty of time to raise campaign funds for his next endeavors. We can therefore exclude all standard reasons for him dropping out and turn to the more conspiratorial notions that someone made him a deal he couldn’t refuse.
If I was forced to guess, I’d say it was a combination of the DNC, Bloomberg, and Biden. By combination, I’m not suggesting they all spoke to him independently or as a group, but likely came to him with a group of promises depending on the various scenarios. If one of the two “moderates” gets the nomination and wins, Buttigieg would get a cabinet position. Chief of Staff seems like a natural fit for a man who prides himself as one who unites people. In case Biden or Bloomberg lose, Buttigieg was likely promised top billing going into the 2024 election.
Keep in mind, whatever offer was made, it will have been big. The stakes are far too high in the eyes of Establishment Democrats as they desperately oppose Sanders getting the nomination. This move opens the doors wide open for Biden or Bloomberg; it seemed very likely Sanders would get the lion’s share of the delegates on Tuesday as the crowded moderate lane made it possible other candidates would fail to reach the 15% threshold for delegates. By eliminating the #3 guy in that lane, his support will be split between Biden and Bloomberg with some going to Amy Klobuchar.
In other words, Buttigieg dropping out gives the moderates a chance. As I noted before, California in particular is a state in which Sanders is not only going to win, but had a chance of taking nearly all of the state’s delegates. Everyone else was floating at or below the 15% threshold in recent polls. Buttigieg’s exit changes everything.
Buttigieg’s exit is great news for the floundering Bloomberg and resurgent Biden. Meanwhile, every Sanders supporter should be concerned that this is the Democratic Establishment’s power play to stop their guy. It very well might work.
American Conservative Movement
Join fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. We have two priorities until election day: Stopping Democrats and supporting strong conservative candidates. We currently have 7500+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
It’s not much of a secret that Christianity Today is Christian in name only. This became quite clear after they came out of the closet with Mark Galli’s unethical and unbiblical argument weighing into politics in December. But the influence of the magazine is not waned completely. And this season of lent they published vegan propaganda under the guise of good stewardship towards creation. In an article titled Going Vegan for Lent Can Orient Us to Christ’s Calling, there is no shortage of bad history used to further bad science and worse theology.
The article begins by establishing a precedent of veganism and Christianity, specifically during lent.
Yet thousands of years before veganism became popular, the Bible and Christian tradition included fasting as a way of maintaining healthy attitudes toward food and stewarding the earth responsibly.
This premise that fasting is about stewardship and healthy attitudes towards food is patently false. The goal of fasting is to rely on God, alone, “A man does not live on bread alone.” It has nothing to do with caring for creation or one’s own health. The author, Elyse Durham, then goes on to say that the Bible promotes veganism
In Scripture, fasting is a means of repentance and of crying out for God’s attention and help. But fasting doesn’t necessarily require total abstention from food: it can also mean the simple avoidance of meat and dairy, as in the case of Daniel (Dan. 10:3). John the Baptist (Matt. 3:1–4), as a consumer of locusts and honey, was not strictly a vegan, but through his ascetic diet and lifestyle often causes him to be considered the father of monastic fasting traditions. These Scriptural examples set the precedent for Christian traditions of abstaining from animal products, particularly during Lent.
Breaking down the examples of “veganism” in Scripture does not support Durham’s case. John the Baptist ate locus, an animal, therefore he was not remotely vegetarian. I would further maintain that the consumption of animal, as opposed to animal biproducts, is meat. I also say this as a staunch supporter of eating alternative meats, which includes insects. In Daniel’s case he abstained from delicious foods, or anything that would make eating enjoyable. So I suppose this supports veganism but in no capacity is this done for Daniel’s health, but rather a sense of terror. The last sentence then presupposes a biblical basis for lent which doesn’t really exist. Lent is a man-made tradition, unfounded in Scripture (or else she would have cited it.)
The tradition of veganism during lent is not a good one. During the Middle Ages, the Catholic Church declared it a sin to eat butter during lent. Bluntly put, this is legalism. However there are factors making this particularly worse. People back then had more austere diets to begin with, so removing fat from their diets was effectively a way to starve populations. On top of that the standards do not make sense, such as Catholics eating fish on Fridays. This also became a means to sell indulgences. Jim Mica of the Living Lutheran notes that butter fueled the Reformation. He says:
Butter doesn’t get talked about much when we review Reformation history today, but Luther did bring it up in his 1520 address “To the Christian Nobility of the German Nation.” The bulk of the essay deals with the church and politics, the interpretation of Scripture and the “priesthood of all believers”—but Luther brought up butter at least a half dozen times.
When Luther—as translated by C.M. Jacobs—expounded on unjust church taxes, he went into full rhetorical mode: “For at Rome they themselves laugh at the fasts, making us foreigners eat the oil with which they would not grease their shoes, and afterwards selling us liberty to eat butter and all sorts of other things … thinking it is a greater sin to eat butter is a greater sin than to lie, to swear, or even to live unchastely.”
It would later be concluded that the more dairy rich nations in Europe would break from the Catholic Church. The tradition of veganism is not a proud one as it was oil on the corruption of the Catholic Church to the point of Reformation in 1517.
Christianity Today, after championing a horrid tradition, moves to make a moral argument for veganism. First the article states that we should have compassion towards animals, implying that eating them is against creation. But rather than expanding and making a theological argument about creation, that likely assumes that there was no animal death prior to the fall, the moral argument rails against factory farming.
Bookless argues that factory farms that use unsustainable, inhumane practices violate God’s call to steward the earth and its creatures. “Some of our modern, intensive, industrial farming methods go plain against the teaching of Scripture on having compassion for God’s creation,” he said. Therefore, purchasing, preparing, and eating meat raised on this kind of farm could be seen as ethically, and perhaps even biblically, questionable.
I would disagree as this is a stretch, while not all meat farming is ethical, not all meat comes from such.
Daily meat consumption is relatively new in human history. According to Wilson J. Warren, author of Meat Makes People Powerful, global consumption of meat skyrocketed after World War II, driven by globalization, federal aid to factory farms, and expanded consumer markets—as well as hefty advertising from the meat industry. Beef in particular—the most resource-hungry of all meats—has been aggressively marketed to Americans. (Consider, for instance, the 1984 “Where’s the Beef” campaign, or the 1993 “Beef: It’s What’s for Dinner.”) This widespread marketing continues today: In 2019, the American beef industry spent over $40 million on advertising alone.
At what point is any of this bad? The expansion of meat in our diets has caused far fewer people to starve. If you want to feed the hungry, veganism is the opposite of how you do that. The abundance of food we now have is a good thing, a bounty to be thankful to God for.
In 2020, Americans are on track to eat more meat than ever before. And despite the recent introduction of a plethora of meat alternatives, the USDA predicts that Americans’ consumption of meat will only increase over the next decade.
Again, this is a good thing. Furthermore the plethora of meat alternatives are worse for you than meat itself.
The differences between the Impossible Whopper and the real deal are rather nominal on the surface, however a deeper understanding of nutritional science favors the real meats in all of the above cases. Not all proteins are equal. Animal based protein is nutritionally superior to plant based proteins, especially soy which is bad for men.Plant proteins lack essential amino acids (the building block of what a protein is) in comparison to animal proteins.
In addition to a less complete amino acid portfolio these fake meats contain numerous suspect chemicals. For instance, Methylcellulose is a filler that has no health benefits and potential adverse effects.
Christianity Today continues its moral argument by denouncing consumerism, in a non sequitur. Then they promote climate hysteria, claiming that livestock contribute to climate change. It’s important to note, which they do not, that carbon dioxide is not a pollutant. Before closing the author cites Karen Swallow Prior, the one who said it’s ‘unChristlike” to refer to people who get and provide abortions as murderers and would go on to endorse the homosexual Revoice Conference, as a “Christian writer and thinker” further signaling the author’s lack of a Christian worldview. The article ends with conflating veganism and fasting.
When you have a Christian worldview, you do not rely on the standards that the world creates to make moral arguments for acting on Christian faith. There is no moral, let alone Christian, case to make for veganism, nor is there any reason to conflate abstaining from certain meats and animal products with fasting.
American Conservative Movement
Join fellow patriots as we form a grassroots movement to advance the cause of conservatism. We have two priorities until election day: Stopping Democrats and supporting strong conservative candidates. We currently have 7500+ patriots with us in a very short time. If you are interested, please join us to receive updates.
Billionaire Mike Bloomberg has nobody to blame but himself for fading so quickly from contention in the Democratic nomination race. FiveThirtyEight now has him at a 0.4% chance of securing the nomination before the convention despite having spent half a billion dollars already on his campaign. What went so wrong?
It all started with his first debate performance. It was his first huge mistake of the election cycle after making essentially flawless decisions leading up to it. Perhaps ego and encouragement from his advisers got the better of him; he shouldn’t have been anywhere near a camera until he had established himself as a real player on Super Tuesday. Now, he has deflated his once-promising campaign even after a slightly better second debate performance last week.
Senator Elizabeth Warren, who is proving to be a campaign-by-attack candidate who can only make news by talking about others, set her sights on Bloomberg and his non-disclosure agreements. Dozens of women have settled with him and his companies over the decades, and Warren isn’t letting that attack route go even after he agreed to release three women from their NDAs. Attacking Senator Bernie Sanders in January hurt her chances. Going after Bloomberg isn’t helping, but at least it’s not hurting.
But the real dagger lodged into Bloomberg’s nomination chances came Saturday after an impressive showing by former Vice President Joe Biden. His huge victory reestablished him as the frontrunner in the moderate lane, making Bloomberg’s onus to swoop in and save the party from Sanders no longer required, at least in the eyes of many Democratic voters. Bloomberg desperately needed Biden to crash and burn in South Carolina. What happened was nearly as dramatic as a phoenix rising from its ashes.
No Democratic candidate for president can find success without getting support from the Black community at the national level. Had Sanders done so in 2016, he would have been the nominee. The Black vote saved Hillary Clinton thanks in large part to exertion of influence by the DNC through Black community leaders. Bloomberg’s history of targeting minority men age 18-25 cannot be erased no matter how many billions of dollars he spends on the attempt.
Sanders is still the most likely candidate to get a plurality of delegates before the Democratic National Convention, but his chances of getting a majority have dipped below 30% for the first time in a month, according to FiveThirtyEight. They give a contested convention a 60% chance.
The only redeeming quality of Mike Bloomberg is that he’s rich, and he’s running for the nomination in a party that is increasingly hostile towards wealth. He is uninspiring and not nearly as smart as he believes. Is his campaign already done?
American Conservative Movement
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The founding fathers were true geniuses of their day. They were also liberals. Liberal and liberty stem from the same word meaning defenders of individual rights and freedoms.
One of these is the right of due process. They knew that a struggle between an individual and a tyrannical government would be extremely lopsided with the government having the unlimited advantages of power and funding over someone without these things. That is why they wrote the Bill of Rights to balance out this extreme disparity, providing individuals with certain unalienable rights.
The death of due process with gun confiscation swatting, ‘ERPOs’ or so-called ‘red flag’ laws
In their zeal to empower themselves and disarm the innocent, the nation’s socialist left has thrown away most of the protections for the individual in the Bill of Rights. These unconstitutional abominations eviscerate the 1st, 2nd, 4th, 5th, 6th and 14th amendments.
It takes a certain level of chutzpah to call oneself a ‘liberal’ while advocating these offences against liberty and yet the left manages to pull it off. But they have convinced themselves that they are doing good and protecting the children.
“To do evil a human being must first of all believe that what he’s doing is good” Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn
The absurdity of ‘red flag’ Extreme Retribution Punishment Orders
The extreme risk protection order (ERPO) petition against Reams was filed by an inmate at the Weld County jail. The red flag law allows for someone to petition the court and ask for a person’s gun to be removed if they are either a threat to themselves or others. After it’s filed, a judge will evaluate and rule on the petition.
In Reams’ case, the judge threw out the case without a hearing, because the inmate did not prove a threat. Reams argued that his experience proved the red flag law could be used frivolously.
…
ERPO paperwork requires the petitioner to say how they’re related to the person they want the guns taken away from. In Reams’ case, the inmate checked a box saying that he regularly resides or has regularly resided with the sheriff and his jail deputies within the last six months.
Keep in mind that these were cases that directly involved law enforcement as the targets of retribution. Ordinary citizens can easily be caught in one of these due process abominations without any recourse.
ERPO’s should be known as Extreme Retribution Punishment Orders
The fact is every state in the nation already have laws to address the need for involuntary commitment of people who may be a danger to themselves or others, as we’ve detailed this before. So there is no need for these laws, despite the lies that nothing exists for these kinds of crisis.
The same political faction that pushes ‘assisted suicide’ has contradictorily exploited the issue for the purpose of disarming the innocent in order to empower themselves. The fact is that Suicides Are Going Up, Not Down, In States With “Red Flag” Laws. Research has shown that these don’t save lives or reduce crime. But that doesn’t stop the liberty grabber left from trying to use this emotion laden issue to push for even more gun confiscation.
The bottom line: ‘Red Flag’ or ERPO’s do nothing but officially sanction gun confiscation swatting
They love to exploit the language for their empowerment, using the term ‘hate speech’ to suppress free expression or the term ‘assault weapon’ to attack the right of self-defense. Anything can be an assault weapon if it’s held correctly, everything from a Sopher Clamp to a Bat’leth.
American Conservative Movement
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NATIONAL HARBOR, MARYLAND—On Feb. 27, the Committee on the Present Danger: China (CPDC) held the sixth in a series of non-partisan 2020 Policy Battlespace Threat Briefings in key early voting states. The Maryland Briefing took place before a standing-room-only crowd at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) at the Gaylord National Harbor Hotel. These programs are aimed at informing presidential candidates, the electorate and state officials about the ominous ambitions of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and—thanks in no small measure to financing from U.S. investors—its growing capabilities to act on them.
Would a federal domestic terrorism law do much to solve violent extremism here at home? There’s now a push underway to enact legislation to that effect, with a New York Times feature story trumpeting the effort necessary to suppress the new threat of “white supremacy.”
The Times relies on a new report by the New Jersey office of Homeland Security and Preparedness that equates “White Supremacists” with “Homegrown Violent Extremists” as equally “high”-level threats.
On Saturday, President Trump announced an end to the longest war in U.S. history. Unfortunately, the deal just struck with the Taliban risks repeating what happened after Henry Kissinger’s secret bilateral negotiations with North Vietnam.
The then-Secretary of State promised “peace with honor.” But his deal left in place in South Vietnam large numbers of armed military forces poised to finish conquering our allies there. The North Vietnamese quickly did just that.
The President and our country need an insurance policy lest a similar nightmare unfold shortly at the Talibans’ hands in Afghanistan. Nothing in the deal precludes skilled, volunteer veterans helping the Afghan military and a self-defense and governance organization modeled after the one called CORDS that actually worked in Vietnam.
Mr. President, give peace – and the Afghan people – a real chance, not another short-lived and fatal “decent interval.”
This is Frank Gaffney.
With Andrew Mangione, Tom Van Grieken, and Roslyn Layton
ANDREW MANGIONE, Senior Vice President at Association of Mature American Citizens – AMAC Action:
Steps President Trump has taken to improve the quality of health care
The importance of price transparency in the health care system
How the coronavirus is underscoring the United States’ dependence on China
TOM VAN GRIEKEN, Member of the Chamber of Representatives of Belgium:
The rise of a conservative movement in Europe
What do the conservatives of Belgium stand for?
The censorship of conservatives in Belgium
ROSLYN LAYTON, Visiting Scholar, American Enterprise Institute:
Huawei’s theft of technological ideas throughout the years
Dangers to the US of using Chinese technology
The security risks Lenovo computers pose to US citizens
Under new pressure, Sanders released a document claiming to show how he pays for everything. It doesn’t come close.
By Brian Riedl The Daily Beast
February 29, 2020
“To understand the impact of the Sanders income tax and wealth tax proposals on charity and philanthropy, one must understand that the wealthy are disproportionately the source of both.”
By Howard Husock Washington Examiner
March 1, 2020
CRIME & POLICING
Photo: Stephen Osman/Los Angeles Times/Getty Images
Coronavirus may or may not prove to be a health crisis in the U.S., but its impact on the production of pharmaceuticals could be serious.
By Joel Zinberg City Journal Online
February 29, 2020
“[A new paper presents] compelling evidence that competition from a large and rapidly growing private school voucher program in Florida substantially improved the quality of nearby public schools.”
By Marcus A. Winters Economics21
March 2, 2020
Yuval Levin demonstrates how to resist the anti-institutional temptation.
By Jenna Silber Storey, Benjamin Storey City Journal Online
February 28, 2020
Allison Schrager, senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, joins “Squawk Box” to discuss U.S. growth and the potential impact of the coronavirus outbreak
John Tierney joins Brian Anderson to discuss the campaign to ban the use of plastic products and the flawed logic behind the recycling movement—the subjects of Tierney’s story, “The Perverse Panic over Plastic,” from the Winter 2020 Issue of City Journal.
CIVIL SOCIETY AWARDS
Nominations are open for the Manhattan Institute’s 2020 Civil Society Awards. This fall, four winners will each receive a $25,000 award for their efforts to keep our social fabric from fraying, assist those who need it most, and help people change the course of their lives. Nominate an outstanding nonprofit by March 20, 2020. Learn more at civilsocietyawards.com.
Manhattan Institute is a think tank whose mission is to develop and disseminate new ideas that foster greater economic choice and individual responsibility.
52 Vanderbilt Ave. New York, NY 10017
(212) 599-7000
What a weekend, and what a week ahead! Biden comes back from the dead, doing the math on the Super Tuesday delegates, and why Mike Bloomberg might be setting himself up to be remembered as one of the most colossal underachievers in presidential-campaign history.
Forget a New York Minute. In a South Carolina Weekend, Everything Can Change.
The most interesting dynamic in the race right now is the battle between the factors supporting Joe Biden — African-American support, the Democratic establishment’s increasing desperation to nominate someone besides Sanders, the steadily narrowing field, and fewer non-Sanders options to split the vote — and the factors working against him: that he’s the same 78-year-old rambling symbol of the Washington establishment, best known as the wacky, amiable veep to a president who is oddly reticent as this … READ MORE
“Makes an original and compelling case for nationalism . . . A fascinating, erudite—and much-needed—defense of a hallowed idea unfairly under current attack.” — Victor Davis Hanson
SC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY: Former Vice President Joe Biden won the South Carolina primary with 48%, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) at 20%, megadonor Tom Steyer (D) at 11%, former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) at 8%, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) at 7%, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) at 3%, and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) at 1%. (New York Times)
BIDEN: After winning South Carolina, Biden unveiled a slate of endorsements, including Reps. Bobby Scott (D-VA 03), Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL 23), Greg Stanton (D-AZ 09), Don Beyer (D-VA 08) and Jennifer Wexton (D-VA 10). Other endorsements included former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D), Illinois Secretary of State Jesse White (D), California Comptroller Betty Yee (D), former Sens. Barbara Boxer (D-CA) and Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), Selma Mayor Darrio Helton (D), and Texas state Sen. Carol Alvarado (D). (release)
BUTTIGIEG: Buttigieg, “who rose from relative obscurity as an Indiana mayor to a barrier-breaking, top-tier candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination, ended his campaign on Sunday.” (AP)
STEYER: Steyer ended his campaign “after a disappointing finish in Saturday’s primary in South Carolina, where he invested heavily in both money and time.” (Los Angeles Times)
TX-04: President Trump nominated Rep. John Ratcliffe (R) “as his permanent director of national intelligence.” Ratcliffe, who was first nominated for the position in July, withdrew his name then “after lawmakers from both parties raised concerns about his qualifications.” In 2016, Trump carried the district by 53 points. (CNN)
RNC: Trump and the RNC raised $86 million in February. “Entities raised more than $607 million since last year and have $225 million cash on hand, the RNC said, adding that February was the best month for digital fundraising since 2016.” (The Hill)
GA SEN SPECIAL: An internal poll (Feb. 26-27; 1,050 LVs; +/– 3%) conducted for Rep. Doug Collins’ (R-09) campaign found he led the five-person all-party field with 28%, followed by Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) with 20%. (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
SENATE POLLING ROUNDUP: An East Carolina University poll (Feb. 27-28; 1,288 RVs; +/– 3.2%) found Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) led former state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) 44%-42%; state Sen. Erica Smith (D) was not polled. (release) A Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll (Feb. 26-29; 465 LVs; +/– 4.6%) of the Massachusetts Democratic primary field found Rep. Joe Kennedy III (D-04) led Sen. Ed Markey (D) 42%-36%. (Boston Globe) A Dallas Morning News/UT-Tyler poll (Feb. 17-26; 586 RVs; +/– 4%) found 2018 TX-31 nominee MJ Hegar (D) narrowly led the crowded Democratic field with 15%; all other candidates polled were in single-digits. (Dallas Morning News)
After three tries at the presidency, Joe Biden finally won his first primary. He had to win decisively to prove that he was the candidate to take on Bernie Sanders, and he did just that, sweeping every county. Now, Biden has the momentum to take him into Super Tuesday, where he’ll have to rely not on his organization, but elected officials in each state to rally support and turn out voters. After Pete Buttigieg’s exit, there’s one less moderate candidate to compete with Biden in the suburbs of North Carolina and Virginia come tomorrow. — Matt Holt
Saturday night’s results in South Carolina should serve as a reminder that it’s more important to look forward than to stew on the news of the day. It was always clear that Biden would have a tough month until, perhaps, the very last day of February, where he would have his first chance to demonstrate that he has a coalition of supporters in more demographically-diverse states. Where we are today—Sanders having proven himself during the first three contests, and Biden showing a resurgence in South Carolina—was always a likely scenario. If there’s any lesson to be learned from the 2016 election, it’s to remember that the perceived most-likely scenario is not the only scenario. — Leah Askarinam
Fresh Brewed Buzz
“More than 6,000 people have applied to serve on Michigan’s new commission that will draw districts for seats in Congress and the state Legislature. … Ultimately 13 commissioners will be randomly selected: four affiliated with the Republican Party, four affiliated with the Democratic Party and five with no affiliation.” (AP)
Trump “has named former Maryland first lady Kendel Ehrlich to lead the U.S. Department of Justice’s efforts to monitor, apprehend and track sex offenders … as director of the Office of Sex Offenders, Sentencing, Monitoring, Apprehending, Registering, and Tracking.” (Baltimore Sun)
“As Democratic candidates seek a boost from young voters in 2020, their impact at the polls could be blunted in a number of states that make voting more difficult for college students. Those include laws related to voter IDs, residency requirements and on-campus polling places. Critics say many of those laws are designed to dampen turnout among voters who typically lean Democratic.” (AP)
As Rev. Raphael Warnock (D) begins his GA SEN special election campaign, “political opponents are highlighting his comments in defense of” pastor Jeremiah Wright “in an attempt to say he is too extreme to represent Georgia.” (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
“In its latest effort to reach voters, the president’s reelection campaign is planning to fly a blimp above swing states. The blimp … is set to fly between May and July” and “is expected to appear above sporting events and other large gatherings.” (Politico)
“Vandals are suspected of posting stickers promoting a group that supports white nationalism at the Democratic Party’s local headquarters in Orange on Saturday.” (Orange County Register)
“A charity run by supporters of … Trump called off a Saturday rally where they planned a cash giveaway, less than a week after the Ohio Democratic Party called for an investigation into the organization.” (Cleveland.com)
The House is in at noon. The Senate is in at 3 p.m.
Trump meets with Colombian President Iván Duque Márquez at 10:30 a.m., and at 3 p.m. meets with members of the Coronavirus Task Force and pharmaceutical executives. Trump holds a rally at Bojangles’ Coliseum in Charlotte, NC at 7 p.m.
Swizzle Challenge
Former Sen. George Murphy (R-CA) began the tradition of the “Candy Desk.”
Bill Pascoe won Friday’s challenge. Here’s his challenge: Who was the first president to serve two full terms with a House of Representatives controlled by the opposing party?
Digital Editor: Mini Racker Staff Writers: Madelaine Pisani, Drew Gerber, Matt Holt, Kirk A. Bado
Fellow: Mary Frances McGowan
Contributor: Alex Clearfield
National Journal 600 New Hampshire Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20037
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REALCLEARPOLITICS
03/02/2020
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Carl Cannon’s Morning Note
Biden and Bernie; ‘Bad Votes’; Women’s Voices
Good morning. It’s Monday, March 2, 2020. Joe Biden has risen from the dead, politically speaking, while Pete Buttigieg has suspended his campaign. The two billionaires who think money is even more than the mother’s milk of politics, are finding out otherwise. Super Tuesday is tomorrow, and Bernie Sanders is drawing big enthusiastic crowds in California and elsewhere. As my favorite baseball announcer would say, “Game on!”
This is also Women’s History Month, which RealClearPolitics will observe each weekday in March by reprising noteworthy women’s speeches of the past. I’ll have more on this in a moment. First I’d point you to RealClearPolitics’ front page, which presents our poll averages, videos, breaking news stories, and aggregated opinion pieces spanning the political spectrum. We also offer original material from our own reporters and contributors, including the following:
* * *
Hold the Autopsy: S.C. Win Breathes Life Into Biden Campaign. Phil Wegmann assesses the impact of the former vice president’s victory Saturday.
At L.A. Rally, Sanders Pushes Calif. as Nomination Golden Ticket. Susan Crabtree has the story.
Trump Blames Dems for Stoking Virus Fears. Phil has this report too.
Media Coverage and Coronavirus Panic: What the Numbers Show. Kalev Leetaru lays out findings from the GDELT Project.
The Unbearable Incompetence of Democrats. Frank Miele writes that the Iowa caucuses fiasco was just the tip of the iceberg for the party.
Biden Hits Sanders’ “Bad Votes,” But Student Loan Support Is One of His Own. Susan examines the candidate’s efforts in the Senate to fight student loan forgiveness legislation.
At CPAC, the Trumplican Party Ruled. Myra Adams offers her impressions from last week’s annual gathering of conservative activists.
Has Trump Helped Women? Let Me Count the Ways. Mary Vought cites employment, poverty and health care numbers to make her point.
CAR-T: The Future of Medical Progress Is Here. RealClearHealth spotlightsadvances in immunotherapy to treat cancer, which the Trump administration has the opportunity to make widely available to Medicare beneficiaries.
Amid War, a Message of Grit, Gratitude — and Ideas for a Just World. Dana Rubin launches RCP’s Women’s History Month series by spotlighting a 1943 speech on this date by Madame Chiang Kai-shek.
* * *
Twenty years ago, Little, Brown & Co. published a quirky book by 36-year-old magazine writer named Malcolm Gladwell that became a runaway bestseller. The theme of “The Tipping Point” was explained succinctly in its subtitle, “How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference.”
The relatively thin volume made Gladwell rich and famous, which is nice for an author, and in this case well-deserved. But he didn’t do it alone. The idea first appeared in a 1996 article in The New Yorker, then edited by Tina Brown, who had breathed new life into an old magazine. One example: She accepted — and helped shape — “The Tipping Point” as a freelance piece, Gladwell at the time being a Washington Post reporter. Taking the article and making it into a book was the province of another spectacularly accomplished woman of American letters, Sarah Crichton, then editor at Little, Brown.
Neither the idea that history pivots on subtle events, nor that women have often shaped those events, is new. Women have been writing and saying important truths since before America’s founding. They haven’t always gotten credit for it, which is one point of Women’s History Month — and of “A Woman Spoke Today,” the series we are running beginning this morning. But women (and men) who pay close attention to human affairs will not be surprised, and never were.
“If I were asked … to what the singular prosperity and growing strength of that people ought mainly to be attributed,” Alexis de Tocqueville wrote about Americans in 1840, “I should reply: To the superiority of their women.”
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