MORNING NEWS BRIEFING – JANUARY 2, 2020

Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Thursday January 2, 2020.

THE DAILY SIGNAL

 Jan 02, 2020 Good morning from Washington. What are the most important topics to consider in 2020? Heritage Foundation President Kay C. James analyzes what policies are at stake, and Klon Kitchen looks at what foreign policy situations should be monitored. Plus: Dennis Prager on teenage climate activist Greta Thunberg, and Ben Shapiro on the left’s inconsistent concern about anti-Semitism. On this day in 1967, Ronald Reagan became governor of California. In his inaugural address, he would go on to say, “Freedom is a fragile thing and is never more than one generation away from extinction.”   COMMENTARYGreta Thunberg: A Living Explanation of the LeftBy Dennis Prager

One major reason it is impossible to define leftism is that it is emotion-based. Leftism consists of causes that give those who otherwise lack meaning something to cling to for meaning.MoreCOMMENTARYThe Top 4 Issues America Will Face in 2020By Kay C. James

As we head into the new year and the kickoff to the Roaring Twenties 2.0 (and they will roar), policymakers will be faced with some incredibly important decisions.MoreCOMMENTARYThe Left Ignores the ‘Wrong’ Kind of Anti-SemitismBy Ben Shapiro

In 2018, The New York Times admitted there was a massive spike in anti-Semitic attacks in the city—and even acknowledged that the newspaper of record had failed to cover that surging anti-Semitism because “it refuses to conform to an easy narrative with a single ideological enemy.”MoreCOMMENTARY5 Predictions of What Could Happen in Foreign Policy in 2020By Klon Kitchen

No. 5: European countries will capitulate to China.MoreCOMMENTARYHow Colleges Dupe Parents and TaxpayersBy Walter E. Williams

In the case of the University of Michigan, a quarter of their diversity officers earn annual salaries of more than $100,000.More     The Daily Signal is brought to you by more than half a million members of The Heritage Foundation.
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THE EPOCH TIMES

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“Wisdom begins in wonder.”

SOCRATESGood morning, 

Jewish leaders are raising the alarm over a growing trend of anti-Semitic attacks. In New York state alone, more than 13 attacks took place in December. 

Israel’s former justice minister, Ayelet Shaked, told The Epoch Times that “all people of conscience must be outraged by the fact that … Jews are once again being targeted at prayer and in the streets.”

Read the full story here.

 Trump Says He Doesn’t Want War With Iran After Attack on US Embassy in Baghdad

Pompeo Postpones Trip to Ukraine After Attack on US Embassy in Iraq

9th Circuit Rules Union Gets to Keep Unconstitutional Forced Dues

Gabbard Says Impeachment Has ‘Increased Likelihood’ of Trump Winning 2020 Election

 One of the special FBI agents who interviewed President Donald Trump’s national security adviser, Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, at the White House in January 2017, played a much bigger role in the FBI’s counterintelligence investigation of the Trump campaign… Read moreU.S. lawmakers are increasingly concerned about China’s new cybersecurity rules that put U.S. companies at risk of losing sensitive data. In October 2019, China passed a law… Read moreSupporters of an Iran-backed terrorist group began to withdraw from the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad on Jan. 1, a day after they stormed the outer perimeter and prompted President Donald Trump to dispatch extra troops… Read moreAll but a tiny fraction of donors listing the Department of Justice as their employer between 2015 and 2019 gave to liberal activist groups and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton… Read moreHundreds of local counties, cities, and towns across America are declaring themselves “Second Amendment sanctuaries” or “constitutional counties” as part of an ever-expanding movement over the past few years that has surprised… Read more
 See More Top StoriesNew Year’s Resolution for the Mainstream Media: Stop Lying
By Roger L. Simon

Ever since Donald Trump declared for the presidency, the mainstream media—apparently to protect us and themselves from the dreaded Donald (even though his candidacy and presidency were enriching many of them as never before)—have given themselves permission to lie about and/or distort and/or exaggerate almost everything they say about the president. Read moreIs It Time for a National Voter ID Card?
By Adrian Norman

Recently, the state of New York began issuing driver’s licenses to illegal aliens, making it the 13th state—plus the District of Columbia—to provide such documentation to people residing illegally within the United States. Read more
 See More OpinionsWhat Is a Bloomberg Terminal and Why It Is Important
By Valentin Schmid

U.S. Stock markets are deep in the red this morning and some blame it on the technology sector. No, not Apple, Facebook, and Yahoo are to blame for the Nasdaq’s 1.5 percent drop but Bloomberg. Read moreIs the Impeachment of Trump finally backfiring? We look into the politics behind it all. The House of Representatives passed two articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump on Dec. 18. So, 15 days have passed, and Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) continues to refuse to send the articles to the Senate, so that a trial may begin.
 Is the Impeachment of Trump Finally Backfiring?Copyright © 2020 The Epoch Times, All rights reserved.


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DAYBREAK INSIDER

Your First Look at Today’s Top Stories – Daybreak InsiderHaving trouble viewing this email? View the web version.DaybreakInsider.com  @DaybreakInsiderTHURSDAY, JANUARY 2, 20201.Hundreds of Troops Sent to Middle East After Siege of U.S. Embassy in Baghdad
Which started early Tuesday as hundreds of protestors stormed the compound (Fox News).  The attack forced Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to push back his trip to Ukraine (Washington Examiner).  A look at the damage at the embassy (Fox News). 

2.USA Today: It’s Scary Citizens Had Guns When Attacked in Texas Church
From USA Today: Jack Wilson is exactly the type of person you want around with a gun because he’s a firearms instructor. But we know nothing about the at least six other parishioners who also appeared to draw their handguns. And that’s terrifying (Twitter).  From Ben Shapiro: Is it as terrifying as a man with a gun firing on unarmed citizens who have no method of defending themselves? Because that would be the key question (Twitter). From David French: That’s false. We know two important things: 1. They had the courage to stay and pull their weapon when they could have fled. 2. They had the restraint not to fire even in the middle of a gunfight without identifying a target. That’s the opposite of terrifying (Twitter).  The USA Today tweet is in reference to this op-ed (USA Today) and seems to miss the obvious point that Jack Wilson is the only parishioner who fired his weapon. 

Advertisement 3.Story: Boys Falling Behind in School, Eventually Vote for TrumpFrom the story:  The sorts of jobs traditionally dominated by men (such as driving) are among the most likely to be automated in the coming decades. Growing numbers of adult men live with their parents; in the UK in 2017, almost a third of males aged 20-34 were doing so, compared with a fifth of females. Across the west, many discontented lesser-educated men vote for rightwing populists such as Donald Trump. 

Financial Times

4.Rove Prediction for 2020: Dems Face Contested Convention
And Karl Rove believes Biden is the Democrats’ only hope against Trump (WSJ). Meanwhile, Buttigieg is seeing a bump in fundraising (Yahoo).  From Mollie Hemingway: The vast majority of my white liberal friends and neighbors are head over heels for this guy and I find it absolutely fascinating because it’s almost as if Pope Pete were constructed in a lab for the sole purpose of annoying me (Twitter).  Elisabeth Warren is having trouble vetting her troublesome supporters (Washington Examiner).  One story claims vapers, who tend to be pro-Trump, could sway the election (Washington Times). 

5.VDH: Impeachment Not Going as Democrats Had Hoped
From the story:  Apparently, an exhausted public did not see “Ukrainian” impeachment as a one-off national crisis akin to the Nixon inquiry and the Clinton impeachment and trial that merited national attention. The impeachment vote instead is being confirmed in the public mind as part of a now boring three-year impeachment psychodrama (from impeachment 1.0, the Logan Act, the emoluments clause, the 25th Amendment, and Michael Avenatti/Stormy Daniels comedies to Robert Mueller’s “dream team” and “all-stars”). The progressive logic of the current jump-the-shark monotony is to become even more monotonous, the way that a driller leans ever harder on his dull and chipping bit as his bore becomes static.

National Review

Advertisement 6.Mark Steyn Looks at Those We Lost in 2019
The good and the bad.

Steyn Online

7.“By 2020” Predictions that Did Not Pan Out
Including the CNN headline that we will be out of oil.

Fox News

8.Study: Kids Thinner on Whole MilkFrom the story:  A systematic review and meta-analysis led by St. Michael’s Hospital of Unity Health Toronto found children who drank whole milk had 40 per cent lower odds of being overweight or obese compared with children who consumed reduced-fat milk.

Medical Express

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THE WASHINGTON POST MORNING HEADLINES

Sign up for this newsletterRead onlineThe morning’s most important stories, curated by Post editors.   Potential clash between U.S. and Iran averted as embassy siege endsThe Kataib Hezbollah militia told its supporters to leave the area around the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad after Iraq’s prime minister said he would support efforts to pass a law calling for the withdrawal of U.S. troops, according to a senior official with the group.By Mustafa Salim and Liz Sly  ●  Read more » Arriving with a splash in Lebanon, Carlos Ghosn sends ripples around the globeOfficials in Japan and Lebanon are eyeing popular sentiment — warmly pro-Ghosn in the new home of the ex-boss of Nissan and Renault, increasingly unfavorable in his former place of business.By Simon Denyer and Akiko Kashiwagi  ●  Read more » Amid California’s power woes, a beacon of energy shines from one tribeA Native American tribe has insulated itself from California’s blackouts by creating a microgrid utility.By Scott Wilson  ●  Read more » Firestone tires built Liberia’s economy. Now, painful layoffs are sowing fear for the future.As Liberia’s largest private employer sheds jobs, it raises the question: What do global titans owe their most vulnerable workers?By Danielle Paquette  ●  Read more » Stern’s fighting spirit helped fuel NBA’s soaring successAdversity supposedly reveals character, but the character of former NBA commissioner David Stern, who died this week, is best revealed by his endless list of adversaries.Perspective  ●  By Ben Golliver  ●  Read more » ADVERTISEMENT  OpinionsWake up, Republicans. It’s not 1968 anymore.By Stuart Stevens  ●  Read more » In 2020, will Democrats embrace vanilla?By George Will  ●  Read more » Why Carlos Ghosn’s great escape is a big embarrassment for JapanBy William Pesek  ●  Read more » Has J.K. Rowling figured out a way to break our cancel culture?By Megan McArdle  ●  Read more » ADVERTISEMENT Our political debate doesn’t have to be this stupidBy E.J. Dionne  ●  Read more » The Senate and the public need to hear from Mulvaney and BoltonBy Editorial Board  ●  Read more »  More News Ohio city known for aiding homeless questions its limitsThe former police chief of Middletown, which has a generous network of services for the homeless, has accused other communities of increasingly using his community as a dumping ground for their own problems.By Kevin Williams  ●  Read more »  Trump administration’s compromise vaping ban provokes outcryPublic health groups predicted President Trump’s scaled-back proposal to limit flavored e-cigarettes will fall short of its goal of stopping a surge in youth vaping, arguing that the policy is an election-year capitulation to industry interests.By Laurie McGinley and Josh Dawsey  ●  Read more » Bloomberg’s business in China has grown. That could create unprecedented entanglements if he is elected president.Mike Bloomberg, one of the richest people in the world, has for years cultivated his relationship with Chinese leaders and built his business there.Campaign 2020  ●  By Michael Kranish  ●  Read more » Obsessed with Wikipedia’s ‘personal life’ entries? You’re not alone.Do we really need to know these details about famous people? No. But at the same time, absolutely.By Emily Yahr  ●  Read more »  Teen climber falls 500 feet on Mount Hood — and survivesThe 16-year-old boy had reached the Pearly Gates, the icy, chute-like section just below the last push to the Oregon mountain’s summit, when he lost his grip.By Brittany Shammas  ●  Read more »    We think you’ll like this newsletterCheck out By The Way for tips and guides that will help you travel better and make you feel like a local wherever you go. Delivered every Thursday. Sign up » 
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THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

Hunter Biden’s Blood MineBy Yuichiro KakutaniLawmaker Demands Hearing on Spread of Chinese Propaganda in CongressBy Adam Kredo2019 Man of The Year: Hunter BidenBy WFB StaffVisit the All-New Free Beacon Online Store2019 Man of the Year: Kellyanne Conway’s HusbandBy WFB Staff2019 Man of the Year: Jeffrey Epstein’s AssassinBy WFB StaffNY Times Exec: We Need to Figure Out Religious People, Trump VotersBy WFB StaffFree Beacon Presents: Civil War! Part DeuxBy WFB StaffThe Worst of MSNBC in 2019By David RutzSIGN UP FOR THE BEACON EXTRA HEREYou are receiving this email because you opted in at our website.Copyright © 2020 Free Beacon, LLC, All rights reserved. To reject freedom, click here.Is this email not displaying correctly? View it in your browser.

SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL

IN THIS ISSUE:

– Markey vs. Kennedy: Welcome to the Most Unusual Senate Primary in Decades– The 2016 Electoral College Map: A Template for 2020MARKEY VS. KENNEDY: WELCOME TO THE MOST UNUSUAL SENATE PRIMARY IN DECADES
There hasn’t been another recent Senate primary challenge quite like it
By Louis Jacobson
Senior Columnist, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE– Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA) is facing a strong primary challenge from Rep. Joe Kennedy III (D, MA-4) in 2020. While challenges to entrenched incumbent senators aren’t an everyday occurrence, the Markey-Kennedy race is especially unusual in recent Senate history.– Most senators who attract primary challenges are weakened in some way — they face questions about their advanced age, their party loyalty, or a brush with scandal — or else face a challenge on ideological grounds. Yet none of these factors fit the Markey-Kennedy contest.– Over the past three decades, even the top-performing primary challengers had a no better than one-in-nine chance of ending up in the Senate. Yet at this point, Kennedy — bucking history — seems like a modest favorite in the race.Markey-Kennedy: A unique primary battleSen. Ed Markey (D-MA) will be facing the fight of his political life this year. He’s being challenged in the Democratic primary by Rep. Joe Kennedy III (D, MA-4), scion of the legendary political family.The clash of Massachusetts political titans was sure to generate public and media interest regardless. But it’s worth pondering just how unusual Kennedy’s primary challenge is.Markey has been serving in Congress since 1976, first in the House and now in the Senate. He’s 73, but shows no sign of being hobbled by advanced age. He sponsored the Senate version of the Green New Deal to counteract climate change, winning him plaudits from his party’s activist liberal wing. And the most recent 50-state senatorial approval surveys by Morning Consult show Markey to be popular, with 51% of voters approving and just 25% disapproving. That’s the 13th best showing of any senator in the nation.So why is Kennedy challenging Markey in the primary?It appears to be a combination of ambition and style.For a Kennedy, the ambition part is obvious. He’s the grandson of Robert F. Kennedy and the grand-nephew of John F. Kennedy and Ted Kennedy, each of whom served in the Senate. His father, Joe Kennedy II, previously served in the House. Kennedy III has already been elected four times to his House seat.“The problem for ambitious Democrats in a heavily Democratic or Republican state — a state like Massachusetts — is that the ladder to the top statewide offices is often blocked by long-time incumbents,” said Steve Smith, a political scientist at Washington University in St. Louis who specializes in the Senate.“The probability of knocking off such an incumbent is low, so primary challenges are uncommon. But a candidate with ambition and non-zero chances of winning may come to a ‘now or never’ decision.”If Kennedy were to wait, a future Democratic primary “could see high-powered contestants like Attorney General Maura Healey or Reps. Seth Moulton or Ayanna Pressley,” said Maurice T. Cunningham, a University of Massachusetts-Boston political scientist. “If an opening does not come up in 2021, it could be four to six years — or even more — before a Senate seat opens. Polling told Kennedy that Markey is vulnerable, and the possible candidates down the road are all formidable.”As for style, Kennedy seems to have a stronger ability to channel populist anger than Markey does. Markey has tended to be a technocratic workhorse in Congress; one of his most enduring legacies from his House tenure is telecommunications policy, not exactly the kind of issue that energizes the grassroots.“The context of his challenge is the visceral anger Massachusetts Democrats feel toward President Trump and their frustration at not being able to do very much about the way he conducts himself,” said Tufts University political scientist Jeffrey Berry. “They want their members of Congress to be fighters — to take Trump to the woodshed and give him a whuppin’. Sen. Markey’s personality doesn’t fit well into that. Markey is calm and reasoned, and those are good qualities in a political leader. But they’re not enough for at least some voters here. This creates an opportunity for Congressman Kennedy.”Historically, though, political ambition and stylistic differences have not been sufficient to oust an incumbent senator — or even to inspire a primary challenge in the first place.For this article, we tabulated the past three decades of Senate incumbents who faced more than trivial primary challenges. We found 36 incumbent senators since 1992 who have faced a primary in which the challenger ended up winning at least 30% of the vote.Three-quarters of those challengers nonetheless lost. And none of them were facing an incumbent as seemingly capable and popular as Markey.In essentially every credible Senate primary challenge since 1992, the incumbent has been viewed as vulnerable because of some apparent weakness — advanced age, scandal, party-switching, or lack of true incumbency on account of being appointed to the Senate and never having run for the seat before. The others who were primaried typically faced an ideological challenge from another wing of their party.In the Markey-Kennedy contest, none of these typical incumbent weaknesses seem to be apparent. And where ideology is concerned, “there are no significant differences between the candidates on public policy,” Berry said.Another unusual factor about the Markey-Kennedy race is that Kennedy will have to give up his House seat in order to make the challenge. “It is pretty rare for a sitting House member to challenge a senator in the primary,” said Robert Boatright, a Clark University political scientist and author of Getting Primaried: The Changing Politics of Congressional Primary Challenges. We found fewer than a half-dozen examples in the past three decades.For all his political skills, Kennedy likely would not be able to get away with challenging Markey if it were not for his famous name and deep connections. “There’s probably not another resident of Massachusetts who could give Markey a serious contest, in either a primary or general election,” said Richard E. Cohen, lead author of the Almanac of American Politics.Let’s take a closer look at the nine incumbent senators since 1992 who were primaried and lost — the ones who, presumably, Kennedy is looking to model his insurgency on.Table 1: Senators who have lost primaries since 1992Alan Dixon: Dixon, an old-school pol known as “Al the Pal,” had completed two terms in the Senate but faced a dual primary challenge in 1992 from Carol Moseley Braun, the Cook County recorder of deeds, and deep-pocketed trial lawyer Albert Hofeld. “Dixon looked tired, old, and out of touch — he had broad but very shallow support and had not had a tough race in more than 20 years,” said University of Illinois-Springfield political scientist Kent Redfield. “Everyone, including him, did not take the challengers seriously at first, and this allowed Hofeld and Braun to get traction.”Braun’s base was in Chicago; she pitched herself as an alternative to old-style politics. “Race and gender were very important in framing her campaign and energizing her base,” Redfield said. Dixon took hits for voting to confirm Clarence Thomas. Crucially, Hofeld ran a big TV ad campaign targeted at Dixon; it hurt the incumbent while effectively sparing Braun, who went on to win, 38%-35% over Dixon, with Hofeld securing 27%. Braun won in November.Sheila Frahm: Frahm was appointed to succeed Senate Majority Leader Robert Dole, who was running for president against Bill Clinton. Frahm was quickly challenged in the primary by first-term GOP Rep. Sam Brownback. “This matchup reflected a growing rift in the Kansas GOP between moderates and conservatives,” said University of Kansas political scientist Burdett Loomis. Frahm was considered competent but not well known, whereas Brownback was a dynamo among social conservatives. “With an unknown, moderate, not-really incumbent in Frahm, it was bound to be a tough race for her,” said Washburn University political scientist Bob Beatty. Brownback prevailed in a brief, hard-fought primary campaign and then won the seat in November.Bob Smith: As a congressman, Smith won an open Senate seat in 1990, when winning the GOP Senate primary in New Hampshire was tantamount to winning in November. He was “accidentally” reelected senator in 1996 after pre-election polls and exit polls had predicted he’d lose to former Democratic Rep. Richard Swett. In the Senate, Smith was seen as too socially conservative and anti-abortion for New Hampshire, whose GOP tended more towards libertarianism and fiscal conservatism. Smith complicated matters further when he ran for the GOP presidential nomination in 2000, then withdrew, then renounced his GOP membership, then ran for president under the Taxpayers Party banner, then flipped to independent, and finally dropped out of the race.“This episode soured many in the New Hampshire GOP, who saw Smith as unelectable for 2002,” said Andrew Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire survey center. Party elders turned to Rep. John E. Sununu to challenge Smith in the primary; Sununu was well-respected and more moderate than Smith, and also had a golden last name, thanks to his father, former Gov. John H. Sununu. Sununu easily defeated Smith in the September GOP primary and won the seat in November.Joe Lieberman: Lieberman had become a national figure as Al Gore’s 2000 running mate, and he ran for president again in 2004. By the time of his 2006 reelection race, Lieberman had been a prominent supporter of the Iraq War even though more and more Democrats were turning against it. Ned Lamont, a wealthy Democrat, decided to challenge Lieberman. “By 2006 they were ready to pounce and found their vessel in a candidate willing to spend part of his family fortune.” said Kevin Rennie, a former Connecticut GOP legislator and commentator.“Local party organizations still mattered in 2006,” Rennie said. “Lamont dove into the drudgery of visiting local Democratic town committees, allowing him to hone his message without attracting attention. Lamont won more than a third of the delegate votes at the party convention that spring, stunning Lieberman.” Lamont proceeded to win the primary narrowly, but he fizzled in the general election, as many Republicans and a portion of Democrats pulled Lieberman to victory as an independent. (Lamont is now Connecticut’s governor.)Bob Bennett: Bennett, with three terms under his belt, was running for reelection in the peak Tea Party year of 2010; he lost thanks to an energized core of conservatives who were able to leverage a favorable nomination system in his home state. At the time, Utah candidates had to go through a party convention to get on the primary ballot. If no candidate won at least 60% of the delegates’ votes, the top two vote-getters proceeded to the primary. In 2010, the top-two finishers in delegate votes were two strong conservatives, Tim Bridgewater and Mike Lee, leaving Bennett — who was painted as a moderate and a creature of D.C. — shut out of the primary ballot. Lee won the primary and continues to serve as a senator.“Bennett admitted later that he didn’t start campaigning until too late — he hadn’t faced a primary since 1992 and hadn’t adequately geared up for 2010,” said Morgan Lyon Cotti, associate director of the University of Utah’s Hinckley Institute of Politics. “However, he could have run a perfect campaign and still lost at the convention. He recalled that his office had never received such a high volume of intensely angry calls as it during that time.” A post-script: Utah changed its nominating process after Bennett’s loss in a way that makes this scenario less likely to recur.Arlen Specter: Specter’s moderate leanings kept him at near-constant risk of a primary challenge in the Senate. He prevailed — narrowly — in 2004 against GOP Rep. Pat Toomey, and six years later, facing the prospect of another primary challenge by Toomey, Specter switched parties and became a Democrat. But he didn’t escape a primary challenge on the Democratic side, either, as Rep. Joe Sestak took him on. “Sestak’s media campaign attacking Specter’s claim to now be a Democrat was very effective,” said Franklin and Marshall University political scientist Terry Madonna. “In the end, Specter’s party switch was too much” for voters.Lisa Murkowski: Murkowski fended off a primary challenge in 2004 after she had been appointed to a vacant Senate seat by her father, then-Gov. Frank Murkowski. But she faced an even tougher predicament when she ran for a second full term in 2010. In a late-August GOP primary, Joe Miller — an Army veteran and political novice endorsed by former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) and Tea Party groups — defeated Murkowski. Murkowski proceeded to run as a write-in candidate in the general election against Miller and Democrat Scott McAdams. Murkowski’s moderate stances won enough Democratic votes, including those of Native Alaskans, to engineer a historic write-in victory.Dick Lugar: Lugar was a widely respected, moderate voice in the Senate, but he was 80 years old in 2012 and was perceived as having been inattentive to political matters back home, including failures to tend to local party organizations that had turned hard to the right in recent years. The socially conservative primary electorate disliked Lugar, who had collaborated extensively with then-Sen. Barack Obama, the Tea Party’s bete noire. In the primary, social conservative Richard Mourdock won, 60%-40%. In the general election, however, Mourdock all but disqualified himself with comments about rape, enabling Democratic Rep. Joe Donnelly to win in November.Luther Strange: Strange was appointed to fill the vacancy created when Sen. Jeff Sessions was named attorney general by President Donald Trump. Trump, along with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, backed Strange in the special election primary, which included three major GOP candidates — Strange, Rep. Mo Brooks, and former state Supreme Court justice Roy Moore. Moore ran about as far to the right as any candidate could in solidly red Alabama, and in the primary, Moore finished with 39% to Strange’s 33%. In the runoff, Moore once again prevailed, defeating Strange, 55%-45%. Eventually, credible allegations of sexual misconduct by Moore against minors enabled Democrat Doug Jones to narrowly defeat Moore in the general election.All told, none of these nine Senate incumbents look remotely like Markey. Each had at least one, if not more than one, significant weakness coming into the race.Frahm and Strange were appointed senators running for the first time since their appointment. Lieberman, Bennett, Murkowski, and Lugar all faced strong ideological challenges. Smith and Specter grappled with primary voters’ concerns about how loyal they were to their party. And Dixon, among others, faced questions about his advanced age.Now let’s look at notable primary challenges in which the incumbent still managed to win.We found 27 of them, and none seems to mirror the Markey-Kennedy contest. Here’s the list of incumbent senators who faced primaries and won, but where their challenger secured at least 30% of the vote. (We’ve also included Dianne Feinstein, whose 2018 Democratic challenger won an impressive 46% in what became a Democrat vs. Democrat top-two general election.)Table 2: Notable unsuccessful Senate primary challenges since 1992This list includes three appointed senators facing voters for a Senate seat for the first time: Murkowski, Bennet, and Schatz. It includes five elected incumbents facing significant age-related questions: John Chafee, Thurmond, Akaka, Lautenberg, and Roberts. It includes two — Robb and Menendez — who were grappling with scandals or legal issues. It includes two others — Reid and Kerry — who faced challenges from seeming gadflies who managed to overperform our 30% threshold. And many on this list faced strong ideological challenges from either their right or their left: Specter (twice), McCain (twice), Warner, Lincoln Chafee, Graham, Lincoln, Hatch, McConnell, Cochran, Alexander, Feinstein, and Carper.The closest analogue, perhaps, is Bumpers’ 1992 race. But even if we count that contest as similar, it was almost three decades ago — and Bumpers’ unsuccessful challenger was hardly blessed with the national reputation of a Kennedy.We should note that there could be other incumbents credibly challenged in primaries in 2020. Two are appointed senators running for the seat for the first time — Sens. Martha McSally (R-AZ) and Kelly Loeffler (R-GA), which is one of the traditional reasons that incumbents have historically gotten a primary challenge. For a time, it appeared that Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) could face a strong primary challenge, but businessman Garland Tucker (R) left the race and no one credible filed against him. Sens. Chris Coons (D-DE) and Cory Booker (D-NJ) also have ideological challengers.What’s the outlook for the Markey-Kennedy race?Despite the long historical odds, Kennedy — if anything — appears to be a modest favorite in the race, and Markey appears to have the most difficult primary path of any incumbent senator running for renomination this year and among the most difficult of any of the embattled incumbents mentioned above.In a Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll of likely Massachusetts Democratic primary voters released in September, Kennedy led Markey in a head-to-head race, 42%-28%. When additional Democratic names were added to the primary field, Kennedy led Markey 35%-26%, with a 36% undecided. (Democrat Shannon Liss-Riordan had generated some grassroots support on the left before Kennedy’s entry into the race, and she has continued her candidacy.)Markey seems to understand the peril he’s in. In December, he shook up his staff in preparation for the tough primary.Boatright, who’s based at Clark University in Massachusetts, noted that a number of U.S. House members from Massachusetts — a state with an all-Democratic delegation — also face primary challenges for 2020. He said this reality may stem from the success of now-Rep. Ayanna Pressley, who defeated a senior Democratic House member in the 2018 primary. “Plenty of older, white, not-all-that charismatic Democrats in safe Democratic places have opponents,” he said. “So Kennedy is sort of riding on that to a degree.”Regardless of who wins the Democratic primary, Massachusetts is such a strongly blue state that Sabato’s Crystal Ball and other handicappers rate the contest Safe Democratic for the general election.Louis Jacobson is a Senior Columnist for Sabato’s Crystal Ball. He is also the senior correspondent at the fact-checking website PolitiFact and was senior author of the 2016, 2018, and 2020 editions of the Almanac of American Politics and a contributing writer for the 2000 and 2004 editions.
THE 2016 ELECTORAL COLLEGE MAP: A TEMPLATE FOR 2020
By Seth Moskowitz
Guest Columnist, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE– In 2016, Hillary Clinton would have needed to flip 38 additional Electoral College votes to reach 270[1], thereby winning a majority in the Electoral College.– Using 2016 presidential election results, we can map out the different paths that Clinton had to winning 270 electoral votes. These routes — and how far Clinton was from winning them — give us a template for how presidential candidates might plan their strategies for this November’s election.– Flipping Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin is likely Democrats’ best chance at winning back the presidency. But last election’s results reveal other paths to 270 for Democrats (like Florida and Arizona) that were competitive in 2016 and could be decisive this November.– Republicans have a few pickup opportunities — most notably New Hampshire — that could tip a close election in their favor.Cherry picking votersThe 2016 presidential election was very close. Donald Trump’s 306 to 232[1] Electoral College victory over Hillary Clinton obscures just how competitive the race was. It was so close, in fact, that seemingly every news source reported that just roughly 80,000 voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin swung the election. This figure comes from totaling the margins in these three states that, had Clinton won them, would have flipped the election. Clinton would have won 278 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 260.Accurate as that may be, there are infinite ways to slice up the electorate. Voters can be cherry picked from any group of states that collectively have 38 Electoral College votes. For instance, Texas has precisely 38 electoral votes, so turning it from red to blue also would have flipped the election. The 800,000 or so Texas voters who provided Trump’s winning margin, just like those in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, determined the 2016 election, too. Of course, voter swings within states are not independent — states, demographics, and constituencies often move in tandem or opposition to one another.Still, it is generally easier and less expensive to influence fewer voters than more. The minimum number of voters needed to assemble 270 Electoral College votes would be invaluable information to presidential campaigns.And while the election map of 2016 will be different than the landscape this November, it’s still the best template we have for forecasting the upcoming election. Map 1 shows the 2016 Electoral College results.Map 1: 2016 presidential results by stateThe cost of an Electoral College voteMap 1, along with what this piece calls the “cost” of an Electoral College vote, will guide this analysis. The cost of an electoral vote is how many voters a candidate would have needed to net per Electoral College vote to win a state. It is calculated by dividing a state’s electoral margin by its number of electoral votes. This is one way to evaluate the costs of competing in a state, how competitive the state is, and the size of the reward for winning the state (the size of its electoral delegation). The cheapest electoral votes come from states that have tight margins and lots of electoral votes.However, because Electoral College votes over 270 have no practical value and because almost all states award Electoral College votes winner-take-all, accounting only for the cost per electoral vote doesn’t always lead to the “cheapest” victories.A quick example might help. Below, in Table 1, are the three crucial Rust Belt states of 2016 — Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. All election data used in this piece are from Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Elections.Table 1: Democratic path through Michigan, Pennsylvania, and WisconsinNotes: The column labeled “EC Votes” shows each state’s number of Electoral College votes. “State Margin” shows the Democratic margin of the 2016 presidential election (negative indicates a Clinton loss). “Cost/EC Vote” is the cost per Electoral College vote in a state. This was calculated by dividing State Margin by EC Votes. The “Total” row shows the total Electoral College votes among the states, the sum of their electoral margins, and the average cost of an Electoral College vote among the group of states.Democratic paths to 270We can use these data points to look at the 2016 presidential results and how far Clinton was from winning the Electoral College. We’ll do this by exploring specific routes Clinton had to beating Trump in the Electoral College, the total number of votes this would have required her to net, and the cost of the electoral votes.This analysis is not an interrogation of Clinton’s and Trump’s strategies. Instead, it will use the electoral margins of 2016 to understand the possible paths forward for the parties in 2020. Following each table, there will be a bolded 2020 Takeaway — key information to consider for November’s presidential contest.These paths, of course, were not the only routes Clinton had to victory nor are they the only way a Democrat could win in November. They are simply meant to cover some of the most likely scenarios. Readers who want to game out the Electoral College can use the great interactive tools at 270ToWin.com or Taegan Goddard’s Electoral Vote Map.First up, the Rust Belt route from Table 1 where Clinton flips Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.Table 1: Democratic path through Michigan, Pennsylvania, and WisconsinThis was Clinton’s path to victory with the smallest total vote deficit. It is also the route with the cheapest average Electoral College vote. Michigan was the closest state by percentage in 2016 and holds a sizeable 16 Electoral College votes. This makes its Electoral College votes the cheapest of any state and a pillar to many of Clinton’s most plausible paths to 270.2020 Takeaway: Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin should be a priority (if not the number one priority) for both the Republican and Democratic nominees. Trump won these states by the smallest collective margin in 2016 and they have, by far, the cheapest Electoral College votes.Table 2 and Table 3 are similar to Table 1 above. Table 2 substitutes Arizona for Wisconsin and Table 3 substitutes Arizona for Michigan. There is no table where Arizona substitutes Pennsylvania, because in this scenario, Clinton would not win the Electoral College outright.Table 2: Democratic path through Arizona, Michigan, and PennsylvaniaTable 3: Democratic path through Arizona, Pennsylvania, and WisconsinArizona has been trending Democratic as densely populated Maricopa County, home to Phoenix, becomes less Republican. Trump, however, still carried the county by just under three points in 2016. Substituting Arizona for Wisconsin — which gave Trump his largest percentage margin of the three Rust Belt states — substantially increases the number of voters Clinton would have had to win and the cost per Electoral College vote. Substituting Arizona for Michigan does the same.2020 Takeaway: Arizona could be the tipping point state if Democrats flip Pennsylvania and Michigan or Pennsylvania and Wisconsin but fail to flip the third Rust Belt state.Table 4 is the same as Table 2 but with Clinton winning North Carolina instead of Arizona. Table 5 then substitutes Wisconsin for Pennsylvania.Table 4: Democratic path through Michigan, North Carolina, and PennsylvaniaTable 5: Democratic path through Michigan, North Carolina, and WisconsinEven with its diversifying population and shifting demographics, to win with North Carolina, Clinton would have needed to net more votes overall, as well as more votes per Electoral College vote, than in any of the previous paths. Tables for Georgia are not included because a Clinton victory with Georgia would look similar to one with North Carolina or Arizona, just require even more votes.2020 Takeaway: North Carolina could fill the same role as Arizona, becoming the tipping point state if Democrats only flip two of the three Rust Belt states. However, given Trump’s larger 2016 margin in North Carolina, it would probably be more difficult for Democrats to flip than Arizona.Table 6 shows Clinton flipping Florida and Michigan.Table 6: Democratic path through Florida and MichiganBesides winning Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, this was Clinton’s path with the smallest vote deficit as well as the cheapest Electoral College votes. Michigan was the closest state in the Rust Belt and Florida was the closest in the Sun Belt.If Clinton had edged out victories in both of these, she would have won an additional 45 Electoral College votes. This would have brought her total to 277 and dropped Trump to 261. She also could have substituted either Pennsylvania or Wisconsin in place of Michigan, but neither of those states were as close as Michigan and would probably have been more difficult to flip.2020 Takeaway: Florida will be crucial if the Republican nominee holds the Rust Belt. Democrats’ easiest non-Rust Belt routes likely require flipping Florida. A close election could hinge on Florida and Michigan, as these were the closest of the Sun Belt and Rust Belt states in 2016 and have enough Electoral College votes to flip the election.Table 7 presents Clinton’s first “Sun Belt” only path, where she flips Florida and Arizona.Table 7: Democratic path through Arizona and FloridaClinton fell 204,145 votes short of flipping Arizona and Florida. Because Arizona had a much wider vote margin than Michigan, the total margin and cost per Electoral College vote is much higher than flipping Florida and Michigan, shown in Table 6.2020 Takeaway: If Democrats are unable to flip any of the Rust Belt states, their best Sun Belt only path may be flipping Florida and Arizona. This is the entirely non-Rust Belt route with the smallest total margin and cheapest Electoral College votes. Additionally, Florida and Arizona are more demographically similar than Florida and Michigan. Targeting these two states and their high portion of Latino voters may be more practical for Democrats than holding Michigan and flipping Florida. However, Democrats have fallen just short of winning recent Florida statewide competitions. Whether this is just bad luck or something inherent in the state, relying on Florida could be dangerous for Democrats in November.Table 8 shows an alternative Sun Belt route where Clinton flips Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina.Table 8: Democratic path through Arizona, Georgia, and North CarolinaThis path would have required Clinton to net nearly half a million more voters. It’s also much costlier per Electoral College vote than the Florida route shown in Table 7.2020 Takeaway: If Democrats are unable to flip the Rust Belt or Florida, they will probably need to flip Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia. This route, though, had a much larger margin and costlier Electoral College votes in 2016, and seems unlikely to be easier for Democrats than the other proposed paths.Finally, in Table 9, we have the Texas route.Table 9: Democratic path through TexasTo win Texas, Clinton have needed to net over 800,000 more voters. This is far more than any of the other routes explored above and over 10 times as many as the Rust Belt path in Table 1. And even though it would have brought Clinton exactly to the 270 Electoral College votes she needed, it still is much costlier per Electoral College vote than any of the other paths.2020 Takeaway: Texas is probably out of reach for Democrats. While flipping Texas has been a Democratic fantasy for years (and one which may be getting more realistic), it had a bigger margin in 2016 than many other states and looks unlikely without a Democratic landslide in the Electoral College.Table 10 shows Nebraska’s Second Congressional District’s single electoral vote. Nebraska is one of two states that allocates Electoral College votes by congressional district.Table 10: Nebraska’s Second District’s single electoral voteFlipping this electoral vote would have opened up additional options for Clinton. For example, flipping Pennsylvania, Michigan, and NE-2 would have tied the Electoral College.2020 Takeaway: In various scenarios, Nebraska’s Second Congressional District could be the tie-making or tie-breaking Electoral College vote.Going through every single plausible path to victory or a tie would get confusing. We have to stop somewhere. And while there are other Democratic paths to victory beyond the nine explored here, routes involving other states that she lost by over 8% (like Ohio or Iowa) appear less plausible and much costlier. In simulations where Clinton had won these less competitive states, she probably would already have won the requisite 270 Electoral College votes elsewhere.Republican pick-up opportunitiesThere are also a few states that Clinton won in 2016 that this year’s Republican nominee could plausibly flip.Table 11 shows the most competitive states (by percentage, total votes, and cost per electoral vote) that Clinton won in 2016.Table 11: Republican pickup opportunitiesNote that Maine splits its electoral votes by district. Table 11 only includes Maine’s two statewide electoral votes.New Hampshire has the smallest margin and the cheapest electoral votes of the four states. If the Republican nominee were to flip New Hampshire, or any of the other three states, they could block various Democratic paths to victory in Tables 1-9. Besides New Hampshire, with its particularly small margin, these states would likely be window dressing on a Republican Electoral College win.2020 Takeaway: If Republicans can flip New Hampshire, this will give them an electoral buffer in other regions. If the Democratic nominee loses New Hampshire, the paths explored in Tables 3, 5, 7, and 9 would all fail to deliver an Electoral College majority. The other states — Minnesota, Nevada, and Maine — appear to be heavier lifts for the 2020 Republican nominee. If they were to flip one of these, they would likely have already won the Electoral College through more Republican-friendly states.The biggest 2020 takeawayThere’s no way to cover all the Electoral College possibilities without things getting too muddled. The 2016 map helps narrow our sights onto the most competitive states and provides the best template for a 2020 electoral map.Both Democrats and Republicans would be foolish to sacrifice the Rust Belt states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, given that this was Clinton’s route to victory in 2016 with the smallest total vote margin. But the 2020 campaigns should consider other routes — like Florida and Arizona — that also could have handed Clinton the presidency. It is true that 80,000 voters in the Rust Belt determined the 2016 election. It is also true, though, that 200,000 voters in Florida and Arizona; 475,000 in North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona; and 800,000 in Texas did the same.Footnote[1] Excluding faithless electors.Seth Moskowitz is an elections and politics contributor at 270ToWin. He is also the founder of the elections blog, EverySecondYear.com, which focuses on the U.S. House. Seth can be reached at s.k.moskowitz@gmail.com or on Twitter @skmoskowitz.Out Now: The Blue Wave, the UVA Center for Politics’ book on the 2018 electionOur book on the 2018 midterm elections, The Blue Wave: The 2018 Midterms and What They Mean for the 2020 Elections, is now available from Rowman and Littlefield. Edited by University of Virginia Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato and Crystal Ball managing editor Kyle Kondik, The Blue Wave features top journalists, academics, and analysts who explore the 2018 midterm from all angles and look ahead to the monumental presidential election coming in 2020.Use code RLFANDF30 for 30% off at Rowman and Littlefield’s website.The Blue Wave features the following contributors and chapters:– Larry J. Sabato: The Blue Wave: Trump at Midterm– Alan I. Abramowitz: The Trump Effect: The 2018 Midterm Election as a Referendum on a Polarizing President– Rhodes Cook: The Primaries: Democrats Shine in the Shadow of Trump– David Byler: Humpty Dumpty’s Fall: How Trump’s Winning Presidential Coalition Broke Down in 2018— Kyle Kondik: The House: Where the Blue Wave Hit the Hardest– James Hohmann: The Senate: The Republicans’ Bright Spot– Madelaine Pisani: The Governors: Democratic Wave Falls Short of a Wipeout– Michael Toner and Karen Trainer: The Money Wars: Emerging Campaign Finance Trends and Their Impact on 2018 and Beyond– Emily C. Singer: Women Rule: The Surge of Women in Congress– Theodore R. Johnson: Hindsight in 2020: Black Voting Behavior and the Next Presidential Election– Matt BarretoGary Segura, and Albert Morales: The Brown Tide and the Blue Wave in 2018– Diana Owen: Presidential Media and the Midterm Elections– Joshua T. Putnam: Foresight is 2020: New Features of the Democratic Delegate Selection Rules– Sean Trende: Was 2018 a Wave Election?Read the fine printLearn more about the Crystal Ball and find out how to contact us here.Sign up to receive Crystal Ball e-mails like this one delivered straight to your inbox.Use caution with Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and remember: “He who lives by the Crystal Ball ends up eating ground glass!”
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THE WASHINGTON TIMES

MORNING EDITION
Thursday, January 2, 2020
 
 
Iran, North Korea crises to test Trump as he campaigns for reelectionPresident Trump has multiple options to deal with the two defining foreign policy crises of his first term as tensions … more
 
 
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Bradley Beal’s return not enough as Wizards blown out against Magic    Capitals lead NHL at season’s midpoint, but see themselves as ‘work in progress’    Redskins make Rivera hiring official   
 
 
 
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THE HILL

   © Getty Images  Welcome to The Hill’s Morning Report. Happy Thursday in a brand-new year! Our newsletter gets you up to speed on the most important developments in politics and policy, plus trends to watch. Alexis Simendinger and Al Weaver are the daily co-creators, so find us @asimendinger and @alweaver22 on Twitter and recommend the Morning Report to your friends. CLICK HERE to subscribe! *** It’s 2020! … The Senate’s impeachment trial date remains unknown … 32 days until the Iowa caucuses … 33 days until President Trump’s State of the Union address … 40 days until the New Hampshire primary ***  The Democratic primary field is hitting the homestretch of the pre-voting period as presidential candidates make final plans for first-in-the-nation primary contests in Iowa and New Hampshire. This week, candidates leading in recent polls are also trying to project dominance in the money chase as they announce fundraising totals after 2019 came to a close. With roughly a month until the Iowa caucuses, the primary debate swirls around four candidates who lead in current voter surveys and war chests: former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg.  According to Niall Stanage’s latest candidate rankings, Biden, despite sitting as a relatively weak frontrunner, remains in contention to accept his party’s nomination in Milwaukee six months from now. Despite multiple strikes against him, including trailing in the first two early primary states in recent polls, the former vice president continues to lead in national polling and, importantly, leads the president in head-to-head polling at a time when other Democratic contenders do not.  Behind Biden is Sanders, a fellow septuagenarian, who has turned in a strong stretch of campaigning. Buoyed by Warren’s downturn since late October, the Vermont Independent who tops polls in New Hampshire and is a tick behind Buttigieg in Iowa has the most financial might of anyone in the top tier.  Sanders announced this morning that he raised a whopping $34.5 million in the last three months of 2019, the highest fundraising number of the 2020 cycle on the Democratic side. According to the campaign, he has raised $96 million since launching his bid in February thanks to more than 5 million donations, with the average contribution at $18. In December alone, Sanders raised $18 million from 900,000 donors. “Bernie Sanders is closing the year with the most donations of any candidate in history at this point in a presidential campaign,” Faiz Shakir, Sanders’s campaign manager, said in a statement. “He is proving each and every day that working class Americans are ready and willing to fully fund a campaign that stands up for them and takes on the biggest corporations and the wealthy. You build a grassroots movement to beat Donald Trump and create a political revolution one $18 donation at a time, and that’s exactly why Bernie is going to win.”  Sanders’s campaign is looking to do something in Iowa it failed to do in 2016: win. He lost the Hawkeye State narrowly to Hillary Clinton four years ago before taking home New Hampshire a week later. The Associated Press: Sanders, 78, released details of his medical records this week indicating “modest heart muscle damage” as a result of his heart attack in 2019. As for Warren, who sits third in the Stanage rankings, it is far too early to count her out despite a rough couple of months, headlined by the constant attacks she faced over her “Medicare for All” plan. She continues to poll well in the two early states, but how she fares against Sanders will be the thing to watch moving forward. The candidate who emerges more intact after Iowa and New Hampshire will be well positioned to become the preferred choice of the left and the possible nominee.  Meanwhile, Buttigieg sits fourth in Stanage’s candidate rankings, with his hopes pinned squarely on Iowa. While the outgoing mayor leads there, his challenges elsewhere remain, including his continued struggles with African American voters.  The New York Times: Elizabeth Warren isn’t talking much about “Medicare for All” anymore. Jonathan Allen: Democrats’ 2020 split risks handing Trump a big advantage. With the turn of the new year, candidates have another opportunity to show off their readiness for coming months in the form of their bank accounts as they release their fourth quarter fundraising figures.  Buttigieg was first out of the gate on Wednesday, announcing that he raised nearly $25 million in the last three months of 2020. With figures in from him and Sanders, the wait is on for those from Biden and Warren.  Andrew Yang also revealed early Thursday that he raised $16.5 million in the fourth quarter, a big jump for his campaign after raising $10 million in the previous fundraising period (The New York Times).  Politico: Looking for an edge, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) chases Trump voters. The Washington Post: Michael Bloomberg’s business in China has grown. That could create unprecedented entanglements if he is elected president. On the other side of the aisle, the president remains in a strong position to win a second term in office, having set up a behemoth of an operation as he continues to battle over impeachment and a number of other issues that could have an effect on his chances. Pulling double duty, Stanage took a look at questions the president faces in his quest to retain the White House until 2024.  Chief among the questions is impeachment’s impact. It remains highly unlikely that the Senate will convict the president — no matter when the trial takes place — meaning that he will become the first president to be impeached and run for reelection in the aftermath. Despite impeachment being the top issue in the news since September, Trump’s approval numbers have remained static and have hardly budged, exhibiting the polarization of the electorate that remains hunkered down one way or another. Two other key issues for Trump center around the economy and the Democrats’ nominee this summer. Positive U.S. growth and a favorable employment picture will continue to boost Trump’s chances in November, while the Democrats’ eventual political standard bearer helps determine whether voters give the president a second term.  Trump is scheduled to return to Washington from Florida this weekend, days before his first reelection campaign rally of the new year, in Toledo, Ohio. He also plans to rally supporters in Milwaukee on Jan. 14 at the same time that Democratic presidential contenders gather in Des Moines for the first in a series of televised debates in 2020.  Reuters: Trump campaign raises $46 million in fourth quarter. © Getty Images  LEADING THE DAYINTERNATIONAL: In Iraq, militia fighters believed to be organized and backed by Iran, retreated across the Tigris River on Wednesday after days of clashes with U.S. and Iraqi security forces guarding the U.S. Embassy and personnel in Baghdad. No injuries were reported after protesters forced their way into a reception area at the U.S. compound and set fire to property while vandalizing some structures. “After achieving the intended aim, we pulled out from this place triumphantly,” said Fadhil al-Gezzi, a militia supporter. “We rubbed America’s nose in the dirt” (The Associated Press). American airstrikes on Sunday killed 25 fighters of an Iran-backed militia in Iraq, Kataib Hezbollah. The Trump administration said those U.S. strikes were in retaliation for last week’s killing of an American contractor and the wounding of American and Iraqi troops in a rocket attack on an Iraqi military base that the U.S. blamed on the militia. The U.S. strikes angered the Iraqi government, which called them an unjustified violation of its sovereignty. With tensions high, Trump threatened a “big price” for this week’s violence, which he blamed on Iran. He ordered about 750 U.S. soldiers to be deployed to the Middle East as about 3,000 more prepared for possible deployment within days (The Associated Press). Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who was scheduled to visit Ukraine later today along with four other countries this week, on Wednesday postponed his travel to remain in Washington to monitor the situation in Iraq (PBS). The president is not scheduled to return to Washington from his estate in Florida until Sunday. © Getty Images  > North Korea: The timing of new challenges in Iraq and North Korea is critical, writes David Sanger of The New York Times. “Both the Iranians and the North Koreans seem to sense the vulnerability of a president under impeachment and facing reelection, even if they are often clumsy as they try to play those events to their advantage,” he reported. “Kim Jong Un’s declaration on Wednesday that the world would ‘witness a new strategic weapon’ seemed to be the end of an 18-month experiment in which Mr. Trump believed his force of personality — and vague promises of economic development — would wipe away a problem that plagued the last 12 of his predecessors.” Trump on Tuesday said he was still optimistic about diplomatic efforts with Kim, even as the North Korean leader warned the president that denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula will never happen (CNN). Trump and Kim last met in June. The president’s former national security adviser John Bolton, who has been sharply critical of Trump’s stance on North Korea, tweeted on Wednesday that the United States should resume military exercises with South Korea and hold hearings to determine U.S. troop readiness on the Korean Peninsula in the wake of Kim’s assertion that he can violate a ban on testing nuclear weapons (The New York Post).  Meanwhile, United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, through a spokesman, is said to be “deeply concerned” about North Korea’s threats to resume weapons tests (Reuters). Reuters: Faster rockets, more warheads: What North Korea could gain from new weapons development. IN FOCUS/SHARP TAKESCONGRESS & ADMINISTRATION: Lawmakers will be facing a lengthy to-do list in the coming days as they return to Capitol Hill to kick off the second half of the 116th Congress, fresh off of voting on impeachment in the House and as the process is set to move to the Senate.  Jordain Carney took a look at five high-profile fights to keep an eye on, headlined by impeachment, which is expected to be taken up by the Senate. However, the timing remains in flux as Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) withholds sending the two articles of impeachment to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), who is expected to hold negotiations in the near future over the parameters of a Senate trial.  Democrats continue to push for key witnesses to be included in a Senate trial, which is expected to consume much of the January floor schedule, boxing out all other items from coming to the upper chamber during that time, including judicial nominations and the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which passed the House just before the holidays. Bloomberg News: Pelosi and McConnell begin 2020 in standoff over Trump impeachment trial. The Hill: Ten senators to watch on Trump impeachment trial. Carl Hulse, The New York Times: McConnell, master of the blockade, plots impeachment strategy. NPR: Trump impeachment trial turns spotlight on White House lawyer Pat Cipollone. Once impeachment wraps, the USMCA is expected to be the next item on the agenda, as it has already garnered bipartisan support in the House, where it was overwhelmingly passed. The Senate Finance Committee is scheduled to mark up the trade deal on Tuesday, and Senate GOP leaders expect they’ll ultimately be able to pass the USMCA early this year. Passage of the landmark trade deal will require only a simple majority instead of the 60 votes normally needed for advancing legislation, and likely hand the president a key victory in an election year.  Among the other items to watch are drug pricing, surveillance reform and government spending, even though a funding package was signed into law before Christmas break. However, the process will take only a short break before they start work on fiscal 2021, which could be a fraught topic as the presidential race heats up.  Administration policy to watch continues to be vaping. The president told reporters at his New Year’s Eve celebration at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Fla., that the federal government will announce new rules to combat underage use of e-cigarettes.  Trump said the federal plan seeks to protect families, children and the industry, adding the government will likely take “certain flavors” of e-cigarettes off the market “for a period of time” (NBC News). While returning to his Florida estate on Wednesday, Trump’s motorcade was greeted with protesters dressed in T-shirts that said, “We vape, We vote.” They waved signs that said, “Don’t ban my vape,” and “Freedom to Vape.”  The Hill: Trump signs law to cut down on robocalls.  The Wall Street Journal: Surging Amtrak seeks green light from Congress. The Hill: Trump signs bill to eliminate rape kit testing backlog. OPINIONIn 2020, will Democrats embrace vanilla? by George F. Will, opinion columnist, The Washington Post. https://wapo.st/36eZS6E Already had plenty of Trump 2020? He’s a bad show, but it’s not low-flow, by Gail Collins, opinion columnist, The New York Times. https://nyti.ms/2sD52Lf WHERE AND WHEN📺 Hill.TV’s “Rising” program features Jermaine Johnson, campaign chairman in South Carolina for Yang’s presidential bid; The Hill’s Senate reporter Jordain Carney, who discusses the latest on the pending impeachment trial; and Jamie Kilstein, host of the “Jamie Kilstein Podcast,” who unpacks the political news of the day. The TV coverage starts at 9 a.m. ET at http://thehill.com/hilltv or on YouTube at 10 a.m. at Rising on YouTubeThe House holds a pro forma session at 10 a.m. and convenes next Tuesday, when the second session of the 116th Congress meets. The Senate holds a pro forma session that begins at 6:30 p.m. and returns to work at noon on Friday. The next votes in the chamber are scheduled on Monday.  The president continues his holiday break in Palm Beach, Fla. ELSEWHERE➔ Supreme Court: In his annual year-end report, Chief Justice John Roberts touted the independence of the judiciary and the role of U.S. judges in promoting civic education. “In our age, when social media can instantly spread rumor and false information on a grand scale, the public’s need to understand our government and the protections it provides is ever more vital,″ he wrote. Roberts will serve this year as the presiding judge at the president’s Senate impeachment trial (The Associated Press). … And here’s all you need to know about seven significant Supreme Court cases to watch in 2020 (The Hill). ➔ Drug prices: Pharmaceutical companies are hiking the costs of hundreds of drugs as the new year begins. More than 250 medications are more expensive today than earlier this week, according to data analyzed by health care research firm 3 Axis Advisors. Reuters published its list on Tuesday. Soaring U.S. prescription drug prices will continue to be a central issue in this year’s presidential campaign (Reuters).  ➔ Boeing: Airbus, which is headquartered in France, surpassed Boeing to beat its own goal with 863 jet deliveries in 2019, Reuters reported. For the first time since 2011, Airbus is the world’s largest planemaker, seizing the crown from embattled U.S. rival Boeing. ➔ Vatican: Pope Francis apologized on Wednesday for becoming visibly frustrated and swatting away the hand of a fellow admirer of the nativity scene in St. Peter’s Square. Francis’s remarks came during his homily at New Year’s Day mass, saying that he lost “patience” on Tuesday with a woman who pulled him (The Associated Press). In the homily, Francis spoke out against violence toward women, likening it to profaning God and saying that they should be more involved in decision making at high levels (The Associated Press). © Getty Images  THE CLOSERAnd finally … Analysts are divided about whether the GOP tax overhaul of 2017 — which eliminated many tax deductions for middle-income Americans and doubled standard deductions — is depressing charitable giving. United Way believes the law effectively discourages donations and wants Congress to restore deductibility for all filers. Smaller, local charities are concerned about what they see as a giving gap, even with a healthy economy and robust stock market. Wealthy donors give, but those earners with modest means may have less of a financial or tax incentive to contribute a percentage of their income to various charities (CNBC). Rising income inequality, tax changes and the pace of the U.S. economy are being studied for their impacts on charitable giving, and some experts worry that donations could become “increasingly dominated by a small number of very wealthy individuals and foundations,” according to the “Gilded Giving 2018” report by the Washington, D.C.-based Institute for Policy Studies (The Deseret News, Utah). © Getty Images  The Morning Report is created by journalists Alexis Simendinger and Al Weaver. We want to hear from you! Email: asimendinger@thehill.com and aweaver@thehill.com. We invite you to share The Hill’s reporting and newsletters, and encourage others to SUBSCRIBE! TO VIEW PAST EDITIONS OF THE HILL’S MORNING REPORT CLICK HERETO RECEIVE THE HILL’S MORNING REPORT IN YOUR INBOX SIGN UP HEREMORNING REPORT SIGN UPFORWARD MORNING REPORTPrivacy Policy  |  Manage Subscriptions  |  UnsubscribeEmail to a friend  |  Sign Up for Other NewslettersThe Hill 1625 K Street, NW 9th Floor, Washington DC 20006©2020 Capitol Hill Publishing Corp., a subsidiary of News Communications, Inc.

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CONSERVATIVE DAILY NEWS

CDN’s Daily News Blast delivers the day’s news first!View this email in your browserCDN Daily News Blast01/02/2020Excerpts:President Donald Trump’s Schedule for Thursday, January 2, 2020By R. Mitchell -President Donald Trump has no public events on his schedule for Thursday. The president and first lady are spending the holiday at Mar-a-Lago. Happy New Year everyone. Keep up with Trump on Our President’s Schedule Page. President Trump’s Itinerary for 1/2/20 – note: this  page will be updated during the …President Donald Trump’s Schedule for Thursday, January 2, 2020 is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
Read on »

Corey Lewandowski Will Not Run For US Senate Seat in 2020By Chuck Ross -Former Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski said Tuesday he will not run for Senate in New Hampshire, where he was considering a challenge of Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen. “After much consideration I have decided to forgo a campaign for the US Senate,” Lewandowski wrote on Twitter. “While taking on a …Corey Lewandowski Will Not Run For US Senate Seat in 2020 is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
Read on »

Sarah Palin Seeks NYT Advertising Revenue As Libel Lawsuit Heads Toward TrialBy Kevin Daley -Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin filed a new complaint in her libel lawsuit against The New York Times, after the paper published an editorial that falsely linked Palin to the 2011 shooting of former Democratic Rep. Gabby Giffords. The new filing, which proceeds a jury trial that will begin in …Sarah Palin Seeks NYT Advertising Revenue As Libel Lawsuit Heads Toward Trial is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
Read on »

Happy New Year 2020 – Grrr Graphics – Ben Garrison CartoonBy Ben Garrison -HAPPY NEW YEAR 2019 was a momentous year for us at GrrrGraphics. We celebrated the 10th anniversary of creating editorial cartoons with our “Big Book Of Ben Garrison Cartoons,” which was a huge success! In May, we sent the ‘Big Book’ off for printing. All signed and numbered copies were …Happy New Year 2020 – Grrr Graphics – Ben Garrison Cartoon is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
Read on »

Homeland Security Chief Orders Review Of State Laws Allowing Driver’s Licenses For Illegal AliensBy Jason Hopkins -Chad Wolf, the acting secretary of the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), ordered a review of state laws that allow illegal aliens to obtain driver’s licenses and restrict data sharing with federal immigration authorities. Wolf on Tuesday ordered all of the components of DHS to conduct a department-wide review of …Homeland Security Chief Orders Review Of State Laws Allowing Driver’s Licenses For Illegal Aliens is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
Read on »

Watch: President Trump Speaks to Reporters on New Year’s EveBy R. Mitchell -President Donald Trump spoke to reporters on New Year’s Eve to deliver a statement on securing the U.S. Embassy in Iraq and answer questions on impeachment. Content created by Conservative Daily News and some content syndicated through CDN is available for re-publication without charge under the Creative Commons license. Visit our …Watch: President Trump Speaks to Reporters on New Year’s Eve is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
Read on »

   See all breaking news, conservative commentary, political cartoons and more posted to CDN at our Home Page.    Follow on TwitterFriend on FacebookAdd on Google PlusCopyright © 2020 Conservative Daily News, All rights reserved.


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LIBERTY NATION

 Daily BriefingCONSERVATIVE NEWS | LIBERTARIAN NEWS | COMMENTARYVISIT LibertyNation.com  FROM OUR NEWSROOMTop 20 Conservative News Sites to Read in 2020By Liberty Nation StaffThe results are in! Who makes it into the top 20 this year?Click Here What America’s ThinkingJust 10% of American adults consider New Year’s Day to be one of our nation’s most important holidays.48% of likely U.S. voters approve of President Trump’s job performance, compared with 46% who approved of Obama’s during the same period in his presidency.60% of Democrats see Trump’s removal from office as unlikely, although that compares to 81% of Republicans and 78% of voters not affiliated with either major political party.In Florida and Virginia match-ups, only Joe Biden has the edge over President Trump in the race for the White House. Political Horse Race: The 2020 Battle BeginsBy Mark AngelidesThe runners and riders enter the home stretch, but who has the lead?Click Here Washington WhispersComing down the pipeline:Pete Buttigieg announced that his presidential campaign raised more than $24.7 million in the fourth quarter of last year.The DHS called for a departmentwide study of how recent state laws allowing undocumented immigrants to obtain driver’s licenses impact federal enforcement capabilities.Protesters at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad are withdrawing and declaring victory after camping outside the compound all night.The judge overseeing Hunter Biden’s paternity case, Don McSpadden, recused himself without reason on Tuesday, just days after a private investigation firm sought to intercede in the case.  Read One of Our BooksBy Liberty Nation StaffSic Semper Tyrannis: The Uprising of the Common ManClick Here Your Daily Political DevotionalA Glimpse at What’s Hot in the PolitisphereA mass of stories predicting President Trump’s downfall in 2020 has begun creeping onto the web. Each one laments the state of the nation under this presidency and confidently predicts that although Trump will survive the impeachment trial, he will be turned away by voters at the ballot box. Perhaps they need to start looking at their own polls to realize that voters see impeachment as a partisan attack from a party that has failed to ignite the electorate. Offering nothing but spin is no way to win an election. Trump Earns Plaudits for Contributions to Native AmericansBy Kelli BallardUsually and unfairly lambasted as a racist, Trump has righted a number of historical wrongs for indigenous tribes.Click Here News RoundupWe’ve Surfed The Web for YouThe Decade’s Top 10 Most Spectacular Falls From GraceCalling All Patriots: New Year, New Interviews — What Media Figures Do You Want Us To Sit Down With, And What Should We Ask?Texas Sheriff Warns of Active ‘Explosives’ in Adjacent Mexican Border CityNew year promises heightened scrutiny for Supreme Court and its hot-button docketWhy It’s Time To Shut Down The Scandal-Plagued U.N. Palestinian Refugee Program Prosecutors Run Sex Charge Blitz on Robert KraftBy Scott D. Cosenza, Esq.The billionaire New England Patriots owner may soon face felony charges.Click Here  WATCH NOWFEATURED LNTVLNTV: Virginia’s Second Amendment Skirmishes Continue – WATCH NOW!LNTV: Democrats’ Post-Impeachment Blues – WATCH NOW!LNTV: Philadelphia is Changing How Heroin is Treated in the USA – WATCH NOW! The Uprising Podcast: Bonne Année! Check out one of our podcasts!Subscribe and get notified of new arrivals.SUBSCRIBELNTV: Philadelphia is Changing How Heroin is Treated in the USA – WATCH NOW! Check out one of our videos!View the latest Liberty Nation videos on YouTube.WATCH NOW
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BRIGHT

Share with a friend you think would love this!Thursday, January 2, 2020



The ‘Anti-Benghazi’
On Tuesday, a mob of Iran-backed militiamen (not just “mourners” or “protestors” as you may have heard) attacked the U.S. embassy in Baghdad. From Fox News:

“The two-day crisis started early Tuesday, when, in an orchestrated assault, hundreds of protesters stormed the embassy compound, one of the most heavily fortified U.S. diplomatic missions in the world.As the militiamen cleared the area, smoke still rose from a section of the compound building where hours before they had lit a fire on the roof.The violent protests, which included smashed windows and sprayed graffiti on the embassy’s walls, were said to be in protest of the deadly U.S. airstrikes that targeted an Iran-backed militia over the weekend, killing 25 fighters. In turn, those strikes had been in response to a rocket attack on an Iraqi Army base that killed a U.S. contractor and injured several American troops.The protests prompted the Pentagon to send hundreds of additional troops to the Middle East.”

On Tuesday night, over 100 Marines arrived at the embassy to help with security. President Trump tweeted, “The U.S. Embassy in Iraq is, & has been for hours, SAFE! Many of our great Warfighters, together with the most lethal military equipment in the world, was immediately rushed to the site. Thank you to the President & Prime Minister of Iraq for their rapid response upon request Iran will be held fully responsible for lives lost, or damage incurred, at any of our facilities. They will pay a very BIG PRICE! This is not a Warning, it is a Threat. Happy New Year!” He added, “The Anti-Benghazi!”

By Wednesday afternoon, the mob and their tents left the embassy compound.

BRIGHT’s Tuesday Editor, Erielle Davidson, wrote for The Federalist on the media lying about the attacks on the embassy:“The New York Times has labeled the attackers “mourners” responding to the U.S. strikes, while the front page of the first Washington Post edition of 2020 labeled them “protesters.” The latter is a particularly pernicious mislabeling. The media has done its best to conflate the attacks with anti-Iran protests that have been happening across Iraq for the last three months, but of course those actual protesters are pro-Iraqi sovereignty demonstrators fed up with the corruption and the broad perception that the Iraqi government is controlled by Iran.

Confirming exactly that accusation, the Iraqi government has repeatedly attacked the anti-Iran protesters, killing hundreds and wounding thousands, while giving a free pass and ready access to the Iran-backed fighters who stormed our embassy.

The media’s goal is to characterize the protests as a wholesale rejection of Trump’s policies in the region, hence the wall-to-wall disinformation about mourning and protesting. What’s actually at stake is Obama’s legacy. The Iran Deal was a bargain in which Iran would be handed control over the Middle East in exchange for some temporary limitations on nuclear activities.


As Obama said, the Saudis — by which he meant Sunnis across the region — would just have to learn to “share the neighborhood” with Iran. The attack on our embassy shows what sharing the region actually means, and the anti-Iran Iraqi protesters are saying they reject it.”

Remembering Bre
“As we approach the year marking her death, those dark days feel like just yesterday. When Kat and I first returned to the apartment the three of us used to share, Cindy, Bre’s incredibly strong mother, asked if we could find any usernames and passwords to Bre’s accounts — the logistical part of having someone ripped from your life without warning.As we searched for them, we stumbled across one of her journals. Not surprisingly for a writer, she had pages and pages of them. We flipped through to find what we were looking for, but discovered that most of the pages were filled with Bre’s prayers.As we sat on the bedroom floor of our dear friend we wouldn’t see again in this life, we read a few of her entries that reflected the heavenly source of her strength and courage that we admired so much. This one moved me the most…”

Read more.

What I’m Reading This Week
Nothing like a new year to remind us that change is constant! This week I’m reading what has become a classic, Who Moved My Cheese? by Spencer Johnson. At only 95 pages, I’m sure it will be a quick and easy read! From the description: “Cheese is a metaphor for what you want to have in life – whether it is a good job, a loving relationship, money or a possession, health or spirital peace of mind. And the maze is where you look for what you want – the organisation you work in, or the family or community you live in. This profound book from bestselling author, Spencer Johnson, will show you how to anticipate change, adapt to change quickly, enjoy change and be ready to change quickly again and again. Discover the secret for yourself and learn how to deal with change, so that you suffer from less stress and enjoy more success in your work and in life.”

Thursday Links
Ready to get organized in 2020? Read “7 Tips for Tidying From Marie Kondo’s Hit Netflix Show” (The Federalist)

Three Reasons Most New Year’s Resolutions Fail (The Political Insider)

The Best Movies of the 2010s (The Federalist)

The Year in Cancel Culture (Reason)

The Best Instagram Recipes from 2019 (HuffPo)

The Decade’s Top 10 Most Spectacular Falls From Grace (The Federalist)
BRIGHT is brought to you by The Federalist.Copyright © BRIGHT, All rights reserved.

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AXIOS

Skip to contentAxios AMSubscribeBy Mike Allen

Happy Thursday! Wishing you and yours the 2020 of your dreams.

  • Today’s Smart Brevity™ count: 1,173 words … 4½ minutes.

1 big thing: States will be battlegrounds for 2020 tech fights

Illustration of a laptop computer with binary code in the shape of the United States
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

The tech industry’s most consequential policy fights in 2020 will play out in the states, not Washington, Axios’ Kim Hart and Margaret Harding McGill write.

  • Why it matters: Momentum on a range of tech issues, from online privacy to regulating the gig economy, has stalled in D.C. amid impeachment and the presidential election. State leaders and legislators are filling the void. 

Policy fights that have shifted to the states.

  1. Privacy: California’s landmark consumer privacy law took effect yesterday, and other state legislatures are considering their own privacy efforts amid a stalled attempt in Congress on a bipartisan national law. Industry watchers expect to see privacy legislation come up in New York, Washington and Illinois in 2020.
  2. Net neutrality: California and Vermont are facing litigation over their attempts to impose their own net neutrality regulations after the FCC repealed the Obama-era open-internet rules. New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said he intends to advance statewide net neutrality legislation.
  3. Gig-economy labor: California is starting to implement a new law that codifies a state Supreme Court ruling making it hard for companies to treat gig economy workers as independent contractors rather than employees. New Jersey recently fined Uber for allegedly misclassifying drivers as independent contractors and not employees.
  4. Facial recognition: California has a three-year ban on police departments using facial recognition on body cam footage, and the cities of San Francisco and Berkeley have banned the use of the technology by local government. Boston suburbs Brookline and Somerville have also implemented bans.
  5. Home-sharing: Legislatures in some states, including Tennessee and Arizona, have passed laws placing restrictions on short-term-rental sites like Airbnb.

On antitrust, there may well be federal action. The Justice Department and FTC have both opened competition probes into major tech companies. But the states are throwing their own weight around as well.

  • Attorneys general from 50 states and territories, led by Texas, launched a joint antitrust investigation into Google.
  • New York is leading a coalition of 47 states investigating Facebook.
  • New York and California are leading the multi-state effort to block the T-Mobile-Sprint merger, which was blessed by federal regulators.

What to watch: Cities are also asserting their power on these issues and, in the process, either fighting or trying to shape state-level laws that often preempt city-level ordinances.

  • Cities are taking the lead on regulating e-bikes and e-scooters, and ride-hailing firms like Uber and Lyft.

Between the lines: The major players would much prefer national rules, to forestall a patchwork of different state laws.

  • The bottom line: States will be the focus of corporate lobbying while Washington is distracted.

Share this story.

2. Trump’s missing ingredient: fear

Satellite view of U.S. embassy compound in Baghdad (top half of pic). Smoke rises from gate (center, across street from reddish structure). Photo: Maxar Technologies via AP

Neither Iran nor North Korea — the twin war threats we told you about yesterday — seem to fear President Trump, “precisely the critique he leveled at Barack Obama,” the N.Y. Times’ David E. Sanger writes:

  • Why it matters: “Both the Iranians and the North Koreans seem to sense the vulnerability of a president under impeachment and facing re-election, even if they are often clumsy as they try to play those events to their advantage.”
  • The big picture: While the showdown with Iranian-backed protesters in Baghdad “seemed to be under control, it played to Mr. Trump’s longtime worry that American diplomats and troops in the Middle East are easy targets and his longtime position that the United States must pull back from the region.”

3. 📈 Long view of the markets

Data: LPL Research, Bloomberg, Ned Davis Research. Reproduced from LPL Research. Table: Axios Visuals

This was a good — but not the best — decade for the stock market, Axios’ Dion Rabouin writes.

4. Pics du jour: 82nd Airborne deploys

750 Army infantry soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division’s Immediate Response Force deployed from Fort Bragg, N.C., to Kuwait, after the embassy attack in Iraq, with 4,000 more expected this week, Military Times reported.

  • Here’s what it looked like:

Photo: Melissa Sue Gerrits/The Fayetteville Observer via AP

Above: Equipment is loaded onto a C-17 transport at Fort Bragg yesterday.

Below: Soldiers board a C-17.

Photo: Melissa Sue Gerrits/The Fayetteville Observer via AP

And in Kuwait, Marines in the Special Purpose Marine Air-Ground Task Force-Crisis Response-Central Command (SPMAGTF-CR-CC) deploy to Iraq:

Marine Corps photo by Sgt. Robert G. Gavaldon via AP

5. Bernie’s record

Emerson Limberger and Marion Limberger at a Sanders rally on New Year’s Eve in Des Moines. Photo: Stephen Maturen/Getty Images

Bernie Sanders announced that he pulled in $34.5 million during 2019’s last three months, the biggest single quarter for any 2020 Dem so far this cycle.

Other early-bird announcements:

  • Pete Buttigieg$24.7 million, capping off a $76 million haul for the year.
  • Andrew Yang$16.5 million, with $1.3 million from New Year’s Eve alone.

🚨 Flashback to Dec. 27: “Elizabeth Warren’s campaign told supporters in an email … that, so far, it has raised just over $17 million in the fourth quarter.” (CNBC)

6. 🏀 David Stern built NBA into global power

At the NBA draft in New York on June 19, 1984, NBA commissioner David Stern is flanked by No. 1 pick Hakeem Olajuwon (right), to the Houston Rockets, and No. 2 pick Sam Bowie, to the Portland Trail Blazers. Photo: Marty Lederhandler/AP

Former NBA commissioner David Stern, who died yesterday at 77, unquestionably is why the league is so successful today, AP basketball writer Tim Reynolds reports.

  • Why he mattered: He was the NBA’s commissioner for exactly 30 years — from Feb. 1, 1984, through Feb. 1, 2014 — and turned a league that was having its biggest games shown on tape delay into the multibillion-dollar global juggernaut that it is today.
  • Stern took the league from 23 to 30 teams, built a bridge to China, and championed the birth of the WNBA and NBA TV.

Magic Johnson said“David Stern was such a history maker. When I announced in 1991 I had HIV, people thought they could get the virus from shaking my hand.”

  • “When David allowed me to play in the 1992 All Star Game in Orlando and then play for the Olympic Dream Team, we were able to change the world.”

7. Boeing to further automate flying

Boeing’s manufacturing line in Renton, Wash. Photo: Ted S. Warren/AP

Boeingplans to transfer “more control of aircraft from pilots to computers after two crashes exposed flaws in an automated system on its 737 MAX,” the Wall Street Journal’s Andy Pasztor and Andrew Tangel report (subscription).

  • Why it matters: “[S]uch changes … seek to address the fact that average pilots may not react to problems … as quickly or proficiently as designers traditionally assumed.”

8. AI beats radiologists

“Google Health has developed a system that can identify breast cancer more accurately than radiologists,” the Financial Times reports (subscription).

  • “In a paper published in the scientific journal Nature, experts from Google Health, Alphabet’s DeepMind unit, and U.K. and U.S. universities showed the AI model reduced both false positives, in which patients are wrongly told they have cancer, as well as” misses.
  • Why it matters: “Screening mammograms is known to be imperfect, failing to detect about one in five breast cancers, according to the American Cancer Society.”

“But doctors still beat the machines in some cases,” the Wall Street Journal notes.

9. 🇨🇭 Trump to meet elite

President Trump plans to head to Davos, Switzerland, later this month for the World Economic Forum after skipping last year because of the shutdown, CNN reports.

  • The administration will attend in force: A White House press release yesterday announced that the delegation will be led by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, and will include Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, Labor Secretary Eugene Scalia, Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao, Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, and Chris Liddell, deputy chief of staff for policy coordination.

🎰 First look: CES — the largest tech event in the world, in Vegas next week — will welcome Ross, Chao and Energy Secretary Dan Brouillette, along with more than 150 government officials from the U.S., Europe and Asia.

10. 1 fun thing

Photo: Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

New Year’s Day polar-bear plunges have become a global phenomenon.

  • Swimmers wearing Santa hats and other costumes braved 40-degree water for the Coney Island plunge off Brooklyn (above), which dates to 1903.
  • Other plunges: Boston (its 117th year) … North Beach, Md. … La Jolla, Calif. … Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island, Canada … Perth, Ontario, Canada … Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (100 years, with one swimmer plunging every year starting when she was 3) … The Hague, Netherlands … South Queensferry, Scotland … Gdansk, Poland (Baltic Sea) … and Germany (Berlin Seals Association).

Plunge in.

📬 Thanks for starting 2020 with us! Please tell a friend about AM/PM.

THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

Washington Examiner’s Examiner Today NewsletterView this as website ADVERTISEMENT
HIGHLIGHTSKarl Rove says Biden is only 2020 Democrat who can defeat TrumpPompeo postpones Ukraine trip after attack on US Embassy in IraqMelania Trump says her New Year’s resolution is ‘peace on the world’ Sheriffs may go to jail to protect ‘Second Amendment sanctuaries,’ congressman says Kentucky Republican Rep. Thomas Massie thinks some local law enforcement leaders will be willing to go to jail rather than comply with state gun control laws they deem unconstitutional.  Arkansas judge in Hunter Biden paternity case mysteriously recuses himselfThe judge presiding over Hunter Biden’s paternity case abruptly recused himself from the case this week.  Iran-backed militia supporters withdraw from US Embassy in Iraq, ending siege Supporters of the Kataib Hezbollah militia who spent the night outside the besieged U.S. Embassy in Baghdad have begun leaving the area, likely marking the end of the siege.  ANALYSIS: Non-billionaire 2020 Democrats finding it tough to plan out Texas primary campaigns Math skills may be the most desired commodity for 2020 Democratic campaigns hiring to win the Texas Democratic primary. ADVERTISEMENT
 Pence and Pompeo lead growing Republican group looking past Trump to 2024The 2024 Republican nomination will be wide open, whether President Trump wins reelection this year or not. And several high-profile Republicans are already angling to succeed him.  The first woman to work in the White House Alice Sanger mustered her courage, put on her winter coat, and headed out the door early Thursday morning, January 2, 1890. The first day on a new job is always an anxious day. But it was doubly so for Alice. The 24-year-old walked through the columned north portico of her new place of employment, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, and was welcomed aboard by her new boss, the president of the United States.  Captain America actress charged with murder after mother stabbed to deathOfficers with the Olathe Police Department in Kansas arrested 38-year-old Mollie Fitzgerald on charges of second-degree murder for allegedly stabbing her mother inside her home.  ‘Especially tragic’: Fire at German zoo leaves more than 30 animals dead A fire broke out at a zoo in Germany, resulting in the deaths of most of the animals in the monkey enclosure.  Netanyahu asks Israeli parliament for immunity from prosecution Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu asked the country’s parliament to grant him immunity from prosecution in several corruption cases.  Philly restaurant owner accuses antifa of vandalism after Proud Boys allegation A Philadelphia restaurant was vandalized in the early hours of New Year’s Day, and the owner has accused antifa of being responsible for the damages.  Texas nurse killed by celebratory gunfire during New Year’s fireworks A woman celebrating New Year’s Eve with her family died after she was shot by celebratory gunfire, according to Texas police. THE ROUNDUPAnti-American protests in Iraq show Iranian influenceFirestone tires built Liberia’s economy. Now, painful layoffs are sowing fear for the futureWhy Pete Buttigieg enrages the young leftADVERTISEMENT

   

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AMERICAN THINKER

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Baghdad shows the Left can’t keep its stories straight
Jan 01, 2020 01:00 am
Faced with an event in Baghdad superficially similar to the Benghazi attack in 2012, Leftists attacking President Trump are unwittingly criticizing President Obama.  Read more…
So the leader of U.S. embassy attack in Iraq was a guest in the Obama White House?
Jan 01, 2020 01:00 am
And it’s not like they didn’t know that terrorism was what this guy did, either.  Read more…
Daily Beast helping Andrew McCabe spin his crime
Jan 01, 2020 01:00 am
We just got a preview of how the media are going to spin the crimes committed by the Russia Hoax coup plotters.  Read more…
From people’s pope … to mean old man
Jan 01, 2020 01:00 am
Coinciding with his slide toward open socialism, it’s as if a mask has come off…  Read more…
Yes, Joe Biden really is that dumb
Jan 01, 2020 01:00 am
A report from Southwest Pennsylvania, where the Republican Party would like to make Joe Biden our Republican Campaigner of the Year.  Read more…
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REALCLEARPOLITICS


01/02/2020Share:      Carl Cannon’s Morning Note2010s in Review; Big Beer’s Big Foot; Marshall Law

Good morning. It’s Thursday, Jan. 2, 2019, the first business day of the new decade. Five years ago, Barack Obama welcomed in the New Year by promising “a year of action.” Given the exigencies of election-year politics, this prediction proved even more elusive than the 44th  president’s additional New Year’s resolution: that he would try to be “nicer” to the White House press corps.It was a generous thought, nonetheless, albeit one I don’t expect to hear from the current occupant of the Oval Office (or vice versa). Perhaps President Obama was feeling magnanimous because he’d spent Christmas in Hawaii, the place of his birth, and had reconnected with the “aloha” spirit. Awaiting him upon his return to our nation’s capital, however, was the annual end-of-the-year report from Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts, which detailed the detrimental effects of partisan budget gamesmanship on the federal judiciary.This year, another momentous task almost certainly awaits the chief justice: presiding over a Senate impeachment trial.On this date in 1801, a former chief justice told an outgoing president why he would not accept another appointment to head the high court. This refusal created a crisis for the Federalist Party, and for the nation, but John Adams rose to the occasion. His second choice as chief justice would go on to establish the concept and practice of an independent judiciary.I’ll have more on John Jay and John Marshall in moment. First, I’d point you to RealClearPolitics’ front page, which presents our poll averages, videos, breaking news stories, and aggregated opinion pieces spanning the political spectrum. We also offer original material from our own reporters, columnists, and contributors, including the following:*  *  *Worst Foreign Policy Disasters of the 2010s. Daniel DePetris’s list is in RealClearWorld.New Year’s Resolutions for Concerned Catholics. George Weigel has these suggestions in RealClearReligion.Books That Defined the Decade. RealClearBooks offers perspectives from The Guardian, Washington Examiner and elsewhere.RealClearLife’s Best of … All Sorts of Things From 2019. InsideHook provides this wide-ranging assessment of the year we’ve left behind.Big Beer Threatens Commodities Status Quo. In RealClearMarkets, Kevin Kearns reports on major breweries’ efforts to give the Commodities Futures Trading Commission power to set aluminum prices.*  *  *John Marshall followed George Washington into battle, serving as an officer in the Revolutionary War, and then followed him into politics as well. Marshall heeded Washington’s call to run for Congress in 1799, winning that election, but was soon tapped by President Adams to be secretary of state.In January 1801, with the Federalist era coming to an end, Adams tried to persuade famous patriot John Jay to accept another appointment as chief justice of the Supreme Court. But Adams’ entreaties failed.Jay had been a delegate to both the first and second Continental Congress, an ambassador to Spain, and the new nation’s first secretary of foreign affairs (later changed to secretary of state). In 1789, President Washington nominated Jay as the first chief justice of the United States, a job Washington said, that “must be regarded as the keystone of our political fabric.”Jay was confirmed unanimously in the Senate and served for six years before stepping down to become governor of New York. But when Adams offered Jay his old job back, he was rebuffed, and in a way that revealed the tenuousness of the new form of government still taking shape on these shores.“I left the bench perfectly convinced that under a system so defective it would not obtain the energy, weight, and dignity which was essential…nor acquire the public confidence and respect, which, as the last resort of the justice of the nation, it should possess,” Jay wrote Adams on this date in 1801. “Hence, I am induced to doubt both the propriety and expediency of my returning to the bench under the present system.”Jay’s central objection was that the Constitution didn’t exactly spell out the high court’s authority, nor specifically state whether Congress or the executive branch must consider its rulings to be binding. Jay wasn’t wrong, exactly, but he wasn’t the right man for the job — not this time. That calling would fall to John Marshall, the Virginian who thought highly of George Washington, so highly that when Washington’s former vice president asked him to fill the vacancy as chief justice, he consented.Adams’ “midnight appointments” to the judiciary were challenged by the incoming Jefferson administration. Notably, however, President Jefferson did not challenge the appointment of John Marshall. This would prove wise. Marshall’s impeccably reasoned Marbury v. Madison opinion established the concept of judicial review that Jay had found lacking.John Marshall served 34 years as chief justice. If John Adams had done nothing else in his career — and he did plenty — he would have justified his place in history with the Marshall judicial appointment alone.Carl M. Cannon
Washington Bureau Chief
RealClearPolitics
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THE FEDERALIST

Your daily update of new content from The Federalist
Be lovers of freedom and anxious for the fray
January 2, 2020
Exclusive: The Inspector General Missed Yet Another Lie From The FBIBy Margot Cleveland
Much has been missed, including one significant misrepresentation contained in all four of the Carter Page FISA applications—an inaccuracy even the IG’s team overlooked.
Full articleNo, Combat Troops In The Middle East Don’t Counter China’s RiseBy Daniel L. Davis
Chinese activity beyond its borders does not inherently threaten America. The twin narratives of Trump ‘abandoning’ the Middle East and any Chinese presence as a threat to America are false.
Full articleA New Year’s Resolution For The Left And Never Trump: Apologize To Devin NunesBy Margot Cleveland
Rep. Devin Nunes succeeded in exposing numerous problems with FISA applications, later confirmed by Inspector General Michael Horowitz. For this, he was slimed.
Full articleGig Economy Bans Would Put Freelance Writers Like Me Out Of BusinessBy Nicole Russell
Vox Media announced they will be cutting hundreds of freelance writers to prepare for Assembly Bill 5 to go into effect in California at the start of the new year.
Full articleThe Top 10 Binge-Worthy Shows Of The DecadeBy Paulina Enck
I’ve chosen ten of the best series made in the 2010s, in no particular order, that are ideal for binge-watching, along with being absolutely excellent shows.
Full articleIt’s Statistically Impossible For The FBI’s Spygate Errors To All Be MistakesBy Jason Beale
Perhaps this wasn’t actually the most statistically improbable perfect storm of innocent oversights and clerical errors, all of which worked against Carter Page.
Full articleWhy The Right Shouldn’t Just Abandon America’s Cities To The LeftBy Nathanael Blake
Conservatives need to address urban concerns and try to bridge the growing rural-urban divide, rather than just denouncing cities as the malign foil of real America.
Full articleThe Economist Has Given Up On LiberalismBy Jeremy Lott
Even as The Economist drifts further and further into progressivism and away from the liberalism of its founding, it still claims to be liberalism’s true, authentic voice.
Full articleNBA Mourns Loss Of Former Commissioner David SternBy Nicole Fisher
At the age of 77, former NBA Commissioner David Stern has passed away, according to the National Basketball Association, following a brain hemorrhage he suffered in December.
Full articleThe Media Is Lying About The Attacks On The Embassy In BaghdadBy Erielle Davidson
Media figures are lying about Tuesday’s attacks on the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad. Why?
Full article




MERRY CHRISTMAS!
On Christmas Eve 1941, in Washington on a diplomatic mission to organize the support of Britain’s American allies in the efforts to stop the Nazi menace, Winston Churchill was offered the opportunity to address the American people from The White House. America as a nation had been attacked like never before just weeks earlier, and the horrors of Pearl Harbor were on the minds of every patriot.

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 Explainer: How Impeachment Works and Why Trump Is Unlikely to Be RemovedBy Reuters, Thursday, January 2, 2020 7:35 AMWhat happens next? More Comments » Trump Re-Election Campaign Raises $46 Million in Fourth QuarterBy Reuters, Thursday, January 2, 2020 7:33 AMThe sum gives Trump a fundraising edge over a host of Democrats. More Comments » Trump Says Happy to Have a Trial in the Senate, but He Does Not Really CareBy Reuters, Thursday, January 2, 2020 7:31 AM“I don’t really care.” More Comments » Drug Lord ‘El Chapo’ Once Held as Much Power as Mexican President -Lopez ObradorBy Reuters, Thursday, January 2, 2020 7:29 AM“That made it hard to punish those who had committed crimes.” More Comments » Secretary of State Pompeo Postpones Ukraine Trip to Focus on IraqBy Reuters, Thursday, January 2, 2020 7:28 AMPompeo on Wednesday postponed a trip to Ukraine. More Comments » U.S. Democratic Presidential Candidate Yang Raises $16.5 Million in Fourth Quarter for BidBy Reuters, Thursday, January 2, 2020 7:27 AMThe total is expected to land him among the top fundraisers in the Democratic field. More Comments »
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THE BLAZE

View this email in your browser January 2, 2020 Trending now  Orthodox Jews seen open carrying firearms in New York after spate of anti-Semitic attacks  Two Orthodox Jewish teens attacked in New York City in less than 24 hoursMore from TheBlaze  West Virginia will fire numerous Division of Corrections employees after picture surfaces of cadets giving apparent Nazi salute  Greta Thunberg: I wouldn’t have ‘wasted my time’ by talking to President Trump  Chicago police will be ringing in the new year by protecting marijuana dispensary customers  Additional troops are headed to the Middle East in response to attack on US Embassy in IraqListen live to Blaze RadioTune in to the next generation of talk radio, featuring original content from hosts like Glenn Beck, Pat Gray, Stu Burguiere, Steve Deace and more!Start listeningOne last thing …NYC woman charged in multiple crimes — including anti-Semitic hate crimes — arrested for the third time in less than a weekA New York City woman who has become the poster child for local anger about a bail reform law set to go into effect on New Year’s Day was arrested … Read moreYou might like …    Got friends?FORWARD THIS EMAIL  © 2020 Blaze Media LLC. All Rights Reserved.You are receiving this email because you opted in to receive emails from Blaze Media.Privacy Policy | Manage your preferences | Unsubscribe8275 S. Eastern Ave, Ste 200-245Las Vegas, Nevada, 89123, USA

CHICAGO TRIBUNE

VIEW IN BROWSERJANUARY 2, 2020CHICAGOTRIBUNE.COMDAYWATCH1How the first day of legal weed unfolded across IllinoisTHURSDAY, JAN 2Illinois started off the new decade by embarking into the world of recreational marijuana, where people can buy the intoxicating plant legally and without a prescription. Across the Chicago area, thousands lined up — some before dawn — for a chance to buy marijuana legally for the first time. The day featured long lines, a few glitches — and lots of happy customers. Here’s a look at how the first day went down.Maybe it’s been a while. Maybe you’ve never indulged. Either way, here are some tips on getting high.Not able to make it to a dispensary on New Year’s Day? Here’s our map of where to buy legal weed.The era of legal weed has dawned in Illinois. See our full coverage here.2Homicides and shootings in Chicago decline for a 3rd straight yearTHURSDAY, JAN 2Homicides fell below 500 last year in Chicago for the first since 2015, marking the third consecutive year of double-digit decreases, official Police Department statistics show. The department said that 492 people were killed last year, a 13% drop from 567 in 2018 and the fewest since 490 in 2015. The number of shooting victims fell as well, though shy of double-digit levels. For the full year, 2,611 people were shot, an 8% decline from 2,838 in 2018. The continued drop in violence for 2019 marked a significant turnaround for Chicago from a disastrous 2016 when nearly 780 people were slain and more than 4,300 people shot, the most violent year in two decades.  3Meet the mayor’s top City Council criticTHURSDAY, JAN 2A former skycap for Southwest Airlines armed with a mile-high contrarian streak, Ald. Raymond Lopez is a complicated figure in Chicago politics with ties to numerous political organizations. Known to some of his colleagues as “Showpez” and “Lil Burke,” Lopez is a fast talker who asks sharp questions at committee hearings, and had the best attendance of anyone on the City Council last term, according to a WBEZ and Daily Line analysis. Critics, however, say Lopez is a publicity hound who nitpicks Lightfoot to gain attention and privately whisper that he’s in the middle of a proxy war between the mayor and Ald. Edward Burke.4In apparent appeal to Trump, Blagojevich argues today’s Democrats would have impeached LincolnTHURSDAY, JAN 2Disgraced former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich rang in the new year by penning an editorial for a conservative website arguing that current House Democrats who have impeached President Donald Trump also would have tried to impeach Abraham Lincoln. While the piece does not mention Trump by name, it’s an apparent continuation of his public campaign to win clemency from the Republican president.  5Why hometown developers are putting money in other cities: ‘We love Chicago but are super nervous’THURSDAY, JAN 2After years of luring corporate headquarters downtown, altering the city’s skyline and transforming once-fringe neighborhoods, some of Chicago’s best-known developers are taking a new approach for 2020 and beyond. They’re lining up real estate investments in other cities. Investing in multiple cities is nothing new for larger developers. But new concerns about the cost of doing business in Chicago, whether real or perceived, could hurt the local economy in the long run.6Chicago is replacing thousands of street lights with energy-efficient LEDs. But are they any better?THURSDAY, JAN 2In 2017, the city started swapping out orange-glowing sodium vapor lights used for decades with energy-efficient LEDs, which create a whiter radiance. When the project is complete in 2021, the city will have replaced 270,000, or 85%, of its streetlights. As of mid-December, 185,000 fixtures had been replaced, saving the city $100 million over 10 years in electricity costs. But the new fixtures use more of the shorter wavelength “blue” portion of the visible light spectrum, and studies have shown that exposure to artificial sources of blue light can disrupt sleep patterns. The new lights also have changed the look of the city, and not everyone thinks it’s for the better.  7What you need to know about the 2020 census — and why it matters for IllinoisTHURSDAY, JAN 2You might have seen the various slogans: “Everyone Counts!” “Be Counted.” “Shape Your Future.” It’s all part of a multipronged approach trying to ensure that as many people as possible take part in the 2020 census, which begins in Illinois days before the state’s March 17 primary election. For the first time, households will be able to participate in the federal questionnaire by using their phone, tablet or computer. Here’s what else you need to know.Counting everyone is of particular concern in Illinois, which has seen a population decline for the sixth year in a row and has lost more residents since 2010 than any other state.8Who should try Dry January and who shouldn’t?THURSDAY, JAN 2The holiday parties are over, the New Year’s resolutions are in and many likely revolve around a healthier 2020. For those who may have been overserved during December’s festivities, or are just looking for a challenge, that could include cutting out the glass of wine with dinner or the cocktails during nights out with friends. Dry January has become an annual trend in the past several years, prompting many to abstain from alcohol for the inaugural month of the year. But does it work? Here are five things to know.advertisement
  UNSUBSCRIBE   |   NEWSLETTERS   |   PRIVACY POLICY   |   TERMS OF SERVICECopyright © 2020 | Chicago Tribune | 160 N. Stetson Ave., Third Floor, Chicago, IL 60601ABOUT THIS EMAIL You received this email because you are following the Daywatch newsletter.

NOQ REPORT

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2020 wishlist: Pompeo to the Senate, Cruz or Cotton to StatePosted: 02 Jan 2020 04:47 AM PSTMike Pompeo has been a pleasant surprise as Secretary of State. He’s perfectly aligned with President Trump’s foreign policy and seems to be representing us with the appropriate level of force necessary from the nation’s top diplomat. But as we move into an election season with a thin hold on the Senate, it makes sense […]The post 2020 wishlist: Pompeo to the Senate, Cruz or Cotton to State appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
Michael Bloomberg isn’t just trying to buy voters. He’s signaling delegates.Posted: 02 Jan 2020 03:57 AM PSTMega-billionaire Michael Bloomberg is trying to buy the Democratic nomination. This much is clear by the fact that he’s already on pace to outspend President Obama’s entire 2012 run by Super Tuesday, and he’s only been in the race for five weeks. To win the nomination, he doesn’t have to convince a majority of voters. […]The post Michael Bloomberg isn’t just trying to buy voters. He’s signaling delegates. appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
Ron Howard describes Hollywood’s flaws while describing President Trump. Twitter reacts appropriately.Posted: 02 Jan 2020 12:47 AM PSTHollywood actor and director Ron Howard has been playing the role of his lifetime in recent months. He’s not doing it in front of or even behind the camera. This time, he’s using his fame and influence to regularly attack President Trump, matching the rhetoric we hear across Tinseltown. The entertainment industry, which is heavily […]The post Ron Howard describes Hollywood’s flaws while describing President Trump. Twitter reacts appropriately. appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
Peace through strengthPosted: 02 Jan 2020 12:00 AM PSTWHERE WERE YOU? First, please read my article from June 22, 2019. APPEASEMENT IS A SIGN OF WEAKNESS “Peace for our time.” Statement by Neville Chamberlain after meeting with Adolf Hitler, September 30, 1938 “Each one hopes that if he feeds the crocodile enough, the crocodile will eat him last. All of them hope that […]The post Peace through strength appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
Allen West: Four quotes to remember for 2020Posted: 01 Jan 2020 09:46 PM PSTLTC (Retired) Allen West brings us up to speed on what we are facing in the new decade, beginning with the direct connection between gun confiscation and the left’s socialist national agenda. The essence of the collectivist ideologies is the concentration of power in the hands of a governmental elite. This is done with the […]The post Allen West: Four quotes to remember for 2020 appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
10 Most Important Conservatives of 2019Posted: 01 Jan 2020 05:24 PM PSTWe wanted to hand out some accolades so we can recognize real conservatism in action. Conservatism is not owning the left. It’s supposed to be a movement of preserving the principles our nation was founded upon. Therefore, we are recognizing those who accomplish measurable achievements towards this goal. You will notice that there is no […]The post 10 Most Important Conservatives of 2019 appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
War with Iran is avoidable, so let’s avoid itPosted: 01 Jan 2020 03:36 PM PSTThe events that continue to unfold in Iraq and across the Middle East are discouraging. Iraq is a quagmire we never should have invaded. Our need to be in Afghanistan died with Osama bin Laden (who ended up being in Pakistan). Our continued presence in Syria is confusing at best. We have interests in the […]The post War with Iran is avoidable, so let’s avoid it appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
War with Iran would be bad, but may be unavoidablePosted: 01 Jan 2020 07:49 AM PSTThere are very few situations in which I ever advocate for the use of military force in an offensive manner. A foreign government ordering attacks on Americans happens to be one of them, and that’s exactly what Iran is on the verge of doing. What’s happening in Baghdad right now is their last-ditch effort to […]The post War with Iran would be bad, but may be unavoidable appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
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POLITICO

POLITICO Playbook: Why holding the impeachment articles might not matter

By JAKE SHERMAN and ANNA PALMER 

01/02/2020 08:55 AM EST

Presented by The U.S. Chamber of Commerce

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell may not need House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to send over the ariticles of impeachment in order to hold a trial. | J. Scott Applewhite/AP Photo

DRIVING THE DAY

HAPPY NEW YEAR, and thanks to Blake for filling in the last few days. Welcome to an election year.

HERE’S A LITTLE BIT OF FOOD FOR THOUGHT: What if it doesn’t matter if Speaker NANCY PELOSI sends over the impeachment articles?

SENATE MAJORITY LEADER MITCH MCCONNELL can actually conduct an impeachment trial even if Pelosi never sends the articles, should he choose, many people in the Capitol and legal community believe. Congress returns next week.

ELI HONIG, a former federal prosecutor and CNN analyst, described it this way when Jake appeared with him on SiriusXM the other day: The Constitution stipulates other instances when things must be “transmitted” to the Senate — such as the ratified results of the electoral college vote. It never says anything like that when it comes to impeachment. So, McConnell can hold a trial without the articles. The majority leader has been mum about his intentions thus far, but has said that impeachment will lead to acquittal — something nearly all Capitol watchers believe.

HERE’S WHAT YOU SHOULD WATCH for in the coming weeks: The senators who have expressed some level of discomfort with the impeachment process and McConnell have not laid out firm demands. If they say something like, “We will oppose the rules for any impeachment trial that doesn’t include X,” that will be something you should pay attention to. Discomfort is a feeling, not a strategy or demand.

CASH DASH … 4Q FUNDRAISING HAULS: TRUMP: $46 million, $102.7 million on hand … SANDERS: $34.5 million … YANG: $12.5 million

Good Thursday morning.

DUE IN DAVOS this year: Jared and Ivanka. The U.S. delegation also includes: “Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, Labor Secretary Eugene Scalia, Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao and Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer” + “Keith Krach, undersecretary of State, and Christopher Liddell, assistant to the president, will also be there Jan. 20-24.”

MARKETWATCH — WSJ: “Global Stocks Launch Higher After Chinese Easing Move,” by Caitlin Ostroff: “Global stock markets got off to a strong start on the first trading day of the year after China’s central bank announced a fresh dose of monetary policy easing.”

A message from The U.S. Chamber of Commerce:

The House of Representatives passed harmful legislation, H.R. 3, that imposes government set price controls on prescription drugs. This legislation could eliminate over 700k American jobs. Tell Congress: You don’t have to destroy American jobs to lower drug costs. Learn more.

FOGGY BOTTOM READS …

— WAPO: “Supporters of Iranian-backed militia end siege of U.S. Embassy in Baghdad,” by Mustafa Salim in Baghdad and Liz Sly in Beirut: “The siege by supporters of an Iranian-backed militia at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad ended Wednesday after the militia ordered them to withdraw, bringing relief to the diplomats trapped inside and averting a potential showdown between the United States and Iran.

“Supporters of the Kataib Hezbollah militia who had spent the night camped outside the embassy dismantled their tents and marched out of the area, saying they would instead continue to press for the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq in the nation’s parliament.

“‘Yay! We burned them!’ they chanted as they headed away from the embassy, a reference to the fires set by the demonstrators that charred two embassy reception areas Tuesday.

“The retreat signaled an end to a crisis in which thousands of angry militia supporters attempted to storm the embassy Tuesday, protesting the deaths of 25 militia members in U.S. airstrikes Sunday. Those strikes were conducted in retaliation for the death of a U.S. contractor in a rocket attack the U.S. military blamed on Kataib Hezbollah.” WaPo

— NYT, A1 … BIG SWING FROM DAVID SANGER“Trump Bet He Could Isolate Iran and Charm North Korea. It’s Not That Easy”: “President Trump entered the new year facing flare-ups of long-burning crises with two old adversaries — Iran and North Korea — that are directly challenging his claim to have reasserted American power around the world.

“While the Iranian-backed attack on the United States Embassy in Baghdad seemed to be under control, it played to Mr. Trump’s longtime worry that American diplomats and troops in the Middle East are easy targets and his longtime position that the United States must pull back from the region.

“In North Korea, Kim Jong-un’s declaration on Wednesday that the world would ‘witness a new strategic weapon’ seemed to be the end of an 18-month experiment in which Mr. Trump believed his force of personality — and vague promises of economic development — would wipe away a problem that plagued the last 12 of his predecessors. The timing of these new challenges is critical: Both the Iranians and the North Koreans seem to sense the vulnerability of a president under impeachment and facing re-election, even if they are often clumsy as they try to play those events to their advantage.”

— AP: “Baghdad embassy attack prompts Pompeo to delay Ukraine visit”: “Pompeo was to arrive in Ukraine late Thursday in his first visit to the country at the center of President Donald Trump’s impeachment, then on to Belarus, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Cyprus.

“He delayed the trip ‘to continue monitoring the ongoing situation in Iraq and ensure the safety and security of Americans in the Middle East,’ State Department spokeswoman Morgan Ortagus said Wednesday. She said he intends to reschedule soon.” AP

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LIVE FROM PRISON, IT’S BLAGO! …. CHICAGO TRIBUNE’S ELVIA MALAGÓN: “In apparent appeal to President Trump, imprisoned Rod Blagojevich argues today’s Democrats would have impeached Abraham Lincoln”

A message from The U.S. Chamber of Commerce:

The House voted for a bill that could eliminate over 700k American jobs. Congress: Don’t destroy American jobs to lower drug costs. Learn more.

2020 WATCH …

— “‘We’re busy’: Sanders gets cold shoulder from New Hampshire unions,” by Trent Spiner in Concord: “The labor unions that powered Bernie Sanders to a decisive victory here in 2016 are declining to get on board his campaign this time around — a potential warning sign for the neighbor-state senator’s hopes of a repeat performance.

“One of the largest labor groups, which represents more than 10,000 New Hampshire state employees, broke with its national leadership when it issued an early endorsement of Sanders in the 2016 primary. Electrical workers joined a coalition of other unions to turbocharge the Sanders turnout operation that year.

“Now, both organizations are remaining on the sidelines, refusing to pick a single candidate when several would suit them fine. Sanders is going to great lengths to lure their support — his campaign recently offered a free steak dinner to union members and hosted a rally for state employees who are fighting for a new contract. But nothing has moved the needle.

“‘There’s a lot of candidates talking about what he talked about last time,’ said Rich Gulla, the president of SEIU 1984, which represents the state’s employees. ‘Look at the field and look at the polling. I could talk to a dozen different members and get a dozen different responses on who they like. There’s just too many in the field right now to narrow that down.’” POLITICO

— “Looking for an edge, Klobuchar chases Trump voters,” by Trent Spiner in Gorham, N.H.

— “Bloomberg’s business in China has grown. That could create unprecedented entanglements if he is elected president,” by WaPo’s Michael Kranish

TRUMP’S THURSDAY — The president has nothing on his public schedule.

POLITICO TECH AT CES – We are bringing a special edition of the POLITICO Tech newsletter to CES 2020. Written by Nancy Scola and Cristiano Lima, the newsletter will take you inside the largest and most influential technology event on the planet, featuring every major and emerging industry in the technology ecosystem gathered together in one place. The newsletter runs from Jan. 6 – 10 and will focus on the public policy related aspects of the gathering. Sign up today to receive exclusive coverage of the Summit.

PLAYBOOK READS

Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii) surfing
PHOTO DU JOUR: Democratic presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard surfs in the Atlantic Ocean, on Wednesday, Jan. 1, in Hampton, N.H. | Cheryl Senter/AP Photo

VIEW FROM THE C SUITE — “Recession Rises on List of CEO Fears for 2020,” by WSJ’s Rachel Feintzeig: “U.S. chief executives are getting worried about a recession.

“Fear of an economic decline topped the list of their concerns going into 2020, according to a survey from the Conference Board, a business research group. The year prior, recession fears ranked third for U.S. chiefs, though first overall for CEOs around the world—as is again the case for 2020. Going into 2018, the topic was barely a blip in the survey data.

“Last year, growth in gross domestic product globally slipped to 2.3% from 3% in 2018, and executives felt the pressure, said Bart van Ark, chief economist at the Conference Board. Uncertainty around a host of issues, from trade to climate change, has exacerbated their anxiety. …

“The Conference Board projects that global growth will accelerate slightly this year to 2.5%. The organization’s report accompanying the CEO survey warned that executive fears, justified or not, can have consequences for the economy.” WSJ

BEYOND THE BELTWAY — L.A. TIMES: “In newly blue Orange County, Democrats struggle over how far left is too far,” by Gustavo Arellano

A message from The U.S. Chamber of Commerce:

The House voted for a bill that could eliminate over 700k American jobs. Learn more.

INFERNO UPDATE — “Thousands flee Australia’s coastal towns as raging wildfires close in,” by WaPo’s A. Odysseus Patrick in Sanctuary Point, Australia: “An Australian navy troop carrier was preparing to evacuate up to 4,000 people trapped in a remote region of Victoria state by advancing wildfires that have consumed an area almost the size of West Virginia.

“The situation in Mallacoota — a beach town popular with families over the holiday season — is so dire that officials spent Thursday afternoon assessing who would be capable of climbing ladders from small boats to a navy ship anchored offshore, designed to carry 300 soldiers and 23 tanks.

“Those unable to climb the ladders and wishing to leave will be flown out by helicopter, although heavy smoke that has reached as far as New Zealand is making flying hazardous.” WaPo

— THE LOCAL POLITICAL TAKE: “People are looking for someone to blame and right now the PM’s in their sights,” by Chris O’Keefe in the generally centrist Sydney Morning Herald

MEDIAWATCH — California’s new privacy law is now in effect. Here’s a primer from CNN’s Kerry Flynn.

— THE NEWSEUM IS DEAD, but its popular online feature “Today’s Front Pages” is alive.

COMING SOON – GLOBAL TRANSLATIONS NEWSLETTER: POLITICO’s man about town Ryan Heath leverages the world’s biggest politics newsroom in Global Translations, a weekly newsletter that unpacks essential global news, trends, and decisions. From the most important gatherings of global influencers to hot button issues around the world, you’re not going to want to miss out on this fun and enlightened read. SUBSCRIBE TODAY.

PLAYBOOKERS

Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.

SPOTTED at a New Year’s Day brunch Wednesday at the home of Jonathan Silver and Melissa Moss: Tom Nides and Virginia Moseley, Antony Blinken and Evan Ryan, Stephanie Cutter, Roxanne Roberts, Gail MacKinnon, Margaret Carlson, Cathie Williams, Donald Graham, Capricia Marshall, Ruth Marcus, Gary Knell, Tamera Luzzatto and David Leiter, Jane Mayer and Bill Hamilton, Carol Melton, Shelby Coffey, Gordon Peterson and Anne Fleming.

TRANSITION — Ashley Chang is now director of program influence at the Rockefeller Foundation. She previously was head of communications for Renewvia Energy and is a former Obama appointee.

WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Max Bluestein, DHS deputy press secretary, and Valerie Bluestein, a Bethesda real estate agent with Heller Coley Reed, welcomed Brody Lev Bluestein on Monday, Dec. 30. Pic… Another pic

BIRTHWEEK (was Wednesday): Rep. Derek Kilmer (D-Wash.) is 46 (h/t Andrew Wright)

BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Annie Lewis, head of North America government, politics and advocacy advertising at Facebook. Some interesting books she’s been reading: “I’ve just finished ‘The Likeability Trap’ by the amazing Alicia Menendez. Alicia examines the conflicting dynamics of likeability and authenticity in the workplace — how to balance being ourselves, wanting to be liked, while also being taken seriously. For royal history aficionados, ‘The Quest for Queen Mary’ was another favorite 2019 read — an eclectic set of notes and zany observations from her official biographer’s research into her life, many of which could not be included in the rather staid official biography.” Playbook Q&A

BIRTHDAYS: Mike Sozan, senior fellow at CAP, is 51 … Judy Miller … Greg Mueller, president of CRC Public Relations … Erin Hughes, managing director at DCI Group … POLITICO’s Mike Zapler and Masango Ngole Ngeh … Will Jawando … NBC’s Cyrus Farivar … Lindsey Ross … Michael Webb is 54 … Christi Layman … Chris Hartline is 3-0 … Stephanie Woodrow … Rachel Perrone … former Rep. Henry Bonilla (R-Texas) is 66 … Jessica Cameron … Cheyenne Foster, federal affairs specialist at Koch Industries … Annie Starke, associate and policy adviser at Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck …

… John Thornton, executive chairman of Barrick Gold … James Tisch, CEO of Loews Corp., is 67 … Robert Wexler, president of the S. Daniel Abraham Center for Middle East Peace, is 59 … NYT’s Annie Tressler (h/t Jordan Cohen) … Scott Cullinane … APCO Worldwide’s Marc Johnson … Anna Wishart is 35 … John Bedford Lloyd is 64 … Lizzie Langer … Rachel Hicks, director of federal affairs and PAC at American Beverage Association … Jane Krause … Kelly Schulz … Douglas Faulkner … Alexa Barchuk … Faridon Abbas … Linda Gaumer … Craig Varoga (h/t Teresa Vilmain) … Kyle Gazis, a litigation associate at Davis Polk & Wardwell’s Washington office

A message from The U.S. Chamber of Commerce:

The House of Representatives passed harmful legislation, H.R. 3, that imposes government set price controls on prescription drugs. This legislation could eliminate over 700k American jobs, reduce spending on cutting-edge medical research, and negatively impact our world-class economy. Tell Congress: You don’t have to destroy American jobs to lower drug costs. Learn more.

REDSTATE

Strange New Developments in the Hunter Biden Child Support Case

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    READ STORY    Finally: A Democratic Congressman Admits the Dems Were Prepping for Impeachment Before Trump Was Even Elected

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NATIONAL REVIEW

WITH JIM GERAGHTYJanuary 02 2020The Undeniable Expense of Running for PresidentWelcome to 2020! We kick off this new year with a pleasant bit of news about the Morning Jolt. Everyone who wants to get this newsletter entirely in email form, and to not have to click through to the NR website after a few paragraphs, you now can get the Jolt completely in email form . . . if you subscribe to NRPlus. Hey, right now it’s just $40 per year, which comes out to about eleven cents a day. NRPlus gives you full access to the magazine and its archives, way fewer ads, a members-only Facebook page where I and other NR staff hang out, and early access and invitations to NR events. It’s definitely worth it, and particularly to that guy who stopped me at the farmer’s market to say he wanted the Jolt to go back to pure email form. He should have subscribed by now, if he hasn’t already.Today’s menu: An extremely tense situation around the U.S. embassy in Baghdad appears to have resolved itself peacefully, at least for now; Democratic candidates …   READ MORE
ADVERTISEMENTTRENDING ON NATIONAL REVIEW1.2.TOP STORIESNR PLUSThe Ten Best Movies of the 2010sBehold as I make my case with absolute metaphysical certitude (your results may vary, though). NEWSFBI Investigators Say McCabe Apologized for Lying about Clinton Probe Media Leak,…FBI investigators claim former deputy director Andrew McCabe admitted to misleading them about his involvement in …NEWSIran-Backed Militia End Siege of U.S. Embassy in BaghdadThe Defense Department deployed roughly 750 troops to Kuwait over the weekend as the violence at the embassy …WHAT NR IS READINGThe Case for Nationalism: How It Made Us Powerful, United, and FreeBY RICHARD LOWRY“A fascinating, erudite—and much-needed—defense of a hallowed idea unfairly under current attack.” — Victor Davis HansonLEARN MOREPODCASTSEpisode 184: The Best and the Worst of 2019   Episode 279: Virtue Politics by James Hankins PHOTOSTop Shots   New Year’s Celebrations VIDEOCharlize Theron Conflicted Playing Megyn Kelly in ‘Bombshell’   Trump’s Latest Call with Putin Raises Questions NRPLUS ARTICLESImpeachment Fallouts   Fed Study: Trade War Is Harming American Manufacturing Getting All Your NR?National Review subscribers get the full National Review.SEE MY OPTIONSADVERTISEMENT   Follow Us & Share19 West 44th Street, Suite 1701, New York, NY, 10036, USA
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