The Morning Dispatch: Iran Talks Begin

Plus: The CDC’s slowly evolving recommendations for the vaccinated.

Iranian diplomats arrive at the Grand Hotel Wien in Vienna. (Photo by Georges Schneider/Xinhua via Getty)

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Quick Hits: Today’s Top Stories

  • The United States kicked off indirect talks with Iran in Vienna on Tuesday, paving the way for the restoration of the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), or Iran nuclear deal. The two countries’ leaders will not convene in the same room, relying instead on mediators from Britain, China, France, Germany, and Russia.
  • President Joe Biden pledged on Tuesday that all Americans 18 and older will be eligible to receive a COVID-19 vaccine by April 19, moving his administration’s original May 1 goal up by nearly two weeks. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 41.7 percent of American adults have received at least one vaccine dose, and 24.4 percent are fully vaccinated. Among senior citizens 65 and up, 56.6 percent are fully vaccinated.
  • North Korea, citing concerns over the pandemic, became the first country to withdraw from the Tokyo Olympics set to kick off in July.
  • Israeli President Reuven Rivlin tasked Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with forming a new government following the country’s latest round of inconclusive elections. Netanyahu—on trial for corruption charges—will have six weeks to create a workable coalition.
  • Democratic Rep. Alcee Hastings of Florida died at the age of 84 following a battle with pancreatic cancer. Hastings spent a decade as a federal judge before being impeached for bribery and perjury, and went on to serve in the House of Representatives from 1993 through this week. Hastings’ death further diminishes Democrats’ House majority, which will stand at just 218-212 after Republican Julia Letlow is sworn in next week.
  • The United States confirmed 61,510 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday per the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard, with 4.2 percent of the 1,449,791 tests reported coming back positive. An additional 912 deaths were attributed to the virus on Tuesday, bringing the pandemic’s American death toll to 556,509. According to the CDC, 33,901 Americans are currently hospitalized with COVID-19. Meanwhile, 1,404,280 COVID-19 vaccine doses were administered yesterday, with 108,301,234 Americans having now received at least one dose.

U.S and Iran Kickstart Indirect Nuclear Talks 

Iran, the U.S., and a handful of European go-betweens convened in Vienna, Austria on Tuesday to take steps toward reviving the JCPOA, from which former President Trump withdrew the United States in 2018. Yesterday’s discussions came nearly seven weeks after the Biden administration’s initial push to formally restart negotiations with Tehran.

The Iranians have refused to speak directly to U.S. officials, so the talks—which are expected to continue later this week—were mediated by other signatories of the 2015 agreement, including Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia. Under the leadership of the European Union, the parties said Tuesday that negotiations will proceed through two working groups: One will urge Iran’s compliance with strict limitations on its nuclear program, the other will encourage the U.S. to lift the rigorous sanctions regime imposed on Iran by the Trump administration.

Though U.S. and Iranian diplomats did not speak directly to one another, special envoy to Iran Robert Malley is leading the U.S. delegation from a Vienna hotel. Malley—who served as a head negotiator for the first iteration of the JCPOA—told NPR ahead of negotiations that the status quo cannot stand, pointing to Tehran’s increased uranium enrichment and restrictions on International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) oversight. “We’ve seen the results of the maximum pressure campaign,” he argued. “It has failed.”

I’m Vaccinated. Now What?

The Great American Vaccination Drive continues to pick up steam, with an average of more than 3 million Americans now getting a shot every day. Nearly a quarter of the adult population has been fully vaccinated—a significant public health victory, particularly given that the immunized are, generally speaking, those at the highest risk of severe COVID illness or death.

For the most part, however, federal guidance for what the vaccinated can do with their shiny new pandemic immunity has continued to err on the side of caution. CDC recommendations permit an increasing number of private-space activities for the vaccinated, including maskless, non-distanced visits with other vaccinated people or with single households of unvaccinated people who are at low risk for severe COVID-19. But the CDC continues to recommend—and a majority of states still require—that vaccinated people practice social distancing and masking while in public.

For a while, the rationale for this was straightforward: There was still much we didn’t know about the exact nature of the immunity the vaccine bestowed. We understood from clinical trials that all the vaccine candidates offered protection against symptomatic disease, and even stronger protection against hospitalization and/or death. But there was always the chance that vaccination didn’t prevent infection with the virus. In other words, it was theoretically possible that vaccine-empowered immune systems were killing the virus well enough to prevent sickness, but not so well as to prevent all viral incubation and possible transmission to others.

A growing heap of evidence, however, has begun to suggest that’s not happening either—or at least not most of the time. Last week, a CDC report on preliminary transmission data found that a full course of either the Pfizer or Moderna vaccine provided 90 percent effectiveness against any infection, symptomatic or no.

Worth Your Time

  • Readers old enough to remember the 2012 election likely also remember the GOP’s “autopsy report” published soon afterward, assessing what went wrong and how the party could address its shortfalls going forward. Republicans lost again in 2020, but there’s been no formal effort by the RNC to embark on a similar undertaking. In a piece for FiveThirtyEight, Perry Bacon Jr. offers a few possible explanations for why that’s the case. The simplest reason, he argues, is that most who remain in the party are generally fine with the GOP’s direction. “The Republican Party has an activist base whose interests aren’t that compatible with pursuing a strategy that maximizes winning national elections,” he writes. “It is hard to see Republicans changing course, even if a meaningful minority of voters in the party wants changes, without some elite institutions and powerful people in the party pushing a new vision. And it’s hard to see real anti-Trumpism forces emerging in the GOP right now.”
  • The Biden administration is attempting to render its massive infrastructure package more palatable by paying for it with higher taxes on corporations rather than individuals. But as Ryan Young points out in a piece for National Review, all taxes are paid by people in one way or another. “Companies pass on their costs. Some of the tax is paid by consumers, who pay higher prices. Company employees pay some of the tax through lower wages. And investors’ retirement accounts pay some of the tax through lower returns,” he writes. “If lawmakers want something funded, they should tax people directly, so we can better see the connection between what we pay to the government and what we get from it in return.”
  • We’ve been pretty critical of the hyperbolic response to Georgia’s new voting law in recent days, but here’s one of the more thoughtful pieces you’ll read from the other side of the debate. “It is true that the ‘yes’ argument of President Biden and other Democrats [that the law is akin to Jim Crow] overstates similarities and greatly understates key differences,” Jamelle Bouie writes in the New York Times. “But the ‘no’ argument of conservatives and Republicans asks us to ignore context and extend good faith to lawmakers who overhauled their state’s election laws because their party lost an election. … The problem with the ‘no’ argument here is that it mistakes both the nature and the operation of Jim Crow voting laws. There was no statute that said, ‘Black people cannot vote.’ Instead, Southern lawmakers spun a web of restrictions and regulations meant to catch most Blacks (as well as many whites) and keep them out of the electorate.”

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Rapper will.i.amis teaming up with Honeywell to launch XUPERMASK, a $299 mask. In addition to dual 3-speed fans and HEPA filters, it features Bluetooth connectivity, LED day glow lights, noise-canceling audio capabilities and earbud dockingRapper will.i.am is selling a smart mask for $299CNN’s <a href=“https://www.cnn.com/profiles/brian-todd-profile” target=“_blank”>Brian Todd</a> reports on new guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention about masks and how they help prevent the spread of Covid-19.cnn.it

Toeing the Company Line

  • In this week’s edition of The Sweep, Sarah dives into the benefits of “paid press releases,” some primary challenges in the House, and the 2024 race for the GOP nomination. Stick around for Chris Stirewalt’s take on Georgia’s voting law and the MLB All-Star Game, and Audrey’s profile of Pete Snyder, a Republican candidate in Virginia’s gubernatorial race.
  • The wait is over: Former GOP Rep. Denver Riggleman joined Jonah on the latest episode of The Remnant for a conversation about Riggleman’s critiques of the Republican Party, his views on the primary system and the House Freedom Caucus, and yes, Bigfoot.
  • After David and his wife Nancy published their bombshell piece on Kamp Kanakuk last week—labeling what happened there “the worst Christian sex abuse scandal you’ve never heard of”—the president of Kanakuk Ministries sent a letter to families dismissing the report as “inaccurate, incomplete, and misleading.” It wasn’t. So David followed up in his Tuesday French Press. “There was a reason why Kanakuk used the phrase ‘overwhelming majority’ to describe the alleged amount of cooperation with victims,” he writes, responding to the letter. “The cooperation wasn’t universal. In at least one case Kanakuk tried to force a victim and his family to sign an agreement against their will, and they sought to punish the family with thousands of dollars in fines when they refused to agree to Kanakuk’s terms. We’ve obtained documents that illustrate the very ‘hardball’ the victims warned us against.”

Reporting by Declan Garvey (@declanpgarvey), Andrew Egger (@EggerDC), Haley Byrd Wilt (@byrdinator), Audrey Fahlberg (@FahlOutBerg), Charlotte Lawson (@charlotteUVA), Ryan Brown (@RyanP_Brown), and Steve Hayes (@stephenfhayes).