MORNING NEWS BRIEFING – SEPTEMBER 12, 2019

Good morning! Here is your news briefing for Thursday September 12, 2019.

THE EPOCH TIMES

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ALBERT EINSTEIN Good morning, 

Earlier this week it was revealed that the CIA extracted a source from Russia in 2017. The source had reportedly provided the CIA with information on alleged Russian election interference in 2016. 

Epoch Times contributor Jeff Carlson points out the questions that the news raises, including on how the CIA used the information it received, as well as whether the same spy provided information for the Steele dossier. 

Read the full article here

  Minimum Wage Hikes Result in Fewer Jobs for Youths

Supreme Court Allows Full Enforcement of Trump’s Asylum Policy

Hongkongers Pause Protests in Remembrance of 9/11

Trump Explains Why He Dismissed Bolton, Gives Timeline for Replacement

  Across the nation, many Americans marked the 18th anniversary of Sept. 11, 2001 terror attacks with a moment of silence and memorial services. Although years have passed, Americans are unable to forget the horror, pain, and confusion they experienced when terrorist-piloted planes crashed into the World Trade Center, the Pentagon, and on a field in Pennsylvania. Read more Facebook and Google, in the span of less than a week, have both been hit with antitrust probes as big tech companies face a renewed wave of scrutiny. Read more The head of the world’s foremost weather science organization issued a surprise rebuke to climate alarmists, marking what may be, according to some experts, one of the most significant developments in the climate debate in decades. Read more The defense team of Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, a former adviser to President Donald Trump, is pursuing an avenue that could reveal information crucial to discovering the basis—or lack thereof—for the Obama administration to surveil Trump campaign aides—a matter that has come to be known as “Spygate.” Read more Google’s connections to China have come under scrutiny after U.S. President Donald Trump in late July said his administration would look into allegations that Google was working with the Chinese government on projects that could threaten U.S. national security. Read more Parents are staging daily protests at the California state Capitol in Sacramento in the aftermath of Gov. Gavin Newsom’s signing of Senate Bills 276 and 714, which create new mechanisms for the government to regulate medical exemptions for vaccines. Read more
  See More Top Stories Attention: If you Currently Own or are Considering Buying Physical Precious Metals for your portfolio, please read carefully.

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Click here to claim your complimentary copy of our exclusive Bank Failure Survival Guide while supplies last Mandatory E-learning Is Yet Another Education Fad
By Michael Zwaagstra

Thomas Edison is considered one of the world’s greatest inventors. Some of his inventions include the incandescent light bulb, the phonograph, and the motion picture camera. No doubt Edison’s inventions have made the world a better place. Read more Consequences of Changing Genders Too Grave for BC Child to Comprehend
By John Carpay

In a recent decision, the British Columbia Court of Appeal ruled that it would not interfere with a lower court ruling that a female-born minor had given informed consent, at the age of 13, to take puberty blockers and receive testosterone injections. Read more
  See More Opinions The Trouble With the Trade Surpluses
By Valentin Schmid
(February 9, 2017)

Everything is about balance. Work-life balance, balanced relationships, a balanced diet. Economists also talk a lot about balance. A balanced budget or balanced trade. The Trump administration focuses less on a balanced budget, but is very concerned about balanced trade. At this moment, trade is very unbalanced, with the United States running a deficit of $531.5 billion with the rest of the world in 2015. Read more Newly released emails by the Department of Justice (DOJ) reveal details about the internal response by the agency to allegations that then-Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein had wanted to wiretap President Donald Trump and invoke the 25th Amendment against him. The Truth About the Rosenstein ‘Wiretap’ Allegation Copyright © 2019 The Epoch Times, All rights reserved.


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WASHINGTON FREE BEACON

Texas Dem Supports Decriminalizing Border Crossings By Collin Anderson Union of Concerned Scientists Pushed Climate Lawsuit Resolution Over Goal Line By Todd Shepherd Democratic Debate Preview: Why Your Candidate Is The Worst (Part 1) By Andrew Stiles Protesters Disrupt Trump Court Nominee Hearing By Charles Fain Lehman NY Times Reports ‘Airplanes Took Aim’ at World Trade Center on 9/11 By Alex Griswold Ossoff: It’s Not a Sign of Privilege to Run for Senate Despite Losing House Race By David Rutz Bishop Beats McCready in North Carolina Special Election By Nic Rowan Ex-Planned Parenthood Medical Director Backs Born Alive Bill By Graham Piro Georgia Democrat Appeared to Bolster Senate Campaign Email List Off Her Company’s Bankruptcy By David Rutz Son of 9/11 Victim Criticizes Omar at Ground Zero Ceremony By Nic Rowan You are receiving this email because you opted in at our website. Copyright © 2019 Free Beacon, LLC, All rights reserved.  To reject freedom, click here. Is this email not displaying correctly? View it in your browser.

THE DAILY SIGNAL

Sep 12, 2019
  Good morning from Washington, where critics pummel President Trump over his foreign policy. But the president doesn’t apologize for promoting individual freedom and national sovereignty, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo tells our Nolan Peterson. House conservatives have a new leader, Rachel del Guidice reports. On the podcast, our guest traces her journey from getting an abortion to advancing the pro-life movement. Plus: Virginia Allen on volunteers committed to helping Baltimore, and Star Parker on what Trump has done for black Americans. On this date in 1974, white residents of Boston hurl eggs, bricks, and bottles at school buses carrying black children as a court-ordered plan to integrate schools goes into effect.  
 
  Analysis ‘A Force for Good’: Pompeo Explains the Trump Administration’s Vision for America’s Role in the World “I and President Trump have a very different take” from President Obama, says Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. “Every place we go, America is a force for good. I believe that with all my heart.” More Commentary Black Americans Are Doing Great Under Trump Black unemployment is at an all-time low at 5.5%. The gap between black and white unemployment is also an all-time low. More Analysis She Had an Abortion at 19. Now She Helps Lead the Pro-Life Movement. “I knew that it would have to be fast because I was bonding. …I was actually talking with my baby as I was walking. But I went into that facility because I didn’t know where else to turn,” says Catherine Glenn Foster. More News Andy Biggs, New Chairman of House Freedom Caucus, Vows to Fight for Conservatives “We must fight against increased government spending and for a balanced budget. We must fight for border security and the elimination of all loopholes that incentivize illegal entry into this nation,” says Rep. Andy Biggs, R-Ariz. More Commentary Yes, Border Patrol Arrests Are Down But Our Immigration Policies Still Need Work The U.S. asylum system is easy to game. Many who enter illegally are able to pass the initial “credible fear” hearing and get released into the U.S. – but very few end up being granted asylum. More Special Feature Volunteer Cleanup Day Aims to Inspire Hope in Baltimore “I am here to clean up the city, which has been abandoned by political leaders. The city has just been left to crumble and decay,” says Greg Aselbekian. More  
   
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LARRY J. SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL

IN THIS ISSUE:

– Biden’s Challenge: Iowa and New Hampshire – The House’s Republican Bias: Does it Exist? BIDEN’S CHALLENGE: IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE
The schedule advantages Biden’s rivals, although it’s unclear if they can capitalize; NC-9 fallout
By Kyle Kondik
Managing Editor, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Perhaps the biggest threat to Joe Biden is the nominating calendar. — Biden is reliant on support from African Americans, but the electorates of the first two states, Iowa and New Hampshire, are almost entirely white. — However, even if one or more of Biden’s rivals best him in the leadoff states, they may not necessarily have much appeal to the crucial African-American voting bloc themselves. Iowa, New Hampshire, and Biden As Democrats prepare to debate tonight, the Democratic race remains largely as it has been. Joe Biden is leading, but the other candidates are preparing — and hoping — for him to eventually fall off. It is anyone’s guess as to whether this will actually happen. Democrats hoping for Biden to collapse may find themselves in the position of Donald Trump’s opponents from four years ago by acting out their own version of Waiting for Godot — anticipating the arrival of something that never actually arrives. If Biden retains his lead into next year, though, it may be that the thing that ultimately trips him up is the Democratic nomination calendar. While Biden’s lead is built on support from African Americans, hardly any black voters will participate in the first two contests: the Iowa caucus on Feb. 3 (the day after the Super Bowl) and the New Hampshire primary on Feb. 11. According to the 2016 exit polls, the Democratic electorates in both states were over 90% white. The opportunity that these two overwhelmingly white electorates present to the other candidates is obvious, based on the current demographic bases of support for Biden and his two current leading rivals, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. According to the most recent Economist/YouGov poll, Biden leads with about 40% among African-Americans nationally, while Sanders, Warren, and Kamala Harris are well behind at around 10% apiece. Meanwhile, Warren leads with white voters with 26%, with Biden (18%) and Sanders (16%) behind her. An ABC News/Washington Post poll released over the weekend tells a similar story: Biden was at 38% with the broader universe of nonwhite voters, with Sanders at 19% and Warren at 12%. Meanwhile, the three top candidates were all at around 20% with white voters. Biden’s team is already lowering expectations for Iowa and New Hampshire, and perhaps rightfully so. One would suspect Iowa and New Hampshire to be among the most challenging states in the country for a candidate like Biden given the racial disparities in his levels of support. The danger for Biden is that he might lose both states, which could prompt a ripple effect that would hurt him elsewhere. Nevada votes next, on Feb. 22, followed by South Carolina on Feb. 29. The Silver State will provide the first real test of the preferences of nonwhite voters (in 2016, its caucus electorate was split about 60% white to 40% nonwhite) and the Palmetto State will show how southern African Americans, a vital voting bloc, are leaning: That electorate should be about 60% black. Super Tuesday follows on March 3, and by March 17 about two-thirds of the delegates will have been awarded. The past two contested Democratic presidential nomination battles showed how Iowa and New Hampshire may — or may not — change the race. Hillary Clinton’s failure to sweep Iowa and New Hampshire helped open the door to Barack Obama in 2008, while Clinton’s narrow Iowa win and blowout New Hampshire loss to Sanders in 2016 did not really threaten her hold on the nomination. A key difference between Hillary Clinton’s main challengers in 2008 and 2016 was that Obama, as a dynamic African-American politician, had a lot of growth potential among black voters. Following his victory in Iowa, which showed his national viability, he turned this potential into reality, riding big margins with black voters to a narrow national victory over Clinton for the nomination. Eight years later, Clinton’s main opponent, Sanders, was unlike Obama in that he did not possess obvious appeal to African Americans. Clinton’s black support held in South Carolina and in later contests, and she won the nomination comfortably. One factor that might bolster Biden if he struggles in Iowa and New Hampshire is that if Warren and/or Sanders edge him out in those states, neither of those candidates may be able to capitalize on those victories by boosting their support with African-American voters, as Sanders failed to do in 2016. In other words, Biden may be able to survive losses in both states, although his potential ability to do so would be historically strange: Since 1976, nearly every nominee for either party won at least one of Iowa or New Hampshire. The sole exception was Bill Clinton in the 1992 Democratic contest, although that race deserves something of an asterisk because the other Democratic candidates (including Clinton) essentially forfeited Iowa in deference to home-state candidate Sen. Tom Harkin. The possibility exists that Biden could be the second. But this also points to intriguing other alternatives, such as the possibility that if Biden falters, his black support could become splintered — which might open up the path to the nomination for whichever one of Warren or Sanders comes out of Iowa and New Hampshire better positioned than the other — or perhaps migrate to someone other than Warren or Sanders. This possibility surely sustains the candidacies of African-American candidates Kamala Harris and Cory Booker, whose respective paths to the nomination are very much like Obama’s on paper: Win or exceed expectations in Iowa and/or New Hampshire, and boost their African-American support as a result. The problem for both is that, in addition to having to contend with the other, Harris and Booker are way behind Obama’s progress from 2007, where by this time in the race he had established himself as the clearest challenger to Clinton. Harris and Booker have done nothing of the sort, and they are languishing behind not just Biden, but others as well. The North Carolina fallout Republicans held the closely-watched do-over special election in NC-9 on Tuesday night, as Rep.-elect Dan Bishop (R) defeated veteran and 2018 nominee Dan McCready (D) by about two points. Both sides had reasons for optimism: Republicans held the district, and Bishop should have an easier time defending it as an incumbent next year and with presidential-level turnout. From that standpoint, Republican outside forces may not have to pump money into the seat, which means that they could use those resources elsewhere. Had McCready won, Republicans may have been able to reclaim the district next year, but it would have come at considerable expense. President Trump can also plausibly claim that his Monday night rally in Fayetteville helped push Bishop over the finish line, although specifically quantifying the effect of such rallies on any contest is difficult. Our new rating for NC-9 for next year is Likely Republican. Meanwhile, Democrats could point to McCready considerably outperforming Hillary Clinton’s 12-point loss there in 2016, which was a positive theme for Democrats in special elections last cycle. While the president’s efforts on behalf of Bishop may have helped, Trump’s overall unpopularity once again threatened GOP control of a district that is not as competitive on paper as Tuesday night’s result indicated. The result was fairly similar to that in last year’s OH-12 special election, a district that Republicans also narrowly held but where the Democrat ran about 10 points in margin ahead of Clinton’s 2016 showing. Those two races (OH-12 last year and NC-9 this year) were also similar in that Democrats shot out to early leads based on Democratic-leaning early votes, and Republicans made up sufficient ground on Election Day. That is the usual pattern in North Carolina and Ohio, as well as Florida and some other states. Republicans also ended up easily holding NC-3, the night’s other special election. In fact, Rep.-elect Greg Murphy (R) won by 24 points, matching Trump’s showing from 2016 and providing Republicans with a helpful data point. That race is Safe Republican for next year. One thing to watch in North Carolina going forward is whether Democrats attempt to use their power on the state Supreme Court to force a re-draw of the state’s Republican-drawn congressional gerrymander. The court just threw out the state’s legislative districts, although there might not be sufficient time for a similar lawsuit and ruling on the state’s congressional districts to impact 2020 elections. The NC-9 do-over wraps a bow (finally) on 2018’s House elections. In the end, Democrats won 235 seats and Republicans won 200. In 2016, Republicans won 241 seats and Democrats won 194, so the Democrats netted 41 seats from November 2016 to November 2018. To win the House back, Republicans will have to net 18 seats, although that number may actually be 19 — remember that Rep. Justin Amash (I, MI-3) left the GOP earlier this summer, meaning that Republicans will have to defeat him in order to be 100% sure that the seat’s occupant would back a Republican in the 2021 speaker vote. Table 1: Crystal Ball House ratings changes Member/District Old Rating New Rating Greg Murphy (R, NC-3) Likely Republican Safe Republican Dan Bishop (R, NC-9) Toss-up Likely Republican
THE HOUSE’S REPUBLICAN BIAS: DOES IT EXIST?
Two measures tell two different stories
By Seth Moskowitz
Guest Columnist, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Single-member districts, natural sorting, and gerrymandering are the origins of bias in the House of Representatives. — One form of bias consistently helps House Republicans, vindicating liberal concerns of a structural imbalance. Another form of bias reliably benefits the party that wins control of the House, disrupting claims of a Democratic disadvantage. — If Democrats keep their current 7.6% (53.8%-46.2%) lead in the two-party Generic Ballot through November 2020, they will probably hold the House and win more than the proportionate 53.8% of House seats (234 seats). Structural bias in the House The Republican Party’s structural advantage in federal elections has been well documented in liberal circles. Democrats argue that Republicans have so heavily gerrymandered the House that the institution’s legitimacy is at stake. But do Democrats really face a structural disadvantage in House elections? Two measures of bias — the Median District Bias and the Seat Bonus Bias — tell two different stories. The origins of bias The House’s biases stem from its composition of single-member districts. This conception of the House — 435 individual districts with one representative each — is not mandated by the Constitution. The Constitution stipulates that states have House representation proportional to their population and that each state receive at least one representative. As for elections, the Constitution says only that these representatives should be “chosen every second Year by the People of the several States.” Instead, it’s the Uniform Congressional District Act, a federal law passed in 1967, that requires single-member districts. Hawaii and New Mexico received exceptions to continue electing representatives at-large, but both have done away with the practice. The House is now uniformly composed of single-member districts. Single-member districts mean that a vote cast for a losing candidate will not be represented. Similarly, a vote cast for a candidate over the threshold needed to win is electorally useless. Both of these votes are, to use a harsh term, “wasted votes.” Democrats cast more wasted votes than Republicans due to an imbalance in how party members are distributed among districts. This imbalance is a result of both natural sorting and political gerrymandering. Natural sorting describes how members of the two parties are distributed across the country. Democrats are heavily concentrated in cities and urban areas; Republicans tend to be scattered among rural, exurban, and suburban districts. There are more districts with very high concentrations of Democratic voters than there are districts with very high concentrations of Republican voters. This Democratic density makes it easy to win individual seats but creates lots of wasted votes. Research by political scientists Jonathan Rodden and Jowei Chen, as well as Rodden’s new book, Why Cities Lose, show that geography and natural sorting are the root of Democrats’ electoral challenges. Political gerrymandering is the manipulation of electoral districts to favor one party over another. States where one party controls the process often attempt to maximize their party’s representation using tactics called “packing” and “cracking.” Packing is drawing districts to heavily overrepresent the opposition party, wasting as many votes as possible over the winning threshold. Cracking is the opposite: diluting the opposition’s voters into districts so they cannot reach the threshold. Most statewide gerrymanders are a combination of packing and cracking. Natural sorting and gerrymandering can only distort House representation away from the national popular vote because we use single-member districts. Together, single-member districts, natural sorting, and gerrymandering form the origin of bias in the House. The Median District Bias The Median District Bias estimates the margin by which a party needs to win the national popular vote (this analysis uses the overall House popular vote unless otherwise stated) in order to win control in the House. If you lined up all the districts from most Democratic to most Republican, the median House district would be directly in the middle: number 218 out of 435 if no third party or independent candidates won seats. This district would tip control of the House. The gap between this district’s margin and the national popular vote is the Median District Bias. Let’s take an example. In 2018, Democrats led the national popular vote by 8.6% (53.4% to 44.8%). Democrat Josh Harder won the median House district, California’s 10th, by 4.6% (52.3 to 47.7). If the whole nation voted 4.7% more Republican, Democrats would have lost CA-10 and control of the House while winning the national popular vote by 3.9%. So Republicans had a 3.9% Median District Bias. Uncontested districts change this analysis slightly. The national popular vote does not include voters who would have voted in the House elections but did not because there was no candidate from their party running. When these phantom voters are accounted for, Democrats still won the 2018 popular vote by 7.3%, which means Republicans had a 2.6% Median District Bias. Another way to avoid the problem of uncontested districts is to use the presidential popular vote instead of the House popular vote. Democratic and Republican voters will always have a candidate to support in that election even if they don’t in their district’s House election. Research by David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report tracks the Median District Bias using the presidential popular vote and shows a consistent Republican advantage (and Democratic disadvantage) over the last 50 years. The edge has increased from 2%-3% in the 1980s and 90s to nearly 6% in 2016, vindicating liberal concerns of a structural imbalance.  Explaining the Median District Bias The Republican Party’s efficient distribution of voters — a result of natural sorting and gerrymandering — is the root of their advantage in the Median District Bias. While Democrats run up big margins in deep blue districts, Republicans spread their votes out among swingier ones. In 2018, Democrats won 195 districts by 10% or more. Republicans won 151 such districts. Democrats had a disproportionate number of voters squeezed into 195 safe districts. While these voters drag the national popular vote leftward, they do nothing to change the median House seat’s margin. A second possible explanation is voter turnout. If one party disproportionately wins districts with a low turnout, that would lower its popular vote tally without affecting the median district’s margin. The data show the opposite of what we would expect given the Republican advantage in the Median District Bias: Democrats win the districts with the smallest turnouts. In 2018, Democrats won all 30 districts with the fewest votes cast. This stems from the demographics of the Democratic coalition: the party performs better with low-wage, minority, and young people. Democrats win the votes of these low-propensity voters, meaning that they win districts filled with these low-propensity voters and therefore win districts with low voter turnout. The Seat Bonus Bias Another measure of House bias is the gap between each party’s share of the national popular vote and their share of seats. This gap is called a “seat bonus.” In a perfectly proportional system, a party that wins 51% of the popular vote would receive 51% of the seats. The House, though, is decided by 435 individual elections rather than proportional allocation, making such a distribution of seats unlikely. In 2016, Republicans won 51% of the two-party House popular vote (which excludes third party and independent votes) and 55% of seats in the House (241 out 435). The Republican seat bonus, therefore, was 4%. Figure 1 shows Democratic and Republican seat bonus in the House from 1972 to 2018 using the two-party vote. The 1972 election marked the first full redistricting cycle after the Supreme Court’s “one person one vote” rulings in the 1960s, making it a good starting point for House analyses. Figure 1: House seat bonus using two-party vote, 1972-2018

SourceBrookings Vital Statistics on Congress; All data in the graph is rounded to the nearest 1%.

The figure shows two eras of Democrats bias (1972 to 1994 and 2006 to 2008) and two of Republicans bias (1996 to 2004 and 2010 to 2016). The 2018 midterms seem to have broken this last era favoring Republicans, but we need future election results to be sure.

These four eras line up with party control of the House. Democrats won majorities from 1972 to 1992 and 2006 to 2008 while Republicans did from 1994 to 2004 and 2010 to 2016. The party that wins the House almost always receives the seat bonus. Of the 24 congressional elections since 1972, only 1994 broke the trend. Over these 24 elections, the winning party got an average seat bonus of 6%. This bonus, however, has decreased from an average of 8% between 1972-1982 to 5% from 2008-2018.

Figure 2 is similar to Figure 1 above, but includes third party and independent votes.

Figure 2: House seat bonus using total vote, 1972-2018

SourceBrookings Vital Statistics on Congress; All data in the graph is rounded to the nearest 1%. In this graph, the trendlines for both parties are consistently a few percentages higher. When third party votes are included in the national popular vote, both Democrats and Republicans get a bigger seat bonus. The reason for this is clear: third party votes increase the raw number of votes, but rarely translate to real representation in the House. Democrats and Republicans both benefit from the Seat Bonus Bias when they win control of the House, disrupting claims of a Democratic structural disadvantage. The real penalty is on third parties and independents. Explaining the Seat Bonus Bias To explain the seat bonus, we need to know what dynamics boost a party’s share of House seats relative to its share of the national popular vote. Such explanations revolve around overperformance in swing seats. This is because small improvements in close races could push a party over the top to win these districts while barely registering in the national popular vote. Imagine that Democrats got a 3% boost in their 10 closest losses o­f 2018. They would have won each of those districts, increasing their House representation by 2% (10 seats out of 435) while boosting their national popular vote total less than 0.1% (around 40,000 votes out of 61 million): a seat bonus of 2.9%. So, what could cause this kind of overperformance in swing seats? First up: the incumbency advantage. In years when the House flips, the seat bonus is almost negligible (1994, 2006, 2018). But the following year — once the controlling party has the incumbency advantage in crucial swing districts — that seat bonus grows (1996, 2008, 2012, and maybe 2020). The incumbency advantage in swing seats will help the controlling party hold onto these seats even if its national performance suffers. In 1994, for example, Republicans won 54% of the two-party popular vote and 53% of House seats. The following election, their share of the popular vote fell to 50%, but they held onto 52% of House seats. This drop in the national popular vote (-4%) with a proportionally smaller drop in representation (-1%) translates to a 3% increase in seat bonus. However, the incumbency advantage does not account for every seat bonus. There must be other explanations. One lies in the sheer number of swing seats, defined here as those won by either party by less than 10%. This range — from +10% Democratic to +10% Republican — covers a scope of 20%. There were 88 such districts in 2018. Election margins on the whole can range from 100% Democratic to 100% Republican, a scope of 200%. Our definition of swing seats accounts for 10% (20%/200%) of all possible results. The 88 swing seats of 2018, though, make up 20% of all 435 House seats. This overrepresentation of competitive districts means that a small increase of a party’s national popular vote could flip a disproportionate number of close races. Another explanation is the “elasticity” of these swing seats. FiveThirtyEight explains elasticity as “how sensitive [a district] is to changes in the national political environment.” These 88 swing seats of 2018 have a mean elasticity score of 1.03 (and a median of 1.02), meaning that for every 1% change in the national popular vote, these seats will move an average of 1.03% in the same direction. And while this .03% gap may seem trivial, eight seats in 2018 were decided by less than one percent. This amplification in swing seats could push the winning party over the top in competitive races, giving them a seat bonus. Each of these factors — the incumbency advantage, the overrepresentation of swing seats and elasticity — and more contribute to the Seat Bonus Bias. Looking ahead to 2020 According to FiveThirtyEight’s aggregator and adjusting to exclude third party and undecided voters, Democrats lead the 2020 generic ballot 53.8% to 46.2%, a 7.6% margin. As I lay out on my personal blog, the generic ballot is pretty good indicator of the national popular vote. A 7.6% lead in the national popular vote would probably push Democrats past the Republicans’ Median District Bias, allowing them to hold onto the House. Democrats would also probably benefit from the Seat Bonus Bias, giving them more than 53.8% of House seats (234 seats). But it is still early. This number is bound to change over the next 14 months. And remember, the House is decided by 435 single-member districts, not the national popular vote. With single-member districts come natural sorting and gerrymandering that inject bias and unpredictability into the system. Which brings us back to the original questions: does this bias always work against Democrats, giving them a structural disadvantage in the House? The Median District Bias says yes; the Seat Bonus Bias says no. As with everything in politics these days, the answer comes down to the nature of your bias. Seth Moskowitz is the founder of the elections blog, EverySecondYear.com, which focuses on the U.S. House. He graduated from Emory University in 2017 and specializes in political and non-profit communications. Seth can be reached at s.k.moskowitz@gmail.com or on Twitter @skmoskowitz.
Out Now: The Blue Wave, the UVA Center for Politics’ book on the 2018 election Our new book on the 2018 midterm elections, The Blue Wave: The 2018 Midterms and What They Mean for the 2020 Elections, is now available from Rowman and Littlefield. Edited by University of Virginia Center for Politics Director Larry J. Sabato and Crystal Ball managing editor Kyle Kondik, The Blue Wave features top journalists, academics, and analysts who explore the 2018 midterm from all angles and look ahead to the monumental presidential election coming in 2020. Use code RLFANDF30 for 30% off at Rowman and Littlefield’s website. The Blue Wave features the following contributors and chapters: — Larry J. Sabato: The Blue Wave: Trump at Midterm — Alan I. Abramowitz: The Trump Effect: The 2018 Midterm Election as a Referendum on a Polarizing President — Rhodes Cook: The Primaries: Democrats Shine in the Shadow of Trump — David Byler: Humpty Dumpty’s Fall: How Trump’s Winning Presidential Coalition Broke Down in 2018 Kyle Kondik: The House: Where the Blue Wave Hit the Hardest — James Hohmann: The Senate: The Republicans’ Bright Spot — Madelaine Pisani: The Governors: Democratic Wave Falls Short of a Wipeout — Michael Toner and Karen Trainer: The Money Wars: Emerging Campaign Finance Trends and Their Impact on 2018 and Beyond — Emily C. Singer: Women Rule: The Surge of Women in Congress — Theodore R. Johnson: Hindsight in 2020: Black Voting Behavior and the Next Presidential Election — Matt Barreto, Gary Segura, and Albert Morales: The Brown Tide and the Blue Wave in 2018 — Diana Owen: Presidential Media and the Midterm Elections — Joshua T. Putnam: Foresight is 2020: New Features of the Democratic Delegate Selection Rules — Sean Trende: Was 2018 a Wave Election? Read the fine print Learn more about the Crystal Ball and find out how to contact us here. Sign up to receive Crystal Ball e-mails like this one delivered straight to your inbox. Use caution with Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and remember: “He who lives by the Crystal Ball ends up eating ground glass!”
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THE FLIP SIDE

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Thursday, September 12, 2019 FDA to Ban Flavored E-cigarettes “The federal government will act to ban thousands of flavors used in e-cigarettes, President Donald Trump said Wednesday, responding to a recent surge in underage vaping that has alarmed parents, politicians and health authorities nationwide.” AP News From the Left The left is generally in favor of the ban. “To market a product as less harmful than cigarettes is to damn it with faint praise… As stories pile up of sicknesses, side effects, and the potential for long-term consequences, it’s clear that ‘safe’ and ‘safer than smoking cigarettes’ are vastly different things.”
Amanda Mull, The Atlantic

“One in five high school students used e-cigarettes in 2018, an increase of 78 percent over 2017. E-cigarette use was up by nearly 50 percent among middle schoolers in the same period. More than three and a half million American children now use e-cigarettes, with 97 percent of users aged 12 to 17 choosing flavored products… E-cigarette companies insist their goal is to help people quit smoking. But 13-year-olds don’t start using cotton-candy-flavored pods for Juul devices to kick a cigarette habit. Much more often, e-cigarettes lead kids directly to nicotine addiction… 

“To those of us on the front lines of the fight against tobacco use, the tactics companies are employing to sell e-cigarettes — flavorings, unfounded health claims and the hiring of celebrity promoters — are all too familiar. They are the same strategies that tobacco companies have long used to get kids to try cigarettes. There’s still much we don’t know about the connection between lung illness and vaping.  But we do know that one Juul pod contains about as much nicotine as an entire pack of cigarettes, and that nicotine harms brain development… Banning flavored e-cigarettes is the most important thing we can do to reduce use among young people.”
Michael R. Bloomberg and Matt Myers, New York Times

“There is no reason vaping products should be available in bubble-gum flavor except to induce young people who are most at risk. The FDA sent a warning letter on Monday to the most popular vaping manufacturer, Juul Labs, complaining the company has made claims in school presentations that its products are less dangerous than tobacco without an appropriate FDA order. The FDA must remain vigilant against marketing to and use of vaping by young people. Overall, this is a complex problem of science, business, technology, culture and public health. Vaping began with very little regulation. Whatever the outcome of the current spate of illness, it is now clear that in the public interest, it must be rigorously scrutinized and controlled.”
Editorial Board, Washington Post

It’s worth noting that “evidence that these products help people avoid combustible cigarettes is limited. [On the other hand] the fact that they’ve introduced a whole new generation of young people to a highly addictive and possibly dangerous habit is indisputable… A ban on flavored products will help curb the teen vaping epidemic, but stricter age restrictions and a more aggressive clampdown on deceptive marketing should follow. Then there’s the black market: The devices people are buying on the street and the liquids used in them demand more attention. Finally, this crisis makes it even more clear that marijuana products shouldn’t continue to exist in confusing regulatory limbo.”
Max Nisen, Bloomberg

Some point out that “fifty-three people died from mass shootings in August alone and there have been more than 9,000 gun deaths so far in 2019. Still, the Trump administration, willing to act fast when it comes to mango-flavored vaping liquid, has backed away several times from the idea of passing universal background checks on gun purchases. Trump wrote in a 2000 book that he supported an assault weapons ban but hasn’t embraced the idea in office. The Odessa, Texas, shooter who killed seven people in August and wounded 22 others had previously failed a background check and purchased the AR-style rifle used in the attack through a private sale, avoiding a background check… The administration says vaping is a deeply concerning epidemic but is turning a blind eye to another, much more deadly health crisis: gun violence.”
Susan Rinkunas, Vice From the Right The right generally opposes the ban. “There have been six deaths in America possibly linked to vaping — six deaths out of the more than 11 million people who report using e-cigarettes. If you’re keeping track at home, that’s a fatality rate of .0005%. By comparison, 88,000 people die from alcohol-related causes every year. An estimated 128,000 people die from prescription pills annually… if we are going to start banning unhealthy substances, we have a lot of banning to do before we get to comparatively mild and safe e-cigarettes.”
Matt Walsh, Daily Wire

“A bad idea, for at least two reasons. One: Leaving tobacco-flavored e-cigs on the market risks funneling kids who currently get their nicotine fix from fruit-flavored candy-like products towards something that tastes much more like real cigarettes. If the fear with vaping is that it’s a gateway drug for tobacco products, why the hell would you want to condition children to crave nicotine that tastes like tobacco?…

[and]

Although scientists are unsure what’s causing the cases of lung disease, even critics of vaping like former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb suspect that black-market products are to blame. In which case the last thing the feds should want to do is… push demand for fruit flavors entirely onto the black market, right?”
Allahpundit, Hot Air

“Banning flavored e-cigarettes could only make the situation worse, driving users to the black market where they are more likely to encounter these dangerous chemicals. It’s unfair to blame a whole category of products on the bad actions of illegal actors. An analogous situation would be if Kentucky started banning the sale of moonshine by legal distillers because a black market batch caused some drinkers to go blind. In both cases, government action in the form of investigation, prosecution, and issuing health guidelines may certainly be justified. However, a broad-stroke ban against otherwise legal, health-certified products would be government overreach.”
Casey Given, Washington Examiner

Some, however, argue that “according to research out of the University of California-San Francisco, smoking e-cigarettes daily doubles your risk of a heart attack and when combined with traditional cigarettes, your risk increases five-fold… study after study has shown that while using e-cigs is not as bad as smoking traditional cigarettes, they are just as addictive. That is precisely what the big tobacco companies are after. A new generation hooked on nicotine, delivered ‘healthily’ through e-cigarettes… 

“Five e-cig companies dominate 95 percent of the market (JUUL, MarkTen XL, Logic, Vuse and Blu). While those names don’t sound like big tobacco, 35 percent of JUUL is owned by Altria Group (maker of Marlboro cigarettes), and MarkTen XL is also owned by Altria. Vuse is owned by British American Tobacco, Logic by Japan Tobacco Inc., and Blu by Imperial Brands. Altria and Philip Morris are also partnering to sell a new brand of e-cigs called IQOS.  Big tobacco has simply repurposed themselves, under new brand names, to continue to profit off the pain and suffering of millions of people.”
Liberty Vittert, Fox News

Former FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb writes, “The industry’s failure to confront the youth vaping epidemic leaves e-cig companies vulnerable to those who doubt that the major brands are responsible stewards of their products… Manufacturers need to separate legitimate e-cigs from illegal adulterants by publishing detailed information on their ingredients, by taking meaningful steps to limit youths’ access to their products and its appeal to them, and by fully embracing an FDA application process that they’ve largely fought… The longer that legitimate e-cigarette companies reject their obligations to help distinguish acceptable products from dangerous ones, the more they will be lumped in with those contributing to the growing glut of illegal products. That’s bad for preserving their businesses, and it’s bad for protecting the public health.”
Scott Gottlieb, Washington Post

On the bright side…

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THE WASHINGTON POST MORNING HEADLINES

Sign up for this newsletter Read online The morning’s most important stories, curated by Post editors.       (AP) U.S. can begin denying migrants’ asylum while legal fight continues, Supreme Court rules The justices put on hold a lower court’s ruling that the Trump administration’s rule change could not be enforced pending additional legal action because it likely ran afoul of administrative law requirements. By Robert Barnes ● Read more » Trump officials tour unused FAA facility in California in search for place to relocate homeless people President Trump is pressing aides to intervene in California’s worsening homelessness crisis, but officials haven’t made firm decisions as they grapple with legal barriers and logistical problems. By Jeff Stein, Josh Dawsey and Tracy Jan ● Read more » ‘You’re a prop in the back’: Advisers struggle to obey Trump’s Kafkaesque rules The rupture with John Bolton is a case study in the president’s management style and his unusual demands and expectations of those who report directly to him. By Ashley Parker and Philip Rucker ● Read more »   Crisis simulation? Professor moderators? With debates, Democrats don’t buck tradition. The model on display Thursday in Houston resembles reality television. Yet it endures. Campaign 2020 | Democratic Debate ●  By Isaac Stanley-Becker ● Read more » Lawsuits. Possible bankruptcy. Declining numbers. Is there a future for the Boy Scouts? As the new school year begins, Scout leaders on the ground are vying for the future of an organization facing threats from all sides. By Samantha Schmidt and Kayla Epstein ● Read more »   ADVERTISEMENT Opinions Can’t weather forecasting be free from politics? By Editorial Board ● Read more » No amount of time since the attempt on my father’s life is enough to heal By Patti Davis ● Read more » It’s time for Congress to finally protect our oceans from offshore drilling By Diane Lane ● Read more » North Carolina’s election results provide a thought experiment for 2020 By E.J. Dionne ● Read more » ADVERTISEMENT I like Elizabeth Warren. Too bad she’s a hypocrite. By Ed Rendell ● Read more » It’s September. Seize the moment. By Bruce Beehler ● Read more » More News EPA scales back federal protection of water bodies to 1986 standards Critics say the move will speed the conversion of wetlands and headwaters, which provide critical habitat for wildlife and support the nation’s drinking water supply. By Juliet Eilperin and Brady Dennis ● Read more » A 4-year-old got an epic surprise. The strangers who gave it to him got something, too. More than 100 yellow vehicles filled a Northern Virginia neighborhood, providing a bright moment for a boy who loves the Transformers character Bumblebee. Perspective ●  By Theresa Vargas ● Read more »   Trump’s fuzzy vision on the Sept. 11 attacks The president has told many tall tales related to the 2001 terrorist attacks. Fact Checker | Analysis ●  By Glenn Kessler ● Read more » The NFL wanted a celebration for its 100th season. Instead it got Antonio Brown. The allegations made against the Patriots’ star wide receiver have embroiled the league in another firestorm regarding violence against women. By Adam Kilgore ● Read more »   We think you’ll like this newsletter Check out By The Way for tips and guides that will help you travel better and make you feel like a local wherever you go. Delivered every Thursday. Sign up »  
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POLITICO PLAYBOOK

POLITICO Playbook: The Democrats’ impeachment dumpster fire

By JAKE SHERMAN and ANNA PALMER 

09/12/2019 05:51 AM EDT

Presented by

Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Reps. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), Elijah Cummings (D-Md.) and Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.)
House Intelligence Chairman Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), House Oversight Chairman Elijah Cummings (D-Md.) and House Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.), hold a news conference on Wednesday, July 24. | J. Scott Applewhite/AP Photo

DRIVING THE DAY

COUNTERPROGRAMMING? … THE DEMOCRATIC debate is tonight in Houston. You know what’s also tonight? President DONALD TRUMP’S speech to a room full of House Republicans at the party’s retreat in Baltimore. Trump’s speech will be pooled at 7:10 p.m. Eastern.

ON THE IMPEACHMENT DUMPSTER FIRE THAT’S SMOLDERING … OUR HILL TEAM COLLEAGUES Heather Caygle, Andrew Desiderio, Sarah Ferris, Melanie Zanona and Kyle Cheney have been doing terrific work laying out how House Democrats’ impeachment process is a complete mess. They also laid out how Democrats have tried to clean it up in the last 12 or so hours.

IF YOU’VE MISSED IT, here’s the crux of it all: HOUSE DEMOCRATS have been all over the map on what they are trying to do when it comes to impeachment. They can’t decide if they’re impeaching the president, let alone where they are in said process.

THE STATED THEORY BEHIND THIS NON-IMPEACHMENT-IMPEACHMENT PLAY is that so-called frontline Democratic lawmakers — those with tough races in Trump districts — don’t want to have to be a part of an impeachment proceeding.

SO, THIS GOT US THINKING TWO THINGS …

— HOW DO DEMOCRATS FEEL ABOUT THEIR LEADERSHIP’S STRATEGY? We asked a bunch of smart House Democratic lawmakers and aides, and here was the best answer, via one of those aides: “If upper leadership took a clear stance on what was going on, people could get on board or publicly part ways with leadership — which for many is good for their politics. Frontliners don’t need space, they need clear info so they can make a decision for their district.”

— AND HOW CAN DEMOCRATS UP THE PRESSURE? Remember this: Any Democrat can go to the House floor and demand a vote on impeaching the president. Lawmakers could do it daily, if they wanted to. Letters from caucuses clearly aren’t going to cut it. Democrats haven’t even scratched the surface of the pressure they can exert on their leadership.

ON GUNS … WHAT MOST WHITE HOUSE aides think is that TRUMP will not back background checks, but will instead throw together a mental health package with some other popular items and ask for its passage.

— NYT: “Divided Democrats Step Back From Assault Weapons Ban,” by Sheryl Gay Stolberg: “As Democrats make an aggressive push for new gun control legislation, they have made a calculated decision to stop short of pursuing their most ambitious goal: an assault weapons ban.

“The overwhelming majority of House Democrats — 211, seven shy of the 218 needed for passage — are co-sponsoring legislation to ban military-style semiautomatic weapons, similar to the ban in effect from 1994 to 2004. But some centrist Democrats remain skittish about any proposal that keeps firearms from law-abiding citizens — a frequent charge against Democrats by Republicans and gun rights groups — making any such ban politically risky for moderates in Trump-friendly districts. In the Senate, it draws less support.

“The split reveals just how complicated gun politics remain inside the Democratic Party, even as mass shootings are terrorizing the nation and the Twitter hashtag #DoSomething has captured the mounting public demands for Congress to act.” NYT

— BREAKING THIS A.M. … NYT’S ANDREW ROSS SORKIN: “Business Leaders to Call on Congress to Act on Gun Violence: ‘Doing nothing about America’s gun violence crisis is simply unacceptable,’ the heads of 145 companies tell senators in a letter.”

— VICE’S ELIZABETH LANDERS: “He Used to Work at the NRA. Now He’s Shaping Gun Policy at the White House.”

TRUMP’S PLAN FOR THE HOMELESS … WAPO: “Trump officials tour unused FAA facility in California in search for place to relocate homeless people,” by Jeff Stein, Josh Dawsey and Tracy Jan: “A team of Trump administration officials toured a California facility once used by the Federal Aviation Administration this week as they searched for a potential site to relocate homeless people, according to three government officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the private tour. …

“Trump is expected to visit California on Tuesday and Wednesday. One administration official with knowledge of Trump’s visit to California said there were discussions about an announcement related to California’s growing homeless problem next week, but a second official said that any decision could be premature and that it was not on the current schedule for the trip.” WaPo

Good Thursday morning.

A message from Business Roundtable:

Business Roundtable CEOs, who operate in virtually every corner of the U.S. economy and whose companies touch virtually every American consumer, sent a letter to Congress this week calling on policymakers to lead on nationwide data privacy policy. .

CHANNEL 13/AXIOS’ @BarakRavid: “BREAKING: Netanyahu says before flying to Moscow he conveyed all the needed messages on possible talks with Iran in the proper [direct] channels to President Trump and his advisers.”

KNOWING TRUMP … WAPO’S ASHLEY PARKER and PHIL RUCKER: “‘You’re a prop in the back’: Advisers struggle to obey Trump’s Kafkaesque rules”: “In President Trump’s renegade orbit, there are unspoken rules he expects his advisers to follow. He tolerates a modicum of dissent, so long as it remains private; expects advisers to fall in line and defend his decisions; and demands absolute fealty at all times. These rules and more were broken by John Bolton, the national security adviser who left the White House suddenly Tuesday on acrimonious terms.

“The rupture between Trump and Bolton, as chronicled in public and in private accounts of administration officials, is a case study of the president’s sometimes Kafkaesque management style — an unusual set of demands and expectations he sets for those in his direct employ. The episode also illustrates the varied forces that propel advisers into the president’s inner circle — and often churn them out with similar velocity.” WaPo

BREAKING WEDNESDAY NIGHT … “DCCC taps new executive director after summer staff upheaval,” by Heather Caygle, Laura Barrón-López and Jake Sherman: “House Democrats’ embattled campaign arm has tapped a former staffer and well-known Democratic fundraiser as its executive director following a massive upheaval in its top ranks earlier this summer.

“Lucinda Guinn, a former executive at EMILY’S List, will serve as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s top staffer, according to multiple sources. DCCC Chair Cheri Bustos (D-Ill.) was expected to inform members of the decision on Thursday, those sources said.

“Guinn, who is Hispanic, comes into the role after more than a month-long search following a mass exodus of senior staffers in July, including the former executive director Allison Jaslow. The upheaval followed outcry from Democrats over a lack of diversity at the campaign arm. The DCCC reviewed 40 resumes from around the country and interviewed 13 candidates, more than half were people of color and more than half were women.” POLITICO

— BUSTOS, a former journalist, sent a staff note Wednesday night noting that she “had hoped to share [Guinn’s hire] in person tomorrow, but because a story is breaking prematurely, I wanted you to be the first to know” that the DCCC had hired Guinn.

— MELANIE ZANONA: “Ominous signs could sink Republicans’ chances of retaking the House”

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A WIN FOR TRUMP — “Supreme Court hands Trump a victory on asylum restriction,” by Josh Gerstein and Ted Hesson: “President Donald Trump scored a major legal victory on immigration on Wednesday as the Supreme Court gave him the go-ahead to proceed with a new policy barring asylum for migrants who pass through another country en route to the U.S. The high court order allows the policy, which is expected to drastically reduce asylum granted to Central American migrants, to be implemented across the U.S.-Mexico border as court challenges over its legality play out.

“While the Supreme Court’s emergency stay is technically an interim one, it appears unlikely that the justices would hear arguments on the dispute this term, creating the prospect that Trump’s policy could be in effect through next year’s election regardless of how the high court ultimately rules.” POLITICO

REMEMBER: THEY CONTROL THE PURSE STRINGS! — “Trump agency to halt House oversight trips amid complaint over staff behavior,” by NBC’s Jon Allen: “The Department of the Interior has decided to halt its sponsorship of all House trips to various agency sites around the country until a resolution can be found to a dispute over the rules of engagement between congressional staff and the career and political officials who facilitate the oversight visits, according to a senior department official.

“The Interior Department oversees the Bureau of Land Management, the National Park Service, the Bureau of Indian Affairs, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and several other agencies.

“The decision, which had not officially been rendered to Capitol Hill as of early Wednesday evening, was driven by Interior Department chief of staff Todd Willens, according to the official, who spoke to NBC News on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of internal deliberations.” NBC

A message from Business Roundtable:

That’s why Business Roundtable CEOs across industries are calling on Congress to .

KENNEDY VS. MARKEY HEATS UP — “‘I would tell Joe to wait’: Democrats warn Kennedy against challenging Markey,” by Burgess Everett and Heather Caygle: “Joe Kennedy doesn’t just have to beat incumbent Ed Markey to win a Senate seat. He’ll also have to trounce Chuck Schumer, Elizabeth Warren, Senate Democrats campaign arm — and maybe AOC.

“The 38-year-old congressman and grandson of Robert F. Kennedy will confront a buzzsaw of Washington Democrats if he takes the leap to challenge Markey in Massachusetts, which would create a massive distraction for the party in a safe Democratic seat amid a battle for both the White House and the Senate majority. …

“With Kennedy flirting with the race and leading early polls, Markey has moved quickly to shore up support from both the D.C. establishment and prominent progressives. Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) has endorsed him and Schumer said the party is ‘fully behind Senator Ed Markey.’ Kennedy called Schumer about the race but the Senate minority leader didn’t divulge what was said.” POLITICO

— SEN. KYRSTEN SINEMA ENDORSES: “Joe Kennedy is an outstanding champion for his state. He will make a terrific U.S. Senator and I couldn’t be more proud to support my friend.” Statement

2020 WATCH … ALEX THOMPSON in POLITICO MAGAZINE: “Inside Warren’s War With the Obama Team”

— ON KAMALA HARRIS: “Big money donors consider staying away from Kamala Harris if she fails to perform at the next debate,” by CNBC’s Brian Schwartz … NYT: “What Kamala Harris Needs to Do Tonight,” by Astead Herndon

— COMING IN HOT … BIDEN SURROGATE ED RENDELL SWINGS AT WARREN: “I like Elizabeth Warren. Too bad she’s a hypocrite.”: “Warren didn’t seem to have any trouble taking our money in 2018, but suddenly we were power brokers and influence peddlers in 2019. The year before, we were wonderful. I co-chaired one of the events for the senator and received a glowing, handwritten thank-you letter from her for my hard work.

“It seemed odd to some of us who gave her money that Warren was experiencing an epiphany less than 12 months later. It’s one thing to fashion a campaign that relies on grass-roots fundraising, but it’s another to go out of your way to characterize as power-brokers and influence-peddlers the very people whose support you have previously courted.” WaPo

— YEP! … BOSTON GLOBE: “After a summer surge, Elizabeth Warren could be a target in Thursday’s debate,” by Laura Krantz in Austin, Texas

TRUMP’S THURSDAY — The president will have lunch with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo at 12:30 p.m. in the private dining room. He will leave the White House at 5:35 p.m. en route to Baltimore, where he will attend a fundraiser and speak at the House Republican Conference retreat. Afterward, Trump will return to the White House.

PLAYBOOK READS

President Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump
PHOTO DU JOUR: President Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump participate in a moment of silence honoring the victims of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, on the South Lawn of the White House, on Wednesday, Sept. 11. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo

SCOOP — “Israel accused of planting mysterious D.C. spy devices,” by Daniel Lippman: “The U.S. government concluded within the last two years that Israel was most likely behind the placement of cell-phone surveillance devices that were found near the White House and other sensitive locations around Washington, D.C., according to three former senior U.S. officials with knowledge of the matter.

“But unlike most other occasions when flagrant incidents of foreign spying have been discovered on American soil, the Trump administration did not rebuke the Israeli government, and there were no consequences for Israel’s behavior, one of the former officials said.

“The miniature surveillance devices … mimic regular cell towers to fool cell phones into giving them their locations and identity information … they also can capture the contents of calls and data use.

“The devices were likely intended to spy on President Donald Trump, one of the former officials said, as well as his top aides and closest associates — though it’s not clear whether the Israeli efforts were successful. … An Israeli Embassy spokesperson, Elad Strohmayer, denied that Israel placed the devices and said: ‘These allegations are absolute nonsense. Israel doesn’t conduct espionage operations in the United States, period.’” POLITICO

MUCK READ — THE CENTER FOR PUBLIC INTEGRITY: “You donated to kids with cancer. This Vegas telemarketer cashed in,” by Sarah Kleiner and Chris Zubak-Skees

YES, THIS REALLY HAPPENED … ARTIST KENNETH GOLDSMITH (@kg_ubu): “Hillary Clinton spent an hour yesterday reading her emails at my exhibition of all 62,000 pages of them in Venice. She is pictured here at a replica of the Oval Office Resolute Desk, stacked with her emails.” Pics

— HUFFPOST’S JENNA AMATULLI: “Goldsmith told HuffPost via email that Clinton’s visit ‘was a surprise,’ while curator Francesco Urbano Ragazzi said organizers thought the possibility of her visiting was a joke.

“‘Someone close to Mrs. Clinton contacted us very informally a few days before her visit. We realized that it wasn’t a joke only when we saw the security service inside the exhibition space at 9 am on Tuesday,’ they told HuffPost via email.” HuffPost

NYT’S ANDREW HIGGINS in Moscow: “What Spy? Kremlin Mocks Aide Recruited by C.I.A. as a Boozy Nobody”

A message from Business Roundtable:

Business Roundtable CEOs are calling on Congress to .

WHAT THE OBAMAS ARE UP TO … NYT’S NANCY COLEMAN: “Hanisya Massey, the owner of Higher Ground Enterprises in Covina, Calif., first heard from a lawyer for Higher Ground Productions early this summer.

“Barack and Michelle Obama wanted to trademark their company’s name, but the United States Patent and Trademark Office had deemed it too similar to the mark Ms. Massey registered in 2017 for her computer training company. Higher Ground Productions was looking to strike a deal.

“So began the dispute, which escalated from an initial note sent by the Obamas’ lawyer to requests by Ms. Massey for onscreen roles in their productions and, now, an attempt by the former president and first lady’s company to have Ms. Massey’s trademark wiped off the books.” NYT

FOR THE RECORD: “Trump pushed staff to deal with NOAA tweet that contradicted his inaccurate Alabama hurricane claim, officials say,” by WaPo’s Andrew Freedman, Josh Dawsey, Juliet Eilperin and Jason Samenow … NYT and WSJ matching

BOOK WATCH — FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: Peter Bergen is writing a book about TRUMP’S relationship with the generals: Jim Mattis, H.R. McMaster, John Kelly and Mike Flynn. It’s called “Trump and his Generals: The Cost of Chaos.” It will come out Dec. 10. Details from Penguin Random House

— Michael German is out with a new book, “Disrupt, Discredit, and Divide: How the New FBI Damages Democracy” ($25.19 on Amazon), examining how the FBI has changed since 9/11. German, who is now a fellow at NYU’s Brennan Center for Justice, is a former FBI agent and whistleblower who left the agency under Robert Mueller.

MEDIAWATCH — Robby Mook and Terry Sullivan are now political contributors at CBS. Mook was Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign manager and is now president of the House Majority PAC. Sullivan was Marco Rubio’s presidential campaign manager and is a founding partner at Firehouse Strategies.

Vice’s Elspeth Reeve is joining CNN as a correspondent. The announcement

— FOR YOUR RADAR: The Anti-Defamation League and the Aspen Institute announced their inaugural Civil Society Fellowship class, including CNN’s Nia-Malika Henderson and Rev. Adam Taylor. The announcement

PLAYBOOKERS

Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.

SPOTTED: Seb Gorka grabbing a late lunch at Potbelly in Rosslyn. … Cardinal Timothy Dolan on the 2:50 p.m. Acela from D.C. to New York City.

SPOTTED at the seventh annual “Girls Night Out CBC Kick-Off Reception” Wednesday night, hosted by the Black Girl Magic Network, a group of female lobbyists of color: House Democratic Caucus Chairman Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.), Reps. Bobby Scott (D-Va.) and Lauren Underwood (D-Ill.), Yebbie Watkins, Maia Estes, Véronique Pluviose, Hope Goins and Omarosa Manigault Newman. BGM Network members included: Nicole Venable, Kimberly Afoakwah, Shanetta Paskel, Pamela Alexander, Jacqueline Ayers, Melanie Newman, Michelle Persaud and Tiffany Moore.

SPOTTED at a reception for Brad Smith and Carol Ann Browne’s new book, “Tools and Weapons: The Promise and the Peril of the Digital Age” ($22.05 on Amazon), at David and Katherine Bradley’s home Wednesday night: Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.), Rep. Suzan DelBene (D-Wash.), Fred Humphries, Frank Shaw, Michael Kratsios, Chris Liddell, Margaret Carlson, Michael Chertoff, Don Baer, Roy Schwartz, Robert and Dr. Elena Allbritton, Matt Kaminski, John Harris, Steve Clemons, Valerie Jarrett, Lisa Monaco, Anne-Marie Slaughter, Sally Quinn, Ruth Marcus and David Sanger.

SPOTTED at the Congressional Coalition on Adoption Institute’s gala Wednesday night at the American Council of Life Insurers’ office: Susan K. Neely, Mary Landrieu, Reps. Robert Aderholt (R-Ala.) and Donna Shalala (D-Fla.), Sens. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) and Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), Brian Graff, Mike Sommers, Jay Timmons and Rick Olson, McLane Layton, Kim Carver, Rick Spielman, Rita Lewis, Russ Sullivan, Susan Hirschmann, David Bartlett, Brian Adkins, Brian Rice, Greg Castanias, Joyce Meyer, Allison Shuster, Jennifer Webb, Seaver Sowers, Randy Russell, K. Dane Snowden, Joanna McIntosh, Michael Dean, Christen Glickman and Jane Castanias.

WEEKEND WEDDING — Hayden Haynes, COS for Rep. Mike Johnson (R-La.), and Jennifer Lauterbach, senior legislative assistant for Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-Ariz.), got married Saturday night at the Mount Ida Farm outside of Charlottesville, Va. PicAnother pic

BIRTHWEEK (was Tuesday): Joe Kabourek, deputy national political director for Michael Bennet’s campaign (hat tip: Samantha Greene)

BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Max D’Onofrio, communications director for Sen. Mike Enzi (R-Wyo.), is 3-0. A trend that he thinks doesn’t get enough attention: “I don’t know if this is supposed to be about politics, but I am here to take a stand against the total obsession of the craft beer world and the American people with the India pale ale (IPA). At about 25% of the craft beer market, the creativeness of local breweries is being hamstrung by our cultural obsession in this hoppy haze. We can do better, people! It is time to branch out and support your local Scottish ale, German bock, milk porter, Russian imperial stout or Flanders red ale. Support your local brewery taking a chance and breaking the mold!” Playbook Plus Q&A

BIRTHDAYS: Rep. Trey Hollingsworth (R-Ind.) is 36 … Matt Lewis, senior columnist at The Daily Beast and CNN political commentator … Andrea DeVito of “Fox News Sunday” … POLITICO’s Ben Schreckinger, Walt Houseknecht and Adam Banks … Don Fowler, former DNC chairman, is 84 … former Rep. Henry Waxman (D-Calif.) is 8-0 … Greg Wetstone … Dave Willett … Johnny Enterline of the Sierra Club … Andrew Whalen … West Virginia Supreme Court of Appeals Justice Evan Jenkins is 59 … former Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback, now U.S. ambassador-at-large for international religious freedom, is 63 … Maria Roumel … Desiree Sayle … Emily Lampkin … Liz Wroe of Leavitt Partners … Melissa Schulman, SVP of government and public affairs at CVS Health … Ethan Klapper, senior audience development editor at Yahoo News … U.S. Ambassador to New ZealandScott Brown is 6-0 …

… Max Boot is 5-0 … Ed Moy, former director of the U.S. Mint, is 62 … Bryan Langley… Richard Thaler is 74 … Jerry Abramson … Jill Jackson … Natalie Raps … Kimberly Breier … Brett Thompson … NYT’s Kim Severson … Derek Robertson … VOA’s John Lippman … Kelsi Browning … Allison Ramiller … Alex Botting of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce … Pam Stevens … Peter Robbio, SVP at CRC … Zach Pohl, communications director for Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (h/t Mitchell Rivard) … Paul Kanan … Fred Schuster … Jason Stverak … James Faeh … Khan Shoieb … Gavin Mathis … Edelman’s Mariana Cotlear … Jason O’Malley … Amazon’s Allison Marshall … Joseph Voss … Anne Johnson … Erin Hood … Russel Wade … Ali Siciliano … Microsoft’s Nate Yohannes … Jill Alper (h/t Teresa Vilmain) … John Stanford, managing partner at Prism Group (h/t Jay Perron) … David Meis

A message from Business Roundtable:

American consumers, their devices and data constantly travel across state lines. Without a national privacy law, consumers will have inconsistent privacy protections from state to state.

Consumers deserve consistent privacy protections nationwide, no matter where they are or what they’re doing – from banking, shopping online, reading the news or communicating with friends. The security of their personal data shouldn’t depend on where they live, work or travel.

That’s why Business Roundtable CEOs, who operate in virtually every corner of the U.S. economy and whose companies touch virtually every American consumer, sent a letter to Congress this week calling on policymakers to lead on nationwide data privacy policy.

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ROLL CALL

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Morning Headlines

Even Joe Biden was once the upstart

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A lifetime before he became a front-runner in the crowded 2020 presidential field that will debate onstage Thursday night in Houston, Joe Biden was once an unknown and untested Senate candidate, betting that voters’ appetite for change was strong enough to overcome the overwhelming obstacles lined up against him. Read More…

House Republicans to discuss path back to majority at Baltimore retreat

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Fresh off two crucial special election wins in North Carolina, House Republicans head to Baltimore on Thursday for their delayed annual retreat, prepared to spend some quality time discussing how they plan to win back the majority in 2020. Read More…

North Carolina’s 9th District highlights trouble spots for both parties

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Democrats once again saw that President Donald Trump, who held a rally in the 9th District on the eve of the election, had the power to motivate rural white voters. But Trump’s power cuts both ways. He continues to turn off suburban voters, which is a bigger problem for Republicans given the kinds of districts that will be competitive in 2020. Read More…

HOH presents: the ultimate congressional fantasy football juggernaut

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Have you ever wondered which current or former members of Congress would make the ideal fantasy football team? Well, we’ve got you covered. Read More…

What a close Republican win in a North Carolina House race means (maybe) for 2020

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[OPINION] CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Though Republicans tried to downplay the importance of an off-year special House election in North Carolina, President Donald Trump certainly thought differently. Why else would he have held an election eve rally alongside Dan Bishop, the GOP nominee in the state’s 9th District? Read More…

All-day protest draws attention to opioid crisis, ‘Medicare for All’

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On an early morning in May, Freddie Henderson III’s heart stopped from a fentanyl overdose, a story his sister Jasmine shared Wednesday in the office of Ohio Sen. Rob Portman, as part of a larger push by progressive activists to pressure lawmakers into supporting “Medicare for All” legislation and signing on to a separate measure that would inject $100 billion of federal funding to fight the opioid epidemic. Read More…

Former ICE director to Congress: Ditch the ‘theater’

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Former U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement acting Director Thomas Homan testified before a House subcommittee hearing Wednesday afternoon on the administration’s immigration policy toward people with significant medical issues. He used more than half of his allotted five minutes for an opening statement to deliver a message on the political theater of hearings to members of the House Oversight Committee. Watch the video here…

Trump orders end to flavored e-cigarette sales amid vaping-linked illnesses

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The Trump administration on Wednesday said it planned to halt the sales of flavored e-cigarettes amid a national outbreak of lung illnesses that may be linked to vaping devices. Read More…

K Street doesn’t need just any old retired lawmakers

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Lobbying firms on K Street and trade associations used to be a sure bet for retiring members of Congress. Not anymore. Listen here…

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LIBERTY NATION

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  Daily Briefing Conservative News | Libertarian News | Commentary VISIT LibertyNation.com     FROM OUR NEWSROOM Read Our Latest Book for FREEBy Liberty Nation StaffOnce you have read it, we would appreciate it if you would return to Amazon.com to review it. Click here to review. Thank you! Click Here   Hat in Hand: The Boys on the Bus are Begging for a Gov’t Bailout By Leesa K. Donner When the markets don’t like you, where do you turn? Click Here   What America’s Thinking 53% of Likely U.S. Voters think the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terrorism. That’s down slightly from 56%.  An online survey finds that 21% of American Adults have tried one of the sandwiches made with plant-derived products that many fast-food chains are now offering. 39% of Likely U.S. Voters think many Americans have forgotten the impact of the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Forty-seven percent (47%) disagree. To read more on this, click here. 35% of Likely U.S. Voters now believe illegal immigrants should be eligible for driver’s licenses in their state.   Illegals Crime Report: A Never-Ending Litany By Kelli Ballard The list just keeps on going. Click Here   Washington Whispers Coming down the pipeline: With Trump delaying new China tariffs until Oct. 15, many are questioning whether a Japan deal might be softening the stance. Now that John Bolton is out, many see Mike Pompeo’s status as ready to grow. The Democratic Congressional Committee (DCCC) has chosen a new executive director after they saw a mass staff departure over concerns about diversity. Can they ever be diverse enough for a growing radical base? After Trump fired John Bolton, we can expect to see a more Dove-like approach to foreign policy.   Do Negative Interest Rates Equal Negative Consequences? By Andrew Moran Central bankers closing their eyes to NIRP failures. Click Here   News Roundup We’ve Surfed The Web for You Ocasio-Cortez: Republican Party Is ‘Scared’ of Us ‘Because They Know How Powerful’ We Are Texas Residents File Lawsuit Against San Antonio Banning Chick-Fil-A From Airport Hope for US-China trade deal? Chinese firms inquire about US agricultural prices, report says, after Trump delays new tariffs Better Schools By John Stossel Exclusive–Malkin: ‘Catholic Church Mad with Me’ About Book on Open Borders and ‘They Haven’t Even Read It’   Liberty Nation On The Go: Listen to Today’s Top News 9.12.19 By Liberty Nation Staff Conservative News – Hot Off The Press – Audio Playlist Click Here     WATCH NOW FEATURED LNTV
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THE HILL

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 Welcome to The Hill’s Morning Report. Happy Thursday! Our newsletter gets you up to speed on the most important developments in politics and policy, plus trends to watch.  Alexis Simendinger and Al Weaver are the up-early co-creators. Find us @asimendinger and @alweaver22 on Twitter and CLICK HERE to subscribe!
 
All eyes will be on Houston tonight as 2020 Democratic presidential candidates take the debate stage in what is the first time every top-tier candidate will be together, headlined by the trio of former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).  Biden, the leader of the centrist wing, will be flanked by Warren and Sanders, the top progressives, also marking the first time the sharp ideological divide in the primary will be on full display during a debate.  As Amie Parnes and Julia Manchester write, Sanders and Warren are likely to approach the debate with a playbook similar to the one they effectively deployed at the second debate in Detroit to fend off attacks from lower-tier centrist candidates: teaming up in defense of their unapologetically progressive platform. However, each will also need to carve out space to stand out at a time when Warren appears to be gaining momentum and energy.  Biden, strategists maintain, will need to go on offense. While the former vice president has been a staunch defender of a centrist platform, one that delivered former President Obama two terms in the White House, he is at risk of being seen as out of touch as the Democratic Party continues to shift to the left and appears hungrier for new ideas by the day. The Associated Press: 7 questions heading into 10-candidate Democratic debate. During the showdown at Texas Southern University, Biden will try to put to bed questions about his age and stamina following two previous debate performances that were underwhelming at worst and shaky at best, as Jonathan Easley reports from Houston. With tonight’s debate scheduled for three hours, the former VP will attempt to play down his age (76) as a vulnerability along with his reputation for gaffes. Some Democrats believe Biden’s malaprops and inaccurately embellished storytelling could make him an easy target for President Trump, if the three-time White House contender captures the Democratic nod.  Trump has been vocal about Biden’s mental capacity, telling reporters that the Democratic front-runner is “not playing with a full deck.” Biden will be forced to show tonight that he is ready to do battle next fall with the president.  For the rest of the field, tonight is a chance to stand out and potentially bust out from mediocre or low poll results. For Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, it’s a chance to reboot their campaigns.  For Sens. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) and Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), Andrew Yang and former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro, it’s an opportunity to deliver a breakout performance and jump from low to middling polling numbers.  However, it might be the last best chance for former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) to make a dent in the 2020 campaign. Since the dynamic start to his campaign, the former Texas congressman has struggled mightily. He has bottomed out in fundraising and polling, leading some Democrats to call for him to drop out and run for the Senate against Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) — a move he maintains he will not make.  Additionally, O’Rourke has performed poorly in the first two debates, putting more pressure on him in front of his home state crowd.  The New York Times: Warren and Biden will finally debate. Here’s what to expect. The Wall Street Journal: Democrats make play for Texas’s delegate prize ahead of debate. Politico Magazine: ‘Why are you pissing in our face?’: Inside Warren’s war with the Obama team. Former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell: I like Elizabeth Warren. Too bad she’s a hypocrite. 
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LEADING THE DAY
CONGRESS: Emboldened by new polls showing the president’s approval rating is sinking slightly, along with predictions for economic growth, Democratic lawmakers are playing hardball on spending talks and expected gun legislation as they believe they are in the driver’s seat in negotiations.  A budget deal reached before the recess now appears in doubt after Democrats on Tuesday insisted on an amendment to block the president’s Title X family planning rule.  At the same time, Democrats are gearing up to reject whatever gun-violence proposal comes from the White House. Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) feels confident Republicans will get blamed for a shutdown and Democrats will maintain an advantage on gun control (The Hill).  Senate Republicans believe that the president is open to expanding background checks and other gun violence reforms as lawmakers wait for the White House’s plan, which is expected today, as Jordain Carney reports. The president has not indicated what the plan will include, having previously said he is interested in expanding background checks, and then back down shortly after and say the main issue at hand is mental health. “We’re going to know, hopefully by tomorrow, if there’s something that we can all agree on, and once we agree on something, we’re going to hold to it,” Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) told reporters Wednesday.   Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) characterized the next 48 hours as the “witching hour” to know if Trump and the handful of senators who have been negotiating on gun proposals will be able to strike a deal.   “I think we’ll know soon, within the next day or two, whether or not the White House is really willing to put a substantive background checks expansion bill on the table,” Murphy said. The Washington Post: Democrats diverge over pursuing assault weapons ban. The New York Times: Business leaders to call on Congress to act on gun violence. > Immigration: Senior White House adviser Jared Kushner pushed Senate Republicans on Wednesday to unite behind a 600-page immigration plan he has crafted ahead of the 2020 election in an attempt to give the GOP a positive vision for reforming the U.S. immigration system.  Kushner received a warm reaction from Senate Republicans who attended the lunchtime meeting to discuss his ideas. The main message put forth by the president’s son-in-law was that it would be smart for the party to unify behind a plan to counter Democratic attacks that Republicans don’t have any interest in fixing the nation’s broken immigration system.   According to a source in the meeting, Kushner told lawmakers, “It’s important that Republicans be for something and not against something, and the president has worked hard to design this plan and we want to make sure we can all be unified as a party” (The Hill). The Hill: Democrats face key moment on impeachment drive. The Hill: House approves two bills to block Trump drilling.  > Cheney for Senate?: Rep. Liz Cheney (Wyo.), the No. 3 House Republican, faces a pivotal choice in whether she should stay in the House or run to replace retiring Sen. Mike Enzi (R-Wyo.): a decision that is bound to have significant ramifications for House Republicans.  As Juliegrace Brufke reports, although the filing deadline for Cheney to enter the Senate race isn’t until May 2020, pressure is mounting on the prominent Wyoming Republican to announce her plans before elections begin to heat up.  “I think there’s an expectation among her colleagues that she’ll make her intentions known by the end of the year or soon after so people are clear about where things stand in advance of campaign season,” one GOP operative with relationships to House members said. Paul Kane: House GOP’s suburban slide a worrisome trend for party despite narrow North Carolina win. Politico: ‘I would tell Joe to wait’: Democrats warn Rep. Joe Kennedy (D-Mass.) against challenging Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.) 
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IN FOCUS/SHARP TAKES
WHITE HOUSE & ADMINISTRATION: The Food and Drug Administration, with the president’s outspoken encouragement on Wednesday, moved to ban flavored e-cigarette products using its rulemaking power under existing law, citing health hazards for young consumers (The Hill).“We can’t have our youth be so affected,” Trump said. “People are dying with vaping, so we’re looking at it very closely.” The FDA is working on final guidance to implement the ban, which Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said would take several weeks to complete.  Azar said all flavored e-cigarettes must be removed from the market after a 30-day effective date, pending FDA approval. Manufacturers of tobacco-flavored e-cigarette products will be required to file for federal approval by May, Azar said. The government gained the authority to regulate tobacco products in 2009, but that power did not cover vaping products until 2016. At the outset of the Trump administration in 2017, the FDA decided to delay enforcing the laws application to e-cigarettes until 2022, despite calls for action from public health groups. In response to a federal lawsuit, the agency moved its timeline to regulate e-cigarette products to next spring (The Washington Post). Meanwhile, lawmakers in both parties have pushed the FDA to crack down on e-cigarettes. Lawmakers have called for product bans, marketing restrictions and a complete market recall of all e-cigarettes in reaction to the growth in the marketplace and the trend seen in teenage use over the past year. The industry, which is using an aggressive advertising and lobbying campaign to try to thwart interventions in Washington and in the states, asserts that black market marijuana products are more likely tied to reported vaping illnesses, not nicotine (The Hill). Reuters: What we know about U.S. vaping illnesses, including at least five deaths. 
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 > Iran: Trump on Wednesday left open the possibility of relaxing economic sanctions against Iran before starting new nuclear negotiations, seeming to favor a diplomatic deal. Hours earlier, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said the United States must lift sanctions before any talks. Trump’s comments in the Oval Office appeared to soften the administration’s “maximum pressure” policy with the country (The New York Times). The president previously said a meeting with Rouhani was possible on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly meeting in New York later this month. “Sure, anything’s possible,” Trump said recently. “They would like to be able to solve their problem,” referring to Iran’s inflationary pressures resulting from economic sanctions. “We could solve it in 24 hours,” he said. > China: The United States will delay by two weeks an upcoming increase in tariffs on $250 billion worth of goods from China at the request of Beijing as a “gesture of good will,” Trump tweeted on Wednesday. The president said he would push back to Oct. 15 tariffs set to go into effect on Chinese goods on Oct. 1.  “At the request of the Vice Premier of China, Liu He, and due to the fact that the People’s Republic of China will be celebrating their 70th Anniversary….on October 1st, we have agreed, as a gesture of good will, to move the increased Tariffs on 250 Billion Dollars worth of goods (25% to 30%), from October 1st to October 15th,” Trump wrote (The Hill). > Homeless: Responding to Trump’s attention to Fox News coverage of homeless people living in tent encampments in California cities, administration officials toured an unused former Federal Aviation Administration facility in the state this week in search of a potential location to move the homeless, the Washington Post reports. Trump is expected to visit California on Tuesday and Wednesday for a campaign fundraiser in Beverly Hills. It’s unclear if the president will discuss his concerns about the state’s homeless population during his trip, the Post reports. > Environment: The administration today plans to jettison an Obama-era definition of what qualifies as “waters of the United States” under the Clean Water Act in order to return the United States to standards put in place in 1986, Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Andrew Wheeler told the Washington Post in an interview. He said EPA will finalize within months a new definition that determines which water bodies deserve federal protection. Trump has called the 2015 definition, which expanded EPA authority over the nation’s waterways, “destructive and horrible.”  > State Department: Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has solidified his status as Trump’s most influential adviser on foreign policy with the ouster this week of former White House national security adviser John Bolton. Trump on Wednesday castigated Bolton, blaming him for “some very big mistakes.” By comparison, Pompeo, who continues to rebuff expectations that he’ll run for the Senate in Kansas, enjoys a strong relationship with the president and remains one of Trump’s most trusted allies (The Hill).
 
OPINION
Can we trust polls in 2020? by former Rep. Steve Israel (D-N.Y.), opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/2m4Zwxc  We cannot forget or go soft — terrorists remain bent on U.S. destruction, by Mary Beth Long, opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/2kveo7X 
 
WHERE AND WHEN
Hill.TV’s “Rising” at 9 a.m. ET features Hill.TV host Jamal Simmons at the Houston debate hall with a preview of tonight’s event, to be broadcast by ABC News and Univision; Marc Lotter, director of strategic communications for the Trump campaign, also joins the program from Houston; Briahna Gray, national press secretary with the Sanders campaign, talks about the Vermont senator’s debate outlook; and Michelle Malkin, syndicated columnist and author, discusses her new book, “Open Borders Inc.” Find Hill.TV programming at http://thehill.com/hilltv or on YouTube at 10 a.m. The House meets at 9 a.m. for legislative business. The House Judiciary Committee meets at 8 a.m. to consider a resolution on procedures for impeachment hearings regarding the president. The House at 9 a.m. may consider a bill to repeal the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge oil and gas program authorized in the 2017 tax law. Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) will hold her weekly press conference at 10:45 a.m. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) will hold his weekly press conference from the GOP retreat at 3:20 p.m. in Baltimore.  The Senate meets at 10 a.m. to vote on executive nominations. The Senate Armed Services Committee holds a confirmation hearing at 9:30 a.m. on the nominees for Army secretary and Air Force secretary   The president will have lunch with Pompeo at 12:30 p.m. Trump will deliver remarks at 7:10 p.m. at the 2019 House Republican Conference retreat held in Baltimore, a city the president denigrated this summer as a “disgusting, rat and rodent infested mess.” The vice president will deliver remarks at the Concerned Women for America’s 40th Anniversary Celebration at 7 p.m. at Trump International Hotel. Economic indicator: The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Consumer Price Index for August at 8:30 a.m.  Smithsonian Associates hosts “The Supreme Court: A Preview of the New Term,” from 1:30 p.m. to 3:30 p.m. today in the Ripley Center in Washington, with a panel of experts, including Noel Francisco, U.S. solicitor general; CNN’s legal analyst, journalist and author Joan Biskupic; Elaine J. Goldenberg, partner at Munger, Tolles & Olson; Martinez Roman, partner with Latham & Watkins; and moderator Kannon Shanmugam, managing partner at Paul Weiss. The popular event has a waiting list and information is HERE.
 
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ELSEWHERE
Opioids: OxyContin maker Purdue Pharma and its owners, members of the Sackler family, on Wednesday tentatively settled thousands of opioid lawsuits brought nationwide, but without a statement of wrongdoing for the deaths of thousands of people (The New York Times). ➔ Short-term rentals: The battle between the hotel industry’s lobbyists and rental platforms such as Airbnb has made its way to Congress, where lawmakers are weighing legislation that would place new advertising restrictions on short-term rental platforms by removing protections under a section of the Communications Decency Act that give internet companies legal immunity over content posted by third parties (The Hill).  ➔ Immigration: The Supreme Court on Wednesday granted a request by the administration to enforce a new rule that would curtail asylum applications by immigrants at the U.S.-Mexico border. The court said the rule, which requires most immigrants who want asylum to first seek safe haven in a third country through which they traveled on their way to the United States, could go into effect as litigation challenging its legality continues. Among the nine judges on the court, liberal Justices Sonia Sotomayor and Ruth Bader Ginsburg dissented (Reuters). The White House issued a statement hailing the court’s support for administration asylum policy as “a decisive step.” ➔ Horse racing: The New York Times has quite a scoop with its report that Justify, the 2018 Triple Crown winner trained by Bob Baffert, failed a doping test weeks before the Kentucky Derby last year, an event that should have kept the talented horse out of contention. Instead of the failed drug test causing a speedy disqualification, the California Horse Racing Board took more than a month to confirm the results. Then, instead of filing a public complaint as it usually does, the board made a series of decisions behind closed doors as it moved to drop the case and lighten the penalty for any horse found to have the banned substance that Justify tested positive for in its system.” ➔ Hockey: An Arlington, Va., grade school classroom this week was just one stop along Stanley Cup champion Alex Ovechkin’s promotional tour for new Ovi O’s cereal, along with visits to Georgetown Hospital and a Giant supermarket in Washington, where the somewhat battered looking Capitals captain, whose face took the brunt of a weekend bike accident, worked the checkout line. Ovi O’s, a honey-nut breakfast option, will be available exclusively at Giant stores in D.C., Maryland, Virginia and Delaware beginning Tuesday, Ovechkin’s 34th birthday. A portion of the proceeds are to benefit the Maryland-based Children’s Cancer Foundation Inc. (The Washington Post).  
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THE CLOSER
And finally … It’s Thursday, which means it’s time for this week’s Morning Report Quiz! Inspired by this week’s anniversary of 9/11, we’re eager for some smart guesses about events set in motion 18 years ago. Email your responses to asimendinger@thehill.com and/or aweaver@thehill.com, and please add “Quiz” to subject lines. Winners who submit correct answers will enjoy some richly deserved newsletter fame on Friday. Former President George W. Bush learned about the ongoing terror attacks on Sept. 11, 2001, from Andy Card, his White House chief of staff. How did Card tell the president? Telephone callEncrypted messageWhispered in the president’s ear during an eventSecure video conference call with national security team Osama bin Laden masterminded the 9/11 attacks with al Qaeda lieutenants but was never indicted. He remained on the FBI’s Most Wanted list until May 2, 2011, when what took place?Bin Laden died following years of ill health while in hidingHe was murdered by rival jihadistsU.S. special forces captured and killed him in Abbottabad, PakistanFBI did away with its Most Wanted list At 9:42 a.m. on Sept. 11, the Federal Aviation Administration’s Command Center decided on a course of action that made U.S. history. What was it? Placed air marshals on commercial aircraftClosed U.S. airspace, grounding all commercial air trafficClosed U.S. airports in major hub citiesHalted commercial flights in the United States for three hours The attacks of 9/11 triggered a cascade of U.S. federal responses. Which did NOT occur? Creation of an escape pod on Air Force OneCreation of the Department of Homeland SecurityCreation of the Transportation Security AdministrationCreation of the September 11th Victim Compensation Fund Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, one of bin Laden’s deputies, was captured in 2003 in Pakistan. Where is he today?Died while in U.S. custodyImprisoned at Guantanamo Bay, where he faces a military tribunal in January 2021Imprisoned in a high-security federal facility in ColoradoIn Germany, serving a life sentence for his role in the terror attacks  
 
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Supreme Court allows nationwide enforcement of Trump asylum rules The Supreme Court cleared the way Wednesday for the Trump administration to deny asylum to migrants from other countries who … more
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‘Historic milestone’: Senate confirms 150th Trump judicial nominee         Trump remembers the nearly 3,000 Americans ‘stolen from us’ on 9/11         Gaffe-proof front-runner Joe Biden faces new challenge: inevitability         ‘Workhorses instead of show horses’: Democratic governors find experience pitch no longer sells         Trump administration to ban non-tobacco vaping flavors         Bolton’s ouster opens door for possible meeting between Trump, Iran’s Rouhani        
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With socialism on 2020 ballot, Republicans need fighters, not quitters         The Democratic debates, round three         Preventing casualties from single-payer health care      
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House Democrats at odds over party message on impeachment         Democrats use hearing to quiz Trump’s judicial nominee on legal advice given to White House         McConnell: Bolton ‘appreciates the need to stand up to adversaries like Putin’s Russia’      
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DHS official to Congress: Letting program lapse leaves chemical plants prone to terrorism         Al Qaeda’s chilling 9/11 reminder: Keep killing Americans         Iranian hackers targeting U.S. universities in spite of criminal charges: Report      
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SNYDER: California moves to give college athletes piece of the pie         Josh Jackson shines in Terrapins’ offense         Cowboys’ play-action presents ‘headache’ for Redskins D      
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Connect: Facebook Twitter YouTube View this email in your browser “May the God of hope fill you with all joy and peace in believing, so that by the power of the Holy Spirit you may abound in hope,” (Romans 15:13, ESV). Joni Ernst: We Will Never Forget By Caffeinated Thoughts on Sep 11, 2019 05:42 pm
U.S. Senator Joni Ernst, R-Iowa, remembered the events of September 11, 2001, during a speech on Wednesday on the floor of the U.S. Senate.
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Flashback: George W. Bush’s Speech at Ground Zero By Shane Vander Hart on Sep 11, 2019 05:21 pm
Watch the iconic speech given by President George W. Bush at Ground Zero three days after the attacks on September 11, 2001.
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Dynasty Talk Should Be a Warning to Trump-Wary Republicans By Adam Graham on Sep 11, 2019 12:51 pm
Adam Graham: It’s a bad combination that state political parties are canceling nominating contests and the President’s campaign is talking about a dynasty.
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CDN’s Daily News Blast delivers the day’s news first! View this email in your browser CDN Daily News Blast 09/12/2019 Excerpts: Media Hyped ‘Wrong’ Study Linking Trump Rallies To Hate Crimes, Then Ignored Second Study Debunking It By Peter Hasson – Establishment media outlets like The Washington Post hyped a now-disputed study that linked President Donald Trump’s campaign rallies to a spike in hate crimes, but they’ve yet to cover a second study that debunked the first one. The first study, which three Texas university professors conducted, said counties that hosted … Media Hyped ‘Wrong’ Study Linking Trump Rallies To Hate Crimes, Then Ignored Second Study Debunking It is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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Michael Flynn’s Legal Team Lists 40 Documents It Says Will Vindicate Former National Security Adviser By Chuck Ross – Michael Flynn’s lawyers submitted a list of 40 government records they say will vindicate the former national security adviser. Sidney Powell, the lead attorney for Flynn, wants prosecutors to provide documents related to FBI informant Stefan Halper and the infamous Steele dossier and regarding a media leak to The Washington … Michael Flynn’s Legal Team Lists 40 Documents It Says Will Vindicate Former National Security Adviser is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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President Donald Trump’s Schedule for Thursday, September 12, 2019 By R. Mitchell – President Donald Trump will have lunch with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, attend a joint fundraising reception and speak at the 2019 House Republican Conference retreat in Baltimore, MD. Keep up with Trump on Our President’s Schedule Page. President Trump’s Itinerary for 9/12/19 All Times EDT 12:30 PM Lunch with … President Donald Trump’s Schedule for Thursday, September 12, 2019 is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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September 11, 2001 – Did Congress or Americans Learn Anything? By Amanda Alverez –    On September 11, 2001, America and the world were forever changed. Does anyone falsely believe it was for the better? After all the political ‘yelling, chest-slaps, and faux efforts,’ America has quickly gone down-hill by allowing this sort of religious hatred permeate Congress, the Democrat Party, societies, schools, colleges, … September 11, 2001 – Did Congress or Americans Learn Anything? is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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Supreme Court Lets New Trump Asylum Restrictions Take Effect By Kevin Daley – The Supreme Court allowed the Trump administration Wednesday to enforce new immigration rules that would deny asylum to migrants who did not seek protected status in a country they passed through on their way to the southern border. Justices Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Sonia Sotomayor dissented from Wednesday’s decision. The … Supreme Court Lets New Trump Asylum Restrictions Take Effect is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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Hawley, Cruz And Lawmakers Challenge Facebook Over Live Action Fact-Check By Mary Margaret Olohan – Lawmakers sent a letter to Facebook challenging a fact check on the pro-life organization Live Action’s content. Republican Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley and  Republican Texas Sen. Ted Cruz were among the lawmakers who sent the letter. Live Action has said that they were targeted by pro-abortion fact checkers, and that Facebook … Hawley, Cruz And Lawmakers Challenge Facebook Over Live Action Fact-Check is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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The Real Conflict is Not Racial or Sexual, It’s Between Ascendant Rich Elites and The Rest Of Us By Joel Kotkin – Despite the media’s obsession on gender, race and sexual orientation, the real and determining divide in America and other advanced countries lies in the growing conflict between the ascendant upper class and the vast, and increasingly embattled, middle and working classes. We’ve seen this fight before. The current conflict fundamentally … The Real Conflict is Not Racial or Sexual, It’s Between Ascendant Rich Elites and The Rest Of Us is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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The War-Russ is Gone – Grrr Graphics – Tina Toon By Tina – President Trump fired National Security Advisor John Bolton on Tuesday.  John “Never met a War I didn’t like” Bolton disagrees and claims he resigned. No matter, the old “WAR-russ” is gone. He should have never been appointed to that position in the first place.   We are happy to see the … The War-Russ is Gone – Grrr Graphics – Tina Toon is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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Condoleezza Rice Smacks Down NBC’s Savannah Guthrie After She Suggests Russians Elected Trump By Shelby Talcott – Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice shut down NBC’s Savannah Guthrie after Guthrie asked her whether Russia “elected Donald Trump.” Rice was a guest on Wednesday’s “Today Show,” and Guthrie began to question the former secretary of state about all things Russia. At one point, Guthrie asked if Russia “actually … Condoleezza Rice Smacks Down NBC’s Savannah Guthrie After She Suggests Russians Elected Trump is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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9th Circuit Court Hands Trump Another Big Victory On Asylum Fight By Jason Hopkins – The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals handed President Donald Trump a major victory regarding his plan to prohibit most immigrants from applying for asylum at the U.S.-Mexico border. The San Francisco-based 9th Circuit late Tuesday night rolled back a decision made by a federal judge. U.S. District Judge Jon Tigar, … 9th Circuit Court Hands Trump Another Big Victory On Asylum Fight is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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Jet Setter – A.F. Branco Cartoon By A.F. Branco – Pete Buttigieg flies around in his private jet while telling you to stop driving your SUVs. Political cartoon by A.F. Branco ©2019. See more Branco toons HERE Jet Setter – A.F. Branco Cartoon is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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Biden Hires New Campaign Staff To Woo Minority Voters By Mary Margaret Olohan – 2020 Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is adding new staff members to his campaign specifically to win over minority voters. The former vice president added six new senior staff members, all of which are minorities and women, according to Axios. The Biden campaign hired Laura Jiménez as the new Latinx … Biden Hires New Campaign Staff To Woo Minority Voters is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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Watch: President Trump and The First Lady Participate in a September 11th Pentagon Observance Ceremony By R. Mitchell – President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump participate in a 9/11 memorial ceremony at the Pentagon Wednesday to honor those lost on September 11, 2001. The memorial is set to begin at 9:30 AM EDT. Watch: Content created by Conservative Daily News and some content syndicated through CDN is available … Watch: President Trump and The First Lady Participate in a September 11th Pentagon Observance Ceremony is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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Watch: President Trump and The First Lady Participate in a Moment of Silence By R. Mitchell – President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump lead a moment of silence on the South Lawn of the White House Wednesday in honor of those lost on 9/11. The observance is scheduled to begin at 8:40 AM EDT. Watch: Content created by Conservative Daily News and some content syndicated through … Watch: President Trump and The First Lady Participate in a Moment of Silence is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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A Hole in Our Heart – A.F. Branco Cartoon By A.F. Branco – There’s a huge hole in our hearts as we still remember 9-11-2001 in 2019. We will never forget. Political cartoon by A.F. Branco ©2019 See more Branco toons HERE A Hole in Our Heart – A.F. Branco Cartoon is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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Flynn Lawyer Argues Case Should Be Dismissed Over ‘Egregious Government Misconduct’ By Chuck Ross – An attorney for Michael Flynn said in federal court Tuesday she may seek a dismissal of charges against the former national security adviser, citing “egregious conduct and suppression” of exculpatory information in the case. Prosecutors handling the case had a surprise of their own, telling Judge Emmet Sullivan that they … Flynn Lawyer Argues Case Should Be Dismissed Over ‘Egregious Government Misconduct’ is original content from Conservative Daily News – Where Americans go for news, current events and commentary they can trust – Conservative News Website for U.S. News, Political Cartoons and more.
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DESERET NEWS

View this email in your browser Thursday, Sept. 12, 2019 The rich get paid to take care of their families. The poor don’t. Is it time for a national leave policy? What Americans — especially Republicans — get wrong about divorce, teen sex and out-of-wedlock births Are today’s marriages stronger, weaker or ‘out-of-date’? Here’s what 5 years of family research shows In a culture of division and intolerance, ‘Out of Liberty’ builds a solid bridge
 (Sponsored) Local analysts warn U.S.-China trade battle impacting Utah companies Man who loaned gun to Lauren McCluskey’s killer sentenced to 3 years supervision MORE NEWS Poll: Utahns split over which party in Congress they trust to deal with gun issues Ute Insiders: How much offense will Utah really show us against Idaho State? (podcast) Theater review: Hale Centre Theatre’s ‘The Addams Family’ delivers morbid humor for the whole family Copyright © 2019 Deseret News, All rights reserved.


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BRIGHT

Thursday, September 12, 2019



The Next Big Ban? Vaping  
On Wednesday, President Trump announced his plan to halt the sales of flavored e-cigarettes after an alarming increase in the number of hospitalized teens with lung illnesses. E-cigarette companies, such as Juul, will have to apply to the FDA for the authorization to sell the enticing flavors like mint, fruit, crème, and mango. 
 
Whose had the President’s ear on this issue? The First Lady. On Monday, Melania tweeted that she was “deeply concerned” about teen vaping, and during his announcement on  Wednesday, the President credited her with bringing up the issue as it relates to their teenage son, Barron. 

David Marcus argues at The Federalist that banning flavors will in fact, not stop teen vaping. 
 
“Sure, get rid of the flavors. But it won’t get rid of the problem. Maybe vaping is as safe (the industry uses the term ‘less harmful’) as the industry tells us.”
 
Facebook Continues To Be In Hot Water With Congress 
On Wednesday, Sen. Josh Hawley, Sen. Cruz, Sen. Braun, and Sen. Cramer sent a letter to Facebook Founder Mark Zuckerberg condemning Facebook’s censoring of the pro-life group, Live Action. Just hours after the letter was sent, Facebook doubled down on their efforts to “fact check” Live Action saying their content was “false,” which Live Action’s founder, Lila Rose, then said was in “retaliation” to the senators’ letter. 
 
More info here at National Review
 
Media Ignores First Amendment Case Because They Don’t Want To Talk Abortion
Thesecond week of preliminary criminal hearings against undercover journalists reveal gruesome admissions of baby body part trafficking in a San Francisco court. Yet mainstream media outlets remain uncharacteristically silent about an important First Amendment case. 
 
“A quick search for Daleiden’s name across national and local news sites (The New York Times, CNN, The San Francisco Chronicle, The L.A. Times) turns up zero stories on the hearings. Why would reporters find no interest in a case’s outcome that could result in serious implications on their own First Amendment rights as journalists? And a case with click-grabbing, alarmingly graphic details to boot?”
 
Read my full piece at The Federalist here. 
 
Foodie Find of the Week
I am not normally a sucker for Pumpkin Spice season, but something overcame me when I bought the “Pumpkin Spice” flavored RX Bar last week. It was surprisingly good and I would describe it as close cousin to carrot cake flavors if you’re into that sort of thing. 

Thursday Links
Remembering 9/11: If you haven’t watched it before, or even if you have, rewatch President Bush’s first pitch at Yankee Stadium after the towers fell. (ESPN)
 
This is what we call “failing upwards.” Remember Babe.net? Most well known for trying to #MeToo comedian Aziz Ansari? The reporter who wrote that infamous piece is now at Vice. (The Federalist) 

Did you hear about the great Instagram Influencer scammer in January? Well, now her ex-friend and ghostwriter has lengthy a tell-all in The Cut. Neither girl comes out looking good, but it feels like the current car wreck of The Internet where no one can look away. (Insider)
 
Apple can take all my money now because the new iPhone has PET PORTRAIT MODE. (Business Insider) BRIGHT is brought to you by The Federalist.
Today’s BRIGHT Guest Editor

Madeline Osburn is a writer and podcast producer at The Federalist. You can follow her on Twitter @madelineorr and subscribe to The Federalist Radio hour here.  She lives on Capitol Hill with her very tall husband and very tiny dog. 
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WASHINGTON EXAMINER

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HIGHLIGHTS Dead and missing since 1997, visible on Google all along Devin Nunes: UK memo warning about Steele’s credibility exists Piers Morgan rips school program teaching ‘100 gender identities’   Democrats engulfed in confusion over impeachment plans   Are House Democrats conducting an impeachment inquiry?     Fed-up ridesharing drivers nevertheless have questions about California legislative fix   California’s passage of a bill to force “gig economy” companies such as Uber and Lyft to classify all workers as employees rather than contractors is drawing a wary and divided reaction from the drivers for those companies. Even those generally supportive of the legislation don’t necessarily see it as a simple fix.     NC Republicans privately confident about Trump despite House race nail-biter   Republicans in North Carolina are privately confident about President Trump’s 2020 prospects in the perennial battleground state, despite barely surviving a special election in a House seat the GOP has controlled for more than a half-century.     Supreme Court allows Trump administration to deny asylum to migrants on southern border   The Supreme Court will allow the Trump administration to fully enforce a new policy aimed at curbing Central American migrants’ ability to claim asylum at the U.S.-Mexico border, handing a victory to President Trump in his efforts to crack down on illegal immigration.   ADVERTISEMENT
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THE BLAZE

Having trouble viewing this email? Click here Trending now Here’s how the Trump campaign plans to troll the next Democratic debate — for only $7,500   Ocasio-Cortez is stunned by former ICE official berating her for ‘appalling’ hatred against immigration officers       More from TheBlaze Hillary Clinton’s emails are on display at an art exhibit in Venice. She spent an hour flipping through them herself.   High school football players see a classmate being bullied over his clothes, and they react in an incredible way     Watch: New Zealand firefighters honor fallen​ 9/11 first responders with haka performance   CNN says ‘right wing terrorists’ are worse than Islamist terrorists who attacked on 9/11 — and gets brutal backlash   more stories One last thing… Parkland father exposes how killer was enabled by Obama’s school-leniency policies Andrew Pollack, whose daughter, Meadow, was a victim of the Parkland massacre that left 17 dead, is on a mission to make sure other parents are aware of what failed in Broward County so that future school tragedies might be prevented. The mourning father has written a book spelling out the countless red flags school officials and law enforcement we… Read more Share Tweet Email © 2019 Blaze Media LLC. All Rights Reserved. You are receiving this email because you opted in to receive emails from Blaze Media. Privacy Policy | Manage your preferences | Unsubscribe 8275 S. Eastern Ave, Ste 200-245 Las Vegas, Nevada, 89123, USA

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Sign up for this newsletter Read online Stories from all over.       Does the new iPhone creep you out? Scientists grapple with why tiny holes scare some people Why were so many people disgusted by Apple’s new iPhone launch? By Katie Shepherd ● Read more » She got 12 years for $31 of pot. Years after her parole, she was jailed for the unpaid court fees. Nearly seven years after her parole, Patricia Spottedcrow has struggled to find work and stable housing with a criminal conviction on her record. After her arrest on Monday, anonymous donors paid off her remaining court fees. By Antonia Farzan ● Read more »   ADVERTISEMENT Trump hailed an El Paso shooting survivor as a hero. But his story was fake, police say. Surveillance video didn’t back up Chris Grant’s story that he threw bottles at a mass shooter to distract him, police said Wednesday. By Tim Elfrink ● Read more »   Husband-and-wife fugitives wanted for murder, arson captured in Arizona after brazen escape Blane and Susan Barksdale were found after overpowering two guards in a prison van and leaving the guards and one other inmate locked inside, authorities say. By Meagan Flynn ● Read more »   Trump takes credit for GOP’s North Carolina win, tweets photo suggesting a third term for himself In a flurry of tweets sent well into early Wednesday morning, Trump celebrated the “TWO BIG VICTORIES” — while also taking time to bash the “Fake News.” By Allyson Chiu ● Read more »   ADVERTISEMENT A teen fractured her thumb. Doctors botched the surgery and replaced it with her big toe. After doctors forgot to remove a tourniquet, killing Brittany Thomas’s thumb, they decided to replace the finger with her big toe. By Katie Shepherd ● Read more »     We think you’ll like this newsletter Check out By The Way for tips and guides that will help you travel better and make you feel like a local wherever you go. Delivered every Thursday. Sign up »  
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SCOTT RASMUSSEN

ScottRasmussen.com Launch – Check Out My All New Website No Images? Click here Good morning,
Forty-three percent (43%) of voters nationwide believe that things would be better globally if other nations were more like the United States.
A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 18% disagree and believe that would make things worse. Another 16% don’t think it would make much difference and 22% are not sure.
Conservatives strongly believe the world would be a better place if other countries were more like ours.  Liberals are evenly divided.Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters believe the United States has the world’s strongest economy.
A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that view is shared by 68% of Republicans, 55% of Independents, and 47% of Democrats.Among all voters, 24% believe China has the strongest economy, 4% say Russia, 1% say some other country, and 15% are not sure.
Looking ahead to the end of the 21st century, there’s little expectation of change. Forty-six percent (46%) believe the U.S. economy will still be number one, 25% expect it will be China, 2% Russia, and 26% are not sure.Heading into Round Three of the Democratic presidential debates, 74% of Registered Democrats have a favorable opinion of both Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders. Sixty-four percent (64%) say the same about Elizabeth Warren. No other Democratic hopeful is close.In practical terms, this means the goal of the other seven candidates in the debate will all be looking for a way to break into the top tier. We will continue our daily tracking of the race to measure any immediate impact.  And, we will also update the candidate’s favorability ratings over the weekend.
Finally, today’s Number of the Day notes that 58% of voters think nuclear power plants could be developed to operate in a safe and environmentally friendly manner. 
Thank you for your interest in our work,
Scott  

Stay Informed Up To The Minute and Share ContentDeeper CurrentsScott Rasmussen offers his personal insight, analysis, and opinion on current political races, issues, and controversy.
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Scott’s ColumnsPresident Trump has perfected the art of antagonizing his opponents with provocative tweets. He demonstrated this skill recently in declaring that the tax reform act,…
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LEGAL INSURRECTION

Share This   In Rebuke of Lower Court, SCOTUS Allows Trump Administration to Enforce Asylum Rule
UK Trade Union Boss Warns PM Johnson of ‘Citizen’s Arrest’ for Suspending Parliament
NRA Sues San Francisco After City Declares Group a Domestic Terrorist Organization
Mandy Nagy on “Remembering September 11th and the importance of loved ones and endurance”
Son of 9/11 Victim Takes on Rep. Ilhan Omar for Her “Some people who did something” Comment     U. Michigan Slammed for Requiring Students to Cross Examine Each Other in Campus Rape Cases
Left Wing Students Cry Foul as U. Texas Removes Campus Free Speech Zones
Students and Faculty at Northeastern Illinois U. to Protest Appearance by Sean Spicer   William Jacobson:Mandy Nagy on “Remembering September 11th and the importance of loved ones and endurance” — Mandy’s 2013 post is particularly poignant in light of later events: ‘September 11th taught me the importance of family and loved ones in our lives, as well as the compassion of those we may not know, and that we can never, ever take life for granted…'” Kemberlee Kaye: “I doubt anyone is buying Rep. Omar’s #NeverForget tweet given her past comments about 9/11.” Mary Chastain: “Let’s not forget the other 9/11 anniversary. On September 11, 2012, terrorists attacked our CIA annex and the residence of our ambassador in Benghazi, Libya. They murdered Ambassador J. Christopher Stevens, U.S. Foreign Service Information Management Officer Sean Smith, former Navy SEAL Glen Dougherty, and former Navy SEAL Tyrone Woods. Yes, those four deaths should not have happened, but more would have lost their lives if it was not for the former military men at the annex who “never quit” and fought against the terrorists for 13 hours.” Leslie Eastman: “I found myself thinking of Liberty Chick, Mandy Nagy, often this September 11.  I say a prayer daily for her healing.  She is terribly missed.”  David Gerstman: “Nicholas Haros Jr., whose mother Frances was one of those murdered by Al Qaeda terrorists in 9/11/2001 went off-script and criticized  Rep. Ilhan Omar for her remarks earlier this year, when she referred to the attacks as “some people did something.” (Even her point was false. She was saying that CAIR was created in response to anti-Muslim bigotry stirred up in the wake of 9/11. CAIR, according to Wikipedia, was founded in 1994.) I can understand (though I don’t agree with) someone who criticized Haros for saying that he politicized the event unnecessarily. What I can’t understand is how Reuters could characterize Haros’ remarks as saying that he “falsely suggested” that she didn’t know who perpetrated the attacks. It was Omar who downplayed the outrage by using indefinite language. The criticism was well-earned.” Stacey Matthews: “Don Lemon told Jimmy Kimmel that CNN colleague Chris Cuomo lives off of a diet of ‘steroids and tequila.’ I believe it.” Vijeta Uniyal: “The leader of the UK’s opposition Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn, wants to use the month-long suspension of the parliament to set the stage for ousting Prime Minister Johnson ahead of the October 31 Brexit deadline. The London-based Daily Telegraph disclosed the Labour Party’s game plan of toppling “Johnson with confidence vote” when the parliament reconvenes in mid-October.”                 Legal Insurrection Foundation is a Rhode Island tax-exempt corporation established exclusively for charitable purposes within the meaning of Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code to educate and inform the public on legal, historical, economic, academic, and cultural issues related to the Constitution, liberty, and world events. For more information about the Foundation, CLICK HERE. Donate Here!   Legal Insurrection Foundation
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THE RESURGENT

The Resurgent’s Morning Briefing for September 12,2019 View this email in your browser Share Tweet Forward Good morning,

Here is all the news conservatives need to know to start their day.  At 4pm ET, you can catch me on radio to bring you up to speed on developments throughout the day.  You can listen live here.  

Free Market Wokeness A few weeks ago, writing in the Wall Street Journal, Iain Murray of the Competitive Enterprise Institute wrote that free marketeers have taken social conservatives for granted. He wrote, in part, “The free-market coalition is in urgent need of repair. If enough conservatives join progressives in seeing free trade as a threat to their values, […] The post Free Market Wokeness appeared first on The Resurgent.  Read in browser »


Macomb County (MI) Judge Rachel Rancilio Orders the Arrest of Grieving Father For the Crime of Criticizing Her For anyone who thinks we aren’t living under the arbitrary and capricious power of a tyrannical judiciary, this one’s for you. Josiah Vanderhagen is in jail with bond set at $500,000. That high of a bail may lead a reasonable person to believe Vanderhagen has been charged with rape or murder or some other heinous […] The post Macomb County (MI) Judge Rachel Rancilio Orders the Arrest of Grieving Father For the Crime of Criticizing Her appeared first on The Resurgent.  Read in browser »


Lessons Learned from the Drew Brees-Focus on the Family Ordeal New Orleans Saints Quarterback Drew Brees recently recorded a promotional video for Bring Your Bible to School Day, a project of Focus on the Family. It was posted to YouTube on August 28th. “Hey guys. Drew Brees here. One of my favourite verses in the Bible is 2 Corinthians 5:7 – ‘For we live by […] The post Lessons Learned from the Drew Brees-Focus on the Family Ordeal appeared first on The Resurgent.  Read in browser »


Why The French-Ahmari Debates Matter …and why Ahmari most likely won the debate. The post Why The French-Ahmari Debates Matter appeared first on The Resurgent.  Read in browser »


It’s the End of Democracy As We Know It…And I Feel Fine Of the people, by the people and for the people only counts for certain kinds of people. The post It’s the End of Democracy As We Know It…And I Feel Fine appeared first on The Resurgent.  Read in browser »


ABC News is Encouraging Mass Shootings by Selling Terror Your chances of being killed a by drunk driver are thousands of times greater than being killed by a mass shooter. I don’t hear the media screaming to ban cars or alcohol. I don’t see polls highlighting the terror experienced getting in my car to go to work. The post ABC News is Encouraging Mass Shootings by Selling Terror appeared first on The Resurgent.  Read in browser »


Conservative in College Many pundits wonder aloud about the value of a college education that often looks more like indoctrination. One that comes at an exceptionally high price. This perception is reinforced by studies like a recent one from College Pulse. In an online survey of Republican college students, 73% reported they had hidden their political views out […] The post Conservative in College appeared first on The Resurgent.  Read in browser »




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REALCLEARPOLITICS


09/12/2019 Share: Carl Cannon’s Morning Note Presented by Fisher Investments: 2020 Odds; Debate Preview; Enduring Values By Carl M. Cannon on Sep 12, 2019 08:01 am
Good morning, it’s Thursday, Sept. 12, 2019. After the 10th anniversary of 9/11 — yes, I’ve been writing this morning newsletter that long — I described taking my youngest brother to the airport while dodging impatient and rude Washington drivers. Shaking our heads as motorists sat on their horns and cut each other off, my brother observed wryly, “It’s September 12. Things are back to normal.” I couldn’t resist the temptation then to irreverently quip about how, if you can’t flip another driver the bird during rush hour traffic, the terrorists win. Actually, this is a week when our country’s leaders remind us that even while recalling great national suffering and setbacks, we are all Americans. And that this still means something. Eight years ago, that obligation fell to Barack Obama. He was very much up to the task, as I’ll show you in a moment. First, I’d point you to RealClearPolitics’ front page, which presents our poll averages, videos, breaking news stories, and aggregated opinion columns spanning the political spectrum. We also offer original material from our own reporters and contributors, including the following: * * * Buy, Sell, Hold (September Edition). Sean Trende assesses the surviving Democratic candidates’ chances of securing the nomination. Debate Field Reflects Democrats’ Disdain for Business Success. Greg Orman writes that the winnowing that left John Hickenlooper, Michael Bennet, and John Delaney off the stage means big-government policy promises will dominate tonight’s discussion. To Determine Who’s Poor, Count All Poverty Spending. In RealClearPolicy, Matt Weidinger asserts that the government’s official metric leaves out data as important as what it counts. No Need for Energy Poverty. In RealClearEnergy, Derrick Hollie counters sky-is-falling predictions tied to the use fossil fuels, which remain abundant. To Cheer China’s Economic Demise Is to Cheer Our Own. RealClearMarkets editor John Tamny takes exception to some commentators’ stance on a possible outcome of the trade war. Russia’s Hypersonic Missile Threat to the U.S. In RealClearDefense, Mark B. Schneider lays out the perils posed by the Kremlin’s weapons modernization program. * * * On the 10th anniversary of 9/11 eight years ago, President Obama was the keynote speaker at a solemn ceremony at the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts in Washington. Obama began by quoting a verse from the 30th Psalm: “Weeping may endure for a night, but joy cometh in the morning.” “In the decade since, much has changed for Americans,” the president continued. “We’ve known war and recession, passionate debates and political divides. We can never get back the lives that were lost on that day, or the Americans who made the ultimate sacrifice in the wars that followed. And yet today, it is worth remembering what has not changed.”  “These 10 years have shown that we hold fast to our freedoms,” he said. “Yes, we are more vigilant against those who threaten us, and there are inconveniences that come with our common defense. Debates — about war and peace, about security and civil liberties — have often been fierce these last 10 years. But it is precisely the rigor of these debates, and our ability to resolve them in a way that honors our values and our democracy, that is a measure of our strength.” If you read my morning newsletter yesterday, on the 18th anniversary of 9/11, you will know that I fear that too many of my fellow citizens — especially those blinded by political partisanship — have forgotten Barack Obama’s wisdom. Perhaps they should watch his speech again. It holds up well. Early in his presidency, Obama stumbled rhetorically on the topic of American Exceptionalism. On Sept. 11, 2011, however, he captured it brilliantly. In my view, it was one of the most inspiring speeches of his presidency.
“Decades from now, Americans will visit the memorials to those who were lost on 9/11,” he noted solemnly. “They will run their fingers over the places where the names of those we loved are carved into marble and stone, and they may wonder at the lives they led. Standing before the white headstones in Arlington, and in peaceful cemeteries and small-town squares in every corner of our country, they will pay respects to those lost in Afghanistan and Iraq. They will see the names of the fallen on bridges and statues, at gardens and schools. “And they will know that nothing can break the will of a truly United States of America. They will remember that we have overcome slavery and Civil War; we’ve overcome bread lines and fascism; recession and riots; communism and, yes, terrorism. They will be reminded that we are not perfect, but our democracy is durable, and that democracy — reflecting, as it does, the imperfections of man — also gives us the opportunity to perfect our union. That is what we honor on days of national commemoration, those aspects of the American experience that are enduring, and the determination to move forward as one people.”  Carl M. Cannon  
Washington Bureau chief, RealClearPolitics
@CarlCannon (Twitter)
ccannon@realclearpolitics.com For years, many pundits and politicians have claimed Internet behemoths are too powerful and monopolistic. Then, in June, the House announced they would launch a probe into several tech giants. Despite many possible outcomes, we don’t view these possibilities as a reason to avoid Tech now. Click here to read more of this message, brought to you by Fisher Investments.
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THE FEDERALIST

Your daily update of new content from The Federalist
Be lovers of freedom and anxious for the fray September 12, 2019
Sidney Powell’s Latest Motion In Michael Flynn’s Case Is A Russiagate Bombshell By Margot Cleveland
Lawyer Sidney Powell’s bigger plan is to expose the breadth and depth of SpyGate and how flaying Michael Flynn lay at the heart of the soft coup attempt.
Full article Bill Burr’s New Special Is Great But It’s His Fault We Won’t Talk About Why By Adam Condra
It’s a great special; old-school vulgar, consistently funny, and flush with the pathos that elevates good stand-up to great. But I’m worried that, largely because of Burr, no one is going to talk about it.
Full article Mustering An Urgency To Prevent Mass Shootings Outside The Gun Debate By Emily Jashinsky
Studying and addressing behavioral patterns should be an immediate priority of Congress, the media, and others dedicated to preventing mass shootings.
Full article DOJ Lawsuit Demands Names Of All People Who Use This App For Their Gun By Kyle Sammin
Creeping government control is nothing new, but the DOJ’s recent disregard for the Second and Fourth Amendments shows old protections against abuses of power will wear thin without public vigilance.
Full article Peter Buttigieg Loves God’s Creation When It’s A Rainbow But Not When It’s A Baby By Ericka Andersen
With greenhouse gasses, the Democratic presidential candidate is confident that not caring for creation is ‘a kind of sin.’ Yet he’s convinced God’s creation inside the womb is unworthy of that same care.
Full article Joe Biden’s Platform Illustrates The Breakneck Speed Democrats Are Lurching Left By Emily Jashinsky
Joe Biden’s billing as the primary’s moderate-in-residence is a statement on the breakneck speed at which the party is radicalizing. His platform is proof.
Full article Relying On Pro-Abortionist Fact-Checkers, Facebook Twice Labels Pro-Life Group Fake News By Tristan Justice
Hours after senators sent a letter to Facebook in support of the pro-life group Live Action, Facebook labeled the organization ‘false news’ once again.
Full article In An Ectopic Pregnancy, It’s Medical Malpractice Not To Save The Mother’s Life By Removing The Baby By Matthew Surburg
With an ectopic pregnancy, you save the life you can save. You don’t have to like it, but when you are faced with a choice between one death and two, you do what you can to make it one.
Full article Will President Trump Launch A Dynasty? By Warren Henry
The potential of a Trump political dynasty, or of the man himself continuing to loom over the political landscape like Oz the Great and Terrible, is certainly worthy of consideration.
Full article The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly Of Nancy Pelosi’s Drug Pricing Proposal By Christopher Jacobs
On Monday a summary of proposals by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi—which became public via leaks from lobbyists—provided an initial glimpse of the Democrat leadership’s policy approach.
Full article Lay Off Sonja Morgan And Dorinda Medley For Noticing That Drag Queens Are Men By Emily Jashinsky
Sonja Morgan and Dorinda Medley are embroiled in a media spectacle for speculating whether a self-described drag queen and transgender model were ‘guys.’
Full article Here’s Your Guide To The Third Democratic Presidential Debate By Tristan Justice
Ten candidates will take the stage Thursday night for the third Democratic presidential debate slated to be held in Houston.
Full article Caroline Calloway Brings The Bad News: Influencers Really Are The New Influencers By Emily Jashinsky
Caroline Calloway, whose only proper designation on a business card would be ‘influencer,’ is the latest of her peers to upset the internet.
Full article Meet Leonardo Da Vinci’s Art Tutor, Andrea Del Verrochio By William Newton
‘Verrocchio: Sculptor and Painter of Renaissance Florence’ at the National Gallery of Art is the first comprehensive exhibition dedicated to this artist ever mounted in the United States.
Full article Joe Biden Tried To Get Russia Into The Iraq War With Promises Of Oil Profits By Chrissy Clark
Not only did Russia interfere in the 2016 election under Biden’s watch, he also tried to buy Russia’s support of the Iraq War by promising Vladimir Putin oil money.
Full article Computer Scientist David Gelernter Wants To Revolutionize Social Media By The Federalist Staff
Yale Computer Science Professor David Gelernter joins the Federalist Radio Hour to discuss bias in tech, data privacy, time travel, and artificial intelligence.
Full article Michael Flynn’s Lawyer Explains Why She Needs To View Documents The Government Hasn’t Turned Over By Margot Cleveland
What should have been a quick hearing turned into a 45-minute preview of Sidney Powell’s plan to combat what she characterized as egregious government misconduct.
Full article




EIGHTEEN YEARS
Below is a post I wrote in 2002, about a visit to Shanksville, Pennsylvania. Within the space of a few short years, one of the teenagers in that picture above would be working in the White House, another in Afghanistan, another in Iraq. The ripples of 9/11 changed the lives of Americans in ways we still don’t fully understand. For some of us, it is still a scar of a wound that will never heal. For others, it’s proven far too easy to forget.

Read more of The Transom by signing up for a free trial today.

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AMERICAN THINKER

View this email in your browser Recent Articles The Trayvon Hoax: Unmasking the Witness Fraud that Divided America Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
It is appalling that six years after the Zimmerman trial so much information was left for me, an independent filmmaker, to discover. Watch the movie trailer here. Read More…
Fake News, Fake Polls – CNN Edition Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
It’s been a tough few weeks for CNN. So, when pushing multiple fake news stories go bust, it’s time for a fake poll. Read More…
Pete Buttigieg: Dumbest Ever Smart Person? Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
In Buttigieg’s case, there is a tragic sadness. Read More…
K–12: The Real Threat is Red Supremacists Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
Red supremacists are stealthy and secretive. But when you look at education, you can detect their heavy hand. Read More…
The Philippines — The Poland of the Pacific? Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
As in 1938, when Poland lay between the Wehrmacht and the Red Army, the Philippines is the weak point between the U.S. and China. Read More…
A Recession Is Not Inevitable Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
Are the pessimists correct, and is the U.S. due to experience a recession? Read More…

  Recent Blog Posts

Illinois Supreme Court selects chief justice married to indicted Chicago Alderman at center of huge federal probe into political corruption
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
Jaw-dropping indifference to the appearance of corruption  Read more…
Israel and India targeted by phony ‘human rights’ critics
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
It’s hard to not become disheartened when the very concept of human rights has been hijacked by the world’s worst human rights violators.  Read more…
New York Times: Airplane violence caused the collapse of the World Trade Center on September 11, 2001
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
The New York Times, whose official slogan is “All the news that’s fit to print,” vividly illustrated their twisted take on what they deem fit to print yesterday  Read more…
Vermont claims the right to compel healthcare workers to kill babies
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
A Vermont nurse alleges that she was compelled to perform an abortion in a hospital which has aggressively expanded its provision of abortion services right up until birth.  Read more…
For many journalists predictions have been more important than facts
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
Whenever journalists and other Democrats want to put out a negative article on the economy when the economy looks pretty good, they can always go to Moody’s and Mark Zandi.  Read more…
Texas businesswoman visits freedom fighters in Hong Kong
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
Veronica Birkenstock brings us up to date on what’s happening on the ground.  Read more…
Why won’t the right go after the porn industry’s leadership?
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
We need to research all who are involved behind the scenes and call them out.  Read more…
Greens know the destruction they’re pushing on the rest of us
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
And all of this will provide zero climate benefits.  Read more…
British ‘globalism’ challenges its democratic heritage
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
Prime Minister Boris Johnson is trying to do what has become next to impossible in the United Kingdom — enact the will of the British voting public.  Read more…
What happened to ObamaCare in Texas?
Sep 12, 2019 01:00 am
After nine years of ObamaCare, 17% of Texans are uninsured.  Read more…
The impenetrable, gloomy rage of the Democrat presidential candidates
Sep 11, 2019 01:00 am
Thankfully, American voters are vastly smarter than this slate of candidates, each of whom is crippled by the acid of his anger.  Read more…
Five things about that double–GOP congressional blowout in North Carolina
Sep 11, 2019 01:00 am
All of the strengths are showing from the Trump side.  Read more…
The Bolton hullabaloo is just silly
Sep 11, 2019 01:00 am
Far from being chaos, as the media are reporting, it’s a sign of a nimble Trump administation system that corrects itself.  Read more…
CNN’s spy exfiltration story was a Second Russia Hoax
Sep 11, 2019 01:00 am
Literally, a piece of Sciutto.  Read more…
President Trump should keep tweeting…and yes, John Legend is a ‘boring musician’
Sep 11, 2019 01:00 am
Kudos to our president for punching down, up, sideways, parallel, and perpendicular.  Read more…
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RED RIGHT DAILY

Father Of First US Casualty In Afghanistan and Other Families Rip Rep. Omar Over 9/11 Comments
FBI Now Investigating Activists Plot Against Jerry Falwell Jr. North Carolina Thwarts Trump Administration And Releases Hundreds Of Illegal Immigrants From Jail
The NRA Stands Up To San Fransisco And Put Them On Their Heels After Domestic Terror Resolution
NASCAR Caves To Anti-Gun Leftists By Censoring Ad
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  Biden, Warren to Share Stage for First Time at Democratic Presidential Debate By Reuters, Thursday, September 12, 2019 7:37 AM “Right now, this country does not need to hear about Democrats squabbling.” More  Comments »   Supreme Court Allows Trump to Deny Asylum to Many Central Americans By Reuters, Thursday, September 12, 2019 7:36 AM The U.S. Supreme Court granted a request by Trump’s administration to fully enforce a new rule. More  Comments »   Democrats Excluded From Debate to Fill Time With TV, Town Halls and Beer By Reuters, Thursday, September 12, 2019 7:36 AM “We’ll be talking to actual voters instead of trying to get a word in edgewise in a debate with 10 candidates.” More  Comments »   Top U.S. Trade Official Submits USMCA Ideas to Democrats: Lawmakers By Reuters, Thursday, September 12, 2019 7:35 AM “We have paper back from USTR that’s being reviewed and then we will move from there.” More  Comments »   House Panel Plans to Intensify Trump Impeachment Probe By Reuters, Thursday, September 12, 2019 7:27 AM “This signals very, very strongly what the American people need to know: we are investigating to determine what articles of impeachment we should bring up.” More  Comments »   Bahamas Says 2,500 Missing After Dorian; Prime Minister Warns Death Toll to Rise ‘Significantly’ By Reuters, Thursday, September 12, 2019 7:26 AM “The number of deaths is expected to significantly increase.” More  Comments »
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NBC

Image

From NBC’s Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Carrie Dann

FIRST READ: As they face off in tonight’s debate, Biden and Warren have had a history of squabbles

Tonight’s Democratic presidential debate will be the first time when frontrunner Joe Biden will share the same stage with Elizabeth Warren — due to random drawings from the two previous rounds of debates.

But this isn’t the first time they’ve squared off.

In fact, their history goes back at least 17 years.

In a 2002 New York Times op-ed, Warren (then a Harvard law professor) blasted Biden (then a U.S. senator) for supporting legislation making it harder for individuals to file bankruptcy.

Perhaps due to that op-ed and history, Biden was cold with Warren at a Feb. 10, 2005 Senate Judiciary Committee hearing over the same bankruptcy bill.

Image

 REUTERS/Gretchen Ertl

BIDEN: Maybe we should — I’m being deadly earnest here — because you make a very compelling and mildly demagogic argument, that talks about what is true. All of these things are true, and so my question is: is it — from a philosophic standpoint — is it the responsibility of the gas company and the drug store and whoever else you name to make sure that these people do not have to make these hard choices, or is that a responsibility of the government or the people at large? And that’s my only question I’ll ask. And I’m asking you, Professor.

WARREN: Senator, I think you’ve put your finger on the heart of what the bankruptcy bill — or bankruptcy in general, not this bill — [Biden interrupts]

BIDEN: Forget bankruptcy, I’m asking a larger question. Forget about bankruptcy.

&

WARREN: With these and others, I submit, senator, that there are many in the credit industry right now who are getting their bankruptcies prepaid. That is, they have squeezed enough out of these families, in interest and fees and payments that never — [Biden interrupts]

BIDEN: Sounds like you’re talking about usury rates, then. Maybe that’s what we should talk about, not bankruptcy.

WARREN: Senator, I’ll be the first. Invite me.

BIDEN: I know you will, but let’s call a spade a spade. Your problem with the credit card companies is usury rates, from your position. It’s not about the bankruptcy bill.

WARREN: But senator, but if it’s not going to fix that problem, you can’t take away the last shred of protection for these families!

BIDEN: I got it, okay. You’re very good, professor. Thank you.

Given that back-and-forth over the bankruptcy bill, Biden joked when he swore in Warren to be a U.S. senator in Jan. 2013, “You gave me hell.”

Then, as Biden jumped into the 2020 race back in April, Warren said he “was on the side of credit card companies.”

And last night, top Biden surrogate Ed Rendell accused Warren of being a hypocrite – for gladly accepting campaign donations from wealthy donors (like him) in past cycles, but criticizing Biden from doing it now.

So as Biden and Warren FINALLY go toe-to-toe tonight, there’s plenty of current and past disagreements for the debate moderators to explore.

The other storylines to watch tonight


Is there another Bernie-Elizabeth tag-team effort?

In July’s round of debates, we saw Warren and Bernie Sanders team up against the pragmatists. Does that tag-team effort play out again with Biden joining them on the stage? Or do we finally see some disagreements between the two progressives?
 

Can Kamala bounce back?

Speaking of those who’ve gone toe-to-toe with Joe Biden, Kamala Harris enjoyed a standout debate performance in June – but then she struggled in July. Which Harris do we get tonight?
 

Can Pete and Beto stand out?

Both Pete Buttigieg and Beto O’Rourke – representing the younger generation on tonight’s debate stage – are looking to recapture the excitement from earlier in their campaigns, per NBC’s Josh Lederman and Garrett Haake. 
 

Will the 2-percenters have a moment?

The previous debates haven’t been kind to the Dem candidates who have been at 1 to 2 percent in the polls. Even if they’ve stood out – like Julian Castro and Cory Booker have – that hasn’t helped them in the polls. Does that change?
 

Is everything still bigger in Texas?

Finally, tonight’s debate takes place in Houston, Texas – a state Democrats are hoping to turn blue. And there are two Texans on the stage: O’Rourke and Castro.



The debate begins at 8:00 pm ET, and it’s being broadcast by ABC News and Univision. 

DATA DOWNLOAD: And the number of the day is … 1987.

1987.

That’s the year of the last and only other time there was a televised Democratic presidential debate in Houston.

The debate was on “Firing Line,” a public affairs program hosted by William F. Buckley Jr.

And among those on the stage was 45 year-old Joe Biden, who was making his first run for the White House.

Other contenders included Michael Dukakis (who ultimately won the nomination), Rev. Jesse Jackson and Al Gore.

TWEET OF THE DAY: History tells us this race is bound to change

Image

Guess who’s coming to dinner in Baltimore

Two months after attacking the city of Baltimore and its congressman, Democrat Elijah Cummings, calling it “disgusting,” “filthy” and rat/rodent infested, guess who’s coming to dinner in Baltimore.

Answer: President Trump.

That’s right, at 7:10 pm ET, Trump delivers remarks to congressional Republicans at their retreat dinner in Baltimore.

Image

AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite

2020 VISION: Team Obama vs. Warren

Elizabeth Warren hasn’t just tangled with Joe Biden.

She also squared off against Barack Obama and his economic team, Politico writes.

“[I]nterviews with more than 50 top officials in the Obama White House and Treasury Department, members of Warren’s inner circle at the time, and Warren herself, reveal a far more combative relationship between her and the administration than she usually discusses on the campaign trail.”

“Tensions between Warren and Obama were palpable to White House aides, even as she reserved her real fury for Geithner and White House National Economic Council chief Larry Summers, whom she regarded as predisposed towards big banks over families struggling to save their homes.”

On the campaign trail today: The Democratic debate, from Houston, takes place beginning at 8:00 pm ET… Meanwhile, Tom Steyer and Steve Bullock are in Iowa… And Tim Ryan campaigns in New Hampshire. 

Dispatches from NBC’s embeds: As the top Democratic candidates spent their evenings preparing for tonight’s debate, Tom Steyer finished his swing through South Carolina. NBC’s Jordan Jackson reports that Steyer held nine public events during his South Carolina trip, and he picked up an endorsement from former South Carolina State Rep. Harold Mitchell.

At his event in Columbia, S.C., last night, Steyer commented on being left out of the debate tonight, but appearing to secure a spot on the stage in October: “My goal has always been to get around and speak directly to the American people to hear what they have to say to learn what their concerns are. And then to put forward a positive vision for everybody going forward. And that won’t change.”

THE LID: Stuck on you

Don’t miss the pod from yesterday, when we looked at how the political environment just… seems… stuck.

ICYMI: News clips you shouldn’t miss 

Here’s how the top 2020 candidates are preparing for tonight’s debate.

Gun control advocates are putting more pressure on U.S. companies to break ties with the NRA.

Michael Cohen [v]met with prosecutors who are investigating the Trump Organization.

Don’t miss how North Carolina Republicans moved to override a budget veto during a surprise vote when the chamber was half empty.

And here’s yet more on Sharpiegate.

Thanks for reading.

If you’re a fan, please forward this to a friend. They can sign up here.

We love hearing from our readers, so shoot us a line here with your comments and suggestions.

Thanks, 

Chuck, Mark, and Carrie

NOQ REPORT

NOQ Report Daily
Universal background checks aren’t a slippery slope. They’re a nosedive into gun confiscations. Posted: 11 Sep 2019 11:55 PM PDT This is one very important fact that must be considered any time people say universal background checks will make us safer. But before we get into that fact, let’s take a look at where they will lead if ever enacted in the United States. Today, we have background checks on the vast majority of gun […] The post Universal background checks aren’t a slippery slope. They’re a nosedive into gun confiscations. appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
Why Kamala Harris is toast Posted: 11 Sep 2019 11:54 PM PDT I had the pleasure of going to a standup comedy show headlined by Eddie Griffin over the weekend. If you’re white, this name doesn’t probably doesn’t mean much to you. He is star of Undercover Brother and a big name in black comedy. With that said, the group I was with was the youngest white […] The post Why Kamala Harris is toast appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
California family desperately in need of financial support after ALS diagnosis Posted: 11 Sep 2019 11:54 PM PDT A California woman struggles to survive and cope with medical bills; appeals for help after her husband’s diagnosis. Santa Clarita, CA – Jean Greenfield is making a passionate appeal to the public for help. Her husband Seth was suddenly diagnosed with ALS in September 2018, and as a result, the family is in severe financial […] The post California family desperately in need of financial support after ALS diagnosis appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
7 questions heading into 10-candidate Democratic debate Posted: 11 Sep 2019 11:53 PM PDT WASHINGTON (AP) — And then there were 10. The Democratic Party’s strongest presidential contenders — according to polls and fundraising, at least — meet on the same debate stage for the first time Thursday night. The lineup in Houston will be different but the dynamic familiar: Former Vice President Joe Biden will fight to preserve […] The post 7 questions heading into 10-candidate Democratic debate appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
Of Trump, Obama and cults of personality Posted: 11 Sep 2019 11:53 PM PDT First, let’s all in common cause pause for a moment and reflect upon that tragic day 18 years ago that brought us together as Americans against a foreign ideological enemy. I would much rather focus upon that which we have in common today and everyday. But unfortunately, there is also much that divides us. America […] The post Of Trump, Obama and cults of personality appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
What if Iran, not Afghanistan or North Korea, was the reason John Bolton left the White House? Posted: 11 Sep 2019 05:53 PM PDT Speculation over the divide that eventually turned into an irreparable chasm between President Trump and his former National Security Advisor John Bolton has been focused on two places: Afghanistan and North Korea. The former is conspicuous because of timing; the White House has been in negotiations with the Taliban and Afghani leaders and recently canceled […] The post What if Iran, not Afghanistan or North Korea, was the reason John Bolton left the White House? appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
Remembering Jerry Nadler’s hypocrisy Posted: 11 Sep 2019 05:32 PM PDT Representative Jerry Nadler is arguably the most rambunctious of the Democratic leaders when it comes to impeaching President Trump. He’s leading a politically partisan charge against the President in hopes of scoring points in 2020 and helping Democrats win more elections, including the White House. Of course, Nadler has been in Washington DC a very […] The post Remembering Jerry Nadler’s hypocrisy appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
States adopting more computer science policies see increased gender diversity in computer science classrooms Posted: 11 Sep 2019 05:17 PM PDT New report provides comprehensive analysis of national progress in expanding access to computer science education Today, Code.org, the Computer Science Teachers Association, and the Expanding Computing Education Pathways Alliance, released the 2019 State of Computer Science Education report. The report shows conclusively that as states adopt computer science policies not only are more computer science […] The post States adopting more computer science policies see increased gender diversity in computer science classrooms appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
Supreme victory! Top court backs Trump’s asylum rules change for now Posted: 11 Sep 2019 04:46 PM PDT The fight to slow the flow of asylum-seeking migrants (and the criminal illegal aliens who often hide in their midst) gained access to a much-needed rules change Wednesday as the Supreme Court ruled against an injunction placed on the President’s asylum policy. With only two dissenters, Justices Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Sonia Sotomayer, this opens the […] The post Supreme victory! Top court backs Trump’s asylum rules change for now appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
Should the government have control over its own constraints? Posted: 11 Sep 2019 02:38 PM PDT A video from The Blaze examines the cautionary tale of some of the after effects of the Sep 11, 2001 attacks. In examining the lessons learned from 9/11, Glenn Beck expresses a common sense refrain in response to demands from the left for more restraints on our liberty: No more, you get nothing. Pro-liberty patriots […] The post Should the government have control over its own constraints? appeared first on Conservative Christian News.
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Thu, September 12
CONDOLEEZZA VS GUTHRIE // MEDIA MALPRACTICE 
WATCH: Condoleezza Shuts Down NBC’s Savanna Guthrie over Russia-Trump With her standard poise and grace, Former Secretary of State under George W. Bush shut down an NBC anchor brilliantly. While on a media tour promoting her new book To Build a Better World: Choices to End the Cold War and Create a Global Commonwealth, Rice joined Savannah Guthrie on NBC’s “Today” show…

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MEDIA MALPRACTICE: Trump RIPS ‘Fake News’ over Carolina Special Election Coverage President Trump called-out CNN and MSNBC Tuesday night; blasting their special election coverage as “fake News” following the Republican Party’s “big victory.”“@CNN & @MSNBC were all set to have a BIG victory, until Dan Bishop won North Carolina 09. Now you will hear them barely talk about, or cover, the race.…

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WARREN SURGES: Elizabeth Warren TIES BIDEN for First Place in New National Poll Elizabeth Warren continues to rise in national polls ahead of Thursday’s Democratic debates; tying former Vice President Joe Biden for the first time in the primary process.“The 2020 candidate pulled off a rare showing in an Economist/YouGov poll published Wednesday, tying the largely untouchable former Vice President Joe Biden with 26 percent support…

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‘SOLIDARITY’: Pro-Democracy Protesters in Hong Kong Suspend Daily Demonstrations to Respect 9/11 Pro-Democracy protesters in Hong Kong suspended their daily demonstrations Wednesday to mark the anniversary of the September 11th, 2001 terror attacks on the United States.“In solidarity against terrorism, all forms of protest in Hong Kong will be suspended on Sept. 11, apart from potential singing and chanting,” the group said in a statement.…

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REDSTATE

CNN Does Something Absolutely Disgusting On the Anniversary of 9/11

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Rematch: Former ICE Chief Thomas Homan vs. AOC (But This Time She Has A Gavel)

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Eye Opener President Trump proposes a ban on most flavored vaping products. Also, 23 states have reached a tentative settlement with OxyContin maker Purdue Pharma over the nation’s opioid crisis. All that and all that matters in today’s Eye Opener. Your world in 90 seconds. Watch Video +
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September 12 2019
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House Judiciary Committee Passes Resolution Outlining Scope of Trump Impeachment Inquiry The party-line vote grants committee chairman Jerry Nadler the authority to officially deem committee hearings “impeachment hearings.” Read More Follow Us & Share 19 West 44th Street, Suite 1701, New York, NY, 10036, USA
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